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___________________________________________________________________________ 2015/FMP/WKSP2/017 Session 4.1 Asia Pacific Financial Forum – Capital Market Developments Submitted by: Standard Chartered Workshop on Infrastructure Financing and Capital Market Development Iloilo, Philippines 23-24 July 2015

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Page 1: Asia Pacific Financial Forum – Capital Market Developmentsmddb.apec.org/Documents/2015/FMP/WKSP2/15_fmp_wksp2_017.pdf · Asia Pacific Financial Forum – Capital Market Developments

___________________________________________________________________________

2015/FMP/WKSP2/017 Session 4.1

Asia Pacific Financial Forum – Capital Market Developments

Submitted by: Standard Chartered

Workshop on Infrastructure Financing and Capital Market Development

Iloilo, Philippines23-24 July 2015

Page 2: Asia Pacific Financial Forum – Capital Market Developmentsmddb.apec.org/Documents/2015/FMP/WKSP2/15_fmp_wksp2_017.pdf · Asia Pacific Financial Forum – Capital Market Developments

Asia Pacific Financial Forum – Capital Market Developments 0

Asia Pacific FinancialForum – Capital Market

DevelopmentsAaron Gwak, Head of Debt Capital Markets,

ASEAN, Standard Chartered

Page 3: Asia Pacific Financial Forum – Capital Market Developmentsmddb.apec.org/Documents/2015/FMP/WKSP2/15_fmp_wksp2_017.pdf · Asia Pacific Financial Forum – Capital Market Developments

Larg

Vast imark

Bank

Clear

Where are we now?

nfrastructure need and aging population mean we need active capital

Asia Pacific Financial Forum – Capital Market Developments 1

Critical to building deep, liquid and common

regulated capital markets

Vast infrastructure need and aging population mean we need active capital

markets to bridge the gap between asset managers and borrowers

Clear need for financing across Asia

Banking system alone is not enough to meet this need

Large savings pool needs a productive investment vehicle

Page 4: Asia Pacific Financial Forum – Capital Market Developmentsmddb.apec.org/Documents/2015/FMP/WKSP2/15_fmp_wksp2_017.pdf · Asia Pacific Financial Forum – Capital Market Developments

Growing need for financing in Asia

There is a growing need for financing in Asia as shown by the rapid growth in total Asian bond issuance volumes and the

proportion of local currency bond issuances over the past decade

10%

200

Asia Pacific Financial Forum – Capital Market Developments 2Source: Dealogic, Standard Chartered Bank

As

ian

Bo

nd

Iss

ua

nc

e(U

SD

bil

lio

ns

)

48

173

26

6050

2009 to 2014 Asian bond issuances have grown at a CAGR of 14.7%

250

222CAGR

+14.7%

160 160

150 31 28

100 85 86

13

56 129 133

50

72

0

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

USD Local Currency

Excludes Japanese Yen, Australian Dollar and onshore Chinese Yuan bond issuances

Local Currency (“LCY”) share of

issuance

2009

LCY

USD90%

2014

LCY22%

USD78%

Page 5: Asia Pacific Financial Forum – Capital Market Developmentsmddb.apec.org/Documents/2015/FMP/WKSP2/15_fmp_wksp2_017.pdf · Asia Pacific Financial Forum – Capital Market Developments

Significant growth potential for Asian bond markets

Asian domestic bond markets have grown in size, but there remains significant upside potential when compared to the size of

their GDP

136

20

Asia Pacific Financial Forum – Capital Market Developments 3Source: Dealogic, Standard Chartered Bank

20

14

LC

YB

od

Ma

rke

t/G

DP

(%

)

70 67

37

Local Currency Bond Market Size / GDP

160

140 JPY, AUD Average

120

100

80

60 125

100

40 82

51

22 15

0

KR MY SG TH HK CN PH VN ID

2014 Local currency bond issuance by currency

SGD30.4%

OffshoreCNY

56.7%

HKD11.3%

Others*1.5%

* Include THB (0.7%), MYR (0.3%), KRW (0.3%), IDR (0.2%) andINR (0.1%)

Page 6: Asia Pacific Financial Forum – Capital Market Developmentsmddb.apec.org/Documents/2015/FMP/WKSP2/15_fmp_wksp2_017.pdf · Asia Pacific Financial Forum – Capital Market Developments

Growing base of Asian investors

There is a clear trend of new issuances moving to RegS only issues. This shows that Asian investors are becoming a more

important source of capital in the region

Asian Issuances in 2009 Asian Issuances in 2014

144a34%

144a63%

RegS66%

Asia Pacific Financial Forum – Capital Market Developments 4Source: Dealogic, Standard Chartered Bank

Page 7: Asia Pacific Financial Forum – Capital Market Developmentsmddb.apec.org/Documents/2015/FMP/WKSP2/15_fmp_wksp2_017.pdf · Asia Pacific Financial Forum – Capital Market Developments

Meeting the needs of the market

A deep liquid market would lead to lower costs of funding for Asian business and also meet investor’s needs. We suggest the

following key elements of effective debt capital markets for regulators to consider

Sound legal system

Protection for creditor rights

Transparent accounting

Robust financial markets supervision and

corporate governance

Strong infrastructure/clearing support

Deep and liquid repo and derivative market to

allow both issuers and investors to hedge and

decouple risks

Asia Pacific Financial Forum – Capital Market Developments 5

Elements of effective debt

capital markets

Page 8: Asia Pacific Financial Forum – Capital Market Developmentsmddb.apec.org/Documents/2015/FMP/WKSP2/15_fmp_wksp2_017.pdf · Asia Pacific Financial Forum – Capital Market Developments

Addressing key policy differences

To achieve a common platform for capital markets across Asia, there is a need to address some key policy and regulatory

differences within the region

Common legal framework

Harmonize documentation and disclosure rules

Common tax and accounting treatments

Reduce capital and currency controls

Common investor access scheme catering to

both retail and institutional investors

Asia Pacific Financial Forum – Capital Market Developments 6

Regulatory issues need to be

addressed

Page 9: Asia Pacific Financial Forum – Capital Market Developmentsmddb.apec.org/Documents/2015/FMP/WKSP2/15_fmp_wksp2_017.pdf · Asia Pacific Financial Forum – Capital Market Developments

What is the fastest route?

Agreeing on a consistent pan-Asian prospectus for debt markets across the region is key to make quick progress indeveloping regional markets. We propose that this can be carried out in 2 phases

Asia Pacific Financial Forum – Capital Market Developments 7

Phase II

• Address issues on tax and accounting treatments is essential, albeit we recognise this takes time

• Harmonise rules on access to retail investors eventually

• Other reforms will need to follow but developing a common prospectus is a fundamental step

Phase I

• Requires political and regulatory commitment

• Set a hard deadline for action points

• Common prospectus should be recognised by all regulators and the need for pre-approval should be removed

Page 10: Asia Pacific Financial Forum – Capital Market Developmentsmddb.apec.org/Documents/2015/FMP/WKSP2/15_fmp_wksp2_017.pdf · Asia Pacific Financial Forum – Capital Market Developments

Asia Pacific Financial Forum – Capital Market Developments 8

Appendix

Page 11: Asia Pacific Financial Forum – Capital Market Developmentsmddb.apec.org/Documents/2015/FMP/WKSP2/15_fmp_wksp2_017.pdf · Asia Pacific Financial Forum – Capital Market Developments

Issuances dynamics in select Asian markets

Malaysian market is also the largest Sukuk market in ASEAN, with a relativelysmaller proportion of foreign issuances

Singapore has the highest percentage of foreign issuer issuances in the ASEANbond markets

16 40

14 35

12 30

10 25

8 20

6 15

4 10

2 5

00

2008 2009 2010

Domestic

2011 2012

Foreign

2013 20142008 2009 2010 2011

Islamic

2012 2013 2014

Conventional Foreign Issuers

Foreign issuances in CNH have remained small in proportionThailand has historically low foreign issuance with mainly Korean and Japaneseissuing local bonds to fund local subsidiaries

3,000 30

2,500 25

2,000 20

1,500 15

1,000 10

500 5

0 02008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2008 2009 2010

Domestic

2011 2012 2013 2014

Domestic Foreign Foreign

Asia Pacific Financial Forum – Capital Market Developments 9Source: Bloomberg, Asia Development Bank

TH

BB

on

dIs

su

an

ce

(US

DM

illio

ns)

SG

DB

on

dIs

su

an

ce

(US

Db

illio

ns)

CN

HB

on

dIs

su

an

ce

(US

Db

illio

ns)

MY

RB

on

dIs

su

an

ce

(US

Db

illio

ns)

846

676

1,845

1,332

829104 391 355

2

25

1

3

10

22

861 3

1

Thailand China

4.4 3.0

11.610.7

1.4

9.0

2.2

0.3

1.5

3.92.01.0

2

1

1 1

26

16 17

1 22

128

86

766

7 75 5

MalaysiaSingapore

Page 12: Asia Pacific Financial Forum – Capital Market Developmentsmddb.apec.org/Documents/2015/FMP/WKSP2/15_fmp_wksp2_017.pdf · Asia Pacific Financial Forum – Capital Market Developments

Asian issuances and bond market size comparison

US Dollar remains the main fundingcurrency for Asian issuers

2009 – YTD2015 Asian bond issuances by issue currency

250

200

150 USD78%

OffshoreCNY12%

100

HKD3%

SGD7%

50

Asian issuances by currencies 2014

0

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 YTD2015

USD Offshore SGD HKD IDR INR MYR TWD PHP KRW THB VNDCNY

Asia Pacific Financial Forum – Capital Market Developments 10Source: Asia Development Bank, Bloomberg, Eurostat

As

ian

Bo

nd

Issu

an

ce (U

Sd

bil

lio

ns)

SGD

OffshoreCNY

USD

Asian issuances were driven by mainly USD, CNH, SGD and HKD

Page 13: Asia Pacific Financial Forum – Capital Market Developmentsmddb.apec.org/Documents/2015/FMP/WKSP2/15_fmp_wksp2_017.pdf · Asia Pacific Financial Forum – Capital Market Developments

Local market regulatory overview

No restriction No restriction incorporated entities will enjoy No restriction

Issue rating is preferred for

recommended

the Singapore authorities remittance of funds to Sukuk format MoF only accepts applications

• Liquid swap market. SGD • Due to political uncertainty,use of proceeds must be

Sources: Standard Chartered Bank Asia Pacific Financial Forum – Capital Market Developments 11

Singapore CNH Malaysia Thailand

Accessibility for

international issuers

Documentation

Rating Requirement

Local Registration

Process

Other

Considerations

No restriction, but locally

tighter pricing

Standalone for MYR MTN

EMTN or Standalone EMTN or Standalone programme(can use existing Standalone

EMTN as a base)

Minimum “A-” rating required,

foreign issuers No requirement but preferred Local rating required local rating is highly

• No prior approvals required for • No approvals required for bond • Bank of Negara (BNM) • Approvals required from

issuance, but need to lodge issuance approvals required. BNM Ministry of Finance (MoF), Return on Debt Securities to • Filing with SAFE necessary for prefers foreign issuers in Bank of Thailand and SEC;

within 1 month from issue date. Mainland China • Securities Commission end of Mar, Jul & Nov;

approval minimum “A-” rating currently

required

• Both public and private • Access Asian & international • Local documentation in form of • MoF policy aims to promote

placement market investors in CNH MYR program allows for Thai debt capital market to

• Deal sizes range from USD 50- • Ticket sizes have recently multiple drawdowns foreign issuers

200m increased, reaching up to USD • Possibility of private and public • Execution process can be

• No additional approvals 50m eq. issuances complete within 6 – 8 weeks

required • Remittance to Mainland • Ability to access market on after the issuer receives

• A non-deal roadshow is possible short notice as documentation approval from the MoF

recommended to introduce • Limited liquidity in swap market is already in place • Secondary market is

new credits to local investors (both tenor & size) • Islamic issuance structure and traditionally very illiquid

proceeds can easily be Shariah compliant (ie. overall execution timeline could

swapped into USD. proceeds cannot be used for be longer

gambling, alcohol, commercial

lending, etc.)

Page 14: Asia Pacific Financial Forum – Capital Market Developmentsmddb.apec.org/Documents/2015/FMP/WKSP2/15_fmp_wksp2_017.pdf · Asia Pacific Financial Forum – Capital Market Developments

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