ansichtssache: performance der europäischen flugsicherung · atm-related operational performance...
TRANSCRIPT
1
Ansichtssache:
Performance der europäischen Flugsicherung
Statements and facts concerning the alleged low performance of European ATM Jörg Buxbaum, Matthias Whittome, Christoph Czech
Draft Version, Status Dec 2nd 2013
2
DFS: Key Performance Areas + KPI
Cost Efficiency
Capacity
Safety
Environment
3
Air traffic Management from the political point of
view
http://www.iata.org/pressroom/speeches/Pages/2013-04-12-01.aspx
http://www.iata.org/pressroom/pages/opinion-piece-spain.aspx
Inefficiencies in Europe's fragmented airspace
bring extra costs of close to 5 billion Euros
each year to airlines and their customers. They
add 42 kilometres to the distance of an
average flight forcing aircraft to burn more fuel,
generate more emissions, pay more in costly
user charges and suffer greater delays. The
United States controls the same amount of
airspace, with more traffic, at almost half the
cost.
http://europa.eu/rapid/press-release_IP-13-523_en.htm
http://www.worldfootprints.com/europes-airspace-failure-5-billion-euro-damage
Every intra-EU flight is 50km longer than necessary, which
results in $6.53 billion ( EUR 5 billion) in additional costs—
every year. http://www.iata.org/publications/airlines-international/june-2013/Pages/ceo-interview-
lufthansa.aspx
4
Air traffic Management from the political point of
view
http://www.eurocontrol.int/sites/default/files/content/documents/media/dg-articles-2013/1302-lps-slovakia.pdf
Interview Frank Brenner, Flugrevue, February 2013
http://www.dw.de/eus-single-sky-fights-national-delays/a-16682912
Currently the costs of providing air traffic
control for one airplane per hour are almost
twice as expensive in Europe than in the
USA. We haven't even brought up Asia in the
discussion. Costs arising from the provision of
air navigation services in Europe run to about
EUR 14 billion annually. Of these, 8.3 billion
are air navigation services charges. The
remainder is costs that the airspace user has
to bear due to inefficiencies. Thus, delays
cost about EUR 5.2 billion per year.
The Single European Sky is intended to harmonise air traffic control
better, as they are fragmented and inefficient. EU airspace is in 27
national air traffic control systems, providing services from some 60 air
traffic centres while the airspace is divided into more than 650
sectors. That means airspace is currently structured around national
boundaries and so flights are often unable to take direct routes.
5
The essence of the assertions
"Airlines and passengers annually incur financial damage of about
EUR 5 billion due to the inefficiency of the fragmented European air
traffic control system. These costs would be eliminated if the SES
requirements were met."
"The fragmented structure of airspace translates to additional
unnecessary 42 km on average per flight in Europe."
"The FAA in the USA controls more air traffic at about half the
costs."
6
Motivation und Rahmenbedingungen
7
Arrival and sequence-
metering inefficiencies En-route
inefficiencies
Taxi-out
inefficiencies
Where does the EUR-5-billion figure come
from?
Possible source: The Performance Review Commission in the Performance Review Report
2012 (PRR) quoted a sum of EUR 3.64 billion annually for "ANS-related inefficiencies in the
gate-to-gate phase." According to the 2012 PRR, an additional EUR 850 million for ATFM
delay (en-route and airport ATFM delay).
http://www.eurocontrol.int/sites/default/files/prr-2012.pdf , page 33
En-route ATFM delay
+ EUR 790
million
+ EUR 950
million
+ EUR 1900
million
EUR 500 million
= EUR 4.49 billion
Airport ATFM delay
+ EUR 350 million
The report does not touch upon whether and how the delays responsible for these costs can
actually be influenced by the ANSPs. There is also no mention that the fragmentation of ATC in
Europe contributes to these inefficiencies nor what SES measures should be implemented to
achieve which potential improvements.
Tatsächliche
Beeinflussbarkeit?
Optimierungspotential? Örtliche Ausprägung?
Zusammenhang mit einer
überwiegend national
orientierten Flugsicherung? Systemgedanke
berücksichtigt?
Berechnung? Datengrundlage?
8
Can these delay costs be influenced?
The share of ANSP delay minutes (ATFCM en-route) of this total primary delay (without
reactionary delay) is about 8 percent. ATFCM Airport is not part of this as an ANSP has little
influence on factors such as runway closures and night curfews.
The airlines themselves were actually responsible for 54 percent of delay costs in 2012.
http://www.eurocontrol.int/sites/default/files/prr-2012.pdf
http://www.eurocontrol.int/sites/default/files/content/documents/official-documents/facts-and-figures/coda-reports/CODA-Digests-
2012/coda-digest-annual-2012.pdf
In 2012, the delay caused by airlines resulted in costs of about EUR 3.4 billion.
ATFM En-Route: Standard demand/capacity problems, reduced capacity caused by industrial action or staff shortage, equipment failure, military exercise or extraordinary demand due to capacity reduction in neighbouring area
ATFM Airport: Airport and/or runway closed due to obstruction, industrial action, staff shortage, political unrest, noise abatement, night curfew, special flights
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“5 Mrd EUR Schaden pro Jahr”: Résumée
Perspektive 1:
„5 Mrd EUR“
Perspektive 2:
„≈1 Mrd EUR“
+ Betrachtung
Gesamtkostenoptimum
10
Source of the "42 additional unnecessary km"
Possible source: When this "fact" is
stated, the source is not given. The
latest horizontal en-route flight efficiency
is of about 3.17 percent in Europe
(direct route extension), which,
however, only amounts to 28 km.
Direct Route extension = A : D
http://www.atmseminar.org/seminarContent/seminar6/papers/p_055_MPM.pdf
http://atmseminar.eurocontrol.fr/past-seminars/5th-seminar-budapest-hungary-june-2003/papers/paper_023
Origin
airport
Destination
airport
http://ec.europa.eu/transport/media/consultations/doc/2013-07-03-sesrp2/report.pdf, Page 34
1000
0
900
800
700
600
100
500
400
300
200
Route extension
= 3.17% or 28 km
Optimum (great
circle)
Flig
ht path
in k
m
Mean route flown in
Europe (without TMA)
http://www.kolloquium-flugfuehrung.de/pdf/2011-01-18%20MANFRED%20DIEROFF%20DFS%20-%20Kolloquium%20Flugfuehrung.pdf
= optimal
routing?
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Reasons for Flight Extensions
Separation Airspace structure
(disentangling traffic
flows, TMA design)
Flight planning
optimised with regard
to ANS costs
€
En-route weather Flight planning
optimised with regard
to wind
Airspace availability
(e.g. military airspace)
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How to influence Flight Extension
Some possibilities for improvement:
Free route in upper airspace
Relocation of military exercise areas
Optimized FUA
Optimised flight route designs
Uniform ANSP unit rates in Europe
Current goals and limits to optimisation:
Currently, according to the PRB assessment, the
assumption is that flight efficiency in Europe (KEA)
can at best be improved from the current 3.17% to
2.5% by 2019. Per flight this would mean future flight
paths that are shorter by about 0.6 percent or 6 km
(which equals about 25 seconds of flying time).
Further improvements are not visible at the moment.
A reduction to 0 km is not possible.
http://www.caa.lv/upload/userfiles/files/SES%20Performance%20targets%20_%20achievements.pdf
Flig
ht
Eff
icie
ncy
Increase in
air traffic density and
complexity
1%
4%
2%
3%
0 %
Potentially achievable flight efficiency
without active measures, such as
relocation of military exercise areas
Europe 2012
2019 ?
http://atmseminar.eurocontrol.fr/past-seminars/5th-seminar-budapest-hungary-june-2003/papers/paper_023
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Possible measures to increase en-route Flight
Efficiency
0%
3%
2%
1% En-r
oute
eff
icie
ncy E
uro
pe (
KE
A)
2012 2016 2019 2030?
? ? ?
?
Joint activities of NM
and European ANSPs
Contributing FABEC
measures:
IP South East Phase 1 & 2
Free Route Step 1
CBA Land Central West
XMAN/AMAN Basic
Joint activities of NM
and European ANSPs
Contributing FABEC
measures:
Free Route Step 2 & 3
Potential relocation of military
airspace out of the core area
(impact on Military Mission
Effectiveness?)
Absolute limit for
busy airspace?
(Schematic representation, effects of the measures would have to be calculated at
European level.)
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“42 unnötige Kilometer pro Flug”: Résumée
Marathon
Athen
Perspektive 2:
Optimierungspotential
Von 28 km auf 22 km =
6 km pro Flug
Perspektive 1:
Optimierungspotential
42 km pro Flug
+ Betrachtung
Gesamtkosten-
optimum
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A comparison of ATM in the USA and Europe
U.S.A. Europe
(Continental)
airspace
10.4 million
km2
11.5 million km2
Sectors (max) 955a 679a
Controlled
flights per day
43,600b 26,000b
Pax per day 2.2 millionc 2.2 millionc
Pax miles per
day
1.07 billiond 1.18 billiond
ATCOs 16,793e 16,700e
Cost of ATM
per year
$ 10.7 billion f EUR 8.0 billion f
... in EUR 2013 EUR 8.3
billion g
EUR 8.0 billion g
... in PPP EUR 8.6
billion h
EUR 8.0 billion h
a 2008 U.S./Europe Comparison of ATM-related Operational Performance
b 2010 U.S./Europe Comparison of ATM-Related Operational Performance
c Amount of IFR Passenger Flights x average amount of seats x SLF
d Pax x average distance (from 2010 U.S./Europe Comparison of ATM-Related Operational
Performance)
e FAA Air Traffic Controller Workforce Plan 2012 – 2021, 2010 U.S./Europe Comparison of
ATM-Related Operational Performance (EUROCONTROL)
f Cost USA: Budget FAA ATO FY 2012, Cost Europe: Eurocontrol PRR 2010
g Exchange Rate 1,3 $/EUR
h Purchasing Power Parities for GDP,
according OECD value 2005 – 2012 for Europe vs US$
EUR/US Dollar USD
1,500 1,375 1,250 1,125 1,000 0,875
1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2001 2013
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Different working conditions / work methods
Statistics relating
to controllers
USA / FAA Germany / DFS France / DSNA
Annual leave 13 - 26 days 32 - 37 days 25 - 27 days
Working hours per
week 40 hrs
31 – 37 hrs (including
breaks) 35 hrs (including breaks)
Maternity leave Not standard practice 70 days per child 108 - 182 days per child
Paid sick days
Up to 13 days p.a.
(cumulates, if not
taken)
6 weeks to unlimited
(depending on contract)
3 months 100% paid sick
leave, then 9 months at
50%
Educational leave Not standard practice 5 days p.a. 6 days p.a.
Recuperation cures Not standard practice 3 – 7 days p.a. Not standard practice
Source for FAA data: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
Source of DFS data: DFS
Source of DSNA Data: DSNA
The higher traffic numbers per controller in the USA are
connected with the working conditions and other work methods:
Higher percentage of single sector operations (the concept
that four eyes see more than two is not standard practice)
Temporarily/Totally unmanned FAA towers
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Comparison between types of IFR flights in USA
and Europe
The most apparent difference is the large number of IFR general aviation flights in the USA.
Source for FAA data: Bureau of Transportation Statistics, FAA ETMS, OPSNET, 2009
Source for European data: EUROCONTROL 2009 with deductions for IFR Cargo and GA IFR
18
Comparison of transport performance between
USA and Europe
The performance indicator for pax miles per day is higher in Europe than the USA. Source for FAA data: Bureau of Transportation Statistics, FAA ETMS, OPSNET
Source for European data: EUROCONTROL with deductions for IFR Cargo and GA IFR
Average Miles from 2010 U.S./Europe Comparison of ATM-Related Operational Performance
Average Passengers per IFR Scheduled: 78 (USA) 91 (Europe); average pax per IFR GA: 2
1.07
billion
NM
1.18
billion
NM
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Vergleich USA-Europa – Flüge pro Fluglotse
Anzahl
kontrollierte
Flüge pro
Fluglotse
(Europa)
Arbeits- und Fehlzeiten Weit häufiger
Einfachbesetzung statt
Vieraugenprinzip
IFR GA generiert wenig Taskload (andere
Lufträume, Flugplätze)
Die unterschiedliche, durchschnittliche Lotsenproduktivität in Europa und den USA liegt
an Faktoren, die überwiegend außerhalb von SES-Arbeitsfeldern liegen.
Diese Faktoren umfassen Arbeitsprinzipien, Arbeitsbedingungen sowie die Art und
räumliche / zeitliche Verteilung des zu kontrollierenden Luftverkehrs.
Luftfracht generiert wenig Taskload
(Nachtflüge)
Anzahl
kontrollierte
Flüge pro
Fluglotse
(USA)
Unterschiedliche
Bewertung der
Sicherheits-
relevanz
Unterschiede
größtenteils
gesellschaftlich
bedingt
Verkehrsmix
(durch ANSP
nicht zu
beeinflussen)
Darstellung schematisch auf Basis der Ausgangsdaten von kontrollierten Flügen und Anzahl der Fluglotsen.
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ATM costs per passenger mile
When the costs of ATM (PPP) are looked at in relation to passenger miles, the unit costs are 16% lower in Europe.
: =
[Bill
ion
EU
R P
PP
]
[Bill
ion
Mile
s]
Purchasing Power Parities for GDP, according OECD value 2005 – 2012 for Europe vs US$
21
The FAA tax structure
Transportation
of Persons by
Air
$ 7.9 billion
Use of Intern.
Air Facilities
$ 2.4 billion
Aviation Gas
Non-
Commercial
$ 0.19 billion
Transportation
of Property
$ 0.44 billion
Aviation Fuel
Commercial
Use
$ 0.35 billion
General Fund
(US Treasury)
$ 4.6 billion
Passenger Tax
Fuel Tax
ATO Budget
$ 10.7 billion
Non-ATO
Budget
$ 5.2 billion
(e.g. new
Runways,
aviation safety)
FAA
Budget
Total:
$ 15.9
billion Airport and
Airway Trust
Fund
$ 11.3 billion
Earnings 20111
2012 FAA
Budget
2012 FAA
Funds 2
US Taxpayer
http://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/misc/R41798.pdf
http://www.faa.gov/about/office_org/headquarters_offices/apl/aatf/
http://www.faa.gov/about/office_org/headquarters_offices/apl/aatf/media/AATF_Fact_Sheet.pdf
http://www.aci-na.org/sites/default/files/airport_and_airway_trust_fund-july2013.pdf
1 Share of earnings according FY 2012 2 Fund share for Essential Air Service ($ 0.14 billion in 2012) neglected
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Domestic
Passenger ticket
tax
EUR 434 million
Use of Intern. Air
Facilities
EUR 663 million
Domestic Cargo /
EUR 181 million
Public Fund
EUR 660
million*
Passenger Tax
ATM Budget
EUR 1.53
billion
Non-ATM
Budget
EUR 0.75
billion
(e.g. new
Runways,
aviation safety)
“German
Airport and
Airway Trust
Fund”
EUR 1,624
billion
Earnings
Budget (ATM
+ Non-ATM
Funds
Taxpayer
The FAA tax structure ... adopted to Germany
* 28.9 % of FAA budget in 2012 was paid by the US treasury (tax money)
Earnings from Fuel Tax und Trust Fund share for Essential Air Service neglected
Adjusted
DFS
Budget
EUR 1.42
billion
EUR 110 million Reimbursement
for MUAC,
EUROCONTROL,
Weather Service,
NAS
Domestic Flight
Segment Tax
Overflight Fees Frequent Flyer Tax
EUR 173
million
EUR 83
million
EUR 90
million
23
The FAA tax structure applied to Germany1
The DFS budget would increase by 32 percent if the FAA tax structure were applied to
Germany.
+32%
Overall ATM charges for Germany would amount up to EUR 1.530 Mio - reimbursement of cost for MUAC, EUROCONTROL, weather services and NAS have been considered.
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A comparison of air navigation costs
The assertion that ATM per passenger and flight is cheaper in the USA is not necessarily
so. The charges systems are, however, very difficult to compare.
USA Europe / DFS
Kind of charges Passenger-oriented charges per
flight (ticket tax or overflight tax)
Aircraft-oriented charges per
distance flown and aircraft mass
Charges are used for FAA (ATO budget share approx.
67%)
ANSPs
A passenger pays for a domestic
flight over 560 km … *
1) Air transportation excise
tax: 7.5% of ticket price
2) $3.70 segment fee
EUR 7.11 (EUR 5.00 en-route
charge + EUR 2.11 approach
fee)***
… if the one-way ticket costs
$130 / EUR 100 **
$13.45 Ticket Tax + $ 5.47
General Tax = $18.92 equals
$12,68 or EUR 9.75 for
FAA/ATO (67% budget share)
EUR 7.11
* Such as Munich-Hamburg
** Without additional fees for baggage etc.
*** DFS 2013, Embraer 190, 86 pax
In this calculation, the passenger pays 37% more in the USA.
Currency exchange rate JUL 2013: 1.30 $/€
25
A comparison of air navigation costs A
TM
Cost p
er
Pa
x
AT
M C
ost p
er
Pa
x
En-Route Flight
Distance [km]
En-Route Flight
Distance [km]
FAA (ATO) FAA (ATO)
While the cost per passenger in the USA (for domestic flights) is independent from the
travel distance, it is not in Germany.
Airbus A320 / 165 pax Embraer 190 / 86 pax
Cost parity
at 1360 km
Cost parity
at 800 km
Currency exchange rate JUL 2013: 1.30 $/€
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Share of ANSP/FAA costs in operating costs /
ticket prices
The share of ATM costs in the operating costs and ticket prices shows as well that the
costs of ATM in Europe are in no way twice as high as in the USA.
http://www.rita.dot.gov/bts/airfares
Assumption Europe: No accounting for a profit margin per flight (about 5%, which would raise the share of costs of the ANSP to about 5.9%.)
Assumption USA: Average domestic air fare Q IV 2012 round trip $374 according to DOT Bureau of Statistics
http://web.mit.edu/TicketTax/Karlsson_Incidence_of_Ticket_Taxes_and_Fees_in_U.S._Domestic_Air_Travel.pdf
Compared to total operating costs
Europe 2011 (source: AEA)
Compared to average domestic
ticket price 2012 (source: FAA)
http://www.eurocontrol.int/sites/default/files/prr-2012.pdf
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General ATM Cost Comparison USA - Europe
Purchasing Power Parities for GDP, according OECD value 2005 – 2012 for Europe vs US$
(PPP) FAA Europe D in%
Cost per year 8.600.000.000 € 8.000.000.000 € -7%
Cost per km2
airspace
(continental)
827 € 696 € -16%
Cost per controlled
Flight
540 € 843 € 56%
Cost per Scheduled
Flight (no GA, MIL)
845 € 925 € 9%
Cost per controlled
Mile (Scheduled Flights,
no GA, no MIL)
1,72 € 1,69 € -2%
Cost per Passenger 10,78 € 10,13 € -6%
Cost per 100 Pax-
Miles
2,20 € 1,85 € -16%
Share in Total Operating
/ Ticket Costs for Airlines
9% 6% -33%
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Vergleich USA-Europa Résumée
Mehr Flüge
Mehr
Passagierkilometer
Keine
Staatszuschüsse
(DFS)
Höhere Lotsen-
Arbeitszeiten
Viel IFR-General
Aviation
Wechselkurs?
Vieraugenprinzip
Geringeres
ATM-Budget
Niedrigere
Kosten pro Pax
Mehr Sektoren
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Kosten und Leistung – eine Frage der
Perspektive
pro Passagierkilometer
Personal
Technik
Prio 1: Sicherheit
für die Nutzer des
Luftverkehrsystems
30
Thank you for your attention