appetite for analytics · 27-11-2018 · occupational employment statistics (oes) • types of...
TRANSCRIPT
Appetite for AnalyticsBasic LMI Training
November 27, 2018
Connect to internet
• Connect to the internet
• Open data files
2
Welcome & Introductions
1. Your name and your role
2. How do you use labor market information?
3. What was your first or most interesting job?
Today’s Agenda
o What is Labor Market Information?o Labor Forceo Industry Employmento Occupationso COE Demand and Supply Toolso Group Activitieso Demographics (if there’s time)
Introduction to CoreLabor Market Information
Important Concept
6
Timeliness Vs. Reliability
The Beginning of LMI
Chester A. Arthur, 21st President of the United States
Why is it important?
• LMI helps customers make informed plans, choices, and decisions for a variety of purposes, including
• Business investments
• Career planning and preparation
• Education and training offerings
• Job search opportunities
• Hiring and compensation
• Public or private workforce investments
What are the underlying values of the LMI system?
• Unbiased
• Known reliability
• Timely
• Free or affordable
Who produces LMI?
• Federal
• Bureau of Labor Statistics
• US Census Bureau
• State
• Employment Development Department
• Labor Market Information Division
Who uses LMI?
• Education and training providers
• Workforce development/Economic development
• Policy makers and researchers
• News media
Core BLS Programs
• Current Population Survey (CPS)
• Household survey 60K/month
• Local Area Unemployment Statistics (LAUS)
• State and local unemployment rates 7.5K+ areas
• Current Employment Statistics (CES)
• Total nonfarm employment
• Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW)
• Jobs and payroll by industry at county level
• Occupational Employment Statistics (OES)
• Types of jobs and wage estimates
Understanding CoreLabor Market Information
Three Basic Types of LMI
Labor Force
• Count of People where they live
• Unemployment Rate
Industry
• What business do
• Count of Jobswhere they are located
Occupation
• What people do for pay
• Occupational and wage data
Civilian Employment
Labor Force
• Also known as Civilian Labor Force or Civilian Employment.
• Counts People who work where they live.
• Counted once, no matter how many jobs they hold.
• Includes residents with Wage and Salary job and business
owners or self-employed, private-household worker or unpaid
workers in a family enterprise.
Labor Force• Civilian labor force. Included are all persons in the civilian
noninstitutionalized population ages 16+, either employed or
unemployed.
• Employed. These are all persons who, during the reference week,
did any work as paid employees, sole proprietors, temporarily
absent or helped at a family business for no pay.
• Each employed person is counted only once, even with more than
one job
• Unemployed. All persons who had no employment during the
reference week, were available for work and looked for work
during the previous month.
• Unemployment rate. Unemployed / civilian labor force
Basic Concepts of Employment and Unemployment
• People with jobs are employed
• People who are jobless, looking for a job, and available for
work are unemployed
• The labor force is the sum of the employed and the unemployed
• People who are neither employed nor unemployed are not in the
labor force
Unemployment Rate
21.6
24.6
19.4 19.2
6 64.7 4.1
Jan
Feb
Mar Ap
r
May Jun Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov De
c
Jan
Feb
Mar Ap
r
May Jun Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov De
c
Jan
Feb
Mar Ap
r
May Jun Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
2016 2017 2018
Imperial IE
Number of Unemployed
118,500 119,500
94,800 86,000
16,600 19,400 14,200 14,400
Jan
Feb
Mar Ap
r
May Jun Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov De
c
Jan
Feb
Mar Ap
r
May Jun Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov De
c
Jan
Feb
Mar Ap
r
May Jun Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
2016 2017 2018
IE Imperial
Alternative Measures
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Industry Employment
Industry Employment
• Also known as Wage and Salary Employment.
• Counts Jobs where they are located.
• Counts each job, even if multiple jobs are held by the same
person.
• Excludes business owners, self-employed, unpaid volunteers,
family workers, and private household workers.
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NAICS Structure
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NAICS Structure
Farm
Nonfarm
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NAICS Structure
Public
Private
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NAICS Structure
Service Providing
Goods Producing
Industry Definitions
North American Industry Classification System (NAICS) Classification of business establishments for the purpose of
collecting, analyzing, and publishing statistical data.
Example:44-45 Retail Trade441 Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers4412 Other Motor Vehicle Dealers44122* Motorcycle, Boat, and other Vehicle Dealers441221 Motorcycle, ATV, and Personal Watercraft Dealers
NAICS
https://www.census.gov/eos/www/naics/
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Major Industry Groups, Annual 2017
279,659214,578
191,990
149,443
122,578
127,623
118,363
102,571
74,699
65,605
55,507
30,789
26,465
25,041
25,705
15,987
12,942
8,424
5,208
962
Government
Health Care and Social Assistance
Retail Trade
Accommodation and Food Services
Transportation and Warehousing
Construction
Admin, Sppt, Waste Mmgt, Rem Serv.
Manufacturing
Other Services (except Public Administration)
Wholesale Trade
Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services
Finance and Insurance
Educational Services
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting
Information
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Utilities
Mining
2017 Jobs1,661,055
Industry Data• https://www.labormarketinfo.edd.ca.gov/
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Types of Industry Data• Current Industry Employment
• Monthly • Annual average
• Projections• 10-year (2016-2026 coming soon!)
• QCEW• Size of business• Payroll
• Employers by Industry (Find local employers)• Staffing Patterns
• Agricultural Employment
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Industry Data
What data is available?
# of jobs
# of establishments
average earnings
employment projections
occupations employed by
industry (staffing patterns)
location quotient
Labor Force vs. Industry EmploymentIndustry Employment Civilian Employment
The number of jobs in an area for which employers pay workers wages or salaries.
The number of residents in an area who work.
Excludes business owners, self-employed, etc.
Includes residents with wages and salaryjobs and business owners or self-employed.
Includes the number of jobs in an area held by commuters and residents.
Includes area residents who travel to jobs in other areas. Excludes non-residents.
Counts all full-time and part-time jobs. Counts all residents with full-time and part-time jobs.
Counts each job, even if one person holds multiple jobs.
Residents with more than one job are counted once.
Does not count jobs held by those not working because of labor-management dispute.
Includes residents with jobs, but are not working because of labor-management dispute.
Occupational Employment
Occupation QuestionsWorkforce questions
• What occupations are in demand?
• Is demand for these occupations increasing or
decreasing?
• What is the typical path to employment?
• How much do these professionals earn?
• What other characteristics of this job are
important to know? (Self-employment, length of
workday/week, 3rd-party licensing
requirements, etc.)
Occupations
• An category of jobs with similar work and skills possessed by
the incumbents.
• Currently 800 detailed occupations organized into 23 major
occupational groups in the SOC system.
• O*NET-SOC taxonomy contains 974 occupations.
Major Occupational Groups11 Management Occupations
13 Business & Financial Operations 31 Healthcare Support
15 Computer & Mathematical 33 Protective Service
17 Architecture & Engineering 35 Food Preparation & Serving Related
19 Life, Physical, & Social Science 37 Building &Grounds Cleaning & Maint.
21 Community & Social Services 39 Personal Care & Service
23 Legal 41 Sales & Related
25 Education, Training, & Library 43 Office & Administrative Support
27 Arts, Design, Ent., Sports, & Media 45 Farming, Fishing, & Forestry
29 Healthcare Practitioners & Technical 47 Construction & Extraction
49 Installation, Maintenance, & Repair
51 Production
53 Transportation & Material Moving
55 Military Specific
Occupation Definitions
Standard Occupational Classification (SOC) System used to classify workers into occupational categories for the
purpose of collecting, analyzing, and publishing statistical data
Example:15-0000 Computer and Mathematical Occupations15-1100 Computer Occupations15-1120 Computer and Information Analysts15-1121 Computer Systems Analysts
SOC 2018• https://www.bls.gov/soc/2018/home.htm
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https://www.onetonline.org/Identify Occupations – O*NET
Type in your search here
https://www.onetonline.org/Identify Occupations
Identifying Occupational Demand
• Identifying occupational codes (SOC) with highest relevance to curriculum
• Dental Assistants (SOC 31-9091)
• Typical educational requirements (BLS), O*NET, and CPS attainment by
occupation
• Postsecondary nondegree award (BLS)
• Job Zone Three: Medium Preparation Needed; 63% of sample report
Postsecondary Award (O*NET)
• 61% of current Dental Assistants report some college thru Associate
degree attainment (CPS)
Most Useful Data in Analysis
CA LMID Occupational Research• https://www.labormarketinfo.edd.ca.gov/data/occupations-
data.html• Occupational Guides (Qualitative)
• Occupational Profiles (Quantitative)
Center of Excellence website• http://coeccc.net/
45
• Password is GetLMI (case sensitive).
Labor Market Demand Tool
Occupational DemandCurrent employment (2017 Jobs)
• Approximately 5,000 Dental Assistants currently in Inland Empire/Desert.
Projected growth/decline
Potential salary range
Most Useful Data in Analysis
Occ Title 2017 Jobs 2022 Jobs Change %
Change Openings Annual Openings
Dental Assistants 4,997 5,714 717 14% 3,591 718
Occ Title Pct. 10 Hourly Earnings
Median Hourly Earnings
Dental Assistants $11.70 $15.50
Regional Living Wage is: $12.30/hour
What to Look for in the Data
• Job growth/decline
• Most job openings (absolute number)
• Fastest growth (percentage)
• Annual Openings (new jobs + replacement need)
Occupations with the Most Job Openings, CA
Occupational Title (SOC)Total Job Openings 2014-2024
Median Hourly
Personal Care Aides (39-9021) 230,500 $10.68Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including Fast Food (35-3021) 209,600 $9.69
Retail Salespersons (41-2031) 194,700 $11.31Cashiers (41-2011) 192,300 $10.16Waiters and Waitresses (35-3031) 184,600 $11.41Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand (53-7062) 133,700 $12.30
General and Operations Managers (11-1021) 110,000 $51.47Farmworkers and Laborers, Crop, Nursery, and Greenhouse (45-2092) 105,100 $9.62
Registered Nurses (29-1141) 104,700 $48.97Office Clerks, General (43-9061) 103,700 $16.15
Fastest Growing Occupations
Occupational Title (SOC)Estimated
Employment 2014
Projected Employment
2024
% Change 2014-2024
Median Hourly
Brickmasons and Blockmasons (47-2021) 5,500 8,600 56.4% $28.23Roofers (47-2181) 16,400 24,400 48.8% $24.37Web Developers (15-1134) 24,200 35,900 48.3% $37.29Software Developers, Applications (15-1132) 121,200 172,700 42.5% $58.40
Operations Research Analysts (15-2031) 12,500 17,800 42.4% $44.03
Biomedical Engineers (17-2031) 5,600 7,900 41.1% $47.67Home Health Aides (31-1011) 32,900 45,700 38.9% $11.65
Nurse Practitioners (29-1171) 10,800 15,000 38.9% $57.55
Cement Masons and Concrete Finishers (47-2051) 19,200 26,400 37.5% $23.26
Cooks, Restaurant (35-2014) 122,100 167,100 36.9% $12.12Interpreters and Translators (27-3091) 9,300 12,700 36.6% $21.84
• Wages
• Entry-level wage (10th percentile). PROXY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
• Median (50th percentile) or average wage (mean).
• Experienced-level wage (90th percentile). PROXY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
• Know the living wage in your area!
• IE region: $12.30 single adult, $26.96 1 adult, 1 child
• MIT Living Wage Calculator
• http://livingwage.mit.edu/metros/40140
What to Look for, cont.
Low Sample Wages
Occupation Title (SOC) Pct. 10 Hourly Earnings
Median Hourly
Earnings
Pct. 90 Hourly Earnings
Avg. Hourly Earnings
Childcare Workers (39-9011) $7.32 $8.78 $11.12 $9.02
Manicurists and Pedicurists (39-5092) $8.14 $9.13 $11.27 $9.38
Barbers (39-5011) $8.58 $9.75 $10.86 $9.76
Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists (39-5012) $9.52 $10.64 $14.67 $11.58
Home Health Aides (31-1011) $8.96 $11.21 $22.33 $13.11
Recreation Workers (39-9032) $9.13 $11.83 $17.62 $12.70
High Sample Wages
Occupation Title (SOC)Pct. 10 Hourly
Earnings
Median Hourly
Earnings
Pct. 90 Hourly
Earnings
Avg. Hourly Earnings
First-Line Supervisors of Fire Fighting and Prevention Workers (33-1021) $42.41 $74.88 $129.32 $76.53
Air Traffic Controllers (53-2021) $34.49 $65.10 $87.71 $61.76
First-Line Supervisors of Police and Detectives (33-1012) $38.98 $64.22 $83.33 $63.32
Computer Network Architects (15-1143) $28.27 $53.72 $76.23 $53.51
Detectives and Criminal Investigators (33-3021) $35.80 $51.09 $64.86 $50.06
Dental Hygienists (29-2021) $25.97 $49.98 $57.96 $46.33
What to Look for, cont.
• Education and Training
• Typical entry-level education (employer)
• CPS educational attainment
• Typical OJT
• Short Term (< one month)
• Moderate Term (one to 12 months)
• Long Term (> 12 months)
Sample Education and Training
Occupation Title (SOC)Typical Entry
Level Education
High School or
Less
Some college, no
degree
Associate's degree
Bachelor's or Higher
Typical On-The-Job Training
Registered Nurses (29-1141) Bachelor's degree 1% 5% 37% 57% None
Police and Sheriff's Patrol Officers (33-3051)
High school diploma or equivalent
13% 34% 17% 35%
Moderate-term on-the-job training
Power Distributors and Dispatchers (51-8012)
High school diploma or equivalent
34% 33% 18% 16%Long-term on-the-job
training
Computer Network Architects (15-1143)
Bachelor's degree 6% 23% 14% 57% None
Electrical Power-Line Installers and Repairers (49-9051)
High school diploma or equivalent
45% 37% 13% 5%Long-term on-the-job
training
Occupational data
What data is available?
# of occupational jobs
projections (growth/decline)
earnings (median, average, percentile)
typical education requirement
annual jobs openings
demographics
Data to Inform Planning
Education questions
• Who is training students to enter these careers?
• Which community college partners offer
programs related to the occupation?
• What can students expect to earn after
program completion?
Educational Supply
• Identify training programs related to selected occupations
• Supply estimates in CCC system and non-CCC institutions in region
by type of certificate or degree
Most Useful Data in Analysis
Where does Supply Data come from?
California Community Colleges Chancellor’s OfficeManagement Information Systems Data Mart
Provides information about students, courses, student services, outcomes and faculty and staff.
Count of student awards (certificates & degrees). Can be broken down by college, program and award type.
Supply Tool
Student Outcomes
• Related state, region, or college-level data on student outcomes,
such as UI wage matching data and/or CTE Outcome Survey
data. CTEOS
Launchboard (Training session coming soon!)
www.calpassplus.org/LaunchBoard
Most Useful Data in Analysis
LMI Federal Resources
• Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS)
• Standard Occupational Classification (SOC)
• Latest National Data – First Friday of the Month
• Occupational Information Network (O*NET)
• Emerging Occupations
• Alternative Job Titles
• United States Census
• North American Industry Classification System (NAICS)
• American Community Survey (ACS)
LMI State Resources
• CA Employment Development Department (EDD)• Latest State Data – Third Friday of the Month*• Industry data
• Down to the MSA, Region, and County Level• Projections at MSA level
• Labor Force• City and CDP level
• Occupation Data and Projections• MSA or Region level
• CA Department of Finance• Demographics
EDD monthly release
• 3rd Friday of the Month
• Monthly Labor Force Data
• Monthly Industry Employment Data
• Job Posting Statistics (HWOL)
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Real-Time LMI
• EMSI
• Combines Data from Several Fed and State Sources
• Self-Employment Counts
• Custom Projections
• Burning Glass
• Online Job Postings
Consider multiple data sources
Short Term Long Term
Seco
ndar
y D
ata
Prim
ary
Dat
a
Direct Business Input
Industry Surveys
“Real Time” Labor Market Information
Economic, Workforce and Education Data
Time for Group Activities
Questions?
Thank You!
Michael GossInland Empire/Desert
Center of Excellence for Labor Market [email protected]
www.coeccc.net
Coming in 2019:
• Launchboard
• CTE OS