april 2019 aviation special edition - renewableuk...project intelligence hub 3 project intelligence...
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April 2019
Aviation Special Edition
Event Partners & Sponsors
Welcome…
Disclaimer:
RenewableUK is pleased to bring you a special edition of our WindEnergy Project Intelligence.
What you will find in this edition:
• Information on how to access our Project Intelligence Hub for global project information
• Total, Operational and New Build portfolios for UK, European, Global and Non-European Offshore Wind
• Forecasts of all European Projects and Turbines
• Offshore Tip Heights Summary for UK and European Projects
• Offshore Depth and Distance for UK and European Projects
• Total, Operational and New Build portfolios for UK Onshore Wind
• Onshore Tip Heights Summary for UK Projects
Information in this document is provided by RenewableUK and is a high level snapshot of the information available in the offshore wind project intelligence database. Information in this document has been compiled as of 24th April 2019.
Project Intelligence Hub
3
Project intelligence hub available
Company members of RenewableUK can interrogate our relational renewable energy database to search for information on contracts, project ownership, turbine type, news and forecasts via this link:
http://www.renewableuk.com/page/PIHome
How to use the new service
The intelligence hub is for RenewableUK member employees. When accessing the searches, you may be prompted for your username and password. If your organisation is a member of RenewableUK but you have not yet registered your personal details, then you can do so here: http://www.renewableuk.com/page/RegisterAccount
RenewableUK tracks offshore wind projects across the globe, UK onshore wind projects above 100kW in size and UK marine energy projects.
Each search page allows you to select which sector you wish to interrogate. Filters can be optionally applied to narrow the searches by date, geography, organisations, components, or project status & size depending on the relevance to the search.
Results are displayed in tabular, pivot or graphical format, with options to drill down in to the data.
Our comprehensive relational database is updated by RenewableUK on a daily basis. This database is here to provide members with accurate, current data on our industry, helping you to keep track of our fast-moving sector. We are happy to understand from our members how we can improve this member benefit. Comments and suggestions should be emailed to [email protected].
Examples of the type of search possible:
Contracts
Search for contract awards on a particular project, for a particular component, by who awarded or who has been awarded a contract. - "Find me all contract awards in East Asia for offshore wind array cables" - "Who has a particular organisation been awarding contracts too?"- "What offshore wind contracts have been awarded to Scottish companies in
Germany"- "Show me known contract awards for Dudgeon"
Ownership
Search for who owns a project, or which projects are owned by an organisation. - "Which offshore wind projects does a particular organisation have a stake in"- “Who are the highest ranked owners in terms of MW capacity in Europe"
Generators (Turbine)
Search projects by generator type, model & capacity. For wind projects search by tip height, hub height or rotor diameter. - “Show me projects in the North Sea with jacket foundations"- “Which offshore turbine models have the highest market share in German waters“- “How old is the fleet of turbines for a particular make”
Offshore wind forecasts
Search projects by RenewableUK forecasted installation dates. Filter project size, turbine model, owner. Also available: on line versions of component forecast graphs highlighted in this report with the ability to drill down in to the data.- “Show me the forecast for North European array cable installation with contract
awards for installer"- “What is RenewableUK’s forecast for projects owned by Orsted“- “When will offshore projects be commissioned in French waters”
Total Portfolio - UK
4
Orsted20%
SSE17%
Vattenfall12%
Iberdrola10%
Innogy9%
Equinor6%
EDPR3%
Green Investment Group
3%
E.ON3%
Other17%
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Fully Commissioned Under construction Pre-construction
RO feasible CfD eligible Support Secured
In Planning Cumulative
The UK portfolio currently has the potential to deliver 38.1GW of offshore wind if fully constructed
UK Portfolio by Owner Share (%)
UK Commissioning Activity & Forecast by Status (MW p.a.)
Fully Commissioned,
7,899
Under construction,
2,520
Pre-Construction, 3,196
Approved at JR, 2,648CfD Eligible, 6,060
RO Feasible, 60
In Planning, 5,340
Development, 10,425
UK Portfolio by Status (MW)
Operational Portfolio & New Build Programme - UK
5
Orsted22%
E.ON11%
Green Investment Group10%
Innogy8%
Vattenfall8%
SSE4%
Equinor4%
Masdar3%
PKA3%
Other27%
SSE21%
Orsted19%
Vattenfall13%
Iberdrola12%
Innogy9%
Equinor7%
EDPR4%
SDIC Power3%
GIP2%
Other10%
UK Operational Portfolio by Owner Share (%)
New-build Programme Portfolio by Owner Share [%]
Under construction,
2,520Pre-Construction,
3,196
Approved at JR, 2,648
CfD Eligible, 6,060
RO Feasible, 60In Planning, 5,340
Development, 10,425
New-build Programme Portfolio by Status [MW]
Total Portfolio – UK & Europe
6
Europe Portfolio by Country (MW) Europe Commissioning Activity & Forecast by Country (MW p.a.)
Europe Portfolio by Status (MW)Europe Portfolio by Owner Share (%)
Fully Commissioned,
17,541
Under construction,
5,210
Pre-Construction, 5,274
Approved at JR, 2,648
Consented, 14,710
In Planning, 17,079
Development, 20,968
Orsted14%
Vattenfall11%
SSE8%
Iberdrola6%
Innogy6%
Tbc5%
Equinor5%
Windreich3%
PGE3%
Other39%
38,144
20,0996,521
3,612 3,844 2,2628,679
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
90,000
UK Germany Netherlands France Denmark Belgium Other
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
0500
1,0001,5002,0002,5003,0003,5004,0004,5005,000
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
UK Germany Netherlands France
Denmark Belgium Other Cumulative
Operational Portfolio & New Build Programme - UK & Europe
7
Europe New-build Programme by Owner Share [%] Europe New-build Programme by Country (MW)
Europe Operational Portfolio by Country (MW]Europe Operational Portfolio by Owner Share (%)
Orsted12%
Vattenfall12%
SSE10%
Iberdrola7%
Tbc7%Equinor
6%
Innogy5%
Windreich4%
PGE3%
Other34%
30,249
14,3085,404
3,6122,578 1,076
8,394
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
UK Germany Netherlands France Denmark Belgium Other
Orsted17%
E.ON7%
Vattenfall7%
Innogy6%
Green Investment Group
5%Northland
4%SWM3%
Iberdrola3%
Ocean Breeze2%
Other46% 7,895
5,7901,118 0
1,266 1,186 286
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
20,000
UK Germany Netherlands France Denmark Belgium Other
Total Portfolio – Non-European
8
Non-European Portfolio by Country (MW) Non-European Commissioning Activity & Forecast by Country (MW p.a.)
Non-European Portfolio by Status (MW)Non-European Portfolio by Owner Share (%)
14,558
11,992
8,8612,000 922 714 700 182
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
USA China Taiwan Australia Japan SouthKorea
India Canada
Orsted13%
Equinor8%
CIP7%
CGN7%
Avangrid6%
Shell4%GD Power
4%EDF3%
Offshore Energy2%
Other46%
Fully Commissioned,
2,873 Under construction,
3,448
Pre-Construction, 620
Approved, 14,525
In Planning, 3,195
Development, 15,268
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
China Taiwan USA Japan
Canada South Korea Other Cumulative
Operational Portfolio & New Build Programme – Non-European
9
Non-European New-build Programme by Owner Share [%] Non-European New-build Programme by Country (MW)
Non-European Operational Portfolio by Country (MW]Non-European Operational Portfolio by Owner Share (%)
14,528
9,260
8,8532,000
849 700 684 182
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
USA China Taiwan Australia Japan India SouthKorea
Canada
Orsted14%
Equinor8%
CIP7%
Avangrid7%
CGN7%
Shell5%
GD Power3%
EDF3%
Offshore Energy3%
Other43%
2,732 73 30 30 8
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
China Japan USA South Korea Taiwan
China Longyuan Power27%
SPIC24%
CHNG10%
GD Power9%
Yangtze New Energy
7%
CGN7%
China Southern Power
3%
China Datang2%
Fujian Offshore Wind Power
2%
Other9%
Total Portfolio – Global
10
Global Portfolio by Country (MW) Global Commissioning Activity & Forecast by Country (MW p.a.)
Global Portfolio by Status (MW)Global Portfolio by Owner Share (%)
Orsted13%
Vattenfall7%
Equinor6%
SSE6%
Iberdrola4%
Innogy4%
Tbc4%
Windreich2%
CIP2%
Other52%
Fully Commissioned,
20,414
Under construction,
8,658
Pre-Construction, 5,894
Approved at JR, 2,648
Consented, 29,235
In Planning, 20,274
Development, 35,966
38,144
20,09914,558
11,9928,861
6,521 5,005 3,844 3,61210,453
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
UK Germany China Netherlands
Taiwan USA Other Cumulative
Operational Portfolio & New Build Programme - Global
11
Global New-build Programme Portfolio by Owner Share [%] Global New-build Programme by Country (MW)
Global Operational Portfolio by Country (MW]Global Operational Portfolio by Owner Share (%)
30,249
14,528
14,3089,260
8,8535,404
5,005 3,612 3,1808,277
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000Orsted14%
Vattenfall8%
Equinor8%
SSE7%
Iberdrola5%Tbc
5%Innogy4%
Windreich3%
CIP3%
Other43%
Orsted15%
E.ON6%
Vattenfall6%
Innogy5%
China Longyuan Power
4%Green Investment Group
4%SPIC3%
Northland3%
SWM3%
Other51%
7,895
5,7902,732
1,2661,186 1,118 192 73 68 426
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
Component Focus: Turbines - UK
12
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Siemens MHI Vestas Siemens Gamesa Vestas 2-B Energy Tbc Other
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
A2SEA MPI A2SEA; Fred. Olsen GeoSea
Swire BO Seajacks Boskalis Saipem
Tbc Other
These graphs display an indicative forecast across the UK up to 2024 and are now available to RenewableUK company level members online
UK Turbine Installation Forecast by Manufacturer (units p.a)
UK Turbine Installation Forecast by Installer (units p.a)
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
0
100
200
300
400
500
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Fully Commissioned Under Construction Pre-Construction
RO feasible CfD eligible Support Secured
Consented In Planning Cumulative Units
UK Turbine Installation Forecast by Status (units p.a)
#TIMETOSWITCH - SIGN UP TO THE SWITCH LIST
Component Focus: Turbines - Europe
13
These graphs display an indicative forecast across Europe up to 2024 and are now available to RenewableUK company level members online
European Turbine Installation by Manufacturer (units p.a)
European Turbine Installation Forecast by Installer (units p.a)
European Turbine Installation Forecast by Country (units p.a)
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
UK Germany Netherlands France
Denmark Belgium Other Cumulative
0100200300400500600700800900
1,000
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Siemens MHI Vestas Siemens Gamesa GE Adwen
Senvion Areva Vestas Tbc Other
0100200300400500600700800900
1,000
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
A2SEA MPI Fred. Olsen Van OordA2SEA; Fred. Olsen Swire BO GeoSea Jan De NulTbc Other
Offshore Tip Height Summary – UK & Europe
14
UK Tip Height Range by Status [No. of Turbines]
UK & Europe Tip Height Range by Country [No. of Turbines]
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
100-
110
110-
120
120-
130
130-
140
140-
150
150-
160
160-
170
170-
180
180-
190
190-
200
200-
210
210-
220
220-
230
230-
240
240-
250
250-
260
260-
270
270-
280
280-
290
290-
300
300-
310
310-
320
320-
330
Operational Under construction Consented In planning Development
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
60-7
070
-80
80-9
090
-100
100-
110
110-
120
120-
130
130-
140
140-
150
150-
160
160-
170
170-
180
180-
190
190-
200
200-
210
210-
220
220-
230
230-
240
240-
250
250-
260
260-
270
270-
280
280-
290
290-
300
300-
310
310-
320
320-
330
Operational Under construction Consented In planning Development
UK & Europe Tip Height Range by Status [No. of Turbines]
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
60-7
070
-80
90-1
0010
0-11
011
0-12
011
0-12
012
0-13
013
0-14
014
0-15
015
0-16
016
0-17
017
0-18
018
0-19
019
0-20
020
0-21
021
0-22
022
0-23
023
0-24
024
0-25
025
0-26
026
0-27
027
0-28
028
0-29
029
0-30
030
0-31
032
0-33
0
UK Germany Denmark Netherlands France Belgium Ireland Other
* Tip heights of 150m fall in the range of 150-160
Water Depth & Distance – UK & Europe
15
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 220
Wat
er d
epth
(m)
Distance to Shore (km)
Fully Commissioned Under Construction Pre-Construction CfD eligible
Support Secured In planning Support Secured Development
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 220
Wat
er d
epth
(m)
Distance to shore (km)
UK Germany Netherlands France Denmark Belgium Other
UK Water Depth & Distance by Status
UK & Europe Water Depth & Distance by Country
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 220
Wat
er d
epth
(m)
Distance to shore (km)
Fully commissioned Under Construction Pre-Construction
Approved In Planning Development
UK & Europe Water Depth & Distance by Status
Total Portfolio – UK Onshore
16
ScottishPower8% SSE
7%
Community Windpower
5%
EDF5%Greencoat UK
4%
E.ON4%
Innogy3%
Vattenfall3%
ESB3%
Other58%
18,808
3,191 2,1242,057
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
Scotland England N.Ireland Wales
UK Portfolio by Owner Share [%]
UK Portfolio by Country [MW]
Operational, 12,867
Under construction, 696
Consented, 4,497
In Planning, 4,029
Devlopment, 4,091
UK Portfolio by Status [MW]
Operational & New Build – UK Onshore
17
UK New Build Portfolio by Owner Share (%) New-build Programme Portfolio by Country [MW]
Operational Programme Portfolio by Country [MW]UK Operational Portfolio by Owner Share (%)
11,025
1,018 923 347
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
Scotland Wales Northern Ireland England
Community Windpower
9%
EDF7%
ESB5%
E.ON5%
RES4%
Innogy4%
SSE4%
Vattenfall4%
Brookfield3%
Other55%
ScottishPower15%
SSE11%
Greencoat UK7%
Ventient5%
TRIG4%Vattenfall
3%Landowner
3%Innogy
3%
Fred. Olsen2%
Other47%
7,783
2,844
1,2021,039
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
Scotland England Northern Ireland Wales
Turbine Tip Heights – UK Onshore
18
UK Onshore Tip Height by Status [No. of Turbines]*
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
010-
20
20-3
0
30-4
0
40-5
0
50-6
0
60-7
0
70-8
0
80-9
0
90-1
00
100-
110
110-
120
120-
130
130-
140
140-
150
150-
160
160-
170
170-
180
180-
190
190-
200
200-
210
210-
220
220-
230
220-
230
Operational Under construction Consented In planning Development
UK Onshore Tip Height by Country [No. of Turbines]*
Scotland Onshore Tip Height by Status [No. of Turbines]*
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
Scotland England Northern Ireland Wales
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
Operational Under construction Consented In planning Development
* Tip heights of 150m fall in the range of 150-160
Balance of Plant
- Balance of Plant (BoP) refers to all of the infrastructural elements of a windfarm with the exception of the turbine and all of its components.
CfD eligible
- Projects that are deemed eligible to bid for a Contract for Difference (CfD) are those that have received planning consent and that have a grid connection date agreed with National Grid.
Distance to shore:
- The mid-point between the minimum and maximum reported distance to shore in kilometres.
FIDeR
- Launched in March 2013, the FIDeR (Financial Investment Decision Enabling for Renewables) regime was designed to enable developers of low carbon electricity projects to take final investment decisions ahead of the Contract for Difference (CfD) regime being put in place as part of Electricity Market Reform.
Glossary
19
Pre-construction
- Projects that have reached a Financial Investment Decision (FID).
RO feasible
- Projects that are deemed feasible to pursue construction under the Renewable Obligation regime are those that have received planning consent and that have a connection date agreed with National Grid that is before the 1st April 2017.
Support secured
- Projects that have been awarded a Contract for Difference (CfD) – either through the Financial Investment Decision enabling for renewables (FIDeR) regime or through the 1st CfD Allocation Round.
Water depth:
- The mid-point between the minimum and maximum reported water depth in metres.
Model Methodology:
All data is sourced from publically available information. Where real dates and values are known they are represented in the data. Unknown dates and values are modelled using assumptions and trends derived from the installed global base of offshore wind projects. In order to provide a five year market forecast known and modelled values are phased per project between known and modelled dates. Every effort has been made to present the most up-to-date information obtainable prior to publication.
Take the next step…
20
Found this update useful? Let us know…
Please send your feedback and questions to [email protected] or call +44 (0) 207 901 3039.
Join RenewableUK
RenewableUK is working together with its members to develop the offshore wind industry in the UK. RenewableUK members enjoy unparalleled access to up-to-date market information, news and policy updates along with direct access to industry experts via a range of working groups, networking events and workshops.
For more information on becoming a RenewableUK member contact [email protected] or call +44 (0) 207 901 3016.
Previous EditionsFoundations – September 2015
Turbines – October 2015
Array Cables – November 2015
Export Cables – December 2015
Substations – January 2016
Foundations – February 2016
Turbines – March 2016
Array Cables – April 2016
Export Cables – May 2016
Substations – June 2016
Foundations – July 2016
Turbines – August 2016
Array Cables – September 2016
Export Cables – October 2016
Substations – November 2016
End of Year – December 2016
Global Edition – January 2017
Component Edition – March 2017
Q2 -2017 Update – June 2017
Q3 -2017 Update – October 2017
Q4 -2017 Update – January 2018
Q1 – 2018 Update – March 2018
GOW 2018 – June 2018
Q3 – 2018 Update – October 2018
January Edition – January 2019
Q1 - 2019 Update – April 2019
The above list of Offshore Wind Project Intelligence, as well as future editions are available to all members of RenewableUK.