atmospheric response to north pacific sst the role of model resolution and synoptic sst variability...

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Atmospheric response to North Pacific SST The role of model resolution and synoptic SST variability Guidi Zhou, Mojib Latif, Wonsun Park*, Richard Greatbatch GEOMAR Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel, Germany *presenting Frontal-scale Air-sea Interaction Workshop Boulder, CO, USA August 6, 2013

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Page 1: Atmospheric response to North Pacific SST The role of model resolution and synoptic SST variability Guidi Zhou, Mojib Latif, Wonsun Park*, Richard Greatbatch

Atmospheric response to North Pacific SST

The role of model resolution and synoptic SST variability

Guidi Zhou, Mojib Latif, Wonsun Park*, Richard Greatbatch

GEOMAR Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel, Germany*presenting

Frontal-scale Air-sea Interaction WorkshopBoulder, CO, USAAugust 6, 2013

Page 2: Atmospheric response to North Pacific SST The role of model resolution and synoptic SST variability Guidi Zhou, Mojib Latif, Wonsun Park*, Richard Greatbatch

Background and motivation Observed atmospheric response to re-

emergent SST AGCM response Sensitivity to background SST and

horizontal resolution

Outline

Page 3: Atmospheric response to North Pacific SST The role of model resolution and synoptic SST variability Guidi Zhou, Mojib Latif, Wonsun Park*, Richard Greatbatch

Extra-tropical SST experiences annual reemergence [Alexander et

al. 1999…]

The atmosphere responds to extra-tropical SST anomalies [Czaja

& Frankignoul 1999, 2002…]

Response is small compare to Tropical response and internal atm.

variability [Palmer & Sun 1985; Kushnir et al. 2002…]

But potentially persistent due to the large thermal inertia of the

oceanic mixed layer [Kushnir et al. 2002…]

Transient eddies are crucial [Peng & Whitaker 1999…]

Oceanic fronts are important for anchoring the storm-track

[Minobe et al. 2008; Taguchi et al. 2009…]

Background and motivation

Page 4: Atmospheric response to North Pacific SST The role of model resolution and synoptic SST variability Guidi Zhou, Mojib Latif, Wonsun Park*, Richard Greatbatch

Observed atmospheric link to reemergent SST anomalies

Regressed SST on NP SST PC1* (ENSO removed)

ERSST 80-year winter-mean data

Remove ENSO from NP SST using linear regression (PC1*)

Lagged regression of SST on PC1* (PC1* leads)

SST reemergence found in NP

Page 5: Atmospheric response to North Pacific SST The role of model resolution and synoptic SST variability Guidi Zhou, Mojib Latif, Wonsun Park*, Richard Greatbatch

Observed atmospheric link to reemergent SST anomalies

Regressed SLP on NP SST PC1* (ENSO removed)

ERSLP 80-year winter-mean data

Remove ENSO from NP SST PC using linear regression (PC1*)

Lagged regression of SLP on PC1* (PC1* leads)

Significant links between SLP and PC1* of previous winters

Deepened Aleutian Low

Page 6: Atmospheric response to North Pacific SST The role of model resolution and synoptic SST variability Guidi Zhou, Mojib Latif, Wonsun Park*, Richard Greatbatch

Observed atmospheric link to reemergent SST anomalies

Regressed SST on NP SST PC1* (ENSO removed)Regressed SLP on NP SST PC1* (ENSO removed)

Page 7: Atmospheric response to North Pacific SST The role of model resolution and synoptic SST variability Guidi Zhou, Mojib Latif, Wonsun Park*, Richard Greatbatch

AGCM response to NP SSTa

Model: ECHAM5 Resolution: T213 (~0.56°) L31 Background SST: NOAA-OI-Daily SST (time-varying

1981-1990, to preserve the fronts) SST anomaly forcing: +/- lag-0 regression pattern in

NP 4-month (NDJF) integrations Initialized Nov.1, +/- 10 winters each Mean (DJF) differences between +/- SSTa

experiments studied

Experimental setup

Page 8: Atmospheric response to North Pacific SST The role of model resolution and synoptic SST variability Guidi Zhou, Mojib Latif, Wonsun Park*, Richard Greatbatch

AGCM response to NP SSTa

SST anomaly (doubled)

PDO-like anomaly pattern

(K)

Page 9: Atmospheric response to North Pacific SST The role of model resolution and synoptic SST variability Guidi Zhou, Mojib Latif, Wonsun Park*, Richard Greatbatch

The relative position of the SST anomaly with respect to the full SST

Contour: winter-mean climatological SST (°C)Shading: PDO-like SSTa (°C)

Positive PDO-like SSTa pattern would reduce the front

Page 10: Atmospheric response to North Pacific SST The role of model resolution and synoptic SST variability Guidi Zhou, Mojib Latif, Wonsun Park*, Richard Greatbatch

AGCM response to NP SSTa

response characteristics

Deepened Aleutian Low

(hPa)

Page 11: Atmospheric response to North Pacific SST The role of model resolution and synoptic SST variability Guidi Zhou, Mojib Latif, Wonsun Park*, Richard Greatbatch

AGCM response to NP SSTa

response characteristics

(W/m2)

Upward heat fluxes reinforce the SSTa in some regions

Page 12: Atmospheric response to North Pacific SST The role of model resolution and synoptic SST variability Guidi Zhou, Mojib Latif, Wonsun Park*, Richard Greatbatch

AGCM response to NP SSTa

response characteristics

Geopotential height (m)

equiv. barotropic

U-velocity (m/s) Vertical velocity (Pa/s)

accelerated jet stream deep convection

Zonally averaged over NP

Page 13: Atmospheric response to North Pacific SST The role of model resolution and synoptic SST variability Guidi Zhou, Mojib Latif, Wonsun Park*, Richard Greatbatch

AGCM response to NP SSTa

eddy forcing

div. eddy vorticity flux (1/s2)

conv. eddy vorticity flux

divergence (1/s) div. eddy zonal momentumflux (m/s2)

upper div., surface conv.conv. eddy momentum flux

Consider 40°N (over cold SSTa)

Page 14: Atmospheric response to North Pacific SST The role of model resolution and synoptic SST variability Guidi Zhou, Mojib Latif, Wonsun Park*, Richard Greatbatch

AGCM response to NP SSTa

Characteristics Diagnostics (over cold SSTa)

T213 Response summary

Equivalent barotropic low Upward heat flux

reinforcing the SSTa in some regions

Accelerated jet stream Deep convection Deep diabatic heating Enhanced storm-track

Convergence of eddy vorticity flux is balanced by divergence in circulation, resulting in ascent at mid-levels and low-level convergence. The vortex stretching associated produces the surface low.

Convergence of eddy momentum flux reinforces the jet.

Consistent with Kushnir et al. 2002...

Page 15: Atmospheric response to North Pacific SST The role of model resolution and synoptic SST variability Guidi Zhou, Mojib Latif, Wonsun Park*, Richard Greatbatch

High vs. low resolutions

T31- response

Geopotential height (m) Geopotential height (m)

T213- response

Page 16: Atmospheric response to North Pacific SST The role of model resolution and synoptic SST variability Guidi Zhou, Mojib Latif, Wonsun Park*, Richard Greatbatch

Influence of synoptic SST variability

Snapshot, Jan 01, 1982.Fine spatial/temporal structures on T213Synoptic SST variability only in NP

ctrl, NP SSTa experimentsClimatological state, Jan 01 Smoothed spatial/temporal structures on T213

ctrl, NP SSTa experiments

Sea surface temperature (K)

Page 17: Atmospheric response to North Pacific SST The role of model resolution and synoptic SST variability Guidi Zhou, Mojib Latif, Wonsun Park*, Richard Greatbatch

Observed daily varying SST vs. climatological

SST as backgroundT213-daily varying

North Pacific background SST

T213-climatological background

SST

no significant responsesignificant eddy-mediated response

Page 18: Atmospheric response to North Pacific SST The role of model resolution and synoptic SST variability Guidi Zhou, Mojib Latif, Wonsun Park*, Richard Greatbatch

North Pacific atmosphere response to underlying SST anomalies in observations

This can be simulated only with higher resolution of AGCM, e.g. T213

Temporal resolution is also important in this aspect The response is eddy-mediated

Summary

In order to obtain a realistic response to midlatitude SST anomalies one needs to resolve the synoptic SST variability. This requires employing sufficiently high horizontal resolution.

Guidi [email protected]

Page 19: Atmospheric response to North Pacific SST The role of model resolution and synoptic SST variability Guidi Zhou, Mojib Latif, Wonsun Park*, Richard Greatbatch
Page 20: Atmospheric response to North Pacific SST The role of model resolution and synoptic SST variability Guidi Zhou, Mojib Latif, Wonsun Park*, Richard Greatbatch

Zonal mean SST gradient

Zonal (120°E-160°W) mean