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ENERGY Pathways to Sustainable Energy Annual Meeting - Group of Experts on Gas 25 March 2019, Geneva

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Page 1: Annual Meeting - Group of Experts on Gas€¦ · To develop final project outputs together with stakeholders To identify and test key messages and policy recommendations To seek inputs

E N E R G Y

Pathways to Sustainable EnergyAnnual Meeting - Group of Experts on Gas25 March 2019, Geneva

Page 2: Annual Meeting - Group of Experts on Gas€¦ · To develop final project outputs together with stakeholders To identify and test key messages and policy recommendations To seek inputs

Item 4 - Activities of the CSE Pathways Project

2

Page 3: Annual Meeting - Group of Experts on Gas€¦ · To develop final project outputs together with stakeholders To identify and test key messages and policy recommendations To seek inputs

ENERGY

How can the UNECE Region attain Sustainable Energy (SE)? Current Phase: May 2017 – Oct 2019 (further phases planned)

Outputs Pathways and Scenario Development

Sub-regional modelling of SE scenarios to 2050 Policy and technology options

Policy dialogue Adaptive policy pathways Policy dialogues Sub-regional workshops

“Early-warning system” development SE Targets Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) Signposts

https://www.unece.org/energy/pathwaystose.html

Project OverviewPathways to Sustainable Energy

3

Page 4: Annual Meeting - Group of Experts on Gas€¦ · To develop final project outputs together with stakeholders To identify and test key messages and policy recommendations To seek inputs

Purpose of Consultations: To develop final project outputs together with stakeholders

To identify and test key messages and policy recommendations

To seek inputs for future phases of the project, closely aligned to the scope of work of the Committee and its subsidiary bodies

Timeline:

ENERGY

Consultations with Expert Groups

4

Pathways Project – Consultations with Stakeholders

September 25-28, High-Level Political

Dialogue

May 14-15, outreach workshop with member StatesMay 16, Committee on Sustainable Energy open-ended consultation meeting

April 1, webinar on preliminary key findings from

Groups of Experts

Page 5: Annual Meeting - Group of Experts on Gas€¦ · To develop final project outputs together with stakeholders To identify and test key messages and policy recommendations To seek inputs

Item 5 – the Role of Gas in Attaining the SDGs

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Page 6: Annual Meeting - Group of Experts on Gas€¦ · To develop final project outputs together with stakeholders To identify and test key messages and policy recommendations To seek inputs

ENERGY

GHG emissions from the energy system Energy-related air pollution, Water use & water stress

Access to energy services Energy affordability Food security (biomass

use)

Energy for Sustainable

Development

ENERGY FOR QUALITY OF LIFE

ENERGY AND ENVIRONMENT

ENERGY SECURITY

“Secure the energy needed for economic development” Energy Efficiency (energy

intensity of economy, rate of improvement of energy intensity, conversion efficiency)

Pathways Project and Sustainable EnergyThree Pillars

Fuel mix Net energy trade Investment requirements

“Minimize adverse energy system

impacts on climate, ecosystems & human

health”

“Provide affordable energy that is available

for all at all times”

Page 7: Annual Meeting - Group of Experts on Gas€¦ · To develop final project outputs together with stakeholders To identify and test key messages and policy recommendations To seek inputs

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ENERGY

Primary Energy Supply

Primary Energy Supply, UNECEReference Scenario

Page 8: Annual Meeting - Group of Experts on Gas€¦ · To develop final project outputs together with stakeholders To identify and test key messages and policy recommendations To seek inputs

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ENERGY

Electricity Generation

Electricity Generation, UNECEReference Scenario

Page 9: Annual Meeting - Group of Experts on Gas€¦ · To develop final project outputs together with stakeholders To identify and test key messages and policy recommendations To seek inputs

Lunchtime – Brainstorming on the Role of Natural Gas in Achieving 2030 Agenda for

Sustainable Development and the Paris Agreement

9

Page 10: Annual Meeting - Group of Experts on Gas€¦ · To develop final project outputs together with stakeholders To identify and test key messages and policy recommendations To seek inputs

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ENERGY

Primary Energy Supply

Primary Energy Supply, UNECEReference Scenario

Page 11: Annual Meeting - Group of Experts on Gas€¦ · To develop final project outputs together with stakeholders To identify and test key messages and policy recommendations To seek inputs

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ENERGY

Primary Energy Supply

Primary Energy Supply, UNECENDC Scenario

Page 12: Annual Meeting - Group of Experts on Gas€¦ · To develop final project outputs together with stakeholders To identify and test key messages and policy recommendations To seek inputs

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ENERGY

Primary Energy Supply

Primary Energy Supply, UNECEP2C Scenario

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050

Prim

ary

ener

gy s

uppl

y [E

J]

Electricity

Biomass

Wind

Solar

Geothermal

Hydro

Nuclear

Gas

Oil

Coal

Page 13: Annual Meeting - Group of Experts on Gas€¦ · To develop final project outputs together with stakeholders To identify and test key messages and policy recommendations To seek inputs

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ENERGY

Electricity Generation

Electricity Generation, UNECEReference Scenario

Page 14: Annual Meeting - Group of Experts on Gas€¦ · To develop final project outputs together with stakeholders To identify and test key messages and policy recommendations To seek inputs

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ENERGY

Electricity Generation

Electricity Generation, UNECENDC Scenario

Page 15: Annual Meeting - Group of Experts on Gas€¦ · To develop final project outputs together with stakeholders To identify and test key messages and policy recommendations To seek inputs

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ENERGY

Electricity Generation

Electricity Generation, UNECEP2C Scenario

Page 16: Annual Meeting - Group of Experts on Gas€¦ · To develop final project outputs together with stakeholders To identify and test key messages and policy recommendations To seek inputs

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ENERGY

Deep-dive on Gas Project

Role of the role of natural gas in future energy systems

Series of Studies:

• Role of gas in displacing competing fuels

• Role of gas in supporting the uptake of renewable energy

• Penetration of gas into new markets through small-scale LNG and CNG

• Addressing environmental issues associated with natural gas

Page 17: Annual Meeting - Group of Experts on Gas€¦ · To develop final project outputs together with stakeholders To identify and test key messages and policy recommendations To seek inputs

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ENERGY

Deep-dive on Gas Project

Role of gas in displacing competing fuels

Power Sector Transport

What are the implications of moves away from reliance on natural gas to hydrogen and methane-based products on transportation and distribution networks?

What is the commerciality of projects to develop biogas, biomethane and hydrogen?

Page 18: Annual Meeting - Group of Experts on Gas€¦ · To develop final project outputs together with stakeholders To identify and test key messages and policy recommendations To seek inputs

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ENERGY

Deep-dive on Gas Project

Role of gas in supporting the uptake of renewable energy

Interplay

Page 19: Annual Meeting - Group of Experts on Gas€¦ · To develop final project outputs together with stakeholders To identify and test key messages and policy recommendations To seek inputs

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ENERGY

Deep-dive on Gas Project

Penetration of gas into new markets through small-scale LNG and CNG

Page 20: Annual Meeting - Group of Experts on Gas€¦ · To develop final project outputs together with stakeholders To identify and test key messages and policy recommendations To seek inputs

20

ENERGY

Deep-dive on Gas Project

Addressing environmental issues associated with natural gas

Main sources of anthropogenic methaneemissions

Source: Best Practice Guidance for Effective Methane Management in the Oil and Gas

Sector, UNECE 2019

How to balance short- and medium-term gains from using

gas to reduce carbon emissions with the longer-term

consequences of continued use of a emissions-producing

fossil fuel?

Page 21: Annual Meeting - Group of Experts on Gas€¦ · To develop final project outputs together with stakeholders To identify and test key messages and policy recommendations To seek inputs

E N E R G Y

Scott [email protected] Energy DivisionUNECEDate 21 I 02 I 2019, Geneva

Thank you!