biofuel production in developing countries :: sorghum and greenhouse gas balances
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Biofuel Production in Developing Countries :: Sorghum and greenhouse gas balances Fao / Ifad / Icrisat consultation Rome, Italy 8-9 November 2007 Jeff Tschirley Environment, Climate change and Bioenergy (Nrc) Interdepartmental working group on Bioenergy - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
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Biofuel Production in Developing Countries :: Sorghum and greenhouse gas balances
Fao / Ifad / Icrisat consultationRome, Italy8-9 November 2007
Jeff TschirleyEnvironment, Climate change and Bioenergy (Nrc)Interdepartmental working group on BioenergyFood & Agriculture Organization of the United Nations
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Where are the hungry?
Developed market economies
9Countries in transition
25
Sub-Saharan Africa
206
Near East and North Africa
38
Asia and Pacific
524
Latin America and
Caribbean52
854 million(820 in developing
countries)
212 million India 150 million China
Where is the energy deficit?
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Why Sorghum?
Comparative advantage – food system, bioenergy system
Greenhouse gas benefits – methodologies under discussion, different systems under development
Life Cycle analysis – complex, time consuming
Ghg benefits alone may be insufficient to justify sorghum emphasis, also look for:
Complementary to other biofuel crops Multiple functions in production system
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Righelato and Spracklen, 2007
:
Cumulative avoided emissions per hectare over 30 years compared with carbon sequestered over 30 years by changing cropland to forest and loss of carbon to atmosphere by conversion of forest to cropland.
Error bars indicate values in literature cited.
Sequestration over many years
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:
Life Cycle Analysis central to all ghg balance estimates
Iso 14040 Life cycle assessment
International Energy Agency (IEA) Bioenergy Task 38 - Greenhouse Gas Balances of Biomass and Bioenergy Systems
Biomass-based climate change mitigation through renewable energy systems (Biomitre)
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McClaren et al 2002
:
0
50
100
150
200
250
Component
EthanolEthanol
K Btu/ bu grain
plantcultivate
fertilizerchemicals
irrigateharvest
transport
process
delivery DDGS credit
plantcultivate
fertilizerchemicals
irrigateharvest
transport
process
delivery DDGS credit
Net energy gain= 26,000 Btu/ buNet energy gain= 26,000 Btu/ bu
The Process Chain: Sorghum life cycle inputs
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Ghg’s of interest: Carbon dioxide, CO2 Methane, CH4 ** Nitrous oxide, N2O **
Criteria: Simplicity Traceability Scientific credibility Political acceptability
Substitution approach: Products, co-products, wastes credits
subtracted from process chain Complex, time consuming, complete
Allocation approach: by mass by energy content * by market value Simpler, practical, some gaps
N.b. High probable error levels in estimates: Crutzen paper ca. three-fold increase in nitrogen component of ghg contribution over Ipcc 2007 estimate.
Data requirements: Net energy ratio Net energy requirement Net energy per hectare Net ghg emission factor
Unit energy credit Total energy credit Energy credit per hectare
Unit ghg credit Total ghg credit Ghg credit per hectare
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System process components for biofuel production from rape oilseed
Biomitre, 2004
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Spitzer, 2006
Greenhouse gas balances
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Fuel FeedstockCurrently produced
GHG reduction v. petroleum
Production cost
Biofuels yield per hectare Land types
1st generation biofuels, commercially available
Ethanol
grains (wheat, maize)
US, Europe, China low-moderate moderate moderate cropland
Biodiesel (SVO, FAME)
oil seeds (rape, soy, sunflower) US, Europe low-moderate moderate low cropland
1st generation biofuels (commercially available in developing countries)
Ethanol sugar caneBrazil, India,
Thailand high low-moderate high croplands
Biodiesel/SVO palm oil Southeast Asia moderate low-moderatemoderate-
high coastal lands
Biogas (CNG)wastes, crops Europe, India high low-moderate high all land
2nd generation biofuels (not yet commercially available)
Ethanolcellulose, residues none high moderate-high* high
croplands, marginal lands
Biodiesel (BTL)cellulose residues none high moderate-high* high
croplands, marginal lands
Other
Biodiesel/SVO jatrophaSouth Asia,
Africa highmoderate-
high** low-moderate degraded lands
Biogas (SNG, GtL)biomass, residues all high moderate high all land
Fritsche, 2007
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Some key challenges Favourable policy and legislative frameworks Estimating national bioenergy potentials Coordinating investment flows – industrial
bioenergy v.a.v. small-scale Best practices, certification - flexible, cost effective,
does not penalize small-scale producers Developing countries competing in international
markets and with technological change First versus second generation technologies
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Some questions for sorghum potential Is sorghum already being grown? How does it
fit in the food scheme? Does biofuel processing infrastructure exist? Sorghum for export or domestic consumption? If export, can producers comply? Best
practices, certification If export, can the country compete? Regional
or global markets How fast do producers take up technology?
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Thank you