auto i-g 2016-v3 - amm directions 2016.pdf · source: national highway traffic safety...
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Source: National Highway Traffic Safety Administration
Source: Investing.com
Source: AutoData
Source: WardsAuto, DuPont Automotive Benchmark Study
Source: 3M and Automotive Engineering
International survey
Driving DirectionsTo meet lightweighting goals, automakers have requested new metals that bring expanded capabilities to automotive design and manufacturing.
The Corporate Average Fuel Economy (CAFE) regulations in the United States require improved fuel efficiency in future automobiles and light trucks every year through 2025. The miles per gallon (MPG) standard is progressively increasing at a rate of 5 percent per year averaged across all automobile models and 3.5 percent per year for light trucks culminating in a vehicle average of 54.5 MPG by 2025
Meanwhile, the price of oil remains at lows not seen in several years. That tends to encourage the purchases of larger vehicles, such as SUVs, CUVs and pickup trucks
Auto sales overall have been up in recent years, although there are some signs that the rampant growth may be slowing down somewhat
In any case, automakers need to hit those higher MPG standards. One of the primary ways is to reduce overall vehicle weight, which lowers the energy required to operate the vehicle thereby increasing fuel economy.
Members of the Society of Automotive Engineers
said in a survey the number one technology trend identified was the
need for lightweight structural materials, with
95% of respondents citing its importance.
Source: NanoSteel
An auto industry rule of thumb is that for every 10%
reduction in vehicle weight, there is an expected
7% increase in fuel economy.
Source: NanoSteel
Source: American Iron and Steel Institute Source: The Aluminum Transportation Group
Source: US Department of Energy Vehicle Technologies Program
A 30% reduction in vehicle body-in-white (BIW) mass would represent an overall vehicle weight reduction of nearly 7%. With the add-on
effects of compounded secondary weight savings, this would result in a total
reduction of 13.5%.
The move toward lightweighting is continuing to evolve, and is expected to increase over the next two decades.
If currently available AHSS were applied throughout the present U.S. automotive fleet, greenhouse gas emissions from automobiles would be reduced by approximately 12%.
The use of AHSS reduces a vehicle’s structural weightby as much as 25%.
More than 20 new AHSS grades of materials are expected to be commercially available by 2020.
By 2025, 26.6% of all the body and closure parts for light vehicles in North America will be made of aluminum.
Total North American aluminum content in 2025 will be10 billion pounds.
Compared with a fleet of traditional steel vehicles, aluminum use saves the equivalent of 108 millionbarrels of crude oil in energy.
Pickup trucks contain the most aluminum at about 550 pounds per vehicle, followed by E-segment sedans at 545, SUVs at 410and minivans at 395 lbs.
Steel facts Aluminum facts
20152010 2035
20152014 2016
July
June
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov Dec Jan
Feb
Mar
chA
pril
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov Dec Feb
Jan
Mar
chA
pril
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Sept
. is
thro
ugh
9/21
/16
$112
.4 $
106
$103
.2$9
4.7
$85.
9
$53
$62.
6$5
5.1
$66
.8$6
5.6
$63.
6$5
2.2
$54
.2$4
8.4
$49.
6$4
4.6
$37.
3$3
4.7
$36
$39.
6$4
8.1
$49.
7$4
9.7
$42.
5 $47
$47.
3$57.
6 $70
.2
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
11.6
12.7
16.2
15.5
16.5
17.5
17
Smaller Cars
Larger Cars
Larger Light Trucks
Smaller Light Trucks
2015
3033
39
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
1918
3134
41
19
33
44
19
3437
45
19
3538
47
19
3639
49
19
38
42
51
20
40
44
53
21
42
46
56
22
44
48
58
23
46
50
60
36
TARGETMPG
10% 7%
BIW 30%
13.5%
2015-2025 CAFE standards for each model year in miles per gallon
Monthly Brent Crude Oil Pricesper barrel in US Dollars - June 2014-August 2016
U.S. Vehicle SalesAutos (in millions)
Which vehicle area/system is your primary target for lightweighting?
Percentage of light vehicle compostion by material, 2010 vs. 2015 and beyond
Life cycle assessment data shows that steel, which makes up nearly 60% of the average North American vehicle, generates fewer manufacturing emissions than other automotive body materials.
12%
10bn
Conventional Steel Nonmetallics Aluminum AHSS Other
61.5% 22% 4% 54.5% 23% 8% 20% 14% 22%
4%8.5% 4%10.5% 19%25%
Interior
Tire, Rim, Wheels
Closure panels
3%
1%
Electrical
Body Panels
24% 24%
12%
11%
Powertrain Other/unknown
Chassis
Body in White
9%
9%
7%
$
© 2016 American Metal Market
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