bauweisen-kolloqium 2012 at dlr stuttgart · this document and all information contained herein is...

Future Programmes Consolidate all activities for the next generation of Airbus aircraft

26 June 2012

Bauweisen-Kolloqium 2012 at DLR Stuttgart

© AIRBUS S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.

Agenda

• Air Transport today and tomorrow

• What do our customers want?

• Technology expectations and opportunities

• Tomorrow’s Aircraft

26 June 2012


A global company….

Madrid

Madrid

Sevilla

Cadiz

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26 June 2012

…with global outreach

1 global company

3 customer support centres

4 training centres 9 engineering design centres

16 manufacturing sites

<20 languages

24 hour customer support (365 days a year) 50 flight simulators

<80 nationalities

160 offices

<450 customers & operators

<7, 000 aircraft delivered

55,000 employees

a world of cultural diversity

5 spares centres

250 resident customer support managers

50 flight simulators


Airbus today

26 June 2012

Passenger aircraft (*) 7,128 aircraft delivered 11,570 aircraft ordered Order backlog of 4,444 civil aircraft 336 customers worldwide

A350 Family

A380 Family

A340 Family

A320 Family

A330 Family

13 Civil models

(*): status end February 2012


Airbus today – and also military products

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Military aircraft

Military aircraft (*) + 1,000 Aircraft sold 65 Countries 135 Operators 4,200,000 Flight Hours

(*): status end February 2012


Air travel has proved to be resilient to external shocks

* since 2000

World annual traffic (RPKs - trillions)

Gulf Crisis Oil Crisis Asian Crisis

WTC Attack Oil Crisis SARS

Financial Crisis

+45%

0,0

0,5

1,0

1,5

2,0

2,5

3,0

3,5

4,0

4,5

5,0

1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

GMF 1999 Δ<0.1%

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0

2

4

6

8

10

12

1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 20300

2

4

6

8

10

12

1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030

Air travel remains a growth market

World annual traffic (RPKs - trillions)

20-year world annual traffic growth

4.8% ICAO

total traffic Airbus

GMF 2011

Air traffic has doubled

every 15 years

Air traffic will double in the next 15 years

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Product spread of demand

20-year new deliveries of passenger and freight aircraft

Jet freight aircraft (>10 tons)

1,780 very large aircraft

Market value of $3.5 trillion

6,910 twin-aisle aircraft

19,170 single-aisle aircraft

Passenger aircraft (≥ 100 seats)

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Agenda





26 June 2012


What do our customers want?

Flying Economically & Efficiently • Airline operating costs (fuel, maintenance, …) • Increased competition and deregulation • Productivity (size, operational reliability, load factor, TAT) • Translate extra comfort & passenger experience into revenues

Flying Green • Keep aviation footprint small, while responding to growing traffic demand • Reduce landing & take-off noise signatures • Doing more with less, think life cycle (manufacturing green, recycling, etc.)

Flying “Simple” or simpliFlying • Simple to fly, handle on ground • Simple & easy to re-configure • Simple to maintain • Simple & intuitive to passengers

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Flying Economically & Efficiently Average annual oil prices have rebounded to 2008 values

Average annual WTI oil price (US$ per bbl)

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

History Forecast

Oil price (Current US$)

Average Annual Price

Per Barrel >$120

Source: Global Insight 26 June 2012


Flying “Simple” or simpliFlying - Air Traffic Management

• Benefits of a future ATM system like SESAR • 4D trajectory - Three spatial dimensions, plus time • Share information on current and future position in real time • Enhanced situational awareness through seamless communication links • Optimise aircraft routing, airspace usage, fuel usage and CO2 emissions • Simplify flying procedures, through more direct routings

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Tomorrow Today


Flying Green - The Aviation Context and Objectives

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Product Improvement 1,5% per year

ATM – SESAR, NextGen IATA: 4.8 M tons of CO² / Year Economic Measures

Emission Trading Schemes (ETS) EU ETS, NZ ETS

2005 2050 2020

No action

Carbon Neutral Growth

2020

2030 2040

-50% by 2050

CO2

emissions

2010

(schematic)

Tech Ops Infra

Biofuels + add. Tech

Overall aviation plan

Biofuels


Flying Green - Environmental trends

26 June 2012

Noise • Future aircraft noise levels still have to improve • Future “Chapter 5” regulations perceived to aim

for 5-10dB below Ch. 4 • Long term goal is to be below 50dB outside the

airport boundaries

Local Air Quality (LTO NOx, …) • Less emphasis than on Greenhouse gas or

noise… • …but with potential new regulations coming

(particulates, …)

Climate Impact • The main environmental priority for most airlines • Major concern is to reduce CO2 emissions • Other gas emissions and contrails are gaining

importance


Agenda





26 June 2012


• The ACARE V2020 already contained high ambitions ... mostly visible on environmental matters

• The upcoming Vision 2050 further stresses the 2020 ambitions

ACARE – a European vision

? When will we touch the physical limits?

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Flightpath 2050 headlines

• Meet societal & market needs • Citizens mobility and travel punctuality

• Maintain and extend industrial leadership • Leading position in a globalised industry

• Protect the environment and energy supply • -75% CO2, -90% NOx, -65% perceived noise • Designed for recycling and alternative energy

• Ensure safety and security • Resilience against security threats • All weather operation at any time

• Prioritise research and testing capabilities • Networks and large scale demonstrators

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Agenda





26 June 2012


A320 Family non-stop innovation

2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007

GPS Landing system

OANS EFB ROPS

New cabin Maintenance programme

HUD

Extended Service Goal Sharklets

78t A320

Engine improvements

Aerodynamic improvements

RNP 0.1

ROPS: Runway End Overrun Protection OANS: On-board Airport Navigation System

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Reduced fuel burn

Improved comfort

Reduced DMC

Improved capability

Improved navigation


Airbus single-aisle strategy

Today 2012 2015

A320 + Sharklets

Efficiency A320 + new engine option (neo)

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26 June 2012

Prepare an all new aircraft for when to enter into service ?


Future trends – New technologies & innovation

Beyond 2025 2010 to 2020

Innovative structure Composites

Metallic technologies

New engines

Biofuels Alternative Energy

Fuel cell technology

Sharklet

Aerodynamics efficiency

Laminar Flow & “Smart” wings

SESAR/Next Gen (ATM) Green trajectories

Air travel Operational environment

Innovative cockpit

Advanced turbofan (Leap X and GTF) CROR

Nano technology

Beyond 2050

Bionic Structures

Energy Harvesting

Solar

Passenger Experience/ ac operations

Holographic technology

High speed connectivity

Incorporated engine

Wideband - Real time telemetrics - Seamless personal connectivity

New engine technologies

Plane to ground interface

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26 June 2012

Which are the challenges for such a new product ?


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How much is the value of weight reduction ?


26 June 2012

How can structure technology improve the product value ?


Innovative Cockpit

Fuel Cells

Ultra-High Bypass Turbofan

Open Rotor

Future Product Vision - Technologies bringing step changes

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Advanced Materials

Smart wing


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What overall configuration is needed for a New Short Range aircraft ?


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Conclusions

• The Air Transport Industry will continue to see a strong growth in the decades to come

• Airbus is actively pursuing the technologies and operating concepts that will allow Air Transport to grow sustainably

• Continuous improvements, like on the A320 Family, offer an immediate reward from technologies available today

• Achieving our long-term ambitions require significant investments in R&T to develop and mature disruptive concepts that will bring quantum leap improvements


Thank you

26 June 2012


26 June 2012

© AIRBUS S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document. This document and all information contained herein is the sole property of AIRBUS S.A.S. No intellectual property rights are granted by the delivery of this document or the disclosure of its content. This document shall not be reproduced or disclosed to a third party without the express written consent of AIRBUS S.A.S. This document and its content shall not be used for any purpose other than that for which it is supplied. The statements made herein do not constitute an offer. They are based on the mentioned assumptions and are expressed in good faith. Where the supporting grounds for these statements are not shown, AIRBUS S.A.S. will be pleased to explain the basis thereof. AIRBUS, its logo, A300, A310, A318, A319, A320, A321, A330, A340, A350, A380, A400M are registered trademarks.

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