arp2012 ipaany conferencepresentation
TRANSCRIPT
IPAA OGIS East – New York, NYMonday, April 16, 2012
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Safe Harbor Statement
This document contains forward-looking statements that involve a number of assumptions, risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in the forward-looking statements. Atlas Resource Partners, L.P. (“ARP”) cautions readers that any forward-looking information is not a guarantee of future performance. Such forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, statements about future financial and operating results, resource potential, ARP’ plans, objectives, expectations and intentions and other statements that are not historical facts. Risks, assumptions and uncertainties that could cause actual results to materially differ from the forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, uncertainties regarding the expected financial results of ARP, which is dependent on future events or developments; assumptions and uncertainties associated with general economic and business conditions; changes in commodity prices; changes in the costs and results of drilling operations; uncertainties about estimates of reserves and resource potential; inability to obtain
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drilling operations; uncertainties about estimates of reserves and resource potential; inability to obtain capital needed for operations; ARP’s level of indebtedness; changes in government environmental policies and other environmental risks; the availability of drilling equipment and the timing of production; and tax consequences of business transactions. In addition, ARP is subject to additional risks, assumptions and uncertainties detailed from time to time in the reports filed by ARP. with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, including the risks, assumptions and uncertainties described in ARP’s registration statement on Form 10 and quarterly reports on Form 10-Q, reports on Form 8-K and annual reports on Form 10-K. Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date hereof, and ARP does not assume any obligation to update such statements, except as may be required by applicable law.
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Organizational Structure
Public Unitholders
35% LP InterestAtlas Energy L.P. (NYSE: ATLS)
63% LP & 2% GP Interest
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NYSE: ARP
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ARP Investment Highlights
• Low Risk Profile
• Long-lived reserve base
• Strong hedging program
• Low leverage position
• Fee-based income stream from investment partnerships
• Multiple Opportunities to Grow Cash Flow
• Accretive Acquisitions
• Organic Leasehold Expansion
• Development through Investment Partnership Business
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• Development through Investment Partnership Business
• Uniquely Advantaged Business Model
• Leading Sponsor of Tax Advantaged Investment Partnerships
• Enhanced rate of return
• Raised > $1.5 billion over last 6 years
• Production and Drilling Opportunities in Attractive Plays
• Marcellus & Utica Shales
• Mississippi Lime
• Barnett Shale
“The First Three Weeks”
ARP units are distributed to existing Atlas Energy, LP (ATLS)
unitholders
Two days later, ARP announces acquisition of 277 Bcfe of
proved reserves and undeveloped locations in the Barnett
3/14/2012
3/16/2012
ARP has already demonstrated its ability to provide strong value to its unitholders through accretive transactions
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proved reserves and undeveloped locations in the Barnett
Shale from Carrizo
Two weeks later, ARP announces joint venture with Equal
Energy, Ltd. in the core of the Mississippi Lime play in
northwestern OK
4/4/2012
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ARP Profile
Market Capitalization
Debt Outstanding
Enterprise Value
Proved Reserves
~ $900 million (32.2 MM common units outstanding)(1)
$70 million(1) ($250 million borrowing base)
~ $970 million
~ 450 Bcfe(1) (~ 70% proved developed)~ 825 Bcfe total reserves under management
Atlas Resource Partners (NYSE: ARP)
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As of 4/13/2012 (pro forma for Barnett acquisition):
Focused Development Areas
~ 825 Bcfe total reserves under management
~ 70 Mmcfe/d(1)
Appalachia (PA, OH, WV, TN); Colorado; Texas; Oklahoma
Marcellus Shale; Utica Shale; Mississippi Lime; Barnett Shale
(1) Pro forma for additional 6 MM common units issued in conjunction with a private placement , as well as borrowings made on ARP’s credit facility, to fund the Barnett Shale assets acquired in April 2012
Oil & Gas Production
Primary Targeted Plays
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Barnett Shale Transaction
� Provides ARP with entry point into the core of the Barnett Shale
� Transaction is expected to be accretive to 2H 2012 and FY 2013
common unit distributions
� ARP has hedged 100% of available production in the 1st year and a
substantial amount in years 2-5
Atlas Resource Partners (NYSE: “ARP”) announced the acquisition of approximately 277 Bcfe of proved reserves in Texas’s Barnett Shale for approximately $190 MM from Carrizo Oil and Gas
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substantial amount in years 2-5
� Pro forma for the transaction, ARP will remain under-leveraged at 0.9x
Debt / EBITDA, substantially below the peer average; balance sheet
flexibility allows for future expansion opportunities
� Transaction is expected to close in late April 2012
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Asset Overview
� Majority of the assets located in the Core portion of the Barnett Shale
� Most assets located in the Mansfield region of Southeast Tarrant County and Southern Denton County
� 277 Bcfe of proved reserves; 99% gas, 52% PDP
EOG Resources
EVEP
Atlas
Chesapeake Energy
Devon Energy
Quicksilver Resources
Asset Details
Atlas Position
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gas, 52% PDP
� 198 gross producing wells; ~ 60% operated
� 97 Gross PUD & PDNP locations
� All acreage is held by production
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$0.90
$1.00
Dis
trib
uti
on
per
Co
mm
on
Un
it $0.85 - $0.90$2.30
$2.40
$2.50
Dis
trib
uti
on
per
Co
mm
on
Un
it
$2.25 - $2.40
Projected Accretion to Common Unitholders
The acquisition of the Barnett Shale assets will be accretive to ARP common unit distributions
2H 2012 Common Unit Distributions
2H 2012 Accretion6% - 12%
2013 Common Unit Distributions
2013 % Accretion7% - 15%
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$0.60
$0.70
$0.80
Standalone Pro Forma
Dis
trib
uti
on
per
Co
mm
on
Un
it
$0.80
$1.90
$2.00
$2.10
$2.20
Standalone Pro Forma
Dis
trib
uti
on
per
Co
mm
on
Un
it
$2.10
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Strong Gas Hedge Position
� Within 2 days of signing the PSA with CRZO, ARP hedged 100% of its forward 12 month Barnett production, and a substantial amount of the production for the subsequent four years
Natural Gas
$4.68 $5.12 $5.08 $5.27
$4.77
$2.67
$3.44
$3.90
$4.15
$4.40
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subsequent four years
� ARP continues to employ a consistent hedge strategy to ensure stability of its cash flow streams
Crude Oil
Prices shown are per thousand cubic feet (Mcf) for natural gas and per barrel (bbl) for oilCostless collar prices represent the floor and ceiling price established in the collar position.For natural gas hedges, price includes an estimated positive basis differential and Btu (British
thermal unit) adjustment
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$103.58 $100.57 $97.69 $93.97 $92.08
$90 –$117.91
$90 –$116.40
$80 –$121.25
$80 –$120.75
500
600
700
800
900
PUD/PDNP
Pro Forma Reserve Summary
The Barnett acquisition more than doubles ARP’s proved reserves and enhances the long-lived nature of its asset base
450
825
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0
100
200
300
400
500
Net Pro Forma Reserves Total Managed Reserves
PUD/PDNP
PDP
(1) Based on 12/31/2011 reserve totals.11
450
Bc
fe
ARP plans to be one of the least levered companies in the E&P MLP sector with ample capacity to continue taking advantage of new opportunities that present themselves in the marketplace
Comparable Peer Credit Profiles
2012E Debt / EBITDA
4.4x
4.0x
5.0x
(in mi l l i ons $)
Pro Forma(1)
December 31, 2011
Cash & Cash Equivalents $77.2
Credit Facility Borrowings $70.0
Partners' Capital $707.3
<#>Source: Company Filings; FactSet. Comp group includes PSE, LINE, VNR, EVEP, BBEP, LGCY and QRE.Note: Assumes ARP finances 2012 capital program with borrowings on existing credit facility.
2.9x
2.7x2.6x 2.5x
1.6x
0.9x
0.3x
0.0x
1.0x
2.0x
3.0x
A B C D E F ARP G
(1) Pro forma for additional 6 MM common units issued in conjunction with a private placement , as well as borrowings made on ARP’s credit facility, to fund the Barnett Shale assets acquired in April 2012
Total Capitalization $854.5
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Mississippi Lime JV Position
• ARP entered into a joint venture with Equal Energy (NYSE, TSX: EQU) to acquire a 50% interest in ~ 14,500 acres in the core of the Mississippi Lime play in northwestern OK
• Acreage is located in Alfalfa, Grant and Garfield counties; oil & liquids rich portion of the playARP/EQU
JV Position
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liquids rich portion of the play
• Position is primarily held by existing production in the Hunton formation
• Joint venture transaction is expected to close in late April 2012
JV Position
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Multiple Growth Drivers
Accretive Acquisitions Organic Leasehold ExpansionDevelopment through
Investment Partnership Programs
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Balanced and focused approach to growth provides multiple avenues for accretive cash flow expansion
Partnership Management: Strong History of Growth
Partnership Management
Over $1.5B in funds raised in the past 5 years
40 year history of fundraising
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Business
120+ broker dealers selling
programs in all 50 states
Over 50,000 individual investors
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Syndication Business Model
Value to
Drilling Partners
Value to
Atlas Resource
• Substantial 1st year tax deduction (~90% of investment) against ordinary income
• Upfront fees from fundraising; 15-18% over costs paid by partners
• Carried interest of 5-7% in
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• Monthly cash flows from production of wells
• Tax deductions beyond 1st year for depletion and depreciation
• Carried interest of 5-7% in production; total working interest of ~30%
• Ongoing monthly fees for life of the well
• Credit received for cost paid for leasehold acreage
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GP Sponsor of E&P Investment Programs: Growth in Fees and Production Cash Flow
$10.00
$20.00
$30.00
$40.00
$50.00
$60.00
$70.00
$80.00
$90.00
$100.00
Pa
rtn
ers
hip
Ma
rgin
(m
m$
) (1
)
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• Sponsorship of Investment Programs provide ATLS with up-front fees and on-going fees, as well as a promoted interest in the production of oil and gas wells
(1) Partnership margin is comprised of Well Construction & Completion margin, Well Services margin and Administration & Oversight Fees
$-
$10.00
$- $50 $100 $150 $200 $250 $300 $350 $400
Funds Raised (mm$)
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Foundational Core Producing Assets
NY
PAOH
TN
Appalachia:• > 8,500 producing wells• 31.5 Mmcfe/d of net production as of Q4 2011• Atlas is connecting 16 Marcellus wells in Q1 2012 (11 newly drilled
wells + 5 re-connected); 8 turned online in March 2012• Atlas also plans to drill several new Marcellus wells in northeastern
PA in upcoming fundraising programs
Appalachia:• > 8,500 producing wells• 31.5 Mmcfe/d of net production as of Q4 2011• Atlas is connecting 16 Marcellus wells in Q1 2012 (11 newly drilled
wells + 5 re-connected); 8 turned online in March 2012• Atlas also plans to drill several new Marcellus wells in northeastern
PA in upcoming fundraising programs
Niobrara:Niobrara:
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Niobrara:
• 180,000 acres through farm-in arrangement in NE Colorado
Niobrara:
• 180,000 acres through farm-in arrangement in NE ColoradoCO
WY
NE
KS
INILNew Albany:• ~130,000 net acres (~ 83% undeveloped)• 3.1 Mmcf/d in net production as of Q4 2011
New Albany:• ~130,000 net acres (~ 83% undeveloped)• 3.1 Mmcf/d in net production as of Q4 2011
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Appalachia Assets
� Reserves > 80% PDP; >90% natural gas
� Over 8,500 producing wells located in PA, OH and NY
� Low-declining production, long lived wells
� Provides a solid base of cash flow
� Over 70% of the existing wells have been drilled through the syndicated programs over the years
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� Includes over 200 vertical wells and 30 horizontal wells in the Marcellus Shale (additional horizontal wells to be completed and TIL this year)
� ARP plans to drill several new Marcellus horizontal wells in the northeastern PA region in 2012 through the investment partnership business
� Represents ARP’ first development in this region of the Marcellus Shale
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Ohio Operations
Atlas Energy Has Over 2,900 Wells In Ohio
DeerfieldDistrictOffice
NewPhiladelphiaDistrict
� ARP’s Ohio operations:
– Over 2,900 producing wells
– 75,000+ developed net acres
– Long lived reserves with low decline (9 MMcf/d of gross production)
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DistrictOffice
CambridgeDistrictOffice
� ARP has existing land operations in eastern Ohio to take advantage of development opportunities in the region
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