available products for seasonal forecasting j.p. céron – direction de la climatologie
TRANSCRIPT
![Page 1: Available products for Seasonal forecasting J.P. Céron – Direction de la Climatologie](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032611/56649e995503460f94b9c16d/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
Available products forSeasonal forecasting
J.P. Céron – Direction de la Climatologie
![Page 2: Available products for Seasonal forecasting J.P. Céron – Direction de la Climatologie](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032611/56649e995503460f94b9c16d/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
RA VI Web sites (1) European Centre for Medium-Range
Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) http://www.ecmwf.int/ http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts/ http://www.ecmwf.int/research/demeter/data
Met Office (United Kingdom) http://www.metoffice.com/research/seasonal/ . http://www.metoffice.com/research/seasonal/nms/
(Password-protected section for NMSs and similar organisations)
http://www.meto.govt.uk/weather/seasonal/index.html
![Page 3: Available products for Seasonal forecasting J.P. Céron – Direction de la Climatologie](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032611/56649e995503460f94b9c16d/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
RA VI Web sites (1) World Meteorological Centre Moscow
(WMC) http://hmc.hydromet.ru
(Password for access is to be provided on request)
Météo France http://www-int.meteo.fr/scem/cbd/dev/
(Seasonal forecasts) http://www.meteo.fr/special/CLIM/clim_model.html
(Model anomalies) ftp site (Password-protected section for NMSs, similar
organisations and specific users)
![Page 4: Available products for Seasonal forecasting J.P. Céron – Direction de la Climatologie](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032611/56649e995503460f94b9c16d/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
RA VI Web sites (1) World Meteorological Organisation (WMO)
http://http://www.wmo.ch/web/www/DPS/EPS-HOME/eps-home.htm#Long-range
(EPS/LRF producing centres) http://www.wmo.ch/web/www/DPS/GDPS-
Supplement5-AppI-4.html
(Definitions of forecast ranges) http://www.wmo.ch/web/www/DPS/LRF-verification-
systems.html
(Verification system for Long-range forecast)
![Page 5: Available products for Seasonal forecasting J.P. Céron – Direction de la Climatologie](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032611/56649e995503460f94b9c16d/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
ECMWF Products
Ocean Analysis Temperature anomaly along the equator
(ocean cross-section), Sea level anomaly, Zonal wind stress anomaly
7-day mean, updated weekly Tropical belt
Seasonal forecasts: Nino’s indices Nino 3, 3.4, 4 SST anomaly plumes
![Page 6: Available products for Seasonal forecasting J.P. Céron – Direction de la Climatologie](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032611/56649e995503460f94b9c16d/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
ECMWF Products
Seasonal forecasts: Forecast maps Precipitation , Temperature at 2m , Mean sea
level pressure , Sea surface temperature Ensemble mean value, Probability of below
/above various thresholds Global and sub-areas Lead time from 1 to 3 months 3-month averages, updated monthly
![Page 7: Available products for Seasonal forecasting J.P. Céron – Direction de la Climatologie](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032611/56649e995503460f94b9c16d/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
Met Office Products Seasonal forecasts
Temperature at 2m, Precipitations Ensemble mean value, Probability of below
/above various thresholds Global Lead time from 1 to 3 months 3-month averages, updated monthly Forecasts for some specific regions and
seasons (e.g. Sahel rainfall); winter NAO index
SST for months 2-4, 3-5, 4-6; Nino3, Nino3.4, Nino4 SST anomaly ensemble plumes to 6 months ahead (planned for 2003).
![Page 8: Available products for Seasonal forecasting J.P. Céron – Direction de la Climatologie](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032611/56649e995503460f94b9c16d/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
Météo-France Products Seasonal forecasts
Temperature at 850hPa, Precipitations, Geopotential Height at 500 hPa,
Ensemble mean value and significance test, Probability of below /above various thresholds
Global Lead time 1 month 3-month averages, updated monthly
Model anomalies Precipitations,Temperature and geopotential at 850
hPa and 500 hPa, Sea Level Pressure, Temperature at 2 m, Wind speed at 10 m, Humidity at 700 hPa,
Monthly, 3 and 12 overlapping monthly averages Monthly uptdated
![Page 9: Available products for Seasonal forecasting J.P. Céron – Direction de la Climatologie](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032611/56649e995503460f94b9c16d/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
Moscou Products Seasonal forecasts
Precipitation, Z500, MSLP, T850, T2m Ensemble mean value and characteristics of
uncertainty , Global Lead time 1 month 1 and 3-month ensemble mean, updated
monthly
![Page 10: Available products for Seasonal forecasting J.P. Céron – Direction de la Climatologie](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032611/56649e995503460f94b9c16d/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
Other usefull Web sites http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/ http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/forecasts/ ftp://ftp.ncep.noaa.gov/pub/cmb/Forecasts/enso http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/data/indices/
index.html
http://iri.ldeo.columbia.edu/ http://iri.columbia.edu/climate/forecast/net_asmt/ http://iridl.ldeo.columbia.edu/maproom/.Global/
![Page 11: Available products for Seasonal forecasting J.P. Céron – Direction de la Climatologie](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032611/56649e995503460f94b9c16d/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
The ECMWF Web site
http://www.ecmwf.int/ General public documentation public forecasts: “essential” WMO Members forecasts : “additional” Similar for Seasonal forecasts
![Page 12: Available products for Seasonal forecasting J.P. Céron – Direction de la Climatologie](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032611/56649e995503460f94b9c16d/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
The ECMWF Web site
![Page 13: Available products for Seasonal forecasting J.P. Céron – Direction de la Climatologie](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032611/56649e995503460f94b9c16d/html5/thumbnails/13.jpg)
The ECMWF Web site
![Page 14: Available products for Seasonal forecasting J.P. Céron – Direction de la Climatologie](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032611/56649e995503460f94b9c16d/html5/thumbnails/14.jpg)
The ECMWF Web site
![Page 15: Available products for Seasonal forecasting J.P. Céron – Direction de la Climatologie](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032611/56649e995503460f94b9c16d/html5/thumbnails/15.jpg)
The ECMWF Web site
![Page 16: Available products for Seasonal forecasting J.P. Céron – Direction de la Climatologie](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032611/56649e995503460f94b9c16d/html5/thumbnails/16.jpg)
The ECMWF Web site
![Page 17: Available products for Seasonal forecasting J.P. Céron – Direction de la Climatologie](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032611/56649e995503460f94b9c16d/html5/thumbnails/17.jpg)
The ECMWF Web site
![Page 18: Available products for Seasonal forecasting J.P. Céron – Direction de la Climatologie](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032611/56649e995503460f94b9c16d/html5/thumbnails/18.jpg)
The ECMWF Web site
![Page 19: Available products for Seasonal forecasting J.P. Céron – Direction de la Climatologie](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032611/56649e995503460f94b9c16d/html5/thumbnails/19.jpg)
The ECMWF Web site
![Page 20: Available products for Seasonal forecasting J.P. Céron – Direction de la Climatologie](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032611/56649e995503460f94b9c16d/html5/thumbnails/20.jpg)
The ECMWF Web site
![Page 21: Available products for Seasonal forecasting J.P. Céron – Direction de la Climatologie](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032611/56649e995503460f94b9c16d/html5/thumbnails/21.jpg)
The ECMWF Web site
![Page 22: Available products for Seasonal forecasting J.P. Céron – Direction de la Climatologie](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032611/56649e995503460f94b9c16d/html5/thumbnails/22.jpg)
The ECMWF Web site
![Page 23: Available products for Seasonal forecasting J.P. Céron – Direction de la Climatologie](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032611/56649e995503460f94b9c16d/html5/thumbnails/23.jpg)
The ECMWF Web site
![Page 24: Available products for Seasonal forecasting J.P. Céron – Direction de la Climatologie](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032611/56649e995503460f94b9c16d/html5/thumbnails/24.jpg)
The ECMWF Web site
![Page 25: Available products for Seasonal forecasting J.P. Céron – Direction de la Climatologie](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032611/56649e995503460f94b9c16d/html5/thumbnails/25.jpg)
The ECMWF Web site
![Page 26: Available products for Seasonal forecasting J.P. Céron – Direction de la Climatologie](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032611/56649e995503460f94b9c16d/html5/thumbnails/26.jpg)
The ECMWF Web site
![Page 27: Available products for Seasonal forecasting J.P. Céron – Direction de la Climatologie](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032611/56649e995503460f94b9c16d/html5/thumbnails/27.jpg)
The ECMWF Web site
![Page 28: Available products for Seasonal forecasting J.P. Céron – Direction de la Climatologie](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032611/56649e995503460f94b9c16d/html5/thumbnails/28.jpg)
The ECMWF Web site
![Page 29: Available products for Seasonal forecasting J.P. Céron – Direction de la Climatologie](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032611/56649e995503460f94b9c16d/html5/thumbnails/29.jpg)
The ECMWF Web site
![Page 30: Available products for Seasonal forecasting J.P. Céron – Direction de la Climatologie](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032611/56649e995503460f94b9c16d/html5/thumbnails/30.jpg)
The ECMWF Web site
![Page 31: Available products for Seasonal forecasting J.P. Céron – Direction de la Climatologie](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032611/56649e995503460f94b9c16d/html5/thumbnails/31.jpg)
The ECMWF Web site
![Page 32: Available products for Seasonal forecasting J.P. Céron – Direction de la Climatologie](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032611/56649e995503460f94b9c16d/html5/thumbnails/32.jpg)
The ECMWF Web site
![Page 33: Available products for Seasonal forecasting J.P. Céron – Direction de la Climatologie](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032611/56649e995503460f94b9c16d/html5/thumbnails/33.jpg)
The ECMWF Web site
![Page 34: Available products for Seasonal forecasting J.P. Céron – Direction de la Climatologie](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032611/56649e995503460f94b9c16d/html5/thumbnails/34.jpg)
The ECMWF Web site
![Page 35: Available products for Seasonal forecasting J.P. Céron – Direction de la Climatologie](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032611/56649e995503460f94b9c16d/html5/thumbnails/35.jpg)
The ECMWF Web site
![Page 36: Available products for Seasonal forecasting J.P. Céron – Direction de la Climatologie](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032611/56649e995503460f94b9c16d/html5/thumbnails/36.jpg)
The ECMWF Web site
![Page 37: Available products for Seasonal forecasting J.P. Céron – Direction de la Climatologie](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032611/56649e995503460f94b9c16d/html5/thumbnails/37.jpg)
The ECMWF Web site
![Page 38: Available products for Seasonal forecasting J.P. Céron – Direction de la Climatologie](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032611/56649e995503460f94b9c16d/html5/thumbnails/38.jpg)
The ECMWF Web site
![Page 39: Available products for Seasonal forecasting J.P. Céron – Direction de la Climatologie](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032611/56649e995503460f94b9c16d/html5/thumbnails/39.jpg)
The UKMO Web site http://www.metoffice.com/
Public and password protected area
![Page 40: Available products for Seasonal forecasting J.P. Céron – Direction de la Climatologie](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032611/56649e995503460f94b9c16d/html5/thumbnails/40.jpg)
The UKMO Web site
![Page 41: Available products for Seasonal forecasting J.P. Céron – Direction de la Climatologie](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032611/56649e995503460f94b9c16d/html5/thumbnails/41.jpg)
The UKMO Web site
![Page 42: Available products for Seasonal forecasting J.P. Céron – Direction de la Climatologie](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032611/56649e995503460f94b9c16d/html5/thumbnails/42.jpg)
The UKMO Web site
![Page 43: Available products for Seasonal forecasting J.P. Céron – Direction de la Climatologie](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032611/56649e995503460f94b9c16d/html5/thumbnails/43.jpg)
The UKMO Web site
![Page 44: Available products for Seasonal forecasting J.P. Céron – Direction de la Climatologie](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032611/56649e995503460f94b9c16d/html5/thumbnails/44.jpg)
The UKMO Web site
![Page 45: Available products for Seasonal forecasting J.P. Céron – Direction de la Climatologie](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032611/56649e995503460f94b9c16d/html5/thumbnails/45.jpg)
The UKMO Web site
![Page 46: Available products for Seasonal forecasting J.P. Céron – Direction de la Climatologie](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032611/56649e995503460f94b9c16d/html5/thumbnails/46.jpg)
The UKMO Web site
![Page 47: Available products for Seasonal forecasting J.P. Céron – Direction de la Climatologie](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032611/56649e995503460f94b9c16d/html5/thumbnails/47.jpg)
The UKMO Web site
![Page 48: Available products for Seasonal forecasting J.P. Céron – Direction de la Climatologie](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032611/56649e995503460f94b9c16d/html5/thumbnails/48.jpg)
The Météo-France Web site http://www-int.meteo.fr/scem/cbd/dev/
Internal access at this stage
![Page 49: Available products for Seasonal forecasting J.P. Céron – Direction de la Climatologie](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032611/56649e995503460f94b9c16d/html5/thumbnails/49.jpg)
The Météo-France Web site
![Page 50: Available products for Seasonal forecasting J.P. Céron – Direction de la Climatologie](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032611/56649e995503460f94b9c16d/html5/thumbnails/50.jpg)
The Météo-France Web site
![Page 51: Available products for Seasonal forecasting J.P. Céron – Direction de la Climatologie](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032611/56649e995503460f94b9c16d/html5/thumbnails/51.jpg)
The Météo-France Web site
![Page 52: Available products for Seasonal forecasting J.P. Céron – Direction de la Climatologie](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032611/56649e995503460f94b9c16d/html5/thumbnails/52.jpg)
The Météo-France Web site
![Page 53: Available products for Seasonal forecasting J.P. Céron – Direction de la Climatologie](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032611/56649e995503460f94b9c16d/html5/thumbnails/53.jpg)
Model Climate Anomalies and Indices monthly computed for month, overlapping season and year (subjective comparison)
Web site access : http://www.meteo.fr/special/CLIM/clim_model.html
Follow-up – Climate and Model
![Page 54: Available products for Seasonal forecasting J.P. Céron – Direction de la Climatologie](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032611/56649e995503460f94b9c16d/html5/thumbnails/54.jpg)
Model Climate Anomalies and Indices
![Page 55: Available products for Seasonal forecasting J.P. Céron – Direction de la Climatologie](https://reader030.vdocuments.site/reader030/viewer/2022032611/56649e995503460f94b9c16d/html5/thumbnails/55.jpg)
Model Climate Anomalies and Indices