arkansas nma epa regulation issue survey results 060614

17
Arkansas NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Topline Results Magellan Strategies are pleased to present the topline results for a 755n autodial survey of likely general election voters in the state of Arkansas. The interviews were conducted June 4 th and 5 th , 2014. This survey has a margin of error of +/- 3.57% at the 95 percent confidence interval. This survey was weighted based upon past general election voting demographics. T1. Are you registered to vote? Yes ........................................................................ 100% T2. How likely are you to vote in the 2014 November general election? Extremely likely....................................................... 91% Very likely................................................................. 7% Somewhat likely........................................................ 2% T3. As you may know, the Obama Administration’s Environmental Protection Agency on Monday proposed a new regulation to cut carbon emissions by 30% from existing power plants by the year 2030. From what you have seen, read and heard about the new regulation, do you support it or oppose it? Total Support .......................................................... 33% Total Oppose ......................................................... 49% Strongly Support...................................................... 25% Somewhat Support .................................................... 8% Strongly Oppose ..................................................... 42% Somewhat Oppose .................................................... 7% Unsure or No Opinion ........................................... 18%

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Page 1: Arkansas NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060614

!!!!!Arkansas NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Topline Results Magellan Strategies are pleased to present the topline results for a 755n autodial survey of likely general election voters in the state of Arkansas. The interviews were conducted June 4th and 5th, 2014. This survey has a margin of error of +/- 3.57% at the 95 percent confidence interval. This survey was weighted based upon past general election voting demographics. T1. Are you registered to vote? Yes ........................................................................ 100%

T2. How likely are you to vote in the 2014 November general election? Extremely likely ....................................................... 91% Very likely ................................................................. 7% Somewhat likely ........................................................ 2%

T3. As you may know, the Obama Administration’s Environmental Protection Agency on Monday proposed a new regulation to cut carbon emissions by 30% from existing power plants by the year 2030. From what you have seen, read and heard about the new regulation, do you support it or oppose it? Total Support .......................................................... 33% Total Oppose ......................................................... 49% Strongly Support ...................................................... 25% Somewhat Support .................................................... 8% Strongly Oppose ..................................................... 42% Somewhat Oppose .................................................... 7% Unsure or No Opinion ........................................... 18%

Page 2: Arkansas NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060614

Magellan ID#: ARNMA-060314 Arkansas NMA EPA Regulation Survey Topline Results Field Dates: 6/4/14 – 6/5/14, MoE +/- 3.57%, 755n, CONFIDENTIAL

Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027

www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585

2

T4. Which is more important to you, President Obama focusing his time and attention on creating a new regulation for power plants to combat climate change or focusing his attention on creating jobs and growing our economy? Focus on creating jobs and growing economy ......... 78% Focus on new regulation for power plants ............... 15% Unsure or No Opinion ............................................. 7%

I am now going to read to you some more information about the new regulation. After hearing the information, please tell me if you are more likely to support or oppose the new regulation, or if it makes no difference in your opinion. T5. The EPA regulation requires the states to reduce carbon emissions by 30% by 2030, which would reduce global carbon emissions by a very small amount. More likely to support the new regulation ............... 22% More likely to oppose the new regulation ............... 48% No difference in your decision ................................ 25% Unsure or No Opinion ............................................. 5%

T6. The EPA regulation would require the 50 states to meet their carbon emission target limits through state based cap-and-trade, tax, and regulatory programs. More likely to support the new regulation ............... 21% More likely to oppose the new regulation ............... 51% No difference in your decision ................................ 23% Unsure or No Opinion ............................................. 5%

T7. If the proposed regulation goes into effect consumer’s and businesses electricity bills will increase. The Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency Gina McCarthy herself admitted that there would be a short-term hit to consumers. More likely to support the new regulation ............... 16% More likely to oppose the new regulation ............... 60% No difference in your decision ................................ 18% Unsure or No Opinion ............................................. 6%

Page 3: Arkansas NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060614

Magellan ID#: ARNMA-060314 Arkansas NMA EPA Regulation Survey Topline Results Field Dates: 6/4/14 – 6/5/14, MoE +/- 3.57%, 755n, CONFIDENTIAL

Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027

www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585

3

T8. The US Chamber of Commerce, a pro-business organization has found that a similar carbon regulations proposal would result in 224,000 job losses each year through 2030, and impose $50 billion dollars in costs to the economy. More likely to support the new regulation ............... 13% More likely to oppose the new regulation ............... 67% No difference in your decision ................................ 17% Unsure or No Opinion ............................................. 3%

T9. Thinking now about the election this November, are you more likely to support or oppose a candidate for the United States Senate that supports the Obama Administration’s new carbon emission regulation? More likely to support a candidate .......................... 28% More Likely to oppose a candidate .......................... 59% Unsure or No Opinion ........................................... 13%

T10. Do you consider yourself to be a Republican, a Democrat or something else? Democrat ................................................................ 37% Something Else ........................................................ 34% Republican .............................................................. 29%

T11. For statistical purposes, are you a man or a woman? Woman ................................................................... 54% Man ........................................................................ 46%

T12. Which of the following age groups applies to you? 18-29 ........................................................................ 4% 30-44 ...................................................................... 16% 45-54 ...................................................................... 18% 55-64 ...................................................................... 23% 65+ ......................................................................... 38% Refused ..................................................................... 1%

Page 4: Arkansas NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060614

Magellan ID#: ARNMA-060314 Arkansas NMA EPA Regulation Survey Topline Results Field Dates: 6/4/14 – 6/5/14, MoE +/- 3.57%, 755n, CONFIDENTIAL

Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027

www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585

4

T13. For statistical purposes only, what is your race? Press 1 if you are white, press 2 if you are Hispanic or Latino, press 3 if you are black or African American, press 4 if you belong to another racial group. White ...................................................................... 83% Black or African American ...................................... 11% Hispanic or Latino ..................................................... 2% Another ethnic group ................................................ 4%

Survey Methodology This survey was conducted using automated telephone touchtone technology. The sample used for this survey was randomly drawn from an Arkansas voter file. The survey response data was weighted based upon past general election voting demographics. The interviews were conducted on June 4th – 5th, 2014. Three attempts were made to interview each household in the sample. This survey has a margin of error of 3.57% at the 95 percent confidence interval.

Page 5: Arkansas NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060614

Arkansas NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 4th - 5th, 2014, 755N, 3.57% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 2-1 T1. Are you registered to vote? GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------

TOTAL ---------

MEN

---------

WOM EN

--------

18-29

---------

30-44

---------

45-54

--------

55-64

---------

65+

---------

TOT REP

--------

REP MEN

---------

REP WOM

---------

TOT DEM

--------

DEM MEN

---------

DEM WOM

--------

TOT IND

---------

IND MEN

---------

IND WOM

--------

WHTE

---------

HISP LAT

---------

BLCK AA

--------

OTHR

---------

TOTAL

755 100.0

347 100.0

408 100.0

30 100.0

121 100.0

136 100.0

174 100.0

287 100.0

219 100.0

102 100.0

117 100.0

279 100.0

99 100.0

181 100.0

257 100.0

146 100.0

110 100.0

627 100.0

15 100.0

83 100.0

30 100.0

YES

755 100.0

347 100.0

408 100.0

30 100.0

121 100.0

136 100.0

174 100.0

287 100.0

219 100.0

102 100.0

117 100.0

279 100.0

99 100.0

181 100.0

257 100.0

146 100.0

110 100.0

627 100.0

15 100.0

83 100.0

30 100.0

Page 6: Arkansas NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060614

Arkansas NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 4th - 5th, 2014, 755N, 3.57% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 3-1 T2. How likely are you to vote in the 2014 November general election? GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------

TOTAL ---------

MEN

---------

WOM EN

--------

18-29

---------

30-44

---------

45-54

--------

55-64

---------

65+

---------

TOT REP

--------

REP MEN

---------

REP WOM

---------

TOT DEM

--------

DEM MEN

---------

DEM WOM

--------

TOT IND

---------

IND MEN

---------

IND WOM

--------

WHTE

---------

HISP LAT

---------

BLCK AA

--------

OTHR

---------

TOTAL

755 100.0

347 100.0

408 100.0

30 100.0

121 100.0

136 100.0

174 100.0

287 100.0

219 100.0

102 100.0

117 100.0

279 100.0

99 100.0

181 100.0

257 100.0

146 100.0

110 100.0

627 100.0

15 100.0

83 100.0

30 100.0

EXTREMELY LIKELY

689 91.2

324 93.4

364 89.4

27 87.8

112 92.6

123 90.2

163 93.9

257 89.6

204 93.3

95 92.7

109 93.7

247 88.2

93 94.1

154 85.0

238 92.7

137 93.3

101 91.9

582 92.8

15 100.0

62 74.2

30 100.0

VERY LIKELY

51 6.8

19 5.4

33 8.0

4 12.2

9 7.4

11 8.2

5 3.0

23 7.8

12 5.6

5 4.8

7 6.3

23 8.4

6 5.9

18 9.8

16 6.1

8 5.6

8 6.9

35 5.5

17 20.3

SOMEWHAT LIKELY

15 2.0

4 1.2

11 2.6

2 1.6

5 3.1

7 2.6

2 1.1

2 2.4

9 3.4

9 5.2

3 1.2

2 1.1

1 1.2

10 1.6

5 5.5

Page 7: Arkansas NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060614

Arkansas NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 4th - 5th, 2014, 755N, 3.57% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 4-1 T3. As you may know, the Obama Administration's Environmental Protection Agency on Monday proposed a new regulation to cut carbon emissions by 30% from existing power plants by the year 2030. From what you have seen, read and heard about the new regulation, do you support it or oppose it? GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------

TOTAL ---------

MEN

---------

WOM EN

--------

18-29

---------

30-44

---------

45-54

--------

55-64

---------

65+

---------

TOT REP

--------

REP MEN

---------

REP WOM

---------

TOT DEM

--------

DEM MEN

---------

DEM WOM

--------

TOT IND

---------

IND MEN

---------

IND WOM

--------

WHTE

---------

HISP LAT

---------

BLCK AA

--------

OTHR

---------

TOTAL

755 100.0

347 100.0

408 100.0

30 100.0

121 100.0

136 100.0

174 100.0

287 100.0

219 100.0

102 100.0

117 100.0

279 100.0

99 100.0

181 100.0

257 100.0

146 100.0

110 100.0

627 100.0

15 100.0

83 100.0

30 100.0

TOTAL SUPPORT

248 32.8

109 31.4

139 34.0

13 43.5

40 33.4

38 27.9

77 44.3

78 27.2

15 7.0

7 7.1

8 7.0

160 57.3

60 61.1

100 55.3

72 28.1

41 28.3

31 27.8

195 31.1

2 11.3

43 51.5

8 26.5

TOTAL OPPOSE

369 48.9

198 57.1

171 41.9

17 56.5

56 46.5

68 50.0

68 39.0

157 54.8

167 76.3

85 83.6

82 69.9

64 22.8

28 28.3

36 19.8

138 53.9

85 58.2

53 48.3

323 51.6

13 88.7

20 23.8

13 42.1

STRONGLY SUPPORT

188 24.9

89 25.6

99 24.3

6 20.8

29 24.1

29 21.7

56 32.5

65 22.8

11 5.2

5 5.1

6 5.3

128 45.9

51 52.1

77 42.5

49 19.0

32 22.1

16 14.8

143 22.8

2 11.3

37 44.0

7 23.4

SOMEWHAT SUPPORT

59 7.9

20 5.7

40 9.7

7 22.8

11 9.2

8 6.2

20 11.8

13 4.4

4 1.9

2 2.0

2 1.8

32 11.5

9 9.1

23 12.8

23 9.1

9 6.1

14 13.0

52 8.3

6 7.5

1 3.1

STRONGLY OPPOSE

314 41.6

173 49.7

141 34.6

17 56.5

45 36.9

57 42.2

56 32.4

135 47.2

152 69.6

79 77.0

74 63.1

45 16.3

20 20.1

26 14.2

116 45.1

74 50.6

42 37.9

270 43.1

13 88.7

18 21.2

13 42.1

SOMEWHAT OPPOSE

55 7.3

26 7.4

30 7.3

12 9.5

11 7.8

11 6.6

22 7.6

15 6.7

7 6.5

8 6.8

18 6.5

8 8.2

10 5.6

23 8.8

11 7.5

12 10.4

53 8.5

2 2.6

UNSURE NO OPINION

138 18.3

40 11.5

98 24.1

24 20.1

30 22.1

29 16.7

52 18.0

37 16.7

10 9.4

27 23.1

56 19.9

10 10.6

45 24.9

46 18.0

20 13.6

26 23.9

108 17.3

21 24.7

9 31.4

Page 8: Arkansas NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060614

Arkansas NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 4th - 5th, 2014, 755N, 3.57% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 5-1 T4. Which is more important to you, President Obama focusing his time and attention on creating a new regulation for power plants to combat climate change or focusing his attention on creating jobs and growing our economy? GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------

TOTAL ---------

MEN

---------

WOM EN

--------

18-29

---------

30-44

---------

45-54

--------

55-64

---------

65+

---------

TOT REP

--------

REP MEN

---------

REP WOM

---------

TOT DEM

--------

DEM MEN

---------

DEM WOM

--------

TOT IND

---------

IND MEN

---------

IND WOM

--------

WHTE

---------

HISP LAT

---------

BLCK AA

--------

OTHR

---------

TOTAL

755 100.0

347 100.0

408 100.0

30 100.0

121 100.0

136 100.0

174 100.0

287 100.0

219 100.0

102 100.0

117 100.0

279 100.0

99 100.0

181 100.0

257 100.0

146 100.0

110 100.0

627 100.0

15 100.0

83 100.0

30 100.0

FOCUS ON CREATING JOBS AND GROW ECONOMY

585 77.5

261 75.0

324 79.6

24 79.2

94 78.1

109 80.4

118 68.2

232 81.0

200 91.5

90 88.2

110 94.3

177 63.3

50 50.3

127 70.4

208 81.0

121 82.4

87 79.1

500 79.8

13 85.5

54 64.9

18 59.2

FOCUS ON NEW REGULATION FOR POWER PLANTS

115 15.2

59 17.1

55 13.5

15 12.3

24 17.5

40 23.3

35 12.1

9 3.9

5 4.9

4 3.1

71 25.5

36 36.5

35 19.5

35 13.5

18 12.5

16 14.7

88 14.0

2 14.5

19 23.4

5 16.8

UNSURE NO OPINION

55 7.3

27 7.9

28 6.9

6 20.8

12 9.6

3 2.1

15 8.5

20 7.0

10 4.6

7 6.9

3 2.6

31 11.1

13 13.1

18 10.1

14 5.5

7 5.0

7 6.2

38 6.1

10 11.7

7 24.0

Page 9: Arkansas NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060614

Arkansas NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 4th - 5th, 2014, 755N, 3.57% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 6-1 I am now going to read to you some more information about the new regulation. After hearing the information, please tell me if you are more likely to support or oppose the new regulation, or if it makes no difference in your opinion. T5. The EPA regulation requires the states to reduce carbon emissions by 30% by 2030, which would reduce global carbon emissions by a very small amount. GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------

TOTAL ---------

MEN

---------

WOM EN

--------

18-29

---------

30-44

---------

45-54

--------

55-64

---------

65+

---------

TOT REP

--------

REP MEN

---------

REP WOM

---------

TOT DEM

--------

DEM MEN

---------

DEM WOM

--------

TOT IND

---------

IND MEN

---------

IND WOM

--------

WHTE

---------

HISP LAT

---------

BLCK AA

--------

OTHR

---------

TOTAL

755 100.0

347 100.0

408 100.0

30 100.0

121 100.0

136 100.0

174 100.0

287 100.0

219 100.0

102 100.0

117 100.0

279 100.0

99 100.0

181 100.0

257 100.0

146 100.0

110 100.0

627 100.0

15 100.0

83 100.0

30 100.0

MORE LIKELY TO SUPPORT

167 22.1

83 23.8

84 20.6

6 20.8

24 19.7

29 21.1

51 29.5

53 18.5

15 6.7

6 5.9

9 7.5

110 39.2

46 47.0

63 34.9

43 16.6

30 20.8

12 11.1

133 21.3

2 11.3

28 33.2

5 15.0

MORE LIKELY TO OPPOSE

359 47.5

180 51.9

178 43.7

12 41.2

52 43.3

69 50.9

66 37.8

156 54.4

158 72.1

77 75.2

81 69.5

70 25.1

25 25.5

45 24.9

131 50.9

78 53.5

52 47.3

320 51.0

13 85.5

15 17.9

11 37.5

NO DIFFERENCE

190 25.2

69 19.9

121 29.6

11 38.0

32 26.4

31 23.1

52 30.1

62 21.6

36 16.3

15 14.7

21 17.7

79 28.2

22 22.1

57 31.5

76 29.5

32 22.2

43 39.3

153 24.4

3.2

27 32.8

10 32.4

UNSURE NO OPINION

39 5.2

15 4.3

24 6.0

13 10.5

7 4.9

4 2.6

16 5.4

11 4.8

4 4.2

6 5.4

21 7.5

5 5.5

16 8.6

8 3.0

5 3.5

3 2.3

21 3.4

13 16.2

5 15.1

Page 10: Arkansas NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060614

Arkansas NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 4th - 5th, 2014, 755N, 3.57% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 7-1 T6. The EPA regulation would require the 50 states to meet their carbon emission target limits through state based cap-and-trade, tax, and regulatory programs. GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------

TOTAL ---------

MEN

---------

WOM EN

--------

18-29

---------

30-44

---------

45-54

--------

55-64

---------

65+

---------

TOT REP

--------

REP MEN

---------

REP WOM

---------

TOT DEM

--------

DEM MEN

---------

DEM WOM

--------

TOT IND

---------

IND MEN

---------

IND WOM

--------

WHTE

---------

HISP LAT

---------

BLCK AA

--------

OTHR

---------

TOTAL

755 100.0

347 100.0

408 100.0

30 100.0

121 100.0

136 100.0

174 100.0

287 100.0

219 100.0

102 100.0

117 100.0

279 100.0

99 100.0

181 100.0

257 100.0

146 100.0

110 100.0

627 100.0

15 100.0

83 100.0

30 100.0

MORE LIKELY TO SUPPORT

155 20.5

83 24.0

71 17.5

6 20.8

26 21.3

31 22.9

41 23.9

48 16.7

14 6.3

7 7.0

7 5.7

95 34.2

42 42.7

53 29.5

46 17.8

34 23.4

11 10.3

125 19.9

2 11.3

25 29.6

4 12.6

MORE LIKELY TO OPPOSE

383 50.7

190 54.7

193 47.3

12 41.2

55 45.9

74 54.3

79 45.7

159 55.4

168 76.8

81 79.1

87 74.9

79 28.2

29 29.6

50 27.4

136 52.9

80 54.6

56 50.7

345 55.0

13 85.5

15 18.7

10 32.5

NO DIFFERENCE

176 23.3

60 17.3

116 28.4

11 38.0

31 25.5

24 17.5

49 28.4

58 20.2

28 12.7

13 12.3

15 13.0

84 30.0

21 21.2

63 34.8

64 25.1

27 18.2

38 34.2

128 20.4

3.2

32 38.9

15 50.1

UNSURE NO OPINION

41 5.5

14 4.0

28 6.8

9 7.3

7 5.4

4 2.1

22 7.6

9 4.2

2 1.6

8 6.4

21 7.7

6 6.6

15 8.3

11 4.2

6 3.9

5 4.7

29 4.7

11 12.8

1 4.9

Page 11: Arkansas NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060614

Arkansas NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 4th - 5th, 2014, 755N, 3.57% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 8-1 T7. If the proposed regulation goes into effect consumer's and businesses electricity bills will increase. The Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency Gina McCarthy herself admitted that there would be a short-term hit to consumers. GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------

TOTAL ---------

MEN

---------

WOM EN

--------

18-29

---------

30-44

---------

45-54

--------

55-64

---------

65+

---------

TOT REP

--------

REP MEN

---------

REP WOM

---------

TOT DEM

--------

DEM MEN

---------

DEM WOM

--------

TOT IND

---------

IND MEN

---------

IND WOM

--------

WHTE

---------

HISP LAT

---------

BLCK AA

--------

OTHR

---------

TOTAL

755 100.0

347 100.0

408 100.0

30 100.0

121 100.0

136 100.0

174 100.0

287 100.0

219 100.0

102 100.0

117 100.0

279 100.0

99 100.0

181 100.0

257 100.0

146 100.0

110 100.0

627 100.0

15 100.0

83 100.0

30 100.0

MORE LIKELY TO SUPPORT

123 16.3

66 19.0

58 14.1

6 20.8

25 21.0

21 15.3

33 18.9

38 13.3

5 2.3

4 3.6

1 1.1

82 29.3

37 37.5

45 24.9

36 14.2

25 17.2

11 10.2

98 15.6

4 24.0

18 22.0

4 12.6

MORE LIKELY TO OPPOSE

455 60.3

210 60.5

245 60.1

16 53.4

67 55.6

84 61.8

95 54.5

189 65.9

183 83.7

85 83.6

98 83.9

104 37.1

32 32.4

72 39.6

168 65.6

93 63.3

76 68.6

409 65.2

10 64.7

26 30.9

11 37.5

NO DIFFERENCE

137 18.2

55 15.9

82 20.1

8 25.8

13 10.7

25 18.7

42 24.1

46 16.0

21 9.4

7 7.3

13 11.2

72 25.8

24 24.6

48 26.4

45 17.3

23 16.0

21 19.1

102 16.2

2 11.3

24 28.7

10 32.4

UNSURE NO OPINION

39 5.2

16 4.7

23 5.7

15 12.7

6 4.2

4 2.5

14 4.9

10 4.6

6 5.6

4 3.7

22 7.8

5 5.5

16 9.1

7 2.9

5 3.5

2 2.1

19 3.0

15 18.4

5 17.5

Page 12: Arkansas NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060614

Arkansas NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 4th - 5th, 2014, 755N, 3.57% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 9-1 T8. The US Chamber of Commerce, a pro-business organization has found that a similar carbon regulations proposal would result in 224,000 job losses each year through 2030, and impose $50 billion dollars in costs to the economy. GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------

TOTAL ---------

MEN

---------

WOM EN

--------

18-29

---------

30-44

---------

45-54

--------

55-64

---------

65+

---------

TOT REP

--------

REP MEN

---------

REP WOM

---------

TOT DEM

--------

DEM MEN

---------

DEM WOM

--------

TOT IND

---------

IND MEN

---------

IND WOM

--------

WHTE

---------

HISP LAT

---------

BLCK AA

--------

OTHR

---------

TOTAL

755 100.0

347 100.0

408 100.0

30 100.0

121 100.0

136 100.0

174 100.0

287 100.0

219 100.0

102 100.0

117 100.0

279 100.0

99 100.0

181 100.0

257 100.0

146 100.0

110 100.0

627 100.0

15 100.0

83 100.0

30 100.0

MORE LIKELY TO SUPPORT

97 12.9

54 15.5

43 10.6

6 20.8

22 18.3

12 9.1

24 13.7

33 11.4

5 2.2

4 3.6

1 0.9

65 23.1

28 28.8

36 20.0

28 10.8

22 14.8

6 5.6

77 12.3

4 24.0

12 15.0

4 12.6

MORE LIKELY TO OPPOSE

503 66.6

227 65.4

276 67.6

21 68.7

70 57.9

94 69.2

105 60.6

208 72.6

191 87.0

86 84.1

105 89.6

129 46.1

38 38.3

91 50.4

183 71.4

103 70.5

80 72.6

438 69.9

10 64.7

42 50.1

13 44.5

NO DIFFERENCE

130 17.2

53 15.4

76 18.7

3 10.5

21 17.5

27 20.1

39 22.7

35 12.3

16 7.3

8 7.6

8 7.1

70 25.1

25 25.5

45 24.9

43 16.9

20 13.9

23 20.8

101 16.1

2 11.3

18 22.3

8 27.8

UNSURE NO OPINION

26 3.4

13 3.8

13 3.1

8 6.3

2 1.6

5 3.0

11 3.7

8 3.5

5 4.7

3 2.4

16 5.7

7 7.3

9 4.7

2 0.9

1 0.8

1 1.0

11 1.7

10 12.6

5 15.1

Page 13: Arkansas NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060614

Arkansas NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 4th - 5th, 2014, 755N, 3.57% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 10-1 T9. Thinking now about the election this November, are you more likely to support or oppose a candidate for the United States Senate that supports the Obama Administrationís new carbon emission regulation? GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------

TOTAL ---------

MEN

---------

WOM EN

--------

18-29

---------

30-44

---------

45-54

--------

55-64

---------

65+

---------

TOT REP

--------

REP MEN

---------

REP WOM

---------

TOT DEM

--------

DEM MEN

---------

DEM WOM

--------

TOT IND

---------

IND MEN

---------

IND WOM

--------

WHTE

---------

HISP LAT

---------

BLCK AA

--------

OTHR

---------

TOTAL

755 100.0

347 100.0

408 100.0

30 100.0

121 100.0

136 100.0

174 100.0

287 100.0

219 100.0

102 100.0

117 100.0

279 100.0

99 100.0

181 100.0

257 100.0

146 100.0

110 100.0

627 100.0

15 100.0

83 100.0

30 100.0

MORE LIKELY TO SUPPORT

208 27.5

100 28.9

107 26.3

6 20.8

34 28.0

35 25.6

67 38.5

65 22.6

13 5.8

6 5.6

7 5.9

142 50.9

62 62.9

80 44.3

53 20.7

33 22.3

20 18.5

158 25.2

5 35.3

38 45.3

7 23.4

MORE LIKELY TO OPPOSE

446 59.0

210 60.5

236 57.8

24 79.2

63 52.5

87 64.4

86 49.8

180 62.8

188 86.1

88 86.0

101 86.1

82 29.2

22 22.4

60 33.0

176 68.4

100 68.4

75 68.4

401 64.0

10 64.7

21 25.0

14 47.1

UNSURE NO OPINION

101 13.4

37 10.6

65 15.9

24 19.5

14 10.0

20 11.7

42 14.7

18 8.2

9 8.3

9 8.0

55 19.9

14 14.7

41 22.7

28 10.9

14 9.3

14 13.1

68 10.8

25 29.7

9 29.5

Page 14: Arkansas NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060614

Arkansas NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 4th - 5th, 2014, 755N, 3.57% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 11-1 T10. Do you consider yourself to be a Republican, a Democrat or something else? GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------

TOTAL ---------

MEN

---------

WOM EN

--------

18-29

---------

30-44

---------

45-54

--------

55-64

---------

65+

---------

TOT REP

--------

REP MEN

---------

REP WOM

---------

TOT DEM

--------

DEM MEN

---------

DEM WOM

--------

TOT IND

---------

IND MEN

---------

IND WOM

--------

WHTE

---------

HISP LAT

---------

BLCK AA

--------

OTHR

---------

TOTAL

755 100.0

347 100.0

408 100.0

30 100.0

121 100.0

136 100.0

174 100.0

287 100.0

219 100.0

102 100.0

117 100.0

279 100.0

99 100.0

181 100.0

257 100.0

146 100.0

110 100.0

627 100.0

15 100.0

83 100.0

30 100.0

DEMOCRAT

279 37.0

99 28.4

181 44.3

17 56.0

44 36.6

45 32.8

76 44.0

96 33.4

279 100.0

99 100.0

181 100.0

200 31.9

10 63.8

63 75.4

7 23.2

SOMETHING ELSE

257 34.0

146 42.2

110 27.0

7 22.8

52 43.0

57 42.0

57 32.9

84 29.2

257 100.0

146 100.0

110 100.0

221 35.2

5 33.0

15 17.8

16 54.4

REPUBLICAN

219 29.0

102 29.4

117 28.6

6 21.3

25 20.4

34 25.2

40 23.1

107 37.5

219 100.0

102 100.0

117 100.0

206 32.9

3.2

6 6.8

7 22.4

Page 15: Arkansas NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060614

Arkansas NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 4th - 5th, 2014, 755N, 3.57% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 12-1 T11. For statistical puposes, are you a man or a woman? GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------

TOTAL ---------

MEN

---------

WOM EN

--------

18-29

---------

30-44

---------

45-54

--------

55-64

---------

65+

---------

TOT REP

--------

REP MEN

---------

REP WOM

---------

TOT DEM

--------

DEM MEN

---------

DEM WOM

--------

TOT IND

---------

IND MEN

---------

IND WOM

--------

WHTE

---------

HISP LAT

---------

BLCK AA

--------

OTHR

---------

TOTAL

755 100.0

347 100.0

408 100.0

30 100.0

121 100.0

136 100.0

174 100.0

287 100.0

219 100.0

102 100.0

117 100.0

279 100.0

99 100.0

181 100.0

257 100.0

146 100.0

110 100.0

627 100.0

15 100.0

83 100.0

30 100.0

WOMAN

408 54.0

408 100.0

21 68.7

61 50.3

63 46.1

111 64.1

146 51.1

117 53.3

117 100.0

181 64.7

181 100.0

110 43.0

110 100.0

327 52.3

15 96.8

56 66.9

10 33.1

MAN

347 46.0

347 100.0

9 31.3

60 49.7

73 53.9

62 35.9

140 48.9

102 46.7

102 100.0

99 35.3

99 100.0

146 57.0

146 100.0

299 47.7

3.2

27 33.1

20 66.9

Page 16: Arkansas NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060614

Arkansas NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 4th - 5th, 2014, 755N, 3.57% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 13-1 T12. Which of the following age groups applies to you? GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------

TOTAL ---------

MEN

---------

WOM EN

--------

18-29

---------

30-44

---------

45-54

--------

55-64

---------

65+

---------

TOT REP

--------

REP MEN

---------

REP WOM

---------

TOT DEM

--------

DEM MEN

---------

DEM WOM

--------

TOT IND

---------

IND MEN

---------

IND WOM

--------

WHTE

---------

HISP LAT

---------

BLCK AA

--------

OTHR

---------

TOTAL

755 100.0

347 100.0

408 100.0

30 100.0

121 100.0

136 100.0

174 100.0

287 100.0

219 100.0

102 100.0

117 100.0

279 100.0

99 100.0

181 100.0

257 100.0

146 100.0

110 100.0

627 100.0

15 100.0

83 100.0

30 100.0

18-29

30 4.0

9 2.7

21 5.1

30 100.0

6 2.9

3 3.1

3 2.8

17 6.0

6 6.4

11 5.9

7 2.7

7 6.2

20 3.1

6 39.8

5 5.6

30-44

121 16.0

60 17.3

61 14.9

121 100.0

25 11.2

14 14.1

10 8.7

44 15.8

17 17.4

27 15.0

52 20.2

28 19.4

24 21.3

77 12.3

7 45.7

30 36.7

7 21.5

45-54

136 18.0

73 21.1

63 15.4

136 100.0

34 15.7

13 12.3

22 18.6

45 15.9

21 20.9

24 13.2

57 22.2

40 27.3

17 15.6

109 17.4

2 11.3

15 18.3

10 33.4

55-64

174 23.0

62 18.0

111 27.3

174 100.0

40 18.3

15 14.8

25 21.4

76 27.4

17 17.6

59 32.7

57 22.2

30 20.5

27 24.6

146 23.3

19 22.7

9 29.0

65+

287 38.0

140 40.4

146 35.9

287 100.0

107 49.1

55 53.9

52 44.9

96 34.3

37 37.8

58 32.3

84 32.6

48 32.8

36 32.3

269 42.9

3.2

13 15.6

5 16.1

REFUSED

8 1.0

2 0.5

6 1.4

6 2.8

2 1.8

4 3.6

1 0.5

1 0.8

7 1.1

1 1.1

Page 17: Arkansas NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey Results 060614

Arkansas NMA EPA Regulation Issue Survey, June 4th - 5th, 2014, 755N, 3.57% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585 Table 14-1 T13. For statistical purposes only, what is your race? Press 1 if you are white, press 2 if you are Hispanic or Latino, press 3 if you are black or African American, press 3 if you belong to another ethnic group. GENDER AGE REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT RACE -------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------

TOTAL ---------

MEN

---------

WOM EN

--------

18-29

---------

30-44

---------

45-54

--------

55-64

---------

65+

---------

TOT REP

--------

REP MEN

---------

REP WOM

---------

TOT DEM

--------

DEM MEN

---------

DEM WOM

--------

TOT IND

---------

IND MEN

---------

IND WOM

--------

WHTE

---------

HISP LAT

---------

BLCK AA

--------

OTHR

---------

TOTAL

755 100.0

347 100.0

408 100.0

30 100.0

121 100.0

136 100.0

174 100.0

287 100.0

219 100.0

102 100.0

117 100.0

279 100.0

99 100.0

181 100.0

257 100.0

146 100.0

110 100.0

627 100.0

15 100.0

83 100.0

30 100.0

WHITE

627 83.0

299 86.1

327 80.3

20 64.8

77 63.7

109 80.1

146 84.1

269 93.6

206 94.1

95 93.3

111 94.8

200 71.6

77 78.3

123 67.9

221 85.9

127 86.4

94 85.2

627 100.0

BLACK AFRICAN AMERICAN

83 11.0

27 7.9

56 13.6

5 15.3

30 25.2

15 11.2

19 10.9

13 4.5

6 2.6

3 2.5

3 2.6

63 22.4

17 17.3

46 25.2

15 5.8

8 5.3

7 6.3

83 100.0

OTHER

30 4.0

20 5.8

10 2.5

7 5.4

10 7.4

9 5.1

5 1.7

7 3.1

4 3.7

3 2.5

7 2.5

4 4.3

3 1.5

16 6.4

12 8.3

4 3.9

30 100.0

HISPANIC LATINO

15 2.0

0.1

15 3.6

6 19.9

7 5.7

2 1.3

0.2

0.2

0.5

10 3.4

10 5.3

5 1.9

5 4.5

15 100.0