ats14- creating and using good counting information- krista nordback 2

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Bike to Work Day: Increasing Cycling and Reducing Driving Krista Nordback, P.E., Ph.D. Oregon Transportation Research and Education Consortium (OTREC) 503-725-2897 [email protected] Oregon Active Transportation Summit Monday, April 21, 2014 SOURCE: Community Cycles

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As old as it is true, the statement “It doesn’t count unless it’s counted” can still vex planners and advocates wanting to make the case that active transportation programs and investments in their communities are effective. Krista Nordback will explain how jurisdictions can create robust bicycle and pedestrian count programs based on new guidance from the Federal Highway Administration’s Traffic Monitoring Guide. Roger Geller will then briefly describe his city’s longtime bicycle counting program that has relied on the organized efforts of many volunteers – and, more importantly, how Portland has been able to use that data to illustrate the effectiveness of bicycling, demonstrate its increasing safety, and provide usable data to traffic engineers when designing intersections.

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: ATS14- Creating and using good counting information- Krista Nordback 2

Bike to Work Day: Increasing Cycling and Reducing Driving

Krista Nordback, P.E., Ph.D.Oregon Transportation Research and Education Consortium (OTREC)

[email protected]

Oregon Active Transportation SummitMonday, April 21, 2014

SOURCE: Community Cycles

Page 2: ATS14- Creating and using good counting information- Krista Nordback 2

Overview

• Introduction• Data & Methods• Results• Conclusions

Page 3: ATS14- Creating and using good counting information- Krista Nordback 2

SOURCE: DRCOG

Page 4: ATS14- Creating and using good counting information- Krista Nordback 2

SOURCE: Community Cycles

Page 5: ATS14- Creating and using good counting information- Krista Nordback 2

More Cyclists!

SOURCE: Community Cycles

SOURCE: Community Cycles

Page 6: ATS14- Creating and using good counting information- Krista Nordback 2

Fewer Cars?

Page 7: ATS14- Creating and using good counting information- Krista Nordback 2

Data

Page 8: ATS14- Creating and using good counting information- Krista Nordback 2

BICYCLE DATA

Page 9: ATS14- Creating and using good counting information- Krista Nordback 2

Automated ContinuousBicycle Counters

25 stations

• 3 on-street since 2010

• 22 on paths since 1999

BOULDER COLORADO

Page 10: ATS14- Creating and using good counting information- Krista Nordback 2
Page 11: ATS14- Creating and using good counting information- Krista Nordback 2

Inductive loop counters on-street

Page 12: ATS14- Creating and using good counting information- Krista Nordback 2

Inductive loop counters on-street

Page 13: ATS14- Creating and using good counting information- Krista Nordback 2

2-Jun 12-Jun 22-Jun 2-Jul 12-Jul 22-Jul 1-Aug 11-Aug0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

June and July 2008D

aily

Bic

ycle

Cou

nt

Bike to Work Day June 25, 2008

Page 14: ATS14- Creating and using good counting information- Krista Nordback 2

Arap38th

Arapah

oe1

Centennial

Footh

ills

Footh

ills1

FthlsN

ECor

FthlsS

ECor

PrlPkw

ySECor

PrlPkw

ySW

Cor0

200400600800

1,0001,2001,4001,600

2005

Bike to Work DayWednesday

Bicycle Count Station

Ave

rage

Dai

ly B

icyc

lists

Page 15: ATS14- Creating and using good counting information- Krista Nordback 2

Bike To Work Day Doubles Counts

2005 2007 2008 2009 2010 20110

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

Bike to Work DayAverage Wednesday in June and July

Year

Dai

ly B

icyc

le C

ount

Page 16: ATS14- Creating and using good counting information- Krista Nordback 2

MOTOR VEHICLE DATA

Page 17: ATS14- Creating and using good counting information- Krista Nordback 2

Motor Vehicle CountersInductive Loops

Photo Red-light Camera

Camera

SOURCE: Metro Count

Page 18: ATS14- Creating and using good counting information- Krista Nordback 2

Motor Vehicle

Counters

Page 19: ATS14- Creating and using good counting information- Krista Nordback 2

Motor Vehicle Count Stations

• 5 Stations• 5 Years

Number of Stations By Year

2005 22007 22008 52009 42010 3

Total Cases 16

Page 20: ATS14- Creating and using good counting information- Krista Nordback 2

Motor Vehicle Counts(June and July)

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

Bike to Work DayAverage Wednesday

Aver

age

Dai

ly T

raffi

c

Page 21: ATS14- Creating and using good counting information- Krista Nordback 2

6/1 6/11 6/21 7/1 7/11 7/21 7/310

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000D

aily

Mot

or V

ehic

le C

ount

on

Can

yon

at 2

8th

Page 22: ATS14- Creating and using good counting information- Krista Nordback 2

6/1 6/11 6/21 7/1 7/11 7/21 7/310

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000D

aily

Mot

or V

ehic

le C

ount

on

Can

yon

at 2

8th

Bike to Work Day, Wednesday, June 25, 2008

Page 23: ATS14- Creating and using good counting information- Krista Nordback 2

Reality Check

• 500 additional bike counts on Bike to Work Day• Average about 27,000 motorists/day on typical

summer Wednesdays

500/27,000 = 2% drop in counts

Can we find a 2% change in motor traffic volumes?

Page 24: ATS14- Creating and using good counting information- Krista Nordback 2

Methods

• Test each of the 16 cases as pairs:– Bike to Work Day count– Average of all other Wednesdays in June and July

• Paired Student T-Test:

Is there evidence of lower motor traffic on Bike to Work Day than on the average summer Wednesday?

Page 25: ATS14- Creating and using good counting information- Krista Nordback 2

Results

Page 26: ATS14- Creating and using good counting information- Krista Nordback 2

< -1000

-1000 to -750

-750 to -500

-500 to -250

-250 to 0

0 to 250

250 to 500

>500

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

Difference in motor traffic between average Wednesdays in June and July and Bike to Work Day

Num

ber o

f Ins

tanc

es

Page 27: ATS14- Creating and using good counting information- Krista Nordback 2

Difference between Wednesdays and Bike to Work Day

Station 2005 2007 2008 2009 2010Southbound 28th Street at Canyon Blvd. -0.42% -2.06% -1.20%Northbound 28th Street at Canyon Blvd. -2.64% -1.71% -2.74%Southbound 28th Street at Arapahoe -0.05% -1.77% -0.16%Westbound US 36 at McCaslin in Superior -1.38% 0.80% -2.07% -1.29%Eastbound US 36 at McCaslin in Superior -0.27% 1.59% -1.58%

Significant decrease on Bike to Work Day at 80% confidence level

Page 28: ATS14- Creating and using good counting information- Krista Nordback 2

Results of Paired T-test

For the 16 test pairs (one-tailed test):– P-value: 0.016– There is evidence at the 95% confidence level that

Bike to Work Day motorized traffic is lower.

Page 29: ATS14- Creating and using good counting information- Krista Nordback 2

Evidence of Reduced Traffic on Bike to Work Day

• 5 of the 16 cases show a significant drop in motor traffic at the 80% confidence level.

• 14 of the 16 cases show a decrease in traffic.• 1% drop in traffic on average across all 16

cases.• Paired t-test: Bike to Work Day is lower than

Wednesdays with 95% confidence.

Page 30: ATS14- Creating and using good counting information- Krista Nordback 2

Conclusions

Page 31: ATS14- Creating and using good counting information- Krista Nordback 2

Conclusions• About twice as many cyclists on Bike to Work

Day in Boulder• There is evidence of lower motor traffic

volumes on Bike to Work Day in Boulder.

Page 32: ATS14- Creating and using good counting information- Krista Nordback 2

Questions?

Krista Nordback, P.E., Ph.D.Oregon Transportation Research and Education Consortium (OTREC)

[email protected]

SOURCE: Denver Regional Council of Governments (DRCOG)

Page 33: ATS14- Creating and using good counting information- Krista Nordback 2

Limitations

• Boulder specific.• Photo red-light camera counts have not been

validated.• Two of the motor vehicle locations are outside

of the city.

Page 34: ATS14- Creating and using good counting information- Krista Nordback 2
Page 35: ATS14- Creating and using good counting information- Krista Nordback 2

2010 Boulder Bicyclist Patterns

Sunday

Monday

Tuesday

Wednesd

ay

Thursday

Friday

Saturday

0%20%40%60%80%

100%120%140% Arap38th

Arapahoe2BdwyNsideBdwySsideBldrCrkEsideBldrCrkEside2BldrCrkWsideBldrCrkWside2BrdwyCentennialFoothillsFoothills2SkunkToArap

Perc

ent o

f Ave

rage

An

nual

Dai

ly B

icyc

lists