bazooka - pin bars
TRANSCRIPT
-
Bazooka Trader Pin Bars
Table of Contents
Why Binary Options? . ................................................................... 2 Choosing the right Binary Options broker: . .................................. 4 Why Bazooka Trader Pin Bars? . .................................................... 8
Introduction to Bazooka Trader Pin Bars strategy . ...................... 9
Support & Resistance: . ................................................................. 9 Triple Top & Triple Bottom . . ................................................................. 11 Triple Top . . . ...................................................................................... 12 Triple Bottom . . . ................................................................................. 13 Conclusion: . . . .................................................................................... 14 Pin Bar: . . . ......................................................................................... 15 Using Pin Bars with Support & Resistance . . . ........................................... 16 Call: . . . .............................................................................................. 16 Put: . . . .............................................................................................. 16 Trend lines and moving averages with Pin Bar . . . ..................................... 17 Fibonacci Retracement Levels with Pin Bar . . . .......................................... 18 Conclusion . . . ..................................................................................... 19
Scalping In Binary Options . .........................................................19 What is Scalping? .................................................................................... 19 Other Strategies for binary options trading . ................................................ 21 Using technical indicators to trade Binary Options successfully . ..................... 23 Using MACD and 100SMA in conjunction . .................................................... 24 Using Bollinger Bands and Slow Stochastic in conjunction . ............................ 25 Explanation of technical indicators ............................................................. 26 Overall conclusion: . .....................................................................29
-
Copyright 2013 Bazooka Trader Pin Bars
2
Why Binary Options?
Although Binary Options trading has seen a boom in popularity recently, it
has been available since the early part of the 20th century. Financial
investment firms and banks have offered them for decades. There were
many early proponents of binary options, and the Rothschild family is just
one example.
The main reason that binary options have exploded in popularity has to do
with the Internet. Its easier than ever to track financial markets in order
to engage in effective binary options trading. These days, many hedge
funds revolve around binary options and use them to earn millions of
dollars per year. With that in mind, its clear that binary options arent
going away any time soon.
Cash-or-nothing options were first permitted by the Securities and
Exchange Commission, or SEC, in 2008. The initial request to allow these
options was made by the Options Clearing Corporation. Since 2008, binary
options have been traded on the American Stock Exchange as European
cash-or-nothing binary options. They are also traded on the Chicago Board
of Exchange, or CBOE. Binary options are standardized, which means that
they can be traded on stock exchanges with continuous quotations.
Binary options trading have become popular amongst traders mainly
because of many reasons.
1. Comfort:
Its a comfortable method of trading, because the trader doesnt have
to think about a lot of strategies and financial reports. All he has to
do is just predict the price movement.
2. Lower Risk
Before entering a trade, trader has complete idea about the exit, be it
a profit or loss. Whereas wrong calculations on traditional trading
could take you for a ride on the losing side.
-
Copyright 2013 Bazooka Trader Pin Bars 3
3. Choice Of The Underlying Asset
One of the benefits of binary options is that it offers a wide range
of assets. Assets are the resources whose prices are quoted in any established market, and whose prices vary consistently. Binary
options allow one to trade using different assets, which include commodities, stocks, indices, or currencies. It is essential to choose
those assets with which one is familiar with, so that one can assess
their behaviour in a proper manner. Many traders also analyze news updates when considering the assets to select. The categories of
assets can be simplified further, just as currencies, which are a general term, can be seperated as different currency pairs such as
the yen to dollar or euro to dollar. One needs to consider current news about distinct assets while choosing them.
4. Wide Selection Of Options For Binary Trading
In binary options trading, one needs to estimate the position of the
assets price in comparison to the strike price, by the expiry time. If a trader calculates that the value of the asset will increase above the
strike price, then the Call option is chosen. The Put option is preferred if a trader considers that the value of the asset will fall
below the strike price. This is one of the popular options in binary
trading. Digital options also provide many trading options, which are preferred by investors. The concept of a one touch option is quite
interesting. Rather than saying if the value will be more or less than the strike price, this trading option requires that the value must
touch the strike price within the end of the expiry time. Due to the challenging and exciting nature of this trade, the payout is also
considerable.
-
Copyright 2013 Bazooka Trader Pin Bars 4
Choosing the right Binary Options broker:
One of the most important investment decisions you'll make has nothing
to do with stocks, bonds or mutual funds. This crucial decision is picking
a broker. There are dozens of companies offering brokerage services on
the internet, and many of them are just as good as or better than
traditional, brick-and-mortar businesses, but how to decide which one is
best for you? Here are 3 critical factors you'll want to consider:
Availability:
Try hitting the company's website at different times throughout the day,
especially during peak trading hours. Watch how fast their site loads and
check some of the links to ensure there are no technical difficulties.
The broker's background:
What are others saying about the brokerage? Just as you should do your
research before buying a stock, you should find out as much as possible
about your broker.
Customer service:
There is nothing more exasperating than sitting on hold for 20 minutes
waiting to get help. Before you open an account, call the company's help
desk with a fake question to test how long it takes to get a response.
-
Copyright 2013 Bazooka Trader Pin Bars 5
-
Copyright 2013 Bazooka Trader Pin Bars 6
(1) Simple Option
Simple options, calls and puts, give the purchaser the right, but no
the obligation, to buy or sell a specific amount of currency at a
predetermined rate on or before a specific date.
It provides the buyer with an instrument which ensures against
adverse exchange rate movements.
In return for this protection, the buyer pays a price for the option
which is known as a premium.
If unfavourable exchange movements occur, the buyer hedging an
underlying exposure will exercise his option and be protected at the
predetermined rate (strike price).
If favourable exchange rate movement occurs, thee currency option
will not be needed and will expire worthless. The hedged buyer will
have benefited from the favourable movement and will execute the
transaction in the foreign exchange spot market.
A Call Option gives the purchaser the right (but not the obligation) to
buy the underlying currency on or before a specified date at a
predetermined
A Put Option gives the purchaser a right (but not the obligation) to
sell the underlying currency on or before a specified date at a
predetermined price.
-
Copyright 2013 Bazooka Trader Pin Bars 7
An American style option can be exercised on any business day up to
the expiration day and time, while a European style option can only be
exercised on the expiration date.
Factors determining the value of Options:
Spot rate - The current price at which a particular security can be
bought or sold at a specified time and place
Strike price - The price at which a specific derivative contract can be
exercised
Time to expiry -The latest time until which an options or futures
contract is valid.
Volatility - A variable in option pricing formulas showing the extent
to which the return of the underlying asset will fluctuate between
now and the expiration
Interest rate - An interest rate option provides a way to manage
interest rate risk. If you are a buyer, you get the right to pay (for a
maximum interest rate), or to receive (for a minimum interest rate)
at a predetermined strike price or interest rate for a set period. If
the interest rate goes against you, then the option will compensate.
If the interest rate goes in your favour, then the option expires
worthless. The option makes payment to compensate for a change.
-
Copyright 2013 Bazooka Trader Pin Bars 8
Common Used Terminology:
Delta: change in option value with respect to change in spot rate
Gamma: change in delta with respect to change in spot rate
Theta: change in option value with respect to change in time to
expiration
Vega: change in option value with respect to change in volatility
Rho: change in option value with respect to change in interest rate
Why Bazooka Trader Pin Bars?
Although it might look easy to do binary options trading, its not quite as
easy without a proper method to analyze the price movement and predict
the outcome. Using a proper method to identify the price movement is
significant and helps you monetize the market trend and make profits.
This strategy will help you do that by plotting and identifying simple
patterns on the chart. This strategy is not restricted but applies to any
form of trading and you can use the same patterns to do traditional
trading.
-
Copyright 2013 Bazooka Trader Pin Bars 9
Introduction to Bazooka Trader Pin Bars strategy
Bazooka Trader S&R strategy is a price action based system. Unlike the regular indicator based systems, this uses price action to decide on the
trend. Indicators are mostly lagging which most of the time gives signal
after missing the trend, thereby making us catch it halfway and this might
not turn out to be the best strategy for many. Using price action methods
have been mostly successful, if used in right way, on the right time and
the right properties. Bazooka Trader S&R Strategy will help you achieve that by following simple rules.
Bazooka Trader S&R strategy as the name indicates is based on the Support and Resistance along with the Pin Bar and Triple Top patterns
to identify the breakout and price reversals and ride along the trend.
Introduction
Support & Resistance:
Support and Resistance are the lower and higher price level which holds
the market into a channel. Support and Resistance are significant on
deciding the price movement, since its a direct outcome of the market
sentiment. Support and resistance levels often broken (which would
indicate a breakout mostly) and new price levels are formed.
Understanding these patterns helps one to identify the breakout and price
reversals.
-
Copyright 2013 Bazooka Trader Pin Bars 10
A simple illustration of S&R
Support:
Support is the lower price level for a session which was not broken and
indirectly shows the buyers sentiment that the price has reached the
market low, which would encourage buyers to start buying. Thereby
bringing up the demand and price along with that. Below given image
would explain more about identifying the Support level.
-
Copyright 2013 Bazooka Trader Pin Bars 11
Resistance:
Resistance is the vice versa of Support. Its the higher price level and it
shows the Sellers sentiment that the price has reached the market high
and thereby encouraging them towards selling. Below given image would
explain more about identifying Resistance level.
Triple Top & Triple Bottom
The triple top and triple bottom are reversal patterns that are formulated
when a security attempts to move past a key level of support or
resistance in the direction of the prevailing trend.
This chart pattern represents the market's attempt to move a security in a
certain direction. After three failed attempts, the buyers (in the case of a
top) or sellers (in the case of a bottom) give up, and the opposing group
in the market takes a hold of the security, sending it downward (sellers)
or upward (buyers).
-
Copyright 2013 Bazooka Trader Pin Bars 12
Triple Top
This bearish reversal pattern is formed when a security that is trending
upward tests a similar level of resistance three times without breaking
through. Each time the security tests the resistance level, it falls to a
similar area of support. After the third fall to the support level, the pattern
is complete when the security falls through the support; the price is then
expected to move in a downward trend.
The first step in this pattern is the creation of a new high in an uptrend
that is stalled by selling pressure, which forms a level of resistance. The
selling pressure causes the price to fall until it finds a level of support, as
buyers move back into the security. The buying pressure sends the price
back up to the area of resistance the security previously met. Again, the
sellers enter the market and send the security back down to the support
level.
This up-and-down movement is repeated for the third time; but this time
the buyers, after failing three times, give up on the security, and the
sellers take over. Upon falling through the level of support, the security is
expected to trend downward.
-
Copyright 2013 Bazooka Trader Pin Bars 13
This pattern can be difficult to spot in the early stages as it will initially
look like a double-top pattern. The most important thing here is that one
waits for the price to move past the level of resistance before entering the
security, as the security could actually just end up being range-bound,
where it trades between the two levels for some time.
In the triple-top formation, each test of resistance at the upper end should
be marked with declining volume at each successive peak. And again,
when the price breaks below the support level, it should be accompanied
by high volume. Once the signal is formed, the price objective is based on
the size of the chart pattern or the price distance between the level of
resistance and support. This is then deducted from the breakout point.
Triple Bottom
This bullish reversal pattern has all of the same attributes as the triple top
but signals a reversal of a downward trend. The triple-bottom pattern
illustrates a security that is trading in a downtrend and attempts to fall
through a level of support three times, each time moving back to a level
of resistance. After the third attempt to push the price lower, the pattern
is complete when the price moves above the resistance level and begins
trading in an upward trend.
-
Copyright 2013 Bazooka Trader Pin Bars 14
This pattern begins by setting a new low in a downtrend, which is followed
by a rally to a high. This sets up the range of trading for the triple-bottom
pattern. After hitting the high, the price again comes under selling
pressure, which sends it back down to the previous low. Buyers again
move back into the security at this support level, sending the price back
up again, usually to the previous high.
This is repeated a third time, but after failing again to move to a new low,
the pattern is complete when the security moves above the resistance
level to begin trading in an uptrend.
In this pattern, volume plays a role similar to the triple top, declining at
each trough as it tests the support level, which is a sign of diminishing
selling pressure. Again, volume should be high on a breakout above the
resistance level on the completion of the pattern.
Conclusion:
The significance of these two formations is that an established trend has
hit a major section of support/resistance, which stops the trend's ability to
continue. This is an indication that the buying or selling pressure that is
supporting the trend is beginning to weaken. It also is an indication that
the opposite pressure is gaining strength.
The chart pattern is signalling that there is a shift in the supply and
demand of the security and of the balance between buyers and sellers.
When a reversal signal is formed in a triple top, there is a shift from
buyers moving the security upward to sellers moving the security
downward.
-
Copyright 2013 Bazooka Trader Pin Bars 15
Pin Bar:
Pin bars are nowadays one of the major factors on price action based
trading systems. They show a clear response from the market by avoiding
the price to move beyond/below certain level and thereby forming pin bar
candle. Most of the time, the rejection is followed by a reverse in the price
movement direction on the opposite direction and Pin Bars majorly help in
finding the reverse in price movement directions. There are only two types
of pin bar we will be using which are Bearish and Bullish pin bars.
Bearish pin bar is the one with a long spike, short body and Close below
Open. On the other hand Bullish pin bar is the one with a long tail and
short body. Below given image would show an example of pin bar pattern.
These Pin Bar patterns play a major role in our strategy. Pin Bar combined
with Support & Resistance could help us identify the price movement
reversal and thus identifying the trend and trading according to the trend
could be yield more profitable trades.
-
Copyright 2013 Bazooka Trader Pin Bars 16
Using Pin Bars with Support & Resistance
Based on our previous strategy we have to wait for the price to breakout
the Support & Resistance level to enter a trade, which might take long
time and the number of trades could get reduced drastically. Hence to
make use of the time we spend meanwhile, we could look out for the price
reversal trends.
A pin bar that forms after the price hits an important support or resistance
level can be used as a signal to enter the market. When a pin bar forms
the trades taken should be in the opposite direction of the tail.
Call:
If the price moves up this forms a pin bar with tall upper tail, then the
signal is short.
Put:
If the price moves down then forms a pin bar with tall lower tail, then the
signal is long.
-
Copyright 2013 Bazooka Trader Pin Bars 17
Apart from the above mentioned method of using Pin bar with Support &
Resistance. Pin bars can be used with other line methods as shown in the
following segments.
Trend lines and moving averages with Pin Bar
Pin bars that form after the price touches a trend line or moving average
can be used as signals to enter the market.
Combining Pin Bar with Trend Lines
Combining Pin Bar With Moving Averages
-
Copyright 2013 Bazooka Trader Pin Bars 18
Fibonacci Retracement Levels with Pin Bar
Pin bars that form after the price touches a Fibonacci retracement level
can also be used as signals to enter the market.
Combining Pin Bar with Fibonacci Retracement Levels
-
Copyright 2013 Bazooka Trader Pin Bars 19
Conclusion
Pin bars are often created near extremes in price swing, and they often
occur after false breaks. This is why pin bars are traded in the opposite
direction of the tail.
Pin bars can be combined with other line studies to generate rading
signals. Support and Resistance levels, Fibonacci retracement levels and
trend lines can be used together with pin bars to generate trading signals.
Scalping in binary options
Scalping can be a great way for traders to make quick profits by opening
multiple trades. When you make use of scalping in the right way and
under the right trade set ups, if your market research is correct, binary
options trading along with scalping can get you great profits.
What is Scalping?
Scalping is defined as a trading strategy that can be used both in forex
trading and binary options trading and is one of the most commonly used
ways for traders to profit from the market price movements. As you might
know, prices in the markets moves by small points known as pips.
Sometimes these pips can be as small as 5 decimals. Now imagine a
trader who has opened 10 trades on a EURUSD currency pair, which
moved 5 pips. Now add the 5 pips times 10 trades, which brings us to a
profit of 50 pips made by the trader. Scalping has become so popular that
now-a-days most online brokers, especially forex strictly enforce a no
scalping policy as such a strategy can be detrimental to a traders
success.
-
Copyright 2013 Bazooka Trader Pin Bars 20
Principles of Scalping
Scalping, basically works on the very simple principle of buying low and
selling high, but is done at a much faster frequency and volume of
trading. From a binary options trading point of view, scalping is not that
commonly used due to the way binary options trading works. The moment
you open a binary options trade, there isnt much you trader can do, apart
from perhaps selling back the option or perhaps closing the trade pre-
maturely.
So, does binary options scalping work? The answer is yes and no. For
example if you were to trade a EURUSD contract which is presently
trading at 1.2358 and were to trade this currency pair by placing a CALL
which expires in 45 minutes, the moment the binary option is placed, the
trade is locked in, thus giving not much of a chance for the trader to
scalp. Now if you compare this to a forex trading, it is different, because
the trader can at any time set up their stop losses and take profits.
However, if the EURUSD was known to be on a rally and you placed a
CALL option on this currency pair just at the right time when a new trend
had emerged, then the binary options trader could easily open two or
more similar trades and make sure that their profits are maximized
accordingly.
Are binary options scalping a safe strategy?
Unless you know what you are doing and have sufficient facts to back you
up, scalping in binary options can be disastrous. Going back to the
previous example if a trader opened three trades on the EURUSD with a
CALL option and towards the expiry time the trend reversed, then the
losses faced by the trader would be three times as much.
However, success with scalping binary options requires a very simple
logic. Trading 60 second options is one of the safest bets considering that
the options expire in 60 seconds this can be a great way to ride the trend
and make profits. Of course, the trader would need to be more cautious as
well as quick, given the trends in forex can easily reverse at any given
point in time.
-
Copyright 2013 Bazooka Trader Pin Bars 21
Trading 60 second options offers traders the advantage of limiting their
trades to a 60 second period as compared to placing a trade on an option
that expires in 15 minutes. The logic with scalping is to make multiple
profitable trades. Thus, taking advantage of 60 second options enables
traders to basically define their trading period and thus be able to trade
either CALL or PUT options accordingly.
60 second options are available with TradeRush who in fact pioneered this
type of binary options trading with short expiry times. Of course, there are
many more binary options brokers that offer 60 second expiries, but what
better a place than TradeRush which actually conceptualized the 60
second expires.
Binary Options Scalping Strategy before you start
To conclude, binary options scalping can provide traders a way to make
fast profits by opening multiple orders at the same time. However there
are some very strict criteria to look into as scalping doesnt work well with
all binary options brokers. Here are some pointers:
Conduct enough research into the asset that you want to scalp using
binary options
Keep the expiry times as short as possible in order to profit from the
price action
When scalping binary options invest small amounts of money
instead of putting all your capital into one trade that you want to
scalp
Since scalping relies heavily on liquidity make sure that you trade
during news events which either meet or beat market expectations
Other Strategies for binary options trading
No single binary options strategy will deliver the same results for all who
use it as different people use different ways of reading, analyzing, and
playing the ever risky financial trading game. This, however, should not
deter you from investing in this opportunity and possibly make a
considerable return if that is your desire. The primary goal of every
-
Copyright 2013 Bazooka Trader Pin Bars 22
strategy is to establish and develop a detailed plan of action that you can
use to minimize the risks involved in financial trading. Sticking to this plan
will promote discipline which is essentially disregarding emotions that may
only serve to hinder your progress towards profit. If you wish to invest in
binary options, you may find that either a specific trading strategy or a
combination of two or more strategies will deliver positive results. The
number of Binary Options strategies is almost too many to mention, but
we have outlined some of the more important ones that may be applied in
most cases:
1. Reversal is the binary options strategy wherein you buy an option
contrary to an asset's present trend, especially if the price movement is
radically going either up or down. An investor who employs this strategy
realizes that the price of an asset will not remain indefinitely at a certain
point and may perhaps revert to its original trading value. Reversal takes
into account the proven axiom that what goes up must come down and
usually at the same speed at which it climbed.
2. The hedging binary options strategy entails safeguarding whatever
profit has been made on an asset prior to its maturity, often when there is
little time left. An investor will sell an asset to realize his or her present
gains in anticipation of any downward price movement. He or she may
also retain a portion of the asset and possibly earn more from it if the
asset remains in the money all the way up to maturity. The buyer will at
the very least get back his or her initial investment along with a little
income while leaving the remainder for any last-minute trades. Additional
profit can still be realized from the remaining asset but if the opposite is
true, any losses will be more than offset by the gains made from the
earlier selling before maturity.
3. Double trading is most often used by investors who have a good grasp
of what goes on in the financial market. If an investor buys an asset and
then sees that it is performing to his or her advantage prior to maturity,
he or she may buy more of the same asset as long as the option follows
the same movement towards the final price.
-
Copyright 2013 Bazooka Trader Pin Bars 23
4. Pairing or straddling is a variation of double trading. It refers to buying
put and call options that are both in the money. If the price upon maturity
is anywhere between the two prices at which you bought the asset, you
can still generate a return.
Using technical indicators to trade Binary Options successfully
Technical indicators are mathematical analyses of financial instruments.
We can use technical indicators to better understand their behavior. By understanding the behavior of a financial instrument we can predict its
movement in the short and even long term, and this can greatly improve our success when trading Binary Options. In the examples provided in this
section we will focus on a few of the leading technical indicators: Bollinger Bands, MACD, Stochastic Slow, and Simple Moving Averages (SMAs).
But first, in order to understand the power of technical indicators, we must accept the reason that technical indicators work. The simple fact is
that technical indicators are successful because of their popularity among traders. The reason for this is that volume generates movement, meaning that the more people trade in a certain direction the more that direction will continue. By trading using these indicators you are
essentially trading in the same direction as many other traders. This
insight can be very useful when trading short term, especially in Binary Options.
In the examples below we will be using combinations of 2 technical indicators for each trade signal. The reason for this is that when one
strategy confirms another, it is more likely to be correct. Another way to think of this is that if many traders follow one indicator and many others
follow a different indicator, then when both indicators give us a signal at the same time and in the same direction, then many, many traders will
trade in that direction, creating momentum and reinforcing that direction.
-
Copyright 2013 Bazooka Trader Pin Bars 24
Using MACD and 100SMA in conjunction
The chart above is a 1 hour chart of Gold futures, with the price of Gold indicated by the bold black line. We can also see 2 technical indicators,
the MACD, shown as verticals lines below the chart, and a 100SMA (simple moving average calculated over 100 data points), shown as a blue
line overlaying the chart. For further information on how these indicators are calculated, please refer to the last section Explanation of technical indicators.
The 1st trading signal is given by the MACD as it crosses over 0. This is
highlighted by the dotted blue line. Many traders use this as a signal that Gold is changing direction. You might be right if you choose at this point
to buy a Call Binary Option. However it is much wiser to wait for a confirmation signal, which is a point at which many more traders will enter
-
Copyright 2013 Bazooka Trader Pin Bars 25
trades and reinforce this direction. The confirmation signal is given by the
2nd technical indicator. This 2nd trade signal occurs where the price of Gold (bold black line) crosses over the 100SMA (blue line). We have also
highlighted this crossover with a dotted blue line. At this point many more traders who are using this indicator enter in this direction and reinforce
your 1st signal. This is a much safer point to trade a Call Binary Option. The result is that in the short term, prices remain above the 100SMA,
increasing your chances of success if you traded a Call Binary Option at the 100SMA crossover.
Using Bollinger Bands and Slow Stochastic in conjunction
The chart above is the same 1 hour chart of Gold futures as in the 1st
example. Here we show other popular indicators. When they are used in
-
Copyright 2013 Bazooka Trader Pin Bars 26
conjunction to confirm each other then usually trading volume is high and
the trend will persist.
Our 1st indicator is the Bollinger Bands (green lines) overlaying the chart. These green lines show the average price highs and lows within the
trading range. When the price of Gold bounces off the bottom Bollinger Band this is our 1st signal. When this 1st signal is confirmed by a 2nd
technical indicator this means that even more traders will enter to reinforce the trading direction.
Our 2nd trading signal is given by the indicator at the bottom which is the Slow Stochastic. The Slow Stochastic is simply a combination of 2 moving
averages of different lengths. When they cross over each other this means that a change has occurred in the direction of the price movement of the
financial instrument. The crossover is highlighted above by a dotted blue line.
The entry points to trade Call Binary Options are the same as in the 1st
example, and the outcome is the same. As a final point, using multiple indicators to confirm each other is common practice amongst advanced
traders and has been proven to be a very effective strategy to trade Binary Options successfully. You may choose any combination of technical
indicators that you wish. The combination of indicators shown above is for illustrative purposes, and you may find another combination that works
better for you.
Explanation of technical indicators
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are a technical analysis tool invented by John Bollinger in
the 1980s. Having evolved from the concept of trading bands, Bollinger Bands can be used to measure the highness or lowness of the price
relative to previous trades. Bollinger Bands consist of:
A middle band being an N-period simple moving average (MA) An upper band at K times an N-period standard deviation above the
middle band (MA + K) A lower band at K times an N-period standard deviation below the
middle band (MA K )
-
Copyright 2013 Bazooka Trader Pin Bars 27
Typical values for N and K are 20 and 2, respectively. The default choice
for the average is a simple moving average, but other types of averages can be employed as needed. Exponential moving averages are a common
second choice. Usually the same period is used for both the middle band and the calculation of standard deviation.
MACD
MACD stands for Moving Average Convergence / Divergence, a technical analysis indicator created by Gerald Appel in the late 1970s. It is used to
spot changes in the strength, direction, momentum, and duration of a trend in a stock's price.
The MACD is a computation of the difference between two exponential
moving averages (EMAs) of closing prices. This difference is charted over time, alongside a moving average of the difference. The divergence
between the two is shown as a histogram or bar graph.
Exponential moving averages highlight recent changes in a stock's price. By comparing EMAs of different periods, the MACD line illustrates changes
in the trend of a stock. Then by comparing that difference to an average,
an analyst can chart subtle shifts in the stock's trend.
Since the MACD is based on moving averages, it is inherently a lagging indicator. As a metric of price trends, the MACD is less useful for stocks
that are not trending or are trading erratically. Note that the term "MACD" is used both generally, to refer to the indicator as a whole, and
specifically, to the MACD line itself.
Simple Moving Average
A simple moving average (SMA) is the un-weighted mean of the previous
n data points. For example, a 10-day simple moving average of closing price is the mean of the previous 10 days'closing prices. If those prices
are
-
Copyright 2013 Bazooka Trader Pin Bars 28
then the formula is
When calculating successive values, a new value comes into the sum and
an old value drops out, meaning a full summation each time is unnecessary.
In technical analysis there are various popular values for n, like 10 days, 40 days, or 200 days. The period selected depends on the kind of
movement one is concentrating on, such as short, intermediate, or long term. In any case moving average levels are interpreted as support in a
rising market, or resistance in a falling market.
In all cases a moving average lags behind the latest data point, simply
from the nature of its smoothing. An SMA can lag to an undesirable
extent, and can be disproportionately influenced by old data points dropping out of the average. This is addressed by giving extra weight to
more recent data points, as in the weighted and exponential moving averages.
One characteristic of the SMA is that if the data have a periodic luctuation, then applying an SMA of that period will eliminate that variation (the
average always containing one complete cycle). But a perfectly regular cycle is rarely encountered in economics or finance.
For a number of applications it is advantageous to avoid the shifting induced by using only 'past' data. Hence a central moving average can
be computed, using both 'past' and 'future' data. The 'future' data in this
case are not predictions, but merely data obtained after the time at which the average is to be computed.
-
Copyright 2013 Bazooka Trader Pin Bars 29
Slow Stochastic
In technical analysis of securities trading, the stochastics oscillator is a momentum indicator that uses support and resistance levels. Dr. George
Lane promoted this indicator in the 1950s. The term stochastic refers to the location of a current price in relation to its price range over a period of
time. This method attempts to predict price turning points by comparing the closing price of a security to its price range.
The indicator is defined as follows:
where H and L are respectively the highest and the lowest price over the last n periods, and %D = 3 period moving average of %K. In working with
%D it is important to remember that there is only one valid signal-a divergence between %D and the security with which you are
working.
Overall conclusion:
Whichever binary options strategy you feel will earn you a substantial
return, you must have a good understanding of the market and its trends,
the willingness to use your available resources wisely, and the discipline to
stick to your chosen strategy every time you trade.