application of the aashto highway safety manual (hsm)highway safety has two dimensions 5 expected or...
TRANSCRIPT
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Application of the AASHTO Highway Safety Manual (HSM)
Karen Dixon, Ph.D., P.E.
Email: [email protected]
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HSM Overview
2
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Integrate Safety
into Decision
Processes
3
Need
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Safety Trade-Offs?
What Do You Do?
Safety Right-of-Way
Costs
Environment
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Nominal Safety Substantive
Safety
Standards
Compliance
Highway Safety has Two
Dimensions
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Expected or Actual
Crash Frequency
and Severity
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Nominal Safety is
an ABSOLUTE
Substantive
Safety is a
CONTINUUM
CR
ASH
RIS
K
DESIGN DIMENSION
Gre
ate
r
Greater
Design Exception Insights
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HSM Vision Akin to HCM
Definitive; represents quantitative ‘state-of-the-
art’ information
Widely accepted within professional practice of
transportation engineering
Science-based; updated regularly to reflect research
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2
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Common Impacts for
Project Level Decisions?
Safety Environmental Traffic Right-of-Way CostsImpacts Impacts Operations
Design
Criteria
(nominal
safety)
Mo
re Q
uan
tita
tive
Gre
ate
r W
eig
ht
Substantive Safety
The HSM
• Traffic Noise
Models
• Air Quality Models
• 3-D Visualization
• Environmental
Assessments
•Traffic
Operations /
Microscopic
Simulation
•Construction
Plans
• Cost Models
• Real Estate
Appraisals
• DOT
Databases
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>> 0 >> 1 >> 2 >> 3 >> 4 >>
Design
Existing Conditions Alternative 1
Alternative 2 Alternative 3 9
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Vol. 1 (Part A)
IntroductionHuman Factors Fundamentals
Vol. 3 (Part D)
Crash Modification Factors (CMFs)
Vol. 1 (Part B)
Roadway Safety Management
Process
Vol. 2 (Part C)
Predictive Method
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SPFs
• Calibrate SPFs for LOCAL conditions
• Weight with EB Method
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Expected Crashes
= CMF x
(base condition crashes)
You can remember it as
“M is for multiply”
Crash
Modification
Factor
CMF
a''conditionwithfrequencycrash averageExpected
b''conditionwithfrequencycrash averageExpectedCMF
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CMF Example
Expected crashes
= CMF x (base condition crashes)
= 0.9 x (base condition crash frequency)
CMF = 0.90
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Represents a 10%
Reduction in Crashes
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Snapshot of How HSM Works
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The Value of the HSM
• Provides proven and vetted science-based approach to quantifying safety effects of decisions and actions we contemplate
• Provides common knowledge base, language and basis for reasoned safety judgments
• Allows incorporation of safety to same level of importance as other factors
• Does not increase risk of tort liability
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It does not force or require you to
do anything, it merely helps you do
a better job
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Measuring Safety
SUBJECTIVE SAFETY
• Perception
• Values vary among
observers
OBJECTIVE SAFETY
• Quantifiable
• Independent of the
observer
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The HSM uses crashes
as a measure of
safety
What is
Safety?
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>> 0 >> 1 >> 2 >> 3 >> 4 >>
Crashes
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>> 0 >> 1 >> 2 >> 3 >> 4 >>
Random Events
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Rare Events
Relative Proportion of Crash Events
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A
B
C
O
K
Crash Severity
Categories in the HSM
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A
B
C
O
K K crash
One or more persons died
within 30 days of the crash
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A
B
C
O
K A crash
Incapacitating injury
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A
B
C
O
K B crash
Non-incapacitating evident injury
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A
B
C
O
K C crash
Possible injury
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A
B
C
O
K O crash
No injuries - reportable
property damage resulted from
crash
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A
B
C
O
K Crash Severity
Most severe injury controls
level of crash severity
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Available Tools and Resources to Help Apply
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Diamonds represent data needs
Squares represent assessment tools
Circles represent assessment methods
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Companion Software
HSM Part Supporting Tool
Part B: Roadway Safety Management Process
SafetyAnalyst
www.safetyanalyst.org
Part C: Predictive Methods
IHSDM
www.ihsdm.org
Part D: Crash Modification Factors
FHWA CRF/CMF Clearinghouse
www.cmfclearinghouse.com
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HSM Part C Self-Calculating
Spreadsheets at
highwaysafetymanual.org
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Evaluating Options (example application)
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Evaluating Options (continued)
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Evaluating Options (continued)
Total Crashes per Year FI Crashes per Year
AlternativeIntersection
CrashesSegment
Crashes
Predicted Crashes
Intersection Crashes
Segment
Crashes
Predicted Crashes
Existing 12.80 4.3417.14
(say 17)7.94 2.37
10.31(say 10)
Alternative 6.66 4.5411.20
(say 11)3.33 2.49
5.82(say 6)
FI = fatality and injury
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Companion Resources &
Documents• AASHTO Site: highwaysafetymanual.org
• HSM Online Overview Course (FHWA-NHI
380106)
• Application of Crash Modification Factors (NHI
380093) workshop
• FHWA CMF Clearinghouse
(cmfclearinghouse.org)
• ITE Integration of Safety in the Project
Development Process and Beyond: A Context
Sensitive Approach
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HSM Is Not Just for
Safety Experts!
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What‘s Next?
• First Edition Published in 2010
• Resources and Tools Continue to be Developed
• Next Edition of the HSM Expected in 2019 or 2020
• Production Contract for HSM V2 Signed Last Week (Team of Kittelson & Associates and Texas A&M Transportation Institute)
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Questions & Discussion
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