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APPENDIX 6-1

OIL SANDS LEASES IN THE DOVER LEASES

Dover Commercial Project - 1 - Appendix 6-1 Oil Sand Leases December 2010

DOVER OPERATING CORP.

Table 1 Oil Sands Leases in the Dover Leases

Agreement Number Client Land Description Last Update

Date

7281080T57 Nexen Inc.; Suncor Energy Inc.; Imperial Oil Resources Limited; and Japan Canada Oil Sands Limited

Sections 2-6; 9; 11; 15; 17; 18; 21; 26; 28; and 29 of 92-17 W4M March 5, 2010

7406070409 Cretaceous Oilsands Holdings Limited and AOSC (Dover) Energy Inc.

Sections 29-32 of 92-16 W4M Sections 25 and 36 of 92-17 W4M

July 23, 2010


Sections 6 and7 of 93-16 W4M Sections 1; 2; and 12 of 93-17 W4M

July 23, 2010

7406090439 Cretaceous Oilsands Holdings Limited and AOSC (Dover) Energy Inc. Sections 17-21 of 93-16 W4M April 29, 2010


Sections 13-15 and22-24 of 93-17 W4M April 29, 2010


Sections 19 and28-30 of 93-17 W4M Sections 25 and26 of 93-18 W4M

April 29, 2010


Sections 31 and32 of 93-17 W4M Sections 5-8 of 94-17 W4M

April 29, 2010


4-18-093: Sections 27; 35; and 36 of 93-18 W4M 1-94-18 W4M

April 29, 2010


34-93-18 W4M Sections 2 and3 of 94-18 W4M

April 29, 2010


Sections 31 and 32 of 93-15 W4M 6-94-15 W4M

April 29, 2010


Sections 10; 11; 14; 15; 22; and 23 of 94-18 W4M April 29, 2010

7407020021 Cretaceous Oilsands Holdings Limited and AOSC (Dover) Energy Inc. Sections 7 and8 of 93-17 W4M April 29, 2010

7407020022 Cretaceous Oilsands Holdings Limited and AOSC (Dover) Energy Inc. Sections 25and 26 of 93-17 W4M April 29, 2010

7407030891 Cretaceous Oilsands Holdings Limited and AOSC (Dover) Energy Inc. 29-93-15 W4M July 9, 2010


Sections 25and 36 of 93-16 W4M 1-94-16 W4M

July 9, 2010


Sections 26-28 and 33-35 of 93-16 W4M Sections 2-4 of 94-16 W4M

July 9, 2010


Sections 29-32 of 93-16 W4M Sections 5-9 of 94-16 W4M

July 9, 2010

7407050229 Cretaceous Oilsands Holdings Limited and AOSC (Dover) Energy Inc. 30-93-15 W4M May 26, 2010

7407050230 Cretaceous Oilsands Holdings Limited and AOSC (Dover) Energy Inc. Sections 4 and 5 of 93-17 W4M May 26, 2010


7407050234 Cretaceous Oilsands Holdings Limited and AOSC (Dover) Energy Inc. Sections 5-8 of 95-17 W4M May 26, 2010



Table 1 Oil Sands Leases in the Dover Leases (continued)



Date

7407050236 Cretaceous Oilsands Holdings Limited and AOSC (Dover) Energy Inc. Sections 23-26 of 96-17 W4M May 26, 2010


Sections 6; 7; and 18 of 95-16 W4M Sections 1 and12-14 of 95-17 W4M

May 26, 2010





7407060176 Cretaceous Oilsands Holdings Limited and AOSC (Dover) Energy Inc. Sections 13 and 24 of 94-18 W4M July 19, 2010











6-93-17 W4M 12-93-18-W4M

April 29, 2010

7407090352 Cretaceous Oilsands Holdings Limited and AOSC (Dover) Energy Inc. Sections 10 and11 of 95-17 W4M April 29, 2010

7407090429 Cretaceous Oilsands Holdings Limited and AOSC (Dover) Energy Inc. Sections 22 and 27 of 92-17 W4M April 29, 2010

7407090431 Cretaceous Oilsands Holdings Limited and AOSC (Dover) Energy Inc. 3-93-17 W4M April 29, 2010








Date





7407090440 Cretaceous Oilsands Holdings Limited and AOSC (Dover) Energy Inc. S 21-94017 W4M April 29, 2010

7407090441 Cretaceous Oilsands Holdings Limited and AOSC (Dover) Energy Inc. E 27-94-17 W4M April 29, 2010




Sections 19; 20; and 30-32 of 92-17 W4M April 29, 2010






7408030020 Cretaceous Oilsands Holdings Limited and AOSC (Dover) Energy Inc. Sections 23-25 of 95-17 W4M April 29, 2010














Date







7408080535 Cretaceous Oilsands Holdings Limited and AOSC (Dover) Energy Inc. 22-96-17-W4M April 29, 2010




7408090210 Cretaceous Oilsands Holdings Limited and AOSC (Dover) Energy Inc. S 35-96-17 W4M April 29, 2010



S 31-96-16 W4M S 36-96-17 W4M

April 29, 2010



7408120252 Cretaceous Oilsands Holdings Limited and AOSC (Dover) Energy Inc. NW 35-96-17 W4M April 29, 2010

7409010005 Cretaceous Oilsands Holdings Limited and AOSC (Dover) Energy Inc. NE 35-96-17 W4M April 29, 2010

7409020169 Cretaceous Oilsands Holdings Limited and AOSC (Dover) Energy Inc. NW 36-17 W4M April 29, 2010

7409030009 Cretaceous Oilsands Holdings Limited and AOSC (Dover) Energy Inc. W 11-96-17 W4M April 29, 2010

7409030010 Cretaceous Oilsands Holdings Limited and AOSC (Dover) Energy Inc. NE 36-96-17 W4M April 29, 2010

7409040132 Cretaceous Oilsands Holdings Limited and AOSC (Dover) Energy Inc. W 14 -96-17 W4M April 29, 2010

7409040349 Cretaceous Oilsands Holdings Limited and AOSC (Dover) Energy Inc. N 31-96-16 W4M April 29, 2010

7409040350 Cretaceous Oilsands Holdings Limited and AOSC (Dover) Energy Inc. E 14-96-17 W4M April 29, 2010

7409060113 Cretaceous Oilsands Holdings Limited and AOSC (Dover) Energy Inc. E 11-96-17 W4M July 19, 2010





Date




Sections 15 and 16 of 97-16 W4M July 23, 2010


Sections S 19and 20 of 97-16 W4M July 23, 2010



7409090001 Plunkett Resources Ltd. 8-97-16 W4M September 4, 2009

7409090248 Plunkett Resources Ltd. 7-97-16 W4M September 18, 2009

Source: LSAS Mineral Index Search July 27, 2010 (LSAS 2010, internet site).

APPENDIX 6-2

OIL AND NATURAL GAS LEASES AND LICENCES IN THE DOVER LEASES

Dover Commercial Project - 1 - Appendix 6-2 Oil and Natural Gas Leases and Licences December 2010


Table 1 Oil and Natural Gas Leases and Licences in the Dover Leases Agreement

Number Agreement Type Client Land Description Last Update Date

0508110233 5-Year Northern Petroleum and Natural Gas Lease

Perpetual Energy Operating Corp. 12-94-18 W4M December 23,

2009

058112B320 5-Year Northern Petroleum and Natural Gas Lease

Perpetual Energy Operating Corp.; Enermark Inc.; and Bonavista Petroleum Ltd.

Sections 5-8; and 17-20 of 95-17 W4M

December 16, 2009


Canadian Natural Resources Ltd. and Japan Canada Oil Sands Limited

Sections 6; 7; and 18 of 93-17 W4M Sections 1-22; and 29-34 of 93-18 W4M

February 2, 2010


Canadian Natural Resources Ltd. and Japan Canada Oil Sands Limited

Sections 31-34 of 91-17 W4M Sections 31 and 32 of 92-17 W4M Sections 35 and36 of 91-18 W4M Sections 1-11; 15-18; 22-28; and 32-36 of 92-18 W4M

January 22, 2010



Sections 10; 14-16; and 22 of 94-18 W4M

February 17, 2010



Sections 23; 25; 26; 35; and 36 of 94-18 W4M

February 17, 2010



Sections 3-6; 8; and 9 of 94-18 W4M

February 17, 2010


Perpetual Energy Operating Corp. and Bonavista Petroleum Ltd.

6-95-17 W4M February 17, 2010



Sections 13 and 24 of 94-18 W4M May 18, 2010


Cenovus Energy Inc.; Perpetual Energy Operating Corp; and Giant Grosmont Petroleums Ltd.

Sections 1-4; 8-13; 17-20; and 24 of 95-16 W4M

November 9, 2009


Canadian Natural Resources Limited

Sections 27 and 34 of 93-17 W4M

September 16, 2009




December 23, 2009


Perpetual Energy Operating Corp.

Sections 1-10 of 92-17 W4M Sections 12-14 of 92-18 W4M

September 16, 2009



Sections 7; 18; 19; and 30 of 92-16 W4M Sections 11-14; and 23-26 of 92-17 W4M

November 17, 2009



Sections 15-22; and 27-30 of 92-17 W4M

November 17, 2009




January 18, 2010

Dover Commercial Project - 2 - Appendix 6-2 Oil and Natural Gas Leases and Licences December 2010

Table 1 Oil and Natural Gas Leases and Licences in the Dover Leases


Agreement Number Agreement Type Client Land Description Last Update

Date



Sections 1-4; and 12 of 95-17 W4M

November 27, 2009

5494110069 4-Year Northern Petroleum Natural Gas Lease



November 27, 2009



Sections 21; 25-27; and 35 of 95-17 W4M

November 27, 2009



Sections 20; 21; 26-29; and 32-35 of 92-16 W4M

November 17, 2009



Sections 20-22; and 27-29 94-17 W4M

December 23, 2009



Sections 1; and 11-15 of 97-16 W4M

December 23, 2009




December 23, 2009



Sections 7; 8; and 16-18 of 94-17 W4M

December 23, 2009



Sections 1-4; 9-16; 21-26; 28; 35; and 36 of 93-17 W4M Sections 1; 2; 11; and 12 of 94-17 W4M

December 23, 2009



Sections 19; 20; and 29-31 of 93-17 W4M Sections 23-28; 35; and 36 of 93-18 W4M

December 23, 2009

Source: LSAS Mineral Land Index Search July 27, 2010 (LSAS 2010, internet site).

APPENDIX 6-3

METALLIC AND INDUSTRIAL MINERALS PERMITS IN THE DOVER LEASES

Dover Commercial Project - 1 - Appendix 6-3 Recreational Activity Ratings December 2010


Table 1 Metallic and Industrial Minerals Permits in the Dover Leases

Agreement Number Client Land Description Last Update Date

9302050141 977554 Alberta Ltd. Sections 5; 6; 8; 19; 20; 25; 26; 35; and 36 of 92-17 W4M July 4, 2008

9006080759 Athabasca Minerals Inc. 94-15 W4M February 23, 2007








Source: LSAS Mineral Index Search July 27, 2010 (LSAS 2010, internet site).

APPENDIX 6-4

DETAILED SOCIO-ECONOMIC STATISTICAL TABLES

Dover Commercial Project - 1 - Appendix 6-4 Detailed Socio-Economic Statistical Tables December 2010


Table 1 Population of the Regional Study Area

Area

1999 2000 2002 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Population Change 1999

to 2008 [%]

Average Annual

Change 1999 to 2008

[%] Population

Fort McMurray(a) 36,452 42,156 47,240 56,111 60,983 61,366 65,400 72,363 98.5 7.9

Anzac 397 446 548 647 685 711 714 837 110.8 8.6

Conklin 215 219 213 210 242 338 299 372 73.0 6.3

Draper 47 60 84 141 148 118 185 267 468.1 21.3

Fort Chipewyan 1,020 1,036 1,012 1,146 744 915 1,007 1,016 -0.4 0.0

Fort Fitzgerald n/a n/a 30 4 12 4 2 10 n/a n/a

Fort McKay 262 399 186 218 104 536 737 862 229.0 14.1

Gregoire Lake Estates 163 206 184 206 180 285 248 253 55.2 5.0

Janvier 207 185 143 112 141 218 178 194 -6.3 -0.7

Mariana Lake 7 15 11 8 5 9 9 4 -42.9 -6.0

Saprae Creek 509 659 603 624 754 728 737 864 69.7 6.0

Hinterland(b) n/a 122 n/a n/a n/a 47 43 8 n/a n/a

project accommodation 3,568 5,903 8,063 7,678 9,178 10,442 18,572 26,284 636.7 24.8

RMWB Total 42,847 51,406 58,317 67,105 73,176 75,717 88,131 103,334 141.2 10.3

Alberta 2,819,423 2,879,743 2,994,387 3,066,257 3,182,178 3,242,824 3,354,304 3,433,145 27.1 2.2 (a) The homeless, project accommodation, hotel/motel and campground populations residing in Fort McMurray are included in the total. (b) Hinterland means sparsely population region outside of Urban and Rural Service Areas, and does not include project accommodations and campgrounds. n/a = Not available. Sources: RMWB 2008; Alberta population: Alberta Municipal Affairs 2000, 2002, 2004, 2005, 2006, 2007a, 2008a.



Table 2 Population of the Local Study Area

Area 1999 2000 2002 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Population Change

1999 to 2008 [%]

Average Annual Change 1999 to 2008

[%] Population

Fort McMurray 36,452 42,156 47,240 56,111 60,983 61,366 65,400 72,363 98.5 7.9 residents 36,452 41,712 46,723 55,121 58,150 58,660 62,148 69,863 91.7 7.5 project accommodation n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a 54 52 n/a n/a

hotels/motels n/a 444 517 990 2,024 1,778 1,423 1,421 220.0 [2000 to 2008]

15.7 [2000 to 2008]

campgrounds n/a n/a n/a n/a 577 523 1,334 586 1.6 [2005 to 2008]

0.5 [2005 to 2008]

homeless(a) n/a n/a n/a n/a 232 405 441 441 90.1 [2005 to 2008]

23.9 [2005 to 2008]

Fort McKay 262 399 186 218 104 536 737 862 229.0 14.1 LSA 36,714 42,555 47,426 56,329 61,087 61,902 66,137 73,225 99.4 8.0 RSA 42,847 51,406 58,317 67,105 73,176 75,717 88,131 103,334 141.2 10.3

(a) Revised homeless population numbers were available from the RMWB Community Services Department and were as follows: 2004 – 355 homeless; 2006 – 441 homeless; and 2008 – 549 homeless (St. Aidan’s Society 2008).

n/a = Not available. Source: RMWB 2008.



Table 3 Gender Distribution in the Regional and Local Study Areas

Area 2000 2002 2004 2005 2006 2008 Population Change

2000 to 2008 Male Female Male Female Male Female Male Female Male Female Male Female Male Female

Fort McMurray % 53.6 46.4 54.5 45.5 56.8 43.2 55.8 44.2 55.2 44.8 56.9 43.1 82.2 59.4

# 22,596 19,560 25,746 21,494 31,871 24,240 34,029 26,954 33,874 27,492 41,175 31,188 18,579 11,628

Fort McKay % 50.9 49.1 50.7 49.3 54.3 45.7 53.3 46.7 58.2 41.8 50.0 50.0 112.3 120.0

# 203 196 94 92 118 100 55 49 312 224 431 431 228 235

LSA % 53.6 46.4 54.2 45.8 56.8 43.2 55.8 44.2 55.2 44.8 56.8 43.2 82.5 60.0 # 22,799 19,756 25,540 21,586 31,989 24,340 34,084 27,003 34,186 27,716 41,606 31,619 18,807 11,863

RSA(a)(b) % 53.6 46.4 53.7 46.3 54.9 45.1 53.8 46.2 55.0 45.0 56.7 43.3 107.5 83.0 # 21,050 18,222 26,964 23,249 32,619 26,797 34,421 29,559 35,868 29,347 43,675 33,353 22,625 15,131

(a) Weighted average. (b) Includes the populations of Fort McMurray, Anzac, Conklin, Draper, Fort Chipewyan, Fort McKay, Gregoire Lake Estates, Janvier and Saprae Creek. The table does not include IR populations in the RSA. Source: RMWB 2008.

Table 4 Age Distribution in the Regional Study Area

Age Category 2000 2002 2004 2005 2006 2008 Population Change 2000 to 2008

% # % # % # % # % # % # % #

0 to 4 7.3 2,867 7.1 3,565 7.4 4,397 7.1 4,543 6.8 4,435 6.5 5,007 74.6 2,140

5 to 9 8.8 3,456 7.8 3,917 7.5 4,456 7.3 4,671 6.8 4,435 6.1 4,699 36.0 1,243

10 to 14 9.3 3,652 8.6 4,318 8.6 5,110 7.2 4,607 7.0 4,565 6.2 4,776 30.8 1,124

15 to 19 9.2 3,613 8.3 4,168 8.2 4,872 7.6 4,863 7.4 4,826 6.7 5,161 42.8 1,548

20 to 24 7.3 2,867 8.5 4,268 7.9 4,694 8.3 5,310 9.0 5,869 9.5 7,318 155.2 4,451

25 to 29 7.8 3,063 8.7 4,369 8.3 4,932 9.0 5,758 9.5 6,195 10.9 8,396 174.1 5,333

30 to 34 8.4 3,299 8.8 4,419 8.3 4,932 9.1 5,822 9.1 5,935 9.6 7,395 124.2 4,096

35 to 39 9.8 3,849 9.0 4,519 8.9 5,288 8.6 5,502 9.0 5,869 8.8 6,778 76.1 2,929

40 to 44 10.4 4,084 10.2 5,122 10.1 6,001 9.6 6,142 9.3 6,065 9.2 7,087 73.5 3,003

45 to 49 8.6 3,377 9.1 4,569 9.5 5,645 9.9 6,334 9.8 6,391 9.4 7,241 114.4 3,864

50 to 54 6.6 2,592 6.9 3,465 7.5 4,456 8.0 5,118 8.0 5,217 8.7 6,701 158.5 4,109

55 to 59 3.3 1,296 3.8 1,908 4.3 2,555 4.7 3,007 4.6 3,000 4.6 3,543 173.4 2,247

60 to 64 1.5 589 1.6 803 1.7 1,010 1.9 1,216 2.0 1,304 2.2 1,695 187.8 1,106

65 to 69 0.8 314 0.8 402 0.8 475 0.9 576 0.9 587 0.8 616 96.2 302

70 to 74 0.5 196 0.4 201 0.5 297 0.4 256 0.5 326 0.5 385 96.4 189

75 and over 0.1 39 0.2 100 0.1 59 0.1 64 0.1 65 0.3 231 492.3 192

Total(a) 100 39,272 100 50,213 100 59,416 100 63,981 100 65,215 100 77,028 96.1 37,756 (a) Includes the populations of Fort McMurray, Anzac, Conklin, Draper, Fort Chipewyan, Fort McKay, Gregoire Lake Estates, Janvier and Saprae Creek. The table does not include IR populations in the RSA. Note: Some numbers are rounded for presentation purposes. Therefore, it may appear that the totals do not equal the sum of the individual values. Source: RMWB 2008.



Table 5 Wood Buffalo-Cold Lake Economic Region Labour Force 2008 to 2009

Labour Force Characteristics 2008 2009 Change

working age population [000s] 92.8 94.9 2.3%

labour force [000s] 73.0 72.8 -0.3%

employment [000s] 70.4 69.0 -2.0%

unemployment [000s] 2.6 3.7 42.3%

unemployment rate 3.6% 5.1% 1.5%

participation rate 78.7 76.7 -2.0%

Source: GOA 2010.

Table 6 Employment by Industry, Wood Buffalo-Cold Lake Economic Region Industry 2008 2009 Change

agriculture 2,500 2,300 -200 accommodation and food services 3,000 3,800 800 business, building and other support services 2,300 2,000 -300 construction 8,600 6,900 -1,700 educational services 4,000 4,800 800 finance, insurance, real estate and leasing 3,000 2,400 -600 forestry, fishing, mining, oil and gas 16,300 16,700 400 health care and social assistance 5,300 5,000 -300 manufacturing 1,700 1,700 0 other services 3,200 3,800 600 professional, scientific and technical services 2,500 2,600 100 public administration 2,500 2,900 400 trade 8,900 8,800 -100 transportation and warehousing 3,900 3,600 -300 Total 67,700 67,300 -400

Source: GOA 2010.



Table 7 Experienced Labour Force by Industry, 2006

Study Area Community Population

Total Experienced Labour Force

Agriculture and Other Resource-

Based Construction Manufacturing Wholesale Trade Retail Trade Finance and Real

Estate Health Care and Social Services

Educational Services Business Services Other Services

[#] [%] [#] [%] [#] [%] [#] [%] [#] [%] [#] [%] [#] [%] [#] [%] [#] [%] [#] [%]

Regional Study Area

RMWB(a) Total 34,045 10,665 31 4,015 12 875 3 1,140 3 3,145 9 1,285 4 1,740 5 1,655 5 4,530 13 4,985 15 Aboriginal 3,430 1,105 32 410 12 80 2 85 3 205 6 90 3 125 4 160 5 445 13 725 21

Local Study Area

Fort McMurray Total 31,565 9,985 32 3,615 12 810 3 1,050 3 2,985 10 1,250 4 4,195 13 1,515 5 1,585 5 4,570 15 Aboriginal 2,570 915 36 280 11 55 2 55 2 170 7 80 3 315 12 115 5 60 2 525 20

Fort McKay Total 235 55 23 50 21 0 0 0 0 10 4 0 0 25 11 0 0 35 15 65 28 Aboriginal 220 50 23 45 21 10 5 0 0 10 5 0 0 15 7 10 5 35 16 60 27

Total LSA Total 31,800 10,040 32 3,665 12 810 3 1,050 3 2,995 9 1,250 4 4,220 13 1,515 5 1,620 5 4,635 15 Aboriginal 2,790 965 35 325 12 65 2 55 2 180 7 80 3 330 12 125 5 95 3 585 21

Alberta (%) Total 1,928,635 12 9 7 4 11 5 9 6 18 18 Aboriginal 86,155 12 13 6 3 11 3 9 5 15 10

(a) Corresponds to the Statistics Canada Regional Municipality Wood Buffalo Census Agglomeration which includes Fort McMurray, Fort McKay, other hamlets within the RMWB and IR populations. Note: Due to rounding percentage totals may not equal 100. Source: Statistics Canada 2007.

Table A-8 Experienced Labour Force by Occupation, 2006

Study Area Community Population

Total Experienced Labour Force

Management Business, Finance and Administration

Natural and Applied Sciences Health

Social Science, Education,

Government and Religion

Art, Culture, Recreation and

Sport Sales and Service

Trades, Transport and Equipment

Operators Primary Industry

Processing, Manufacturing and

Utilities

[#] [%] [#] [%] [#] [%] [#] [%] [#] [%] [#] [%] [#] [%] [#] [%] [#] [%] [#] [%] Regional Study Area

RMWB(a) Total 34,040 2,430 7 4,520 13 2,935 9 1,100 3 1,450 4 380 1 7,675 23 11,220 33 1,250 4 1,085 3 Aboriginal 3,430 180 5 385 11 135 4 25 1 155 5 25 1 760 22 1,370 40 225 7 165 5

Local Study Area

Fort McMurray Total 31,570 2,185 7 4,160 13 2,805 9 1,060 3 1,310 4 360 1 7,205 23 10,230 32 1,090 4 1,015 3 Aboriginal 2,570 105 4 280 11 120 5 20 1 105 4 20 1 585 23 1,010 39 140 5 145 6

Fort McKay Total 235 15 6 20 9 0 0 10 4 10 4 10 4 30 13 120 51 30 13 10 4 Aboriginal 220 10 5 20 9 10 5 0 0 10 5 0 0 30 14 115 52 30 14 0 0

Total LSA Total 31,805 2,200 7 4,180 13 2,805 9 1,070 3 1,320 4 370 1 7,235 23 10,350 33 1,120 4 1,025 3 Aboriginal 2,790 115 4 300 11 130 5 20 1 115 4 20 1 615 22 1,125 40 170 6 145 5

Alberta (%) Total 1,928,635 10 18 8 5 7 2 23 18 6 3 Aboriginal 86,155 6 14 3 3 7 1 27 26 7 4

(a) Corresponds to the Statistics Canada Regional Municipality Wood Buffalo Census Agglomeration which includes Fort McMurray, Fort McKay, other hamlets within the RMWB and IR populations. Note: Due to rounding percentage totals may not equal 100. Source: Statistics Canada 2007.



Table 9 Regional Municipality of Wood Buffalo Projected Experienced Labour Force by Industry, 2013 to 2028

Industry Labour Force 2013 2018 2023 2028 Labour Force Change 2013 to 2028

# % # % # % # % # %

agriculture and other resource-based industries

oil sands 24,067 29 29,066 32 35,437 33 44,190 31 20,123 84

non-oil sands 1,015 1 1,446 2 2,465 2 4,033 3 3,018 297

Total 25,082 31 30,512 34 37,902 35 48,223 34 23,141 92

construction

oil sands 25,217 31 27,043 30 32,971 31 51,840 37 26,623 106

non-oil sands 4,148 5 4,336 5 4,672 4 5,211 4 1,063 26

Total 29,365 36 31,379 35 37,643 35 57,051 40 27,686 94

manufacturing

oil sands 568 1 666 1 844 1 1,240 1 672 118

non-oil sands 1,238 2 1,347 2 1,575 2 1,933 1 695 56

Total 1,806 2 2,013 2 2,419 2 3,173 2 1,367 76

wholesale trade

oil sands 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

non-oil sands 1,620 2 1,703 2 1,857 2 2,104 2 484 30

Total 1,620 2 1,703 2 1,857 2 2,104 2 484 30

retail trade

oil sands 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

non-oil sands 4,487 6 4,732 5 5,195 5 5,932 4 1,445 32

Total 4,487 6 4,732 5 5,195 5 5,932 4 1,445 32

finance and real estate

oil sands 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

non-oil sands 1,819 2 1,902 2 2,049 2 2,287 2 468 26

Total 1,819 2 1,902 2 2,049 2 2,287 2 468 26

health care and social services

oil sands 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

non-oil sands 2,454 3 2,621 3 2,955 3 3,481 3 1,027 42

Total 2,454 3 2,621 3 2,955 3 3,481 3 1,027 42

educational services

oil sands 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

non-oil sands 2,323 3 2,411 3 2,558 2 2,796 2 473 20

Total 2,323 3 2,411 3 2,558 2 2,796 2 473 20

business services

oil sands 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

non-oil sands 6,312 8 6,563 7 6,985 7 7,671 5 1,362 22

Total 6,312 8 6,563 7 6,985 7 7,671 5 1,362 22

other services

oil sands 192 <1 224 <1 284 <1 418 <1 226 118

non-oil sands 6,722 8 7,041 8 7,616 7 8,539 6 1,817 27

Total 6,914 8 7,265 8 7,900 7 8,957 6 2,043 30

Total oil sands 50,044 61 56,853 63 69,389 65 97,688 69 47,644 95 non-oil sands 32,137 39 34,101 38 37,928 35 43,841 31 11,704 36 Total 82,181 100 90,954 100 107,317 100 141,529 100 59,348 72

Note: Percentages are of total experienced labour force. Due to rounding percentage totals may not equal 100. Source: RMWB 2010b.

Dover Commercial Project - 7 - Appendix 6-4 Detailed Socio-Economic Statistical Tables December 2010 Table 10 Upcoming Oil Sands Projects in the Regional Municipality of Wood

Buffalo

Company Project Estimated

Capital Expenditures [$ Millions]

Production [bpd]

Construction Schedule

Under Construction Canadian Natural Resource Ltd. Kirby In-Situ Oil Sands Project $620 45,000 TBD

Cenovus FCCL Ltd. Christina Lake Phase 1C and 1D $1,600 80,000 2011 start up

ConocoPhillips Canada Surmont Phase 2 $2,625 83,000 2014 to 2016 start up

Devon Canada Corporation

Jackfish SAGD Oil Sands Project Phase 2 $1,060 35,000 2008 to 2011

Imperial Oil Resources/ExxonMobil Canada

Kearl Lake Oil Sands Mine Phase 1 $8,000 110,000 2009 to 2012

StatOil Canada Ltd. Kai Kos Dehseh Project Phase 1 $850 10,000 2008 to 2010 Shell Canada Limited Muskeg River Mine Expansion $5,000 115,000 2007 to 2010

Shell Canada Limited Jackpine Mine Mining and Extraction Facility Phase 1 $2,000 100,000 2007 to 2010

Suncor Energy Inc. Firebag In-Situ Oil Sands Project Stage 3 $900 68,000 2010 to 2011

Total Under Construction $24,455 646,000 2007 to 2012 Approved Husky Energy Inc. Sunrise Thermal Project Phase 1-4 $2,500 200,000 2010 to 2014

Imperial Oil Resources/Exxon Mobil Canada

Kearl Mine Phase 2 and 3 $20,000 (all 3 phases) 200,000

Phase 2 2015 start up;

Phase 3 2021 start up

Korea National Oil Corporation BlackGold Phase 1 not available 10,000 2012 start up

MEG Energy Corp. Christina Lake Regional Project Phase 2B $1,200 35,000 2010 to 2012

Shell Canada Energy Jackpine Mine Phase 1 Train 2 $6,000 100,000 2014 start up

Suncor Energy Inc. Firebag In-Situ Oil Sands Project Stage 4 $2,000 68,000 2012 start up

Suncor Energy Inc. Firebag In-Situ Oil Sands Project Stages 5 and 6 $7,000 136,000 TBD

Total Approved $38,700 749,000 2010 to 2015 In Regulatory Process Alberta Oil Sands Inc. Clearwater West SAGD Pilot Project $415 4,500 2011 start up Cenovus Energy Borealis In-Situ Project $1,225 35,000 2012 to 2014

Cenovus FCCL Ltd. Christina Lake In-Situ Regional Project Phase 1E/1F/1G $3,000 120,000 2011 to 2016

Cenovus FCCL Ltd. Narrows Lake Project $1,600 130,000 2013 to 2019 Connacher Oil and Gas Limited Great Divide SAGD Expansion Project $600 24,000 2012 to 2013

E-T Energy Ltd. Poplar Creek In-Situ Project $103 10,000 2011 to 2013

Dover Operating Corp. Dover Commercial Project (Phases 1 to 5) $26,500 250,000 2013 to 2022

Grizzly Oil Sands Algar Lake Project not available 10,000 2013 start up Japan Canada Oil Sands Limited Hangingstone SAGD Project $875 35,000 2013 start up

Korea National Oil Corporation BlackGold Expansion Project $540 20,000 2013 to 2015


Table A-10 Upcoming Oil Sands Projects in the Regional Municipality of Wood Buffalo (continued)


Company Project Estimated

Capital Expenditures [$ Millions]

Production [bpd]

Construction Schedule

Laricina Energy Germain Pilot not available 1,800 TBD MacKay Operating Corp. MacKay River Commercial Project $11,250 150,000 2012 to 2014

MEG Energy Corp. Christina Lake Regional Project Phase 3

$6,475 (Phases 2B to

3C) 150,000 2010 to 2012

Petrobank Energy and Resources Ltd. May River Commercial Project Phase 1 $250 10,000 2012 start up

Shell Canada Limited Jackpine Mine Expansion & Pierre River Mine $18,000 300,000 2018 start up

StatOil Canada Ltd. Kai Kos Dehseh Commercial Project and Expansions $8,050 240,000 2012 start up

Southern Pacific Resource Corp. McKay Project $430 12,000 2010 to 2012

Sunshine Oil Sands Ltd. West Ells Phase 1 not available 10,000 2014 start up

Syncrude Canada Ltd. Phase 4: Upgrader Expansion Phase 2/Aurora South Mine Trains 1 and 2 not available 139,500 2016 start up

Total E&P Joslyn Ltd. Joslyn North Mine Project $6,000 100,000 TBD Value Creation Inc. Terre de Grace Pilot not available 10,000 TBD Total in Regulatory Process $78,838 1,551,800 2010 to 2022 Total Under Construction, Approved and In Regulatory Process $141,993 2,946,800 2007 to 2022

On Hold Canadian Natural Resources Ltd. Horizon Mine Project Phase 2 $1,080 6,000 to

15,000 TBD

Chevron Canada Ells River Project not available 100,000 TBD Enerplus Resources Fund Kirby Project Phase 1 $350 10,000 TBD

Fort Hills Energy L.P. Fort Hills Oil Sands Project $10,000 190,000 TBD OPTI Canada Inc./Nexen Inc. Long Lake South SAGD Project $2,790 140,000 TBD

Petrobank Energy and Resources Ltd. Whitesands Expansion not available 1,800 TBD

Suncor Energy Inc. MacKay River SAGD Expansion $1,000 40,000 TBD Suncor Energy Inc. North Steepbank Mine Extension $11,500 180,000 TBD Suncor Energy Inc. Voyageur South Mine Project $4,400 120,000 TBD Suncor Energy Inc. Voyageur Upgrader $11,600 n/a TBD

Total On Hold $42,720 787,800 to 796,800 TBD

n/a = Not applicable. TBD = To Be Determined. Note: This may not be a comprehensive list of all oil sands projects under construction, approved, under regulatory

review or on hold. Capital expenditures and production levels are estimates and based on publicly available information only.

Sources: Alberta Finance and Enterprise 2010; AENV 2010b, internet site; Derrick Petroleum Services 2010, internet site; Oil Sands Review 2010; OSDG 2010b, internet site; Strategy West Inc. 2010; Your Oil and Gas News 2010, internet site.

Dover Commercial Project - 9 - Appendix 6-4 Detailed Socio-Economic Statistical Tables December 2010 Table 11 Regional and Local Study Area Private Dwelling Characteristics,

2006 Dwelling Type RMWB(a) Fort McMurray Fort McKay Alberta

total private dwellings 2001 15,187 n/a 149 1,171,841 total private dwellings 2006 20,974 n/a 204 1,335,745 % change in private dwellings 2001 to 2006 38.1 n/a 36.9 14.0

total private dwellings occupied by usual residents 18,395 16,760 195 1,256,192

single detached houses(b) [%] 48.2 45.3 74.4 63.4 semi-detached houses(b) [%] 5.2 5.9 0.0 4.8 row houses(b) [%] 9.7 10.0 10.3 7.0 apartments, duplex(b) [%] 2.1 2.0 0.0 2.6 apartments in buildings with fewer than five storeys(b) [%] 18.4 20.5 0.0 14.7

apartments in buildings with five or more storeys(b) [%] 2.7 3.0 0.0 4.4

other dwellings(b) [%] 13.7 13.2 12.8 3.1 owned dwellings 13,060 12,045 20 917,905 rented dwellings 4,975 4,715 60 330,275 number of dwellings constructed before 1986 10,295 9,865 50 785,200

number of dwellings constructed between 1986 and 2006 8,095 6,890 145 470,995

(a) Corresponds to the Statistics Canada Regional Municipality Wood Buffalo Census Agglomeration which includes Fort McMurray, Fort McKay, other hamlets within the RMWB and IR populations.

(b) As a percent of total private dwellings occupied by usual residents. n/a = Not available. Source: Statistics Canada 2007.

Table 12 Core Need Income Thresholds 2007 to 2009

Community Year Bachelor [$]

1 Bedroom [$]

2 Bedroom [$]

3 Bedroom [$]

4 Bedroom [$]

5 Bedroom [$]

RMWB 2009 58,000 70,500 90,500 99,000 102,000 105,000 2008 54,000 65,000 76,500 88,500 91,500 94,500 2007 44,000 57,000 66,500 72,500 75,500 78,500

Fort McMurray 2009 58,000 70,500 90,500 99,000 102,000 105,000 2008 54,000 65,000 76,500 88,500 99,500 102,500 2007 44,000 57,000 66,500 72,500 75,500 78,500

Fort McKay 2009

n/a 85,000 90,000 97,000 100,500 104,000

2008 86,500 90,000 96,500 99,500 102,500 2007(a) 49,500 52,500 56,000 57,500 59,500

Edmonton 2009 29,500 35,500 43,500 54,000 59,000 62,000 2008 27,000 32,500 40,000 51,000 54,500 57,500 2007 23,500 26,500 33,500 45,500 50,500 53,500

(a) In 2007, Fort McKay was included in a list of remote northern communities including Fort Chipewyan, Peerless Lake, Trout Lake, Wabasca, Sandy Lake, Calling Lake, Chipewyan Lake, Grande Cache Co-ops, Conklin, Janvier, Cadotte Lake, Smith and Marlboro, Alberta.

n/a = Not available. Source: Alberta Municipal Affairs and Housing 2007b; 2008b; 2009.



Table 13 Average Apartment Rental Rates by Bedroom Type in the Regional Municipality of Wood Buffalo

Month and Year Average Apartment Rents by Bedroom Typed

[$] Bachelor 1 Bedroom 2 Bedroom 3 Bedroom + Total

October 2008 1,444 1,829 2,360 2,468 2,190 April 2009 1,431 1,895 2,165 2,501 2,088 October 2009 1,407 1,741 2,156 2,483 2,040 April 2010 1,397 1,706 2,060 2,410 1,968

Source: CMHC 2009a, 2010a.

Table 14 Housing Forecast – Resale Market in the Regional Municipality of Wood Buffalo

2008 2009 % Change 2008/2009

2010 (Forecast)

% Change 2009/2010

2011 (Forecast)

% Change 2010/2011

MLS® Sales 2,092 1,766 -15.6 2,000 13.3 2,300 15.0 MLS® Average Price 548,246 535,988 -2.2 560,000 4.5 585,000 4.5

MLS = Multiple Listing Service. Source: CMHC 2010b.

Table 15 Private Apartment Vacancy Rates by Bedroom Type in the Regional Municipality of Wood Buffalo

Month and Year Apartment Vacancy Rates by Bedroom Type

[%] Bachelor 1 Bedroom 2 Bedroom 3 Bedroom Total

October 2008 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.0 0.5 April 2009 4.8 5.3 7.7 8.2 6.9 October 2009 7.3 7.6 11.3 7.3 9.9 April 2010 12.5 14.4 13.3 7.3 13.2

Source: CMHC 2009a.

Table 16 Regional Municipality of Wood Buffalo Housing Forecast – New Construction

Housing Starts 2008 2009 % Change 2008/2009

2010 (Forecast)

% Change 2009/2010

2011 (Forecast)

% Change 20010/2011

Single-detached 681 474 -30.4 575 21.3 700 21.7

Multiple 811 614 -24.3 725 18.1 825 13.8

Total 1,492 1,080 -27.1 1,300 19.5 1,525 17.3

Source: CMHC 2010b.



Table 17 Housing Completions in the Regional Municipality of Wood Buffalo 2007 to 2010

Quarter and Year

Dwelling Type

Single-Detached Semi-Detached (Double)

Row (Townhouses)

Apartment and Other Total

Q1 2007 178 12 8 251 449 Q2 2007 187 0 77 367 631 Q3 2007 128 0 49 96 273 Q4 2007 126 0 34 25 185 Q1 2008 60 0 33 0 93 Q2 2008 63 0 36 544 643 Q3 2008 60 0 8 0 68 Q4 2008 281 6 101 85 473 Q1 2009 151 8 23 588 770 Q2 2009 426 20 46 25 517 Q3 2009 340 12 8 143 503 Q4 2009 92 20 0 0 112 Q1 2010 0 0 0 0 0 Q2 2010 112 8 28 25 173

Total 2,204 86 451 2,149 4,890

Sources: CMHC 2007a; 2007b; 2008a-d; 2009c-f; 2010c-f.

Table 18 Projected Housing Needs in the Regional Municipality of Wood Buffalo, 2013 to 2028

Year Population Forecast(a) Change in Population Housing Units Required(b)

2013 90,718 not applicable

2018 101,087 10,369 3,988

2023 118,218 17,131 6,589

2028 146,206 27,988 10,765

Total 55,488 21,342 (a) Includes projections for the total population of Fort McMurray, Anzac, Conklin, Draper, Fort Chipewyan, Fort

Fitzgerald, Fort McKay, Gregoire Lake Estates, Janvier, Mariana Lake, Saprae Creek, Hinterland and First Nations. The table does not include IR populations in the RSA or the projected project accommodation population.

(b) Based on the Alberta average household size of 2.6 (Statistics Canada 2007) Note that a housing unit differs from a dwelling unit is that one housing unit would be considered one single detached home or a single apartment, whereas an apartment building or row of townhouses is considered one dwelling unit. Source: RMWB 2010b.



Table 19 Annual Average Daily Traffic Volumes, Various Locations, Highway 63, 2000 to 2009

Highway Location 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Traffic Volume Change

2000 to 2009 [%]

63

south of AOSTRA Road 6,850 9,730 9,450 10,300 10,850 13,790 14,040 17,130 19,690 18,410 169

north of AOSTRA Road 6,560 9,240 8,980 9,780 10,310 13,100 13,930 16,870 19,390 18,130 176

south of Suncor Access Road n/a 18,130 n/a

north of Suncor Access Road n/a 12,760 n/a

west of Syncrude Access Road 5,050 5,310 5,160 5,620 5,930 7,540 8,730 11,100 12,760 12,260 143

east of Syncrude Access Road 1,830 3,530 3,420 3,730 3,940 5,020 5,890 7,660 8,810 8,470 363

south of Fort McKay 750 2,940 2,860 3,120 3,280 4,040 4,910 6,260 7,200 8,440 1,025

n/a = Not applicable. AOSTRA = Alberta Oil Sands Technology and Research Authority. Source: Alberta Transportation 2010.

Table 20 Collision Severity by Year, Highway 63, Fort McMurray to Fort McKay

Collision Severity

Collisions (#,%), Injuries (I) and Fatalities (F) 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Total

# % I F # % I F # % I F # % I F # % I F # % I F fatal 0 0 0 0 3 3 2 3 2 2 0 2 1 1 2 1 5 3 1 6 11 <1 5 12 injury 24 24 65 0 31 27 43 0 24 28 37 0 31 20 45 0 31 19 47 0 141 23 237 0 property damage 77 76 0 0 80 70 0 0 60 70 0 0 122 79 0 0 131 78 0 0 470 76 0 0

Total 101 100 65 0 114 100 45 3 86 100 37 2 154 100 47 1 167 100 48 6 622 100 242 12

Source: Alberta Office of Traffic Safety 2010, pers. comm.



Table A-21 Collision Severity by Month, Highway 63, Fort McMurray to Fort McKay

Month Collisions (#,%), Injuries (I) and Fatalities (F)

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Total # % I F # % I F # % I F # % I F # % I F # % I F

January 17 17 36 0 17 15 4 0 7 8 1 0 36 23 11 0 15 9 0 0 92 15 52 0 February 8 8 2 0 7 6 1 0 21 24 6 1 10 6 3 0 16 10 9 2 62 10 21 3 March 5 5 1 0 20 18 8 1 8 9 1 0 15 10 1 0 11 7 9 1 59 9 20 2 April 6 6 1 0 5 4 4 1 2 2 0 0 2 1 0 0 10 6 10 1 25 4 15 2 May 11 11 3 0 2 2 1 0 3 3 4 0 4 3 0 0 12 7 2 1 32 5 10 1 June 3 3 0 0 9 8 1 0 4 5 2 0 4 3 0 0 9 5 5 0 29 5 8 0 July 2 2 0 0 5 4 5 1 5 6 4 0 5 3 3 0 14 8 4 0 31 5 16 1 August 12 12 14 0 4 4 3 0 3 3 0 0 13 8 6 0 12 7 1 0 44 7 24 0 September 6 6 0 0 9 8 2 0 1 1 0 0 7 5 1 0 16 10 3 0 39 6 6 0 October 5 5 0 0 10 9 5 0 7 8 2 0 11 7 5 0 11 7 0 1 44 7 12 1 November 14 14 2 0 9 8 5 0 7 8 4 0 20 13 6 0 20 12 2 0 70 11 19 0 December 12 12 6 0 17 15 6 0 18 21 13 1 27 18 11 1 21 13 3 0 95 15 39 2 Total 101 100 65 0 114 100 45 3 86 100 37 2 154 100 47 1 167 100 48 6 622 100 242 12


Table A-22 Collision Type by Year, Highway 63, Fort McMurray to Fort McKay

Collision Type Collisions (#, %), Injuries(I) and Fatalities(F)

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Total # % I F # % I F # % I F # % I F # % I F # % I F

angle 6 6 7 0 4 4 4 0 3 3 8 0 6 4 6 0 11 7 7 1 30 5 32 1 head-on 0 0 0 0 5 4 4 2 2 2 0 2 3 2 4 1 7 4 4 3 17 3 12 8 rear-end 18 18 9 0 24 21 10 0 20 23 10 0 32 21 8 0 45 27 17 1 139 22 54 1 sideswipe 9 9 0 0 15 13 3 0 12 14 3 0 21 14 2 0 33 20 7 1 90 14 15 1 run-off-road only 9 9 5 0 6 5 2 0 7 8 0 0 15 10 1 0 11 7 0 0 48 8 8 0 run-off road and overturn 24 24 42 0 25 22 18 1 25 29 13 0 37 24 23 0 31 19 9 0 142 23 105 1 run-off road and strike fixed object 6 6 2 0 12 11 2 0 5 6 2 0 8 5 0 0 12 7 3 0 43 7 9 0 run-off road and strike fixed object and overturn 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 5 1 1 0

strike animal 24 24 0 0 6 5 1 0 7 8 0 0 22 14 3 0 13 8 0 0 72 12 4 0 other 4 4 0 0 17 15 1 0 3 3 0 0 9 6 0 0 3 2 1 0 36 6 2 0 Total 101 100 65 0 114 100 45 3 86 100 37 2 154 100 47 1 167 100 48 6 622 100 242 12


appendix 6-1 oil sands leases in the dover leases€¦ · dover operating corp. table 1 oil sands...

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