ap statistics section 6.3 a probability addition rules

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AP Statistics Section 6.3 A Probability Addition Rules

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AP Statistics Section 6.3 A Probability Addition Rules. Recall these rules of probability :. Consider the table at the right about Nobel Prize winners. If one winner is selected at random, find …. P(from the U.S.) = P(in medicine) = P (from the U.S. or in medicine) =. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: AP Statistics Section 6.3  A Probability Addition Rules

AP Statistics Section 6.3 A

Probability Addition Rules

Page 2: AP Statistics Section 6.3  A Probability Addition Rules

Recall these rules of probability:

0 1 1

P(B)P(A)

P(A)-1

P(B)P(A)

Page 3: AP Statistics Section 6.3  A Probability Addition Rules

Consider the table at the right about Nobel Prize winners. If one winner is selected at random, find….

P(from the U.S.) =

P(in medicine) =

P (from the U.S. or in medicine) =

366

215

122

45

366

135

366

135

366

215

183

130

366

260

366

90

Page 4: AP Statistics Section 6.3  A Probability Addition Rules

If events A and B are not disjoint, then they have some outcomes in

common.

Page 5: AP Statistics Section 6.3  A Probability Addition Rules

NEW and IMPROVED ADDITION RULE:

Note: If A and B are disjoint, then

and the Addition Rule above is obtained.

)()()( BAPBPAP

0

Page 6: AP Statistics Section 6.3  A Probability Addition Rules

We can use Venn diagrams to illustrate non-disjoint events.

Page 7: AP Statistics Section 6.3  A Probability Addition Rules

Example 1: The probability that Deborah is promoted, P(D) , is 0.7. The probability that Matthew is promoted,

P(M) , is 0.5. The probability that both Deborah and Matthew are promoted, P(D and M), is 0.3.

3.Deb

.4Matt

.2

Page 8: AP Statistics Section 6.3  A Probability Addition Rules

Find P(Deborah is promoted but Matthew is not)

4.

Page 9: AP Statistics Section 6.3  A Probability Addition Rules

Find P(that at least one of them is promoted)

Matt)or P(Deb

9.3.5.7.

Page 10: AP Statistics Section 6.3  A Probability Addition Rules

Find P(neither one is promoted)

1.9.1

Page 11: AP Statistics Section 6.3  A Probability Addition Rules

2.

Page 12: AP Statistics Section 6.3  A Probability Addition Rules

Example 2: Stephanie is graduating from college. Here are the probabilities for her obtaining three jobs.

Page 13: AP Statistics Section 6.3  A Probability Addition Rules

Example 2: Stephanie is graduating from college. Here are the probabilities for her obtaining three jobs.

A B

C

0

2.

05. 05.

35. 25.

1.

Page 14: AP Statistics Section 6.3  A Probability Addition Rules

(a) P(Stephanie is offered at least one of three jobs)

(b) P(Stephanie is offered jobs A and B but not C)

11.05.05.025.2.35.

2.