autonomy & the sharing econony · trends dealers need to know isabelle helms, vp of research...
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AUTONOMY & THE SHARING ECONONY A FUNDAMENTAL SHIFT IN THE AUTO INDUSTRY
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Source: KBB Future Autonomous Vehicle Driver Study
Know nothing Know a little Know some
12% Know a lot
about AV
28% 35% 25%
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Source: KBB Future Autonomous Vehicle Driver Study
2017 2016 2015
70% 32% 41% 49% Likely to consider
a vehicle with AV features
AV Features Make People Better Drivers
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comfortable letting a vehicle drive them without their control
(vs. 36% of total)
Younger generations have a higher propensity to adopt AV
OF YOUNG GEN Z
48%
Source: KBB Future Autonomous Vehicle Driver Study
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WILL DRIVERLESS CARS END TRADITIONAL CAR OWNERSHIP?
CAR SHARING RIDE SHARING
AUTONOMOUS
FLYING CARS V2V SELF DRIVING
IOT
RIDE HAILING
OWNERSHIP
V2I
FRACTIONAL USAGE
DRIVERLESS CAR
VTOL
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Traditional Ownership
Public Transportation
Taxi / Rideshare
Fully Autonomous Taxi/Uber/Google
Ride Sharing
Public Transportation
Shared Ownership
Traditional Ownership
Subscription Services
OWNERS
FLEETS
MOBILITY SERVICES MODEL
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0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2034
Pa
ss
en
ger
Mil
es
Tra
ve
led
(T
rill
ion
s)
Fleet-Owned Vehicle Miles
Consumer-Owned Vehicle Miles
U.S. PASSENGER MILES TRAVELED
Consumer preferences evolving
Greater ease of use of ride-sharing
Consumer wallets squeezed
Ride Sharing
Car Sharing
Driverless AV
• Source: Cox Automotive 7
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TRENDS DEALERS NEED
TO KNOW
Isabelle Helms, VP of Research & Market Intelligence
Jonathan Smoke, Chief Economist