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  • 8/3/2019 Article CSM December FDI in Retail

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    To be or Not To be..

    FDI in Retail

    The Union cabinet on 24 November

    2011 approved 51 per cent foreigndirect investment (FDI) in multi-

    brand retail. The Cabinet also decided

    to raise the cap on foreign investment

    in single-brand retailing to 100 per

    cent from 51 per cent. An estimated

    Rs 30-lakh-crore retail sector was

    thus opened to foreign investors by

    clearing a bill that allows 51 per cent

    investment in multi-brand retail.The

    decision being perceived as game-

    changer for the estimated USD 590

    billion (Rs 29.50 lakh crore) retail

    market was taken at the meeting of

    the Cabinet presided over by Prime

    Minister Manmohan Singh.

    India currently allows 51 percent for-

    eign investment in single-brand retail-

    ers and 100 percent for wholesale op-

    erations but no FDI in multi-brand

    retail.

    The major provisions for FDI invest-ment include that the minimum in-

    vestment will have to be $100 mil-

    lion. Retail stores will only be allowedin cities with more than one million

    people. Also it will be mandatory for

    retailers to source a minimum 30 per

    cent of the value of manufactured

    goods, barring food products, from

    small and medium enterprises. Invest-

    ment up to 50 per cent will have to

    be in storage and back-end infrastruc-

    ture. India being a signatory to World

    Trade Organisations General Agree-

    ment on Trade in Services, which in-

    clude wholesale and retailing ser-

    vices, had to open up the retail trade

    sector to foreign investment. There

    were initial reservations towards

    opening up of retail sector arising

    from fear of job losses, procurement

    from international market, competi-

    tion and loss of entrepreneurial op-

    portunities. FDI in cash and carry or

    wholesale trade, was allowed wayback in 1997 during the United Front

    Government. Foreign investment of

    up to 51 per cent in single brand re-tailing came to India in January 2006.

    The Union government further as-

    serted that 30 per cent sourcing un-

    der FDI in multi-brand retail has been

    made mandatory from Indian MSEs

    only. The government highlighted

    that the 30 per cent obligation before

    the global players is limited to India.

    The governments explanation came

    amidst protests from the opposition

    and the micro and small enterprises

    (MSEs).According to governments

    previous stand, the overseas players

    have to do 30 per cent of their sourc-

    ing from MSEs which, however, can

    be done from anywhere in the world

    and is not India-specific. The only

    condition placed was that these

    MSEs must not have more than $1

    million [Rs.5 crore] investment in

    plant and machinery.In 2004, The High Court of Delhi

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    Indian retail sector to reach $496 bil-

    lion by 2011-12 and ICRIER has also

    come to conclusion that investment

    of big money (large corporates and

    FDI) in the retail sector would in the

    long run not harm interests of small,traditional, retailers. In light of the

    above, it can be safely concluded that

    allowing healthy FDI in the retail sec-

    tor would not only lead to a substan-

    tial surge in the countrys GDP and

    overall economic development, but

    would inter alia also help in integrat-

    ing the Indian retail market with that

    of the global retail market in addi-

    tion to providing not just employ-ment but a better paying employment,

    which the unorganized sector (kirana

    and other small time retailing shops)

    have undoubtedly failed to provide

    to the masses employed in them.

    Concerns

    It is feared that, it would lead to un-

    fair competition and ultimately result

    in large-scale exit of domestic retail-

    ers, especially the small family man-

    aged outlets, leading to large scale dis-

    placement of persons employed in

    the retail sector. Further, as the manu-

    facturing sector has not been grow-

    ing fast enough, the persons displaced

    from the retail sector would not be

    absorbed there. Another concern is

    that the Indian retail sector, particu-

    larly organized retail, is still under-

    developed and in a nascent stage and

    that, therefore, it is important that

    the domestic retail sector is allowed

    to grow and consolidate first, beforeopening this sector to foreign inves-

    tors. Antagonists of FDI in retail sec-

    tor oppose the same on various

    grounds, like, that the entry of large

    global retailers such as Wal-Mart

    would kill local shops and millions of

    jobs, since the unorganized retail sec-tor employs an enormous percentage

    of Indian population after the agri-

    culture sector; secondly that the glo-

    bal retailers would conspire and ex-

    ercise monopolistic power to raise

    prices and monopolistic (big buying)

    power to reduce the prices received

    by the suppliers; thirdly, it would lead

    to asymmetrical growth in cities,

    causing discontent and social tensionelsewhere. Hence, both the consum-

    ers and the suppliers would lose,

    while the profit margins of such re-

    tail chains would go up.

    Argument that only foreign players

    can create the supply chain for farm

    produce is bogus. International retail

    players have no role in building roads

    or generating power. They are only

    required to create storage facilities

    and cold chains. This could be done

    by governments in India. Move will

    lead to large-scale job losses. Inter-

    national experience shows supermar-

    kets invariably displace small retail-

    ers. Small retail has virtually been

    wiped out in developed countries like

    the US and in Europe. South East

    Asian countries had to impose strin-

    gent zoning and licensing regulations

    to restrict growth of supermarketsafter small retailers were getting dis-

    placed. Fragmented markets give

    larger options to consumers. Consoli-

    dated markets make the consumer

    captive. Allowing foreign players with

    deep pockets leads to consolidation.

    International retail does not create

    additional markets, it merely dis-

    places existing markets. India has the

    highest shopping density in the worldwith 11 shops per 1,000 people. It has

    1.2 crore shops employing over 4

    crore people; 95% of these are small

    shops run by self-employed people.

    Global retail giants will resort to

    predatory pricing to create mo-

    nopoly/ oligopoly. This can result inessentials, including food supplies,

    being controlled by foreign organiza-

    tions. Jobs in the manufacturing sec-

    tor will be lost because structured

    international retail makes purchases

    internationally and not from domes-

    tic sources. This has been the experi-

    ence of most countries which have

    allowed FDI in retail. Comparison

    between India and China is mis-placed. China is predominantly a

    manufacturing economy. It's the larg-

    est supplier to Wal-Mart and other

    international majors. It obviously can-

    not say no to these chains opening

    stores in China when it is a global

    supplier to them. India in contrast will

    lose both manufacturing and services

    jobs.

    Conclusion

    Conclusively we can say that FDI in

    retail has the both positive as well as

    negative aspects of it ,but what we

    should consider before jumping on

    any conclusion that fears of small

    shopkeepers getting displaced are

    vastly exaggerated. When domestic

    majors were allowed to invest in re-tail, both supermarket chains and

    neighbourhood pop-and-mom stores

    coexisted. If anything, the entry of

    retail big boys is likely to hot up com-

    petition, giving consumers a better

    deal, both in prices and choices. Mega

    retail chains need to keep price points

    low and attractive - that's the USP

    of their business. This is done by

    smart procurement and inventory

    management: Good practices from

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    which Indian retail can also learn. The argument that farmers will suffer once global retail has developed a virtual

    monopoly is also weak. To begin with, it's very unlikely that global retail will ever become monopolies. Stores like

    Wal-Mart or Tesco are by definition few, on the outskirts of cities (to keep real estate costs low), and can't intrude

    into the territory of local kiranas. So, they can not eat up their share of pie. Secondly, it can't be anyone's case that

    farmers are getting a good deal right now. The fact is that farmers barely subsist while middlemen take the cream.

    Let's not get dreamy about this unequal relationship.

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