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April 25, 2013 AN OCEAN OF POTENTIAL: THE PROMISE AND PERIL OF RENEWABLE ENERGY Susan Avery, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution

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Page 1: ANOCEAN OF POTENTIAL: THEPROMISE AND PERIL OF … · 4/25/2013  · What is WHOI? Morethan 80 years’ experience studying the ocean and related planetary systems Significantdiscoveries

   

              

 

         April 25, 2013

AN OCEAN OF POTENTIAL: THE PROMISE AND PERIL OF RENEWABLE ENERGY

Susan Avery, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution

Page 2: ANOCEAN OF POTENTIAL: THEPROMISE AND PERIL OF … · 4/25/2013  · What is WHOI? Morethan 80 years’ experience studying the ocean and related planetary systems Significantdiscoveries

   

                                   

                                         

                

What is WHOI?

More than 80 years’ experience studying the ocean and related planetary systems

Significant discoveries in all areas of oceanography and major advances in marine technology and engineering

More than 450 scientific and technical staff $201 million annual operating budget and 750 active grants and

contracts Three ships, multiple underwater vehicles and sensors National Deep Submergence Facility

Page 3: ANOCEAN OF POTENTIAL: THEPROMISE AND PERIL OF … · 4/25/2013  · What is WHOI? Morethan 80 years’ experience studying the ocean and related planetary systems Significantdiscoveries

                                How does WHOI work? : Putting the pieces togetherHow does WHOI work? : Putting the pieces together

Page 4: ANOCEAN OF POTENTIAL: THEPROMISE AND PERIL OF … · 4/25/2013  · What is WHOI? Morethan 80 years’ experience studying the ocean and related planetary systems Significantdiscoveries

      Water: A limited resource

Page 5: ANOCEAN OF POTENTIAL: THEPROMISE AND PERIL OF … · 4/25/2013  · What is WHOI? Morethan 80 years’ experience studying the ocean and related planetary systems Significantdiscoveries

 Ecosystem services

Page 6: ANOCEAN OF POTENTIAL: THEPROMISE AND PERIL OF … · 4/25/2013  · What is WHOI? Morethan 80 years’ experience studying the ocean and related planetary systems Significantdiscoveries

          

         

Ocean heating greater than land‐atmosphere‐ice heating

Source: Church et al., 2011 (right)

Page 7: ANOCEAN OF POTENTIAL: THEPROMISE AND PERIL OF … · 4/25/2013  · What is WHOI? Morethan 80 years’ experience studying the ocean and related planetary systems Significantdiscoveries

                    

                    

     

In seawater, dissolved CO2 forms carbonicacid, which makes the water more acidicIn seawater, dissolved CO2 forms carbonic acid, which makes the water more acidic

Source: Doney et al., 2009

Page 8: ANOCEAN OF POTENTIAL: THEPROMISE AND PERIL OF … · 4/25/2013  · What is WHOI? Morethan 80 years’ experience studying the ocean and related planetary systems Significantdiscoveries

          

               

Demanding more from the ocean: Fisheries

Source: FAO, 2012 (left); Cooley & Doney, 2009 (right)

U.S. ex-vessel revenue ~$4 Billion/year

Page 9: ANOCEAN OF POTENTIAL: THEPROMISE AND PERIL OF … · 4/25/2013  · What is WHOI? Morethan 80 years’ experience studying the ocean and related planetary systems Significantdiscoveries

                How healthy is the ocean? The Ocean Health Index

Source: Halpern et al., 2012

Page 10: ANOCEAN OF POTENTIAL: THEPROMISE AND PERIL OF … · 4/25/2013  · What is WHOI? Morethan 80 years’ experience studying the ocean and related planetary systems Significantdiscoveries

   

       

Marine renewables potential

3000

2500

2000

1500

TWhr/year 1000

500

2457

855 603

250 115 50

Offshore Wind Offshore wind Offshore wind Wave Tidal and Stream Ocean Current OTEC 60-900m 30-60m <30m

Source: Thresher and Musial, 2010

89 0

Page 11: ANOCEAN OF POTENTIAL: THEPROMISE AND PERIL OF … · 4/25/2013  · What is WHOI? Morethan 80 years’ experience studying the ocean and related planetary systems Significantdiscoveries

       

                                                               

                                      

Challenges for marine renewable energy

Ocean is a difficult, highly variable work environment High energy and dynamics of wind, waves, currentsimpacts resiliency and longevity of infrastructure

Costly, difficult access for installation, maintenance Corrosion, biofouling, pressure a constant threat

Unknown impacts on habitats and ecosystems Noise generation Energy removal and transfer (esp. coastal dynamics) EMF effects on benthic biology and behavior

Conflicts with other ocean resources and ecosystemservices

Page 12: ANOCEAN OF POTENTIAL: THEPROMISE AND PERIL OF … · 4/25/2013  · What is WHOI? Morethan 80 years’ experience studying the ocean and related planetary systems Significantdiscoveries

     

 

U.S. offshore wind potential

Source: NREL

Page 13: ANOCEAN OF POTENTIAL: THEPROMISE AND PERIL OF … · 4/25/2013  · What is WHOI? Morethan 80 years’ experience studying the ocean and related planetary systems Significantdiscoveries

                

                                   

                                                 

Lack of data drives up costs of offshore wind development

[The] lack of data drives up the costs of financing offshore wind projects to the point where financing charges account for roughly half of the cost of offshore wind energy. DOE (2011), A National Offshore Wind Strategy: Creating an Offshore Wind Energy Industry in the United States

Source: Dept. of the Interior

Page 14: ANOCEAN OF POTENTIAL: THEPROMISE AND PERIL OF … · 4/25/2013  · What is WHOI? Morethan 80 years’ experience studying the ocean and related planetary systems Significantdiscoveries

                      

                       

Marine renewable energy development needs to consider the potential noise and habitat impacts

Source: Trends in Ecology & Evolution (left); Centre for Intelligent Monitoring Systems (right)

Page 15: ANOCEAN OF POTENTIAL: THEPROMISE AND PERIL OF … · 4/25/2013  · What is WHOI? Morethan 80 years’ experience studying the ocean and related planetary systems Significantdiscoveries

                     

Obtaining baseline information at wind farm sites: Soundscape at Cape Wind project

Source: WHOI (left); Stellwagen Bank National Marine Sanctuary (right)

0 4Time (min)

Freq

uenc

y(k

Hz)

0

6 0 Boat noise Fish sounds

0

8

0 2.6 Time (seconds)

BA

Page 16: ANOCEAN OF POTENTIAL: THEPROMISE AND PERIL OF … · 4/25/2013  · What is WHOI? Morethan 80 years’ experience studying the ocean and related planetary systems Significantdiscoveries

   

 

Hydrokinetic: Wave potential

Source: NREL

Page 17: ANOCEAN OF POTENTIAL: THEPROMISE AND PERIL OF … · 4/25/2013  · What is WHOI? Morethan 80 years’ experience studying the ocean and related planetary systems Significantdiscoveries

     

             

Hydrokinetic: Tidal and Current

Source: Georgia Institute of Technology (left); NOAA (right)

Page 18: ANOCEAN OF POTENTIAL: THEPROMISE AND PERIL OF … · 4/25/2013  · What is WHOI? Morethan 80 years’ experience studying the ocean and related planetary systems Significantdiscoveries

   

     

Site‐specific knowledge crucial

Source: J. Churchill, WHOI

Page 19: ANOCEAN OF POTENTIAL: THEPROMISE AND PERIL OF … · 4/25/2013  · What is WHOI? Morethan 80 years’ experience studying the ocean and related planetary systems Significantdiscoveries

   

                 

Understanding coastal dynamics

Sources: National Park Service Submerged Resource Center (left); WHOI (right)

Page 20: ANOCEAN OF POTENTIAL: THEPROMISE AND PERIL OF … · 4/25/2013  · What is WHOI? Morethan 80 years’ experience studying the ocean and related planetary systems Significantdiscoveries

 

                                                                            

Sediment redistribution

Sources: Courtesy of Aradea R. Hakim (U. Mass. Dartmouth), from Hakim, Cowles and Churchill, The Impact of Tidal Stream Turbines on Circulation and Sediment Transport in Muskeget Channel, MA, submitted to Marine Technology Society Journal (left); Ocean Renewable Power Company (right)

Page 21: ANOCEAN OF POTENTIAL: THEPROMISE AND PERIL OF … · 4/25/2013  · What is WHOI? Morethan 80 years’ experience studying the ocean and related planetary systems Significantdiscoveries

 

   

Biofuels potential

Source: Chisti, 2007

Page 22: ANOCEAN OF POTENTIAL: THEPROMISE AND PERIL OF … · 4/25/2013  · What is WHOI? Morethan 80 years’ experience studying the ocean and related planetary systems Significantdiscoveries

     Hypoxia and “dead zones”

Page 23: ANOCEAN OF POTENTIAL: THEPROMISE AND PERIL OF … · 4/25/2013  · What is WHOI? Morethan 80 years’ experience studying the ocean and related planetary systems Significantdiscoveries

                  

                  

           

Local sources of acidification createadditional impacts in coastal regionsLocal sources of acidification create additional impacts in coastal regions

Source: Kelly et al., 2011 (left);

Page 24: ANOCEAN OF POTENTIAL: THEPROMISE AND PERIL OF … · 4/25/2013  · What is WHOI? Morethan 80 years’ experience studying the ocean and related planetary systems Significantdiscoveries

     Framing the environmental effects

Source: Boehlert and Gill, 2010

Page 25: ANOCEAN OF POTENTIAL: THEPROMISE AND PERIL OF … · 4/25/2013  · What is WHOI? Morethan 80 years’ experience studying the ocean and related planetary systems Significantdiscoveries

   Ocean Observatories Initiative

Page 26: ANOCEAN OF POTENTIAL: THEPROMISE AND PERIL OF … · 4/25/2013  · What is WHOI? Morethan 80 years’ experience studying the ocean and related planetary systems Significantdiscoveries

     Integrating observation with production

Page 27: ANOCEAN OF POTENTIAL: THEPROMISE AND PERIL OF … · 4/25/2013  · What is WHOI? Morethan 80 years’ experience studying the ocean and related planetary systems Significantdiscoveries

     Monitoring capabilities of AUVs

Page 28: ANOCEAN OF POTENTIAL: THEPROMISE AND PERIL OF … · 4/25/2013  · What is WHOI? Morethan 80 years’ experience studying the ocean and related planetary systems Significantdiscoveries

       

 

                   

Environmental monitoring & crisis response

Source: WHOI

Sources (l to r): Oceaneering; Tom Kleindinst, WHOI; Bob Nelson, WHOI

Page 29: ANOCEAN OF POTENTIAL: THEPROMISE AND PERIL OF … · 4/25/2013  · What is WHOI? Morethan 80 years’ experience studying the ocean and related planetary systems Significantdiscoveries

         Under ice the next energy frontier

Sources: NSIDC, 2010 (left); The Politic, 2011 (right)

Page 30: ANOCEAN OF POTENTIAL: THEPROMISE AND PERIL OF … · 4/25/2013  · What is WHOI? Morethan 80 years’ experience studying the ocean and related planetary systems Significantdiscoveries

                                                             

          

Relevant ocean science for marine renewable energy

Physical, chemical, biological context for site selection, construction, operation, maintenance activity

Toxicology, physiology, and behavior of marine organisms Ecological structure of marine communities and systems Vehicles, instruments, sensors, and methods for

surface and sub‐surface engineering

Feedbacks among multiple stressors