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APPENDIX 8 TRAFFIC GENERATION ANALYSIS IMPACT OF THE NEW CITY PLAN ON REGIONAL ROADS IN THE LGA

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Page 1: Appendix 8 - Traffic Generation Analysis · Traffic Generation Analysis - March 2016 Page 3 Summary of Estimated Traffic Generation The following Tables provide a summary of the estimated

APPENDIX 8

TRAFFIC GENERATION

ANALYSIS IMPACT OF THE NEW

CITY PLAN ON REGIONAL ROADS IN

THE LGA

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TRAFFIC GENERATION ANALYSIS –

IMPACT OF THE NEW CITY PLAN ON

REGIONAL ROADS IN THE LGA

March 2016

Kogarah City Council

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Traffic Generation Analysis - March 2016 Page 1

TABLE OF CONTENTS

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 2

SUMMARY OF ESTIMATED TRAFFIC GENERATION 3

Kogarah CBD and Kogarah North 4

Princes Highway, Carlton 6

South Hurstville 8

Ramsgate 10

Blakehurst 11

Blakehurst Waterfront 12

1. INTRODUCTION 13

2. TRAFFIC GENERATING ASSUMPTIONS 14

3. JOURNEY TO WORK AND CAR OWNERSHIP PATTERNS 16

4. DETAILED ASSESSMENT OF PRECINCTS 17

a. Kogarah North and Kogarah Town Centre Precinct 17

b. Princes Highway Precinct 25

c. South Hurstville Centre Precinct 35

d. Ramsgate Centre Precinct 43

e. Blakehurst Precinct 51

f. Blakehurst Waterfront Precinct 59

APPENDIX 1 – DWELLING CAPACITY ANALYSIS

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Executive Summary

In response to the submission made by RMS and TfNSW to Kogarah Council’s Planning

Proposal for the New City Plan, this report has been prepared to identify the impact of the

changes proposed by the New City Plan, and specifically, the impact of the proposed density

uplift on the regional road network. The report also identifies whether this uplift may occur

in the short, medium or long term and assumptions have been clearly stated in this regard.

An analysis of projected traffic volume data provided by the RMS and information that

Council was able to access from the RMS website has been undertaken.

Analysis of this information indicates that the impact of the proposed development, as

proposed by the Planning Proposal for the New City Plan will be incremental over the 15

year period and will present minor impact on the operation of the Regional road network

within the LGA.

A summary of the estimated traffic generation on a precinct by precinct basis, over the

short, medium and long term is provided in this report.

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Summary of Estimated Traffic Generation

The following Tables provide a summary of the estimated traffic generation during peak

times for the 6 nominated areas. The estimates provide a breakdown of the increase in

traffic movements generated by proposed development in the short, medium and long term.

While the analysis presented in this report demonstrates that traffic volumes will increase

across the Kogarah LGA, the impact of the increase represents a nominal change in terms of

additional traffic on the Regional Road network.

A detailed analysis is included at the conclusion of the ‘Detailed Assessment of the

Precincts’.

An analysis of the total dwelling capacity for each Precinct has been undertaken over the

next 15 years. Details of the analysis, including assumptions that have been made to

determine the additional dwelling yield are included in Appendix 1.

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a. Kogarah North and Kogarah Town Centre

ADDITIONAL VEHICULAR

TRAFFIC PER HOUR (VTPH)

PEAK

PERIOD

SHORT -

TERM

0 - 5

YEARS

MID-

TERM

5 - 10

YEARS

LONG-

TERM

10 - 15+

YEARS

TOTAL

ADDITIONAL

VTPH AFTER

15+ YEARS PRECINCT ROAD NETWORK

ROUTE

MORNING NTHBND PRINCES HWY 75 75 38 188

STHBND PRINCES HWY 45 45 23 113

KOGARAH

NORTH STHBND RAILWAY PRD 30 30 14 74

EVENING NTHBND PRINCES HWY 59 59 30 148

STHBND PRINCES HWY 36 36 18 90

STHBND RAILWAY PRD 23 23 11 57

MORNING NTHBND PRINCES HWY 146 109 109 364

KOGARAH STHBND PRINCES HWY 88 66 66 220

TOWN

CENTRE STHBND RAILWAY PRD 57 43 43 143

EVENING NTHBND PRINCES HWY 137 89 89 315

STHBND PRINCES HWY 83 54 54 191

STHBND RAILWAY PRD 53 33 33 119

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Traffic Generation Analysis - March 2016 Page 5

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b. Princes Highway, Carlton

ADDITIONAL VEHICULAR

TRAFFIC PER HOUR (VTPH)

PEAK

SHORT -

TERM

MID-

TERM

LONG-

TERM

TOTAL

ADDITIONAL

PRECINCT PERIOD ROAD NETWORK ROUTE 0 - 5

YEARS

5 - 10

YEARS

10 - 15+

YEARS

VTPH AFTER

15+ YEARS

MORNING NTHBND PRINCES HWY 90 33 33 156

PRINCES STHBND PRINCES HWY 26.5 10 10 46.5

HIGHWAY LOCAL ROADS 26.5 8 8 42.5

CARLTON EVENING NTHBND PRINCES HWY 89 34 34 157

STHBND PRINCES HWY 29.5 11 11 51.5

LOCAL ROADS 29.5 9 9 47.5

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Traffic Generation Analysis - March 2016 Page 7

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c. South Hurstville

ADDITIONAL VEHICULAR

TRAFFIC PER HOUR (VTPH)

PEAK

SHORT

- TERM

0 - 5

YEARS

MID-

TERM

5 - 10

YEARS

LONG-

TERM

10 - 15+

YEARS

TOTAL

ADDITIONAL

PRECINCT PERIOD ROAD NETWORK ROUTE VTPH AFTER

15+ YEARS

MORNIN

G NTHBND KING GEORGES RD

327 96 96 519

SOUTH

STHBND KING GEORGES RD 165 48 48 261

HURSTVILL

E

CENTRE

NTHBND CON PT RD

54 14 14 82

EVENING NTHBND KING GEORGES RD 347 83 83 513

STHBND KING GEORGES RD 174 42 42 258

NTHBND CON PT RD 56 12 12 80

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d. Ramsgate

ADDITIONAL VEHICULAR TRAFFIC

PER HOUR (VTPH)

PEAK

SHORT -

TERM MID-TERM

LONG-

TERM

TOTAL

ADDITIONAL

PRECINCT PERIOD ROAD NETWORK ROUTE 0 - 5

YEARS

5 - 10

YEARS

10 - 15+

YEARS

VTPH AFTER

15+ YEARS

MORNING NTHBND ROCKY PT RD 19 35 35 89

STHBND ROCKY PT RD 6 12 12 30

RAMSGATE EASTBND RAMSGATE RD 6 11 11 28

EVENING NTHBND ROCKY PT RD 16 32 32 80

STHBND ROCKY PT RD 6 11 11 28

EASTBND RAMSGATE RD 6 10 10 26

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e. Blakehurst

ADDITIONAL VEHICULAR TRAFFIC PER HOUR

(VTPH)

PEAK

SHORT

- TERM

MID-

TERM

LONG-

TERM

TOTAL

ADDITIONAL

PRECINCT PERIOD ROAD NETWORK ROUTE

0 - 5

YEARS

5 - 10

YEARS

10 - 15+

YEARS

VTPH AFTER

15+ YEARS

MORNING NTHBND PRINCES HWY 72 20 20 112

NTHBND KING GRGS RD 72 24 24 120

BLAKEHURST STHBND PRINCES HWY 39 5 5 49

EVENING NTHBND PRINCES HWY 78 21 21 120

NTHBND KING GRGS RD 78 21 21 120

STHBND PRINCES HWY 40 8 8 56

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f. Blakehurst Waterfront

ADDITIONAL VEHICULAR TRAFFIC PER HOUR

(VTPH)

PRECINCT PEAK

PERIOD ROAD NETWORK ROUTE

SHORT -

TERM

0 - 5

YEARS

MID-

TERM

5 - 10

YEARS

LONG-

TERM

10 - 15+

YEARS

TOTAL

ADDITIONAL

VTPH AFTER

15+ YEARS

MORNING NTHBND PRINCES HWY 15 15 7 37

BLAKEHURST STHBND PRINCES HWY 7 7 3 17

WATERFRONT

EVENING NTHBND PRINCES HWY 5 5 3 13

STHBND PRINCES HWY 12 12 6 30

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1. Introduction

This report has been prepared in response to submissions received from RMS and TfNSW

during the exhibition of the Planning Proposal for the New City Plan for the Kogarah Local

Government Area.

It is noted that both the RMS and TfNSW raised no objection to the Planning Proposal

subject to further information being provided with respect to the impact of the proposed

changes on Regional Roads.

The Planning Proposal for the New City Plan has been prepared in response to the NSW

Government’s A Plan for Growing Sydney. The State Plan support efforts to lift housing

production around local centres, transport corridors and public transport access points.

A key direction of the NSW Government’s A Plan for Growing Sydney is to revitalise existing

suburbs. The New City Plan proposes to rezone a number of areas close to existing centres

along main roads and the railway line to allow multi-unit residential housing over the next

15-20 years.

It is important to note that as this Planning Proposal applies across the whole of the

Kogarah LGA, much of the development proposed will be incremental, and it is assumed

that much of the uplift proposed will occur over the next 5-10 years, with some

redevelopment of areas taking longer, due to existing constraints (eg: fragmented

allotments, strata titled development).

The following report provides an assessment of the road network and transport

implications of those areas where the proposed uplift may have an impact on the Regional

road network. The report also identifies whether this uplift may occur in the short, medium

or long term and assumptions have been clearly stated in this regard.

The Report will:

• Provide an estimate of traffic generation during peak times from new development in

the nominated areas up to 2030.

• Information to indicate predicted incremental increase over time to 2030.

• Indicate which nominated areas are likely to developed in the short term (0-5 years),

medium term (6-10 years) and long term (11-15 years)

• Identify opportunities for proposed development to fund infrastructure upgrades.

The nominated areas that the Report will identify and provide an assessment of are:

• Kogarah CBD and Kogarah North (Princes Highway)

• Carlton (Princes Highway)

• South Hurstville (King Georges Road)

• Ramsgate (Rocky Point Road)

• Blakehurst (Princes Highway)

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• Blakehurst Waterfront (Princes Highway)

2. Traffic Generation Assumptions

RMS has recently released a Technical Direction (TDT2013/04A) providing a summary of

trip generation rates for various land uses to replace the suggested trip rates in their Guide

to Traffic Generating Developments 2002.

The new traffic generation rates in the Technical Direction for the relevant uses are as

follows:

� 0.19 and 0.15 trips per peak hour per apartment for high density residential

developments during the morning and evening peak periods respectively, and

� 1.6 and 1.2 trips per peak hour per 100m2 (gross floor area) of commercial office

developments during the morning and evening peak periods respectively, and

� 2.7 and 3.9 trips per peak hour per 100m2 (gross floor area) of bulky goods retail stores

during the morning and evening peak periods on weekends respectively.

In relation to speciality retail traffic generation rates, RMS Technical Direction

TDT2013/04A did not provide revised generation rates for such uses. Instead it is proposed

to use figures that have been developed for traffic movements generated by retail

components of developments following research work by Halcrow Consulting in a

document titled Trip Generation and Parking Demand Surveys for Shopping Centres (Halcrow,

September 2011).

The Halcrow report provides the following peak hour network vehicular traffic generation

rates per square metre of gross leaseable floor area (GLFA):

Friday p.m peak

Peak Vehicle Trips = - 0.001A(S) - 0.006A(F) + 0.133A(SM) + 0.034 A(SS) + 0.186 A(OM)-

0.034A(C)

Saturday noon peak

Peak Vehicle Trips = 0.005A(S) = 0.019A(F) + 0.144A(SM) + 0.038A(SS) + 0.19A(OM) –

0.033A(C)

Where the components are described as follows:

A(S) = Slow trade such as major department stores such as David Jones, Myer A(F) = Faster trade discount department stores such as K-mart, Target A(SM) = Supermarkets such as Woolworths, Coles, IGA A(SS) = Speciality shops/ secondary retail/ automobile services including clothing, jewellery, hairdressers, footwear, fast food, delicatessens, newsagent sports stores, chemists A(OM) = Office/ medical/ child care A(C)= Cinemas.

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Under the planning proposal, the proposed uplift in centres is assumed to maintain and

encourage the same types of retail uses that currently exist in the centres. In some centres

there may be an overall decrease in retail floor space. For all centres, retail use consists

mainly of speciality retail in the A(SS) category. It is assumed that any redevelopment of sites

to a mixed use development will include some speciality retail on the ground level with

residential units above. In the South Hurstville Centre, it is assumed that the centre will

include one additional full size supermarket in the A(SM) category.

In relation to medium density residential flat building traffic generation rates, RMS Technical

Direction TDT2013/04A did not provide revised generation rates for such uses. Instead it is

proposed to continue to use the generation rates contained in RMS 2002 guidelines for

medium density residential flat buildings, being:

� 0.4-0.5 trips per peak hour for smaller apartments (up to two bedrooms)

� 0.5 – 0.65 trips per peak hour for larger apartments (3+ bedrooms)

Based on current DAs currently being assessed, it is assumed that the current split with

respect to medium density residential flat development is 40/60 (smaller/larger).

The adopted traffic generation rates for this study are summarised in Table 1 below:

Table 1: Traffic Generation Rates

Development Type Morning Peak Hour Evening Peak Hour Medium Density Residential Apartments less than 5 levels (maximum 15m)1

� 0.4-0.5 trips per peak hour for smaller apartments (up to 2 bedrooms)

� 0.5 – 0.65 trips per peak hour for larger apartments (3+ bedrooms)

High Density Residential Apartments 5 or more levels (greater than 15m)2

0.19 trips per peak hour per apartment

0.15 trips per peak hour per apartment

Retail Specialty Retail3 Supermarket4

3.8 trips per peak hour per 100sqm 13.3 trips per peak hour per 100sqm

3.4 trips per peak hour per 100sqm

14.4 trips per peak hour per 100sqm

Commercial 1.6 trips per peak hour per 100sqm 1.2 trips per peak hour per 100sqm Bulky Goods Retailing5 2.7 trips per peak hour per 100sqm 3.9 trips per peak hour per 100sqm

1 Medium density residential flat building: a building containing at least 2 but less than 20 dwellings. This

includes villas, townhouses, flats, semi detached houses, terrace of row houses and other medium density

developments, but does not include aged or disabled persons housing (RMS 2002 Guidelines). 2 High density residential flat building: a multi-level building containing 20 or more dwellings. These buildings

are usually more than 5 levels, have secure basement level car parking and are located in close proximity to

public transport services (RMS 2002 Guidelines). 3 Speciality retail: Speciality shops/ secondary retail/ automobile services including clothing, jewellery,

hairdressers, footwear, fast food, delicatessens, newsagent sports stores, chemists (Halcrow Study 2011). 4 Supermarket rate is based on Halcrow Study 2011.

5 Bulky goods retail store: a shop selling homewares such as furniture, electrical appliances and lighting, or

material for the home, such as carpet and building materials (RMS 2002 Guidelines).

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3. Journey to Work and Car Ownership Patterns

Kogarah has a self-containment rate of 16.6%. More than two-thirds (70.8%) of Kogarah’s

residents are employed in the surrounding LGAs (Hurstville, Rockdale, Sutherland Shire and

Botany Bay) and the City of Sydney.

The largest employment destination is the City of Sydney, with more than a quarter (26.6%)

of the residents employed in this LGA. The low self-containment rate of the Kogarah LGA

can be expected to continue as a result of the limited number of employment centres within

the Kogarah LGA and the close proximity to accessible transport. In 2011, approximately

14.2% of Kogarah City’s employed residents worked within the Kogarah City LGA.

Table 2: Top 10 Local Government Areas of Employment for Residents in Kogarah

City Council, 20066

Rank LGA Number of Workers

% of Workers

1 Sydney 5921 26.6% 2 Kogarah 3707 16.6% 3 Hurstville 1901 8.5% 4 Rockdale 1622 7.3% 5 Sutherland Shire 1325 5.9% 6 Botany Bay 1320 5.9% 7 Bankstown 741 3.3% 8 Canterbury 623 2.8% 9 Randwick 595 2.7%

10 Marrickville 560 2.5%

At the 2011 Census, 54.4% of Kogarah City’s employed residents drove to work by a car (a

decrease of 1.7% from 2006) and 26.9% travelled to work via public transport. This

percentage is higher than Greater Sydney where 20% use public transport to travel to work.

Car Ownership

Analysis of the car ownership of the households in Kogarah City in 2011 compared to

Greater Sydney shows that 83.3% of the households owned at least one car, while 11.5% did

not, compared with 81.2% and 11.8% respectively in Greater Sydney.

While Kogarah City had a lower proportion of households without a car, it is important to

note that this varied across the City. Areas along the railway line, such as Kogarah,

Hurstville and Allawah had a higher proportion of households without a car:

� Hurstville (23.5%)

� Kogarah (19.3%)

� Allawah (14.3%)

6 Kogarah Employment Lands and Economic Development Strategy (SGS:2013), page 13

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4. Detailed Assessment of Precincts

a. Kogarah North and Kogarah Town Centre Precinct

The Kogarah Town Centre’s identification as a Strategic Centre in the NSW State

Government’s A Plan for Growing Sydney reinforces the importance of the Kogarah Town

Centre within the context of the South Subregion, and its continued growth as both an

employment hub and as a Centre which provides a mix of housing.

Due to the extent of development over the last 10-15 years, the existing Kogarah Town

Centre boundaries are now becoming constrained, due to the lack of land zoned to

accommodate future growth of the Centre. A Priority for the South Subregion under A Plan

for Growing Sydney is to identify suitable locations for housing intensification, particularly

around established centres and along key public transport corridors.

A key priority for the Kogarah Town Centre, as identified by A Plan for Growing Sydney is to:

Work with council to provide capacity for additional mixed use development in Kogarah including

offices, health education, retail, services and housing.

Kogarah North Precinct

In order to provide additional housing opportunities close to the Kogarah Town Centre, it

is proposed to rezone the area known as Kogarah North from R2 – Low Density

Residential to R4 – High Density Residential and include the following development

standards - Floor Space Ratio of 4:1 and a building height limit of 33 metres.

Road Network The road network serving the precinct comprises: � Princes Highway – an arterial road and principal north-south arterial route to/from the

City

� Regent Street - sub-arterial road linking the precinct to the Princes Highway. Intersection provides north and south bound access

� Harrow Road – sub arterial road providing access to the Princes Highway both north and southbound.

� Railway Parade and Railway Parade North - collector road through Kogarah CBD and Kogarah North connecting to the Princes Highway

� Gladstone Street, Victoria Street, Stanley Street, Palmerston Street and Victor Street - local access roads

� Stanley Lane, Regent Lane and Railway Lane - narrow service lanes

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Public Transport

The precinct is located close to Kogarah train station which sits on the Eastern Suburbs and

Illawara Line. It is also in close proximity to major bus routes serviced by Veolia Transport,

Punchbowl Bus Company and Sydney Buses. A taxi rank is located near the exit of Kogarah

railway station along Regent Street, close to its intersection with Railway Parade.

Rail Access

Kogarah railway station is located on the Eastern Suburbs and Illawarra Line. There is one

train every ten minutes to the city between 6.27am and 9.37am, weekdays. There are six

(6) trains to the city in the morning peak (7.30am – 8.30am).

Bus Access

The Kogarah precinct is accessible by bus. Bus terminals on Railway Parade opposite the

train station provide bus services to Hurstville Station and the Sydney CBD, with regular

services also provided to Rockdale, Miranda, Kingsgrove and Roselands.

There are four (4) bus services to the city in the morning peak. The 422 bus service

operates two (2) times in the morning peak, and offers a direct service to the city, stopping

at Sydenham and Newtown. The 422 bus service runs approximately every 30 minutes

throughout the week day.

Pedestrian Facilities

The pedestrian paths are generally wide and unobstructed, and available within all streets in

the precinct. Laneways offer secondary street frontages for the servicing of commercial and

retail uses.

The precinct is highly accessible on foot and the surrounding road network generally

functions satisfactorily. A major controlled pedestrian intersection is available where Railway

Parade, Montgomery Street and Regent Street meet.

The precinct also has ready pedestrian access to the major retail centre at Rockdale Plaza to

the north.

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Dwelling Capacity Analysis

An analysis of the total dwelling capacity for the Kogarah North Precinct has been

undertaken and it is anticipated that the Precinct could accommodate an additional 1,962

dwellings over the next 15 years.

Details of the analysis, including assumptions that have been made to determine the

additional dwelling yield are included in Appendix 1.

As outlined above, the development that will occur as a result of the implementation of the

New City Plan will be incremental, over the next 10-15 years. Assumptions have been made

with respect to each of the precincts as to whether it is considered the uplift will occur in

the short (0-5 years), medium (5-10 years) or long (10-15+ years) term, based on a list of

criteria.

It is assumed that the highest rate of uplift in the Kogarah North Precinct will occur in

the short – medium term, with 40% of development occurring in the short term (0-5 years)

and 40% of development occurring in the short to medium term (5-10 years) and 20%

occurring in the long term (10-15+).

Table 3. Estimated net dwelling increase in Kogarah North Precinct

Development Type Total Uplift 0-5 years

Uplift 5-10 years

Uplift 10-15+ years

100% 40% 40% 20% Net Dwelling Increase

High Density Residential apartments 5 or more levels (greater than 15m)

1,962

784.8

784.8

392.4

Kogarah Town Centre

Increases are proposed to the height and density in the Kogarah Town Centre to ensure

that there are opportunities for redevelopment of the remaining sites within the Kogarah

Town Centre.

Building heights are proposed up to 39m, with a floor space ratio of 4.5:1. Along Railway

Parade, building heights range from 9-12m, in order to retain the existing main street

character.

The proposed controls will provide additional opportunities for more people to live in the

Kogarah Town Centre creating a more lively and vibrant centre, as well as increases in

commercial/retail floorspace.

Road Network The road network serving the precinct comprises:

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� Princes Highway – an arterial road and principal north-south arterial route to/from the

City

� Railway Parade - sub-arterial road linking the precinct to the Princes Highway via Regent Street.

� Gray Street – collector road at the southern end of the CBD providing access to traffic

from Railway Parade to the Princes Highway. The controlled intersection at Gray Street and Princes Highway allows for traffic movements north, south and east to Rocky Point Road

� Kensington Street – local access road connecting Gray Street to the Princes Highway. Left turn only from Kensington Street onto the Princes Highway (northbound)

� Derby Street, Belgrave Street, Montgomery Street, Premier Street and Gladstone Street – local access roads which feed traffic into Kensington Street from Railway Parade and Regent Street

� South Street – local access road which provides access from Belgrave Street to the Princes Highway and primarily services access to the hospital precinct. The controlled intersection of South Street and the Princes Highway allows for movement of traffic north along the Princes Highway to President Avenue and south (Princes Highway and Rocky Point Road)

� Hogben Street – local access road. No access to the Princes Highway

� Post Office Lane – two-way service lane

� Bank Lane, Moorefield Lane and Wicks Lane – narrow service lanes

Dwelling Capacity Analysis

An analysis of the total dwelling capacity for the Kogarah CBD Precinct has been

undertaken and it is anticipated that the Precinct could accommodate an additional 859

dwellings over the next 15 years.

Details of the analysis, including assumptions that have been made to determine the

additional dwelling yield are included in Appendix 1.

As outlined above, the development that will occur as a result of the implementation of the

New City Plan will be incremental, over the next 10-15 years. Assumptions have been made

with respect to each of the precincts as to whether it is considered the uplift will occur in

the short (0-5 years), medium (5-10 years) or long (10-15+ years) term. Assumptions have

been made to determine the rate of uplift based on a list of criteria.

Based on the criteria, it is assumed that the rate of uplift in the Kogarah CBD Precinct

will occur in the short – medium term, with 40% of development occurring in the short

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term (0-5 years) and 30% of development occurring in the short to medium term (5-10

years) and 30% occurring in the long term (10-15+).

Table 4. Estimated net dwelling increase in Kogarah Town Centre Precinct

Development Type

Total Uplift 0-5 years

Uplift 5-10 years

Uplift 10-15+ years

100% 40% 30% 30% Net Dwelling Increase

High Density Residential apartments 5 or more levels (greater than 15m)

859

343.6

257.7

257.7

Net Employment Lands Increase Commercial/Retail increase

Retail

10,324m2 4,129.6m2 3,097.2m2 3,097.2m2

Commercial 10,324m2 4,129.6m2 3,097.2m2 3,097.2m2

Estimated Traffic Generation for Kogarah CBD and Kogarah North

An analysis of the estimated traffic generation that can be expected for the Kogarah CBD

and Kogarah North Precinct during peak times has been undertaken. Details of the analysis

are provided in the Table below.

RMS traffic forecasting models have been used to determine estimated vehicle traffic

percentage increases that the proposed development, achievable under the New City Plan,

would have on the road network. The estimates provide a breakdown of the increase in the

short (0 – 5 years) and long term (15+ years).

The analysis for the Kogarah Precinct demonstrates that in the short term, vehicle traffic

per hour going northbound along Princes Highway in the morning peak will increase 3.9%

while southbound in the afternoon peak an increase of 1.9% is expected. In the long term,

vehicular traffic northbound along Princes Highway is forecast to increase 8.5% in the

morning peak and 4.5% southbound in the afternoon peak. Southbound along Railway

Parade in the afternoon peak is estimated to increase 3% in the short term and 5.1% in the

long term.

The increase in vehicular traffic is considered insignificant overall and the impact of the

increase will be incremental over the 15 year period representing a nominal change in terms

of additional traffic on the regional road network.

The Kogarah North Precinct has a number of egress points to the Princes Highway (Regent

St, Stanley Street and Harrow Road) and also provides alternative egress to the southwest

and west via Railway Pde/Harrow Rd, allowing for a spread in demand on intersections in

the locality. There are also identified plans to provide additional intersection capacity

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through future works at the intersection of Kensington Street/Princes Hwy and Gray

St/Princes Hwy to cater for more generalised centre growth.

In summary the primary generators of vehicular movement throughout the Kogarah Town

Centre are the major medical facilities which generate significant visitation and worker

demand. The centre is well served by public transport and anticipated vehicle trip

generation from new commercial development and residential development anticipated

through new development provided for by this planning proposal within the centre is

anticipated to be low. Due to the incremental growth in demand over time there are no

identified localised pressure points in road infrastructure that would warrant short term

upgrade based on the anticipated increases in movements generated by that development.

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Table 5. Estimated traffic generation in Kogarah North Precinct (includes RMS projections)

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Table 6. Additional traffic Generation in Kogarah Precinct

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b. Princes Highway, Carlton

Princes Highway, Carlton Precinct – B6 Enterprise Corridor

The introduction of a new land use zone B6 – Enterprise Corridor Zone aims to ensure that bulky goods retail is grouped at a highly accessible location close to the major centre. Bulky goods retail generally refers to furniture and whitegoods shops in a warehouse building. The zone will allow a mix of employment uses including business, office and light industrial as well as bulky goods retailing. Residential dwellings and apartments are also proposed to be permissible in this zone, however, as the main objective of the B6 – Enterprise Corridor zone is to encourage the redevelopment of commercial/ bulky goods retailing development, the amount of residential floor space will be restricted in this zone. The study area is located along the north western side of Princes Highway, Carlton between Jubilee Avenue and Westbourne Street, plus half of the block between Francis and Westbourne Streets. The precinct is within a 10 minute walk of Carlton train station. The boundaries of the precinct are shown in the figure below. The Planning Proposal for the New City Plan proposes to rezone the precinct from R2 Low Density Residential and some B1 Neighbourhood Centre to B6 Enterprise Corridor zoning, with the following development standards:

Princes Highway, Carlton Precinct – B2 Local Centre A continuation of the commercial function of the Princes Highway is proposed along the north-western side of the Princes Highway, between Westbourne Street and Plant Street. It is proposed that this section of the Princes Highway be rezoned from B1 – Neighbourhood Centre to B2 – Local Centre and that heights and FSR be increased to encourage well designed shop-top housing (commercial/retail on the lower floors and residential development above).

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Princes Highway, Carlton Precinct – R3 Medium Density Residential A review of the existing R3 – Medium Density Residential zone has been undertaken and it is proposed that the height and density be increased in this Precinct to encourage redevelopment of these sites for residential flat building development. It is also proposed to rezone the western side of Wyuna Street, between Stubbs Street and Lacey Street from R2 – Low Density Residential to R3 – Medium Density Residential to permit residential flat building development.

Road Network The road network serving the precinct comprises: � Princes Highway – an arterial road and principal north-south arterial route to/from the

City and the Sutherland Shire

� Park Road – a sub-arterial and principal east/west link to Ramsgate Road and Railway Parade

� Jubilee Avenue – a collector road running east/west and providing access to Rocky Point Road in the east and Railway Parade in the west

� Ecole Street, Wheeler Street, O’Meara Street, Westbourne Street, Francis Street, Edward Street, Arthur Street and Plant Street – local access roads running east/west and providing access to the Princes Highway. Access from these roads to the Princes Highway is northbound to the City.

� Stubbs Street – local access road running east/west and providing access to the Princes Highway. Access from Stubbs Street to the Princes Highway is southbound to the Sutherland Shire

� John Street and Wyuna Street – local access road

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Public Transport Rail Access Carlton railway station is located on the Eastern Suburbs and Illawarra railway line. There is

one train every ten minutes to the city between 6.25am and 9.35am, weekdays. There are

six (6) trains to the city in the morning peak (7.30am – 8.30am).

Bus Access

Carlton Station is not well serviced by buses. There are no bus services directly adjacent to

Carlton train station to access the city. Commuters must walk up to 1km (north bound on

Railway Parade) to catch bus 422 which provides access to the city. There are bus services

to Hurstville Station within a 600m walking distance. The City Rail night bus ride is available

outside Carlton Station.

Princes Highway Carlton has bus services operated by Transdev with access to Kogarah

Station.

Pedestrian Facilities

The precinct is located in close proximity to the railway line which is accessible by foot. Council will continue to encourage the continuation of active frontages to the street by promoting retail/commercial uses at ground floor for some sites within the precinct. The study area along the Princes Highway has high visual exposure due to its location on the Highway. The signalised intersection on the corner of Park Road slows vehicular traffic. The area provides pedestrian crossings at major intersections and mid-block between Park Road and Jubilee Avenue. Dwelling Capacity Analysis

An analysis of the total dwelling capacity for the Princes Highway Carlton – B6 Enterprise

Corridor Precinct has been undertaken and it is anticipated that the Precinct could

accommodate an additional 189 dwellings over the next 15 years.

Details of the analysis, including assumptions that have been made to determine the

additional dwelling yield are included in Appendix 1.

As outlined above, the development that will occur as a result of the implementation of the

New City Plan will be incremental, over the next 10-15 years. Assumptions have been made

with respect to each of the precincts as to whether it is considered the uplift will occur in

the short (0-5 years), medium (5-10 years) or long (10-15+ years) term. Assumptions have

been made to determine the rate of uplift based on a list of criteria.

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Based on the criteria, it is assumed that the rate of uplift in the Princes Highway Carlton

– B6 Enterprise Corridor Precinct will occur in the short to medium term, with 60% of

development occurring in the short term (0-5 years) and 20% of development occurring in

the short to medium term (5-10 years) and 20% occurring in the long term (10-15+).

Table 7. Estimated net dwelling and net retail increase in Princes Highway Carlton -

B6 Enterprise Corridor Precinct

Development Type

Total Uplift (0-5 years)

Uplift (5-10 years)

Uplift (10-15+ years)

100% 60% 20% 20% Net Dwelling increase

High density residential apartments

189 113 38 38

Net Retail increase

Bulky goods retailing

3801.1m2 2280m2 760.22m2 760.2m2

Based on the criteria, it is assumed that the rate of uplift in the Princes Highway Carlton

– B2 Local Centre Precinct will occur in the short to medium term, with 60% of

development occurring in the short term (0-5 years) and 20% of development occurring in

the short to medium term (5-10 years) and 20% occurring in the long term (10-15+). It

should be noted that for this precinct, it is expected that there will be a reduction in

amount of retail floor space.

Table 8. Estimated net dwelling, retail and commercial increase in Princes Highway

Carlton - B2 Local Centre Precinct

Development Type

Total Uplift (0-5 years)

Uplift (5-10 years)

Uplift (10-15+ years)

100% 60% 20% 20% Net Dwelling increase

High density residential apartments

266 159 53 53

Net Retail increase

Retail -1821 -1093 -364 -364

Net commercial increase

Commercial 813 487 162 162

Based on the criteria, it is assumed that the rate of uplift in the Princes Highway Carlton

– R3 Medium Density Precinct will occur in the short to medium term, with 60% of

development occurring in the short term (0-5 years) and 20% of development occurring in

the short to medium term (5-10 years) and 20% occurring in the long term (10-15 years).

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Table 9. Estimated net dwelling in Princes Highway Carlton - R3 Medium Density

Precinct

Development Type

Total Uplift (0-5 years)

Uplift (5-10 years)

Uplift (10-15+ years)

100% 60% 20% 20% Net Dwelling increase

High density residential apartments

493 296 99 99

Medium density residential

27 16 6 5

Estimated Traffic Generation for Carlton

An analysis of the estimated traffic generation that can be expected for the Carlton Precinct

during peak times has been undertaken. Details of the analysis are provided in the Table

below.

RMS traffic forecasting models have been used to determine estimated vehicle traffic

percentage increases that the proposed development, achievable under the New City Plan,

would have on the road network. The estimates provide a breakdown of the increase in the

short (0 – 5 years) and long term (15+ years).

The analysis for the Carlton Precinct demonstrates that in the short term, vehicle traffic per

hour going northbound along Princes Highway in the morning peak will increase.3.5% while

southbound in the afternoon peak an increase of 1.2% is expected. In the long term,

vehicular traffic northbound along Princes Highway is forecast to increase 4.5% in the

morning peak and 1.6% southbound in the afternoon peak.

Visitation to the possible bulky goods precinct will easily be catered for by the existing road

system with numerous access points via the local access roads leading off Princes Highway.

Visitation from the south and east is direct via Princes Highway while visitation from the

west and north is circulatory and diffuse through that local access road system. The increase

in vehicular traffic is not considered significant and the impact of the increase will be

incremental over the 15 year period representing a nominal change in terms of additional

traffic on the regional road network and no short term requirement for any significant

intersection upgrade. It should be noted that initial concept consideration has been given to

the opportunity for a possible road widening of the south eastern corner of Park Rd/Princes

Highway on redevelopment of that site. Such a widening would provide the capacity for

improvements to phasing and movement through that intersection.

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Table 10. Estimated traffic generation in Princes Highway, Carlton Precinct (includes RMS projections)

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Table 11. Additional traffic generation in Princes Highway, Carlton Precinct

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c. South Hurstville Centre Precinct

The precinct boundary is centred near the intersection of King Georges Road and Connells

Point Road, within a 5 minute walk from a well serviced bus stop on Connells Point Road.

The boundaries of the precinct are shown in the figure below. The precinct currently contains a mix of low density and medium density development including villas and townhouses in the R3 Medium Density Residential zoned areas. Mixed use buildings with commercial/retail on the ground floor and residential above have been recently constructed on the south western side of King Georges Road. The north eastern area of the precinct contains three storey residential flat buildings. South Hurstville local shopping strip is located in the centre. A 5-7 storey building form is being proposed within the South Hurstville Commercial

Centre to ensure that this centre continues to be vibrant and liveable.

The proposed changes aim to encourage redevelopment of sites in the commercial centre,

by encouraging well designed shop-top housing (commercial/retail on the lower floors and

residential development above).

In order to facilitate additional commercial/retail development and provide additional

housing opportunities in South Hurstville, it is proposed to increase heights and densities

along King Georges Road to 21m and 2.5:1. Council is also proposing to rezone additional

land from R2 – Low Density Residential to R3 - Medium Density Residential to encourage

multi-dwelling housing in the form of residential flat development between 12-15m and 1:1 –

1.5:1 FSR.

Road Network

The road network serving the precinct comprises:

King Georges Road – an arterial road and principal north-south arterial route

Connells Point Road – a collector road that carries traffic from the Connells Point peninsula

and crosses King Georges Road. Connells Point Road runs east-west. The intersection at

Connells Point Road allows for vehicles movements in all directions.

Rickard Road, Greenacre Road, Tavistock Road, the Mall, The Esplanade and Resthaven Road –

local access roads situated on the western side of King Georges Road, providing access

within the Precinct. Some of these roads also provide access to King Georges Road, in a

northerly direction only.

Joffre Street and Grosvenor Street – local access roads situated on the eastern side of King

Georges Road, providing access within the Precinct

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Public Transport

Rail Access

There is no rail access available at South Hurstville. The closest train station is Hurstville

station which is located approximately 1.5km from the precinct.

Bus Access

The study area relies solely on buses for public transport. The bus stop on Connells Point

Road has five (5) bus services (953 and 959) travelling to Hurstville train station in the

morning peak hour (7.30am – 8.30am). Regular train and bus services operate at Hurstville

travelling to the city.

There are bus stops along the north eastern side of King Georges Road with bus services

travelling south bound to Sutherland LGA.

Pedestrian Facilities

Pedestrian and commuter safety and security within the precinct is satisfactory through the high level of passive surveillance to streets and public areas from the local shops. Pedestrian and vehicle conflict is minimised with controlled pedestrian crossings and traffic signals available at the major intersection of King Georges Road and Connells Point Road.

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Dwelling Capacity Analysis

An analysis of the total dwelling capacity for the South Hurstville Precinct has been

undertaken and it is anticipated that the Precinct could accommodate an additional 1337

dwellings over the next 15 years.

Details of the analysis, including assumptions that have been made to determine the

additional dwelling yield are included in Appendix 1.

As outlined above, the development that will occur as a result of the implementation of the

New City Plan will be incremental, over the next 10-15 years. Assumptions have been made

with respect to each of the precincts as to whether it is considered the uplift will occur in

the short (0-5 years), medium (5-10 years) or long (10-15+ years) term. Assumptions have

been made to determine the rate of uplift based on a list of criteria.

Based on the criteria, it is assumed that the rate of uplift in the South Hurstville Precinct

will occur in the medium - long term, with 20% of development occurring in the short term

(0-5 years) and 40% of development occurring in the short to medium term (5-10 years)

and 40% occurring in the long term (10-15+).

Table 12. Estimated net dwelling and net commercial/retail increase in South Hurstville

Precinct

Development Type

Total Uplift (0-5 years)

Uplift (5-10 years)

Uplift (10-15+ years)

100%

20% 40% 40%

Net Dwelling increase

Medium density residential apartments

288 58 115 115

High density residential apartments

1049 210 420 420

Net Commercial/Retail increase

Retail 3497m2 699.35m2 1398.7m2 1398.7m2

Commercial 2522m2 504.4m2 1008.8m2 1008.8m2

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Estimated Traffic Generation for South Hurstville

An analysis of the estimated traffic generation that can be expected for the South Hurstville

Precinct during peak times has been undertaken. Details of the analysis are provided in the

Table below.

RMS traffic forecasting models have been used to determine estimated vehicle traffic

percentage increases that the proposed development, achievable under the New City Plan,

would have on the road network. The estimates provide a breakdown of the increase in the

short (0 – 5 years) and long term (15+ years).

The analysis for the South Hurstville Precinct demonstrates that in the short term, vehicle

traffic per hour going northbound along King Georges Road in the morning peak will

increase 13.4% while southbound in the afternoon peak an increase of 7.9% is expected. In

the long term, vehicular traffic northbound along King Georges Road is forecast to increase

16.7% in the morning peak and 9.7% southbound in the afternoon peak. Northbound along

Connells Point Road in the morning peak is estimated to increase 8.7% in the short term

and 10.3% in the long term.

There are opportunities for vehicles exiting the redevelopment precincts to diffuse through

local access roads either directly onto King Georges Rd north or south bound or, for

precincts to the north of King Georges Rd to access local and collector roads to then

access areas to the north and west. The increase in vehicular traffic is not considered

significant and the impact of the increase will be incremental over the 15 year period

representing a nominal change in terms of additional traffic on the regional road network.

The intersection of Connells Point Rd and King Georges Rd has been subject to minor

improvement works in recent times and this intersection has been, and will continue to be,

problematic as it, and the intersection of Terry Street and Princes Highway provide the only

controlled access points from the Connells Point peninsula. Significant upgrade of the

regional road network and intersection treatments will be required eventually, however

those improvements will be required irrespective of any demands generated by the new

development permissible under this proposed plan.

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Table 13. Estimated traffic generation in South Hurstville Precinct (includes RMS projections)

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Table 14. Additional traffic generation in South Hurstville Precinct

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d. Ramsgate Centre Precinct

The Ramsgate precinct is focused on the western side of Rocky Point Road, within a 5

minute walk from a well serviced bus stop near the corner of Rocky Point Road and

Ramsgate Road. The bus stop is shown in red in the aerial image below.

The boundaries of the precinct are shown in the figure below. The Ramsgate centre is divided by Rocky Point Road, the eastern portion of the road is

located in the City of Rockdale and the western portion is located in the Kogarah LGA. The

Rockdale LGA portion of Rocky Point Road has seen a higher number of recently

constructed residential flat buildings. A 6 storey mixed use building is currently under

construction at No. 183 – 191 Rocky Point Road (Kogarah LGA). The remainder of Rocky

Point Road is generally characterised by shop top housing with retail and neighbourhood

shops at ground floor level.

A 5-7 storey building form is being proposed within the Ramsgate Centre Precinct to

ensure that this centre continues to be vibrant and liveable.

The proposed changes aim to encourage the continued redevelopment of sites in the

Ramsgate commercial centre, by encouraging well designed shop-top housing

(commercial/retail on the lower floors and residential development above).

In order to facilitate additional commercial/retail development and provide additional

housing opportunities in the Ramsgate Precinct, it is proposed to increase heights and

densities along Rocky Point Road to 21m and 2:1. Council is also proposing to amend the

height and FSR requirements for the existing R3 – Medium Density Residential to encourage

multi-dwelling housing in the form of residential flat development up to 15m and 1.5:1 FSR.

Road Network

The road network serving the precinct comprises:

Rocky Point Road – an arterial road and principal north-south arterial route providing access

to the Princes Highway to the north and Taren Point Road (Sutherland Shire) to the south.

Ramsgate Road – sub-arterial road and principal east-west link providing access to the Grand Parade in the east and Princes Highway and Railway Parade in the west. Jubilee Avenue – collector road through the Kogarah/ Ramsgate areas connecting to the arterial routes Targo Road, Lloyd Street and Torwood Street - local access roads providing access in an east/west direction Dalkeith Street and Burgess Street - local access roads running north/south through the Ramsgate Precinct

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Public Transport

Rail Access

There is no rail access available at Blakehurst. The closest train station is Carlton station

which is located approximately 2.3km from the precinct.

Bus Access

The precinct relies solely on buses for public transport. The bus stop on Rocky Point Road

has four (4) 476 bus services travelling to Kogarah or Rockdale train stations in the morning

peak hour (7.30am – 8.30am). Regular train and bus services operate at Rockdale and

Kogarah train stations travelling to the city.

Pedestrian Facilities

Fully formed pedestrian paths are generally available on all streets in the precinct. Rocky

Point Road allows a two-way traffic flow with two lanes in each direction. The 60km speed

limit and signalised pedestrian intersections slow down traffic to improve pedestrian

amenity. A signalised traffic signal is available on the corner of Rocky Point Road and

Ramsgate Road. New signalised traffic lights with pedestrian crossing have also been

installed on Rocky Point Road (mid-block between Targo Road and Hastings Road).

Bus stops along Rocky Point Road contain bench seating for commuters. The shop awnings

provide weather protection. Railing along the footpath near the intersection of Rocky Point

Road and Ramsgate Road acts a barrier for pedestrians.

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Dwelling Capacity Analysis

An analysis of the total dwelling capacity for the Ramsgate Precinct has been undertaken and

it is anticipated that the Precinct could accommodate an additional 327 dwellings over the

next 15 years.

Details of the analysis, including assumptions that have been made to determine the

additional dwelling yield are included in Appendix 1.

As outlined above, the development that will occur as a result of the implementation of the

New City Plan will be incremental, over the next 10-15 years. Assumptions have been made

with respect to each of the precincts as to whether it is considered the uplift will occur in

the short (0-5 years), medium (5-10 years) or long (10-15+ years) term. Assumptions have

been made to determine the rate of uplift based on a list of criteria.

Based on the criteria, it is assumed that the rate of uplift in the Ramsgate Precinct will occur

in the medium – long term, with 20% of development occurring in the short term (0-5

years) and 40% of development occurring in the short to medium term (5-10 years) and

40% occurring in the long term (10-15+).

Redevelopment in this Centre is already underway and the actual overall increase in

potential new development as a result of the increased height and floorspace proposed

under the New City Plan is nominal. Also this Centre is within both Rockdale and Kogarah

City Council areas and there is also comparable development potential currently existing on

the Rockdale side of Rocky Point Road.

Table 15. Estimated net dwelling and net commercial/retail increase in South Hurstville

Development Type

Total Uplift (0-5 years)

Uplift (5-10 years)

Uplift (10-15+ years)

100%

20% 40% 40%

Net Dwelling increase

Medium density residential apartments

106 21.2 42.4 42.4

High density residential apartments

220 44 88 88

Total dwelling increase (net)

326 65.2 130.4 130.4

Net Commercial/Retail increase

Retail 1221m2 244m2 488m2 488m2

Commercial 0 0 0 0

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Estimated Traffic Generation for Ramsgate

An analysis of the estimated traffic generation that can be expected for the Ramsgate

Precinct during peak times has been undertaken. Details of the analysis are provided in the

Table below.

RMS traffic forecasting models have been used to determine estimated vehicle traffic

percentage increases that the proposed development, achievable under the New City Plan,

would have on the road network. The estimates provide a breakdown of the increase in the

short (0 – 5 years) and long term (15+ years).

The analysis for the Ramsgate Precinct demonstrates that in the short term, vehicle traffic

per hour going northbound along Rocky Point Road in the morning peak will increase 1.0%

while southbound in the afternoon peak an increase of 0.4% is expected. In the long term,

vehicular traffic northbound along Rocky Point Road is forecast to increase 3.5% in the

morning peak and 1.3% southbound in the afternoon peak. Eastbound along Ramsgate Road

in the morning peak is estimated to increase 1.1% in the short term and 4.1% in the long

term.

The majority of new development in the Centre is focussed along Rocky Point Rd with rear

access provided from existing and proposed rear service lanes. Those lanes direct traffic

movement to adjacent local roads that have immediate access to Rocky Point Rd. The

increase in vehicular traffic is considered insignificant and the impact of the increase will be

incremental over the 15 year period representing a nominal change in terms of additional

traffic on the Regional road network. There is already land zoned for widening of the

intersection of Rocky Point Rd and Ramsgate Rd/Park Rd which would allow for

improvement to capacity and phasing efficiency at that intersection in the future.

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Table 16. Estimated traffic generation in Ramsgate Precinct (includes RMS projections)

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Table 17. Additional traffic generation in Ramsgate Precinct

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e. Blakehurst Precinct

The Blakehurst Precinct is focused on the Blakehurst centre and includes land located on

the south western side of King Georges Road/ Princes Highway and on the eastern side of

Princess Highway. The precinct is within a 5 minute walk from a well serviced bus stop on

Princes Highway. The closest cross street to the bus stop is James Street and is shown in

red in the aerial image below.

The boundaries of the precinct are shown in the figure below. The precinct contains a mixture of land uses including low density residential single dwelling houses and medium density villas and townhouses. Local shops are located in the centre on the south western side of Princes Highway. The commercial precinct fronting the Princes Highway to the south of King Georges Road is proposed to be rezoned from B1 - Neighbourhood Shops to B2 - Local Centre and heights and FSR are proposed to be increased to 21m and 2.5:1 to promote shop top housing. It is also proposed to rezone land to the rear of the commercial centre from R2 – Low Density Residential to R3 – Medium Density Residential to provide an appropriate transition between the development fronting the Princes Highway and the adjoining low density scale. There are also minor changes proposed along the Princes Highway between Borgah Street and Todd Park to promote multi-dwelling housing up to 12m and 1:1. Road Network King Georges Road – an arterial road and principal north-south route Princes Highway – an arterial route and principal north-south arterial route to/from the City and Sutherland Shire Stuart Street – collector road through Blakehurst/Bald Face connecting to the arterial routes James Street, Water Street & Vaughan Street – local access roads, providing access within the precinct Stuart Lane – narrow service lane

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Public Transport

Rail Access

There is no rail access available at Blakehurst. The closest train station is Hurstville station

which is located approximately 3.5km from the precinct.

Bus Access

The precinct relies solely on buses for public transport. The bus stop on Princes Highway

has five (5) bus services (959, 970 and 971) travelling to Hurstville train station in the

morning peak hour (7.30am – 8.30am). Regular train and bus services operate at Hurstville

travelling to the city.

There are bus stops along north eastern side of Princes Highway with bus services travelling

south bound to Sutherland LGA.

Pedestrian Facilities

Fully formed pedestrian paths are available on the south western side of Princes Highway

adjacent to the local shops. There is no paved pedestrian path on the opposite side of the

highway where it adjoins Todd Park. Pedestrians often walk through the park as an alternate

to walking along the highway.

The bus stop node along Princes Highway has a seated bench for pedestrian amenity.

A signalised pedestrian crossing with traffic signals is at the corner of King Georges Road

and Princes Highway.

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Dwelling Capacity Analysis

An analysis of the total dwelling capacity for the Blakehurst Precinct has been undertaken

and it is anticipated that the Precinct could accommodate an additional 868 dwellings over

the next 15 years.

Details of the analysis, including assumptions that have been made to determine the

additional dwelling yield are included in Appendix 1.

As outlined above, the development that will occur as a result of the implementation of the

New City Plan will be incremental, over the next 10-15 years. Assumptions have been made

with respect to each of the precincts as to whether it is considered the uplift will occur in

the short (0-5 years), medium (5-10 years) or long (10-15+ years) term. Assumptions have

been made to determine the rate of uplift based on a list of criteria.

Based on the criteria, it is assumed that the rate of uplift in the Ramsgate Precinct will occur

in the medium – long term, with 20% of development occurring in the short term (0-5

years) and 40% of development occurring in the short to medium term (5-10 years) and

40% occurring in the long term (10-15+).

Table 18. Estimated net dwelling and net commercial/retail increase in Blakehurst

Development Type

Total Uplift (0-5 years)

Uplift (5-10 years)

Uplift (10-15+ years)

100%

60% 20% 20%

Net Dwelling increase

Medium density residential apartments

597 358 119 119

High density residential apartments

271 163 54 54

Total dwelling increase (net)

868 521 174 174

Net Commercial/Retail increase

Retail -995 -596 -198 -198

Commercial -1731 -1038 -346 -346

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Estimated Traffic Generation for Blakehurst

An analysis of the estimated traffic generation that can be expected for the Blakehurst

Precinct during peak times has been undertaken. Details of the analysis are provided in the

Table below.

RMS traffic forecasting models have been used to determine estimated vehicle traffic

percentage increases that the proposed development, achievable under the New City Plan,

would have on the road network. The estimates provide a breakdown of the increase in the

short (0 – 5 years) and long term (15+ years).

The analysis for the Blakehurst Precinct demonstrates that in the short term, vehicle traffic

per hour going northbound along Princes Highway in the morning peak will increase 1.5%

while southbound in the afternoon peak an increase of 0.9% is expected. In the long term,

vehicular traffic northbound along Princes Highway is forecast to increase 3.0% in the

morning peak and 1% southbound in the afternoon peak. Northbound along King Georges

Road in the morning peak is estimated to increase 1.5% in the short term and 2.0% in the

long term.

Anticipated increases in regional traffic movement through this locality are significant and

will give rise to the need for improvement to the efficiency of existing intersections,

particularly Princes Hwy/King Georges Rd. RMS are currently investigating options to

improve peak flows in this area. The local traffic impacts from this development are not

significant with ready access from development precincts to the local road system which has

numerous egress points to adjacent main roads. The increase in vehicular traffic is

considered insignificant and the impact of the increase will be incremental over the 15 year

period representing a nominal change in terms of additional traffic on the Regional road

network.

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Table 19. Estimated traffic generation in Blakehurst Precinct (includes RMS projections)

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Table 20. Additional traffic generation in Blakehurst Precinct

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f. Blakehurst Waterfront Precinct

The Blakehurst Waterfront Precinct is focused on the Blakehurst Waterfront and includes

land located on the eastern and western side of Princes Highway, north of Tom Ugly’s

Bridge and south of the Blakehurst Shopping Precinct. The Blakehurst Waterfront precinct

is within a 5 minute walk from one bus stop (either direction) on Princes Highway. The

closest cross street to the bus stop is Townson Street and is shown in red and yellow in the

aerial image below.

The boundaries of the precinct are shown in the figure below. The precinct contains predominately low density residential single dwelling houses. Several local shops are located in the precinct on the western and eastern sides of Princes Highway. The precinct is proposed to be rezoned from E4 – Environmental Living zone to R3 – Medium Density Residential zone and heights and FSR are proposed to be increased to 21m and 2:1 to encourage medium density housing in suitable waterfront locations in Kogarah LGA. The redevelopment of this precinct will assist in the continuation of a public foreshore link from Carss Park to Shipwrights Bay.

Road Network Princes Highway – an arterial route and principal north-south arterial route to/from the City and Sutherland Shire. There is a loop road under the northern footing of Tom Ugly’s bridge. Townson Street – local access road through Blakehurst providing access to the arterial road

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Public Transport

Rail Access

There is no rail access available at Blakehurst Waterfront. The closest train stations are

Hurstville or Miranda stations which are located approximately 5km north or south from

the precinct.

Bus Access

The precinct relies solely on buses for public transport. The bus stop on Princes Highway

has eight (8) bus services (970 and 971) travelling to Hurstville train station in the morning

peak hour (7.30am – 8.30am). Regular train and bus services operate at Hurstville travelling

to the city.

There are bus stops along the eastern side of Princes Highway with bus services travelling

south bound to Miranda in Sutherland LGA.

Pedestrian Facilities

Fully formed pedestrian paths are available on both sides of Princes Highway in the precinct

including the loop road.

The bus stop northbound on the Princes Highway has a bus shelter for pedestrian amenity.

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Dwelling Capacity Analysis

An analysis of the total dwelling capacity for the Blakehurst Waterfront Precinct has been

undertaken and it is anticipated that the Precinct could accommodate an additional 288

dwellings over the next 15 years.

Details of the analysis, including assumptions that have been made to determine the

additional dwelling yield are included in Appendix 1.

As outlined above, the development that will occur as a result of the implementation of the

New City Plan will be incremental, over the next 10-15 years. Assumptions have been made

with respect to each of the precincts as to whether it is considered the uplift will occur in

the short (0-5 years), medium (5-10 years) or long (10-15+ years) term, based on a list of

criteria.

It is assumed that the highest rate of uplift in the Blakehurst Waterfront Precinct will

occur in the short – medium term, with 40% of development occurring in the short term

(0-5 years) and 40% of development occurring in the short to medium term (5-10 years)

and 20% occurring in the long term (10-15+).

The local shops in the Precinct rely upon existing use rights and the proposed land use zone

does not permit shops. It is assumed that the existing shops will remain.

Table 21. Estimated net dwelling and net retail increase in Blakehurst Waterfront

Development Type

Total Uplift (0-5 years)

Uplift (5-10 years)

Uplift (10-15+ years)

100%

40% 40% 20%

Net Dwelling increase

High density residential apartments

279 112 112 55

Net Retail increase

Retail 0 0 0 0

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v.Dec15 Page 64

Estimated Traffic Generation For Blakehurst Waterfront

An analysis of the estimated traffic generation that can be expected for the Blakehurst

Waterfront Precinct during peak times has been undertaken. Details of the analysis are

provided in the Table below.

RMS traffic forecasting models have been used to determine estimated vehicle traffic

percentage increases that the proposed development, achievable under the New City Plan,

would have on the road network. The estimates provide a breakdown of the increase in the

short (0 – 5 years) and long term (15+ years).

The analysis for the Blakehurst Waterfront Precinct demonstrates that in the short term,

vehicle traffic per hour going northbound along Princes Highway in the morning peak will

increase 0.2% while southbound in the afternoon peak an increase of 0.1% is expected. In

the long term, vehicular traffic northbound along Princes Highway is forecast to increase

0.3% in the morning peak and 0.3% southbound in the afternoon peak.

The increase in vehicular traffic is considered insignificant and the impact of the increase will

be incremental over the 15 year period representing a nominal change in terms of additional

traffic on the Regional road network.

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Table 22. Estimated traffic generation in Blakehurst Waterfront Precinct (includes RMS projections)

Table 23. Additional traffic generation in Blakehurst Waterfront Precinct

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Appendix 1 – Dwelling Capacity Analysis Page A1-1

APPENDIX 1 – DWELLING CAPACITY ANALYSIS

Assumptions for development potential and dwelling numbers

• Vacant land is one parcel = 1 dwelling

• Size of units are calculated at 90sqm per unit and includes allowances for circulation

space based on the definition of floor space in the SILEP

• Villas and town house dwellings sizes (FSR of 0.7 and height of 9m) is 100sqm per

unit

• For mixed use (shop top development) total GFA is 10% retail 10% commercial and

80% residential.

• For B6 – enterprise corridor mixed use development, 0.7:1 of total FSR is assumed

to be retail/commercial use with the residual FSR developed for residential

• Development constructed in the last 10 years is considered to be developed and has

not been included in development potential

• Development that has been strata titled with more than 4 owners is considered to

be developed and has not been included.

• Heritage items have been included in the proposed dwelling yields as it is considered

development rights can be transferred to an adjoining site to enable the retention of

the heritage item.

• Total dwelling yields are approximate.

• Sites that are being downzoned have not been included

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Appendix 1 – Dwelling Capacity Analysis Page A1-2

Kogarah North – Kogarah Precinct

Block 1

Block 10 Block 2

Block 3

Block 9

Block 4

Block 6

Block 8

Block 7

Block 5

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Appendix 1 – Dwelling Capacity Analysis Page A1-3

Block 1

• Nos. 2- 14 Palmerston Street, Kogarah

• Nos.2-22 Railway Parade, Kogarah are considered developed (strata titled)

Block 1

Total Area

sqm

Existing

dwellings FSR GFA Dwellings

Net

dwellings

1789 7 4 7156 80 73

Block 2

• Nos.1-11 Stanley St Kogarah

• Nos.24B – 40 Victoria St Kogarah

• No 26 Railway Parade Kogarah

• Nos 1-11 Princes Highway Kogarah

• Nos. 125-133 Harrow Road, Kogarah are considered developed (strata titled)

Block 2 Total Area sqm

Existing

dwellings FSR GFA Dwellings

Net

dwellings

6414 28 4 25656 285 257

Block 3

• Nos.2-24 Stanley Street, Kogarah

• Nos.2-24 Victoria Street, Kogarah

• Nos. 16-22A Gladstone Street, Kogarah

• Nos. 38-52 Regent Street, Kogarah

• Nos.52-54 Regent Street, Kogarah is considered developed (strata titled)

Block 3

Total Area

sqm

Existing

dwellings FSR GFA Dwellings

Net

dwellings

11353 50 4 45412 504 454

Block 4

• No. 37 Princes Highway Kogarah

• Nos.13-25 Princes Highway Kogarah are recently developed or under construction

Block 4 Total Area sqm

Existing

dwellings FSR GFA Dwellings

Net

dwellings

5627 2 4 22508 250 248

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Appendix 1 – Dwelling Capacity Analysis Page A1-4

Block 5

• Nos. 58-84 Regent Street Kogarah

• No.78 Regent - recent development

Block 5 Total Area sqm

Existing

dwellings FSR GFA Dwellings

Net

dwellings

5486 16 4 21944 244 228

Block 6

• Nos 57-97 Regent Street, Kogarah

• Nos.67-69 Regent Street – recent development

Block 6 Total Area sqm

Existing

dwellings FSR GFA Dwellings

Net

dwellings

R4 6359 22 4 25436 283 261

B2 1077 7 4 3446.4 38 31

Block 6

Existing

commercial

Existing

retail Commercial

sqm

Retail

sqm

Net

Commercial

sqm

Net Retail

sqm

B2 426 116 430.8 430.8 4.8sqm 315sqm

Block 7

• Nos.32-38 Gladstone Street Kogarah

• Nos 59-69 Princes Highway Kogarah

• Nos.67-69 Regent Street – recent development

• No 55 Princes Highway is church building and not included in calcs

• Nos 24-30 Gladstone Street is recently developed

Block 7 Total Area sqm

Existing

dwellings FSR GFA Dwellings

Net

dwellings

4878 11 4 19512 217 206

Block 8

• No51 Gladstone has 4 owners – does not meet minimum lot size for RFB development

(667sqm)

• Nos.23-49 Gladstone St Kogarah (strata units with more than 4 owners in each block)

• Nos.55-71 Gladstone St Kogarah

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Appendix 1 – Dwelling Capacity Analysis Page A1-5

Block 9

(car park and playing fields owned by Dept Ed)

Block 10

• Nos.5-21 Palmerston Street

• Nos2-10 Victor Street

• Nos.2-4 Gladstone Street

• Nos.26-30 Railway Parade

• No 24A Railway Parade (strata titled)

Total

Area sqm

Existing

dwellings FSR GFA Dwellings

Net

dwellings

Block 10 5307 25 4 21228 236 211

Total for Kogarah North

Total net dwellings 1,962

Net commercial 4.8sqm

Net retail 315sqm

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Appendix 1 – Dwelling Capacity Analysis Page A1-6

Kogarah Town Centre

Block 9

Block 1

Block 2

Block 3

Block 4

Block 5

Block 10

Block 6

Block 7

Block 8

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Appendix 1 – Dwelling Capacity Analysis Page A1-7

Kogarah Town Centre

Block 1

• Nos. 2-18 Premier Street, Kogarah (Group of heritage items in individual ownership – unlikely

to redevelop)

• Nos20-58 Premier Street are strata titled RFBs

Block 2

• Nos. 107-111 Princes Highway, Kogarah (one heritage item)

• No.21 Hogben Street Kogarah

• No.71 Princes Highway Kogarah (not included as it is zoned road reservation)

• Nos. 79-103 Princes Highway are currently under construction or developed

• Nos.2-12 Kensington St, Kogarah recently developed

• Nos. 1-19 Hogben St recently developed and strata titled

Total area

sqm

Existing

dwellings FSR GFA 80% Dwellings

Net

dwellings

BLOCK 2 1875 13 4.5 6750 75 62

Existing

commercial

Existing

retail Commercial

sqm

Retail

sqm

Net

Commercial

sqm

Net Retail

sqm

BLOCK 2 0 0 844 844 844 844

Block 3

• No. 16 -22 Hogben (No.22 is a heritage item)

• No. 4 Hogben Street is recently developed commercial building

• Following land owned by St George Private Hospital are not included in traffic study:

o Nos.119 and 131 Princes Highway

o Nos. 6-14 Hogben Street

o No.2 South Street

• No. 129 Princes Highway is in private ownership and is anticipated to be purchased by St

George Private Hospital in future.

Total area

sqm

Existing

dwellings FSR GFA 80% Dwellings

Net

dwellings

BLOCK 3 1098 5 4.5 3952.8 44 39

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Existing

commercial

Existing

retail

Commercial

sqm

Retail

sqm

Net

Commercial

sqm

Net Retail

sqm

BLOCK 3 494 494

Block 4

• Nos.41-51 Montgomery St

• No.57 Montgomery St

• Nos. 53-55 Montgomery St (strata titled)

• No.59 Montgomery St (strata titled)

• Nos. 4-10 South St (hospital owned)

• Nos.26 Belgrave St (strata titled)

• No.30 – 38 Belgrave St (hospital carpark)

Total area

sqm

Existing

dwellings FSR GFA 80% Dwellings

Net

dwellings

BLOCK 4 2408 8 4.5 8668.8 96 88

Existing

commercial

Existing

retail

Commercial

sqm

Retail

sqm

Net

Commercial

sqm

Net Retail

sqm

BLOCK 4 1084 1084

Block 5

• No 18 -20 Montgomery St

• No.30 -32 Montgomery St

• No.44 Montgomery St

• No.50 Montgomery St

• No.16 Montgomery St - St George / Westpac bank building

• No.22-28 Montgomery St (Heritage listed) limited development potential

• No.40 & No.46 Montgomery St are strata titled

Total area

sqm

Existing

dwellings FSR GFA 80% Dwellings

Net

dwellings

BLOCK 5 4626 14 4.5 16653.6 185.04 171

Existing

commercial

Existing

retail

Commercial

sqm

Retail

sqm

Net

Commercial

sqm

Net

Retail

sqm

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BLOCK 5 2081.7 2081.7

BLOCK 6

• No.9-11A Montgomery St

• No.29 Montgomery St (TAFE site)

• No.2-2B Belgrave St Kogarah

• No.12A and 13 Montgomery recently developed

• No.25-27 courthouse

Total area

sqm

Existing

dwellings FSR GFA 80% Dwellings

Net

dwellings

BLOCK 6 9231 6 4.5 33232 369 363

Existing

commercial

Existing

retail

Commercial

sqm

Retail

sqm

Net

Commercial

sqm

Net Retail

sqm

BLOCK 6 4154 4154

BLOCK 7

All sites developed and strata titled

• No.5-19 Belgrave St

• Nos.4-16 Derby St

• No.15 Kensington St

BLOCK 8

• Nos.7-11 Derby St

• No 16 Gray St and No.21 Kensington St (church site)

• No.1 Derby St (developed)

• Nos.13-19 Derby St (strata titled commercial)

Total area

sqm

Existing

dwellings FSR GFA 80% Dwellings

Net

dwellings

BLOCK

8 3705 13 4.5 13338 148 135

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Existing

commercial

Existing

retail

Commercial

sqm

Retail

sqm

Net

Commercial

sqm

Net Retail

sqm

BLOCK 8 1667 1667

BLOCK 9

Blocks along Railway Parade and Regent Street between Gladstone St and Gray Street are considered

developed to their maximum under draft plan .

BLOCK 10

No.4-26 Regent St is considered developed to maximum potential under draft plan.

Total for Kogarah Town Centre

Total net dwellings 858.72

Net commercial sqm

Net retail sqm

Traffic study

short term

0-5 years

medium term

6-10 years

long term

11-15 years total to 2030

High density net dwellings 343 258 258 858.72 dwellings

Estimated development time 40% 30% 30%

%

New retail 4,130 3,097 3,097.31 10,324.35 sqm

Existing retail

Sqm

Net retail Sqm

New commercial 4,130 3,097 3,097.31 10,324.35 Sqm

Existing commercial Sqm

Net commercial

Sqm

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Appendix 1 – Dwelling Capacity Analysis Page A1-11

South Hurstville

Block 2

Block 4

Block 11

Block 12

Block 1

Block 3

Block 7 Block 9

Block 8

Block 5

Block 6

Block 10

Block 13

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Block 1

• No.42-58 Connells Point Road

• Nos840A-848 King Georges Road

• Nos.2-6 Allen Street

• No. 26 Connells Point Road - strata titled

• No.30 Connells Point Road – strata one ownership but would only yield 2 additional dwellings

• No.34-38 Connells Point Road – recent development

• Nos.1-9 Rossi St – strata titled

Total area

sqm

Existing

dwellings FSR

GFA

90% Dwellings

Net

Dwellings

Block 1 3627 16 2.5 8160.75 510 494

Existing

commercial

Existing

retail

Commercial

sqm

5% GFA

Retail

sqm

5% GFA

Net

Commercial

sqm

Net

Retail

sqm

BLOCK 1 453 453

Block 2

• Nos.850-858 King Georges Road

• Nos. 864-876 King Georges Road

• No. 1 Allen Street

• Nos. 1-11 Short St

Total

area

sqm Existing dwellings FSR

GFA

90% Dwellings

Net

Dwellings

Block 2 8276 17 2.5 18621 206.9 189.9

Existing

commercial

Existing

retail

Commercial

sqm

5% GFA

Retail

sqm

5% GFA

Net

Commercial

sqm

Net

Retail

sqm

BLOCK 2 1034.5 1034.5

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Block 3

• Nos.884-894 King Georges Road

• Nos. 42-46 Grosvenor Road

• Nos. 45-51 Tavistock Road

• Nos 878-882 King Georges Road (strata titled)

Total

area

sqm Existing dwellings FSR

GFA

90% Dwellings

Net

Dwellings

Block 3 5207 12 1 5207 58 46

Block 4

• Nos.44-52 Tavistock Road

• Nos.896-914 King Georges Road

• Nos.87-97 Blakesley Road (strata)

Total

area

sqm Existing dwellings FSR

GFA

90% Dwellings

Net

Dwellings

Block 4 5048 12 1 5048 56 44

Block 5

• No.12 The Mall

• No.16 The Mall.

• No.53 Tavistock Road

• No.849 King Georges Road

• No.48 Grosvenor Road (isolated site)

• Nos. 46A Grosvenor Rd (strata titled)

• No.10 The Mall (church and church hall)unlikely to redevelop (development yield is not

significant enough)

• No.14 The Mall recently substantial dwelling

Total

area

sqm Existing dwellings FSR

GFA

90% Dwellings

Net

Dwellings

Block 5 2708 4 1 2708 30 26

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Block 6

• No.66-68 Connells Point Road (RSL club) – may include club facilities in a re-development of

site

• Nos.835 King Georges Road (Petrol station)

• No.33A -41 Grosvenor Road (dwellings)

• No.4 The Mall (child care centre)

• Nos. 803-815 King Georges Road (already strata titled)

• Nos.823-829 King Georges road ( Strata titled)

• No.2 The Mall (Strata Titled)

Block 6

Total

area

sqm Existing dwellings FSR GFA Dwellings

Net

Dwellings

B2 6340 3 2.5 14265 159 156

R3 1510 3 1.5 2265 25 22

Total 7850 6 - 16530 184 178

Existing

commercial

Existing

retail

Commercial

sqm

5% GFA

Retail

sqm

5% GFA

Net

Commercial

sqm

Net

Retail

sqm

BLOCK 6 792.5 792.5

Block 7

• No.76-84 Connells Point Rd

• No.86A Connells Point Road

• No.2A The Esplanade

• No.4 The Esplanade

• No.8 The esplanade

• No.12 The esplanade

• No.1-5 The Mall

• No.9 The Mall

• No.13-17 The Mall

• No.6 The Esplanade (strata titled)

• No.21 The Mall (isolated)

• Substantial dwellings (two storeys)

• No.2 The Esplanade

• No.10 The Esplanade

• No.55-56 Tavistock

• No. 19 The Mall

• No.84 -88 Connells Point Road

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Appendix 1 – Dwelling Capacity Analysis Page A1-15

Total

area

sqm Existing dwellings FSR GFA Dwellings

Net

Dwellings

Block 7 10403 16 1 10403 116 100

Block 8 – Supermarket

• No.18 Greenacre Road

• No. 59-65 Connells Point Road

• No.799 King Georges Road (macdonalds unlikely to redevelop)

• 801 King Georges Road (kings head tavern – heritage and unlikely to redevelop)

Total

area

sqm

Existing

dwellings FSR GFA Dwellings

Net

Dwellings

Block 8 3899

2.5 8773 97 97

Existing

commercial

Existing

retail

Commercial

sqm

5% GFA

Retail

sqm

5% GFA

Net

Commercial

sqm

Net

Retail

sqm

block 8

0 supermar

ket and

shops

and

petrol

974.75

Block 9 –

• Nos.91-93 Connells Point Road and Nos.97-99 Connells Point Road

• Nos. 36-40 Greenacre

• Nos. 95 strata titled dual occupancy

Total

area

sqm

Existing

dwellings FSR GFA Dwellings

Net

Dwellings

Block 9 4287 7 0.7 3000.9 30 23

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Appendix 1 – Dwelling Capacity Analysis Page A1-16

Block 10

• Nos.16A-18A Rickard Road

• 2 Rickard Road (substantial two storey dwelling)

Total

area

sqm

Existing

dwellings FSR GFA Dwellings

Net

Dwellings

Block 10 2942 4 0.7 2059.4 21 17

Block 11

• Nos.1-5 Rickard Road

• Nos. 4-6 William St

• No.1-3 William Street

• No.5 William street strata titled

Total

area

sqm

Existing

dwellings FSR GFA Dwellings

Net

Dwellings

block 11 4873 7 0.7 3411.1 34.111 27

Block 12

• No. 33 Joffre St

• No.822 King Georges Road

• Nos. 34-36 Culwulla St

Total

area

sqm

Existing

dwellings FSR GFA Dwellings

Net

Dwellings

Block 12 2308 4 2 4616 51 47

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Appendix 1 – Dwelling Capacity Analysis Page A1-17

Block 13 – B2

Nos.51-57 connells Point Road

• No. 838 King Georges Road

B2

Total

area

sqm

Existing

dwellings FSR

GFA

@90% Dwellings

Net

Dwellings

Block 13 1933 5 2.5 4349 48.325 43

Existing

commercial

Existing

retail

Commercial

sqm

5% GFA

Retail

sqm

5% GFA

Net

Commercial

sqm

Net

Retail

sqm

block 13

Bank

building

and

interior

decoratin

g shop 241.625 241.625

Total for south Hurstville

New Total dwellings in south hurstville 1337

Retail (not including existing) sqm 3496.75

Commercial (not including existing) sqm 2522

Traffic study

short term

0-5

medium term

6-10

long term

11-15 total to 2030

Estimated development

time frame 20% 40% 40% 100%

Medium density net

dwelling numbers

projected increase 58 115 115 288

High density dwelling

number projected

increase 210 420 420 1049

New retail sqm floor

space retail 699.35 1398.7 1398.7 3497

Net retail

New commercial 504.4 1008.8 1008.8 2522

Net commercial

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Appendix 1 – Dwelling Capacity Analysis Page A1-18

Ramsgate

Block 1

Block 2

Block 3

Block 4

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Appendix 1 – Dwelling Capacity Analysis Page A1-19

Block 1

Nos. 183-191 currently under construction and 1 A Targo

Block 2

• No.193 Rocky Point Road

• Nos.201-209 Rocky Point Road

• Nos.2-6 Targo Road

• 66-68 Ramsgate Road

• Nos.197 Rocky Point Road strata titled

• No.8 Targo Road is strata titled

• 211 Rocky Point Road & 70 Ramsgate road (strata titled)

Block 2

Total area

sqm

Existing

dwellings FSR GFA Dwellings

Net

Dwellings

B2 3565 9 2.5 8021.25 89 80

R3 3149 6 1.5 4723.5 52.48333 46

block 2

Existing

commercial

Existing

retail

Commercial

sqm

5% GFA

Retail

sqm

5% GFA

Net

Commercial

sqm

Net

Retail

sqm

B2

445.625 445.625

Block 3

• Nos. 87-89 Ramsgate Road

• Nos.231-257 Rocky Point Road

• Nos 2-10 Dalkeith St

• No.1 Torwood St

• Nos.221-227 intersection hotel unlikely to redevelop

• Council carpark at Nos. 89 and 2 Dalkeith unlikely to redevelop and backlane parcels leading

to carpark

Block 2

Total area

sqm

Existing

dwellings FSR GFA Dwellings

Net

Dwellings

R3 2940 4 1.5 4410 49 45

block 3 6202 15 2.5 13954.5 155.05 140.05

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Appendix 1 – Dwelling Capacity Analysis Page A1-20

Block 4

• No. 259 – 261 Rocky Point Road and No. 2A Torwood St

• No.265 Rocky Point Road

• No.263 Rocky Point Road – recent dwelling

• No.271 Rocky Point Road – strata titled

Total area

sqm

Existing

dwellings FSR GFA Dwellings

Net

Dwellings

block 4 1073 3 1.5 1609.5 18 15

Traffic study

short term

0-5

medium term

6-10

long term

11-15

total to

2030

Estimated development

time frame 20% 40% 40% 100%

Medium Density dwelling

number projected

increase 21.2 42.4 42.4

106

High density dwelling

number projected

increase 44 88 88 220

Total new dwellings 65.2 130.4 130.4 326

New retail sqm floor

space retail 244 488 488 1221

Net retail

New commercial 244 488 488 1221

Net commercial

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Appendix 1 – Dwelling Capacity Analysis Page A1-21

Carlton

Block 1

Block 2

Block 3

Block 4

Block 5

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Appendix 1 – Dwelling Capacity Analysis Page A1-22

Block 5

Block 6

Block 7

Block 8

Block 9

Block 10

Block 11

Block 12

Block 13

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Appendix 1 – Dwelling Capacity Analysis Page A1-23

Block 1

• Nos.71-73 Jubilee Avenue and No.251 Princes Highway

Block 1

Total area

sqm

Existing

dwellings FSR GFA Dwellings

Net

Dwellings

Residential 3096 3 1.3 4025 45 42

Existing bulky

goods retail

New bulky

goods retailing

Net bulky

goods retailing

Block 1 1354 2167 813

Block 2

• Nos.261-273 Princes Highway and No.1 Wheeler St

Total area

sqm

Existing

dwellings FSR GFA Dwellings

Net

Dwellings

Block 2 3074 6 1.3 3996 44 38

Existing bulky

goods retail

New bulky

goods retailing

Net bulky

goods retailing

Block 2 1200 2152 951.8

Block 3

• No 277 Princes Highway is petrol station unlikely to redevelop

• Adjoining sites in No. 275 Princes Highway, No. 2 Wheeler St and No.36 O’Meara St unlikely

to develop in isolation

Block 4

• Nos.285-295 Princes Highway

• Nos.31-33 O’Meara St

• Nos. 32-34 Westbourne St

Total area

sqm Existing dwellings FSR GFA Dwellings Net Dwellings

Block 4 5648 11 1.3 7342.4 82 71

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Appendix 1 – Dwelling Capacity Analysis Page A1-24

Existing bulky

goods retail

New bulky

goods retailing

Net bulky

goods retailing

Block 4 0 1954 1954

Block 5

• No.297 Princes Highway

• No.305 and No.311 are already strata titled

• No.307 unlikely to redevelop strata (looks like 1:1)

• No.309 isolated –unlikely to redevelop(550sqm site)

Block 5

Total area

sqm

Existing

dwellings FSR GFA Dwellings

Net

Dwellings

Residential 2975 5 1.3 3867.5 43 38

Block 5

Existing bulky

goods retail

New bulky

goods retailing

Net bulky

goods retailing

2000 2083

83

B6 – enterprise corridor

Traffic study

short term

0-5

medium term

6-10 years

long term

11-15 years

total to

2030

Estimated development

time frame 60% 20% 20% 100%

High density dwelling

number projected

increase 113 38 38 189

Net retail sqm 2280.66 760.22 760.22 3801.1

Page 94: Appendix 8 - Traffic Generation Analysis · Traffic Generation Analysis - March 2016 Page 3 Summary of Estimated Traffic Generation The following Tables provide a summary of the estimated

Appendix 1 – Dwelling Capacity Analysis Page A1-25

Block 6 B2

• Nos.313-323 Princes Highway

Block 6 Total area sqm

Existing

dwellings FSR GFA Dwellings

Net

Dwellings

Block 6 3615 7 2.5 8133.75 90.375 83

Bock 6

Existing

commercial

Existing

retail

Commercial

sqm

5% GFA

Retail

sqm

5% GFA

Net

Commercial

sqm

Net

Retail

sqm

B2

0

0 451.875 451.875 451.875 451.875

Block 7

• Nos.325 -345 Princes Highway

• Nos.325 Princes Highway - vet and animal pound (not included in existing retail/commercial

floorspace calculations)

Block 7 Total area sqm

Existing

dwellings FSR GFA Dwellings

Net

Dwellings

block 7 3620 6 2.5 8145 90.5 85

Block7

Existing

commercial

Existing

retail

Commercial

sqm

5% GFA

Retail

sqm

5% GFA

Net

Commercial

sqm

Net

Retail

sqm

B2 420 400 452.5 452.5 32.5 -52.5

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Appendix 1 – Dwelling Capacity Analysis Page A1-26

Block 8 (b2)

• No.355-367 Princes Highway

• No.351 Princes Highway – child care centre recently developed

• 68A Park Road – council owned carpark

Block 8 Total area sqm

Existing

dwellings FSR GFA Dwellings

Net

Dwellings

B2 2036 5 2.5 4581 50.9 46

Block 8

Existing

commercial

Existing

retail

Commercial

sqm

5% GFA

Retail

sqm

5% GFA

Net

Commercial

sqm

Net

Retail

sqm

B2 300 400 254.5 254.5 -45.5 -145.5

Block 9 (b2)

• Nos. 383-395 Princes Highway (3 lots)

• Nos.373 Princes highway - red rooster unlikely to redevelop

• No.55 Park Road isolated site unlikely to redevelop

• Nos. 385-395 Princes Highway (LOT: 270 DP: 881067) office works building unlikely to

redevelop

Block 9 Total area sqm

Existing

dwellings FSR GFA Dwellings

Net

Dwellings

B2 6290 5 2.5 14152.5 157.25 152

Block 9

Existing

commercial

Existing

retail

Commercial

sqm

5% GFA

Retail

sqm

5% GFA

Net

Commercial

sqm

Net Retail

sqm

B2 250 700 278.625 278.625 28.625 -421.375

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Appendix 1 – Dwelling Capacity Analysis Page A1-27

Block 13 (B2)

• No.220 Princes Highway

• Nos.59-61 Park Road

Block 13 Total area sqm

Existing

dwellings FSR GFA Dwellings

Net

Dwellings

B2 2765 3 2 4977 55 52

Block

13

Existing

commercial

Existing

retail

Commercial

sqm

5% GFA

Retail

sqm

5% GFA

Net

Commercial

sqm

Net Retail

sqm

B2 2000 0 276.5 276.5 276.5 -1723.5

B2 Total

Traffic study short term medium term long term total to 2030

0-5 6-10 years 11-15 years

Estimated development time

frame 60% 20% 20% 100%

High density dwelling number

projected increase 159 53 53 266

Net retail sqm -1093.125 -364.375 -364.375 -1821.88

Net commercial sqm 487.875 162.625 162.625 813.125

Page 97: Appendix 8 - Traffic Generation Analysis · Traffic Generation Analysis - March 2016 Page 3 Summary of Estimated Traffic Generation The following Tables provide a summary of the estimated

Appendix 1 – Dwelling Capacity Analysis Page A1-28

Block 10 – R3

• Nos.399 -403 Princes Highway

• No.409 Princes Highway

• Nos.405-407 Princes Highway strata titled

• Nos.415 Princes Highway strata titled

• No.417 Princes Highway isolated site

• No.22 Paris Street strata titled

• No.21 Plant Street

Block 10 Total area sqm

Existing

dwellings FSR GFA Dwellings

Net

Dwellings

R3 2122 8 1.5 3183 35 27

Block 11 – R3

• Nos.166-168 Princes Highway

• Nos.176-184 Princes Highway

• No.190 Princes Highway

• Nos.1-21 Wyuna St and 2-6 Lacey St

• 170-174 Princes Highway strata titled

• 188 Princes Highway (heritage unlikely to redevelop)

Block 11 Total area sqm

Existing

dwellings FSR GFA Dwellings

Net

Dwellings

R3 11882 23 2 23764 264 241

Block 12 – R3

• Nos. 192-216 Princes Highway, Nos.1-5 Lacey St, and Nos. 1-13 John St and Nos. 68-72 Park

Road

Block 12 Total area sqm

Existing

dwellings FSR GFA Dwellings

Net

Dwellings

R3 12478 25 2 24956 277 252

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Appendix 1 – Dwelling Capacity Analysis Page A1-29

R3 total

Traffic study short term medium term long term

total to 2030 0-5 6-10 years 11-15 years

Estimated development time frame 60% 20% 20%

Medium density dwelling net

increase 16.2 5.4 5.4 27

High density dwelling net increase 296 99 99 493

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Appendix 1 – Dwelling Capacity Analysis Page A1-30

Blakehurst Centre

Block 1

Block 2

Block 3

Block 4

Block 5

Block 6

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Appendix 1 – Dwelling Capacity Analysis Page A1-31

Block 1

• Nos.314-316 Princes Highway

• Nos.320-322A Princes Highway

• Nos.334-340 Princes Highway

• No.2 Miowera Avenue

• No.308-312 Princes Highway – Strata titled

• No.318 Princes Highway - Strata titled

• No.326 Princes Highway – department of housing – townhouses

Block 1 Total area sqm

Existing

dwellings FSR GFA Dwellings

Net

Dwellings

R3 11,262 11 1 11,262 125 114

Block 2

• Nos.9-11 Phillip Street

• Nos.63 Lynwood Street

• Nos.937 Princes highway

• Nos.979 Princes Highway (Chinese restaurant) – assuming Chinese restaurant site is

redeveloped with new Chinese restaurant

• 969 Princes Highway (church property) unlikely to redevelop

Block 2 Total area sqm

Existing

dwellings FSR GFA Dwellings

Net

Dwellings

R3 1803 4 1.5 2704.5 30 26

B2 1273 5 2.5 2864.25* 32 27

*B2 at 80% GFA for residential

Block 2

Existing

commercial

Existing

retail

Commercial

sqm

Retail

sqm

20% GFA

Net

Commercial

sqm

Net Retail

sqm

B2 0 600 0 636.5 0 36.5

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Appendix 1 – Dwelling Capacity Analysis Page A1-32

Block 3

• 591-629 Princes Highway

Block 3 Total area sqm

Existing

dwellings FSR GFA Dwellings

Net

Dwellings

b2 3546 16 2.5 7978.5 89 73

Block 3

Existing

commercial

Existing

retail

Commercial

sqm

Retail

sqm

20% GFA

Net

Commercial

sqm

Net Retail

sqm

b2 500 1500 443.25 443.25 -56.75 -1056.75

Block 4

• No.637 Princes Highway

• 647 Princes highway

• No.653 Princes highway

• Nos.655-659 Princes Highway

• No.645 Princes Highway -brothel use - unlikely to redevelop

Block 4 Total area sqm

Existing

dwellings FSR GFA Dwellings

Net

Dwellings

b2 7405 10 2.5 16661.25 185 175

Block 4

Existing

commercial

Existing

retail

Commercial

sqm

Retail

sqm

20% GFA

Net

Commercial

sqm

Net Retail

sqm

B2 2600 900 925.625 925.625 -1674.375 25.625

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Appendix 1 – Dwelling Capacity Analysis Page A1-33

Block 5

• Nos.2-8 Stuart St

• Nos.2-6 Vaughan

• Nos.10-16 Vaughan St

• Nos.2-8 James St

• Nos.1-5 James St

• Nos.1-7 Water St

• No.6 Vaughan St substantial two storey dwelling

Block 5 Total area sqm

Existing

dwellings FSR GFA Dwellings

Net

Dwellings

12,692 22 1.5 19,038 212 190

Block 6

• Nos.384B Princes Highway – carss park motel

• Nos. 390 Princes Highway -394A Princes Highway

• No.40 Bunyala St (aged care facility)

• Nos.2-12A Torrens St

Block 6 Total area sqm

Existing

dwellings FSR GFA Dwellings

Net

Dwellings

18015 33 1.5 27022.5 300 267

Blakehurst total

Traffic study short term medium term long term

total to 2030 0-5 YEARS 6 - 10 YEARS 11 TO 15 YEARS

Estimated development time

frame 60% 20% 20% 100%

Medium Density dwelling

number projected increase 358 119 119

597

High density dwelling number

projected increase 163 54 54

271

Total new dwellings 521 174 174 868

New retail sqm floor space

retail

2005

Net retail -596.775 -198.925 -198.925 -995

New commercial 1369

Net commercial -1038.675 -346.225 -346.225 -1731

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Appendix 1 – Dwelling Capacity Analysis Page A1-34

Blakehurst Waterfront

Block 1

Block 2

Block 3

Block 4

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Appendix 1 – Dwelling Capacity Analysis Page A1-35

Block 1

• No.424 Princes Highway (two lots)

• No.426 Princes Highway

• No.428 Princes Highway

• No.430 Princes Highway

• No.432 Princes Highway

• No.434 Princes Highway

• No.436 Princes Highway

Block 1 Total area sqm

Existing

dwellings FSR GFA Dwellings

Net

Dwellings

R3 6422 7 2:1 12844 143 136

Block 2

• No.448 Princes Highway

• No.450 Princes Highway

• No.454 Princes Highway (two lots)

Block 2 Total area sqm

Existing

dwellings FSR GFA Dwellings

Net

Dwellings

R3 883 3 2:1 1766 20 17

Block 3

• Nos.468-470 Princes Highway

• Nos.472-474 Princes Highway

Block 3 Total area sqm

Existing

dwellings FSR GFA Dwellings

Net

Dwellings

R3 2346 11 2 4692 52 42

Block 4

• No.723 Princes Highway

• No.725 Princes Highway

• No.727 Princes Highway

• No.731 Princes Highway

• Nos.733-735 Princes Highway (two lots)

• No.737 Princes Highway

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Appendix 1 – Dwelling Capacity Analysis Page A1-36

• No.739 Princes Highway

Block 4 Total area sqm

Existing

dwellings FSR GFA Dwellings

Net

Dwellings

R3 4260 10 2 8520 95 85

Blakehurst Waterfront total

Traffic study short term medium term long term

total to 2030 0-5 6-10 years 11-15 years

Estimated development time frame 40% 40 20% 100%

High density dwelling net increase 112 112 55 279