artificial intelligence applications in power system control

25
Artificial Intelligence Artificial Intelligence Applications in Applications in Power System Control Power System Control Chen-Ching Liu University College Dublin Ireland 2010 EDF Workshop: Energy Systems Simulation and Modeling Sponsored by Science Foundation Ireland, EPRI, EPRC Iowa State, US NSF, US DoD Artificial Intelligence Applications Artificial Intelligence Applications to Power Systems to Power Systems •Rule-based systems •Expert systems/Knowledge-based systems •Artificial neural networks •Fuzzy logic •Evolutionary algorithms •Multi-agent systems •Other AI techniques •Lessons learned

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Page 1: Artificial Intelligence Applications in Power System Control

Artificial Intelligence Artificial Intelligence Applications in Applications in

Power System ControlPower System Control

Chen-Ching LiuUniversity College Dublin

Ireland

2010 EDF Workshop: Energy Systems Simulation and Modeling

Sponsored by Science Foundation Ireland, EPRI, EPRC Iowa State, US NSF, US DoD

Artificial Intelligence Applications Artificial Intelligence Applications to Power Systemsto Power Systems

•Rule-based systems•Expert systems/Knowledge-based systems•Artificial neural networks•Fuzzy logic•Evolutionary algorithms•Multi-agent systems•Other AI techniques•Lessons learned

Page 2: Artificial Intelligence Applications in Power System Control

Feeder Service RestorationFeeder Service Restoration

� One of the most important function of Distribution Management Systems

� Problem has combinatorial nature�Deals with on/off status of the switches

� KEPRI service restoration system�Considers multiple criteria

KEPRI – Korea Electric Power Research Cooperation

Restoration StrategyRestoration Strategy

� Phase I : Generate candidate set�Constructs set of feasible plans

�Applies six basic schemes

�Constraints: line current, voltage drop

� Phase II : Select most preferable plan�Considers multiple criteria

KEPRI – Korea Electric Power Research Cooperation

Page 3: Artificial Intelligence Applications in Power System Control

PHASE IIPHASE IISelect most preferable planSelect most preferable plan

� Evaluation method�Fuzzy decision making

� Criteria�Number of switching actions

�Load balancing

�Amount of live load transfer

�Contingency preparedness

KEPRI – Korea Electric Power Research Cooperation

Example Example –– Service RestorationService RestorationFault occurs on the feederFault occurs on the feeder

DMSControl Center

Fault Current

F3

F6

F9

F2

F10

F8

F4

F7

F5

KEPRI – Korea Electric Power Research Cooperation

Page 4: Artificial Intelligence Applications in Power System Control

Example Example –– Service RestorationService RestorationProtective relay opens CBProtective relay opens CB

DMSControl Center

TripOC(G)R

Open

F3

F6

F9

F2

F10

F8

F4

F7

F5

KEPRI – Korea Electric Power Research Cooperation

Example Example –– Service RestorationService RestorationFaulted section identificationFaulted section identification

DMSControl Center

FI set

FI report

F3

F6

F9

F2

F10

F8

F4

F7

F5

KEPRI – Korea Electric Power Research Cooperation

Page 5: Artificial Intelligence Applications in Power System Control

Example Example –– Service RestorationService RestorationFaulted section isolationFaulted section isolation

DMSControl Center

Close

OpenOpen

Section restored

F3

F6

F9

F2

F10

F8

F4

F7

F5

KEPRI – Korea Electric Power Research Cooperation

Example Example –– Service RestorationService RestorationOutage area to be transferredOutage area to be transferred

DMSControl Center

Outage area

F3

F6

F9

F2

F10

F8

F4

F7

F5

KEPRI – Korea Electric Power Research Cooperation

Page 6: Artificial Intelligence Applications in Power System Control

Example Example –– Service RestorationService RestorationExecute restoration plan Execute restoration plan

DMSControl Center

Outage area

Close

F3

F6

F9

F2

F10

F8

F4

F7

F5

KEPRI – Korea Electric Power Research Cooperation

Example Example –– Service RestorationService RestorationField crewField crew

DMSControl Center

F3

F6

F9

F2

F10

F8

F4

F7

F5

KEPRI – Korea Electric Power Research Cooperation

Page 7: Artificial Intelligence Applications in Power System Control

Benefits Benefits

Labor savings due to reduced patrol and manual switching time (typically small $ benefit)Reduction in unserved energy due to power being restored more quickly for some customers (typically small $ benefit)Minimum operation time (a few minutes)

Automatic reclosing time Communication time Operator decision making time

SAIDI and CAIDI should be reduced significantly

Restoration Plan GenerationRestoration Plan Generation

Operating center generates restoration plans for all possible faults scenarios

Korean patent (pending): NPTC Center, ”Distributed Control Based Service Restoration”, Oct 2005

Page 8: Artificial Intelligence Applications in Power System Control

Download Switching PlanDownload Switching Plan

Download switching plans to feeder RTUs on the pole

Korean patent (pending): NPTC Center, ”Distributed Control Based Service Restoration”

Fault DetectionFault Detection

OCR Trip

If fault occurs on the feeder, protective device detects the fault and trip circuit breaker

Korean patent (pending): NPTC Center, ”Distributed Control Based Service Restoration”

Page 9: Artificial Intelligence Applications in Power System Control

Faulted Section IdentificationFaulted Section Identification

Feeder RTUs on the feeder identify faulted section peer to peer communication (Ethernet, Telephone)

Korean patent (pending): NPTC Center, ”Distributed Control Based Service Restoration”

Faulted Section IsolationFaulted Section Isolation

OpenOpen

Open the switches surrounding faulted section to isolate fault from unfaulted sections of the feeder

Korean patent (pending): NPTC Center, ”Distributed Control Based Service Restoration”

Page 10: Artificial Intelligence Applications in Power System Control

Service RestorationService Restoration

Close

Close

Restore service to unfaulted sections of the feeder by closing circuit breaker and tie switches

Korean patent (pending): NPTC Center, ”Distributed Control Based Service Restoration”

Reporting & Crew Dispatch Reporting & Crew Dispatch

Close

Close

All feeder RTUs involving the fault report to the control center. Crews repair faulted section and return network to normal

Korean patent (pending): NPTC Center, ”Distributed Control Based Service Restoration”

Page 11: Artificial Intelligence Applications in Power System Control

Future Service RestorationFuture Service Restoration

� Technology� Multi-agent system� Ethernet based peer to peer

communication� Combine protection and restoration

� Expected benefits� Reduce outage times � Operator supervision in restoration

planningKorean patent (pending): NPTC Center, ”Distributed Control Based Service Restoration” 22

Literature Survey on Day Ahead Literature Survey on Day Ahead Electricity Price ForecastingElectricity Price Forecasting

Electricity Price Forecasting

Equilibrium analysis

Strategic Production Cost

[Batlle 05]

Artificial -agent strategic simu .

[Bunn 00]

Simulation methods

MAPS [Bastian 99]

MMOPF [Deb 00]

Statistical methods

Econometrics

Modular time series [Koreneff

98]

Combined time-series & stochastic

[Kian 01]

ARIMA [Contreras 03]

Dynamic regression

[Nogales 02]

TARSW with wavelet filter

[Stevenson 01]

Bayesian-based classification with

AR [Ni 01]

Time series

Two-variance [Ethier 98]

Mean reversion jump diffusion [Deng 98, 00]

Load driven price [Skantze 00]

Mean reversion [Lucia 00]

Bivariate Prob . Distribution

[Valenzuela 01]

Intelligent Systems

3-layered BP NN [Szkuta 98, Gao

00]

Fuzzy filtered NN[Wang 98]

FFT/FHT filtered NN [Nicolaisen

00]

Recurrent NN[Hong 02]

NN Committee machine [Guo 04]

EKF-based NN [Zhang 02]

Cascaded NN [Zhang 03]

Fuzzy-neuro AR [Niimura 02]

Other statistical methods

PDF estimation [Conejo 02]

Volatility analysis [Benini 02]

Transfer function [Nogales 02]

IOHMM[Gonzalez 05]

GARCH[Garcia 05]

ARIMA with Wavelet filter [Conejo 05]

Neuro Fuzzy [Rodriguez 04]

TSK fuzzy model [Zhang 00]

Electricity Price Forecasting

Non-statistical Equilibrium Simulation

Statistical

Time Series Volatility

Intelligent Systems

Econometrics

Page 12: Artificial Intelligence Applications in Power System Control

23

Proposed Integrated SystemProposed Integrated System

Temporal Indices

Zonal/Area-Wide Loads

Historical Prices

Transmission ConstraintsMarginal

Cost

Input

Fuzzy Inference System (FIS)

Least-Squares

Estimation (LSE)

FIS-LSE

Fuzzy C-MeansVoting System Lerner

Index Calcula-

tion

Applications to Market Participants

Applications to Market Operators

Day-Ahead Price Forecasts

Price-Cost Markup Forecasts

Output

24

Forecasted PECO Zonal LMPs in 2004Forecasted PECO Zonal LMPs in 2004

0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 16020

40

60

80

100

120

Hour (20041212h1-20041218h24)

Pric

e (

$/M

Wh

)

FISFIS-LSELS EVotingReal

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 500

5

10

15

20

Week (20040104h1-20041231h24)

RM

S E

rror

($/M

Wh)

LSEFISFIS-LSEVoting

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 505

10

15

20

25

Week (20040104h1-20041231h24)Abso

lute

Per

cent

age

Err

or (

%)

LSEFISFIS-LSEVoting

A weekly example Weekly RMSE and MAPE

Page 13: Artificial Intelligence Applications in Power System Control

25

An Example of Nonlinear Relation of An Example of Nonlinear Relation of Variables in the Rule BaseVariables in the Rule Base

EarlyMiddle

La te LowMedium

High

Very Low

Low

Medium

High

Yesterday DA Price ($/MWh)Weekday

For

ecas

ted

DA

Pric

e ($

/MW

h)

Strategic Power Infrastructure Defense Strategic Power Infrastructure Defense (SPID)(SPID)

Design self-healing strategies and adaptive reconfiguration schemes

�To achieve autonomous, adaptive, and preventive remedial control actions

�To provide adaptive/intelligent protection

�To minimize the impact of power system vulnerability

Page 14: Artificial Intelligence Applications in Power System Control

Concept of SPIDConcept of SPID

FailureAnalysis

Self-HealingStrategies

VulnerabilityAssessment

Informationand

SensingReal-Time

Security

Robustness

Dependability

Power Infrastructure

•Satellite, Internet•Communication system monitoring and control

Hidden failure monitoring

Adaptive: load shedding, generation rejection, islanding, protection

Fast and on-line power & comm.

system assessment

MultiMulti --Agent System for SPID Agent System for SPID

� Distributed system design�Problems are too heterogeneous,

complex, and distributed� Coordination and communication

methods for agents knowledge-level interactions

� Agent’s adaptive capability �Power systems dynamic and random

Page 15: Artificial Intelligence Applications in Power System Control

MultiMulti --Agent System for SPIDAgent System for SPID

REACTIVE LAYER

COORDINATION LAYER

DELIBERATIVE LAYER

Knowledge/Decision exchange

Protection Agents

GenerationAgents

Fault Isolation Agents

FrequencyStabilityAgents

ModelUpdateAgents

CommandInterpretation

Agents

PlanningAgent

RestorationAgents

HiddenFailure

Monitoring Agents ReconfigurationAgents

VulnerabilityAssessment

Agents

Power System

Controls

Inhibition Signal

Controls

Plans/Decisions

EventIdentification

Agents

Triggering Events

Event/AlarmFilteringAgents

Events/Alarms

Inputs

Update Model CheckConsistency

Comm.Agent

MultiMulti --Agent System for SPID Agent System for SPID

� Subsumption Architecture (Brooks) for Coordination

� Agents in the higher layer can block the control actions of agents in lower layers

Load SheddingAgent

Global View/Goal(s)

R

Under Frequency RelayLocal View/Goal(s) Tripping Signal

Inhibition Signal

Page 16: Artificial Intelligence Applications in Power System Control

SPID Simulation SPID Simulation Vulnerability Assessment AgentVulnerability Assessment Agent

Event Identification AgentEvent Identification Agent Load Shedding AgentLoad Shedding Agent

Load Status MonitoringLoad Status Monitoring

FIPA Communication

Vulnerability Index Indicator

Adaptive Learning

Communication

Cascaded Zone 3 OperationsCascaded Zone 3 OperationsZone 3 Relay Operations Contributed to Causes of Blackouts.

Heavy Loaded Line

Low Voltage

High Current

Lower Impedance Seen by Relay

Loss of Transmission Lines

Other Heavy Loaded Lines

Zone 3 Relay

Operation(s)

Catastrophic Outage

Page 17: Artificial Intelligence Applications in Power System Control

33

Prediction of Zone 3 Relay Tripping Based on OnPrediction of Zone 3 Relay Tripping Based on On --Line Steady State Security Assessment Line Steady State Security Assessment

Case Relay Status Contingency Description

1 N/A Secure 3 phase fault at bus 1

2 Zone3 Insecure 3 phase fault at bus 2

.. …

N Secure 3 phase fault at bus N

Case Relay Status Contingency Description

1 N/A Secure 3 phase fault at bus 1

2 Zone3 Insecure 3 phase fault at bus 2

.. …

N Secure 3 phase fault at bus N

Case Relay Status Contingency Description

1 N/A Secure 3 phase fault at bus 1

2 Zone3 Insecure 3 phase fault at bus 2

.. …

N Secure 3 phase fault at bus N

Case Relay Status Contingency Description

1 N/A Secure 3 phase fault at bus 1

2 Zone 3 Insecure 3 phase fault at bus 2

.. …

N N/A Secure 3 phase fault at bus N

…Contingency Evaluation Performed On Line

Contingency Evaluation

Post-Contingency Power Flow

Post-Contingency Apparent Impedance

Corrected Post-ContingencyApparent Impedance

FISFuzzy Inference System (FIS) Developed Using Off-Line Time-Domain Simulations

34

Automatic Development of Fuzzy Rule BaseAutomatic Development of Fuzzy Rule Base

Wang & Mendel’s algorithm is a “learning” algorithm:1) One can combine measured information and

human linguistic information into a common framework2) Simple and straightforward one-pass build up procedure3) There is flexibility in choosing the membership functionPre-determine number of

membership functions NGive input and outputdata sets

In this example, N is 7

(Inp1, Inp2, Out) = (10, 1, -2)(Inp1, Inp2, Out) = (8, 3, -1)(Inp1, Inp2, Out) = (5, 6, -4)(Inp1, Inp2, Out) = (2, 8, -5)…

FIScreated

automatically

Page 18: Artificial Intelligence Applications in Power System Control

35

Case A

86

157

181

182

113

32

31

79

74

66 65

184

75 73

7669

68

70

7782

9591

92

93

94

96

97

98

83

168

169

170

171

114

172

173

111

120

121

122

123

124

125

115

100

101

105106

117

116

132

133

134

104

118

108

107

110

89

90

88

87180 81 99 84

156

161162

85

36 186187

183

185

188

189

� 21

6

11

18

190

5

17

8 9

10

72914

192193194

139

13

21

20

2627

148147

195

191

163

158 159167 155 165

164

166

16045 44

64

63

37

178176

179177

142

46 4839

230-287kV

109

112

11-22kV

Substation

12

138

28

135

126

127

128

129

130

131

175

174

67

72197

196

198

200

78

199

80

71

Relay Location

Fault Location

36

-0.01

0

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.07

0 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.1

R [PU]

X [

PU

]

Impedance LocusZone 3 CircleZ Obtained by Power Flow CalculationCorrected Z Obtained by FISPost-Contingency Z Obtained by Time-Domain Simulation

Pre-fault

Line Tripping by Zone 3 relay

Impedance on RImpedance on R --X (Case A)X (Case A)

Case A

Z obtained by power flow solution is outside Zone 3 circle.

Page 19: Artificial Intelligence Applications in Power System Control

LOAD SHEDDINGLOAD SHEDDING

� Studies have shown that the August 10 th 1996 blackout could have been prevented if just 0.4% of the total system load had been dropped for 30 minutes.

� According to the Final NERC Report on August 14, 2003, Blackout, at least 1,500 to 2,500 MW of load in Cleveland-Akron area had to be shed, prior to the l oss of the 345-kV Sammis-Star line, to prevent the blackout.

Adaptive SelfAdaptive Self --healing:healing:Load Shedding AgentLoad Shedding Agent

� A control action might fail� Unsupervised adaptive learning method

should be deployed � Reinforcement Learning

� Autonomous learning method based on interactions with the agent’s environment

� If an action is followed by a satisfactory state, the tendency to produce the action is strengthened

Page 20: Artificial Intelligence Applications in Power System Control

Adaptive SelfAdaptive Self --healing:healing:Load Shedding Agent Load Shedding Agent

� The 179 bus system resembling the WSCC system

� ETMSP simulation� Remote load shedding scheme based

on frequency decline + frequency decline rate

� Temporal Difference (TD) method is used for adaptation: Need to find the learning factor for convergence

Adaptive Adaptive Load Shedding AgentLoad Shedding Agent

State 1 State 2 State 3

Freq := 59.5

Dec.rate > threshold value

Freq := 58.8

Dec.rate > threshold value

Freq := 58.6

Dec.rate > threshold value

179 bus system

Page 21: Artificial Intelligence Applications in Power System Control

Adaptive Adaptive Load Shedding Agent Load Shedding Agent

0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 1800

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

a =0.55

a =0.75

Number of trials

Nor

mal

ized

freq

uen

cy

Expected normalized system frequency that makes the system stable

“The load shedding agent is able to find the proper control action in an adaptive manner based on responses from the power system”

“The load shedding agent is able to find the proper control action in an adaptive manner based on responses from the power system”

Intelligence, Agents and Smart Grids: Intelligence, Agents and Smart Grids: The Electric Power System of the Near The Electric Power System of the Near

Future?Future?

Professor Stephen McArthur

U. [email protected]

Page 22: Artificial Intelligence Applications in Power System Control

AuRA-NMS: Au tonomous Regional Active Network Management System

Multi-agent System Technology plays a key role in the AuRA-NMSArchitecture

Scope of Automation & Control:� Restoration - reduce customer minutes lost (CML)� Reconfiguration - reduce customer interruptions (CI)� Voltage Control � Management of Constrained Connections � Proactive Network Optimisation - e.g. reduction of losses� Explanation of Control Actions*

Using:� Distributed hardware

(ABB COM600 Industrial PC)� Distributed, agent based, control

software

Aim to provide:� Plug and play functionality� Flexibility and extensibility� Enhanced network control� An AURA controller is not a single

device� AURA software exploits hardware

redundancy� Initial functions:

� Thermal Management � Voltage Control � Reconfiguration

Page 23: Artificial Intelligence Applications in Power System Control

Action / Task / Goal Reasoning

AgentComms.

Standards AuRA-NMSFunction

AuRA-NMS Agent

Autonomous behaviour:– Automatically planning and executing network management functions– Automatically reacting to control decisions from other AuRA-NMS functions– Negotiation and arbitration to determine correct actions to take

System integration:– New agents automatically integrate with existing control functions– Agent communications standards (FIPA)– Ontologies and content languages for interoperability– Harmonisation with CIM and IEC 61850

MAS technology: Autonomy & System Integration EPSRC Supergen 5 Demonstrator EPSRC Supergen 5 Demonstrator

Using MAS and Intelligent Systems forUsing MAS and Intelligent Systems forNational GridNational Grid

- Two sister transformers

- Manufacturer: GEC Witton

- 275/132kV, 180MVA

- One fine, one in poorer health

- Transfix on-line dissolved gas monitoring

- Over 30 sensors added to oil cooling circuit, main tank, pumps

and fans.

Page 24: Artificial Intelligence Applications in Power System Control

KnowledgeKnowledge--based Agentbased Agent

Intelligent systems for diagnostics

Self-learning monitoring systems:

AI & statistical techniques to learn normal

behaviour:

Monitoring Architecture

Vendor Personnel or

Site Engineers

Primary Control Center Network

Substation 1 Network

`

Application Servers

SCADA Servers

Database Servers

` `

Modem

Data Concentrator

User Interfaces Dispatcher

Training Simulators

User Interfaces

Router

Firewall

Firewall

Firewall

Application Servers

SCADA Servers

Database Servers

`

`

User Interfaces

Dispatcher Training Simulators

Firewall Secondary Control Center Network

Modem

Corporate WAN

Modem

Other Corporate Networks

Substation n Network`

Data Concentrator

User Interfaces

Router

Firewall

Modem

Dedicated Line

Remote Access Network through Dial -up, VPN,

or Wireless

Modem

Modem

Primary Alive?

Primary Alive?

Real-time Monitoring

Real-time Monitoring

Anomaly Corelation

Anomaly Corelation

Substation Networks

Control Center Networks

Real-time MonitoringAnomaly

Detection

Impact AnalysisMitigation

Cyber Security Monitoring and MitigationCyber Security Monitoring and Mitigation

Page 25: Artificial Intelligence Applications in Power System Control

ICT in Smart Grid

Further InformationFurther Information� C.C. Liu, S.J. Lee, S.S. Venkata, “An Expert System Operational Aid for Restoration and Loss Reduction of Distribution Systems”

IEEE Trans. Power Systems, May 1988, pp. 619-626.� S. I. Lim, S. J. Lee, M. S. Choi, D. J. Lim, and B. N. Ha, “Service Restoration Methodology for Multiple Fault Case in Distribution

Systems,” IEEE Trans. Power Systems, Nov. 2006.� G. Li, C. C. Liu, C. Mattson, and J. Lawarree, “Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting in a Grid Environment,” IEEE Trans. Power

Systems, Feb. 2007, pp. 266-274.� C. C. Liu, J. Jung, G. Heydt, V. Vittal, and A. Phadke, “Strategic Power Infrastructure Defense (SPID) System: A Conceptual Design,”

IEEE Control Systems Magazine, Aug. 2000, pp. 40-52. � J. Jung, C. C. Liu, S. Tanimoto, and V. Vittal, “Adaptation in Load Shedding under Vulnerable Operating Conditions,” IEEE Trans.

Power Systems, Nov. 2002, pp. 1199-1205.� K. Yamashita, J. Li, C. C. Liu, P. Zhang, and M. Hafmann, “Learning to Recognize Vulnerable Patterns Due to Undesirable Zone-3

Relay Operations,” IEEJ Trans. Electrical and Electronic Engineering, May 2009, pp. 322-333.� H. Li, G. Rosenwald, J. Jung, and C. C. Liu, “Strategic Power Infrastructure Defense,” Proceedings of the IEEE, May 2005, pp. 918-

933.� V. M. Catterson, S. E. Rudd, S. D. J. McArthur, and G. Moss, “On Line Transformer Condition Monitoring through Diagnostics and

Anomaly Detection, “ ISAP 2009.� E. M. Davidson, S. D. J. McArthur, J. McDonald, “Exploiting Intelligent Systems Techniques within an Autonomous Regional Active

Network management System,” IEEE PES GM 2009.� C. W. Ten, C. C. Liu, and M. Govindarasu, “Vulnerability Assessment of Cybersecurity for SCADA Systems," IEEE Trans. on Power

Systems, vol. 23, no. 4, pp. 1836-1846, Nov. 2008.