atoms for peace +50 andy white – president & ceo, ge nuclear energy

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Atoms for Peace +50 Andy White – President & CEO, GE Nuclear Energy

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Page 1: Atoms for Peace +50 Andy White – President & CEO, GE Nuclear Energy

Atoms for Peace +50Atoms for Peace +50

Andy White – President & CEO, GE Nuclear Energy

Page 2: Atoms for Peace +50 Andy White – President & CEO, GE Nuclear Energy

Sustainable Nuclear GrowthSustainable Nuclear Growth

The original Atomic Industrial Forum members envisioned an Industry prospering through:

• Advanced Engineering

• Business Acumen

• Enlightened Public Policy

Suppliers, Owners & Policy Makers … All Have Key RolesSuppliers, Owners & Policy Makers … All Have Key Roles

Page 3: Atoms for Peace +50 Andy White – President & CEO, GE Nuclear Energy

Nuclear Industry SuccessNuclear Industry Success

• Safety

• Plant Performance

• Economics and owner value

• Environmental impact

The measures of success are the same today as they were 50 years ago:

Has The Vision of Atoms for Peace Been Achieved?Has The Vision of Atoms for Peace Been Achieved?

Page 4: Atoms for Peace +50 Andy White – President & CEO, GE Nuclear Energy

Nuclear Performance Gains UnparalleledNuclear Performance Gains Unparalleled

Safety & Performance Gains Are LinkedSafety & Performance Gains Are Linked

0%

50%

100%

1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

Year

Cap

acit

y F

acto

r

0

500

1000

Gen

erat

ion

(B

illi

on

Kw

hr)71 71 74 77 76 74

80 85 87 89 90

RecordPerformance778 Billion kWhrs

GenerationCapacity FactorCDF

Page 5: Atoms for Peace +50 Andy White – President & CEO, GE Nuclear Energy

Nuclear Generation Costs Down 40% Nuclear Generation Costs Down 40%

Driven by Performance ImprovementsDriven by Performance Improvements

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

Gen

erat

ion

Co

sts

($/M

wh

r) 30.3 29.927.3

25.5 25.227.2

23.521.2 20.5 19.4 18.8

FuelCapital ImproveO&M

2002 Dollars

Page 6: Atoms for Peace +50 Andy White – President & CEO, GE Nuclear Energy

The EnvironmentThe Environment

Provides Emission Free & Sustainable Energy ResourceProvides Emission Free & Sustainable Energy Resource

Over the past 50 years, US Nuclear Plants Have:

• Generated 13.7 Trillion Kilowatt-Hours of Electricity

• Zero Carbon Depletion & Emission Free!

Avoiding:

• 3.1 Billion Metric Tons of Carbon

• 73.6 Million Tons Sulfur Dioxide

• 35.6 Million Tons of Nitrogen Oxides

Page 7: Atoms for Peace +50 Andy White – President & CEO, GE Nuclear Energy

BWR

PWR

The US Nuclear FleetThe US Nuclear Fleet

Anchors the Grid and Stabilizes Generation CostsAnchors the Grid and Stabilizes Generation Costs

Page 8: Atoms for Peace +50 Andy White – President & CEO, GE Nuclear Energy

Where Are We Today?Where Are We Today?

A Key Part of the US Energy Generation Portfolio A Key Part of the US Energy Generation Portfolio

Installed CapacityInstalled Capacity EnergyEnergy

11% 10%

31%

34%

14%

Hydro Nuclear

Coal

Gas

Other

8% 19%

51%

18%

4%

Hydro Nuclear

Coal

Gas

Other

Page 9: Atoms for Peace +50 Andy White – President & CEO, GE Nuclear Energy

Global Power GenerationGlobal Power Generation

335 GW Market Potential over Next 4 Years335 GW Market Potential over Next 4 Years35% of Orders Come from China35% of Orders Come from China

2003 – 2006 Orders Forecast2003 – 2006 Orders Forecast

Asia AIM Europe Ltn. Amer. N. Amer.

187

57 50

2815

China

125

Rest of Asia62

Rest of Asia62

Source: EPM S1 Forecast

(GW)(GW)

Page 10: Atoms for Peace +50 Andy White – President & CEO, GE Nuclear Energy

Improving PerformanceImproving Performance

Nuclear Economics Good for New UnitNuclear Economics Good for New Unit

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

ExistingNuclear Plant

New AdvancedNuclear

(ESBWR)

New Coal New CCGT Gas

$/M

Wh

r

Capital

O&M

Fuel

$37.3$34.4

$29.4

$22.5

Setting the Stage for New Nuclear PlantsSetting the Stage for New Nuclear Plants

Page 11: Atoms for Peace +50 Andy White – President & CEO, GE Nuclear Energy

Next Generation Reactors• Design Highlights

– 1,400 MWe Plant With Simplified Systems

– Passive Safety Features

• Overall Schedule

– Licensing Process Started 2002

– Regulatory Approval Expected 2006

• Key Benefits

– Faster Construction, Lower Costs

– Improved Safety and Security

– Improved O&M Costs

ESBWR Can Meet U.S. Owner’s New NeedsESBWR Can Meet U.S. Owner’s New Needs

Latest Design for U.S. MarketsLatest Design for U.S. Markets

ESBWRESBWR

Page 12: Atoms for Peace +50 Andy White – President & CEO, GE Nuclear Energy

Hydrogen Energy …Hydrogen Energy …

Advantages

• Most Abundant Element

• Catalytic Process Creates Water (Fuel Cells)

• Energy/kg = 3x Natural Gas or Gasoline

Advantages

• Most Abundant Element

• Catalytic Process Creates Water (Fuel Cells)

• Energy/kg = 3x Natural Gas or Gasoline

Nuclear Role

• HTGR - Zero Carbon Depletion & Emissions

Nuclear Role

• HTGR - Zero Carbon Depletion & Emissions

HH22 Energy … A Slow Transition Energy … A Slow Transition

The Challenge

• Infrastructure Not in Place

• Cost of Energy Drives Market - No Cost of Carbon Dioxide (Greenhouse) Today

The Challenge

• Infrastructure Not in Place

• Cost of Energy Drives Market - No Cost of Carbon Dioxide (Greenhouse) Today

Page 13: Atoms for Peace +50 Andy White – President & CEO, GE Nuclear Energy

Final ThoughtsFinal Thoughts

•Nuclear Energy Is Key To a Balanced Energy Portfolio

•Credits for Emission Free, Zero Carbon depletion Nuclear Energy

•Next Generation Reactors Address Safety & Economics

•Need New Unit Incentives For Customers

A Key Role In A Sustainable & Balanced PortfolioA Key Role In A Sustainable & Balanced Portfolio