april 2015 australian senate inquiry submission€¦ · we are still the only mobile money platform...
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mHITs Limited | Level 1 Melbourne Building 43-45 Northbourne Avenue Canberra City ACT 2601 Australia
Tel: +61 2 6223 2023 | Fax: +61 2 6112 8071 | ABN: 82 107 753 613 | www.mhitslimited.com 1
April 2015 | mHITs Limited | Senate Inquiry into Digital Currency
April 2015
Australian Senate inquiry submission
mHITs Limited
www.mhitslimited.com
mHITs Limited submission to the Australian Senate Inquiry into Digital Currency
Digital currencySubmission 48
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mHITs Limited | Level 1 Melbourne Building 43-45 Northbourne Avenue Canberra City ACT 2601 Australia
Tel: +61 2 6223 2023 | Fax: +61 2 6112 8071 | ABN: 82 107 753 613 | www.mhitslimited.com 2
April 2015 | mHITs Limited | Senate Inquiry into Digital Currency
9 April 2015
Senate Economics References Committee
CIO Senate Standing Committees on Economics
PO Box 6100
Parliament House
Canberra ACT 2600
Phone: +61 2 6277 3540
Fax: +61 2 6277 5719
Email: [email protected]
RE: Inquiry into Digital Currency
Dear Chairman Dastyari, Deputy Chairman Edwards, and Members of the Committee,
We thank you for the opportunity to provide this late submission to the committee. In part this
submission has been prompted by evidence given in the recent hearings and the particular interest
shown by the committee the application of crypto currency in cross-border remittance (or international
money transfer).
mHITs is an Australian based multi-award winning global pioneer in these fields and felt therefore
compelled to provide a submission to the committee. Furthermore, the interest shown by the
committee in mobile money services for the unbanked such as M-PESA in Kenya (with whom we work
with closely) and the emerging area of cross-border remittance to these mobile money services,
further motivated us respond.
mHITs has a long and well documented history in Australia of developing innovative, disruptive mobile
and digital payment services. We are still the only mobile money platform in Australia and the only
bank and mobile network independent mobile money service operator in the Pacific region. Despite
facing resistance by some sections of the mobile, banking and payment industry, we have persevered
and are now a global leader in the field of international mobile money transfer. We also have
experience in dealing with regulatory frameworks around new technology and new types of payment
instruments.
The structure of our submission is essentially an open whitepaper highlighting the importance and
application of digital currencies in our area of expertise. Our core recommendations are made at the
end of the submission.
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mHITs Limited | Level 1 Melbourne Building 43-45 Northbourne Avenue Canberra City ACT 2601 Australia
Tel: +61 2 6223 2023 | Fax: +61 2 6112 8071 | ABN: 82 107 753 613 | www.mhitslimited.com 3
April 2015 | mHITs Limited | Senate Inquiry into Digital Currency
Again we thank the committee for their work in this important area and look forward to hearing of its
recommendations in due course.
Your Sincerely,
Harold Dimpel
CEO
mHITs Limited
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mHITs Limited | Level 1 Melbourne Building 43-45 Northbourne Avenue Canberra City ACT 2601 Australia
Tel: +61 2 6223 2023 | Fax: +61 2 6112 8071 | ABN: 82 107 753 613 | www.mhitslimited.com 4
April 2015 | mHITs Limited | Senate Inquiry into Digital Currency
contents
contents 4
introduction 5
crypto currencies and the blockchain 6
the mHITs Australia mobile money service 6
remittance – the hidden force in global economics 7
cost of funds and the opportunity for crypto currencies 9
crypto currency price volatility no different to normal FX 9
crypto currencies as an irrefutable source of funds 10
crypto currencies and remittance for the unbanked 11
stigma of suspicion associated with crypto currencies 12
current ATO draft tax ruling for crypto currencies unworkable 13
digital currencies foster new innovative business models 13
regulation needs to foster fintech innovation 14
summary recommendations 15
Digital currencySubmission 48
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mHITs Limited | Level 1 Melbourne Building 43-45 Northbourne Avenue Canberra City ACT 2601 Australia
Tel: +61 2 6223 2023 | Fax: +61 2 6112 8071 | ABN: 82 107 753 613 | www.mhitslimited.com 5
April 2015 | mHITs Limited | Senate Inquiry into Digital Currency
introduction
mHITs (pronounced Em-HITS) is a multi-award winning Australian developer and operator of mobile
payment services. In Australia, mHITs operates the mHITs SMS mobile money payment service that
allows consumers to send and receive low value payments by SMS text message. mHITs is also
working in emerging markets in the design, deployment and operation of mobile payment solutions for
the so called “unbanked” (people who do not have access to traditional banking services).
Use of the mobile phone as a payment device is acknowledged as a logical payment solution for the
unbanked as people in developing countries often lack the formal identity requirements that traditional
banking services require such as a birth certificate, formal address or regular employment or income.
The lack of bank branches, volatile financial sector, limited number of ATM’s, limited access to the
Internet and the general low level of financial literacy in developing countries are contrasted by the
large-scale uptake of mobile phones in these same markets.
mHITs has received multiple awards for innovation both within Australia and Internationally. For more
details visit www.mhitslimited.com.
vendor work in international markets
mHITs is also an emerging exporter working in overseas markets in the design, development and
operation of mobile payment and applications. In particular, mHITs focus on solutions in the
developing world for the so-called “unbanked” or people who do not have access to traditional banking
products or services. In particular, the award winning mHITs BuyPower mobile prepaid electricity
vending service has deployed in PNG and Namibia with more deployments planned.
Depending upon the market and the product, mHITs products are deployed under our own consumer
facing brand or under a vendor model where the service is promoted by the end customer – usually
the mobile network operator.
Globally and across all mobile platforms and deployments, mHITs technology has processed in
excess of 20 million mobile transactions to date.
Examples of products, services, deployments and case studies in these markets can be found at the
mHITs corporate website at www.mhitslimited.com.
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mHITs Limited | Level 1 Melbourne Building 43-45 Northbourne Avenue Canberra City ACT 2601 Australia
Tel: +61 2 6223 2023 | Fax: +61 2 6112 8071 | ABN: 82 107 753 613 | www.mhitslimited.com 6
April 2015 | mHITs Limited | Senate Inquiry into Digital Currency
crypto currencies and the blockchain
mHITs notes that numerous submissions have already covered in detail the technology and operation
of crypto currencies and the blockchain. It is therefore also assumed that the Committee is familiar
with the Bitcoin ecosystem including the role of exchange for on-ramping and off-ramping Bitcoin, the
role and operation of Bitcoin wallets, the speed and efficiency in which value is transferred within
crypto currency ecosystems and the transparency of the “open ledger” nature of the blockchain. This
submission will therefore not cover these areas and assume that the Committee is familiar with these
concepts.
the mHITs Australia mobile money service
mHITs operates Australia’s first and only bank and mobile operator independent mobile money service
launched in 2005. The service allows consumers to send and receive low value payments simply by
sending an SMS text message. The mobile number is used as the account number and the service
does not require a smartphone, app or internet capable mobile handset to use. The service is
ubiquitous – meaning it will operate on any mobile phone.
The mHITs mobile money service operates in a similar way to the M-PESA service in Kenya with the
key difference being the way funds are moved in and out of the system. As it operates in a highly
banked economy, the mHITs mobile money service does not rely on an over-the-counter agent
network for user registration, loading or cashing out funds. Instead, users register online and transfer
funds to their mHITs mobile money account via the Australian banking system using BPAY or Internet
Banking.
More information on the mHITs Australia mobile money service is available at www.mhits.com.au
mHITs Remit mobile international remittance
While we have launched a number of products and services over the years on the mHITs Australia
mobile money service, our main focus now is mobile international remittance. We have through very
complex bilateral partnerships, connected our Australian mobile money service to overseas
counterpart mobile money services – all in developing countries. This essentially allows people in
Australia to use their mobile phone to directly and instantly send money to friends and family overseas
simply by sending an SMS text message.
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mHITs Limited | Level 1 Melbourne Building 43-45 Northbourne Avenue Canberra City ACT 2601 Australia
Tel: +61 2 6223 2023 | Fax: +61 2 6112 8071 | ABN: 82 107 753 613 | www.mhitslimited.com 7
April 2015 | mHITs Limited | Senate Inquiry into Digital Currency
Current receiving mobile money services include M-PESA in Kenya, Globe GCASH and SMART
Money in the Philippines, MTN Mobile Money in Ghana, Indosat Dompetku in Indonesia, Telesom
ZAAD in Somaliland, eSewa in Nepal and Vodafone M-PAiSA in Fiji.
Funds are transferred instantly and do not require a transfer agent or bank.
The mobile remittance service known as mHITs Remit was the first model of its type in the world when
launched in August 2012. mHITs is now developing relationships with global mobile money operators
to expand the receiving market footprint with over 15 new markets expected to be added in the next 12
months.
Mobile remittance is far more efficient than traditional bank remittance as it is optimized for low value
remittance transfers with an average amount of around $200. This amount is simply too low to be
economically processed by the current banking network using the global SWIFT network.
The mHITs Remit service is aimed at low value, low risk personal remittance transactions – so called
micro-remittance. Indeed, multiple transaction limits apply at both the sending and receiving sides of
the ecosystem along with a complex transaction monitoring process to identify suspicious
transactions.
Each mobile money service is licensed by the central bank within the relevant jurisdiction and must
observe strict AML/CTF rules as required by local legislation and regulations. This also includes
mHITs who is an AUSTRAC registered independent remittance operator.
mHITs is also a founding member of The Australian Remittance and Currency Association (ARCPA)
who are working closely with government, banks and industry to ensure best practice compliance with
Australian regulation for money transfer businesses.
For more information on the mHITs Remit service see www.mhits.com.au/send-money.
remittance – the hidden force in global economics
Remittance is the hidden force in global economics. According to the World Bank, in 2014, over
US$640 billion was sent in remittance globally. By comparison, global foreign development aid was
less than a quarter of this amount at approximately US$135 billion.
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mHITs Limited | Level 1 Melbourne Building 43-45 Northbourne Avenue Canberra City ACT 2601 Australia
Tel: +61 2 6223 2023 | Fax: +61 2 6112 8071 | ABN: 82 107 753 613 | www.mhitslimited.com 8
April 2015 | mHITs Limited | Senate Inquiry into Digital Currency
Unlike foreign aid, remittance ensures funds are sent directly to individual people who need it and can
benefit from it the most. In many emerging markets, a significant % of GDP is from inbound
remittances.
Generally, remittances flow from wealthy countries to poorer countries. It is not uncommon for whole
communities to be supported by one family member working overseas and sending money home.
As was outlined by DFAT during the hearings, the majority of recipients of remittance are unbanked or
do not have access to a bank account, meaning they cannot use the formal banking system for
remittances. Instead they are required to use Money Transfer Operators such as Western Union who
due to their monopoly position in many emerging markets, traditionally charge very high fees.
However, these same recipients do have a mobile phone and in many cases have a mobile money
account linked to their mobile phone number. This means that for the first time, funds can be sent
directly to these recipients without the need for a bank or money transfer agent. This means the cost
of remittance could potentially be reduce by half the current rates on average.
As DFAT advised, services such as mHITs are providing a facility where banks and other providers
simply cannot. mHITs Remit provides an essential lifeline to many communities which in some cases
have no other form of receiving funds. It is therefore critical that this sector be allowed to continue to
innovate which includes the use of crypto currencies as a potential payment method and source of
funds.
Traditionally, the transaction fees applied to international remittance are in the order of 10- 20% of the
transaction amount. This increases to around to 40% when amounts are below $100. This is mainly
due to the inefficiency of the banking sector in facilitating cross-border transfers and the number of
stakeholders required to facilitate a transaction.
The mHITs Remit service allows for the first time amounts as low as $50 to be sent instantly and
efficiently with fees as low as $5.50 per transaction. This is achievable only through the use of digital
payment technology such as mobile money and removing the traditional bank and agent network
structures.
Please note, physical funds settlement between Australia and receiving countries still occurs via the
banking system only the settlement transfers are massively aggregated to reduce costs, savings which
are then passed on to customers.
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April 2015 | mHITs Limited | Senate Inquiry into Digital Currency
cost of funds and the opportunity for crypto currencies
All remittance businesses must receive funds from customers. Traditionally this includes over-the-
counter cash, electronic funds transfer, BPAY, and also card payment. Each of these funding sources
come with a degree of risk and cost.
An important aspect which may not have been addressed in the inquiry is the cost of funds and how
crypto currencies address this issue. By cost-of-funds, we mean to receive or hold money or indeed
any other form of stored value, there is a cost to this process. Traditionally this cost is highest for
cash but the same cost of funds principle applies also for electronic money and crypto currencies.
Typically, the real cost of funds for a remittance operator is between 1 and 2% of the amount.
Depending upon the amount, this can increase to between 3 and 4% if the funds are drawn from a
credit or debit card.
Crypto currencies generally provide a lower cost of funds due to their increased efficiency. Inherently
Bitcoin for example can be transferred at no cost. In practice however, crypto currencies are not
completely immune from the cost-of-funds predicament. Crypto currency exchanges which facilitate
the exchange of crypto currencies for fiat currency do charge transaction fees. Volatility of crypto
currency values can also add some cost however in practice when used as a transactional payment
instrument (rather than a speculative investment product), from a customer perspective, crypto
currencies offer a lower cost payment medium than traditional electronic money transfer alternatives.
In summary, while a holder of crypto currency may pay a small cost to exchange their fiat currency for
a crypto currency, these costs are still vastly lower than those applied by traditional banking products
and services in particular when compared with card surcharges and foreign exchange margins applied
by banks.
crypto currency price volatility no different to normal FX
A frequent concern is the perceived price instability of crypto currencies. In practice, the market price
volatility for crypto currencies is no greater than other normal fiat currency pairs or other commodity
items such as gold, silver, copper or even ion ore. In an open market, while a central bank may
intervene to attempt to prevent a currency fall, in practice nothing can prevent large market swings in
any currency or commodity if the market lacks confidence in it. As an example, even the Australian
dollar has dropped by over 20% to the US dollar over the last 6 months.
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April 2015 | mHITs Limited | Senate Inquiry into Digital Currency
Crypto currency price volatility is a risk mainly for speculators who hold large amounts of crypto
currencies for capital gains. While holders may gain from price increases, they are also exposed to
potential losses. This in many ways is no different to normal commodity trading in the open market.
As a transactional payment instrument, provided adequate settlement and hedging strategies are
used, the price volatility of crypto currencies is in practice no different to regular online trading where
prices are set according to a particular currency (e.g. USD). For crypto currencies, the volatility risk is
rests mainly with the business accepting crypto currency for payment as they are likely to hold a larger
amount as opposed to an ordinary user who would be likely only to hold enough for personal use.
crypto currencies as an irrefutable source of funds
By far the greatest interest for the use of crypto currencies for online and digital businesses is its
irrefutability – the non-reversible nature of the payment transaction.
Card-based payment products operated by banks are a very insecure form of online payment having
never been designed for use on the Internet. Numerous attempts at securitising card transactions
have been attempted (including tokenization) but fraud can never be eliminated altogether.
Unfortunately, due to the ubiquity of card products in many OECD markets, the majority of global
commerce relies on cards products issued by banks. Fraud is simply managed as a cost of doing
business online.
Furthermore, online card transactions are generally subject to escrow provisions and transactions can
be reversed by a bank – so called charge-backs. This charge-back exposure is levied on the business
(merchant) who in most cases has no option but to accept these transaction losses. These losses
become highly significant for businesses which ship or deliver digital goods and services instantly,
online or in the case of remittance, send funds overseas as there is usually no recourse to ever
recover the product and/or the funds.
Online businesses accepting card payments have little or no recourse for recovery of funds and
ultimate liability for losses are borne by the business (merchant) who must wear directly losses due to
bank and card fraud. Interestingly, banks often do not classify charge-backs as a fraud or a loss as
they are not directly out of pocket – funds are recovered from the merchant. In practice, the REAL
value of fraud due to charge-backs is much higher than that reported as many businesses to not report
these losses due to the embarrassment caused.
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April 2015 | mHITs Limited | Senate Inquiry into Digital Currency
Crypto currency transfers however, are irrefutable (non-reversible) and immune from charge-back
exposure. The very design of crypto currencies mean that once a recipient has funds, the transaction
cannot be reversed. Any “reversal” must occur by way of a new transaction from the receiver of the
funds to the original sender.
This charge-back immunity means crypto currencies are ideal for low value, real-time, digital content
and other online businesses but also as a low cost source of funds for money transfer operators.
Accepting payment via crypto currency represents one of the most secure forms of payment unrivalled
only by cash, which of course is impossible for an online business.
For a remittance business, low operating margins mean security and integrity of received funds is
critical. In most cases, this means card payment cannot be accepted. In this context, crypto
currencies represent a secure irrefutable form of electronic funds transfer. Notwithstanding the need
to ensure appropriate KYC/AML/CTF compliance when accepting crypto currencies as payment, the
reduced costs, reduced risks, and increased efficiency of crypto currencies can mean potential
savings could be passed to customers. This could manifest in further reducing the cost of remittance.
However, the tax treatment of crypto currencies is critical to their potential use as a funding source.
Applying GST to crypto currencies or any similar form of double taxation means that their use as a
secure low cost payment method in Australia will be impossible.
crypto currencies and remittance for the unbanked
There has been some discussion on the use of crypto currencies as a method of end-to-end cross-
border remittance – in particular to emerging markets. By of example we mean that a person living in
country A sends Bitcoin directly to a person living in country B.
It is our view that this application of crypto currencies to cross-border remittance is unlikely to be
successful in the short term. This is primarily because of the complex on-ramp and off-ramp
processes required at the sender and receiver sides to exchange crypto currencies for respective fiat
currencies and the associated costs. In practice, people receiving remittances need to purchase goods
and services in cash. Without a sophisticated ecosystem which supports ubiquitous spending of the
crypto currency in the receiving market, receipt of remittance via crypto currency would almost
certainly need to be able to convert the crypto currency to cash in the fiat currency.
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While this processes may be somewhat easier in highly banked OECD markets via ATMs etc,
emerging markets which represent by enlarge the recipient of remittances still have an unclear
regulatory approach to crypto currencies making their widespread use limited.
Furthermore and more importantly, recipients of remittance generally are unbanked and do not have
access to a PC, the Internet or a smartphone which are necessary to receive a crypto currency
payment.
This combination of demographic, regulatory and technology miss-match are the main hurdles for end-
to-end crypto currency remittance adoption and success. However, this does not take away from the
fact that crypto currencies can still be used as a source of funds for remittance transactions in a
particular sending market. For example BitPesa (www.bitpesa.co) in Kenya presently use this
approach to provide remittance services between the UK and Kenya.
It is our view, crypto currencies alone not likely to be used directly for cross-border remittance for the
unbanked in the short term.
stigma of suspicion associated with crypto currencies
There is a subtle but significant “stigma of suspicion” associated with crypto currencies and in
particular use of crypto currencies for remittance. There is a community perception that both
remittance and crypto currencies mysteriously represent a suspicious activity that warrants a special
high degree of oversight and scrutiny. This perception is simply incorrect and unhelpful in the
development of new technology and services aimed increasing the remittance efficiency and reducing
costs.
As is evidenced by many studies, remittance is an essential part of global commerce. While there
most certainly isolated incidents of money laundering, terrorism financing and regulatory non-
compliance, this is not limited to the remittance and crypto currency sectors alone. Infact, by far the
largest and most serious breeches occur within the regular banking sector. Several large compliance
breeches which (indirectly) facilitated money laundering activities by organized crime have occurred in
the last few years for a number of major global financial institutions including some Australian banks.
We feel that some banks and payment industry members and their business models are threatened by
crypto currencies by both denying and misrepresenting the opportunity they provide and overstating
the risks.
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April 2015 | mHITs Limited | Senate Inquiry into Digital Currency
The coupling of crypto currencies with remittance as previously outlined has the potential for
benefitting consumers through increased security, increased efficiency and also the potential for
significant cost savings. We are concerned that undue over regulation of crypto currencies may create
an impression of miss-trust in this technology thereby killing innovation, benefits, and potential savings
their use could bring to consumers.
current ATO draft tax ruling for crypto currencies unworkable
The current draft tax ruling by the ATO in respect of crypto currencies is unworkable for businesses
seeking to accept payments via these methods. Effectively the draft ruling will mean Australia will be
globally disadvantaged forcing some Australian technology company’s to locate overseas or simply
close.
Indeed, the present draft ruling will mean the use of crypto currency as a low cost source of funds for
remittance transactions will be impossible.
Furthermore, the current draft ruling will mean mHITs may also be forced to relocate overseas should
we seek to expand our current service offering to include a global sending presence other remittance
(sending) markets as crypto currencies will likely feature as a major source of funds for this future
model.
digital currencies foster new innovative business models
In February, mHITs launched BitMoby, the worlds fastest and easiest way to buy international mobile
top-up (prepaid credit or airtime) using Bitcoin.
For more information on the service see www.bitmoby.com.
The BitMoby service provides one of the simplest and easiest methods of purchasing mobile top-up
available with an unrivalled user experience. Users simply send Bitcoin to a Bitcoin wallet address and
the BitMoby service automatically credits the mobile number with the top-up value requested. There is
no user registration and the transaction process requires only one step to execute. The BitMoby
service can also be used to purchase mobile top-up for a third party.
BitMoby is an example of how digital currencies such as Bitcoin can be used to demonstrate a highly
efficient integrated transaction process where the payment instruction itself can uniquely identify the
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April 2015 | mHITs Limited | Senate Inquiry into Digital Currency
transaction and incorporate payment information. This innovation simply cannot be achieved via
existing card-based technology. This means that no shopping cart or checkout process is
required, providing for a simple, fast and efficient user experience.
BitMoby is a global service servicing over two hundred counties and over 400 mobile network
operators. The viability of the BitMoby service is directly under threat from the current draft ATO ruling
due to the double taxation issues.
regulation needs to foster fintech innovation
Any new regulation needs to foster the development of Australian fintech – not block it. As a
disruptive fintech business, we have had our share of challenges in the market. This has led us to us
exporting to emerging markets where the application of our technology is more suited.
Our experience with regulators and some aspects of the banking sector is such that we know the
current oligopoly means there is very little payment innovation by Australian banks. In an oligopoly
there is also little incentive to innovate when priority is mainly around protecting core business
activities, preserving market share and improving shareholder returns. Lack of competition further
breeds inefficiency.
By definition new and emerging fintech startups including mHITs represent a potential threat to the
status quo. In our 10 years of operation, we have observed the reluctance of Australian banks to
embrace innovation outside the comfort of core business products of lending, cards and insurance.
Transactional banking and mobile payments including use of crypto currencies do not represent core
business for banks – they are a reluctant byproduct of the banking sector needing to facilitate
movement of funds between customer accounts.
The Australian Government has a responsibility to provide a framework and a supportive environment
for new technology and innovation. This is especially important given the banking sector in Australia
does not naturally innovate beyond core business. The high risk required for new business models
and technology is diametrically apposed to the low risk philosophy projected by banks. Indeed this is
evidenced by industry failure to implement the New Payments System – requiring the Reserve Bank to
intervene and implement the service.
Digital currencySubmission 48
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mHITs Limited | Level 1 Melbourne Building 43-45 Northbourne Avenue Canberra City ACT 2601 Australia
Tel: +61 2 6223 2023 | Fax: +61 2 6112 8071 | ABN: 82 107 753 613 | www.mhitslimited.com 15
April 2015 | mHITs Limited | Senate Inquiry into Digital Currency
summary recommendations
mHITs encourages the government to take a “wait and see approach” to regulation of crypto
currencies in Australia. The market capitisations of crypto currencies are still very small and therefore
do not at present represent a threat to the stability to the Australian financial system.
In this context, it would be prudent to not overly regulate crypto currencies. This would allow
innovation and experimentation in the sector to develop and evolve. Over regulation will have the
effect of dis incentivising the development of new business models and potentially rob Australia of the
development new technology and services.
We believe the existing Australian regulatory framework is sufficient to ensure stability within the
financial sector whilst also proving for the development in fintech innovation in crypto currencies.
However we specifically oppose the draft ATO ruling deeming Digital Currencies as a commodity,
good or service subject to GST. If this draft ruling is legislated, it will likely prevent mHITs from
working with crypto currencies in Australia.
mHITs also fully supports the ADCCA submission to the inquiry on all counts, specifically:
1. the adoption of its self-regulatory model for Digital Currency proposed by the ADCCA in line
with their Code of Conduct.
2. deeming Digital Currencies as ‘currency’ for tax treatment purposes, not a commodity, good or
service subject to GST.
3. amending the Anti-Money Laundering and Counter-Terrorism Financing Act 2006 (AML/CTF)
to specifically include Digital Currencies and take a more technology-neutral approach.
4. recommend giving Digital Currency businesses access to the Document Verification Scheme
in order to better facilitate Know Your Customer (KYC) operations.
Digital currencySubmission 48