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July 19, 2011 Atlantic Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. Innovation and Competitiveness Rob Atkinson, President, ITIF

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Page 1: Atlantic Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. … Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. Innovation and ... 37.NAFTA 38.Greece 39.Brazil 40 ... India. Austria. Estonia. Brazil

July 19, 2011

Atlantic Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. Innovation and Competitiveness

Rob Atkinson, President, ITIF

Page 2: Atlantic Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. … Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. Innovation and ... 37.NAFTA 38.Greece 39.Brazil 40 ... India. Austria. Estonia. Brazil

The Study: compared innovation-based competiveness of 40 nations and regions.

16 indicators: including corp. R&D, government R&D, scientists and engineers, new firms, corp. tax, productivity growth and others.

The Atlantic Century I

Page 3: Atlantic Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. … Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. Innovation and ... 37.NAFTA 38.Greece 39.Brazil 40 ... India. Austria. Estonia. Brazil

1. China2. Singapore3. Estonia4. Denmark 5. Luxembourg6. Slovenia7. Russia8. Lithuania9. Cyprus10. Japan11. Hungary12. Slovakia13. Czech Republic14. India

15.Latvia16.Austria17.S. Korea18.Ireland 19.EU-1020.Spain21.Sweden22.France23.Portugal24.Malta25.Belgium26.EU-2527.Poland

This was the story: in rate of progress from 1999, the U.S. was behind….

28.UK29.EU-1530.Mexico31.Netherlands32.Australia33.Finland34.Canada35.Germany36.Italy37.NAFTA38.Greece39.Brazil40.United States

Page 4: Atlantic Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. … Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. Innovation and ... 37.NAFTA 38.Greece 39.Brazil 40 ... India. Austria. Estonia. Brazil

The Study: compares innovation-based competiveness of 44 nations and regions. (Added Argentina, Chile, Malaysia, Indonesia, South Africa and Turkey and subtracted Luxemburg and Malta)

16 indicators: including corporate and government R&D, scientists and engineers, new firms, corp. tax, productivity growth and others.

The Atlantic Century II

Page 5: Atlantic Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. … Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. Innovation and ... 37.NAFTA 38.Greece 39.Brazil 40 ... India. Austria. Estonia. Brazil

Overall Score: U.S. is 4th (unchanged)

5

0.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

60.0

70.0

80.0

Sin

gapo

reFi

nlan

dS

wed

enU

.S.

S. K

orea UK

Can

ada

Den

mar

kN

AFT

AN

ethe

rlan

dsJa

pan

Aus

tral

ia

Bel

gium

Fran

ceIr

elan

dG

erm

any

Aus

tria

EU

-15

EU

-25

Cze

ch R

ep.

Est

onia

Hun

gary

Spa

inS

love

nia

Por

tuga

lS

lova

kia

EU

-10

Latv

ia

Rus

sian

It

aly

Mal

aysi

aLi

thua

nia

Chi

le

Chi

naC

ypru

sP

olan

dG

reec

eB

razi

l Tu

rkey

Mex

ico

Sou

th A

fric

aA

rgen

tina

Indi

aIn

done

sia

Page 6: Atlantic Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. … Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. Innovation and ... 37.NAFTA 38.Greece 39.Brazil 40 ... India. Austria. Estonia. Brazil

Overall Change Score (1999-2011): U.S. is 43rd

6

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0Chi

naS. K

orea

Cyp

rus

Slo

veni

aEst

onia

Cze

ch R

ep.

Latv

ia

Sin

gapo

reEU

-10

Por

tuga

lH

unga

ryLi

thua

nia

Indi

aAus

tria

Chi

le

Gre

ece

Japa

nSlo

vaki

aFi

nlan

dD

enm

ark

Aus

tral

ia

Indo

nesi

aIr

elan

dU

KB

razi

l M

exic

oPol

and

EU

-25

Net

herl

ands

Turk

eySpa

inArg

enti

naR

ussi

a Can

ada

Mal

aysi

aEU

-15

Fran

ceG

erm

any

Sw

eden

Bel

gium

NAFT

ASou

th A

fric

aU

.S.

Ital

y

Page 7: Atlantic Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. … Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. Innovation and ... 37.NAFTA 38.Greece 39.Brazil 40 ... India. Austria. Estonia. Brazil

Overall Change Score (2009-2011): U.S. is 27th

7

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

14.0

16.0

18.0

20.0Por

tuga

lSlo

veni

aIn

done

sia

Slo

vaki

aChi

naG

reec

eS. K

orea

EU

-10

Aus

tral

ia

Pol

and

Cze

ch R

ep.

Hun

gary

Mal

aysi

aChi

le

Mex

ico

Cyp

rus

Arg

enti

naTu

rkey

Finl

and

Indi

aAus

tria

Est

onia

Bra

zil

UK

Spa

inN

ethe

rlan

dsU

.S.

Sou

th A

fric

aJa

pan

Rus

sia

EU

-25

Ger

man

yN

AFT

ACan

ada

EU

-15

Lith

uani

aD

enm

ark

Bel

gium

Fran

ceSw

eden

Irel

and

Sin

gapo

reIt

aly

Latv

ia

Page 8: Atlantic Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. … Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. Innovation and ... 37.NAFTA 38.Greece 39.Brazil 40 ... India. Austria. Estonia. Brazil

But Some U.S. States Lead the World

8

0.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

60.0

70.0

Mas

sach

uset

ts

Cal

ifor

nia

Con

nect

icut

New

Jer

sey

Was

hing

ton

Del

awar

e

Mar

ylan

d

Col

orad

o

New

Ham

pshi

re

Finl

and

Page 9: Atlantic Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. … Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. Innovation and ... 37.NAFTA 38.Greece 39.Brazil 40 ... India. Austria. Estonia. Brazil

Education (college-aged pop. with tertiary degree)

9

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

70.0%S. K

orea

Can

ada

Rus

sia

Japa

nIr

elan

dD

enm

ark

Bel

gium

Lith

uani

aAus

tral

ia

U.S

.Spa

inFr

ance

Net

herlan

dsSw

eden UK

Finl

and

Sin

gapo

reN

AFT

ALa

tvia

Est

onia

EU

-15

Pol

and

EU

-25

Slo

veni

aEU

-10

Gre

ece

Hun

gary

Ger

man

yPor

tuga

lCyp

rus

Ital

yM

exic

oAus

tria

Mal

aysi

aSlo

vaki

a Cze

ch R

ep.

Turk

eyChi

naIn

done

sia

Bra

zil

Indi

aArg

entina

Chi

le

Page 10: Atlantic Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. … Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. Innovation and ... 37.NAFTA 38.Greece 39.Brazil 40 ... India. Austria. Estonia. Brazil

Education Change (1999-2008)

10

0.0%

20.0%

40.0%

60.0%

80.0%

100.0%

120.0%

140.0%

160.0%

180.0%Pol

and

EU

-10

Ital

yPor

tuga

lH

unga

ryS. K

orea

Net

herlan

dsEU

-25

Irel

and

Aus

tria

Den

mar

kCze

ch R

ep.

Aus

tral

ia

UK

EU

-15

Fran

ceB

elgi

umSpa

inM

exic

oJa

pan

Sw

eden

Est

onia

Can

ada

NAFT

AU

.S.

Gre

ece

Finl

and

Page 11: Atlantic Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. … Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. Innovation and ... 37.NAFTA 38.Greece 39.Brazil 40 ... India. Austria. Estonia. Brazil

Researchers, per 1,000 employed

11

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18Fi

nlan

dSin

gapo

reJa

pan

Den

mar

kSw

eden

U.S

.S. K

orea UK

Aus

tria

Fran

ceB

elgi

umAus

tral

ia

Can

ada

Ger

man

yEU

-15

NAFT

ASlo

veni

aEU

-25

Spa

inIr

elan

dR

ussi

aEst

onia

Net

herl

ands

Cze

ch R

ep.

Lith

uani

aPor

tuga

lSlo

vaki

a EU

-10

Gre

ece

Hun

gary

Ital

yLa

tvia

Pol

and

Arg

enti

naTu

rkey

Chi

le

Cyp

rus

Chi

naB

razi

l Sou

th A

fric

aM

alay

sia

Mex

ico

Indi

a

Page 12: Atlantic Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. … Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. Innovation and ... 37.NAFTA 38.Greece 39.Brazil 40 ... India. Austria. Estonia. Brazil

Researchers Change (1999-2008)

12

-50%

0%

50%

100%

150%

200%

250%

300%

350%M

alay

sia

Cyp

rus

Turk

eyChi

naCze

ch R

ep.

Chi

le

S. K

orea

Sin

gapo

reB

razi

l Por

tuga

lAus

tria

Spa

inD

enm

ark

Mex

ico

Slo

veni

aLa

tvia

U

KH

unga

ryIr

elan

dIt

aly

EU

-15

EU

-25

Gre

ece

EU

-10

Est

onia

Can

ada

Arg

entina

Fran

ceIn

dia

Slo

vaki

a N

ethe

rlan

dsAus

tral

ia

Finl

and

Bel

gium

Ger

man

yJa

pan

Sw

eden

NAFT

AU

.S.

Pol

and

Lith

uani

aR

ussi

a

Page 13: Atlantic Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. … Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. Innovation and ... 37.NAFTA 38.Greece 39.Brazil 40 ... India. Austria. Estonia. Brazil

Business R&D (% of GDP)

13

0.0%

0.5%

1.0%

1.5%

2.0%

2.5%

3.0%Ja

pan

Finl

and

S. K

orea

Sw

eden

U.S

.G

erm

any

Den

mar

kN

AFT

ASin

gapo

reAus

tria

Bel

gium

Aus

tral

ia

Chi

naSlo

veni

aEU

-15

Fran

ceEU

-25

UK

Can

ada

Net

herlan

dsCze

ch R

ep.

Irel

and

Por

tuga

lSpa

inIt

aly

Est

onia

Bra

zil

Mal

aysi

aH

unga

ryEU

-10

Sou

th A

fric

aTu

rkey

Chi

le

Rus

sia

Indi

aPol

and

Gre

ece

Lith

uani

aM

exic

oLa

tvia

Slo

vaki

a Arg

entina

Cyp

rus

Page 14: Atlantic Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. … Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. Innovation and ... 37.NAFTA 38.Greece 39.Brazil 40 ... India. Austria. Estonia. Brazil

Business R&D Change(1999-2008)

14

-50%

0%

50%

100%

150%

200%

250%

300%Chi

le

Chi

naEst

onia

Latv

ia

Cyp

rus

Mex

ico

Aus

tria

Aus

tral

ia

Turk

eyH

unga

ryG

reec

eS. K

orea

Sin

gapo

reSpa

inSlo

veni

aD

enm

ark

Cze

ch R

ep.

Japa

nM

alay

sia

NAFT

AIn

dia

EU

-10

Bra

zil

Finl

and

Can

ada

Ger

man

yU

.S.

EU

-25

Arg

entina UK

Ital

yEU

-15

Sw

eden

Net

herlan

dsB

elgi

umFr

ance

Irel

and

Pol

and

Rus

sia

Slo

vaki

a

Page 15: Atlantic Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. … Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. Innovation and ... 37.NAFTA 38.Greece 39.Brazil 40 ... India. Austria. Estonia. Brazil

Government R&D (% of GDP)

15

0.0%

0.2%

0.4%

0.6%

0.8%

1.0%

1.2%Aus

tria

Finl

and

Sin

gapo

reAus

tral

ia

Fran

ceSw

eden

S. K

orea

U.S

.N

AFT

AD

enm

ark

Ger

man

yR

ussi

aEst

onia

EU

-15

Can

ada

Cze

ch R

ep.

EU

-25

Net

herlan

ds UK

Japa

nSpa

inPor

tuga

lSlo

veni

aIt

aly

Bra

zil

Indi

aLi

thua

nia

Irel

and

EU

-10

Hun

gary

Bel

gium

Sou

th A

fric

aM

alay

sia

Pol

and

Turk

eyChi

le

Mex

ico

Chi

naLa

tvia

G

reec

eArg

entina

Cyp

rus

Slo

vaki

a In

done

sia

Page 16: Atlantic Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. … Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. Innovation and ... 37.NAFTA 38.Greece 39.Brazil 40 ... India. Austria. Estonia. Brazil

Government R&D Change(1999-2008)

16

-40%

-20%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%Cyp

rus

Irel

and

Spa

inB

razi

l La

tvia

Est

onia

Lith

uani

aAus

tria

Turk

eyS. K

orea

Rus

sia

Cze

ch R

ep.

Aus

tral

ia

Mex

ico

Hun

gary

Gre

ece

Can

ada

Por

tuga

lEU

-15

EU

-25

EU

-10

UK

Den

mar

kSin

gapo

reSlo

veni

aFr

ance

Chi

naU

.S.

NAFT

AJa

pan

Pol

and

Bel

gium

Finl

and

Ger

man

yArg

entina

Sw

eden

Net

herlan

dsIn

dia

Chi

le

Slo

vaki

a In

done

sia

Page 17: Atlantic Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. … Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. Innovation and ... 37.NAFTA 38.Greece 39.Brazil 40 ... India. Austria. Estonia. Brazil

Venture Capital (% GDP)

17

0.00%

0.05%

0.10%

0.15%

0.20%

0.25%

0.30%Sin

gapo

reFi

nlan

dSw

eden UK

Den

mar

kAus

tral

ia

Irel

and

Fran

ceSpa

inEU

-15

U.S

.Cze

ch R

ep.

EU

-25

NAFT

AB

razi

l N

ethe

rlan

dsB

elgi

umG

erm

any

Can

ada

S. K

orea

Japa

nEU

-10

Hun

gary

Ital

yM

exic

oPor

tuga

lAus

tria

Pol

and

Gre

ece

Indi

aChi

naChi

le

Rus

sian

Page 18: Atlantic Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. … Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. Innovation and ... 37.NAFTA 38.Greece 39.Brazil 40 ... India. Austria. Estonia. Brazil

Venture Capital Change (1999-2008)

18

-100%

-50%

0%

50%

100%

150%

200%Ja

pan

Cze

ch R

ep.

Hun

gary

Den

mar

kIr

elan

dFi

nlan

dFr

ance

Aus

tral

ia

EU

-10

EU

-25

Spa

inEU

-15

Bel

gium U

KSw

eden

Ger

man

yN

ethe

rlan

dsIt

aly

Aus

tria

Por

tuga

lPol

and

NAFT

AU

.S.

Can

ada

Gre

ece

Page 19: Atlantic Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. … Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. Innovation and ... 37.NAFTA 38.Greece 39.Brazil 40 ... India. Austria. Estonia. Brazil

New Firms (per 1,000 workers)

19

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9Est

onia

UK

Can

ada

Sin

gapo

reAus

tral

ia

Hun

gary

Irel

and

NAFT

ALa

tvia

D

enm

ark

U.S

.B

elgi

umSlo

veni

aSw

eden

Slo

vaki

a Por

tuga

lFi

nlan

dEU

-15

EU

-25

Net

herlan

dsFr

ance

Cze

ch R

ep.

Spa

inR

ussi

a EU

-10

Mal

aysi

aB

razi

l Li

thua

nia

Chi

le

Ital

yS. K

orea

Japa

nG

erm

any

Gre

ece

Turk

eySou

th A

fric

aM

exic

oAus

tria

Pol

and

Arg

entina

Indo

nesi

aIn

dia

Page 20: Atlantic Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. … Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. Innovation and ... 37.NAFTA 38.Greece 39.Brazil 40 ... India. Austria. Estonia. Brazil

New Firms Change (2005-2009)

20

-60%

-40%

-20%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%In

dia

Hun

gary

S. K

orea

Gre

ece

Slo

veni

aCze

ch R

ep.

EU

-10

Finl

and

Sin

gapo

reB

razi

l Slo

vaki

a Li

thua

nia

Net

herlan

dsEst

onia

Sw

eden

Indo

nesi

aB

elgi

umM

exic

oPol

and

Fran

cePor

tuga

lCan

ada

Mal

aysi

aChi

le

Aus

tral

ia

Ger

man

yU

KJa

pan

EU

-25

EU

-15

Ital

yN

AFT

AAus

tria

U.S

.Tu

rkey

Arg

entina

Latv

ia

Den

mar

kIr

elan

dSpa

inSou

th A

fric

aR

ussi

an

Page 21: Atlantic Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. … Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. Innovation and ... 37.NAFTA 38.Greece 39.Brazil 40 ... India. Austria. Estonia. Brazil

Broadband (Quality and Subscription)

21

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0S. K

orea

Japa

nSw

eden

Net

herlan

dsD

enm

ark

Finl

and

Latv

ia

Ger

man

yFr

ance

Bel

gium U.S

.Li

thua

nia

EU

-15

Can

ada

UK

EU

-25

Est

onia

Sin

gapo

reN

AFT

ASlo

veni

aPor

tuga

lH

unga

ryAus

tria

Aus

tral

ia

Spa

inIr

elan

dSlo

vaki

a Cze

ch R

ep.

EU

-10

Gre

ece

Ital

yCyp

rus

Pol

and

Rus

sia

Chi

le

Turk

eyArg

entina

Mex

ico

Mal

aysi

aChi

naB

razi

l Sou

th A

fric

aIn

dia

Indo

nesi

a

Page 22: Atlantic Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. … Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. Innovation and ... 37.NAFTA 38.Greece 39.Brazil 40 ... India. Austria. Estonia. Brazil

Broadband Change (2002-2009)

22

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

35.0%D

enm

ark

Fran

ceN

ethe

rlan

ds UK

S. K

orea

Ger

man

yCan

ada

Japa

nEU

-15

Finl

and

Aus

tral

ia

Sin

gapo

reEU

-25

Sw

eden

Bel

gium

Irel

and

Slo

veni

aCyp

rus

Est

onia

Ital

yU

.S.

Lith

uani

aSpa

inLa

tvia

H

unga

ryG

reec

eN

AFT

AAus

tria

Por

tuga

lEU

-10

Slo

vaki

aCze

ch R

ep.

Pol

and

Arg

entina

Mex

ico

Turk

eyChi

le

Chi

naM

alay

sia

Bra

zil

Sou

th A

fric

aIn

done

sia

Indi

a

Page 23: Atlantic Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. … Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. Innovation and ... 37.NAFTA 38.Greece 39.Brazil 40 ... India. Austria. Estonia. Brazil

IT Investments (% of GDP)

23

3%

4%

5%

6%

7%

8%

9%Cze

ch R

ep.

Slo

vaki

a S. K

orea

Chi

naU

.S.

NAFT

AU

KH

unga

ryCan

ada

EU

-10

Finl

and

Sin

gapo

reJa

pan

Por

tuga

lN

ethe

rlan

dsSw

eden

Pol

and

EU

-25

EU

-15

Ger

man

yIn

dia

Aus

tria

Bra

zil

Chi

le

Bel

gium

Gre

ece

Arg

entina

Irel

and

Fran

ceSlo

veni

aM

exic

oD

enm

ark

Spa

inAus

tral

ia

Ital

yTu

rkey

Rus

sia

Indo

nesi

a

Page 24: Atlantic Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. … Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. Innovation and ... 37.NAFTA 38.Greece 39.Brazil 40 ... India. Austria. Estonia. Brazil

IT investments, Change (2003-2010)

24

-30%

-20%

-10%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%In

done

sia

Indi

aSlo

veni

aM

exic

oEU

-10

Finl

and

Arg

entina

Slo

vaki

a Chi

le

NAFT

ACan

ada

Gre

ece

Cze

ch R

ep.

Por

tuga

lH

unga

ryPol

and

S. K

orea

Chi

naJa

pan

UK

U.S

.B

razi

l N

ethe

rlan

dsEU

-25

Aus

tria

Ger

man

yEU

-15

Turk

eyB

elgi

umIr

elan

dR

ussi

aSw

eden

Sin

gapo

reFr

ance

Mal

aysi

aD

enm

ark

Spa

inIt

aly

Aus

tral

ia

Page 25: Atlantic Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. … Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. Innovation and ... 37.NAFTA 38.Greece 39.Brazil 40 ... India. Austria. Estonia. Brazil

Effective Corporate Tax Rates

25

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%La

tvia

H

unga

rySlo

vaki

a Chi

le

Sin

gapo

reSlo

veni

aEU

-10

Turk

eyPor

tuga

lN

ethe

rlan

dsPol

and

Bel

gium

Aus

tria

Chi

naCan

ada

Spa

inSw

eden

Irel

and

Mal

aysi

aFr

ance UK

Bra

zil

Finl

and

S. K

orea

EU

-25

Den

mar

kN

AFT

AIn

dia

EU

-15

Gre

ece

Rus

sia

Sou

th A

fric

aAus

tral

ia

Mex

ico

U.S

.G

erm

any

Indo

nesi

aIt

aly

Japa

nArg

entina

Page 26: Atlantic Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. … Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. Innovation and ... 37.NAFTA 38.Greece 39.Brazil 40 ... India. Austria. Estonia. Brazil

Ease of Doing Business

26

-30

-25

-20

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

20Sin

gapo

re UK

Aus

tral

ia

U.S

.Can

ada

Irel

and

NAFT

AFi

nlan

dLi

thua

nia

Japa

nD

enm

ark

Sw

eden

S. K

orea

Net

herlan

dsG

erm

any

Por

tuga

lM

alay

asia

Latv

ia

Aus

tria

EU

-15

Bel

gium

EU

-25

Est

onia

Fran

ceSlo

vaki

a H

unga

ryCyp

rus

Spa

inSou

th A

fric

aM

exic

oCze

ch R

ep.

Turk

eyEU

-10

Rus

sian

Chi

le

Arg

entina

Slo

veni

aChi

naIt

aly

Pol

and

Gre

ece

Bra

zil

Indo

nesi

aIn

dia

Page 27: Atlantic Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. … Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. Innovation and ... 37.NAFTA 38.Greece 39.Brazil 40 ... India. Austria. Estonia. Brazil

Ease of Doing Business Change (2005-2010)

27

-6.0

-4.0

-2.0

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0Chi

naIn

done

sia

Cze

ch R

ep.

Latv

ia

Slo

veni

aPor

tuga

lH

unga

ryS. K

orea

Fran

ceSlo

vaki

a Li

thua

nia

EU

-10

Den

mar

kR

ussi

an

Mal

ayas

iaU

KEst

onia

Japa

nSin

gapo

reCyp

rus

Mex

ico

Pol

and

Bra

zil

Irel

and

Sou

th A

fric

aG

reec

eEU

-25

Spa

inCan

ada

EU

-15

Turk

eyAus

tral

ia

Net

herlan

dsSw

eden

Finl

and

NAFT

AChi

le

Bel

gium U.S

.G

erm

any

Aus

tria

Indi

aArg

entina

Ital

y

Page 28: Atlantic Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. … Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. Innovation and ... 37.NAFTA 38.Greece 39.Brazil 40 ... India. Austria. Estonia. Brazil

Foreign Direct Investment (% of GDP)

28

0%2%4%6%8%

10%12%14%16%18%20%

Hun

gary

Cyp

rus

Chi

le

Est

onia

Sin

gapo

reIr

elan

dB

elgi

umSw

eden

EU

-10

Rus

sian

Aus

tral

ia

Indi

aSou

th A

fric

aCan

ada

Spa

inN

ethe

rlan

dsChi

na UK

Lith

uani

aFr

ance

Cze

ch R

ep.

EU

-25

Bra

zil

Latv

ia

Arg

entina

Mal

ayas

iaPol

and

EU

-15

Aus

tria

Mex

ico

Turk

eyN

AFT

ASlo

vaki

a U

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Por

tuga

lIn

done

sia

Slo

veni

aG

reec

eIt

aly

Ger

man

yD

enm

ark

Japa

nS. K

orea

Finl

and

Page 29: Atlantic Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. … Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. Innovation and ... 37.NAFTA 38.Greece 39.Brazil 40 ... India. Austria. Estonia. Brazil

Foreign Direct Investment Change (1999-2009)

29

-100%

0%

100%

200%

300%

400%

500%Tu

rkey

Indi

aSou

th A

fric

aH

unga

ryR

ussi

an

Gre

ece

Slo

veni

aCyp

rus

Aus

tral

ia

Japa

nEst

onia

Ital

yChi

le

Sw

eden

EU

-25

Chi

naFr

ance

Aus

tria

Bel

gium

Indo

nesi

aM

exic

oLi

thua

nia

NAFT

ASpa

inU

.S.

Por

tuga

lM

alay

asia

Bra

zil

Latv

ia

Pol

and

Can

ada

Sin

gapo

reArg

entina UK

Irel

and

Net

herlan

dsSlo

vaki

a Cze

ch R

ep.

Ger

man

yS. K

orea

Den

mar

kFi

nlan

d

Page 30: Atlantic Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. … Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. Innovation and ... 37.NAFTA 38.Greece 39.Brazil 40 ... India. Austria. Estonia. Brazil

Trade Balance (% of GDP)

30

-15%

-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%M

alay

asia

Sin

gapo

reR

ussi

an

Net

herlan

dsIr

elan

dSw

eden

Chi

naChi

le

Ger

man

yAus

tria

Cze

ch R

ep.

Arg

entina

Den

mar

kFi

nlan

dIn

done

sia

Bel

gium

S. K

orea

Hun

gary

EU

-15

Est

onia

EU

-25

Japa

nB

razi

l Can

ada

Ital

ySlo

veni

aEU

-10

Aus

tral

ia

Mex

ico

Sou

th A

fric

aPol

and

Fran

ce UK

Turk

eySlo

vaki

a N

AFT

AU

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Spa

inIn

dia

Latv

ia

Por

tuga

lCyp

rus

Lith

uani

aG

reec

e

Page 31: Atlantic Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. … Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. Innovation and ... 37.NAFTA 38.Greece 39.Brazil 40 ... India. Austria. Estonia. Brazil

Trade Balance, Change (1999-2009)

31

-20%

-15%

-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%Est

onia

Arg

entina

Cze

ch R

ep.

Ger

man

ySlo

vaki

a La

tvia

Chi

le

Aus

tria

EU

-10

Pol

and

Hun

gary

Net

herlan

dsSin

gapo

reChi

naSlo

veni

aB

razi

l Sw

eden

Por

tuga

lM

exic

oD

enm

ark

EU

-25

Aus

tral

ia

EU

-15

Lith

uani

aIr

elan

dU

KN

AFT

AJa

pan

U.S

.Spa

inB

elgi

umG

reec

eM

alay

asia

Can

ada

Ital

yIn

dia

Rus

sian

Fr

ance

Sou

th A

fric

aIn

done

sia

Finl

and

S. K

orea

Cyp

rus

Turk

ey

Page 32: Atlantic Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. … Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. Innovation and ... 37.NAFTA 38.Greece 39.Brazil 40 ... India. Austria. Estonia. Brazil

Productivity (GDP per Hour Worked)

32

$-

$10.00

$20.00

$30.00

$40.00

$50.00

$60.00 N

ethe

rlan

dsB

elgi

um U.S

.Ir

elan

dFr

ance

Ger

man

yN

AFT

AAus

tria

EU

-15

Sw

eden

EU

-25

UK

Den

mar

kFi

nlan

dAus

tral

ia

Can

ada

Ital

ySpa

inTu

rkey

Japa

nG

reec

eSlo

veni

aSlo

vaki

a Por

tuga

lCze

ch R

ep.

Hun

gary

S. K

orea

EU

-10

Pol

and

Lith

uani

aEst

onia

Arg

entina

Mal

aysi

aM

exic

oLa

tvia

R

ussi

an

Chi

le

Sou

th A

fric

aB

razi

l Chi

naIn

done

sia

Indi

a

Page 33: Atlantic Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. … Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. Innovation and ... 37.NAFTA 38.Greece 39.Brazil 40 ... India. Austria. Estonia. Brazil

Productivity, Change (1999-2009)

33

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

140%

160%

180%

200%Chi

naLi

thua

nia

Rus

sian

In

dia

Latv

ia

EU

-10

Est

onia

Slo

vaki

a S. K

orea

Cze

ch R

ep.

Hun

gary

Indo

nesi

aM

alay

sia

Pol

and

Slo

veni

aArg

entina

Chi

le

Sou

th A

fric

aG

reec

eSin

gapo

reFi

nlan

dIr

elan

dU

KB

razi

l Ja

pan

U.S

.N

AFT

AAus

tria

Sw

eden

Aus

tral

ia

EU

-25

Turk

eyG

erm

any

EU

-15

Can

ada

Net

herlan

dsPor

tuga

lM

exic

oFr

ance

Bel

gium

Den

mar

kSpa

inIt

aly

Page 34: Atlantic Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. … Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. Innovation and ... 37.NAFTA 38.Greece 39.Brazil 40 ... India. Austria. Estonia. Brazil

So What’s America’s Future?

Page 35: Atlantic Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. … Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. Innovation and ... 37.NAFTA 38.Greece 39.Brazil 40 ... India. Austria. Estonia. Brazil

Buffalo?

Page 36: Atlantic Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. … Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. Innovation and ... 37.NAFTA 38.Greece 39.Brazil 40 ... India. Austria. Estonia. Brazil

Or Boston?

Page 37: Atlantic Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. … Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. Innovation and ... 37.NAFTA 38.Greece 39.Brazil 40 ... India. Austria. Estonia. Brazil

So What’s Europe’s Future?

Page 38: Atlantic Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. … Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. Innovation and ... 37.NAFTA 38.Greece 39.Brazil 40 ... India. Austria. Estonia. Brazil

Rome?

Page 39: Atlantic Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. … Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. Innovation and ... 37.NAFTA 38.Greece 39.Brazil 40 ... India. Austria. Estonia. Brazil

Or Helsinki

Page 40: Atlantic Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. … Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. Innovation and ... 37.NAFTA 38.Greece 39.Brazil 40 ... India. Austria. Estonia. Brazil

Becoming “Boston” and “Helsinki” Means:

1) For Europe and America, establish a “Trans-Atlantic Partnership” to form a united front against innovation-based mercantilism in the rest of the world.

40

Page 41: Atlantic Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. … Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. Innovation and ... 37.NAFTA 38.Greece 39.Brazil 40 ... India. Austria. Estonia. Brazil

Becoming “Boston” and “Helsinki” Means:

1) For Europe and America, establish a “Trans-Atlantic Partnership” to form a united front against innovation-based mercantilism in the rest of the world.

2) For Europe, embrace the “creative destruction” of innovation.

41

Page 42: Atlantic Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. … Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. Innovation and ... 37.NAFTA 38.Greece 39.Brazil 40 ... India. Austria. Estonia. Brazil

Becoming “Boston” and “Helsinki” Means:

1) For Europe and America, establish a “Trans-Atlantic Partnership” to form a united front against innovation-based mercantilism in the rest of the world.

2) For Europe, embrace the “creative destruction” of innovation.

3) For America, wake up to the fact that we are no longer the leader and need an aggressive national innovation and competitiveness strategy.

42

Page 43: Atlantic Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. … Century II: Benchmarking EU & U.S. Innovation and ... 37.NAFTA 38.Greece 39.Brazil 40 ... India. Austria. Estonia. Brazil

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