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ART-Forum Webinar:
Potential of automated road transport from a city's and citizen's perspective
June 25th 2020
• Jeffrey Matthijs – moderator• Director of Autodelen.net
• Michael Glotz-Richter• Senior Project Manager for the City of Bremen
• Johannes Rodenbach• Project & policy officer at Autodelen.net
• Suzanne Hoadley• Senior Manager at Polis
Speakers
Introduction and Q&A
Cities perspective on short and long term future of automated road transport
Acceptance of automated transport in Flanders region, Belgium
Lessons learned from the CoEXist-project: preparing cities for transition phase
OBJECTIVES:
• Raise awareness and capacity building among public stakeholders and planners
• Develop policy recommendations that enable local and regional authorities to take advantage of the opportunities of automated road transport
• Support sustainable transport and territorial development goals as well as improve quality of life in communities
• Facilitate exchange between technological developers and policy makers
ART-ForumAutomated Road Transport-Forum
ART-ForumAutomated Road Transport-Forum
Autodelen.net
Cities perspective on short and long term future of automated road transport
Michael Glotz-RichterSenior Project Manager for the City of Bremen
Acceptance of automated transport in Flanders (Belgium)
Johannes RodenbachProject & policy officer at Autodelen.net
1. Performance Expectancy2. Effort Expectancy3. Social Influence4. Price Value5. Behavioural Intention to use the system
Acceptance of automated transport in Flanders (Belgium)
UTAUT modelUnified Theory of Acceptance and Use of Technology
Based on questions from Madigan, R. et al. (2016). and Nees. M.A. (2018).
Survey research – First descriptive resultsRepresentative study among 1,000 inhabitants of Flanders
50%
14%
23%
14%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
(Completely) disagree Neither disagree, nor agree (Completely) agree No opinion
I think AV’s are science fictionand never will become real
I think AV’s are science fictionand never will become real
55%
13%
19%
13%
44%
15%
26%
15%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
(Completely)disagree
Neither disagree, noragree
(Completely) agree No opinion
Men/Women
55%
14%
20%
11%
50%
14%
23%
13%
45%
13%
24%
18%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
(Completely)disagree
Neither disagree, noragree
(Completely) agree No opinion
Under 34/35-54/Over 55
45%
14%
24%
17%
58%
14%
20%
8%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
(Completely)disagree
Neither disagree, noragree
(Completely) agree No opinion
Lower education/Higher education
1. Performance Expectancy of AV’s
• I think AV’s will become an important part of the existing public transport system
• I think an AV would be more efficient/faster than existing forms of public transport
• I think using an AV in my day-to-day commuting is better and more convenient than using my existing form of travel
25%
18%
42%
15%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
(Completely) disagree Neither disagree, nor agree (Completely) agree No opinion
I think AV’s will become an important part of the existing public transport system
29%
21%
33%
18%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
(Completely) disagree Neither disagree, nor agree (Completely) agree No opinion
I think an AV would be more efficient/fasterthan existing forms of public transport
40%
19%
28%
13%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
(Completely) disagree Neither disagree, nor agree (Completely) agree No opinion
I think using an AV in my day-to-day commuting is betterand more convenient than using my existing form of travel
1. Performance Expectancy of AV’s
Overall, 30%-40% (completely) agrees on:• AV’s will be important within PT• AV’s will be more efficient/faster than existing PT
However,• A lot of scepticism about being better off with AV’s for commute• A lot of people neither agree, nor disagree or have no opinion (on average 34%!)
Autonomous shuttle in Aalborg (partner city of ART-Forum)
1. Performance Expectancy of AV’s
Overall, • men have higher expectations of AV’s• women are more undecided on role of AV’s (36%) than men (29%)
Overall, • younger people as well as higher educated participants have higher expectations of AV’s
2. Effort Expectancy of AV’s
• I think an AV would be easy to understand how to use
Automated Armchair, by Matthew James (Image: courtesy Ustwo)
I think an AV would be easy to understand how to use
23%
20%
41%
16%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
(Completely) disagree Neither disagree, nor agree (Completely) agree No opinion
I think an AV would be easy to understand how to use
19% 18%
49%
14%
27%22%
33%
18%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
(Completely)disagree
Neither disagree, noragree
(Completely) agree No opinion
Men/Women
19% 19%
50%
12%
20% 21%
44%
15%
28%
20%
31%
21%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
(Completely)disagree
Neither disagree, noragree
(Completely) agree No opinion
Under 34/35-54/Over 55
25%21%
34%
19%18% 18%
53%
11%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
(Completely)disagree
Neither disagree, noragree
(Completely) agree No opinion
Lower education/Higher education
2. Effort Expectancy of AV’s
Overall, 41% is (completely) confident:• AV’s would be easy to understand how to use
Also,• men are more confident AV’s would be easy to understand how to use• the same is true for younger and highly educated people
• I think I am more likely to use an AV if my friends and family used it
3. Social Influence
FELIX, Super Nova, from the year 2030 (Image: courtesy Ustwo)
I think I am more likely to use an AV if my friends and family used it
41%
22%
20%
17%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
(Completely) disagree Neither disagree, nor agree (Completely) agree No opinion
I think I am more likely to use an AV if my friends and family used it
42%
24%
20%
14%
41%
19%21%
19%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
(Completely)disagree
Neither disagree, noragree
(Completely) agree No opinion
Men/Women
32%
25%
31%
13%
44%
22%19%
16%
46%
20%
14%
20%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
(Completely)disagree
Neither disagree, noragree
(Completely) agree No opinion
Under 34/35-54/Over 55
45%
19%16%
20%
35%
26%28%
11%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
(Completely)disagree
Neither disagree, noragree
(Completely) agree No opinion
Lower education/Higher education
3. Social Influence
Overall, 41% (completely) disagrees• they would be more likely to use an AV if friends and family used it
Also,• women are slightly more open for social influence (not statistically significant)• younger and highly educated people are more likely to use an AV if their peers would
use it
• I would be willing to pay more for a self-driving car compared to what I would pay for a traditional car
4. Price Value
No more wasting time with driving, by Aart-Jan Venema (Image: courtesy Ustwo)
I would be willing to pay more for a self-driving car compared to what I would pay for a traditional car
59%
15%14%
12%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
(Completely) disagree Neither disagree, nor agree (Completely) agree No opinion
I would be willing to pay more for a self-driving car compared to what I would pay for a traditional car
58%
16% 16%
10%
60%
15%11%
14%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
(Completely)disagree
Neither disagree, noragree
(Completely) agree No opinion
Men/Women
51%
18% 19%
12%
58%
17%15%
10%
66%
12%9%
14%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
(Completely)disagree
Neither disagree, noragree
(Completely) agree No opinion
Under 34/35-54/Over 55
60%
13% 11%16%
56%
20%18%
6%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
(Completely)disagree
Neither disagree, noragree
(Completely) agree No opinion
Lower education/Higher education
45%
7%
33%
15%
59%
16% 13% 12%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
(Completely)disagree
Neither disagree, noragree
(Completely) agree No opinion
Car sharing user/Non car sharing user
Overall, almost 60% doesn’t want to pay more fore a self-driving car than for a normal one
Also,• Men, younger and higher educated people are more willing to pay more for a self-
driving car• One third of the current car sharing users is willing to pay more for a self-driving
car
4. Price Value
• If it were affordable, I would use an AV
5. Behavioural Intention to use the system
The Getaway Driver, by Hannah Nicdao (Image: courtesy Ustwo)
If it were affordable, I would use an AV
40%
15%
31%
14%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
(Completely) disagree Neither disagree, nor agree (Completely) agree No opinion
36%
16%
37%
12%
44%
15%
25%
17%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
(Completely)disagree
Neither disagree, noragree
(Completely) agree No opinion
Men/Women
36%
13%
38%
13%
38%
16%
34%
12%
46%
16%
22%
17%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
(Completely)disagree
Neither disagree, noragree
(Completely) agree No opinion
Under 34/35-54/Over 55
43%
14%
26%
17%
35%
18%
39%
9%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
(Completely)disagree
Neither disagree, noragree
(Completely) agree No opinion
Lower education/Higher education
If it were affordable, I would use an AV
5. Behavioural Intention to use the system
Overall, 40% (completely) disagrees on:• using an AV if it were affordable
Also,• Men, younger and higher educated people have bigger intentions of using an AV
Conclusions
• People are rather positive about the general usefulness, performance and ease of use of AV’s
• However, when it comes to using AV’s themselves and their willingness to pay, people are more reluctant
• Current car sharing users are more willing to pay for AV’s and have higher intentions to use them more research needed
Do Whatever You Love To Do, by BLND (Image: courtesy Ustwo)
Lessons learned from the CoEXist-project: preparing cities for transition phase
Suzanne HoadleySenior Manager at Polis
Questions?
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