“csp market world-wide”...n cerro dominador plant (atacama 1): a 110 mw csp tower plant with...

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1 Fraunhofer Center for Solar Energy Technologies „CSET“ “CSP Market World-wide” Prof. Dr. Frank Dinter Solar Thermal Seminar 2. April 2018

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Page 1: “CSP Market World-wide”...n Cerro Dominador plant (Atacama 1): A 110 MW CSP tower plant with 17.5 hours of molten salt storage, together with 100 MW PV Project. n LocaKon: Atacama

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FraunhoferCenterforSolarEnergyTechnologies„CSET“

“CSPMarketWorld-wide”

Prof. Dr. Frank Dinter

Solar Thermal Seminar

2. April 2018

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CSP Market World-wide CSP Projects around the world

Updated November 2017

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CSP Market World-wide CSP Market today: „Capacity in MW“

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CSP Market World-wide CSP Market today: „Technology breakdown“

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CSP Market World-wide CSP Market today - an overview

6GWe Installed Capacity

80% Parabolic Trough

20% Tower

70% with storage

2 GWe

Tendered - Under

Construction

50% Parabolic Trough Tower

100% with storage

50%

China 1 GW - Morocco 0.7 GW

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n  DEWAcall:73USD/MWhfora700MWCSPPlantinDubaiwithaparabolictrough+solartowerbyACWA

n  Australia:SolarReservePPAat61USD/MWhforplanned150MWSolarTowerAuroraCSPplantatPortAugusta

n  Chile:48USD/MWhwereofferedbySolarReserveforaSolarTowerCSPProjectinLikana

Source:Dr.ReinerBuck,clossingsessionSolarPACES2017

CSP Market World-wide Race of CSP price reached new records

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CSP Market World-wide today „Prices“

n  CSPisgenerallyseenaslesscompeMMveonthebasisof$/MWh

n  AggresivePPAbids,yethigherthanotherrenewablese.g.PV

n  $/MWhproporMonaltosolarresource

n  ItisnowbeingunderstoodthatitsvaluereliesonitsdispatchableaSribute.

n  Thishasledtotech-specifictenderswithMme-of-usetariffs(hourly)

n  ThismeansthattheopMmumdesignandoperaMonofeachplantisuniquetoeachtenderandlocaMon

48 $/MWh

Chile 2017

DNI: 3400 390 MW Tower

13h TES

73 $/MWh

UAE 2017

DNI: 2200 200MW Tower

8-10h TES

61 $/MWh

Australia 2017

DNI:2400 150 MW Tower

8h TES

Ø  CSP costs are coming down seriously

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PTCandSTtotalinstalledcostreducKonpotenKalbysource,2015-2025

Source:IRENAandDLR,2016

CSP Market World-wide Future CSP Capital Cost Reductions

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CSP Market World wide LCOE Comparison of PV and CSP projects

Source: www.newenergyupdate.com

Image source: Fraunhofer ISE

Learning curve based predicKon of LCOE ofvarious solar technologies at locaKons withhighsolarirradiaKon

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CSP Market World wide LCOE Comparison of PV vs. CSP projects for 6 h storage

© NREL 2016 © NREL 2016

•  Fora200$/kWhcombinedbaUeryandbaUeryBOScostsandincreasedlifeKme

•  ForPVsystems(module+BOS)of1$/W

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CSP Market World-wide Some Capacity Announced and under Construction

DNI kWh/m2

Capacity Annouced (MW)

Capacity under Construction (MW)

Australia 2400 20 2

Chile 3300 1445 110

China 2000 4512 575

India 2100 50 25

Israel 2500 - 231

Morocco 2400 - 150

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CSP Market World-wide Some Projects running in the world (without China)

Technology ProjectName Country Status PCODCapacity(MW)

Parabolictrough Noor1 Morocco OperaMonal 2016 160

Parabolictrough Noor2 Morocco OperaMonal late2017 200

Parabolictrough Bokpoort SouthAfrica OperaMonal 2016 50

Parabolictrough DEWA UAEUnder

development 2020 2x300

Parabolictrough XinaSolarOne SouthAfrica OperaMonal 2016 100

Parabolictrough Ashalim IsraelUnder

ConstrucMon late2017 110

Tower Noor3 MoroccoUnder

ConstrucMon early2018 150

Tower Redstone SouthAfricaUnder

development 2018 100

Tower DEWA UAEUnder

development 2020 100

Tower CerroDominador ChileUnder

ConstrucMon 2019 110

Tower Aurora AustraliaUnder

development 2020 150

Tower Ashalim IsraelUnder

construcMon early2018 121

TowerAalborgCSP-Brønderslev Denmark OperaMonal 2016 16.6

Source: https://www.nrel.gov/csp/solarpaces/by_status.cfm

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CSP Market World-wide Some Projects in China

Technology ProjectName Status PCOD Capacity(MW)

Parabolictrough CGNDelinghaUnder

construcMon June2018 50

Parabolictrough CNNCRoyalTechUnder

construcMon End2018 100

Parabolictrough JinfanAkesaiUnder

development End2018 50

Parabolictrough RayspowerYumenUnder

construcMon - 50

Parabolictrough RoyalTechYumenUnder

development End2018 50

Parabolictrough ShouhangDunhuangUnder

construcMon August2018 100

Tower CPECCHamiUnder

development June2019 50

Tower PowerChinaGongheUnder

construcMon End2018 50

Tower SupconDelinghaUnder

construcMon End2018 50

Tower YumenXinnengUnder

construcMon End2018 50

Source: www.helioscsp.com; www.nrel.gov

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n  Location: Spain with an annual DNI of 2 100 kWh/m2a

n  Heat transfer fluid (HTF): Molten salt

n  Storage: 2-tank system (hot and cold) for molten salt

n  World Record in 2013: 36 consecutive days of continuous 24 h production

GemaSolar the first commercial solar tower 20 MW and storage for up to 15 h

CSP Market World-wide SPAIN - Gemasolar CSP Plant

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•  1. loop (solar): charging the storage system with 565°C HTF

•  2. loop (heat to steam generator): discharging the storage for steam generation -instead of fossil fired boiler in a conventional power plant

Solar tower with molten salt

CSP Market World-wide SPAIN - Gemasolar CSP Plant

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CSP Market World-wide SPAIN - Gemasolar CSP Plant – additional data

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CSP Market World-wide CHILEn  CerroDominadorplant(Atacama1):A110MWCSPtowerplantwith17.5hoursof

moltensaltstorage,togetherwith100MWPVProject.

n  LocaKon:AtacamaDessert

n  PPAof$114/MWh

n  Statusoftheplant:under-construcMon.

n  Predicteddatetobefinished:2019

n  FirstSolarTowerinChile

Image source: cerrodominador.com

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3ProjectsofSolarReservereadytobuild(underdevelopment),waiMngforPPA

n  Copiapó:260MWCSPtowertechnologywithMoltenSaltThermalEnergyStorageof13h.Startyear:2019

n  Likana:WorldBidrecordofUSD48/MWhfor390MWtowerCSPprojectwith13hofmoltensaltsofferedbySolarReservein2017fordispatchable24-hour.Startyear:2021

n  Tamarugal:450MWtowerplant+13hofmoltensaltstorage.Startyear:2021

CSP Market World-wide CHILE

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CSP Market World-wide MOROCCOn  Aim:42%installedcapacitycomingfromrenewablesfor2020

n  NOORIbyACWA:

n  160MWParabolictroughplant+3hofTES

n  Status:inoperaMonsince2016

Imagesource:hSps://www.npr.org

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CSP Market World-wide MOROCCO

Noor 1 Noor 2 Noor 3 Image Source: SENER

NOORIIbyACWA:n  200MWParabolictroughplant+6hofTESn  Status:underconstrucMon,expectedgridconnecMon:early2018

NOORIIIbyACWA:n  150MWwith250mTowerplant+7.5hofTESn  Status:underconstrucMon,expectedgridconnecMon:2018

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CSP Market World-wide UAE - United Arabic Emirates

DEWA(DubaiElectricityandWaterAuthority)CSPplants(700MWproject):

n  1Projectof100MWTowerCSPplant+15hofstorage

n  3ParabolicTroughProjectsof200MW(600MW)+10hofstorage.

n  Status:underdevelopment

n  Bid:USD73/MWhinSeptember2017byACWA

n  SaudiArabiawilltender3.25GWofsolarpowerProjectsin2018(bothPVandCSP)

Source:www.helioscsp.com;www.newenergyupdate.com

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CSP Market World-wide CHINA – Some CSP projects CGNDelingha50MWParabolicTroughProjectn  ExpectedtobethefirstcomercialParabolictroughProjectinChinan  ExpectedconnecMontothegrid:middle2018CNNCRoyalTechUrad100MWParabolicTroughProjectn  UnderconstrucMon,expectedconnecMontothegrid:end2018CPECCHami50MWMoltenSaltTowerProjectn  UnderconstrucMon,expectedconnecMontothegrid:2019

Source:www.helioscsp.comCGNDelinghaPlant

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CSP Market World-wide CHINA – Some CSP projects

JinfanAkesai50MWMoltenSaltParabolicTroughProject

n  Underdevelopment,expectedgridconnecMongrid:end2018

PowerChinaGonghe50MWMoltenSaltTowerProject

n  BiddingsforconstrucMonhasbeenopened,expectedgridconnecMon:end2018

DNIMapofChina

Source:www.helioscsp.com;Imagesource:SolarGus

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Window 1 (150 MW)

Khi – 50 MW tower - Abengoa Kaxu – 100 MW trough - Abengoa

Window 2 (50 MW) Bokpoort – 50 MW trough - ACWA

Window 3 (200 MW) Xina – 100 MW trough - Abengoa Ilangalethu 1 – 100 MW trough - Emvelo

Window 3.5 (200 MW)

Redstone – 100 MW tower – ACWA+Solar Reserve

Window 4.5 (450 MW): All waiting for response from government !

Kathu – 100 MW trough - Engie

CSP Market World-wide SOUTH AFRICA

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Kaxu: 1st CSP plant operating since 2015

> Owners: Abengoa Solar and IDC > Location: Pofadder, South Africa > Technologie: Parabolic trough > Power: 100 MWe

> Commission date: April 2015 > 2.5 h storage

CSP Market World-wide SOUTH AFRICA

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Khi operating since beginning of 2016

> Owners: Abengoa Solar and IDC > Location: Upington, South Africa > Technologie: Solar power tower > Power: 50 MWe

> Commission date: Begin 2016 > 24h production possible with 2.5 h storage

140 m2 heliostats

CSP Market World-wide SOUTH AFRICA

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> Owners: ACWA Power > Location: Groblershop, South Africa > Technologie: Parabolic trough > Power: 50 MWe > 9.3 hour storage system > Commission date: Begin of 2016 > 14 consecutive days of power production

Bokpoort

CSP Market World-wide SOUTH AFRICA

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XinaSolarOne:100MWParabolicTroughProjectwith5.5hofstorage

n  8.2mwidetrough

n  Status:operaMonalsince2017

n  Developers:AbengoaSolar

CSP Market World-wide SOUTH AFRICA

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CSP Market World-wide AUSTRALIA

AuroraCSPplantnearPortAugusta:150MWtowerCSPprojectincorporaMng8hoursofmoltensaltsstorage(1100MWhofTEScapacity).

n  IsaworldrecordlowpriceforCSP:betweenUSD$60and$61perMWh.SolarReservehasbrokenasolarpricerecordwithits20-yearcontract(Augusta)tosupplytheSouthAustraliangovernmentwithdispatchablesolar

n  ProjectStatus:GeneraMonProjectAgreement(GPA)withtheStateGovernmentofSouthAustraliasignedAugust14,2017.

n  ProjectpermiSedinOctober2017n  Finalapprovalexpectedinthefirsthal

of2018n  ConstrucMonwillstartanerapprovaln  Commisioningexpectedin2020

Source:www.helioscsp.com

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CSP Market World-wide DENMARKAalborgCSP-BrønderslevwithORCproject

n  16.6MWparabolictroughplantwithoutTES

n  Solarfieldinletandouttemperatatures:252/312°C

n  ProducMonofbothheatandelectricitywithanOrganicRankineCycle

Source:www.nrel.gov;Imagesource:www.aalborgcsp.com

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CSP Market World-wide ISRAEL

AshalimCSPPlantinNegevDesert-231MWProjectdividedin:

n  110MWParabolicTroughProject+4.5hofMSTES.

n  Status:underdevelopment

n  Developers:NegevEnergyLtd(AbengoaandShikun&Binui)n  StartofcommercialoperaMon:2018

n  121MWTowerProjects(withoutTES)highesttower(250m)unMlnowintheworld

n  Status:underconstrucMon;n  Developers:MegalimSolarPowerLtd

n  StartofcommercialoperaMon:early2018

Source:helioscsp.com

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CSP Market World-wide ISRAEL - Images of Ashalim CSP Plant

Source:hSp://www.brightsourceenergy.com/

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n  DSPplantusesconvenMonalMSTowerTechnology

n  DSPstudiedforspecificcasesinUSAwithsucessfulresultsn  DSPplantisaCSPPeakerPlantwithflexibleoperaMonn  IthasonlylowsolarmulKple

Source:HankPrice–SolarDynamicsLLC

CSP Market Word-wide New concept of CSP operability: Dispachable Solar Power (DSP) plant

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34 Source: Hank Price - SolarDynamics

CSP Market Word-wide New concept of CSP operability: Dispachable Solar Power (DSP) plant

n  FutureElectricityMarketsneedflexiblerenewablepeakingcapacity

n  Molten-salttechnologycanbeusedas“dispatchablesolarpower”plants

n  Areliablesourceofcapacityn  FlexibleoperaMonpossiblealsoasapeakern  CompeKKvewithnewfossilpowerplants

n  Differentregionswillhavedifferentneeds:n  PeakerCSPplantsmaymakesenseinsomeregions

n  BaseloadCSPplantswillconMnuetomakesenseinotherregions

n  Someregionswillneedboth

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CSP Market Word-wide Conclusions n  CSPpricesofferedinaucMonshavedecreasedconsiderably

belowUSD50/MWhinChile

n  SolarTowerTechnologyiscatchingupn  HighlightedcountrieswithongoingCSPprojects:Chile,

Morocco,Australia,UAE,SouthAfricaandChina

n  ChinaseemstobecomethecountrywithmostCSPcapacityinstalledintheworld

Ø CSPisthefutureoflargescaleelectricityproducKon!

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For a Solar Future of Chile Contact: Prof. Dr. Frank Dinter Executive Director [email protected] Fraunhofer Chile Research Center for Solar Energy Technology www.fraunhofer.cl