beyond awacs: the need for political ownership and … · 2018-05-27 · alliance future...
TRANSCRIPT
ALLIANCE FUTURESURVEILLANCE AND CONTROL
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27 MAY 2018
BEYOND AWACS: THE NEED FOR POLITICAL OWNERSHIP AND ENGAGEMENT
NATO PARLIAMENTARY ASSEMBLY
MR. ROB MURRAY
Head of SectionISR, Land, and Maritime
NATO HQ Defence Investment
ALLIANCE FUTURESURVEILLANCE AND CONTROL
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27 MAY 2018
VIDEO PLACEHOLDER
ALLIANCE FUTURESURVEILLANCE AND CONTROL
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GLOBAL CONTEXT
WARSAW SUMMIT DECLARATION
“NATO AWACS will continue to be modernised and extended in service until 2035.
By 2035, the Alliance needs to have a follow-on capability to the E-3 AWACs.
Based on high-level military requirements, we have decided to collectively start the process of defining options for future NATO surveillance and control capabilities.”
- Allied Heads of State and Government
ALLIANCE FUTURESURVEILLANCE AND CONTROL
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GLOBAL CONTEXT
PARLIAMENTARY ASSEMBLY DIRECTION
“The Assembly … URGES member governments and parliaments of the North Atlantic alliance … to swiftly define sustainable options for a follow-on capability to NATO AWACS to take the first step towards avoiding a future capability shortfall.”
- Resolution 434, 2016 policy recommendations of the NATO Parliamentary Assembly
“As a follow-on capability is essential, time short, and costs significant, the Rapporteur urges the NATO Parliamentary Assembly and the STC in particular to pay close attention to this process as it unfolds.”
- 174 STC 16 E bis, The Future of Allied ISR
ALLIANCE FUTURESURVEILLANCE AND CONTROL
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PROGRAMMATIC OVERVIEW – LONG TERM
2035 IS NOT AS FAR AS IT SEEMS…
2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 Future
NATOis here * hypothetical; based on average 10 year duration to procure/field
airborne systems, assuming off-the-shelf product with no prototyping
Essential activities to define requirements, evaluate
options, and select solution
Procurement OperationsConcept Stage
Warsaw Declaration
Procurement Contract*
Operate New Capability
Pre-Concept
ALLIANCE FUTURESURVEILLANCE AND CONTROL PROGRAMMATIC OVERVIEW – NEAR TERM
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Concept Stage
What do we need? What do we not know about what we need?
What’s the best solution for NATO’s needs?
Who’s providing what?
UP TO 90 MEUR IN INDUSTRIAL STUDIES
DECISIVE MOMENT TO SHAPE DIRECTION
OF TRAVEL
ALLIANCE FUTURESURVEILLANCE AND CONTROL
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RECENT PROGRESS
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Initial ‘system of systems’ blueprint delivered within scope, schedule, and cost
Permanent governance framework approved and activatedClear national oversight and accountability for requirements, resources, and programme direction
Building dialogue and relationships with industry• 107 companies represented at AFSC Industry Day on 10 April• Transatlantic ‘rapid reaction’ industry team active and supporting
Bottom line: all activities authorised, funded, underway, and on track
Four supporting studies underway, providing generic background information on:• Human/Machine Interfaces• Surveillance Technology and Threats• Information Assurance• Radio Spectrum Management
ALLIANCE FUTURESURVEILLANCE AND CONTROL
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INCENTIVES
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AFSC is relevant• Developing capability beyond all national planning horizons• Evaluating emerging tech to meet long-term requirements
AFSC is transatlantic• E-3 retirement a common dilemma for NATO, US, FR, and UK• North American and European industry involved from the start
AFSC is potentially valuable• NATO Alliance Ground Surveillance:1
• 1.2 BEUR acquisition• 1.52 BEUR through-life cost• 2.72 BEUR total
• NATO AWACS:2
• 7.7 BUSD acquisition (1977)• 1.5 BUSD Near-Term Modernisation (1988)• 1.9 BUSD Mid-Term Modernisation (1996)• 951 MUSD Follow-On Upgrade Programme (2010)• 1 BUSD Final Lifetime Extension Programme (2018)• 13 BUSD total
1. Based on AGS Practical Funding Solution in 2011 year EUR, assuming 20 year projected lifetime and no upgrades.2. Based on MMOU estimates / cost ceilings and adjusted for inflation.
ALLIANCE FUTURESURVEILLANCE AND CONTROL
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GLOBAL CONTEXT
PARLIAMENTARY ASSEMBLY DIRECTION
“The Assembly … URGES member governments and parliaments of the North Atlantic alliance … to swiftly define sustainable options for a follow-on capability to NATO AWACS to take the first step towards avoiding a future capability shortfall.”
- Resolution 434, 2016 policy recommendations of the NATO Parliamentary Assembly
“As a follow-on capability is essential, time short, and costs significant, the Rapporteur urges the NATO Parliamentary Assembly and the STC in particular to pay close attention to this process as it unfolds.”
- 174 STC 16 E bis, The Future of Allied ISR
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SO WHAT?
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IMMINENT DECISIONS REQUIRE POLITICAL OWNERSHIP AND ENGAGEMENT TO ENSURE AFSC DELIVERS THE RIGHT CAPABILITY, AT THE RIGHT TIME, FOR THE RIGHT PRICE
• National expert kick-off meeting, 4-5 June, Luxembourg
• NATO Defence Ministers meeting, 7-8 June, Brussels
• Next AFSC governance meeting, 11-12 June, Brussels
• NATO Summit, 11-12 July, Brussels
• Study objectives due Oct 2018
• Phase 1 final report due Dec 2018
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POINTS OF CONTACT
Mr. Rob MURRAY
HeadISR, Land, and Maritime
NATO HQ Defence Investment
[email protected]+3227075684
Mr. Matthew GILLIS
Deputy Head and AFSC SecretaryISR, Land, and Maritime
NATO HQ Defence Investment
[email protected]+3227073949