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APE1 APPENDIX E PLOTS FROM THE EVALUATION OF THE CNRFC OPERATIONAL HYDROLOGIC MODEL

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APE‐1

APPENDIX E

PLOTS FROM THE EVALUATION OF THE CNRFC OPERATIONAL HYDROLOGIC MODEL

 

APE‐2

500 1000 1500 2000 25000

500

1000

1500

2000

2500Trinity Lake Inflow

Observed

Sim

ulat

ed

 

 

Figure APE-1. Simulated daily flow versus observed (FNF) flow in m3/s for the Trinity Lake Inflow (WY 1963-1999).

 

 

 

 

 

 

APE‐3

500 1000 1500 2000 25000

500

1000

1500

2000

2500Shasta Lake Inflow

Sim

ulat

ed

500 1000 1500 2000 25000

500

1000

1500

2000

2500Delta

Sim

ulat

ed

500 1000 1500 2000 25000

500

1000

1500

2000

2500McCloud

Sim

ulat

ed

500 1000 1500 2000 25000

500

1000

1500

2000

2500Pit

Sim

ulat

ed

 

Figure APE-2. As in Figure APE-1 but for sub-basins of the Shasta Reservoir drainage basin. Period of record varies by sub-basin.

  

APE‐4

 

Figure APE-3. As in Figure APE-1 but for sub-basins of the Oroville Reservoir drainage basin on the Feather River. Period of record varies by sub-basin.

 

APE‐5

0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 140000

1

2

3

4

5

6

7x 10

10 Trinity Lake Inflow

Days

Cum

ulat

ive

flow

(m3 )

SimulationFull Natural Flow

 

Figure APE-4. Full Natural Flow (blue) and simulated (red) of cumulative flow for the length of the simulation for the Trinity Lake inflow.

 

 

APE‐6

 

Figure APE-5. As in Figure APE-4 except for the sub-basins of the Shasta Reservoir drainage basin.

APE‐7

 

Figure APE-6. As in Figure APE-4 except for the sub-basins of the Oroville Reservoir drainage basin.

 

APE‐8

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 1000

5

10

15

20

25

30

35Trinity Lake Inflow

Percent Exceedance

Box

-Cox

Tra

nsfo

rmed

Flo

w

SimulationObservation

Figure APE-7. Exceedance plot of the Full Natural Flow (blue) and simulated (red) duration curves of Box Cox transformed flow for the Trinity Lake inflow for the 1963-1999.

APE‐9

0 20 40 60 80 1000

10

20

30

40

50Shasta Lake Inflow

Percent Exceedance

Box

-Cox

Tra

nsfo

rmed

Flo

w SimulatedFull Natural Flow

0 20 40 60 80 1000

5

10

15

20

25

30Delta

Percent Exceedance

Box

-Cox

Tra

nsfo

rmed

Flo

w SimulatedObserved

0 20 40 60 80 1000

5

10

15

20

25

30McCloud

Percent Exceedance

Box

-Cox

Tra

nsfo

rmed

Flo

w SimulatedObserved

0 20 40 60 80 1000

5

10

15

20

25

30Pit

Percent Exceedance

Box

-Cox

Tra

nsfo

rmed

Flo

w SimulatedFull Natural Flow

Figure APE-8. As in Figure APE-7 but for sub-basins of the Shasta Reservoir drainage basin. Period of record varies by sub-basin.

 

APE‐10

 

 

Figure APE-9. As in Figure APE-7 but for sub-basins of the Oroville Reservoir drainage basin. Period of record varies by sub-basin.

 

 

APE‐11

10 20 30

5

10

15

20

25

30Jan

5 10 15 20

5

10

15

20Feb

5 10 15 20 25

5

10

15

20

25

Mar

5 10 15

5

10

15

Apr

5 10 15 20

5

10

15

20

Box

-Cox

Tra

nsfo

rmed

Sim

ulat

ed M

onth

ly F

low

May

5 10 15

5

10

15

Jun

2 4 6 8 10 12

2

4

6

8

10

12Jul

2 4 6 8

2

4

6

8

Aug

2 4 6 8

2

4

6

8

Sep

5 10 15

5

10

15

Box-Cox Transformed Observed Monthly Flow

Oct

5 10 15 20

5

10

15

20

Nov

10 20 30

5

10

15

20

25

30Dec

 

 

Figure APE-10. Scatter plots of simulated as a function of the observed (estimated FNF) monthly flows for the Trinity Lake inflow.

 

APE‐12

 

 

Figure APE-11. As in Figure APE-10 but for sub-basins of the Shasta Reservoir drainage basin.

 

Lake Shasta

McCloud

Delta

Pit

APE‐13

 

Figure APE-12. As in Figure APE-10 but for sub-basins of the Oroville Reservoir drainage basin.

 

APE‐14

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 120

0.05

0.1

0.15

0.2

0.25

0.3

0.35

0.4

Water year

Mon

thly

Fra

ctio

n of

the

Ann

ual

 

Figure APE-13. Observed and simulated monthly mean (± 1 standard deviation) flow expressed as a fraction of annual flow volume for the Trinity Lake inflow.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

APE‐15

 

 

Figure APE-14. As in Figure APE-13 but for sub-basins of the Shasta Reservoir drainage basin.

 

Lake Shasta

McCloud

Delta

Pit

APE‐16

 

Figure APE-15. As in Figure APE-13 but for sub-basins of the Oroville Reservoir drainage basin.

 

APE‐17

 

 

Figure APE-16. Daily snow water equivalent from snow sensors and simulated model snow water equivalent (thick black line) for water years 1990 -1999 for Trinity River basin.

 

 

 

0 100 200 3000

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Water Year 90 - 910 100 200 300

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Water Year 91 - 920 100 200 300

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Water Year 92 - 93

0 100 200 3000

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Water Year 93 - 94

SW

E (

mm

)

0 100 200 3000

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Water Year 94 - 950 100 200 300

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Water Year 95 - 96

0 100 200 3000

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Water Year 96 - 970 100 200 300

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Water Year 97 - 980 100 200 300

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Water Year 98 - 99

PET 2180RRM 2043BNK 1966SHM 1951HIG 1838MUM 1723BFL 1555Simulation

APE‐18

0 100 200 3000

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Water Year 90 - 91

STM 1646Simulation

0 100 200 3000

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Water Year 91 - 92

McCloud

0 100 200 3000

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Water Year 92 - 93

0 100 200 3000

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Water Year 93 - 94

SW

E (

mm

)

0 100 200 3000

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Water Year 94 - 950 100 200 300

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Water Year 95 - 96

0 100 200 3000

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Water Year 96 - 970 100 200 300

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Water Year 97 - 980 100 200 300

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Water Year 98 - 99

 

 

Figure APE-17. As in Figure APE-16 except for stations within the McCloud River sub-watershed of the Shasta Reservoir basin. 

 

 

 

APE‐19

0 100 200 3000

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Water Year 90 - 91

BLA 2150MED 2040ADM 1890ANM 1814Simulation

0 100 200 3000

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Water Year 91 - 92

Pit

0 100 200 3000

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Water Year 92 - 93

0 100 200 3000

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Water Year 93 - 94

SW

E (

mm

)

0 100 200 3000

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Water Year 94 - 950 100 200 300

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Water Year 95 - 96

0 100 200 3000

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Water Year 96 - 970 100 200 300

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Water Year 97 - 980 100 200 300

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Water Year 98 - 99

 

 

Figure APE-18. As in Figure APE-16 except for stations within the Pit River sub-watershed of the Shasta Reservoir basin.

 

 

APE‐20

0 100 200 3000

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Water Year 90 - 91

CDP 2165Simulation

0 100 200 3000

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Water Year 91 - 92

CNB

0 100 200 3000

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Water Year 92 - 93

0 100 200 3000

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Water Year 93 - 94

SW

E (

mm

)

0 100 200 3000

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Water Year 94 - 950 100 200 300

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Water Year 95 - 96

0 100 200 3000

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Water Year 96 - 970 100 200 300

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Water Year 97 - 980 100 200 300

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Water Year 98 - 99

 

Figure APE-19. As in Figure APE-16 except for stations within the Pit River at Canby sub-watershed of the Shasta Reservoir basin. 

 

APE‐21

0 100 200 3000

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Water Year 90 - 91

SDF 2058SLT 1739Simulation

0 100 200 3000

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Water Year 91 - 92

Delta

0 100 200 3000

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Water Year 92 - 93

0 100 200 3000

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Water Year 93 - 94

SW

E (

mm

)

0 100 200 3000

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Water Year 94 - 950 100 200 300

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Water Year 95 - 96

0 100 200 3000

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Water Year 96 - 970 100 200 300

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Water Year 97 - 980 100 200 300

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Water Year 98 - 99

 

 

Figure APE-20. As in Figure APE-16 except for stations within the Sacramento River near Delta sub-watershed of the Shasta Reservoir basin. 

APE‐22

Figure APE-21. As in Figure APE-16 except for stations within the North Fork of the American River sub-watershed of the Folsom Reservoir basin and for Water Years 1998-1991.

APE‐23

Figure APE-22. As in Figure APE-16 except for stations within the Middle Fork of the American River sub-watershed of the Folsom Reservoir basin and for Water Years 1998-1991.

APE‐24

Figure APE-23. As in Figure APE-16 except for stations within the South Fork of the American River sub-watershed of the Folsom Reservoir basin and for Water Years 1998-1991. 

APE‐25

North Fork Feather, Pulga

Indian Creek

Figure APE-24. As in Figure APE-16 except for stations within the North Fork of the Feather River sub-watershed of the Orovile Reservoir basin and for Water Years 1986-1987.

50 100 150 200 250 300 3500

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1000

water year 86

SW

E (

mm

)

plghmbforrtlbkl

50 100 150 200 250 300 3500

100

200

300

400

500

600

water year 87

SW

E (

mm

)

plghmbforrtlbkl

50 100 150 200 250 300 3500

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

water year 86

SW

E (

mm

)

iifktlgrz

50 100 150 200 250 300 3500

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

water year 87

SW

E (

mm

)

iifktlgrz

APE‐26

Middle Fork Feather, Clio

Middle Fork Feather, Merrimac

Figure APE-25. As in Figure APE-16 except for stations within the Middle Fork of the Feather River sub-watershed of the Orovile Reservoir basin and for Water Years 1986-1987.  

50 100 150 200 250 300 3500

100

200

300

400

500

water year 87

SW

E (

mm

)

mrmforgolgrzplp

50 100 150 200 250 300 3500

200

400

600

800

1000

water year 86

SW

E (

mm

)

mrmforgolgrzplp

50 100 150 200 250 300 3500

200

400

600

800

1000

water year 86

SW

E (

mm

)

ftcgolgrz

50 100 150 200 250 300 3500

100

200

300

400

500

water year 87

SW

E (

mm

)

ftcgolgrz