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Antecedents of turnover intention : testing a conceptual model in the context of professionals in India Abstract In this study, various antecedents of turnover intention have been studied to assess their effect. In this study (n= 301) ,a conceptual model of turnover intentions was tested using structural equation modeling (SEM), consisting of independent, moderating and mediating variables in the context of professionals in manufacturing and services sector in India. The conceptual model tested composed of independent variables (Job Person Fit, Job Stability, Perceived Organizational Support, Psychological Contract and Satisfaction with Pay and Promotion), mediating variables (Job Satisfaction, Organizational Commitment and Job Embeddedness) and moderating variable (Perceived Availability of Jobs); The dependent variable was (Turnover Intention). Among the variables tested Job Satisfaction was found significant in its effect on turnover intention. Perceived availability of jobs moderated the effect of job related and organization related variables on turnover intention. The results of this research could be used by organizations to suitably modify their HR policies and programs which in turn will help in retaining professionals, high potentials and those possessing critical skills which will reduce their human capital costs, thus providing them with a competitive advantage in the marketplace. Article citation: Singh Archana, Azmi F.T., Singh Ganesh, (2017), Antecedents of turnover intention: testing a conceptual model in the context of professionals in India, The Sankalpa: International Journal of Management Decisions, Vol.2, Issues 1 & 2, pp 23-54, ISSN 2454:7425 Archana Singh* Aligarh Muslim University, Aligarh, India Feza Tabassum Azmi Aligarh Muslim University, Aligarh, India Ganesh Singh Centre for Management Education All India Management Association, New Delhi, India *Corresponding author, [email protected] Article History Received: 15 January 2017 Revised: 7 March 2017 Accepted: 8 March 2017 Keywords SEM - Model testing Mediating & moderating variables Professionals Turnover intention Manufacturing and services sector

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Page 1: Antecedents of turnover intention - The Sankalpa article.pdf · 24 | The Sankalpa: International Journal of Management Decisions, Vol.2, Issues 1 & 2 1. Introduction Across the world,

Antecedents of turnover intention : testing a conceptualmodel in the context of professionals in India

AbstractIn this study, various antecedents of turnover intentionhave been studied to assess their effect. In this study (n=301) ,a conceptual model of turnover intentions wastested using structural equation modeling (SEM),consisting of independent, moderating and mediatingvariables in the context of professionals inmanufacturing and services sector in India. Theconceptual model tested composed of independentvariables (Job Person Fit, Job Stability, PerceivedOrganizational Support, Psychological Contract andSatisfaction with Pay and Promotion), mediatingvariables (Job Satisfaction, Organizational Commitmentand Job Embeddedness) and moderating variable(Perceived Availability of Jobs); The dependent variablewas (Turnover Intention). Among the variables testedJob Satisfaction was found significant in its effect onturnover intention. Perceived availability of jobsmoderated the effect of job related and organizationrelated variables on turnover intention. The results ofthis research could be used by organizations to suitablymodify their HR policies and programs which in turnwill help in retaining professionals, high potentials andthose possessing critical skills which will reduce theirhuman capital costs, thus providing them with acompetitive advantage in the marketplace.

Article citation: Singh Archana, Azmi F.T., Singh Ganesh,(2017), Antecedents of turnover intention: testing aconceptual model in the context of professionals in India,The Sankalpa: International Journal of ManagementDecisions, Vol.2, Issues 1 & 2, pp 23-54, ISSN 2454:7425

Archana Singh*Aligarh Muslim University, Aligarh, India

Feza Tabassum AzmiAligarh Muslim University, Aligarh, India

Ganesh SinghCentre for Management Education

All India Management Association, New Delhi, India

*Corresponding author, [email protected]

Article HistoryReceived: 15 January 2017Revised: 7 March 2017Accepted: 8 March 2017

KeywordsSEM - Model testingMediating & moderating variablesProfessionalsTurnover intentionManufacturing and services sector

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1. Introduction

Across the world, there is extensive scholarly research and organizational interestin employee turnover as it affects areas like human resource management, laboureconomics, knowledge management and others. The costs associated withrecruiting, selecting and training new employees often exceed one hundred percentof the annual salary of the position being filled (Casio, 2006). Turnover affectscompetitive advantage, customer satisfaction levels, creates critical skill shortagesand is associated with tangible and intangible costs and has a negative influenceupon organizational effectiveness (Khatri et al., 2001; Lingard, 2003).

Many organizations are increasingly concerned about their ability to retainkey employees (e.g. high performers and employees with high demand or difficultto replace skill sets). These concerns may also have broader critical implicationsfor organizational competitiveness in the global landscape and their ability toaddress social and demographic trends such as millennials or diverse workforce.

Employees constitute the most significant resource for an organization tosustain long-term competitive advantage (Huselid, Jackson, & Schuler, 1997).Organizations that attract, develop and retain top talent will thrive while thosethat do not will struggle to remain competitive (Holtom et al., 2005). Employeeturnover is, thus, a crucial issue for business organizations.

The purpose of this study is to test a conceptual model comprising of jobrelated and organization related variables in the context of professionals in India.In this study two of the major sectors in India comprising of manufacturing andservices have been considered. The dependent variable of this study is TurnoverIntention, it’s a behaviour which is predictor of actual turnover. Turnover intentionis a leading indicator of turnover, while actual turnover is a lagging indicatorand thus studying this behaviour could provide insights to organizations whichare struggling to retain their human capital and curtail costs.

2. Literature Review

2.1 Turnover and Turnover Intention

Employee turnover has attracted significant research in organizational behavior(Hom and Griffeth 1991; Price, 2001). Employee turnover is defined by Mobley(1982) as the termination process of all material income from the organisation.This definition does not include the transfer of existing staff within theorganization. The termination of contract and stoppage of all pay and benefits is

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a must to be treated as turnover. Understanding the factors that influence turnovergives organizations the opportunity to reduce selection and training costs, increaseemployee morale and customer satisfaction and enhance organizationalproductivity.

Turnover intention is the behavior that precedes turnover. Firth et al., (2004)define it as the thought process of an individual who may be thinking aboutquitting a job. This idea suggests that intentions are more likely to result in turnoverif the right conditions exist or if the adverse conditions that warrant the thoughtof quitting persist (Ajzen and Fishbein, 1980). It refers to the job-searching behaviorof an individual used for finding other job opportunities.

Shore and Martin (1989) found a strong relationship between intention andreal turnover. As data about actual voluntary turnover is not often available or,not correctly provided by organizations, the concept frequently used is that ofturnover intent. Turnover intent or intent to quit is, thus, used as a proxy innumerous studies that have examined antecedent factors that influence turnover(Allen, 1999; Price, 1977). “The intention to leave” is considered as the bestpredictor of turnover (Igbaria & Greenhaus, 1992). Researchers have justified therationale for studying voluntary turnover intentions rather than actual turnoverrates. Steel and Ovalle (1984) suggested that turnover intent was more predictiveof actual turnover than satisfaction or commitment. They stressed that furtherresearch is needed to understand the relationship between turnover intentionand other variables.

2.2 Turnover among Professionals

Per the Oxford Dictionary, a professional is a person formally certified by aprofessional body, belonging to a specific profession by having completed a requiredcourse of studies and/or practice and whose competence can usually be measuredagainst an established set of standards. Professionals need to undergo specifiedstandards of education and training that prepare them to become members of aprofession. In addition, most professionals are subject to strict codes of conductenshrining rigorous ethical and moral obligations required and maintained byprofessional associations.

Professionals enjoy a high social status, regard and esteem conferred uponthem by society. All professions equip people with technical, specialized and highlyskilled work often referred to as professional expertise. An examination of theantecedents of turnover intentions of professionals employed in well-structuredcommercial organizations deserves an in-depth study because their voluntary

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turnover carries a cost and reduces the sum-total of organizational knowledge,competence and critical relationships.

2.3 The Indian Context

India’s economy has become the world’s fastest-growing economy from 2014replacing China. India also topped World Bank’s growth outlook for 2015-16with the rate of GDP growth clocked at 7.6% (World Bank, 2016). India offersseveral unique features that are very attractive to multinational organizations- ahighly skilled and educated workforce, a rapidly growing middle class and anEnglish-speaking populace (Varma, et al., 2005), having world’s youngestpopulation with median age 24 years (Census of India 2011).

Two major sectors of Indian economy are considered in this study-manufacturing sector and the services sector. These sectors have different internalsystems, operating environment and business models. Significant variations existbetween these two sectors in terms of organization structure, organization cultureand human-resource practices.

Manufacturing sector contributes about 15% of India’s GDP and 50% ofthe country’s exports. In India, the growth rate of services has overtaken both theagriculture and manufacturing sector and contributes to over 50% of the GDPpresently. Per the National Association of Software and ServicesCompanies (NASSCOM), India, the major cities that account for service sector’sexports are Bangalore, Hyderabad, Chennai, Noida, Mumbai and Pune.

Turnover rates have been high in several of the key sectors of the Indianeconomy leading to discussions about which could be the best retention strategiesto counter the high labour turnover. Indian organizations are challenged when itcomes to hiring and retaining talent as well as talent loss. Currently, a lot ofresearch is being done in Indian universities and management institutions toexplore the phenomenon of employee turnover in various contexts. However,there have been quite a few studies on employee turnover in IT and BPO (Budhwarand Sparrow 2002; Gaan, 2011; James and Mathew, 2012), insurance sector (Rainaand Roebuck, 2016), retail sector (Rathi and Lee, 2015) amongst others.

3. Research Gaps and Rationale for the Study

Despite the numerous research studies conducted, turnover among professionalsremains a challenge for organizations. Most studies in this area have been donein a western context, and their findings may not be wholly relevant in the Indian

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context. The studies conducted in India have focused on Nursing, BPO and ITstaff, with a few studies done in retail and insurance sector. Not many studieshave compared manufacturing and service sectors in terms of turnover intentionof professionals in the Indian business environment.

Professionals being highly qualified tend to have a higher-level attachmentto their careers than to their organization and therefore switch jobs frequently,requiring in-depth research in behavior’s pertaining to their turnover intention(Raelin, 2000). Further, most studies on turnover have focused on individual-level factors and not extensively on job level and organizational level factors.There is, thus, a need to explore organizational and job-related factors asantecedents of voluntary turnover.

While extensive studies and organizational interest in turnover worldwidecontinue, still only partial answers are available for questions like, why doemployees leave? Do the theories have the same rationale for all groups ofemployees or there are differences when it comes to managerial and professionalemployees? Are these variables related to a broad spectrum of industries or macrobusiness environment prevailing in different countries? How precisely can wepredict turnover intention or identify potential leavers?

Professionals all over the world are very highly paid, and thus the directand indirect cost incurred on them when they leave the organization is extremelyhigh. Professionals who include managers and executives shape the organization’scompetitive strategy, implement it and are responsible for coordination,integration, motivation and development of the whole organization. They possessall the confidential information. It is difficult to assess their contribution, hencevalue. That is why the voluntary turnover of key professionals is reported asheadlines in business newspapers and magazines.

Keeping these research gaps in mind, this study seeks to explore theantecedents of turnover intention among professionals in manufacturing andservice sector in India.

4. Purpose of the Study, Research Hypotheses and Conceptual Model Tested

The purpose of this study was to examine a hypothesized turnover intentionmodel by exploring the relation between independent job related variables (JobPerson Fit and Job Stability) ; organization related variables ( PerceivedOrganization Support, Psychological contract, Pay Satisfaction ); The mediating

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variables were Job Satisfaction, Organization Commitment and JobEmbeddedness. The moderating variable was Perceived availability of alternatejobs and dependent variable was Turnover Intention.

The research questions which guided this study were a) to assess theantecedents of turnover intention, both distal and proximal, among professionalsin India b) To assess the mediating effect of Job Satisfaction, OrganizationCommitment and Job Embeddedness on Turnover Intention and c) To assess themoderating effect of Perceived Availability of Jobs in the relationship betweenindependent and dependent variables.

To examine these research questions, the hypotheses tested were:

H1: Job Person fit (JPF) has a direct and negative relationship with TurnoverIntention (TOI)

H2: Job Stability (JST) has a direct and negative relationship with TurnoverIntention (TOI)

H3: Perceived Organization Support (POS) has a direct and negative relationshipwith Turnover Intention (TOI)

H4: Psychological Contract (PCR) has a direct and negative relationship withTurnover Intention (TOI)

H5: Satisfaction with Pay and Promotion (PAY SAT) has a direct and negativerelationship with Turnover Intention (TOI)

H6: Job Person Fit (JPF) has a direct and positive relationship with JobSatisfaction (JS)

H7: Job Stability (JST) has a direct and positive relationship with Job Satisfaction (JS)

H8: Perceived Organization Support (POS) has a direct and positive relationshipwith Job Satisfaction(JS)

H9: Psychological Contract (PCR) has a direct and positive relationship with JobSatisfaction (JS)

H10: Satisfaction with Pay and Promotion (PAY SAT) has a direct and positiverelationship with Job Satisfaction (JS)

H11: Job Person Fit (PJF) has a direct and positive relationship with OrganizationCommitment (OC)

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H12: Job Stability (JST) has a direct and positive relationship with OrganizationCommitment (OC)

H13: Perceived Organization Support (POS) has a direct and positive relationshipwith Organization Commitment (OC)

H14: Psychological Contract (PCR) has a direct and positive relationship with toOrganization Commitment (OC)

H15: Satisfaction with Pay and promotion (PAY SAT) has a direct and positiverelationship with Organization Commitment (OC)

H16: Job Person Fit (JPF) has a direct and positive relationship with JobEmbeddedness (JE)

H17: Job Stability (JST) has a direct and positive relationship with JobEmbeddedness (JE)

H18: Perceived Organization Support (POS) has a direct and positive relationshipwith Job Embeddedness (JE)

H19: Psychological Contract (PCR) has a direct and positive relationship withJob Embeddedness (JE)

H20: Satisfaction with Pay and Promotion (PAY SAT) has a direct and positiverelationship with Job Embeddedness (JE)

H21: Job Satisfaction (JS) has a direct and negative relationship with TurnoverIntention (TOI)

H22: Organization Commitment (OC) has a direct and negative relationship withTurnover Intention (TOI)

H23: Job Embeddedness (JE) has a direct and negative relationship with TurnoverIntention (TOI)

H24: Job Satisfaction (JS) mediates the relationship between Job Person Fit (JPF)and Turnover Intention (TOI)

H25: Job Satisfaction (JS) mediates the relationship between Job Stability (JST)and Turnover Intention

H26: Job Satisfaction (JS) mediates the relationship between PerceivedOrganization Support (POS) and Turnover Intention (TOI)

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H27: Job Satisfaction (JS) mediates the relationship between Satisfaction withpay and promotion (Pay Sat) on Turnover intention (TOI)

H28: Organization Commitment (OC) mediates the relationship between JobPerson Fit (JPF) and Turnover Intention (TOI)

H29: Organization Commitment (OC) mediates the relationship between JobStability (JST) and Turnover Intention (TOI)

H30: Organization Commitment (OC) mediates the relationship betweenPerceived Organization Support (POS) and Turnover Intention (TOI)

H31: Organization Commitment (OC) mediates the relationship betweenPsychological Contract (PCT) and Turnover Intention (TOI)

H32: Organization Commitment (OC) mediates the relationship betweenSatisfaction with Pay & Promotion (Pay Sat) and Turnover Intention (TOI)

H33: Job Embeddedness (JE) mediates the relationship between Job Person Fit(JPF) and Turnover Intention (TOI)

H34: Job Embeddedness (JE) mediates the relationship between Job Stability (JST)and Turnover Intention (TOI)

H35: Job Embeddedness (JE) mediates the relationship between PerceivedOrganization Support (POS) and Turnover Intention (TOI)

H36: Job Embeddedness (JE) mediates the relationship satisfaction with pay andpromotion (Pay Sat) on Turnover Intention (TOI)

H37: Job Embeddedness (JE) mediates the relationship between PsychologicalContract (PCT) and Turnover Intention (TOI)

H38: Perceived availability of Jobs moderates the relationship betweenindependent and dependent variable Turnover Intention (TOI)

The model tested in this study is adopted and modified from the modelproposed by Damien Joseph (2006). Joseph et al., (2007) developed a structuralmodel which is premised on and extends March and Simon’s model, and generalheuristic governing relationships between distal and proximal constructs. Distalconstructs (variables) are those that exert an ‘indirect effect,’ and proximalconstructs are those that exert a more ‘direct effect’ on criterion construct, whichis turnover intention.

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The conceptual model (Exhibit 1) developed on the basis of the aboveresearch objectives was tested.

Exhibit 1: Conceptual Research Model

5. Methods

5.1 Research Instrument

Based on an extensive literature review, research constructs and items wereidentified. The purpose of the study was to examine the various proximal anddistal antecedents that exert an effect on turnover intention among professionals.The Questionnaire was developed using the top loading items from validinstruments .Turnover Intention (TOI) was measured using the instrument ofMitchell et al., (2001), Meyer et al., (1993) and Pare and Tremblay (2000).

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Organization Commitment (OC) scale was adapted from Meyer and Allen (1991).Job Satisfaction (JS) questions were from the Minnesota satisfaction questionnairedeveloped by Weiss et al., (1967). The scale for Job Embeddedness (JE) was derivedfrom Burton, Holtom, Sablynski, Mitchell and Kee (2010). Perceived OrganizationSupport (POS) was adapted from Settoon et al., (1996). Psychological Contract(PCR) was adapted from Milward and Hopkins (1998). For the Job Person Fit(JPF), the instrument developed by Cable and DeRue (2002) and Schneider (1987)was used. Job Stability (JST) scale was adapted from Probst (2002) and Ashford,Lee and Bobko (1989). Perceived Availability of Jobs (PA) was adapted from Steeland Griffith (1989) and Hulin, Roznowsky and Hachiya (1985). Satisfaction withPay and Promotion was adapted from Heneman and Schwab (1979, 1985).

Pilot testing of the questionnaire was done by administering it to 30professionals, and these professionals were then interviewed to find out the pitfallsif any of the questionnaires developed. A few items which were not clearlyunderstood by the respondents were modified.

5. 2 Research Design

The present research is descriptive in nature. Further, it is conclusive as it focuseson collecting primary data, testing and validating the conceptual research model,presenting findings, making interpretations and giving conclusions. It is based ona quantitative research design with data collected using a questionnaire deployingsurvey technique. As data was collected only once at a point of time, it is singlecross-sectional in nature.The research design followed may be summarized asdescriptive, conclusive and single cross sectional.

5.3 Target Population and Sampling Unit

5.3.1 Defining the target population

This study involved exploring the antecedents of turnover intention in largemanufacturing and services organizations. These are those organizations withrevenue greater than Indian rupees one billion from the top 100 organizations listpublished by the Confederation of Indian Industry, 2015. The target populationsfor the study were middle and lower level executives of these organizations.

5.3.2 Determining the sample frame

As per the Confederation of Indian Industries (CII, 2015) database, at the time ofthis study, there were 56 large manufacturing organizations and 35 large servicesorganizations in India from the top 100 list with revenue greater than Indian

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rupees one billion. These served as the sample frame for shortlisting organizationsfor the study, as it was the most authentic available database.

5.3.3 Selection of sampling technique and sample size

The sampling design best suited for this study was non-probability judgmental orpurposive sampling, where target groups were chosen for the purpose. Tables 1and 2 provide details of the sampling technique and process.

Table 1: Constituents of Sampling Process

Table 2: Break-up of Organizations and Targeted Professionals

Note: M1, M2, M3 are the three organizations in the manufacturing sector. S1, S2, S3 are thethree organizations in the service sector

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5.3.4 Questionnaire administration and data collection

Online surveys, email and physical forms were used to administer the questionnaireand get the required responses. A total of 303 responses were received.

6. Analysis

The various distal and proximal antecedents of turnover intention that were partof research objectives, and their interrelationships with turnover intention havebeen tested using a model given below. AMOS 18.0 was used for model testing.

6.1 Factor Analysis: Scale Unidimensionality

The KMO values of all 10 scales used in the present study were found to be wellabove the acceptable value of 0.5, indicating that the data was suitable for factoranalysis. For the Bartlett’s test of sphericity, the value of p (Sig) was found to be0.000 (its significance is less than 0.05) for all scales, indicating that one couldproceed with factor analysis.

Based on EFA, each of the scales was retained as a one-factor model, exceptOrganization Commitment was not unidimensional, suggesting that the conditionfor it being unidimensional was to be fulfilled. OC was again reduced, till thecondition for it being unidimensional was achieved.

6.2 Scale Reliability and Validity

Scale Reliability: Reliability assessment of study scales returned Cronbach alphavalues that are more than the lower acceptable limit of 0.50.

Scale Validity: Two forms of construct validity were assessed.

(i) Convergent validity: Convergent validity shows that the scale representsone dimension. Factor loadings of all scales in the present study were morethan 0.5, thus indicating the presence of convergent validity. Also in thepresent case, as the scales had high internal consistency or reliability, thisserves as a satisfactory proof of convergent validity.

(ii) Discriminant validity: A scale exhibits discriminant validity if its constituentitems estimate only one construct. Harmans one factor test was conductedto see if all the items loaded on one factor using principal component factoranalysis. The results of the factor analysis revealed seven factors weregenerated accounting for 59.6 % of the total variance. Thus the results

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indicate that all items do not load on a single factor, thereby indicating thatdiscriminant validity exists between the study scales. Another indicator ofdiscriminant validity is to test for correlation between the constructs. Theresults of the Pearson Correlation (Table 3) revealed that the scales hadlow to moderate correlation, indicative of discriminant validity.

Table 3: Correlation Values of Variables/Constructs

The conceptual model was tested in four phases. The objective was toinvestigate whether distal factors (Organization-related factors- PerceivedOrganization Support, Satisfaction with Pay and Promotion, PsychologicalContract and Job-related factors- Job Person Fit and Job Stability) or proximalfactors (Job Satisfaction, Organization Commitment and Job Embeddedness) aresignificant predictors of turnover intention among professionals. Thus, basicallyfour conceptual models were tested in this study.

a. Direct Effect Model (M1)

In the direct effect model (M1), it was examined whether there is a directrelationship between independent variables viz. Job Person Fit, Job Stability,Perceived Organization Support, Psychological Contract, and Satisfaction withPay and Promotion and the dependent variable viz. Turnover Intention. On thebasis of standardized path coefficients, hypotheses of the direct effect model (M1)were tested. The hypotheses for direct effect model (M1) is shown in Exhibit 2and the results are given in Table 4.

**Correlation is significant at 0.01 levels*Correlation is significant at 0.05 levels

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b. Full Mediation Model (M2)

In the fully mediated model (M2), first the relationship between independentvariables and mediators namely, Job Satisfaction, Organization Commitment and

Exhibit 2: Direct Effect Model Exhibit (M1)

Table 4: Summary Hypotheses and Results from Model (M1)

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Job Embeddedness was tested. Thereafter, the relationship between mediatorsand dependent variables, namely, Turnover Intention was tested. The hypothesesfor direct effect model (M2) is shown in Exhibit 3 and the results are given inTable 5

Exhibit 3: Fully Mediated Model (M2)

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Table 5: Summary Hypotheses and Results from Model (M2)

c. Partial Mediation Model (M3)

In the partially mediated model (M3), both the direct and indirect relationshipsbetween independent variables (Job Person Fit, Job Stability, Perceived

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Organization Support, Psychological Contract and Satisfaction with Pay andPromotion and mediating variables (Job Satisfaction, Organization Commitmentand Job Embeddedness) and Dependent Variables (Turnover Intention) were testedsimultaneously. The hypotheses for direct effect model (M3) is shown in Exhibit 4and the results are given in Table 6.

Exhibit 4: Partially Mediated Model (M3)

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d. Moderation Analysis: The Moderating effect of perceived availability of jobswas tested. It was assumed that the perceived availability of jobs moderates therelationship between the independent and dependent variables. After testing formediation, the model was again tested by including the moderator model ( M4).The moderation model (M4) and hypothesis testing results are explained throughExhibit 5 and Table 7. The fit indices improved indicating the role of the moderatorin the relationship.

Table 6: Summary Hypotheses and Results from Model (M3)

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7. Findings and Discussion

To assess the effect of the various antecedents of turnover intention, a singlehypothesized model was tested, containing independent, dependent, moderatingand mediating variables. The independent variables were Job Person Fit, JobStability, Perceived Organization Support, Psychological Contract, and Satisfaction

Exhibit 5: Moderation Model (M4)

Table 7: Hypothesis and Result from Model (M4)

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with Pay and Promotion. Mediating variables were Job Satisfaction, OrganizationCommitment and Job Embeddedness. Moderating variable was PerceivedAvailability of Jobs, and the dependent variable was Turnover Intention.

To test for the role of the mediating variables, three alternate models viz.direct effect model (M1), fully mediated model (M2) and partially mediated models(M3) were estimated as suggested by Baron and Kenny (1986). The first two modelsserve as a precondition for testing mediation, while the third model tests the roleof the mediator. This approach has been followed by other researchers in HR too(e.g. Knight et al., 1999; Bontis et al., 2007; Mustapha et al., 2010). The pathcoefficients generated through structural modelling were used to assess themagnitude and direction of relationships and test the study hypotheses. Thecomparative fit indices of the four models are in Table 8.

Table 8: The Comparative Fit Indices of all four Models

In the current study, structural models converge for all the three models(i.e., direct effect model, fully mediated model and partially mediated model).Mixed support is found in the hypothesized relationships between constructs. Asrecommended by Hair et al., (2010), the fit indices obtained from the three modelswere used to compare the three models. When using GFI, AGFI, or CFI, highervalues signify better fit of the model. For the indices, AIC and CAIC, lower valuesare recommended (Hair et al., 2010; Malhotra and Dash, 2011). Overall, the fitindices indicated that all three models fit the data. However, based on fit indexvalues, it can be inferred that the partially mediated model (M3) is the best-fittingmodel (Exhibit 6).

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The results of model testing are as follows:

Turnover Intention and Proximal Factors

i. Job Satisfaction (JS) and Turnover Intention (TOI)

In this research, we found that Job Satisfaction had a significant negativeeffect on turnover intention (β = -0.50) corroborating all earlier research inthis area. (Boswell, Boudreau &Tichy, 2005; Hom&Griffeth, 1995; Lee,Mitchell, Holtom& McDaniel, 1999; Lee, Mitchell, Wise & Fireman, 1996;Mobley, 1982; Steel, 2002; Steers & Mowday,1981).

Exhibit 6: Partially Mediated Model (M3)

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ii. Organization Commitment (OC) and Turnover Intention (TOI)

Organization Commitment (OC) showed positive impact on TurnoverIntention (β = 0.20) among professionals.

iii. Job Embeddedness (JE) and Turnover Intention (TOI)

The effect of Job Embeddedness on Turnover Intention was direct butslightly weak. (β = 0.11).

iv . Perceived availability of Jobs (PA) and Turnover Intention (TOI)

In this research perceived, availability of alternate jobs was considered as amoderating variable and the results of this research show the effect of perceivedavailability of Jobs on turnover intention is quite high (β = 0.43). Also, it ismoderating the effect of independent variables on the dependent variable,indicating that in the Indian context, perceived availability of alternate job’s affectsintention to turnover significantly. One reason may be that Indian economy isone of the fastest-growing economies of the world and getting integrated withthe global economy, which is opening profitable avenues for alternativeemployment for professionals.

Turnover Intention and Distal/Independent Factors

The Independent variables that were researched among the antecedents ofturnover intention were Job Person Fit, Job Stability, Perceived OrganizationSupport, Psychological contract and Satisfaction with pay and promotion.

i. Job Person Fit (JPF)

The result of the model testing indicated that Job Person Fit had a negativerelationship with Turnover Intention (β = -0.04) and was positively relatedto Job Satisfaction (β = 0.08), Organization Commitment (β = 0.04) and JobEmbeddedness (β = 0.05). This is consistent with earlier research findingsin this area. Wheeler (2007) examined the relationship between job personfit, job satisfaction, perceived job mobility, and intent to turnover. Theyfound that decrease in the job-person fit leads to decrease in job satisfaction,which is more likely to result in an increase in intent to turnover if theindividual also perceives alternative job opportunities.

ii. Job Stability (JST) and Turnover Intention (TOI)

The research model results showed that the relationship of Job Stability

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with Turnover Intention was negative (β = -0.10), and relationship of JobStability with Job Satisfaction was positive (β = 0.27). The relationship ofJob Stability with Organization Commitment (OC) was positive (β = 0.06)and the relationship of Job Stability with Job Embeddedness was also positive(β = 0.08). These results are in consonance with earlier research.

Many changes have taken place in recent decades concerning firms’ labormarket practices, such as greater use of temporary jobs, outsourcing of tasks,and division of some tasks into temporary projects (Levine, et.al., 2002). Allthese mechanisms may have increased the instability of jobs.

iii. Perceived Organization Support (POS) and Turnover Intention (TOI)

The results of model testing show that Perceived Organizational Supporthad a negative relationship with Turnover Intention (β = -0.46) andPerceived Organization Support had a direct and positive relationship withJob Satisfaction (β = 0.17); Organization Commitment (β = 0.65) and anegative relationship with Job Embeddedness (β = -0.08).

As per earlier research (Von Knippenberg, 2006) employees, especially in agrowing economy, have more options, and therefore, discretion overwhether they stay with the organization, it seems likely that if employeesfeel the organization has acted positively towards them; they are likely tobe committed and remain with the organization. Conversely, if theorganization has not acted positively towards an employee, the employeeis less likely to remain with the organization (Chiu et al., 2005; Maertz etal., 2007). This is relevant, because the professional’s job is a risky one, andthey need organizational support to take risky decisions. This study validatesthat there exists a powerful relationship between Perceived OrganizationSupport and Organization Commitment, which in turn decreases theTurnover Intention.

iv. Psychological contract (PCR) and Turnover Intention (TOI)

Psychological Contract was found to have a direct and positiverelationship with Turnover Intention (β = 0.42). PCR was positivelyrelated to Job Satisfaction (β = 0.20) and positively related toOrganization Commitment (β = 0.17) and Job Embeddedness (β = 0.17).This research corroborates the earlier findings on the impact ofPsychological Contract on Job Satisfaction, Organization Commitment,Job Embeddedness (Coyle-Shapiro and Kessler, 2002).

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v. Satisfaction with Pay and Promotion (PAYSAT) and Turnover Intention(TOI)

The results of this research indicate that satisfaction with pay and promotionhad a positive relationship with Turnover Intention (β = 0.02), JobSatisfaction (β = 0.02), Organization Commitment (β = 0.46), JobEmbeddedness (β = 0.32). Thus, it can be said that satisfaction with pay,and promotion has a stronger relationship with Organization Commitmentand Job Embeddedness compared to Job Satisfaction. Furthermore,satisfaction with pay and promotion did not affect Turnover Intentionsignificantly.

Pare and Tremblay (2000) posit that equity - distributive as well as proceduraljustice with regard to both pay and promotion is a significant factor amongthe antecedents of turnover intentions. Joseph et al., (2007) found thatamong the perceived organizational factors, pay and advancement can affecttheir decision to stay with or leave the firm (Mitchell et al., 2001). Meta-analysis (Hom & Griffith 1995; Cotton and Tuttle, 1986) have shown thatpay satisfaction to turnover intention ranged from β = -0.04 to β = -0.12.

8. Managerial Implications and Contributions of the Study

This study on the antecedents of turnover intention among professionals inmanufacturing and services sector in India is expected to help organizations withsuitable strategies for retaining their human capital. Not many extensive studieshave been done in the context of professionals in India, comparing manufacturingand services sector. Thus, the findings from this study are expected to be useful,for management practitioners, as well as academicians. Following are themanagerial implications of this study:

1. From a theoretical point of view, the study tests a conceptual model,comprising of organization related and job-related factors as well asmediating and moderating variables, thus providing a framework forresearchers to explore factors that are significant in Indian organizations.

2. The study contributes by developing a reliable and valid scale to map theantecedents of turnover intention in the context of professionals in India.

3. Among the various proximal antecedents that were tested, Job Satisfactionwas significant in its negative effect on turnover intention (β = -0.51). Thus,organizations in India could benefit immensely in their retention policies bypractices that enhance job satisfaction of professionals in organizations.

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This could be done by creating favorable environments and providingmeaningful jobs to its professionals.

4. Perceived availability of jobs had a significant effect on turnover intention.In response to the reality of professionals seeking career growth outsidetheir organizations, organizations need to offer concrete retention measuresto their executives, like accelerated career development opportunities, jobrotation, job empowerment within the organization.

5. Among the independent variables, perceived organization support and jobstability had a significant effect on turnover intentions. These findingsindicate the importance that these variables have in terms of the turnoverintention of professionals in Indian context.

6. The results of this study could be further used for predictive analytics byorganizations wanting to curtail attrition of professionals with high potentialand professionals with critical skills for gaining competitive advantage inthe market.

9. Limitations of the Study

Although efforts were made to ensure that the analysis and conclusions drawnin this research were theoretically and empirically sound, certain limitations couldhave impacted the study. First, since the study was based on a specific samplesize, it might have suffered from small sample size related problems. The resultsmay have been more generalizable had a bigger sample been taken. Second, Thenumber of organizations covered were limited because of the constraints of time,resources and organizational approvals required. Third, the research design inthis study is cross sectional, hence not possible to infer a causal relationship overa period of time (Mathieu and Taylor, 2008). The use of turnover intention ratherthan actual turnover could have diluted the study results.. Fourth, the responsesfrom professionals could be biased. Likert scales may be subject to distortion dueto respondents trying to give favorable responses. Five, Respondents may nothave expressed their true feelings while responding to the questionnaire, as theymay not be open enough to express their dissatisfaction if any, with the currentjob. Six, The present study has not considered several other factors, which maybe significant in turnover intention research like performance on the job is onesuch factor in turnover, particularly under Indian conditions. As brought out inthe literature survey, both under performers and super performers are more proneto turnover. The outcome variable in this research was a behavioral intention

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rather than actual turnover behavior. Behavioral intentions are generally goodpredictors of future behavior (Fishbein and Ajzen, 1975) and turnover intentionis one of the strongest predictors of actual turnover (Griffeth, et. al, 2000).Turnoverbehavior is highly complex. Research results are to be viewed in the above light oflimitations.

10. Directions for Future Research

This study could be further supplemented by qualitative or descriptive studies.The findings of this research could also be studied further in conjunction withother organizational data, such as organizational performance, customer feedbackand competitive strategy. Further research could be carried out using a longitudinaldesign; i.e., seeking responses from the same set of respondents over two differenttime intervals, say a gap of one year. Such a study may be helpful in validatingthe findings of the study, or finding new factors studied. Research on employeeturnover has been prolific, yet there are no firm conclusions about the turnoverprocess. With more and better research, employee turnover may become betterunderstood, making the research more valuable. Future guidelines can contributeto the further understanding the phenomena and overcoming limitationshighlighted.

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Biographic notes

Archana Singh is a seasoned HR Professional with about 25 years of experienceboth in manufacturing and services industries and specializes in OrganizationDevelopment and Change Management. She has a graduate degree in Engineeringand a post graduate degree in PM&IR from Tata Institute of Social SciencesMumbai. She is a distant learning scholar of AIMA- AMU PhD Program andbased out of Bangalore.

Dr. Feza Tabassum Azmi is Associate Professor at the Department of ManagementStudies, Aligarh Muslim University, Aligarh. Her area of specialization is StrategicHRM. She has more than 12 research papers in the area of Strategic HRMpublished in international journals. She can be reached at [email protected] .

Dr Ganesh Singh is the Programme Director - PhD at All India ManagementAssociation, New Delhi. He specialises in OB and HRM. He has extensiveexperience in teaching, research, training and consultancy in the field ofOrganisational Behaviour and Human Resource Management. His currenttraining, consulting and research interests are in the areas of MotivationalBehaviour, Emotional Intelligence, Stress and Coping, Managerial Effectiveness,Leadership Development, Talent Management, Human Resource Assessment,Management across Culture and Comparative Human Resource Management.He has also a number of research papers in national and international journals ofrepute. He can be reached at [email protected].