“csp market world-wide”...n cerro dominador plant (atacama 1): a 110 mw csp tower plant with...
TRANSCRIPT
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FraunhoferCenterforSolarEnergyTechnologies„CSET“
“CSPMarketWorld-wide”
Prof. Dr. Frank Dinter
Solar Thermal Seminar
2. April 2018
© Fraunhofer ISE
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CSP Market World-wide CSP Projects around the world
Updated November 2017
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CSP Market World-wide CSP Market today: „Capacity in MW“
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CSP Market World-wide CSP Market today: „Technology breakdown“
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CSP Market World-wide CSP Market today - an overview
6GWe Installed Capacity
80% Parabolic Trough
20% Tower
70% with storage
2 GWe
Tendered - Under
Construction
50% Parabolic Trough Tower
100% with storage
50%
China 1 GW - Morocco 0.7 GW
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n DEWAcall:73USD/MWhfora700MWCSPPlantinDubaiwithaparabolictrough+solartowerbyACWA
n Australia:SolarReservePPAat61USD/MWhforplanned150MWSolarTowerAuroraCSPplantatPortAugusta
n Chile:48USD/MWhwereofferedbySolarReserveforaSolarTowerCSPProjectinLikana
Source:Dr.ReinerBuck,clossingsessionSolarPACES2017
CSP Market World-wide Race of CSP price reached new records
© Fraunhofer ISE
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CSP Market World-wide today „Prices“
n CSPisgenerallyseenaslesscompeMMveonthebasisof$/MWh
n AggresivePPAbids,yethigherthanotherrenewablese.g.PV
n $/MWhproporMonaltosolarresource
n ItisnowbeingunderstoodthatitsvaluereliesonitsdispatchableaSribute.
n Thishasledtotech-specifictenderswithMme-of-usetariffs(hourly)
n ThismeansthattheopMmumdesignandoperaMonofeachplantisuniquetoeachtenderandlocaMon
48 $/MWh
Chile 2017
DNI: 3400 390 MW Tower
13h TES
73 $/MWh
UAE 2017
DNI: 2200 200MW Tower
8-10h TES
61 $/MWh
Australia 2017
DNI:2400 150 MW Tower
8h TES
Ø CSP costs are coming down seriously
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PTCandSTtotalinstalledcostreducKonpotenKalbysource,2015-2025
Source:IRENAandDLR,2016
CSP Market World-wide Future CSP Capital Cost Reductions
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CSP Market World wide LCOE Comparison of PV and CSP projects
Source: www.newenergyupdate.com
Image source: Fraunhofer ISE
Learning curve based predicKon of LCOE ofvarious solar technologies at locaKons withhighsolarirradiaKon
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CSP Market World wide LCOE Comparison of PV vs. CSP projects for 6 h storage
© NREL 2016 © NREL 2016
• Fora200$/kWhcombinedbaUeryandbaUeryBOScostsandincreasedlifeKme
• ForPVsystems(module+BOS)of1$/W
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CSP Market World-wide Some Capacity Announced and under Construction
DNI kWh/m2
Capacity Annouced (MW)
Capacity under Construction (MW)
Australia 2400 20 2
Chile 3300 1445 110
China 2000 4512 575
India 2100 50 25
Israel 2500 - 231
Morocco 2400 - 150
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CSP Market World-wide Some Projects running in the world (without China)
Technology ProjectName Country Status PCODCapacity(MW)
Parabolictrough Noor1 Morocco OperaMonal 2016 160
Parabolictrough Noor2 Morocco OperaMonal late2017 200
Parabolictrough Bokpoort SouthAfrica OperaMonal 2016 50
Parabolictrough DEWA UAEUnder
development 2020 2x300
Parabolictrough XinaSolarOne SouthAfrica OperaMonal 2016 100
Parabolictrough Ashalim IsraelUnder
ConstrucMon late2017 110
Tower Noor3 MoroccoUnder
ConstrucMon early2018 150
Tower Redstone SouthAfricaUnder
development 2018 100
Tower DEWA UAEUnder
development 2020 100
Tower CerroDominador ChileUnder
ConstrucMon 2019 110
Tower Aurora AustraliaUnder
development 2020 150
Tower Ashalim IsraelUnder
construcMon early2018 121
TowerAalborgCSP-Brønderslev Denmark OperaMonal 2016 16.6
Source: https://www.nrel.gov/csp/solarpaces/by_status.cfm
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CSP Market World-wide Some Projects in China
Technology ProjectName Status PCOD Capacity(MW)
Parabolictrough CGNDelinghaUnder
construcMon June2018 50
Parabolictrough CNNCRoyalTechUnder
construcMon End2018 100
Parabolictrough JinfanAkesaiUnder
development End2018 50
Parabolictrough RayspowerYumenUnder
construcMon - 50
Parabolictrough RoyalTechYumenUnder
development End2018 50
Parabolictrough ShouhangDunhuangUnder
construcMon August2018 100
Tower CPECCHamiUnder
development June2019 50
Tower PowerChinaGongheUnder
construcMon End2018 50
Tower SupconDelinghaUnder
construcMon End2018 50
Tower YumenXinnengUnder
construcMon End2018 50
Source: www.helioscsp.com; www.nrel.gov
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n Location: Spain with an annual DNI of 2 100 kWh/m2a
n Heat transfer fluid (HTF): Molten salt
n Storage: 2-tank system (hot and cold) for molten salt
n World Record in 2013: 36 consecutive days of continuous 24 h production
GemaSolar the first commercial solar tower 20 MW and storage for up to 15 h
CSP Market World-wide SPAIN - Gemasolar CSP Plant
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• 1. loop (solar): charging the storage system with 565°C HTF
• 2. loop (heat to steam generator): discharging the storage for steam generation -instead of fossil fired boiler in a conventional power plant
Solar tower with molten salt
CSP Market World-wide SPAIN - Gemasolar CSP Plant
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CSP Market World-wide SPAIN - Gemasolar CSP Plant – additional data
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CSP Market World-wide CHILEn CerroDominadorplant(Atacama1):A110MWCSPtowerplantwith17.5hoursof
moltensaltstorage,togetherwith100MWPVProject.
n LocaKon:AtacamaDessert
n PPAof$114/MWh
n Statusoftheplant:under-construcMon.
n Predicteddatetobefinished:2019
n FirstSolarTowerinChile
Image source: cerrodominador.com
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3ProjectsofSolarReservereadytobuild(underdevelopment),waiMngforPPA
n Copiapó:260MWCSPtowertechnologywithMoltenSaltThermalEnergyStorageof13h.Startyear:2019
n Likana:WorldBidrecordofUSD48/MWhfor390MWtowerCSPprojectwith13hofmoltensaltsofferedbySolarReservein2017fordispatchable24-hour.Startyear:2021
n Tamarugal:450MWtowerplant+13hofmoltensaltstorage.Startyear:2021
CSP Market World-wide CHILE
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CSP Market World-wide MOROCCOn Aim:42%installedcapacitycomingfromrenewablesfor2020
n NOORIbyACWA:
n 160MWParabolictroughplant+3hofTES
n Status:inoperaMonsince2016
Imagesource:hSps://www.npr.org
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CSP Market World-wide MOROCCO
Noor 1 Noor 2 Noor 3 Image Source: SENER
NOORIIbyACWA:n 200MWParabolictroughplant+6hofTESn Status:underconstrucMon,expectedgridconnecMon:early2018
NOORIIIbyACWA:n 150MWwith250mTowerplant+7.5hofTESn Status:underconstrucMon,expectedgridconnecMon:2018
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CSP Market World-wide UAE - United Arabic Emirates
DEWA(DubaiElectricityandWaterAuthority)CSPplants(700MWproject):
n 1Projectof100MWTowerCSPplant+15hofstorage
n 3ParabolicTroughProjectsof200MW(600MW)+10hofstorage.
n Status:underdevelopment
n Bid:USD73/MWhinSeptember2017byACWA
n SaudiArabiawilltender3.25GWofsolarpowerProjectsin2018(bothPVandCSP)
Source:www.helioscsp.com;www.newenergyupdate.com
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CSP Market World-wide CHINA – Some CSP projects CGNDelingha50MWParabolicTroughProjectn ExpectedtobethefirstcomercialParabolictroughProjectinChinan ExpectedconnecMontothegrid:middle2018CNNCRoyalTechUrad100MWParabolicTroughProjectn UnderconstrucMon,expectedconnecMontothegrid:end2018CPECCHami50MWMoltenSaltTowerProjectn UnderconstrucMon,expectedconnecMontothegrid:2019
Source:www.helioscsp.comCGNDelinghaPlant
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CSP Market World-wide CHINA – Some CSP projects
JinfanAkesai50MWMoltenSaltParabolicTroughProject
n Underdevelopment,expectedgridconnecMongrid:end2018
PowerChinaGonghe50MWMoltenSaltTowerProject
n BiddingsforconstrucMonhasbeenopened,expectedgridconnecMon:end2018
DNIMapofChina
Source:www.helioscsp.com;Imagesource:SolarGus
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Window 1 (150 MW)
Khi – 50 MW tower - Abengoa Kaxu – 100 MW trough - Abengoa
Window 2 (50 MW) Bokpoort – 50 MW trough - ACWA
Window 3 (200 MW) Xina – 100 MW trough - Abengoa Ilangalethu 1 – 100 MW trough - Emvelo
Window 3.5 (200 MW)
Redstone – 100 MW tower – ACWA+Solar Reserve
Window 4.5 (450 MW): All waiting for response from government !
Kathu – 100 MW trough - Engie
CSP Market World-wide SOUTH AFRICA
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Kaxu: 1st CSP plant operating since 2015
> Owners: Abengoa Solar and IDC > Location: Pofadder, South Africa > Technologie: Parabolic trough > Power: 100 MWe
> Commission date: April 2015 > 2.5 h storage
CSP Market World-wide SOUTH AFRICA
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Khi operating since beginning of 2016
> Owners: Abengoa Solar and IDC > Location: Upington, South Africa > Technologie: Solar power tower > Power: 50 MWe
> Commission date: Begin 2016 > 24h production possible with 2.5 h storage
140 m2 heliostats
CSP Market World-wide SOUTH AFRICA
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> Owners: ACWA Power > Location: Groblershop, South Africa > Technologie: Parabolic trough > Power: 50 MWe > 9.3 hour storage system > Commission date: Begin of 2016 > 14 consecutive days of power production
Bokpoort
CSP Market World-wide SOUTH AFRICA
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XinaSolarOne:100MWParabolicTroughProjectwith5.5hofstorage
n 8.2mwidetrough
n Status:operaMonalsince2017
n Developers:AbengoaSolar
CSP Market World-wide SOUTH AFRICA
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CSP Market World-wide AUSTRALIA
AuroraCSPplantnearPortAugusta:150MWtowerCSPprojectincorporaMng8hoursofmoltensaltsstorage(1100MWhofTEScapacity).
n IsaworldrecordlowpriceforCSP:betweenUSD$60and$61perMWh.SolarReservehasbrokenasolarpricerecordwithits20-yearcontract(Augusta)tosupplytheSouthAustraliangovernmentwithdispatchablesolar
n ProjectStatus:GeneraMonProjectAgreement(GPA)withtheStateGovernmentofSouthAustraliasignedAugust14,2017.
n ProjectpermiSedinOctober2017n Finalapprovalexpectedinthefirsthal
of2018n ConstrucMonwillstartanerapprovaln Commisioningexpectedin2020
Source:www.helioscsp.com
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CSP Market World-wide DENMARKAalborgCSP-BrønderslevwithORCproject
n 16.6MWparabolictroughplantwithoutTES
n Solarfieldinletandouttemperatatures:252/312°C
n ProducMonofbothheatandelectricitywithanOrganicRankineCycle
Source:www.nrel.gov;Imagesource:www.aalborgcsp.com
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CSP Market World-wide ISRAEL
AshalimCSPPlantinNegevDesert-231MWProjectdividedin:
n 110MWParabolicTroughProject+4.5hofMSTES.
n Status:underdevelopment
n Developers:NegevEnergyLtd(AbengoaandShikun&Binui)n StartofcommercialoperaMon:2018
n 121MWTowerProjects(withoutTES)highesttower(250m)unMlnowintheworld
n Status:underconstrucMon;n Developers:MegalimSolarPowerLtd
n StartofcommercialoperaMon:early2018
Source:helioscsp.com
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CSP Market World-wide ISRAEL - Images of Ashalim CSP Plant
Source:hSp://www.brightsourceenergy.com/
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n DSPplantusesconvenMonalMSTowerTechnology
n DSPstudiedforspecificcasesinUSAwithsucessfulresultsn DSPplantisaCSPPeakerPlantwithflexibleoperaMonn IthasonlylowsolarmulKple
Source:HankPrice–SolarDynamicsLLC
CSP Market Word-wide New concept of CSP operability: Dispachable Solar Power (DSP) plant
© Fraunhofer ISE
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CSP Market Word-wide New concept of CSP operability: Dispachable Solar Power (DSP) plant
n FutureElectricityMarketsneedflexiblerenewablepeakingcapacity
n Molten-salttechnologycanbeusedas“dispatchablesolarpower”plants
n Areliablesourceofcapacityn FlexibleoperaMonpossiblealsoasapeakern CompeKKvewithnewfossilpowerplants
n Differentregionswillhavedifferentneeds:n PeakerCSPplantsmaymakesenseinsomeregions
n BaseloadCSPplantswillconMnuetomakesenseinotherregions
n Someregionswillneedboth
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CSP Market Word-wide Conclusions n CSPpricesofferedinaucMonshavedecreasedconsiderably
belowUSD50/MWhinChile
n SolarTowerTechnologyiscatchingupn HighlightedcountrieswithongoingCSPprojects:Chile,
Morocco,Australia,UAE,SouthAfricaandChina
n ChinaseemstobecomethecountrywithmostCSPcapacityinstalledintheworld
Ø CSPisthefutureoflargescaleelectricityproducKon!
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For a Solar Future of Chile Contact: Prof. Dr. Frank Dinter Executive Director [email protected] Fraunhofer Chile Research Center for Solar Energy Technology www.fraunhofer.cl