avtovaz group 2016 ifrs financial results press-conference€¦ · russian passenger car market...
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10.02.2017
AVTOVAZ GROUP
2016 IFRS FINANCIAL RESULTS PRESS-CONFERENCE
Nicolas MAURE / Dr. Stefan MAUERER
CEO / CFO
Disclaimer
10.02.2017AVTOVAZ Group 2016 IFRS financial results press-conference 2
EMBARGO: The content of this presentation must not be disclosed until
09.15 Moscow time of February, 10th
Information contained within this document may contain forward looking statements.
Although the Company considers that such information and statements are based on
reasonable assumptions taken on the date of this report, due to their nature, they can
be risky and uncertain and can lead to a difference between the exact figures and
those given or deduced from said information and statements.
PJSC AVTOVAZ does not undertake to provide updates or revisions, should any new
statements and information be available, should any new specific events occur or for
any other reason. PJSC AVTOVAZ makes no representation, declaration or warranty
as regards the accuracy, sufficiency, adequacy, effectiveness and genuineness of any
statements and information contained in this report.
Further information on PJSC AVTOVAZ can be found on AVTOVAZ’s web sites
(www.lada.ru/en and http://info.avtovaz.ru).
Content
1. 2016 IFRS FINANCIAL RESULTS
Dr. Stefan MAUERER
EVP, Chief Financial Officer
2. 2016 REVIEW AND 2017 OUTLOOK
Nicolas MAURE
President & Chief Executive Officer
3. Q & A
1. 2016 IFRS FINANCIAL RESULTS Dr. Stefan MAUERER
EVP, Chief Financial Officer
Moscow International Automobile Salon 2016
276,138
31,343
66,275 62,926
34,218
275,688
17,275
61,071
33,282 32,104
Lada RF Lada Export Renault Nissan, Datsun GM
10.02.2017AVTOVAZ Group 2016 IFRS financial results press-conference 5
AVTOVAZ Group wholesales volume
Units (incl. SKD + CKD)
LADA RF LADA Export Renault Nissan+Datsun Other partners
-0.2% -44.9% -7.9% -47.1% -6.2%
2015 2016 2015 2016 2015 2016 2015 2016 2015 2016
Main impact -
Kazakhstan
Russian PC Car
Market -12%
10.02.2017AVTOVAZ Group 2016 IFRS financial results press-conference 6
AVTOVAZ Group revenues
2016 2015CHANGE
2016 vs 2015
Unit wholesalesincl. SKD & CKD (units)
419,420 470,900 -10.9%
Group revenues(B RUR)
184.9 176.5 +4.8%
of which: LADA Brand incl. aftersales 136.9 117.4 +16.7%
Renault-Nissan Alliance 40.5 51.0 -20.6%
Other 7.5 8.1 -7.4%
10.02.2017AVTOVAZ Group 2016 IFRS financial results press-conference 7
AVTOVAZ Group revenues variance analysis
Change 2016 vs 2015: + 8.4 B RUR (+4.8%)
176.5 184.9
-2.5 -3.8-10.5
+16.5
+6.6 +2.3
2015 VolumeLADA RF
NV
VolumeLADAExport
ModelMix LADA
PriceLADA
RF
Sales to Alliance
Aftersales 2016
B RUR
10.02.2017AVTOVAZ Group 2016 IFRS financial results press-conference 8
AVTOVAZ Group operating results
2016B RUR
2015B RUR
CHANGE,
in B RUR
Operating result before impairment and restructuring costs
-15.6 -24.7 +9.1
in % from Revenue -8.4% -14.0%
Impairment -24.1 -40.5 +16.4
Restructuring costs -0.9 -1.6 +0.7
Operating result -40.6 -66.8 +26.2
H1 H2
-8.6 -7.0
+596-379
9
AVTOVAZ Group operating result variance analysis1
Change 2016 vs 2015: + 9.1 B RUR (operating loss reduction by 36.8%)
1 Operating result before impairment and restructuring costs
AVTOVAZ Group 2016 IFRS financial results press-conference
-24.7-15.6
-3.2 -1.1
-10.5
+3.2 +18.8
+1.9
FY 2015 COGS w/o Currency
Currency G&A RevenueLada & other
RevenueAlliance
Others FY 2016
10.02.2017
2015 2016
B RUR
BOM increase -11.7 B RUR
Manufacturing cost
Improvement +8.6 B RUR
LADA &
10.02.2017AVTOVAZ Group 2016 IFRS financial results press-conference 10
AVTOVAZ cost optimization key levers implemented from 2016
• New working scheme with suppliers
• Production optimization
(including Components)
• Productivity improvement
• SG&A reduction and optimization
Monozukuri
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AVTOVAZ Group net result
2016B RUR
2015B RUR
CHANGE,
in B RUR
Operating result before impairment and restructuring costs
-15.6 -24.7 +9.1
Impairment -24.1 -40.5 +16.4
Restructuring costs -0.9 -1.6 +0.7
Operating result -40.6 -66.8 +26.2
Net interest income / expenses -10.0 -5.1 -4.8
Other finance income / expenses 1.9 0.2 +1.7
Share of profit / loss of associates and joint
ventures 0.6 -1.3 +1.9
Income tax benefits / expenses 3.3 -0.8 +4.1
Net result for the year -44.8 -73.9 +29.1
Operating cash flows before
working capital changes
-4.3
Free cash flow
-24.8
Net increase/ decrease in cash
and cash equivalents
12.6
-10.4
-13.6
Change in
working capital
+3.4
Income tax paid, Interest received,
Interest paid
Net cash used in investing
activities
Net cash generated
from financing activities
w/o shares paid
+11.3
Shares paid
+26.1
AVTOVAZ Group 2016 cash flow analysis
12AVTOVAZ Group 2016 IFRS financial results press-conference 10.02.2017
B RUR
2. 2016 REVIEW AND 2017 OUTLOOKNicolas MAURE
President & Chief Executive Officer
Main Company Targets for 2016 (Q2-Q3-Q4)
10.02.2017AVTOVAZ Group 2016 IFRS financial results press-conference 15
1. Complete Management Team
2. Secure Safety and Quality/Customer satisfaction
3. Achieve >20% Passenger Cars Market Share in Russia
4. Ramp-up export sales to selected regions of the World
5. Accelerate localization of suppliers and sub-suppliers
6. Drive all necessary actions for the Company’s financial recovery (11 cross-
functional work groups active since May 2016)
7. Reinforce Audit and Internal Control
8. Continue implementation of the best Renault-Nissan Alliance Standards
- ongoing - done
LADA 2016 Commercial results (reminder)
10.02.2017AVTOVAZ Group 2016 IFRS financial results press-conference 16
266.3
149.6
145.3
116.8
94.3
76.1
70.5
55.4
36.9
36.9
LADA
Kia
Hyundai
Renault
Toyota
VW
Nissan
Skoda
Mercedes-Benz
Ford
20.1%
11.3%
10.9%
8.8%
7.1%
5.7%
5.3%
4.2%
2.8%
2.8%
90.4
87.7
87.7
55.2
47.7
44.0
36.3
30.6
29.8
29.6
Hyundai Solaris
LADA Granta
Kia Rio
LADA Vesta
VW Polo
Renault Duster
LADA Largus
Toyota RAV 4
Chevrolet Niva
Renault Logan
+2.2ppLADA
Renault
Toyota
Skoda
Ford
Lexus
Kia
VW
Lifan
Hyundai
BMW
UAZ
Mercedes-Benz
Land Rover
Audi
Mazda
Datsun
Nissan
Chevrolet
Mitsubishi
Hyundai Solaris
LADA Granta
Kia Rio
LADA Vesta
VW Polo
Renault Duster
LADA Largus
Toyota RAV 4
Chevrolet Niva
Renault Logan
LADA
Top-10 brands, К units / MS % Top-10 models, К units 2016 MS vs. 2015, % points
AVTOVAZ 2016 production
10.02.2017AVTOVAZ Group 2016 IFRS financial results press-conference 17
* Harbour standard (3 760 h per annum)
** From 1/2017
*** Including KDs
Togliatti Izhevsk
Capacity* 650 K vehicles per year Capacity* 113 K vehicles per year
3 Vehicle Lines** +
Powertrain & Components Lines
1 Vehicle Line +
Components Lines
312 K cars*** in 2016 96 K cars*** in 2016
Russian Passenger Car Market Outlook (2017-2020)
10.02.2017AVTOVAZ Group 2016 IFRS financial results press-conference 18
India
Turkey
UkraineMexico
Russia South Korea
US (PC)Poland
Czech Republic
FranceUK Germany
US (PC+LCV)
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
Passenger cars per 1 000 people (2015)
Russian PC Market Outlook and LADA Market Share
<5 years26%
5-10 years28% >10 years
46%
Age of Russian car fleet (> 40 Mio cars in 2015)
640 355 524 581 541 456 387 269 266 >400
2 760
1 376
1 789
2 497
2 7742 626
2 358
1 5071 327
23,2%25,8%
29,3%23,3%
19,5% 17,4% 16,4% 17,9% 20,1%
0
0,1
0,2
0,3
0,4
0,5
0,6
0,7
0,8
0,9
0
500
1 000
1 500
2 000
2 500
3 000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
optimistic scenario
>20% >20% >20% >20%
LADA sales in RF (k-units) LADA Market share (%)
10.02.2017AVTOVAZ Group 2016 IFRS financial results press-conference 19
• Promotion of LADA Brand Image
• LADA Product events
• Launch of VESTA SW/SW Cross
• “Exclusive” versions for Vesta and XRAY
• Limited Editions (4x4 “40 Anniversary”, …)
• LADA Connect
• Export push
• Growth of Aftersales, Services and
Components sales
• Preparation of future LADA line-up
Key levers & targets for 2017 revenue improvement
10.02.2017AVTOVAZ Group 2016 IFRS financial results press-conference 20
• Optimization of purchases
• Deep localization
• Monozukuri in partnership with suppliers
• Manufacturing efficiency
• Alliance Production Way (APW)
• Industrial Park in Togliatti
• Efficient processes/Digital transformation
• Leverage of Synergies with
Renault - Nissan Alliance
Optimization of financial results
Key levers & targets for 2017 efficiency improvement
10.02.2017AVTOVAZ Group 2016 IFRS financial results press-conference 21
• Full leverage of Russian market recovery with minimum 20%
passenger cars market share through:• full renewal of LADA vehicle line-up
• transformation of LADA brand image
• Export push in CIS and other selected regions of the World
• Strong cost optimization through:• deep localization and Monozukuri with suppliers
• manufacturing performance at Alliance level
• Industrial Park in Togliatti
• Full utilization of Togliatti and Izhevsk plants’ capacities for
LADA, Renault and Nissan/Datsun vehicles
• Integration of Alliance standards and systems
• Strong support from Renault-Nissan Alliance and Rostec
COP positive from 2018
FCF breakeven in 2019
Mid-term vision of AVTOVAZ Group
3. Q & A