asia earthquake & tsunami december 26, 2004 overview and comparison to the cascadia subduction...

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ASIA EARTHQUAKE & TSUNAMI ASIA EARTHQUAKE & TSUNAMI December 26, 2004 December 26, 2004 OVERVIEW AND COMPARISON TO OVERVIEW AND COMPARISON TO THE CASCADIA SUBDUCTION ZONE THE CASCADIA SUBDUCTION ZONE Contributed by ASCE/TCLEE Reconnaissance Team Contributed by ASCE/TCLEE Reconnaissance Team members members Curtis Edwards, team leader Curtis Edwards, team leader *material is complied from publicly available sources *material is complied from publicly available sources

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Page 1: ASIA EARTHQUAKE & TSUNAMI December 26, 2004 OVERVIEW AND COMPARISON TO THE CASCADIA SUBDUCTION ZONE Contributed by ASCE/TCLEE Reconnaissance Team members

ASIA EARTHQUAKE & ASIA EARTHQUAKE & TSUNAMI December 26, 2004TSUNAMI December 26, 2004

OVERVIEW AND COMPARISON TO OVERVIEW AND COMPARISON TO THE CASCADIA SUBDUCTION THE CASCADIA SUBDUCTION

ZONEZONE

Contributed by ASCE/TCLEE Reconnaissance Team Contributed by ASCE/TCLEE Reconnaissance Team membersmembers

Curtis Edwards, team leaderCurtis Edwards, team leader

*material is complied from publicly available sources*material is complied from publicly available sources

Page 2: ASIA EARTHQUAKE & TSUNAMI December 26, 2004 OVERVIEW AND COMPARISON TO THE CASCADIA SUBDUCTION ZONE Contributed by ASCE/TCLEE Reconnaissance Team members

World’s Worst Subduction Zone World’s Worst Subduction Zone Quake DisasterQuake Disaster

What was it?What was it?

• Magnitude 9.0 Magnitude 9.0 Subduction Zone Subduction Zone EarthquakeEarthquake

What Happened?What Happened?

• Strong Ground Shaking Strong Ground Shaking for 3-7 Minutes for 3-7 Minutes

• Local and Distant Local and Distant TsunamisTsunamis

• Extensive human lossesExtensive human losses(Photo Source: unknown)

Page 3: ASIA EARTHQUAKE & TSUNAMI December 26, 2004 OVERVIEW AND COMPARISON TO THE CASCADIA SUBDUCTION ZONE Contributed by ASCE/TCLEE Reconnaissance Team members

Hotel That SurvivedHotel That Survived

• Nicest Hotel in Banda Nicest Hotel in Banda Aceh, SumatraAceh, Sumatra

• 5-Story Concrete Hotel 5-Story Concrete Hotel performed well performed well

(Lia Cut correspondence to YW, 1/20/05)

Page 4: ASIA EARTHQUAKE & TSUNAMI December 26, 2004 OVERVIEW AND COMPARISON TO THE CASCADIA SUBDUCTION ZONE Contributed by ASCE/TCLEE Reconnaissance Team members

Two Mosques That Withstood Two Mosques That Withstood The Tsunami ForcesThe Tsunami Forces

Banda Aceh, SumatraBanda Aceh, Sumatra

(Lia Cut correspondence to YW, 1/20/05 )

Page 5: ASIA EARTHQUAKE & TSUNAMI December 26, 2004 OVERVIEW AND COMPARISON TO THE CASCADIA SUBDUCTION ZONE Contributed by ASCE/TCLEE Reconnaissance Team members

Banda Aceh Shore, Banda Aceh Shore, IndonesiaIndonesiaBEFOREBEFORE

(http://homepage.mac.com/demark/tsunami/2.html)

Page 6: ASIA EARTHQUAKE & TSUNAMI December 26, 2004 OVERVIEW AND COMPARISON TO THE CASCADIA SUBDUCTION ZONE Contributed by ASCE/TCLEE Reconnaissance Team members

Banda Aceh Shore, Banda Aceh Shore, IndonesiaIndonesia

AFTERAFTER

(http://homepage.mac.com/demark/tsunami/2.html)

Page 7: ASIA EARTHQUAKE & TSUNAMI December 26, 2004 OVERVIEW AND COMPARISON TO THE CASCADIA SUBDUCTION ZONE Contributed by ASCE/TCLEE Reconnaissance Team members

Slope Failures Slope Failures & Tsunami Flooding& Tsunami Flooding

Slope failures along the bases of the hillsSlope failures along the bases of the hills

(Lia Cut correspondence to YW, 1/20/05)

Page 8: ASIA EARTHQUAKE & TSUNAMI December 26, 2004 OVERVIEW AND COMPARISON TO THE CASCADIA SUBDUCTION ZONE Contributed by ASCE/TCLEE Reconnaissance Team members

Tectonic Tectonic Setting and Setting and

Historic Historic SeismicitySeismicity

(Indian plate (Indian plate under Burma under Burma

plate)plate)

(USGS, http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqinthenews/2004/usslav/)

Page 9: ASIA EARTHQUAKE & TSUNAMI December 26, 2004 OVERVIEW AND COMPARISON TO THE CASCADIA SUBDUCTION ZONE Contributed by ASCE/TCLEE Reconnaissance Team members

Magnitude 9.0 Earthquake Magnitude 9.0 Earthquake Shaking Felt Across the Indian Shaking Felt Across the Indian

OceanOcean

(IRIS, www.iris.iris.edu/sumatra/ and http://pasadena.wr.usgs.gov/shake/ous/STORE/Xslav_04/ciim_display.html)

Page 10: ASIA EARTHQUAKE & TSUNAMI December 26, 2004 OVERVIEW AND COMPARISON TO THE CASCADIA SUBDUCTION ZONE Contributed by ASCE/TCLEE Reconnaissance Team members

Tsunami Tsunami Travel Times Travel Times

and Estimated and Estimated Wave HeightsWave Heights

(USGS, http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqinthenews/2004/usslav/tsustats.gif, NASA, http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/NaturalHazards/natural_hazards_v2.php3?img_id=12645)

Page 11: ASIA EARTHQUAKE & TSUNAMI December 26, 2004 OVERVIEW AND COMPARISON TO THE CASCADIA SUBDUCTION ZONE Contributed by ASCE/TCLEE Reconnaissance Team members

Total Destruction at Total Destruction at Phi Phi Island, ThailandPhi Phi Island, Thailand

Film location for Film location for

““The Beach” starring The Beach” starring Leonardo DiCaprioLeonardo DiCaprio

(Asian Institute of Technology, Working paper on AIT’s Response to the Earthquake and Tsunami in South and Southeast Asia, 2005)

Page 12: ASIA EARTHQUAKE & TSUNAMI December 26, 2004 OVERVIEW AND COMPARISON TO THE CASCADIA SUBDUCTION ZONE Contributed by ASCE/TCLEE Reconnaissance Team members

Sites to be Sites to be investigated by investigated by U.S. engineering U.S. engineering team from ASCE team from ASCE

and EERIand EERI

US Engineering Team Base

(Source: Thailand DMR and AIT seminar)

Page 13: ASIA EARTHQUAKE & TSUNAMI December 26, 2004 OVERVIEW AND COMPARISON TO THE CASCADIA SUBDUCTION ZONE Contributed by ASCE/TCLEE Reconnaissance Team members

Sumatra-Andaman Islands Sumatra-Andaman Islands Earthquake & Tsunami Earthquake & Tsunami

StatisticsStatistics• Date: Sunday, December 26, 2004Date: Sunday, December 26, 2004• Region: Off W Coast of N. Sumatra, IndonesiaRegion: Off W Coast of N. Sumatra, Indonesia• Magnitude: 9.0, Type: Subduction ZoneMagnitude: 9.0, Type: Subduction Zone• Depth: about 30 km (18.6 miles) Depth: about 30 km (18.6 miles) • Rupture Length: >700-mile section plate shifted Rupture Length: >700-mile section plate shifted • Tsunamis: Caused massive tsunamis Tsunamis: Caused massive tsunamis • Direct Fatalities from shaking and tsunami: Direct Fatalities from shaking and tsunami:

Over 225,000Over 225,000• Indirect Losses: Infrastructure continuity, fire, Indirect Losses: Infrastructure continuity, fire,

disease, looting, food-water-fuel-medical shortagesdisease, looting, food-water-fuel-medical shortages

Page 14: ASIA EARTHQUAKE & TSUNAMI December 26, 2004 OVERVIEW AND COMPARISON TO THE CASCADIA SUBDUCTION ZONE Contributed by ASCE/TCLEE Reconnaissance Team members

FiresFires

Flames spread on the debris-strewn Flames spread on the debris-strewn coast of Aceh Provincecoast of Aceh Province

CStrand correspondence to YW, 1/25/05

Page 15: ASIA EARTHQUAKE & TSUNAMI December 26, 2004 OVERVIEW AND COMPARISON TO THE CASCADIA SUBDUCTION ZONE Contributed by ASCE/TCLEE Reconnaissance Team members

Hazardous FuelsHazardous Fuels

Scattered Drums from Scattered Drums from Government-owned Pertamina Government-owned Pertamina

Oil companyOil company

(CStrand correspondence to YW, 1/25/05)

Unsafe distribution of fuel, Unsafe distribution of fuel, Aceh Province, IndonesiaAceh Province, Indonesia

Page 16: ASIA EARTHQUAKE & TSUNAMI December 26, 2004 OVERVIEW AND COMPARISON TO THE CASCADIA SUBDUCTION ZONE Contributed by ASCE/TCLEE Reconnaissance Team members

Comparison of Plate Tectonic Comparison of Plate Tectonic SettingsSettings

CascadiaCascadia Sunda TrenchSunda Trench

(USGS, http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqinthenews/2004/usslav/)

Page 17: ASIA EARTHQUAKE & TSUNAMI December 26, 2004 OVERVIEW AND COMPARISON TO THE CASCADIA SUBDUCTION ZONE Contributed by ASCE/TCLEE Reconnaissance Team members

Comparison of U.S. & Indonesia Comparison of U.S. & Indonesia Shaking MapsShaking Maps

PGA 10 % probability of being PGA 10 % probability of being exceeded in the next 50 exceeded in the next 50

years on rock site years on rock site

(USGS, http://eqhazmaps.usgs.gov)

PGA 10 % probability of being PGA 10 % probability of being exceeded in the next 50 yrs exceeded in the next 50 yrs

on rock site on rock site

(USGS, http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/world/indonesia/gshap.html)

Page 18: ASIA EARTHQUAKE & TSUNAMI December 26, 2004 OVERVIEW AND COMPARISON TO THE CASCADIA SUBDUCTION ZONE Contributed by ASCE/TCLEE Reconnaissance Team members

Comparison of StatisticsComparison of StatisticsSumatra EarthquakeSumatra Earthquake Cascadia Model QuakeCascadia Model Quake

•Magnitude 9.0Magnitude 9.0

•Shaking for 3-7 Shaking for 3-7 minutesminutes

•Generated TsunamiGenerated Tsunami

•High Consequence High Consequence eventevent

•Long term recoveryLong term recovery

•About 225k fatalitiesAbout 225k fatalities

•Cost unknownCost unknown

•Tsunami Hit 11 Tsunami Hit 11 countriescountries

•Magnitude 8.5Magnitude 8.5

•Minutes of ShakingMinutes of Shaking

•Generates TsunamiGenerates Tsunami

•High Consequence High Consequence eventevent

•Long term recoveryLong term recovery

•Est. >5k fatalities (in Est. >5k fatalities (in OR)OR)

•Est. building damage Est. building damage

$12 billion$12 billion

Page 19: ASIA EARTHQUAKE & TSUNAMI December 26, 2004 OVERVIEW AND COMPARISON TO THE CASCADIA SUBDUCTION ZONE Contributed by ASCE/TCLEE Reconnaissance Team members

Sumatra-quake Sumatra-quake Rupture Rupture Length Length (arrow) (arrow)

Compared to Compared to Cascadia Cascadia

Subduction Subduction ZoneZone

(USGS, http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqinthenews/2004/usslav/rupture_area-nw.html)