bayesian spatial and functional data analysis using gaussian processes alan e. gelfand duke...

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Bayesian Spatial and Functional Data Analysis Using Gaussian Processes Alan E. Gelfand Duke University (with contributions from J. Duan, D. Dunson, M. Guindani, A. Kottas, S. MacEachern, X. Nguyen, S. Petrone, A. Rodriguez)

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Page 1: Bayesian Spatial and Functional Data Analysis Using Gaussian Processes Alan E. Gelfand Duke University (with contributions from J. Duan, D. Dunson, M

Bayesian Spatial and Functional Data Analysis

Using Gaussian Processes

Alan E. GelfandDuke University

(with contributions from J. Duan, D. Dunson, M. Guindani, A. Kottas, S. MacEachern,

X. Nguyen, S. Petrone, A. Rodriguez)

Page 2: Bayesian Spatial and Functional Data Analysis Using Gaussian Processes Alan E. Gelfand Duke University (with contributions from J. Duan, D. Dunson, M

Outline

• Functional data analysis (FDA) and spatial data analysis (SDA)

• Gaussian Processes

• Dirichlet Processes (DP, DPK)

• Spatial DP (SDP)

• Multivariate Stickbreaking

• Hybrid (HDP, HDPK), Labeling processes, GSDP, GSDPK

Page 3: Bayesian Spatial and Functional Data Analysis Using Gaussian Processes Alan E. Gelfand Duke University (with contributions from J. Duan, D. Dunson, M

Introduction

Page 4: Bayesian Spatial and Functional Data Analysis Using Gaussian Processes Alan E. Gelfand Duke University (with contributions from J. Duan, D. Dunson, M
Page 5: Bayesian Spatial and Functional Data Analysis Using Gaussian Processes Alan E. Gelfand Duke University (with contributions from J. Duan, D. Dunson, M
Page 6: Bayesian Spatial and Functional Data Analysis Using Gaussian Processes Alan E. Gelfand Duke University (with contributions from J. Duan, D. Dunson, M

Algorithmic/deterministic approaches for spatial data

Page 7: Bayesian Spatial and Functional Data Analysis Using Gaussian Processes Alan E. Gelfand Duke University (with contributions from J. Duan, D. Dunson, M

Two approaches

Page 8: Bayesian Spatial and Functional Data Analysis Using Gaussian Processes Alan E. Gelfand Duke University (with contributions from J. Duan, D. Dunson, M
Page 9: Bayesian Spatial and Functional Data Analysis Using Gaussian Processes Alan E. Gelfand Duke University (with contributions from J. Duan, D. Dunson, M

Cartoon of GP, marginally

Page 10: Bayesian Spatial and Functional Data Analysis Using Gaussian Processes Alan E. Gelfand Duke University (with contributions from J. Duan, D. Dunson, M
Page 11: Bayesian Spatial and Functional Data Analysis Using Gaussian Processes Alan E. Gelfand Duke University (with contributions from J. Duan, D. Dunson, M
Page 12: Bayesian Spatial and Functional Data Analysis Using Gaussian Processes Alan E. Gelfand Duke University (with contributions from J. Duan, D. Dunson, M
Page 13: Bayesian Spatial and Functional Data Analysis Using Gaussian Processes Alan E. Gelfand Duke University (with contributions from J. Duan, D. Dunson, M
Page 14: Bayesian Spatial and Functional Data Analysis Using Gaussian Processes Alan E. Gelfand Duke University (with contributions from J. Duan, D. Dunson, M
Page 15: Bayesian Spatial and Functional Data Analysis Using Gaussian Processes Alan E. Gelfand Duke University (with contributions from J. Duan, D. Dunson, M
Page 16: Bayesian Spatial and Functional Data Analysis Using Gaussian Processes Alan E. Gelfand Duke University (with contributions from J. Duan, D. Dunson, M
Page 17: Bayesian Spatial and Functional Data Analysis Using Gaussian Processes Alan E. Gelfand Duke University (with contributions from J. Duan, D. Dunson, M
Page 18: Bayesian Spatial and Functional Data Analysis Using Gaussian Processes Alan E. Gelfand Duke University (with contributions from J. Duan, D. Dunson, M
Page 19: Bayesian Spatial and Functional Data Analysis Using Gaussian Processes Alan E. Gelfand Duke University (with contributions from J. Duan, D. Dunson, M

First consider the atomsThe spatial DP

Page 20: Bayesian Spatial and Functional Data Analysis Using Gaussian Processes Alan E. Gelfand Duke University (with contributions from J. Duan, D. Dunson, M
Page 21: Bayesian Spatial and Functional Data Analysis Using Gaussian Processes Alan E. Gelfand Duke University (with contributions from J. Duan, D. Dunson, M
Page 22: Bayesian Spatial and Functional Data Analysis Using Gaussian Processes Alan E. Gelfand Duke University (with contributions from J. Duan, D. Dunson, M
Page 23: Bayesian Spatial and Functional Data Analysis Using Gaussian Processes Alan E. Gelfand Duke University (with contributions from J. Duan, D. Dunson, M
Page 24: Bayesian Spatial and Functional Data Analysis Using Gaussian Processes Alan E. Gelfand Duke University (with contributions from J. Duan, D. Dunson, M

An Example

Page 25: Bayesian Spatial and Functional Data Analysis Using Gaussian Processes Alan E. Gelfand Duke University (with contributions from J. Duan, D. Dunson, M
Page 26: Bayesian Spatial and Functional Data Analysis Using Gaussian Processes Alan E. Gelfand Duke University (with contributions from J. Duan, D. Dunson, M

True vs. sampled correlations

Page 27: Bayesian Spatial and Functional Data Analysis Using Gaussian Processes Alan E. Gelfand Duke University (with contributions from J. Duan, D. Dunson, M
Page 28: Bayesian Spatial and Functional Data Analysis Using Gaussian Processes Alan E. Gelfand Duke University (with contributions from J. Duan, D. Dunson, M

Now weights driven by GP’sWe switch notation from w’s to p’s

We create a GSDP/HDP

Page 29: Bayesian Spatial and Functional Data Analysis Using Gaussian Processes Alan E. Gelfand Duke University (with contributions from J. Duan, D. Dunson, M
Page 30: Bayesian Spatial and Functional Data Analysis Using Gaussian Processes Alan E. Gelfand Duke University (with contributions from J. Duan, D. Dunson, M
Page 31: Bayesian Spatial and Functional Data Analysis Using Gaussian Processes Alan E. Gelfand Duke University (with contributions from J. Duan, D. Dunson, M
Page 32: Bayesian Spatial and Functional Data Analysis Using Gaussian Processes Alan E. Gelfand Duke University (with contributions from J. Duan, D. Dunson, M
Page 33: Bayesian Spatial and Functional Data Analysis Using Gaussian Processes Alan E. Gelfand Duke University (with contributions from J. Duan, D. Dunson, M
Page 34: Bayesian Spatial and Functional Data Analysis Using Gaussian Processes Alan E. Gelfand Duke University (with contributions from J. Duan, D. Dunson, M

Multivariate stickbreaking

Page 35: Bayesian Spatial and Functional Data Analysis Using Gaussian Processes Alan E. Gelfand Duke University (with contributions from J. Duan, D. Dunson, M
Page 36: Bayesian Spatial and Functional Data Analysis Using Gaussian Processes Alan E. Gelfand Duke University (with contributions from J. Duan, D. Dunson, M
Page 37: Bayesian Spatial and Functional Data Analysis Using Gaussian Processes Alan E. Gelfand Duke University (with contributions from J. Duan, D. Dunson, M
Page 38: Bayesian Spatial and Functional Data Analysis Using Gaussian Processes Alan E. Gelfand Duke University (with contributions from J. Duan, D. Dunson, M
Page 39: Bayesian Spatial and Functional Data Analysis Using Gaussian Processes Alan E. Gelfand Duke University (with contributions from J. Duan, D. Dunson, M
Page 40: Bayesian Spatial and Functional Data Analysis Using Gaussian Processes Alan E. Gelfand Duke University (with contributions from J. Duan, D. Dunson, M
Page 41: Bayesian Spatial and Functional Data Analysis Using Gaussian Processes Alan E. Gelfand Duke University (with contributions from J. Duan, D. Dunson, M

Our modeling world

Page 42: Bayesian Spatial and Functional Data Analysis Using Gaussian Processes Alan E. Gelfand Duke University (with contributions from J. Duan, D. Dunson, M
Page 43: Bayesian Spatial and Functional Data Analysis Using Gaussian Processes Alan E. Gelfand Duke University (with contributions from J. Duan, D. Dunson, M
Page 44: Bayesian Spatial and Functional Data Analysis Using Gaussian Processes Alan E. Gelfand Duke University (with contributions from J. Duan, D. Dunson, M
Page 45: Bayesian Spatial and Functional Data Analysis Using Gaussian Processes Alan E. Gelfand Duke University (with contributions from J. Duan, D. Dunson, M
Page 46: Bayesian Spatial and Functional Data Analysis Using Gaussian Processes Alan E. Gelfand Duke University (with contributions from J. Duan, D. Dunson, M
Page 47: Bayesian Spatial and Functional Data Analysis Using Gaussian Processes Alan E. Gelfand Duke University (with contributions from J. Duan, D. Dunson, M

Progesterone Data (PGD)

Page 48: Bayesian Spatial and Functional Data Analysis Using Gaussian Processes Alan E. Gelfand Duke University (with contributions from J. Duan, D. Dunson, M
Page 49: Bayesian Spatial and Functional Data Analysis Using Gaussian Processes Alan E. Gelfand Duke University (with contributions from J. Duan, D. Dunson, M

PGD Modified

Page 50: Bayesian Spatial and Functional Data Analysis Using Gaussian Processes Alan E. Gelfand Duke University (with contributions from J. Duan, D. Dunson, M
Page 51: Bayesian Spatial and Functional Data Analysis Using Gaussian Processes Alan E. Gelfand Duke University (with contributions from J. Duan, D. Dunson, M
Page 52: Bayesian Spatial and Functional Data Analysis Using Gaussian Processes Alan E. Gelfand Duke University (with contributions from J. Duan, D. Dunson, M
Page 53: Bayesian Spatial and Functional Data Analysis Using Gaussian Processes Alan E. Gelfand Duke University (with contributions from J. Duan, D. Dunson, M