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COPYRIGHT AND CITATION CONSIDERATIONS FOR THIS THESIS/ DISSERTATION o Attribution — You must give appropriate credit, provide a link to the license, and indicate if changes were made. You may do so in any reasonable manner, but not in any way that suggests the licensor endorses you or your use. o NonCommercial — You may not use the material for commercial purposes. o ShareAlike — If you remix, transform, or build upon the material, you must distribute your contributions under the same license as the original. How to cite this thesis Surname, Initial(s). (2012) Title of the thesis or dissertation. PhD. (Chemistry)/ M.Sc. (Physics)/ M.A. (Philosophy)/M.Com. (Finance) etc. [Unpublished]: University of Johannesburg. Retrieved from: https://ujdigispace.uj.ac.za (Accessed: Date).

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Page 1: ANC African National Congress

COPYRIGHT AND CITATION CONSIDERATIONS FOR THIS THESIS/ DISSERTATION

o Attribution — You must give appropriate credit, provide a link to the license, and indicate if changes were made. You may do so in any reasonable manner, but not in any way that suggests the licensor endorses you or your use.

o NonCommercial — You may not use the material for commercial purposes.

o ShareAlike — If you remix, transform, or build upon the material, you must distribute your contributions under the same license as the original.

How to cite this thesis

Surname, Initial(s). (2012) Title of the thesis or dissertation. PhD. (Chemistry)/ M.Sc. (Physics)/ M.A. (Philosophy)/M.Com. (Finance) etc. [Unpublished]: University of Johannesburg. Retrieved from: https://ujdigispace.uj.ac.za (Accessed: Date).

Page 2: ANC African National Congress

AN INTEGRATED BENEFICIARY CENTRED

SATISFACTION MODEL FOR PUBLICLY FUNDED

HOUSING SCHEMES IN SOUTH AFRICA

CLINTON OHIS AIGBAVBOA

2013

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AN INTEGRATED BENEFICIARY CENTRED

SATISFACTION MODEL FOR PUBLICLY FUNDED

HOUSING SCHEMES IN SOUTH AFRICA

A thesis presented

by

CLINTON OHIS AIGBAVBOA

to

THE FACULTY OF ENGINEERING AND BUILT

ENVIRONMENT

In fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of

DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY

in the subject of

ENGINEERING MANAGEMENT

UNIVERSITY OF JOHANNESBURG, JOHANNESBURG,

SOUTH AFRICA

PROMOTER: PROF W.D. THWALA

CO-PROMOTER: PROF B. TWALA

2013

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DEDICATION

This thesis is dedicated to my Son (Jehoshua Ohi-Williams Aigbavboa), Wife (Sweeta Vivian

Aigbavboa), and the entire Aigbavboa Williams family; most especially to my Mother and

Brother (father figure) Mansfield Ojo Aigbavboa who denied themselves the necessities of life to

ensure I am educated- thank you for the support and love, without your patience, understanding

and encouragement this study would not have been completed.

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DECLARATION

I, Aigbavboa Clinton Ohis, declare that “An integrated beneficiary centred satisfaction model for

publicly funded housing schemes in South Africa” is my own work and that all the sources that I

have used or quoted have been indicated and acknowledged by means of complete references.

The thesis is submitted in fulfillment of the requirements of the degree Doctor of Philosophy in

Engineering Management.

________________________ ________________________

Clinton Aigbavboa Date

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ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

My gratitude to Jehovah God, my Lord Jesus Christ and the Holy Spirit without Whose grace and

inspiration neither I nor this study would have been conceived, and this task could not have been

completed. There is a South African saying that: “Muthu ndi muthu mga vhanwe vhathu” (A

person is a person because of others) and the same can be said of this study.

This moment in my educational journey is one that I could not have reached without the support

of so many individuals. First, I would like to thank my academic supervisor, adviser and mentor,

Professor Wellington Didibhuku Thwala, for his wise and discerning guidance throughout the

thesis process and the wealth of support since my master’s degree. Thank you Professor for the

National Research Fund grants, numerous recommendations for sponsorship and exposure. I was

able to collect data, buy books, laptop, attend national and international conferences as a result of

your generous financial assistance. Thank you for the valuable time spent to offer professional

advice, insight and motivation until the task was completed. My thanks and deepest appreciation

also goes to the following people and institutions:

My Co-Promoter, Professor Bhekisipho Twala for the valuable time spent to offer expert

advice and insight until the thesis was completed;

The University of Johannesburg for the financial (UJ Merit Award for three years and

Supervisor Linked Bursary’s) assistance and office facilities;

Statkon for data input and analysis. My special gratitude goes to Mr. Richard Devey for

the countless hours spent working with me on structural equation modeling;

Mr Ferdinand Fester, Ms. Shandler Maxine, my Head of Departments, Late Mr Ferdinand

Christopher Abrahams, my former senior course coordinator and Dr Pauline Machika for

the support and numerous time off so that I was able to conduct research;

My work colleagues; Dr Innocent Musonda, Dr Justus Agumba, Kauzya Siwale, Ms.

Maphefo, Nazeem, Mr George Onatu (Head of Department, Town and Regional

Planning), Mr. Aurobindo Ogra, Ms. Jordaan Corlia, Patrick, Angel Khumalo, Sadi

Seyama and Erastus for their encouragement and for making this task easier and

enjoyable;

Also, special thanks goes to the Delphi Study expects who gave their valuable time;

My Pastor Bernard Igwe and his wife Pastor Kristabel Igwe, my Senior Pastor

Christopher Oarhe, for their encouragement, support and prayers;

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My friends, Lerato Ngwenya, Michelle Ayanda, Thuli, Kabelo Lesito, Mailula Kagiso,

Bubu Cromwell, Jessica, Latifah, Koposo, Maake Prudence and others whose

contribution and association made this study a reality; and

My family, the Aigbavboa’s- Caroline & family, Comfort & family, Bose & family,

Peterson Roy & family, Gladys, Solomon Aigbavboa & family, Kunle Okelola &

family, Julius Otoikhian & family, Pastor Jude Oarhe & family, Pastor Glory

Ohiomah & family, Dr Folu Farotimi & family, Dr Deolu Arogundade & family,

Ayotunde Akinradewo & family, Mrs. Fadeke Omatseye and family and others who

are too numerous mention.

--------------------

Aigbavboa, C.O.

November 2013

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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

One of the greatest challenges faced by the post-1994 South African democratic government

is an immense backlog and shortage of housing for poverty-stricken South Africans. Since

1994, the government has embarked on aspiring housing programmes in order to engage in

mass delivery of housing, which was done to fulfill the vision of adequate housing for all, as

reflected in the South African National Housing Policy Framework. Over the last seventeen

years, the programmes have delivered more than 3 million houses to families, who had no

proper housing previously, providing more than 13 million people with secure homes; thus

ensuring that essential services were made available to advance the lives of ordinary people.

This research investigated and modeled subsidised low-income resident’s satisfaction. The

primary aim of the research was to model to what extent dwelling unit features, neighbourhood

features, building quality, services provided by government, beneficiary participation, needs

and expectations predict the occupants’ residential satisfaction, which were classified as the

exogenous variables. A conceptual integrated holistic residential satisfaction model was

developed based on the theory developed from the literature review and the Delphi Study

findings. The Questionnaire Survey was conducted for the purpose of validating the conceptual

model. The survey was conducted in three metropolitan municipalities and one district

municipality in the Gauteng Province of South Africa.

Results from the investigation pertained to three broad areas. The first results related to theory

on housing studies. The findings were that the study addressed the lack of theoretical

information about which factors are most significant in predicting resident satisfaction in

subsidised low-income housing. The findings also revealed the theory that low-income housing

occupants’ satisfaction is multi-faceted and that the latent variables thus lead to residential

satisfaction outcome variables which could be used for residential satisfaction measurement.

The second set of findings relates to the Delphi Study. The findings from this study were that

a number of factors (dwelling unit features, neighbourhood features amongst others),

considered to be paramount determinants of residential satisfaction in South Africa low-income

housing are similar to the determinants in other cultural contexts. Further findings from

literature and the Delphi Study indicated that subsidised low-income housing residential

satisfaction could be a six-factor model defined by the influence of dwelling unit features,

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neighbourhood features, and the other classified exogenous variables. The last set of results

pertained to the Field Questionnaire Survey. Generally, the findings were that the hypothesis

could not be rejected. Hence, it was found that dwelling unit features, and the other exogenous

variables, predict subsidised low-income occupants’ residential satisfaction. The Structural

Equation Modeling results on the model’s goodness-of-fit and statistical significance of

parameter estimates met the cut-off criteria for the hypothesised model’s fit to the sample data.

The study’s contribution to the body of knowledge is significant because it addresses the lack

of theoretical information (historical literature data) about which factors are most significant

in predicting resident satisfaction in subsidised low-income housing. Also, the study developed

a new holistically-integrated residential satisfaction model for prediction of residents’

satisfaction in subsidised low-income housing. The current integrated model advances that

residential satisfaction is a six-factor construct, with the inclusion of two new variables,

namely: beneficiary participation and needs and expectations. Previous studies have tried to

model satisfaction using other variables without the inclusion of the present two additional

variables. This study has thus shown that there are more than one factor that influences resident

satisfaction with the dwelling unit. Another noteworthy contribution to the body of knowledge

is in the methodology adopted. The literature review revealed lack of evidence, suggesting that

a Mixed Method of using the Delphi Study and SEM had been used before in South African

housing studies. Hence, this study offers a base for other researchers to use as a follow-up for

future studies.

Therefore, the study recommends that governmental, corporate, institutional and community

policy makers should consider the empirically tested constructs as they plan for, and implement

subsidised housing programmes, designed to enhance the quality of life of the poor and low-

income groups. The results of this study should constitute a reference of guidance in

developing countries’ low-income housing policies. The factors that increase residents’

satisfaction should also be taken into consideration in future planning. Consequently, housing

planners, designers and other stakeholders will be able to contribute to the ways of solving and

improving the low-income groups’ quality of life and level of satisfaction by carefully

regarding the factors that determine residents’ satisfaction in housing. Stakeholders and

institutions, who are involved in the planning process, should consider the contemporary

factors revealing residents’ preferences about housing satisfaction as part of the planning input,

so as to increase the level of housing satisfaction.

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Likewise, the validated conceptual model of residents’ satisfaction with their houses which has

been formulated in this study will provide a reference for the researchers who will study

housing satisfaction in the future. Furthermore, the future of subsidised low-income housing in

South Africa should be responsive to the six-factor model and especially to the beneficiaries’

participation and the assessment of their needs and expectations as these are considered vital

in the total housing provision. Thus, the development of low-income housing projects should

take into account the needs of the residents more than their effective demand for housing.

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LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS

ANC African National Congress

ANOVA Analysis of Variance

BNP Beneficiaries’ Participation

BNG Breaking New Ground

BQF Building Quality Features

CHB Central Housing Board

CIA Central Intelligence Agency

CFI Comparative Fit Index

CFA Confirmatory Factor Analysis

COSATU Congress of South Africa Trade Union

CSIR Council for Scientific Institute for Research

DF Degree of Freedom

DHA Department of Human Settlement

DM District Municipality

DUF Dwelling Unit Features

EPHP Enhanced People’s Housing Process

EQS EQations Software

FCT Federal Capital Territory

FHA Federal Housing Authority

FSP Family Support Programme

GHS General Household Survey

GLM General Linear Modelling

GFI Goodness of Fit Index

GoG Government of Ghana

HSS Housing Subsidy Scheme

IHP Inclusionary Housing Policy

UISP Informal Settlements Upgrading Programme

IDP Integrated Development Plan

IHHSD Integrated Housing and Human Settlement Development

IRDP Integrated Residential Development Programme

IQD Interquartile Deviation

LM Lagrange Multiplier

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MI Measurement Invariance

MM Metropolitan Municipality

MOWH Ministry of Works and Housing

MAR Missing at Random

MCAR Missing Completely at Random

MM Mixed Method

MANOVA Multivariate Analysis of Variance

NHC National Housing Code

NHF National Housing Forum

NHSS National Housing Subsidy Scheme

NNS National Norms and Standards

NDF Neighbourhood Features

NGOs Non-Governmental Organisations

PHP People’s Housing Process

RDP Reconstruction and Development Programme

RS Residential Satisfaction

RML Robust Maximum Likelihood

RMSEA Root Mean Square Error of Approximation

S – Bχ2 Satorra-Bentler Scaled Chi-square

SPG Services Provided by Government

SSNIT Social Security and National Insurance Trust

SA South Africa

SD Standard Deviation

SRMR Standardised Root Mean Square Residual

SHC State Housing Corporation

SPSS Statistical Analysis Software Package

SAP Structural Adjustment Programme

SIP Sustainable Ibadan Project

SEM Structural Equation Modeling

SCP Sustainable Cities Programme

TDC Tema Development Corporation

UK United Kingdom

UN United Nations

UNCHS United Nations Centre for Human Settlement

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UNDP United Nations Development Programme

US United States

UMP Urban Management Programme

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

Contents Page No

DEDICATION...................................................................................................................................... II

DECLARATION................................................................................................................................ III

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS .............................................................................................................. IV

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ............................................................................................................... VI

LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS ........................................................................................................... IX

TABLE OF CONTENTS ................................................................................................................. XII

LIST OF TABLES ........................................................................................................................... XIX

LIST OF FIGURES ......................................................................................................................XXIII

LIST OF MAPS .............................................................................................................................. XXV

LIST OF APPENDICES .............................................................................................................. XXVI

CHAPTER ONE ................................................................................................................................... 1

INTRODUCTION ................................................................................................................................. 1

1.1 BACKGROUND........................................................................................................................... 1

1.1.1 RESIDENTIAL SATISFACTION ............................................................................................. 1

1.1.2 HOUSING ADEQUACY ISSUES ............................................................................................ 8

1.2 THE RESEARCH PROBLEM STATEMENT ....................................................................... 11

1.3 AIM OF THE STUDY ............................................................................................................... 12

1.4 RESEARCH MOTIVATION .................................................................................................... 13

1.5 SIGNIFICANCE OF THE STUDY .......................................................................................... 13

1.6 THE STUDY ............................................................................................................................... 14

1.6.1 RESEARCH QUESTIONS .................................................................................................... 14

1.6.2 RESEARCH OBJECTIVES ................................................................................................... 15

1.6.3 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY ............................................................................................ 16

1.6.4 RESULTS .......................................................................................................................... 21

1.6.5 DELIMITATION OF THE STUDY ......................................................................................... 22

1.7 ETHICAL STATEMENT ......................................................................................................... 24

1.8 STRUCTURE OF THE THESIS .............................................................................................. 24

1.9 CONCLUSION ........................................................................................................................... 27

CHAPTER TWO ................................................................................................................................ 28

THEORETICAL AND CONCEPTUAL PERSPECTIVES OF RESIDENTIAL

SATISFACTION RESEARCH ......................................................................................................... 28

2.1 INTRODUCTION ...................................................................................................................... 28

2.2 SATISFACTION THEORY AND DEFINITION ................................................................... 28

2.2.1 APPROACHES TO THE STUDY OF SATISFACTION ............................................................. 31

2.2.1.1 Assimilation Theory ................................................................................................... 31

2.2.1.2 Contrast Theory ......................................................................................................... 32

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2.2.1.3 Assimilation-Contrast Theory .................................................................................... 33

2.2.1.4 Negative Theory ......................................................................................................... 34

2.2.2 FURTHER APPROACHES TO THE STUDY OF SATISFACTION ............................................ 35

2.3 ASSESSING RESIDENTIAL SATISFACTION .................................................................... 38

2.3.1 WHAT IS A THEORY? ....................................................................................................... 38

2.3.2 RESIDENTIAL SATISFACTION RESEARCH ........................................................................ 39

2.3.3 PROBLEMS RAISED IN RESIDENTIAL SATISFACTION STUDY ........................................... 46

2.3.3.1 Definition of residential environment ........................................................................ 46

2.3.3.2 Interaction between the Resident’s and their Residential Environment ..................... 47

2.3.4 METHODOLOGICAL ISSUES IN THE STUDY OF RESIDENTIAL SATISFACTION ................... 49

2.3.5 RESIDENTIAL SATISFACTION CONCEPTUAL MODELS ..................................................... 51

2.3.5.1 Michelson’s Integrated Model .................................................................................... 51

2.3.5.2 Onibokun ‘Habitability’ Model ................................................................................... 52

2.3.5.3 Marans-Rodger Model ................................................................................................ 52

2.3.5.4 Path Analysis Model ................................................................................................... 53

2.3.5.5 Housing Adjustment Model ......................................................................................... 54

2.3.5.6 Francescato Model ..................................................................................................... 55

2.3.5.7 Weidemann and Anderson Model ............................................................................... 56

2.3.5.8 Marans and Sprecklemeyer ‘Inclusive’ Model ........................................................... 56

2.3.6 MEASURING RESIDENTIAL SATISFACTION ...................................................................... 58

2.3.7 MEASURING RESIDENTIAL QUALITY AND ADEQUACY (SATISFACTION) ........................ 60

2.3.8 DETERMINANTS OF RESIDENTIAL SATISFACTION ........................................................... 62

2.4 CONCLUSION ........................................................................................................................... 64

CHAPTER THREE ............................................................................................................................ 66

GAPS IN RESIDENTIAL SATISFACTION RESEARCH ............................................................ 66

3.1 INTRODUCTION ...................................................................................................................... 66

3.2 GAPS IN RESIDENTIAL SATISFACTION CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK ................. 66

3.3 GAP ONE: UNDERSTANDING BENEFICIARY’S NEEDS AND EXPECTATIONS ..... 67

3.3.1 SATISFYING HOUSING NEEDS AND EXPECTATIONS ........................................................ 75

3.4 GAP TWO: UNDERSTANDING PARTICIPATION OF BENEFICIARY ........................ 77

3.4.1 ORIGIN OF BENEFICIARY PARTICIPATION ....................................................................... 79

3.4.1.1 Participation as Good Development Project Practice ............................................... 79

3.4.1.2 Participation as Good Governance ............................................................................ 80

3.4.1.3 Participation as Political Empowerment .................................................................... 81

3.4.2 BENEFICIARY PARTICIPATION DEFINED ......................................................................... 82

3.4.3 THE LEGISLATIVE AND POLICY FRAMEWORK FOR PARTICIPATION IN SOUTH AFRICA .. 87

3.4.4 BENEFICIARY PARTICIPATORY PROCESS IN SOUTH AFRICA ........................................... 90

3.4.5 LEVELS OF BENEFICIARY PARTICIPATION ...................................................................... 92

3.4.6 BENEFICIARY EMPOWERMENT ........................................................................................ 97

3.4.7 BENEFITS OF BENEFICIARY BARTICIPATION ................................................................... 98

3.4.7.1 Normative Benefits ..................................................................................................... 98

3.4.7.2 Pragmatic Benefits ..................................................................................................... 99

3.4.8 BENEFICIARY PARTICIPATION IN HOUSING DEVELOPMENT ......................................... 100

3.5 CONCLUSION ......................................................................................................................... 100

CHAPTER FOUR ............................................................................................................................. 102

HOUSING RESEARCH THEORY ................................................................................................ 102

4.1 INTRODUCTION .................................................................................................................... 102

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4.2 HOUSING THEORETICAL FRAMEWORK ...................................................................... 102

4.2.1 THEORETICAL PERSPECTIVE OF HOUSING STUDY ........................................................ 104

4.2.1.1 Neo-Classical Perspective ....................................................................................... 106

4.2.1.2 Institutional Perspective .......................................................................................... 108

4.2.1.3 Neo-Marxist Perspective .......................................................................................... 111

4.2.1.4 Economic Perspective .............................................................................................. 114

4.2.1.5 Social Perspective – The right “to Adequate Housing” .......................................... 117

4.2.2 METHODOLOGIES IN HOUSING STUDIES ....................................................................... 118

4.2.2.1 Positivist Methodology ............................................................................................ 120

4.2.2.2 Social Constructionist Methodology ........................................................................ 122

4.3 WHAT IS HOUSING POLICY .............................................................................................. 125

4.4 THE EVOLUTION OF HOUSING POLICY FRAMEWORK .......................................... 128

4.5 FORMS OF HOUSING POLICY .......................................................................................... 131

4.5.1 PUBLIC HOUSING ........................................................................................................... 132

4.5.2 AIDED SELF-HELP .......................................................................................................... 134

4.5.3 MARKET ENABLING STRATEGY .................................................................................... 136

4.6 OBJECTIVES OF HOUSING POLICY ................................................................................ 138

4.7 THE PURPOSE OF HOUSING POLICY ............................................................................. 139

4.8 HOUSING POLICY INSTRUMENTS .................................................................................. 141

4.9 CONCLUSION ......................................................................................................................... 143

CHAPTER FIVE .............................................................................................................................. 144

HOUSING IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES – AN AFRICAN EXPERIENCE ....................... 144

5.1 INTRODUCTION .................................................................................................................... 144

5.2 HOUSING IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES ....................................................................... 144

5.3 NIGERIA .................................................................................................................................. 150

5.3.1 BACKGROUND ............................................................................................................... 151

5.3.2 HOUSING IN NIGERIA .................................................................................................... 152

5.3.3 PHILOSOPHICAL BASIS FOR HOUSING DEVELOPMENT IN NIGERIA ............................... 155

5.3.4 THE HISTORY OF HOUSING POLICY IN NIGERIA ........................................................... 156

5.3.5 HOUSING POLICY IN NIGERIA........................................................................................ 162

5.3.6 CHALLENGES FACING THE PROVISION OF HOUSING IN NIGERIA .................................. 165

5.3.7 PROGRAMMES SUPPORTING HOUSING CREATION IN NIGERIA ..................................... 166

5.3.8 HOUSING IN NIGERIA – NEED, DEMAND AND SUPPLY .................................................. 168

5.3.9 LESSONS LEARNT FROM NIGERIAN HOUSING STUDIES ................................................ 171

5.4 GHANA ..................................................................................................................................... 172

5.4.1 BACKGROUND ............................................................................................................... 173

5.4.2 HOUSING IN GHANA ...................................................................................................... 174

5.4.3 PHILOSOPHICAL BASIS FOR HOUSING DEVELOPMENT IN GHANA ................................ 176

5.4.4 HISTORY AND DEVELOPMENT OF HOUSING POLICY IN GHANA ................................... 177

5.4.5 HOUSING POLICY IN GHANA ......................................................................................... 184

5.4.6 CHALLENGES FACING THE PROVISION OF HOUSING IN GHANA ................................... 185

5.4.7 HOUSING IN GHANA – NEEDS, DEMAND AND SUPPLY .................................................. 186

5.4.8 LESSONS LEARNT FROM GHANA HOUSING STUDIES .................................................... 187

5.5 HOUSING POLICY ISSUES: NIGERIA AND GHANA .................................................... 188

5.6 CONCLUSION ......................................................................................................................... 189

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CHAPTER SIX ................................................................................................................................. 190

HOUSING IN SOUTH AFRICA ..................................................................................................... 190

6.1 INTRODUCTION .................................................................................................................... 190

6.2 HOUSING POLICY TRENDS IN SOUTH AFRICA .......................................................... 190

6.2.1 THE EVOLUTION OF HOUSING POLICY IN SOUTH AFRICA ............................................ 192

6.2.2 HOUSING STATUTORY AND POLICY FRAMEWORK IN SOUTH AFRICA .......................... 196

6.2.2.1 Constitution of the Republic of South Africa (1996) ................................................ 198

6.2.2.2 The Housing Act (1997) ........................................................................................... 200

6.2.2.3 National Housing Code (2000, revised in 2009) ..................................................... 202

6.2.2.4 National Housing Programmes ............................................................................... 203

6.3 HOUSING POLICY PROGRESS IN SOUTH AFRICA (1994 – 2010) ............................. 216

6.3.1 NATIONAL HOUSING FORUM (1992-1994) .................................................................... 217

6.3.2 WHITE PAPER ON HOUSING (1994) ............................................................................... 220

6.3.3 BREAKING NEW GROUND (2004) .................................................................................. 222

6.4 HOUSING DELIVERY AND BACKLOGS .......................................................................... 226

6.4.1 HOUSING DELIVERY SINCE 1994 ................................................................................... 227

6.5 HOUSING DELIVERY IN SOUTH AFRICA ...................................................................... 229

6.5.1 STATE SUBSIDISED HOUSING IN SOUTH AFRICA .......................................................... 229

6.6 LESSONS LEARNT FROM SOUTH AFRICA HOUSING STUDIES .............................. 234

6.7 CONCLUSION ......................................................................................................................... 236

CHAPTER SEVEN ........................................................................................................................... 238

RESEARCH METHODOLOGY .................................................................................................... 238

7.1 INTRODUCTION .................................................................................................................... 238

7.2 QUANTITATIVE VERSUS QUALITATIVE RESEARCH METHODOLOGY ............. 238

7.3 PHILOSOPHICAL CONSIDERATIONS IN RESEARCH METHODOLOGY .............. 239

7.3.1 ONTOLOGICAL CONSIDERATION ................................................................................... 239

7.3.2 EPISTEMOLOGY ............................................................................................................. 241

7.3.3 QUANTITATIVE METHODOLOGY ................................................................................... 241

7.3.4 QUALITATIVE METHODOLOGY ..................................................................................... 243

7.3.5 COMBINED QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE METHODS ........................................... 246

7.3.6 MIXED METHOD APPROACH ......................................................................................... 247

7.3.7 JUSTIFICATION OF THE MIXED METHOD APPROACH .................................................... 250

7.4 RESEARCH DESIGN ............................................................................................................. 251

7.4.1 METHODS ...................................................................................................................... 257

7.4.2 LITERATURE REVIEW .................................................................................................... 257

7.4.3 THE DELPHI METHOD .................................................................................................... 259

7.4.3.1 Epistemological Approach towards the Delphi Design ........................................... 264

7.4.3.2 When to use the Delphi Technique ........................................................................... 265

7.4.3.3 Components of the Delphi Technique ...................................................................... 266

7.4.3.4 Designing, Constructing and Executing the Delphi Study ....................................... 268

7.4.3.5 Specific Objectives of the Delphi ............................................................................. 285

7.4.3.6 Computation of Data from Delphi Study ................................................................. 288

7.4.3.7 Determination of Consensus from the Delphi Process ............................................ 289

7.4.3.8 Reliability and Validity of the Delphi Method ......................................................... 291

7.4.4 QUESTIONNAIRE SURVEY .............................................................................................. 292

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7.4.4.1 Questionnaire Survey Instrument ............................................................................ 296

7.4.4.2 Variables .................................................................................................................. 298

7.4.4.3 Population ................................................................................................................ 301

7.4.4.4 Sample Frame .......................................................................................................... 302

7.4.4.5 Sampling Method ..................................................................................................... 303

7.4.4.6 Sample Size .............................................................................................................. 305

7.4.4.7 Sample Selection ...................................................................................................... 307

7.4.4.8 Site Visits.................................................................................................................. 307

7.4.4.9 Fieldworkers ............................................................................................................ 308

7.4.4.10 Pilot Study ................................................................................................................ 309

7.4.4.11 Data Collection ......................................................................................................... 310

7.4.4.12 Data Analysis from Questionnaire Survey ................................................................ 311

7.4.4.13 Ethical Considerations ............................................................................................. 321

7.4.4.14 Reliability and Validity of the Questionnaire Survey ................................................ 321

7.4.4.15 Generalisability ........................................................................................................ 323

7.5 CONCLUSION ......................................................................................................................... 323

CHAPTER EIGHT ........................................................................................................................... 324

RESULTS FROM THE DELPHI STUDY ..................................................................................... 324

8.1 INTRODUCTION .................................................................................................................... 324

8.2 BACKGROUND TO THE DELPHI SURVEY ..................................................................... 324

8.3 FINDINGS FROM THE DELPHI STUDY ........................................................................... 328

8.4 DISCUSSION OF DELPHI RESULTS ................................................................................. 357

8.5 CONCLUSION ......................................................................................................................... 378

CHAPTER NINE .............................................................................................................................. 379

THE CONCEPTUAL INTEGRATED RESIDENTIAL SATISFACTION MODEL ................ 379

9.1 INTRODUCTION .................................................................................................................... 379

9.2 SELECTION OF VARIABLES FOR RESIDENTIAL SATISFACTION ......................... 379

9.2.1 DWELLING UNIT FEATURES (DUF) ............................................................................... 380

9.2.2 NEIGHBOURHOOD FEATURES (NDF) ............................................................................ 383

9.2.3 BUILDING QUALITY FEATURES (BQF) .......................................................................... 385

9.2.4 SERVICES PROVIDED BY GOVERNMENT (SPG) ............................................................. 386

9.3 MODEL SPECIFICATION AND JUSTIFICATION .......................................................... 386

9.4 STRUCTURAL COMPONENT OF THE MODEL ............................................................. 389

9.5 MEASUREMENT COMPONENT OF THE MODEL ........................................................ 390

9.6 CONCLUSION ......................................................................................................................... 391

CHAPTER TEN ................................................................................................................................ 392

SURVEY RESULTS ......................................................................................................................... 392

10.1 INTRODUCTION ............................................................................................................... 392

10.2 DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS ............................................................................................ 392

10.3 INFERENTIAL STATISTICS ........................................................................................... 398

10.3.1 STRUCTURAL EQUATION MODELLING (SEM) .............................................................. 398

10.3.2 CONFIRMATORY FACTOR ANALYSIS OF THE LATENT CONSTRUCT .............................. 402

10.3.3 FIT STATISTICS ON MEASUREMENT MODELS (CFA) .................................................... 403

10.3.3.1 Measurement Model for Dwelling Unit Features (DUF) Construct ........................ 403

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10.3.3.2 Measurement Model for Need and Expectation (NAE) Construct ............................ 409

10.3.3.3 Measurement Model for Beneficiary Participation (BNP) Construct ...................... 415

10.3.3.4 Measurement Model for Building Quality Feature (BQF) Construct ...................... 420

10.3.3.5 Measurement Model for Neighbourhood Features (NDF) Construct ...................... 426

10.3.3.6 Measurement Model for Service Provided by Government (SPG) Construct .......... 432

10.3.3.7 Measurement Model for Residential Satisfaction (RS) Outcome Variables ............. 438

10.3.4 STRUCTURAL MODEL – TESTING OF THE HYPOTHESISED SEM MODEL ...................... 445

10.3.5 HYPOTHESISED RELATION FOR THE STRUCTURAL MODEL .......................................... 447

10.3.6 FIT STATISTICS ON THE STRUCTURAL MODEL .............................................................. 447

10.3.6.1 Analysis of Residual Covariance Estimate ............................................................... 451

10.3.6.2 Structural Model Goodness-of-Fit statistics – Robust Maximum Likelihood ........... 451

10.3.6.3 Internal Reliability and Construct Validity of the SEM Model ................................. 453

10.3.6.4 Structural Model Hypothesis Testing ........................................................................ 454

10.3.6.5 Summary on SEM Model .......................................................................................... 459

10.4 CONCLUSION .................................................................................................................... 460

CHAPTER ELEVEN ........................................................................................................................ 461

DISCUSSION OF RESULTS .......................................................................................................... 461

11.1 INTRODUCTION ............................................................................................................... 461

11.2 QUESTIONNAIRE SURVEY RESULTS ......................................................................... 461

11.2.1 DWELLING UNIT FEATURES INFLUENCE ON BENEFICIARY’S RESIDENTIAL

SATISFACTION ................................................................................................................................ 462

11.2.2 BUILDING QUALITY FEATURES INFLUENCE ON BENEFICIARY’S RESIDENTIAL

SATISFACTION ................................................................................................................................ 464

11.2.3 NEIGHBOURHOOD FEATURES INFLUENCE ON BENEFICIARY’S RESIDENTIAL

SATISFACTION ................................................................................................................................ 466

11.2.4 BENEFICIARIES PARTICIPATION INFLUENCE ON RESIDENTIAL SATISFACTION ............. 468

11.2.5 NEEDS AND EXPECTATION INFLUENCE ON RESIDENTIAL SATISFACTION .................... 471

11.2.6 SERVICE PROVIDED BY GOVERNMENT INFLUENCE ON RESIDENTIAL SATISFACTION .. 473

11.2.7 EXTENT THE HYPOTHESISED INTEGRATED MODEL FIT THE IDENTIFIED FACTORS ...... 474

11.3 QUESTIONNAIRE AND DELPHI SURVEY RESULTS ............................................... 476

11.4 CONCLUSION .................................................................................................................... 476

CHAPTER TWELVE ...................................................................................................................... 478

CONCLUSIONS ............................................................................................................................... 478

12.1 INTRODUCTION ............................................................................................................... 478

12.1.1 RESEARCH OBJECTIVE RO1 .......................................................................................... 478

12.1.2 RESEARCH OBJECTIVE RO2 .......................................................................................... 479

12.1.3 RESEARCH OBJECTIVE RO3 & RO4 .............................................................................. 479

12.1.4 RESEARCH OBJECTIVE RO5 .......................................................................................... 480

12.1.5 RESEARCH OBJECTIVE RO6 .......................................................................................... 481

12.2 CONTRIBUTION AND VALUE OF THE RESEARCH ................................................ 481

12.2.1 THEORETICAL CONTRIBUTION AND VALUE .................................................................. 481

12.2.2 METHODOLOGICAL CONTRIBUTION AND VALUE ......................................................... 482

12.2.3 PRACTICAL CONTRIBUTION AND VALUE ...................................................................... 483

12.3 RECOMMENDATIONS ..................................................................................................... 485

12.3.1 METHODOLOGICAL ....................................................................................................... 485

12.3.2 THEORETICAL ................................................................................................................ 485

12.3.3 POLICY IMPLICATION AND PRACTICAL RECOMMENDATION ........................................ 486

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12.4 LIMITATIONS .................................................................................................................... 487

12.5 RECOMMENDATIONS FOR FURTHER RESEARCH ................................................ 488

12.6 CONCLUSION .................................................................................................................... 489

REFERENCES .................................................................................................................................. 492

APPENDIX A .................................................................................................................................... 539

APPENDIX B .................................................................................................................................... 540

APPENDIX C .................................................................................................................................... 541

APPENDIX D .................................................................................................................................... 543

APPENDIX E .................................................................................................................................... 557

APPENDIX F .................................................................................................................................... 576

APPENDIX G .................................................................................................................................... 577

APPENDIX H .................................................................................................................................... 586

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LIST OF TABLES

TABLE 2.1: INDIVIDUAL CONCEPTUALIZATION OF RESIDENTIAL SATISFACTION MODELS ................. 57

TABLE 3.1: LADDER OF CITIZEN EMPOWERMENT ................................................................................. 94

TABLE 3.2: A LADDER OF PARTICIPATION ............................................................................................ 95

TABLE 4.1: THE EVOLUTION OF HOUSING POLICY ............................................................................. 130

TABLE 5.1: PERFORMANCE OF PUBLIC HOUSING IN NIGERIA (1960- 2010) ....................................... 160

TABLE 5.2: MAJOR HOUSING POLICY STEPS IN NIGERIA (1928- 2010) .............................................. 163

TABLE 6.1: IRDP HOUSING SUBSIDY QUANTUM AMOUNTS FOR THE 2009/2010 FINANCIAL YEAR ... 209

TABLE 6.2: EPHP HOUSING SUBSIDY QUANTUM AMOUNTS FOR THE 2009/2010 FINANCIAL YEAR ... 212

TABLE 6.3: BREAKING NEW GROUND ELEMENTS AND OBJECTIVES ................................................... 223

TABLE 6.4: ESTIMATED HOUSING DELIVERY FROM 2008 TO 2014 (DHS) ......................................... 228

TABLE 7.1: RESEARCH PROCEDURE .................................................................................................... 256

TABLE 7.2: DELPHI QUESTION FORMULATION .................................................................................... 269

TABLE 7.3: RESIDENTIAL LOCATION OF EXPERTS ............................................................................... 275

TABLE 7.4: QUALIFICATION OF EXPERT’S PANELIST .......................................................................... 276

TABLE 7.5: EXPERT’S PANELIST FIELD OF SPECIALIZATION ............................................................... 276

TABLE 7.6: EXPERT’S PANELIST YEARS OF EXPERIENCE .................................................................... 277

TABLE 7.7: EXPERT’S PANELLIST PUBLICATION HISTORY .................................................................. 277

TABLE 7.8: INFLUENCE OR LIKELIHOOD SCALE .................................................................................. 283

TABLE 7.9: IMPACT SCALE .................................................................................................................. 283

TABLE 7.10: CONCEPTUAL MODEL INDICATOR VARIABLES ............................................................... 299

TABLE 7.11: STUDY POPULATION AND SAMPLE ................................................................................. 303

TABLE 7.12: CUT-OFF CRITERIA OF FIT STATISTICS ............................................................................ 318

TABLE 8.1: DWELLING UNIT ATTRIBUTES .......................................................................................... 330

TABLE 8.2: NEIGHBOURHOOD AND ENVIRONMENTAL CHARACTERISTICS ........................................ 331

TABLE 8.3: HOUSEHOLD CHARACTERISTICS ...................................................................................... 332

TABLE 8.4: SOCIAL FEATURE ASPECTS .............................................................................................. 333

TABLE 8.5: BUILDING QUALITY ASPECTS .......................................................................................... 334

TABLE 8.6: COMMUNITY SERVICES PROVIDED BY GOVERNMENT ..................................................... 335

TABLE 8.7: FACTORS THAT MAKES SUBSIDISED HOUSING UNSUSTAINABLE IN SOUTH AFRICA ........ 339

TABLE 8.8: PREFERRED NATIONAL HOUSING DELIVERY PROGRAMME THAT WILL BETTER SERVE THE

LOW-INCOME GROUPS ................................................................................................................ 344

TABLE 8.9: PREFERRED NATIONAL HOUSING DELIVERY MODEL ...................................................... 344

TABLE 8.10: CURRENT NATIONAL, PROVINCIAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT HOUSING DEVELOPMENT

ISSUES ......................................................................................................................................... 351

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TABLE 8.11: FORECASTED NATIONAL, PROVINCIAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT HOUSING

DEVELOPMENT ISSUES ................................................................................................................ 352

TABLE 8.12: PARAMOUNT NEED OF THE POOR AND LOW-INCOME ASIDE HOUSING ........................... 357

TABLE 9.1: CONCEPTUAL MODEL LATENT CONSTRUCTS .................................................................. 381

TABLE 9.2: FACTORS OF RESIDENTIAL SATISFACTION ....................................................................... 388

TABLE 10.1: RESPONDENTS’ DEMOGRAPHIC AND SOCIO-ECONOMIC CHARACTERISTICS ................. 393

TABLE 10.2: AVAILABLE DWELLING UNIT FEATURES ....................................................................... 396

TABLE 10.3: AVAILABLE DWELLING UNIT SERVICES FEATURES ....................................................... 396

TABLE 10.4: AVAILABLE PRIVATE / PUBLIC NEIGHBOURHOOD FEATURES ....................................... 397

TABLE 10.5: AVAILABLE GOVERNMENT NEIGHBOURHOOD FEATURES ............................................. 397

TABLE 10.6: UNIVARIATE AND MARDIA’S NORMALIZED MULTIVARIATE ESTIMATES ..................... 401

TABLE 10.7: POSTULATED DWELLING UNIT FEATURES MODEL ........................................................ 404

TABLE 10.8: RESIDUAL COVARIANCE MATRIX FOR DWELLING UNIT MODEL (UNSTANDARDIZED) 405

TABLE 10.9: RESIDUAL COVARIANCE MATRIX FOR DWELLING UNIT MODEL (STANDARDIZED) ..... 405

TABLE 10.10: ROBUST FIT INDEXES FOR DWELLING UNIT FEATURES CONSTRUCT .......................... 406

TABLE 10.11: FACTOR LOADING AND Z-STATISTICS OF DWELLING UNIT FEATURES MEASUREMENT

MODEL ....................................................................................................................................... 407

TABLE 10.12: RELIABILITY AND CONSTRUCT VALIDITY OF DWELLING UNIT FEATURE MODEL ...... 408

TABLE 10.13: POSTULATED NEEDS AND EXPECTATION MODEL ........................................................ 410

TABLE 10.14: RESIDUAL COVARIANCE MATRIX FOR NEEDS AND EXPECTATION MODEL

(UNSTANDARDIZED) ................................................................................................................... 411

TABLE 10.15: RESIDUAL COVARIANCE MATRIX FOR NEEDS AND EXPECTATION MODEL

(STANDARDIZED) ....................................................................................................................... 411

TABLE 10.16: ROBUST FIT INDEXES FOR NEEDS AND EXPECTATIONS CONSTRUCT .......................... 412

TABLE 10.17: FACTOR LOADING AND Z-STATISTICS OF NEEDS AND EXPECTATION MEASUREMENT

MODEL ....................................................................................................................................... 413

TABLE 10.18: RELIABILITY AND CONSTRUCT VALIDITY OF NEEDS AND EXPECTATION MODEL ...... 414

TABLE 10.19: POSTULATED BENEFICIARY PARTICIPATION MODEL ................................................... 416

TABLE 10.20: RESIDUAL COVARIANCE MATRIX FOR BENEFICIARY PARTICIPATION

(UNSTANDARDIZED) ................................................................................................................... 416

TABLE 10.21: RESIDUAL COVARIANCE MATRIX FOR BENEFICIARY PARTICIPATION (STANDARDIZED)

.................................................................................................................................................... 417

TABLE 10.22: ROBUST FIT INDEXES FOR BENEFICIARY PARTICIPATION CONSTRUCT ......................... 418

TABLE 10.23: FACTOR LOADING AND Z-STATISTICS OF BENEFICIARY PARTICIPATION MEASUREMENT

MODEL ....................................................................................................................................... 419

TABLE 10.24: RELIABILITY AND CONSTRUCT VALIDITY OF BENEFICIARY PARTICIPATION MODEL . 420

TABLE 10.25: POSTULATED BUILDING QUALITY FEATURES MODEL ................................................. 421

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TABLE 10.26: RESIDUAL COVARIANCE MATRIX FOR BUILDING QUALITY FEATURE MODEL

(UNSTANDARDIZED) ................................................................................................................... 422

TABLE 10.27: RESIDUAL COVARIANCE MATRIX FOR BUILDING QUALITY FEATURE MODEL

(STANDARDIZED) ....................................................................................................................... 422

TABLE 10.28: ROBUST FIT INDEXES FOR BUILDING QUALITY FEATURES CONSTRUCT ..................... 423

TABLE 10.29: FACTOR LOADING AND Z-STATISTICS OF BUILDING QUALITY FEATURES

MEASUREMENT MODEL ............................................................................................................. 424

TABLE 10.30: RELIABILITY AND CONSTRUCT VALIDITY OF BUILDING QUALITY FEATURE MODEL . 426

TABLE 10.31: POSTULATED NEIGHBOURHOOD FEATURES MODEL .................................................... 427

TABLE 10.32: RESIDUAL COVARIANCE MATRIX FOR NEIGHBOURHOOD FEATURE MODEL

(UNSTANDARDIZED) ................................................................................................................... 428

TABLE 10.33: RESIDUAL COVARIANCE MATRIX FOR NEIGHBOURHOOD FEATURE MODEL

(STANDARDIZED) ....................................................................................................................... 428

TABLE 10.34: ROBUST FIT INDEXES FOR NEIGHBOURHOOD FEATURE CONSTRUCT .......................... 429

TABLE 10.35: FACTOR LOADING AND Z-STATISTICS OF NEIGHBOURHOOD FEATURES MEASUREMENT

MODEL ....................................................................................................................................... 430

TABLE 10.36: RELIABILITY AND CONSTRUCT VALIDITY OF NEIGHBOURHOOD FEATURE MODEL .... 432

TABLE 10.37: POSTULATED SERVICES PROVIDED BY GOVERNMENT MODEL ................................... 433

TABLE 10.38: RESIDUAL COVARIANCE MATRIX FOR SERVICES PROVIDED BY GOVERNMENT MODEL

(UNSTANDARDIZED) ................................................................................................................... 434

TABLE 10.39: RESIDUAL COVARIANCE MATRIX FOR SERVICES PROVIDED BY GOVERNMENT MODEL

(STANDARDIZED) ....................................................................................................................... 434

TABLE 10.40: ROBUST FIT INDEXES FOR SERVICES PROVIDED BY GOVERNMENT CONSTRUCT ........ 435

TABLE 10.41: FACTOR LOADING AND Z-STATISTICS OF SERVICES PROVIDED BY GOVERNMENT

MEASUREMENT MODEL ............................................................................................................. 436

TABLE 10.42: RELIABILITY AND CONSTRUCT VALIDITY OF SERVICES PROVIDED BY GOVERNMENT

MODEL ....................................................................................................................................... 437

TABLE 10.43: POSTULATED RESIDENTIAL SATISFACTION MANIFEST MODEL ................................... 439

TABLE 10.44: RESIDUAL COVARIANCE MATRIX FOR RESIDENTIAL SATISFACTION MODEL

(UNSTANDARDIZED) ................................................................................................................... 439

TABLE 10.45: RESIDUAL COVARIANCE MATRIX FOR RESIDENTIAL SATISFACTION MODEL

(STANDARDIZED) ....................................................................................................................... 440

TABLE 10.46: ROBUST FIT INDEXES FOR RESIDENTIAL SATISFACTION CONSTRUCT ........................... 441

TABLE 10.47: FACTOR LOADING AND Z-STATISTICS OF RESIDENTIAL SATISFACTION MEASUREMENT

MODEL ....................................................................................................................................... 442

TABLE 10.48: RELIABILITY AND CONSTRUCT VALIDITY OF RESIDENTIAL SATISFACTION MODEL ... 443

TABLE 10.49: RELIABILITY AND CONSTRUCT VALIDITY OF THE LATENT VARIABLES ...................... 445

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TABLE 10.50: ROBUST FIT INDEXES FOR STRUCTURAL MODEL 2.0 ................................................... 452

TABLE 10.51: MODEL 2.0 FACTOR LOADINGS AND Z-STATISTICS ..................................................... 456

TABLE 10.52: MODEL 2.0 FACTOR LOADINGS, Z-STATISTICS, VARIANCE ACCOUNTED FOR &

RELIABILITY AND CONSTRUCT VALIDITY ................................................................................... 458

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LIST OF FIGURES

FIGURE 2.1: ACSI MODEL FOR GOVERNMENT AGENCIES .................................................................... 38

FIGURE 3.1: HOUSING NEEDS ORDER ................................................................................................... 70

FIGURE 5.1: SUSTAINABLE MASS HOUSING DELIVERY FRAMEWORK ............................................... 170

FIGURE 7.1: VISUAL MODEL OF MIXED METHODS DESIGN ............................................................... 248

FIGURE 7.2: STEPS IN THE RESEARCH DESIGN PROCESS ...................................................................... 253

FIGURE 7.3: RESEARCH DESIGN OUTLINE .......................................................................................... 258

FIGURE 7.4: DIAGRAM OF THE DELPHI PROCESS ................................................................................ 272

FIGURE 7.5: EXPERT’S PANEL CONTRIBUTION TO THE ABOVE MENTIONED PUBLICATIONS .............. 278

FIGURE 7.6: OUTLINE OF DELPHI PROCESS ......................................................................................... 284

FIGURE 8.1: INFLUENCE OF CORE ATTRIBUTES ON RESIDENTIAL SATISFACTION IN SOUTH AFRICA

LOW-INCOME HOUSING OCCUPANTS .......................................................................................... 329

FIGURE 8.2: ECONOMIC FEATURES ..................................................................................................... 333

FIGURE 8.3: PERSONALITY VARIABLES .............................................................................................. 335

FIGURE 8.4: AESTHETICS VARIABLES ................................................................................................. 336

FIGURE 8.5: LOCATION VARIABLES .................................................................................................... 336

FIGURE 8.6: HEALTH (PERSONAL AND ENVIRONMENTAL) FEATURES VARIABLES ............................. 337

FIGURE 8.7: HOUSING POLICY INSTRUMENTS .................................................................................... 342

FIGURE 8.8: DOMINANCE OF PUBLIC HOUSING (SUBSIDY SCHEME) .................................................. 342

FIGURE 8.9: LACK OF ATTENTION NO OTHER POLICY INSTRUMENTS.................................................. 343

FIGURE 8.10: SOUTH AFRICA HOUSING DELIVERY SYSTEM .............................................................. 346

FIGURE 8.11: WAITING TIME ON HOUSING DATABASE ...................................................................... 348

FIGURE 8.12: PREDICTION OF CURRENT GOVERNMENT PUBLIC HOUSING SUBSIDY MODEL ............ 349

FIGURE 8.13: STATE SUBSIDISED PUBLIC HOUSING BEING THE MAJOR DELIVERY MODEL .............. 350

FIGURE 8.14: STATE SUBSIDISED PUBLIC HOUSING BEING THE MAJOR DELIVERY MODEL ................. 353

FIGURE 8.15: EFFECT OF BENEFICIARY PARTICIPATION IN RESIDENTIAL SATISFACTION ................... 354

FIGURE 8.16: BENEFICIARY PRIOR EXPOSURE TO HOUSING ................................................................ 355

FIGURE 8.17: LOW-INCOME BENEFICIARY HOUSING ORDER NEEDS ................................................... 356

FIGURE 8.18: HOUSING AS PARAMOUNT NEED OF THE POOR AND LOW-INCOME GROUPS IN SOUTH

AFRICA ....................................................................................................................................... 356

FIGURE 9.1: AN INTEGRATED CONCEPTUAL MODEL OF RESIDENTIAL SATISFACTION ...................... 390

FIGURE 10.1: SURVEY LOCATIONS ...................................................................................................... 393

FIGURE 10.2: MEASUREMENT MODEL OF DWELLING UNIT FEATURES ................................................ 403

FIGURE 10.3: MEASUREMENT MODEL OF NEEDS AND EXPECTATION ................................................ 410

FIGURE 10.4: MEASUREMENT MODEL OF BENEFICIARY PARTICIPATION .......................................... 415

FIGURE 10.5: MEASUREMENT MODEL OF BUILDING QUALITY FEATURES ........................................ 421

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FIGURE 10.6: MEASUREMENT MODEL OF NEIGHBOURHOOD FEATURES ........................................... 427

FIGURE 10.7: MEASUREMENT MODEL OF SERVICES PROVIDED BY GOVERNMENT ............................. 433

FIGURE 10.8: MEASUREMENT MODEL OF RESIDENTIAL SATISFACTION MANIFEST SONSTRUCT ...... 438

FIGURE 10.9: HYPOTHESISED MODEL OF RESIDENTIAL SATISFACTION ............................................. 447

FIGURE 10.10: MODEL 2.0 - INTEGRATED HOLISTIC RESIDENTIAL SATISFACTION MODEL............... 449

FIGURE 10.11: MODEL 2.0 - INTEGRATED HOLISTIC RESIDENTIAL SATISFACTION MODEL

COVARIANCES ASSOCIATION ..................................................................................................... 450

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LIST OF MAPS

Map 1: Map of Nigeria……………………………………………………………..……………...…155

Map 2: Map of Ghana..………………………………………………………………………………178

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LIST OF APPENDICES

APPENDIX A Invitation Letter to Participate in a Delphi Study

APPENDIX B Request for Expert’s Curriculum Vitae

APPENDIX C Delphi Method and Application to this Study Background

Information

APPENDIX D Delphi Instructions for Round One and Questionnaire

APPENDIX E Delphi Instructions for Round Two and an example of

completed Questionnaire with Group Median

APPENDIX F Instructions to Experts on Delphi Study Round Three

APPENDIX G Research Introduction Letter and Questionnaire

APPENDIX H Model 2.0 Residual Covariance Matrixes (S-Sigma)

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CHAPTER ONE

INTRODUCTION

1.1 BACKGROUND

The thesis studied the residential satisfaction of public housing beneficiaries’ in developing

nations, using South Africa as a case study. This first chapter is a collection of basic background

information for the research. It starts with research about the contextual background and further

brief supporting aspects in literature.

1.1.1 Residential Satisfaction

Residential satisfaction is defined by Galster (1987) as the perceived gap between a

respondent’s needs and aspiration and the reality of the current residential context. McCray

and Day (1977) also refer to housing satisfaction as the degree of contentment experienced by

an individual or a family member with regard to the current housing situation. Satsangi and

Kearns (1992) and Lu (1999) assert that housing satisfaction is a complex attitude. Hence,

Onibokun (1974) posits that residential satisfaction encompasses satisfaction with the dwelling

unit and the entire neighbourhood. Likewise, Ogu (2002) informs that the concept of residential

satisfaction is often employed to evaluate residents’ perceptions of and feelings for their

housing units and the environment. Lastly, the concept of housing satisfaction has also been

used as a key predictor of an individual’s perceptions of general ‘quality of life’ (Campbell et

al., 1976; cited in Djebarni & Al-Abed, 2000). Scholars such as Andrews and Whitney (1976),

Morris, Crull & Winter (1976), Kleinhans (2007) and Diaz-Serrano (2006) also affirms that

residents’ perception of their environment defines the quality of their lives and determine the

propensity to move.

Research on residential satisfaction has been a major topic in various disciplines such as

sociology, psychology, planning, and geography (Baillie & Peart, 1992; Bruin & Cook, 1997;

Canter & Rees, 1982; Cutter, 1982; Galster & Hesser, 1981; Marans & Rodgers, 1975; Nathan,

1995; Weidemann & Anderson, 1985). In addition, Yiping (2005) states that most of the social

psychology scholars that have dominated satisfaction research vary from consumer

satisfaction, job satisfaction, to patient satisfaction. An understanding of people’s satisfactory

evaluation toward a product or a service is believed to bring improvements, which could thus

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be found and allocated to the right place and direction, which will improve the effectiveness of

the production or service provision. As such, residential satisfaction research deals with the

occupants’ satisfaction of the, and aims to inform policy and planning intervention.

Furthermore, Lu (1999) posits that the motivation for the high interest and popularity of

residential satisfaction is twofold. First, residential satisfaction is recognized as an important

component of an individuals’ general quality of life; arguing that for most people, housing is

the largest consumption item in their lifetime. Secondly, a home is the place where one most

often finds refuge, rest and satisfaction (Adams, 1984). This means that the degree to which an

individual’s needs and aspirations are met by their housing condition is a concern for

researchers but most importantly for housing developers, planners and specifically for the

Departments of Human Settlement (DHS). This is because the DHS are vested with the

responsibility of policy formulation and implementation of housing delivery programmes for

the low-income groups, as well as the society at large.

Similarly, Nathan (1995) found that in housing programmes targeting the low-income groups,

measures of residential satisfaction will provide additional insights regarding individuals’

experience with housing, and can be used to evaluate the success of the programmes and set

the tone for future developments. Secondly, individuals’ subjective evaluations of their

housing, determine the way they respond to the residential environment and form the basis of

demand for public action (Dahmann, 1985). Speare’s (1974), Mohit, Ibrahim and Rashid

(2010) and Lawhon (2009) findings support this idea, informing that in ‘behavioral

conceptualization’ of migration, low levels of residential satisfaction precede housing and

mobility behaviour. That is, if individuals feel dissatisfied with their current housing situation,

they may well consider relocating and actually moving to a different unit or location. However,

Rory, Maarten and Peteke (2010) in their work on longitudinal analysis of moving desires,

expectations and actual moving behaviour, revealed that housing dissatisfaction, and especially

dissatisfaction with the neighbourhood strongly increases the propensity to desire a move, but

not to expect a move, and the propensity to desire and expect a move. It is further emphasized

in contrast to other previous research that dissatisfaction has a much smaller effect on expecting

an undesired move. Hence, housing dissatisfaction, is closely associated with moving desires,

but not with moving expectations, except when expectations are simultaneously stated with a

desire.

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Despite a sizeable amount of literature that has developed in this field, an understanding of

how individuals form their residential satisfaction is still inadequate. An obvious sign of this

inadequacy is the existence of inconsistent, sometimes even conflicting, research results about

the factors that shape the residents’ level of satisfaction with their housing and neighbourhood.

This may be as a result of the differences in samples, most samples were not representative of

the population being investigated and the way the key variables were defined, but it may also

be because of how the data was analyzed, hence the current study is determined to overcome

these problems in order to achieve a better understanding of constructs that determines low-

income housing beneficiary satisfaction.

The study of residential satisfaction in developed nations was fostered by two phenomena.

According to Campbell et al. (1976), the first was the postwar housing boom of the 1950s,

early 1960s and the new residential environment through growth of suburban development.

Next is the plight of central city residents under the active programme of slum clearance and

central city rebuilding. Likewise, urban development in developed countries over the years is

similar to the low-income and the large scale inner city redevelopment currently taking place

in cities like Johannesburg, Durban, and Cape Town amongst others in South Africa and in

other developing nations. This has also fostered the increase in the study of how residential

satisfaction is created in developing countries. This thesis is focused on exploring whether

residents are satisfied with the redeveloped and newly built environment low-income housing,

in order to inform policy-making process. There has been much discussion about residents’

satisfaction in South Africa, but the majority has centered on measuring residents satisfaction

in the informal settlement areas and privately owned low-income estates. Only a few studies

have been done with regard to subsidised low-income schemes, with the major focus of the

research being done on the post-occupancy evaluation of the residences, where residential

satisfaction was treated as a sub-objective in these studies (Aigbavboa, 2010; Darkwa, 2006;

Ria & Bontle, 2004). Also, the work of Westaway (2006) on the longitudinal investigation of

satisfaction in a Soweto informal settlement, focused on the effect of satisfaction with personal

and environmental quality of life. The study is aimed to ascertain group and time effects on

satisfaction with personal and environmental domains of quality of life, and to determine

personal and environmental predictors of life and neighbourhood satisfaction in the informal

settlement. From the longitudinal study, it was found that the group from the squatter camp had

the lowest levels of satisfaction with their personal and environmental quality of life. The group

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was found to be the most disadvantaged in this regard, when compared with the relocated, the

awaiting relocation and the site tenure allocated groups.

Furthermore, Robin, Brian and Kingstone (2007) also measured the quality of life in three

informal settlements in South Africa. In their work, they focused on the factors that are most

important in improving the quality of life of residents in informal housing, as well as the main

obstacles to a better quality of life. Likewise, Moller and Saris (2001) in their work on the

relationship between subjective well-being and domain satisfaction in South Africa explored

the effect of domain satisfaction of finances, housing and social contrast in relation with the

developed countries. However, Ria and Bontle (2004) in their work on the post-occupancy

evaluation of the Hope City Housing Complex (a private low-income housing estate), found

that the residents of the housing estates were satisfied with the facilities in the dwelling units,

the complex and the management components of the estate. Despite the residents being

satisfied with their overall housing situations, it was observed that females were less satisfied

than male. Hence, since no study relating to the absolute study of residential satisfaction in

state subsidized low-income housing in South Africa is available, this study intends to fill the

gap in this area.

Housing occupants responses’ that determines residential satisfaction towards a given housing

situation has been a subject of dispute over time amongst many researchers. Rosenberg and

Hovland (1960; cited in Yiping, 2005) inform that social psychologists generally categorize

people’s responses to any social or physical object into three kinds: the affective, the cognitive

and the conative or behavioral. Affect refers to a person’s feeling towards and evaluation of

some object, person, issue, or event. The cognitive denotes his or her knowledge, opinions,

beliefs, and thoughts about the object. Lastly, conation refers to his or her behavioral intentions

and actions with respect to or in the presence of the object. These three categories provide a

useful framework in understanding and testing of the theoretical development underpinning

residential satisfaction research (Francescato et al. 1987; Weidemann & Anderson, 1985). Kim

(1997) informs that these categories also provide an understanding of the relationships between

objective conditions, subjective experiences and the level of satisfaction with the people’s

living environment. As a result, residential satisfaction is not only used as an indicator in

evaluating housing policies, but also as a predictor of housing quality, propensity to mobility

and the quality of life and well-being of the residents. High residential satisfaction levels have

been considered an indication of the success of specific policies, programmes or designs.

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Hence, an understanding of the factors that facilitate a satisfied or dissatisfied response can

play a critical part in making successful housing policy decisions.

Furthermore, there is no consensus about what type of evaluation residential satisfaction is.

Whilst some authors conceive residential satisfaction as a purely cognitive evaluation (Canter

& Rees, 1982; Mandler, 1984; Oseland 1990), others have held that it is affect (Weidemann &

Anderson, 1985). However, authors like Francescato et al. (1989) do not think that evaluation

such as satisfaction can be neatly separated into cognition or affect. In addition, satisfaction

studies have been approached from two main perspectives over time namely; satisfaction as a

measure of the degree to which the environment facilitates or inhabits the goal of the user,

called the purposive approach (Canter & Rees, 1982; Oseland, 1990), and those which conceive

satisfaction as a measure of the gap between consumer actual and aspired needs called the

Aspiration-Gap Approach (Galster, 1987). The implication of the purposive approach is that

researchers emphasize goals or associated activities in relation to the attributes of the physical

environment. This approach is entrenched in a cognitive view. However, it is useful because it

assists researchers in understanding the degree to which different aspects and roles of users

contribute to their satisfaction. In addition, people are not only goal-oriented but they have

affective relationships with the environment (or any psychological object), usually involved

with comparisons. This is the comparison between what the beneficiaries have and what they

would like to have or have previously experienced. This is the proposition on which the

Aspiration-Gap methodology is based and the more common conceptual frameworks of

residential satisfaction (Galster, 1987; Morris & Winter, 1975; Weidemann and Anderson,

1985) have all conceived residential satisfaction from this perspective. Also, Morris and Winter

(1975, 1978) and Morris and Jakubczak, (1988) introduced the notion of ‘housing deficit’ and

conceptualize residential satisfaction as a dynamic process. In their housing adjustment theory

of residential mobility, they theorize that individuals judge their housing condition according

to normatively defined norms, which are dictated by societal standards or rules for life

conditions, and family/personal norms, which amounts to household’s own standards for

housing. This means that when the housing norms are met, the household is likely to express a

high level of satisfaction with the housing and the surrounding neighbourhood. On the other

hand, an incongruity between the actual housing situation and housing norms results in a

housing deficit, which gives rise to residential dissatisfaction, leading to some form of housing

adjustments that may be either in situ, such as revising their housing needs and aspirations in

order to reconcile the incongruity, to improve their housing conditions through remodeling, or

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else they may move to another place and bring their housing into conformity with their

aspirations or needs (Morris & Winter, 1978).

In addition, a more vigorous view of residential satisfaction was developed by Francescato et

al. (1989) when they conceptualized residential satisfaction as an attitude and a multifaceted

construct, which has cognitive, affective and conative dimensions. In their work on evaluating

the built environment from the user’s point of view, they assert that this definition of residential

satisfaction is more comprehensive and that it accounts for the low predictive strength of the

construct in previous studies. Residential satisfaction has also been conceptualized as a multi-

dimensional construct (Bonaiuto et al., 1999), focusing on different specific aspects of a place,

such as the spatial features, human features, and functional features. Various attributes of

housing to which users respond to, in relation to satisfaction are categorized according to a

number of dimensions. Canter and Rees (1982:185) referred to these attributes as the “referent

of interaction”, whilst Francescato (2002) referred to them as the territory of the location.

Generally, these attributes have been categorized in the literature as social/psychological,

management/organizational and physical attributes. Social attributes include privacy,

relationship with neighbours, safety and security, social densities, freedom of choice, social

relations and personalization (Francescato et al., 1979; Rent & Rent, 1978; Spencer & Barneji,

1985). The management attributes usually examined are rules and regulations, maintenance,

management staff and policies, participation and rents (Paris & Kangari, 2006). However, the

physical attributes have received less attention in literature. They usually include the lack or

presence of certain facilities, spatial density, location and size of the bedroom (Galster, 1987;

Kahana et al., 2003; Peck & Stewart, 1985; Turkoglu, 1997). Other physical attributes used in

the literature include the appearance of the building and the floor level (Kaya & Erkip, 2001).

This study will help to bridge the gap that has been created in this area, as the physical attributes

of the subsidised low-income houses being used as a case study will be explored in greater

detail on how they influence housing satisfaction.

On the other hand, physical attributes are not so simple to measure in a way that data may be

obtained about them with confidence (Francescato, 2002). This is why very few physical

characteristics have been examined in most studies on residential satisfaction. An important

physical characteristic, which is not often used in evaluating satisfaction, is the morphological

configuration. Morphological configuration is referred to in architecture as typologies. These

are the spatial and organizational forms of the building, based on certain physical

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characteristics. This is an important aspect of the design of buildings. However, it is usually

the ‘type of house’, which has usually been examined in satisfaction studies. The ‘type of

house’ refers to terraces, apartments, single family houses or duplexes. The differences

between these house types are more or less functional, rather than morphological. This

classification is not useful in all contexts of housing and especially not in the context of mass

low-income housing, where functional differences do not exist. However, differences in the

morphological characteristics of buildings need to be captured for the purpose of evaluation.

Contrary to some studies (Day, 2000; Francescato et al., 1979), which found that, the type of

site layout (site morphology) and the type of housing (low rise/high rise and detached/attached)

were not predictors of satisfaction. There is enough evidence however to suggest that the

morphological configuration of the residence would significantly affect the level of satisfaction

(Davis & Roizen, 1970; Gifford, 1997:204; Hourihan, 1984). For example, Baum and Valins

(1977) and Baum and Davis (1980) have shown that the length of the corridor of dormitories

has a significant influence on the perception of crowding. In addition, whenever residential

satisfaction has been examined, it usually focused on one (but rarely more than one) of the

levels of the environment, which also refers to as the scale of the environment (Aragones et al.,

2002) or levels of environmental interaction (Canter & Ress, 1982) with very little

differentiation between the levels. In other words, the focus has been on satisfaction with a

level (or scale) of the physical environment, such as the dwelling unit, the neighbourhood, the

community or country of residence. The current thesis differentiates morphological

configuration of the subsidised low-income housing from the physical attributes of the dwelling

units.

Likewise, various demographic characteristics such as sex, age, length of residence, socio-

economic status, race and ethnicity, which influence housing satisfaction, have also been

studied, which researchers have found that they also influence the satisfaction level of housing

units. However, as noted earlier, not much evidence is available on residential satisfaction for

state subsidized low-income housing schemes in South Africa. It is not certain whether the

characteristics, which predict satisfaction for residents in private medium-income and private

low-income housing, informal settlements, and rented apartments would also predict

satisfaction for the beneficiaries of state subsidized low-income housing units in a developing

country context, using South Africa as a case study.

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1.1.2 Housing Adequacy Issues

Housing production, access and affordability and maintaining existing dwellings in habitable

conditions has been the emphasis of government policies and programmes designed to help the

most poor and those that cannot access housing in South Africa. The United Nations Centre

for Human Settlements (2003) informs that in spite of the national and international efforts

aimed at developing appropriate shelter policies and strategies, no effective remedy has been

found to cure housing ills, as little consideration is most times placed on the issue of the

satisfaction of the beneficiaries and occupants of the housing projects. There are at least two

concerns about housing: one is quantitative – too few housing units for those needing them;

that is, the number of houses provided do not meet the demands for the low-income group. The

other concern is qualitative/- the housing units being provided are unsuitable for the

beneficiaries (the housing type not being satisfactory to the beneficiaries housing needs, even

though there is an improvement of comfort compared to most publicly funded beneficiaries’

former housing situations). Quantitative problems come and go cyclically, depending on the

economy and on the extent of population changes. However, qualitative problems always seem

to stay with us. But their nature however, changes from decade to decade. Qualitative concerns

are very important as it influences the quality of life and affects the psychosocial aspects of the

inhabitants.

Housing has been a major concern for all people in the world, as it has always been considered

as a basic human need. According to Yong (2008) housing fulfills physical needs by providing

security and shelter from the weather and climate and fulfills psychological needs by providing

a sense of personal space and privacy. Housing in South Africa emphasizes the provision of

adequate, affordable and quality houses for all, with a particular emphasis on the low-income

groups, as determined in the South Africa Constitution of 1996 and the Housing White Paper

Policy Framework of 1994. Yong (2008) further emphasized that industrialization and

urbanization have been some of the influencing factors contributing to the acute housing

demand amongst the lower and middle income groups in cities and other larger urban

agglomerations of many developing countries. However, the general demand for housing in

the urban areas far outstrips supply, which in most times is due to the scarcity of suitable

residential land and competing land uses in the urban areas of developing countries. Therefore,

in spite of the South African government commitment and effort in providing adequate,

affordable and quality houses with emphasis on the development of low-income houses for the

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poor, the houses are still not enough. Also, there are complaints about the housing products

being delivered in the generally housing sector to fully meet the housing need of the low-

income group.

Low-income housing provision has been a major focus of the government in post-apartheid

urban South Africa, as the government attempts to address the historical race-based

inequalities, poor municipal service provision and contemporary rapid urbanization. The South

Africa Housing White Paper of 1994 (Republic of South Africa, 1994), which has undergone

several modifications, prioritized the needs of the poor, encouraged community participation

and the involvement of the private sector, and committed to deliver one million houses in the

first five years (Jenkins, 1999) after the democratic elections. The delivery of one million

houses has since been surpassed. But, the housing needs of the poor and their participation in

the process has not been fully incorporated into the developmental process, resulting in

complaints with the delivered housing products. Since 1994, the low-income housing

programme has mostly involved building serviced townships on urban peripheries, which in

itself presents a myriad of environmental, social and political concerns. Despite this problem,

by the end of 2010, government had built and handed out more than three million houses,

giving shelter to more than 13,5 million people, free of charge, according to the Department of

Human Settlement (2010). Many problems with the process have become clear as the

progression has unfolded. These problems according to Jenkins (1999), include:

1. new houses and infrastructure are of poor quality, and are rapidly deteriorating and

require maintenance;

2. new houses and Human Settlement Development continue placing the poor and low-

income blacks in ‘ghettos’ on urban peripheries, far from jobs and services;

3. people dislike the model of housing used, and would prefer larger houses (the main

model was first changed in 1998 when the Department of Housing, now the Department

of Human Settlement increased the minimum size of new houses to 30m2, and was

further increased in 2004, during the launching of the Breaking New Ground Policy, to

40m2);

4. the dominant model of free-hold tenure inadequately deals with the dynamics of

poverty, and several categories of the poor, such as temporary workers and many

women, which would be better served by rental accommodation as opposed to giving

them houses;

5. because of these problems, people often sell or rent out their low-income houses bought

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through the subsidy, and move back to squatter or other informal settlements closer to

economic activities; and

6. environmental concerns regarding the new developments include increases in vehicular

traffic caused by urban sprawl and land use changes.

Aigbavboa’s (2010) findings on the post occupancy experience of government housing subsidy

beneficiaries verified the above problems. The study found that most of the occupants in the

South Africa Government Reconstruction and Development Programme (RDP) Housing

Scheme are dissatisfied with the characteristics in the dwelling unit, such as the size of the unit

and inadequacy of rooms in some units. Also, Husna and Nurijan (1987) from their first study

of residential satisfaction of public low-cost flat dwellers in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia found

that most beneficiaries of the public low-cost flats were also dissatisfied with the characteristics

in the dwelling unit, because there were no dining spaces; bathroom and toilet were

incorporated together in the units. These findings are thus not met making the outcome of the

policies guiding public-funded housing schemes unfulfilled. This further revealed that good

and quality housing is a reflection of the well-being of the community, which refers to the

residents’ acceptance of the houses and what housing provides for the people. Determinants of

good housing can be accessed through the investigation of the satisfaction levels perceived by

the housing residents, through the objective and subjective measures of the right domains that

can determine satisfaction in a given context, like the present studies focusing on subsidized

public housing in South Africa. Further, Marans and Rodger (1975) assert that the concept of

housing satisfaction has been used as an ad-hoc evaluative measure for judging the success of

housing developments constructed by the public sector, which enhances the image of the

housing provider, the public, and contributes towards good housing environment.

However, the success of publicly funded housing schemes does not only depend on just the

provision of housing units, but also on other factors that affect the needs and requirements of

the beneficiaries. The failure of many laudable housing projects in developing countries may

be attributed to the lack of knowledge on the determinants of housing satisfaction. This is

because beneficiaries’ satisfaction reflects the degree to which individuals’ housing needs are

fulfilled, which acts as a guide to policy makers to monitor the implementation of low-income

housing policies and in effect, the quality of life of the people. An understanding of how

individuals form their housing satisfaction is important because the subjective evaluations

determines housing adjustment and mobility behaviour and are the basis of demand for public

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action. The knowledge is also used to design more effective housing programmes and to avoid

problems that may result because of the perceptions of the planners and policy makers that do

not always coincide with those of the residents.

1.2 THE RESEARCH PROBLEM STATEMENT

It has been shown that residential satisfaction is a very important issue. It is important because

it deals with the housing occupants’ satisfaction, and aims to inform policy and planning

intervention. Similarly, it has also been revealed that measures of residential satisfaction will

provide additional insights regarding individuals’ experience with housing, and can be used to

evaluate the success of the programmes. Also, occupants’ objective and subjective evaluations

of their housing units determines the way in which they respond to the residential environment

and form the basis of demand for public action.

It has also been shown that despite the numerous empirical studies that have been conducted

on residential satisfaction, there is still confusion on the attributes that determine residential

satisfaction. This is because very few researchers have organized these variables into a model,

so as to be able to study and analyze, as a guide, the relationships produced amongst them.

Also, in spite of the sizeable amount of literature that is available in this field, an understanding

of how individuals form their residential satisfaction in public provided subsidised low-income

housing is still inadequate. It is also clear from the background to this study that other studies

that have been conducted on residential satisfaction in South Africa have centered on

measuring residents satisfaction in the informal settlement areas and privately owned medium

and low-income estates with only a few making reference to subsidised low-income housing

as a sub-objective in the studies. Furthermore, the method that was used in these studies may

not always be completely successful. An obvious sign of this inadequacy is the existence of

inconsistent, sometimes even conflicting, research results about the factors that shape

individuals’ satisfaction with their housing units and neighbourhood. This may be as result of

the differences in samples; as the sample for most studies might not be representative of the

population under study and the way the key variables were defined. It may also be because of

how residential satisfaction was treated in the global context of the studies or how the data was

analyzed. Hence, the current study is determined to overcome these problems in order to

achieve a better understanding of the constructs that determine public funded low-income

beneficiaries’ housing satisfaction. Moreover, residential satisfaction of low-income housing

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in the developing countries, using South Africa as a case study, is still a major concern and the

Human Settlement Department yearns for this to be a thing of the past through programmes

and interventions that are being developed daily and those already implemented.

Therefore the problem that has been addressed in this study may be stated as follows:

Given that the previous models of residential satisfaction established in the developed countries

cannot be relied upon in developing countries, and the findings of what determines residential

satisfaction in public funded low-income housing in developing countries are rarely known

from the previously conducted research, the lack of research into the overall impact and

influence of the direct and holistic active involvement of residential satisfaction constructs, and

the absence of a residential satisfaction model in subsidised low-income housing, the

achievement of occupants’ residential satisfaction is unlikely.

The above problem will be addressed in this study, as outlined in the next sections.

1.3 AIM OF THE STUDY

The research aim of this study is to examine the organize the relationship between publicly

funded beneficiaries dwelling units, neighbourhood and environment facilities, building

quality; which are the essential variables that have been measured in the majority of previous

studies, to develop a holistic integrated residential satisfaction model. The study also takes into

consideration the beneficiaries’ needs and expectations and meaningful consultation with the

beneficiaries (participation), which are all classified as the exogenous variables and their role

in predicting overall beneficiaries’ satisfaction (endogenous variable). This was achieved by

constructing a cohesive model to measure beneficiaries’ satisfaction. The model that was

constructed aided in determining and measuring housing satisfaction in low-income housing

areas among low-income groups. Because these are the groups who usually cannot move away

if they are dissatisfied with the areas or housing units they live in, because of where most of

them are coming from. Also, their economic ability for alternative housing is limited, as most

probably depend on the government for provision of housing. The integrated model when

correctly applied will help to avoid mistakes that have been previously made and will inform

new publicly funded housing schemes, to be developed. The proposed model is context specific

as it relates to the South Africa housing situation.

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1.4 RESEARCH MOTIVATION

Since no study of residential (beneficiaries’) satisfaction in publicly funded housing in South

Africa is available, the study hopes to fill the gap in this area. Furthermore, the motivation

behind this research is to determine the level of the beneficiaries’ satisfaction in publicly

funded housing schemes in South Africa. The relationship of the exogenous variables, which

are grouped into six components, namely, dwelling unit, neighbourhood and environmental

features, services provided by government, building quality, beneficiaries participation, needs

and expectations (beneficiaries’ participation, needs and expectation are the new attributes

peculiar to the present model to be developed as it has not been previously considered in the

foregoing models of residential satisfaction in the literature); and there resultant influence on

the endogenous variables (residential satisfaction) will be examined. Since there is some

disagreement between researchers as to the relative importance (influence) of the variables,

apart from the new inclusions; the research will assess these housing satisfaction variables and

measure all of them to determine their level of influence (impact) in predicting residential

satisfaction. The principle components of the factors affecting the beneficiaries’ satisfaction

will also be examined.

1.5 SIGNIFICANCE OF THE STUDY

A gap exists in literature on the determinants of residential satisfaction in subsidised low-

income housing in developing countries. This study therefore contributed to existing

knowledge by establishing the factors that determine residential satisfaction in subsidised low-

income housing by establishing the impact of the factors, classified as exogenous variables in

the thesis. In addition, instead of using the existing models as conceptualized for the developed

countries and using instruments such as SERVQUAL amongst others, factors of residential

satisfaction, which have not been considered in previous studies holistically, were evaluated as

outcome variables. The study further used an innovative mixed methodology of Delphi and

Structural Equation Modeling to analyse and model subsidised low-income residential

satisfaction.

Hence, the study adds new knowledge on the factors that determine residential satisfaction in

subsidised low-income housing. The innovative method and the outcome variable measures

used in the study also contribute to the existing body of knowledge on residential (housing)

satisfaction determinants. Similar to the empirical study, a critical literature review on

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residential satisfaction and housing research theory expanded existing knowledge by providing

synthesized literature that will be useful for improving low-income housing in South Africa

and in other developing countries.

Since the governments of developing countries’ and most specifically the South African

government have been actively providing subsided public housings in different types of

development projects in various locations in South Africa. Therefore, it is important to assess

whether or not these government development projects have met the needs and expectations of

the users. Particularly on the low-income housing development programmes; that came into

being after the draft and implementation of the new Housing Policy Framework in South Africa

in 1994. Also, it is paramount for the government to know, which attributes bring about

residential satisfaction in the constructed low-income housing. This study thus measured the

success of the government body (Department of Human Settlement - DHS) that has been

entrusted with the responsibility of delivering affordable quality housing for the low income

group. The study further provides a guide of vital factors to consider in low-income housing

development. For most individuals, housing is one of the largest investment items of their

lifetime and, as a result satisfaction with their housing situation, is an important component of

their quality of life and well-being.

1.6 THE STUDY

1.6.1 Research Questions

Based on the research problem statement and aim of the study, a few research sub-questions

emerged as stated below:

RQ1 To determine whether the extent of beneficiary’s residential satisfaction is

influenced by the dwelling unit features in the subsidised low-income houses?

RQ2 To determine whether the extent of beneficiary’s residential satisfaction is

influenced by building quality features?

RQ3 To determine how much the level of satisfaction depends upon the

neighbourhood features of the housing subsidy scheme?

RQ4 To determine how much the level of satisfaction is influenced by beneficiaries’

meaningful participation in the entire housing process?

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RQ5 To determine how much does meeting of the beneficiaries’ needs and

expectations influences their level of the housing unit satisfaction?

RQ6 To investigate the extent to which the level of residential satisfaction is

influenced by the services provided by the government?

RQ7 To what extent the hypothesized integrated residential satisfaction model fits

into the identified factors?

1.6.2 Research Objectives

In order to provide answers to the research questions and achieve the aims of the research, the

following objectives were set:

RO1 To establish the factors that determines residential satisfaction in low-income

housing;

RO2 To investigate and incorporate the current theories and literature that has been

published on residential satisfaction and to identify the gaps that need

consideration;

RO3 To determine the main and sub-attributes that brings about residential

satisfaction and to examine if the attributes that determine satisfaction in other

cultural contexts, is the same in South Africa;

RO4 To evaluate the critical factors and issues that affects the delivery of low-income

housing in South Africa;

RO5 To develop a holistically integrated residential satisfaction model for subsidised

low-income housing; and

RO6 To determine the validity of the conceptualized integrated residential

satisfaction model for subsidised low-income housing.

The achievement of the above research objectives is explained in detail in chapter 8. However,

it is essential that the reader is made aware at this stage as to how the above objectives have

been achieved.

Research objectives RO1 and RO2 where achieved through conducting a literature review on

the subject in question. It is essentially a theoretical understanding of the debate on residential

satisfaction and general housing theories. The objectives RO3 and RO4 were achieved by

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conducting a Delphi Study. Research objective RO5 was achieved by drawing on the

conclusions from the extensive literature review and the findings from the qualitative Delphi

Study. The Delphi Method is explained in detail in Section 7.3.4 and the reasons why this

method was chosen above other methods is also delimited. The final objective RO6 was

achieved through conducting a field questionnaire survey and modeling of the results, using a

structural equation model’s software known as EQations Software (EQS).

1.6.3 Research Methodology

Research methodology is an arrangement of techniques and guidelines to facilitate the

collection and analysis of data. It provides the starting point for choosing an approach made up

of theories, ideas, concepts and definitions of the topic. Therefore, it is the basis of a critical

activity, which consists of making choices about the nature and character of the social world.

Over time, one of the most important outcomes of the research and review is the

identification of methodological traditions, which, in turn, help to identify data-collection

techniques that can be considered for use in research. This study draws concurrently from

several different methods of investigation. In this thesis, both quantitative and qualitative

research design were used. This is usually referred to as mixed method research design. The

pragmatic (Mixed Method) approach was used in order to answer the research questions and

meet the research objectives thus developing an integrated residential satisfaction model that

applies to the study area, as well as other developing countries. Below is a basic discussion of

the research design; however, the chapter on research methodology (Chapter 7) elaborates on

the individual methods.

Quantitative Research

Quantitative research places emphasis on measurement when collecting and analysing data.

Quantitative research is defined, not just by its use of statistical measures but also that it

generally follows a natural science model of the research process measurement to establish

objective knowledge (that is, knowledge that exists independently of the views and values of

the people involved). Generally, it makes use of deduction, that is, the research is carried out

in relation to an informed proposition, or speculation, that is expressed in a way which can be

tested from theory. It focuses on the possible relationship between two or more variables. Just

as the case of the present study, which is positioned to observe the relationship between low-

income beneficiaries housing dwelling units, neighbourhood features, services provided by

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government, building quality, beneficiary’s participation, needs and expectations in predicting

their residential satisfaction. The quantitative method of data collection for the present study is

done by users Survey Method with the application of a structured questionnaire, which had

been piloted with the housing occupants. The analysis was done through the use of Structural

Equation Modeling with EQS, which was used in the development of the integrated residential

satisfaction model.

Qualitative Research

Qualitative research emphasises meanings (words) rather than frequencies and distributions

(numbers) when collecting and analysing data. Some researchers argue that qualitative research

is also concerned with issues of measurement, but with measurement that is of a different order

to numerical measurement. Thus, qualitative ‘measurement’ is often binary in that it is

interested in the presence or absence of phenomena, or it works implicitly with simple scales.

For instance, how much conversation or laughter or aggression or mutual touching in a

particular interaction? Predominantly qualitative research seeks to understand and interpret the

meaning of situations or events from the perspectives of the people involved and as understood

by them. It is generally inductive (the process of inferring a generalised conclusion from

particular instances) rather than deductive in its approach. That is, it generates theory from

interpretation of the evidence, though against a theoretical background. The qualitative method

implored in this study is the structured and semi-structured (using an interview guide)

interview. This was made possible through the use of the Delphi Technique. The findings from

this section of the study help to refine the survey tool (structured questionnaire) for the study

and to validate the findings. The Delphi findings were further used to resolve conflicting issues

surrounding residential satisfaction and other housing study issues in the study setting (South

Africa) through the consensus (agreement and disagreement) that was reached when the Delphi

studies was conducted. The Delphi technique is discussed in great detail in the Methodology

Chapter (Chapter 7).

Mixed Method Research

According to Tashakkori and Teddlie (2003) Mixed Method research is a research design with

philosophical assumptions, as well as different methods of inquiry. As a methodology, it

involves philosophical assumptions that guide the direction of the collection and analysis of

data and the mixture of qualitative and quantitative approaches in different phases in the

research process. As a method, it focuses on collecting, analysing, and mixing both quantitative

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and qualitative data in a single study or a series of studies. Its central premise is that the use of

quantitative and qualitative approaches in combination provides a better understanding of the

research problems than only one approach alone. The quantitative data in a typical mixed

method includes closed-ended questions such as those found about attitude, behaviour, or

performance instruments. The collection of this kind of data involves using a closed-ended

checklist, on which the researcher ‘checks’ the behaviour seen. Sometimes quantitative

information is found in documents, such as census records or attendance records. The analysis

of the quantitative data consists of statistically analysing scores collected on instruments and

checklists to answer research questions or to test hypotheses or to answer the research questions

(Creswell, 2003; 2010).

In contrast, typical qualitative data in a mixed methodology study consists of open-ended

information that the researcher gathers through interviews with participants. The general open-

ended questions asked during interviews allow the participants to supply answers in their own

words. These can be thematically analysed and converted into qualitative data, which can also

be transcribed in quantitative data, such as the case of Delphi Studies where frequencies of

measures of central tendencies are used to draw consensus. Also, qualitative data may be

collected by observing participants or sites of research, gathering documents from a private or

public source, or collecting audiovisual materials, such as videotapes or artifacts. The analysis

of the qualitative data (words or text or images) typically follows the path of aggregating the

words or images into categories of information and presenting the diversity of ideas gathered

during data collection. The open- versus closed-ended nature of the data differentiates between

the two types better than the sources of the data.

The combination of both approaches (qualitative and quantitative) can offset the weaknesses

of either approach when used itself. For instance, mixed method research provides more

comprehensive evidence for studying a research problem than either quantitative or qualitative

research alone. Also, researchers are given permission to use all of the tools of data collection

available, rather than being restricted to the types of data collection typically associated with

qualitative or quantitative research (Creswell, 2003). Further, Mixed Method research helps

answer questions that cannot be answered by qualitative or quantitative approaches alone. It is

also very practical because the researcher is free to use all methods possible to address a

research problem. It can be used to increase the generalisability of the research result, which in

this present day and age is a major consideration. It can also provide stronger evidence for a

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conclusion through convergence and verification of findings. It can furthermore add insight

and understanding that might be missed, when only a single method is applied. It also provides

complete knowledge necessary to inform theory and practice and can answer a broader and

more complete range of research questions because the researcher is not confined to a single

method or approach (Cameron, 2011; Lisle, 2011). In addition because individuals tend to

solve problems using both numbers and words, that is, a combination of inductive and

deductive thinking, this method is more reliable and valid (Johnson, Onwuegbuzie, & Turner,

2007). Therefore, it should become natural, to employ Mixed Method research as the preferred

mode of understanding the world.

For instance, when the discussion about the housing satisfaction of the South Africa public

housing schemes beneficiary is debated both numbers and words comes to mind. This is

because the debate is natural, psychological and persuasive which neither words nor numbers

can adequately represent. Hence, words, pictures and narratives can be used to add meaning to

numbers, and numbers can be used to add precision to words, pictures and the narrative

(Creswell, Tashakkori, Jensen, & Shapley 2003; Mayring, 2007). Therefore, the Delphi

Technique was combined with the Survey Method in this research study which provided the

basis for the validation of the conceptual framework for the development of an integrated

residential satisfaction model, in developing countries, using South Africa’s three metropolitan

municipalities and one district municipality, as a case study.

Data needed and means of obtaining it (empirical measures)

Literature on residential satisfaction, general housing and other aspects as related to the study,

was reviewed to provide a background to the study. Various sources were reviewed including

books, articles in accredited journals, published and unpublished works such as dissertations

and web-based publications on the specified filled of study.

Two methods were used to collect the empirical data. These methods were the Delphi and Field

Method Questionnaire Survey Method, respectively. A detailed description of both these

methods is presented in Chapter 7 of the thesis.

With the Delphi Method, the data that needed to be collected was the prediction of the

likelihood of residential satisfaction factors and other housing issues surrounding low-income

housing in South Africa. The method was used for the second stage of the study to identify the

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main attributes that bring about residential satisfaction and to examine if the attributes that

determine satisfaction in other cultural contexts, as identified from the literature, is the same

within South Africa (developing countries). Also, the Delphi Technique was used to explore

the extent to which to which these main attribute sub-factors impact / influence residential

satisfaction in South African low-income housing. This data was obtained through the use of a

Structured Questionnaire Interview. Experts were asked to complete the questionnaires and

consensus was reached on the rated likelihoods and impact of various factors. The process

involved a three round iterative process, with the main aim of getting experts to reach consensus

on the questions raised in the questionnaires. Experts were also encouraged to give reasons for

their dissenting views.

In the questionnaire survey, the data that needed to be collected was the evidence of factors

that determine residential satisfaction, namely: dwelling unit features, neighbourhood features,

building quality, beneficiaries’ participation, needs and expectations. In addition, data

regarding the outcome of overall residential satisfaction from the occupants were also needed.

This data was obtained with the use of structured questionnaires. These were completed by the

low-income housing occupants, who are residents of the particular subsidised low-income

housing location.

Data sources

In the Delphi Study, data regarding the rating of the likelihood and impact of the factors that

determine residential satisfaction and other issues regarding low-income housing in South

Africa was obtained from the expert panels. Likewise, data from the questionnaire survey was

obtained from residents of subsidised low-income housing locations. The houses which have

been completed and allocated by the respective municipality to the occupants’ were only used

for the survey.

Data analysis

Data obtained from the Delphi Study was analysed in Microsoft Excel, a spread-sheet software

programme. The output from the analysis was a set of descriptive statistics such as means,

standard deviations and their respective derivatives.

As for data obtained through the Field Questionnaire Survey, Structural Equation Modeling

(SEM) was utilised using the EQS 6.2 software package. Outputs from the analysis were

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univariate and multivariate descriptive statistics, as well as measures of goodness of fit of the

hypothesis model. Other outputs included measures of statistical significance of parameter

estimates. However, the demographic characteristics of the respondents were analysed using

descriptive statistics.

1.6.4 Results

An effort directed at measuring residential satisfaction requires an understanding of the major

influences and determinants on the residential facility. Results of the study related to the

relationship between the exogenous variables (dwelling unit features, neighbourhood and

environment features, building quality, beneficiaries’ participation, needs and expectations)

and the endogenous variable (residential satisfaction); will be presented in graphs and tables of

values describing the extent of the attributes and the sub-attributes on overall residential

satisfaction.

Utilising data from both the Delphi and the Questionnaire Survey, a holistic integrated model

for residential satisfaction in developing countries was conceptualized and validated. This

model will be presented in the final output of the study.

Delphi Specific Objectives

The objective for conducting the Delphi Survey, for this study, was to determine the following:

DSO1 To identify the attributes (main and sub) that determine residential satisfaction

and to examine if the attributes that determine satisfaction in other cultural

contexts, is the same in South Africa;

DS02 To determine the factors that makes subsidised public housing unsustainable in

South Africa;

DS03 To identify the combination of housing policy instruments that will better serve

South African subsidised low-income housing groups;

DS04 To identify the critical factors affecting the delivery of low-income housing and

their effects on beneficiaries’ residential satisfaction;

DS05 To predict the life span of the present South African public housing subsidy

delivery model;

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DS06 To evaluate the management issues affecting the national, provincial and local

government housing agencies in the delivery of housing in South Africa;

DS07 To determine the influence of beneficiary participation on their overall housing

satisfaction; and

DS08 To determine the effect of meeting beneficiary’s housing needs and

expectations on their overall housing satisfaction.

The main outputs from the Delphi Study will be the identification of the factors of residential

satisfaction and to respond to other pressing housing issues in South Africa, with significant

influence and a conceptual model defining residential satisfaction in South Africa. The

conceptual model will be validated by results from the Field Questionnaire Survey.

Specific Objectives of the Field Questionnaire Survey

The specific objectives for conducting the questionnaire survey and thereby satisfying the

general research objective RO6 of validating the conceptual model were to:

QS1 Identify the factors that had a higher (direct) influence on low-income housing

occupants’ residential satisfaction;

QS2 Establish the influence of the identified factors on occupants’ residential

satisfaction;

QS3 Determine the influence of the overall residential satisfaction on subsidised low-

income occupants’ behaviour; and

QS4 Determine the goodness-of-fit of the hypothesised integrated residential

satisfaction model to the sample data.

However, the general hypothesis tested in the study is based on the fact that overall residential

satisfaction is directly related to the influence of the exogenous variables’ in predicting /

determining overall beneficiaries’ satisfaction in publicly funded housing schemes in

developing countries using South Africa as a case study.

1.6.5 Delimitation of the study

The scope of this thesis studied beneficiaries’ satisfaction in publicly funded housing schemes

in South Africa. The study focused on the influence of the exogenous variables (dwelling unit

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features, neighbourhood and environment features, building quality, beneficiaries’

participation, needs and expectation) on the endogenous variable (residential satisfaction). A

causal relationship between the exogenous variables and the endogenous variable was

established through Structural Equation Modelling (SEM) using the software EQS version

programme 6.2. SEM was used in order to aid testing for the factorial validity and scores from

the measuring scale adopted and therefore, to predict a reliable model. The result of the study

will be presented as statistical measures in literature, tables, charts and graphs.

The study was limited to the beneficiaries of the public housing scheme or better known as the

Reconstruction and Development Programme (RDP) of housing in South Africa. Only RDP

houses with the traditional design of one room (30-40m2) and two rooms (40-45m2) units were

considered in the study. The research thesis empirically studied whether beneficiaries living in

these houses are satisfied with their living conditions, in order to inform the housing policy-

making process, and contribute to the theory building of beneficiaries (residential) satisfaction.

Households that have benefited from government housing subsidy schemes were engaged in

conducting the research. Only the low-income group and the previously disadvantaged were

considered in the research. Considering the households that have benefitted from the housing

subsidy scheme; housing units that were subsidized but with a little level of participation

(procured through the Peoples’ Housing Process or the enhanced People’s Housing Process)

from the beneficiaries was not considered in the study. Only housing units that were

constructed through the capital subsidy schemes (Project Linked Subsidy now known as

Integrated Residential Development Programme) where beneficiaries are shortlisted and given

a completed housing product, were considered for the study.

The study was restricted to three recognized metropolitan municipalities (MM) and one district

municipality (DM) in the Gauteng Province of South Africa. These were: Ekurhuleni (East

Rand) MM, City of Johannesburg (Johannesburg) MM, and Tshwane (Pretoria) MM and

Mogale City (Krugersdorp) DM, where the government has extensively been involved in the

provision of housing for the low-income groups. The same criteria were used in selecting the

survey samples for the study areas. The study analysed the level of beneficiaries’ satisfaction

of public housing in South Africa. This was done by examining the level of satisfaction and

the factors affecting it.

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Finally, the study discussed the implication of its findings on housing policy and made

recommendation to improve the existing strategies of low-income housing development in

South Africa, and in other developing countries.

1.7 ETHICAL STATEMENT

Ethical issues were a key consideration in undertaking this study. The principal of voluntary

participation was upheld. This required that people were not coerced into participating in the

research. Further, participants were only involved in the research where an informed consent

had been established. Great effort was made to help protect the privacy of research participants

by ensuring confidentiality in not making available identifying information to anyone who was

not directly involved in the study. Confidentiality was further enhanced by keeping participants

anonymous throughout the study.

1.8 STRUCTURE OF THE THESIS

The compilation of the entire thesis will be organised as follows:

Chapter 1 – Introduction

This chapter presents information on the background to the study, and also the main research

problem. The chapter also presents a general description of the study stating the aim, and

objectives of the study. In addition, a description of the methods that were used to conduct this

study, including the results that were obtained and ethical considerations are presented in this

chapter.

Chapter 2 - Theoretical and Conceptual Perspectives of Residential Satisfaction Research

This chapter presents an account of theoretical and conceptual perspectives of literature on

residential satisfaction that was needed to inform this study. The chapter presented a survey of

related literature from books, journal articles, conference papers, and internet searches from

notable databases. The chapter is presented relative to the guiding questions of the study.

Chapter 3 - Gaps in Residential Satisfaction Research

This chapter addresses the gaps observed in residential satisfaction research, which was not

evaluated as an all-inclusive construct in the previous models. Though they are mentioned in

the discussion of the previous models but not evaluated as single constructs. These gaps form

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the additional new constructs in the current study’s conceptual framework. The gaps identified

are: beneficiaries’ needs and expectations, and their participation in the housing process. The

identified gaps are discussed and also how to achieve them in low-income housing

development process is explained.

Chapter 4 - Housing Research Theory

This chapter of the thesis presents a general overview of housing research, housing theoretical

framework and overview of the most influential perspectives on housing. This is followed by

a discussion on the methodological approaches to housing studies. An evolution of housing

policy framework is also presented, with the various forms that housing policy has been

attended to over time. Also, the objectives and purpose of housing policy are further examined.

Lastly, the chapter closes with an outline of housing policy instruments, which enables the

intentions of housing policy to be actualized.

Chapter 5 - Housing in Developing Countries – An African Experience

Provision of adequate housing is one of the major challenges faced by most African countries.

Hence, in this chapter, housing policies and other housing issues in the African countries of

Ghana and Nigeria are discussed. The roles played by the different bodies such as government,

non-governmental organisations in the provision of housing were also considered. This is

because in most West Africa countries, like Nigeria and Ghana, the ownership of affordable

good quality housing has been a problem justifying serious private sector intervention. Unlike

South Africa, these African countries and other developing countries have reluctantly refused

to include the right to housing in their national constitution, undermining the multiplier role of

housing in national development. The chapter set out a background on housing in developing

countries. However, the two African countries (Ghana and Nigeria) policies’ and schemes’

were explored.

Chapter 6 - Housing in South Africa

This chapter of the thesis provides an outline of housing legislation and jurisprudence, policy

and implementation in South Africa since 1994 because South Africa is the focal point of the

study. This section outlines the housing legislative and policy framework in South Africa;

examining the Constitution with specific reference to the Bill of Right and the Right to

Housing; National Housing Code; and the National Housing Programmes categorized therein

with a specific focus on state subsidised housing (Housing Subsidy Scheme - HSS). This

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chapter also presents an overview of the developments in Housing Policy since 1994, including

a summary of the negotiations at the National Housing Forum held between 1992 and 1994.

The section further examines the supreme policy framework contained in the 1994 White Paper

on Housing, and the problems associated with the Reconstruction and Development

Programme (RDP) houses (subsidised houses) built after 1994. This is necessary because the

central focus of the thesis is on the RDP houses built after 1994. The chapter also discusses the

2004 BNG Policy Amendment. Other specific policies, which are examined in this section

include the People’s Housing Process (PHP) now enhanced ePHP and the Inclusionary

Housing Policy (IHP), to ascertain if the programmes would have guaranteed a better housing

satisfaction compared to the model used for the initially built houses and those still being

constructed. This section also included an outline of the National Housing Code published in

2000 and recently updated in 2009, amongst others. Lastly, a summary of the lessons learnt to

date from the literature is presented and a comparison is drawn between South African and the

two Africa countries (Nigeria and Ghana) previously reviewed (Chapter 5).

Chapter 7 - Research Methodology

This chapter contains a detailed description of the methodology, methods and the tools used to

collect data for this study. It also describes the participants of this study, as well as a detailed

description of the results, analysis of the results and how results are presented in the findings

sections. The above is done for every method of data collection used in this study, namely: the

Delphi and Field Questionnaire Survey methods. The research design is also described in this

chapter and how the collected data was treated. Finally, a description of the population, the

sampling design and the interpretation of results was also presented in this chapter.

Chapter 8 – Results from the Delphi Study

This chapter discusses the findings from the Delphi Method. These findings are presented

relative to each Delphi Objective. Also, a discussion and interpretation of the Delphi results is

presented at the end of this chapter.

Chapter 9 – The Conceptual Integrated Residential Satisfaction Model

Chapter 9 is a discussion of findings from the review of literature and the Delphi Study. This

discussion forms the basis of the conceptual model’s theory. The hypothesised integrated

holistic residential satisfaction model is then presented in this chapter. This chapter describes

the integrated holistic model and the variables of the model in detail except beneficiaries’

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participation, needs and expectations, which has already been discussed in chapter three of the

thesis.

Chapter 10 –Survey Results

This chapter explains the findings from the questionnaire survey. Findings from this survey are

discussed relative to each questionnaire survey objective.

Chapter 11 – Discussion of Results

This chapter covers discussion, analysis and interpretation of the results obtained from the

questionnaire. Discussions on the goodness-of-fit of the postulated integrated holistic

residential satisfaction model are presented in this chapter.

Chapter 12 – Conclusion and Recommendations

This chapter concludes the study and contains recommendations based on the conclusions

drawn from the study. Recommendations for future research are also presented in this chapter.

As part of the recommendations, a description of the finalized integrated holistic model is done.

The study was also subject to independent review by the promoter (Professor Wellington

Thwala) to help protect all participants and the researcher against potential any legal

implications of neglecting to address important ethical issues and also to uphold integrity,

honesty and quality assurance.

1.9 CONCLUSION

Chapter 1 introduced the subject of the research study; it gave insight into the structure, the

background and significance thereof. It relays information on how the research report is

presented. The next chapter looks into the theoretical and conceptual perspectives of residential

satisfaction research and other related literatures in line with the objectives of the study.

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CHAPTER TWO

THEORETICAL AND CONCEPTUAL PERSPECTIVES OF

RESIDENTIAL SATISFACTION RESEARCH

2.1 INTRODUCTION

This chapter is focused on the review of theoretical and conceptual perspectives on residential

satisfaction research. Also discussed are previous residential satisfaction models and theories,

residential satisfaction research (conceptual issues on residential satisfaction), such as the

appropriate ways of measuring residential satisfaction, followed by the discussion on the

determinants of residential satisfaction. The problems raised to date in residential satisfaction

research were also reviewed.

2.2 SATISFACTION THEORY AND DEFINITION

The foundation for satisfaction lies in “mankind’s ability to learn” from previous experiences

(Peyton, Pitts, & Kamery, 2003:41). Likewise, user’s preferences are constantly being updated

by way of the learning process. Learning theory posits that “… a given response is strengthened

either positively or negatively to the extent that it is followed by a reward. Reward, in turn,

leads to an evaluation that the purchase or achievement was satisfactory… and hence it can

exert an effect on product beliefs and attitude. The probability of engaging in a similar buying

act or continuance in a housing scheme will be increased if there are positive consequences in

the act of purchase”, use of the unit and vice versa (Engel, Kollat & Blackwell, 1968:532).

The word satisfaction first appeared in English in the thirteenth century. The word itself is

derived from the Latin word satis (meaning enough) and the Latin ending -faction (from the

Latin facere - to do/ make). Early usage of the word satisfaction focused on satisfaction being

some sort of release from wrong doing. Later citing’s of the word emphasises satisfaction as a

freedom from uncertainty (The Oxford Library of Words and Phrases, 1993:1258). Modern

usage of the word has tended to be much broader, and satisfaction is clearly related to other

words such as satisfactory (adequate), satisfy (make pleased or contented) and satiation

(enough). The study on satisfaction has grown rapidly over time with more than 500 studies

carried out on the concept in the 1970’s alone as informed by Hunt (1977). However, despite

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the overwhelming quantity of literature surrounding the concept in the present time, Anderson

and Fornell (1994: 244) noted that “certain key issues have either gone unresolved” or have

recently been brought into question, with regards to a comprehensive understanding of the

attributes that determine satisfaction in a typical user environment.

Satisfaction is a concept that has appeared in many fields, such as evaluation and employee

satisfaction, patient satisfaction, and visitor satisfaction of sites, amongst others. However, this

concept has been fundamental to the marketing concept for over three decades; as the most

extensive use of satisfaction has been in literature concerned with customer satisfaction. Wilton

and Nicosia (1986) inform that several models of satisfaction have emerged over time in this

field (customer relations) and in others. Kim (1997) argues that the models developed to date

all view satisfaction as a consumer attitude in relation to the consumer’s belief and evaluation

about merchandise and buying behaviour. This broad use of behaviour demonstrates the

appealing validity of the concept and its utility in explaining the success of a range of

phenomena (Parker & Mathews, 2001).

Hence, Day (1980:593) asserts that “while everyone knows what satisfaction means, it clearly

does not mean the same thing to everyone”. Initial conceptualization of user’s satisfaction

views it as a “single variable which involves a single evaluative reaction from the users”

(Peyton et al., 2003:42), which may or may not be related to pre-evaluation concepts. Further

conceptualization of satisfaction, notes that “… satisfaction is a kind of stepping away from an

experience and evaluating it… One could have a pleasurable experience that caused

dissatisfaction because even though it was pleasurable, it was not as pleasurable as it was

supposed to be; so satisfaction is not an emotion, it is the evaluation of the emotion” (Hunt,

1977:39).

The most generally acknowledged conceptualization of the user satisfaction concept, is the

Expectancy Disconfirmation Theory (McQuitty, Finn and Wiley, 2000). Expectancy

Disconfirmation Theory was developed by Oliver (1980a), who proposed that a user’s

satisfaction level is a result of the difference between expected and perceived product

performance, and expectations as predictions of future performance. The inclusion of

expectations suggests that products satisfying high expectations are predicted to generate

greater user satisfaction than products that meet low expectations. Other researchers employ

perceived performance as an additional predictor of satisfaction (Churchill & Surprenant 1982;

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Tse & Wilton 1988). Satisfaction (positive disconfirmation) is known to occur when a product

or service is better than expected. On the other hand, a performance worse than the expected

results is labeled as dissatisfaction (negative disconfirmation). In this theory, expectations

originate from beliefs about the level of performance that a product/service will provide, which

is the predictive meaning of the expectations concept. In comparison, Kotler (2000) defined

satisfaction as a person’s feeling of pleasure or disappointment resulting from comparing a

product’s perceived performance (or outcome) in relation to his or her expectations. Hoyer and

MacInnis (2001) promote that satisfaction can be associated with feelings of acceptance,

happiness, relief, excitement, and delight. Similarly, Hansemark and Albinsson (2004),

established that satisfaction is an overall customer attitude towards a service provider, or an

emotional reaction to the difference between what users anticipate and what they receive,

regarding the fulfillment of some need, goal or desire. While, in the case of a state-subsidized

housing scheme for the poor and the low-income groups’, where the government is responsible

for provision of the houses, it would mean the overall beneficiaries’ emotional reaction towards

the government. This is in comparison to the difference between what they had anticipated and

what they later received.

Churchill and Surprenant (1982:491) inform that “the vast majority of satisfaction studies have

used some variation of the disconfirmation model”. Oliver (1993) found that a variety of

scholar’s definitions of satisfaction are consistent with the Expectancy Disconfirmation Model;

Tse and Wilton (1998:204) reports that “it is generally agreed that satisfaction can be defined

as … the evaluation of the perceived discrepancy between prior expectation … and the actual

performance of the product”; thus concurring with the assertion by Iacobucci and Oston (1995)

that satisfaction is a function of the discrepancy between a users’ (beneficiaries’) prior

expectation and the perception regarding the product, for instance, an allocated subsidised

housing unit. From the above, it is clear that the study of satisfaction both in academic spheres

and in the real world is to understand determinants and process of users (beneficiaries)

evaluation. Hence, this shows the relevance of this study in determining the factors, which

influence residential satisfaction in the South African low-income housing subsidy scheme.

This is with a view to ensure that the beneficiaries of the state subsidised housing schemes are

satisfied with the product and that it will enhance their well-being.

Nonetheless, Parker and Mathews (2001) also defined satisfaction as a process of evaluation

between what was received and what was expected, which is the most widely adopted

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description of satisfaction in most current literature. Satisfaction can also be viewed as an

outcome of a consumption activity or experience; which is also referred to as a process.

Currently, there are two principal clarifications of satisfaction within the literature as defined

by Parker and Mathews’ (2001): satisfaction as a process and satisfaction as an outcome.

However, these are complementary classifications as; often one depends on the other. Parker

and Mathews (2001:38) promote that when satisfaction is viewed as a process, the definition

concentrates on the “antecedents to satisfaction” rather than satisfaction itself. When viewed

as an outcome, it is perceived as a consumption activity or experience, which is moderated by

different variables. The current study conforms to the later conceptualization as the satisfaction

of residents’ in public housing in South Africa is said to be moderated by different variables,

which exacts influences on the occupants.

2.2.1 Approaches to the Study of Satisfaction

The theory of satisfaction has its origins in the Discrepancy Theory (Porter, 1961) and other

scholars have over the years, used some form of comparison to model satisfaction (Parker &

Matthews, 2001). A number of theoretical approaches have been developed to explain the

relationship between satisfaction or positive disconfirmation and dissatisfaction or negative

disconfirmation. According to Oliver (1980a), these approaches can be seen as variants of the

consistency theories and focus primarily on the nature of the user’s post-usage evaluation

process. Consistency Theory conceptualizes that when expectations and the actual product

performance do not match, the consumer will feel some degree of dissatisfaction (Peyton et al.,

2003:42). In order to discharge this dissatisfaction the user will make adjustments either in

expectations or in the perceptions of the product’s actual performance. This theory informed

Morris and Winter’s (1978) Mobility Theory of residential satisfaction.

Over the years, a number of authors have used some form of comparison to model satisfaction.

Some theoretical approaches which have been advanced amongst others, include: Assimilation

Theory, Contrast Theory, Assimilation-Contrast Theory, and Negativity Theory.

2.2.1.1 Assimilation Theory

Kurt Lewin (1890-1947) originally formulated the Theory of Cognitive Dissonance

(dissonance theory), which was further developed and refined by Festinger (1957), which

formed the basis of the Assimilation Theory (Smith, 2001). The Dissonance Theory posits that

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the users of a particular product make some kind of cognitive comparison between expectations

about the product and the perceived product performance. Hence, if there is a discrepancy

between expectations and perceived product performance then dissonance or negative

disconfirmation arises. This view of the user post-usage evaluation was introduced into the

satisfaction literature in the form of Assimilation Theory by Anderson (1973). In his work on

consumer dissatisfaction, the effect of disconfirmed expectancy on perceived product

performance was extrapolated. According to Anderson (1973), consumers seek to avoid

dissatisfaction by adjusting perceptions about a given product to bring it more in line with

expectations. Consumers can also reduce the dissatisfaction resulting from a discrepancy

between expectations and product performance either by altering expectations so that they

coincide with perceived product performance or by raising the level of satisfaction by

minimizing the relative importance of the dissatisfaction experienced (Olson & Dover, 1979).

However, the Assimilation Theory has a number of weaknesses. First, the approach postulates

that there is a relationship between expectation and satisfaction but does not specify how

disconfirmation of an expectation leads to either satisfaction or dissatisfaction. Next, the theory

also postulates that users are inspired enough to adjust either their expectations or their

perceptions about the performance of the product (Forman, 1986). According to Peyton et al.

(2003:42) “if the user adjusts either expectations or perceptions about product performance

then dissatisfaction would not be an outcome of the post-usage evaluation process”. A number

of scholars such as Olson and Dover (1979) and Andrson (1973), have found that controlling

actual product performance can lead to a positive relationship between expectation and

satisfaction. Therefore, it would seem that dissatisfaction could never occur except if the

evaluative processes were to begin with negative user’s expectations (Bitner, 1987), which is

not always the case.

2.2.1.2 Contrast Theory

The Contrast Theory was first introduced by Hovland, Harvey and Sherif (1957; cited in Peyton

et al., 2003:43). However, Cardozo (1965) claims that the theory presents an alternative view

of the user post-usage evaluation process in contrast to the Assimilation Theory that

hypothesized that post-usage evaluation leads to outcomes in opposite predictions for the

effects of expectations on satisfaction. The Contrast Theory posits that consumers would

exaggerate any contrast between expectation and product evaluation. Dawes, Singer and

Lemons (1972) further define Contrast Theory as the propensity to magnify the discrepancy

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between one’s own attitudes and the attitudes represented by opinion statements validated by

persons with opposing views. Whereas Assimilation Theory suggests that users will seek to

minimize the discrepancy between expectation and performance; Contrast Theory argues that

a surprise effect arises leading to the discrepancy being exaggerated (Peyton et al., 2003). This

theory was further developed into the Assimilation-Contrast theory by Anderson (1973).

2.2.1.3 Assimilation-Contrast Theory

The Assimilation-Contrast Model has been proposed as another way of explaining the

relationship amongst the variables in the Disconfirmation Model (Peyton et al., 2003). This

model is a combination of both the Assimilation and the Contrast Theories. This model

postulates that satisfaction is a function of the magnitude of the discrepancy between expected

and perceived performance. Generally, users of any product have “zones or latitudes of

acceptance or rejection with respect to their perceptions” (Peyton et al., 2003:43). As with

Assimilation Theory, the user will tend to adjust differences in perceptions about product

performance to bring it in line with prior expectations, but only if the discrepancy is relatively

small. Peyton et al. (2003:44) noted that when there is a “large discrepancy between

expectations and perceived performance, contrast effects occur and the consumer tends to

magnify the perceived difference”. However, it should be noted that most discrepancies with a

given product such as the case of subsidised low-income housing in South Africa are not just

magnified or exaggerated, but they are simply the true evaluation of the products (houses),

based on what the users’ have experienced. However, some evaluation can be an emotional

expression of the user’s judgement with regards to the functionality of the product. On the other

hand, whether assimilation or contrast occurs depends upon the perceived disparity between

expectations and actual product performance, which is both objective and subjective, based on

the user’s judgment.

The Assimilation-Contrast Theory argues that Cardozo’s (1965) attempt in the Assimilation

Theory at reconciling the two earlier theories was methodologically weak as informed by

Anderson (1973). Anderson asserts that users possess a noticeable difference in the

disconfirmation threshold. Further, Assimilation-Contrast Theory attempts to illustrate that

both the Assimilation and the Contrast Theory Models have applicability in the study of user

satisfaction. The approach makes it possible to “… hypothesize variables other than the

magnitude of the discrepancy that might also influence whether the assimilation effect or the

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contrast effect would be observed… when product performance is difficult to judge,

expectations may dominate and assimilation effects will be observed… contrast effects would

result in high involvement circumstances. The strength of the expectations may also affect

whether assimilation or contrast effects are observed” (Bitner, 1987:13).

Attempts by researchers to empirically test the Assimilation-Contrast Model have met with

varied results. For instance, Anderson (1973) and Olson and Dover (1979) found some

evidence to support the assimilation theory approach. In debating both of these studies, Oliver

(1980b) argues that Anderson (1973) and Olson and Dover’s (1979) findings cannot be

accepted because they only measured expectations and supposed that there were perceptual

differences between disconfirmation and satisfaction. This criticism is of some significance

because most researchers do not actually measure satisfaction or dissatisfaction; instead,

researchers usually assumed that it is the perception of disconfirmation that leads to satisfaction

or dissatisfaction (Forman, 1986). In contrast, this present study measures satisfaction and

dissatisfaction through the exogenous variables as set out in the research aim, to determine

their influence in predicting residential satisfaction as being the dependent variable. The current

study also measures for residential satisfaction as an independent construct, to further

understand the outcome variables of being satisfied or dissatisfied. In contradiction to the

findings supporting the Assimilation Theory, Cadotte, Woodruff and Jenkins (1983) reported

negative correlation between expectation and disconfirmation. They therefore resolved that

satisfaction is truly an additive function of the two concepts. Further, Peyton et al. (2003),

asserts that uncertainty was created by the results of studies from the works of Oliver (1977a,

1977b, 1979), which found no relationship between expectation and disconfirmation.

Moreover, Olshavsky and Miller (1972) in their study on consumer expectations, product

performance and perceived product quality supported the Assimilation-Contrast Theory.

However, it has been found that if the discrepancy was too large to be assimilated, then the

contrast effect occured.

2.2.1.4 Negative Theory

Similar to the three previous models, Negativity Theory also has its foundations in the

disconfirmation process. This theory was introduced into the consumer satisfaction literature

by Anderson (1973). Negativity Theory postulates that when expectations are strongly held,

users will respond negatively to any disconfirmation. Therefore, dissatisfaction will occur if

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perceived performance is less than expectations or if perceived performance surpasses

expectations (Anderson, 1973; Carlsmith & Aronson, 1963).

2.2.2 Further Approaches to the Study of Satisfaction

The most well-known descendent of the Discrepancy Theory is the Expectancy

Disconfirmation Paradigm (Oliver, 1981), which states that, if performance exceeds

expectations, users will be positively disconfirmed or satisfied. On the other hand, if

performance fails to meet expectations, users will be negatively disconfirmed or dissatisfied.

Positive disconfirmation leads to increased satisfaction, with negative disconfirmation having

the opposite effect, whilst zero disconfirmation occurs when performance matches

expectations (no effect on satisfaction). Kotler, Siew, Swee and Chin (1996), state that this is

because user’s expectations are formed on the basis of past experience, statements made by

friends and associates. Oliver (1989) and Mastura, Noor, Osman and Ramayah (2007),

proposed that expectations could be exceeded in two different ways:

1. The level of performance is within a normal range (product was better than

expected); and

2. The level of performance is surprisingly positive (one would not expect that the

product would have performed so well) and delights.

The Disconfirmation Paradigm, which is the most dominant theoretical paradigm used in many

satisfaction research studies, is also what the present study’s paradigm is based on. The

paradigm has its roots in social and applied psychology (Oliver 1977:23). Therefore, the

Disconfirmation Paradigm presents its satisfaction judgments in three ways: satisfaction,

higher satisfaction, and dissatisfaction. But for the present study, satisfaction judgment will be

related to satisfaction and dissatisfaction.

Harris (1998) informs that when performance is greater than the users’ expected level of

performance of the service, higher user satisfaction will result because the service performs

better than expected. Users’ dissatisfaction occurs when the performance is less than the users’

expected level of service, as the service performs poorer than the users’ expected level. A

confirmation of expectations, or zero disconfirmation, is considered a state of satisfaction. A

negative disconfirmation indicates that their expectations were not met and yields a state of

dissatisfaction. The Expectancy Disconfirmation Model not only explains satisfaction with

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product performance, but also service satisfaction, as is the case of the government being

responsible for the provision of low-income houses for the poor. There has been strong support

for the Disconfirmation Paradigm as a measurement of satisfaction. However, Churchill and

Surprenant (1982) found some inconsistencies in their developed model whereby neither

disconfirmation nor expectations have any effect on user satisfaction with durable products.

Satisfaction, according to Churchill and Surprenant (1982) is determined exclusively by the

performance of the durable good. This again puts the burden of a genuine evaluation result of

a typical low-income building or any other building product in the hands of the users’; because

they are the ones that can determine if the building is durable in terms of how the different

aspects of the building helps to meet their needs.

In their review, Poisz and Van Grumbkow (1988) view satisfaction as a discrepancy between

the observed and the desired. This was found to have been consistent with the Value-Percept

Disparity Theory in the work of Westbrook and Reilly (1983), which was developed in

response to the problem that users could be satisfied by aspects for which expectations never

existed (Yi, 1990). The Value-Percept Theory views satisfaction as an emotional reaction

caused by a subjective evaluative process, which is the comparison of the ‘object’ to one’s

values rather than an expectation (Parker & Matthews, 2001). What users want is a no disparity

level between their values: needs, wants and desires, and the object of their evaluations. Recent

developments in this study include the concept of desire congruency (Spreng et al., 1996).

Besides discrepancy theories, Equity Theory has also been applied to model satisfaction

(Parker & Mathews, 2001). Equity Theory holds that individuals compare their input/output

ratios with those of others (Yi, 1990) and that the consumer will be satisfied if the net gain is

perceived to be fair. Also, Parker and Mathews (2001) inform that renewed attention has been

focused on the nature of satisfaction to establish concrete attributes that determine the tenet of

the present study in relation to the public subsidised housing scheme in South Africa.

Due to the wide variance in the nature and meaning of satisfaction, many associations and firms

are using different reference points as a standard to compare their own user’s satisfaction

figures. To resolve this, a number of organizationally harmonized national customer

satisfaction indices have been developed (Hackl & Westlund, 2000). For example, the

American Consumer Satisfaction Index (ACSI) and the European Customer Satisfaction Index

(ECSI) represent the two major customer satisfaction indices for the United States and the

European countries, respectively; from which the South African Satisfaction Index is based

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(SAS Index). The American Customer Satisfaction Index (ACSI) in Fornell et al. (1996)

defines satisfaction as a weighted average of three survey ratings: perceived quality, perceived

value, and customer expectations. This index has been used to measure satisfaction in the

manufacturing/nondurables, manufacturing/durables, transportation, communications and

utilities, retails, finance and insurance, services, public administration industries, and even in

government establishments. Although the ACSI index has an accepted satisfaction evaluation

methodology, it has not been found suitable for the construction industry and it is the lowest

with the rating of government and public agencies (Jyh-Bin and Sheng-Chi, 2006). This is

because the evaluation result for customer satisfaction is highest for competitive products,

lower for competitive services and retailers, and lowest for government and public agencies.

Figure 2.1 presents the model used by ACSI to measure satisfaction with government agencies.

In the ACSI model, users’ expectations influence the evaluation of quality and predicts how

well the product or service will perform. Perceived quality in the model is the extent to which

a product or service meets the user’s expectation and this normally has the greatest impact on

user satisfaction. Lastly, satisfaction has an inverse relationship to customer complaints, which

is measured as the percentage of respondents who reported a problem with the measured

product or service within a specified time frame.

Another theoretical description of satisfaction is the GAP Analysis Model developed by

Parasuraman et al. (1985). This is also referred to as the ‘disconfirmation paradigm’ in

customer satisfaction literature. The main theme of the Gap Analysis Theory is the fact that

gaps between user expectations and user experiences lead to user dissatisfaction. Consequently,

measuring gaps is the first step in enhancing user or service satisfaction, which results, in a

better understanding of users’ or beneficiaries’ perceptions; which is important to an

establishment of policy performances. Aziam (2009) informs that the Gap Analysis Model is

used as a tool to narrow the gap between perceptions and reality, thus enhancing user’s

satisfaction. Parasuraman et al. (1985:42) posits that [housing satisfaction] “quality is a

comparison between expectations and performance” and reiterated service quality as “the

discrepancy between users’ expectations and perceptions” (Parasuraman et al., 1985:111).

They further developed a [service] quality model based on the Gap Analysis Theory, which

informed that the measurement of the product quality gap is attained in the same manner as

service quality gap (Brown & Plenert, 2006). From the above discussion on the

conceptualization of satisfaction, the present study is tend towards the Gap Theory in ideology.

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However, the study conceptualized its own attributes in order to measure residential

satisfaction.

Figure 2.1: ACSI Model for Government Agencies

Source: The American Consumer Satisfaction Index (ACSI). The ACSI Model for Most

Government Agencies, http://www.theacsi.org/government/govt-model.html (ASCI, 2006)

2.3 ASSESSING RESIDENTIAL SATISFACTION

This section will review residential satisfaction research and bring up the theoretical framework

that has been generalised in housing and residential satisfaction studies to date.

2.3.1 What is a Theory?

Theories and concepts are tools used for human thinking. According to Lundequist (1999), a

theory is a system in which a number of concepts and propositions have been methodically

ordered. Nachmias and Nachmias (1997), state that scientific ideas are constructs representing

certain aspects of the empirical world and they are concerned with the how and why of the

empirical phenomena, not with what should be.

Generally, scientific theories help to explain and understand a phenomenon. According to

Lundequist (1999) and Nguluma (2003), the world is generally seen through concepts.

Lundequist (1999), further states that the world is interpreted by the way we see things and that

as changes occur in society, concepts also change. Further, concepts also change as relations

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to one another change, and as our way of seeing the world changes. Nachmias and Nachmias

(1997) define concepts as constructs representing certain phenomenon from which a meaning

or way of seeing the world can be assessed, informing that scientists begin the process of

research by developing concepts as shorthand for describing the empirical world. This process

is fundamental for communication of new knowledge. Without sets of agreed upon concepts it

is difficult for scientists to communicate their findings. It has become a common notion that

without the understanding of theory, and conceptual frameworks, advances are unlikely in any

field of study. It is against this background that previous theoretical framework will be

reviewed relating to housing and residential satisfaction studies in order to inform the model

constructs for the present study.

2.3.2 Residential Satisfaction Research

Residential satisfaction describes an ‘end-state’, where an individual or household is satisfied

with the residential status they have attained. This section of the study reviews previous studies

of residential satisfaction, bringing together a synthesized collection of housing and non-

housing components that are related to the formation of housing satisfaction. This is because

residential satisfaction is not one constant experience or state; it is an outcome, perceived by

an individual or household, that their current housing status meets their needs and aspirations.

Because residential satisfaction is based upon perception, the determinant factors essential to

attain will certainly be different in each case. Influencing this perception are factors such as

expectation (as already discussed above), history, demographic characteristics, and the

employment situation amongst others. In addition, variables such as culture (Guney, 1997);

age/older adults (Taylor, 1995a); individuals with severe handicaps (Leder & Sayre, 1989);

low-income single-parent families (Bruin & Cook, 1977); assisted living (Kalymum, 1989);

life satisfaction (Amerigo, 1990), financial status (Bruin & Cook, 1977); homeownership

(Montero, 1991); neighbourhood and environs, house and neighbours (Amerigo & Aragones,

1997; Kim, 1997a); perceived atmosphere, apartment evaluation, maintenance and friends

nearby (Weidemann & Anderson, 1982) have all been found significant to the study of resident

satisfaction. Also, Potter et al. (2001) reports that gender variances may appear with factors

such as safety in the study of residential satisfaction.

The study of ‘satisfaction’ dates back to the 1940s and is currently used in many disciplines

such as housing, consumer satisfaction, marketing, landscape architecture and medical fields

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(Potter et al., 2001) and is being dominated by social psychology scholars. Residential

satisfaction has been studied in a wide variety of housing settings, ranging from mini-suites or

small self-contained apartments (Sidjak, 1995), gate-guarded neighbourhoods (Carvalho,

1995), low income housing (Montero, 1991), owner-occupied homes (Oseland & Raw, 1996),

college residence halls (Amole, 2009; Davis & Roizen, 1970), high-rises buildings (Guney,

1997), and multifamily housing (Weidemann & Anderson, 1982).

The formation of residential satisfaction is not simply based upon freedom from dissatisfaction;

it is more complex (Lu, 1999). Residential dissatisfaction is a differently composed construct;

the causes of dissatisfaction are more likely to be a universal source of discontent for everyone

(Hourihan, 1984), whilst the sources of satisfaction are much more diverse. This is the case

with the beneficiaries of the South Africa low-income subsidy schemes, where there is a

general dissatisfaction with the initially provided 30 square meters housing unit situated in a

250 square meters of land; which have since been increased to a minimum of 40 square meters.

One of the main reasons of dissatisfaction was because the area estimation of the constructed

housing units never took into consideration the housing life cycle of the beneficiaries and other

dynamics that are relevant to the beneficiaries’ optimal usage of the housing units. This is

because a building’s success depends not only on how effective the building provides for the

setting of activities of daily living, but may also depend on the perceptions of its residents. To

understand building occupants’ satisfaction evaluation towards a product or a service, it is

believed that improvements could thus be found and allocated to the right places and in the

right direction (Yiping, 2005), which will thus enhance the efficacy of the production or service

provision.

Residential satisfaction research deals with the housing products’ in terms of consumer

satisfaction, and is aimed to inform housing policy, planning intervention and to enable future

housing development to perform better than previously done. Over the past decades, much

research has been conducted on residential satisfaction (Campbell et al.; 1976; Francescato et

al., 1987; Weidemann & Anderson, 1985). These studies evaluate housing environments and

the residents’. The residents’ satisfaction studies of their environment have had a tendency to

focus on: research techniques, methods, and specifics design/planning frameworks for a

specific site but not on a more general basis. Also, most housing satisfaction studies have used

a direct theoretical approach in relating to a person’s beliefs, perceptions, or affect on his or

her satisfaction with the housing environment. From this perspective, any belief, idea, or fact

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is thus a potential predictor of residential satisfaction. However, this present study is geared

towards an integrated holistic view of the study of residential satisfaction in subsidised low-

income housing. Also, residential satisfaction has been discussed in numerous empirical

scholarships which study characteristics of the users (either cognitive or behavioural) or

characteristics of the environment, both physical and social (Amerigo & Aragones, 1990). But,

Wiesenfeld (1994) states that, very few scholars have organized these variables into a model

so as to study and analyse, as a guide, the relationships produced amongst them.

There are two general approaches to empirical research studies about residential satisfaction

according to the classification used by Weidemann and Anderson (1985). One approach is to

view residential satisfaction as a criterion of evaluation of residential quality. Amerigo and

Aragones (1990:47) argue methodologically that the studies that falls into this category are

characterized by their “treatment of satisfaction as a criterion variable and, therefore, as a

dependent variable”. The theoretical background guiding this type of research is displayed by

the work of Marans and Rodgers (1975); Galster and Hesser (1981) and Cutter (1982). A

second approach is to view residential satisfaction as a predictor of residential mobility. In this

case, residential satisfaction is considered as a predictor of behaviour and, therefore as an

independent variable. The theoretical model developed by Speare (1974) is a good example of

empirical research belonging to this second approach. The present research thesis emphasises

the former approach, where satisfaction is treated as a dependent variable.

Nevertheless, the concept of satisfaction has been used in at least four different ways: as a key

predictor of an individual’s perception of general quality of life (Campbell et al., 1976); as an

indicator of incipient residential mobility, and hence has altered housing demands and effected

neighbourhood change (Spear, 1974; Varady, 1983); also as an ad hoc evaluative measure for

judging the success of housing developments constructed by the private sector (Lansing et al.,

1970; Zehner, 1977), and by the public sector (Marans & Rodgers, 1975) and also to assess

residents’ perceptions of inadequacies in their current housing environment so as to direct

forthcoming private or public efforts to improve the status quo (Anderson et al., 1983; Craik

& Zube, 1975; Michelson, 1977; Sanoff & Sawhney, 1971).

Nevertheless, a broader view on residential satisfaction is provided by Campbell, Converse,

and Rodgers (1976). They perceived housing satisfaction as one of the predictor’s of life

experience, where satisfaction with that variable might contribute to a person’s quality of life.

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Developing from this theory were the more specific studies of a resident’s housing satisfaction

and the development of theoretical models explaining the sources of satisfaction (Marans &

Rodger, 1975). Together with these studies of housing satisfaction as a predictor of a person’s

quality of life, satisfaction was seen as a criterion for evaluation of the housing environment.

The initial work by Francescato et al. (1979); Kim (1997b) investigated the concept of users’

satisfaction and focused primarily on a specific housing type - subsidised multi-family housing

units. Although it was recognised that there are many different perspectives for housing

evaluation, they viewed the occupant as the primary user and stated that the evaluation from

this perspective has been neglected; which is what the present thesis advances in the context of

the study area.

Weidemann and Anderson (1985) noted that past models developed by numerous researchers

reflect the use of both approaches and include affect, cognition, and behaviour. The two

approaches as stated above were first combined by Weidemann and Anderson (1985) based on

Fishbein and Ajzen’s (1975) model of reasoned actions that considers how attitudes reflect

beliefs and evaluations of residences (Amerigo, 1992; Kim & Anderson, 1997). Others have

also supported integrated approaches (Michelson, 1977). Francescato et al. (1989) proposed an

all-inclusive model of relationships among the environment, satisfaction, and behaviour.

Amerigo and Aragones (1990) attempting to understand how the residential environment, the

house, the neighbourhood, and neighbours related developed the systematic model of

residential satisfaction. However, the integrated model as proposed by Weidemann and

Anderson (1985) deals with the complicated nature of housing quality. The integrated model

embodies three basic components of housing quality evaluation. These are: objective attributes

of the physical environment; residents’ perception and beliefs regarding their housing quality;

and satisfaction with the housing environment. The integrated model according to Weidemann

and Anderson (1985) can serve as a framework for research on relationships that have not been

empirically tested. An integrated model can also be used to organize existing literature that

many feel is disjointed and unorganized. The current study investigates the organized

relationship between publicly funded beneficiaries dwelling units, neighbourhood features,

building quality and services provided by the government, which are the essential variable that

have all been measured in a majority of previous studies, together with the assessments of the

beneficiaries’ needs and expectations and meaningful participation in the housing development

process. These are all classified as the exogenous variables and their role in predicting overall

beneficiaries’ satisfaction classified as the endogenous variable.

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Nonetheless, the theories of residential satisfaction are based on the notion that residential

satisfaction measures the difference between households’ actual and desired housing and

neighbourhood situations (Galster & Hesser, 1981). It is believed that households make their

judgment about residential conditions based on their needs and aspirations. Hence satisfaction

with their housing conditions indicates the absence of complaints as their needs meet their

aspirations. On the other hand, they are likely to feel dissatisfied if their housing and

neighbourhood do not meet their residential needs and aspirations. This notion informs the

inclusion of beneficiary’s participation, needs and expectation on the represented model to be

developed so that a holistic view of beneficiaries’ residential determinants can be studied in

the evaluation of their housing satisfaction.

There is considerable evidence in literature which shows that residential satisfaction is

influenced by a broad array of objective and subjective perceived conditions. Previous studies

on residential satisfaction have analysed many variables such as housing, neighbourhood and

users’ characteristics that affect housing satisfaction (Galster, 1987; Lu, 1999). A buildings’

physical and social features are also strongly related to housing satisfaction. Satisfaction with

neighbourhood features has also been noted to be an important factor of housing satisfaction.

These include neighbourhood facilities, such as schools, clinics, shops, community halls

amongst others. However, numerous studies as carried out in developing countries have mainly

analysed three main components of the identified residential satisfaction attributes such as the

dwelling units, facilities and services, and the neighbourhood. For instance, a study by Husna

and Nurizan (1987) found that the residents of low-cost flats in Malaysia were generally

satisfied with their housing conditions and environment. Amongst the predictive variables that

contribute to the overall housing satisfaction, neighbourhood satisfaction contributed the most.

In another study by Savasdisara et al. (1989) the residents in a private low-income housing unit

were generally satisfied with the dwelling units and the neighbourhood. In contrast, a study by

Ukoha and Beamish (1997) found that the residents in a public housing unit in Abuja, Nigeria

were dissatisfied with their overall housing situation but satisfied with the neighbourhood

facilities. Overall, the concept of residential satisfaction does not lie on the individual’s

dwelling characteristics alone, but it is a composite of the overall physical and social

components that makeup the housing system (Francescato et al., 1987). Hence, this thesis is

focused on observing the effect of other variables that have not yet been studied collectively

on how they influence residential satisfaction.

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Residential satisfaction, as a measure, has been criticized by some scholars as being subjective

(Campbell et al., 1976). Others have acknowledged the criticism but informed that all measures

have limitations and satisfaction should not be dismissed as a measure because it is a useful

concept (Potter et al., 2001). Another criticism of satisfaction is that operational definitions

vary greatly because they are defined as cognitive, emotional, and/or conative (Anderson &

Weidemann, 1997). All evolving models tend to support the belief that satisfaction can and

does include all areas. Francescato, Weidemann and Anderson (1986) defined satisfaction as

an attitude and stated that satisfaction and responses to questions directed at measuring

satisfaction could be considered affective, cognitive, and conative. Therefore, as a construct,

resident satisfaction must be both conceived and interpreted as multifaceted, including

affective, cognitive and conative responses. Researchers have continued to explore this broad-

based approach (Anderson & Weidemann, 1997). However, social psychologists have

suggested that there are three general categories of responses to any socio-physical object: the

affective, the cognitive and the conative or behavioural (Rosenberg & Hovland, 1960), which

is in line with the conceptualization made by Francescato et al. (1986). According to Rapoport

(1977), this suggestion or environmental perception is also referred to as a process of knowing,

feeling and doing. Thus, these categories create a useful framework in understanding the

theoretical development of satisfaction research (Weidemann & Anderson, 1985; Francescato

et al., 1987). As a result, residential satisfaction is not only used as an indicator of housing

policy, but also as a predictor of housing mobility as many researchers has shown.

As previously discussed, satisfaction is a subjective response to an objective environment. As

such, measures of satisfaction have been met with criticism. The criticisms, as outlined by

Francescato et al. (1987:48), include:

1. a report that residential satisfaction tends to be uniformly high and therefore, cannot

be assumed to indicate the ‘true’ state of affairs;

2. that subjective measures of satisfaction do not correlate with objective measures of

context and behaviour, therefore they cannot be considered valid measures of the

objective reality;

3. satisfaction with an object varies, for the same individual or social group, with time

and with personal and social norms and expectations, thus it is too fickly an

indicator on which to base action;

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4. satisfaction tending to be higher where there is a lower beneficiary awareness of

‘better’ alternatives, which was argued that it tends to reflect unenlightened

assessments on which policy and decisions should not be based; and

5. focusing on satisfaction rather than attacking ‘real’ problems may result in sub-

optimal environments.

Francescato et al. (1987) further provided answers to these criticisms and established that while

the criticisms point to limitations that should be taken into account when interpreting results,

they also seem to warrant using the construct of satisfaction (Potter et al., 2001). Additionally,

Campbell et al. (1976) concluded that exaggerated skepticism of subjective responses is not

warranted based on extensive consideration of (among others) the following:

1. the reliability and validity of measures; the comparison between objective and

subjective indicators of well-being;

2. the levels of reality of domains being assessed, and the analytical intentions (Anderson

& Weidemann, 1997).

Hence, it is important to be aware of these limitations. However, it is clear that they do not

prevent satisfaction from being a useful concept. This is because there are limitations to all

research investigations; for example, there are always limitations to the operationalization of

subjective concept. However, Kim (1997) states that the criticisms in residential satisfaction

research point out the need for research that addresses these criticisms, and illustrates the

impact on theoretical models, and then proposes a research direction with clear theoretical

foundation. This is one of the prime reasons why the present research was conceived.

To this end, the next section will review the common problems that are mostly raised in

residential satisfaction research and offer possible solutions which will guide the present

research. The present research will develop and extend the concept of housing satisfaction, by

which the study of housing satisfaction will be treated as a criterion of evaluation; meaning

that residential satisfaction will be treated as a dependent variable. This will thus help to

identify the most appropriate variables to be considered in the provision of housing for the low-

income group by the government in developing countries using South Africa as a case study.

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2.3.3 Problems Raised in Residential Satisfaction Study

When attempts are made to empirically prove models of residential satisfaction and the

relationship between the individual and his/her environment, scholars have faced several kinds

of problems. The problems that are mostly faced by researchers are usually grouped into three

dimensions (Amerigo & Aragones, 1997:52). The first relates to the definition of the terms of

the interaction being studied, which is the residential environment. Most times, what is

understood by residential environment, is not clearly defined; or likely a clear assertion of how

has it been empirically defined is necessary. The second dimension according to Amerigo and

Aragones (1997:52) raises the problem of the interaction between the individual and his/her

residential environment. Since the interaction is a dynamic two-way constantly changing

process. Lastly, the above-mentioned problems, together with the social attractiveness inherent

in the term ‘satisfaction’, result in the difficulty of formulating this variable. In order to meet

the aim and objectives for this study, the above problems will be described, highlighting

important theoretical and methodological queries which have hindered research in this field,

and possible solutions offered, which will again guide the present research.

2.3.3.1 Definition of residential environment

According to Amerigo and Aragones (1997:47) numerous studies of residential satisfaction

have mostly been applied to the house and to its surrounding neighbourhood. Both have been

researched from two points of view namely:

1. physical, conforming to equipment and services; and

2. social, referring to the social linkages established both in communal areas of the

building and in the neighbourhood.

However, there seems to be a problem in trying to outline the physical boundaries of the house

and that of the neighbourhood. For example, when referring to a house, we should take into

account not only its private space, but also the semi-public spaces immediately surrounding it.

According to Rapoport (1977), the appropriate definition of these areas is very significant at

certain socio-economic levels due to the perceptions they involve. Rapoport further argues that

spatial perceptions may vary substantially as a function of variables, like social and cultural

status. The concept of neighbourhood on the other hand is even more confusing according to

Lee (1968) and Amerigo and Aragones (1997). Very few scholars have clearly define this

concept exactly to which physical area it involves, while most other scholars uses terms like

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community, district, neighbourhood amongst others, without defining them specifically.

However, Marans and Rodger (1975) are one of the few exceptions that put forward clearly

differentiated levels within the residential environment. In their work on the understanding of

community satisfaction, they defined the environment as the intermediate zone between the

macro-neighbourhood and micro-neighbourhood, including a more-or-less large area near the

occupant’s house, and where relationships are formed with other people living in it. This means

that the individuals residing in a space and the physical objects they use are closely bound into

one unit, thus forming an outline (Amerigo & Aragones, 1997:53). According to this concept,

neighbourhood cannot be specifically defined; rather the concept should be referred to as a

personal category, which is what the residents’ consider it to be. Another significant

characteristic when trying to define the neighbourhood is given by the sense of belonging to it,

or identification with it. Hence, the present thesis presupposes that the definition of

neighbourhood does not refer to the geographical area which limits it, but rather to the

occupant’s perception and to their sense of belonging, as supported by Amerigo and Aragones

(1997:53). In this way, the neighbourhood does not have a fixed surface, but varies from one

occupant to another.

2.3.3.2 Interaction between the Resident’s and their Residential

Environment

Amerigo and Aragones (1997:54) theorize that the study of residential satisfaction is most

interesting when it is applied to residents of low-income housing, who cannot move away if

they are dissatisfied with their present residential environment. When the degree of residential

satisfaction is low in this type of residence, in most cases mental (cognitive) restructuring

occurs in the resident, which keeps them in equilibrium with the residential environment. This

interaction between the individual and the residential environment implies that all the

residential environment intervening elements are considered as part of a process, which greatly

complicates empirical treatment of conceptual models. This practice sets in motion internal

mechanisms which determine the evaluations, which will make occupants experience a higher

or lower degree of residential satisfaction. Marans and Rodgers (1975) described the internal

mechanism as a standard of comparison when assessing the residential environment. This

notion denotes issues such as expectations, levels of aspirations, degree of equity

(participation), reference norms, needs and values. However, Marans and Rodgers (1975) limit

their study to enumerating the elements that form the standard of comparison, making no

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reference to the meanings of such elements, or to the actual role played by each of them in the

evaluation of residential environment.

Likewise, Amerigo (1990) on the description of the theoretical model of residential satisfaction

refers to a similar element, which is essential when transforming the objective characteristics

of the residential environment into subjective ones, since it is the latter which will primarily

define the degree of residential satisfaction experienced by the individual. This element

according to Amerigo and Aragones (1997:55) is called standard of residential quality, which

is determined, amongst other things, by the occupant’s norm of reference. For example, having

an indoor toilet would be the maximum aspiration in housing quality for certain cultures or

certain socio-economic levels; whilst for others, it will have a much lower place on the scale.

Hence, it is assumed that each occupant has a specific standard of residential quality, by which

comparisons are made with the actual environment, so that as the gap between both decreases,

satisfaction with the actual residential environment increases. This cognitive view is formed

on the basis of the background of the occupant or household whose residential satisfaction is

being studied. Thus, this element implicitly includes individual, social and cultural influences

on the interaction with the residential environment.

Amerigo (1990) argues that the empirical demonstration of these internal processes in the

assessment of the residential environment has not always been effectively clarified, given the

complexity of interrelations posed by the processes themselves. Although, in Galster and

Hesser’s (1981) research on the model of residential satisfaction, and the works of Lindberg et

al. (1987, 1988) on residential preferences, both have attempted to resolve the complexity of

the interrelations. The work of Lindberg et al. (1988) on the model of housing preferences

which was based on the Fishbein and Ajzen’s (1975) theory of ‘reasoned action’, empirically

support the premise that the evaluations people make of a series of housing characteristics are

defined by their structure of essential values and beliefs about the effects that certain types of

behaviour will have on achieving these values (Amerigo & Aragones, 1997).

Also, with the traditional approaches used for residential satisfaction data analysis, such as

multiple regression analysis; it is extremely difficult to prove empirically the intervention of

mechanisms, such as those already mentioned. It has been found that it is not possible to derive

cause-effect relations from the technique of regression models, which bring out a serious

weakness for previous models of residential satisfaction, which try to determine the causes that

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generate a certain degree of satisfaction and the effects they imply. Nevertheless, more and

more reliable statistical techniques for multi-variant analysis are being developed that allows

the extrapolation of causal relations between different variables. This considers the existence

of the independent variables, which increase the reliability and validity of the relations

established. For example, Galster and Hesser (1981) in their model of residential satisfaction

used Path Analysis to analyses the relation produced amongst the variables. Also, Lu (1999) in

his work on the determinants of residential satisfaction used the Ordered Logit Model, which

is seen as a more appropriate method than the widely-used regression models due to the ordinal

nature of the dependent variables. In order to overcome the above problems and thus, achieving

the desired cause-effect, this study employed the use of structural equation modeling to

determine the relationship between the exogenous variables and how they predict residential

satisfaction. This helped to overcome the weaknesses that the use of regression models posed

in residential satisfaction studies. Though, the techniques of analysis of structural equations

was first applied to an attitudinal model by Bentler and Speckart (1979).

2.3.4 Methodological Issues in the study of Residential Satisfaction

Despite sizeable literature and models that have been developed in the field of residential

satisfaction, it has not proven easy to quantify residential satisfaction empirically. According

to Amerigo and Aragones (1997:54), there are two problems associated with this: first, “social

desirability generated by direct questions of the type ‘to what extent are you satisfied with. . .

?’and secondly, the difficulty of determining ‘objective’ levels of residential satisfaction”.

With regards the first problem, there are many studies which obtain high levels of satisfaction,

not only with the residential environment, but with life in general, and with other domains of

life, when these are measured through items or scales, which ask the residents directly about

their degree of satisfaction (Argyle, 1987; Campbell et al., 1976). Amerigo and Aragones

(1997:54) offer a solution with the use of indirect scales since they do not ask directly about

the degree of satisfaction, but about the residents. They further argue that in addition to the

weaknesses of social desirability already mentioned, it may be noted that the word satisfaction

has general connotations of meaning referring to a global state of the occupant, more than to a

specific aspect of the residential environment, such as the neighbourhood, the house, or the

neighbours. This they posit may obviously influence the judgments of satisfaction referring to

these three components of the residential environment.

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In contrast, the indirect scale has the weakness of its validity in comparison with the direct

scale, insofar as it is not certain that what is being measured is actually satisfaction and not

some other concept. The present research is oriented towards this measurement method and

will refer to specific aspect of the occupant’s residential environment and not to a global state

of satisfaction. This is because they offer more possibilities when aiming at a more valid

measurement of residential satisfaction which is what this study wants to attain.

The second problem, referring to the measurement of residential satisfaction, poses more

problems and questions the traditional definitions of the concept of satisfaction. Amerigo and

Aragones (1997:55) argues that if it is defined as the gap existing between achievements and

aspirations (Bardo & Hughey, 1984; Canter & Rees, 1982; Marans & Rodgers, 1975), how can

the situation of individual be explain who, despite having a wide gap between residential

achievements and aspirations, profess to be satisfied with their residential environment when

asked about it. They further clarify that the obvious answer is either that the question is

influenced by “social disability, as referred to above, or that these types of individuals have

reduced the dissonance that their objective residential conditions generate”. In either case, this

presumes that the outward expression of the degree of residential satisfaction experienced by

this type of individual varies obviously from the actual residential situation they are in, and is

determined by the gap that separates residential achievements from aspirations.

Consequently, the question of how to measure ‘objectively’ the degree of residential

satisfaction has been a problem for researchers. However, the question of an accurate

‘objective’ measurement of residential satisfaction was first empirically proven by Amerigo

(1990), who asserted that a sample of housewives living in council housing in Spain obtained

a higher degree of satisfaction when expressed directly, than when it was obtained through the

definition of satisfaction mentioned above. Specifically, the degree of satisfaction for the study

was obtained by calculating the distance between the perceived residential environment and

the ideal residential environment. Rationally, it was found that if this distance is small, the

person is more satisfied than if it is greater. Besides, when a profile was established of those

who claimed to be very satisfied, it was noted that those who lived in the areas which was

shortly going to be rebuilt, and their residential conditions were, consequently, very poor at

that moment (Amerigo, 1990). The high levels of residential satisfaction were achieved in cases

where the objective residential conditions were predicted. While the opposite leads to suspect

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that the measurement strategies used up to the moment are inadequate. However, to overcome

these weaknesses, the use of indirect items and multi-term scales will be used in the current

study to help overcome this problem. To this end, the next section will discuss and review the

previous residential satisfaction models and conceptual frameworks, which will inform the

development of the holistic integrated conceptual framework for the present study.

2.3.5 Residential Satisfaction Conceptual Models

Previous models of residential satisfaction have been dedicated to three main components that

constitute the environmental interrelationship between man and his environment, that is, the

residents (the human part of the system) and the socio-physical environment and satisfaction

(the regulator of this complex relationship). In explaining the residents’ satisfaction, behaviour,

choice and mobility, Michelson (1977) came up with an integrated model.

2.3.5.1 Michelson’s Integrated Model

Michelson (1977:30) proposes an integrated model that explains residents’ mobility and

choice, user needs, and environment and behaviour. The major constructs of Michelson’s

model were: aspirations, primary demands, expectations, the physical settings, perception and

culture, and residents’ behaviour. The theoretical framework of the model focuses on residents’

satisfaction as a major determinant in residents’ mobility from their homes. In his model,

Michelson (1977) starts by supposing that residents have aspirations and primary demands in

interacting with their housing environment. Through residents’ expectations, residents’

aspirations and primary demands influences the physical and social characteristics of the

physical settings.

After residents’ experience the physical setting, an assessment occurs through perception and

culture, and spatial, social and psychological factors. Successively, this evaluation shapes

residents’ foreseen and unforeseen behaviour according to Michelson (1977:31). The resultant

behavioural pattern is a consequence of supportive or restrictive characteristics of the new

physical setting (Ahmad, 1994). Michelson’s model likewise assumes changes in the users’

primary needs, as a result of actual contact with the physical setting. These changes in the

users’ primary needs affect the evaluation of the housing environment. The users’ evaluation

may yield negative or positive perception followed by an action in the physical setting. Actions

related to negative perception, such as dissatisfaction, could be moving out of the

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neighbourhood, altering the use of space or adopting physical means to change or modify the

design of the space. In addition, the model describes that the residents’ action may not depend

on the residents’ evaluation of their housing setting, but rather on the ability to achieve their

aspirations. In other words, a resident may not move because they cannot afford something

better or it is not available at all. Michelson (1977) further informs that the ability to achieve

aspirations may lead to negative evaluation of present homes in favour of new or better ones.

However, it can also be blocked by lack of affordance or absence of a better environment.

2.3.5.2 Onibokun ‘Habitability’ Model

Onibokun (1974) postulated that assessing habitability means evaluating the satisfaction of a

tenant living in a specific housing unit. This housing unit, according to Onibokun, would

normally be part of a housing project located within a particular community under some type

of institutional management. Onibokun (1974) emphasized that the housing habitability

systems usually involve four interacting subsystems, which include: the tenants subsystem, the

dwelling subsystem, the environment subsystem and the management subsystem. In the

Onibokun model, it was hypothesised that the adequacy of a housing unit, as determined by

the internal space, the structural quality, the household services, and the amenities and the

quality of the internal environment will impact the extent to which the resident is satisfied with

the unit. It was argued that the housing unit by itself is not the only variable or the only

determinant of housing need satisfaction. The unit subsystem according to the model is only a

part of the whole system, which constitutes housing habitability.

The habitability model thus emphasized that the variables that will affect the satisfaction level

with a housing unit are: tenant, external environment, management and dwelling variables. In

particular the model singled out the inhabitant as the recipient of all the feedbacks from the

subsystems and is therefore the central focus of the conceptual model of habitability on which

a study on housing habitability should be based (Falah et al., 1995). However, this concept

remains limited with respect to the real and complex situation of housing satisfaction.

2.3.5.3 Marans-Rodger Model

Another conceptual model of residential satisfaction is that developed by Marans and Rodger

(1975). The model conceptualized that an individual’s satisfaction with housing depends on

their perception of the various neighbourhood characteristics and their assessment thereof. The

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neighbourhood attributes include several aspects of the physical environment and the quality

of local or community services. The Marans-Rodgers Model conceptualized that both the

perpetual evaluative process and the overall satisfaction level are related to the person’s own

characteristics, such as social class, housing status, amongst others. These socio-demographic

variables involve a smaller portion of residential satisfaction that does the assessment of

neighbourhood features. However, when personal characteristics were combined with

valuation variables as predictors of residential satisfaction, it was found that the former were

largely taken into account through the latter, and did not have much independent influence on

the level of satisfaction.

Nevertheless, in spite of adding new factors that will have an impact on satisfaction

(neighbourhood and community), Marans and Rodgers (1975) assessed personal characteristics

through the assessments of housing and neighbourhood attributes. The assessed variables were

found to be insufficient to fully assess personal characteristics. This limitation in the model

was what led to the development of the Path Analysis Model, which emphasizes the impact of

other significant variables which are neighbourhood and community variables. The Marans-

Rodgers (1975) model measured satisfaction with the community, the macro-neighbourhood,

and the micro-neighbourhood, and found that satisfaction with community related more to

social factors, while satisfaction with neighbourhood related more to physical factors.

2.3.5.4 Path Analysis Model

The Path Analysis Model as proposed by Hourihan (1984) hypothesizes that personal

characteristics are inter-related. The principle concern of the Path Analysis Model is the

relationship between the personal characteristics of residents and their levels of satisfaction.

The model specifies that residential satisfaction begins with residents’ personal characteristics.

These comprise the measure of social class, local social attachments, residential experience,

life cycle stages and housing type. For example housing type is dependent on social class, and

social attachment in turn, may well be related to housing type. Only social class and length of

residence were treated as being totally predetermined variables, and these would then influence

all other personal indices.

Neighbourhood attributes have also been found to have a direct contribution to housing

satisfaction. Attributes, such as safety, design of dwelling unit, stability and friendliness, were

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found to form a fairly comprehensive profile of each resident’s perception and assessment of

the neighbourhood. The model confirms the importance of personal and neighbourhood

variables.

2.3.5.5 Housing Adjustment Model

The Normative (Housing Adjustment Model) model was first proposed by Morris and Winter

(1978). They introduced the notion of housing deficit to hypothesize residential

(dis)satisfaction. In their Housing Adjustment Model of residential mobility, they theorize that

individual’s judge their housing conditions according to normatively defined norms, which are

dictated by societal standards or rules for life conditions, and family/personal norms, which

amount to households’ own standard for housing. Thus, families evaluate their own residential

situation and that of others using definite culturally derivative benchmarks as norms. However,

a family whose housing does not meet these standards, experiences one or more deficits. The

housing adjustment theory contends that if a household’s current housing meets the norms, the

household is likely to express a high level of satisfaction with housing and neighbourhood.

Thus, an incongruity between the actual housing situation and the cultural and/or familiar

housing norms, results in a housing deficit, which in turn gives rise to residential

dissatisfaction. Households with a housing deficit who are dissatisfied are likely to consider

some form of housing adjustment to meet the known norm. The occupants’ needs are defined

in terms of both cultural and housing norms. Cultural norms are the standards by which the

behaviour or conditions experienced by members of a culture are evaluated as ‘good’ or ‘bad’.

Housing norms are standards related to the dwelling and its environment. They vary from

zoning regulations that specify, amongst other things, the minimum distance a house must be

set back from the street to very informal rules about having a quiet place to live in (Falah et al.,

1995:460).

The Normative Model emphasizes, in addition to the many variables common to the previous

models, the significance of culture which is a very important factor in satisfaction research and

in all research involving developing countries. But the factor (culture) was not considered as a

separate factor in the current study, since every subjective decision made by the occupants’ is

influenced by their cultural background. Although, the Normative Model postulates that a

standard (good or bad) should be set according to the cultural environment of each country.

Standards should be set in relation to local housing needs, which take into account cultural and

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ethnic factors, rather than using some universal standards set in different countries. In a

developing nation, like South Africa, and in most developing countries where housing

standards for the low-income are fully regulated, it is essential to measure, as objectively as

possible, the physical quality of housing and its environment without predetermined ideas of

housing standards derived from the developed nations of the world. However, a number of

empirical studies have demonstrated that housing deficit is a useful notion in explaining

residential satisfaction and mobility behaviour (Bruin & Cook, 1997; Cook et al., 1994).

2.3.5.6 Francescato Model

In an attempt to understand the man-environment relationship, which was a question of an

understanding of the ‘users needs’ by the Design and Planning Professions during the 1960s;

Francescato et al. (1974) began to examine residents’ satisfaction with the housing

environment. In that study, issues identified were thought to be important to residents of

housing and developed self-report measures for these issues and for satisfaction. The

empirically derived causal model revealed a range of issues to be direct and indirect predictors

of housing satisfaction. The empirically derived causal model has been a prototype of later

housing satisfaction studies and has been used as framework by several housing evaluation

researchers. The Francescato model (1974) shows the multi-faceted character of the housing

environment. The model identifies important predictors of residents’ satisfaction with their

housing environment, such as safety, physical convenience, and social interaction. Some of the

predictors related to the physical environment, some to the social environment and some to the

housing environment. This brought about the notion that residential satisfaction can be

conceived in three levels, which are: the residential (physical) environment, the social

environment and housing (individual) environment or characteristics. The Francescato (1974)

Model assumes a direct functional relationship between satisfaction and each of the above

components, that is, residents’ characteristics and socio-physical components. Although the

model includes all the basic components for measuring satisfaction, residents’ behaviour and

values were not included in the model (Ahmad, 1994). The model also ignores the various

levels of the physical environment, such as the home, neighbourhood and city. Another

criticism of this model is that it focuses on satisfaction as an outcome of one side of the

equation, while the human behavioural aspects were completely ignored.

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2.3.5.7 Weidemann and Anderson Model

Weidemann and Anderson (1985) seeking a more advanced understanding of resident housing

satisfaction, developed a conceptual framework for housing satisfaction by drawing on other

theories and models. This led to their development of a conceptual framework for the

Residential Satisfaction Model. The model was based on the concept found in Fishbein and

Ajzen’s (1975) general Theory of Reasoned Action. The conceptual framework makes explicit

several of the theoretical orientations and the assumptions that underline housing satisfaction

approach.

The model explicitly recognizes the causative role of the physical and social environment by

indicating these as categories of ‘objective attributes’ of the particular environment. The

objective environmental attributes have an influence upon a person’s satisfaction, which is

defined as an attitude and affect on the physical and social environment – through the person’s

perceptions and beliefs about those environmental attributes. In addition, this model recognizes

that the person’s affective attitude toward the environment influences the person’s intentions

to behave with respect towards the environment. Subsequently, the occupant’s intention to

behave has an influence upon behaviour related to the environment (Weidemann & Anderson,

1985). They therefore, propose an interpretation of satisfaction in purely affective terms,

informing that housing satisfaction is the subjective response to the dwelling, the positive or

negative feeling that the occupants have towards the place they live in. Hence, it is a global

representation of the affective response of people to the social-physical environment in which

they live.

The theoretical model explicitly includes personal and social information, which many social

researchers’ have neglected. However, the characteristics of the individual resident in relation

to personal and social attributes should be considered as potential predictors of housing

satisfaction. Therefore, with respect to housing satisfaction, inputs of resident’s characteristics

with personal and social attributes are important, and housing satisfaction cannot be properly

interpreted without them, which have been considered in the present study.

2.3.5.8 Marans and Sprecklemeyer ‘Inclusive’ Model

Marans and Sprecklemeyer (1981) further suggest a theoretical framework which attempts to

clarify the relationship between objective conditions, subjective experience and residential

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satisfaction. The basic three components of the Marans and Sprecklemeyer Conceptual Model

are: the physical environment, the perception and attitude of the residents towards their housing

environment, and residents’ satisfaction. Marans and Sprecklemeyer (1981) in their study,

assumed a linear relationship between objective attributes of the physical environment, and

residents’ satisfaction. The model posits that satisfaction is a function of the physical

environment through one’s perception and beliefs of the physical environment. Hence, housing

satisfaction is a result of an integrated relationship between environment and the human

perception of beliefs. Additionally, the model assumes that human behaviour is a result of the

satisfactory or dissatisfactory outcome of the relationships produce amongst the variables.

Further to the above presentation of the previous models of residential satisfaction, Table 2.1

gives a summary of the previous models conceptualizations.

Table 2.1: Individual Conceptualization of Residential Satisfaction Models

Models Conceptualization

Francescato et al. (1979)

Francescato et al.’s Model of

Housing Satisfaction

The Francescato Model shows the multi-faceted character

of the housing environment. The model identifies important

predictors of residents’ satisfaction with their housing

environment, such as safety, physical convenience, and

social interaction. Some of the predictors relate to the

physical environment, some to the social environment and

some to the housing environment. This brought about the

notion that residential satisfaction can be conceived in three

levels, which are: the residential (physical) environment,

the social environment and housing (individual)

environment or characteristics.

Hourihan (1984)

Path Analysis Model

Personal characteristics are inter-related. The relationship

between the personal characteristics of residents and their

levels of satisfaction. The model specifies that residential

satisfaction begins with residents’ personal characteristics.

These comprise the measure of social class, local social

attachments, residential experience, life cycle stages and

housing type.

Marans and Rodger (1975)

Marans-Rodger Model

An individual’s satisfaction with housing depends on their

perception of the various neighbourhood characteristics

and their assessment of them.

Marans & Sprecklemeyer

(1981)

Inclusive Model (Basic

Conceptual Model)

This model posits that satisfaction is a function of the

physical environment through one’s perception and beliefs

they have of the physical environment. Hence, housing

satisfaction is as a result of an integrated relationship

between environment and the human perception of beliefs.

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Michelson (1977)

Michelson’s Integrated

Model

Residents’ satisfaction as a major determinant in resident’s

mobility from their homes. Residents’ expectations,

residents’ aspirations and primary demands influences the

physical and social characteristics of the physical settings

Morris & Winter (1978)

Housing Adjustment Model

The notion of “housing deficit”. They theorize that

individual’s judge their housing conditions according to

normatively defined norms, which are dictated by societal

standards or rules for life condition, and family/personal

norms, which amount to households’ own standard for

housing.

Onibokun (1974)

Habitability Model

The adequacy of a housing unit is determine by the internal

space, the structural quality, the household services, the

amenities and quality of the internal environment impact

and the extent to which the resident’s is satisfied with the

unit.

Weidemann & Anderson

(1985)

Integrated Conceptual Model

They therefore proposed an interpretation of satisfaction in

purely affective terms, informing that housing satisfaction

is the “emotional response to the dwelling, the positive or

negative feeling that the occupants have for where they live.

Hence, it is a global representation of the affective response

of people to the socio-physical environment in which they

live.

The model explicitly recognizes the causative role of

physical and social environment by indicating these as

categories of ‘objective attributes’ of the particular

environment. The Model recognizes that the person’s

affective attitude toward the environment influences the

person’s intentions to behave with respect to the

environment.

Source: Author’s Literature review

2.3.6 Measuring Residential Satisfaction

From the conceptualized models discussed above, the work of Marans and Rodger (1975) and

Marans and Sprecklemeyer (1981) are the most comprehensive conceptual models of

residential satisfaction and many other studies have been based them. Also, all previous models

suggest a general sense of causality by moving left to right in their thematic diagrams with the

exception of the Marans and Sprecklemeyer’s (1981) Conceptual Model. Likewise, all models

suggested the indirect associations between objective attributes and satisfaction through other

components in the model, which was not in their model. Marans and Sprecklemeyer’s (1981)

model was the only one which stressed the direct effects of objective environmental attributes

on overall neighbourhood satisfaction. The direct association between these two variables is

considered in the current study. Both Marans and Sprecklemeyer’s (1981) and Marans and

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Rodger’s (1975) models posited that residential satisfaction together with satisfaction with

other domains can influence the quality of life as an individual experiences it. Despite the

robustness of both models, they excluded beneficiary participation, needs and expectation as

significant factors which have been considered in the current model to develop a more robust

holistically integrated model of residential satisfaction.

Marans and Rodger’s (1975) model hypothesized that the resident’s satisfaction depends on

their perception of three domains (the dwelling unit, the neighbourhood and community

facilities). This is also a major hypothesis of the current study. In disparity, the Path Analysis

and the Onibokun ‘Habitability’ models specify that housing satisfaction is based on the

occupants’ personal characteristics. This thus informed that the central focus of their models is

the inhabitant. This is a limited assessment of the nature of housing satisfaction which in

practice has several other dimensions. In addition, the Marans-Rodgers (1975) Model further

postulates that overall satisfaction should be related to the person’s characteristics and other

variables. However, Hourihan (1984) inform that socio-demographic variables account for a

small proportion of housing satisfaction level, than do the assessments of the three domains of

measurement. The normative and Marans-Rodgers models emphasized that as well as looking

out from the inside, residential satisfaction should be evaluated by looking in from the outside

by measuring the eccentricities of actual environments from norms or standards (Falah et. al.,

1995, Michelson, 1977).

Studying these previous satisfaction models, leads to the conclusion that certain essential

variable that have an impact on residential satisfaction are contained within the following four

main domains:

1. Personal characteristics (socio-economic variables);

2. Dwelling unit;

3. Neighbourhood; and

4. Community services.

Because of the disagreement between researchers as to the relative importance of these four

different variables, the current research assesses the four variables and will also take into

consideration the impact of the two new variables (beneficiaries’ participation, needs and

expectations) that will be added. These domains include beneficiary’s participation after they

were shortlisted to being given houses, as well as the impact of considering the needs and the

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expectations of the beneficiaries’. Therefore, because of the reasons stated above, this research

model will combine the essential variables of the residential environment together with that of

the newly added constructs in the assessment of low-income housing satisfaction.

2.3.7 Measuring Residential Quality and Adequacy (Satisfaction)

It is worth noting that previous theories of residential satisfaction all centre around the concept

that residential satisfaction measures the difference between households’ actual and desired (or

aspired-to) housing and neighbourhood characteristics (Galster, 1987; Galster & Hesser, 1981).

A significant issue in all models of residential satisfaction is how the housing attributes are

measured. There are commonly two types of measurements available, namely objective and

subjective measures of housing attributes found in literature (Francescato, 2002; Wiedemann

& Anderson, 1985). All the models discussed above, assess the level of housing satisfaction

subjectively, which is only one indicator of beneficiaries’ satisfaction as defined already.

Consequently, an objective measure of housing adequacy is essential to complete the present

research model. Objective measures refer to the actual measurements, such as the presence, the

lack of, or quantities of attributes, whilst subjective measures refer to perceptions, emotions,

attitudes and intentions towards the housing attributes. The objective measures of the attributes

of housing satisfaction have been shown to be weaker predictors than the subjective measures

(Francescato et al., 1989; Wiedemann & Anderson, 1985). The main objective measuring

technique, which has been used in assessing housing satisfaction quality, was first adopted by

Morris et al. (1972) who classified three areas of housing quality:

1. Structural quality, which refers primarily to durability of the shell;

2. Service quality, which is concerned with the kinds of equipment, facilities and

conveniences, which the dwelling provides; and

3. The state of maintenance and caretaking.

The measure of quality used by Morris et al. (1972) consisted of 26 items that measured these

three identical areas (Djebarni & Al-Abed, 1998). The presence or absence of a particular

characteristic was used as the prime basis for the assignment of a score to the various items.

The resulting item score was summed up to provide a measure of housing quality. Morris et al.

(1972) further emphasized that the procedure was based on traditional scaling techniques.

However, the work of Duncan (1971) titled Measuring Housing Quality, presented a number

of different models for measuring housing quality in the United Kingdom and in America.

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Though, these vary significantly in their origins and scope because of the cultural differences.

To incorporate a more flexible and practical approach, Duncan (1971) in his study developed

the Housing and Environment Defects Index (HEDI), which has been used in the Scottish

Development Department, and is similar to the work of Morris et al. (1972). Duncan (1971)

categorized three dimensions of housing quality which are:

1. Basis of the dwelling interior schedule;

2. Basis of the dwelling exterior schedule; and

3. Basis of the environment schedule.

The method used a weighting system to distinguish between defects of greater and lesser

significance so that the aggregate result can be meaningful and capable of comparison. The

rationale behind Duncan’s (1971) method is that when some elements or condition in the

housing environment deviates from its set point or standard, a deficit results. This is what the

general principle of housing satisfaction is based on in all the models reviewed previously. This

technique was found to be flexible for measuring quality under different housing standards.

Because of the setting, the specifics indices developed by Duncan (1971) are equally applicable

to developing countries. Duncan’s (1971) method of measuring the quality of housing schemes

was used in the current research with the necessary adaptations to fit the South African

conditions in measuring the quality of the dwelling units of the low-income housing schemes.

However, the weight scoring system was not employed, as the presence and absence of vital

housing variables were only assessed in the present study.

Also, it has become common, in measuring residential satisfaction, to use an index of highly

correlated items rather than a single-item variable of how satisfied you are with your housing

unit; which is insufficient to illustrate satisfaction as a multifaceted constructs. Francescato et

al. (1986) addressed this issue in two ways. First, they proposed a list or index of four questions

reflecting overall satisfaction with the housing unit:

1. How satisfied are you with living here?

2. How long do you want to live in this housing development?

3. If you move again, would you like to live in another place like this?

4. Would you recommend this place to one of your friends if they were looking for a

place to live?

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Secondly, recognizing that interpretation of responses to questions could have affective,

cognitive, and conative components, they proposed that this index of satisfaction would best

be described if many questions reflecting this multiplicity were used in the evaluation. The

reason for the above proposals was conceptual, which has been adopted in the present thesis.

This system helps to increase the reliability of the criterion since an index is essentially better

than a single item (Carvalho et al., 1997; Wiedemann & Anderson, 1985). Based on the above,

the present study measured the constructs in the conceptual framework with the aid of the

domains objective and subjective characteristics.

2.3.8 Determinants of Residential Satisfaction

Most empirical studies of residential satisfaction have been based on one of the conceptual

frameworks discussed above. The emphasis of the studies have been to establish the effects of

various housing, neighbourhood, and household features on residential satisfaction (Bonnes,

Bonaiuto & Ercolani., 1991; Lu, 1999). Various studies have analysed the correlates of

observed residential satisfaction for specific population groups, as already described above.

Also, a host of variables representing housing and neighbourhood characteristics, individuals’

socio-demographic attributes, as well as their perceptions of housing and neighbourhood

conditions have also been analysed in previous studies. They vary from the home size to

personal collections. According to Lu (1999), differences in model specification and data type

could also prevent a direct comparison of the empirical results. Two features that have arisen

from empirical studies on residential satisfaction are: firstly, Weidemann and Anderson (1982)

promotes that the significance of the perceptual variables have been emphasized because of the

belief that what is important in determining individuals’ residential satisfaction is their

perception rather than the actual structure of the residential surroundings. In other words,

objective measures of housing and neighbourhood attributes alone do not provide an adequate

explanation of satisfaction. Secondly, Crull et al. (1991) states that dwelling satisfaction and

neighbourhood satisfaction are measured differently and are often analysed separately. But, it

must be noted that the two types of satisfaction are also interrelated. This is because the

assessment of one’s housing unit, for example, is likely to include its immediate surroundings,

even one’s relationship with neighbours (Lu, 1999).

Overall, empirical studies have identified a number of important determinants of residential

satisfaction, such as income, tenure, life cycle stages, house size, and housing quality. For

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instance, being older, having a higher income, having a smaller family have been related to

more housing satisfaction (Campbell et al., 1976; Galster & Hesser, 1981; Morris & Winter,

1978). Homeownership, particularly owners of single family homes, are almost always more

satisfied with their homes and neighbourhood than are renters (Rohe & Basolo, 1997). Also,

available space in the house has a significant positive effect on residents’ dwelling satisfaction.

Neighbourhood satisfaction has also been found to be an important predictor of dwelling

satisfaction; but there are also inconsistent and conflicting results in the literature on several

variables. Onibokun (1974) argued that the residential satisfaction (habitability) of a house is

influenced not only by the engineering elements, but also by social, behavioural, cultural, and

other elements in the entire socio-environmental system. The house, as informed by Onibokun

(1974), is only one link in a chain of factors that determine beneficiaries’ relative satisfaction

with their accommodation.

According to the literature, housing characteristics, neighbourhood characteristics, and

household characteristics have also, been viewed as the essential determinants of residential

satisfaction (Amerigo & Aragones 1997; Galster & Hesser 1981; Lu 1999). Housing

characteristics include the age of houses (He, 2009), interior and proximal exterior

environments (Phillips, Siu, & Yeh 2005), and other aspects of housing, such as, building

quality and disrepair (Amerigo & Aragones, 1990; Paris & Kangari 2006). Sirgy and Cornwell

(2002) also identified neighbourhood, social, economic, and physical features as the major

determinants of residential satisfaction. The social features most often regarded as important

include interaction with neighbours, attachment to the communities, perceptions of privacy,

safety at home, and others (Bruin & Cook 1997; Weidemanh & Anderson, 1982).

Neighbourhood socio-economic status and home values, and community cost of living are

factors used to measure the economic features of the neighbourhood (He, 2009; Lu 1999).

Physical features are other infrastructural and equipment settings, and these regard the quality

of the environment of the community, such as lighting of streets as informed by Dahmann

(1983), crowding and noise level, hypothesized by Gomez-Jacinto and Hombrados-Mendieta

(2002) and Bonnes et al. (1991), and green area or open space by Turner (2005) .

Largely, the concept of housing does not lie in the individual’s dwelling alone. It is a composite

of the overall physical and social components that makeup the housing system (Francescato et

al., 1987). Furthermore, housing satisfaction is influenced by the numerous components in the

system and the background characteristics of the occupants. Other factors that have been found

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related to housing satisfaction, include: marital status (Tan & Hamzah, 1979), number of

children and family size (Miller & Crader, 1979; cited in Theodori, 2001), socio-economic

status, education, employment and welfare (Varady et al., 2001), housing physical

characteristics of the house (Yeh, 1972), satisfaction with the housing physical condition of the

house and management services (Varady & Carrozza, 2000), social participation and

interaction (Mohd Zulfa, 2000) and past living conditions, as well as residential mobility and

future intention to move (Morshidi et al., 1999).

However, there is little agreement on the effect of these factors on residential satisfaction. Lu

(1999:265) argues that the inconsistent in empirical findings may be attributed to the fact that

such key variables such as residential satisfaction are often defined differently in different

studies as well as the inappropriate statistical techniques that was employed in measuring the

determinants. The most widely used method in the previous studies has been Multiple

Regression Analysis, with levels of residential satisfaction being the dependent variable.

Because residential satisfaction is usually measured at the ordinal level even though it actually

has an interval scale, regression models have been found not to be appropriate. In the current

study, Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) utilizing EQS software was used in measuring the

variables, which helped to overcome the limitations of other measurement techniques that have

so far been used. This is because SEM is a statistical methodology that takes a confirmatory

approach rather than an exploratory approach, to the analysis of a structural theory, which

represents causal processes that generate observations on multiple variables (Bentler, 1988).

2.4 CONCLUSION

From the literature reviewed, one of the most outstanding findings in this chapter revealed that

the work of Marans & Rodger (1975) and Marans & Sprecklemeyer (1981) are the most

comprehensive conceptual models of residential satisfaction and as such many studies on

residential satisfaction have been based on them. Also revealed by the review of literature is

the important fact that previous theories of residential satisfaction all centre upon the concept

of residential satisfaction measuring the difference between households’ actual and desired (or

aspired-to) housing and neighbourhood characteristics. This is because a significant issue in all

models of residential satisfaction is the actual measurement of housing attributes. The literature

further reveals that there are two common types of measurement available, namely objective

and subjective measures. All previous models have all tended to assess the level of housing

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satisfaction subjectively, which is only one indicator of beneficiaries’ satisfaction as defined

already. Hence, the current study hopes to fill this gap where residential satisfaction will be

measured both objectively and subjectively because objective measure of housing adequacy is

essential to complete the present research model.

Further findings from the reviewed literature reveal that a lot of factors determine housing

satisfaction ranging from income, tenure, life cycle stages, house size, housing quality, being

older, higher income bracket, having a smaller family, age of houses, interior and proximal

exterior environment, building quality, disrepair, place attachment, perception of privacy,

safety at home, home values and homeownership amongst others. However, homeownership

is said to be a major determinant of satisfaction within the owners of single family homes, than

renters, but not considered as a variable in the present study. Also, available space in the house

was found to be a factor that influences residents’ dwelling satisfaction. Neighbourhood

satisfaction has been found to be a major predictor of housing satisfaction; but at times, there

are inconsistencies and conflicting results in the literature on several other variables that also

affect the occupants’ satisfaction. Likewise, housing satisfaction is said to be determined by

the social, economic, behavioural, cultural, physical features and other elements in the entire

socio-environmental system. This is because the house is only one link in a chain of factors

that determine beneficiaries’ relative satisfaction with their accommodation. Lastly, literature

reveals that the measures of satisfaction have been met with criticism. Though, it is important

to be aware of these limitations. However, it is clear that they do not preclude satisfaction from

being a useful concept, as there are limitations to all research investigations. The criticisms

point out the urgency for research that addresses them with a clear theoretical foundation. The

next chapter addresses the gaps that have been observed from the review of past residential

satisfaction models, which the current study is positioned to address.

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CHAPTER THREE

GAPS IN RESIDENTIAL SATISFACTION RESEARCH

3.1 INTRODUCTION

This chapter addresses the gaps observed in residential satisfaction research, which have not

been evaluated as all-inclusive constructs in the previous models. Though, they were

mentioned in the discussion of the previous models, only as distinct variables. These gaps form

the additional new constructs for the current study’s conceptual framework. The identified

gaps are: beneficiaries’ needs and expectations, and participation in the housing development

process. These identified gaps are discussed in relation to how to achieve them in low-income

housing development.

3.2 GAPS IN RESIDENTIAL SATISFACTION CONCEPTUAL

FRAMEWORK

Using the conceptual frameworks of Marans and Rodger (1975) and Weidemann and Anderson

(1985) as examples, it becomes clear that most of the research findings relating to residential

satisfaction are done in the developed western countries. Studies on residential satisfaction

completed in developing countries mostly relate to public housing provided by private

developers. However, these studies have not adequately provided an overview of the concept

compared to those done in developed countries. Hence, the result of the studies conducted in

the developed countries application and relevance will not be consistent with those of the

developing countries, as a result of the peculiarity of the developing countries housing

situations. This section of the study identifies the gaps in the residential satisfaction conceptual

framework. Since the conceptual framework provides the perspectives from which problems

are highlighted, it is most likely that there are some gaps in the western conceptual framework

that have failed to capture the factors affecting residential satisfaction in South Africa and other

developing countries; and in public housing studies in general. This section attempts to address

the two gaps that have been identified, namely: lack of understanding of beneficiary’s needs

and expectations, and the lack of practical involvement of beneficiaries’ meaningful

participation prior to the housing development process and the eventual allocation of the units

to the beneficiaries. It is of importance to inform the reader that the houses being evaluated and

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referred to in this study are subsidised government allocated housing units. These houses are

built by the government and allocated to the poor and low income groups within a certain

category, as recommended by the housing department allocation guidelines. The consideration

of these identified gaps is based on the notion that resident satisfaction cannot be achieved

without good internal (needs and expectations) and external (participation in the housing

process) assessment of the occupants. This is because residential satisfaction is not a simple,

single-track factor assessment; but a combination of numerous variables.

3.3 GAP ONE: UNDERSTANDING BENEFICIARY’S NEEDS AND

EXPECTATIONS

Before a conclusion can be reached on how residential satisfaction of subsidised low-income

housing beneficiaries in South Africa is formed, it is important to explore why there is a

contrast in residential satisfaction research findings and whether the existing theoretical

framework proposed by western researchers has some gaps that have not fully accommodate

the developing nation’s context.

As already established from the literature, residential satisfaction is an individual evaluation of

living conditions. Collectively in social research, individual’s evaluation has the power to

appraise the housing policy’s performance, and possibly predicting housing mobility. In order

to examine the difference in residential satisfaction research as a combination of residents’

individual housing evaluation, it is essential to explore it both independently and collectively

(Yiping, 2005). As a result, this calls for research on residential satisfaction across individual

and social perceptions, which studies this at both psychological and sociological level. So far,

most residential satisfaction studies have focused on certain social goals, such as assessing

housing policy as a measure and also forecasting housing mobility as a predictor. According to

Francescato et al. (1987), the supposition behind housing policy research is that higher

satisfaction levels are a good indication of the success of specific policies, programmes, or

designs like the South Africa housing subsidy scheme amongst others. Also, Speare (1974)

noted that for housing mobility research, mobility results from the increase in dissatisfaction

beyond a person’s threshold of tolerance level. It is assumed that satisfied residents choose to

stay, rather than move out without a thorough examination of other factors that could have

contributed to the none-mobility decision. In contrast to the previous uses of residential

satisfaction, the focus should be primarily to determine which components of the housing

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system most strongly and consistently predict residential satisfaction, so that it can be used to

direct efforts in those directions (outcomes) and to those aspects in which an intervention is

likely to yield the most beneficial effect (Yiping, 2005) for the occupants of the houses, which

is the focus of the current research. The idea of aiming to intervene in some components of the

housing system have tilted most research focus towards the physical and social setting of the

housing system, away from the beneficiaries needs and expectations.

Apart from the above, some residential satisfaction conceptual frameworks have included

needs and expectations, as part of the factors researched. Bruin and Cook (1997), Greenberg

(1999) and Parkes et al. (2002) proved in their research that needs and expectation data is a

better determinant of residential satisfaction, as opposed to socio-demographic data. Some

proven and useful personal needs and expectation variables, according to Greenberg (1999),

include mistrust of authority, negative emotions and pessimism amongst others researched,

during the housing development process. Moreover, because there is a lack of psychological

understanding in most residential satisfaction research, the focus has been put on sociological

understanding alone (Yiping, 2005). However, Sundstrom et al. (1996) state that psychological

understanding in residential satisfaction research has increasingly incorporate situational and

contextual variables as evidence has shown, but still, fundamental exploration from a

psychological perspective is lagging behind in most conceptual frameworks. As a result, the

effort to understand the individual psychological differences in the residential satisfaction

evaluation process is necessary.

In addressing the gap of understanding personal need, Maslow’s (1970) needs theory will be

drawn upon, whilst for the gap of resident’s expectation, the expectancy disconfirmation

theoretical framework postulated by Oliver (1981), as discussed in the previous chapter, will

be drawn upon as well. As already discussed, research in residential satisfaction is a valid way

of assessing the overall performance of the housing system as a criterion (Francescato et al.

1987), and it is useful to explore the meaning of satisfaction from the residents’ perspective in

order to have a holistic view of the housing system. Studying satisfaction requires real

understanding of the individual needs and expectation; and according to the Marine-Webster

Dictionary, satisfaction means fulfillment of a need or want. Thus, an understanding of

occupants’ housing needs and expectation will be useful to investigate the gaps in previous

residential satisfaction research.

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The work of Maslow (1970) on ‘Motivation and Personality’ conceptualized the well-known

Needs Hierarchy Theory. Maslow theorizes that basic human needs are organized into an order

of relatively importance. Maslow also believes that human needs arrange themselves in order

of ‘pre-potency’. The needs order theory further postulates that: the appearance of one need

usually rests on the prior satisfaction of another more pre-potent need. Also, no need or drive

can be treated as if it were isolated or discrete; thus every drive is related to the state of

satisfaction or dissatisfaction of other drive. It is believed that once a need is satisfied, it ceases

to motivate behaviour. But man being an “ever-wanting” creature; as soon as one need is

satisfied, another appears in its place. Thus ‘human needs’ form a hierarchy according to

Maslow’s (1970) theory, which includes the physiological needs, safety needs, need to belong

and love needs, esteem needs, and need for self-actualization. The Maslow’s Needs Theory

postulates that each need must be satisfied in turn, starting with the first, which deals with the

most obvious needs for survival. It is only when the lower order needs of physical and

emotional well-being are satisfied that a concern can be placed on the higher order needs of

influence and personal development. However, if the things that satisfy the lower order needs

are swept away, people are no longer concerned about the attainment and satisfaction of the

higher order needs.

The Maslow’s Needs Order Theory has been extensively used in many fields, but, mainly in

the business and management domain to provide help on how to stimulate employees’

motivation. However, the needs order clearly set up the levels of order which individuals have

tried to pursue, as each level’s need satisfaction will motivate the desire for the next level. This

theory has also been tested to be useful in job satisfaction and customer satisfaction; and as

such it has the potential to help in addressing the gap in residential satisfaction research. Turner

(1972) using Maslow’s (1970) Need Theory suggested that material and existential needs and

priorities exist in housing choices, in which the existential functions includes identity, security,

and opportunity. Turner (1972) found that in any given context, housing priorities across

different income groups show difference in their vital need (Turner, 1972). However,

Greenberg (1999) attempted to combine Maslow’s (1970) Needs Order; but failed to explore

the full coverage of the theory and only indicated that controlling crime and physical problems

are the basic criterion for a satisfied neighbourhood. Though Greenberg (1999) was right in his

conceptualization, his attempt only touched upon the holistic understanding of human complex

needs in relation to their environment.

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It must be recognised that a housing need exists, in which studies are mostly focused on

different levels of the need. The work of Taylor (1995b) claims that the fear of crime, or the

feeling of safety, is the dominant predictor of satisfaction. Also, Greenberg (1999) found that

crime and severe physical problems are the necessity need of any given neighbourhood.

Furthermore, to achieve a satisfied living environment, there exists the needs order in the

resident’s housing consumption (Yiping, 2005); but little attention has been paid on researching

this order. However the work of McCray and Day (1977) on housing satisfaction based on the

Maslow’s (1970) Theory of Needs, evaluated individual needs towards housing. McCray and

Day (1977) found that when housing needs are fulfilled, the individual will indirectly be

satisfied with his/her houses. Despite the general acceptance that housing is the primary

component for quality life, McCray and Day (1977) emphasize that housing construction rarely

refers to the needs and types of families who are going to inhabit the houses, whereas these

criteria are critical in the establishment of human habitats. But the emphasis in most housing

construction that involves the low-income is on the delivery at scale (quantity), which has

compromised the principles enacted in most housing edicts that are committed to the provision

of low income houses.

Figure 3.1: Housing Needs Order

Source: Yiping, 2005.

Personalised

Housi

ng C

hoic

e

The need for comfortable housing at acceptable

location, enough living space Physiological

The need for safe environment, free of eviction risk

and crime around Safety Needs

The need for being part of a group, social

contact with neighbours Social Needs

The need for prestigious location,

and being recognised Esteem Needs

The need to design,

develop and build houses Self-actualization

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In another work of Maslow (1998) on ‘Towards a Psychology of Being’, Maslow posits that

housing order is constructed to understand factors that lead to a satisfied or dissatisfied

neighbourhood, which is a major ideology of the current research. Residential satisfaction is

determined by the fulfillment of individual housing needs, which is fundamentally determined

under the condition of what level of housing need is pursued. This is because unless one level

of needs is satisfied, they remain in the consciousness and become the prime determinant of

behaviour towards the neighbourhood. Also, the effects of satisfying higher order needs will

be neutralized if the lower-order needs are not fulfilled or when partially fulfilled. In other

words, the residents who do not have sufficient living space in their apartment will care little

about how the historic design of their building could affect their satisfaction. Figure 3.1 shows

the housing needs based on the Needs Hierarch Theory.

Physiological needs refer to the quality of the shelter provided by the housing unit and the

location the house is situated in. The location of the housing unit should be within acceptable

distance from the resident’s work place. Using the available transportation type, the daily

commute distance should be acceptable by a majority of the residents, and the house has to be

a permanent structure, with the necessary ventilation, acceptable climatic condition according

to the prevailing weather conditions in the particular place, access to water, and electricity

supply. All these services can be varied in different societies and geographical location, and

should be among the prerequisite norm in the housing selection process. Also, the size of the

housing units should be big enough to accommodate all family members, providing necessary

separation of rooms for different generation and different gender members.

When the minimum needs (physiological needs) for housing are satisfied, residents will start

pursuing the next level, which is the security need. According to Turner (1972), the security

need includes physical, emotional, and financial security. Residents would then want their

living condition to be secured with the appropriate structure and supply. For instance, the low-

income groups prefer a safe, orderly, predictable, lawful, and organized dwelling environment,

where they need to feel emotionally safe and secure. It means a safe environment free of crime

and risk of eviction. They want their properties to remain free from damage or theft. Yiping

(2005) stated that when crimes happen to a resident’s neighbours, they could generate a feeling

of insecure. The broader aspects of the attempts to seek safety and stability in the world are

seen in the common preference for familiar rather than unfamiliar things, or for the known

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rather than the unknown (Yiping, 2005). When residents already have satisfied their minimum

living needs, and the fulfillment of their safety needs, they start considering the social needs.

The desire for social needs comes after the security needs. When the first two order needs are

fairly well satisfied, there will emerge the love and affection and belonging needs. Within the

living environment, these order needs will be typically exhibited towards family members and

neighbours. Residents expect affectionate relations with family members and look for friends

amongst their neighbours. It is the need to become part of the small society, a feeling of

belonging to a group and associating with it. This will enable the residents’ to participate in

activities and have contact with their neighbours. Especially for new comers who just move

into a neighbourhood, and who’s lower order needs are all satisfied, this level order need will

start developing. Moreover, the aspect of beneficiaries’ housing participation will only happen

when physiological and safety needs have been met. This need is followed by the esteem needs.

The esteem need is the desire for a stable, firmly based, usually high evaluation and regard

from others. It is the need for being recognized and respected by people around you. In the

living environment, it relates to the desire for reputation, prestige, authority and appreciation

from others. The form of esteem needs includes the desire for living in a neighbourhood with

a good reputation, and being respected by neighbours. Satisfaction of the esteem need leads to

the feeling of self-confidence, being useful and necessary within the society.

Self-actualization is a term that has been used in various psychological theories, often in

slightly different ways. The term was originally introduced by Goldstein (1934) in his work on

organismic theory for the motive to realize one’s full potential. In his view, it is the organism’s

master motive, the only real motive to actualize itself as fully as possible in the basic drive of

self-actualization. Similarly, Rogers (1951) further shed light on the concept through his work

‘On Becoming a Person’, informing the curative force in psychotherapy, that is man’s tendency

to actualize himself. This is the ability to become his inherent potential and to express and

activate all the capacities of the organism. However, the concept was brought fully to

prominence in Maslow’s Hierarchy of Needs Theory as the final level of psychological

development that can be achieved when all other basic and mental needs are fulfilled and the

‘actualization’ of the full personal potential takes place. When all of the above-mentioned

needs are satisfied; then, and only then, are the needs for self-actualization activated.

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Maslow (1980) describes self-actualization as a person’s need to be and do that, which the

person was born to do. Self-actualization needs refer to man’s need for self-fulfillment, such

as to the tendency of man to actualize what is inherent in his/her potential. Within the housing

needs order, self-actualization refers to the desire of achieving a living environment true to the

residents own nature. Possible forms of self-actualization might include the personalization of

the interior design of the dwelling unit, and the customized designing or construction of his

own house. Nevertheless, a clear emergence of these needs usually rests upon some prior

satisfaction of the lower order needs.

The housing needs order is only a framework for general residents. It thus has different

meanings to different groups of people like children or older people; or even the low-income

groups that are the subject of this research. For instance, a lower-income resident in a

subsidised housing unit will not have the need for self-actualization, when the lower order

needs of good quality housing close to their place of work and with enough rooms to cater for

his/her needs and that of the family have not yet be met. However, the change and progression

of peoples’ needs as the society develops are clearly evident. For example, the South African

experience on evaluating quality of life has shown that the indicators of quality of life have

shifted from goals, which are basically a concern for food, shelter, needs for equity and racial

respect, to the need for participation, challenge and personal development.

In addressing the gap of resident’s expectations, the Expectancy Disconfirmation Theoretical

Framework postulated by Oliver (1981) was drawn upon, as already stated above. Research on

satisfaction using disconfirmation of expectations suggests that satisfaction is the result of a

comparison of that which was expected and that which was received (Woodruff, Cadotte, &

Jenkins, 1983). A fundamental premise of disconfirmation of expectation is that expectation is

related to satisfaction. Erevelles and Leavitt (1992) describe that post-purchase evaluation of a

product can be explained, at least in part, by a comparison of the pre-purchase performance.

Also, Spreng et al. (1996) extended the disconfirmation of expectations theory to include

desires by proposing a new model which integrates desires and expectations. Tse and Wilson

(1998:204) suggest that in addition to the influences from expected performance and subjective

disconfirmation, “perceived performance exerts direct influence on satisfaction”. Hence, the

Expectancy Disconfirmation Model claims that user’s satisfaction is a response to the

congruency between an individual's expectations and the actual performance of a product

(Oliver, 1981). Applied to the public housing subsidy scheme, satisfaction is viewed as a

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function of the interrelationship between what beneficiaries expect from the government and

their perceptions of the housing unit they have received, that is, the quality of the houses

received and the satisfaction derived from the housing services provided.

According to Reisig and Chandek (2001), the expectancy disconfirmation model can be

conceptualized in a four-stage process. Firstly, the user formulates expectations regarding a

product. Expectations contrast across users (Tse & Wilson, 1988). For example, based on

occupant knowledge of the product, an individual may estimate what the performance will be

(Oliver, 1980). On the other hand, expectations may also be more normative in nature, and

thought of as what the user believes performance ought to be (Tse & Wilson, 1988; Woodruff

et al., 1983). Secondly, the individual makes certain attributions regarding the performance of

that product; and thirdly, compares the perception of the product’s performance against the

initial expectations. The last stage in the Expectancy Disconfirmation Process is the user’s

determination of how well the product measures up to initial expectations. Here, expectations

provide a standard from which to compare perceptions of product performance. Consequently,

the individual may judge product performance to be better than, worse than, or equal to what

he/she expected. The extent to which perceptions of performance match expectations dictates

the type of disconfirmation the occupant experiences, and has a direct effect on satisfaction

(Oliver, 1980). For example, an individual might experience positive disconfirmation, wherein

the expectations are exceeded (increases likelihood of satisfaction). Negative disconfirmation

is another probability, and arises when the user’s expectations are not met by the product or

service performance (decreases likelihood of satisfaction). Lastly, zero disconfirmation can

also occur when performance of the product matches expectations (no effect on satisfaction).

While disconfirmation is assumed to have a major effect on user satisfaction, research shows

that disconfirmation is not the only direct outcome (Reisig & Chandek, 2001). Reisig and

Chandek (2001) further claim that expectations have also been found to directly affect

satisfaction. For instance, individuals with lower expectations often report higher levels of

satisfaction. Similarly, the second component of disconfirmation, which is performance, has

also been interrelated to outcome satisfaction. Additionally, Oliver (1981) maintains that as

performance increases, so too do levels of user satisfaction. Expectations and performance,

therefore, are believed to have both direct and indirect effects on user’s satisfaction (Reisig &

Chandek, 2001).

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The Expectancy Disconfirmation Theory not only explains satisfaction with product

expectation performance, but also service satisfaction (Churchill & Suprenant, 1982). For

example, Caughey et al. (1998) found that expectations have a significant effect on overall

satisfaction of occupants, as satisfaction normally occurs based on a comparison of that which

is expected, with that which is received. Also, prior exposure to what is to be received has the

tendency to influence occupant’s satisfaction towards a property. While a negative prior

experience can generate a lower expectation, which will result in lower satisfaction. So, an

understanding of how resident’s expectations are formed is significant in ascertaining how

beneficiaries’ satisfaction is ultimately formed. However, the dominant hypothesis guiding

recent research on satisfaction has been disconfirmation of expectations. Some researchers

have been challenging and expanding the disconfirmation theory and suggesting that many

other determinants also affect satisfaction apart from expectation (Ereveller & Leavitt, 1992;

Woodruff et al., 1983), which is a proposition that the current study advocates. Based on this

assertion, expectation together with needs is considered as one of the exogenous variables

included in the current research conceptual model to ascertain how occupants’ satisfaction in

subsidized low-income housing is formed in a developing country context, using South Africa

as a case study.

3.3.1 Satisfying Housing Needs and Expectations

As part of the conceptual framework of residential satisfaction research, the gratifications of

housing needs and expectations should have noteworthy prominence. For people with different

housing needs and expectations, the same housing condition could bring different satisfaction

levels because their needs and expectation are different. From the reviewed literature above,

residential satisfaction is basically formed under the condition of what the level of housing

needs are currently being pursued and the priori expectation as held by the beneficiaries. Unless

the level one needs are sufficiently satisfied, they will remain in the occupants’ consciousness

and will thus become the prime determinants of housing behaviour. The living condition that

is currently pursued forms the housing expectation of the individual, which influences the

overall residential satisfaction.

From the literature on housing research, from various perspectives, there have been many

studies separately addressing different levels of needs of individuals and social groups, or its

significance in informing policies on how best to deal with a need of a particular social group.

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For instance, Marcus (1995) studies the self-actualization level and believes that housing is like

a mirror, which has a powerful effect on our sojourn toward a state of wholeness. Furthermore,

research on social needs in the housing environment has increased to such an extent that social

capital is the focus (Putnam, 1995). Social capital refers to social trust, norms and networks

that people can draw upon to resolve common problems, such as a housing problem. All over

the world, and in South Africa, there is growing agreement that social capital constitutes a

significant new dimension of community development and establishment, as occupants are

directly involved. This means that their needs and expectations would have been taken care of

through their active participation in the housing development process (Lang & Hornburg,

1998), which is the second gap addressed in this chapter. Furthermore, the security needs of

housing extend to another large area of research. For example, Newman (1972) addresses the

relationship between the built environment and security using his theory of defensible space.

Related to the security issue, there have been proposals and projects on urban renewals (Smith,

1996); debate on the gated community (Landman, 2004; Wilson-Doenges, 2000), and on social

issues of residential segregation (Hamnett, 2001). Housing needs, as a shelter, are mostly a

concerned of those who struggle for these needs, such as the homeless, or those previously

disadvantaged from owning property, as a result of the previous South African government

rule- defined as those constituting the low-income groups.

All this social research on housing can be grouped within a system relating to a different other

of needs. Individually, every household is inspired to pursue a higher level of needs in the

housing needs order, when the lower needs have been satisfied. Collectively, it brings out social

issues regarding the processes of different level of housing need satisfaction. Discrepancies in

housing priorities are so big that housing provision sectors have to provide a wide variety of

dwelling types with all forms of tenure to meet the demand. This is because residents are only

satisfied when their current housing needs and expectations are satisfied. However, it must be

noted that satisfaction will not stay unchanged, because soon, there will be other higher level

needs and expectation that will have to be satisfied.

More so, households who are dissatisfied are likely to consider some form of adjustment. They

may attempt to make adjustment to reduce dissatisfaction by revising their needs and

expectations to reconcile the incongruity, or by improving their housing conditions through

remodeling (Lu, 1999). According to Morris and Winter (1976), they may also move to another

place to bring their housing into conformity with their needs and expectations. Both mobility

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and adjustments are subject to the constraints posed by financial resources at one’s disposal

and by the information given regarding alternative adaptation opportunities (Lu, 1999). Thus

moving behaviour is only one type of adjustment residents perform during the time of

dissatisfaction with housing needs; but in the case of the low-income groups, it might not be

possible, as most cannot access housing on their own and the subsidised houses received might

be their only life time opportunity of access to housing.

3.4 GAP TWO: UNDERSTANDING PARTICIPATION OF

BENEFICIARY

As already discussed, research in residential satisfaction is a valid way to assess the overall

performance of the housing system (Francescato et al. 1987). Hence, it is useful to explore the

meaning of satisfaction from the residents’ perspective in order to have a holistic view of the

housing system. Studying satisfaction requires the real understanding of beneficiaries’

meaningful participation, as housing issues affect an entire community or group of people who

in the present context are the low income and disadvantaged groups of the South African

society.

The beneficiary’s participation offers an opportunity to engage those who are affected by

housing issues in a dialogue; defining problems and creating solutions. The inclusion of

community stakeholders in the housing process helps ensure appropriate housing strategies and

policies are developed through more efficiently evaluation, development and implementation

to guarantee the satisfaction of the beneficiaries’. Inadequate beneficiaries’ participation in the

process can lead to community conflict or as a worst case scenario, anti-development initiatives

and ultimately housing dissatisfaction, which impacts on the quality of life of the final

beneficiaries. Successful beneficiaries’ participation is important because a mixed cross section

of the population that has a housing need can be involved in defining the housing problem and

in crafting community sensitive solutions. However, there is disagreement among planners and

professionals about the contribution of beneficiaries’ participation in improving the lives of the

people, particularly the poor and disadvantaged (Rifkin & Kangere, 2002:37). Some

completely dismiss its value altogether, while others believe that it is the “magic bullet”,

(Rifkin & Kangere, 2002:39), that will ensure improvements especially in the context of

poverty alleviation, and community ownership. The emphasis of this section is to provide an

overview of the policy framework, which informs participatory development in South Africa

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together with the legislative and policy framework for participatory housing. Also the reasons

for engaging and encouraging beneficiaries’ participation, importance of beneficiaries’

participation and the advantages and disadvantages of beneficiaries’ participation in

determining housing satisfaction are discussed in this section.

Too frequently, development initiatives have been designed by those who have no real

knowledgeable understanding of the real needs of a specific community. Hence, most times,

the produced ‘housing plan’ is based on the different stakeholders’ perceived needs of the low-

income groups instead of the beneficiaries’ true needs (Davy, 2006:1). Kotze and Kellerman

(1997) attribute this to the fact that the idea that development consists of a transfer of skills or

information creates a role for the expert as the only person capable of facilitating the transfer

of these skills from them to the community or society. In order to create developmental efforts

that echo the real needs and expectations of specific groups, inclusive of development that will

satisfy the people, a paradigm shift is needed in the current conceptualization of residential

satisfaction research. This is a shift from the so-called blue-print approach to development

toward a more process and people-centered development that should produce beneficiaries’

participation. According to Oakley (1991) the role of beneficiaries’ participation in South

Africa cannot be undermined or may not override economic, personal or technological

aspirations in the South Africa public sector as the country’s past governance situation should

compel the government to correct injustices by actively involving the affected in policy

development.

In addressing the gap of understanding beneficiaries’ participation as identified, the Meyer &

Theron (2000:1) Building Blocks of Development will be used as criteria against which to

assess beneficiaries’ participative role in predicting housing satisfaction. The building blocks

include: beneficiaries’ participation, social learning, empowerment, sustainable development,

capacity building and self-reliance. Though, Meyer & Theron (2000:2) inform that all the

above-listed building blocks should be present for development to be considered a success,

which has also been recognised in the present thesis, however, beneficiaries’ participation and

empowerment will be given specific emphasis in this section with a brief mention of the other

building blocks during the dialogue. This is because beneficiaries’ participation has since been

envisaged as a diminution of the state’s involvement and a strengthening of the role of the civil

society, as a means to empower ordinary citizens, and the poor in particular, and to promote

more sustainable and satisfying form of development (Tapscott & Thompson, 2010:1-2).

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Likewise the objectives of beneficiary participation as an active process are: empowering the

residents, building beneficiary capacity, increasing project effectiveness, improving project

efficiency, and sharing of project costs. These frameworks identify four levels of intensity of

participation: information sharing, consulting, decision making, and initiating action (Abbott,

1996). According to Thwala (2009:39) the framework has been largely accepted by

development agencies worldwide. However, a criticism of the model is that it is project-based

and does not include the full spectrum of community participation approaches. Also, the

seminal work of Arnstein’s (1969) Ladder of Participation will be drawn upon, inclusive of the

Burns et al. (1994) modified version of Arnstein’s Ladder of Participation, which was

conceptualized as the ladder of citizen empowerment. The Wilcox (1999) theory of the Ladder

of Participation will also be drawn upon concurrently.

3.4.1 Origin of Beneficiary Participation

Beneficiary participation in the public sector organisation has undergone a significant change.

Prior to this, people were more tolerant of poor service deliveries; more patient in long queues

and enduring inefficient public administration than they are now (Olivier, 2003:2). Nowadays,

people are expecting quality delivery of public services and are beginning to hold elected

representatives increasingly accountable, when their expectations are not met. Hence, the

origin of beneficiary participation can probably be traced to three root sources, which are:

participation as good development project practice (Abbot, 1996); participation as good

governance (Kooima, 1993) and participation as political empowerment (Bond, 2001; Freire,

2000). These concepts are discussed below in greater detail.

3.4.1.1 Participation as Good Development Project Practice

According to Rahnema (1992), participation was first used in the early 1950’s by social

activists and project field workers, as a necessary facet of development. Also, the World Bank,

and other international agencies, as well as the Development Bank of Southern Africa (DBSA)

have since taken the notion of participation as a requirement for successful project

implementation in the society. Hence, it has become a common practice to include some or

other form of public participation in the implementation of infrastructure projects within

development initiatives. A large amount of development work case studies tend to focus on

project specific participation and it is arguably the most well-known participation framework

of reference (Olivier, 2003:4).

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3.4.1.2 Participation as Good Governance

The United Nations Development Programme (1998) defines governance as the exercise of

economic, political, and administrative authority to manage a country’s affairs at all levels and

the means by which states promote social cohesion and integration, to ensure the well-being of

their population. This entails all methods used to distribute power and manage public resources,

and the organizations that shape government and the execution of policy. Governance also

encompasses the mechanisms, processes and institutions, through which citizens and groups

articulate their interests, exercise their legal rights, meet their obligations and resolve their

differences. According to this definition, good governance therefore depends on public

participation to ensure that political, social and economic priorities are based on a broad

collective agreement and that the poorest and most vulnerable populations can directly

influence political decision making, particularly with respect to the allocation of development

resources. Good governance is also effective and equitable, and promotes the rule of law and

the transparency of institutions, officials, and transactions (UNDP, 1998).

Governance can be used in several contexts, such as corporate governance, international

governance, national governance and local governance. Participation within the framework of

good governance has its origins from within western democracies since the 1980’s and 90’s

Olivier, 2003). This was because falling voter turn-out and a general sense of disillusionment

with practices of the period, resulted in a rethink in the way civil society should be engaged.

The causes of oppressive, unresponsive and inefficient bureaucracies (Bennington, 1997) in

addition to a sense of powerlessness and marginalized local political structures within the state

brought about the idea of good governance to better serve the citizen.

Participation by the citizens of a state is a key cornerstone of good governance. Participation

could be either direct or through legitimate intermediate institutions or representatives.

However, it should be noted that representative democracy does not necessarily mean that the

concerns of the most vulnerable in society would be taken into consideration in decision

making, but it does create a platform for participation with the vulnerable in the society.

Participation needs to be informed and organized. This means freedom of association and

expression on the one hand and an organized civil society on the other hand. Good governance

has eight major characteristics. It is participatory, consensus oriented, accountable, transparent,

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responsive, effective and efficient, equitable and inclusive and follows the rule of law. It

guarantees that corruption is curtailed, the views of minorities are taken into account and that

the voices of the most vulnerable in society are heard in decision-making process. It is also

responsive to the present and future needs of society.

Lastly, participation as good governance refers to a high quality of processes by which

decisions affecting public affairs are reached and implemented. This process ensures that all,

including the poor and other disadvantaged groups, are included and have the means to

influence the direction of development in particular as far as it affects their lives. Also, to make

contributions to development and have these recognised and to share in the benefits of

development and to improve their lives and livelihood. Participation as good governance helps

to ensure that all people have adequate access to basic services.

3.4.1.3 Participation as Political Empowerment

The empowerment approach to participation is located within the radical paradigm of

alternative development and is manifested in the mobilization of popular political power. This

originated from the economic development theory and theories of development. This approach

positions participation within a broader political struggle that links the condition of under-

development with access to political power (Freire, 2000). Originally, this tradition found

expression in popular resistance movements within South America, Asia and South Africa

(Bond, 2001).

These three approaches to participation sometimes intermingle and sometimes are confusing

in practical engagement between the government and communities. From the above, it should

be noted that there is no single universally applicable or perfect model of participation. It is

important to recognize different circumstances require a different style of participation from

authorities. However, the responsibility is to understand the context within which communities

are engaged, so as to design the most appropriate participative mechanism and process.

Participation in the current study is positioned on the good governance approach because good

governance depends on public participation to ensure that civil, societal and cost-effective

priorities are based on a broad collective agreement and that the poorest and most vulnerable

populations can directly influence political decision making, particularly with respect to the

allocation of development resources. Also, since the current study is based on South Africa,

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where public participation is considered to be one of the key tenets of democratic governance,

the concept of participation as used, in this study, inclines towards this approach.

3.4.2 Beneficiary Participation Defined

Participation is a rich concept that varies with its application and definition. The way

participation is defined, depends on the context in which it occurs. For some scholars, it is a

matter of principle; for others, a matter of practice; for even more it is an end in itself as

described above. However, Rahnema (1992:116) informs that participation is a stereotyped

word, like children use Lego pieces. Like Lego pieces, the words fit arbitrarily together and

support the most fanciful constructions. They have no content, but do serve a function. As these

words are separate from any context, they are ideal for manipulative purposes. ‘Participation’

belongs to this category of word.

Most times, the term participation is modified with adjectives, resulting in terms such as

community participation, citizen participation, people’s participation, public participation,

popular participation or even beneficiary participation as used in the current study. However,

the Macmillan English Dictionary (2002:1032) defines participation as “to have a share in” or

“to take part in,” thereby emphasizing the rights of individuals and the choices that they make

in order to participate. Whilst, Arnstein (1969:216) claims that the idea of citizen participation

is a “little like eating spinach: no one is against it in principle because it is good for you”. But

there has been little analysis of the content of citizen participation, its definition, and its

relationship to social imperatives such as social structure, social interaction, and the social

context where it takes place. Bearing this in mind, the present study hopes to advance the

concept further by incorporating it into the definition and object of beneficiary satisfaction with

their housing unit. However, it can also be a method to co-opt dissent, a mechanism for

ensuring the receptivity, sensitivity, and even accountability of social services to the users, as

is the case of satisfaction with publicly provided houses by the South African government to

the poor and low-income groups.

Mathbor (2008) defined citizen participation as a process by which citizens’ act in response to

public concerns, voice their opinions about decisions that affect them, and take responsibility

for changes to the community. Likewise, citizens’ participation may also be referred to as a

response to the traditional sense of powerlessness felt by the general public when it comes to

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influencing government decisions. This is because citizens often feel that housing development

issues are beyond their control because the decisions are made outside their community by

unknown bureaucrats and technocrats. Hence, Westergaard (1986:14) defined participation as

“collective efforts to increase and exercise control over resources and institutions on the part

of groups and movements of those hitherto excluded from control”. This definition points

towards a mechanism for ensuring community participation. Williams (2006) further informs

that beneficiary participation is the direct involvement of the citizenry in the affairs of planning,

governance and overall development programmes at local or grass roots level. Likewise,

Davidson et al. (2007:101) inform that it involves how and why members of a community are

brought into these affairs. Likewise, Meyer and Theron (200:1) inform that participation is a

social learning process linking the building blocks of development.

A vivid definition of participation programmes would indicate the involvement of a significant

number of persons in situations or actions that enhance their well-being, for example, their

housing, income, security, or self-esteem (Chowdhury, 1996). Chowdhury further states that

the ideal conditions contributing towards meaningful participation can be discussed from three

aspects which are:

1. What kind of participation is under consideration?

2. Who participates in it?

3. How does participation occur?

Mathbor (2008) also points out the importance of the following issues in order to assess the

extent of community participation:

1. Who participates?

2. What do people participate in?

3. Why do people participate? There are:

a) Cultural explanations (values, norms, and roles, etc.);

b) Cognitive explanations (verbal skills and knowledge about the organizations); and

c) Structural explanations (alternatives, resources available, and the nature of benefit

sought)

4. Implications (how the benefit contributes to the ends or principles they value).

The significance of beneficiary participation is said to draw from three main factors. Primarily,

it is alleged to allow for cost reduction through the utilization of local labour and expertise

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(Davidson et al., 2007:102). Secondly, it potentially leads to the implementation of appropriate

responses through the involvement of locals in collective decision-making, through the

assessment of their needs and expectations, (Davidson et al., 2007:102) thus guaranteeing

housing satisfaction. Thirdly, it helps in directing scarce resources towards the more needy,

identified by fellow locals (Davidson et al., 2007:102; Mayavo, 2002). Beneficiary

participation is perceived as an undertaking that results in the empowerment of the local

population. However, it also has numerous non-benevolent political significances. It is referred

to as a curious element in the democratic decision-making process (Mcdowell, 1986). While

the roots of beneficiary participation can be traced to ancient Greece and colonial New

England, its significance reflects a contemporary recognition that societies are simply too

remote to be truly “of, by and for the people” without their involvement in the development

that affects them (Mcdowell, 1986).

Nevertheless, in principle, beneficiary participation requires the involvement of local actors in

the conceptualization, implementation, monitoring and evaluation of projects. In practice it

sometimes tends to be confined to specific activities (Mafukidze & Hoosen, 2009:7). As such,

beneficiary participation can further be referred to as local involvement within a continuum of

possibilities where locals may participate only as providers of labour, in decision-making or at

all levels (Davidson et al., 2006; Mafukidze & Hoosen, 2009:7). The level of local involvement

is most times conditional since there are no rules that prescribe the levels of involvement

(Lizarralde & Massyn, 2008). In some development, beneficiary participation could be

confined to the discussion of a proposed idea of building low-income houses. For instance, the

Reconstruction and Development Programme (RDP) capital subsidy low income housing

under consideration in this present study considers a minimal involvement from the local

population as most participatory process is simply aimed at bringing them together to endorse

an idea rather than to achieve empowerment, contribution of ideas and capacity building

(Hemson, 2007; Khan and Haupt, 2006).

Also, Jennings (2000:1) infers that participation refers to involvement by local populations in

the creation, content and conduct of a programme or policy designed to change their lives.

Beneficiary participation requires recognition and use of beneficiaries’ capacities and avoids

the imposition of priorities from the outside. It increases the odds that a programme will be on

target and its results will more likely be sustainable and satisfactory to meet the needs and

expectation of the beneficiaries. Ultimately, participatory development is driven by a belief in

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the importance of entrusting citizens with the responsibility of shaping their own future.

Likewise, the World Bank Resource Book (1996:9) defined participation as a process through

which stakeholders influence and share control over development initiatives and the decisions

and resources which affect them. In this perspective, the benefits of participatory development

are perceived to be self-evident.

Furthermore, Stoker (1997) argues that participation is defined as members of the public taking

part in any of the processes of formulation, passage and implementation of public policies. This

is seen as a wide-ranging definition, which extends the emphasis of beneficiary participation

beyond the development of policy, to decision-making (outlining their needs and expectations,

and what is most important to them in the proposed housing units) and implementation. Meyer

& Theorn (2000:1) attempting to conceptualize participation as a people’s rights, defined

beneficiary participation as an active process by which the beneficiary influences the direction

and execution of a development project with a view to enhancing their well-being, in terms of

income, personal growth, self-reliance and other values they cherish, thereby guaranteeing their

housing satisfaction and eventually good quality of life with respect to housing development.

This definition helps to understand that the process does not deviate from the objective of

authentic and empowering beneficiary participation. Also, beneficiary participation and its

processes is being emphasized as a fundamental part of peoples’ rights to choose how they are

governed and how they, together with the governments, carry out the work of development

(Long, 2001).

To this end, Wates (2005) defined beneficiary participation as the act of being involved in

something, for instance housing development, amongst others. Habraken (2005) further posits

that participation has two definitions with opposite meanings. Habraken (2005) argues that

participation can either represent assigning certain decisive roles to the users, where they share

the decision-making responsibility with the professionals, in guiding them to design

satisfactory buildings. While the other type of participation, is where there is no shift of

responsibilities between the users and professionals but instead only the opinion of the user is

considered while making decisions. Beneficiary participation also means some form of

involvement of people, with similar needs and goals, in decisions affecting their lives. Abrams

(1971) also defined it as a theory that the local community should be given an active role in

programme and improvements directly affecting them. However, it should be noted that it is

rational to give control of affairs and decisions to people most affected by them. Moreover,

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since no government or authority has the means to solve all the public problems adequately, it

is necessary to involve people, mostly the low-income groups / poor in matters that affect them,

because they might not have the opportunity to express their needs and expectations with

regards to the functionality of the housing unit that will be most suitable for them. However,

delegating powers to people to make decision concerning them when their financial

contribution is meaningless with a limited level of knowledge is not an easy task and involves

great inquiry into the change in the attitudes of the authorities and professionals (Davy, 2006).

Furthermore, Hamdi (1991) informs that beneficiary participation is a ‘powerful idea’, which

refers to the process by which professionals, families, community groups, government

officials, and others get together to work something out, preferably in a formal or informal

partnership.

Hauptmann (2001) emphasized the importance of beneficiary participation, arguing that

involvement gives people a better understanding of their own interests and the interests of

others, and, in some cases, brings them to see what would be best for the entire group. However,

this depends on the level at which beneficiaries are involved. Moote et al (1997) informs that

beneficiary participation facilitates decision implementation by resolving conflict issues during

the planning process, rather than delaying implementation of completed plans, whilst decisions

are reviewed through appeals and adjudication in some cases, while in other instances, it must

be accepted the way it is.

Beneficiary participation in housing delivery, and as used in this thesis, agrees with the

aforementioned definitions and can be summarized as a localized collective learning process.

This is where all stakeholders acquire and share information and learn to accept responsibility

for decisions, whilst working towards achieving the shared objective of improving housing

delivery. The definition acknowledges and tolerates the interest of different knowledge, pursuit

of cooperation and deliberate minimization of clashes along interest, knowledge and power

lines, which reinforces beneficiary participation. Thus, enabling the eventual satisfaction of the

beneficiaries with the subsidised houses being constructed and allocated to them by the

government.

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3.4.3 The Legislative and Policy Framework for Participation in

South Africa

Since 1994, the South African government has put in place policy and legislative frameworks

that seek to promote participatory governance. The notion of beneficiary participation is

embedded in the South African Constitution. Recognizing the adverse impact of Apartheid on

the settlement of the majority of South African citizens, the incoming democratic government

in 1994, from the outset, placed emphasis on the provision of housing, as a basic human right.

The 1994 Housing White Paper asserted that the government was under a duty to take steps

and create conditions which will lead to an effective right to housing for all (Tapscott &

Thompson, 2010:4). It is alleged in South Africa that a person has a right to live in dignity, in

habitable conditions, and that government will vigorously promote an effective right to housing

for all, within the resources and other limitations applicable to it (Republic of South Africa

Constitution, 1996, Section 4.4.2). The principles of citizen participation was clearly

articulated in the Housing White Paper and further advanced in the Development Facilitation

Act of 1995, of which the policy goals were later given legal effect by the 1996 Constitution

(Tapscott & Thompson, 2010:4). Enshrined in the Constitution’s Bill of Rights (Section 26)

is the declaration that: “Everyone has the right to have access to adequate housing. The State

must take reasonable legislative and other measures within its available resources, to achieve

the progressive realisation of this right”. Following this edict, was a new National Housing Act

promulgated in 1997, committing the state, inter alia, to prioritize the needs of the poor in the

design and delivery of housing development programmes.

In harmony with the RDPs emphasis on beneficiary consultation, the 1994 Housing White

Paper committed the government “to a development process driven from within the

communities” (Section 4.4.4.), which would promote “the participation of affected

communities in the planning and implementation of new developments” (Section 4.5.1). This

viewpoint was also advanced in the 1997 National Housing Act which emphasizes, in Section

2(1) that national, provincial and local spheres of government must: “give priority to the needs

of the poor in respect of housing development; consult meaningfully with individual and

communities affected by housing development; ensure that housing development … is

administered in a transparent and equitable manner, and upholds the practice of good

governance”

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The SA Government’s commitment to consultation, public participation transparency, and the

adherence to agreed norms and standards is further evident in the 2008 Social Housing Act

(Act No. 16 of 2008), which, in Section 2.1, states the need to: “consult with interested

individuals, communities and financial institutions in all phases of social housing development.

Facilitate the involvement of residents and key stakeholders through consultation, information

sharing, education, training and skills transfer, thereby empowering residents;...” (Department

of Housing, 2008).

Moreover, the South Africa constitutional requirements for beneficiary participation is found

in its mandate for local government, but more specifically in Chapter 10, Section 195, which

states that: “public administration must be development-oriented; people’s need must be

responded to, and the public must be encouraged to participate in policy making and good

human resource management and career development practices must be cultivated to maximize

human potential”.

Also, on a national level, the South Africa government introduced, what is commonly known

as the Batho Pele Principles, which are found in the White Paper on Transforming Public

Service Delivery (1997) and embodies the evolution of public participation in South Africa.

Batho Pele means ‘people first’. Through this principle, the government established the

importance of the South African public (citizens) and their valued input through participatory

means, and called “for a shift away from inward looking, bureaucratic systems, processes and

attitudes, and a search for new ways of working which put the needs of the public first, better

and sustainable development, which is faster, and more responsive to the citizen’s needs and

expectations” (White Paper on Transforming Public Service Delivery, 1997:2). The Batho Pele

concept is based on eight interrelated principles (Batho Pele Policy Review, 2003:14):

consultation in terms of quality of service received;

service standards should be indicated to the citizens to ascertain if it meets their needs

and expectations;

access to the services the citizenry are entitled to;

courtesy: a right to which each citizen is entitled to and as such beneficiaries’ should

be treated with consideration in the development that affect them;

information should be concise, accurate and about the service beneficiaries’ are entitled

to receive;

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openness and transparency, so as to bring about greater accountability;

redress should occur if the pre-determined standards of service delivery are not met;

and

value for money, as the delivery of services should be done efficiently and effectively

to bring about satisfaction to the beneficiaries.

The ‘people first’ principle, which is a participatory bottom-up approach is derived from the

recognition that the total dependence on professionals (top-down approach) to implement

development initiatives is grossly inadequate and contributes to greater underdevelopment

(Oakley, 1991) as the needs and expectations of the citizens are in most cases not met by such

development. Because this creates a new level of underdevelopment, as the people end up in a

disgruntled situation that they have to live with until they are able to meet these needs by

themselves. Kotze and Kellerman (1997) state that the role and status of the technocrat and

technocratic top-down approaches contribute not only to the devaluation of the citizens’

indigenous knowledge and experience, but also to the side-tracking of the role of people’s

psychological and cognitive feeling in development. The top-down approach to development

has resulted in the deepening of the poverty cycle, greater underdevelopment, dissatisfaction

with housing development and other service delivery processes as development officials do not

implement participatory processes with the beneficiaries. The Batho Pele Principle advocates

for a bottom-up approach whereby the beneficiaries will have the opportunity to play an active

role in the decision-making processes which affect them. According to Oakley (1991), the

realization of the inadequacies of total dependence on a professionally dominant manner of

intervention has resulted in a search for alternative ways to bring about development, which

has led to the bottom-up approach to development which puts the people first and putting the

last first.

Nevertheless, whilst various legislative agenda and policy papers provide an enabling

framework for the delivery of public housing, none specified precisely how this is to be reached

by the different levels of government. With regards to the Constitution, as indicated, the

delivery of housing is a synchronized responsibility of all three levels of government (Tapscott

& Thompson, 2010:7). Following this model, the Housing Act ascribes responsibility to the

national government to determine provincial policy in respect of housing development.

Subsequently, provincial governments must accept responsibility for promoting the adoption

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of provincial legislation to ensure effective housing delivery; and take all necessary steps to

support and strengthen the capacity of municipalities to effectively exercise their powers and

to perform their duties in respect of housing development (Tapscott & Thompson, 2010:8). In

the final instance, municipalities are vested with the responsibility of ensuring that housing is

delivered within the policy framework, as formulated by the national government and endorsed

by the provincial government. The placement and fragmentation of policy between different

levels of government has proven to be a major challenge to the democratic state since its

inception and this applies no less to the delivery of housing (Tapscott, 2000; Tapscott &

Thompson, 2010:8).

However, the National Housing Code (2009), prepared by the then Department of Housing

provides a framework of the procedures to be followed in implementing the National Housing

Act. The National Housing Code in Sections 2.4.1, 2.4.3 and 2.4.5, re-emphasizes the need for

participation, fairness and accountability in the development and allocation of public housing,

informing that: “the human settlement process will be participatory and decentralized allowing

effective response to priorities and opportunities at the local level and enabling all role players

to contribute their skills, labour, creativity, financial and other resources to the housing process.

Therefore, Government’s Human Settlement Policy must promote fairness and equity among

all South Africans and achieve equal and equitable access to housing opportunities, goods and

services. Transparency is seen as a key to guard against inequitable systems, in which some

segments of the population benefit more than others. Coupled with transparency, systems that

monitor progress and ensure accountability are equally important” (Department of Housing,

2009).

3.4.4 Beneficiary Participatory Process in South Africa

In the delivering of public housing projects and in giving effect to the rules of national policy

in South Africa, a municipality is mandated to work with community representatives through

what are called beneficiary committees (Tapscott & Thompson, 2010). Beneficiary committees

are understood to be elected by communities, and it is evident that they are established in

different ways by different municipalities and in some cases in different ways by the same

municipal authority, depending on the community dynamic, or nature of the project. As such

beneficiary committees cannot be expected to serve the communities they are purported to

represent in similar ways. For instant, in the Department of Human Settlement capital subsidy

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projects, in which beneficiaries are selected from a general waiting list, this differs substantially

from a committee established in an, in situ, upgrade area (where shacks are replaced by houses

on site) where a sense of community is likely to be stronger. The effectiveness and legitimacy

of the beneficiary committees as seen by the representatives themselves is markedly different

between the different types of projects, in spite of the signed agreement between beneficiary

representatives, the municipality and the housing developer (Tapscott & Thompson, 2010).

In giving influence to the idea of people-centered development, the South Africa Housing Code

stresses the need for a structured agreement (also referred to as a ‘social compact’ or ‘contract’)

between a municipality and the community in the delivery of housing projects. This agreement

ensures that community members assume ownership of their own development and project.

The involvement of the beneficiaries from the onset is of vital importance. Hence, beneficiary

participation is undertaken within the context of a structured agreement between the

municipality and the community (National Housing Code, 2009).

When preparing a housing project for provincial government approval and funding, the

Housing Code stipulates that a municipality must submit a copy of a social compact, which

reflects the agreement of beneficiary groups and other stakeholders in the community on a

number of key issues relating to the project. Amongst the issues under consideration are the

following: the housing needs of the relevant community; the extent to which the housing

project will meet the housing needs of an identified target market with particular reference to

the appropriateness of the location; the number and type of residences to be constructed; the

full cost to the beneficiary if any; and the level of services to be provided (National Housing

Code, 2009). Unfortunately, this has not been held to occur as intended, as participation is often

and only interpreted to mean acquiescence and voluntary contributions of labour and resources

by the low-income beneficiaries who have no real influence on a projects’ goals and design or

in establishing the rules within which it must operate as intended (Hassen, 2003). If the social

compact agreement were created, there would be a state of total satisfaction by the beneficiaries

of all low-income houses in South Africa, as their needs and expectations would have been

considered during the conception stage of the project. But this is not the case as beneficiaries

are only made to endorse the projects being created without any concern for their needs and

expectations. Moreover, in most housing developments, no social compact groups are formed.

This ultimately leads to a state of total dissatisfaction with the houses being received, as only

the beneficiaries’ needs perceived by the experts are considered.

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Although, the determination of norms and standards, in terms of the Housing Act, is the

responsibility of provincial governments, the South Africa Housing Code does not provide

explicit details on how the social compacts, should be drawn up, which is a major short coming

in giving the embedded concept of participation expression. In other words, the framework for

determining who should represent communities in drawing up social compacts, the content of

the agreement and the expected roles of those involved, is left to provincial governments to

decide or to delegate to local governments. In the Gauteng Province for example, the domain

for the empirical aspect of this study, the provincial government has left responsibility to the

municipalities to draw up social compacts. As a result, the interpretation and implementation

of participatory policies is left to the differential capacities of local housing officials and their

understandings of participatory development, which is highly inadequate and inconsistent.

Beneficiary participation is generally more successful when the community (‘beneficiaries’)

takes on much of the responsibility, as compared to situations in which the government attempt

to assess beneficiaries’ preferences for housing through surveys or meetings. In order for

beneficiary participation to work, projects must include special components that address it

directly. Beneficiaries should be recruited to help in all phases of designing, implementing,

maintaining, supervising, and evaluating a new housing construction, but only if the time,

effort, and money are spent to do it correctly (Thwala, 2009). Despite these constraints, when

the process is started early enough, this aspect will enhance the production of a housing product

that would have be specifically designed to meet the needs of the community in all aspects.

Also, special consideration must be given to the development of local committees and

governance structures to adequately oversee local participation. These local committees and

governing structures when developed will direct and execute development (housing) projects,

rather than merely receiving a share of project benefits.

3.4.5 Levels of Beneficiary Participation

Theories of citizen participation have received considerable academic attention particularly

since the early 1900’s, but have been a source of debate since at least the early 1960s. However,

the influential theoretical work on the subject of community participation was done by Arnstein

(1969). The precise importance of Arnstein’s work comes from the obvious recognition that

there are different levels of participation, from manipulation or therapy of citizens; through to

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consultation, and to what we now view as genuine participation, that is the levels of partnership

and citizen control. The fundamental point in Arnstein’s model (is) that “participation without

redistribution of power is an empty and frustrating process for the powerless. It allows the

power holders to claim that all sides were considered, but makes it possible for only some of

those sides to benefit, thus maintaining the status quo” (Arnstein, 1969:217).

Arnstein (1969:217-219) describes the type of ‘non-participation’ represented by the lower two

rungs on the ladder as attempts to ‘educate’ participants. Levels 3 and 4 allow participants to

hear and have a voice, but they have no power to ensure that their voice has influence. At level

5 participants can advise, but the right to decide is retained by the agency. Arnstein (1969)

alludes that true participation begins where ‘partnerships’ enable negotiation and shared

decision-making responsibility. Arnstein considers that partnership working is most effective

when participants have an organized and resourced base from which to work, and to which

they are accountable. At levels 7 and 8 participants form the majority in decision-making

arenas, or hold managerial power.

Despite this conceptualization, the framework had some limitations. The limitations of

Arnstein’s (1969) framework are twofold. First, each of the steps represents a very broad level,

within which there are likely to be a wide range of experiences. For instant, at the level of

‘informing’ there could be significant differences in the type and quality of the information

being conveyed. Convincingly therefore, stages of participation are likely to reflect a

multifaceted level, than a simple series of steps. Secondly, the use of a ladder also implies that

more control is always better than less control. Nevertheless, increased control may not always

be wanted by the community and increased control without the necessary support may result

in failure; thus making the Arnstein (1969) theory a complex one. Also, there is a failure to

acknowledge the different spheres of decision-making in which the level of participation

occurs. However, the Arnstein’s (1969) Theory of Participation has since been modified and

new terminologies added. In particular, there has been a shift towards understanding

participation in terms of the empowerment of individuals and communities. This came from

the growing importance of the idea of the citizen as consumer, where choice amongst

alternatives is seen as a means of access to power. Within this framework, people are expected

to be responsible for themselves and should, therefore, be active in public service decision-

making, as this is where their needs and expectations could be tabled. In this framework, Burns

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et al (1994) improved Arnstein’s Ladder of Participation and postulated a Ladder of Citizen

Empowerment as shown in Table 3.1.

Table 3.1: Ladder of citizen empowerment

CITIZEN CONTROL

12. Independent control

11. Entrusted control

CITIZEN PARTICIPATION

10. Delegated control

9. Partnership

8. Limited decentralized decision-making

7. Effective advisory boards

6. Genuine consultation

5. High quality information

CITIZEN NON-PARTICIPATION

4. Customer care

3. Poor information

2. Cynical consultation

1. Civic hype

Source: Burns et al., 1994.

The Burns’ theory of ‘Ladder of Citizen’s Empowerment’ is more elaborate than Arnstein’s

(1969) conceptualization because of the qualitative breakdown of the different levels. For

instance, a difference is drawn between ‘cynical’ and ‘genuine’ consultation, and between

‘entrusted’ and ‘independent’ citizen control. The phenomena of ‘civic hype’, which was

gradually recognised during the 1990s (Harvey, 1982), is integrated on the bottom rung of the

ladder. This essentially treats beneficiary participation as a marketing exercise, in which the

desired end result is ‘sold’ to the community.

Adopting the Ladder of Citizen Empowerment as a conceptual framework, Wilcox (1999)

developed a Ladder of Participation, in which five interconnected levels of beneficiary

participation were identified (Table 3.2). Wilcox’s work arose from the UK regeneration

context and reflects a philosophical progression in thought around participation. This model of

participation is what the current study advocates for in order for, the beneficiaries of South

Africa housing subsidy schemes to participate in the low-income housing developing projects

and ultimately have satisfaction with the houses that are to be provided.

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Table 3.2: A ladder of participation

Information

Consultation

Deciding together

Acting together

Supporting individual

Community initiative

Source: Wilcox, 1999.

The adopted framework indicates that different ‘levels’ of participation are acceptable in

differing contexts and settings. The progression recognizes that even though power is not

always transferred in participative processes; the processes still have value. This was in contrast

to the common interpretation of Arnstein’s (1969) framework, which brings the thought that it

is only acceptable to be striving towards citizen control. Exclusive to some contexts, this shift

in philosophy has been further developed to describe levels of involvement as a continuum.

The Wilcox (1999) Framework provides useful insights into the scope of experiences

associated with beneficiary participation, which by their nature represent simplifications of a

more complex reality.

Wilcox’s (1999) model defines that you need to inform the beneficiary of what is planned so

that they are informed about what is happening. This principle is a major tenet in the South

African Batho Pele’s Principle and other legislative policy guiding participation in South

Africa, which is strongly aligned with the Africa Charter; which states that there must be

meaningful consultation with the beneficiaries of any development programme. The Africa

Charter further states that the government must be clear about the opinions they are asking

from the citizens. In the consultation stage, a number of options are provided and a careful

analysis of the resultant feedback is completed. From this point, a decision is reached taking

into account the results of consultation alongside other factors. In order for consultation to be

meaningful, it must be initiated at an early stage so that the people can have a holistic view and

idea of what is to come. In the level of deciding together (Table 3), beneficiaries are encouraged

to provide some additional ideas and options and to decide with the government or their

representative the best way forward. According to Wilcox (1999), deciding together is a

difficult standpoint, because it can mean giving people the power to choose without fully

sharing the responsibility for carrying out decision. Also, deciding together can mean accepting

other people’s ideas, then, choosing from options you have developed together, which is what

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participation should be like in the low-income communities as most participants might not have

the required expertise to make a significant contribution. However, the basic rules of

consultation must apply including the need to generate other options together, choose between

them, and agree on a way forward. This is because people need more confidence to get

involved, as their levels of understanding and knowledge plays a part in their contribution to

the process. The level of deciding together usually takes more time as the inter-play between

the people and the government representatives need to be on par. Furthermore, from deciding

together, the level of acting together comes into scene. Acting together involves short-term

collaboration or forming more permanent partnerships that will last, as the people has been

involved all along in the process. Acting together involves both deciding together and then

acting together. Acting together is having a common language, a shared vision of what is

needed and the means it needs to be carried out. At this point, partners need to trust on another

as well as agree on what they want to do. At this stage, each partner needs to feel they have an

appropriate stake in the partnership, a fair say in what happens, and a chance of achieving what

they want (Wilcox, 1999). The level of acting together is a critical point in any partnership as

this stage brings about the benefit that any participatory process has to offer. Acting together

is not likely to be appropriate when one party holds all the power and resources and use this to

impose its own the solutions. Acting together is a point of power sharing, not the taking over

of power by the people. It must be known that people want to have a say in making decisions,

but not a long term stake in carrying out solution. The last stage on the modified Wilcox (1999)

Ladder talks about ‘supporting local initiatives’. This level is the most empowering level,

provided the people want to do things for themselves. Carrying through this level may involve

people setting up new forms of organisations to handle funds and carry out projects or

programmes. This process has to be owned by, and must move at the pace of those who are

going to run the initiative. However, the government or funders may set the deadline (Wilcox,

1999). This level of participation may be appropriate where there is commitment to empower

individuals or groups within the community; where people are interested in starting and running

an initiative. Wilcox further informs that this level will not be ideal when the following applies:

community initiatives are seen as ‘a good thing’ in the abstract and pushed on people from the

top down; there is no commitment to training and support; there are no resources to maintain

initiatives in the long-term and where time is of the essence. When the above processes are

given thorough consideration and the beneficiaries are involved in all the stages as outlined by

Wilcox (1999), housing satisfaction will be guaranteed. This is because involvement or

participation brings about interest which ultimately leads to satisfaction. It usually takes more

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time for a fully participatory process to accomplish its goals, but the end result in the form of

housing satisfaction and improvement in the quality of life of the people will go a long way.

3.4.6 Beneficiary Empowerment

In order for beneficiaries to participate meaningfully in projects initiated with the goal of

improving their quality of life, it is imperative that they are empowered (Thwala, 2009).

Rowlands (1997:14) claims that “empowerment is concerned with the processes by which

people become aware of their own interests and how those related to the interests of others, in

other both to participate from a position of greater strength in decision-making and actually

influence such decisions”. Participation leading to empowerment is the common direction one

thinks of when discussing these concepts. The debate also centres on the question whether or

not a certain amount of empowerment is necessary in order to be able to participate at all.

The principle of empowerment states that people participate because it is their democratic right

to do so (Wignaraja, 1991) and participation also means having power (Tacconi & Tisdell,

1993). According to the concept, participation is the natural result of empowerment.

Empowerment is not a means to an end but it is the objective of development (Ogunfiditimi &

Thwala, 2007; Thwala, 2009). Thwala (2009) further informs that in addition to having the

power to make decision, it demands the knowledge and understanding essential to making

correct decisions because communities cannot make wise decisions if they do not have the

required information.

However, support organisations are required to be sources, as well as channels of information

to the communities so that they will be able to make informed decisions to developments that

relate to them. There are numerous developmental organisations, agencies and government

departments that regard local people as a good source of information (Thwala, 2009). But,

some other agencies and governmental departments do limit the people’s participation to an

advisory role. In cases where this happens, there is no participation, but a case of tokenism.

According to El Sherbini (1986), power must accompany participation; while Arnstein (1969)

stated that participation without power is an empty and frustrating process for the powerless.

Swanepoel (1997) states that under the banner of participation, people can be used as cheap

labour. This is because decision-making and planning are considered as being outside the orbit

of the powerless because participation is seen as interfering with the effective provision of

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basic needs (Spalding, 1990; Thwala, 2009). Yet, empowerment involves more than having the

power to make decisions. Empowerment requires the knowledge and understanding needed to

make the correct decisions, of which the development practitioner has a special task in this

respects (Thwala, 2009). Beneficiaries cannot be expected to make wise decisions if they do

not have the necessary information to make these decisions. Kilian (1998) posits that

empowerment can be misused; it can become a ‘radical cloak hung around conservative ideas’.

Thwala (2009) further informs that empowerment does not mean giving people facilities that

were previously denied them or were not available to them, or giving them skills that they lack;

but that, in its purest form, empowerment is the acquisition of power and the ability to give it

effect. Such power is not an amorphous or indefinable entity, but manifests itself in groups of

people working together (Kent, 1981).

3.4.7 Benefits of Beneficiary Participation

The benefits of participation are usually seen differently because of the various interests

involved. According to Reed (2008) the many purported benefits of beneficiary participation

have to an extent been incorporated into national and international policy. Reed (2008) further

emphasis that, at the same time, cynicism has been growing amongst practitioners, stakeholders

and the general public, who feel let down when these benefits are not realized. The benefits of

beneficiary participation can be generally categorized under the normative and pragmatic

arguments for stakeholder engagement in developmental decision-making.

3.4.7.1 Normative Benefits

Normative benefits focus on the benefits for a democratic society, citizenship and equity (Reed,

2008). For instance, it is contested that beneficiary participation reduces the likelihood that

those on the margin of the decision-making milieu or society are disregarded. In this way, more

significant stakeholders can be included in decisions that affect them and active citizenship can

be promoted, with benefits for the wider society (Martin & Sherington, 1997). Beneficiary

participation is said to increase public trust in decisions and civil society, if participatory

processes are perceived to be transparent and conflicting claims and views are considered

(Richards et al., 2004). Beneficiary participation, it is claimed, can empower beneficiary

through the co-generation of knowledge with researchers and increasing participants’ capacity

to use this knowledge (Greenwood et al., 1991; Reed, 2008). Thus empowering them to make

informed decisions. It is also claimed that beneficiary participation may increase the likelihood

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that developmental decisions are alleged to be holistic and fair, accounting for a diversity of

norms, values and needs and identifying the complexity of human-environmental interactions

(Reed, 2008; Richards et al., 2004). It may also promote social learning (Blackstock et al.,

2007). This is where the beneficiary and the wider society in which they live, learn from each

other through the development of new networks, building on existing relationships and

transforming adversarial relationships as individuals learn about each other’s’ dependability

and learn to appreciate the usefulness of each other’s views (Forester, 1999). Newig and Fritsch

(2009) argue that social learning may be one of a number of mechanisms that can deliver more

pragmatic benefits from participation, with groups of people developing more creative

solutions through reflective deliberation. The highlighted normative benefits are essential for

the achievement of beneficiary satisfaction in the South African housing subsidy scheme. This

is because most participants representing the communities would have developed a capacity

that will enable them to actively participate and make informed decision that will benefit the

entire community.

3.4.7.2 Pragmatic Benefits

Pragmatic benefits centre on the quality and durability of developmental decisions that are

made through engagement with the beneficiary. Reed (2008) argues that beneficiary

participation enables interventions and development to be better adapted to local socio-cultural

and environmental conditions. This enhances the rate of developed adoption and diffusion

amongst beneficiary groups, and their capacity to meet local needs and priorities (Martin &

Sherington, 1997; Reed, 2007). Beneficiary participation may make research more robust by

providing higher quality information input (Hansen, 1994). By putting local interests and

concerns into account at an early stage, it may be possible to inform project design with a

variety of ideas and perspectives, and in this way increase the likelihood that local’s needs,

expectations and priorities are successfully met (Dougill et al., 2006). Thus giving them

satisfactorily developed projects that concern them. It is also argued that beneficiary

participatory processes should lead to better quality decisions, as they can be based on more

complete information, anticipating and improving unexpected negative outcomes before they

occur (Fischer, 2000; Newig & Fritsch, 2009). By establishing common ground and trust

between participants and learning to appreciate the legitimacy of each other’s’ viewpoints;

participatory processes have the capacity to transform adversarial relationships and find new

ways for participants to work together (Stringer et al., 2006). This will lead to a sense of

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ownership over the process and outcomes, when the participation is shared by a wide-ranging

combination of beneficiary, long-term support and active implementation of decisions will be

enhanced (Reed, 2009; Richards et al., 2004). Depending on the nature of the initiative, this

may significantly reduce implementation costs.

3.4.8 Beneficiary Participation in Housing Development

When implementing a participatory process, beneficiary participation should be considered

right from the onset, from concept development and planning, through to implementation, to

monitoring and evaluation of outcomes. Engagement with the beneficiary should commence

as early as possible in the decision-making process, which has been frequently cited as essential

if participatory processes are to lead to higher quality and durable decisions (Chess & Purcell,

1999; Reed, 2008; Reed et al., 2006). Normally, beneficiaries only get involved in decision-

making at the implementation phase of the project cycle, and not in earlier project identification

and preparation phases. Gradually, they may also be involved in monitoring and evaluating the

outcomes of the decision-making process (Estrella & Gaventa, 2000), to see how the process

is undertaken for subsequent empowerment to participate meaningfully in other development

that will concern them. However, unless flexibility can be built into the project design, this can

mean that beneficiaries are invited to get involved in a project that is at variance with their own

needs and priorities (Reed, 2008). This can make it a problem to motivate beneficiaries to

engage with the decision-making process, and those who are engaged may be placed in a

responsive position, where they are asked to respond to proposals that they perceive have

already been concluded (Chess & Purcell, 1999; Reed, 2008).

3.5 CONCLUSION

This chapter addresses the gaps observed in previous residential satisfaction research

frameworks which were not evaluated as all-inclusive constructs in the previous models. The

identified gaps form the new constructs in the current study’s conceptual framework. The

identified gaps are: needs and expectations and the beneficiary’s meaningful participation in

the housing process. In addressing the needs and expectation gap, the study draw on the seminal

works by Maslow and established that as part of the conceptual framework of residential

satisfaction research, the gratifications of housing needs and expectations should have the

noteworthy prominence. This is because people have different housing needs and expectations

that cannot be satisfied with the same housing conditions; and this could bring about different

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satisfaction levels because their needs and expectations are different. From the reviewed

literature, it was found that residential satisfaction is basically formed under the condition of

the current level of housing needs that is being pursued. Unless the level one need is sufficiently

satisfied, they will remain in the occupants’ consciousness and will thus become the prime

determinants of housing behaviour. Hence the living condition that is currently pursued forms

the housing expectation of the individual, which is related to the overall residential satisfaction.

Also, in addressing the gap of the beneficiary’s meaningful participation, several works were

drawn upon but the seminal work of Arnstein’s Ladder of Participation, Burns et al. modified

version of the Arnstein’s Ladder of Participation conceptualized as the Ladder of Citizen

Empowerment and the Wilcox’s Theory of the Ladder of Participation was used in addressing

the gap. However, the work of Wilcox bears more prominence. The Wilcox Framework

indicates that different ‘levels’ of participation are acceptable in differing context and settings.

The framework recognizes that even though power is not always transferred in the participative

processes, but the processes still have value. This view was in contrast to the common

interpretation of Arnstein’s Framework, which brings to the fore thought that it is only

acceptable to strive towards citizen’s control. Exclusive to some contexts, this shift in

philosophy has been further developed to describe levels of involvement on a continuum. The

Wilcox’s Framework provides useful insights into the scope of experiences associated with

beneficiary participation, which by their nature represent simplifications of a more complex

reality. The Wilcox Model further posits that you need to inform the beneficiary about what is

planned so that they are informed about what is happening. Because of the information stated

above, this model of participation is what the current study advocates for, in order for the

beneficiaries of the South African housing subsidy schemes to participate and ultimately have

satisfaction with the houses being provided.

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CHAPTER FOUR

HOUSING RESEARCH THEORY

4.1 INTRODUCTION

This chapter of the thesis presents a framing overview of housing research, housing theoretical

frameworks, overview of the most influential perspectives on housing, followed by a

discussion on the methodological approaches to housing studies. An evolution in housing

policy framework is also presented, with the various forms that housing policy has been

attending to over time. Also, the objectives of housing policy and the purpose of housing policy

are examined. Lastly, the chapter closes with an outline of housing policy instruments, which

enables the intentions of housing policy to be actualized.

4.2 HOUSING THEORETICAL FRAMEWORK

An understanding of housing theory is imperative because it can be claimed that discussions

of policy formulation and evaluation will be deprived of direction and reason, unless there is

an understanding of a clear theoretical basis. However, one must have an understanding of the

concept of housing practice and the nature of housing to generate a useful housing theory.

Literature on housing has developed since the mid-1960s, and many housing or social scholars

write from a position of commitment to a specific theoretical framework, be it neo-classicalism,

institutionalism, or neo-Marxism, amongst others. However, Pugh (1986) raised questions as

to whether the concept of housing in its essential nature can precisely fit into any single

theoretical framework.

Sullivan and Gibb (2006) state that housing is a difficult thing to hypothesize about. This is

because it is an inherently multifaceted commodity, with ‘spatial fixity’ a defining

characteristic, and asset, investment and consumption dimensions to account for. They insisted

that the economics of housing remains a challenge to those who seek equity and efficiency

improvements for society to this day. Lux (2003) also argues that housing is not a simple

category that can be viewed from a single perspective. On one hand, housing is one of the basic

human needs and the right to adequate housing has been classified as a basic social human right

in most developed countries around the world, with most of the developing countries currently

enshrining it into their constitutions. On the other hand, housing constitutes a special type of

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private property, traded on the market. Although, trade-offs between the social and economic

aspects of housing may have to be made sometimes, which thus necessitate the searching for a

consensus that assures both the effective functioning of the housing system for all social groups

within a society (Lux, 2003). Furthermore, housing is also a field of inquiry, which Robinson

(1979) termed; thinking in ‘theory time’ is a poor substitute for recognizing the role of real,

non-abstract, historical time. Moreover, conceptualizing from the spatial aspects of housing

leads to quote Maclennan (1982) informing that it is a curious form of ‘pointless economics’.

Good theory according to Maclennan essentially involves jettisoning many of the assumptions

usually made in neoclassical economics, rendering the work more difficult and ‘messy’.

Also, housing is a multidisciplinary field, therefore housing research draws on a number of

disciplines and professions, including economics, geography, political science, planning, and

architecture, among others (Van Vliet, 2003). Van Vliet (2003) further emphasized that

respective disciplines and professions tend to concentrate on a particular set of questions. For

example, economists are inclined to concern themselves with issues of housing finance,

dynamics of supply and demand, and house prices. Geographers on the other hand often

explore spatial aspects of housing, together with the patterns of residential segregation and

urban form, local and regional housing markets, urban regeneration and gentrification, and

residential mobility. Likewise, architects usually focus on aspects of design, building materials,

and construction techniques. This emphasis of attention is neither mutually exclusive nor

exhaustive. They show an inclination within disciplines to employ certain types of questions

according to hypotheses that characterize those disciplines more generally.

However, it should be noted that most times, disciplinary labels apply to paradigms rather than

individuals. This is because the researchers may have been formally appointed in a certain

discipline but their scholarly work draws on conceptualizations or approaches originating from

or dominating in another discipline. A defining characteristic of a discipline is that it concerns

itself with a diverse array of topics from a demarcated paradigm that helps specify the questions

asked and that guides research design, choice of data collection methods, and explanatory

theory (Van Vliet, 2003). In contrast, a field of study comprises a fairly clearly delineated

subject matter, such as housing, but draws on the contributions from a wide range of

disciplines.

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4.2.1 Theoretical Perspective of Housing Study

The theory of housing has its origin in the Paleolithic period when homo-sapiens began to use

natural materials like stone, wood, leaves, animal skin and other similar items to create shelter

from elements of weather (Ifesanya, 2003). It has been defined by different scholars in different

ways depending on the emphasis and focus of analysis. However, the basic definition has been

housing as shelter and for the provision of human needs (Sharipah, 2007). Ifesanya (2003)

informs that the initial form of housing was the post and beam construction of the Stone Age,

when the principal and perhaps, the only motivating factor for housing was fortification from

external aggression and from climatic elements like sun, rain, heat, cold and other extreme

weather conditions. This nonetheless cannot be referred to as housing, but ordinary shelter. The

United Nations (1978) however defined housing not simply as a shelter, but also as a means of

creating communities, providing great emphasis on the functions which housing has to

perform, thus making housing a multi-dimensional concept.

As described above, housing in today’s expression has become a multi-dimensional bundle of

services, encompassing the need for privacy, aesthetic value, conformity to statutory standards,

fiscal economy and other related issues of importance in contemporary society (Ifesanya,

2003.). According to Randava (1979), housing must not be misunderstood or narrowed to

describe a single unit of dwelling. The house is only a constituent part of housing, and its

functionality and quality is determined by the surroundings, that is, the environment. Also, it

is the process of providing a large number of residential buildings on a permanent basis with

adequate physical infrastructure and social services, planned decent, safe and sanitary

neighbourhoods to meet the basic and special needs of the people.

This fundamental perception of housing has since given way to an all-inclusive definition.

McLead (2002) states that adequate housing offers a refuge for emotional and physical rest,

and the stability found therein empowers families in their pursuit of a better quality of life. The

importance of a decent place to live cannot be overstated, for with it comes stability and

promise, family unity, hope and a foundation from which individuals reach their full potential.

Further, Schirnding and Dodd (2002) suggest that adequate housing enhances healthy living.

Learning and academic accomplishment are also enhanced by adequate housing, according to

Hodson and Pelullo-Willis (2002); while emotional stability and psychological balance are

constructed by having a decent and comfortable place to live (McLead, 2002).

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Housing is one of the most important elements in our lives and community. It is both a shelter

and a link to the neighbourhood and larger community. Housing also refers to both the physical

product and the process of its attainment. Housing is mostly perceived according to its

performance, and its usefulness varies with the level of comfort and hygiene it provides. The

significance of people in housing is recognised not when housing complies with municipality

or city by-laws, but when people come to live in it and it is acceptable to the community, which

is the primary reason this study is being undertaken. Housing also means privacy and is an

expression of ways of life, aspirations and social relationships. Thus, Dwijendra (2007) informs

that housing is the provision of comfortable shelter with available infrastructure, services and

facilities that address the need of the occupants. Furthermore, Li (2002) also defined housing

as:

a heterogeneous, durable and essential consumer good;

an indirect indicator of status and income differences between consumers;

a map of social relations within the city;

an important facet of residential structure;

a source of bargaining and conflict between various power groupings; and

a source of profit to different institutions and agents involved in the production,

consumption and exchange of housing.

Hence, these diverse classifications make the study of housing a complex issue opened to

various interpretations. Tan (2001) thus classified these various perspectives as follows:

political perspective;

social perspective;

developmental perspective;

institutional perspective;

radical perspective;

comparative approach;

historical approach;

experiential perspective; and

neo-classical perspective.

While Tan’s (2001) classification of housing gave a valid view, it would have been an all-

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inclusive view if the economic perspective was included as a separate entity, thus developing

a framework that would have disentangled the multi-dimensional concept attached to housing.

However, Li (2002) says that the diversity of approaches to the study of housing is partly a

manifestation of the multifaceted nature of the topic. It should be noted that other renowned

theoretical positions such as that of Mancur Olson’s (1965) perception on collective choice and

special group interest are also capable of explaining some important aspects and individual

behaviour within the housing systems. The next section provides an overview of the three most

influential approaches to housing: the neo-classical, the institutional, and the neo-Marxist (the

radical perspective) perspectives, with the introduction of two new separate views, the

economic and social perspectives.

4.2.1.1 Neo-Classical Perspective

The Neo-Classical Perspective on housing draws its theoretical guidance from neo-classical

economics. Neo-classical economics describes a distinct and relatively homogenous school of

thought in economic theory that became prominent in the late nineteenth century and that now

dominates mainstream economics. The term was first introduced by Thorstein Veblen (1900)

to describe developments in the discipline (of which Veblen did not entirely approve)

associated with the work of figures such as William Jevons, Carl Menger, and Leon Walras

(Brennan & Moehler, 2010). Brennan and Moehler (2010) inform that neo-classical economics

relies on subjective preferences for determining prices in order to escape from the so-called

objective value theory of classical economics, according to which the value of goods could be

established by a reference to some basic commodity or the labour input required to produce a

good. However, it is largely concerned with the analysis of utility maximization on the part of

individual consumers in an atomistic housing market (Li, 2002). Put at its simplest, neo-

classical economics views society as collection of individuals whose nature is assumed to be

given. The realisation of individual preferences shapes the form of the economy and the nature

of the society.

In its study of the economy, neo-classical economics makes four suppositions. Firstly, the

creation of goods and services reveals the preferences of consumers. Next, it is assumed that

all households and organisations have perfect information. Thirdly, from this basis of perfect

information, households get the most out of utility and organisations and maximize profits.

Lastly, the creation of goods and services is assumed to be flexible in that the factors of

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production can easily be interchanged. It should be borne in mind that the theoretical roots of

these suppositions are in ‘methodological individualism’. That is the methodological position

that aims to explain all economic phenomena in terms of the characteristics and the behaviour

of individuals. Because everything ultimately reduces to what individuals do, methodological

individualism states that any theory of how the economy runs should be built up from an

understanding of how the individuals within it behave. This is the classic idea the current study

hopes to underpin, in that the issues of housing should be understood from the occupants’

(users’) point of view, which this study refers to as ‘methodological occupancy’. The Neo-

Classical Perspective’s commitment to methodological individualism means that neoclassical

economics puts clear boundaries around what it is attempting to explain (since theories cannot

explain everything).

The neo-classical perspective is considered the orthodox approach to cities and housing

because of the suppositions in ‘methodological individualism’. Since housing has ‘externality’

value, one can locate housing in this theoretical framework by relating it to the economic theory

of externality and public goods. However, the central tenets of the neo-classical approach

include equilibrium, individual utility maximization, and the absence of severe information

problems (Arrow & Hahn, 1971; Hodgson, 1988, 1998, 1997). Li (2002) posits that the

assumptions and overall importance of the equilibrium of conditions continue to provide the

footings of many studies of urban structure and housing. In this dimension, the adjustment

model of residential location in the determination of micro house prices are worthy of attention.

The adjustment model of residential location suggests an association between the consumption

of housing space and travel costs. The general hypothesis is that households trade-off travel

costs (which increase away from the city centre), against housing costs (which are shown to

decrease from the city centre) in an attempt to maximize utility subject to an overall budget

constraint (Alonso, 1964; Kain, 1962; Muth, 1969; Mills, 1972). The relationships between

transport costs, housing costs and income and other trade-offs are joined together in this

framework to predict the relationship of individual households and those of different income

groups within the city (Li, 2002). Mills’ (1972) model of urban structure effectively predicts

the decline of land values and population density from the city centre, both of which are found

in most large cities of North-West Europe and North America (Li, 2002). Thus, individuals

will always trade-off one commodity for another, but only in situations where there is some

exogenous change (McMaster & Watkins, 1999). Thus in the neoclassical theory, the

individual’s behaviour is explained by concentrating on the changes in the constraints to which

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he or she is exposed; preferences are assumed to be constant.

Basically, neo-classical economists have a habit of using their theoretical framework to explore

principles of effectiveness, incentive and maximization of utility or minimization of costs. But

when it comes to housing they are drawn into social and public policy where they face

considerable problems. The most general criticism about this approach is that the models fail

to consider the structuring of household’s housing decisions. This is because households do

not make choices in a vacuum. The preferences household’s express and the constraints that

they experience are influenced by the nature of the wider social structure and by the more

immediate effects of the specific character of certain systems of housing production and

allocation. Also, another criticism of the neo-classical approach is that optimization is not

practicable (McMaster & Watkins, 1999). This criticism is based on the grounds that the

optimization process itself is costly and requires cognitive abilities that are scarce (Arrow,

1962).

Arrow (1962) further argues that there is a fundamental paradox in the determination of the

demand for information; its value for the purchaser (user or beneficiary) is not known until

after he has the information, but then he has in effect acquired it without cost; given incomplete

appropriability, the potential buyer will base his decision to purchase information on less than

optimal grounds. Arrow’s (1962) critical criticism recognizes that information is costly to

obtain, and that its value is uncertain ex-ante, so the utility maximizing individual faces a

considerable conundrum. Today, market-based economic studies in housing policy are

conscious of the effects of wider social factors and tend to have varied relative merits in the

context of balancing economic and social values.

4.2.1.2 Institutional Perspective

Institution is a term that is often employed in varied field of studies, but not frequently defined.

Hodgson (1998) quotes Walton Hamilton’s 1932 definition of an institution as, “a way of

thought or action of some prevalence and permanence, which is embedded in the habits of a

group or the custom of a people”. Hodgson (1998) further informs that this is a broad definition

that includes organisations, such as universities and firms, but also ‘integrated and systematic

social entities’, such as money, language, law and religion. Hence, institutions represent a co-

ordination of belief that is durable, although not unchanging.

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It has long been accepted, even amongst neo-classical economists, that institutions matter.

However, the challenge initially was finding a way to integrate institutions into housing

analysis. At present, there has been a serious debate concerning the position and viability of

existing institutional arrangements, including nation states. Giddens (2002) argues that many

institutions have become ‘shell-like’, and have become inadequate to the tasks they are called

upon to perform. However, a common set of institutions can be found in most societies,

including public and private enterprises, public utilities, financial establishments, educational

institutions, trade unions and government/quasi-governmental agencies. The relative strength

of these institutions can vary, as also the manner in which they interact. North (1989) outlined

that an institution consists, primarily, of informal constraints, formal rules, and the enforcement

characteristics of both. These rules are separate from the players, or organisations such as

schools, firms, trade associations, and government agencies that are also called institutions.

North’s (1989) clarification provides a strong background to discourage the loose but common

sense use of institutions only as organisations but not as rules.

Institutional economists believe that evaluation of policy is socio-political and that public

policies are necessarily expressed through institutional arrangements (Gruchy, 1972; Myrdal,

1978). Contrasting with the neo-classical approach that accentuates preferences and value of

individual; the institutional perspective tends to focus on groups and organisations. This is

because the institution arrangement believes that members of a group interact with each other

on a regular basis; which is the premise that public participation is based upon. Li (2002) states

that this regularity encourages the formation of shared values and commonly accepted rules

and norms (institutions). Likewise, a group’s capacity to pursue its members’ common interests

depends on its collective power, which in turn is the function of the amount of resources at the

group’s disposal – wealth, position in the government and society, and the size of the group.

Thus, Guy and Henneberry (2000) assert that the institutional approach to housing offers an

alternative to the positivist theories, which reify, idealize and isolate economic structures and

individual behaviour.

One way of theorizing the institutional perspective into housing analysis is to define a housing

system (Murie et al., 1976) or structures of building provision as suggested by Ball (1996). The

latter identifies historically contingent networks of relations (structures) associated with the

provision of particular types of buildings. These networks Ball (1996) claimed are historically

contingent; implying the pattern of networks is shaped by history and is an empirical question.

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When viewed from this perspective, the analysis of institutional power and behaviour of

interest groups is a major strand of research to be explored. However, Bassett and Short (1980)

using Maxist analysis provided an analytical framework of the power relations and interactions

amongst the institutions involved in the UK’s public housing system, which was categorized

as an institutional approach to housing.

Bengtsson (2001) promotes that housing policies in most Western countries are best perceived

as the state providing corrective measures to the housing market. This means that institution

contracts serve as the main mechanism for distributing housing, and state intervention takes

the form of correctives defining the economic and institutional settings of those institutional

contracts. The emphasis on institutional power and behaviour leads to the development of

strategies to contain or defuse conflict. Institutionalists realize that public policy economics is

necessarily within a context of political power, conflicts of interests, and the wider social and

historical impacts, which affects the way institutions are developed (Li, 2002). Housing would

reside in this context of political economy. Moreover, institutional scholars see the scope of

political economy as widening and becoming increasingly relevant. They also recognised that

various devices can be used to bring cohesion, including markets and the State’s social,

political, and economic roles.

Unlike the neo-classicalists, the institutionalists do not feel uncomfortable working with the

‘political’ and they often draw upon useful neo-classical methods and empirical findings.

Unlike the neo-Marxists, the institutionalists do not look for a ‘final’ solution where conflicts

disappear after the demise of capitalism. Rather, they perceive a continuously evolving society

with well-designed institutional arrangements offering only temporary and tentative solutions;

knowing that as society changes, so it will become necessary to revise institutional

arrangements. Sometimes, neo-classical economists criticize the institutional approach for its

free-ranging characteristics and remoteness from deductive and prognostic techniques and

thinking (Li, 2002) making the neo-Marxists to conclude that the institutional perspective

scholars are dealing with symptoms and offering mere prescriptions of justice without attention

to class conflicts and recurring internal contradictions in capitalism. Institutional scholars are

still striving to develop and strengthen their paradigm based on the criticism laid upon them.

In his work on Transaction Costs, Institutions, and Economic History, North (1984) attempted

to integrate the useful features of neo-classical and neo-Marxist approaches, in which he

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hypothesised three basic assumptions: individualism; specifying and enforcing the rules that

underlie contracts is costly; and ideology modifies maximizing behaviour. North (1990) later

put forth an explanation of institutional and organizational change that is endogenous. The

main points in the work are:

Agents: entrepreneur, the decision makers in organizations;

Sources: opportunities perceived by entrepreneurs;

Process: overwhelmingly incremental; and

Direction: determined by path dependence.

The explanation of institutional change provides profound implications for citizens and

policymakers to enable them to evaluate the gains and losses of alternative policies in a more

accurate way (North, 1993). Streeck and Thelen (2005) assert that it is exactly in this interplay

that institutional dynamics are created informing that political institutions are not only

periodically contested; they are the object of on-going skirmishes as actors try to achieve

advantage by interpreting or redirecting institutions in pursuit of their own goals, or by

subverting or circumventing rules that clash with their interests. Summing up, housing policy

in an institutional perspective is about the interaction between rules, rule makers and rule

takers. Here the interaction concerns a specific attempt to change rules that are guiding ‘quality,

quantity, price and ownership and control of housing’ with regard to adequate housing.

4.2.1.3 Neo-Marxist Perspective

The neo-Marxist perspective draws its foundation from the thought of Karl Marx (1818-1883),

the founder of the Marxist tradition of political economy. The perspective is centered on the

analysis of the contradictions of capitalism with a view to replace it with socialism. However,

the radical road to socialism, such as those taken by Lenin and Mao Zedong in China, has been

stopped and is prohibited. Capitalism as an economic and political system has proven to be

more durable and flexible, than Marx maintained. In the modern social system, for example,

the advent of communism does not appear imminent and it can be concluded that the Marxist

theory is far from dead. However, the old Marxist theories have since been transformed and

reworked.

According to Li (2002), the ‘guiding thread’ of Marxist analysis is the economic structure, or

the approach of production consisting of the factors (techniques) of production and the relations

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(ownership) of production. As Marx (1976) put it, the guiding principle of his studies could be

summarized as follows. In social production of their existence, men inevitably enter into

definite relations, which are independent on their will, namely relations of production

appropriate to a given stage in the development of their material forces of production. The

totality of these relations of production constitute the economic structure of society, the real

foundation, out of which arises a legal and political superstructure and to which correspond

definite forms of social consciousness correspond. The mode of production of material life

conditions the general process of social, political and intellectual life. At a certain stage of

development, the material productive forces of society come into conflict with the existing

relations of production, from forms of development of the productive forces these relations

turn into their fetters (Marx, 1976). Then begins an era of social evolution. The changes in the

economic foundation lead sooner or later to the transformation of the whole immense

superstructure.

Since housing is one of the three basic necessities a person requires for a nominal standard of

living, Karl Marx and other Marxist scholars debate that the state should embrace the social

obligation of housing provision to the disadvantaged sections of the society (Chereni, 2010).

Hence, the state is seen as the main driver of the processes of shelter provision. Until the early

90s, this thinking has been the motivation behind housing policies in Asian socialist countries

and other African countries which shared the same ideologies.

Volume III of Marx’s (1976) work on Capital paid considerable attention to land rent, but with

much debate. His categories of rent go beyond merely the Ricardian residual value arising from

differences in the fertility of the soil, which he called Differential Rent I. He introduced

Differential Rent II arising from differences in outputs by varying the capital intensity on the

same plot of land. There is some dispute over the usefulness of this rent category according to

Ball (1977). Marx did not write a lot on housing and what he wrote is not closely integrated

into his broader theories of economic structure and social change. Nevertheless, Engels (1970)

provided an early analysis of what he called ‘the housing question’. Engels (1970) work

opposed the suggestion that homeownership is the answer to the housing problem, insisting

that it will ‘chain’ the worker to the spot from mortgage debts and prevent them from looking

for employment elsewhere. Thus, insisting that the housing problem was inseparable from the

capitalist mode of production; it could only be solved by the elimination of that mode of

production, the abolition of the big city and the ending of the separation of town and country.

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The Neo-Marxists perspective views the delivery of housing as the role of the state and not of

the private sector. Their core argument is that, should this role be vested in the private sector

then this will result in commodification of housing. This is because of the basic tenets of the

neo-Marxist scholars that the poor are regarded as a necessity for the purpose of capital

accumulation. The neo-Marxist believes that the Commodification of housing will therefore

lead to inequalities and exploitation by capitalists towards the poor. The neo-Marxist classic

has the advantage of viewing housing in broader political economy. Smith (1999) explains that

the Neo-Marxist thought focus on the role of the state in the process of capital accumulation,

including its role in housing. This is viewed in a twofold manner namely: to support capital

accumulation and to maintain social stability (legitimation).

Smith (1999) further states that the neo-Marxist concept is based on the fact that the poor are

vulnerable to exploitation in the capitalist mode of housing delivery. That is, if housing is

provided with the primary aim of serving as a means of poverty alleviation, then the state must

be the exclusive provider of housing. This, they believe, will lessen the manipulation of the

poor by capitalists as the state will be able to own land and therefore, the poor will be in a

position to be accommodated within well-located land and in close proximity to services and

opportunities (Manikela, 2008). The neo-Marxists’ belief is that the problems experienced in

housing provision are solely due to capitalism. They see capitalism as dividing societies in

terms of economic classes and the poor remain the most vulnerable and exploited (Manikela,

2008). Neo-Marxists also accentuate that the housing problems cannot be answered whilst the

capitalist system is still in existence, it must be removed. Omenya (2002) argues that Marxists

are the popular critics of what they term the ‘Capitalist System of Urban Planning’. They claim

that the urban planning system exercised by most capitalist countries has only served the

bourgeois interests. They view the urban planning system as a means to segregate spatial land

uses into economic class antagonism. According to the Marxists, urban development is just a

reflection of mode of production in order to gain more economic surplus.

Nevertheless, the over-concentration on economic relationships, considered by neo-Marxist to

be the most important basic relationship in society has led to a number of criticisms. The main

weakness of the neo-Marxist perspective is that Marxian categories are difficult to test

empirically and the theories tend to be general rather than specific to housing. In particular,

Popper (1974) argues that Marxism is not a theory that can be tested and possibly falsified,

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mainly because it sees the replacement of capitalism by communism as ‘historically inevitable’.

4.2.1.4 Economic Perspective

Purely from an economics perspective, housing constitutes private property because it is not

accessible in a non-competitive manner and does not have the same features as other public

goods (Truett & Truett, 1987). However, housing economics notes that the following important

differences between housing and standard market commodities exist:

1. Housing is a very heterogeneous, multifaceted and multidimensional good. This is

because individual houses, and apartments or flats, differ in floor space, design, age,

quality, standard, furnishing, tenure, size and number of additional spaces or buildings

location, quality of the environment, and accessibility amongst others. Likewise, it is

also very challenging to measure the unit of output and the demand for housing in

general because the rate/rent paid for a small flat can be the same as for a large family

house, even under conditions of optimal distribution and market equilibrium.

According to Lux (2003), the above expressions have necessitated housing economists

to introduce a theoretical construct called housing service. Housing service theory states

that in a state of equilibrium, the price per housing service unit will be the same in all

types of dwelling units. Therefore, households or individuals thus demand housing

service rather than housing on the market.

2. Housing is a durable good and as such it becomes subject to both consumption and

investment. Fallis (1985) claims that there are two housing markets. In one, the

consumer good, housing service, is exchanged and the price per unit of housing services

is determined. In the other, the investment good, housing stock, is exchanged and the

price per unit of the housing stock is determined. However, Lux (2003) argues that

housing consumption and investment motives may conflict. The consumer wishes to

maximize utility but the investor chooses from all the options a housing unit with a

maximum net present value of expected future returns.

3. Also, housing is a spatially fixed good and cannot be moved from one location to

another. To buy a dwelling means not only a particular dwelling but also to buy the

socio-economics status of the neighbourhood and the level of accessibility to the place

of employment.

Housing constitutes a significant share of household expenditure as well as total wealth.

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According to Chetty and Szeidl (2004) the mean expenditure share for shelter (i.e. housing) is

about 20%, household income, supplies and furniture is about 6%, transport (including gas and

maintenance) is 16%, food and apparel each is 15%, utilities, fuels, and public services is 7%,

health care is 6%, the rest are for education, entertainment, and miscellaneous items.

Greenwood and Hercowitz (1991) found that the value of the residential capital stock is larger

than that for business capital, and usually, the annual market value of residential investment is

larger than that for business capital investment. Clearly, housing is not just ‘another’

consumption good. Significant fluctuations in housing development prices would imply

significant fluctuations in wealth, and thus effects potentially significant household wealth

(Skinner, 1989). For instance, Morris and Heathcote (2003) find that the market value of the

United States residential property stock is approximately equal to the annual average Gross

Domestic Product (GDP).

Also, housing is usually associated with a high transaction cost of potential moving, that is, the

finding and furnishing of a new dwelling and moving involves considerable expenses, not only

monetary expenditure, but also time and emotions invested that do not relate directly to the

acquisition of a new dwelling. The housing market adapt to changes in household income very

slowly, compared to potential adaptations, if the transaction cost equals zero. Maclennan

(1982) informs that such cost may range between five and ten percent of the total price of a

house, particularly where movement entails both selling and purchase costs. However, Monk,

Tang and Whiteheadat (2010) suggest that at the city level, it has been argued that sufficient

housing supply, underpinned by new housing investments, both from the government or

developers, helps to support a vibrant urban system and contributes to urban competitiveness.

The economic perspective of housing claims that housing accrues benefits, such as employment

creation, from investing in housing. Hence, the opportunity cost of investing in housing as

compared to investing in employment creation directly would need to be estimated by

measuring the value of the benefits of each investment – a research project in itself. In principle,

a house is a house, and housing as an investment is no different from any other kind of

investment. In reality, housing wealth can be converted into additional income, and as a result

alleviate income poverty among home-owners, especially in later life. A study by Dewilde and

Raeymaeckers (2008) found that being a home-owner effectively shielded older people from

different forms of poverty as home-owners had a significantly lower risk of being income poor,

of being deprived and of being cumulatively deprived. However, the poverty-reducing effect

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of being a home-owner diminished significantly as the home-ownership rate increased, because

as more households own their own home, there are more low-income homeowners. It is also

argued that people use the equity in their house as part of their pension, or at least reduce

savings because of their investment in a house (Muellbauer & Murphy, 2008). Hence, Monk

et al., (2010) inform that, not investing in housing will tend to amplify market inequality and

social exclusion. Also, the impact of housing on a family include the opportunity that living in

better housing could lead to a better economic position of the household. For instance, a move

to an area of expanding employment could enable family members to get a better paid job or

to at least get a job (Monk et al., 2010). This is particularly likely for social tenants, who

previously may have lacked a permanent address, causing them difficulty in accessing basic

services that others take for granted, such as overdraft facilities or even bank accounts. Thus,

the macro-economy and the housing market are indeed interrelated and co-determined.

Also, Glossop (2008) claims that in delivering healthy and attractive communities, housing can

contribute to the development of a knowledge-based economy and plays a vital role in

attracting and retaining the most talented and skilled members of the workforce that will be the

catalysts of economic growth in the future. A study by Bramley and Morgan (2003) in Central

Scotland also confirmed the pivotal role of new house-building in supporting city

competitiveness. It is argued that new housing increases the competitiveness of cities in three

main ways:

by ensuring an adequate and responsive supply of housing;

by providing a high quality living environment; and

by promoting urban vitality

Bramley and Morgan (2003) establish that new housing is principally important for mobile

workers, especially those with higher skills, partly because of its relatively easy purchase

process.

However, with all the over-arching benefits that come with the economic perspective of

housing, standard macroeconomics textbooks either treat housing as one of many consumption

goods, or neglect it all together. ‘Mainstream macroeconomics,’ simply put, ignores the

housing market. Conventional housing economics and urban economics research for its part

virtually ignores interactions with the macro economy. At best, some of the theoretical and

empirical analyses for urban and housing economics, include macroeconomic variables (such

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as the inflation, the economic growth, GDP, the unemployment rate, etc.) as exogenous ‘control

variables.’

4.2.1.5 Social Perspective – The right “to Adequate Housing”

As previously stated at the beginning of the theoretical framework, housing is professed to be

a basic social need of human beings and its standard greatly influences the standard of welfare

of the whole society. Housing insecurity can have far reaching consequences for the labour

market, as well as for the political stability in a particular country. Lux (2003) informs that in

view of the increased acceptance of the theory of the welfare state after World War II the right

to adequate housing has become one of the fundamental social rights in all economically

developed and developing countries and the responsibility for housing has progressively

transferred from the occupants and family to the government of states and public finances.

The right to housing is a social right, which constitutes the third element of human rights apart

from political and civil rights; which is the tenet of the social perspective. The key norm of the

right to housing is equal and non-discriminatory access to housing with respect to race, creed,

and sex. In a country like South Africa, housing earns the particular ‘attention’ of the State and

is included directly in the Constitution. South Africa has defined the right to housing in great

detail in its Constitution. The South Africa Constitution contains justifiable socio-economic

rights and enshrines everyone’s right to have access to adequate housing. In the Bill of Rights

in Chapter 2 of the Constitution, section 26 outlines: “26 (1) everyone has the right to have

access to adequate housing. (2) The state must take reasonable legislative and other measures,

within its available resources, to achieve the progressive realisation of this right. (3) No one

may be evicted from their home, or have their home demolished, without an order of court

made after considering all the relevant circumstances. No legislation may permit arbitrary

evictions”.

The right to housing as one of the human rights is also expressed in a number of international

documents, the oldest being the Universal Declaration on Human Rights, which the United

Nations General Assembly adopted in December 1948. Article 25(1) of this document states

that: “Everyone has the right to a standard of living adequate for the health and well-being of

himself and of his family, including food, clothing, housing and medical care and necessary

social services…” In Principle 4 of the Declaration on the Rights of the Child, adopted in

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November 1959, it is stated: “the child shall have the right to adequate nutrition, housing,

recreation and medical services...” Likewise, Part II, Article 10 of the Declaration on Social

Progress and Development, adopted in December 1969, states that: “the basic freedoms can be

attained also by provision for all, particularly persons in low income groups and large families,

of adequate housing and community services.” Furthermore, Article 11 of the International

Covenant on Economic, Social and Cultural Rights adopted in 1966 states: “the State Parties

to the present Covenant recognizes the right of everyone to an adequate standard of living for

himself and his family, including adequate food, clothing and housing, and to the continuous

improvement of living conditions”. To substantiate the recognition of the obligations under

these International documents, the UN Council for Human Rights has worked out numerous

recommendations, explanations and commentaries, supporting the adoption of the documents

(not emphasized in the current study).

The social perspective of housing is mostly accepted as the right to ‘adequate housing’ which

is understood as ensuring affordable housing for the disadvantaged and endangered social

groups such as the seniors citizens, children, physically handicapped individuals, victims of

natural and other disasters. This right is a general awareness and acceptance of a housing price

level in the society at large that will ensure the fulfillment of basic needs in the field of housing

(Lux, 2003), as well as the likelihood of obtaining social support in cases when the family

cannot ensure this fulfillment by its own means and the availability of housing. The continuous

efforts to guarantee the greatest possible degree of general and financial affordability of

housing is especially important in relation to groups of the population with little social power,

that is, those who cannot by themselves ensure adequate housing on the free housing market

(Lux, 2003).

4.2.2 Methodologies in Housing Studies

With respect to the development of theories and methodical approaches to housing studies,

Kemeny (1992) states that regardless of the growing interest in theoretical housing issues, there

remains a strong propensity for housing scholars to incline themselves in their own empirical

and policy issues, with almost complete disinterest in ‘abstract’ questions. This contemporary

approach to housing studies was further illustrated by Marston (2002). Marston (2002) claims

that where theory is used in contemporary housing research it tends to be mid-range versions

of political economy theory, for instance the concept of a ‘housing system’, competing

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definitions of housing need, or comparative and state-centered social policy. These studies have

an important place, particularly comparative studies that confront us with our own assumptions

about what's ‘natural’. However, very few empirical studies are explicit about the

epistemological foundations or the theoretical frameworks that inevitably inform them.

According to Saugeres (1999), one of the principal reasons that this trend continues to be the

case is that most housing scholars have tended to ignore the definitions of housing policy

makers. For instance, Wang (2004) says that housing scholars bend to this mind-set because

‘policy problems’ are taken to be objective facts, rather than contested realities. Within this

mind-set, much of the focus of this type of housing research is a theoretical empirical work

focused on addressing policy problems defined by governments and their instrumentalities

(Wang, 2004). Nevertheless, this mind-set does not mean that researchers leave an empty space

for the theoretical basis of their research; in actual fact, the paradigm indicates that there are

hidden theoretical evidences for these housing studies rarely to be challenged.

There are two major methods in planning the theoretical background in housing study, as

suggested by Harloe (1995). One stresses the similarities and the other emphasizes the

differences. An example of a study on the different methods is the famous Esping-Anderson’s

(1990) Welfare State Typology. In the book titled: “Three Worlds of Welfare Capitalism”, the

capitalist world is characterised into three different types of welfare systems: the liberal, the

corporate and the social-democratic regimes. In the liberal welfare-state regime, the state

constructs a safety net directed at the lowest-income population and it is carefully separated

from the free market. This is a system currently practiced in South Africa to house the lower

income groups. The other system, the corporatist, does not consider the conceding of social

rights harmful to the market mechanism. The corporatist system believes that rights are

attached to class and status, as also claimed by the Neo-Marxist scholars, but the philosophy

background is against the Marxian School of Thought. The Neo-Marxist believes that the

market mechanism controlled by the capitalist should not be the controlling factor for housing

provision. Whilst the soco-democratic system, rather than tolerate a dualism between state and

market, between working class and middle class, it pursues a welfare state that would promote

an equality of the highest standards not an equality of minimal needs as was pursued elsewhere

(Esping-Anderson, 1990). As pointed out by Brandsen (2001), the advantage of the welfare

state approach is ‘a safeguard against notions that housing systems will inevitably converge to

a single type’, which is far from the reality the global world has conceded to.

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Likewise, a typical representative of the focus on the similarities is the neo-classical scholars

that concentrate on the dynamics of the demand and the supply of housing in a market

mechanism, which most time brings about trade-offs. The supposition is the universality of the

market mechanism and the identical behaviour of its participants. This has been criticized in

various ways. As asserted by Brandsen (2001), the critiques are mainly stressing three different

points in neo-classical economics theory which are: the neglect of historical and geographical

variations, the neglect of relationships other than economic ones, and the neglect of the active

roles of the participants, which has been seen to be a more sustainable way of delivery

development that affects the citizens of a particular state. This is a major tenant of the current

study. The debate between these two groups forms the basis of the methodological background

in housing studies. Hence, the next section explores the two most dominant methodologies that

have been discussed in varied ways, which are the positivist and social constructionist

methodologies that have been adopted over time in housing studies.

4.2.2.1 Positivist Methodology

Before social scientist and housing scholars shifted to the social constructionist approach in the

1990s, housing studies were dominated by positivist thinking. Positivism Methodology brought

the trend of paying little attention to theorization. According to Jacobs and Manzi (2000), the

Positivist Methodology in the UK for instance was decisively influenced by Fabianism.

Fabianism refers to a tendency in English thinking based on the technique of empirical research

that emerged in the late nineteenth century, which is essentially non-revolutionary, pragmatic,

and rational, with a belief in government intervention and the perfectibility of the welfare state

(Marshall, 1998). This method emphasizes the scientific qualities of housing research by

verifiable quantitative methods, which it thinks will convince the decision-makers.

Consequently, this methodology has moulded the motivation and expectation attached to

housing studies over time. Jacobs and Manzi (2000) argue that for many housing scholars, their

studies are carried out principally to improve policy practice; the expectation being that new

research can apprise policy makers in their efforts to resolve social problems. Additionally,

Jacobs and Manzi (2000) explain that while the absence of an explicit theory remains a defining

characteristic of mainstream housing research, it primarily relies upon a positivist

epistemology.

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Positivist methodology was initiated from separate movements in nineteenth-century social

science and early twentieth-century philosophy (Kincaid, 1998). Fundamental positivist ideas

were that philosophy should be scientific; that metaphysical speculations are meaningless; that

there is a universal and a priori scientific method; that the main function of philosophy is to

analyse that method; that this basic scientific method is the same in both the natural and social

sciences; that the various sciences should be reducible to physics; and that the theoretical parts

of good science must be translatable into statements about observations (Kincaid, 1998). In

housing research and the philosophy of housing studies, positivism has supported the emphasis

on quantitative data and precisely formulated secondary theories.

According to Kincaid (1998), this assertion was criticized on several grounds because: the

theory/observation peculiarity is difficult to draw in any sharp way, efforts to translate

theoretical terms into observational ones often presupposed theoretical terms in the course of

describing the observational data. Also, theoretical terms can be applied in indefinite ways to

observations, and even if the theory/observation distinction could be drawn, every scientific

tests involves background theoretical assumptions, thus showing that observational evidence

has no absolute epistemic ontological status. The above criticisms have led to doubts about the

positivist idea of a unified science. Because if theoretical terms cannot and need not be reduced

to observational ones, then it seems implausible that the special sciences are reduced to physics

or that they must then be a good science. Kincaid (1998) further emphasizes that these

criticisms certainly undercut positivist doctrines in the social sciences. They have also led many

to conclude, somewhat implausibly, that any standards of good social science are merely

matters of rhetorical persuasion and social convention.

According to Wang (2004), the duty of the housing researcher within this paradigm is one of

discovering objective facts, presenting them in a descriptive format with the expectation that

policy makers will take notice and act accordingly. This ideology is what the current research

is hinged on. However, research within this pragmatic tradition achieves a level of complexity

in its analysis of social phenomena, but the primary purposes are to establish facts and to

recommend effective action once problems are acknowledged. Most housing studies have been

quantitative and problem-solving oriented over time. In turn, the positivist methodology

reinforces the ignorance of theorization in the housing study, or put another way, gives housing

study the characteristic of being conservative to the policy of the regime it is serving. Not

surprisingly, the conceptual categories used in housing research are seldom examined within

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this paradigm; instead they depend on the collection of material evidence to support policy

recommendations.

The resulting research product is often methodologically conservative (Wang, 2004.). Besides,

it is difficult to pursue new lines of research or, for that matter, to develop different

conceptualizations of the policy process. Thus, the Positivist Methodology has had an impact

on the approach used in housing research over time. Housing issue debates tend to be steered

within an agenda dominated by two competing ideologies: either policy should be formulated

to strengthen market mechanisms, or the role of the state should be extended (Jacobs & Manzi,

2000; Wang, 2004). This still remains the situation today. Because government funds are

critical to housing research, housing studies generally are mostly conducted through the

positivist methodology with a heavy reliance on quantitative survey and secondary data

analysis, which was also adopted in the current research. Despite the criticism that has been

levied on this methodology, most research on housing is based on a positivist approach either

because of its roots in policy sponsored work or in economic or psychological analysis.

4.2.2.2 Social Constructionist Methodology

Since the late 1990s, increasing attention has been given to the inadequacy of the positivist

approach. This necessitated the implementation of the Social Constructionist Methodologies in

housing research. According to Jacobs and Manzi (2000) the re-emergence of research drawing

upon social constructionist epistemologies marks an attempt to enlarge the scope of housing

studies. Hence, more and more scholars have begun to make use of the methodological insights

offered by explanations rooted in constructionism.

A constructionist epistemology proposes that an individual’s experience is an active process of

interpretation rather than a passive material apprehension of an external physical world (Jacobs

& Manzi, 2000). Social constructionism is an amalgamation of different strands of work that

have different emphasis, although they sometimes share the same fundamental assumptions. It

is not a clear unified tradition of thought with an agreed research modus operandi (Clapham,

2009). In contrast, it is a dispersed field that draws on different traditions and in which there

are many differences of approaches (Clapham, 2009). Social constructionism as an

epistemology has its origin in a number of theoretical developments (not discussed in the

current thesis).

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Jacobs and Manzi (2000) gave an in-depth account of the philosophical basis and development

of Social Constructionist Approaches in housing studies, arguing that a major claim advanced

by those adopting a social constructionist epistemology is that actors do not merely provide

descriptions of events, but are themselves constituents of wider policy discourses and conflicts.

Viewing society and social policy as malleable and subject to power struggles, constructionists

do not accept social facts as permanently ‘accomplished’. This emphasis on contestation is

important in offsetting any tendency by actors to objectify social phenomena or reify

abstractions into material realities. Social Constructionist therefore offers an altogether

different conception of reality from the one advanced by positivism, as well as a basis from

which to understand the contexts and the processes of housing. An important goal of

constructionist research is therefore to examine how certain issues become defined as

‘problem’ and to identify the collective strategies developed to confront these issues. Within a

housing context, Kemeny (2004) argued that what becomes a ‘problem’ is, to a considerable

extent, contingent on how interest groups compete with one another to gain acceptance of a

particular definition, whilst rejecting others. In this respect problems are constructed, as policy

makers attempt to establish their policy agendas in response to changing economic and social

conditions and in accordance with their own needs.

Clapham (2009) further discusses that though there are many aspects in Social Constructionism

housing research, which has largely been confined to four areas. The most popular being what

is termed the ‘social construction of social problems’. The emphasis on the ‘social construction

of social problems’ is trying to understand different definitions of social problems such as

homelessness by using investigative policy histories. Jacobs, Kemeny and Manzi (2004)

emphasized that the problems are perceived not to have ‘objective’ foundations, but are

constructed on shifting sands of public rhetoric, coalition building, interest group lobbying and

political expediency. The strength of the method is in its probing of existing ways of thinking

in policy (Clapham, 2009). One can infer that it opens the eyes of policy-makers to query

existing assumptions of policy.

The second area of social constructionist housing research is focused on interaction, but is far

less advanced than the social problems construct. For example, the work on the social

construction of housing management (Clapham, Franklin & Saugeres, 2000) has taken an

explicitly ‘interactionist’ stance. Also, what is being socially constructed through interaction is

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a relationship and an occupational role, which is a variant of the social problems tradition.

Clapham (2009) argues that it is not a social problem that is being purported but a small part

of social reality as constructed through interaction between individuals in different positions in

social space. In this way, the analysis is uniquely social constructionist in a way that other

research as epitomised in discourse analysis may not be (Clapham, 2009). The symbolic

interactionist component of social constructionism places prominence on discovery of the life-

worlds of individuals and groups and describing the world as they see and experience it

(Clapham, 2009).

The third area of social constructionist housing research methodology is in international

comparative research. The highlight of this is on how and why social problems are defined

differently in different countries. This approach has led to a questioning of theories of national

housing policy that have laid emphasis on the convergence of policy and instead suggested a

notion of continuing separation (Kemeny & Lowe, 1998). There is the general notion of

culture, that countries should retain an individual housing structure that is in agreement with

the country’s political structure and in particular the type of welfare policy pursued by the

country. This approach builds on the philosophies of Esping-Andersen (1990) who identified

what he saw as the three worlds of welfare. Most housing research has sought to place housing

within this framework and to map the relationship between housing and other elements of the

welfare state (Clapham, 2009). Haworth, Manzi and Kemeny (2004) assert that a social

constructionist approach to international comparative housing research can abate the

‘ethnocentrism inherent in much research of this kind’.

The fourth type of social constructionist research has been in developing an all-inclusive view

of the housing field. Despite this area being part of the methodology, most social

constructionist housing research has been focused on specific research topics rather than trying

to describe a social constructionist view of the housing field and its relationship to other fields.

There are many general criticisms of Social Constructionism reflecting the many other

sociological approaches. A common criticism of Social Constructionism is its relativism. King

(2004) argues that there is a fundamental contradiction at the heart of the approach, informing

that if all discourse is socially constructed and there is no such thing as objective truth, then

Social Constructionism itself is only one discourse among many and cannot claim superiority

over any other approach. Another criticism is that humans only achieve their humanity through

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social interaction. King (2004) further argues that social constructionism sees individual

subjects as empty vessels filled up through discourse. However, it should be noted that in

research associated with the meaning of home; there has been an understanding of the

importance of emotions in influencing the relationship between people and their physical

environment. Though people may have a strong emotional relationship with home, their

relationship to the physical fabric of the house is mediated through their physical

characteristics. Hence, without an understanding of the influence of embodiment on meaning,

social constructionism can offer only partial explanations. Clearly, the importance of the Social

Constructionist Methodology is that it moves forward to challenge the ‘given’ context of

previous housing studies, and tries to bring forward alternative understandings to the question.

Therefore, a housing study is no longer providing answers to given questions, but to challenge

and redefine the given question.

4.3 WHAT IS HOUSING POLICY

Anderson (2005) defined policy as a guiding principle used to set direction in an organisation.

It can be a course of action to guide and influence decisions. Policies are used as a guide to

decision making under a given set of circumstances within the framework of objectives, goals

and management philosophies as determined by management (Anderson, 2005). Likewise,

policy may also refer to the process of making important organizational decisions, including

the identification of different alternatives such as programmes or spending priorities, and

choosing among them on the basis of the impact they will have. Similarly, Jiboye (2011) states

that a policy can be understood as political, management, financial, and administrative

mechanisms arranged to reach explicit goals. Furthermore, Agbola and Alabi (2000) defined it

as a plan of action, a statement of aim and ideas. Anderson (2005) also asserts that there are

two types of policies. The first being rules: frequently used as employee policies, formulated

by the management of an organisation guiding the conduct of all employees. The second

is mini-mission statements frequently associated with procedures, which is the category the

housing policy falls into; which is a think rules versus missions. Policy is not usually used to

denote what is actually done; this is normally referred to as either procedure or protocol.

However a policy will contain the ‘what’ and the ‘why’, while, procedures or protocols contain

the ‘what’, the ‘how’, the ‘where’, and the ‘when’. Policies are generally adopted by the board

of an entity of governance within an organisation or a national state or an arm of the state.

Policies are thus well reasoned, carefully articulated and presented documents (Olatubara,

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2002).

Thus, a housing policy is a guideline provided by government through the negotiation of

various bodies in a country as put together by the government, which is intended at meeting

the housing need and demand of the people through a set of suitable approaches including

fiscal, institutional, legal and regulatory frameworks (Agbola, 1998). Housing policies

provides a guide which defines action and sets goals and in most cases specify strategies for

achieving the goal (Jiboye, 2011). It further institutes guidelines and limits for discretionary

actions by individuals liable for implementing the overall plans of action (Olatubara, 2002).

Other scholars define it as a system of courses of action, regulatory measures, laws,

and funding priorities concerning a given topic promulgated by a governmental entity or its

representatives (Kilpatrick, n.d.). According to Duruzoechi (1999) some housing policy

decisions (written or implied) prompt the overall past work of government, whilst others are

goal statements or prescriptions of elemental rules for the conduct of personal or organizational

affairs. Housing policy is fundamentally necessary in any country as a guide or control on the

various actors in the housing sector.

Furthermore, housing policy as a governmental action is generally the principled guide to

housing action taken or to be taken by the administrative or executive branches of a state with

regard to a class of issues in a manner consistent with law and institutional customs. In general,

the foundation of any housing policy is the pertinent national and subnational constitutional law

and implementing legislation. Housing policy is sometimes embodied in constitutions,

legislative acts, and judicial decisions (Schuster, 2008). The main goals of any housing policy

according to Duruzoechi (1999) and Jiboye (2011) is to achieve the best possible use of existing

housing resources in order to ensure adequate housing for the people, guide the location of new

housing, and be responsive to the housing needs of ‘special people’ such as the low-income

groups.

Housing policies are typically legislated through official written documents. Housing policy

documents often come with the endorsement or signature of the executive powers within the

country or organisation to legitimize the policy and show that it is considered enforced.

Housing policies often have standard formats that are particular to the country or organisation

issuing the policy. While such formats differ in form, housing policy documents usually contain

certain standard components including:

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1. A purpose statement, outlining why the policy is being issued, and what the desired

effect or outcome of the policy should be;

2. An applicability and scope statement, describing who the policy affects and which

actions are impacted by the policy. The applicability and scope may expressly exclude

certain people, organisations, or actions from the policy requirements. Applicability

and scope is used to focus the policy on only the desired targets, and avoid unintended

consequences where possible;

3. An effective date which indicates when the policy comes into force, however,

retroactive policies are rare, but can be found;

4. A responsibilities section, indicating which parties and organisations are responsible

for carrying out individual policy statements. Some policies may necessitate the

formation of new institutions or functions or actions to effectively execute the goals;

5. Policy statements showing the specific regulations, requirements, or modifications to

organizational behaviour that the policy is creating. Policy statements are extremely

diverse depending on the nation state or organisation and intent, and may take almost

any form;

6. Background, indicating any reasons, history, and intent that led to the creation of the

policy, which may be listed as motivating factors. This information is often quite

valuable when policies must be evaluated or used in a confusing situation; and

7. Definitions, providing clear and unambiguous definitions for terms and concepts found

in the policy document.

All housing policies usually have a cycle. A housing policy cycle is a system used for the

evaluation of the development of a policy item. The policy cycle is also referred to as a ‘stagist

approach’. A typical housing policy cycle includes the following stages: Agenda Setting

(Problem identification); Policy Formulation; Adoption of the policy; Implementation; and

Evaluation of the policy.

However, an eight step policy cycle approach as developed by Althaus, Bridgman and Davis

(2007) includes the following: issue identification; policy analysis; policy instrument

development; consultation (which permeates the entire process); coordination; decision;

implementation; evaluation of the policy. Policy cycles are usually considered as adopting a

classical approach. Hence some postmodern academics challenge cyclical models as

unresponsive and unrealistic, preferring systemic and more complex models (Young &

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Enrique, 2009). Young and Enrique (2009) consider a broader range of actors involved in the

policy space that includes civil society organisations, the media, intellectuals, think

tanks or policy research institutes, corporations, lobbyists, amongst others. Housing policy

addresses the intent of the state or any organisation, whether government, business,

professional, or voluntary. It is intended to affect the ‘real’ world, by guiding the decisions that

are made. Whether they are formally written or not, most organisations and national states have

identified and formulated policies in almost all relevant aspects of the economy such as the

housing sector.

4.4 THE EVOLUTION OF HOUSING POLICY FRAMEWORK

Whilst there is no universally established definition of housing policy as observed from the

previous section, however, there are two established views of what housing policies need to

be. Malpass and Murie (1999) highlighted these two viewpoints as the static view and the

dynamic views. The first is associated with how things are done as a matter of routine,

characterised by general rules and conventions governing practice. It reflects recognised

positions on housing topics. This is very significant in many African countries, where there are

no specific policy documents, although the practice has changed in some countries, yet there

are entrenched practices in housing. The vigorous view of policy tends to be more prevalent

where there is overt action to resolve a housing problem. Malpass and Murie (1999) further

informs that this implies specific actions, relating to a problem defined in a specific way, in

pursuit of some objectives. This view of policy involves change, towards some end and also

needs a policy process. The policy process includes: problem formulation, planning, execution

and evaluation (Malpass & Murie, 1999). However, most of the housing policy formulated in

African countries either end up not being implemented or when they are implemented, they are

never evaluated. This present study is on the evaluation of the South African housing subsidy

delivery system and to profile solution towards the variables that are considered essentials in

the creation of sustainable and habitable human settlements.

Globally, housing policies have been used as an attempt to try and address housing problems,

especially with respect to the low-income earners, with the view of helping them access better

housing (Harris & Giles, 2003; Mukiibi, 2011). The evolution of housing policy in developing

countries has been studied and identified in different ways. According to Harris and Giles

(2003) the following phases have been identified by scholars as a definite time lag in the

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evolution of housing policy: the period of public housing provision (1945-1960s); sites-and-

services (1972-1980s) and market enabling (1980s – present). However, Harris and Giles

(2003) further claim that this grouping is based on the policy recommendations that

international agencies recommended and focusses less on policies that nations pursued, as can

be seen from the current adoption of the Cities Without Slum Agenda and the Millennium

Development Goals (MDG) by developing countries. In each period, scholars have supposed

that the policies adopted by national governments in the developing world matched the

recommendations of international agencies. Harris and Giles (2003) also claim that the

assumption by the various researchers was based on ‘meager evidence’ and is challenged by

the earlier statements made by informed observers. For instance, it was observed that about 40

years ago the UN’s Bureau of Social Affairs observed that several countries in Latin America

had been providing public housing regardless of the UN’s preference for self-help (Harris &

Giles, 2003).

The established world organisations such as the UN and the World Bank, amongst others,

began to influence the housing policy agenda of nations in the developing world after World

War II. The most significant amongst these organisations were national agencies of the United

States and United Kingdom, inclusive of the United Nations.

Housing Policy Framework for planning about development has changed in important ways

over the last three decades. According to UN-Habitat (2006), the initial planning concepts of

the top-down strategies have gradually given way to the market and people-based solutions,

process approaches, and strong emphasis is repeatedly being placed on building capacities and

institutions through the policy. Thus, current housing policies of nations of the world have been

influenced by these dynamics. Table 4.1 shows a summary of housing policy developments

since the 1960s. The early focus of housing policy framework was on physical planning and

public housing, which quickly gave way, first to ‘self-help’ housing projects, which was used

to service the middle income households. This proved to be an unsustainable option over time

to address the needs of the poor due to the high subsidies that were involved. This later evolved

into the ‘enabling approach’ which concentrated on maximizing the contributions of all the

stakeholders in housing production within a supportive legal and regulatory framework

(Erguden, 2001; UN-Habitat, 2006).

However, in reality, the evolution of housing policy is never so neat nor linear as this, and there

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are always instances of which agencies or governments seek to return to ways of doing things,

which have long-been discredited. This is principally the case where there is political pressure

to show quick results through, for instance, large-scale evictions of squatters or construction of

public or subsidised private housing (UN-Habitat, 2006). For instance, the Botshabelo Accord

of 1994 in South Africa, which sought support for the construction of one million housing units

each year through the commercial private sector is a good example. However, due to lack of

resources and neglect in policy to utilize rental housing alternatives which could mobilize

private capital, a mere ten per cent were actually built and none went to the poor (Bolnick,

1996) in the first two years; but the initial projection has since been exceeded.

Table 4.1: The Evolution of Housing Policy

Phase and

Approximate

Dates

Focus of Attention Major Instruments Used Key Documents

Modernization

and urban

growth: 1960s-

early 1970s

Physical planning and

production of shelter

by public agencies

Blueprint planning: direct

construction (apartment

blocks, core houses);

eradication of informal

settlements

Redistribution

with

Growth/Basic

Needs: mid

1970s-mid

1980s

State support to self-

help ownership on a

project-by-project

basis

Recognition of informal

sector; squatter upgrading

and sites-and-services;

subsidies to land and

housing;

Vancouver Declaration (Habitat I. 1976);

Shelter, Poverty and Basic Needs (World

Bank, 1980); World Bank evaluations of

sites-and-services (1981-83); UNICEF

Urban Basic Services

The Enabling

Approach/

Urban

Management

late 1980s-early

1990s

Securing an enabling

framework for action

by people, the private

sector and markets

Public/private partnership;

community participation;

land assembly and housing

finance; capacity-building

Global Shelter Strategy to the Year 2000

(1988); Urban Policy and Economic

Development (World Bank 1991); Cities,

Poverty and people (UNDP, 1991);

Agenda 21 (1992); Enabling Housing

Markets to Work (World Bank, 1993)

Sustainable

Urban

Development

mid 1990s

onwards

Holistic planning to

balance efficiency,

equity and

sustainability

As above, with more

emphasis on

environmental

management and poverty-

alleviation

Sustainable Human Settlements

Development: Implementing Agenda 21

(UNCHS, 1994)

HABITAT II:

1996

"Adequate shelter for

all" and "Sustainable

human settlements

development"

Culmination and

integration of all previous

policy improvements

The Habitat Agenda;

Global Report on Human Settlements

(UNCHS, 1996)

Istanbul+5 Review of the Renew commitments and Declaration on cities and other human Process and the

Implementation of seek/device more effective settlements in the new millennium(GA, Review and the Habitat

Agenda strategies 2001),Cities in a globalizing world, The Appraisal of GA state of the world’s cities (UNCHS,

2001) 2001

Source: UNCHS, 1995, pp15 and expansion to include Istanbul+5

In spite of the evolution, there is a common agreement today on the enabling approach in the

formulation of housing policy. However, UN-Habitat (2006) argues that changes continue to

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show up between scholars who place more faith in markets to deliver both efficiency and equity

goals, and those who emphasize sustainable human development as an agenda within which

markets must be carefully managed. On the other hand, capacity-building for a developed urban

management, institutional reform especially in the public sector, and ‘local ownership’ over

policy decisions have significance in both approaches (Erguden, 2001). Both systems have also

identified the key roles of NGOs and other civil society groups in the housing process both as

care givers and in other roles, such as community participation and support; and both place

gender equity and other issues-of difference at the centre of policy choices (UN-Habitat, 2006).

4.5 FORMS OF HOUSING POLICY

Forms of housing provision can be defined by the processes through which such provision is

achieved. A useful systematic tool for identifying and examining these processes is the concept

of structures of provision which is based on the identification of social relations and

interactions of agents involved in all aspects of housing provision, such as, production,

exchange and consumption (Ball & Harloe, 1992; Healey & Barret, 1990). However, there are

a limited number of ways in which the governments can act to improve housing conditions,

especially for the low income and disadvantaged households universally. However, at times

governments can build (provide) housing inexpensively, usually for rent. They can help

households build their own homes, through the subsidization of materials and other help where

most needed; or they can try to make the housing market more efficient by delivering affordable

homes.

In any major city, there are many forms of housing stock through which people seek shelter.

For example, the forms in operation in South Africa, include private sector-produced housing,

catering to a range of income groups; public sector housing of various forms, frequently

housing more than one family; shacks in areas, which are both ‘legal’ and ‘illegal’; garages;

backyard shacks in formal housing areas; shacks in the relatively undeveloped landscape;

single quarter migrant hostels etc. Nevertheless, three main forms of housing policy exist

universally. They are: Public housing; Aided self-help; and Enabling the building industry

(popularly refer to as market enabling- a World Bank sponsored approach). In the next section,

these forms of housing provision mechanisms will be discussed briefly.

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4.5.1 Public Housing

Public housing is a form of housing tenure in which the property is financed and owned by a

government authority, which may be central or local and operated by public housing

authorities, for low-income families and for elderly and handicapped individuals. For example,

in China, the government provides public housing through various sources, such as new

housing, abandoned properties, and old flats which are rented at a very low price called ‘low-

rent house’ or ‘low-rent housing’. Also, in Hong Kong, the government offers public housing

through flats, which are rented at a lower price than the markets, and through the Home

Ownership Scheme, which are sold at a lower price to the public, with a special emphasis on

the low-income earners. The houses are built and managed by the Hong Kong Housing

Authority and the Hong Kong Housing Society (Hong Kong Census and Statistics Department,

2006).

Public housing was established to provide decent, safe and affordable rental housing for

eligible low-income families, which would otherwise occupy housing units of very reduced

quality. This is supported by the notion that housing carries several positive externalities, for

example that housing affects children depending on the quality of the housing unit. It comes in

all sizes and types, from scattered single family houses to high-rise apartments for low-income

and elderly families. According to Leigh and Mitchell (1980), the public housing aim is not

only the provision of housing for low-income families but also for stimulating the economy

through the construction and finance sectors. In addition, Harris and Giles (2003) argues that

publicly sponsored construction, offered governments a means of nurturing a local building

industry, providing on-the-job training in the handling of modern construction materials and

methods. They further contended that public projects are effective vehicles for consolidating

political support, which is obvious in the South African low-income housing setting. The

medium makes it possible for governments to reward followers, whether by the judicious

allocation of building contracts and jobs, or through the allocation of constructed housing units.

Public Housing is named differently in different countries. In the United Kingdom it is often

referred to by the British public as ‘council housing’ and ‘council estate’, based on the historical

role of district and borough councils in running public housing. In Sweden, it is called the

Million Programme a term for an ambitious housing programme executed in Sweden between

1965 and 1974 with the aim of building one million new dwellings in ten years. In Canada,

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public housing is usually a block of purpose-built subsidised housing operated by government

agencies, which are often referred to as projects or community housing. While in South Africa,

it was initially referred to as the Reconstruction and Development Programme Housing (RDP),

a major policy document developed by the pro-apartheid government in 1994 to bridge the

inequity that trailed during the apartheid government. It is now known as Breaking New

Ground (BNG) housing, named after the revision of the 1994 version of the Housing Act. The

provision of the housing is based on different programmes as directed by the National Housing

Policy. The present study is based on the residential satisfaction of the occupants that inhabit

these public houses. There are several methods of developing public housing, of which the

peculiarities of the system are mostly country specific and to a large extent determines if the

occupants’ will be satisfied with the houses received. For instance, Leigh and Mitchell (1980)

inform that in the US, four systems are mostly in use, which are: conventional method; the

turnkey method; a nonconventional means of acquisition of existing units; and Leasing. Whilst

in South Africa, there are different systems, which will be elaborately discussed in Chapter 6

of this thesis.

The United States was the first country to have an established public housing sector, with the

introduction in 1937 through the Housing Act also known as Wagner-Steagall Act. Since public

housing is limited, government all over the world usually set eligibility standard based on the

following: annual gross income; whether you qualify as elderly, a person with a disability, or

as a family; citizenship or eligible immigration status of the particular country. When the

eligibility statuses are met, the administration also check applicant’s background to make sure

that they will be good tenants in the rental option and in the non-rental option, the applicant

must have been on the waiting list, of which the names of all eligible persons are kept.

In general, occupants can stay in public housing as long as they comply with the lease in the

rental option. While with the other option of outright ownership without any contributions as

operated in South Africa, occupants are given ownership once the houses are allocated to them.

However, in some other countries, like the US, at the re-examination of a family's income, if

found that the income is sufficient to obtain housing on the private market, the Housing

Authority may determine whether the family should stay in public housing or not. However,

no occupant is required to move unless there is affordable housing available on the private

market (Leigh & Mitchell, 1980).

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However, this system of housing provision is not sustainable to the government of nations

because of the numerous limitations that were encountered. A major problem with public

housing delivery is its cost to the state. Also, there is the problem of the lack of skills and

resources to handle the production rate. As a result of this, international agencies and various

countries that had adopted the form of housing provision, soon concluded that public housing

could not solve the housing problem (Harris & Giles, 2003). Hence, Atkinson (1960) concludes

that public housing is not a solution to the general housing problem. However, Harris and Giles

(203) assert that an International Labour Organisation (ILO) study claimed that public housing

was fine ‘in principle’ but that high costs often make it a ‘low priority’ to government of certain

nations.

4.5.2 Aided Self-help

The term aided self-help was coined in about 1948 by Jacob Crane as a result of the limitations

that surrounded the public housing provision. Aided self-help housing generally revolves

around the idea that governments might help families to build their own homes (Harris, 1998).

After 1945, aided self-help housing was propagated by agencies of the United States, in the

first place by Jacob Crane and later by the United Nations and the British colonial office.

However, Crane (1949) used the expression ‘aided self-help’ for the first time in 1945, and

linked it at first with rural projects and equal to ‘minimum urbanization’. Crane (1949) claims

that the government can build very few excellent houses which will actually accomplish almost

nothing as measured against the problem; or undertaking an ‘aided self-help’ programme. Early

advocates of self-help apart from Jacob Crane are Abrams, Mangin and Turner who mostly had

positive views on the families’ power to build the house through self-help. Self-help provides

household with a medium of upward mobility (Bredenoord, 2010). Initial experiences with

aided self-help housing took place mostly in Western countries and were based on the notion

that governments should assist families to build their own dwellings. Throughout the

developing world, millions have been building their own homes, where they have title to land

without government aid. Generally, the people’s power to construct their homes with or without

assistance happens almost everywhere in the world especially in the developing countries.

Aided self-help housing was practiced in South Africa, before World War I. A site-and-service

scheme with plots and services was first developed at Pimville in existing Soweto near

Johannesburg. The ‘sites and services approach’ was later revitalized after World War II in

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South Africa. Massive land invasions and squatting during the 1940s obliged the city of

Johannesburg to convert many into controlled site and service camps (Harris, 1998). However,

after the abolishment of the Apartheid rule, self-help was later replaced with the People

Housing Process (PHP), which has now been enhanced to address limitations that were

observed in the first twelve years of implementation. Aided self-help housing is usually

implemented to help alleviate housing problems at minimum costs. According to Bredenoord

(2010) aided self-help housing was above all liberal, having a social component, but

predominantly perceived in contrast to public housing.

Bredenoord (2010) informs that the ‘aid’ or ‘assistance’ is usually referred to as: land for

construction, urban services, knowledge-development and the option to construct a house step-

by-step which is also called the ‘incremental’ housing process. However, the scarcity of land

and the increasing land prices make sites-and-services projects relatively hard to develop. For

instance: where can suitable and sufficient land b found to be divided into parcels and to be

sold or allocated for self-help housing? Another concern is how to improve individual houses

and even whole neighbourhoods without constraints? Moreover, the growing demand for new

urban land is causing financial and organizational difficulties for local governments, which

necessitated some countries to formulate urban land laws. A major feature of self-help is the

freedom a shelter offers; if it was constructed without using loans, the responsibility to pay-off

every month is restricted or even zero, which is the best for poor and disadvantaged families.

Self-help is usually linked to informality, since the possibility of realising a mass public

housing system is difficult with all the limitations. Also, because the customary housing sector

cannot provide enough dwellings for the low-income groups, most have to resort to the

informal housing market, where the self-help principle is a significant feature (Bredenoord,

2010). However, self-help housing is present almost everywhere, in formal as well as informal

developments, except in countries that have shown a strong economic development and where

large scale or industrial development is adopted. In real life self-help housing is present: it

happens on a larger scale and is unavoidable for many in developing countries where there is

little or no support from the government, despite the criticism and constraints.

The advantages that comes with the aided self-help housing are: it costs much less than public

housing; it stimulates owner-occupancy, which many believed would boost social stability,

give people pride in their homes and a stake in the society, whilst encouraging savings and

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investment (Harris & Giles, 2003). furthermore, it is a way of assuring residential satisfaction

since occupants are involved in the construction and will accepted any defect since it came

from them, compared to the allocation of public housing that has already been constructed.

During the implementation stage of the aided self-help housing form, owner-builders use

methods and materials with which they are familiar, unless obliged to do otherwise. Owner-

builders produce homes that most experts’ regards as temporary and that some judged as

substandard. Critics of this housing forms charged that self-help produced instant slums.

Hence, Ward (1982) argues that self-help housing failed to become a significant housing

solution in most countries of the South because of this limitation. Also, Burgess (1982) claims

that there are six constraints of self-help housing and Marcuse (1992) even claimed they were

ten. With time, it became clear that the vision and the power of self-help cannot be over-

valuated (Bredenoord, 2010). Other opponents further argued that the process of learning with

self-help would be ineffective and that most families can only master the process, when they

have almost completed the house (UN-Habitat, 2005). However, families having some

experience with initial self-help housing, have a better chance of managing construction related

work. It is obvious that the disabled, single-parent households and elderly people cannot

participate, except getting help from others. A good condition for the success of self-help is if

people with the same attitude take the initiative and receive added help from the government

or support organisations. Another problem of self-help housing is that the initial target group

is not always fully serviced, since aided self-help housing increases and becomes more

exclusive.

UN-Habitat (2005) asserts that self-help housing is the most affordable and intelligent way of

providing sustainable shelter. Because it is based on minimum standards and incorporates a

substantive amount of ‘sweat’ equity and can be cost-reducing. Also, it can be useful because

individuals and communities engaged in it, acquire valuable skills, and it can be practical

because it answers to people’s needs and levels of affordability.

4.5.3 Market Enabling Strategy

Housing provision can also be promoted by helping the building industry to become more

efficient at providing decent and affordable housing. Harris and Giles (2003) state that this

strategy may involve the provision of better building materials and methods; the training of

tradesmen and entrepreneurs; assistance to small savings and mortgage lending institutions;

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and efforts to guarantee secure tenure. The form of housing provision through the private

market mechanism has been on the agenda of housing studies since the mid-1970s (World

Bank, 1975). Throughout the 1980s, through the recommendations of scholars and housing

practitioners, there was an almost universal acceptance of reducing the role of the government

in direct provisory roles in the economy and increased reliance on the private sector (World

Bank, 1988). In different capacities, most countries irrespective of ideology, political structures

or levels of development have pursued this policy (Keivani & Werna, 2001; World Bank,

1988). Subsequently, the extension of the role of the private market in the provision of housing

has become increasingly the focus of attention.

This strategy was particularly promoted by the World Bank and its associated writers during

the 1980s who developed an enabling strategy for public sector support of private market

activity in housing provision particularly in developing countries (World Bank, 1988). The

World Bank (1984) paper on ‘Housing and Financial Institutions in Developing Countries’

policy document set the tone for this strategy universally. The document lay emphasis on the

need for developing countries governments to encourage financial innovation in the

provision of housing finance to households on a financially viable basis, as far up as the

upper level of the informal sector and to develop specific programmes for the lower

income households, who could still contemplate some form of house ownership with the

major focus centered on urban infrastructure and services (World Bank 1984). These

concerns were taken over by the Vienna Recommendations in 1986, and from there key words

like ‘enabling environments’, ‘co-operation’, ‘efficacy’ and ‘financial sustainability’ were

developed. The responsibility of governments was to shift from being a housing provider to

policy ‘enabler’ in order to incorporate shelter as an integral part of the national macro-

economic plans. By the late 1980s, this form of housing delivery was widely promoted as the

‘enabling strategy’ (World Bank, 1993). Harris and Giles (2003) state that the strategy was new

to the housing delivery sector with the notion that a bundle of measures might be defined as a

coherent strategy. Taken individually, however, many of the interventions themselves were

not, and neither was the underlying assumption that governments should help the market work

its ‘magic’ (Harris & Giles, 2003).

The ‘Market Enabling Strategy’ approach meant that housing provision policies were to

become self-sustainable, and therefore all participants involved in the process should

interact, co-ordinate, re-organize and revise their roles towards the new approach (Duran,

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1995). The role of communities in the decision making process was emphasized so that they

could determine their own set of priorities and the pace and extent of the development process.

Likewise, at the national level, the government’s role is to lean towards policy-making and

institutional support, which is aimed at concentrating on the highest priority needs, while the

private sector is to play a leading role.

Although the need for recognizing the importance of supporting and encouraging the

construction sector has been recognised by many developing countries, few questions have

been asked about its implications upon the poor, who create the biggest demand for

houses in many developing countries. This policy could leave the poor completely dependent

on the success or failure of the free market and the private sector. This is because the approach

encourages governments to ‘enable’ the housing market to work but they also propose the

gradual abolition of subsidies (Duran, 1995). The ability of a free market economy to provide

cheap housing with reasonable profit margins remains to be proven. For instance, in South

Africa, subsidies are the only means available for the lower income sector to acquire housing

as a result of the socio-economic problem facing the lower-income groups. This approach of

the enabling strategy, however, has been subject to much argument and criticized for its over-

concentration on the private markets and rejection of alternative/complementary modes of

housing provision from serious policy consideration (Keivani & Werna, 2001). While private

markets can and should be supported they cannot form the attention of the enabling strategy in

most developing countries. As an alternative, a comprehensive approach to enabling strategies

which combines adjustments to overall supply and demand conditions with the identification

and inclusion of different modes and agents of housing provision in a holistic integrated policy

will better serve the dire need of housing provision in the under-developed and developing

countries of the world and most especially to the low-income group and the disadvantaged.

4.6 OBJECTIVES OF HOUSING POLICY

It is impossible to put emphasis on the importance of creating a housing policy that will provide

a framework for affordable and decent living environments for all people. As discussed

previously, housing impacts on almost all dimensions of an individual and the family’s life.

Dewar (1996) claims that from a societal approach, widespread conditions of inadequate

housing contribute considerably to social instability, as witnessed by the ‘tragic violence in

South African black townships, and to general the attitudes of despair and de-socialization’.

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A major feature that makes the issue of housing multifaceted is that ‘housing’ does not simply

relate to the provision of shelter. This is because; in obtaining shelter the individual gains access

to a number of different products. Dewar (1996) asserts housing has the potential to contribute

to an improved quality of life and this should direct the formulation of a housing policy. Most

countries universally set their housing policy objectives based on the current housing situation

prevalent in the economy at that time. Thus, there is no country with the same wordings of

housing policy objectives, but each has unique features that most times follow in the same line

of thinking as proposed by the international housing agencies responsible for monitoring of

shelter provision. However, the main products associated with a housing policy decision, and

the objectives which should be associated with them in an idea situation are access to land,

access to a good habitable socio-economic location, access to adequate services, access to

adequate shelter and access to an adequate external, social and physical environment. All of

the factors have some relevance in any housing policy formulation and do not represent a

sequential list of priorities, which must be satisfied on a one-to-one basis, but all must be

present to some degree or other for any housing policy to succeed, which is the reason for its

formulation. If all are present, and all of the objectives satisfied, the situation would be optimal.

Dewar (1996), state that it is obvious that the decisions facing individuals in the arena of

housing are intricate and priorities will vary widely with individual circumstances. It follows

from this that no single ideal approach or package exists and that centralized, external agencies

cannot decide on priorities. The clear implication is that more individuals can determine their

own priorities, the better the situation and the greater the range of choices available to people,

the more they are assisted. Thus, it should be recognised that housing policy objectives require

a framework which locates the housing issue within its broader urban context - a framework of

broader issues, which should inform the direction of housing policy in the specific context of

any country.

4.7 THE PURPOSE OF HOUSING POLICY

The effectiveness of a housing policy is about the ability of the policy to achieve its purposes.

The effectiveness of a housing policy, therefore, cannot be judged in isolation from what it is

expected to do. It would be completely wrong to design a new housing policy or to propose

changes to an existing policy or to implement a housing policy without a clear view about the

purpose of the housing policy (new or revised). This should logically be examined within the

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context of the overall purpose of housing policy and the place of the entities overall goal within

the policy. Hence, the primary purpose of any housing policy should be to provide the whole

population adequate and secure housing for all by unblocking and unleashing all potential

energies and resources, from a wide variety of sources, which can play a role in improving

living conditions. Possible but not exhaustive lists of housing policy purposes according to

Oxley (2009) are:

1. help low income groups access decent housing;

2. help low income households have adequate post housing expenditure incomes;

3. improve the quality of housing consumed by low income groups;

4. increase housing choices for households with unmet housing needs;

5. increase the supply of housing in the society;

6. improve the quality of urban neighbourhoods;

7. improve the functioning of urban labour markets;

8. promote community cohesion;

9. improve the functioning of the macro-economy; and

10. promote environmental sustainability.

In most nations of the world, housing policies are becoming increasingly integrated with a wide

range of social and economic objectives, which mean that housing policy is reaching further

down the list above than was the case in past decades. A housing policy that has broad goals is

much more multifaceted than one that solely emphases on housing low income groups (Oxley,

2009). Therefore, any finance and other economic systems that will enhance the actualization

of the policy must be compatible with the goals of policy in the given country. When housing

policy focusses on the purpose of helping low income and disadvantaged groups to access

decent housing, the setting of the appropriate standards for decent housing is a key element in

the success of the policy. Hence, meeting housing needs for decent housing in that particular

context will mean that governments will have to have policies that will bridge the gap between

what is needed and what is demanded. If the standards of decent housing are set too high and

what is needed is too great, housing policies will be extremely expensive. It has been argued

that setting standards at inappropriate levels has been one of the failures of policies in

developing countries (Habitat, 1994, UN-Habitat, 2009).

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4.8 HOUSING POLICY INSTRUMENTS

Housing policy instruments may be defined as the set of techniques by which governmental

authorities wield their power in attempting to ensure support and effect or prevent (Vedung,

1998) the provision of affordable housing to the citizens. Over time, ranges of housing policy

instruments have been developed to respond to policy imperatives of housing delivery.

However, most times, it is not anticipated that any instrument will be discontinued or

terminated, but when the instrument can no longer meet the need it was designed for, they are

usually discontinued, modified or terminated. Rationally, most existing instruments that are

not meeting the policy goals are sometimes supplemented by additional instruments to provide

flexible solutions to demand-side needs. No one singular policy instrument has been found to

fulfill the housing policy goals of a nation’s housing policy. Most housing arrangements

include a mix of conditional subject and conditional object subsidies (Oxley, 2009). When

housing problems are regarded as demand side affordability problems, the greater is the

preference to use conditional subject subsidies (Oxley, 2009). Likewise, the more the emphasis

is on supply side housing shortage problems, the greater the emphasis is likely to be on

conditional object subsidies. Although housing finance systems can support housing suppliers

directly by means of conditional object subsidies, they can also support suppliers indirectly by

conditional subject subsidies that underpin the rental revenue stream (Oxley, 2009).

A fundamental mix of housing policy instruments aimed at securing greater provision of

housing stock ranges from: rent regulation; allocation and rental policies in current social

housing; support for the construction of new social flats provided by municipalities or non-

profit housing associations; housing allowances; tax relief and interest subsidies for ownership

housing; and housing subsidies for special social groups in the society etc. According to Lux

(2003), social housing represent the subsidies aimed at decreasing the cost of housing, whilst

housing allowance represents the subsidies aimed at increasing income of households from the

pillars of public housing policies in most countries housing policy instrument. Oxley (2007)

informs that housing allowances are sometimes regarded as demand-side subsidies and social

housing as a set of arrangements that involve supply-side subsidies. Oxley (2007) further

argues that, given that they go to individuals, the demand-side subsidies are also termed subject

subsidies and the supply-side subsidies, given that they support buildings, are termed object

subsidies. However, there are, in practice, very few examples of either pure subject or pure

object subsidies. Pure subject subsidies represent income supplements with no housing-related

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conditions attached, where households would be able to spend the additional resources on

whatever they wished. Pure object subsidies are used to build new dwellings without any

conditions about who occupied the dwellings and how they were priced (Oxley, 2007).

There are many variants of conditional subject subsidies and conditional object subsidies found

throughout the world. It is the conditions that make them unique in any set of environments

and is the conditions that make them successful or not successful. According to Galster (1997),

it is ultimately the conditions, how they are used and what effects they have, that is at the

essence of the choice of policy instruments. For instance, one housing allowance system with

one set of conditions is very different from another with another set of conditions. The

conditions attached to housing allowances usually include considerations of the size of the

household, household income, and housing costs (Galster, 1997; Oxley, 2007). There may also

be conditions associated with the size and quality of the housing occupied, which is mostly

determined by the allocated amount of finances for each respective building. The relationship

between the amount received and these items can vary within a country. There are thus

occasionally locational elements to the conditions. The conditions also specify who gets the

resources; the household or the housing supplier. The application of the conditions turn what

is superficially termed a demand-side subsidy into a measure with important supply-side

features. The conditions usually have substantial influences on the way that housing allowances

affect housing quality and quantity.

Most times, new housing policy instruments tend to focus attention on sectors which have been

previously neglected. These instruments are inclined to place greater emphasis on flexibility

and responsiveness to local circumstances particularly the physical context within which

housing is to be delivered. This usually is a natural consequence of an increased focus on the

development of sustainable human settlements as opposed to the delivery of

‘commoditized housing units’ (Breaking New Ground, 2004). For example, in South Africa,

there is consequently a greater emphasis on the process of housing delivery emphasizing

planning and engagement, the quality of the housing product both in terms of location but also

in terms of final housing form and the long-term sustainability of the housing environment

leading to a focus on institutional capacity, which were observed as the problems with housing

delivery in the first decade of applying different housing policy delivery instruments when the

new housing policy was formulated in 1994. Nevertheless, there is no explicitly ‘best’ housing

policy instrument in all circumstances. Every policy instrument has its own comparative

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advantages to a degree as determined by the particular country housing market context and by

the goals of the particular housing policy.

4.9 CONCLUSION

This chapter has outlined a number of issues upon which housing research studies should rest.

Housing by its nature is multifaceted as observed from the literature. It consumes natural

resources and produces impact on the natural environment. It constitutes a major economic

activity and impacts on the general economy. It is an important component of social

development and quality of life. It is often used by government to achieve political and

economic end. It is also a cultural attribute, manifesting the aesthetic value and the way of life

of man in his particular setting. Thus, a holistic perspective of housing studies is therefore

needed if we wish to chart the future of housing development. Although housing research has

tended not to engage with the theoretical debates about methods and focus. Rather research has

either been based on the general shared assumption or the analysis has been based on one

particular approach. The most important point to stress in conclusion is that the central

objective of housing policy must be the stimulation of environments which give dignity to

people’s lives. It is not simply the provision of shelter. Against this criterion, the record of

housing policy and implementation in South Africa in recent decades has been really poor.

Thousands of millions of Rands have been spent on housing development but the environments

which have resulted are almost unfailingly sterile, monotonous, hostile and inconvenient. In

order for the money spent not to be wasted, there is a need to evaluate the residential satisfaction

of the housing occupants so that errors made can be corrected for future development. A narrow

focus on the individual housing unit and the provision of shelter, which is the prevalent

disposition, gives rise to a particular mind-set and approach which ensures the generation of

poorly-performing, sterile environments. Significant improvement demands a paradigm shift-

a shift which places not the individual unit but collective spaces, institutions and facilities at

the centre of ‘housing research’. The next chapter will focus on the review of literature in

developing countries, with special emphasis on two West African States, namely Nigeria and

Ghana.

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CHAPTER FIVE

HOUSING IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES – AN AFRICAN

EXPERIENCE

5.1 INTRODUCTION

Provision of adequate housing is one of the major challenges faced by most African countries.

In this chapter, housing policies and other housing issues in the African countries of Ghana and

Nigeria will be discussed. The roles played by the different bodies such as government, non-

governmental organisations in the provision of housing will be looked at. This is because in

most West Africa countries like Nigeria and Ghana, the ownership of affordable good quality

housing has been a problem. This justifies serious public and private sector intervention

(Cudjoe, 2010). Unlike South Africa, most African countries have refused to include the right

to housing in their national constitution, knowing all too well the role of housing in national

development. This chapter sets out a background review on housing in developing countries

and a summary of the lessons learnt to date from the literature presented.

5.2 HOUSING IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES

The need to provide adequate, suitable and equitable housing has remained a major priority of

every government in the developing world. Hitherto, since the problem of housing is complex

and pressing, no developing nation has been able to provide adequate housing of an acceptable

standard for all its citizens. Besides, it is worth noting that the minimum housing standard

differs from one country to another, depending on geographic and economic conditions. The

United Nations, recognizing the seriousness of the housing problem, declared 1987 as the

International Year of Shelter for the homeless. This was in recognition of the fact that there are

no encouraging signs that the housing problem for the world’s population in the developing

world would be solved soon.

Housing is usually regarded as the most valuable asset for all people in the developed world

and most especially in the developing countries. However, some scholars have advanced the

argument that it is incorrect to assume that housing is a priority for everyone (Alder, 2002;

Chambers, 1995) not even in the developing countries. Housing has tremendous social and

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economic impact on the total living environment of the world. It has direct and immediate

influence on health, education, economy, environment, political and social life of any society

(Sinha, 1978). However, a significant number of people in the developing countries tend to

prioritizes housing as their most urgent need. It must however be acknowledged that income

generation or livelihood is usually the highest priority for people in developing countries

(Skinner 1989), but often that is linked to housing, the house being also a workplace in many

developing countries. Thus, homeownership assumes high priority and offers home-based

subsistence livelihood activities (Ahmed, 2011). But the shortage of housing in developing

countries most especially for people of low-income groups has been termed a problem of

‘colossal magnitude’ according to Alaghbari, Salim and Ali (2010). The extent of the housing

needs of the populace in these countries rises phenomenally by the day on account of rapid

population growth and urbanization occurring in these countries, and the lack of a

commensurate increase in housing stock (Olotuah, 2006). In many developing countries, urban

housing crisis is growing relentlessly even though a number of new policies, programmes and

strategies are being engaged by the public and private sectors in addressing this problem (Ibem,

Anosike & Azuh, 2011). The governments of the developing countries have recognized that

the bulk of those in dire need of housing are in the low income categories and that some require

special housing programmes to be able to live in decent housing, outside of the programmes

currently in place.

In developing countries, the low-and moderate-income majority build their own homes

incrementally over a period of five to 15 years, largely without the support of formal-sector,

private and public institutions (Ferguson, 2001). Ferguson (2001) further states that, the term

‘housing’ in the developing countries is used as a verb because households must actively

perform most of the tasks to gain access to land and construct adequate shelter during a longer

time period, regardless of the many interventions that have sprung up in most developing

countries. Whereas, the term ‘housing’ has become a noun in the high-income industrialized

countries, because it is a product delivered mainly by a sophisticated network of private firms

and public institutions. Most developing countries lack social safety nets of all kinds as reported

in most literature. The low-and moderate-income households constitute a greater majority in

these countries, which live in a world of few windfalls and many lay-offs from jobs and income

changes, disease, and other events (Ferguson, 2001). In developing countries, a home of one’s

own represents a precious refuge. Indeed, literature on housing in developing countries often

shows that housing ranks above education and health services as a priority. Thus, households

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in developing countries value homeownership more than households in advanced industrialized

countries. In fact, in most developing nations when a family does not have a house they can

call their own, that family is regarded as the poorest of the poor.

However, acquiring access to a home and to the components that comprise housing and housing

policy- land and property rights, building materials, basic services, regulations, subsidies, and

credit- are extraordinarily difficult for most households in developing countries (Angel, 2000).

Poor land records and dysfunctional legal systems and regulatory bodies typically cloud

ownership rights for a large number of households (Ferguson, 2001). De Soto (2000) claims

that investment in housing in developing countries has been severely hindered by regulation,

and that investment in informal housing has been further slowed down by confusing property

rights, and that titling land with ambiguous property rights will sharply stimulate investment

in low- and middle-income housing. De Soto (2000) was quite right with the first point, as

showed by the inelasticity of the formal housing sector supply and the high price of titled land

in most cities in developing countries. With regards to the second point, he may or may not

have been right, but on the third point he was largely wrong. This is because titling by itself

appears to do little to solve land market problems. According to Arnott (2008), land titling

process is costly and time consuming; titling land that is illegally occupied raises legal and

compensation problems; titling may conflict with traditional property rights; and titling a

property is not enough to obtain a mortgage.

De Soto’s (2000) idea of making capitalism work for the poor through formalizing their

property rights in houses, land and small businesses is very logical, but many of his policy

recommendations may be inappropriate for the poorest and most vulnerable, and could have

negative impacts on their security and well-being. Because titling does not necessarily increase

tenure security or certainty, in many cases, it does the opposite. Also, formalization of property

rights does not promote lending to the poor rather than turning their property into ‘capital’,

formalization could increase the rate of homelessness. Formalization through registered title

deeds creates unaffordable costs for the poor in developing countries. However, developing

countries’ informal property systems support a vibrant rental market, so formalization could

undermine this, producing unintended negative consequences for the poor and disadvantage.

One of the major features of the developing countries is the increasing inequality between the

urban and rural areas. Igboeli (1992) argues that this feature has its roots in the neo-classical

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economic theories, which acknowledged that development can be accelerated by concentrating

investments in the cities and that rural poverty will be ameliorated by the trickle down of

benefits from the urban industrial growth. However, Ikejiofor (1998) asserts that with the so-

called growth-centered strategy, the developing countries have continued to witness

imbalances in the living conditions between the urban and rural dwellers. Thus, development

theories over the years have been searching for alternative strategies that would not only

accelerate growth but also spread the benefits of development to all areas. Therefore, much of

the housing crisis in the developing countries is predominantly an urban one. The rural people

living at reasonably low densities are often able to meet their own housing needs, though at a

less sophisticated level than city dwellers (Akpomuvie, 2010). According to Adeniyi (1985)

and Akinjo (1984) it is in the cities where the legal acquisition of land is far beyond the means

of most people where the traditional forms of housing are often not acceptable and where the

population is raising that the problem of housing is more acute. Furthermore, housing in

developing countries is characterised by some general features. The first is the relatively high

house prices to income ratio. Malpezzi (1990) informs that in countries with less elastic supply

for whatever reason, asset prices usually a bit up. Malpezzi (1990) further commented that the

poor housing finance performance is responsible for the inelastic housing supply and the

resulting high housing price to income ratio. Most developing countries’ housing stocks are

dominated by rental tenant units. About 40 percent of the world’s urban dwellers are said to be

renters; with two-third of the developing country cities, housing stock being in rental (Farzana,

2004). Another feature of housing in developing countries is the domination of the informal

housing supply because of the deficiencies in formal housing. Formal housing is that which

have legal approval of the planning agency prior to their development and has been developed

within the framework of government housing policy rules, regulations and controls and meet

the minimum required standard of environmental quality and infrastructure. While informal

housing is illegal and is composed of unauthorized colonies and squatter settlements, these

have mostly emerged because of non-availability or unaffordability of housing in the formal

housing market (Farzana, 2004).

According to Ferguson (2001), the building materials industries in the developing countries

frequently suffer from cartelization and inefficient production methods that result in high

prices. The Provision of water, roads, drainage, and electricity occurs at a low level

equilibrium. Government usually provides poor, incomplete services, whilst households refuse

to pay a substantial share of these infrastructure costs. This vicious circle greatly limits the

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delivery of the infrastructure departments and companies, to extend their services to new areas

and improve their services in existing areas. Most national agencies in some developing

countries set high building and subdivision standards, attempting to regulate local land use, and

imposing transfer and other taxes on real estate and mortgage transactions as an easy means of

raising revenue, which has been a problem of housing development in this region (Ferguson,

2001). Ferguson further stressed that the greatest setback, however, often occurs with accessing

credit. Widespread access to long-term, competitively priced mortgages has revolutionized

housing in high-income industrialized countries over the past 60 years as opposed to that of

developing countries. An overwhelming share of household in these countries has now

acquired homes with market-rate mortgages from private sector financial institutions. The

reality of mortgage finance is the opposite in developing countries. Only a small minority of

households-typically less than 20 percent of the population obtain a mortgage to finance their

homes. This system is gradually changing as compared to the last twenty years in most

developing countries. Regardless, many of the mortgages receive substantial subsidies from

government in one form or another. Once these subsidies are taken into account, the private-

sector mortgage market in which market rate intermediation occurs often is extremely small

(often less than five percent of new household formation) or is missing entirely (Bruce, 1998).

Various factors lie behind the low levels of mortgage finance in developing countries. Much

of the blame is attributed to inflation. High and explosive inflation destroyed the existing

mortgage finance systems of many countries in the 1980s and 1990s, like in Nigeria, Ghana

and Kenya. Likewise, the re-payment of international debt has contributed to the stabilizing of

inflation and interest rates in some of these countries, but a considerable improvement has not

been shown in the housing sector of most developing countries. This macro-financial stability

provides the opportunity for reconstruction of mortgage finance systems, as is currently being

done in countries, such as Nigeria and Ghana.

In spite of the remarkable increase in literature on the demand for housing attributes in

developed countries over the last decade, there exists little or no scholarly studies estimating

the parameters of the demand for housing attributes in developing countries. Arimah (1992)

states that very little is known about the working of housing markets in this region and that the

state of affairs of housing in developing countries could be attributed to the difficulty associated

in obtaining data on the operations of the housing market in developing countries. The apparent

belief that housing markets in developing countries are inhibited by socio-cultural and political

institutions raises doubts as to the applicability of microeconomic models to such markets; and

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the fact that data from such markets is unreliable. Nonetheless, it is still possible to undertake

an analysis of the demand for housing in a developing country. This is because public policy

in terms of government intervention, which is the often-cited reason for housing market

imperfections, in the form of public housing programmes and rent control, is quite ineffective

in preventing substantial market transactions (Koenigsberger, 1986). Also, most policymakers

and executors in developing countries have a genuine lack of understanding about the

operations of the housing market, as well as the fact that housing programmes in developing

countries aimed at improving the huge housing problems are usually formulated based on ad

hoc notions of ‘needs’ and ‘standards’ without due consideration of the actual demand for

housing (Arimah, 1992). This has led to the general failure of housing programmes in many

developing countries.

Around the world and most especially in the developing countries, no nation can claim to have

solved the housing problem of their people as shown by various authors’ report that highlighted

various countries related housing issues. The following examples illustrate the housing

shortages that prevail:

In Ethiopia, the Ministry of Works and Housing (2008) stated that studies conducted in

the last five years found that a housing shortage of between 900,000-1,000,000 in urban

centres and only 30% of the existing urban housing stock is in good or fair condition;

For the Metropolitan Region of Sao Paulo (MRSP), the urban housing deficit is

approximately 611,936 units (UN-Habitat, 2010);

The housing shortage in Nigeria is estimated to affect between 14 and 16 million people

(UN-Habitat, 2008a). Mabogunje (cited by Kabir and Bustani, 2009) indicated that

R600 billion (N12trillion; Nigerian naira) will be required to finance the housing

deficit;

For Pakistan, in 2008, the yearly estimated housing demand was 570,000 units. Actual

supply was 300,000 units, leaving a shortfall of 270,000 units every year. The

consequence of this situation is that almost half of the total urban population now lives

in squatters or informal settlements (ICA, 2009a);

In the year 2007, the housing deficit in India was estimated to be 24.7 million houses

in urban areas and 15.95 million houses in rural areas, totaling 40.65 million units

overall (ICA, 2009b);

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Bell (1996) emphasized that the burden of cumulated housing shortage in Algeria is

still high and it is expected to reach nearly two million dwellings by 2025 but was

estimated at 763,176; 994,357 in 2010 with a population of 33.8 million in 2007;

In Mexico, Centro de Investigacion Documentacion de la Casa (CIDOC) and Sociedad

Hipotecaria Federal (SHF) (2006) established that 1.8 million new housing units and

2.7 million housing improvements are needed in a country with a population of 103.3

million people;

In Kenya, Government of Kenya (GoK) showed that the country has a deficit of units

of 127,700 in urban and 303,600 in rural areas;

In Uganda, the Uganda Bureau of Statistics estimates that Uganda has a housing deficit

of 550,000 units. About 160,000 of this backlog is in urban areas. Kampala alone has a

housing deficit of 100,000 units.

In South Africa, in spite of the delivery of 3.0 million houses since 1994 until 2011, the

backlog is still at 2.1 million (Sexwale, 2010; Zuma, 2010)

The above mentioned situation calls for concern. This concern was reflected by Tibaijuka

(2005) who stated that the need for housing production in developing country’s cities is

estimated at around 35 million per year. Breaking this figure down, Tibaijuka added that some

20 million units are required to meet demographic growth and new household formation, while

the remaining 15 million units are to meet the requirements of the homeless and people living

in inadequate housing. Summing this up, some 95,000 new urban housing units are needed to

be constructed each day to ensure acceptable housing conditions. Oruwari (2006) emphasized

that globally the housing conditions of the poor are deteriorating with the developing world

accounting for the worst rate of deterioration. Approximately 998 million people were living

in slums in 2007; the projection for 2010 was 1.12 billion people (UN-Habitat, 2007). These

figures indicate that the housing challenge in the developing countries of the world is

enormous.

5.3 NIGERIA

This section looks into housing in Nigeria. The policies and agencies supporting housing

delivering in Nigeria, such as the government, private sector and others are presented. An

evaluation of past policies and government intervention programmes is also presented. The

philosophical basis for housing provision in Nigeria is discussed. Also explored in this section

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are the challenges facing provision and the needs, demand and supply of housing in Nigeria.

5.3.1 Background

Nigeria, a former British colony, became an independent nation on October 1, 1960, and a

Republic in 1963. According to the country comparison by the Central Intelligence Agency

World Factbook (2011), Nigeria’s population is currently estimated at 155,215,573 million;

with conservative estimates concluding that more than 20% of the world’s black population

lives in Nigeria. The rate of urban population growth is thought to be 5.5% annually, roughly

twice the national population growth rate of 2.9%. More than seven cities have populations that

exceed one million, and over 5,000 towns and cities of various sizes have populations of

between 20,000 and 500,000. Greater Lagos, the former national capital, has grown from 1.4

million in 1963 to 3.5 million in 1975. It is currently over 7 million strong, and is projected to

be 24 million people by 2020 (Nwaka, 2005). Furthermore, Nigeria has the greatest diversity

of cultures, ways of life, cities and terrain. With the current annual population growth rate of

2.9 percent, which is nearly the same as the annual GDP growth rate (3.5 percent), the Nigerian

population is set to double in the next twenty five years (AFRODAD, 2010). By 2015 (the year

benchmarked for the attainment of the MDGs) Nigeria’s population is estimated to be about

178 million.

Up until, 1989 the country’s capital was Lagos, with a population of about 2,500,000; but the

government has since moved the capital to Abuja. The country’s governmental structure was

increased to twelve states in 1967, then to nineteen states in 1976, with Abuja as the new federal

capital. Nigeria is located in western Africa on the Gulf of Guinea with a land and water total

area of 923,768 km² making it the world’s 32nd-largest country (after Tanzania). Nigeria has

a varied landscape. From the Obudu Hills in the southeast through to the beaches in the south,

the rainforest, the Lagos estuary and savannah in the middle and southwest of the country and

the Sahel to the encroaching Sahara in the extreme north. The highest point in Nigeria is Chapel

Wadi at 2,419 m (7,936 ft). According to the United Nations, Nigeria has been undergoing

explosive population growth and has one of the highest growth and fertility rates in the world.

By the UN’s projections, Nigeria will be one of the countries in the world that will account for

most of the world’s total population increase by 2050. According to current data, one out of

every four African is a Nigerian. Presently, Nigeria is the most populous country in Africa,

the seventh most populous country in the world, of which the majority of the population

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is black. The economy of Nigeria is one of the fastest growing in the world, with

the International Monetary Fund (IMF) projecting a growth of 8% growth in the Nigerian

economy in 2011 (Odueme, 2011).

Map 1: Map of Nigeria

Source: CIA Factbook, 2010.

Nigeria has become progressively more urbanized in the last five decades; the proportion of

the population living in urban areas rose from 15 per cent in 1950, to 23.4 per cent in 1975 and

to 43.3 per cent in 2000. Projections indicate that more than 60 per cent of Nigerians will live

in urban centres by 2025, and a substantial percentage of these are likely to live in slums if

urgent action is not taken. Over time, one of Nigeria’s greatest challenges is providing adequate

housing for its growing population. The country is estimated to have a deficit of about 11 - 16

million housing units, requiring the construction of about two million units annually to meet

the shortfall.

5.3.2 Housing in Nigeria

Housing in Nigeria is a highly contentious and politicized issue that is of great concern to

administrators, scholars and the Nigerian general public. The influx of people into the urban

areas, the natural population increase and insufficient responses by the government have

contributed to the deterioration of the housing situation in Nigeria over time. The extent of this

situation is such that the economic development and the welfare of the citizens are adversely

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affected (Federal Republic of Nigeria, 1991; Ibem, 2010). The housing problem in Nigeria is

more critical in the cities, where a huge housing supply deficits exist, which is, coupled with

the dilapidated housing conditions, high cost of housing construction, as well as proliferation

of urban slums and squatter settlements the norm. As such, a large majority of urban residents,

particularly the low-income earners who constitute about 50% of Nigeria’s 155 million people,

are forced to live in conditions that constitute an affront to human dignity (Aribigbola, 2008;

Ibem, 2010). In acknowledgment of the fact that neither the public nor the private sector are

able to address this problem individually, current efforts in addressing the housing situation in

Nigeria are mostly based on collaborative efforts (National Economic Empowerment and

Development Strategy, 2004; Mabogunje, 2003); also, Public-Private Partnerships (PPPs) are

amongst the most collective forms of such collaborative efforts (Ibem, 2010).

Thus, the provision of affordable housing for its citizens has remained the principal focus of

every successive government in Nigeria. This is because of the pivotal roles played by housing

in national development and growth on the one hand and its being a necessity in the life of the

people, on the other. Since Nigeria’s independence, affordable housing has been the major

policy concern of relevant Housing and Mortgage Institutions. However, critics are of the view

that despite the policy efforts, only the needs of the middle and high-income classes are met,

which defiles the generally acknowledged fact that the right to housing is one of the most

important basic human rights recognised in many international Human Rights Treaties (Bret,

2002), because housing is supposed to addresses basic human needs of all citizens.

In Nigeria, a home of one’s own represents a precious refuge. Ademiluyi (2010) informs that

in the traditional African setting and in most developing nations, housing is one of the greatly

cherished material properties. This is because of the other functions that a house performs in

the traditional society, which includes the protection of family cohesion and values, taking care

of the aged through the extended family system, and the protection of the ancestral values,

amongst others. Indeed, the literature on housing in Nigeria often shows that housing ranks

above education and health services as a priority. Thus, households in Nigeria value

homeownership more than households in advanced industrialized countries. In fact, in most

developing nations like Nigeria, when a family does not have a house they can call their own,

that family is regarded as the poorest of the poor. Thus, the importance of providing adequate

housing (housing that meets the needs and expectations of the people, ranging from the

supplied quantity to the quality, thus assuring the quality of life of the people) in Nigeria, cannot

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be over-emphasized. However, acquiring access to a house and to the components that

comprise housing such as land and property rights, building materials, basic services,

regulations, subsidies, and credit are extraordinarily difficult for most households in Nigeria.

This is because poor land records, tenure right with a dysfunctional legal systems and

regulatory bodies typically cloud ownership rights for a large number of households.

However, efforts of the governments aimed at providing shelter especially for the low-income

earners have not yielded expected positive results compared to the level of effort. This is

because it has been apprehended as the product of a politically motivated official intervention

in the housing crisis, usually at urban level, than a genuine concern to shelter the poor and

needy. For instance, housing schemes designed for the citizens especially the low-income

groups has been forcefully taken over by the high and medium income earners. According to

Shyllon (1999), most chairmen (persons) of the allocation committees of these housing estates

are politicians, who allocated the houses to their party members who neither had the need for

them nor could be classified as low-income earners. In the same vein, Omoniyi (1994) notes

that the housing corporations that are supposed to provide shelter for the public (low-income

and disadvantaged group) only catered for the high-income groups who can afford or meet up

with their stringent terms and pre-qualification conditions. Furthermore, frantic efforts by the

low-income earners for owner-occupier houses are thwarted by their inability to mobilize

adequate funds to execute the project (Jolaoso et al., 2008). As a result, the Nigerian housing

question is primarily that of a crisis situation, manifesting and expressing itself in qualitative

and quantitative forms. As a matter of fact, past Nigeria governments cannot be said to have

ignored housing in the process of national development. The emphasis and implementation

may be weak, but past governments have shown some commitment to housing matters as

reported by various scholars (Adeyemo & Dekolo, 2000; Aigbavboa & Thwala, 2009, 2011;

Federal Government of Nigeria, 2004).

In spite of the efforts of various stakeholders that have been involved in the provision of

housing, there are still numerous challenges affecting these efforts as highlighted: the limited

use of co-operative housing approaches as one of the challenges facing delivery of adequate

housing for the majority of people needing housing (Onukwugha, 2000). Jinadu (2004) states

that the high cost of building materials; inadequate housing statistics for proper planning;

institutional challenges and low housing investment are the factors responsible for inadequate

housing in Nigeria. Furthermore, Ademiluyiand Raji (2008) asserts that difficulties in land

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acquisition; inability to access long term mortgage finance and high cost of building material

are the factors responsible for inadequate housing delivery. While Jimoh and Olayiwola (2008)

are of the opinion that a disproportionate number of professional builders (less than 2000)

relative to the population of Nigeria (more than 155 million) contributes indirectly to the

inadequate delivery of housing. Aigbavboa and Thwala (2009) established the following

factors as being responsible for the inadequate housing delivery experienced in Nigeria:

legislation, contracts enforcement, inadequate infrastructure, unstable macroeconomic

environment and lacklustre implementation of the National Housing Policy. In addition to the

above challenges, high interest rates charged by banks for mortgage loans and concentration of

Primary Mortgage Institutions (PMIs) in urban centres, such as Lagos and Abuja are also

responsible for the slow pace of affordable housing delivery for the low income group.

The present housing difficulty in Nigeria does not necessarily arise from poverty, but because

of the absence of an effective administrative arm to mobilize and organize the country’s natural,

human, and industrial resources, amongst others for housing and urban development (Jolaoso

et al., 2008). However, the problem of poor co-ordination and ineffectiveness of some public

housing agencies in Nigeria is in most cases responsible for the failure of certain laudable

housing policies and programmes. Some of the agencies with adequate knowledge have refused

to perform their duty of seeing to it that the beneficiaries of the housing schemes fulfill their

obligations and hence, this has constituted a threat to the successful execution of the housing

scheme for the low income groups (Shu’aibu, 2007).

5.3.3 Philosophical Basis for Housing Development in Nigeria

The fundamental philosophy underpinning housing development vision in Nigeria is the

existing Nigerian Constitution of 1999. Chapter II of the Nigerian Constitution popularly

referred to as the “Fundamental Objectives and Directive Principles of State Policy”, states that

the security and welfare of the people shall be the primary purpose of government. The

constitution further expresses that the government is entrusted with the responsibility to harness

the resources of the nation to serve the common good of all and to promote national prosperity

based on an efficient, dynamic and self-reliant economy (Eboh, 2010). Also, it states that

government should manage the economy so as to secure the maximum welfare, freedom and

happiness of every citizen. Furthermore, it specifically requires that the State shall ensure that

suitable and adequate shelter is provided for the citizens (Federal Republic of Nigeria, 1999).

In effect, this national philosophy (which was also enunciated in previous constitutions) has

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been the generic basis for housing development and planning since Nigeria gained her

independence. Despite this background, the Nigerian Constitution does not employ the

expression ‘adequate housing’, but it provides in section 16(1) (d), under the Chapter dealing

with the Fundamental Objectives and Directive Principles of State Policy, that the State shall

ensure that “suitable and adequate shelter” is provided to all citizens. Section 13 of the

Constitution further states that, “it shall be the duty and responsibility of all organs of

government, and of all authorities and persons, exercising legislative, executive or judicial

powers, to conform to, observe and apply the Fundamental Objectives and Directive

Principles”. However, Section 6(6) (c) diminishes the impact of section 13 by expressly

stipulating that it does not establish enforceable rights. This contrasts with the constitutional

provisions on fundamental rights, which though enforceable do not include access to adequate

housing or shelter. Thus, the Nigeria Constitution does not explicitly contain justifiable socio-

economic rights and does not directly enshrines everyone’s right to have access to suitable and

adequate housing, but indirectly informs of the support for everyone to have accesses to

‘suitable and adequate shelter’. This indirect support has been a major hindrance in the effort

to adequately house the poor and the low-income groups.

5.3.4 The History of Housing Policy in Nigeria

Before the arrival of the colonial rule at the beginning of the 20th Century, a communal system

of housing delivery was practiced in most Nigerian communities. Houses were built through

communal efforts by peer groups (Kabir & Bustani, 2009). Members of all age and different

groups and other social organisations would turn out as a group on an appointed day to assist

the builder in whatever task of the project. In return, the builder would provide meals, whilst

the project lasted and vice versa. This system continued up to 1928, and still remains in some

communities to date despite the disruption of the people's ‘communitarian’ values by

‘westernization’ and urbanization. According to Adisa, Agunbiade and Akanmu (2008),

housing issues in colonial Nigeria were based on the politics of ‘separate areas’. During the

early years of colonial administration, the Nigerian government was involved in the

construction of official residences for expatriates and senior indigenous staff (in the public

services, such as the police and the railways personnel) in specially zoned Government

Reserved Areas (GRAs) through the Public Works Department (PWD) (Omole, 2001). Also,

the then three Regional Governments, through the colonial housing policy in place and catered

exclusively for the housing needs of the top echelons in the civil services. When Nigeria

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became an independent state in 1960, the colonial politics of discriminatory housing changed

somewhat. After the attainment of independence and the immediate period after achievement

of sovereignty, public housing was limited, elitist and largely in the form of middle class

housing estates for government officials (Federal Republic of Nigeria, 1981). The exit of the

colonial masters afforded Nigerians the opportunity to move into residential areas hitherto

reserved for the European workers. Despite the removal of the discriminatory housing format

operated by the colonial masters with the advent of the Nigerian independence, housing in

Nigeria has remained a contentious issue. Regardless of the laws and all attempts made to date,

Nigeria still faces a severe housing shortage with more of the population living in sub-standard

housing. However, evidence from literature clearly shows that public housing provision in

Nigeria, has not recorded any impressive results in matching housing production to housing

demand, as there are huge housing supply deficits.

Furthermore, the outbreak of the Bubonic Plague in Lagos, the then capital city of Nigeria in

the 1920s, led to the first slum clearance and settlement upgrading policy programme by the

Lagos Executive Development Board (LEDB) (Aribigbola, 2008). Agbola and Jinadu (1997)

claim that between 1973 and 1995 about 36 other cases of slum clearance were reported in

urban areas in Nigeria, including the widely publicized demolition of Maroko, Lagos, in 1990.

This was regarded as a violation of the housing rights of the occupants. Although the aim of

the slum clearance was to upgrade blighted areas in the cities (Nwaka, 2005), scholars like

Agbola and Jinadu (1997) and Umeh (2004) contended that the approach failed to provide

decent and affordable housing to Nigerians. This is due to the non-availability of land in

locations that were acceptable to displaced persons, as well as the lack of adequate funds to

resettle them; however, the vacant land was sold at high prices to the rich in the society.

In 1958, the defunct regional governments, that is, Western, Eastern, Northern and Mid-

Western Regions, established Housing Corporations to construct and manage housing estates,

as well as to grant ‘soft’ loans to individuals wishing to build their own houses. Unfortunately,

the established agencies were unable to extend their services to the low-income group due to

the lack of commitment to low-cost housing (Federal Republic of Nigeria, 1991; Ibem, 2010).

The first National Development Plan (1962-1968), brought about the establishment of the

Federal Housing Authority (FHA), Federal Ministry of Environment Housing and Urban

Development (FMEHUD), Ministry of Works and Housing, State Housing Corporations and

Federal Mortgage Bank of Nigeria (FMGN), which spilt into the 1970s. At this stage, Nigeria

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was set to witness a massive government involvement in housing construction, which was

supposed to have extend to the low-income group. According to Ibem (2010), the first

government-assisted self-help housing programme took off in the then newly created states of

Bauchi, Benue, Gongola, Imo, Niger, Ogun and Ondo, as well as in Lagos State, in the mid-

1970s. With assistance from the World Bank, the scheme succeeded in providing serviced

plots, soft loans and technical assistance for few low-income groups toward owning houses in

the eight states’ capitals, but it could not be extended to other state because of logistic and

funding constraints on the part of the government. Conversely, the plan made provision for the

erection of at least 59,000 dwelling units, 15,000 for Lagos and 4000 for each of the then 11

states. However, the success rate was only 12% (Okpala, 1986). Its spread was wide and even

but was skewed in favour of low-income workers, which constituted 60% of the workforce.

The middle-income group constituted 30%, while 10% was allocated to the upper-income

group. The Second National Development Plan of 1970-1974, with the launch of the National

Low-Cost Housing Scheme in 1975 committed a total of 53.35 million Naira ($380 000) to the

building of new houses and upgrading of the old ones.

In the Third National Development Plan (1975–1980), both the Federal and the State

Governments attempted, for the first time, direct construction of housing units to be let out at

subsidized rates. Similarly, the Federal Mortgage Bank (FMB), a latter day convert of the

Nigeria Building Society (Adisa et al., 2008) was established primarily to grant loans to

mortgage institutions in order to facilitate housing delivery. About 2.6 billion Naira was

earmarked for the construction of 202,000 housing units across the country. With the proposal

of 202,000 units during this planned period, Lagos State, the then national capital, was

allocated 46,000 units and the remaining 156,000 were to be built in the different parts of the

country. Ogu and Ogbuozobe (2001) argue that the dismal performance of the public’s direct

involvement in housing is shown by the fact that only 19% of the intended dwelling units

(8500) were built in Lagos, whilst only 13% (20,000 units) of the proposed units were

constructed in the rest of the country by the end of the planned period. In all, about 24% of the

202,000 housing units were constructed at the expiration of that development plan, while many

of the uncompleted housing units were abandoned. As a result, the dream of homeownership

by many Nigerians could not be realized through that scheme (Onibokun, 1985). The targets

were not met and it necessitated the incorporation of another housing plan in the Fourth

National Development Plan.

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The Fourth Development Plan period (1981-85) witnessed the launching and implementation

of the third national housing programme by a civilian administration. During this period, only

20% of the planned 1600,000 dwelling units were constructed. According to Aina (1990) and

Ogu and Ogbuozobe (2001) the housing programme was frustrated by fraud and politicization

of these projects, lack of supervisory technical staff at building sites and lack of service

infrastructure. Likewise, the plan earmarked 600 million dollars for housing development, but

from 1984, the Military Administration abandoned direct intervention in the housing market

and embarked on demonstration projects. Table 5.1 below shows a summary of the planned

and constructed number of housing units in the different public housing programmes, initiated

between 1962 and 1999. An analysis of Table 5.1 reveals that an aggregate of 618,498 housing

units were intended for construction in the various public housing schemes across the country.

Nevertheless, about 85,812 housing units represented around 14% of the intended housing units

that were actually constructed. This achievement level clearly shows that many of the public

housing programmes initiated by government within that period failed to meet the targeted

number of housing units (Ibem et al., 2011). The cumulative effect of this failure is that an

estimated 75% of Nigeria’s 60 million urban population live in slums, and not less than 700,000

housing units are required annually to improve on this appalling housing situation across the

country (Federal Republic of Nigeria, 1991; Olotuah, 2010). This denotes that suitable

measures need to be urgently put in place to combat the challenge of low productivity in public-

sector housing in the country.

Furthermore, the failure of the National Low-Cost Housing Scheme led to the initiation of the

National Site-and-Services Programme. The National Site-and-Services programme was

proposed to make serviced plots available to housing developers without many inconveniences

(Onibokun, 1985). Under the guidance of the Ministry of Works and Housing, Federal Housing

Authority (FHA) and other related housing provision agencies, the programme recorded initial

success in seven states, namely, Lagos, Kano, Imo, Kwara, Ondo, Rivers and Imo, as well as

in FCT. The majority of beneficiaries for this scheme were the middle- and high-income groups

who could afford the high cost of transfer fees and who met the requirements for allocation of

the serviced plots. Regardless of the obvious poor performance of the public housing schemes,

as amongst others, the number of produced housing units fell far below the intended housing

units. Hence, this led to the launch of a new public housing scheme in 1994 by the Military

Administration. Thirteen months after the inauguration of the housing scheme, a review

committee set up by the Federal Ministry of Works and Housing (FMWH) admitted that the

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new housing scheme have failed to meet its objective (Agbo, 1996). The number of units

produced was too expensive for the low-income groups to afford, even when the cost of

infrastructure and land were waived.

Table 5.1: Performance of Public Housing in Nigeria (1960- 2010)

PERIOD PROGRAMME TARGET ACHIEVEMENT LEVEL First National

Development

Plan (1962-1968)

Planned construction of 61,000

housing units.

Only 500 units less than 1% of the

planned units were constructed. The

political chaos and the resulting

civil war (1966-1970) contributed

to the marginal progress recorded

during this period.

Second National

Development

Plan (1971-74)

Establishment of National

Council of Housing (1972) to

advise the government on

housing matters and Federal

Housing Authority (FHA) in

1973 to co-ordinate public

housing provisions - Plan direct

construction of 59,000 ‘low-cost’

housing units across the

Federation.

7,080 housing units representing

12% of planned houses were

actually built.

Third National

Development

Plan (1975-

1980)

- Creation of Federal Ministry of

Housing, Urban Development

and Environment and

conversion of Nigerian

Building Society to Federal

Mortgage Bank of Nigeria

- (FMBN).

- Promulgation of the Land Use

Decree (1978).

- Planned construction of

202,000 low-cost housing units

nationwide.

30,000 housing units representing

less than 15% of planned houses

were completed

4th National

Development

Plan (1981-1985)

- National Housing Programme

launched for the first time in

1980. Earmarked N1.9billion

for the construction of 160,000

housing units, for low-income

groups

- The second phase of the

housing

programme set out to construct

20,000 housing units across the

Country.

A total of 47,234 housing units

representing about 23.6% of

planned housing units were

constructed in the first phase. The

second phase was cut short by

the military coup of 1983

Military

Government

- National Housing programme

planned 121,000 houses with

- 5,500 housing units (less than 5%)

of planned houses were actually

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(1986-1999) National Site-and-Services

Housing Programme between

1993 and 1995-1988

- National Housing Policy

launched to provide Nigerians

access to quality housing and

basic infrastructure.

- 1991, National Housing Policy

was launched with the goal of

granting all Nigerians access to

decent housing by 2000 in

response to the slogan “

Housing for All by the year

2000” of the United Nations.

constructed.

- Provision of rural infrastructure

through the Directorate of Food,

Roads and Rural Infrastructure

(DFFRI)

Civilian

Governments

(1999-2010)

- The New National Housing and

Urban Development Policy

(NHUDP) launched in 2002

with the goal of ensuring that

“all Nigerians own or have

access to decent housing

through private sector-led

initiatives”.

- Planned construction of about

10,271 housing units through

the Public-Private Partnership

(PPP) arrangements in different

PPP housing schemes across the

country.

- Planned construction of 500

housing units in the Presidential

Mandate Housing Scheme in all

36 State capitals and Abuja.

- Government planned a pilot

projects involving the

construction of 40,000 housing

units per annum nationwide.

- 2000 serviced plot through PPP

site and service in Ikorodu, Lagos.

- 4,440 housing units completed in

Abuja, Port Harcourt, Akure and

Abeokuta, through PPP.

- The Presidential Mandate

Housing Scheme did not take off

in many States. In Ogun State

about 100 housing units

representing 20% of the planned

units were constructed.

- Records of the achievement level

of the pilot projects are not yet

available.

Source: Ibem, 2010

Yet, in the last few decades, the Nigerian housing agencies have delivered an insufficient

number of low-quality and expensive housing units for few middle- and high-income earners

(Awotona, 1990; Ogu, 1999; Ogu & Ogbuozobe, 2001) thus, creating a huge backlog for the

low-income group in the country (Ibem, 2011; Onibokun, 1990). The problem of poor funding,

bureaucracy, the politicization of housing programmes and the absence of proper organisation

and transparency in the management of housing programmes all account for the minimal

successes recorded by the housing schemes (Ibem, 2011; Onibokun, 1985). However, the UN-

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HABITAT II Conference held at Istanbul, Turkey, in June 1996 heralded a renewed advocacy

of an initiative in housing delivery in Nigeria. At this time, people started subscribing to the

National Housing Fund (NHF), which was established by Decree 3 of 1992. Conversely, the

subscribers were disappointed by the upward review in the agreed amounts. Since then, many

Nigerians have been suffering from problems of housing, they are forced to pay higher rent in

spite of the existence of the State Rent Control and Recovery of Residential Premises Edict of

1997.

5.3.5 Housing Policy in Nigeria

In an attempt to meet the housing challenges of the Nigerian populace, a number of

programmes and policies have been articulated and introduced. The first explicitly formulated

National Policy on Housing was launched in 1991 by the Federal Government of Nigeria with

a set goal of providing housing accommodation for all Nigerians by the year 2000. This was in

response to the Agenda 21 of Global Shelter Strategy, aimed at achieving sustainable human

settlement development. This was in response to the exploding population and urban growth

rate and also an acceptance, for the first time, that government alone was incapable of

addressing the alarming gap in the housing needs of all Nigerians (Aigbavboa & Thwala,

2011). The failure of the set goals for the first housing policy necessitated the adoption of a

new policy in 2002 aimed at providing necessary solutions to the previously intractable housing

crisis in Nigeria (Aribigbola, 2008).

The Federal Government of Nigeria revised the National Urban Development and National

Housing policies in 2002, in line with the new democratic dispensation, which required the

promotion of sustainable urban development and social order in the country, centered on

citizen’s participation in decision making and programme implementation, monitoring and

evaluation (Aribigbola, 2008). The resultant 2002 National Housing Policy was directed

toward all Nigerians owning or having access to decent, safe and sanitary housing

accommodation at affordable cost with secure tenure through private sector initiative with

government encouragement and involvement. The 2002 policy introduced some new measures

and innovations that were considered suitable to making housing accessible to all Nigerians in

line with global thinking and action.

The adopted 2002 housing policy, which is a review of the 1991 policy has again been reviewed

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in 2004 with the ultimate goal to ensure that all Nigerians own or have access to decent, safe

and healthy housing accommodation at an affordable rate (National Housing Policy, 2006).

The most significant differences between the new policy and the previous ones is that housing

was now seen in the context of overall national development in contrast to when housing was

regarded as a social service and a natural fall-out of the national economic development.

Secondly, the policy identified the fact that different people both within and between income

groups tend to have different demands for housing, moving away from the one-size-fits all

syndrome. This is evident from the ultimate goal of the Housing Policy which is, to ensure that

all Nigerians own or have access to decent housing accommodation at affordable cost. Thirdly,

the current focus on removing all barriers to the supply of housing and provision of incentives

to all parties involved in the housing delivery system. The previous policies from the past until

now have always been formulated with good intentions, but the formulators of the policies do

not spell out the direction, neither do they take into consideration the amount of involvement

required from the would-be beneficiaries. A typical short coming of the previous policies

usually carried the slogan of ‘housing for all Nigerians’. This statement ordinarily assumed that

all families in Nigeria would be provided with adequate housing regardless of who needed one

and with no contribution or participation being expected from the beneficiaries (Ajanlekoko,

2001).

In Nigeria, the major policy steps taken, so far, towards solving the housing crisis in the country

can be summarized, as shown below in Table 5.2. Others are the formulation of the National

Housing Policy (NHP) in 1984, the establishment of the Infrastructural Development Fund

(IDF) in 1985, and the Urban Development Bank (UDB) in 1992 (Federal Republic of Nigeria,

1997). In addition to the above, all the introduced National Development Plans (NDPs) from

1962-1985 and the National Rolling Plans (NRPs) from 1990 to date plainly recognize the

importance of providing affordable housing in the country as a tool for stimulating the national

economy (Ademiluyi, 2010; Gbolagade, 2005), but little has been done to bring about an

actualization of the policy intentions.

Table 5.2: Major Housing Policy Steps in Nigeria (1928- 2010)

Policies to date Reason for policy formation Formation of the Lagos Executive

Development Board (LEDB) - 1928

The Board was authorized to carry out slum

clearance, land reclamation, and the

development of residential and industrial

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estates.

The setting up of Nigerian Building Society

(NBS) - 1956

Provision of housing loans to both civil

servants and the Nigerian public.

Establishment of housing corporations –

1964

The regional housing corporations were

mandated to develop estates and at the same

time provide mortgage for the people to

build houses and pay back over many years.

Establishment of the Federal Housing

Authority, established under Decree No. 40

of 1973 and amended by CAP 136 LFN of

1990 – 1973

Its role was to make proposals to the

government for housing and ancillary

infrastructural services and implementing

those approved by government.

The creation of the National Site and

Services Scheme - 1986

Formed to provide land for government

housing with essential infrastructural

facilities for housing developments in well-

planned environments. Also, to provide well

laid-out serviced plots in each of the 36 state

capitals of the federation, including FCT

Abuja.

The formation of the National Prototype

Housing Program by the Federal Ministry of

Works and Housing

To complement the objectives of the

National Site and Services Scheme. The

project was embarked upon to demonstrate

the feasibility of constructing functional,

effective, and affordable housing units

through imaginative designs, judicious

specification of materials, and efficient

management of construction.

The setting up of the State Housing

Corporation

To provide housing to the populace at

affordable prices.

The creation of the Federal Mortgage Bank

of Nigeria - 1977

To finance housing loans to prospective

housing developers at minimal interest rates.

The setting up of the National Housing

Program (NHP) in 1991 and the National

Housing Fund (NHF) scheme by Decree No

3 of 1992

To provide self-loans to potential housing

developers and also monitor developments

in the housing sector.

The deconsolidation of the Federal Mortgage

Bank of Nigeria (FMBN) through the

establishment of the Federal Mortgage

Finance Limited (FMFL)

To take over retail mortgage portfolios

previously handled by the bank and also to

facilitate effective management of the

National Housing Fund (NHF) Scheme.

The setting up of a Housing Policy Council

(HPC)

To monitor development in the housing

sector and also to set up the machinery for

the review of the 1978 Land Use Decree

(LUD) in order to make more land available

for large scale land developers.

The creation of the ministry of Housing and

Urban Development in June 2003

Charged with the responsibility of ensuring

adequate and sustainable housing delivery

and maintenance of a conducive living

environment that meets the needs and

aspirations of Nigerians.

The review of the mandate given to the The authority also plans to facilitate the

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Federal Housing Authority to include

provisions of the National Social Housing as

part of the strategy towards meeting the

Millennium Development Goal.

provision of two million housing units

before 2015, which is not a realistic goal

with the way housing issues are still being

treated in the country.

Source: Compiled by Researcher from various sources. Adisa et al., (2008); Ajanlekoko

(2002); Aribigbola, (2008); Ogu and Ogbuozobe, (2001); Olotuah (2010); Omole (2001)

5.3.6 Challenges Facing the Provision of Housing in Nigeria

Housing provision in Nigeria faces major challenges coupled with the limitations imposed by

the income levels of her citizenry. In the face of a daunting deficit put at about 16 million

houses and the level of achievement over the past 36 years of the government programmes and

policies, the Nigerian government is faced with difficult task of overcoming this backlog and

delivering homes to the low, medium and high income groups, respectively. There are several

challenges facing the provision of housing in Nigeria, with particular emphasis on the low-

income groups. This is unlike the case of South Africa, where government provide houses free

of charge to the low-income groups or disadvantaged poor, through the South Africa National

Housing Subsidy schemes; to ensure the beginning of economic independence and freedom.

Shu’aibu (2007) states that the problems associated with the attainment of affordable housing

in Nigeria, includes compromises during implementation, lack of political sensitivity, and

corruption, amongst others. Any compromises made during implementation that sought to alter

basic policy goals are normally detrimental to the successful execution of any housing policy.

Though policy implementation is a tedious process that requires a great deal of analysis before

starting it, the reality of basic housing can only be realized if there is proper implementation of

policies. Furthermore, lack of adequate data relating to the magnitude of the problem, which is

as a result of the absence of a national data bank for housing; inconsistency in policies and

programmes, including regular changes of policies with changes of government without proper

assessment of the existing ones; lack of efficient and sustainable credit delivery to the housing

sector; and income levels of those needing houses. This is relatively low in comparison with

house market prices, resulting in an affordability problem; high cost of building materials; the

rapid annual growth rate of the Nigerian population, which was estimated at 3.3% on the basis

of annual birth rate of 49.3 per 1,000. All these coupled with the rapid population

growth/urbanization with the problem of an increasing poverty level among the citizenry,

which has risen from 65% in 1996 to about 70% in 2009 (United Nations Development

Programme and World Bank estimates confirms UN-habitat (2009) statement that 70% of the

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urban dwellers in Nigeria live in slums); and lack of effective coordination amongst Housing

Agencies. While all the three tiers of the government are involved in one way or the other in

housing matters, their activities are hardly coordinated.

5.3.7 Programmes Supporting Housing Creation in Nigeria

Nigeria’s efforts towards sustainable housing development since 1986 are marked by policy

formulation and the establishment of agencies for implementation. One of such ‘efforts’ is the

establishment of the Family Support Programme (FSP) initiated by the then First Lady of the

Federal Republic of Nigeria, Her Excellency, Late Mrs. Maryam Babaginda. The FSP

recognizes that one of the most important needs for the survival of any family and healthy

living is the provision of decent and affordable housing, as most low income families in cities

do not own houses because they cannot afford them. The FSP also recognizes that women are

handicapped in their access to land and property in the country. This seriously affects their role

since they need a secure place to live to carry out their subsistence farming and generate

income. Widows and single women are worse off as they are denied rights to inherit landed

property. In this regard, the FSP sets out, amongst others, the above objectives to ensure

adequate housing for the less privileged in the society.

Furthermore, the Federal Government through the Federal Housing Authority (FHA) started

the National Housing Programme in 1994. The objective was to produce 121,000 housing units

for low, medium, and high income earners. Currently, records show that about 5% of the target

has been achieved, as at 2010. Further efforts on direct construction of houses continue to be

made through the National Prototype Housing Programme aimed at demonstrating the

feasibility of constructing functional, cost effective and affordable housing units. So far 600

housing units in various stages of completion are being constructed in Lagos, Kaduna, Port-

Harcourt, and other areas as at the end of 2010. Also, the National Housing Fund was

established in 1992 to solve the problem of finance for housing development. All workers (both

public and private sector) earning N3, 000 and above per annum contribute 2.5% of their

income to the fund. The funds are disbursed as mortgage loans through primary mortgage

institutions to the subscribers of the fund (UN-Habitat, 2008). Currently, the Nigerian Urban

Renewal Programme is directed at improving existing slums in the core of cities. The

programme has been implemented in 18 cities across the nation. A total of about N20 million

had been spent on the programme since 1992. The Federal Government has also provided

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through the National Sites and Services Programme over 15,000 plots at subsidized rates to the

public; and over N250 million have been committed to the programme in the last six years as

reported by the UN-Habitat (2007). Moreover, the on-going Federal Housing Schemes will,

according to plans, make possible the provision of adequate housing for all government

workers in Nigeria so that at retirement they and their families will have a place to live.

Further to the achievement of the goal of improving urban management, the country is now

participating in the Sustainable Cities Programme (SCP) under the Urban Management

Programme (UMP) of the United Nations Centre for Human Settlement (UNCHS) / World

Bank/United Nations Development Programme (UNDP). Through this programme, the

Sustainable Ibadan Project (SIP) is being implemented. Also, through this initiative, Local

Governments, NGOs, Community Based Organizations, and private individuals are

encouraged to participate and contribute to urban improvement and management. Presently,

the process of replicating the sustainable city programme in other cities has already begun.

Two other cities, Kano and Enugu have commenced their projects. The sustainable Kano

Project has already prepared the Kano environment profile study forming the basis for

consultative actions on the management of Metropolitan Kano. The SCP emphasizes a two-

way relationship between development and environment, which promotes better awareness and

understanding of the priority issues to be addressed in urban environment and development and

a consideration of modern urban and environmental management methods, and the most

effective and lasting impact (UN-Habitat, 2008).

In addition, the determination of the government toward the success of the objectives of

programmes under the Infrastructure Development Fund Programme, the Urban Basic Services

Programme is being undertaken in the country to promote the integrated provision of

environmental infrastructure, water, sanitation, drainage, and solid waste management. The

project involves the identification of core areas in some Nigerian cities and the packaging of

improvement programmes targeted at women and children. Also, the Nigerian Government is

currently working on developing future programmes aimed at improving the human settlement

development and management sectors. These sectors include: poverty alleviation programmes

in collaboration with the World Bank and UNDP; a programme support document for

Governance in collaboration with UNDP; a National strategy for the replication of the

Sustainable City Programme in other Nigerian cities; and replication of the Urban Basic

Services Programme in collaboration with the United Nations Children’s Fund. The

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government intends to concentrate efforts in the near future on the following areas: capacity

building for improved management; institutional and policy reforms; social reorientation;

increased participation of NGOs and the private sector; and promotion of appropriate

technologies (UN- Habitat, 2008). These future plans are aimed at achieving a state of

environmentally sound human settlements, free of slum conditions, in which every

disadvantaged and poor Nigerian will have access to adequate and affordable shelter, and

efficient infrastructure and services, which will foster sustainable economic growth, and an

improved standard of living and well-being.

5.3.8 Housing in Nigeria – Need, Demand and Supply

Housing needs are considerable in Nigeria, the deficit is currently estimated at over 14 to 16

million units (UN-Habitat, 2008); if put in monetary terms, it will amount to four times the

annual national budget of Nigeria. The rate of urbanization in Nigeria has witnessed

tremendous increase in the last two decades. Census in the early fifties showed that there were

about 56 cities in the country and about 10.6% of the total population lived in these cities. This

rose dramatically to 19.1% in 1963 and 24.5% in 1985 and according to the country comparison

report by the Central Intelligence Agency (2011), Nigeria’s population is currently estimated

at 155, 215, 573 million with the urban population constituting approximately 60%. The rapid

growth rate of urban population in Nigeria since the early seventies is mainly due to migration

promoted by the concentration of the gain from the oil sector in the urban areas (Ajanlekoko,

2001). While the United Nations estimates that Nigeria’s population would reach 289 million

by 2050, the United States Census Bureau projects that the population of Nigeria will reach

264 million by 2050. The rapid growth in population will create demand for shelter and

efficient supply and distribution of basic utilities and services for the city dwellers. The effect

of the explosion from the population growth will manifest in overcrowding in houses. Nigeria

being one of the fastest urbanizing countries in the African continent faces a huge challenge of

adequately providing affordable housing to its citizenry. As more and more Nigerians make

towns and cities their homes, the resulting social, economic, environmental and housing need

should be urgently addressed (Raji, 2008). A study of the housing situation in Nigeria put

existing housing stock at 23 per 1000 inhabitants whilst housing deficit is put at 16 million

houses, and about 12 trillion Naira will be required to finance the housing deficit.

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As at the beginning of 1999, housing development had been so neglected by successive

governments, who for years did not regard housing as a priority and who on many occasions

made no annual budgetary provision for housing; this brought about a ‘no-housing’ situation

in Nigeria. According to the Nigeria National Housing Policy (2006) about 60% of Nigerians

are said to be homeless. If this is represented by the current population of the country as

represented by the CIA report, which put the Nigeria population at 155 215 573 million people,

it means that about 93 million Nigerians are ‘homeless’. In the context of six members per

household as recommended by the United Nations, it thus confirms that Nigeria has a housing

backlog of 15.6 million units. However, as of March 2009, the Federal House of

Representatives Committee on Environment and Habitat informs that Nigeria is in dire need of

a minimum of 23 million houses if it must meet the minimal housing demands of its citizens

based on the United Nations standard. The House of Representatives Committee also estimated

that Nigeria currently has about 6.3 million houses and to maintain the United Nations standard

of six persons per house for its population, Nigeria actually need about 23.33 million houses in

addition to the 6.33 million that already exist today. There is no doubt that the housing need of

Nigerians is as of yet an unmet judging by the high demand and the limited supply of residential

accommodations in Nigeria.

While virtually all governments in Nigeria since independence have highlighted housing as a

major priority, Nigeria is yet to develop a vibrant housing market, and housing continues to be

provided through traditional methods of buying land and building over some years, which

could mean an individual’s entire life. The problem of housing in Nigeria has been a concern

for both the government and individuals. In acknowledging these challenges, both the public

and private sector developers make an effort through various activities to bridge the gap

between housing supply and demand, but the cost of building materials, deficiency in housing

finance arrangement, stringent loan conditions from mortgage banks, government policies

amongst other problems have significantly affected the rate of housing delivery in Nigeria

(Raji, 2008). Currently, the main goal and target of the Nigeria Housing Authority is to deliver

100,000 housing units in the next four year period from June, 2009 to June, 2013 being the

confirmed tenure of the present management. Despite the relevance of the initiative, housing

development should not be centered on office holders, but a matter of national interest and goal

to adequate house those needing housing (Federal Housing Authority, 2011). The proposed

housing units according to the Nigerian Housing Authority will be achieved through the

following Sustainable Mass Housing Delivery Framework and as typified in Figure 5.1:

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1. Direct Development - This will be done by utilizing internally generated resources and

institutional financing of projects to be executed by the Authority. A total of 12,000

housing units are to be built through this delivery model;

2. Public Private Partnership – The key objective of the present model is to foster

partnerships, which are profitable and cost effective, leveraging on the strength of the

private sector partners in project financing, financial prudence and effective

management. About 14,000 housing units are to be built through Public Private

Partnership;

Figure 5.1: Sustainable Mass Housing Delivery Framework

Source: Federal Housing Authority, Nigeria (2012)

3. Public-Public Partnership – This is a newly introduced housing procurement system in

Nigeria, which is a partnership between the FHA with other tiers of government also

involved; military and para-military organizations to facilitate housing delivery that

meet the needs of their staff. A total of 4,000 housing units are targeted for delivery

through Public-Public Partnership;

4. Cooperative Housing - The FHA is set to partner with housing cooperatives to facilitate

housing delivery for the needs of their members. About 8,000 housing units are targeted

for delivery through this model;

5. Site-and-Services will be made available within estates to be developed. Additionally,

Site-and-Services will be provided on parcels of land to be acquired to create serviced

plots that will be sold to citizens who desire to build their own houses. About 7,000

serviced plots will be provided under the Site-and-Services scheme;

6. New Towns Development – The FHA also wants to promote the development of new

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towns across the nation in key cities starting with Abuja, FCT. The new towns will

reduce pressure on the existing cities by providing additional accommodation at

affordable rates. For example, the Bwari Area Council has been identified for

development of a new town in FCT, Abuja, Nigeria. A total of 25,000 housing units are

targeted under the FCT, Abuja New Town;

7. Rental Housing - Additional to the development of housing units for outright sale to the

public, the FHA has proposed to provide rental housing for low income dwellers in the

cities. About 3,000 housing units will be provided for rental in the period under

consideration;

8. Estate Regeneration - Regeneration of old estates will be pursued in partnership with

private investors. The estates being proposed for regeneration include: Maitama,

Asokoro and Lugbe Estates in Abuja, and Festac Town Estate in Lagos.

The Nigerian government needs to make available supportive mechanisms to provide her

citizens with decent and affordable housing. Because housing constitutes an essential need to

complement other social assets of human beings if they are to lead a productive life. It is of

higher importance than food, education, and medical care because of its intrinsic connection to

security, which is paramount to human survival. Without adequate security, preservation of life

is difficult and without shelter, man is exposed to the vagaries of weather and predatory animals

(Akintokunbo, 2008). Despite these initiatives, the implementation of a subsidised low-cost

housing scheme in Nigeria is still in its developmental stage whereas in South Africa it has

been through the developmental threshold and hence properly implemented. In most

developing nations, 90% of the houses are built by private individuals in an informal market,

which is highly unreachable for the low-income to access.

5.3.9 Lessons Learnt from Nigerian Housing Studies

The following are the lessons learnt from the review of literature on the housing situation in

Nigeria:

The provision of affordable housing for its inhabitants has remained the principal focus

of every successive government in Nigeria. This is because of the pivotal roles played

by housing in national development and growth on the one hand and it being a necessity

in the life of the people, on the other;

Housing in Nigeria is a highly contentious and politicized issue that is of great concern

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to stakeholders, such as administrators, scholars and the Nigerian general public;

Likewise, the difficulties in land acquisition; inability to access long term mortgage

finance and high cost of building materials are some of the factors responsible for

inadequate housing delivery in Nigeria;

Housing problems in Nigeria are more critical in the cities, where a huge housing supply

deficits, coupled with the dilapidated housing conditions, high cost of housing

construction, as well as proliferation of urban slums and squatter settlements is the

norm;

Households in Nigeria value homeownership more than households in advanced

industrialized countries, as the literature reveals that housing ranks above education and

health services as a priority;

The Federal Government of Nigeria should not engage in direct housing construction,

because such effort yields no results. Studies have shown that individuals build better

and cheaper houses and at a faster rate than the government agencies;

The government should place more emphasis on the use of local materials for building

construction so as to reduce building costs;

The government must promote alternative strategies for housing construction, such as

provision of services and sites with basic infrastructure before making them available

for sale to individuals who need them;

The present housing difficulty in Nigeria arises not necessarily out of poverty, but

because of the absence of an effective administrative arm to mobilize and organize the

country’s natural, human, and industrial resources, amongst others for housing and

urban development;

Also revealed from this section, is that the fundamental philosophy underpinning

housing development vision in Nigeria is the existing Nigerian Constitution of 1999;

The Constitution of Nigeria does not contains justifiable socio-economic rights that

enshrines everyone’s right to have access to adequate housing;

Current governmental intervention in housing is at a level of providing an enabling

environment for the various stakeholders to help ameliorate the housing backlog.

5.4 GHANA

This section of the thesis reviews housing in Ghana. This section provides a historical overview

of housing provision in Ghana. It attempts to systematically and brings to focus the challenges

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of housing delivery by reviewing past and present housing schemes, as was the case in Nigeria.

The policies and agencies supporting housing delivery in Ghana are also explored, such as the

government, private sector and others. Lastly, a summary of the lessons learnt to date from the

literature is also presented.

5.4.1 Background

The modern day Ghana was created from the British Gold Coast Colony, established in 1874,

and the UK-administered Trusteeship Territory of Togoland, incorporated in 1956 following a

referendum. Anxiety for independence grew strongly after the Second World War. From the

early 1950s, self-government was introduced with elections in 1951, 1954 and 1956. In 1957,

Ghana became the first sub-Saharan country in colonial Africa to gain its independence. Ghana

before Independence on March 6, 1957 was called the Gold Coast. The earliest Europeans to

arrive here were the Portuguese in the 15th Century. Upon their arrival, they found so much

gold between the River Ankobra and the Volta, they subsequently named it ‘da Mina’, meaning

The Mine (Republic of Ghana, 2011).

The Republic of Ghana is a country located in West Africa Coast. Ghana is a country located

on the Gulf of Guinea, only a few degrees north of the Equator, therefore giving it a warm

climate. The country covers an area of 238,500 square kilometers (92,085 square meters). It is

surrounded by Togo to the east, Côte d'Ivoire to the west, Burkina Faso to the north and the Gulf

of Guinea (Atlantic Ocean) to the south. Map 2 shows the Republic of Ghana with the

neighbouring countries and internal sub-division.

Map 2: Map of Ghana

Source: CIA Factbook, 2012

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The Ghanaian population is estimated to be about 24,233,431 million, up from about 17.4

million in 1995 and 6.7 million in 1960 (Ghana Statistical Service, 2011). However, according

to the CIA, the World Factbook report of July, 2011, the population is estimated at 24,791,073,

which represent a growth rate of 1.02 percent. According to the Ghanaian Statistical Services,

the present population count is an average of 48.7 percent male and 51.3 percent female. The

Ghanaian population has increased by 28 percent compared to the last census of 2000. The

population annual growth rate is estimated at 2.4 percent. The United Nations projected that by

the year 2025; about 60 percent of the Ghanaian population will reside in urban areas (United

Nations, 1995). The urban population is currently estimated to be 51 percent of the total

population, with an urbanization growth rate of 3.4 percent estimated for the period 2010-2015.

The main city is Accra with a population of 2.269 million followed by Kumasi with 1.773

million. The rapid rate of urbanization in Ghana is sustained not only by the high fertility rate,

but also by the continuing rural-urban migration. In the period ranging from 1948-1960, urban

population increased in Ghana by almost one million. Today, migration is not quite as rapid,

but it still continues. In the 1980s, the average annual growth of the population for the country

was about 3.2 percent, but for the urban areas, it was about 4.2 percent (Berry, 1995); of which

much of the difference is attributed to rural-urban migration.

5.4.2 Housing in Ghana

The need to provide adequate, suitable and equitable housing has remained a major priority of

every Ghanaian government. Even though housing is a basic necessity of life, more than half

of the Ghanaian population lives in adequate houses (Government of Ghana, 2005) where they

have no access to adequate sanitary facilities, water or warmth to meet their daily physical

needs. Adequate housing is seen as one of the effective means to alleviate rural and urban

poverty, which has further external and internal effects. The lack of adequate housing has

lowered the life expectancy of the homeless according to the European Federation of National

Organizations Working with the Homeless (FEANTA, 2007), as expose they are to serious

health risks, which gravely affect their contribution to society.

In Ghana, the housing situation is said to be inadequate, but, improving. Many households,

particularly those in the cities and other urban areas, continue to live in overcrowded and

unsanitary conditions (UN-HABITAT, 2008). Their houses lack the basic amenities, such as

toilets, kitchen, bathroom, and refuse facilities. UN-Habitat (2008) has observed that the

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shortage of houses, especially in the urban areas, has given rise to very high occupancy rates,

exorbitant rent, unstable tenancies and poor living conditions. These factors, combined with

issues of land litigation, high cost of urban residential land, multiple sale of urban land, high

cost of building materials, and shortage of infrastructure and services, underline the difficulties

of housing delivery in Ghana.

Since Ghana’s independence, provision of housing has remained central to the development

agenda of the various governments. Various policies, programmes and institutions have sought

to address issues, such as land ownership, land title regulation, and the provision of affordable

housing units to the working and non-working population. However, a number of these housing

approaches were negatively affected by the lack of funds, a poor macro-economic environment

and lack of private sector participation (Bank of Ghana, 2007). Thus, compared with other

advanced countries, Ghana’s housing industry remains rudimentary. According to the Ghana

National Shelter Draft Policy Document, housing tenancy in the country ranges from home

ownership to weekly tenancy. More than half (57.4%) of the national housing stock, is owner-

occupied. Rental units represent 22.1% of the stock while rent-free and ‘perching’ constitute

19.5% and 1.0% respectively (Government of Ghana, 2005). According to the Draft Policy

Document, quite a number of the houses in which people live in are rent-free. These are usually

called ‘ebusua fie’ (family home) usually for the extended family, long after the original owners

have died. A large number of extended family members and even some ‘strangers’ live rent-

free in these homes (UN-Habitat, 2010).

In recent times however, and within the context of the improved macroeconomic environment,

characterized by low inflation rates, low interest rates and relatively stable exchange rates,

activities in Ghana’s housing sector is gaining momentum (Bank of Ghana, 2007). Although

housing demand and supply gaps that are driven by a rapidly growing middle-class, as well as

increased urbanization remains, and as asserted by the Bank of Ghana, the rising mortgage debt

outstanding to GDP ratio provides evidence that the sector has recorded moderate growth over

the past seven years in particular, albeit from a low base. The gradual improvement in housing

supply notwithstanding, the sector still faces a number of challenges, such as land acquisition,

prolonged land title and registration processes, high costs of rental units and house prices that

require policy intervention.

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5.4.3 Philosophical Basis for Housing Development in Ghana

Unlike housing development in Nigeria, which has its underpinning in its Constitution, the

philosophical basis for housing development in Ghana is not completely supported in their

constitution. The foundation is found in separate Ghana Development Plans as deemed

necessary by the previous and even the current government as a follow-up to their manifesto’s

before being elected into government. For instance, the present government involvement in

housing provision is as a result of the manifesto’s declaration, which states that: every

Ghanaian must have a home, though not necessarily own a house, as a meaningful expression

of the right to shelter. The Government Manifesto Agenda further states that: housing,

especially for the low and lower-middle income earners, will be one of the government’s top

priorities.

However, Chapter Five of the Ghanaian Constitution usually referred to as the Fundamental

Human Right and Freedom which contains the central passage on the human rights sets out a

range of rights to which every person in Ghana is entitled. Amongst these rights is that, every

person has the right to own property either alone or in association with others. That no person

shall be subjected to interference within the privacy of his home, property, correspondence or

communication except in accordance with the law and as may be necessary in a free and

democratic society for public safety or the economic well-being of the country, for the

protection of the rights or freedoms of others. Unlike the Nigerian Constitution that expresses

that the government is entrusted with the responsibility to harness the resources of the nation

to serve the common good of all and promote national prosperity based on an efficient, dynamic

and self-reliant economy, the Ghanaian Constitution is completely silent on this. However,

amongst the rights enshrined in Chapter Five of the Ghanaian Constitution, the right to housing

or adequate housing as a responsibility of the government is also not included. However, the

fact that the constitution is limited in its conception of human rights should not, in principle,

be a challenge to the protection of rights since the framers of the constitution purposefully

made the provisions on rights expandable. For instance the Ghanaian constitution states in

Article 33(5) that: “The rights, duties, declaration and guarantees relating to the fundamental

human rights and freedoms specifically mentioned in this chapter shall not be regards[sic] as

excluding others not specifically mentioned which are considered to be inherent in a democracy

and intended to secure the freedom and dignity of man”.

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The constitution accordingly makes room to include into the legal framework those rights that

are articulated and protected outside the national space, and those that might exist in the future.

Despite Ghana being a signatory to numerous international and regional treaties that enforces

the right to adequate housing like the Africa Charter, there is no visible manifestation of those

rights by the government in the provision of housing to the citizens. In effect, the governments

of Ghana present and past only make housing a priority in their political development agenda;

none have tried to include it as a right in the constitution. The national philosophy for housing

development in Ghana is the political manifestos of the ruling parties, which are not sustainable

in the long run since it is not a legal framework. Thus, the Ghanaian Constitution does not

contain justifiable socio-economic rights that directly enshrine everyone’s right to have access

to suitable and adequate housing.

5.4.4 History and Development of Housing Policy in Ghana

There has been continuous government support in the housing sector in Ghana since the

Colonial Era. According to Tipple and Korboe (1998), in the first-half of the 20th Century, the

colony of the Gold Coast including Ashanti and the Northern Protectorate, had a fairly standard

attitude towards housing construction for the time up to independence in 1957. It started with

a motivation to house the British Civil Servants in some ‘splendour’ and separate from the local

people. This was to prevent the spread of the tropical diseases such as malaria, yellow fever,

and other debilitating diseases, which had no cure at that time. After from this, nothing was

done to improve the housing conditions of the local population. However, the public housing

schemes embarked upon by consecutive governments through the State Housing Company

Limited have only be successful in providing housing for the few who are relatively rich

(Wiredu, 2000). Indeed, the huge public investments in housing throughout the years have

produced less than the expected results, which is obvious in the severe shortage of housing in

Ghana up to date.

Public housing delivery has undergone socio-political transformation in Ghana’s history. The

pre-independence era witnessed the direct involvement of government in public housing. The

emphasis on developing the housing industry gained prominence in Ghana from the late 1950s

to the early 1960s as it attained independence from colonial rule (Bank of Ghana, 2007).

According to Nelson and Ayeh (2009) and Agyemang (2001) all housing schemes initiated by

various governments from pre to post independence era were unsuccessful due to a host of

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factors and as such, the history of housing delivery in Ghana is ‘de-facto, a tale of failed

economic policies’.

As previously noted, the housing interventions during the pre-independence era took the form

of provision of staff houses for the senior public officer of the colonial governments in many

parts of the country, especially in regional capitals, towns and mining areas through direct

funding by the colonial government (Agyemang, 2001). The available housing schemes

initiated by major companies in the then Gold Coast only provided accommodation for their

expatriates, senior officers and junior workers and were not extended to the rest of the

population. It was only until the 1920s and after the incidence of the 1939 earthquake in Ghana

(Agyemang, 2001) that housing issues became more paramount. However, the main

approaches for housing improvement waited until after the Second World War; the new

emphasis on colonial development, and the need to show some gratitude to the heroic soldiers

returning from the battle fronts to their colonial homelands.

For instance, the Gold Coast Government’s first recorded and direct involvement in housing,

was in the 1920s when the Dispossessed Person‘s Housing Scheme was introduced to provide

housing for the natives dispossessed as a result of various government development

programmes. Under the scheme, which began in 1923, affected persons were given building

materials loan to commence the construction of their own houses. By 1933, 118 loans had been

approved and disbursed. The scheme was discontinued in 1933 because the Gold Coast

Government perceived it to be very expensive. This was during the tenure of Governor G.

Guggisberg‘s reign- (9th October 1919-24th April 1927) (Agyemang, 2001). From that time

onwards, little attention was paid to housing the natives until the 1939 earthquake. But, the

22nd June, 1939 earthquake in Accra, the now capital city of Ghana, called for the direct

intervention of the then government in the provision of affordable housing for the affected

population. The government provided funding to build 1000 two bedroom unit houses for the

affect people in various locations (Kwofie, Adinyira, & Botchway, 2011). By 1955, 1250 units

only were completed, which still exist up to date, but now are occupied by civil and public

servants and the armed forces. The housing provided through the earthquake intervention was

subsidized rental, and the tenants were given the opportunity to acquire them through hire-

purchase.

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Further, the Alan Burns government (29th June 1942 - 2nd August 1947) also introduced a four

year Development Plan in 1943 of which housing was considered a top priority. The plan

sought to implement the construction of inexpensive but well-built houses with as much local

material content as possible on a limited budget (Agyemang, 2001). In 1946, two new housing

schemes (Schemes A and B) under the government plan and policies were published. Scheme

A of the new housing scheme was under the direction of Department of Social Welfare. Under

this scheme, three, two and one bedroom apartments were to be constructed and rented to all

people at economic cost. Only employees were required to pay non-economic rents. The

Scheme B was termed Town and Council Housing to be concentrated in Accra, Kumasi and

Sekondi-Takoradi. Under this scheme, a person could apply for financial assistance to build

within the municipality on his own design or to adopt a pro-forma building plan from the

Department of Social Welfare of which the plan and the contractor to be responsible for the

housing construction must be approved by the town council.

In the post-independence era, several interventions have been undertaken in the Ghanaian

housing industry in an attempt for the new government to address the housing situation of those

that were deprived of housing during the pre-independence period. However, all attempts made

were considered unsuccessful by experts and stakeholders. Under the reign of Dr. Kwame

Nkrumah (6th March 1957 - 24th February, 1966), the first president of Ghana, three

development plans were formulated all aimed at the provision of adequate housing for the

citizenry. The first development plan was the five year plan from 1951-1956. This plan

established the Tema Development Corporation (TDC) and the State Housing Corporation

(SHC) (Agyemang, 2001; Bank of Ghana, 2007). The main objective of the TDC was to

provide affordable housing for the low income workers of the newly created Tema Province.

The activities of the TDC led to the creation of the Communities of Tema such, as the

communities one to eight; thus contributing over 2255 housing units. The Schockbeton

Housing Scheme was also established, which was targeted at the provision of 168 houses in

Accra, Kumasi, and Sekondi-Takoradi. This scheme was specifically under the consultancy of

a Dutch firm, which introduced pre-cast materials perceived to be cheaper but later became

more expensive than estimated and hence this led to the abandonment of the whole scheme.

Likewise, the Roof Loan Scheme, which sought to grant loans and assistance to public sector

workers under the recommendation of the United Nations, also made contribution to the

provision of housing units in Ghana. However, due to inefficiencies with the system only 2517

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units out of the originally proposed 6700 housing unit were constructed (Nelson and Ayeh,

2009). The established SHC was to provide housing for the workers in the civil and public

service class and also provide long-term housing finance. The activities of the SHC were

expanded to cover all the nine regions in the country. Their activities were monitored under the

Ministry of Works and Housing with direct funding of their projects from the central

governments and in 1995, it was converted into a limited liability company and operated as a

commercial enterprise. Their schemes operated with the flexibility of workers owning their

home through years of gradual monthly payment from salary deductions (Agyemang, 2001).

The Kwame Nkrumah Second Development Plan was instituted to continue provision of

housing from 1959-1964. This was to support the UN Commission‘s recommendations and

initiated programmes for the government to provide housing units for the citizenry. The plan

sought to continue and expand the ‘Roof Loan Scheme’, which was focused on assistance from

employers to employees through the provision of housing loans and self-help housing sites and

services (Nelson & Ayeh, 2009). The shortfall of this plan was that there was no needs-

assessment and as a result, there was no indication of projected targets and outputs in the

development plan (Agyemang, 2001). Despite the Development Plans version to provide

housing for all Ghanaians, Nkrumah‘s vision on housing was to house those in urban areas

where shortage was at its peak due to uncontrolled urbanization. However, he was not able to

see to the end of this plan before he was replaced by a different government in 1966. Generally,

the First Republican (Nkrumah) government used housing provision as a way of intervening in

population distribution through housing in towns where employment opportunities were

planned.

After the collapse of the Nkrumah’s government, the National Liberation Council (NLC) under

the leadership of Joseph Ankrah (24th February, 1966 - 3rd April 1969) took over control and

immediately adopted a two year Development Plan, which was run through the existing

systems put into place by the formal government. The NLC’s plan through the TDC and the

SHC was to produce 2,000 housing units annually. However, only a total of 1000 units were

realized. Out of the produced houses, 2.7 percent were one room apartments. According to the

housing location, 63.6 percent were constructed in Accra, 9 percent in Kumasi, 7.5 percent in

Sekondi-Takoradi and 11.3 percent in the Cape Coast. The main objective of this scheme was

to ensure that housing was generated by the productive sectors of the economy through rational

and balanced approach (Nelson & Ayeh, 2009). The Development Plan was also targeted at

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the clearance and slowing down of the growth of slums in the urban areas.

The Kofi Busia’s (1st October 1969 - 13th January 1972) administration also showed

commitment to alleviating the housing crisis confronting the nation especially in the major

Ghanaian cities by introducing a one year Development Plan. The initial one year Development

Plan (1970-1971) of the second republic, later proceeded to a seven years Development Plan.

The main objective of this plan was aimed at a house occupancy rate of ten persons per house

as against a housing occupancy rate of six persons per household as recommended by the

United Nations. The plan was also aimed at the construction of an estimated 26,000 housing

units per year. However, the plan failed to specify the housing units with their associated cost.

At the end, the scheme added just 25% (764 - SHC, 1012 – TDC = 1776) of the targeted 8,000

units, which was mostly attributed to a lack of funds (Nelson & Ayeh, 2009).

When the National Redemption Council under I. K. Acheampong (13th January 1972 - 9th

October 1975) took over government in 1972, they quickly established the National Low Cost

Housing Committee under the auspices of the Ministry of Works and Housing. This plan

initially received a capital injection of 10 million Cedis to construct low cost housing for low-

income households in the urban areas across the ten Ghanaian regions. The plan had an annual

projected delivery of 2,300 units (Nelson & Ayeh, 2009). By June, 1975, the scheme had only

realized 5,466 units at a cost of 47,602,678 Cedis. The scheme was however abandoned in

1976 because of its failure to serve the targeted population due to its associated high cost

(Nelson & Ayeh, 2009). For instance, the original estimate indicated a cost of between 2,000 -

4 ,000 Cedis depending on the size; but upon completion of 5,466 units, an average per unit

cost stood at 10,000 Cedis ($9,803.92). Furthermore, 6,000 units cost a total sum of 62.6

million Cedis, thus increasing the average cost to over 12,000 Cedis. The government

acknowledging its limitation with funding sought to encourage the private sector to

complement her effort (Agyemang, 2001).

The Hilla Liman (24th September 1979 - 31st December 1981) Government also recognized

the enormity of the housing problems and thus contributed to the building of 1990 rental units

through the SHC and 228 by the TDC (Benjamin, 2007; Nelson & Ayeh, 2009). However,

because of the poor economic performance in Ghana with the rising energy crisis, rising costs

of oil, excessively high rise in imported building materials, decline in external funding, the

Ghanaian construction industry was brought to a halt which impeded the construction of houses

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as planned by the Liman Administration. It was against this background that the Liman

government sought to invest in the development of the use of local materials leading through

to the establishment of the Tile and Brick Factory (Benjamin, 2007).

The Jerry J. Rawlings Era (31st December, 1981 - 7th January, 1993, 7th January, 1993 - 7th

January, 2001) saw the implementation of many schemes in an attempt to solve the housing

problems that other past administrators could not solve. Amongst the introduced schemes were

the National Shelter Strategy, Ghana Vision 2020 and the Structural Adjustment Programme

(SAP) and Economic Recovery Programme.

The National Shelter Strategy initiated in 1986, led to the formation of the National Housing

Policy Committee by the Ministry of Works and Housing (MOWH) to examine the housing

situation in Ghana. The intention was to establish an appropriate government policy and action

plan that seeks to provide adequate and decent housing units in order to improve the quality of

life of the people in urban and rural areas (Bank of Ghana, 2007). The focus of this committee

was on constraints in housing delivery, especially in the area of housing finance, land, physical

planning, infrastructure, building materials, design and construction and coordination delivery

efforts. The report of the committee culminated in a National Housing Policy and Action Plan

covering the period 1987 through to 1990. Prior to the formation of the Action Plan, the

MOWH had identified the need for a comprehensive National Shelter Strategy (NSS) and an

enhancement of the Ministry’s planning capacity to implement housing policies. The strategy

sought to: implement a revised national housing sector policy and action plan for short, medium

and long-term strategies for Ghana, with emphasis on rural communities in order to assist them

to improve their existing shelter or improve access to the means for providing their own shelter;

develop non-conventional housing delivery systems which encourages community

participation at all levels and with emphasis on local authorities playing a substantial role in

the management and development of housing. In summary, the NSS was to create an enabling

environment and framework to enhance housing provision rather than the full participation of

the government to the delivery of housing

The Ghana Vision 2020 Scheme had the First Medium-Term Development plan from 1997-

2000, target at the provision of affordable low-income housing units, which is within the reach

of the poor in order to improve their living conditions (Bank of Ghana, 2007). The vision

introduced a new facility under the Social Provident Scheme, which permitted contributors to

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withdraw part of their contributions to purchase a house. Unfortunately, due to lack of funds,

low private sector participation and political will, none of the housing strategies under this plan

were implemented or have been implemented to date as 2020 is still a long way away.

No considerable additions had been made to public housing from 1985 to 2000. Nevertheless,

the John A. Kuffour government (7th January, 2001 - 7th January, 2009) also pursued the

reduction of the crisis situation of the housing sector through the initiation of about 20,000

affordable housing units in 2001. In 2007, building of about 4,500 units from bed sitter, single

and two bedroom apartment had started at various locations. This represented the new

government‘s effort to ease the housing problems in the country. The main target group of this

scheme was the civil and public servants. Unfortunately, before the expiration of the Kuffour

Government, not a single unit was completed and most has been taken over by squatters. The

scheme was discontinued by the new government in 2009.

The government of John Evans Atta Mills (7th January, 2009 – December 2012) drove for the

provision of housing in Ghana, which is fully enshrined in the Coordinated Programme of

Economic and Social Development Policies, 2010 – 2016; an agenda for shared growth and

accelerated development for a better Ghana. The Coordinated Programme of the Economic and

Social Development Policies is a strategic blueprint for directing national priorities in the

medium-term and for providing a framework for channeling national aspirations towards

accelerated industrial development. On careful scrutiny, the agenda is an expanded manifesto

of the National Democratic Congress presented in 2004 entitled ‘A Better Ghana’. The agenda

is operationalized to guide the execution of development policy and related activities at all

levels of the governance structure (GoG, 2010). The present government recognizing the ever

increasing population growth, rural-urban migration and the re-classification of settlements

from rural to urban and other population growth dynamics, which have contributed to the rapid

urbanization of Ghanaian towns and cities refuses to make a commitment to the exact number

of housing units to be constructed. Instead, a different approach was adopted to provide an

enabling environment for all stakeholders to participate in the housing delivery process. The

government informed that a special effort would be made, together with local and international

private sector partners, to launch a new national housing initiative to begin the rationalization

of the housing market in order to provide affordable housing for Ghanaians.

The involvement of the quasi-government institutions in the Ghanaian housing delivery cannot

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be overlooked. Towards the end of the decade (1980-1990), the Social Security and National

Insurance Trust (SSNIT) expanded on its programmes to build housing for its staff across the

country. Though this was originally targeted at its staff, it was later expanded in 1988 in a

significant investment in housing at a ‘social’ and not market prices, providing a lower option

for the general public to also benefit from the scheme. However, at the end of construction,

SSNIT could not attain its objective for the poor and low-income earners/groups. The project

however benefited the middle and upper income classes (Benjamin, 2007). Also, another

SSNIT’s notable schemes were the 1637 units at Sakumono, where its success led to it being

repeated across the country in Anaji- Takoradi, Koforidua, Wa, Adenta-Accra, Kumasi

amongst others (Amoa-Mensah, 1999). Conversely, in 1999, when Ghana’s financial crisis hit

its peak, SSNIT was unable to continue operating its social rental units at a loss in so much that

its reduced rents were higher than what most Ghanaians could afford. Being saddled with huge

operational and maintenance cost, the trust began the process of divesting most of its real estate

assets. As of today, they have sold out almost more than 92 percent of its housing units.

Likewise, the State Housing Company (SHC), after its recapitalization in 1995, adapted a new

approach to housing delivery. Under this scheme, prospective home owners were given the

opportunity to finance their own home after first making a down payment of about 20-25% of

the cost of the building. This has come with little success, as many of the units are overrun in

time and cost. This scheme was carried out in all the regions where SHC operates. Also, the

Ghanaian Real Estate Development Association (GREDA) was formed to help improve the

dismal housing deficit, especially through the adoption of best practices in construction and its

management. Notwithstanding the expansive role of the GREDA in recent times, housing

supply has not increased any further (Ahadzie, 2008; Bank of Ghana, 2007). Since its formation

in 1988, the association has delivered a total of 10,954 housing units (Mahama, 2004). The

delivery from the formal Real Estate Developers (GREDA) annually at its peak, averaged 2,500

units constituting less than 10% of the total annual delivery. This is a drop in the ocean,

compared to the then annual housing requirement of 199,000 units. The actual delivery was

purported to be between 25,000 to 30,000 units.

5.4.5 Housing Policy in Ghana

From the above analysis of the history and development of housing policy in Ghana, it can be

inferred that the main policy directions in Ghana have been in the direct supply of quite a small

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numbers of dwellings and a number of measures to influence demand. These have included

provision of low-income housing for the civil servants and others, rent subsidies and

subsequent purchase of government-built dwellings; subsidised interest rates for borrowers

from the few institutions concerned with housing finance, and a very successful rent control

regime starting in 1943 and only relaxed in 1987 (Tipple & Korboe, 1998). The National

Shelter Strategy and the Ghana Vision 2020 represent the current direction of urban housing

policy in Ghana with the United Nations assistance ran by the Ministry of Works and Housing.

Its six main objectives are:

improving the quality of shelter;

improving the environment of human settlements;

making shelter programmes more accessible to the poor;

promoting private sector involvement through an enabling policy environment;

encouraging rental housing; and

promoting orderly growth with infrastructure in place.

Until the early 1980s, housing was regarded as a social service in Ghana, which was to be

enjoyed by both the rich and poor. In the light of high incidence of poverty, income inequality

and acute housing shortages in Ghana, the consideration of housing as a social policy became

a matter of critical necessity. Housing provision in Ghana reflected this beliefs until it was

realized that this approach had left the government-approved bodies seriously indebted and

liable, and even unable to house the poor. A general shift in the national ideology in Ghana in

the early 1980s when the economy was liberalized which resulted in a re-orientation of the

approach to housing delivery. Housing is now seen as an economic commodity, which is

produced and sold for profit. The corresponding institutional response was the metamorphosing

of the State Housing Corporation into a limited liability company, which is expected to now

show maximum returns on investments in housing. However, public housing has and is still

not meeting the housing demand in Ghana. Besides, the supplied houses are widely not suitable

for the users. Grave housing inequalities are therefore visible in Ghanaian urban areas in the

form of slums and squatters settlement.

5.4.6 Challenges Facing the Provision of Housing in Ghana

The forgoing discussions reveal that the housing industry in Ghana is inundated / plagued with

an array of challenges. Currently, Ghana is facing an acute housing problem with a housing

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deficit being in excess of 400,000 units. The most vulnerable groups are the urban and rural

poor whose houses are mostly constructed with sub-standard materials with little or no basic

services and infrastructure, including proper drainage and waste disposal systems. The key

challenges mitigating against effective housing delivery in Ghana, include the following:

poverty, land cost and its accessibility; finance, high cost of mortgage; infrastructure

development; development approval procedures; availability and cost of building materials;

institutional co-ordination; and a lack of adequate governance for shelter provision. In view of

this, the ultimate goal of the country’s shelter policy is to provide adequate, decent and

affordable housing that is accessible and sustainable with infrastructural facilities to satisfy the

needs of Ghanaians. Other factors also responsible for the inadequate provision of housing in

Ghana include: absence of clearly defined national housing policy; managerial inefficiencies;

high cost of building materials; lack of access to sustainable capital/finance; and Lack of

control and regulatory policy framework for rent (Bank of Ghana, 2007).

5.4.7 Housing in Ghana – Needs, Demand and Supply

Provision of housing in Ghana has witnessed fragmented and un-sustained effort from

individuals, private developers and the government. This situation has contributed to the huge

housing deficit encounter currently experienced in Ghana. The shortage of housing continues

to be one of the most critical socio-economic challenges facing the country at the present

moment. The rapid increase in population has resulted in a large housing deficit, especially in

the urban areas. This has manifested in overcrowding and the development of slums. According

to the Government of Ghana (2010), there is insufficient housing stock to meet the ever-

increasing demand for housing in the urban areas. Recent estimates indicate that there is a

housing backlog of more than one million units of houses nationwide. It is further estimated

that to replace this shortfall, annual national housing delivery should be approximately 120,000

housing units. However, the supply capacity nationally is 42,000 units per annum. Thus 60 per

cent of the national requirements will remain unsatisfied each year. Demand for housing is

higher in the major cities of the country, such as Accra, Kumasi, Tema, amongst others.

The main sources of housing demand in Ghana include: locally resident Ghanaians, non-

resident Ghanaians, expatriates living in Ghana, corporate organizations, and foreigners. An

increasing number of people from the West Africa sub-region also contribute greatly to the

demand for housing in Ghana. The Ghana housing supply source has a long history as

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enumerated above. The government through the state-owned housing corporation has played a

significant role in housing delivery albeit, not enough to cater for the entire low-income earners

and poor groups. However, under the Government Liberalization Policy, since 1992 and the

current agenda for shared growth and accelerated development for a better Ghana, the state has

significantly reduced its role in the housing sector and encouraged the participation of the

private sector to provide housing. The Social Security and National Insurance Trust (SNIT), a

para-statal organization, has over the years developed a number of high income and middle

income housing either directly or through joint ventures.

5.4.8 Lessons Learnt from Ghana Housing Studies

The lessons learnt to date from the Ghanaian housing studies are not far from those achieved

by the Nigerian Government, which are:

Since Ghana’s independence, provision of housing has remained central to all

development agenda of the various governments as evident from the review of the

housing policy from the pre to post-colonial eras;

Also, various governmental administrations and institutions have sought to address

issues such as land ownership, land title regulation, and the provision of affordable

housing units to the working and non-working population;

From the above analysis of the history and development of housing policy in Ghana,

the literature revealed that the main housing policy directions in Ghana have been in

the direct supply of quite a small number of dwellings and a number of measures to

influence demand;

Also, the National Shelter Strategy and the Ghana vision 2020 is the country’s current

direction of urban housing policy in Ghana with the United Nations’ assistance, which

was formulated by the Ministry of Works and Housing. However subsequent

governments have re-modified the strategies and the vision to suit their own various

manifestos and purpose;

There was a shift from the formal national ideology in Ghanaian housing when the

economy was liberalized, resulting in the re-orientation of the approach to housing

delivery. Housing is now currently seen as an economic commodity in Ghana, which is

produced and sold for profit;

The Constitution of Ghana does not contain justifiable socio-economic rights that

enshrines everyone’s right to have access to adequate housing;

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Further revealed from this section is that fundamental philosophy underpinning housing

development vision in Ghana are the various political manifestos of the various

governments that have ruled Ghana;

Current government intervention in housing is at a level of providing enabling

environment for the various stakeholders to help ameliorate the housing backlog.

5.5 HOUSING POLICY ISSUES: NIGERIA AND GHANA

Since housing has been recognised as a basic human need, policy programmes that promote a

housing sector capable of supplying adequate housing to the population are fundamental goals

of government’s social development strategy. Well-designed policies supporting the

production and consumption of housing services have significant impact on development. Not

only do they promote the expansion of the construction industry and hence, a push to growth

in GDP, they also help stabilize an economy that is responsive to price bubbles. Above all, they

increase the welfare of the population, particularly the urban and rural poor, by improving

living conditions, quality of life and expanding their physical assets. In view of these, a number

of policy considerations are imperative for Nigeria and Ghana to make giant strides in the area

of housing development and provision to their citizens:

1. There is the need to establish a well-defined system of housing finance to fund the

construction of new structures and trading of existing properties. This can be achieved

with the creation of a vibrant secondary mortgage market. This is based on the notion

that an efficient mortgage industry thrives on the increased secondary housing market

activities.

2. Establishment of a strong legal and regulatory framework, which comprises consistent

and holistic set of laws in areas such as property rights, collateral, foreclosures amongst

others, in the housing sector is highly required.

3. Also, alternative strategies to enhance mortgage financing that will benefit low to

middle-income earners and increase their access to affordable housing units could also

be pursued in conjunction with the private sector as part of a broader strategy to narrow

the countries housing deficit (Nigeria – 16 million housing deficit whilst Ghana has a

million housing deficit).

4. Finally, creation of land banks with major infrastructure facilities like roads, electricity

and water, as well as the establishment of land courts and decentralized land

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administration systems may be considered as part of efforts toward the downscaling of

housing prices in the country. This calls for the amendment of the Land Use Decree of

1978 in Nigeria.

5.6 CONCLUSION

In this chapter, housing in developing countries was discussed with emphasis being given to

Nigeria and Ghana. According to the literature, the government of Ghana has a detailed track

record of a holistic national support for the provision of housing to its populace. However, with

the recent general development plan for the Ghanaian economy, the government has distanced

itself from the old practice of housing provision to supporting housing delivery by other

stakeholders. Likewise, the Nigerian government has been very influential in the provision of

housing to its citizens, but the challenge is that the low-income and the disadvantaged groups

for which the housing programmes, designed do not benefit from the programme as the

processes are politicized. The Nigerian Government has embarked on the provision of housing

for its citizens with a good Housing Policy Framework to fight the huge housing backlog.

However, the problem with management and implementation of housing policy by the agencies

given the responsibility has made these laudable policies ineffective. Also, it was found that

the present housing difficulty in Nigeria arises not necessarily from poverty, but because of the

absence of effective administrative machinery to mobilize and organize the country’s natural,

human, and industrial resources, amongst others; for housing and urban development. To date,

there is no government housing subsidy programme in place to help provide houses for the low

income groups. Nevertheless, a fundamental finding from the reviewed literature in both

countries revealed that their Constitutions does not explicitly contain justifiable socio-

economic rights that enshrine everyone’s right to have access to adequate housing despite being

signatories to international treaties, which advances the right to adequate housing. The next

chapter will focus on the review of literature of housing development in South Africa.

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CHAPTER SIX

HOUSING IN SOUTH AFRICA

6.1 INTRODUCTION

This chapter of the thesis provides an outline of housing legislation and jurisprudence, policy

and implementation in South Africa since 1994. It outlines the housing legislative and policy

framework in South Africa; examining the Constitution with specific reference to the Bill of

Rights and the Right to Housing; the National Housing Code; and the National Housing

Programmes categorized therein with a specific focus on State subsidised housing (Housing

Subsidy Scheme). This chapter is also focused on an overview of the developments in housing

policy since 1994, including a summary of the negotiations at the National Housing Forum

held between 1992 and 1994. The section further examines the supreme policy framework

contained in the 1994 White Paper on Housing, and the problems associated with the

Reconstruction and Development Programme (RDP) houses (subsidised houses) built after

1994. This is necessary because the focal point of the thesis is on the RDP houses built after

1994. The chapter also discusses the 2004 Breaking New Ground Policy Amendment, amongst

others. Lastly, a summary of the lessons learnt to date from the literature is presented and a

comparison is drawn between South African and the two Africa countries (Nigeria and Ghana)

reviewed in the previous chapter.

6.2 HOUSING POLICY TRENDS IN SOUTH AFRICA

The housing environment in South Africa (SA) is complex, in large part due to the deliberate

policy and legislative framework of socio-economic and spatial exclusion and marginalization

created during the Apartheid Era. Also, the complexity of the housing process in SA is due to

many failures and a full understanding of the problems by the Apartheid Government and the

inability of the Post-Apartheid State Government to satisfactorily redress these problems since

1994. However, it must be genuinely acknowledged that the Post-Apartheid State Governance

has been actively involved in trying to create a level playing ground field for the previously

disadvantage and also trying to repair the disadvantaged condition created by almost 42 years

of the Apartheid Government. Simply put, it is easier to destroy than to create - so much so that

the Post-Apartheid Government has been faced with a situation that is not irreparable and

manageable, but a situation that needs patience and a little firmness to address. Hence, as with

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other socio-economic rights, the legislative and policy framework created by the national

government around housing is progressive in addressing the situation on the ground. However,

implementation to date has been skewed and unable to address the land, housing and basic

services needs of millions of poor South Africans, who still lack adequate housing and access

to water, sanitation and electricity (Tissington, 2011). Whilst the urban and rural spatial divide

still remains pronounced in respect of access to socio-economic goods and services, the

phenomenon of the inadequately housed urban poor is increasing. Redressing the inherited

inequalities of the Apartheid State has established a complex and challenging context for

meeting basic needs in contemporary South Africa. Given the physical and political segregation

of Apartheid, meeting the demand for housing has been a central development challenge since

1994 (Pottie, 2004). However, apartheid alone cannot be held responsible for the housing

conditions in South Africa but equally no account of housing policy and conditions can be

credible if it does not take into account the history of South Africa and the colonial legacy of

the African continent (Goodlad, 1996).

Much of the debate in respect of the SA housing policy has been centered on the politico-

economic background of the policy itself. The policy has been described by some as an

extension of World Bank neo-liberalism, while others have labeled it as economically

conservative (Pottie, 2003). However the South Africa housing policy is rather the result of a

mixed bag of international influences and local creativity - mostly due to the policy of spatial

segregation in the Apartheid State, which contributed to a policy which is defined in terms of

‘scan globally, reinvent locally’ principle according to Gilbert (2004). Clearly seen, a number

of World Bank policy elements comprise an integral part of the South Africa policy, for

example, the emphasis on incremental housing, economic conservatism, the once-off subsidy

element and the instrumental role of formal ownership (Marais, 2007). However, it should also

be acknowledged that two important differences are discernible in the South African policy.

Firstly, the South African policy suggests that only housing structures should be subsidised.

Whilst the World Bank policy suggests that only site and services should be subsidised.

Secondly, as the South African policy has developed, an increasing emphasis has been placed

on housing size – a factor which does not comprise part of the World Bank policy (Marais,

2007).

Although it can be contended that the current South African housing policy was founded on

the RDPs basic needs approach, which emphasises providing the poor with basic shelter, public

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services and addressing the social unequal nature of the Apartheid State. The South African

housing agenda has objectives that go beyond this. For instance, an important aim in the policy

is that housing should contribute to the national economy. Also, in line with the World Bank’s

view of the 1990’s, the South African housing policy also aims to enable the housing markets

to work. Hence, the housing programmes are expected to contribute to the development of

urban citizenship with the creation of new communities of home owners helping to develop a

democratic and integrated society.

However, certain key dimensions of the current policy framework cannot be fully grasped in

isolation from an understanding of the legacy bequeathed by South Africa’s peculiar history

(Wilkinson, 1998). In a very direct sense, the problems of the past have profoundly shaped the

situation to which the present policy seeks to respond. The next section of this chapter presents

a historic development of the evolution of housing policy in South Africa.

6.2.1 The Evolution of Housing Policy in South Africa

According to Wilkinson (1998), housing policy is an element of the trend of all modern states

in the twentieth century, in order to intervene extensively in the societies over which they

exercise power. The moment South Africa first emerged as a recognisable policy arena in the

early 1920s, housing policy was greatly involved in the state’s efforts to establish and maintain

a particular social order, sometimes referred to as ‘racial capitalism’ (Saul & Gelb, 1981;

Wilkinson, 1998). The housing policy in South Africa has generally been a contentious issue,

since 1910. De Loor (1992) refers to housing as either or both emotional and a very personal

issue in South Africa.

When the Union government was established in 1910, they developed several strategies in form

of ‘ACT’ (decrees) to control the movement of blacks, especially in areas referred to as white

urban areas. Since 1910, to the end of the segregation rule, various approaches were used to

advance the inhumane idea. Most significantly from the literature was the drafting of the

Segregation Policy, which was advanced at national and provincial level of government.

Foremost in the Acts, was the Natives’ Land Act 27 of 1913. This Act was concerned with land

issues, and since land and housing issues are inextricably linked, this also effected the provision

of housing for the blacks and other groups (Phago, 2010). The enactment of the Native Land

Act 27 of 1913, cemented housing policy issues in the apartheid era, which created the divide

in housing issues up to date. This meant that houses could only be built where the land had

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been made available through proper government approval. As such, the Native Land Act 27 of

1913 had direct implications on the housing situation in the country since it specified the

territorial separation of the black and white races (Morris, 1981; Reader’s Digest, 1989; South

African Native National Congress, 1916).

According to De Loor (1992) and Morris (1981), following the establishment of the Native

Land Act 27 of 1913, the then Central Housing Board introduced the first housing policy

documents in 1920, called the Housing Act 35 of 1920. The purpose of the Board through the

drafting of the Housing Act was to have a control of the development of houses in local

authorities, with a special control on the mechanisms of financing, which had a sinister motive

to deprive the blacks and other groups of any assistance to receive housing. De Loor (1992)

and Morris (1981) further inform that during the first two decades of the Board’s existence,

expenditure was allocated to alleviating the housing plight of poor whites only without any

extension to the blacks and other groups. Nonetheless, a broader evaluation of the Housing Act

by Rodgers (1980) indicates that the Housing Act only strengthened the policy of separate

development. Besides, although these policies were introduced with good intentions such as

developing communities based on their ethnic locations, it was later more evident that housing

became an instrument for the implementation of the policy of separate development.

Following the Land Act of 1913, the Housing Act 35 of 1920, the Native Act of 1923 were

also enacted. This Act lasted for more than 60 years, until its desertion in 1986 on attempts to

enforce ‘influx control’ on African urbanization. The key provisions of this legislation

remained at the core of efforts to be achieved, during the 1930s, ‘total segregation’ and, after

the National Party Government came to power in 1948, ‘Grand Apartheid’. The ‘Stallard

Principle’ (1923 Natives Act) itself held that the right of municipal ‘enfranchisement’ should

be denied to African urban residents only if they are given right to permanent residence in those

areas (Wilkinson, 1998). This policy directly withdrew the rights of the blacks to freehold

tenure of urban land. Consequently, ‘the native’ was to be permitted to enter the ‘white’ cities

and towns only ‘to minister to the needs of the white man and should depart therefrom (to

return to the ‘Reserves’) when he ceases so to minister’ (Transvaal Provincial Administration,

1922). Thus, blacks were considered as ‘temporary citizens’ in all areas outside of their

homelands. As a result of this, South Africa continued to develop housing backlogs, which still

continues to date. Inherent in all the enacted decrees was the policy of separate development

propagated by the Apartheid Government to deceive the world into accepting Apartheid

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Policies as another developmental approach with no racial degradation pertinent to South

Africans (Phago, 2010).

On the other hand, a considerable number of Africans were already long established in the

major urban centres, with some already having acquired freehold on properties. The

implementation of the Stallardist doctrine required that a comprehensive system of social

control be established (Wilkinson, 1988). Hence, the first element of this system eventually

became a massive accretion, of truly Kafkaesque complexity, of ‘pass laws’ and labour bureaus

which, apart from their primary task of regulating the supply of African labour to the various

sectors of the economy, could be used to control the movement of Africans to the ‘white’ urban

areas (Hindson, 1987). The second element of the system was the institutionalisation of the

form of residential segregation known successively as the ‘location’ or ‘township’. According

to Wilkinson (1998), the fundamental purpose underlying the prolonged and often ferociously

contested efforts to segregate the African urban population into separate residential areas, was

to regulate the degree of permanence with which the African population could establish itself

there. Thus, it is in relation to this strategy of ‘containing’ African urbanization (Fair &

Schmidt, 1974) through a cruel but highly developed racial oppression that the evolution of

South African housing policy must be understood (Wilkinson, 1998).

Prior to 1920, the only efforts to regulate or improve the generally very poor housing conditions

of Africans living in the urban areas in South Africa were irregular ventures by the larger local

authorities to clear so-called ‘plague spots’ and a few half-hearted efforts to establish municipal

‘native locations’, invariably far removed from the rest of the city or town. In contrast to this,

the provision of barracks and compounds to house single and domestic workers, usually

migrants, was already well established. However, for Africans and, in general, the poorer

sections of the population as a whole, were left to cater largely for themselves, with many

ending up in squalid, overcrowded and very unhealthy slum tenements or ‘yards’ (Wilkinson,

1998). However, Morris (1981) states that during this period, blacks in the rural areas were

accustomed to building their own traditional dwellings. According to Phago (2010), this

finding from the work of Morris (1981) has attracted considerable interest from the post-1994

government as this form of development (building of traditional dwellings) has contributed to

the fact that proper and quality housing in South Africa is an integral part of government policy

to the provision of housing.

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Furthermore, the formation of the very first Central Housing Board (CHB) in terms of the 1920

Housing Act was a direct consequence of public concern about the impact of the devastating

influenza epidemic of 1918. The formation seems also to have reflected a growing unease,

which subsequently underpinned the codification of the ‘Stallard Principle’ in the 1923 Urban

Areas legislation about the accelerated influx of Africans into the urban and industrial heartland

during the First World War (Rich, 1978). The CHB provided the somewhat limited means to

enable black access to adequate housing, while the Urban Areas Act had the objective, of the

programme of residential segregation of the African population, which gradually unfolded

during the 1920s and 1930s in the larger centres. For the most part, the initiation of ‘slum

clearance’ schemes and the building of municipal ‘locations’ were hindered during the period

between the World Wars by the continuing unwillingness and the limited capacity of the local

authorities to bear the costs involved in fulfilling their statutory obligations (Wilkinson, 1998).

The central government, on the other hand, prevented any extension of its financial

responsibilities for executing residential segregation in the urban areas, which devolved

essentially to making subsidies available for the provision of very basic ‘sub-economic’ houses

by the local authorities (Wilkinson, 1998).

In the beginning, the newly installed Nationalist Government directed its attention primarily to

choke off what had become an only partially controlled flow of Africans to the cities. By the

end of 1950, Hendrik Verwoerd the key ideologue of Apartheid was brought into the Cabinet

as Minister of Native Affairs and, with the assistance of Dr W. M. Eiselen as his Departmental

Secretary; he moved with a single-minded determination to resolve the ‘Bantu housing

problem’ to truly accord with the commitment of the National Party’s 1948 election manifesto

which was the ‘ideal of total Apartheid’. According to Hart’s (1990), the policy of separate

development was further reinforced in spite of media reports condemning it and despite the

international stance towards South Africa. One aspect of the proposed resolution of the ‘Bantu

housing problem’ involved an effort to eliminate the apparently uncontrollable areas ‘held in

Native ownership’. According to Wilkinson (1998), the instant target was undoubtedly the

various so-called ‘black spots’ on the perimeters of some of the larger centres, which generally

had their origins in irregular sales of land to Africans during a slump in the property market

after the South African War at the turn of the century. However, the fundamental attack was

on the right of Africans to freehold land tenure in ‘white’ areas. In retrospect, all efforts to

address the other aspects, such as the ‘provision of adequate housing in properly planned Native

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townships’, can now be seen to have produced a material legacy which came to lie at the centre

of subsequent attempts to restructure the South African housing policy (Wilkinson, 1998).

According to De Loor’s (1992) the period between 1978 and 1986 was evidently a resistance

period through the perpetuation of violence in townships and mass industrial actions.

Accordingly, through such pressures, the then National Party Government introduced reform

measures to address the economic and political crises, such as poverty and political unrest

during that period. One of the most important victories for blacks was the acceptance by the

then Apartheid Government of the permanence of black settlements in non-homeland cities

and towns, as well as the introduction of new institutions to accommodate regional labour

markets. Furthermore, Hart (1990) argues that the release of political prisoners and the

subsequent commencement of the democratic negotiations during 1990 brought about a new

direction in the housing policy, especially through the appointment of the De Loor Commission

of enquiry in 1991. The Commission was tasked to investigate the status quo regarding housing

matters and to advise on the new housing policy and strategy. The new housing policy and

strategy, generally viewed as the housing vision, was intended to encompass principles such as

adequate shelter for all, security of tenure, equitable access to potable water, sanitary facilities

and refuse removal as well as access to energy sources, including electricity (De Loor, 1992).

6.2.2 Housing Statutory and Policy Framework in South Africa

It is imperative to note at this very point, that the details of the current housing policy in South

Africa remains somewhat fluid and that the overall policy framework has yet to be cast in its

final statutory form. According to Wilkinson (1998), this on-going fluidity is undoubtedly due,

for the most part, to the significant political changes that the country has undergone in the last

few years, since the installation of South Africans’ first fully democratic government in mid-

1994 and the initial adoption of the ‘Reconstruction and Development Programme’ (RDP)

presented by the African National Congress (ANC) in 1994. This is an overarching framework

for the formulation and implementation of policy in a wide range of social and economic policy

arenas, including housing.

The South African current housing policy is rooted in the 1994 Housing White Paper. The

fundamental policy and development principles introduced by the Housing White Paper

remains relevant and guide all developments in respect of housing policy and implementation.

The fundamental policy framework of the South Africa housing policy established in the White

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Paper, which was published in December 1994, contains the fundamental principles of the

government’s housing policy to achieve the housing vision. The housing vision is underpinned

by principles of sustainability, viability, integration, equality, re-construction, holistic

development and good governance. According to the Department of Human Settlement, the

South African housing policy and strategy must contribute to a non-racial, non-sexist,

democratically integrated society. The goal is to improve the quality of living of all South

Africans with an emphasis on the poor and those who cannot independently satisfy their basic

housing needs. Furthermore, the government’s human settlement development mandate

emanates from the South Arica Constitution, of 1996. Based on the provisions of the

constitution, it is the government’s duty to work progressively towards ensuring that all South

Africans have access to secure tenure, housing, basic services, materials, facilities and

infrastructure on a progressive basis. The government is therefore required to apply legislative,

administrative, financial, educational and social measures to fulfill its housing obligations. The

following is a list of some of the primary and secondary legislation relating to various

regulatory, financial, technical, environmental, institutional and developmental aspects of

housing in South Africa enacted within the past seventeen years:

Primary legislations

Constitution of the Republic of South Africa, 1996 (Constitution);

Prevention of Illegal Eviction from and Unlawful Occupation of Land Act 19 of 1998

(PIE Act);

Housing Act 107 of 1997 (Housing Act);

Housing Consumers Protection Measures Act 95 of 1998;

Housing Amendment Act 28 of 1999;

Rental Housing Act 50 of 1999 (Rental Housing Act);

Housing Second Amendment Act 60 of 1999;

Local Government: Municipal Systems Act 32 of 2000 (Municipal Systems Act);

Housing Amendment Act 4 of 2001;

Rental Housing Amendment Act 43 of 2007;

National Norms and Standards for the Construction of Stand Alone Residential;

Dwellings Financed through National Housing Programmes (2007) (National Norms

And Standards);

Social Housing Act 16 of 2008 (Social Housing Act); and

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Housing Development Agency Act 23 of 2008.

Secondary legislations

Expropriation Act 63 of 1975;

National Building Regulations and Building;

Standards Act 103 of 1977 (NBRA);

Sectional Titles Act 95 of 1986 (amended by Acts 24 and 29 of 2003);

Environment Conservation Act 73 of 1989 (amended by Act 79 of 1992);

Land Titles Adjustment Act 111 of 1993 (LTA);

Development Facilitation Act 67 of 1995 (DFA);

Land Reform (Labour Tenants) Act 3 of 1996;

Interim Protection of Informal Land Rights Act 31 of 1996;

Extension of Security of Tenure Act 62 of 1997 (ESTA);

Water Services Act 108 of 1997;

National Environmental Management Act 107 of 1998 (NEMA);

Public Finance Management Act 1 of 1999 (PFMA);

Home Loan and Mortgage Disclosure Act 63 of 2000;

Division of Revenue Act 7 of 2003 (DORA);

Municipal Finance Management Act 56 of 2003 (MFMA);

Intergovernmental Relations Framework Act 13 of 2005 (IRFA); and

Co-operatives Act 14 of 2005.

In the following sections, highlights of the important information contained in the Constitution

of the Republic of South Africa, 1996 (Constitution) and key housing-related policy and

legislation, including the Housing Act 107 of 1997 (amended by Acts 28 and 60 of 1999; Act

4 of 2001) (Housing Act) will be discussed.

6.2.2.1 Constitution of the Republic of South Africa (1996)

The fundamental philosophy underpinning housing development goals in South Africa is the

existing South Africa Constitution of 1996. The Constitution of the Republic of South Africa

of 1996 is the supreme law of the country. It is the basis of all activity in the Republic of South

Africa. This means that any law or conduct that is inconsistent with the Constitution is invalid,

and that the obligations that it imposes must be fulfilled. Everything done must conform to

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what is contained within the Constitution. In the context of Post-Apartheid South Africa, it is

significant that on the basis of the Constitution, National Housing Policy as contained within

the Housing White Paper and the Housing Codes applies equally to the total geographic area

of the Republic of South Africa. At a most basic level, the constitution defines the fundamental

values, such as equality, human dignity, and freedom of movement and residence, to which the

housing policy subscribes. These notions are also contained broadly in the Bill of Rights, in

Chapter 2 of the Constitution. Two components of the constitution especially relevant to

housing are: the specific right to have access to adequate housing, as enshrined in section 26

of the Constitution; and the powers of national, provincial and local governments with respect

to housing activities are framed by the concept of ‘concurrent competence’ and developmental

local government.

The Constitution also contains justifiable socio-economic rights and enshrines everyone’s right

to access to adequate housing. For instance, in the Bill of Rights in Chapter 2 of the

Constitution, section 26(1-3) outlines: “Everyone has the right to have access to adequate

housing. The state must take reasonable legislative and other measures, within its available

resources, to achieve the progressive realisation of this right…” The Bill of Rights also includes

a number of other rights, which relate either directly or indirectly to the enjoyment of the right

to housing. These include, among others:

Everyone has inherent dignity and the right to have their dignity respected and

protected (section 10);

No one may be deprived of property except in terms of the law of general

application, and no law may permit arbitrary deprivation of property (section

25(1)); and

Everyone has the right to sufficient water (section 27(b)) (The Water Services Act

108 of 1997);

Every child has the right to basic shelter (section 28(c)).

While Section 26(1) of the Constitution enshrines that everyone has the right to access to

adequate housing and that it is the government’s responsibility to take reasonable legislative

and other measures, within its available resources, to achieve the progressive realisation of this

right. When defining the concept of adequate housing, the wording of the housing right

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provision corresponds with the International Covenant on Economic, Social and Cultural

Rights (1966). However, the concept of ‘adequate housing’ is not easy to define as it depends

on the exact context and circumstances of households and individuals, together with their needs

and priorities (Tissington, 2011). Similarly, the right to housing is also bound to the rights of

other socio-economic goods and amenities including rights to land, water, sanitation,

electricity, livelihood, transport, clinics and hospitals, schools, universities and other cultural

and recreational amenities, such as parks, libraries, public spaces, swimming pools, sports

fields, etc. In addition, Tissington (2011) further claims that achieving the right to housing is

also fundamentally bound to a number of other cross-cutting rights, including rights to public

participation, equality, human dignity, just administrative action, freedom of expression, access

to information and access to justice etc. This inter-relatedness and ‘interdependency of rights’

is acknowledged by the international human rights law as the principle of interdependency of

rights, which means that socio-economic rights and civil and political rights are interrelated,

and that the enjoyment of one right (or group of rights) requires enjoyment of others (which

may or may not be in the same group).

In terms of Section 26 of the South Africa Constitution, the government should endeavour to

ensure that all people living in South Africa are able to satisfy all the requirements with regard

to access to adequate housing as engraved in the constitution. In responding to the

constitutional right to ‘access to adequate housing’ for all South Africans, government is under

an obligation to not only pass enabling legislation, but also to apply other measures of an

administrative, a financial, educational or a social nature to fulfill its housing obligations. This

commitment according to Tissington (2011) would characterize the move to transformation,

equality and socio-economic well-being for all citizens (and non-citizens). Since the foundation

to housing provision is enshrined in the new South Africa Constitution, individuals unable to

access housing through the ‘normal’ residential market should be further assisted with new

schemes that will make that right a realization. Thus, state prioritization should be people-

centered, so as to ensure their access to livelihoods as contained in the constitution.

6.2.2.2 The Housing Act (1997)

Apart from the South Africa Constitution that contains justifiable socio-economic rights and

enshrines everyone’s right to have access to adequate housing; the South Africa Housing Act

of 1997 is the primary piece of housing legislation in South Africa. It legally entrenched

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housing policy principles outlined in the 1994 White Paper on Housing. The South Africa

housing vision is confirmed in the Housing Act, 1997 (No. 107 of 1997). Within the Housing

Act, ‘housing development’ is defined as: 1(vi) “… the establishment and maintenance of

habitable, stable and sustainable public and private residential environments to ensure viable

households and communities in areas allowing convenient access to economic opportunities,

and to health, educational and social amenities in which all citizens and permanent residents of

the Republic will, on a progressive basis, have access to:

(a) permanent residential structures with secure tenure, ensuring internal and external

privacy and providing adequate protection against the elements; and

(b) potable water, adequate sanitary facilities and domestic energy supply.”

The housing goals are further reiterated in both the Urban and Rural Development Frameworks.

In each of these documents, the environment within which a house is situated is recognised as

being equally as important as the house itself in satisfying the needs and requirements of the

occupants (Housing Code, 1997). The ultimate goal of the Housing Act is that the housing

process must make a positive contribution to a non-racial, non-sexist, democratic and

integrated society. The goal of the Housing Vision for both urban and rural areas is to improve

the quality of life of all South Africans with a special emphasis on the poor and those who have

been previously disadvantaged.

The Housing Act further provides for a sustainable housing development process, laying down

general principles for housing development in all spheres of government. It defines the

functions of national, provincial and local governments in respect of housing development; and

it lays the basis for financing national housing programmes. In Section 2(1) the Act states that

“all spheres of government must give priority to the needs of the poor in respect of housing

development, and consult meaningfully with individuals and communities affected by housing

development”. This forms the basis for housing participation in South Africa, which is the

major subject discussed in the current thesis. They must ensure that housing development

provides, as wide a choice of housing and tenure options as is reasonably possible; is

economically, fiscally, socially and financially affordable and sustainable; is based on

integrated development planning; is administered in a transparent, accountable and equitable

manner; and upholds the practice of good governance in all sectors. In addition, Section 2(1)(e)

of the Act states that all spheres of government must promote inter alia the following: a process

of racial, social, economic and physical integration in urban and rural areas; measures to

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prohibit unfair discrimination on the ground of gender and other forms of unfair discrimination

by all actors in the housing development process; higher density in respect of housing

development to ensure the economical utilization of land and services; the meeting of special

housing needs including the needs of the disabled; the provision of community and recreational

facilities in residential areas; the housing needs of marginalized women and other groups

disadvantaged by unfair discrimination. However, amendment was made to the principal Act

in 1999 and 2001, respectively. Section 4 of the Housing Act requires the minister to publish a

Code which includes the national housing policy and procedural guidelines for the

implementation of the policy.

6.2.2.3 National Housing Code (2000, revised in 2009)

The National Housing Code (NHC), which was first published in 2000 in accordance with the

Housing Act, set out the underlying policy principles, guidelines and norms and standards,

which apply to the National Housing Programmes. The NHC 2009 sets the same underlying

policy principles, guidelines and norms and standards, which apply to government’s various

housing assistance programmes introduced since 1994. Some of the initially created

programmes have been updated or removed, and new programmes included, after the adoption

of Breaking New Ground in 2004. The NHC is binding on provincial and local spheres of

government. The Housing Code includes the national housing vision, housing goal, basic points

of departure and the fundamental principles of the Housing Policy. The NHC set the tone for

the understanding of existing policies and the development of new ones. It is the basis for all

housing activities in South Africa. The National Housing Code 2000 has been substantially

revised. The revised NHC of 2009 is aimed at simplifying the implementation of housing

projects by being less prescriptive while providing clear guidelines, as against the initial

provision of the NHC of 2000.

The NHC set out the national housing policy of South Africa, collectively with practical

guidelines for its effective implementation through the inclusion of the National Housing

Programmes. The Code’s vision for housing in South Africa echoes the definition of ‘housing

development’, as outlined in the Housing Act. The initial 2000 Code states that the

government’s housing goal is subject to fiscal affordability, to increase housing delivery on a

sustainable basis to a peak level of 350 000 units per annum until the housing backlog is

overcome (NHC, 2000). In 2004, Breaking New Ground Policy (BNG) made provision for a

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new National Housing Code to be published, with the intention to align and cohere with the

policy so that its goals and aims can be implemented. The new Housing Code is meant to

accommodate any changes made since 2000 and to convert the National Housing Programmes

into flexible provisions and guidelines (Tissington, 2011). Further to the BNG provision, the

revised National Housing Code was adopted and published in February 2009. A few old

programmes have been removed from the new Code, such as the Project Linked Subsidy

Programme, Relocation Assistance Programme, Blocked Projects Programme and

Rectification of RDP Stock 1994-2002 Programme. However, it is important to note that in

respect to all programmes, which are not contained in the Housing Code 2009, the rules of the

National Housing Code 2000 still apply whenever they are initiated. The National Housing

Code is proposed to be revised on an annual basis in order to ensure that it keeps up-to-date

with legislative or policy changes. However, this has not been done since the last revision of

2009. The revised NHC is all-embracing and addresses a variety of housing programmes

mentioned in BNG.

6.2.2.4 National Housing Programmes

The government’s primary housing objective since the dawn of the new administrative

government is to undertake housing development, which Section 1 of the Housing Act, No.

107 of 1997 (‘the Housing Act’) defines as being the establishment and maintenance of

habitable, stable and sustainable public and private residential environments to ensure viable

households and communities in areas allowing convenient access to economic opportunities,

and to health, educational and social amenities in which all citizens and permanent residents of

the Republic will, on a progressive basis, have access to: “Permanent residential structures with

secure tenure, ensuring internal and external privacy, and providing adequate protection against

the elements, and potable water, adequate sanitary facilities and domestic energy supply”.

The past and existing national housing programmes have been based on this objective and the

principles embodied therein. However, in response to the South Africa Constitutional

imperative, government has in terms of the Housing Act, 1997 (Act No 107 of 1997) introduced

a variety of programmes which provide the poor households access to adequate housing. Thus,

the policy principles set out in the White Paper on Housing aims to provide poor households

with houses, as well as basic services such as potable water and sanitation on an equitable basis.

The limited resources available from the ‘fiscus’ however necessitate the provision of housing,

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security and comfort to all over time. The national housing programmes are categorized into

different ‘Intervention Categories’ as follows:

Financial Programmes

Individual Housing Subsidies;

Enhanced Extended Discount Benefit Scheme (EEDBS);

Social and Economic Facilities;

Accreditation of Municipalities;

Operational Capital Budget (OPS/CAP);

Housing Chapters of IDPs; and

Rectification of Pre-1994 Housing Stock.

Incremental Housing Programmes

Integrated Residential Development Programme (IRDP);

Enhanced People’s Housing Process (ePHP);

Informal Settlements Upgrading Programme (UISP);

Consolidation Subsidies; and

Emergency Housing Assistance.

Social and Rental Housing Programmes

Institutional Subsidies;

Social Housing Programme (SHP); and

Community Residential Units (CRU).

Rural Housing Programmes

Rural Subsidy: Informal Land Rights; and

Farm Residents Housing Assistance Programme.

From the above list, the Department of Human Settlement (DHS) has identified three

programmes as core programmes for future housing delivery, which are the IRDP, UISP and

Social/Rental Housing Programme. The following section provides a detailed review of the

IRDP, the Social housing Programmes and the enhanced People’s Housing Process (ePHP).

Even though ePHP is not listed as a core programme for housing delivery, but relates more to

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the present study because of its central theme of citizen participation. Also, it should be noted

that there is a set of generic qualifying criteria, which must be fulfilled by those applying for

state housing subsidies under the National Housing Subsidy Scheme (NHSS) for the national

housing programmes. However, there are also specific rules that apply to each subsidy

programme and in some cases there are specific eligibility criteria that apply over and above

the generic criteria (DHS, 2009). The specific criteria are discussed below.

6.2.2.4.1 Qualifying Criteria for Housing Subsidy Programmes

The set of generic qualifying criteria as outlined in the revised National Housing Code of 2009

for consideration in the national housing programmes are summarized as follows:

1. Citizenship: All applicants must be citizens of the Republic of South Africa, or be

in the possession of a Permanent Resident Permit;

2. Competent to contract: Applicant must be legally competent to contract (i.e. over

18 years of age, and of sound mind);

3. Not yet benefited from government funding: The applicant or their spouse may not

have received previous housing benefits from the government. In the event of a

divorce involving a person who previously derived benefits, the terms of the divorce

order will determine such person’s eligibility for further benefits;

4. First time property owner: The applicant or their spouse may not have owned and/or

currently own a residential property. Except for the following cases, such as for

disabled persons; persons who own a vacant stand that was obtained through the

Land Restitution Programme; have acquired a residential property for the first time

without government assistance and the house/dwelling on the property, if any, does

not comply with the National Norms and Standards in respect of permanent

residential structures;

5. Married or financial dependents’: The applicant must be married or constantly be

living together with a spouse. A single person with proven financial dependents’

(such as parents or parents-in-law, grandparents or grandparents-in-law, children,

grand-children, adopted children, foster children) may also apply;

6. Monthly household income: The applicant’s gross monthly household income must

not exceed R3 500. Adequate proof of income must be submitted;

7. Beneficiaries of the Land Restitution Programme: Beneficiaries of the Land

Restitution Programme, should they satisfy the other qualification criteria, may

apply for housing subsidies;

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8. Persons classified as military veterans as confirmed by the South African National

Defence Force (SANDF): Military veterans who are single without financial

dependents’ may also apply for housing subsidies;

9. Persons classified as aged: Aged persons who are single without financial

dependents’ may also apply for housing subsidies. Aged persons are classified as

male and female persons who have attained the minimum age applicable to

government’s old age social grant scheme; and

10. Persons classified as disabled: Persons, who are classified as disabled, whether

single, married or co-habiting or single with financial dependents’, may apply for

housing subsidies. If a person who has already received state funding for housing

and/or who already owns or owned a house, is or becomes disabled, or if his or her

dependant(s) is/are or become disabled, such a person may receive an additional

variation on the subsidy amount to finance special additions to provide independent

living conditions.

6.2.2.4.2 Integrated Residential Development Programme (IRDP)

According to the DHS (2010), one of the key lessons learnt in the review of the outcomes of

housing programmes since 1994 is that, owing to an array of reasons, the initially developed

low income settlements continued to be located on the urban periphery without the provision

and consideration for social and economic amenities, as in the Apartheid Era. Hence, this

necessitated the introduction of the IRDP, which replaces the previous Project Linked Subsidy

Programme, in order to facilitate the development of an all-inclusive human settlement in well-

located areas that provide convenient access to urban amenities, including places of

employment. As stated on the IRDP document (DHS, 2009), IRDP provides a tool to plan and

develop integrated settlements that include all the necessary land uses and housing types and

price categories to become a truly integrated community.

The programme is also aimed at creating social cohesion. The IRDP provides for the

acquisition of land, servicing of stands for a variety of land uses including commercial,

recreational, schools and clinics, as well as residential stands for low, middle and high income

groups. The land use and income group mix is based on local planning and needs assessment,

which is a basic tenet of the present thesis. This is because if the concept of needs assessment

is prioritized, the end product will eventually satisfy the need of the occupants as they will be

aware of what they will receive when the houses are allocated to them. The IRDP provides for

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phased area-wide planning and development of integrated housing projects in situations where:

1. a project is undertaken in an area where unoccupied vacant land is developed; or

2. a project is undertaken in an existing township where an undeveloped parcel of land

is utilised for development purposes.

However, IRDP moves away from the requirements found in the previous Project Linked

Subsidy Programme version which requires the identification of subsidised housing

beneficiaries up front and provides for both subsidised, as well as finance-linked (Misselhorn,

2008); housing that only caters for households earning between R3 500 and R7 000 a month.

IRDP further provides for social and rental housing, commercial, institutional and other land

uses to be developed.

In the plans of the IRDP, a municipality assumes the role of the developer (where they lack

financial, technical and managerial capacity, a provincial department can take on this role),

undertaking all planning and project activities. As developers the municipality appoint

construction industry professionals (who design and establish the township, design and monitor

the installation of services, and design the houses) and contractors (who construct the services

and housing) to assist with the housing development process. Municipalities apply for funding

from the provincial Department of DHS who approves project applications, reserves and

distributes funds, as well as assesses and adjudicates various aspects of the project process. The

plans for projects undertaken within the scope of the IRDP are only based on approved housing

chapters of the Integrated Development Plan (IDP). An IDP is a single, inclusive strategic plan

for the development of a municipality. It incorporates, integrates and organizes plans and take

into account proposals for the development of the municipality (Tissington, 2011). It aligns

resources and capacity of the municipality with the implementation of the plan, complies with

the requirements of the Municipal Systems Act and is compatible with national and provincial

development plans and planning requirements binding on the municipality in terms of

legislation. Hence beneficiaries are able to obtain non-residential stands in the development.

According to Tissington (2011), most provinces and municipalities used the Turkey

Contracting Strategy in the past, which transfers all the development duties to a private sector

contractor, including the administration of beneficiaries. This model encountered numerous

problems and gaps in policy and process of beneficiary registration and allocation. In the

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present IRDP model, the developer must ensure that identified beneficiaries complete and sign

the application form for the grant of an IRDP Individual Subsidy, which is submitted to the

principal municipal department. The identification of beneficiaries to receive housing

construction subsidies are undertaken before the design and housing construction planning

phase commences, which enable beneficiaries needs assessment to be conducted shifting away

from the one-size-fits-all system of the past. This ultimately will guarantee housing satisfaction

as the variation between what they receive will be in-line to what they expect.

Phase 1 of IRDP involves planning, land acquisition, township establishment and the provision

of serviced residential and other land use issues to ensure a sustainable integrated community.

Phase 2 consists of the house construction phase for qualifying housing subsidy beneficiaries

and the sale of stands to non-qualifying beneficiaries and for commercial interest (DHS, 2009).

During Phase 1’s execution, non-residential stands are allocated, for instance institutional

stands, such as police stations, clinics, public sector use amongst other; business and

commercial stands; serviced stands for use by not-for-profit community service providers, such

as churches, crèche/pre-school/nursery schools, old age homes, etc.; and public uses, such as

parks, recreation areas, informal trading areas, taxi ranks, etc. Conversely, there are rules as to

how these stands are allocated. However, the allocation of the stands and the submission of

application forms for housing subsidies and applications to buy the stands are undertaken and

finalized before the approval of the housing construction project phase; which enables the

houses to be constructed for those needing them, as against the previous patterns where houses

are constructed for the sake of construction. Once the provincial department has received and

approved a subsidy application within three months, it records the name and identity number

of the applicant (and their spouse plus dependents’, if applicable) on the National Housing

Subsidy Data Base to prevent the duplication of an applicant.

At present the subsidy quantum for the IRDP is R55 706 for the construction of the top structure

only. Those earning between R1 501 to R3 500 per month must contribute R2 479 (Table 6.1).

The cost for the provision of internal municipal engineering services is financed from

alternative sources and the use of the housing subsidy allocation for the financing of internal

services, are only approved as an option of last resort. If the latter is the case, a subsidy amount

of R22 162 is available for the preparation of a serviced stand (DHS, 2010). This programme

currently benefit persons, who satisfy the generic housing qualifying criteria, as outlined in the

revised National Housing Code of 2009.

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Table 6.1: IRDP Housing subsidy quantum amounts for the 2009/2010 financial year

The 2009/2010 housing subsidy guideline amounts

Income category Top structure funding Own contribution Product price

Integrated Residential Development Programme:

R0 to R1 500 R55 706,00 None R55 706,00

R1 501 to R3 500 R53 227,00 R2 479,00 R55 706,00

Indigent: Aged,

disabled and health

stricken

R0 to R3 500

R55 706,00 None R55 706,00

Source: National Department of Human Settlement, 2010 (Subsidy Quantum - Incremental

Interventions)

6.2.2.4.3 Enhanced People’s Housing Process (ePHP)

When the South African state strengthened its role in low-cost housing delivery, a parallel

process was created to increase beneficiary participation in the housing process by getting them

involved in savings and construction through the People’s Housing Process programme. The

People’s Housing Process (PHP) was initially adopted by the Minister of Housing in 1998 to

assist communities in supervising and driving the housing delivery process by building their

homes themselves. However, the notion of community participation, which was enacted on the

White Paper on Housing, reflected in the requirement for a social compact between developers

(government) and communities. According to Charlton & Kihato (2006) regardless of this

provision, community participation had not been clearly defined and its interpretation varied

widely across projects. Charlton & Kihato (2006) further informed that the PHP scheme was

developed partly in response to lobbying by grassroots organisations, such as the South African

Homeless People’s Federation (SAHPF), for greater beneficiary participation and also pressure

from international organisations, such as the UN, which had a track record of beneficiary

participation resulting in more responsive and effective low-cost housing delivery. The PHP

scheme was intended to work with registered NGOs in the housing sector to support

communities in planning and implementing the construction of their own housing settlements

through ‘sweat equity’ to be offset against the NHSS savings requirement. According to

Tissington (2011), this was envisioned to enable poor households overcome the affordability

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barrier and gain access to a house without the long wait to access housing finance.

The process was holistically supported by a number of South African developmental NGOs

who later formed part of a PHP Reference Group that lobbied for changes to the programme

on the basis that it would achieve more response and effective delivery. The major criticism of

this programme was that it shifted part of the cost of housing onto the poor and that there was

a fundamental dissonance between the collective nature of community-based processes and the

individualized ones (Charlton & Kihato, 2006). Another notable criticism of the PHP was made

by Huchzermeyer (2004) who states that participation in the programme was only limited to

housing construction, with little influence by beneficiaries over key issues, like location of

housing projects and layout around the existing patterns of land occupation. Huchzermeyer

(2004) claims that, organized communities had not been able to identify and manage

infrastructure projects. Yet another criticism is that through the programme, the state abdicates

its responsibility and shifted the burden of delivery to the poor, thus COHRE (2008) claims

that the PHP process has often failed at the local level because of that singular reason.

As a result of the above issues and criticism, the Enhanced People’s Housing Process (ePHP)

was adopted to replace the old PHP programme in July 2008, which was rolled out in April

2009. The new policy programme was the result of lengthy and difficult negotiations between

the PHP Reference Group and the default National Department of Housing, dating back to

2004. The PHP Reference Group had for some time challenged the narrow definition of the

PHP as ‘self-build’ housing involving contributions of ‘sweat equity’, as opposed to the use of

contractors. They were of the notion that the PHP should fundamentally concern a collective,

community-based process of decision-making that would seek to address housing in the context

of other social needs and community priorities (Himlin, 2008). In addressing the social and

community priorities as advocated by the PHP reference group, beneficiaries would ultimately

be actively involved in decision making of housing development issues and at the end, would

be satisfied with their housing situation.

The ePHP adopts a broader definition than the PHP, allowing for greater flexibility and choice

while maintaining the central principles of people-centered development in any participatory

process. In the new programme, the DHS (2009) acknowledged that there are a number of

different approaches to community development that needed to be accommodated with

community involvement in the decision-making processes, community empowerment and the

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leveraging of additional resources being the determining factors for making it a project. The

enlargement of the scope of the PHP, with a focus on the outcomes of the housing process as

a whole rather than just how the housing product is delivered, informed the development of the

ePHP (Tissington, 2011). The ePHP allows for a process in which beneficiaries actively

participate in decision-making over the housing process and housing product so as to: empower

beneficiaries, create partnerships, mobilize and retain social capital, build housing citizenship,

encourage beneficiaries who are aware of their rights and responsibilities, promote local

economic development, foster stable communities, build houses that are better suited to the

needs of individual households, involve women and youth more directly, and finally, create

sustainable and inclusive human settlements, which are more responsive to the needs of the

community, thus, guaranteeing housing satisfaction.

The ePHP is fundamentally a community-driven process that takes place over a period of time

and is not orientated towards delivery at scale over limited time frames (DHS, 2010). It

encompasses the participation of organized community groupings in the housing process,

through amongst other things the provision of ‘sweat equity’, which replaces their requirement

for a financial contribution. In the ePHP, an approved Community Resource Organisation

(CRO) such as an NG or faith-based organisation is appointed by the provincial government to

provide technical and administrative assistance to the community organisation. Both of these

groups have specific roles and responsibilities, as set out in the ePHP.

According to the DHS (2010), there are four different funding streams for the ePHP, which

include capital funding, capacity-building funding, community contribution/equity funding and

bridging finance. In terms of capital funding, the standard housing subsidy amount for the top

structure applies. The subsidy amount available for the ePHP programme is currently R55 706

(Table 6.2), which covers the top structure but excludes the cost of internal municipal

engineering services (R22,162.00), which is financed from alternative sources. Funding for

infrastructure is provided through the applicable grants if available or as a last resort, accessed

from the province (DHS, 2009). The municipality is responsible for all land packaging and

town planning/township establishment funding (including the undertaking of Environmental

Impact Analysis and Rezoning) and could provide land purchase funding or donate land to

communities. The municipality is also responsible for funding additional facilities and

amenities. In the ePHP, capacity-building funding relates to six aspects of the housing process,

which are: pre-project consumer education funding; project specific capacity-building and

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facilitation funding; funding for building the physical structure to be used as the Housing

Support Centre (HSC); funding for facilitation and capacity-building for the sector; and

funding for unblocking blocked projects. The ePHP outlines a number of community

contributions/equity that should also be incorporated into an ePHP project, both pre- and during

the project.

According to the DHS (2010), the programme requires skillful technical expertise to assist,

train and guide the house building processes. The realization of quality housing products

remains a fundamental objective of the programme. Also, community contribution is broadly

defined in the process and is not limited to a labour contribution (sweat equity). The programme

may apply in a variety of development circumstances, such as in informal settlement upgrading

projects, rural housing developments and ‘Greenfield’ developments. The benefits of the

programme are only available on a project basis and community members must establish

appropriate community groupings to facilitate representation and decision-making. The main

role players are the Community Based Organisation (CBO) that represents the beneficiaries,

the Community Resource Organisation (CRO) that provide technical and administrative

assistance to the CBO, the municipality and the provincial department responsible for human

settlements. This programme benefits persons who satisfy the generic housing qualifying

criteria as outlined in the revised National Housing Code of 2009.

Table 6.2: ePHP Housing subsidy quantum amounts for the 2009/2010 financial year

The 2009/2010 housing subsidy guideline amounts

Income category Top structure funding Own contribution Product price

Enhanced People’s Housing Programme

R0 to R3 500 R55 706,00 None R55 706,00

Source: National Department of Human Settlement, 2010 (Subsidy Quantum - Incremental

Interventions)

6.2.2.4.4 Social Housing Programme (SHP)

Security of tenure remains one of the fundamental ideologies of the South African housing

policy because of the disadvantaged nature of the past policies against a majority of the citizens.

Where most of the created policy programmes provide freehold tenure to households, there has

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been an increasing need for affordable rental units, which provide security of tenure to

households who prefer the mobility provided by rental accommodation (DHS, 2010).

The Social Housing Policy for South Africa was approved in June 2005 and the Implementation

Guidelines published in November 2006. According to the DHS (2009), the policy has been

included in the new National Housing Code of 2009, as the Social Housing Programme (SHP).

The Social Housing Act provides the legal framework for the implementation of the Social

Housing Policy. According to the DHS (2010), social housing is defined as follows: a rental or

co-operative housing option for low income persons at a level of scale and built form, which

requires institutionalized management and which is provided by accredited social housing

institutions or in accredited social housing projects in designated restructuring zones. Social

Housing Programme applies only to ‘restructuring zones’, which are identified by

municipalities as areas of economic opportunity and where urban renewal/restructuring

impacts can best be achieved. Designated restructuring zones are geographic areas identified

by local authorities and supported by provincial government for targeted and focused

investment. Restructuring zones were approved (as of 2006) in the following areas: Ekurhuleni

Metropolitan Municipality, City of Cape Town, City of Johannesburg, eThekwini Metropolitan

Municipality (Durban), Nelson Mandela Bay Municipality (Port Elizabeth), City of Tshwane

(Pretoria), Buffalo City Municipality (East London), Mangaung Local Municipality

(Bloemfontein), Msunduzi Local Municipality (Pietermaritzburg), Polokwane, Potchefstroom,

Kimberley and Nelspruit. In the context of the present thesis, the three metropolitan cities with

designated restructuring zones form the basis of the empirical data collection for the study. The

programme is also aimed at developing affordable rental in areas where bulk infrastructure

(sanitation, water, transport) may be under-utilized, therefore improving urban efficiency.

There is a significant capital contribution from government for the development of social

housing in these defined localities as part of a broader goal of social restructuring in South

Africa. Social housing in restructuring zones, according to the guiding principles, take the

form of medium density multi-unit complexes requiring institutionalized management. This

includes townhouses, row housing, multi-storey units, walk-ups amongst others, but they all

come in detached housing units.

The SHP adhere to the general principles laid down in the Housing Act, 1997 (Act 107 of 1997)

Part 1 Section 2, as well as in relevant sections of subsequent legislation such as the Rental

Act, 1999 (Act 50 of 1999). In addition, the policy is read in conjunction with the White Paper

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on Housing (1994), the Urban Development Framework (1997) and with the National Housing

Code. Thus, it is important to note that the Department of Housing’s ‘Comprehensive Plan for

the Development of Sustainable Human Settlements’ (2004) provides direction in matters of

the principle guiding SHP. The fundamental principles underpinning SHP include (DHS,

2010):

1. promoting urban restructuring through the social, physical, and economic integration

of housing development into existing areas, likely to be urban or inner-city areas;

promote the establishment of well-managed, quality rental housing options for the poor;

2. responding to local housing demand; delivering housing for a range of income groups

(including, inter alia, middle income, emerging middle class, working class and the

poor) in such a way as to allow social integration and financial cross subsidization;

3. supporting the economic development of low income communities in various ways.

This is done by ensuring that projects are located close to job opportunities, markets

and transport, and by stimulating job opportunities to emerging entrepreneurs in the

housing services and construction industries;

4. fostering the creation of quality living environments for low-income persons;

5. promoting a safe, harmonious, and socially responsible environment both internal to

the project and in the immediate urban environment;

6. promoting the creation of sustainable and viable projects;

7. encouraging the involvement of the private sector where possible;

8. facilitating the involvement of residents in the project and/or key stakeholders in the

broader environment through defined meaningful consultation, information sharing,

education, training and skills transfer;

9. ensuring secure tenure for the residents of projects, on the basis of the general

provisions for the relationship between residents and landlords as defined in the

Housing Act, 1997 and the Rental Act, 50 of 1999 - Chapter 3, Section 4 (1) to (5).

10. supporting mutual acceptance of roles and responsibilities of tenants and social

landlords, on the basis of the general provisions for the relationship between residents

and landlords as defined in the Rental Act, 50 of 1999 - Chapter 3, Sections 4 and 5, in

the Co-operatives Act, 1981 (Act 91 of 1981), as well as in the envisaged Social

Housing Act;

11. ensuring transparency, accountability and efficiency in the administration and

management of social housing stock; and

12. promoting the use of public funds in such a manner that stimulates and/or facilitates

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private sector investment and participation in the social housing sector.

A fundamental constraint to the ability of social housing to assist poor individuals and

households to access affordable and well-located rental housing is that SHIs have tended to

look ‘up-market’ (above the eligibility cut-off point) in order to survive and very little has been

done to increase the range of options available to those in the lower bands of the subsidy range,

also known as the ‘deep-down market’. The Social Housing Policy acknowledges that there is

a perception that social housing is for a small, relatively privileged elite and does little to

contribute to the housing challenge in South Africa (DHS, 2010; Tissington, 2011). While the

SHP aims to tackle these challenges, it admits that the primary policy objective of the SHP is

restructuring, not mass delivery (Charlton & Kihato, 2006). Despite the fact that South Africa

has made great progress in the past seventeen years since the election of its first democratic

government, a number of structural constraints in accomplishing vital changes remain a cause

for concern. Though political constraints have largely been removed, obstacles arising from

the economic structure and spatial patterning of South African society have proven stubborn

and persistent (DHS, 2010). For instance, some Post-Apartheid programmes have even

unconsciously reinforced Apartheid inequities. Thus, there is therefore a need, to ensure that

the links between processes of social restructuring and housing policies and instruments are

brought into closer orientation. Hence, social housing is a useful key instrument in this regard,

and can contribute strongly toward the achievement of urban restructuring and urban renewal

through urban integration and impacting positively on urban economies (DHS, 2010).

Specifically, the involvement of social housing to such restructuring objectives comprises of

three dimensions, which are spatial, economic, and social. While the SHP aims to maximize

‘deep-down reach’ and target those earning R1 500 a month (and less if possible) it aims for

mixed-income projects and requires participants to demonstrate a regular income, which is able

to sustain the monthly rental, and the payment of a deposit equal to rental of three months

(Charlton & Kihato, 2006).

Currently, the SHP has moved away from the earlier individual subsidy-based approach to a

project-based approach. It is predicted that appropriate targeting will be addressed in the project

approval process and that it will be a pre-condition for the awarding of a project grant or

subsidy. Respective projects will specify a range of housing products targeted at income groups

appropriate to the area and context, based on tested demand and in line with the broader

restructuring aims of the Social Housing Policy (DHS, 2010). The DHS states that the

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difference between rental revenues and the cost of providing the units will be subsidised by

way of a grant from government. This grant will be calculated with reference to the project as

a whole rather than with reference to particular unit types. However, the units meant for the

very poor will attract proportionately more subsidy than units meant for those low-income

groups with more substantial incomes (NDoH, 2004).

The mechanism and funding for the SHP is through a dedicated capital fund at national level,

which the DHS (or SHRA) disburses to accredited local authorities and provinces (who apply

for social housing development in restructuring zones). There are two ways of accessing this

grant. The first is through a standard/fixed component of the social housing grant by way of

the capital restructuring component, which is allocated by the national government. In order to

qualify for the capital grant on every unit, a social housing project must have at least 30 percent

of units contributing to ‘deep down-market reach’ and maximum rentals not higher than R2

500 (implying an income of R7 500 per month, within the top of the income band) according

to Charlton & Kihato (2006) and DHS (2010). A major constraint in the provision of social

housing for the very poor is the on-going management and operations and management

associated costs. The unwillingness of private SHIs to share the risks associated with very low-

income rental housing provision is a major concern and should necessitate a policy rethink by

the DHS with regard to this aspect.

6.3 HOUSING POLICY PROGRESS IN SOUTH AFRICA (1994 – 2010)

In the past seventeen years, there have been several shifts in SA housing policy, which

corroborates the socio-economic significance and political imperative of housing provision in

the country. According to Charlton and Kihato (2006) the housing policy shifts that have

occurred since 1994 were most often responses to flaws in policy execution, or were compelled

by other agendas, such as political pressure or internal departmental politics. Charlton and

Kihato (2006) further emphasized that, housing policy shifts in South Africa are not, explicitly

rooted in a rigorous interrogation of the needs of the poor, such as the impact of housing

programmes on livelihoods and economic activity of the poor beneficiaries. They argued that

much of this had to do with the movement of personalities and senior housing officials out of

the policy and research division of the housing department, and a lack of continuity and

institutional memory to carry the policy development forward strongly and decisively.

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While the SA housing policy may have been moderately reformed, urban policy, Integrated

Development Plan (IDP) processes and land availability, which are crucial elements for

successful housing provision, have lagged behind. The IDP is a single, inclusive strategic plan

for the development of a municipality. It links, integrates and coordinates plans and takes into

account proposals for the development of the municipality. It aligns resources and capacity of

the municipality with the implementation of the plan, complies with the requirements of the

Municipal Systems Act and is compatible with national and provincial development plans and

planning requirements binding the municipality in terms of legislation (City of Johannesburg,

2011).

Also, the contentious issue of well-located land for housing was never adequately addressed

and almost all housing scholars and practitioners have affirmed that this has to do with the

reluctance of the urban elite to grapple with an issue in which they themselves may hold a

significant stake (Charlton & Kihato, 2006). This section of the chapter provides an overview

of the housing policy development since 1994. It briefly examines the National Housing Forum

(NHF), a process which preceded the development of a National Housing Policy and moves to

an analysis of the guiding national housing policy; the White Paper on Housing; as well as the

Breaking New Ground Policy.

6.3.1 National Housing Forum (1992-1994)

It is useful to briefly recount the debates that dominated the National Housing Forum (NHF),

which was a multi-party non-governmental negotiating forum which met between 1992 and

1994 to discuss the Post-Apartheid housing situation. The formulation of South Africa’s

Housing Policy commenced prior to the democratic elections, with the formation of the

National Housing Forum. The multi-party non-governmental negotiating body comprising 19

members from business, the community, government, development organisations and political

parties outside the government at the time. At these negotiations the foundation for the new

government’s housing policy were developed and agreed. This culminated in the achievement

of the broad housing sector convention also referred to as the Housing Accord that concluded

with the White Paper on Housing in 1994. The Government of National Unity in 1994 made

use of these negotiations and investigations when it formulated South Africa’s National

Housing Policy.

The objective of the NHF was to formulate a consensus around a new non-racial housing

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policy, which centered around two main debates. First amongst these was whether housing

should be provided by the state or the market; and, secondly, whether the housing standard

should be a completed four-room house or a ‘progressive’ (incremental) house (Tomlinson,

1999). The NHF set the tone for the first democratic national housing policy in 1994. Despite

a holistic number of stakeholders that participated in the NHF, criticisms still emerged about

the dominance of the private sector and big business at the negotiations, and the implications

of this on the final housing policy that emerged. Furthermore, the impact of international

experience affected the outcome, as well as the need for pragmatism around operational

implementation and the heightened sense of urgency of the need to demonstrate delivery

(Charlton & Kihato, 2006).

The NHF debate was centered on who would provide the housing and how it will be provided.

According to Tomlinson (1999) who was an active member of the NHF, the constituencies on

the ‘left’ and the private construction sector argued, for different reasons, that the government

should provide mass rental housing. The ‘left’, also referred to as the Mass Democratic

Movement (consisting of the ANC, COSATU and the civic movement) argued that this would

immediately entail a high standard of provision. The private sector held a similar standard with

the caveat that the private sector should be employed as contractors and not developers so as

to limit their financial risk. However, the opposition to this view was centered on a concern

that the proven financial and organizational burdens of this approach would be too onerous for

a fledgling government (Tomlinson, 1999). Besides, critics argued that local authorities were

keen to rid themselves of the responsibility of managing rental housing because of difficulties

in collecting rent, maintaining stock and applying qualifying criteria to tenants (Tomlinson,

1999). Those in favour of a mass state rental programme were challenged to explain how the

state would finance and manage it; conversely they were unable to persuasively do so and

hence, a more practical approach was pursued relating to the Mass Democratic Movement idea

which at the current time is not sustainable.

In October 1994, the newly-elected government hosted a National Housing Summit in

Botshabelo, where it was able to secure formal support from a broad range of key stakeholders

for the new housing policy and strategy in what is known as the Botshabelo Housing Accord.

The National Housing Accord was signed by a range of stakeholders representing the homeless,

the government, communities and civil society, the financial sector, emerging contractors, the

established construction industry, building material suppliers, employers, developers and the

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international community. This accord set down the beginning of the common vision that forms

the core of South Africa’s National Housing Policy. Primarily, it comprised an agreement that

all of these stakeholders would work together to achieve the vision summarized in the accord.

As such, the National Housing Accord was soon followed by the Housing White Paper, which

was promulgated in December 1994.

In terms of the debate around the role of the state versus the market in driving housing delivery,

it was decided that the government would provide the context for housing provision and

facilitate delivery, while the private sector would apply for subsidies on behalf of communities,

identify and service land, and construct structures where possible. This approach was heavily

criticized by many who believed that it would not address endemic flaws in the South African

housing market and would simply perpetuate them; thus this was rightly predicted as the

policies initially formulated had been revised to adequately cater for the needs of the larger

disadvantaged members of the society. However, according to Huchzermeyer (2004) the

approach was a consensual one and related to the ‘pacted’ nature of the South African

transition, in which the private sector had a powerful leverage over both the National Party and

incoming ANC governments. The debate about what type of housing would be delivered

concerned the cost of addressing the housing backlog and different estimates of budgets, time-

frames and standards. It was agreed that a once-off capital subsidy scheme would be adopted

to benefit households with an income of less than R3 500 per month and hence the government

launched the NHSS. The subsidy was linked to individual ownership (as opposed to rental),

and households effectively ‘bought’ a housing option with their subsidy (Tomlinson, 1999).

This was to enable housing delivering opportunities and options to as many previously

disadvantaged and deprived South Africans as quickly as possible.

Eventually, the White Paper on Housing - emerged from the NHF process and the Housing

Accord which was influenced by the broad principles and targets of the ANC’s RDP in 1994.

However, the RDP cabinet was disbanded and replaced with the Growth, Employment and

Redistribution; a Macro-Economic Policy Framework (GEAR), which favoured a market-

oriented approach and relied heavily on the private sector for housing delivery. This latter

strategy focused on meeting basic needs and was heavily concerned with delivery (Charlton &

Kihato, 2006).

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6.3.2 White Paper on Housing (1994)

The ANC government adopted the White Paper on Housing after the historic 1994 democratic

elections, with the aim of creating viable, integrated settlements, where households could

access opportunities, infrastructure and services, within which all South Africa’s people will

have access on a progressive basis to (NDoH - White Paper, 1994): a permanent residential

structure with secure tenure, ensuring privacy and providing adequate protection against the

elements; and potable water, adequate sanitary facilities, including waste disposal and domestic

electricity supply.

The White Paper marked the end of the NHF process. From its inception in 1992, the NHF

played a seminal role in creating the conditions necessary for a national accord in housing,

most visibly evident at the National Housing Summit in Botshabelo on 27 October 1994. Out

of the accord, South Africa earned the task of harnessing the skills, resources and energy that

the nation has in abundance, and directing it to the task at hand - which was to adequately house

all South Africans. The White Paper also marked the beginning of a process. This is because

for the first time in its history, South Africa now had a policy framework that would cater for

all of its citizens. The approach adopted by the White Paper was the search for the creation of

an enabling environment, and not for the publication of a new set of rules. It aimed to contribute

to the certainty required by the market, as well as give the provincial and local governments

their capacity to fulfill their Constitutional obligations. Throughout the document, a partnership

between the various tiers of government, the private sector and the communities was envisaged.

This is seen as a fundamental prerequisite for the sustained delivery of housing at a level

unprecedented in the history of the country as the community can be truly for the citizens, if

they participate in developmental decision that affects them. It also required all parties not only

to argue for their rights, but also to accept their respective responsibilities.

The objective of the policy was to increase the national budget allocation of housing to five

percent and to increase housing delivery on a sustainable basis to a peak level of 338 000 units

each year and to reach the government’s target of one million houses in five years, of which

this target has since been met. The White Paper outlined seven key strategies it would pursue

in order to achieve its objectives, which are:

1. stabilizing the housing environment in order to ensure maximal benefit of state housing

expenditure and mobilizing private sector investment;

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2. facilitating the establishment or directly establishing a range of institutional, technical

and logistical housing support mechanisms to enable communities to, on a continuous

basis, improve their housing circumstances (supporting the PHP);

3. mobilizing private savings (whether by individuals or collectively) and housing credit

at scale, on a sustainable basis and simultaneously ensuring adequate protection for

consumers;

4. providing subsidy assistance to disadvantaged individuals to assist them in gaining

access to housing (through the NHSS and National Housing Programmes);

5. rationalizing institutional capacities in the housing sector within a sustainable long-term

institutional framework;

6. facilitating the speedy release and servicing of land (utilizing the Development

Facilitation Act and the Housing Development Act); and

7. coordinating and integrating public sector investment and intervention on a

multifunctional basis.

On adoption of the White Paper in 1994, the government’s intention was to deliver a ‘starter

house’ (sometimes consisting of building materials, where the subsidy only covered land and

servicing costs), which beneficiaries would add to and consolidate over time (Charlton &

Kihato, 2006). This incremental approach of achieving the right to housing was related to a key

assumption in the policy that beneficiaries would be able to access loan finance, which would

be spent on improving the house, which never materialized. Charlton and Kihato (2006) further

inform that by the late 1990s, the nature of the houses being delivered shifted from the open-

ended concept of a ‘starter house’ to a minimum 30 square meters housing unit with a defined

specification, which has since been adjusted, but without the consent or any participatory

involvement of the beneficiaries.

However, in 1999 the National Norms and Standards (NNS) for the Construction of Stand

Alone Residential Dwellings were introduced by the Minister of Housing in terms of Section

3(2) (a) of the Housing Act. The NNS placed an increasing focus on the size and quality of the

top structure or house and stipulated minimum standards. As stipulated on the NNS, each house

must have a minimum gross floor area of 40 square meters; two bedrooms; separate bathroom

with a toilet, a shower and hand basin; combined living area and kitchen with wash basin; and

ready board electrical installation, if electricity is available in the project area (DHS, 2009).

However, this norm was never followed in most developments, which has brought about

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complaints and other social issues with the houses developed to date. Thus beneficiaries’

quality of life is not better enhanced with the provided housing, as the quality of these buildings

are unappealing and as such are even a burden with further problems of having to carry out

repairs and upgrading of the housing units.

In addition, an undesired effect of this new policy, according to Charlton and Kihato (2006),

was that service standards relating to sanitation, water and roads were often dropped in order

to deliver houses in greater numbers and of greater size. Thus, substandard latrines, communal

standpipes and gravel roads were accepted as adequate, reinforcing the trend towards

development on peripheral land as housing projects were built in areas where lower service

levels were more acceptable. This policy adjustment, driven by a political need to deliver

acceptable houses, was not rooted in a deeper understanding of the consequences of the service

levels/location/top-structure trade-off on beneficiaries. Rather, it was an irritable move related

to the historic rejection of the notion of ‘incrementalism’ – the gradual consolidation of a starter

house over time by the end-user – and may again, in fact, have further contributed to the spatial

marginalization of the poor. Nevertheless, the NHSS was used to finance the construction of

over 1.5 million housing units across South Africa between 1994 and 2003. In March 2007, the

NDoH announced that a total of 3 043 900 subsidies had been approved and 2 355 913 houses

built since 1994. While this achievement has been greatly applauded, the government often

notes that the backlog is increasing due to rapid urbanization, amongst other factors. The DHS

currently estimates the housing backlog at around 2.2 million units (DHS, 2012).

6.3.3 Breaking New Ground (2004)

From its inception, the Housing Policy and Strategy of 1994 focused on stabilizing the

environment to transform the extremely fragmented, complex and racially-based financial and

institutional framework inherited from the previous government, whilst simultaneously

establishing new systems to ensure delivery to address the housing backlog (BNG, 2004). The

policy has come with significant achievements, which have been recognized both nationally

and internationally with a significant socio-economic, demographic and policy shifts occurring

within the first ten years of the New South Africa Government. Whilst the government believes

that the fundamentals of the 1994 policy remained relevant and sound, a new plan was required

to redirect and enhance existing mechanisms to move towards more responsive and effective

delivery. This brought about the formulation of a new human settlements plan also referred to

as the Comprehensive Plan for the Development of Sustainable Human Settlements, also

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known as Breaking New Ground (BNG). BNG reinforces the vision of the then Department of

Housing, to promote the achievement of a non-racial, integrated society through the

development of sustainable human settlements and quality housing.

As of 2002 to 2003, the NDoH carried out a comprehensive appraisal of its housing programme

after identifying a number of ‘unintended consequences’ of the existing programme. These

unexpected problems included peripheral location of residential development; poor quality

products and settlements; the lack of community participation; the limited secondary low

income housing market; corruption and maladministration; a slowdown in delivery; underspent

budgets; limited or decreasing public sector participation; the increasing housing backlog; and

the continued growth of informal settlements (NDoH, 2008). The review process aimed at

providing a new policy direction and to establish a research agenda to inform and support

policy decision-making within the housing programme, particularly to counter the dispersal of

knowledge and intellectual capacity that had occurred over the previous decade (Tissington,

2011).

The BNG comprises nine elements or programmatic interventions, and seven objectives as

shown in Table 6.3. The elements and objectives of BNG are a mix of substance and procedure

and outcomes, outputs and inputs. Nevertheless, BNG can be understood to set out the ends to

be achieved, the means to achieve them and the instruments to be used in the process of

achieving the defined policy goals (Rust, 2006a). With the review, BNG shifted away from a

focus on quantity of houses delivered to quality, with better size and workmanship of housing

product, settlement design, alternative technology, amongst others and a choice on tenure type

and better locations. BNG implementation has increased the rate of delivery of well-located

housing of satisfactory quality through a range of innovative and demand-driven housing

programmes and projects. It also sought to place increased emphasis on the process of housing

delivery, which is the planning, engagement and the long-term sustainability of the housing

environment (NDoH, 2008). Its key objective was to eradicate all informal settlements by 2014

(National Treasury, 2009).

Table 6.3: Breaking New Ground elements and objectives

BNG elements BNG objectives

1 Supporting the entire residential Accelerate the delivery of housing as a key

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property market strategy for poverty alleviation

2 Moving from housing to sustainable

human settlements

Utilise the provision of housing as a major job

creation strategy

3 Using existing and new housing

instruments

Ensure that property can be accessed by all as

an asset for wealth creation and empowerment

4 Adjusting institutional arrangements

within government

Leverage growth in the economy

5 Building institutions and capacity Combat crime, promote social cohesion and

improve quality of life for the poor

6 Defining financial arrangements Support the functioning of the entire single

residential property market to reduce duality

within the sector, by breaking the barriers

between the first economy residential property

boom and the second economic slump

7 Creating jobs and housing Utilize housing as an instrument for the

development of sustainable human

settlements, in support of spatial restructuring.

8 Building information,

communication and awareness

9 Establishing systems for monitoring

and evaluation

Source: Adopted from Rust, 2006a.

The BNG policy recognised the change in the dynamics of the housing demand, the increasing

average annual population growth, the drop in average household size, significant regional

differences, increasing urbanization, skewed growth of the residential property market, growth

in unemployment and a growing housing backlog despite substantial delivery in the first decade

of the initiated housing policy. Also, it recognised that the lack of affordable, well-located land

for low-cost housing had led to development on the periphery of existing urban areas, achieving

limited integration. Thus, NDoH (2008) informs that the dominant production of single houses

on single plots in distant locations with initially weak socio-economic infrastructure is

inflexible to local dynamics and changes in demand. Hence, the new human settlements plan

moves away from the current commoditized focus of housing delivery towards more

responsive mechanisms, which addresses the multi-dimensional needs of sustainable human

settlements.

In addition, the BNG recognised that the initially constructed subsidised houses had not

become the valuable assets envisioned in earlier policy. Besides, beneficiaries’ inability to pay

for municipal services and taxes revealed that municipalities viewed such housing projects as

liabilities, and were not particularly responsive to the national department’s more progressive

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intentions around housing. The BNG document frames housing delivery more clearly as a

catalyst for achieving a set of broad socio-economic goals. Hence, the key intention of BNG

was to move away from a supply-centered model to a demand-centered model driven by the

needs of the beneficiaries, which the present thesis has considered a tangible way to guarantee

a lasting satisfaction with the produced houses by the beneficiaries.

Furthermore, the BNG introduces an expanded role for municipalities. That is, in shifting away

from a supply-driven framework towards a more demand-driven process, it places an increased

emphasis on the role of the State in determining the location and nature of housing, as part of

a plan to link the demand for, and supply of housing. In so doing the problems of placing

housing in urban boundary will be done away with - however, the BNG has not succeeded in

doing this since the endorsement. Thus, this approach has only enabled municipalities to

assume overall responsibility for housing programmes in their areas of jurisdiction, through a

greater devolution of responsibility and resources to them. However, the BNG defines four

primary ends (BNG, 2004; Rust, 2006a), which are the basis of its acceptance:

1. Sustainable human settlements: well-managed entities in which economic growth and

social development are in balance with the carrying capacity of the natural systems on

which they depend for their existence and result in sustainable development, wealth

creation, poverty alleviation and equity.

2. Integration: The shift from housing units, to sustainable human settlements in BNG

largely captures the integration end. Spatial restructuring is also critical and sustainable

human settlements are seen to support spatial restructuring. BNG utilizes housing as an

instrument for the development of sustainable human settlements, in support of spatial

restructuring. There is also an institutional dimension as integration is both intra-

governmental (within a sphere of government) and inter-governmental, requiring

integrated planning and coordinated investment.

3. Housing assets: ensuring property can be accessed by all as an asset for wealth creation

and empowerment and supporting the functioning of the entire residential property

market to reduce duality.

4. Upgraded informal settlements: progressive eradication of informal settlements and

urban inclusion.

The means to achieve the above mentioned primary responsibilities, as defined on the policy

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includes:

1. Municipal accreditation: to reduce transaction costs and unnecessary administration,

funds will flow directly from national government to accredited municipalities.

2. Effective inter-governmental relations: coordination and alignment is essential to

ensure the effective and efficient flow of resources. This will be achieved through the

enhanced planning framework; bilateral co-operation between the Department of

Housing, the Social Cluster Partner Departments and the other spheres of government,

particularly municipalities; the DoH and the metros working together to achieve the

required alignment.

3. Delivery defined by demand: demand responsiveness cuts across many BNG proposals

and the notion of demand definition underpins the rationale for an expanded role for

municipalities.

4. Effectively functioning housing markets: the BNG develops a strategy around

supporting the entire residential property market, which includes: assisting lower-

middle income groups (expanding the scope upwards); a more flexible approach to

accommodate demand responsiveness and shift from product uniformity; enhancing the

role of the private sector; and creating linkages between the primary and secondary

residential property market.

Already, the cities of Johannesburg, Ekurhuleni, eThekweni, Tshwane and other metropolitan

cities have all redraft their housing strategies in line with BNG. While their policies are in line

with the budgetary allocations and inherent conditionality’s defined at national level for BNG;

the local implementations are thus, giving expression to the intentions of BNG.

6.4 HOUSING DELIVERY AND BACKLOGS

In 2009, the DHS admitted that the data it relies on to estimate the housing backlog in South

Africa is most likely unpredictable, and that a state-subsidised house that is delivered may

remain inadequate because of lack of access to basic services. Consequently, in terms of

eliminating the housing backlog and delivering adequate housing to the low-income groups

especially, the department is not really clear where it stands (Tissington, 2011). Hence, the

DHS has further indicated that in relation to its statistics collection and verification, they are

hoping that the 2011 Census will be able to give the department a better sense of the accuracy

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of the data they will need to measure backlogs and access delivery. However, there are various

reasons for unreliability of data such as poor provincial and municipal record-keeping in many

parts of the country, as well as incomplete data on house construction amongst others. The

South Africa National Treasury informs that detailed records of spending on subsidy

instruments per municipality are not readily available on a national basis; and that these data

weaknesses are a problem for the sector and it reflects an on-going coordination problems being

experienced by the municipalities. Thus, this severely undermines any detailed analysis,

oversight and accountability. As such, this section of the thesis provides review on housing

delivery since 1994, as well as on the current and growing housing backlogs.

6.4.1 Housing Delivery since 1994

The National Department of Housing states that from 1994 to 2004, about R29.5 billion was

spent on state-assisted housing investment generated 1.6 million housing opportunities and

provided 500 000 families with the opportunity to secure titles of old public housing stock

(NDoH, 2004). Also, NDoH (2007) informs that the government had made good progress in

eradicating backlogs and providing adequate housing. It further reported that over 3 million

subsidies had been approved, benefiting over 13.5 million poor people with housing.

Cumulatively, the government stated it had spent R40 billion on housing developments since

the inception of the housing programme, contributing to 2.4 million houses being constructed

and those still in the process as of 2007. However, while approximately 3.3 million subsidies

were approved as of 2009, actual delivery of subsidised housing units had been much slower

(National Treasury, 2009). However, between 2001/2002 and 2007/2008 delivery was said to

have declined in most provinces, while the allocation from the Integrated Housing and Human

Settlement Development (IHHSD) grant increased (National Treasury, 2009). The National

Treasury further informed that between 1995 and mid-2008 the IHHSD grant disbursed

approximately R49 billion, which provided a total of 2.6 million housing opportunities at a

gross average cost of R18 850 per unit, and an average annual delivery rate of 200 000 units a

year. According to the then Department of Housing, although accurate data is not readily

available, the bulk of this spending occurs through project-linked subsidies (now IRDP), where

developers implemented housing projects at scale and a qualifying household obtains

ownership of a complete residential unit.

In 2010, the Minister of Human Settlements stated that since 1994 more than 3.0-million

housing units have been made available for nearly 13.5 million people. Hence, housing scholars

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argued that there are three major problems with reaching an aggregate figure for state-

subsidised housing. First, they informed that records in the deeds office do not indicate whether

the house was constructed with or without a state subsidy, whilst data on the approval of

housing subsidies is incomplete and difficult to match with actual house construction.

Secondly, it seems that a substantial proportion of state-subsidised RDP and BNG houses,

perhaps as high as 50 percent have not been registered with the deeds office. Lastly, it seems

that state subsidies have been used in some cases to finance transfers of ownership from the

state to occupants, for example leasehold being converted to freehold, which means a house

was not actually constructed. Rust (2006a) informs there are probably less than one million

registered RDP and BNG housing units, and that the figure of 2.8 million can only be reached

if there are as many unregistered RDP and BNG housing units and about the same number of

properties where the ownership has been transferred from state to occupant. As such, if this

was the case there would still only be about two million new houses.

Table 6.4 shows the preliminary units delivered in 2009/10 and an estimated delivery till 2014.

It is envisaged that if delivery occurs at this pace - on average 230 000 units per year (which is

unlikely) - it would still only mean that by 2014 approximately 1.1 million housing units will

be delivered. This is over one million units short of the current and growing backlog of 2.1

million households, which is thought to be a conservative estimate (Tissington, 2011).

Table 6.4: Estimated Housing Delivery from 2008 to 2014 (DHS)

Estimated Delivery

Preliminary units

delivered in

2009/10

2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

Eastern Cape 28 644 23 400 23 400 24 463 26 058

Free State 18 829 21 462 21 462 22 438 23 058

Gauteng 39 922 48 553 48 553 50 760 54 071

Kwazulu-

Natal

27 376 26 626 26 626 27 837 29 652

Limpopo 23 079 22 613 22 613 23 641 25 182

Mpumalanga 8 291 8 181 8 181 8 553 9 111

Northern

Cape

6 257 6 512 6 512 6 808 7 253

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North West 35 141 30 954 30 954 32 361 43 472

Western

Cape

32 371 31 698 31 698 33 139 35 300

Total 219 899 220 000 220 000 230 000 245 000

Source: National Department of Human Settlement, 2010.

For instance, in 2009, South Africa’s national budget for housing and community amenities

was R73.2 billion (8.7 percent of the national budget) of which about R13 billion was

distributed to provinces to administer housing subsidies to the low-income group. Likewise, in

2010, more than R93 billion was allocated to housing and community amenities, representing

a nominal increase of more than 14 percent on the previous year. From the approved allocation,

more than R20 billion was set aside for housing development purposes only. Hence, the

Minister of Finance stated in his National Budget Speech that the human settlements grant is

one of the faster growing items on the budget. Conversely, as has been specified above,

although billions of rands are being allocated to housing development, and countless number

of subsidies are being approved for poor and low-income households, in contradiction, the

delivery of housing units is not occurring at scale or at pace with the monetary allocation.

6.5 HOUSING DELIVERY IN SOUTH AFRICA

The delivery of housing in Post-Apartheid South Africa is characterised by three streams of

provision and allocation that are running parallel and often overlapping to some extent. These

three streams are public sector built; private sector provided and self-provided housing.

However, the public sector built is only delivered through the housing subsidy schemes, thus

the name state subsidised housing. In this section of the thesis, the concept of state subsidies

housing in South Africa will be discussed, with a particular emphasis on the delivery

mechanism and the problem associated with the housing delivered to date.

6.5.1 State Subsidised Housing in South Africa

State subsidised housing in South Africa is a form of housing delivery system in which the

property and associated infrastructure is financed by the government and transferred to either

a group of qualified low-income families, elderly and handicapped individuals with little or no

contribution coming from them. However, it has never proved easy to help the poor through

housing subsidies, particularly in developing countries (Gilbert, 2004) such as South Africa

with numerous social-economic issues and racial divides. Today, very few governments are

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prepared to offer housing subsidies to the poor unless they are delivered as up-front or as,

targeted capital subsidies. Also, the lack of resources has forced most governments into making

difficult decisions about the size and the number of subsidies to be offered.

In order to address the housing shortage and the urban and rural housing backlog in the Post-

Apartheid South Africa State, the government instituted a number of programmes and

mechanism to assist lower income households. Foremost amongst these include the housing

subsidy system, as well as other innovative mechanisms to encourage the increase of affordable

housing to the poor (Landman & Napier, 2010). Also dependent on these decisions, has come

a series of implementation problems relating to the quality of construction, the location of the

new housing solutions, the use of credit and how to allocate subsidies between so many

beneficiaries. While there have certainly been positive experiences from the South Africa

housing delivery mechanism, there is also a very long list of failures particularly with the

process of delivery and the product that was and is still being delivered. However, housing

delivery for the low income groups in South Africa is reliant on the Housing Subsidy process.

The subsidy scheme facilitates the provision of a range of housing types. Prominent amongst

this is the RDP housing (named after the Reconstruction and Development Programme initiated

to promote delivery in 1994) which was developed by government and allocated to

beneficiaries with a household income of less than R3, 500. Beneficiaries of the housing

subsidy scheme receive a once off grant. The Housing Subsidy grant is a grant by government

to qualifying beneficiaries for housing purposes. The qualifying criteria have been discussed

above. The grant is not paid in cash to beneficiaries; it is either paid to a developer, or in new

housing developments for the provision of a house. The grant is used to construct a house (top

structure as approved) that complies with the minimum technical and environmental norms and

standards, land for the house, and basic services (water and sanitation), which is then

transferred to the qualifying beneficiary after completion.

Despite the impressive delivery of houses, the housing backlog has increased from 1.5-million

in 1994 and has continued to grow and is currently estimated at between 2.1-million and 2.5-

million. This, according to the DHS translates into approximately 12.5 million people still

needing houses in the country. South Africa has spent billions of rands to provide housing to

the poor, but the government’s 2009 General Household Survey showed that the portion of

households still living in shacks has remained steady at about 13 percent since 2002. Also,

despite the housing budget which was increased in 2011 by 38 percent of 22.5 billion rands

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($3.3 billion, 2.3 billion euros) the authorities still regularly battle protests in shantytowns by

destitute black residents angered by rampant joblessness and poor amenities like water, toilets

and electricity. However, some housing scholars argues that there may be many more people

still needing housing, as the number of those living in informal settlement are not adequately

captured and the number most times do not include foreign nationals. However, the housing

subsidy scheme is in line with the government housing strategy as contained in the National

Housing Policy Framework, which is to provide subsidy assistance to the low-income groups,

thus enabling them to become home owners and to improve their quality of life.

According to Gardner (2004), subsidy housing for homeownership comprise 15.2% of the total

stock in South Africa, with social housing (rental) constitutes 0.5% and co-operatives 1.6%

(based on the 2001 Census). Though delivery through social housing has significantly increased

since then, but still constitutes a small percentage of the overall housing supply in the country.

Other forms of state provided housing, include public housing at a local level. According to

Gardner (2004), ex-council housing (now owned) comprised 7.6% of the total stock in South

Africa, with current stated owned housing available to rent, also constituting 7.6%. However,

Statistics SA (2009) informs that around 18.9 percent of South African households live in

‘RDP’ or government-subsidised homes according to its General Household Survey report and

another 13 percent are waiting for a state subsidised dwelling. A similar percentage of

households (13.5%) had at least one household member on a demand database/waiting list for

state-subsidised housing. Based on these statistics, a study of the current nature is imperative

in order for government to provide houses that will meet the need of the low-income who are

allocated these houses.

Government-subsidised homes or ‘RDP’ housing, usually includes a stand-alone house of

about 30-40 m2 on a 250 m2 plot. However, lately, developers and designers have started to

experiment with alternative housing types where RDP units are semi-detached and located on

smaller sites to accommodate densification. These are evident in projects, such as the

Alexandra Urban Renewal Programme and the Pennyville Development in the City of

Johannesburg (Landman & Napier, 2010). For instance in Pennyville, the developers have also

experimented with semi-detached RDP units on two levels such as the semi-detached

simplexes, while in another project in the Nelson Mandela Metropolitan Municipality in the

Eastern Cape Province, namely Sakhasonke, semi-detached duplexes have also been built.

According to Landman and Napier (2010), these newly experimented houses are significantly

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larger (46 square meters) than the previous models of 40 square meters. This shows some

flexibility being adopted regarding the implementation of subsidy housing for ownership in

South Africa. Currently, there is very little supply of housing for households earning between

R3, 500 and R8, 000. These households do not qualify for a housing subsidy as recommended

by the Housing Policy Framework, yet are unable to afford housing in the market. This gap in

the housing market is known as Gap Housing (Rust, 2006b). In attempting to address part of

this gap, housing institutions are also making use of institutional subsidies to co-fund the

development of social housing units for the more affordable housing market sector; thus

addressing the gap market. This current initiative is supposed to sufficiently address the Gap

Housing as government has committed resources to it. For example, the Brickfields and Carr

Gardens projects developed in the inner city of Johannesburg and the Amalinda Housing

Project in the Buffalo City Municipality are plot projects of this initiative. Cross (2008) informs

that the majority of government-delivered dwelling units are concentrated in the urban sector,

whilst the rural sector is not being given a considerable attention.

Despite the efforts of the NHSS to deliver housing to all, there have been problems with both

the quantity and quality of housing delivered since 1994. Prime amongst these, as noted by the

NDoH more recently, indicates that housing delivery has had a limited impact on poverty

alleviation and houses have not become the financial, social and economic assets as envisioned

in the early 1990s and as stated in the Housing White Paper. This was supported in a study by

Aigbavboa (2010) study on the housing subsidy post-occupancy evaluation, which found that

a majority of the beneficiaries do not consider their houses an asset for wealth creation. This is

because most of the previously built houses via the project-linked subsidies for large-scale

housing developments (now IRDP) were often located on the periphery of existing townships;

land previously acquired or zoned for township development under apartheid (Charlton &

Kihato, 2006). This system maintains the marginalization of the poor and does not contribute

to the compaction, integration and restructuring of the Apartheid City (Charlton & Kihato,

2006). This trend has thus reinforced the spatial segregation of cities, which isolates the poor

from livelihood opportunities and social services, as well as the tendency towards urban sprawl.

This problem has often been exacerbated by the fact that there has also been little co-ordination

between government departments to ensure that public transport, schools, clinics, libraries and

police stations are provided for the new community. However, with the modification and

enhancement of the NHP and with particular emphasis on the SHP design to bring about

restructuring of the urban divide, this has greatly been attended to through the IRDP scheme.

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Because of the numerous problems associated with the RDP houses over the years, Tissington

(2011) asserts that they have become residential dormitories, thus many beneficiaries choose

to trade their houses and move back to informal settlements or other informal housing to be

closer to work. Also, Urban LandMark (2010) states that, since 2005, approximately 11 percent

of all RDP houses were unofficially traded by owners who were barred from selling their

houses due to the mandatory lock-in period of eight years set for all state subsidised housing

in the country. Wessels (2010) informs that over half of the unofficially traded transactions

were between R5 750 and R17 000. Hence, Rust (2006) states that eight years is a long time,

as this duration makes it incredibly difficult for a household RDP to be used as a financial asset

and get lending against it. Also, Tissington, Rust, Mcgaffin, Napier, Charlton (2010) found that

it is difficult for households to use their RDP houses as financial assets and get lending against

them as the location of the constructed houses often fails to match beneficiaries’ needs, thus

financial institutions are reluctant to lend using the houses as collateral security. As a result,

the low-income groups accept the RDP houses but rent them out to generate income, while

they choosing to live in an informal settlement or backyard shack in a township to be closer to

jobs and livelihood opportunities. Also, Sexwale (2010) mentioned that only about 34.0% of

the beneficiaries that were originally allocated state-subsidised are occupying the housing

units.

Another problem that concerns the RDP houses according to Wessels (2010), is the delays in

the transferal of title deeds and the protracted length of township establishment have meant

many beneficiaries do not have their title deeds or proof of ownership. Also of late, the Minister

of Human Settlements announced that the government would be using R1.3 billion, or tem

percent of the department’s budget, to demolish and rectify badly constructed RDP houses

(Prinsloo, 2010). The Minister of DHS since coming to office in 2009 has focused greatly on

the issue of the quality of RDP houses previously built and those being constructed, as well as

corruption in housing projects through his national audit task team (Naidu & Isaacson, 2009).

There have been several problems with this model including corruption in the allocation of

subsidised housing units as well as in construction tenders, the latter resulting in construction

short cuts being taken and poor quality houses being built.

Statistics South Africa, through its 2009 General Household Survey (GHS) across the country

states that about 16.1% of households living in RDP or state-subsidised dwellings felt that the

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walls of their dwellings were weak/very weak, whilst 14.9 percent felt that their roof was

weak/very weak. Furthermore, the GHS report informs that there was a considerable variation

between provinces in perceptions about housing quality. For instance, in the Western Cape and

Eastern Cape, nearly a third of all households informed that they have a problem with their

walls and roofs. While in the Northern Cape, 17.0% of households had problems with their

walls and 18.0% had problems with their roofs. Also in KwaZulu-Natal, 14.9% of households

had problems with their walls. Hence the DHS claims that approximately R359 million would

be needed to demolish and rectify approximately 20 000 shoddy RDP houses in the Eastern

Cape. However, towards the end of 2009, the DHS stated that nearly 3 000 RDP houses

identified in the Eastern Cape and KwaZulu-Natal provinces will be demolished because of

inferior workmanship. Mbanjwa (2009) researched that these houses had been built in the 18

months prior to their identification as intolerably poor structures.

Furthermore, in delivering state subsidised RDP housing, the government has overlooked a key

principle of the RDP policy, which is to promote integrated development. However, this is

currently being addressed through the IRDP scheme, which is aimed at creating social cohesion

in the developed settlements.

6.6 LESSONS LEARNT FROM SOUTH AFRICA HOUSING STUDIES

The following are the lessons learnt on the study of the South Africa housing situation:

the housing environment in South Africa is complex, in large part due to the deliberate

policy and legislative framework of socio-economic and spatial exclusion and

marginalization created during the Apartheid Era;

the Post-Apartheid State Governance has been actively involved in trying to create a

level play field for the previously disadvantaged and also trying to repair the

disadvantaged condition created by the almost 42 years of the Apartheid Government;

the implementation of the South African housing policy to date has been skewed and

unable to address the land, housing and basic services needs of millions of poor South

Africans who still lack adequate housing and access to water, sanitation and electricity,

also, the SA housing policy is the result of a mixed bag of international influences and

local creativity - mostly due to the policy of spatial segregation in the Apartheid State,

which contributed to a policy which is defined in terms of ‘scan globally, reinvent

locally’ principle;

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the South African housing agenda objectives go beyond simply providing housing

structures, but that housing construction should contribute to the national economy,

demonstrating delivery, contributing to the economic performance and assisting with

poverty alleviation;

that the enactment of the Native Land Act 27 of 1913, cemented housing policy issues

in the Apartheid Era, which created the divide in housing issues, which exist to date,

thus, ascertaining that the housing backlog and problem of the present date back to the

1913 Native Land Act;

the first effort to adequately assist local authorities in their task of meeting the housing

needs in their areas of jurisdiction was through the adoption of the first South African

Housing Code in 1964;

the fundamental principles of the South Africa housing policy and developmental

framework is established in the Housing White Paper, which was published in

December 1994;

the fundamental policy and development principles introduced by the Housing White

Paper remains relevant and guide all developments in respect of housing policy and

implementation in South Africa;

the fundamental philosophy underpinning housing development goals in South Africa

is the existing South African Constitution of 1996;

the Constitution contains justifiable socio-economic rights and enshrines everyone’s

right to have access to adequate housing;

the South Africa Housing Act of 1997 is the primary piece of housing legislation in

South Africa. It legally entrenched housing policy principles outlined in the 1994 White

Paper on Housing;

the Housing Act provides for a sustainable housing development process, laying down

general principles for housing development in all spheres of government; it defines the

functions of national, provincial and local governments in respect of housing

development; and it lays the basis for financing national housing programmes;

the National Housing Code (NHC), which was first published in 2000 in accordance

with the Housing Act, set out the underlying policy principles, guidelines and norms

and standards which apply to the National Housing Programmes;

housing policy shifts in South Africa are not, however, explicitly rooted in a rigorous

interrogation of the needs of the poor, such as the impact of housing programmes on

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livelihoods and economic activity of the poor beneficiaries;

there is a lack of continuity and institutional memory to carry the policy development

forward strongly and decisively, as housing department personnel’s are changed from

time to time; and

housing delivery for the low income groups in South Africa is reliant on the Housing

Subsidy process. The subsidy scheme facilitates the provision of a range of housing

types. Prominent amongst this is the RDP housing which is developed by government

and allocated to beneficiaries with a household income of less than R3, 500.

6.7 CONCLUSION

This chapter has provided an outline of housing legislative and policy framework in South

Africa; examining the Constitution with specific reference to the Bill of Right and the Right to

Housing; National Housing Code; and the National Housing Programmes categorized therein

with a specific focus on State subsidized housing (housing subsidy Scheme). Also, an evolution

of housing policy in South Africa was discussed. Further, an overview of the developments in

housing policy since 1994 was illustrated, including a summary of the negotiations at the

National Housing Forum held between 1992 and 1994. The section further examined the

supreme policy framework contained in the 1994 White Paper on Housing, and the problems

associated with the Reconstruction and Development Programme (RDP) houses built after

1994.

In many ways, despite the ‘miracle’ of the negotiated settlement, which established a fully

democratic order without the liberation of a full-scale revolution, the new South African state

remains a hostage of its past, as evident from the history of its housing policy down to the

development and amendments made to the policies developed after 1994. Precisely, the legacy

of Apartheid in the form of profound social polarization, extreme economic inequalities and

spatially divided cities massively complicates the task of building a new society in which, as

informed in the Constitutional Right that all South Africans should have access to adequate

housing. Though, Apartheid alone cannot be held responsible for the housing conditions in

South Africa but equally no account of housing policy and conditions can be credible if it does

not take into account the history of South Africa.

From the reviewed literature, housing policy in South Africa appears to remain wedded to the

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sort of supply side approach which, for the most part, can deliver only a fairly standardised

product or range of products. The degree to which the present housing policy and the supporting

programmes will overcome certain of the major problems inherited from the past even if the

obstacles to more rapid delivery at scale can be overcome, remains questionable. In particular,

the current policy framework has clear limits in terms of addressing the fundamental social and

spatial divisions, which characterize the country’s cities. Also, from the literature, the failure

to clearly and steadily integrate housing policy into a coherent strategy of urban restructuring

in South Africa was the former housing framework’s, deficiency, which has now been

addressed through the social housing programme framework which applies only to

‘restructuring zones’, which are identified by municipalities as areas of economic opportunity

and where urban renewal/restructuring impacts can best be achieved.

Despite the numerous challenges that have come with the delivery of housing in the new South

African State, over three million subsidies had been approved, benefiting over 13.5 million

poor people with housing. Cumulatively, the government stated it had spent R40 billion on

housing developments since the inception of the housing programme, contributing to 3.0

million houses being constructed. However, while approximately 3.3 million subsidies were

approved as of 2009, actual delivery of subsidised housing units had been much slower. The

houses delivered have housed 18.9% South African households according to the General

Household Survey report and another 13.0% are waiting for a state subsidised dwelling. The

most important point to stress in conclusion is that the vital objective of housing policy

framework must be to stimulate the environments which give dignity to people’s lives: it is

not simply the provision of shelter. Against this criterion, the record of housing policy and

implementation in South Africa in recent decades has been really poor. Thousands of millions

of rands have been spent on housing but the environments which have resulted are almost

unfailingly sterile, monotonous, hostile and inconvenient. In order for the money spent not to

be wasted, there is a need to evaluate the residential satisfaction of the housing occupants so

that errors made can be corrected for future development. A narrow focus on the individual

housing unit and the provision of shelter, which is the prevalent disposition, gives rise to a

particular mind-set and approach which ensures the generation of poorly-performing, sterile

environments. Significant improvement demands a paradigm shift, a shift which places not the

individual unit but collective spaces, institutions and facilities at the centre of housing research,

which is beneficiary driven. The next chapter will focus on a discussion of the methodology

adopted in order to realize the research objectives.

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CHAPTER SEVEN

RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

7.1 INTRODUCTION

This chapter discusses the various steps undertaken by the researcher to explore the objectives

of this research. As discussed in the introduction, the aim of this research is to investigate and

organize the relationship between publicly-funded beneficiaries’ dwelling units,

neighbourhood features, services provided by government, building quality, beneficiaries’

participation, needs and expectations, into a model. Beneficiaries’ participation, needs and

expectations, are new constructs that are peculiar to the present model to be validated as they

have not been previously considered in the existing models of residential satisfaction; whilst

other variables have been measured in a majority of the previous studies. This chapter provides

details about the methodological research framework for the current study. The chapter consists

of the following sections: research design and methodology, the quantitative study and the

qualitative study. The research design and methodology section focuse on the research

procedures, including the choice of research methods and the selection of participants. This

investigation combined quantitative and qualitative methods (Mixed Method): the Delphi

Study and a Structured Questionnaire Survey. The use of a Mixed Method approach is rooted

in both philosophical and practical reasons, which are explained in detail to justify the Mixed

Method approach for this thesis.

7.2 QUANTITATIVE VERSUS QUALITATIVE RESEARCH

METHODOLOGY

This particular section of chapter 7 explores the methodological options available to undertake

research. When deciding on the appropriate research methodology, researchers are usually

influenced by the research aims, as well as the type of data that they have to collect. Hence

researchers have to choose between different options of methodology which fall into two broad

categories namely, quantitative and qualitative. Some researchers may decide to use either one

of the methodologies or a combination of the methodologies to carry out the research, provided

that they are appropriate in answering the (researchers) research questions.

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However, despite the influence of the research aim, these methodologies are sometimes

influenced by the research paradigms (Jean, 1992). A paradigm is a “set of beliefs that

researchers use to make sense of the world or a segment of the world” (Crotty, 1998:35). In

other words a paradigm provides insight into the way, in which researchers look at and perceive

the world (Kuhn, 1996). Paradigms guide the conceptual framework that researchers use in

seeking to understand and make sense of reality (Maguire, 1987). Paradigms set boundaries for

researchers in terms of the manner in which they can execute the research process, with regards

to research methods, strategies for inquiry, as well as the purpose and use of knowledge (Crotty,

1998). Thus, paradigms influence what researchers regard as accepted knowledge and ways of

doing research (Crotty, 1998) and shapes researchers’ “…perceptions and practices within

their research disciplines” (Maguire, 1987:11).

Similarly, the choice of method is typically influenced by major philosophical considerations

(ontological and epistemological) underlying the research process (discussed in the next

section). Both quantitative and qualitative research methodologies are based on the

epistemological assumptions regarding the nature of knowledge and the methods of abstracting

that knowledge, as well as ontological assumptions, which relate to the nature of reality or the

phenomena being investigated (Jean, 1992). These philosophical considerations which

influenced the choice of the research approach for this thesis are discussed briefly in the next

sections.

7.3 PHILOSOPHICAL CONSIDERATIONS IN RESEARCH

METHODOLOGY

As stated above in Section 7.1, the choice of research methodology is usually influenced by a

set of assumptions underlying each research methodology (Crotty, 1998). According to Crotty

(1998), the choice of a method has to be supported by the statement of assumptions that have

been brought into the research process and are reflected in the methodology. These assumptions

though varied, tend to fall into the philosophical areas of ontology and epistemology. A brief

discussion of these considerations follows in Section 7.3.1 and 7.3.2.

7.3.1 Ontological Consideration

Ontological assumptions revolve around the question of ‘what is’ with the nature of reality

(Crotty, 1998). In other words, it is an effort to elucidate what reality is and why things happen

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the way they do. In an attempt to explain reality, Jean (1992) advocates two opposite

assumptions of reality, which are objectivity and subjectivity. Jean (1992) viewed the

objectivist stance as, reality existing out there, intact and tangible, but it is independent of

individuals’ appreciation and cognition (Crotty, 1998; Jean, 1992). Thus, regardless of whether

or not individuals perceive and attach meaning to this reality, it remains unchanged (Burrell &

Morgan, 1994). Hence an individual is thus; “...born into and lives within the social world that

has its own reality, which cannot be created by that individual” (Burrell & Morgan, 1994:4).

Thus, in order to create a better understanding of reality, objectivist’s researchers propose the

need to study the causal relationships among the elements constituting reality (Burrell &

Morgan, 1994; Jean, 1992) which is advanced in the current research.

Additionally, objectivist view of reality is closely related to a theoretical position called

positivism (Crotty, 1998). Positivism holds the objectivist assumption that reality is

independent of human cognition (Guba, 1990). Positivists postulate that the world exists as a

system of observable variables waiting to be discovered (Maguire, 1987). Similarly, positivists

believe that the use of scientific methods of inquiry can assist in discovering the true meaning

of reality (Crotty, 1998; Guba, 1990; Maguire, 1987). In this regards, scientific methods are

those research methods that lack human involvement in arriving at the meaning of reality. The

aim is to avoid the researchers’ bias in the research process and produce scientifically verified

knowledge (Guba, 1990). The results of such investigation generate rules and theories that help

to explain and sometimes provide a guide for understanding social behaviour (Maguire, 1987).

This is exactly what the currently research aims to achieve, in that through the model to be

developed, an understanding will be created of the social construct that brings about residential

satisfaction of occupants living in low-income housing in South Africa.

Though, objectivism has been criticized for its inflexible assumption of an independent reality

outside human cognition (Guba, 1990). According to Maguire (1987), the supposition by

objectivists that reality exists outside human conception is inconsistent because reality is

humanly and socially created. Besides human beings are not passive spectators but rather they

participate actively in the construction of meaning. Thus, Maguire (1987:19) argues that

“objectivity is illusion because it suggests that it is possible to separate the subject of

knowledge, the knower, from the object, the known”.

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Furthermore, the opposite view to objectivism is subjectivism or constructivism. It assumes

that the world consists of labels, names and concepts that are used to create the meaning of

reality (Burrell and Morgan, 1994). According to the subjectivist interpretation, reality is not

discovered but it is constructed by human beings as they engage with the world they live in

(Crotty, 1998). In that way understanding and interpretation of reality occurs when human

beings interact with their environment and others and assign meaning to the world around them

(Crotty, 1998). Thus, in research, meaning is “…an expression of the manner in which the

researcher as a human being has arbitrarily imposed a personal frame of reference on the

world…” (Jean, 1992:89). The next section is an extension of the discussion on philosophical

suppositions that influence researchers’ choice of methodology. Having discussed the question

of ‘what is’ reality, the next section looks into ‘how’ reality or knowledge is created.

7.3.2 Epistemology

Epistemology is associated with an explanation on the nature of knowledge in terms of how

knowledge is created (Hill, 1995). In research, epistemology provides the grounds for deciding

on the kind of knowledge that is considered appropriate, adequate and legitimate for the

research at hand (Crotty, 1998). Furthermore, Hill (1995) submits that research methodology

is applied epistemology, and therefore, methodology has to be supported by an epistemology.

Therefore, researchers are expected to point out, explain and justify the epistemology that

informs their choice of research methodology.

Consequently, the choice of epistemology is widely influenced by the ontological

considerations within a particular discipline (Quattrone, 2000). Though, both dimensions of

ontology (objective and subjective), plays an important role in the epistemology and ultimately,

the methodology chosen to conduct the research. Therefore, the next Sections 7.3.3 and 7.3.4

will elucidate how the ontological dimensions (objective and subjective), as well as

epistemological considerations, affect the choice of research methodology.

7.3.3 Quantitative Methodology

According to Jean (1992) the objectivist view of an integral and independent reality encourages

researchers to adopt the epistemology of positivism. Likewise, Kent (1999) informs that the

objectivist researcher strives to observe measure, analyse and predict relationships between

components that comprise reality. Kent (1999:11) further states that certain principles guide a

positivist’s search for reality, which includes:

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1. Only phenomena that can be observed can be used to validate knowledge;

2. Scientific knowledge is arrived at through the accumulation of verified facts derived

from systematic observation or record-keeping;

3. Scientific theories are used to describe patterns of relationships between these facts to

establish causal connections between them; and

4. The process is neutral and judgment free. Observations are uncontaminated by the

scientist’ own prediction. Thus ethical issues can be included only if they are included

as part of the research.

Thus, a positivist epistemology would result in the use of a scientifically guided research

methodology where the aim is to explain and predict causal relations between elements that

constitute reality (Jean, 1992; Quattrone, 2000), which was considered in the present research.

The success of positivist research depends on the collection of data that can be quantified and

analysed using mathematical formulas (Maguire, 1987) as also adopted for the current thesis.

Likewise, positivist’s researchers advocate the use of quantitative methodology to explore and

explain relationships between variables. The presentation of research findings under this

methodology usually follows an approach that emphasises explicit, exact, scientific and formal

procedures (Sarantakos, 2005). For instance, positivist researchers have to use statistical

rhetoric such as reliability, unidimensionality, validity, correlation, cause and effect

relationships, to mention a few, which are in line with the scientific presentation of results

(Kent, 1999). Hence, the whole research process is considered to be highly neutral and

judgment free with limited room for personal bias (Sarantakos, 2005). As Sarantakos (2005:33)

further accentuates, “... the task of the researcher is to discover the scientific laws that explain

human behaviour using quantitative methods, similar to those of natural sciences”. According

to Kent (1999:11) “a researcher using quantitative methodology has to follow a number of steps

in conducting their research which usually include, generating the research problem, coming

up with expectations based on reality, generating hypothesis, defining variables, sampling, data

collection, analysis of data, report of findings and relating findings to the theory”.

Critics of quantitative methodology argue that placing emphasis on quantitative research

methods often leaves out important social phenomena that cannot be quantified (Maguire,

1987). In some cases “...complex social phenomena are reduced to meaningless quantitative

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results in a bid to follow the norms of the methodology” (Maguire, 1987:22). May (2001)

suggests that detachment of the researcher from the research process neutralizes their

(researchers) influence on the researched, thereby depersonalizing and alienating them from

the world they are supposed to study. “This reduces researchers to research tools that do not

have a mind, while respondents become research objects and are treated as such” (Sarantakos,

2005:35). In reality it is not possible to totally detach the researcher from the research process

since their perceptions, expectations, experiences and interpretations ultimately become part of

the research process (May, 2001). Therefore the researcher’s subjectivity is considered an

integral part of the research process. May (2001) further suggests that the relationship between

the researcher and the research should not be exclusive, but should be “...a continuous ebb and

flow of information...” Thus advocates of subjectivity suggest that it is a better option for

undertaking research as opposed to objective quantitative methods (Brieschke, 1992).

In summary, quantitative methodology is appropriate in certain instances, for example in

scientific research where emphasis is on explicit, exact, and formal procedures (Sarantakos,

2005). Beside this, it has been heavily criticized as already discussed above. However, these

limitations can be reduced if it (quantitative methodology) is supported by qualitative

methodology (Tashakkori & Teddlie, 1998). Section 7.3.5 discusses the advantages of

combining qualitative and quantitative methodology in more detail. In the following section

qualitative methodology is discussed. The discussion focuses on both the advantages and

limitations of qualitative methodology.

7.3.4 Qualitative Methodology

According to Jean (1992), the subjectivist’s view of reality advocates for appreciation of human

involvement in the creation and shaping of knowledge. The subjectivist epistemology thus

suggests that meaning or reality is not discovered but is rather imposed on the object by the

subject, and in a research situation, imposed by the researcher (Crotty, 1998). In other words,

with the subjectivist epistemology, the object being studied contributes less to the meaning or

reality. Thus, researchers’ input in the research process is recognised under subjectivism. The

research methodology recommended by subjectivists is qualitative methodology. According to

Jean (1992:92) qualitative research is “…a form of social interaction in which the researcher

converses with, and learns about the phenomenon being studied”. In other words, the researcher

is part of the research process and is actively involved in creating the meaning of reality (Crotty,

1998).

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Qualitative research is suggested as more applicable to the study of people and their

environment (social sciences) than natural sciences (Bryman, 2001). The intention is that the

object of research for natural sciences (chemicals, metals, atoms and others) cannot make sense

of their environment and are easy to manipulate while people can, and are, able to attribute

meaning to their environment. Consequently advocates of qualitative research advanced the

use of qualitative methodology when studying people as it enables the researcher to see through

the eyes of the researched (Bryman, 2001). Besides, the social world needs to be studied from

people’ viewpoints rather than to treat them as objects that cannot attach meaning to their

environment.

Constructing meaning through engagement with people involves interpretation. Thus, the

process by which information is extracted through interpretation is sometimes called

interpretivism (Sarantakos, 2005). Under interpretivism, researchers seek information relating

to people’s views, opinions, perceptions and interpretations of the social world (Crotty, 1998),

which was also partly utilized in the current research. Subjectivism, constructivism, and

interpretivism form part of a broader list of research methods commonly employed in

qualitative research. Quintessentially, qualitative research is a broad area with diverse research

methods. In that way, it (qualitative research) will not be extensively discussed here, since this

thesis is not solely qualitative.

Despite the positive contribution of qualitative methodology to the research process, it has

some setbacks. For instance, qualitative methodology has been criticized for lacking in efficacy

due to its inability to study with a degree of accuracy, the relationships between variables

(Sarantakos, 2005). Also, in qualitative research, the researcher is the main player, in the sense

that he or she decides on what to concentrate on. Moreover, what is observed and heard may

not necessarily be the same as what another researcher will observe (Bryman, 2001). It is

difficult to replicate and generalize the findings of qualitative research with ease because they

are more likely to be controlled given that only a small number of cases are studied compared

to large sample sizes common in quantitative research (Bryman, 2001). Consequently, the

number of cases may not be representative of the majority of the population being studied.

However, advocates of qualitative research argue that generalizations are made on the

assumption that the findings and inferences made during the research are supported by sound

theoretical reasoning (Mitchel, 1983). According to Ruyter and Scholl (1998),

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representativeness in the case of qualitative research is not concerned with the size of the

sample representing the research population but rather representativeness in accordance with

the subject of investigation, which is highly subjective and a narrow-minded view of events

and what is being observed.

Another possible disadvantage of solely using qualitative research is that it is difficult to subject

findings of qualitative research to rigorous quality verification requirements such as reliability

and validity (Creswell, 1994). Validity requires measurement of the object of enquiry and that

is not possible in qualitative research because its purpose is not to measure but to generate ideas

(Stenbacka, 2001). Thus, it would be difficult to prove the validity of qualitative research

findings through measurement. On the other hand, reliability is concerned with producing the

same result with consistency. This is not possible under qualitative research because of the

involvement, influence, subjectiveness and the possibility of bias of the researcher in

qualitative research. Qualitative researchers have, however, argued that quality verification

using validity and reliability checks is not necessarily applicable to qualitative research because

it owes its origin to scientific rhetoric and positivist paradigms common in quantitative research

(Creswell, 1994; Stenbacka, 2001). Stenbacka (2001:555) further defending the paradigm

suggests that “...new concepts relevant to qualitative research been used instead of quality

concepts borrowed from quantitative research”.

Nevertheless, both qualitative and quantitative research methodologies can be used in different

situations depending on the aims and objectives of the study. For instance, Ellram (1996:98)

claims that most research is centered on four primary objectives. These are; “...exploration,

explanation, description and prediction” (Ellram, 1996:98). Research where the objectives are

either exploration and/ or explanation would normally require qualitative research methods.

This is because qualitative research has the ability to provide insight and explanation into a

phenomenon that was relatively unknown (Ruyter & Scholl, 1998). It provides answers to

questions, such as ‘how’ or ‘why’ which are common in exploration and explanation of

phenomena (Ellram, 1996). On the other hand, research that is descriptive and or predictive

would, in most cases, require quantitative research methods that utilize statistical techniques to

predict and describe relationships between variables (Ellram, 1996). This therefore implies that

the choice between the two areas of methodology should not be driven by like or dislike of

either method, but by the aims and objectives of the study, as well as the nature of the study.

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In some cases the two methods may be used jointly to cover for the weaknesses inherent in

each method (Amaratunga, Baldry, Sarshar, & Newton, 2002; Tashakkori & Teddlie, 1998).

The process of combining quantitative and qualitative research methods is usually called

triangulation, which Tashakkori and Teddlie (2003) called Mixed Method or pragmatism. The

discussion on the combination of qualitative and quantitative methods; follows hereafter.

7.3.5 Combined Quantitative and Qualitative Methods

The combination of qualitative and quantitative methods has been supported theoretically by

many scholars such as Uysal and Crompton (1985); Creswell (1994); Tashakkori and Teddlie

(1998); Bryman (2001); and Amaratunga et al. (2002. There has been a suggestion that

quantitative and qualitative research methods are not dichotomous but rather can complement

one another to produce improved research findings (Tashakkori & Teddlie, 1998). Those

advocating the use of combined methods reject the forced choice between positivism and

constructivism as none of the methods work best in isolation (Tashakkori & Teddlie, 1998).

The use of combined methods, often called Mixed Method (MM), has been found to alleviate

the weaknesses linked with using either of the methods on their own (Tashakkori & Teddlie,

1998; Amaratunga et al., 2002; Bryman, 2001; Mangan, Lalwani, & Gardner, 2004). For

example, Bryman (2001:450) suggests that “...in some instances neither qualitative nor

quantitative research methods may be adequate on their own, thus researchers cannot rely on

just one method and have to use both to support the research process”. Quantitative and

qualitative methods supplement each other by providing richness and details that are otherwise

unavailable if each method were pursued separately (Jack & Raturi, 2006). Combining the

methods provides a multidimensional insight into the research problem, and thus assists in

getting a broader understanding as well as a truer analysis of the situation at hand (Mangan et

al., 2004), which is also one of the strong points of consideration for the current research. The

use of combined methods compensates for the weakness embedded in each of the research

method by “... counter balancing the strengths of another” (Amaratunga et al., 2002:23). Jack

and Raturi (2006) inform that triangulation provides confirmation of the research findings by

improving the ability of researchers to draw conclusions from their studies thereby resulting in

more robust and generalizable research findings.

The next section discusses the research design followed in this research. As identified in the

next section, this study adopted a Mixed Method methodology in order to counter balance the

strengths and weakness embedded in each of the research methods when used separately as

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already discussed above. Further details on the justification and how quantitative and

qualitative methods were used to collect data in this thesis are provided.

7.3.6 Mixed Method Approach

In this thesis, a Mixed Method Approach was adopted based on the philosophical and practical

reasons, as discussed above. While the quantitative survey provides us with a snapshot of

phenomena, qualitative method -\interview from the Delphi Panelist (Delphi Study), provided

contextual information and human subjective information to interpret and inform the

quantitative results. Creswell, Clark, Gutmann and Hanson (2003) identified six commonly

used designs in Mixed Methods research. However, the present study uses two of those which

are: Sequential Explanatory and Concurrent Triangulation Design. A visual model of Mixed

Methods, as discussed by Creswell et al. (2003), and Teddlie and Tashakkori (2009), is also

used in the present study (Figure 7.1), to summarize and clarify the procedure. The quantitative

survey is the main driver of this study, complemented by the qualitative study. The use of both

methods provides richer understanding of phenomena and an explanatory account of

triangulation and illuminates significant survey findings in what Teddlie and Tashakkori

(2009) infer as Crossover Track Analysis. Although the quantitative and qualitative studies are

independent, however, both sets of data and analyses are used in analysis. In the following

chapters, the survey (quantitative) examining the relations and associations between the key

variables, and likewise the Delphi Study (qualitative) will be presented.

As briefly indicated, the current study used Mixed Methods Research, which involved both

quantitative and qualitative approaches. According to Tashakkori and Teddlie (2003) mixed

methods research is a research design with philosophical assumptions, as well as methods of

inquiry. As a methodology, it involves philosophical assumptions that guide the direction of

the collection and analysis of data and the mixture of qualitative and quantitative approaches

in many phases of the research process. As a method, it focuses on collecting, analysing, and

mixing both quantitative and qualitative data in a single study or series of studies. Its central

premise is that the use of quantitative and qualitative approaches in combination provides a

better understanding of research problems than either approach alone. The quantitative data in

a typical Mixed Method includes closed-ended information, such as those found on attitude,

behaviour, or performance instruments, which was also adopted in this thesis.

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Figure 7.1: Visual Model of Mixed Methods Design

Source: Tashakkori and Teddlie (2003)

The collection of this kind of data involves using a closed-ended checklist, in which the

researcher checks the behaviour seen. Sometimes quantitative information is found in

documents such as census records or attendance records. The analysis of the qualitative data

consists of statistically analysing scores collected on instruments and checklists to answer

research questions or to test hypotheses or to answer the research questions (Creswell, 2003).

In contrast, qualitative data consists of open-ended information that the researcher gathers

through interviews with participants. The general open-ended or closed-ended structured

questions asked during interviews allow the participants to supply answers in their own words.

These can be thematically analysis and converted into qualitative data, which can also be

transcribed in quantitative data, for instance when the Delphi Technique is used, frequencies

of measures of central tendencies are used to draw consensus. Also, qualitative data may be

collected by observing participants or sites of research, gathering documents from a private or

public source, or collecting audio-visual materials such as videotapes or artefacts. The analysis

of the qualitative data (words or text or images) typically follows the path of aggregating the

words or images into categories of information and presenting the diversity of ideas gathered

during data collection. The open-versus closed-ended nature of the data differentiates between

the two types better than the sources of the data.

Mixed Methods Research is commonly used as a strategic research approach that is able “(a)

to demonstrate a particular variable will have a predicted relationship with another variable and

QUAN Data

Collection

QUAN Data

Collection QUAL Data

Analysis

QUAL Data

Collection

Comparison and integration of

QUAN and QUAL results

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(b) to answer exploratory questions about how that predicted (or some other related)

relationship actually happens” (Tashakkori & Teddlie 2003:15). Hence, the current study used

both qualitative and quantitative methods to identify a variety of factors associated with

residential satisfaction and to indicate the statistical significance of these factors in determining

residential satisfaction. It also explored the relationship between the identified factors and

residential satisfaction process to be tested (predicted).

In addition, the current study sought to gain a better understanding of the impact of the

identified independent variables on the overall beneficiaries’ residential satisfaction in

subsidised housing schemes in South Africa. Thus, the study was interested in exploring the

way in which the factors identified by the qualitative study/- using a Delphi Technique and

through literature study predict residential satisfaction. For example, it investigated the

perceived importance, impact and influence of beneficiaries’ dwelling units amongst others

from different households and individuals and the way it influences their satisfaction with the

houses allocated to them. Hence, using only a quantitative research approach would not have

allowed more detailed information to be obtained. Therefore, a qualitative method was

employed to explore and gain a more comprehensive understanding of the way in which the

selected factors influence residential satisfaction from the perspective of selected housing

experts in the low-income housing industry and ultimately verifying through a quantitative

occupant survey, the effects of the factors on their overall satisfaction with the houses.

Mixed Methods Research was considered to be an appropriate research framework for the

current study because it helped to demonstrate a useful predictive process and provided a better

understanding of the factors which bring about residential satisfaction in subsidised low-

income housing in South Africa. The use of Mixed Method helped to confirm the findings of

both the quantitative and qualitative approaches (Flick, 2009). Hence, the research findings

could thus be used to establish a better understanding of the factors that needed to be considered

in developing sustainable human settlements low-income housing for the poor and

disadvantaged groups in South Africa.

The qualitative method adopted in this present study is the structured (using an interview

schedule) and semi-structured (using an interview guide) interview. This was made possible

through the use of the Delphi Technique (which is elaborately discussed in Section 7.4.3). The

findings from this section of the study helped to refine the survey tool (structured

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questionnaire) for the study and to validate the findings. The Delphi findings were further used

to resolve conflicting issues surrounding residential satisfaction and other housing studies

issues surrounding South Africa low-income housing and in the developing countries at large

through the consensus that was reached during the Delphi study. While the quantitative method

of data collection for the study was through the Survey Method with the use of a structured

questionnaire. The analysis done through the use of structural equation modeling with EQS

Version 6.2, which was used in the development and validation of the beneficiary satisfaction

model.

7.3.7 Justification of the Mixed Method Approach

Both quantitative and qualitative methods have their strengths and weaknesses. For example,

quantitative methods have been criticized for being “sanitized and lacking in contextual

realism” (Tashakkori & Teddlie 2003:516). Qualitative methods are suitable for addressing

questions of how and why things occur, whereas quantitative methods are more appropriate for

answering what and how questions (Yin, 1994). In studying the variables that predict

residential satisfaction in low-income subsidised housing, the use of only one approach was

limiting as other housing issues relating to the creation and sustainability of low-income

housing needed to be explored from the various stakeholders (identified in the Qualitative –

Delphi study as experts) as well as the beneficiaries (occupants) of the housing units. For this

reason a Mixed Method approach that integrated qualitative and quantitative methods was

required.

One of the merits of a Mixed Method Approach in the current study is that the techniques of

the qualitative and quantitative domains, which are interwoven helped to “maximize the

knowledge yield of the research endeavour” (Tashakkori & Teddle, 2003:518). Also, another

advantage of the methods is that it allowed the researcher to discover and justify the model

components within one study. For instance, qualitative research involves people in order to

provide the realism and detail needed for the generation of hypotheses and building of theory

(Tashakkori & Teddle, 2003). Additionally, qualitative techniques permitted the gathering of

data that is rich in detail, which the researcher was interested in. By using techniques such as

the questionnaire survey interview for data gathering from the occupants of the housing units

and Delphi Technique; the language and context of the low-income housing stakeholders and

the people being studied were captured. It should be noted that although qualitative data was

gathered in both the first and second stage, the analysis approach was more aligned with the

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positivist paradigm as it sought to identify patterns and repetition within each key research

issue and also explored the level of impact, influence and agreement through the use of scales.

Further, the adoption of a Mixed Method Approach helped to answer questions that would have

not been answered by qualitative or quantitative approaches alone. The method was very

practical because the researcher was free to use all methods possible to address the research

problem. The method was also used to increase the generalisability of the research result, which

was a major consideration in the present study. It also provided stronger evidence for a

conclusion through convergence and verification of findings. It also added insights and

understanding that would have been missed if only a single method was used. It also provided

complete knowledge necessary to inform theory, practice and was able to answer a broader and

more complete range of research questions because the researcher was not confined to a single

method or approach. Also because individuals tend to solve problems using both numbers and

words, that is, a combination of inductive and deductive thinking, therefore, it became natural,

to employ Mixed Methods research as the preferred mode of understanding the thesis

statement. For instance when a discussion about the satisfaction of the South Africa public

housing schemes beneficiary is debated (which is the research focus), both numbers and words

comes to mind. This is because the debate is natural, psychological and persuasive than either

words or numbers can adequately represent. This is because words, pictures and narratives can

be used to add meaning to numbers, and numbers can be used to add precision to words,

pictures and narrative. Hence, the Delphi Technique was combined with the Survey Method in

the current research which provided the basis for the validation of the conceptual framework

for the development of a holistic beneficiary’s satisfaction model in developing countries using

South Africa’s three metropolitan municipalities and one district municipality as a case study.

7.4 RESEARCH DESIGN

The research design has been defined as the framework for conducting research, which helps

researchers to ensure that the study will be carried out successfully (Churchill, 2001). Usually,

the research design is used to justify decisions and choices relating to the research procedure

(Sekaran, 2000). Following the decision on the appropriate methodology to use in this study

based on the ontological and epistemological assumptions, this section of the thesis is to decide

on the research design. Generally, the choice of research design is influenced largely by the

methodology (whether quantitative or qualitative) as well as the philosophical assumptions

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guiding the research process (ontology and epistemology). For instance objectivist ontology

will influence a researcher to adopt a more positivist epistemology, which accentuates the use

of quantitative methods in the research process (Sarantakos, 2005) viz-a-viz the constructivist

ontology, which culminates in qualitative methodology. When objectivist ontology is adopted,

the research design will be more fixed and in line with the requirements of objectivism, which

advocate a scientific way of abstracting data. Ultimately the instruments to be used in collecting

data will also be determined by the research design, and in the case of quantitative design, the

Survey Method will be used to collect the data.

Accordingly, the course of deciding on a specific research design can be hypothesised in the

form of a connection starting from the philosophical underpinnings (epistemology and

ontology). Thus, the philosophical underpinnings provide a guide to the methodology followed

in a research process. Following the decision on the methodology the researcher has to decide

on the research design guided by the research questions and aims. Ultimately the research

design will influence the researcher on the choice of instruments to use in the execution of the

research process (Sarantakos, 2005). Figure 7.2 illustrates these connections.

Additionally, the precise justifications for a research design should show that the five aspects

– research purpose, theoretical framework, research questions, research methods, and sampling

strategy – are appropriately inter-connected according to Robson (2002). The current study

follows these aspects of research design. Hence, the choice of research methods for the current

study was influenced by the research aim, sub-questions and objectives.

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Figure 7.2: Steps in the research design process

Source: Adapted from Sarantakos (2005:29)

Hence, there were three considerations made for selecting the research methods to answer the

predetermined set of goals for the research. Firstly, the selected research methods needed to

identify the variety of factors associated with residential satisfaction. Secondly, the selected

research methods had to be able to predict the relationship between each of these identified

factors and on how they can predict residential satisfaction. Finally, the selected research

methods needed to allow in-depth information to be collected and analysed in order to show

how beneficiaries perceive the identified factors as important (influential) in determining

residential satisfaction. Accordingly, the current study adopted the Mixed Methods research

(quantitative and qualitative combined) approach as already stated, discussed and justified

above. This methodology was adopted in order to answer the research questions and meet the

research objectives thus developing a residential satisfaction model that applies to the study

area.

Therefore, in order to meet the stated research objectives (Chapter 1, Section 1.3.2), the

following strategies were adopted:

1. For the first general objective, which was to establish the factors that determine

residential satisfaction in low-income housing and literature review was conducted

ONTOLOGY

EPISTEMOLOGY

METHODOLOGY

DESIGNS

INSTRUMENTS

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about the factors that determine residential satisfaction. Published articles, housing post

occupancy reports, development reports and status reports were reviewed. Both

international and local Southern African reports and literature were reviewed. The

expected outcome from this objective was information and a global picture of the

determinants of residential satisfaction. This information and the general picture are

useful for the reader to have an understanding of how residential satisfaction is formed

and the extent of its relevance to the housing occupants.

2. The second general objective of the research was to establish the current theories and

literature that has been determined on residential satisfaction and to identify the gaps

that needed consideration. The established constructs were included as part of the

theory for the development of the holistic residential satisfaction model. The process

leading to this entailed a rigorous and exhaustive review of literature. This review was

conducted from a wide source of publications including journals, conference

proceedings, books and monographs etc. A review of literature on the subject of general

housing and with specific emphasis on the theories of residential satisfaction was done.

The expected output from this second general objective was information on the current

theories on residential satisfaction and especially, to determine the gaps, which other

scholars have not yet addressed; common themes and the type of methodologies that

have been used in the research and how terms had been defined. This information was

necessary as it was the core literature to inform the current research project.

3. The Delphi Method was used to achieve the third and fourth objectives which were to

determine the main and sub-attribute(s) that bring about residential satisfaction; to

examine if the attribute that determine satisfaction in other cultural contexts is the same

within South Africa. Also, to evaluate the critical factors and issues that affects the

delivery of low-income housing in South Africa. The Delphi Method was the best

method to use in this instance as the objectives entailed soliciting expert opinions on

the factors that determine satisfaction in low-income housing to rate their influence on

the occupants’ eventual disposition/- be it either satisfied or dissatisfied. These types of

questions can only be addressed by methods such as the Delphi and/ or focus groups

apart from experimental procedures which were not feasible for this study. Apart from

the Delphi study, focus groups could have been used except that there was the challenge

of bringing housing researchers and experts into one room and make them deliberate

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for a minimum duration of eight hours per day for at least two days. Not only was the

focus group method not feasible, it was also considered costly beyond what was

budgeted for and it would have defeated the purpose of conducting a rigorous process

to achieve the objective. In the Delphi method, bias is eliminated by members of the

expert panel remaining completely anonymous to each other and therefore, there is no

undue influence from other peers. This is not the case for a focus group. A detailed

explanation of the Delphi Technique is explained in Section 7.4.3 in order to give an

idea to the reader of how the Delphi Method is conducted and what should be expected

from the Delphi Technique. The expected output is an estimation of the extent to which

residential satisfaction is influenced by the established factors; and consensus on the

critical factors and issues that affect the delivery of subsidised low-income housing in

South Africa. From these factors and interrelationships a conceptual model was

developed for residential satisfaction in subsidised low-income housing.

4. Research objective five was achieved by drawing on the conclusions from the extensive

literature review and the results and findings from the qualitative Delphi Study.

5. An empirical questionnaire survey was conducted and analysed using structural

equation modeling in order to achieve the sixth objectives of the research. With regards

to the sixth objective which was to test and validate the conceptual model developed

from the RO5, data obtained from the questionnaire sought to establish

interrelationships between the factors that determine residential satisfaction and to

establish the relationship produced amongst them and which constructs have a greater

influence on the determination of residential satisfaction in subsidised low-income

housing. The method was considered to be suitable for the type of information that was

being collected as the aim was basically to establish the core determinants of residential

satisfaction in subsidised low-income housing. A detailed explanation of the survey

concerning population, sampling procedure and analysis of results is presented in

Section 7.4.4. The expected output for the sixth objective was information to validate

the conceptualized holistic model and based on this; to finalize the best fit model for

residential satisfaction in public subsidised low-income housing in developing

countries, using South Africa as the case study.

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The table below (Table 7.1) summarises the research methods that have been employed to

achieve the objectives of the research. The sections that follow explain in detail the methods

that have been used to achieve the objectives of the research.

Table 7.1: Research procedure

Stage Research

objective

Data collection

Method

Data analysis

method

Output

1.0

Literature

review

RO1: Establish the

factors that determine

residential satisfaction

in low-income housing.

Literature

review

Information and a

global picture of the

determinants of

residential

satisfaction.

RO2: Establish the

current theories and

literature that has been

advanced on residential

satisfaction and to

identify the gaps that

need consideration.

Literature

review

Information on the

current theories on

residential

satisfaction and

especially to

determine the gaps

which other

scholars have not

addressed.

Outline of

constructs (factors)

associated with

residential

satisfaction which

have not been

considered in the

previously

developed models.

2.0

Delphi

Technique

RO3: Determine the

main and sub-attributes

that brings about

residential satisfaction

and to examine if the

attribute that determine

satisfaction in other

cultural context is the

same with South Africa.

Delphi

Technique

Descriptive

statistics

Consensus on the

influence and

impact level of the

various attributes on

residential

satisfaction.

RO4: Evaluate the

critical factors and

issues that affect the

delivery of low-income

housing in South Africa.

Delphi

Technique

Descriptive

statistics

Consensus on the

critical factors and

issues that affect the

delivery of

subsidised low-

income housing.

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RO5: Develop a

holistic residential

satisfaction model for

subsidised low-income.

Desk study

Questionnaire

Survey

Delphi

Technique

Theory Holistic integrated

residential

satisfaction model.

3.0

Questionnaire

Survey

RO6: Determine the

validity of the

conceptualized holistic

residential satisfaction

model for subsidised

low-income housing

Questionnaire

Survey

Structural

Equation

Modeling

(SEM)

EQS

Information to

validate conceptual

model;

Validated best-fit

model.

7.4.1 Methods

This section gives an overview and detailed description of the methods that were used in order

to meet the objectives of the research. The methods described in this section include the

literature review, the Delphi Method and the Questionnaire Survey. The section of the analysis

(how data were treated) of the data obtained using each of the methods mentioned are also

described in detail. Figure 7.3 below, is an outline of how the study was conducted and will aid

the reader in understanding the detailed description of the methods described in the next

sections.

7.4.2 Literature Review

The literature review is one of the most important aspects of developing a study and also as a

way to research what has already been written on the subject, methodologies that have been

used to investigate similar concepts or phenomena and to establish the trends on the solutions

that are being advanced to solve the many problems that face mankind (Heppner & Heppner,

2004:52). Hence, Boote and Beile (2005) inform that literature is the foundation of research.

It was therefore necessary to conduct a literature review for the current study in order to

establish the:

1. determinants of residential satisfaction from the researched work of others;

2. theories and literature on residential satisfaction and the concept of housing; and

3. residential satisfaction gaps which can improve the satisfaction of low-income

subsidised housing occupants.

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Stage 3 Stage 2 Stage 1

Need for study

Literature review

Develop conceptual

model based on the

determinants of

residential satisfaction

Questionnaire

Delphi

Evaluate factors

influence on occupants’

residential satisfaction

Analyse & model

results to validate

conceptual model

Best fit model &

recommendations

The literature review on the above aspects was essential as it sets the broad context of the study

to the reader, highlights what has already been done before on the subject under consideration,

relates the present research to the on-going debate on the subject and hence, provides a

framework for comparing the results of the present research with other studies on the subject.

Figure 7.3: Research Design Outline

Source: Manu, Ankrah, Proverbs and Suresh (2010:29) and Musonda (2012:91)

In order to assure integrity and sophistication of the study, an effort was made to ensure that

the literature analysis was thorough and comprehensive. Studies reviewed were cohesive and

also considered methods adopted or used in other studies. A detailed analysis of the methods

used in other studies similarly ensured that the review did not only report the claims made in

the existing literature as this is one of the remedies against that trap (Boote & Beile, 2005). The

materials used for the literature review were books, reviews of articles on the subject both

published and unpublished, such as dissertations, and thesis. In addition, names of leading

authors and contributors on the subject where drawn from the references of the consulted

articles and explored to establish their publication history, as well as conducting focused

searches within research databases. Articles from the above mentioned sources were read and

re-read in order to establish the progression of research in the area, specifically on the topic

under study. Hence, this conformed to the methods of conducting a literature review as

described by Boote and Beile (2005), which involves:

1. finding a broad range of high-quality, specific articles, books, dissertations and reviews,

directly related to the study;

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2. reading and re-reading to establish progressions and trends;

3. summarizing the studies read;

4. identifying methodologies adopted in the studies;

5. relating the current study to those reviewed; and,

6. writing the literature.

The eventual output from the literature review was a clear standpoint on the topic and an

indication of where the study fits in, in relation to other studies on the subject, as well as

providing a framework for comparing the results of the study with others. Considerable time

was spent on the review of existing literature because as Boote and Beile (2005) states, ‘good’

research is good because it advances our collective understanding.

Findings from the literature review were that, there are various factors which determine

residential satisfaction, but in varied contexts, as there are no universal factors, which guarantee

occupants satisfaction. It was also found that there are other factors, which should be

considered, key constructs in the ‘bundle of factors’, which brings about residential

satisfaction, but have not been considered in the previous models developed. After establishing

the above from literature, theories were developed about the influence of the missing factors

and their interrelationships with other factors, which have been advanced in literature to

determine satisfaction with low-income housing. These therefore needed to be tested on

whether they would influence residential satisfaction of the occupants of subsidised low-

income housing and if so, to what extent. In order to achieve this, the Delphi Method described

below, was used.

7.4.3 The Delphi Method

The Delphi Method was used for the second stage of the study to identify the main attributes

that brings about residential satisfaction and to examine if the attributes that determine

satisfaction in other cultural contexts as identified from the literature, is the same within South

Africa. Also, the Delphi Technique was used to explore the extent of these main-sub attributes

- factors impact / influence on residential satisfaction in South African low-income housing.

The Delphi Technique was originally developed in the 1950s, as a tool for forecasting and

problem solving of complex topics at the Rand Corporation by Helmer and Dalkey (Buckley,

1995). It was named after the ancient Greek temple where the oracle could be found. According

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to Greek mythology, the oracle at Delphi was consulted to forecast the future so that correct

and timely decisions could be made before embarking upon a major course of action, such as

waging war. The method adopted by the research team at the Rand Corporation was that

subject-matter experts could be solicited for their opinion about the likelihood of future events

or scenarios.

The Delphi Technique is a qualitative methodology seeking to produce a consensus of a group

of experts on an issue of concern (Miller, 1993) through a survey consisting of rounds. The

Delphi Method is based on structural surveys and makes use of intuitively available

information of the participants, who are mainly experts in their various fields. The method

provides qualitative as well as quantitative results, and has beneath its explorative, predictive

even normative elements (Cuhls, 2003). There is agreement that Delphi is an expert survey in

two or more ‘rounds’ in which the second and later rounds of the survey (the results) of the

previous round are given as feedback. Thus, the experts answer from the second round based

on the influence of the other experts opinions. Thus, the Delphi method is a relatively strongly

controlled group communication process, in which matters, on which naturally unsure and

incomplete knowledge is available, are judged upon by experts (Häder & Häder, 1995). The

technique requires knowledgeable and expert contributors individually responding to questions

and submitting the results to a central coordinator (researcher). The coordinator (researcher)

processes the responses, looking for central and extreme tendencies, and their validations

(Grisham, 2008). The results are then fed back to the input provided by the coordinator

(researcher). The experts are then asked to resubmit their opinions, aided by the input provided

by the coordinator (researcher). This process continues until the coordinator sees that a

consensus has been formed on the questions asked.

The method was intended to remove the bias that is possible when diverse groups of experts

meet, which is common with other methods of decision making. With the Delphi Method, the

experts do not know who the other experts are. Hence, the Standard-Delphi-Method is a survey,

which is directed by a coordinator as already stated and comprises several rounds with a group

of experts, who are kept anonymous and for whose subjective-intuitive prognoses a consensus

is aimed at (Cuhls, 2003). After each survey round, standard feedback about the statistical

group judgment calculated from the median, the percentages and the interquartile range of

single projections is given and if possible, the arguments and counter arguments of the extreme

answers are fed back. In the Delphi process, nobody ‘loses face’ because the study is done

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anonymously using a questionnaire. Rowe et al. (1991) and Häder and Häder (1995) states that

it is commonly assumed that the method makes better use of group interaction whereby the

questionnaire is the medium of interaction. The Delphi Method is especially useful for long-

range forecasting, as expert opinions are the only source of information available.

The Delphi Technique is part of a group of decision-making (policymaking) techniques that

includes the nominal group technique (NGT) and interacting group method (IGM). The Delphi

Technique differs in various ways from NGT and IGM respectively, but primarily due to the

fact that Delphi is individual based, anonymous and independent. The element of group

interaction is eliminated from the process and feedback to questionnaires is in written format

(Loo, 2002). Over time, the Delphi Method has gained popularity across many scientific

disciplines, as a method of inquiry. Czinkota and Ronkainen (1992) indicate that the Delphi

Method has gained considerable approval across disciplines. They further claim that it has been

used as a study instrument in the fields of library and information science (Buckley, 1995), in

the medical disciplines (Linstone & Turoff, 1975), in multi country studies of communications

in Europe, and by actuaries to predict economic conditions (SOA, 1999). Czinkota and

Ronkainen (1992) further report that those experienced with the Delphi Technique report that

the method produces valuable results which are accepted and supported by the majority of the

expert community. Similarly, in the business field, the technique has been highly rated by some

as a systematic thinking tool, but has been challenged in its ability to serve as an identifier of

strategic issues (Schoemaker, 1993).

Since the current thesis might be the initiation of further study and is aimed to attract a wide

spectrum of inputs from various geographically dispersed experts in South Africa; the Delphi

Technique is well suited as a research approach and method for the current study, more so as

the techniques has not been used in a similar study in South Africa or in any other developing

country. The Delphi Method was preferred to common survey methods as the current study

was addressing the ‘what can -if’ kind of questions, as opposed to the ‘what is’ kind of

questions. Delphi is more suited for these kinds of questions to explore concepts that are

difficult to measure except through experimental methods. Unfortunately, an experimental

survey was not feasible and appropriate for the current study. The Delphi Method was also

considered to be a robust method of rigorous query of experts. Unlike ordinary survey research,

the Delphi’s strength also lies in the rounds used, which provide an opportunity for initial

feedback, collation of feedback, and distribution of collated feedback to participants for further

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review (Stitt-Gohdes and Crews, 2004:62). This unique process requiring group

communication is central to the strength of the Delphi (Stitt-Gohde and Crews, 2004:62). Also,

Loo (2002) informs that the Delphi process should be used when investigating policy-making

or policy-evaluation strategies that will set the future direction for the public or private sector,

respectively. The current thesis is aimed at setting the future direction for residential

satisfaction in low-income public housing in South Africa, hence the method was also

considered useful.

Delphi as a research method has had its fair share of criticism, support and debate on

epistemology (Mullen, 2003). Foremost amongst the criticism is Delphi’s alleged failure to

follow accepted scientific procedures, in particular the lack of psychometric validity (Sackman,

1974). In response to Sackman’s criticism, Coates (1975) states that if it is believed that the

Delphi Technique is of value not in the search for public knowledge, but in the search for public

wisdom; not in the search for individual data but in the search for deliberative judgment, one

can only conclude that Sackman missed the point. However, it should be noted that the

approach deals with areas that do not lend themselves to traditional scientific approaches;

hence, Helmer (1977) argues that the forecasting tendency, one of the major applications of the

Delphi, is inevitably conducted in a domain of what might be called ‘soft data’ and ‘soft law’.

Helmer (1977) further determines that standard operations research techniques should be

augmented by judgmental information and that the Delphi Method cannot be legitimately

criticized for using mere opinion and for violating the rules of random sampling in the ‘polling

of experts’. Such criticism Helmer (1977) argued rests on a gross misunderstanding of what

the Delphi Method is; it should be pointed out that a Delphi inquiry is not an ‘opinion poll’. As

all the above definitions illustrated, in no instance is reaching a majority opinion the ultimate

goal in a typical Delphi study; it is rather the reaching of agreement (consensus). According to

Buckley (1995), Delphi is a tool for discovering agreement and identifying differences rather

than forcing consensus. Buckley (1995) further informs that: in principle, agreement alone is

not a sufficient condition for arguing the acceptance of the Delphi Method. But as with the

majority of research methods, the method of use and application has an enormous influence on

the eventual success of the inquiry. Hence, where no agreement is achieved, the Delphi still

helps to clarify the issue being investigated. Linestone and Turoff (2002) assert that one of the

common reasons for failure in a Delphi Study is ignoring and not exploring disagreement.

Therefore, the current research is not only about reaching or forcing a consensus, but will

recognize disagreement and explore the reason for such.

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In addition to the above criticism of the Delphi Technique, different authors also state different

weaknesses of the Delphi Technique including:

i. that it has not been shown consistently that the results from the Delphi Method are any

better than those achieved through other structured judgmental techniques (Rowe,

Wright & Bolger, 1991);

ii. that the Delphi Study is at the mercy of the world view and biases of the coordinating

or monitor team (researcher), who chooses the experts, interprets the returned

information and structures the questions. There is an enormous debate whether the

experts should be chosen from within or outside of the organisation initiating the study

and whether they should be experienced in the subject area of the study in question

(Masini, 1993);

iii. that another limitation according to Linstone (1978) is in the way the process and

questionnaire is structured, which Linstone (1978) believes can lead to a bias (like IQ

tests), which assume a certain cultural background. Hence, the experts may give

responses they think the monitoring group wants to hear, or they may not respond at

all. Consequently, the cultural background of respondents will have an impact upon the

results;

iv. likewise, Simmonds (1977) debates that one of the key flaws in the Delphi Technique

is that certain questions are not asked as they do not seem important when the study

begins. Nonetheless, once the study begins, new questions cannot be added, which in

turn can weaken the study considerably;

v. Lang (1995) states that the process of choosing the panelists is often not considered

seriously enough. Yet, it is the caliber of the panelists that determines the quality of the

outcomes of the study (Lang, 1995);

vi. that in the process of achieving consensus, extreme points of view run the risk of being

suppressed, when in fact they may provide important new information or insights

(Lang, 1995);

vii. that the flexibility of the technique means it can be adapted to a whole range of

situations, which in turn can make it vulnerable to misrepresentation and sloppy

execution (Amara 1975); and

viii. Garrod (2008) found that the Delphi Technique can be extremely sensitive to: the level

of panelists’ expertise; the composition of the panel; clarity of the questions; the way

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the research or coordinator reports reasons for outliers and the administration of the

questionnaire.

Despite the limitations noted above from different scholars, Brill et al. (2006) describes the

Delphi as a particularly good research method for developing consensus amongst a group of

entities having expertise on a particular topic where information required is subjective and

where participants are separated by physical distance (Linstone & Turoff, 1975). Brill et al.

(2006) further states that the Delphi Method has been validated in the literature as a reliable

empirical method for reaching consensus in a number of areas. Amongst these areas are:

distance education (Thach & Murphy, 1995), journalism (Smith, 1997), visual literacy (Brill et

al., 2000), electronic commerce (Addison, 2003), health care (Whitman, 1990) and others.

Beside these areas, the method has also been used in many other disciplines, such as in

information technology (IT) research to identify and rank key issues for management attention

(Delbecq et al., 1975); scientific study of GIS (Hatzichristos & Giaoutzi, 2005), quality

management (Saizarbitoria, 2006), terrorism (Parente et al., 2005), banking (Beales, 2005),

social sciences (Landeta, 2006), privatization of utilities (Critcher & Gladstone, 1998),

education (Yousuf, 2007), etc. Based on the extensive usage of the method over time, the

Delphi Method in research is an accepted practice. However, as discussed above, it is not

appropriate for all research activities.

7.4.3.1 Epistemological Approach towards the Delphi Design

The variance amongst the various group techniques and the definition of the Delphi Method as

complied by various scholars and cognizance of the various criticisms forms the

epistemological foundation for defining the approach towards a typical Delphi Study design.

This is done by assuring that all expert feedback is anonymous.

According to Scheele (2002), the concreteness of the framework of the Delphi Design is vital

in researching the overall objective of the study. The basic premises of the Delphi research

design towards the development of a residential satisfaction model for the low-income groups

in developing country; is entrenched in some form of general agreement and consensus

regarding the core ingredients and components of the subsequent framework. Given the current

status of low-income housing in South Africa and the absence of a general agreed upon

residential satisfaction model framework for low-income housing, the search for consensus and

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a point of departure in attributes that determine residential satisfaction in other low-income

housing issues is therefore justified. Hence, the objective of the Delphi Design for this study is

to obtain the most reliable consensus of opinion of a group of experts in the field being studied.

According to Lang (1995), the Delphi Technique is mostly used to solicit the opinions of

experts to determine the timing and possible occurrence of future events. It is a method that is

best used where there is little past data available to extrapolate from, and where social,

economic, ethical and moral considerations are pre-eminent. Considering the outcome of the

literature review of the current research (there is no structured research so far carried out or the

presence of a developed model to identify and predict the determining factors which brings

about residential satisfaction in subsidised low-income housing in South Africa) and definition,

function and nature of the Delphi Technique, it is justified that the Delphi Technique is one of

the best methods to explore the subject of this research and to further explore the research aim

and objectives.

7.4.3.2 When to use the Delphi Technique

The Delphi Method is mainly used when long-term issues have to be assessed such as the

subject of the current research. This is because it is a procedure used to identify statements

(topics) that are relevant for the future; it reduces the tacit and complex knowledge to a single

statement and makes it possible to be judged (Cuhls, 2003). Hence the use in combination with

other methodologies, like survey design in modeling residential satisfaction can be interesting.

On the other hand, in more complex issues, when the themes cannot be reduced that much or

when thinking and discussions in alternatives are the major target, the Delphi is not the method

of choice. It is also suitable if there is the (political) attempt to involve many persons in

processes (Eto, 2003). Hence, Linstone and Turoff (2002) argue that one or more of the

following properties could lead to the need for the use of the Delphi technique:

i. When the problem of inquiry does not lend itself to precise analytical Techniques but

can benefit from subjective judgments on a collective basis (Buckley, 1994);

ii. The research need to contribute to the examination of a broad or complex problem with

no history of adequate communication and may represent diverse backgrounds with

respect to experience or expertise, which is a major premise of the current research;

iii. More individuals are needed than can effectively interact in a face-to-face exchange;

iv. Time and cost to make frequent group meetings is limited;

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v. The efficiency of face-to-face meetings can be increased by a supplemental group

communication process;

vi. Disagreements among individuals are so severe or politically unpalatable that the

communication process must be refereed and/or anonymity assured; and

vii. The heterogeneity of the participants must be preserved to assure validity of the results,

such as the avoidance of domination by quantity or by strength of personality called the

‘bandwagon effect’.

According to Cuhls (2003), the Delphi Method as a foresight tool seems to possess certain

degrees of invariance to survive the changing challenges of the past 50 years. Hence, the

process could serve different understandings of predicting or premonition and is probably

understood by the users as being relevant for covering technical perspectives, organizational

perspectives, but also personal perspectives (Cuhls, 2003). Cuhls (2003) further emphases that

what the users of the Delphi Technique especially like are the sets of data about the future that

are collected. Writing down future topics seems to have an immense psychological effect

because it transfers implicit to tacit knowledge to the more visible, explicit, and therefore

transferable knowledge (Cuhls, 2003).

7.4.3.3 Components of the Delphi Technique

The main components of the Delphi Technique according to Loo (2002), consists of five major

characteristics, which are adopted in the current study:

i. The study should consists of a panel of carefully selected experts representing a broad

spectrum of opinion on the topic or issue being examined;

ii. The participants are usually anonymous;

iii. The coordinator (researcher) constructs a structured questionnaires and feedback

reports for the panel over the course of the Delphi process;

iv. It is an iterative process often involving three to four iterations called ‘rounds’ of

questionnaires and feedback reports; and

v. There is an output, typically in form of a research report containing the Delphi results,

the forecasts, policy and program options (with their strengths and weaknesses),

recommendations to senior management and possibly an action plan for developing and

implementing the policies programs.

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Likewise, Hasson et al. (2000) recommended that the following research guidelines for using

the Delphi technique. They suggest that the following subject matter be addressed in designing

a Delphi approach:

i. Research problem identification: Turoff (1970) outlined four objectives that call for the

use of the Delphi Technique. One of those objectives was to relate informed judgments

on a topic that spans a wide range of disciplines. Reid (1988) contended that the

decision to use the Delphi Technique must centre upon the appropriateness of the

available alternatives. Reid (1988) claims that the use of experts in a field of study is a

perfectly suited technique if:

the technique has not been utilized in the past, based upon the research

performed, such as the current study that has not employed the Delphi

Technique as a tool of investigation in low-income housing in South Africa; and

it offers the opportunity to check the validity of the cross-disciplinary (social,

psychological, ethical, managerial, cultural, anthropological, etc.) nature of the

issue.

ii. Understanding the process: The Delphi Technique is a multistage process designed to

combine opinions into group consensus (McKenna, 1994). The process being:

Pilot testing of a small group;

Initial questionnaire – qualitative comments solicited (not in all cases);

Initial feedback – quantitative after statistical analysis of the initial opinions;

Subsequent questionnaire – qualitative comments solicited again; and

Subsequent feedback – quantitative after statistical analysis. This provides an

opportunity for participants to change their opinions.

iii. Selection of experts: It is important to select panel members who are impartial, and are

interested in the topic. Some studies have over 60 experts, some as few as fifteen.

Selection of people knowledgeable in the field, and their commitment to multiple

rounds of questions on the same topic are essential. In the section that provides more

details regarding the practical design and execution of the Delphi Study for this thesis,

an elaborate detail on how the experts were chosen for the study, will be presented.

iv. Informing / invitation to experts: It is imperative to explain what is required of them,

how much time it will require, what they will be required to provide, what the objective

of the study is, and what will be done with the information.

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v. Data analysis: This is the process where opinions of the experts are solicited. According

to Green et al. (1999) two or three rounds are preferred. Green et al. (1999) suggest that

an 80 percent consensus should be the goal. Likewise, Crisp et al. (1997) suggests that

percentages should not be used, but rather the process should stop when stability of the

data occurs. Contrary to Crisp et al. (1997) preposition, percentage estimation was

found suitable to this study as one of the means to achieve consensus, hence, a 60

percent consensus goal was set for the three round Delphi Studies. Also, analytical

software can be utilised to analyse the responses, and provide feedback to the experts

on the central tendencies (median and interquartile range) and on the levels of

dispersion (standard deviation). Hence, Lincola and Guba (1985) state that the criteria

for qualitative studies, such as the Delphi Technique should be credibility

(truthfulness), fittingness (applicability), audit ability (consistency), and confirmatory

ability.

vi. Presentation and interpretation. There are a number of methods for presenting the data

from a typical Delphi Study, with two methods being graphical and statistical. These

two methods have been used in the current research.

Therefore, given the nature of the current research, it is further believed that the Delphi

Technique is well-suited to obtain credible inputs from experts in industry, academics,

government and NGOs to serve as key input in the development of a residential satisfaction

model for low-income housing. The next section provides an overview of how the Delphi

Technique is used in this thesis.

7.4.3.4 Designing, Constructing and Executing the Delphi Study

Given the rationale behind the Delphi Technique and the main features explained above, the

design, construction and execution of the Delphi Study for the current research followed a

sequential process as suggested by Loo (2002). According to Loo (2002), four vital planning

and execution activities should be followed, which are:

i. Problem definition;

ii. Panel selection;

iii. Determining the panel size; and

iv. Conduction the Delphi iterations.

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Supporting Loo’s (2002) approach, Delbecq et al. (1975) suggest a basic Delphi Methodology

that includes distinct stages such as, Delphi Question Development (objective), expert panel

selection, sample size, first questionnaire, first questionnaire analysis and follow-up

questionnaires. This methodology forms the basis of the current Delphi research study and is

explained in the subsequent sections. Table 7.2 gives a summary of the Delphi design,

construction and execution.

Phase 1 – Delphi Question Development

The formulation of the Delphi question is vital to the whole process. It is paramount that the

panel of experts understands the broad context within which the questionnaire is designed,

especially with the current research where the concept of what determines housing satisfaction

has different connotations; hence the concept had to be broadly clarified. For the Delphi Study

to achieve the objectives, key questions were asked. The basis of constructing the questions for

this current study was based on the guidelines given in Table 7.2, with corresponding wording

and phrasing given for this study.

Table 7.2: Delphi question formulation

Key Delphi questions?

Phrasing for this study

Why are you interested in this study? This study was initiated because of the belief

that not all beneficiaries who received

government low-income houses are satisfied

with what was allocated to them. Therefore,

this assumption is concrete because there is

lack of understanding of the diverse features

that determine housing satisfaction.

What do you need to know that you do

not know now?

Despite the knowledge about the features that

bring about residential satisfaction; they have

not been placed together and put into a model

to inform policy and predict housing

satisfaction in the low-income groups into

South Africa. At the end of this study, it

should be obvious what the attributes are that

determine residential satisfaction in low-

income government provided housing.

How will the results from the Delphi

Study influence residential

satisfaction?

The result of the Delphi Study will enable the

development of a conceptual framework for

the residential satisfaction model to be

developed. Hence, the attributes which would

collectively predict and assure housing

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satisfaction with South Africa’s low-income

housing will be established.

Phase 2 – Delphi Expert Panel Selection

A critical part of conducting a Delphi interview technique is selecting the right experts (also

known as panellists, participants or respondents) and their role is crucial to the success of the

research (Hasson et al., 2000). Experts to be selected must be sufficiently interested and

involved in the subject being examined to ensure a high commitment response rate. According

to Hasson et al. (2000), controversial debate occurs when a professional becomes an ‘expert’.

The claim that one group represent’s valid expert opinion has been criticized as scientifically

untenable and overstated (Hasson et al., 2000).

For the purpose of this research McKenna’s (1994) defines ‘expert’ as being a panel of

informed individuals (otherwise called experts hereafter is used). McKenna’s (1994) definition

was further supported by Goodman (1987:730) stating that the Delphi technique “tends not to

advocate a random sample of panellist … instead the use of experts or at least of informed

advocates is recommended”. Likewise, Helmer (1977:18-19) argues that since a “Delphi

inquiry is not an opinion poll, relying on drawing a random sample from the population of

experts is not the best approach, rather, once a set of experts has been selected (regardless of

how – but following a predetermined qualifying criteria), it provides a communicative device

for them that uses the conductor of the exercise as a filter in order to preserve anonymity of

responses’, which is the core of the Delphi Technique. Therefore, Linstone & Turoff (2002)

states that the most significant danger in selecting the panel of experts lies in the path of ‘least

resistance’ through the selection of a group of cosy friends and / or like-minded individuals,

which thus negates the strength of the process.

Since panellists form the cornerstone of the Delphi Technique, clear inclusion criteria should

be applied and outlined as a means of evaluating the results and establishing the study’s

potential relevance to other settings and populations (Igbal & Pipon-Young, 2009). The

selection of panellists for the study was based on criterion sampling. Panellists were selected

for a purpose to apply their knowledge to a concept raised in the study based on the criteria that

was developed from the research questions under investigation. A Delphi Study does not

depend on a statistical sample that attempts to be representative of any population. It is a group

decision mechanism requiring qualified experts who have deep understanding of the issues

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(Okoli & Pawlowski, 2004). Therefore, one of the most critical requirements is the selection

of qualified experts as it is the most important step in the entire Delphi Process because it

directly relates to the quality of the results generated (Hsu & Sandford, 2007). In agreement to

this, Stitt-Gohdes and Crews (2004:61) argue that careful selection of the panel of experts is

the keystone to a successful Delphi Study.

According to Dalkey and Helmer (1963), there are detailed criteria for the selection of panel

experts; recommending that in a typical Delphi Study, experts should meet the following two

recommendations, which were also postulated by Rodgers and Lopez (2002). The first

recommended criterion is that the experts should exhibit a high degree of knowledge of

experience in the subject matter. Another criterion is that they should be representatives of the

profession so that their suggestions may be adaptable or transferable to the population.

Similarly, Adler and Ziglio (1996) stated that the Delphi participants in any study should meet

four ‘expertise’ requirements, which are: knowledge and experience with the issues under

investigation; capacity and willingness to participate; sufficient time to participate in the Delphi

studies; and effective communication skills.

In choosing panellists for this study, each expert was required to meet at least five (5) of the

following minimum criteria:

1. Residency: Have lived or is living within one of the South Africa Metropolitan or

District municipalities cities; for at least a year.

2. Knowledge: Has knowledge of the low-income housing situation in South Africa,

specifically of the RDP housing; knowledgeable in the housing field; knowledgeable in

the field of housing through reading or occasional reading of housing related materials.

3. Academic Qualification: Has an earned degree (National Diploma/B-Degree/M-

degree/PhD) related to any field. Post-doctoral, training, certification

employment/experience focusing on sustainable development issues.

4. Experience: Has a history of / currently is performing consultation services for a South

African organ of State, individuals, businesses, agencies, companies, and/or

organizations, related to low-income or other sustainable development or human

settlement context. The experts must exhibit a high degree of knowledge of experience

in the subject matter and an extensive theoretical knowledge thereof.

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Figure 1.4: Diagram of the Delphi Process

5. Employment: Currently serves (or has previously served) in a professional or voluntary

capacity (e.g. at place of employment - institution, business, agency, department,

company) as supervisor or manager of an establishment that is involved with housing

or sustainable human development related to issues in South Africa.

6. Influence and Recognition. Has served / currently is serving as a peer-reviewer for one

or more manuscripts received from a journal editor prior to its publication in the

primary literature, with focus on manuscript(s) on housing or sustainable development.

Step 1:

Literature review of housing studies

Step 2:

Housing studies expert selection

Step 3:

Development of 1st Round Questionnaire

Step 4:

Questionnaire Quality Check

Step 5:

Completion of 1st Round

Questionnaire

Step 6:

Analysis of 1st Round Questionnaire

Step 7:

Development of 2nd Round Questionnaire

Step 8:

Completion of 2nd Round

Questionnaire

Step 9:

Analysis of 2nd Round Questionnaire

Step 10:

Has Consensus been

reached?

Step 11:

Produce Report

No Rei

tera

te S

tep

s 7-9

un

til

con

sen

sus

is

reac

hed

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7. Authorship: Is an author/co-author of peer-reviewed publications in the field of housing

with emphasis on South Africa; has prepared and presented papers at conferences,

workshops or professional meetings focusing on housing, sustainable development and

human settlement.

8. Research: Has submitted one or more proposals to or has received research funding

(grant/contract) from national, provincial, local government, regional, and/or private

sources that support housing development and studies for the low-income group or

other human settlement-related issues.

9. Teaching. Has organized, prepared, and successfully presented one or more housing or

human settlement or sustainable development training workshops focusing on the group

for which expertise is sought. The workshop or course must have been inclusive of the

low-income group. Or, has served as an individual or as a collaborative instructor in the

teaching of one or more college or university courses focusing on the sustainable

development or related field.

10. Membership: Be a member of a professional body. Should be the representative of a

professional body so that their opinions may be adaptable or transferable to the

population.

11. Willingness: Panel members must be willing to fully participate in the entire Delphi

study.

The adoption of five of these criteria was considered more stringent than the recommended

number of at least two criteria by Rogers and Lopez (2002) and Dalkey and Helmer (1963).

The five minimum criteria were framed after the four recommendations made by Adler and

Ziglio (1996), with the inclusion of experts’ residency status, which was considered to be

compulsory for all selected experts. This was considered significant because experts were

required to have a wide-ranging understanding of the low-income housing context in their

residential metropolitan and district municipality cities since the setting for the study is based

on three metropolitan municipalities and one district municipality. Also, a minimum number

of five criteria were set because the method may be undermined if panellists are recruited who

lack specialist knowledge, qualifications and proven track records in the field (Keeney et al.,

2001) amongst others. Although of course expertise comes in many guises and may include

those who are ‘experts by experience’ (Hardy et al., 2004).

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Panel members were identified from four sources. The first source was from the South African

institutions of higher learning faculties, departments, research institutes like the Council for

Scientific Institute for Research (CSIR) and Non-Governmental Organisations (NGOs) like

FinMark Trust, Affordable Housing Finance in Africa, a division of FinMark Trust amongst

others, who engage in housing and other sustainable human (e) settlement-related issues. This

is because most consultants recruited for research and other consultation by the South African

Human Settlement Department are mostly from institutions of higher learning and research

bodies. The second source was the Department of Human Settlement. This is because they are

the ones who are vested with the responsibility for the initiation and development of subsidised

low-income housing in the country. Hence, their involvement in the Delphi Process was a key

consideration. The third source was from various conference proceedings, such as the annually

held Built Environment Research Conference hosted by the Association of Construction

Schools of Southern African, the Construction Industry Development Board Biannual Post

Graduate Research Conference, amongst others. Individuals who had frequently appeared as

authors or key speakers related to housing and human settlement issues in these proceedings

were identified as potential experts on the study. The fourth and last source was the references

of individuals who had committed their lives working in the area of sustainable human

settlement and housing related issues in Southern Africa.

With regard to the recruitment process itself, panellists were recruited via e-mail, with a brief

overview of the study objective included therein. Thereafter, those that consented to the

preliminary invitation were sent a detailed description of the Delphi Study (See Appendix C);

and were requested to send their curriculum vitae in order to confirm their areas of expertise

and to ascertain whether they meet the qualifying criteria. Hence, all experts selected for the

current study met the five criteria’s set for the study. After the verification exercise, selected

experts were then sent the First Round Questionnaire Survey (See Appendix D), which was

presented in form of both closed and open-ended question. Panellists were judged whether they

qualified to be experts and included in the study based on their curriculum vitae that they were

requested to submit in response to the initial invitation. From all the sources mentioned above,

55 invitations were sent out. Out of 55 invitations, 17 responded to the invitation, 17 completed

the first round and 15 were retained throughout the study as one panellist could not meet with

the demands of the study, whilst the other passed away during the course of the study, but had

sent through his opinions for the first round. Therefore, the Delphi Study involved invited

panellists and it retained 15 active members. This number of panellists was considered

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adequate based on literature recommendations from scholars which have employed the

technique previously. For instance, Delbecq et al. (1975) suggest that 10 to 15 panellists could

be sufficient if the background of the panellists is homogenous, which was achieved in the

current study. Also, a critical review of literature by Rowe and Wright (1999) indicates that the

size of a Delphi panel ranges from three to 80 in peer reviewed studies. Okoli and Pawlowski

(2004) Skulmoski, Krahn and Hartman (2007) also indicated a panel size of about 10 to 18

members. Whilst Hallowell and Gambatese (2010), suggests that since most studies

incorporate between eight and 16 panellists, a minimum of eight is suggested, which was

surpassed in the current study. Further, Hallowell and Gambatese (2010) argue that the size of

a panel should be dictated by the study characteristics, number of available experts, the desired

geographical representation and capacity of the facilitator. Based on the above and the fact

that the Delphi Method does not depend on statistical power, but rather on group dynamics for

arriving at consensus amongst experts, the panel of 15 experts was considered adequate.

The Delphi Method is a very rigorous and time consuming process and this could have be the

reason while most of the potential experts that had consented to participate, fall out at the

introductory stage when they learnt of their obligations. A drop of only two members from the

first round with 15 eventually completing the study was also verification of the quality of the

study and its engaging nature in the present South African housing space. All (100%) panel

members were from South Africa. Two (2) are currently residing at the Nelson Mandela Bay

Metropolitan Municipality; seven (7) reside in the City of Johannesburg, four (4) in Ekurhuleni,

one (1) in Tshwane and another (1) in the City of Cape Town (Table 7.3). Also 80% of experts

were male, while 20% were female. Although none of the panel members reside in Mogale

City which is a district municipality, however, it was still considered a survey area for the

study. This is because Mogale City (West Rand) is one of the prime areas of the greater

Johannesburg which also includes the Ekurhuleni Metropolitan Municipality.

Table 7.3: Residential location of experts

South Africa

Metropolitan Municipality

Number of experts

City of Johannesburg

Ekurhuleni

Nelson Mandela Bay

Tshwane

City of Cape Town

7

4

2

1

1

Total 15

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The highest qualifications held by the experts are tabulated in the Table 7.4 below. Three of

the experts had a Doctor of Philosophy (PhD) degree, ten experts had a Master of Science

(MSc) Degree and two had a Bachelor of Science or an equivalent degree. All experts were

from various fields, ranging from urban and spatial planning, housing studies, urban and social

policy amongst others (Table 7.4), but from their curriculum vitae analysis, they are all

involved with low-income housing issues.

Table 7.4: Qualification of expert’s panelist

Highest qualification Number of experts

Doctor of Philosophy (PhD)

Master of Science degree (MSc)

Bachelors of Science or equivalent degree

3

10

2

Total 15

In terms of their current occupation, eight (8) of the selected experts were employed by

universities, one (1) works as a housing practitioner with the City of Johannesburg, four (4)

were employed by the government, one (1) by an NGO and another one (1) by a research

institution. All expert panellists held very senior positions in their organizations and were

involved in low-income housing issues at different levels.

Table 7.5: Expert’s panelist field of specialization

Field of specialization Number of experts

Urban & Spatial Planning

Housing

Urban & Social Policy

Development studies

Informal Settlement

Sociology and Urban Planning

Construction Management

Building Construction

Community Development

Strategy and Organisation dynamics

Education and Training

1

1

4

1

1

1

2

1

1

1

1

Total 15

Three (3) had worked as consultants for the government in the development of low-income

housing policy, five (5) had undertaken various kinds of research to improve the quality and

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spatial planning of the low-income housing for the Department of Human Settlement, one (1)

currently serves as a board member in the Ekurhuleni Department of Human Settlement whilst

another (1) is a reference group member of the Integrated Development Planning and

Modelling project (IPDM) and a Steering Committee member for the Gauteng Economic

Development Agency. The panel consisted of two (2) professors, two (2) chief executive

offices, three (3) executive directors in the Department of Human Settlement in three different

municipalities and one (1) worked as an educational trainer, focusing on housing (Table 7.5).

Table 7.6: Expert’s panelist years of experience

Years of experience Number of experts

1- 5

6-10

11-20

21-30

Over 31 years

1

2

4

6

2

Mean 18.93

Median 21

Mode

Range

15

28

Cumulative total years of experience 284

From Table 7.6, one expert panellist had 1-5 years of experience, two had 6-10 years of

experience, four had 11-20 years of experience, and six had 21-30 years of experience and two

had above 31 years of experience. All experts were professionally registered at the highest

level with various professional regulating bodies, such as the South African Council for

Construction Project Managers, International Sociological Association, etc. Two were certified

Geographic Information Systems Professionals, ten were registered with the South African

Planning Institute, two the with American Planning Association, one with the International

Development Network, two others with the Royal Town Planning Institute, five with

Anthropology Southern Africa, one with South African Foundation for Public Management

and Development, three with the Institute for Housing of South Africa, and one with the South

Africa Architectural Profession.

Table 7.7: Expert’s panellist publication history

Panel publications No. of publications

Books and monographs 22

Chapters in books 66

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Peer reviewed Journals 295

Peer reviewed Conference proceedings 365

Funded research 66

Other publications 341

Editorial board membership 32

Referee for journals 32

Referee for Conference proceedings 40

Official reports and Policy papers 14

In terms of publications, all expert panellists had published in peer reviewed journals,

conferences and book chapters. Amongst them, they had published 22 books and monographs,

66 book chapters, 295 peer reviewed academic journals, 365 recent conference papers and 341

other publications comprising of articles in professional journals, 14 official reports, and 8

policy papers (Table 7.7). Between them, they had led and managed 66 funded research

projects. Eight of the expert panellists’s serve on editorial boards of 32 peer reviewed journals

and five on 40 peer reviewed conference proceedings. The Figure 7.5 below shows the

contributions of the panellists to the above mentioned publications. Five of the panellist’s had

published books and monographs, six had published chapters in books, fifteen had published

articles in peer reviewed journals and peer reviewed conference proceedings, eleven of them

had led and managed funded research projects and fourteen of the experts had published an

article in other publications such as professional journals and official reports.

Figure 7.5: Expert’s Panel Contribution to the above mentioned publications

5

6

15

15

11

11

5

5

8

3

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16

Books and monographs

Chapters in books

Peer reviewed journals

Peer reviewed conference proceedings

Funded research

Other publications

Editorial board membership

Referee for journals

Referee for conference proceedings

Official reports and policy papers

Number of contributors

Pu

bli

cati

on

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Five of the experts served on editorial boards for journals, eight had served as a referee for

conference proceedings and three had been appointed as referee or reviewer for journal

publications, while three had also produced official documents for the Department of Human

Settlement.

Phase 3 – Determining the Panel Size

Since the nature of the Delphi Technique calls for a qualitative rather a quantitative approach,

the use of experts for input indicates that the number of participants should be expected to be

much lower than normal quantitative surveys. Determining the minimum number of experts to

participate in a typical Delphi Survey has been a subject of debate over time. Various scholars

have recommended different sample sizes. For instance, Dalkey and Helmer (1963) used a

panel of seven experts in their original Delphi experiment in 1953 (Helmer, 1983). Linstone

(1978:296) finds that “a suitable minimum panel size is seven”. Linstone (1978) justified this

by saying that the research runs the risk of accuracy deteriorating rapidly as numbers increase.

Hence, Linstone’s (1978) observation was supported by Cavalli-Sforza and Ortolano

(1984:325) who postulated that a “typical Delphi panel has about eight to twelve members”,

while Phillips (2000:193) also stating that the optimum number of participation should be

between seven and twelve members both citing the same reason as Linstone (1978). Miller

(1993) assumes that beyond the first thirty responses, additional responses do not generate

much new information. Similarly, Dunn (1994) suggest ten to thirty participants, apprising that

as the complexity of the policy issue increases, the sample size needs to be larger to include

the entire range of participants both for and against the policy issue area. Dunn (1994) further

emphasises that the type of participants that should be selected should include both formal and

informal stakeholders who have a vested interest in the policy issue. These participants

according to Dunn (1994) should have varying degrees of influence, hold a variety of positions,

and be affiliated with different groups; which was the premise that the present Delphi Study

was also based upon.

According to Andranovich (1995), if the group of experts is fairly homogeneous (sharing

similar opinions) then ten to fifteen panellists will be enough and if there are diverse interests

present amongst the experts, then the size of the group will need to be increased to ensure

balance (Zami & Lee, 2009). However, for most community-oriented Delphi Studies, thirty

panellist is about as large a group as the panel should be since the Delphi Technique is a labour

intensive procedure; the greater the number of panellists, the greater the information load (Zami

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& Lee, 2009). Skulmoski, Hartman and Krahn (2007) highlighted a number of factors, which

should be considered in order to determine the sample size for a Delphi Technique:

1. Heterogeneous or homogeneous sample: where the group is homogeneous, then a

smaller sample of between ten to fifteen people should yield sufficient results.

Nevertheless, if an unrelated group is involved, for instance in an international study,

then a larger sample will likely be required and several hundred people might

participate (Delbeq et al., 1975). However, the researcher needs to exercise caution

because heterogeneous groups can greatly increase the complexity and difficulty of

collecting data, reaching consensus, conducting analysis, and verifying results.

2. Decision quality/Delphi manageability trade off: there is a reduction in group error (or

an increase in decision quality) as sample size increases (Linstone & Turoff, 2002).

However, above a certain threshold, managing the Delphi Process and analysing the

data becomes cumbersome in return for marginal benefits.

3. Internal or external verification: the larger the group, the more credibly the results can

be said to be verified. However, a smaller sample might be used, with result verification

conducted through follow-up research. The current research adopted a smaller sample

premise and will be verified through a follow up questionnaire survey.

Nonetheless, with the Delphi Study, the selection of an initial respondent panel is variable.

However, from the reviewed literature, it was concluded that a typical sample size varies

between seven to fifty panellist, as there is no agreement on the desired ‘typical’ number of

panellist to be adopted in a Delphi Studies; rather that the method is modified to suit the

circumstances and the research question. In the current research, it is not possible to involve

large numbers of participants in the Delphi Survey because of time constraints and the

conflicting schedule of the experts. Hence, a sample size of 15 expert panellists was adopted

based on the following premise, in conjunction with the qualifying criteria’s as established in

phase two of the Delphi Study:

1. Experts should be fairly and practically split between academics and practitioners. The

two categories may provide input for various perspectives and balance the theoretical

and practical considerations.

2. Panellist in both categories should have extensive experience relating to general

housing studies, low-income housing, or in other sustainable development or human

settlement development contexts.

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Regardless of the above criteria, the current study also adopted Rowe’s, et al. (1991)

recommendations that the selected participants should represent a wide variety of backgrounds

to guarantee a wide base of knowledge and experience. Also, the number of panellists depends

on the topic area, as well as the time and resources at the researchers’ disposal. The adopted

experts’ number of 15 experts seems appropriate, given the amount of data and subsequent

analyses that each panellist generates.

Phase 4 – Conducting the Delphi iterations

Data collection through Delphi

Sequences of questionnaire rounds are used to obtain iterative responses to issues in a Delphi

Study (Masser & Foley, 1987). For instance, Woudenberg (1991) proposes two or ten rounds

as appropriate numbers of rounds supporting that accuracy is expected to increase over rounds,

because of the repetition of judgment and group pressure for conformity. Likewise, Critcher

and Gladstone (1998) suggest between two and five rounds. The Delphi method used in this

study involved three rounds of iterative process, with the view of achieving consensus between

the panel members on the influence and impact of residential satisfaction characteristic of

occupants of low-income housing. Further issues relating to housing in South Africa, which

are associated with low-income housing, were also asked. A Delphi questionnaire, attached in

Appendix D, was sent out electronically to all panel members who were then asked to take the

time and respond to the questions, according to their ability and expertise. The Delphi

Questionnaire was developed based on the findings from the literature review and was

specifically designed to address and achieve the Delphi specific objectives defined for the

study.

The Delphi Study for the current research consists of three rounds. On average, each round

took about a month to complete. A questionnaire was designed for each round based the on

responses to the previous one. However, the Round One Questionnaire was designed, based on

a summary of the comprehensive review of literature highlighting sets of attributes and sub

attributes that are potentially relevant to residential satisfaction decisions by the occupants of

low-income housing (See Appendix D). Additionally, issues relating to provision of low-

income housing, delivery and sustainability beyond the current level were also extracted from

the reviewed literature. These were structurally and constructively put together to frame the

first round of the Delphi survey. Therefore, Round One of the Delphi Study was intended to be

a brainstorming exercise used to produce a list of empirical attributes that determine residential

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satisfaction and other issues relating to low-income housing in South Africa and other

subsequent issues relating to the objective of the Delphi Study. Closed and Open-ended

questions were used in this round. Thereafter, these were analysed and formed the basis of

Round Two (See Appendix E) and Round Three of the study. Frequencies were obtained to

measure the degree of consensus reached amongst participants regarding the attributes that

determine residential satisfaction in South African low-income housing and for other related

questions. Also, a content analysis methodology was adopted to analyse responses to the open-

ended questions to “minimize redundancy” (Rubin et al., 1998:6).

The purpose of the second round of the study was to allow experts to review and comment on

the attributes that determine residential satisfaction and other issues relating to low-income

housing in South Africa, which were proposed by the expert participants in Round One. Closed

questions were used in this round to investigate participant comments expressing agreement,

disagreement or clarification concerning proposed attributes that determine residential

satisfaction in South Africa. The specific nature of the closed-ended questions stimulated

participants’ reactions. Frequencies were likewise obtained to measure the degree of consensus

reached amongst participants regarding the attributes that determine residential satisfaction and

for other related questions. Also, a content analysis approach was adopted to analyse responses

to the open-ended questions.

The final Round Three (Appendix F), was specifically aimed at:

1. informing the experts of the findings of the analysis of responses to the questionnaire

of Round Two; and

2. requesting their final affirmation / comments on attributes and issues that did not

receive any consensus in Round Two. The Round Three Questionnaire was designed

based on the findings of content analysis and measures of frequency responses to the

questionnaire of Round Two. Closed-ended questions were used and frequencies were

obtained to indicate consensus reached amongst experts regarding attributes that

determine residential satisfaction and other low-income housing issues, as presented in

the study.

Over the three round Delphi Survey, consensus was reached regarding most of the attributes

that determine residential satisfaction and other low-income housing related issues in South

Africa. Based on the findings of the analyses of responses to the Delphi rounds, a list of

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attributes that determine residential satisfaction was prepared, which informs the conceptual

framework for the broader study, while issues surrounding low-income housing in South Africa

were highlighted, which responded accordingly to the set objective of the Delphi Study. The

Delphi Survey was conducted via electronic mail, and follow-up emails were used to encourage

prompt responses to the questionnaires. Using email provides a free and faster means of

communication.

With regards to the Delphi Questionnaire, experts panellist were requested to rate the likelihood

of an attribute influencing housing satisfaction; the impact of sub factors in predicting

residential satisfaction of the low-income group in South Africa, if they were present. The

probability scale ranged from one to ten representing zero to 100%. Interval ranges were set at

ten (Table 7.8). Furthermore, experts were asked to rate the negative impact that would result

if a particular residential satisfaction attribute were also absent. This was based on a 10 point

ordinal scale ranging from negligible to very high impact. This aspect indicated the importance

of the residential satisfaction as shown on Table 7.9 below.

Table 7.8: Influence or likelihood scale

0-10% 11-20% 21-30% 31-40% 41-50% 51-60% 61-70% 71-80% 81-90% 91-

100%

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

X X

Table 7.9: Impact scale

No impact

Low impact Medium impact High impact Very high impact

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

X

Panel experts were also required to state their level of agreement using a 5-point Likert Scale

with certain statements and to support their choices where necessary, with regards to the South

African housing subsidy; policy issues and the future of public low-income housing in order to

arrive at a consensus.

Responses were received for each round of the Delphi Study. As mentioned above, group

medians were calculated for each response on each element. The group median was deemed

appropriate, as mentioned earlier, as a measure of the central tendency. Thus an indicator of

whether consensus had been reached on the questions for each element was determined. The

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median was deemed to be more suitable for the type of information that was being collected.

This is because the median eliminates bias and takes into consideration outlier responses. It

makes the consensus notion more reasonable. The mean on the other hand, may not reflect a

reasonable central tendency as it considers only the outlier responses. Group medians from the

Delphi First Round were computed for each element. These were then sent back to the expert

panel members so that responses in the second round could be made taking into account the

group median. Expert panel members were asked in the second round to either maintain their

original response made in Round One, or they could change their initial response to be more in

line with the group median.

Figure 7.6: Outline of Delphi Process

Source: Thangaratinam & Redman (2005:124)

In the Second Round, panel members who had responses to units above or below the group

median were requested to state their reasons for sticking to a response that does not agree with

the group median. In the Third Round, panellists were again requested to consider reasons for

the outliers in making their decisions. Group medians and the absolute deviations were again

computed for the third round. From these calculations and after three rounds of the Delphi

Round 1

Q1

Q

Round 2

Q2

Round 3

Q3

Researcher actions Expert panel actions

Circulates questionnaire to

expert panellists

Compute group medians and

re-circulate questionnaires

Rates probable housing satisfaction

due to factors a influence / impact and

other issues

Reviews individual rating in view of

the group’s median. Gives reason if

required

Re-compute group medians,

standard deviations &

compile comments

Experts given opportunity to

reconsider initial rating

Determine consensus and

terminate process

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Process, it was determined that consensus had been reached. Reasons for other experts who

stuck to their ratings have however been taken into consideration. After the third round, group

medians and the absolute deviations were again computed for the third round.

Calculations for the third round of the Delphi Process indicated that there was no need to

proceed to the fourth round as there was no further value that could be added to the degree of

consensus attained at that level. Throughout the entire Delphi Process, anonymity of panel

members was maintained to avoid undue influence on other members. The aspect of anonymity

is crucial to the credibility of the Delphi Technique as a rigorous establishment of the complex

‘what would happen if’ kind of questions that ideally should be established from an

experimental study but in-fact extremely difficult and not feasible to do. Figure 7.6 shows an

outline of how the Delphi Study data was collected.

7.4.3.5 Specific Objectives of the Delphi

The literature states that there are various characteristics and factors which determine

residential satisfaction as measured from different housing typologies, and categories, such as

private low-income and owner occupied low-income housing. What was however not clear in

the literature was specifically the level or extent the identified factors contribute to the housing

satisfaction of the occupants of a subsidised low-income house. Attempts have been made

through various studies to determine the influence of these factors in a low-income housing

situation, but none has been specifically related to subsidised low-income housing. However,

it was noted that various factors determine residential satisfaction, albeit, varied in different

cultural and housing backgrounds and typological settings. Also, previous models have not

been adequately organized into a model to form a holistic attribute which determines residential

satisfaction.

Based on the fore-going, a more reliable measure of the determinants of residential satisfaction

was therefore necessary in order to establish not only whether these factors have influence on

housing satisfaction but also the extent to which or level of their influence and to identify which

factors have the greatest influence in the South African context together with the identified gap

of factors from the literature. Based on the context of the thesis, this kind of investigation would

ordinarily call for an experimental kind of research. However, the experimental method of

research was not feasible and practical considering the time frame, ethical issues and the

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willingness of would be participants. Hence, the Delphi Method was considered the most

suitable method to achieve the general objective of determining the influence and impact of the

identified factors on low-income occupants’ residential satisfaction.

The broader research aim was to develop a resident satisfaction model on publicly subsidised

housing in developing countries: a case study of South Africa. The Delphi Method was

therefore chosen at the first stage to formulate the conceptual model. This had to be validated

later from responses obtained from the questionnaire survey analysed using the structural

equation modeling software EQS Version 6.2.

At the Delphi Stage, factors that were identified from literature that defined and determined

residential satisfaction were formulated into questions, which the experts rated as being

influential or had an impact on residents’ satisfaction. Likewise, the output from the Delphi

Process was a set of attributes which determine residents’ satisfaction that should be

implemented and given consideration in order to achieve better resident satisfaction for all

levels of government provided housing in South Africa. This is because a number of studies

have identified and shown that different attributes determine residential satisfaction. For

instance, housing characteristics, neighbourhood characteristics, and household characteristics

have been observed as the essential determinants of residential satisfaction (Amerigo &

Aragones, 1997; Galster & Hesser, 1981; Lu, 1999). Further observations included the age of

houses (He, 2009), interior and proximal exterior environments (Phillips, Siu, & Yeh, 2005),

and other aspects of housing, such as, building quality and disrepair (Amerigo & Aragones,

1990; Paris & Kangari 2005). Sirgy and Cornwell (2002) similarly identified neighbourhood,

social, economic, and physical features as the major determinants of residential satisfaction.

Further, Marans and Sprecklemeyer (1981) assert that residential satisfaction is a result of an

integrated relationship between environment and the human perception of beliefs. In addition,

Marans and Rodgers’s (1975) model of residential satisfaction determines that overall

residential satisfaction levels are related to an occupant’s own characteristics, such as social

class, housing status etc. The current study extends the above mentioned studies by looking at

residential satisfaction holistically with the addition of new constructs (occupants’ participation

and the assessment of their needs and expectation) to develop a model that will predict

residents’ satisfaction in low-income housing and to what extent.

In formulating questions for the Delphi Study, the following questions where thus raised

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considering that there are various attributes that determine residential satisfaction; because

meaningful improvement in low-income housing satisfaction in South Africa could be

achieved only by determining the attributes that brings about housing satisfaction. The

objectives of conducting the Delphi Survey for this study were to determine the following:

DSO1 To identify the attributes (main and sub) that determine residential satisfaction

and to examine if the attribute that determines satisfaction in other cultural

contexts is the same in South Africa;

DS02 To determine the factors that makes subsidised public housing unsustainable in

South Africa;

DS03 To identify the combination of housing policy instruments that will better serve

South African low-income housing groups;

DS04 To identify the critical factors affecting the delivery of low-income housing and

their effects on beneficiaries’ residential satisfaction;

DS05 To predict the life span of the present South African public housing subsidy

delivery model;

DS06 To evaluate the management issues affecting the national, provincial and local

government housing agencies in the delivery of housing in South Africa;

DS07 To determine the influence of beneficiary participation on the overall housing

satisfaction and;

DS08 To determine the effect of meeting beneficiary’s housing needs and

expectations on their overall housing satisfaction.

The philosophy behind the above objectives is to do away with the tendency of a non-coherent

dialogue on low-income housing in South Africa. Therefore, achieving the above objectives

resulted in the following outcomes:

1. Determining the key factors and constructs that are of critical significance (influence)

to determining residential satisfaction in subsidised low-income housing;

2. A holistic conceptual model on residential satisfaction in South African low-income

housing.

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7.4.3.6 Computation of Data from Delphi Study

Computation of data from the Delphi Study was conducted using Microsoft Office Excel, a

spreadsheet software programme. The first stage involved analysis to determine consensus on

responses to the predetermined criteria. This involved determining the group median responses

for each question. After the third round of the Delphi, absolute deviations ( iD ) of the group

medians ( Xm ) of each rating for the relevant questions as pre-determined were calculated

using Equation 1.0 below.

Equation 1. 0

Where:

tendencycentral of Measure

rating Panellist

deviation Absolute

Xm

x

D

i

i

A computation of each and every question element was completed for the likelihood and impact

of the attributes in predicting residents’ satisfaction and improvement of the low-income

housing context in South Africa. Also, the influence or impact of the absence or presence of a

particular residential satisfaction element on the overall residential satisfaction of the other

elements is presented, likewise on issues relating to low-income housing in South Africa.

Additionally, for every round of responses from the experts, besides the group median value

computation, their respective interquartile deviation (IQD) were also computed as a measure

of the central tendencies to determine consensus.

The median value was adopted as a measure of central tendency because of its effect to

minimize the effects of potentially biased individuals. While the IQD scores were used to

summarize the variability in the data. The IQD helped to identify which measure were most

appropriate to influence residents’ satisfaction. Also, through the use of the IQD, a clearer

picture of the overall dataset was provided as the IQD removes / ignores outlying values. The

inter-quartile range is a measure that indicates the extent to which the central 50% of values

within the dataset are dispersed. However, it is based upon, and related to, the median. Though,

Xmi

xi

D

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for studies of this nature, quite often the median is adopted as a measure of central tendency,

as opposed to the mean and IQD, although it is sometimes used. To compute the variation of

the median from the responses for each question in each round, the absolute deviation given in

Equation 1.0, was done. This is the absolute difference between a response within a data set

and a given point. In this case, the point from which the deviation is measured is a measure of

central tendency, which is the median. Results from the Delphi analysis will be presented as

numbers and percentages in tables, columns and bar charts in the results Section 8.3. The

outcomes show the predictions of the influence of residential satisfaction factors and other

housing issues surrounding low-income housing in South Africa.

7.4.3.7 Determination of Consensus from the Delphi Process

It was imperative that consensus should be reached on all questions. Consensus was determined

by measuring the central tendency of the various responses on all questions. As mentioned

earlier, the group median and the IQD were computed for all responses. In order to achieve

consensus, the deviation of all responses about the group median was determined not to be

more than one (1) unit, likewise for the IQD. This is considered to be suitable as the scale that

was used for both probability (influence) and impact was 1 to 10. The deviation of all responses

was calculated using the absolute median (Equation 1.0), while the IQD was calculated based

on the recommended statistical process of the absolute value of the difference between the 75th

and 25th percentiles. A percentile (or centile) is the value of a variable below, which a

certain percent of observations fall. The percentile is often used in the reporting of scores

from norm-referenced tests, as in the present situation. The 25th percentile is also known as

the first quartile (Q1), the 50th percentile as the median or second quartile (Q2), and the 75th

percentile as the third quartile (Q3). Hence, the deviation between the 75th and 25th percentiles

give an absolute value referred to as the interquartile range or deviation. The interquartile range

deviation is a robust statistic, having a breakdown point of 25%, and is thus often preferred to

the total range, with smaller values indicating higher degrees of agreement (consensus).

Smaller values in the inter-quartile range would then indicate higher degrees of consensus.

However, consensus is difficulty to measure in Delphi Studies. The foregoing has been

established from literature, that actually there is no consensus on how to determine consensus

regarding a set of opinions. Holey et al. (2007:2) suggested that consensus is the same as

agreement and that agreement can be determined by the following:

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1. The aggregate of judgments;

2. A move to a subjective level of central tendency; or

3. Alternatively by confirming stability in responses with the consistency of answers

between successive rounds of the study.

Other researchers have used frequency distribution to assess agreement and the criterion of at

least 51% responding to any given response category being used to determine consensus

(McKenna, 1994). Other studies, such as one conducted by Rayens and Hahn (2000), have used

means and standard deviations with a decrease in standard deviations between rounds

indicating an increase in agreement. Likewise, inter-quartile deviation (IQD) has also been

used to determine consensus (Rayens & Hahn, 2000), which has also been adopted for the

present study. In their study, Rayens and Hahn (2000) included another criterion to determine

consensus in addition to the IQD in order to achieve stability. The criterion to achieve

consensus was that the IQD should equal one (1) unit for which more than 60% of respondents

should have answered either generally positive or generally negative. Items which had an IQD

≠1 for which the percentage of generally positive or generally negative responses was between

40% and 60% were determined to indicate a lack of consensus or agreement. Also, Raskin

(1994) identified an IQD of 1.00 or less as an indicator of consensus. Spinelli (1983) considered

a change of more than 1.00 IQD point in each successive stage as the criterion for convergence

of opinion. Clearly, there is no consensus in the literature about how to use or interpret IQD as

a method of data analysis for the Delphi process. The potential range of IQD values depends

on the number of response choices, with larger IQDs expected as the number of response

choices increases. Thus, the use of a particular IQD as a cut-off for consensus requires

consideration of the number of response choices. Furthermore, Holey et al. (2007) used the

following criteria to determine consensus:

1. Percentage response;

2. Percentages for each level of agreement for each question to compensate for varying

response rates;

3. Computation of median, standard deviation and their associated group rankings;

4. Computation of the means, standard deviation and their associated group rankings using

the importance ratings; and

5. Computation of the Weighted Kappa (k) values to compare the chance eliminated

agreement between rounds.

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According to Holey et al. (2007), consensus is reached when the following is present:

1. An increase in percentage agreements;

2. Convergence of importance rakings;

3. Increase in Kappa values;

4. A decrease in comments as rounds progressed;

5. A smaller range of responses; and

6. Smaller values of standard deviations.

The studies above suggest that there is little agreement on how to measure consensus in a

Delphi Study. It is however agreeable that for consensus to have been achieved, there has to be

a convergence of ideas and reasoning towards a subjective central tendency measure. Hence,

in the current study, consensus was determined to have been reached if the following was

achieved:

1. More than 60% of responses are generally positive or negative with certain questions;

2. The average of the absolute deviation was not more than one unit. The absolute

deviation is calculated from Equation 1.0., and

3. The IQD was less than 1.00. Meaning that items with IQD = 0.00 were considered to

have reflected high consensus.

Therefore the scales of consensus adapted for this research are:

1. Strong consensus - median 9-10, mean 8-10, interquartile deviation (IQD) ≤1 and

≥80% (8-10);

2. Good consensus - median 7-8.99, mean 6-7.99, IQD≥1.1≤2 and ≥60%≤79% (6-7.99);

and

3. Weak consensus - median ≤ 6.99, mean ≤5.99 and IQD≥2.1≤3 and ≤ 59% (5.99).

7.4.3.8 Reliability and Validity of the Delphi Method

According to Els and Delarey (2006:52), reliability is the extent to which a procedure produces

similar results under constant conditions at all times. However in a Delphi Study, this kind of

statistical reliability is not possible because another panel may reach a different conclusion

depending on their knowledge of the subject area and interest. To ensure reliability therefore,

care was taken that credibility showed in truthfulness, fittingness exhibited in applicability,

audit ability shown in response consistency and conformability was exhibited in the responses

from all participants. Credibility was also assured during the selection of the panel. All

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panellists had distinguished themselves based on the set criteria for the selection of expert

panellist and the depth of their knowledge and experience as presented in Section 7.4.3.8.

Validity was boosted by the removal of preconception or influence from other members by

keeping all members completely anonymous from each other and hence, eliminating the

‘bandwagon’ effect, which is one of the strengths of the Delphi Method. Furthermore, the

number of iterations that were implemented in the Delphi Study also enhanced the internal

validity. Thus, expert panellists were given a chance to change their opinion or maintain it with

a written explanation or argument for dissenting views. Feedback to the researcher and constant

email communication between the researcher and the panellists individually was another way

of ensuring internal validity of the study.

The external validity of a study deals with the extent the results from the study can be

generalised to a larger population. This is usually determined by how participants are selected

to be part of the study. This process was however not necessary as the validation process of the

conceptual model has been done using the Questionnaire Survey. Nevertheless, the selection

of participants for the Delphi Study guaranteed external validity as scientific criteria as pre-

determined (Section 7.4.3.3) based on previous scholarly works were adopted. The panel

comprised of members from varied sectors, all with in-depth knowledge on sustainable human

development. All reside in South Africa and in one of the metropolitan / district municipality,

and all members were highly experienced, with a sound publication history. The study therefore

fulfilled requirements for external validity in line with standard research ethics.

7.4.4 Questionnaire Survey

Phase Three of the research involved collecting data from the field through the use of

questionnaires in order to meet the general objectives RO5 and RO6 of the overall research

respectively. Phase Three formed the pinnacle of the research. The Delphi Study findings were

that:

Residential satisfaction is a multidimensional construct, which consists of the occupants’

satisfaction with the dwelling unit features, neighbourhood features, building quality, services

provided by government, beneficiary participation and needs, and expectations. These factors

have been collectively considered for the development of a holistic integrated residential

satisfaction model in this study. Four of the factors have been previously considered in the

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development of residential satisfaction model in other cultural contexts, but none of the existing

models to date have included both beneficiary participation and needs and expectations as

factors to develop a model to assist housing authorities in the construction of houses that will

be satisfactory to the poor and low-income group.

Therefore, in order to validate findings from the Delphi Study, the specific objectives of the

questionnaire survey were to:

QS1 identify the factors that had a higher influence on low-income housing

occupants’ residential satisfaction;

QS2 establish the influence of the identified factors on occupants’ residential

satisfaction;

QS3 determine the influence of the overall residents’ satisfaction on subsidised low-

income occupants’ behaviour; and

QS4 determine the goodness-of-fit of the hypothesised integrated holistic residents’

satisfaction model to the sample data.

Given that the previous models of residential satisfaction established in the developed countries

cannot be relied on in developing countries, and the findings of what determines residential

satisfaction in developing countries are rarely known from the previously conducted research,

the lack of research into the overall impact and influence of the direct and holistic active

involvement of residential satisfaction constructs, and the absence of a residential satisfaction

model in subsidised low-income housing, the achievement of occupants’ residential

satisfaction is unlikely.

The integrated conceptual model shown in Figure 9.1 (Model 1.0; page 428) was made up of

the following interrelationships:

1. Dwelling unit features have an impact on residential satisfaction and greatly influence

its determination;

2. Neighbourhood features have an impact on residential satisfaction and greatly influence

its determination;

3. Building quality has an impact on residential satisfaction and greatly influence its

determination;

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4. Services provided by the government have an impact of residential satisfaction and

greatly influence its determination;

5. Beneficiary participation has an impact on residential satisfaction and greatly influence

its determination;

6. Beneficiary needs and expectations have an impact of residential satisfaction and

greatly influence its determination; and

7. The integrated holistic residential satisfaction model describes the determinant

(constructs) which determines residents’ housing satisfaction.

As a result of the objectives of the study, it was obvious that collecting facts would involve the

actual beneficiaries; hence a field survey was considered the most suitable method of collecting

the required data. Therefore, a complete biographical section was required that related to the

housing beneficiary’s, the presence or absence of physical features in the housing units such as

bedrooms(s), living rooms etc. were also required. Likewise, the presence or absence of

services and facilities in the housing units and in the neighbourhood were also required.

Similarly, data relating to the beneficiaries’ extent of satisfaction with the dwelling unit

features, neighbourhood features, building quality, services provided by the government,

beneficiary participation, beneficiary needs and the overall satisfaction of the beneficiaries was

required. These types of information could not be obtained through other means of data

collection except a field survey. This is because other means of data collection would not give

an adequate representation of the above stated relationships. Also, the decision to choose a

survey method was based on a number of factors, which included the sampling technique to be

adopted, the type of population, the question form, the question content, the response rate, the

costs, and the duration of data collection. The most appropriate survey method for this research

was a personally administered one.

This method was chosen for the following reasons:

1. A list of low-income housing suburbs could easily be obtained from the municipalities

and from the Affordable Land & Housing Data Centre suburb profile;

2. The questions could be answered by circling the proper response format and with an

interviewer present; respondents could seek clarity on any question as to meet

consistent question objectives (Aaker et al., 2009; Sekaran, 2000);

3. The respondents are more motivated to respond, as they are not obliged to admit their

confusion or ignorance to the interviewer (Burns & Bush 2002; Sekaran, 2000);

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4. A higher response rate of almost 100% can be assured since the questionnaires are not

left with the respondents, but collected immediately once they are completed (Malhotra

1999; Sekaran, 2000); and

5. Higher anonymity of respondents because respondents were not required to disclose

their identities (Burns & Bush 2002; Sekaran, 2000).

However, this method of survey can be very time consuming, if a wide geographic region is

involved. However for this survey, the respondents were all in the Gauteng Province, hence

data was collected from low-income housing suburbs, which have been identified.

Apart from the above reason for adopting a personally administered Questionnaire Survey

Method, the following reasons justify the use of the Questionnaire Survey Method:

1. The philosophy underpinning the research is based on the positivist theory as discussed

above, which uses quantitative methods and collection of data by use of questionnaires;

2. Validation of the conceptual model developed at Phase One (literature review) and Two

(Delphi) entailed using an alternative method to the previous two to validate the

findings. This therefore eliminated the use of methods similar to the Delphi and its

derivatives and hence, called for collection of data on the subsidised housing occupants

through a questionnaire survey;

3. The field survey was considered to be more descriptive in that there are many

subsidised low-income housing locations in South Africa, but are restricted in some

sense to the Gauteng Province as it is the economic hub of the nation;

4. Likewise, the interpretation and presentation of the data can easily be done and

understood by various readers when adopting a positivist philosophy of research as it

follows a logical explanation of the method;

5. A large number of research questions can be asked in a questionnaire to target many

respondents within a stipulated time frame;

6. A questionnaire requires minimal investment and is relatively easy to obtain

generalizations from (Bell, 1996);

7. Specific information about views, attitudes and perceptions of a group of respondents,

which are difficult to measure using observational technique, can be easily elicited via

a questionnaire (McIntyre, 1999; Yuen, 2007);

8. Another reason for choosing a questionnaire is because the data collected through a

questionnaire can be analysed easily; and

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9. Data entry and analysis for the questionnaire can be easily done using computer

software packages, such as the SPSS and EQS (Bell, 1996; Hishamuddin, 2007; Yuen,

2007).

7.4.4.1 Questionnaire Survey Instrument

The questionnaire is defined as a method used to gather information related to the opinions of

a large group of people (Pinsonneault & Kraemer, 1993). A standardised questionnaire exposes

each respondent to same set of questions (Brace, 2008). This study applies a formal

standardised questionnaire in order to achieve the research objectives.

Hence, a well-structured questionnaire was used to collect data during the field survey. The

questionnaire was based on the literature review conducted in the first stage of the research, as

well as the findings from the Delphi Study in stage two. The questionnaire consists of three

sections. The first section was designed to collect general and comprehensive information

about the subsidised low-income housing beneficiary. This information included biographical,

socio-economic and other information, as deemed necessary to meet the research objectives.

Section Two of the questionnaire, included questions on the presence or absence of features in

the dwelling unit, services in the dwelling unit, facilities in the neighbourhood, and the services

as provided by the government.

Further, Section Three of the questionnaire included questions on the beneficiaries’ levels of

housing satisfaction, as related to the dwelling unit features, neighbourhood features, building

quality, services provided by the government, beneficiary participation, beneficiary needs and

expectations, and the overall satisfaction levels of the beneficiaries. This section was meant to

collect information on the extent of the beneficiary’s level of satisfaction or dissatisfaction for

each sub-attribute variable as provided. Further information on what defines residential

satisfaction to the beneficiaries was asked in the same section. In summation, the questionnaire

was designed to assess the influence of the identified constructs on beneficiary’s residential

satisfaction.

The first section had twenty one questions relating to the respondents biographical, socio-

economic information. Section Two had five questions with the respondents rating 26 items on

a present and not present scale, while Section Three had seven questions with the respondents

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rating 85 items on a Five Point Likert scale regarding the extent to which they are satisfied or

dissatisfied; agreed or disagreed on factors that determine residential satisfaction. The length

of the questionnaire was nine pages long, including the cover letter (See Appendix G). This

was in line with the recommended length of between 5 to 12 pages.

To avoid bias resulting from questionnaire design, the questions were constructed in such a

way that they were direct, short, comprehensible, avoided ambiguity, not vague,

generalizations, not leading, not double barrelled, presumptuous questions, simple and familiar

to the respondents. Instructions of the questionnaire were kept simple with no technical or

specialized words being used, likewise less bias from the interviewer (fieldworker). However,

it was recognised that this type of questionnaire has a few weaknesses in that

1. There is an absence of probing beyond the answer given;

2. Lack of control over who answers the questionnaire; and

3. They can be characterized by a low response rate because of cost.

The above weaknesses were addressed by refining the questions and keeping them relatively

simple but care was taken not to deviate from the objectives of the instrument, keeping the

overall questionnaire within the recommended limits and ensuring that only the right person(s)

completed the questionnaire by constantly communicating with the fieldworkers by the lead

researcher. The absence of further probing is characteristic of this type of questionnaire. This

aspect was not a major concern as the data to be collected was meant to validate the integrated

conceptual model initially developed in the previous phases of the study.

Two types of response formats were chosen: dichotomous, interval and ordinal close-ended

and labelled scales were used. In order to obtain information pertaining to respondents’

demographics, a dichotomous, interval and ordinal close-ended question format was used. This

scale was also used for the measurement of the presence or absence of features in the dwelling

unit and neighbourhood environment. In addition, to obtain the respondents extent of

satisfaction towards the model identified constructs, a labelled scale response format was used.

Apart from the simplicity of administering and coding in further statistical analysis (Burns &

Bush, 2000) labelled scale response format is appropriate for residential satisfaction research,

as it allows the respondent to respond to perception and attitudinal questions to varying degrees

that describe the dimensions being studied (Aaker et al., 2009).

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For this study, labelled Likert Scales were appropriate to measure the responses. This scale

was adopted based on the following reasons:

1. It yields higher reliability coefficients with fewer items than the scales developed using

other methods (Hayes, 1998);

2. This scale is widely used in residential satisfaction research and has been extensively

tested in both marketing and social science studies (Garland, 1991);

3. It offers a high likelihood of responses that accurately reflect respondent opinion under

study (Burns & Bush, 2002; Zikmund, 2000); and

4. It helps to increase the spread of variance of responses, which in turn provide stronger

measures of association (Aaker et al., 2009; Wong, 1999).

In relation to the number of scale points, there is no clear rule indicating an ideal number.

However, many researchers acknowledge that opinions can be best captured with five to seven

point scales (Aaker et al., 2009; Malhotra, 1999; Sekaran, 2000). In effect, researchers indicate

that a five-point scale is just as good as any other (Malhotra, 1999; Parasuraman, 1991;

Sekaran, 2000). That is, an increase in scale does not improve the reliability of the ratings

(Elmore & Beggs, 1975) and may cause confusion to the respondents (Aaker et al.,

2009; Hair et al., 2003). Thus, a five-point Likert Scale was used in this research.

7.4.4.2 Variables

The research instrument was designed to measure the exogenous variables namely: dwelling

unit features (DUF); neighbourhood features (NDF); building quality features (BQF); services

provided by the government (SPG), beneficiary’s participation (BNP) and needs and

expectations (NAE). These variables were hypothesised to be characterised by indicator

variable, which collectively constituted the questionnaire items apart from the socio-economic

characteristics, as also measured by the questionnaire. Table 7.10 gives a comprehensive

summation of the latent and indicator variables.

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Table 7.10: Conceptual model indicator variables

Latent Variable Constructs Measurement Variables

Dwelling Unit Features (DUF) Location of bedroom

Number of bedrooms

Size of the bedroom

Location of living room

Location of dining room

Location of kitchen

Size of the kitchen

Size of bathroom(s)

Size of wardrobe/closet

Size of children’s play space

Size of children’s study space

Amount of privacy within the house

Amount of brightness / sunshine in the house

Quality of ventilation in the house

Quality of floor level in the house

Overall appearance of the house

Overall size of the house

Neighbourhood Features (NDF) Location of the dwelling unit in the

neighbourhood

Quality of relationship with neighbours

Quality of landscape in the neighbourhood

Quality of walkways

Ease of access to main roads

Amount of privacy from other neighbours

Quality of street lighting at night

Amount of security in the neighbourhood

Physical condition and appearance of the

neighbourhood

Cleanliness of the neighbourhood

Proximity of house to workplace

Proximity of house to shopping areas

Proximity of house to the nursery school

Proximity of house to the high school

Proximity of house to hospitals/clinics

proximity of house to places of worship

Proximity of house to police services

Proximity of house to parking facilities

Proximity of house to the disabled facilities

Proximity of house to the community hall

Proximity of house to playground / recreational

facilities

Proximity of house to public transportation and

services

Building Quality Features (BQF) External construction quality

Internal construction quality

Water pressure

Wall quality

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Floor quality

Window quality

Door quality

Internal painting quality

External painting quality

Plumbing quality

The finished quality of the sanitary system

Electrical wiring quality

Electrical fittings quality

Numbers of electrical sockets

Level of socket

Overall unit quality

Services Provided by Government The drainage system

(SPG) Garbage and waste collection

The fire protection services

Electricity supply

Water supply

Telephone service

Safety

How well resident complaints are handled

Housing Department rules and regulations

Enforcement of rules by the Department of

Human Settlement (Housing)

Overall services provided by the government

Beneficiary Participation (BNP) Owners should be consulted about the housing

location

Owners should be consulted about the house

design

Owners should be consulted about the house

construction

Owners should be consulted about the internal

finishes of the house

Owners should be consulted about the external

finishes of the house

Needs And Expectation (NAE) Owners should be told beforehand the type of

house they will receive

Owners should be asked the type of house they

need

Owners expect good quality houses

Our houses should meet our family need

Residential Satisfaction (RS) I am satisfied living here

I am taking proper care of my house

I am taking proper care of my neighbourhood

I am constantly maintaining my house

I am not intending to move to another place in the

future

I like to live in another place like this

I will recommend to my friend to obtain a house

in the same way that I did

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7.4.4.3 Population

A study population refers to the entire group of items in which the researcher has an interest

(Cooper & Schindler, 2006; Neuman, 2006). The population for this study comprised of

subsidised low-income housing in the Gauteng Province of South Africa. Three metropolitan

Municipality cities and a District Municipality were chosen as the study population because

the overlapping boundaries between urban and the rural areas have made it difficult to define

settlements in South Africa. For instance, the unpublished draft of the South Africa Urban

Developed Framework (UDF) uses three indicators to define various settlement typologies,

such as population size tied up with function, strength of the economy and the institutional

situation in the municipalities in which the space is located (States of the Cities Report, 2006).

The indicators as developed by the UDF were used to define the scope of the present research

population. Therefore, the scale and settlement characteristics of a metropolitan municipality

city in the context of this study, refers to cities with a population over one million, with an

established formal core of industrial, commercial and suburban development, formal

townships, hostels, and backyards. Also, there is the presence of informal settlements with a

significant low-income housing development on the periphery. The metropolitan municipality

cities have a huge economic base, plus a core economic potential, with high concentrations and

absolute numbers of urban poor. Institutionally, the metropolitan municipality government has

a consolidated fragmented municipal history and the urban benefits have not yet seamlessly

applied to all residents of the metropolitan city. Likewise, the chosen district municipality has

similar characteristics, but with a population above 500 000 inhabitants, with a growing

economic base, but not fully developed like the metropolitan municipality. Consequently,

based on this background, the metropolitan municipality cities that were selected are:

Ekurhuleni (East Rand – Gauteng), City of Johannesburg (Johannesburg - Gauteng), and

Tshwane (Pretoria - Gauteng), while the district or category B municipality is Mogale City

(Krugersdorp).

The municipalities were selected as the study population because they are a typical

representation of the South Africa cities urban space. Their significance and relevance to the

low-income housing development is an example of what the progress and development of low-

income housing typology should be in the country. Hence, they were adopted as the study

population. The unit of measurement was the beneficiary’s (occupants’) of the subsidised low-

income housing that have been built, allocated and are being inhabited. The selected low-

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income housing locations were chosen based on the history of the areas to the South Africa

housing space. The questionnaires were administered to the heads of the households. In cases

where the head of the household was not available, their spouses were chosen. However, when

both were not around or a spouse is not present, another housing unit is then chosen. One

household head or spouse per house was engaged in the questionnaire administration.

By measuring the opinions of the beneficiary’s regarding their satisfaction with the housing

units, it was observed that the survey was related to the beneficiaries’ psychology and not the

dwelling units. This therefore revealed that houses become a home based on what the occupants

made of it. Hence, Ha (2008) states that the failure of many housing projects may be traceable

to the lack of knowledge or opinion on the determinants of housing satisfaction from the

occupants of the houses. This importance is based on the fact that many problems in the existing

low-income housing environment are the result of neglecting the beneficiaries’ views before,

and mostly, after the houses are built. Further, subsidised low-income housing units in the

selected municipalities were determined based on a comprehensive background study of the

characteristics and situational position of low-income housing in each respective municipality.

In addition, the Affordable Land & Housing Data Centre Suburb Profile was used to refine the

chosen low-income housing area selected.

7.4.4.4 Sample Frame

A sampling frame is the source material or device from which a sample is drawn. It is a list of

all those within a population who can be sampled, and may include individuals, households or

institutions. For the current study, all completed, allocated and inhabited subsidized low-

income housing units in each housing location area were chosen as the sample frame. The

sample frame was the beneficiaries (occupants) of the subsidised low-income housing that are

inhabited. To establish the sample frame, a list of the numbers of subsidised low-income

housing in the respective population was obtained from the municipalities and confirmation

from the Affordable Land & Housing Data Centre Suburb Profile, which has a comprehensive

data, capturing of the number of houses in South Africa. Because of the size of the household

in each frame (Table 7.11), the selection of respondents was based on a probability sampling

technique (discussed in the next section). The respondents selected from these households were

instructed as on the cover letter of the questionnaire (See Appendix G) that their responses

should reflect their personal opinions towards the housing unit and the neighbourhood.

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Table 7.11: Study Population and Sample

Metropolitan Municipality (MM)

Low-income housing

area / suburb

Population of

Low-income

housing units

Number

sampled

% sampled

City of Johannesburg

Braamfischerville 8,768 100 1%

Pennyville 932 93 10%

City of Tshwane

Mamelodi 589 100 17%

Nellmapius 6,587 100 2%

Ekurhuleni

Tsakane Ext 8 873 87 10%

Reiger Park 1, 845 150 8%

Total (MM) 19,398 624 3.20%

District Municipality (DM) Mogale City

Kagiso

Ext 6 (Chief Mogale)

391 40 10%

Extension 8 869 87 10%

Total (DM) 1,260 127 10%

Total (MM + DM)

20,658

751

3.60%

7.4.4.5 Sampling Method

A sample is a subset of items a researcher selects from a specific population (Neuman, 2006).

Sampling is the process of selecting a sample consisting of units, such as people, organisation

from a population of interest. By studying the sample we may answer the questions posed

regarding some aspects of the population from which they were chosen (Trochim & Donnelly,

2007).

The two general sampling methods are probability and non-probability sampling, which are

usually differentiated by their randomness. A non-probability sample is also known as a non-

random sample where samples are selected in some way not suggested by probability theory,

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but sampling elements are selected using something other than a mathematically random

process (Neuman, 2006). Whilst probability sampling allows each segment of the population

to be represented in the sample. Probability sampling is also known as random sampling,

hence, Cooper and Schindler (2006) states that a probability sample is one based on the concept

of random selection – a controlled procedure that assures each population element is given a

known non-zero or allows each member of the population to have an equal chance of being

selected. In this case, the samples are chosen from a larger population by a process known as

random selection. The various sampling techniques employed in the selection of a probability

sample are simple random, stratified random, systematic, and cluster sampling.

Simple random sampling allows the sample to be chosen by simple random selection

where every member of the population has an equal chance of being selected. While the

stratified random sampling occurs in populations which consist of different strata or groups.

In order to have equal representation in a stratified sample, the researcher selects samples

equally from each one of the strata or group. Whereas cluster sampling sub-divides an

expansive area into smaller units, for instance a country could be sub-divided into regions and

further into towns. The clusters must be as similar to one another as possible, with each cluster

containing an equally heterogeneous mix of individuals and a subset of the identified clusters

is randomly selected.

Therefore, the current study used the probability sampling method, which allows all segments

of the low-income population as defined above to be represented in the sample, making sure

that a representative sample of low-income housing is selected for this study. Therefore, a

simple random and cluster sampling techniques were used, which allows each member of the

population to have an equal chance of being selected (Kerlinger & Lee, 2000) whilst a cluster

sampling technique divided the population into an expansive area with each cluster containing

an equally heterogeneous mix of individuals. The rationale for selecting this method of

sampling is based on the nature and composition of the low-income housing landscape in South

Africa\- hence cluster random sampling was used to ensure representativeness. The selection

of a representative sample for this study was based on the justification by Smith (2004) who

informed that random sampling must be used for a study of this nature, hence it was adopted.

Hence, from the nine provinces in South Africa, one province was selected; from the eight

established metropolitan municipalities in the country, only three were selected in the same

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province; likewise, from the forty-four district municipalities in the country, only one was

selected, in the same province as the one in the three metropolitan cities. Similarly, within the

selected metropolitan and district municipalities, two low-income housing suburbs were

selected, making eight in total as in Table 11 above. In addition, the respondents were randomly

selected from the eight low-income housing suburbs. Respondents were selected and

questioned (questionnaire survey) based on the knowledge that they have been residents in the

area for more than a month and the houses have been allocated to them or had been tenants for

more than one month. All households from each location had an equal chance to be drawn and

to occur in the sample. Each category was classified as a cluster. Since the clusters differ in

sizes, a proportional representation of the each cluster was calculated.

7.4.4.6 Sample Size

Sample size is the number of observations or replicates to be included in a statistical sample.

The sample size is an important feature of any empirical study in which the goal is to

make inferences about a population from a sample, just like the current study. The sample size

used in the study was determined based on the expense of data collection, and the need to have

sufficient statistical power to validate the conceptual model. The sample size for the current

study was not based on the entire population of the selected low-income housing; therefore,

the sample size was not equal to the population size.

According to Neuman (2006), the question of how large a sample should be, depends on the

following: the kind of data analysis the researcher plans to use; how accurate the sample has to

be for the researcher’s purposes and the population characteristics. Likewise, Malhotra (1999)

informs that the determination of sample size depends on factors, such as the proposed data

analysis techniques, financial and access to sampling frame. The proposed data analysis

technique for this research is Structural Equation Modeling utilizing EQS software, which is

very sensitive to sample size and less stable when estimated from small samples (Tabachnick

& Fidell, 2001). As a general rule of thumb, at least 300 cases is deemed comfortable, 500 as

very good and 1000 as excellent (Comrey & Lee, 1992; Tabachnick & Fidell, 2001), thus it

was decided to target a sample size of 751 respondents from the eight low-income housing

suburbs as shown in Table 11.

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Neuman (2006) informs that a large sample size alone does not guarantee a representative

sample. This is because a large sample size without random sampling or with a poor sampling

frame is less representative than a smaller one with random sampling and an excellent sampling

frame. Although, the larger the size of the sample, the more likely its mean and standard

deviation will be representative of the population’s mean and standard deviation. A larger

sample also makes it less likely that the researcher will obtain negative results or fail to

determine the truth. Hence, Leedy and Ormrod, (2005) advice that researchers should

endeavour to maximize the sample size and provide the following guidelines for selecting a

sample size:

1. For small populations with fewer than 100 people or other units, there is little

point in sampling, surveying the entire population;

2. If the population size is around 500, 50% of the population should be sampled;

3. If the population size is around 1 500, 20% should be sampled, and

4. Beyond a certain point (at about 5 000 units or more), the population size is

almost irrelevant and a sample size of 400 should be adequate.

In addition, Neuman (2006) recommends that for small populations, a researcher needs a large

sampling size and for moderately large populations, a smaller sample size of about 10 percent

is needed to be equally accurate. However, Cooper and Emory (1995) and Cooper and

Schindler (2006) disagrees on the 10 percent sample size recommendation for smaller

populations. Cooper and Schindler (2006) inform that a sample size does not have to be large

for it to be representative of the population. They state that the absolute size of a sample is

much more important than its size compared to the population, and how large a sample should

be is a function of the variation in the population parameters under study and the estimating

precision needed by the researcher. They suggested that a sample of 400 may be appropriate

sometimes, while more than 2 000 are required in other circumstances; and in another case,

perhaps only 40 are called for.

Furthermore, Smith (2004) simplify the process of sampling size by recommending that one

may use 20 cases or 5 percent, whichever is greater for the population. Schiller further informs

that the sample size should vary with the type of study, informing that a routine review study

would require 5 percent or 30 observations; a query review study would require 10 percent or

40 cases, whichever is greater, and an intensive review study would require a sample size of

15 percent or 60 cases and a sentinel event would require a 100 percent of the observations.

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Hence, because of the kind of data analysis method (Structural Equation Modeling) to be used

in this study and the avoidance of negative results, which will jeopardize the model goodness-

of-fit; thus failing to establish the truth with regards to the constructs which predict residential

satisfaction, a large sample size of 751 was considered. This is because the role of sample size

is crucial in SEM analysis (Lucko & Rojas, 2010). Therefore the sample size requirement in

this thesis was a function of the model framework development consideration. For instance,

Harris and Schaubroeck (1990) proposed a sample size of 200 at least to guarantee robust

Structural Equation Modeling. Kline (2010) suggested that a very complicated path model

needs a sample size of 200 or more, while Bagozzi and Yi (2012) proposed that the sample size

should be above 200. Also, based on Smith’s (2004) research classification, the study is both a

query and an intensive review; hence the selection of the sample size demanded a 10 percent

or 40 cases and 15 percent or 60 cases whichever is greater. The study sample size also agrees

with Neuman’s (2006) recommendation of 10 percent sampling size. Therefore, the total

sample size of the respondents from the eight low-income housing suburbs was 751, which

aligned perfectly with the analysis of covariance structure estimation requirement.

7.4.4.7 Sample Selection

This step required a detailed specification of all the steps discussed above (Malhotra, 1999).

In this study, a total of 751 households were chosen in all localities for the research, which was

equivalent to the sample size. This was achieved as follows: each locality was divided into

different clusters using the streets, with each cluster containing 10 houses or more. A

systematic random sampling was then applied through the selection of every 5th house in each

cluster; for easy of identification of the 5th houses, house numbers were used to calculate the

number of the next 5th house. This process was essential in obtaining true representativeness

of the entire sample.

7.4.4.8 Site Visits

Prior to data collection, site visits were conducted by the researcher and the fieldworkers. The

site visits assisted in verifying the low-income housing locations that were selected and it also

gave the researcher and the fieldworkers’ first-hand experience of the types of dwellings and

knowledge of the areas for each potential survey, which was very useful in the data collection.

Before the data collection, copies of maps indicating the low-income areas were obtained from

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the respective municipality. These maps showed the entire landscape and the streets, as well as

a birds-eye view of the houses in which the survey was conducted. These maps were further

confirmed during the site visit to ascertain the streets and households as revealed on the maps.

7.4.4.9 Fieldworkers

A fieldworker is defined as an objective collector of data. He or she may or may not have

formal qualifications but is perceived to have access to a particular community. Maart and Soal

(1996:1) determined that a fieldworker primarily mediates or facilitates learning of individuals

and groups to create an environment in which people can participate. Hence, Tamblyn and

Shelton (1996) defined in the comprehensive market research manual the data collection skills

that fieldworkers should possess, and thus, recommended that fieldworkers be selected with

great care and be trained for a stipulated minimum of four hours before undertaking

quantitative data collection. They concluded that it is essential for fieldworkers to have a good

understanding of the area and the respondents and to be trained in the skills necessary for

relating to people, analysing situations and designing strategies.

For this study, fieldworkers were recruited from the final year students of the Construction

Management and Quantity Surveying Department at the University of Johannesburg. They

were selected based on the researcher’s working knowledge of their ability and competence in

sustainable human development issues and their resident status in the survey areas. After their

recruitment, the researcher personally trained them on the use (administering) of the

questionnaire. An intensive four hours training workshop was conducted, followed by a day’s

technical training (different days for respective fieldworkers) on the selected sites according to

the areas they were to collect data.

The responsibility of the trained fieldworkers were to identify the specific households to be

surveyed based on the identified cluster and the study sample size; gain the consent of

respondents to be interviewed (surveyed); conduct interviews using the standard questionnaire;

and maintaining standard procedures in conducting the interviews (survey) and recording the

answers. During the collection of data, a total of 10 fieldworkers were used, which was based

on the sample size (751), numbers of days (60) available for the data collection and the

households per interview-day (5). In liaison with the work of the fieldworkers, the researcher

identified the clusters to be surveyed; supervised the first days of data collection in the various

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areas, performed three to five interviews; ensured that the fieldworkers follow instructions as

stipulated on the survey instrument; control the data quality by checking for errors during the

survey and after each survey, checked that the questionnaires were completed fully and

correctly and by checking that all the respondents answered the questions; and identified

problem areas, which were adequately resolved.

7.4.4.10 Pilot Study

A pilot study is a trial questionnaire survey study designed to test logistics and gather

information prior to the larger study, in order to improve the latter’s quality and efficiency. A

pilot study when properly done reveals deficiencies in the design of a questionnaire and these

can then be addressed before time and resources are expended on large scale studies. A good

research strategy requires careful planning and a pilot study will often be a part of this strategy.

A pilot study is normally small in comparison to the main survey and therefore, can provide

only limited information on the sources and magnitude of variation of response measures. It is

unlikely, that a pilot study alone can provide adequate data on the potential deficiencies in a

study. A systematic review of the literature or even a single publication is a more appropriate

source of information on the sources of inconsistencies.

However, a trial questionnaire survey was conducted for the current research to test logistics

and gather information prior to the larger study. The pilot study was used to modify the survey

instrument; thus it was not analysed for incorporation into the main study. The pilot study was

also used to address a number of logistical issues to ensure that the instructions given to

respondents were comprehensible; to check that fieldworkers could adequately administer the

questionnaire to the respondents; and to identify potential problem areas, such as respondent

ages, ownership of dwellings, housing status and other sensitive questions.

Besides the reasons stated above for conducting a pilot study, Yuen (2007) identified some

procedures which should be adhered to in order to enhance a good pilot study outcome of a

survey questionnaire. All of these procedures were likewise followed strictly when the pilot

study for this research was conducted. These include:

1. Administering the questionnaire to pilot subjects in exactly the same way as it will be

administered in the main study;

2. Asking the subjects for feedback to identify ambiguities and difficult questions;

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3. Record the time taken to complete the questionnaire and decide whether it is reasonable;

4. Assessing whether each question gives an adequate range of responses;

5. Establishing that replies can be interpreted in terms of the information that is required;

6. Checking that all questions are answered; and

7. Rewording or rescale any questions that are not answered as expected.

A total of 40 subsidised low-income housing occupants from each of the identified location

were chosen as pilot respondents.

7.4.4.11 Data Collection

After determining the sample size for the study, site visit, fieldworker’s selection and training,

together with the pilot testing of the questionnaire; the questionnaire was personally

administered to the low-income residents’ by the researcher and the fieldworkers. This method

was used because it has been suggested that when dealing with a population likely to be of the

low-income group with low interest and motivation, personally administered or face-to-face

structured questionnaire for data collection is the preferable option (Fowler, 1993). Although,

the respondents that could read were given the questionnaire to complete themselves and where

necessary, were given clarity. It took approximately 35 minutes to complete each questionnaire,

although respondents were informed in the cover letter that it would take 30 minutes to

complete.

The process of data collection took two months, from the middle of the month of May 2012 to

middle of the month of July 2012. A majority of the questionnaires were completed by the

fieldworkers and only in exceptional cases did the respondents, who could read and write

request that they were given the questionnaire to fill in their own time without undue pressure

so that they could have time to think about their responses. This was the reason in part why the

data collection process took so long. After the collection of data of 751 questionnaires, each

questionnaire was then marked for identity based on the low-income housing location\-

according to the metropolitan and district municipality where the data was collected and was

then sent for data capturing by the statistics department of the University of Johannesburg.

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7.4.4.12 Data Analysis from Questionnaire Survey

Data analysis involved steps such as coding the responses, cleaning, screening the data and

selecting the appropriate data analysis strategy. Cleaning and screening of the questionnaire

was done during the data collection. Coding of the questionnaire involved identifying,

classifying and assigning a numeric or character symbol to data, which may be done in two

ways: pre-coded and post-coded (Wong, 1999). This will be elaborated on in the next section.

In this study, most of the responses were pre-coded except for questions 1-3, 8-10, and 17-21

which required post-coding. Taken from the list of responses, a number corresponding to a

particular selection was given. This process was applied to every question that needed this

treatment. Upon completion, the data was then entered onto a Statistical Analysis Software

Package (SPSS) for the next analysis steps.

In choosing the appropriate statistical analysis technique, the following was considered: the

research elements, namely the research problem, objectives, characteristics of data and the

underlying properties of the statistical techniques (Malhotra, 1999). To meet the purposes of

this study, descriptive and inferential analyses and the measures of goodness-of-fit of model

were applied where necessary. The data analysis involved the use of multiple analytical

techniques to facilitate ease of communicating the results, while at the same time improving its

validity. Hence, the researcher chose to use SEM utilizing EQS software. Raw data from the

questionnaire was entered into the Statistical Package for Social Science (SPSS) software and

was later exported to the SEM software EQS Version 6.2 for analysis. The motivation for the

choice of the SEM and particularly the use of the software EQS is explained in the next session.

Inferential analysis refers to the cause-effect relationships between variables which the current

study hopes to establish between the identified model constructs. Inferential statistics use the

results obtained from samples to generalize about a population (Forzano, 2008). Inferential

statistics used for this research were correlations, Confirmatory Factor Analysis (CFA) and

Structural Equation Modeling (SEM). SEM was used for the development and validation of

the residential satisfaction model. Also, the statistical significance of the constructs was

evaluated. The result’s statistical significance was expressed by p-value (Forzano, 2008). When

the p-value is high, there is less possibility of an association between two variables (McClave,

Benson & Sincich, 2008), while a smaller p-value gives a better likelihood of association. The

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p-value chosen in the present study is 0.05, which implies 95 percent chance that the

populations mean is within a listed range of values (McClave et al., 2008).

SEM is currently the most inclusive statistical procedure in social and scientific research

catering for all operations of the General Linear Modeling (GLM) group of statistics such as

Analysis of Variance (ANOVA), Multivariate Analysis of Variance (MANOVA) and multiple

regression (Kline, 2005:14). Though there are many ways to describe SEM, it is most

commonly thought of as a hybrid between some form of analysis of variance (ANOVA) /

regression and some form of factor analysis. In general, it can be remarked that SEM allows

one to perform some type of multilevel regression/ANOVA on factors. SEM is conceptually

used to answer any research question involving the indirect or direct observation of one or more

independent variables or one or more dependent variables. However, the primary goal of SEM

is to determine and validate a proposed causal process and/or model. In the current study, the

conceptualized holistically integrated residential satisfaction model for public housing

occupants in South Africa is being validated. SEM takes a confirmatory approach to the

analysis of a structural theory bearing on some phenomenon (Byrne, 2010). However, Dion

(2008:365) claims that SEM simultaneously estimates all coefficients in the model and

therefore, it is able to assess the significance and strength of a relationship in the context of the

entire postulated model. Hence, considering that the conceptualized model in this thesis

consisted of unobserved (exogenous) variables, which had to be estimated from the observable

variables, methods of analysis such as ANOVA could not be used as they lack a direct way of

distinguishing between observed measures and the underlying constructs (Kline, 2005:14).

Also, in SEM, as clear distinction is made between true variance and error variance, which

implies that model parameters are estimated by taking measurement error into consideration.

However, before the SEM was performed, CFA was carried out on each exogenous variable to

determine best-fit for the model.

The choice of the software EQS for analysis was enhanced by the benefit of utilizing the

Satorra-Bentler scaled statistics (S – Bχ2), which provides an adjusted, more robust measure of

fit for non-normal data. This approach is more accurate than the normal chi-square test statistics

(χ2) (Byrne, 2006:22). Likewise Kline (2005:83) and Musonda (2012) inform that EQS offers

several different estimation methods for non-normal data as well, including the Robust

Maximum Likelihood (RML).

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As already informed EQS Version 6.2, a software package was used for SEM as it is user-

friendly software that provides a graphical user interface, which is easy to understand. EQS

also enables data to be imported directly from SPSS. Other reasons why the researcher adopted

EQS 6.2 and SPSS 20.0 software include: first, the software is available at the University’s

Postgraduate and Statistics Centre; hence, it was easier for the researcher as a postgraduate

student to access the software. Second, EQS is seldom used by previous researchers as revealed

from the literature to enhance conceptual understanding of residential satisfaction in subsidised

low-income housing research as compared to other techniques, such as AMOS and LISREL

(Tong, 2007). Being a user-friendly graphically modeling interface, EQS offers a wider variety

of goodness-of-fit measures (Tong, 2007).

Data screening and preparation

Before a detailed analysis of the postulated model was conducted to determine fit, screening of

the data was essential. Pre-analysis data screening focused on establishing whether there was

any missing data, outliers, the distribution characteristics of the data, and the identification of

the model.

Missing values and outliers can adversely affect SEM results by their presence in the raw data.

Hence, it was therefore necessary to identify at the pre-analysis stage, any missing values and

outliers in order to determine the best way to handle them. Kline (1998) informs that missing

data can be treated in three ways, which are: casewise deletion, pairwise deletion and

imputation. However, other new technologies are now being adopted to handle missing data,

such as maximum likelihood estimation (Arbuckle, 1996). In casewise deletion only cases with

complete records are included, that is, all analyses are conducted with the same cases (Kline,

1998), and hence consistency is maintained. On the other hand, an alternative approach of

pairwise deletion of cases excludes the missing responses for variables involved in a particular

computation. This method uses all possible cases for each calculation. In the pairwise-deletion,

variables containing missing data or alignment gaps are removed from the analysis as the need

arises. This is in contrast to the complete-deletion option in which all such sites are removed

prior to the analysis. Imputation is another method used for analyzing missing responses. This

technique involves pattern matching, which replaces “a missing observation with a score from

another case with a similar profile of scores across other variables” (Kline, 1998:75).

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Subsequent to outlier tests, an assessment of normality was performed (Churchill & Iacobucci

2004; Tabachnick & Fidell, 2001). The first basic assumption about SEM is that all data have

a multivariate normal distribution. Multivariate normality includes both the distributions of

individual variables and the distributions of combinations of variables (Hooley & Hussey

1994). This assumption is necessary in order to allow significance testing using the t-test and

F statistics (Arbuckle, 1996; Hair et al., 1998; Tabachnick & Fidell, 2001). For example, in

SEM models, estimation and testing are usually based on the validity of multivariate normality

assumption, and lack of normality will adversely affect goodness-of-fit indices and standard

errors (Kassim, 2001). For instance, the common estimation method in SEM is maximum

likelihood, which carries with it the assumption of multivariate normality (Kline, 2005:48).

Also, other problems have been identified with non-normal data. Kline (2005:137) reports that

failure to meet the assumption of multivariate normality could lead to an overestimation of the

chi-square statistics and therefore, to an inflated Type 1 error (rejecting a model, which should

not be rejected). As a result, because the missing values were scattered across items, hence

Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) Method of treating missing values was adopted. This

method was used because under ordinary conditions, ML estimates are (Bentler & Wu, 2002):

consistent (approximately unbiased in large samples, such as the present; N = 751); is

asymptomatically efficient (have the smallest possible variance) and asymptomatically normal

(one can use normal theory to construct confidence intervals and p-values). Hence, the MLEs

for the data set are the values of the parameters, which maximize the probability of the observed

data (the likelihood).

Likewise, the examination of the Skewness, Kurtosis, Mardia’s Coefficient and the

multivariate kurtosis was conducted to establish normality of the data. In addition to identifying

the missing values and outliers, assessment of multivariate normality was equally important

because the choice of the estimation method depends on it (Schreiber et al., 2006:327).

According to Tabachnick and Fidell (2001), skewness refers to the symmetry of a distribution,

that is, a variable whose mean is not in the centre of the distribution is regarded as a skewed

variable. On the other hand, Kurtosis relates to the peakedness of a distribution. A distribution

is said to be normal when the values of skewness and kurtosis are equal to zero (Tabachnick &

Fidell, 2001). However, there are few clear guidelines about how much non-normality is

problematic. Many authors suggest that absolute values of univariate skewness indices greater

than 3.0 seem to describe extremely skewed data sets (Chou & Bentler, 1995; Hu & Bentler,

1992). Regarding kurtosis, there appears to be less consensus and a conservative compromise

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seems to be that absolute values of the kurtosis index greater than 10.0 may suggest a problem

and values greater than 20.0 may indicate a more serious one (Kassim, 2001; Kline, 1998). In

this study, all variables were tested at a univariate and multivariate level for normality using

EQS. At the univariate level, none of the observed variables in the proposed models, had

skewness greater than 3.0 and none had a Kurtosis index greater than 8.0.

Model Identification

In order to proceed to the model analysis for the study, it was critical to determine whether the

postulated model could be analysed or not. Model complexity is determined through

establishing whether a model is just-identified, under-identified or over-identified. A just-

identified model is one, in which there is a one-to-one correspondence between the data and

the structural parameters. That is, the number of data variances and covariance equals the

number of parameters to be estimated (Byrne, 2006:31). Further, Byrne (2006:31) informs that

despite the capability of the model to yield a unique solution for all parameters, the just-

identified model is not scientifically interesting because it has no degree of freedom and

therefore, can never be rejected. An over-identified model is one, in which the number of

estimable parameters is less than the number of observations (Byrne, 2006:31). Accordingly,

an over-identified model is desirable as it results in a positive degree of freedom that allows

for rejection of the model therefore, rendering it to be of scientific use (Byrne, 2006:31).

Finally, the under-identified model is one, in which the number of parameters to be estimated

exceeds the number of variables and covariances. As a result, there can be an infinite number

of solution, and therefore, defeats the purpose of the analysis (Byrne, 2006:106; Kline,

2005:109). In summation, for a model to be analysed, there has to be at least as many

observations as parameters to be estimated, meaning that the degree of freedom (df) should be

greater than zero (df ≥ 0) (Kline, 2005:100). Therefore, the study model is over-identified

because there were 84 indicators for both the exogenous and the endogenous variable. There

were 3570 data points (meaning, 84 variances and 3486 covariances). The errors were

uncorrelated and each indicator loads on only one factor. In addition, the covariance between

the factors was not zero. Hence, this study’s hypothesised model is said to be identified.

Parameter Estimates and Input Matrix Method

Further to the above, an examination of the degree of freedom of the postulated model in this

thesis revealed that the model was over-identified. The least value for the degree of freedom

was found to be 2; which related to the needs and expectations, beneficiary’s participation,

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services provided by the government and the residential satisfaction manifest construct.

Likewise, all values of degree of freedom for the model constructs were positive and therefore,

indicative of an over-identification of the measurement models (Kline, 2005:100).

After the screening process was completed, it was established that the data was non-normal

with the lowest Mardia’s Coefficient of 13.1652 (residential satisfaction) and the highest

Mardia’s Coefficient of 56.0118 (beneficiary’s participation). This is shown in Table 10.6 (See

page 439). The non-normality of the data influenced the choice and use of the Robust

Maximum Likelihood (RML) Estimation Method. The RML gives several robust fit indices

(Bartholomew, Loukas, Jowers & Allua, 2006:72; Byrne, 2006:22). Hence, Byrne (2006:22)

suggests that one of the outputs from the RML Estimation Method is the robust chi-square

statistics (χ2) referred to as the Satorra-Bentler Scaled Statistics (S – Bχ2) and robust standard

error, which are corrected for non-normality in large samples, as the case of the present study;

with the sample size being 751. SEM software, EQS Version 6.2 was used in part, due to the

ability of the programme to adjust standard errors for the non-normality of the data (Byrne,

2006:22).

The covariance matrix method was the chosen in-put matrix for the analysis in the current

study. The analysis strategy adopted to analyse the hypothesized model was firstly used to

estimate the measurement part of the model and thereafter, to analyse the measurement and

structural parts of the model respectively. Likewise, the results from the analysis were reported

in the same manner namely, results from the measurement model analysis referred to as the

Confirmatory Factor Analysis (CFA) were presented first and thereafter, the results from the

analysis for the entire structural model referred to as the full latent variable model (FV) were

presented.

Model Analysis / Fit Indices

Analysis of the hypothesised model was the next step after the pre-analysis conditions,

selection of the input matrix of the data and the method of estimation was determined. The

following fit indices identified from Hu and Bentler (1999:5); Boomsma (2000:473); Kline

(2005:134); Streiner (2006:232); and Hooper, Coughlan and Mullen (2008:58) were examined

to determined model fit. These statistics were:

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1. Chi-square values χ2;

2. Satorra-Bentler Scaled Chi-square (S – Bχ2);

3. Bentler Comparative Fit Index (CFI);

4. Standardised Root Mean Square Residual (SRMR);

5. Goodness of Fit Index (GFI);

6. Root Mean Square Error of Approximation (RMSEA); and

7. Root Mean Square Error of Approximation with its 90% confidence interval (RMSEA

@ 90% CI).

The decision on model fit indices was based on the proposal by Hu and Bentler (1999:28) two-

index presentation strategy of incremental and absolute fit indexes because they seemed to

perform superiorly to a single index presentation strategy. Hu and Bentler (1999:27) suggested

therefore that the maximum likelihood based SRMR and a supplemental fit index such as CFI

or RMSEA, would result in minimum Type I (the probability of rejecting the null hypothesis

when it is true) and a Type II Error (the probability of accepting the null hypothesis when it is

false). The fit indexes χ2, CFI, and (S – Bχ2) belong to the incremental or comparative fit

indexes, which are a group of indices that do not use the chi-square in its raw form but compare

the chi-square value to a baseline model (Hooper et al., 2008:55). While the SRMR and

RMSEA belong to the absolute fit indexes, which are fit indices, which determine how well a

priori model fits the sample data (McDonald & Ho, 2002) and demonstrates, which proposed

model has the most superior fit.

Further, additional fit index (Goodness of Fit Index - GFI) was adopted by the researcher for a

more stringent measure to evaluate the overall model fit. This follows the work of Tong (2007).

According to Tong (2007) and Kassim (2001), the GFI is an important measure of absolute fit.

It refers to the percent of observed co-variances implied by the model (Garson, 2009). Garson

(2009) and Tong (2007) inform that GFI should be equal to or greater than 0.90 for a

parsimonious model (Garson, 2009; Tong, 2007). While researchers such as Joreskog and

Sorbom (1988) and Schumacker and Lomax (2004) suggest that acceptable GFI value should

be closer to 0.95.

These measures (χ2; CFI; S – Bχ2; SRMR; RMSEA; RMSEA @ 90% CI; and GFI) provide the

most fundamental indication of how well the proposed theory fits the data. Unlike incremental

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fit indices, their calculation does not rely on comparison with a baseline model but is instead a

measure of how well the model fits in comparison to no model at all (Hooper et al., 2008:53;

Jöreskog & Sörbom, 1993). The adopted cut-off values for the above fit indices are as tabulated

in Table 7.12.

Table 7.12: Cut-off criteria of fit statistics

Statistics Cut-off criteria Source Chi-square - χ2

Ratio χ2 to df ≤ 2 or 3 with an

insignificant p value (p > 0.05)

Hooper et al., 2008;

Kline, 2005,

Schreiber et al., 2006

Bentler Comparative Fit

Index (CFI)

Value should be ≥ 0.95 for good

fit

Bartholomew et al., 2006;

Hooper et al., 2008;

Bentler, 1990; Dion, 2008;

Schreiber et al., 2006

Standardised Root Mean

Square Residual (SRMR)

The value should be ≤ 0.08

A value of 0.1 is also acceptable

Kline, 2005;

Hu & Bentler, 1999;

Schreiber et al., 2006

Root Mean Square Error of

Approximation (RMSEA)

Value should be < 0.05 for good

fit

Values < and 0.08 indicate a

reasonable error of approximation

Values of > 0.10 suggests a poor

fit

Hu & Bentler, 1999;

Kline, 2005; Steiger, 2007

Dion, 2008;

Schreiber et al., 2006

Root Mean Square Error of

Approximation with its

90% confidence interval

(RMSEA @ 90% CI)

Values to be < 0.06 to 0.08 with

confidence interval

Byrne, 2006;

Schreiber et al., 2006

Goodness of Fit Index (GFI)

Should be > 0.90 Joreskog & Sorbom

(1988);

Statistical Significance of Parameter Estimates

The statistical significance of parameter estimates was established by examining the ration

output of the parameter estimate divided by its standard error (therefore analogous of Z-values)

and tests that the estimate is statistically different from zero (Byrne, 2006:103; Schreiber et al.,

2006:327). Hence, based on an alpha (α) level of 0.05, the test statistics had to be greater than

1.96 (Z > ± 1.96) before the hypothesis (meaning, the estimate = 0.00) could be rejected (Byrne,

2006:103).

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Reliability and Validity

In order to establish the score reliability, the internal consistency reliability measure statistics

of Rho coefficient and Cronbach’s (1951) alpha (α) were examined. Byrne (2006:132-133) and

Kline (2005:59) theorize that Cronbach’s alpha measures the degree to which responses are

consistent across all items within a single measure and if this statistics is low, the content of

the items may be so heterogeneous that the total score is not the best possible unit of analysis

for the measure. Hence, the acceptance of Cronbach’s Alpha to measure internal homogeneity

is limited. Byrne (2006:133) argues that the use of the Cronbach’s Alpha Coefficient to judge

latent variable models especially models with multi-dimensional structure is questionable

because it is based on a very restrictive model that requires all factor loading and error variances

to be equal. Therefore, in establishing score reliability for the analysis, the Rho Coefficient was

relied upon more than the Cronbach’s Alpha Coefficient even though it is the most common

method used for assessing the reliability for a measurement scale with multi-point items

(Hayes, 1998). The Rho coefficient provides a good estimate of internal consistency because

the model that was analysed in the current study was a full latent variable mode (Byrne,

2006:133).

Measurement Models - Confirmatory Factor Analysis

This study used Confirmatory Factor Analysis (CFA) to scrutinize the factor structure of the

exogenous and endogenous indicator variables. In contrast to exploratory factor analysis, the

aim of which is simply to identify the factor structure present in a set of variables, the aim of

CFA is to test an hypothesized factor structure or model and to assess its fit to the data. CFA

may be viewed as a sub-model of the more general structural equation modeling (SEM)

approach to analysis. Specifically, it is a measurement model of the relations of indicators

(observed variables) to factors (exogenous variables), as well as the correlations among the

latter. CFA is generally based on a strong theoretical and/or empirical foundation that allows

the analyst to specify an exact factor structure in advance. The CFA approach usually restricts

which variables will load on which factors, as well as which factors will be correlated. In CFA

each observed variable has an errors term, or residual, associated with it that expresses the

proportion of variance in the variable that is not explained by the factors. These error terms

also contain measurement error due to the lack of reliability in the observed variables. The

typical research question in CFA is: Are the covariances (or correlations) among variables

consistent with an hypothesized factor structure? As such, CFA is quite useful for studying the

factorial validity of multi-item construct such as residential satisfaction.

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Therefore, after establishing the score reliability, the construct validity was conducted to

demonstrate the extent to which the constructs hypothetically relate to one another. This can

also be referred to as the test of measurement invariance (MI), factorial invariance or

measurement equivalence between indicator variables. Measurement invariance is a very

important requisite in Structural Equation Modeling. It attempts to verify that the factors are

measuring the same underlying latent construct within the same condition. MI is aimed to

ensuring that the same attribute must relate to the same set of observations in the same way.

The MI for the present thesis was determined based on examination of the residual covariance

matrix from the CFA output result, which determined the variables to include the full structural

model.

Hence, preliminary Confirmatory Factor Analysis (CFA) was performed to measure the

dimensions of all latent variable indicators to identify which items were appropriate for each

dimension. Indicators variables with an unacceptably high residual covariance matrix (>2.58)

were dropped. Residual covariance matrix values greater than 2.58 are considered large (Byrne,

2006:94; Joreskog & Sorbom, 1988). In order for a variable to be included in a CFA

measurement model analysis, which enables the model to be described as well-fitting, the

distribution of residuals covariance matrix should be symmetrical and centered around zero

(Byrne, 2006:94; Joreskog & Sorbom, 1988). This procedure was adopted as a means to ensure

that the indicator variables were measuring the same latent construct. For instance, when an

investigator wishes to use a given measure or set of measures to make evaluations, the validity

of those comparisons depends on the assumption that the same construct is being measured.

Hence, the assumption of measurement invariance is most times tested in CFA (Meredith,

1993), so as to allow for comparison of indicator variables under the same condition. The

assessment of measurement invariance across latent variables involves the use of multi-sample

CFA as used in this thesis. This procedure has been described and used by Widaman & Reise

(1997) and Reise et al. (1993). Also, Little (1997) investigated invariance of factors of control

expectancy across gender and four cultural groups. Kim et al. (1996) studied invariance of

world views and religious beliefs of older adults over time.

Since this study sought to test the potential relationships among variables, a Confirmatory

Factor Analysis using EQS 6.2 was applied on the indicator variables that passed the first CFA

test of Residual Covariance Matrix Analysis. Further, to achieve construct validity, the

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measurement should demonstrate convergent validity and discriminant validity. Convergent

validity refers to the items purporting to measure the same construct correlates positively with

one another (Malhotra, 1999; Parasuraman, 1991) as already described above. On the other

hand, the latter requires that an item does not correlate too highly with other items of different

constructs (Hair et al., 2003; Malhotra, 1999). In this study, the correlation matrix and inter-

construct correlation were analyzed for convergent and discriminant validity. In addition, due

to the absence of another external criterion against which comparison could be made of the

measures, discriminant validity was also used to examine construct validity. This is because a

set of variables hypothesised to measure different aspects only shows discriminant validity if

their inter-correlations are not too high (Kline, 2005:60).

7.4.4.13 Ethical Considerations

Finally, it is pertinent to consider the proper conduct of this research. This research

accommodated the responsibilities to protect the interests of the survey respondents. With

regards to the survey respondents, no one was coerced to respond to this survey. The

respondents were asked to participate of their own freewill, that is, they were told of their rights

not to participate or to end their participation if they so wished. In addition, they were briefed

about the purpose of the study and how or why they were chosen. As such they were free from

deception or stress that might arise from their participation in this research. The respondents

were also guaranteed protection through anonymity and all information that may reveal their

identity, which are held in strict confidence.

7.4.4.14 Reliability and Validity of the Questionnaire Survey

The validation of research work is important for studies that will influence the overall welfare

of the public. Studies that may have an influence on the housing, economy, political climate,

or environment are typically validated before the results are used to make influential decisions

(Thorne & Geisen, 2002). Since this study focuses on residential satisfaction in subsidised low-

income housing, which is a much contested space, the validation of the results are extremely

important. Therefore, it is considered good practice for researchers to demonstrate the

reliability of their data collection, analysis and findings.

Validity refers to the degree to which the findings of a research are interpreted in the

correct way. Similarly, validity determines whether the identified inputs within their

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attributes actually produce the expected output or result (Barrett & Sutrisna, 2009). It is

the extent to which the results of a study can be verified against the stated objectives. Validity

may be content, construct or criterion-related, whilst reliability issues include scoring

agreement, test, equipment forms and internal consistency. Validity may be evaluated

internally or externally. Internal validity refers to whether the identified inputs within their

attributes actually produce the expected output or result; and external validity refers to the

extent to which any research findings can be generalised, or extrapolated beyond the

immediate research sample or setting in which the study took place.

Further, reliability denotes the consistency of results obtained in the research. In other words,

it is the soundness of the method for data collection or the degree to which the findings

of research are independent of any accidental circumstances. In research, reliability is achieved

when the same research process is repeated and reproduces results within the stated confidence

limits. Hence, Eriksson (2002) states that reliability of an investigation is satisfactory if another

researcher conduct the same research and draw the same conclusions. Thus, reliability deals

with the quality of data and this requires the triangulation of the various sources of data, which

provide similar results from different angles. This requires a thorough demonstration of rigour

and clarity of research findings.

Therefore, the questionnaire instrument for this study was designed to reflect the above issues

and therefore, intends to capture all necessary information to accomplish the research. A major

criticism against the use of questionnaires is the fact that they may lack validity.

Likewise, respondents may interpret questions in a different way from what was intended

especially, when ranked responses are asked. Also, respondents may not be totally honest in

their answers (Miller & Brewer, 2003). Hence these limitations were overcome by the

researcher through pilot-testing of the questionnaires on a small sample group and personally

administering them (Refer to Section 7.4.4.10). The findings were intended to demonstrate

rigour and also repeatability within the context of housing satisfaction studies, thus

improving the questionnaire instrument. Another reliability problem such as observer bias was

minimized by the involvement of the main researcher as the quality controller during the

process of data collection only by scrutinizing the work of the field worker. This ensured a

higher level of consistency in the nature of the data collected. Furthermore, the research was

designed to ensure a maximum degree of objectivity within the scope of the study. This was

achieved through the use of a Mixed Method as already discussed.

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7.4.4.15 Generalisability

This is the extent to which the findings and conclusions of research conducted on a population

sample can be generalised or extended to the entire population. Generalisability is based on the

frequent occurrence of a phenomenon and so when there is sufficient data to support the

validation of a hypothesis, a premise exists to generalize the behaviour of such data in similar

circumstances. However, due to its foundation in probability theory, generalization cannot be

regarded as conclusive (Shakantu, 2004:185). Generalisability is more applicable in

quantitative research involving large samples than qualitative research. The rule is, the larger

the population sample, the more the results tend towards generalization, which was applicable

to the current research. Also, the adoption of Mixed Methodology involving both quantitative

and qualitative data addresses the issue of generalisability of the findings in this research.

7.5 CONCLUSION

This chapter presented the methodology adopted for the conduct of this research. It also

provided the justifications for the philosophical position and methods of data collection. The

research design described in this chapter has linked three important elements of the research

methodology, namely; the underlying philosophical assumptions; the research

methods/approach; and the process followed in the questionnaire administration, as well as an

introduction to the data analysis. Finally, ethical considerations pertaining to the collection of

data were discussed; including issues relating to validity and reliability have also been

discussed. In the following chapter, results of the data analysis from the Delphi Study are

presented.

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CHAPTER EIGHT

RESULTS FROM THE DELPHI STUDY

8.1 INTRODUCTION

A Delphi Study was conducted to determine and solicit expert’s views on the influence

(probability) and impact of residential satisfaction attributes on low-income housing

beneficiaries, thus, identifying the determinant attributes that bring about residential

satisfaction in the South Africa low-income housing context. The Delphi Technique solicited

from the experts, critical issues affecting the provision of housing for the low-income group in

South Africa. Also, tested through the Delphi study was the expert’s view on housing

development and management issues that affect the national, provincial, and the local

government housing agencies in South Africa. Three rounds of the Delphi process were

conducted before experts could reach consensus on the questions that were posed to them.

This section presents a summary of results from all the rounds from the first to the third round.

Computation for each and every question element is made for the influence (probability) and

impact of the attributes in predicting residential satisfaction and improvement of low-income

housing in South Africa. The influence or impact of the absence or presence of a particular

residential satisfaction element on the overall residential satisfaction of the other elements is

presented; likewise, on issues relating to low-income housing in South Africa. The following

sections provide an analysis of the results. The composition of the expert panel and a general

background to the Delphi Study is first described, followed by the study’s findings. The chapter

concludes with a summative discussion of the findings based on the objectives of the Delphi

Study.

8.2 BACKGROUND TO THE DELPHI SURVEY

It is important that the reader is first reminded of the objectives that were to be met through

conducting a Delphi Study. The objective of conducting the Delphi Survey for this study was

to determine the following:

DSO1 To identify the attributes (main and sub) that determine residential satisfaction

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and to examine if the attribute that determines satisfaction in other cultural

contexts is the same in South Africa;

DSO2 To determine the factors that make subsidised public housing unsustainable in

South Africa;

DSO3 To identify the combination of housing policy instruments that will better serve

South African low-income housing group;

DSO4 To identify the critical factors affecting the delivery of low-income housing and

their effects on beneficiaries’ residential satisfaction;

DSO5 To predict the life span of the present South African public housing subsidy

delivery model;

DSO6 To evaluate the management issues affecting the national, provincial and local

government housing agencies in the delivery of housing in South Africa;

DSO7 To determine the influence of beneficiary participation on their overall housing

satisfaction; and

DSO8 To determine the effect of meeting beneficiary’s housing needs and

expectations on their overall housing satisfaction.

The philosophy behind the above objectives is to do away with the tendency of a non-coherent

dialogue on low-income housing in South Africa. Thus, the associated outcomes from

achieving the above objectives were:

1. to determination of key factors and constructs that are of critical significance

(influence) to determine residential satisfaction in subsidised low-income housing; and

2. to develop a holistically integrated conceptual model on residential satisfaction in South

African low-income housing.

A panel of 17 experts participated in the first round, while 15 experts were retained who

participated from the second to the third round of the study. In selecting the panel, particular

attention was given to the experts’ residency status, which was considered compulsory for all

selected experts (Refer to Section 7.4.3.4). This was considered significant because experts

were required to have a thorough understanding of the low-income housing context in their

respective residential metropolitan and district municipality cities. Panel members were

selected to achieve balance between practitioners and theorists in the field of sustainable human

development with a core focus on housing for the poor and low-income groups.

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A questionnaire was designed for each round based on responses to the previous round.

However, the Round One questionnaire was designed, based on a summary of the

comprehensive review of literature highlighting sets of main and sub-attributes that are

potentially relevant to residential satisfaction decisions by the occupants of low-income

housing. Additionally, issues relating to the provision of low-income housing, delivery and

sustainability beyond the current level were also extracted from the reviewed literature. These

were structurally and constructively put together to frame the first round of the Delphi Survey.

Subsequently, Round One of the Delphi Study was intended as a brainstorming exercise to

produce a list of empirical attributes that determine residential satisfaction and issues pertaining

to low-income housing in South Africa in order to achieve the study objectives. Closed- and

Open-ended questions were used in this round; thereafter, these were analysed and thus formed

the basis of Round Two and Three of the study. Frequencies were obtained to measure the

degree of consensus reached amongst participants regarding the attributes that determine

residential satisfaction in South African low-income housing and for other related questions.

Also, content analysis methodology was adopted to analyse responses to the open questions to

“minimize redundancy” (Rubin et al., 1998:6).

The purpose of the second round of the study was to allow experts to review and comment on

the attributes that determine residential satisfaction and other issues relating to low-income

housing in South Africa, which were proposed by experts’ participation in Round One. Closed

questions were used in this round to investigate participant comments expressing agreement,

disagreement or clarification concerning proposed attributes that determine residential

satisfaction in South Africa. The specific nature of the closed-ended questions stimulated

participants’ reactions (refer to Appendix E).

The Delphi Round Three, there was a revision of Delphi Round Two, and panellists were again

asked to respond using the provided rating scale ranging from negligible to very high impact

as applicable to the question. In the third round, statistical information calculated from the

second round was reported to each panel member. The results of each Delphi round were

reviewed and compiled by the researcher. After analysing the responses from the third round,

the characteristics, and features which determine residential satisfaction as agreed upon by the

panel of experts, were organized to create a more complete picture of those attributes that

determine residential satisfaction and likewise to other issues as presented in the study.

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The results of Round Two indicated that the experts were in general agreement, and that Round

Three successfully refined the discussion to the point that clear points of consensus or lack

thereof, could be determined; therefore, a fourth round was not necessary. The median, mean,

standard deviation, percentages and IQD scores of each question were calculated and in

situations where the score was two points from the median score the experts were requested to

expound on the response. If a consensus had not been formed at the third round, the data from

this third round would have been analysed again by calculations for median, mean, standard

deviation and percentages scores and sent to the experts for consideration in responding to a

fourth round. Also, content analysis approach was adopted to analyse responses to the open-

ended questions.

The researcher predicted the use of only three rounds in order to achieve a consensus and this

prediction was correct. A fourth round was not needed, and the participants were informed of

this, when the third round questionnaires were sent out. The goal of the research technique was

to cycle the questions towards a consensus amongst the experts. During each round of

questionnaires, the experts were given the results of the medium of the previous round. It was

anticipated that by the third round, responses would converge to indicate a consensus from the

experts. In actuality, a consensus is achieved with 100% of the participants in agreement, but

two-thirds in agreement is considered a common consent (Stitt-Gohdes & Crews, 2004). The

goal for this study was that each individual question or statement should have a consensus, but

common consent would be acceptable. Common consent was obtained if 60.0% of the experts

agreed on each statement which was achieved in the study (refer to Section 7.4.3.7). All

statements were examined individually for a consensus. The quantitative results were

statistically analysed after each round of questionnaires to determine if a consensus had been

reached for each question or statement using the provided scale for each question or statement.

If a consensus was reached prior to the final round that question or statement was no longer

required (asked/required) in the next rounds.

After the third round Delphi Survey, consensus was reached regarding most of the attributes

that determine residential satisfaction and on other low-income housing related issues in South

Africa. Based on the findings of the analyses of responses to the Delphi rounds, a list of

attributes that determine residential satisfaction was prepared which informs the conceptual

framework for the broader study, while issues surrounding low-income housing in South Africa

were highlighted, which responded accordingly to the set objective of the Delphi Study. The

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results of the Delphi Study are therefore presented in relation to the specific Delphi objectives

in the next section.

8.3 FINDINGS FROM THE DELPHI STUDY

DSO1 - To identify the attributes (main and sub) that determine residential satisfaction and

to examine if the attribute that determines satisfaction in other cultural contexts is the same

in South Africa

From the summary of the comprehensive review of literature highlighting sets of attributes and

sub-attributes that are potentially relevant to residential satisfaction decisions by the occupants

of low-income housing were identified. Though the reviewed literature was based on studies

from the developed countries, these were collectively used to examine the attributes that

determine residential satisfaction in subsidised low-income housing in South Africa. The

influence of the attributes on residential satisfaction was obtained as a product of the impact

on the housing occupants. The level of influence of the main attributes as categorized on the

questionnaire was established by assessing the extent to which the listed attributes will

determine the occupant’s satisfaction with their houses. Also, the impact of the sub-attributes

in determining residential satisfaction was assessed if they were present or lacking. The rating

was based on an ordinal scale of one to ten with one being low influence or no impact and ten

being high influence or very high impact. As mentioned above, in the previous chapter, the

levels of influence and impact were then obtained as a product of the consensus achieved as

detailed on Section 7.4.3.7.

From the nineteen (19) identified main attributes that determines residential satisfaction, only

two attributes (dwelling unit and location) were considered by the experts to have a high

influence based on the medium score of 9.0 to determine occupants housing satisfaction. The

IQD score for dwelling unit feature was 1.50 reflecting a low consensus. However, the dwelling

unit was still considered to have a high influence on the occupants in determining if they will

be satisfied or dissatisfied with their residential status. This is because the unit of residential

satisfaction measurement is primary the occupant’s, but the occupant’s objective and subjective

measurement of their situation is based on the dwelling unit. Likewise, ten other main

attributes, as detailed in Figure 8.1, were scored to have an average influence on the

determination of satisfaction based on the good consensus achieved as evident from the median

and IQD scores, respectively. The median scores were not more than 8.99, while the IQD was

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less than 1.00. However, seven other listed attributes were measured as having low influence

on the determination of satisfaction, as a result of the weak consensus scores (Figure 8.1). The

median scores were less than 7.99, while the attributes IQD were more than 1.0 while others

were within the study IQD cut-off score of 1.0 required to achieve consensus.

Figure 8.1: Influence of core attributes on residential satisfaction in South Africa low-

income housing occupants

Furthermore, when the impact of the above listed characteristic sub-attributes were measured

in the determination of residential satisfaction, if they were present or absent, the following

was found. Of the 21 listed variables for the dwelling unit construct, none were scored to have

a very high impact (VHI: 9.00-10.00) in determining residential satisfaction, while only three

variables had a high impact (HI: 7.00-8.99) and 18 other variables were scored to have between

a low to medium impact (MI: 3.00-6.99). None was found not to have an impact in the

determination of residential satisfaction (Table 8.1). The IQD scores revealed that consensus

was achieved for a majority of the items (19) with a score of between 0.00 and 1.00. But,

consensus was not achieved for two features, which were the number of bedrooms (2.00), and

brightness and sunshine within the house (2.00). The number of bedrooms had a mean score of

7.00 and a standard deviation-SD (σx) of 1.69, while the brightness and sunshine within the

houses had a mean score of 5.40 and an SD (σx) of 1.06; revealing their variableness

9

7

6

8

6

6

7

7

6

8

8

7

6

4

5

9

7

8

7

1.50

0.50

0.75

0.00

2.00

0.00

0.00

0.50

0.00

0.50

0.00

0.00

2.00

0.00

0.50

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0 2 4 6 8 10

Dwelling unit

Housing physical characteristics

Household or personal characteristics

Housing condition or quality of building

Social features

Economic features

Community services

Neighbourhood and environmental facilities

Culture

Tenure

Homeownership

Needs and expectation

Beneficiaries meaningful participation

Personality variables

Aesthetics

Location

Health (personal and environmental)

Safety and Security

Psychological factors

IQD ≤ 1

Median

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considering the total number of responses.

Table 8.1: Dwelling Unit Attributes

Features M x̅ σx IQD

The number of bedrooms 8 7.00 1.69 2.00

The size and the location of the spaces (rooms) 7 6.67 1.68 0.50

Location of living room 5 4.73 1.10 0.50

Location of dining room 5 4.73 1.10 0.50

Location of kitchen 5 4.93 0.96 0.00

Size of the bedrooms 7 6.80 1.26 0.00

Size of the kitchen 6 6.00 1.20 0.50

Size of the bathrooms 5 5.13 1.06 0.50

Size of the wardrobes or closet 5 4.93 1.49 0.00

Size of the dining room 5 5.20 1.15 0.00

Space for children to play 5 5.33 0.98 0.00

Space for children to study 6 6.00 0.76 0.00

Balcony 3 2.87 0.99 0.00

Privacy within the house 6 5.80 1.61 0.50

Brightness and sunshine 6 5.40 1.06 2.00

Ventilation in the house 6 5.80 1.52 0.00

The floor level 5 4.60 1.24 1.00

Overall appearance of building 5 5.27 1.62 0.00

Interior design 5 5.07 0.88 0.00

Overall size of House 6 6.40 1.35 0.00

Washing room area 5 5.00 1.13 0.00

M = Median; x̅ = Mean; σx = standard deviation; IQD = Interquartile deviation

Likewise, the scores for the listed neighbourhood and environmental characteristics revealed

that from the 26 listed variables, four were scored to have a very high impact (VHI: 9.00-10.00)

in determining residential satisfaction, while, 15 variables had a high impact (HI: 7.00-8.99)

and 7 other variables were scored to have between low to medium impact (LI & MI: 3.00-

6.99). Conversely, none were found not to have an impact in determining residential

satisfaction (Table 8.2). In addition, the IQD scores revealed that consensus was achieved for

a majority of the items (24) with a score of between 0.00 and 1.00. Nonetheless, consensus was

not achieved for two elements; which are the parking facilities and police protection with an

IQD score of 1.50, which was more than the acceptable IQD score for the study. Furthermore,

the parking facilities had a mean rating = 4.67 and an SD = 1.68; whilst the police protection

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factor had a mean rating = 7.40 and SD = 1.35; showing the level of consistency within the

experts’ rating of the factors.

Of the 18 listed aspects for the household characteristics, only one aspect was scored to have a

very high impact (VHI: 9.00-10.00) in determining residential satisfaction, whilst, 7 aspects

were rated to have a high impact (HI: 7.00-8.99) and 10 other aspects were scored to have a

medium impact (MI: 5.00-6.99). Equally, none were found to have between no to low impact

in the determination of residential satisfaction (Table 8.3). In addition, the IQD scores revealed

that consensus was achieved for 17 aspects with only one aspect (Tenureship of residence) not

achieving consensus.

Table 8.2: Neighbourhood and Environmental Characteristics

Features M x̅ σx IQD

Location of dwelling unit 8 8.20 1.32 1.00

Friends and neighbours 7 6.80 1.32 0.50

Closeness to workplace 9 8.60 1.18 0.50

Closeness to shopping areas 8 7.53 1.19 1.00

Closeness to schools 8 7.67 1.35 0.50

Closeness to hospitals/clinics 8 7.47 1.36 1.00

Closeness to the place of worship 7 6.47 1.41 0.50

Public transportation and services 9 9.07 0.70 0.50

Landscape of the neighbourhood 6 5.87 1.46 0.50

Adequacy of on-street parking (bays) 5 4.93 1.39 1.00

Parking facilities 4 4.67 1.68 1.50

Walkways and access to main roads 7 7.33 0.90 0.50

Privacy from other neighbours 7 6.53 0.99 1.00

Closeness to playground and other recreational

facilities 6 6.27 1.10 0.00

Street and highway noise 6 6.07 1.28 0.00

Smoke or odours 7 6.53 1.88 1.00

Street lighting at night 8 7.73 1.39 0.50

Secure environment 9 8.73 0.80 1.00

Physical condition and appearance of the

neighbourhood 7 6.73 1.16 0.00

General cleanliness of the neighbourhood 7 7.27 0.96 0.50

Proximity to Police services 7 6.80 1.32 1.00

Police protection 8 7.40 1.35 1.50

Incidence of burglary activities 9 8.53 0.99 1.00

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Elderly centres 5 5.20 1.15 0.00

Community hall 7 6.67 0.90 0.50

Facilities for the disabled 6 6.27 1.53 1.00

Similarly, when the aspects of the occupants social features were assessed, findings revealed

that none of the aspects were perceived by the experts to have a very high impact (VHI: 9.00-

10.00), whilst 9 of the aspects were considered to have a high impact (HI: 7.00-8.99) in

determining residential satisfaction and 5 other aspects were scored to have a medium impact

(MI: 5.00-6.99). Conversely, none were found not to have an impact in the determination of

residential satisfaction (Table 8.4). In addition, the IQD scores revealed that consensus was

achieved for all aspects of the occupants’ social features, in relation to the impact rating.

Table 8.3: Household Characteristics

Aspects M x̅ σx IQD

Gender (sex) 5 4.93 1.00 1.00

Marital status 5 5.36 1.45 0.50

Employment and welfare 8 7.86 1.10 0.50

Number of children 7 7.14 1.17 1.00

Age 6 6.14 0.86 0.50

Occupation 6 6.43 1.40 1.00

Education 6 6.29 0.99 0.50

Household structure 6 6.36 1.39 0.50

Race 5 5.00 1.11 0.50

Ethnicity 6 6.14 0.77 1.00

Tenureship of residence 7 7.21 0.70 1.50

Payments for own house 8 7.71 0.73 0.50

Length of residency 8 8.14 0.66 1.00

Family income 8 8.07 0.73 0.00

The amount of rent 9 8.86 0.53 0.00

Location of last residence 6 5.93 1.44 1.00

Tenureship of last residence 6 6.14 0.66 0.50

Disability 7 6.67 1.32 1.00

Furthermore, when the aspects of the occupants building quality was assessed, findings

disclosed that none of the aspects were perceived by the experts to have a very high impact

(VHI: 9.00-10.00), while 9 of the aspects were considered to have a high impact (HI: 7.00-

8.99) and 11 others were scored to have a medium impact (MI: 5.00-6.99). Equally, none were

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found not to have an impact in the determination of residential satisfaction (Table 8.5). The

IQD scores revealed that there was a consensus amongst the experts for a majority of the

building quality aspects, while only one aspect (clothes-line facilities) did not achieve

consensus according to the IQD benchmark set for the study; with an IQD score of 1.50.

Table 8.4: Social Feature Aspects

Aspects M x̅ σx IQD

Privacy from neighbours 7 6.73 0.96 0.50

Interactions with neighbours 7 6.93 0.80 0.00

Security around neighbourhood 8 7.87 0.74 0.50

Safety at home 8 8.00 0.93 0.00

Security provision of flat (collapsible, sliding

front gate, window burglary etc.). 8 7.80 1.01 0.00

Density of population 6 5.87 1.41 0.50

Freedom of choice 7 7.13 0.74 0.50

Social relations (social networks) 7 7.07 0.70 0.00

Adequacy of escape route in case of fire 5 5.40 1.35 1.00

Community attachment 7 6.93 0.62 0.00

Anticrime measures (report centres) 7 7.20 0.86 0.50

Special requirement for disabled 5 5.47 1.06 0.00

Accident situation 6 6.13 0.64 0.00

Community relations 6 6.40 1.18 0.00

Also, when the aspects of the occupants economic features were assessed, further findings

revealed that none of the aspects were alleged by the experts to have a very high impact (VHI:

9.00-10.00), one (1) aspect was considered to have a high impact (HI: 7.00-8.99) in determining

residential satisfaction and 2 were scored to have medium impact (MI: 5.00-6.99).

Figure 8.2: Economic Features

Findings also revealed that none were found not to have an impact in determining residential

6.4 6.67 7.14

0.99 1.23 0.951.00 1.00 0.75

0

2

4

6

8

Home value Neighbourhood socio-

economic status

Cost of living (Town-

wide)

Mean (x̅)

SD (σx)

IQD ≤1

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334

satisfaction (Figure 8.2). Additionally, the IQD scores revealed that consensus was achieved

for all aspects of the occupants’ economic features.

Table 8.5: Building Quality Aspects

Aspects M x̅ σx IQD

The water pressure 6 6.27 1.22 1.00

The quality of exterior construction 7 7.00 0.65 0.00

The quality of walls 7 7.07 0.88 0.00

The quality of interior construction 7 7.00 0.93 0.00

The quality of the floors 6 6.33 1.11 0.00

The quality of the windows 6 6.40 1.18 0.00

The quality of the doors 6 6.47 1.19 0.50

The quality of the interior painting 6 6.13 0.74 0.00

The quality of the exterior painting 6 6.07 0.88 0.00

The quality of the plumbing works 7 7.20 0.86 0.00

The quality of the sanitary finishing 7 7.13 0.92 0.00

Functioning of the plumbing fixtures 7 7.27 0.88 0.00

Plumbing repairs 7 7.20 0.94 0.00

Electrical wiring quality 7 7.07 0.96 0.00

Rooms and others spaces lighting 6 6.33 1.18 0.50

Electrical fittings quality 5 5.80 1.52 1.00

Numbers of electrical sockets 6 6.07 1.03 0.50

Level of sockets 5 5.47 1.13 0.50

Clothes-line facilities 5 5.60 1.18 1.50

Overall quality of the unit 7 7.13 1.25 1.00

When the community and services provided by the government aspects were assessed, findings

revealed that one aspect was perceived by the experts to have a very high impact (VHI: 9.00-

10.00); 10 other aspects were considered to have a high impact (HI: 7.00-8.99), while, 5 other

elements were scored to have a medium impact (MI: 5.00-6.99). In relation to the other aspects

that have been assessed, thus far, none were found not to have an impact in the determination

of residential satisfaction (Table 8.6). In addition, the IQD scores revealed that consensus was

achieved for all aspects that were assessed.

In addition, when the aspects of the occupant’s personality variables were assessed, the findings

revealed that none of the aspects were considered by the experts to have a very high impact

(VHI). All three (3) assessed aspects were scored to have a high impact (HI: 7.00-8.99) in

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335

determining residential satisfaction. None were rated to have between no impacts to medium

impact (Figure 8.3). Also, the IQD scores revealed that consensus was achieved for this

variable among the experts.

Figure 8.3: Personality Variables

Table 8.6: Community Services Provided by Government

Residential satisfaction attributes M x̅ σx IQD

Drainage system 6 6.27 1.22 1.00

Garbage and waste collection system 7 7.00 0.65 0.00

Owned houses 7 7.07 0.88 0.00

Security system 7 7.00 0.93 0.00

Fire protection 6 6.33 1.11 0.00

Maintenance and repair services 6 6.40 1.18 0.00

Convenience of bus and public

transportation 6 6.47 1.19 0.50

Electricity supply 6 6.13 0.74 0.00

Water supply 6 6.07 0.88 0.00

Telephone service 7 7.20 0.86 0.00

Handling of residents’ complaints 7 7.13 0.92 0.00

Management responds to necessary repairs 7 7.27 0.88 0.00

Housing department officials treatment of

beneficiaries 7 7.20 0.94 0.00

Housing department rules and regulations of

the development 7 7.07 0.96 0.00

Enforcement of rules by the Department of

housing 6 6.33 1.18 0.50

Participation by the community 5 5.80 1.52 1.00

Further, when the variables of the building aesthetics were also assessed, findings showed that

6.676.27

6.60

1.88 1.871.5

0.00

1.00

0.000

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

Mistrust of authority Negative emotions Pessimism

Mean (x̅)

SD (σx)

IQD ≤1

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336

none of the aspects were considered by the experts to have a very high impact (VHI: 9.00-

10.00), nor high impact (HI: 7.00-8.99) in determining occupants housing satisfaction.

However, four of the five listed variables were observed to have a medium impact (MI: 5.00-

6.99), while one variable was scored to have a low impact (LI: 3.00-4.99) in shaping residential

satisfaction decisions. None were rated to have between no to medium impact (Figure 8.4).

Hence, the IQD ratings revealed that consensus was achieved for the variables between the

experts.

Figure 8.4: Aesthetics Variables

The assessment of the location factors revealed that one of the listed variables (nearness to

economic opportunities) was rated by the experts to have a very high impact (VHI: 9.00-10.00);

while three other factors were scored to have a medium impact (MI: 7.00-8.99) in determining

residential satisfaction.

Figure 8.5: Location Variables

None were rated to have a no; low and high impact (Figure 8.5). Nonetheless the IQD scores

5.73

5.2

6

4.87

4.4

1.53

1.15

1.31

0.52

0.83

0.50

0.00

0.50

0.00

1.00

0 2 4 6 8 10

Building forms

Building height

External appearance (compare

with others in the neighbourhood)

Entrance / lobby design

Colour of the building

IQD ≤1

SD (σx)

Mean (x̅)

6.07

8.47

6.13

6.60

9.00

1.33

1.06

1.19

1.3

0.76

0.50

1.00

0.00

1.00

0.00

0 2 4 6 8 10

Size of housing development

Ease of access by public transport

Appropriateness of site forerection of residential building

Nearness to slums

Nearness to economicopportunities

IQD ≤1

SD (σx)

Mean (x)̅

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337

revealed that consensus was achieved for all variables amongst the experts.

In addition, when the health (personal and environmental) features were evaluated, findings

established that one factor was considered by the experts to have a very high impact (VHI:

9.00-10.00) in determining residential satisfaction; while four other variables were considered

to have a medium impact (MI: 7.00-8.99). None was rated to have a no; low and high impact

(Figure 8.6). The IQD scores revealed that consensus was achieved for a majority (4) of the

variables, while no consensus was reached for one of the items (cleanliness of public area)

having an IQD score of 1.50, which was more than the IQD cut-off needed to achieve

consensus.

Figure 8.6: Health (personal and environmental) features Variables

Lastly, when the experts were asked to list any missing sub-attributes which they thought had

not been addressed, which could also affect residential satisfaction, the following were the

listed attributes:

1. Size of dwelling land;

2. Suppression of vermin like rats;

3. Location of kitchen sink;

4. Temperature / insulation;

5. Presence of ceiling;

6. Quality of sewerage and garbage removals services;

7. Physical safety (in terms of protected drain covers; fenced off streams, rivers and

railway lines, as well as road safety issues especially with regards to children’s and

6.40

5.47

5.07

8.53

6.40

0.91

1.06

0.88

1.13

1.76

1.00

0.50

0.00

0.50

1.50

0 2 4 6 8 10

Adequacy of daylight distribution in

the units

Adequacy of natural ventilation in the

units

Acoustic quality in the units

Water quality (cleanliness, etc.)

Cleanliness of public areas

IQD ≤1

SD (σx)

Mean (x̅)

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338

elderly’s safety); and

8. Beneficiary’s participation in the design of the low-income houses.

The above attributes (7) were thus rated by the experts panelist to have a very high impact

(VHI: 9.00-10.00) except for the suppression of vermin like rats, which was rated to have low

impact (LI: 3.00-4.99). However, the IQD scores revealed that consensus was achieved for all

listed variables, achieving the IQD cut-off set to reach consensus.

DSO2 - To determine the factors that makes subsidised public housing unsustainable in

South Africa

The impact of factors that makes subsidised public housing unsustainable in South Africa was

also evaluated. The issue of unsustainability of subsidised public housing in South Africa has

been recognised in many studies and in policy debate in the country. Literature and housing

commentators inform that the culture of outright public housing ownership without any

contribution from the beneficiary’s and the continual reduction in housing and infrastructure

budget plays a major role in the unsustainability of subsidised public housing in the country.

Despite the above realisation, it is also true that the current economic disparity between the

different race groups in the country and the high level of unemployment plays a major role in

the present public housing delivery system in the country. In view of the above, there is

therefore need for stakeholders to create an enabling environment that will not disadvantage

the poor in the country, yet have a public housing delivery system that will be sustainable for

a long time. In this study, it was intended that the factors which currently makeup the subsidised

housing delivery system, should be assessed. An evaluation was therefore conducted to identify

the factors, which make subsidised public housing unsustainable in South Africa.

The impact of a set of factors as identified from the literature review was rated by the expert

participants in order to achieve the study’s objective. The findings from the Delphi Survey

revealed that consensus was achieved for a majority (15) of the listed factors as the IQD scores

achieved the cut-off score set to reach consensus for the study. The housing backlog factor did

not achieve consensus with an IQD score of 1.50; despite the experts rating the factor as having

a very high impact (VHI: 9.00-10.00) in making subsidised housing unsustainable in the

country. The mean score for this factor was 8.40, while the SD (σx) = 1.12 (Table 8.7).

The impact score rating further revealed that 2 factors were alleged to have a very high impact

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339

(VHI: 9.00-10.00), while 8 factors were considered to have a high impact (HI: 7.00-8.99) and

6 other factors having a medium impact (MI: 5.00-6.99).

Table 8.7: Factors that makes subsidised housing unsustainable in South Africa

Factors M x̅ σx IQD

High cost of construction 8 7.60 0.91 1.00

None involvement of the big contractors 6 5.80 1.32 1.00

No solution to general housing problem 7 7.27 1.16 0.50

Undesirable 6 6.27 1.44 0.00

Lack of skills to handle delivery demand 6 6.07 1.83 0.50

Lack of resources to handle the production rate 7 6.40 1.68 1.00

Maintenance cost to the beneficiaries 7 6.93 1.98 0.50

Lack of maintenance plan 6 6.20 1.32 0.50

Illiteracy of the beneficiaries 6 5.60 1.35 0.50

Lack of housing education 6 5.67 1.68 1.00

Growing unemployment 8 7.80 1.08 0.50

Political involvement 9 8.73 1.03 0.00

Housing backlog 9 8.40 1.12 1.50

Size of the national housing budget 7 7.13 1.81 1.00

Bureaucratic capacity 8 8.20 0.94 0.50

Problem of under-spending 7 7.27 0.96 0.50

Furthermore, when the experts were asked to state any factor, which they thought was not

listed, which could further impact the sustainability of low-income housing delivery in the

country; the following 22 factors were itemised:

1. Culture of entitlement;

2. Poor national planning regimes;

3. Lack of strategic management by government;

4. Corruption;

5. Delivery mechanisms;

6. Lack of knowledgeable personnel in the housing departments;

7. Partnership with the beneficiary;

8. Dependency on government;

9. Lack of project management skills;

10. Inadequate beneficiary participation;

11. Nepotism;

12. Undue process;

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340

13. Unnecessary delay;

14. Price escalation;

15. Inflation;

16. Land market / land price;

17. NIMBYism (Not-in-my-backyard);

18. Continuity of unfulfilled high expectations;

19. Ignorance of bureaucrats dealing with housing;

20. Beneficiary’s needs assessment;

21. Coordination of housing delivery; and

22. Lack of protection for vulnerable recipients of subsidised low-income housing.

However, 15 of the experts remarked that corruption, partnership with the beneficiary’s,

participation and beneficiary’s needs assessment should be given prime attention in the

delivery of public housing for the low-income groups.

DSO3 - To identify the combination of housing policy instruments that will better serve

South African low-income housing group

The South Africa housing policy was based on international good practice during the early

1990s, but since then there has been a major shift in international trends in housing which have

also been captured in the various revisions that have been implemented in the country’s housing

policy strategy. The South African housing policy instruments contribute to the national

priority of restructuring South African society in order to address structural, economic, social

and spatial dysfunctionalities, thereby contributing to the Government’s vision of an

economically empowered, non-racial, and integrated society living in sustainable human

settlements. Also, it was designed to improve and contribute to the overall functioning of the

housing sector and in particular the low-income segment, insofar as subsidised low-income

housing is able to contribute to widening the range of housing options available to the poor.

Besides, in response to the South African government constitutional imperative, government

has in terms of the Housing Act, 1997 (Act No 107 of 1997) and Housing Codes of 2000

introduced a variety of programmes, which provided poor households access to housing

opportunities. The policy principles set out in the White Paper on Housing aimed to provide

poor households with houses, as well as basic services such as potable water and sanitation on

an equitable basis. But the limited resources available from the government have necessitated

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341

the prioritization of the most vulnerable groups, as well as the provision of housing, security

and comfort to all over time. Based on this, the current study objective was positioned to assess

the combination of housing policy instruments that will better serve the low-income housing

groups in the country, as well as their influence on public housing delivery in South Africa.

In assessing the research objective, nine housing policy instruments were identified from

literature. From the experts’ responses, one policy instruments (Public Housing Subsidy

Scheme) was considered by the experts to have a high influence (HI: 9.00) in the delivery of

low-income housing in South Africa. However, there is a high level of variability from the

experts as revealed from the IQD score, which was rated as 2.00 beyond the set consensus

yardstick, reflected a non-consensus. Likewise, five other factors were considered to have an

average influence (AI: 7.00-8.99) on the low-income housing delivery, while three other factors

were alleged to have a low influence (LI: 0.00-6.99) on public housing delivery in South Africa

(Figure 8.7). Additionally, there was consensus amongst the experts on the five factors that

were consider to have an average influence on public housing delivery in the country, while

two factors with low influence also achieved the IQD consensus cut-off, with one not achieving

consensus, scoring 1.50 (Figure 8.7).

Further, when the experts were asked to state the combinations of policy instruments that would

better serve the need of the low-income housing; public housing subsidy scheme (x̅=7.80;

σx=2.11), social (medium-density) housing (x̅=6.67; σx=0.72) and Incremental housing

(x̅=6.47; σx=1.60) were scored as the instruments that would better serve the need of the low-

income housing group in the country. Subsequently, when the experts were asked to state any

policy instrument which they thought was not listed with an impact on public housing delivery

in the country and which could be combined with other existing policies, a majority (9) of the

experts commented that the listed policy instrument is more than sufficient to cater for the

housing needs of the low-income groups provided they are well administered. Whilst the other

six (6) experts inform that Public Private Partnership (PPP) in public housing delivery should

be considered, but, should be administered with care in order not to jeopardize the aim of low-

income public housing through an ill-advised PPP scheme.

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Figure 8.7: Housing Policy Instruments

In addition to the above questions fed to the experts in assessing the Delphi Study objective

three, they were further asked the following questions. When they were asked if the failure of

the South Africa Housing Policy to adequately respond to the needs of the poor and low-income

groups is hinged on the dominance of the public housing subsidy scheme as the main housing

policy instruments; Figure 8.8 gives a summary of the experts’ responses.

Figure 8.8: Dominance of Public Housing (Subsidy Scheme)

The above findings revealed that 60.0% of the experts agreed that the failure of the South Africa

9.00

7.00

6.00

7.00

7.00

7.00

6.00

7.00

6.00

7.80

6.67

6.00

6.93

7.07

6.33

5.80

6.87

6.47

2.11

0.72

1.60

0.88

0.46

1.72

1.52

1.25

1.60

2.00

0.00

0.50

0.00

0.00

0.50

1.50

0.00

0.50

0.00 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00

Public housing (subsidy schemes)

Social (Medium-density) HousingInstrument

Rent regulation

Allocation and rental policies in currentsocial housing

Support for the construction of new socialhousing flats

Housing allowances

Tax relief

Interest subsidies for homeownership

Incremental housing

IQD

SD (σx)

Mean (x)̅

Median

13.0% 13.0%0.0%

60.0%

13.0%

0.00%

20.00%

40.00%

60.00%

80.00%

100.00%

Strongly

disagree

Disagree No Opinion Agree Strongly

agree

Per

cen

tage

Agreement

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343

Housing Policy to adequately respond to the needs of the poor and low-income groups is hinged

on the dominance of the public housing subsidy scheme, as the main housing policy

instruments.

When they were further asked if the failure is hinged on the lack of proper

consideration/attention being given to the other policy instruments; findings showed that 50.0%

of the experts were in agreement with this statement (Figure 8.9). Therefore, these findings

further supported the experts’ view that a mix of policy instruments would better serve the need

of the low-income groups than a single-minded focus on one policy instrument.

Figure 8.9: Lack of attention no other policy instruments

Additionally, the experts were made to assess the present South Africa National Housing

Programmes, as contained in the Housing Codes of 2000. This assessment was done in order

to identify and achieve consensus on the programmes that would improve housing delivery that

could be satisfactory to public housing beneficiaries. Findings revealed that the Integrated

Residential Development Programme (IRDP), a programme that has been given national

priority was scored (x̅ = 2.67; σx = 1.54; IQD = 0.50; Rank = 1) by the experts, as the ideal

national programme to serve the housing need of the low-income groups and would assure

housing satisfaction (Table 8.8). Likewise, findings from the assessment revealed that two

other programmes, the Social Housing Programme (SHP) and the Enhanced People’s Housing

Process (ePHP), which are also national priorities like the IRDP, were ranked second and third,

were perceived to better serve the need of the low-income groups. Further findings revealed

that consensus was achieved for the programmes as they all met the IQD cut-off of less than

one or equivalent to one score (IQD ≤1).

10.0%

20.0%

10.0%

50.0%

10.0%

0.00%

10.00%

20.00%

30.00%

40.00%

50.00%

60.00%

Strongly

disagree

Disagree No Opinion Agree Strongly

agree

Per

cen

tag

e

Agreement

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344

Table 8.8: Preferred National Housing Delivery Programme that will better serve the

low-income groups

Housing delivery programmes Mean

(x̅)

SD

(σx)

IQD

≤1 Rank

Integrated Residential Development Programme

(IRDP) 2.67 1.54 0.50 1

Social Housing Programme (SHP) 2.93 0.70 0.00 2

Enhanced People’s Housing Process (ePHP) 3.00 0.88 0.00 3

Informal Settlements Upgrading Programme (UISP) 3.13 1.25 0.50 4

Institutional Subsidies 3.47 1.77 0.00 5

Community Residential Units (CRU) 4.20 1.15 0.00 6

Consolidation Subsidies 4.86 0.86 0.00 7

Emergency Housing Assistance 5.57 1.45 0.00 8

Rural Subsidy: Informal Land Rights 5.93 1.90 0.00 9

Farm Residents Housing Assistance Programme 7.14 1.03 0.00 10

Similarly, when the housing delivery models operated by the South Africa Human Settlement

Department were also assessed; in terms of the one that would best respond to the housing need

of the low-income groups, findings revealed that consensus was reached amongst the experts

for the listed models (Table 8.10), but the Social and Rental Housing model was scored and

ranked first (x̅ = 1.67; σx = 0.49; IQD = 1.00; Rank = 1) as the model that would better serve

the needs of the low-income groups (Table 8.9).

Table 8.9: Preferred National Housing Delivery Model

Housing Delivery Models Mean

(x̅)

SD

(σx)

IQD

≤1 Rank

Social and Rental Housing model (Programmes

facilitating access to rental housing opportunities,

supporting urban restructuring and integration, e.g.

Social Housing, Institutional Subsidies etc.)

1.67 0.49 1.00 1

Public Housing Model (through the provision of free

subsidy) 2.07 0.26 0.00 2

Incremental Housing model (Programmes

facilitating access to housing opportunities through a

phased process, such as Informal Settlement

Upgrading, Consolidated Subsidy, and IRDP etc.)

2.09 1.30 1.00 3

Self-help Housing Model 2.27 0.46 0.50 4

Rural Housing Model (Programmes facilitating

access to housing opportunities in rural areas - Rural

Subsidy: Informal Land Rights)

2.64 1.03 1.00 5

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Whilst public housing (x̅ = 2.07; σx = 0.26; IQD = 0.00; Rank = 2) and incremental housing (x̅

= 2.09; σx = 1.30; IQD = 1.00; Rank = 3) delivery models were ranked second and third and

self-help housing ranked as fourth (x̅ = 2.09; σx = 0.46; IQD = 0.50; Rank = 4), as shown in

Table 8.9. This particular finding suggests displeasure with the public subsidy scheme

dominant model that is currently being used to provide housing to the low-income groups in

South Africa.

Subsequently, when the experts were asked to predict the pivotal context of the South African

housing policy in the next 10 years, findings revealed that the experts foresee a South African

housing policy that will be positioned to respond to the following:

1. Upgrading of informal settlements;

2. Spatial policy and spatial analysis of need;

3. Beneficiaries effective participation;

4. Capacity building of beneficiaries in order for them to build their own housing;

5. Affordability;

6. Homelessness of the poor;

7. Fairness of allocation of housing;

8. Access to adequate services (both urban and rural);

9. Provision of low-income rental stocks;

10. Delivery of sustainable and energy efficient low cost housing;

11. Embracing Public Private Partnership in housing delivery;

12. Construction of Community Residential Units;

13. Better quality control of housing construction tenders with less corruption; and

14. Acceptance of informal settlements as part of the urban areas and working with the

occupants to improve their lives and not their homes.

The above listed aspects predict pivotal contexts that are currently the typical debate of housing

policy shift in South Africa in order for the government to fulfill its constitutional goal of

housing the low-income groups.

From the foregoing findings, when the experts were asked if the SA housing delivery system

could be referred to as a developmental or welfare system, findings revealed that 100.0% of

the experts conceded that it is a welfare housing delivery arrangement (Figure 8.10).

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Figure 8.10: South Africa Housing Delivery System

DSO4 - To identify the critical factors affecting the delivery of low-income housing and their

effects on beneficiaries’ residential satisfaction

Housing the poor is one of the major challenges that have besieged the government of nations

since the last decade of the twentieth century. The challenges are particularly acute in global

urban areas where populations are projected to grow from less than 300 million in 1950 to

almost 2 billion by the turn of the last century with an increase of more than 50 million every

year throughout the 1990s and an average growth rate of 3.4 percent per annum. Presently, the

major housing problem in South Africa and in other developing countries, is the shortage of

affordable accommodation for the urban poor; the low-income majority.

In South Africa, the challenge is that there has been an average population growth of 2.1 percent

per annum resulting in the population increasing by 10.4 percent or over 4.2 million people

between 1996 and 2001. Over the past 20 years South Africa’s population has grown rapidly:

1990 - 36.1 million, 2010 - 49.1 million and 2011 – 50.59 million (Statistics South Africa,

2011), as a result of high fertility and in-migration rates. However, although the population is

projected to continual growth in absolute numbers over the next 20 years, reaching 52.2 million

by 2030, the growth will be significantly slower than the past two decades. Although the South

African population is projected to continue to increase in size, at least until 2030, the annual

population growth rate has been declining since the early 1990s, and is projected to continue

declining at the rates of -0.412% due to the high HIV and AIDS infection rate. In the absence

of HIV and AIDS, the population growth rate is projected to be significantly higher, but

nevertheless also declining. AIDS thus slows down population growth in South Africa.

The country has also experienced a 30 percent increase in the absolute number of households,

0.0%

100.0%

0.0%0.0%

50.0%

100.0%

150.0%

Developmental Welfare No Opinion

Per

cen

tag

e

Agreement

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347

where only a 10 percent increase was expected. Correspondingly, the housing backlog has

increased and current figures indicate that there is a shortfall of over 2.1 million dwellings.

Although the housing institutions and markets in South Africa have developed over the years,

the country still faces a huge backlog of housing needs. Likewise, the strong policy response

has failed to adequately provide housing for the low-income groups who are unable to access

housing by themselves. Therefore, the Delphi Study’s objective was modeled to investigate

from the experts who deal with housing in the country to highlight the factors affecting the

delivery of low-income housing in the country and their effect on the satisfaction of the

beneficiaries of the housing stock.

Results emanating from the study revealed that the following seven factors were considered

critical by the experts, which affect the delivery of low-income housing in South Africa and

eventually on their residential satisfaction. The factors are:

1. Limited budget (dwindling tax base) (VHI);

2. Appropriate policy to handle informal settlement (VHI);

3. Poor planning and coordination from national to local government levels (VHI);

4. Housing delivery mechanisms (HI);

5. Lack of active participation of beneficiaries in the development of housing (HI);

6. Enabling the poor to solve their own housing problem (MI); and

7. The inability of relevant state authorities to consult adequately with affected local

communities to seek joint solutions to the housing crisis (HI).

From the impact ratings of the factors, findings revealed that 3 of the factors have a very high

impact (VHI: 9.00-10.00), while 3 other factors were correspondingly considered to have a

high impact (HI: 7.00-8.99). One factor was rated to have a medium impact (5.00-6.99) whilst

none were rated to have either low or no impact. The IQD scores revealed that consensus was

achieved for all listed variables, achieving the IQD cut-off (IQD ≤1) score set to achieve

consensus. Also, the experts informed that all factors negatively impact on residential

satisfaction of the beneficiaries, as a result of the effect on the final housing product given to

them.

When they were further asked if the waiting time on the housing database has an impact on the

housing delivery and satisfaction of the low-income groups; findings showed that 67.0% of the

experts were in agreement with this statement (Figure 8.11).

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348

Figure 8.11: Waiting Time on Housing Database

DSO5 - To predict the life span of the present South African public housing subsidy delivery

model

The first recorded use of the Delphi Research Design was Helmer’s 1952 project that engaged

seven expert panellists from varying scientific and operational disciplines focused on

predicting atomic bomb attacks on American targets within the United States from a simulated

view of a fictional Soviet war strategist. Linstone and Turoff’s (1975) seminal work and

collection of Delphi applications endorsed the use of the Delphi Methodology in prediction of

events. The Delphi Method is especially useful for long-range forecasting, as expert opinions

are the only source of information available; thus the forecasting tendency is one of the major

applications of the Delphi.

The Delphi Methodology embraces the ideology that the best forecast is one that comes from

a collective intelligence formulated through the focused collaboration of experts in the field of

study (Adler & Ziglio, 1996), such as in the current study. This is not to say that quantitative

statistical analysis is of small consequence within the Delphi approach. But the combination of

qualitative inquiry and statistical analysis tools support the Delphi Methodology, making it an

effective and flexible research approach for prediction of events. Hence, the present objective

was designed to solicit, from the expert panelist, when they foresee the government (National

Department of Human Settlement) will end the current model of free housing delivery to the

poor and low-income groups in the country.

Findings from the study revealed that 67.0% of the experts predicted the programme will be

terminated from 10 years and above time, whilst 13.0% simultaneously predicted the period, 8

and 5 years respectively. However, a further 7.0% did predict that the programme will never

0.0% 7.0% 0.0%

67.0%

27.0%

0.0%

20.0%

40.0%

60.0%

80.0%

Strongly

disagree

Disagree No Opinion Agree Strongly

agree

Per

cen

tage

Agreement

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be stopped while all experts panelist do not see the programme coming to end so soon, as within

the next 6 months to 2 years’ period (Figure 8.12).

Figure 8.12: Prediction of Current Government Public Housing Subsidy Model

Furthermore, the experts that commented that the programme will never be stopped remarked

upon the high incidence of inequality and unemployment, which has resulted in a high, level

of poverty within the previously disadvantaged groups, which was a major reason for this

programme to continue. Hence, they further informed that there is no reason to stop the free

housing delivery model. While another expert informed that the current housing subsidy

scheme might not continue, but some sort of government involvement in free housing for the

poor would continue.

Furthermore, when the experts were asked to predict what they envisage will be the

replacement for the current government housing subsidy scheme when it is eventually stopped

in the near future; the following is a summary of the experts’ predictions:

1. Market and subsidy mix (social housing-type models);

2. Assisted Self-help housing;

3. Upgrading of informal settlement;

4. Providing leasing agreements with informal settlers;

5. Community housing;

6. Community based initiatives;

7. Private buying and financing;

8. Rent-to-buy scheme; and

9. Public Private Partnership in housing delivery.

0.0%

0.0%

13.0%

13.0%

67.0%

7.0%

0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0%

6 months’ time

2 years’ time

5 years’ time

8 years’ time

10 years and above

It will never be stopped

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The above predictions show that the housing need of the low-income groups is beyond the

current (Subsidised Housing Delivery Model) housing delivery dominant model in place to

adequately respond to the need of the low-income housing groups.

Subsequently, the experts were further asked if state subsidised (financed) housing will always

be the major housing delivery model to provide housing to the poor and low-income group.

Findings revealed that 50.0% of the experts disagreed with the statement, while, 29.0% agreed

that it will be the major model of housing delivery and another 14.0% strongly agreed with the

statement (Figure 8.13).

Figure 8.13: State Subsidised Public Housing being the Major Delivery Model

DSO6 - To evaluate the management issues affecting the national, provincial and local

government housing agencies in the delivery of housing in South Africa

In additional to the previous Delphi Study objective (DSO-5), DSO-6 investigates the current

management issues affecting the national, provincial and local government housing department

and agencies in the provision of subsidised low-income housing. From the list of factors as

itemized by the experts, a summative content analysis, which involved the counting of the

frequency of word occurrence and comparisons of keywords, helped in the classification of the

management issues. This minimized redundancy amongst the listed issues on a scale of 1-10;

1 being most important and 10 being least important. The summarized management issues are

as summarized in Table 8.10.

Of the 29 listed management issues as shown in Table 8.11, government capacity to facilitate

development and corruption in provincial and local government departments were ranked as

the most critical issues facing the national, provincial and local government in the provision of

7.0%

50.0%

0.0%

29.0%

14.0%

0.0%

20.0%

40.0%

60.0%

Strongly

disagree

Disagree No

opinion

Agree Strongly

agree

Per

cen

tage

Agreement

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low-income housing based on their higher number of occurrence. Whilst, budget constraints

and poor political will were likewise ranked second as the besieging issues facing government

in the provision of low-income housing. The cost of basic services such as water and electricity

in low-income houses and urbanization were ranked as ninth and tenth management issues

facing the government; being the least problems to low-income housing delivery.

Table 8.10: Current national, provincial and local government housing development

issues

Current management issues hindering housing delivery

Rank

Government capacity to facilitate development 1

Corruption in provincial and local government departments 1

Budget constraints 2

Poor political will 2

Access to well-located land for housing (availability of vacant land) 3

Legislature (planning, environmental and heritage) 3

Housing backlog 3

The current structure of government (provincial government sphere is not

necessary)

4

Informal settlements 5

Government bureaucracy in the housing system 5

Absence of reflection or serious acknowledgement of problems that affect the poor 5

Sustainability 5

Passive beneficiaries (entitlement culture) 5

Lack of technical skills (engineers and artisans, etc.) 5

Unaccountability of government employees 5

Lack of national vision for housing 5

Poor planning and coordination 5

Ideological constraints 5

Lack of participation from communities and CBOs 5

Limited participation of the private sector’s involvement in low cost housing

development

5

Public Private Partnership in housing delivery 6

Lack of project management skills / ineptitude 6

Better regulation and quality control of housing construction tenders 6

Nepotism and cadre deployment 7

Salary and benefit expectations of executives 7

Bloated and duplicated bureaucracies 8

Lack of appropriate skills 8

Cost of basic services (water, electricity etc.) in low-income houses 9

Urbanization 10

Lack of national vision for housing, which was ranked 5th by the experts, does not adequately

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represent the government’s effort in fulfilling its constitutional mandate. From the provision of

the South Africa primary legislations dealing with the provision of housing such as the 1996

Constitution of the Republic of South Africa; Prevention of Illegal Eviction from and Unlawful

Occupation of Land Act 19 of 1998 (PIE Act); Housing Act 107 of 1997; Housing Amendment

Act 28 of 1999 amongst others and the Secondary legislations, such as the Expropriation Act

63 of 1975; Sectional Titles Act 95 of 1986 (amended by Acts 24 and 29 of 2003); Land Titles

Adjustment Act 111 of 1993 (LTA); Land Reform (Labour Tenants) Act 3 of 1996; Interim

Protection of Informal Land Rights Act 31 of 1996 amongst others, reveals the government’s

comprehensive vision to adequately house the poor and low-income groups.

Consequently, the experts were further asked to list and rank the management issues that would

affect the national, provincial and local government housing departments and agencies in the

next 10 years or in the near future. From the list of issues as garnered from the experts, a

summative content analysis which also involved the counting of the frequency of words

occurrence and comparisons of keywords was also perform as on the previous question; thus

minimizing redundancy amongst the listed issues. This was done on a scale of 1-5; 1 being

most important and 5 being least important. The condensed management issues are as

summarized in Table 8.11.

Table 8.11: Forecasted national, provincial and local government housing development

issues

Future management to hinder housing delivery

Rank

Budget constraints 1

Government capacity to facilitate development 1

Corruption in provincial and local government departments 2

Urbanization 2

Supply of water and electricity 2

Housing backlog 2

Poor political will 2

Informal settlements 2

Lack of technical skills (engineers and artisans, etc.) 3

Challenges from the dissatisfied public, including legal cases 5

The current structure of government (provincial government sphere is not

necessary)

3

Availability of vacant land 3

Legislature (planning, environmental and heritage) 4

Lack of accountability from government employees 4

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Passive beneficiaries (entitlement culture) 4

Poor planning and coordination 4

Ideological constraints 5

Environmental impact of subsidy housing in South Africa 5

Limited participation of the private sector’s involvement in low cost housing

development

5

Sustainability of low cost housing programmes 5

Public Private Partnership in housing delivery 5

Willingness to work with flexible, multiple housing delivery programmes suited to

local circumstances

5

Beneficiaries’ expectations 5

From the summative factors as listed in Table 8.11, budget constraints and government capacity

to facilitate development were ranked as the most critical issues that the national, provincial

and local governments would face in the next 10 years and or in the near future in the provision

of low-income housing. Whilst, corruption, urbanization, supply of water and electricity,

housing backlog, poor political will and informal settlement were ranked second, as the issues

that will overwhelm the government in the provision of low-income housing in the future. The

present ranking of factors, such as urbanization and supply of water and electricity were in

disparity with the previous question rankings of ninth and tenth on the list of current issues

facing the government in the delivery of low-income housing.

Figure 8.14: Impact of unemployment on low-income housing delivery and eventual

satisfaction of the low-income Groups.

In addition, the experts were asked if the current unemployment situation in the country had an

impact on low-income housing delivery and eventual satisfaction of the low-income groups.

The Delphi Survey findings revealed that 40.0% of the experts agreed with this statement,

27.0% strongly agreed, while 20.0% disagreed, as shown in Figure 8.14.

13.0%20.0%

0.0%

40.0%

27.0%

0.0%10.0%20.0%30.0%40.0%50.0%

Strongly

disagree

Disagree No opinion Agree Strongly

agree

Per

cen

tage

Agreement

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DSO7 - To determine the influence of beneficiary participation on their overall housing

satisfaction

Beneficiary participation has been an issue in housing development projects since the

emancipation of the new South African state; but its significance has increased since it

principally became part of the official rhetoric in most of the developed country’s policy

documents, post-1994. Though, the criticism of development projects is widespread, and blame

for disappointing results is cast in many directions. One line of criticism, which has become

quite strong in developmental literature, is that developmental projects are too top-down and

need to be more bottom-up. It is generally agreed that housing projects should involve more

participation by the beneficiaries.

Beneficiaries’ participation in the low-income housing delivery process is presumed as the

direct involvement of beneficiaries’ in the construction of their own houses. Such participation

can constitute contribution by beneficiaries and empowering them eventually. But the baseline

is the satisfaction of the beneficiaries with the project. Hence, when the experts were asked if

beneficiary participation in the housing development process could potentially lead to the

implementation of appropriate responses through the assessment of their needs and

expectations and eventual housing satisfaction; 73.0% agreed that it will result in the outcome.

Whilst 13.0% simultaneously responded that they strongly agree and strongly disagree (Figure

8.15).

Figure 8.15: Effect of beneficiary participation in residential satisfaction

DSO8 - To determine the effect of meeting beneficiary’s housing needs and expectation on

their overall housing satisfaction

As part of the conceptual framework of residential research, the gratification of occupants

housing needs and expectations should have noteworthy prominence. For people with different

housing needs and expectations, the same housing condition could bring different satisfaction

13.0%0.0% 0.0%

73.0%

13.0%

0.0%20.0%40.0%60.0%80.0%

Strongly

disagree

Disagree No opinion Agree Strongly

agree

Per

cen

tage

Agreement

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levels because their needs and expectations are different. Also, residential satisfaction is

basically formed under the condition of what level of housing needs is currently being pursued

by the occupants (Yiping, 2005). Unless, level one need is sufficiently satisfied, they will

remain in the occupant’s consciousness and will thus; become the prime determinants of

housing behaviour. In earnest, the living condition that is currently being pursued forms the

housing expectation of the individual, which is highly related to overall residential satisfaction.

Therefore, when the experts were asked if prior exposure to what is to be received has a

tendency to influence beneficiaries’ satisfaction towards a given housing product; 80.0%

respondents’ said that they agree, while, 13.0% inform they strongly agreed as shown in Figure

8.16.

Figure 8.16: Beneficiary prior exposure to housing

Furthermore, in response to the research objective, experts where thus asked which of the listed

housing needs order should be met in order to satisfy the South Africa subsidised low-income

housing beneficiaries. Findings, as shown in Figure 8.17, revealed that 27.0% of the experts

concurrently agreed that esteem and physiological needs should first be met in order to satisfy

the low-income housing beneficiaries; whilst 18.0% consecutively informed that social and

safety needs should follow the initial housing order needs. Further result analysis revealed that

consensus was achieved for the experts’ classification of South African low-income housing

order needs, as they all met the IQD cut-off (IQD ≤1) score.

0.0% 0.0% 7.0%

80.0%

13.0%

0.0%20.0%40.0%60.0%80.0%

100.0%

Strongly

disagree

Disagree No

Opinion

Agree Strongly

agree

Per

cen

tage

Agreement

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Figure 8.17: Low-income beneficiary housing order needs

In addition, when the questions of housing being the paramount need of the low-income groups

in South Africa was asked, findings revealed that 40.0% strongly agree that housing is the

paramount need of the poor and low-income groups, whilst, 33.0% agree to the statement.

However, a further 13.0% concurrently disagreed and strongly disagreed that housing is not

the paramount need of the poor and low-income groups in South Africa (Figure 8.18).

Figure 8.18: Housing as paramount need of the poor and low-income groups in South

Africa

Therefore, when the beneficiaries that disagree and strongly disagree with the above statement

were asked to state what the paramount needs of the poor and low-income groups in South

Africa should be, below is a list of needs as listed by these experts. From the listed themes by

the experts, a summative content analysis which involved the counting of frequency of words

occurrence and comparisons of keywords was performed, thus minimizing exclusion of

relevant issues. Likewise, the experts were further asked to rank the most responsive need

amongst the listed paramount needs. This was done on a scale of 1-5; 1 being most important

and 5 being least important. Also, the level of urgency was likewise asked based on the listed

27.0%

27.0%

18.0%

18.0%

9.0%

0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0%

Esteem Needs

Physiological

Social Needs

Safety Needs

Self-actualisation

Percentage

Hou

sin

g n

eed

s ord

er

13.0% 13.0%

0.0%

33.0%40.0%

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

Strongly

disagree

Disagree No

opinion

Agree Strongly

agree

Per

cen

tage

Agreement

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needs, on a scale of very urgent, urgent and not urgent. The summarized paramount needs aside

from housing are as shown in Table 8.12.

Table 8.12: Paramount need of the poor and low-income aside housing

Paramount needs

Rank

Level of Urgency

Employment 1 Very urgent

Education 1 Very urgent

Job security 1 Urgent

Food security 2 Urgent

Clothing 3 Not urgent

Transportation 4 Urgent

Health security 5 Very urgent

From the summation of needs, as listed in Table 8.12, employment, education and job security

were ranked as the paramount needs of the poor and low-income groups in South Africa. Food

security was ranked second, followed by Clothing which was ranked third, while transportation

and health security were ranked fourth and fifth, respectively. Further findings from the

categorization of the urgency of the delivery of the paramount needs; revealed that

employment, education and health security were listed as very urgent needs, whilst job security,

food security and transportation were listed as urgent and clothing of the poor and low-income

groups were ranked as not urgent.

8.4 DISCUSSION OF DELPHI RESULTS

Objective DSO1

The first objective of the Delphi Study was to establish the attributes (main and sub) that brings

about residential satisfaction and to examine if the attribute that determine satisfaction in other

cultural contexts is the same within South Africa. Findings emanating from the survey revealed

that the attributes that bring about residential satisfaction in South African low-income housing

are similar to other cultural contexts. However, consensus was not achieved for the dwelling

unit attributes, as these were major attributes that had been found to be a strong determinant of

housing satisfaction in other cultural contexts (Amerigo & Aragones, 1997; Carvalho et al.,

1997; Caughey et al., 1998; Francescato, 2002; Mohit et al., 2010; Salleh et al., 2011). Though,

it was rated to have a very high influence in determining occupants housing satisfaction. Also,

there was disagreement on the attributes of social features and beneficiaries’ meaningful

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participation in having a significant influence in determining residential satisfaction. Both

factors had an IQD rating of 2.00, which was higher than the IQD cut-off for achieving

consensus as set for the study and a medium score of 6.00. Likewise, the standard deviation in

the level of influence for the three factors was found to be between 1.29 - 1.45. This value is

very high and indicates a significant level of variability considering the number of values in

question. This inconsistency shows that even though these factors are relevant to determine

residential satisfaction, the expert panellists do not view them as such, in South Africa.

In addition, the assessment of the sub-attributes of the 19 major determinants of residential

satisfaction, as assessed, also revealed that the sub-attributes that determine residential

satisfaction in South African low-income housing are similar to other cultural contexts.

However, consensus was not achieved for some sub-attributes, which had been found to

strongly determine satisfaction in other cultural contexts. Prime amongst these were the number

of bedrooms, a variable under the dwelling unit features, which was rated as having a high

impact on satisfaction, but with a high SD value of 1.69 revealing the variability about the

factor by the experts’ rating. Likewise, other factors within the dwelling unit features which

were rated as having medium impact such as the location of the dwelling spaces, location of

living space, location of dining rooms, ventilation in the house, overall appearance of the

building amongst others suggest that they were thus rated because of the lack of consultation

from the occupants as predetermined decisions were already taken with regards to the typology

of the subsidised houses. This is because the design of the houses are already in existence

(approved) and hence, the local government responsible for the development only carry out

their mandate as recommended by the provincial and national government departments to

develop new housing when a suitable land is available.

Furthermore, the assessment of the sub-attributes of neighbourhood and environmental

characteristics, findings replicated the results of a majority of studies on housing satisfaction

in relation to the neighbourhood attributes (Amerigo, 2002; Johnson & Abernathy, 1983;

Marans & Rodgers, 1975; Ukoha & Beamish, 1997), upon which the current study’s sub

attributes were also based. Closeness to workplace, public transportation and services and the

incidence of burglary activities were rated as variables with a very high impact as these impacts

on the quality of life of the occupants. Also, police protection was rated to have a high impact

in relation to the security and safety of the occupants. For instance when a neighbourhood is

not crime free, but there is the presence of police protection in the form of dedicated police

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postings in the neighbourhood, occupants feel safe and are thus, satisfied with the

neighbourhood. Likewise, when the distance occupant’s commute to their place of work and

the availability of public transport is satisfactory, this will also satisfy them with regards to

their neighbourhood.

The assessment of the sub-attributes of the household features revealed that household

characteristics were classified by the experts as having a high level of impact in determining

residential satisfaction of the occupants, as consensus was achieved for all the listed attributes.

This revealed that residential satisfaction is greatly influenced by the household disposition.

Likewise, similar findings were displayed by the social feature variables, as all variables

achieved consensus and the lowest median score was a medium impact. Despite the features

being scored, as having an average influence from the assessment of the main attributes, the

sub-attribute assessment revealed that low-income housing occupants value privacy from

neighbours, desire interactions with neighbours, want security around their neighbourhood and

want to be safe at home. This finding agreed with previous findings from the studies done by

Mohit et al. (2010), Salleh et al. (2011), Ukoha and Beamish (1997), Landman (2004), Lu

(1999) and Li (2002). Further findings as related to the economic features imply that the sub-

variables play an active role in occupant’s residential satisfaction.

Besides, further findings relating to the building quality variables revealed the importance of

the sub-factors, such as the quality of walls, quality of interior and exterior construction

amongst others, which impact residential satisfaction. The level of sockets and clothes-line

facilities were rated to have a medium impact (MI: 5.00), which concurs with Salleh’s et al.,

(2011) study and Ukoha and Beamish (1997). Other sub-variables that were found to have a

very high impact in the determination of residential satisfaction were: community services

provided by the government; personality variables; location variables and health (personal and

environmental) feature variables. With regard to the influence of the location variables on

satisfaction, expert ratings revealed that occupant’s satisfaction depends a great deal on the

nearness to economic opportunities, appropriateness of site for erection of dwelling and ease

of access to public transportation. However, a variable that was found to have a low influence

on satisfaction were the aesthetics variables, such as the colour of the building, entrance / lobby

design, building height and the building forms, which concurred with Amole (2009) and

Aragones et al., (2002) study findings.

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In conclusion therefore, the results seem to suggest that the attributes that bring about

residential satisfaction in South Africa low-income housing are similar to the determinants in

other cultural contexts. Further, residential satisfaction is assured if there is a consideration of

these factors in the development of subsidised low-income housing for the poor in South

Africa. Of particular importance are the factors of dwelling unit, housing physical

characteristics, household or personal characteristics, building quality features, community

services, neighbourhood facilities, needs and expectation and beneficiaries meaningful

participation, which have all been described as being of significant influence and having a high

impact in determining residential satisfaction.

Objective DSO2

The second objective of the Delphi Study was to establish the factors that make subsidised low-

income housing unsustainable in South Africa. This is because the improvement of adequate

housing rights and the quality of life for the poor and low-income groups in South Africa can

only be assured when the factors and challenges faced by the government in the provision of

housing in South Africa are identified.

The impact significance of a set of factors as identified from literatures were evaluated by the

experts as individual factors on a scale of 1-10; with 1-2, being no impact and 9-10, being very

high impact. The identified factors from the experts’ ratings that make subsidised low-income

housing unsustainable in South Africa are:

1. Housing backlog (VHI: 9.00);

2. Political involvement (VHI: 9.00) ;

3. High cost of construction (HI: 8.00);

4. Growing unemployment (HI: 8.00);

5. Bureaucratic capacity (HI: 8.00);

6. No solution to general housing problem (HI: 8.00);

7. Lack of skills to handle the production rate (HI: 8.00);

8. Maintenance cost to the beneficiaries (HI: 8.00);

9. Size of the national housing budget (HI: 8.00); and

10. Problem of under-spending (HI: 8.00).

Two other factors: (i) none involvement of the big contractors (MI: 6.00); and (ii) lack of skills

to handle the delivery demand (MI: 6.00), that were assessed to have a medium impact are the

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most noticeable issues in the South African housing space. But these were considered by the

expert panellist’s to only have medium impact. This therefore indicates that when the small

and medium contractors are given the necessary support, attention and the right environment

to grow by the government, they will acquire the required capacity to meet the demand and

supply of low-income housing in South Africa. In additional, the government discussion

document on poverty reduction strategy, which came out in May 2008 refers to housing

delivery as asset transfer, representing a central component of the emerging approach (Toward

an anti-poverty strategy for South Africa: a discussion document). Together with the various

measures to invest in human capital and service infrastructure, the strategy document identifies

the housing asset as indispensable to economic participation for the poor. Stating that housing

access will lead to improved economic and social security providing economic engagement for

the citizens in the long run.

Also, the housing backlog was scored to have a very high impact (VHI), which is regarded as

one of the prominent housing delivery problems in South Africa. Moreover, subsidised low-

income housing was established by the government as a solution to the problem of housing

backlogs, which affect mostly black and other previously disadvantaged South Africans.

Besides, consequences of housing backlog are physically reflected in overcrowding, squatter

settlements and increasing land invasions in urban areas, and poor access to services in rural

areas. From a social and political view, housing backlog gives, both individual and communal

insecurity and frustration on a daily basis, and contributes significantly to the high levels of

criminality and instability prevalent in many communities in South Africa. Similarly, due to

the high rate of population growth and low rate of housing provision, it is estimated that the

housing backlog in the country is increasing at a rate of around 204 000 units per annum (South

Africa Yearbook, 2011) which is a serious challenge in the provision of low-income housing

in the country. However, in 2009, the DHS admitted that the data it relies on to estimate the

housing backlog in South Africa is most likely unpredictable. Consequently, in terms of

eliminating the housing backlog and delivering adequate housing to the low-income groups

especially, the department is not really clear where it stands. Therefore, the DHS further

indicated that in relation to its statistical collection and verification, they are hoping that the

2011 Census will give the department a better sense of the accuracy of the data they will need

to measure backlogs and access delivery. It is presumed that the estimated data might have

been under-estimated or over-estimated, thus revealing either a limited or over-blown idea of

the housing backlog situation.

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Also, other factors as stated by the experts with very high impact, which contributes to

subsidised low-income housing sustainability in South Africa, are:

1. Culture of entitlement (VHI: 9.00);

2. Poor national planning regimes (VHI: 10.00);

3. Lack of strategic management by government (VHI: 9.00);

4. Corruption (10.00);

5. Delivery mechanism (VHI: 9.00);

6. Lack of adequately knowledgeable personnel in the housing departments (VHI: 9.00);

7. Partnership with the beneficiary (VHI: 10.00);

8. Dependency on government (VHI: 10.00);

9. Lack of project management skills (VHI: 10.00);

10. Inadequate beneficiary participation (VHI: 10.00);

11. Price escalation (10.00); and

12. Inflation (VHI: 9.00).

From the above listed factors of unsustainability, poor national planning regimes, corruption

and dependency on government for housing provision are issues that have also taken a centre

stage in the South African housing space. But, it should be clearly stated that these factors

correlate with the factor of the lack of adequately knowledgeable personnel in the housing

departments. Also, factors like beneficiary’s needs assessment, which was rated to have a low

impact in making subsidised housing unsustainable in the country, can be argued to have a very

high impact as the needs of the low-income groups should be known before houses are

designed, which should meet these needs.

In conclusion therefore, the results seem to suggest that the factors that make low-income

housing unsustainable in South Africa are inter-linked as some of the factors are a result of the

looseness from the others. Since the provision of low-income housing is a constitutional

mandate for the government, it is essential that these factors are known, the provision of low-

income housing to house the poor is assured if there is an adequate knowledge of the limiting

factors, which will enable the right solutions to be profiled. Of particular importance are the

factors of poor national planning regimes; corruption; dependency on government for housing

provision; housing backlog; political involvement; high cost of construction and growing

unemployment, which have been described as having a very high impact in making subsidised

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low-income housing unsustainable in South Africa and thus, a key leading indicator for better

delivery of low-income housing.

Objective DSO3

The third objective of the Delphi Study was to identify the combination of housing policy

instruments that will better serve the South African low-income housing groups.

Housing policy instruments in South Africa are a set of systems by which the government

exercises their influence in an attempt to ensure support and effect or prevent the provision of

affordable housing to its citizens. Over time, a range of housing policy instruments have been

developed to respond to policy imperatives of low-income housing delivery in the country.

These housing policies instruments and models have been used as an attempt to try and address

housing problems, especially with respect to the low-income earners, with the view of helping

them to achieve access to adequate housing. From this perspective, this objective attempts to

establish the influence of the various housing instrument’s and their combinations towards low-

income housing development in South Africa. This is because in the past two decades, the

failure and the irresponsiveness of various housing policy instruments has hindered housing

delivery models and instruments to respond to the sheer scale of need of the urban poor raising

the question of whether the time has arrived to revisit the housing approaches currently in place

to more realistic approaches to meet the housing needs of the urban poor.

Nine housing policy instruments were identified from literature besides the established policy

instruments being used in South Africa, which were assessed in this study’s objective. These

were assessed in terms of their influence in serving the low-income housing need. Also the

combinations of the instruments that will best serve the low-income were assessed. The

identified instruments from literature include: incremental housing, interest subsidies for home

ownership, tax relief, housing allowance, social housing instrument, public housing subsidy

scheme amongst others (See Figure 8.7).

Findings revealed that incremental housing which is a highly projected policy instrument by

the Department of Human Settlement was not given the same accord by the expert panelist.

Despite incremental housing could help to reduce the ever growing housing budget by

recognizing that poor urban families can build and extend their own dwellings incrementally

in response to their needs and the availability of resources.

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The basis of incremental housing being pushed by the South Africa DHS is to support low-

income families by providing appropriate legal and technical support in order for them to house

themselves. This could happen through the environmental upgrading of existing informal

settlements with adequate social services, such as safe water, sanitation, drainage, electricity

and access ways and provision of recognised title to new plots of serviced land – sites and

services on which households could build their own dwellings. Despite this background,

incremental housing is not the preferred method of housing delivery in the country; this was

evident from the experts’ assessment. Public housing (subsidy scheme) being the major method

of housing delivery to the poor in the country was therefore appraised by the experts as having

a very high impact in the delivery of low-income housing in the country. From literature and

DHS review documents, public housing (subsidy scheme) currently has the greatest impact in

housing delivery in the country being the major policy instrument of delivery. Regardless of

the projection of public housing subsidy scheme as the dominant policy been used, the experts

could not reach a consensus, which signifies a level of variability as further confirmed by the

SD score of 2.11, which is very high considering the number of responses.

Further findings revealed that the combinations of policy instruments, which will better serve

the need of the low-income groups as informed by the experts, are public housing subsidy

schemes, social (medium density) housing and incremental housing. This thus inferred that a

single policy instrument is not sufficient to respond to the needs of the low-income groups, and

a combination of different policy instruments would be better adapted to suit different low-

income groups across the country. Beside the combination of the policy instrument, findings

also revealed that PPP was also given a nudge as an option for low-income housing delivery,

with an undertone of thoughtfulness in order to meet the need of the poor.

Additional findings also revealed that the failure of the South African housing policy to

adequately respond to the need of the low-income groups is hinged on the dominance of the

subsidy scheme, being used as the main delivery instrument. This confirmed the above

statement that the reliance on a single policy instrument cannot adequately respond to the needs

of the low-income groups. The researcher is of the opinion that if the current South Africa

housing backlog which was raised as a problem in the delivery of low-income houses in the

country (Delphi Study Objective two, DSO-2) will be eradicated, the DHS must vigorously

implement more than one policy instrument as it delivery vehicle.

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Also, the analysis of the National Housing Programmes as contained in the Housing Code of

2000, revealed that IRDP, a programme that was established to facilitate the development of

integrated human settlements in well-located areas that provide convenient access to urban

amenities, including places of employment and creation of social cohesion and SHP and ePHP

were scored as the ideal national housing delivery programmes that will better serve the need

of the poor. SHP facilitates the provision of secure, stable rental tenure for the lowest income

persons who are not able to be accommodated in the formal private rental and social housing

market. While ePHP is aimed at delivering better human settlement outcomes (at household

and at community level) based on community contribution, partnerships and the leveraging of

additional resources through partnerships. The foundation of this programme (ePHP) is based

on the achievement of developing livelihoods interventions leading to outcomes, such as job

creation, developing a culture of savings, skills transfer, community empowerment, building

of community assets and social security, and cohesion. The ePHP model is an improved version

of the basic incremental housing approach system with the element of empowerment. The

experts’ assessment was slightly skewed from the recommendation of the DH. DHS have

preferred the combination of IRDP, SHP and Informal Settlement Upgrading Programmes as

the ideal national housing delivery programmes. However, the finding supports numerous

research findings (Aigbavboa, 2010; Charlton, 2006; 2009; Ogunfiditimi, 2008; Nobrega,

2007). Synopsis from the referenced authors informs that housing should not only be provided

for the low-income groups without their involvement and empowerment to give them a head

start into the wider economy. The inclusion of IRDP reinforced one of the key lessons learnt

in the review of the outcomes of housing programmes since 1994, which owing to a variety of

reasons placed low income settlements on the urban periphery without the provision of social

and economic amenities and by and large constituted housing subsidised beneficiary islands.

This research finding was further supported by the outcome of the preferred housing delivery

model, which will better respond to the need of the poor. Once again, social housing, the public

housing subsidy and incremental housing models were rated as the preferred model to

adequately respond to the needs of the poor. This also infers that the government cannot be

held solely responsible for housing the poor and the low-income groups despite being the major

role players. But other housing delivery models should be run concurrently with the existing

model to serve a variety of needs in adequately housing the low-income groups. Findings also

revealed that the need of the urban poor is still better projected, as compared to the rural poor.

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The rural housing model was assessed the least in the ranking score with a high level of

variability as evident from the SD score of 1.03.

Further findings relating to the envisaged pivotal context of the South African housing policy

in the next 10 years revealed that a South African housing policy that will respond to the

upgrading of informal settlements, spatial policy and spatial analysis of need, greater

beneficiary’s participation inclusive of their capacity-building in order to house themselves

amongst others were stated. The stated pivotal contexts are typical needs of any developing

states, as the problem plaguing their human settlement is the urgent need to respond to the

upgrading of informal settlement which has become a global phenomenon, much more of a

nightmare to the developing states. Also, the call for spatial policy and spatial analysis of needs

is in response to the peculiar situation of the South African housing space, being a space that

was subjected to racial discrimination, thus inhabiting the growth of housing for a greater

percentage of the population. Therefore, the IRDP will be a programme to respond to this call

to facilitate the development of integrated human settlements in well-located areas that provide

convenient access to urban amenities, including places of employment, creation of social

cohesion and integration of the poor and low-income into the wide society, thus creating

opportunity for development and participation.

Likewise, the inclusion of housing beneficiaries participation as a pivotal context in the next

10 years and above, is a reflection of the fact that development will be too remote to be truly

‘of, by and for the people’ without their involvement in the development that affects them.

Beneficiary’s participation in the housing process will ensure appropriate housing strategies

and policies are more efficiently evaluated, developed and implemented to guarantee the

satisfaction of the beneficiaries’, thus supporting the spatial analysis of needs. While

inadequate beneficiaries’ participation in the process can lead to community conflict or in worst

case scenario, anti-development initiatives and ultimately housing dissatisfaction, which

impact on the quality of life of the beneficiaries. A successful beneficiaries’ participation will

allow the poor and low-income population to be involved in defining their housing problem

and crafting practical solutions to house themselves which will in turn lead to greater capacity

building for them to meaningfully contribute to the economic growth. Which will in-turn move

the current South African housing delivery system from welfare to a developmental state,

where the poor and low-income groups are empowered to progressively meet their own needs

and contribute to the society.

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In conclusion therefore, the results seem to suggest that a single policy instrument is not

sufficient to respond to the need of the low-income groups, and that a combination of different

policy instruments will be better adapted to suit different low-income groups across the

country. This approach will be particularly useful in the eradication of the current housing

backlog. To this end, IRDP, a programme that facilitates the development of integrated human

settlements in well-located areas and SHP, which assists in the provision of secure, stable rental

tenure for the lowest income persons and ePHP, which is aimed at delivering better human

settlement outcomes based on community contribution, partnerships and the leveraging of

additional resources through partnerships, are recommend as the ideal combination of national

housing delivery programmes that will better serve the need of the poor. Furthermore, the low-

income groups will be adequately housed when the pivotal context of the South African

housing policy responds to the needs of the informal settlement dwellers, spatial policy and

spatial analysis of needs and assurances of beneficiaries’ participation a security for sustainable

human development, which will ultimately bring about housing satisfaction.

Objective DSO4

The forth objective of the Delphi Study was to identify the critical factors affecting the delivery

of low-income housing and their effects on beneficiaries’ residential satisfaction.

The logic behind this question was to assess the hindrances that the DHS is facing in the

delivery of low-income housing, when fulfilling the constitutional mandate of adequate

housing provision. This is because access to adequate shelter is defined as a basic right for all

citizens in South Africa, as stipulated in the country’s constitution. For instance, Section 26 (1)

of the constitution states that everyone has the right to access adequate housing; Section 26(2)

also states that the state must make reasonable legislative and other measures, within its

available resources, to achieve the progressive realisation of this right. Hence, the provision of

adequate housing is a qualified right, but is subject to available public resources of which the

extent to which the state supports the provision of good quality low cost housing is

consequently a matter of on-going debate in South Africa.

The Delphi Survey findings for this objective revealed that limited budget allocation,

appropriate policy to handle informal settlement and poor planning and coordination from

national to local government levels were found to be the most critical factors affecting the

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delivery of low-income housing in the country with an impact factor of 9.00. With particular

emphasis on the limited budget allocation, the government initially suggested in 1994 that 5%

of the budget would go to housing, but the actual budget allocation has never achieved this

figure. Hence, the housing budget has drifted between R3-5 billion when it could have been

within R10-11 billion in terms of the budget allocation. This thus suggests that the declining

budget has contributed to the limited provision of low-income housing for the poor, which has

caused the housing backlog to increase with a compromise on the quality of the produced

houses. Also, the dwindling budget can be recognized as the cause of the other critical factors

of poor planning and coordination from the national to local government and the

implementation of appropriate policy to handle informal settlements. This is because of the

limited budget of the DHS to satisfactorily train its workers and to engage in housing

development consultants in work that the DHS does not have capacity for. However, this can

be argued because when the appropriate policy to handle the development of settlements is in

place, regardless of the limitation from budget constraints, adequate housing can still be

provided, but will only be lacking in quantity and not in quality. Other factors deemed to be

critical in affecting housing delivery, which are also related to the problem of a dwindling tax

base, include beneficiary’s active participation and lack of capacity to enable the poor to build

their own houses.

Also, the experts’ consensus that the waiting time on the housing database has an impact on

the housing delivery and thus, affects beneficiaries’ residential satisfaction further suggests that

the listed critical factors should be considered and a remedy of sorts for improvement by the

DHS be included. The DHS created the housing database because of the high demand for

housing in South Africa. The housing waiting list was created for the poor and low-income

groups with an income as specified on the qualifying criteria’s (refer to Section 6.2.2.4.1) for

people applying for housing. This list is used to allocate public housing to beneficiaries’

according to their areas of registration when the development is completed. The waiting list is

usually divided into categories, with applications placed into the category, which best reflect

the urgency of the housing need, such as:

Category 1: applicants in urgent need of housing (such as the homeless) and are unable

to access private rental housing options;

Category 2: applicants who have high housing needs and who face long term barriers

to accessing other housing options; and

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Category 3: applicants who pass the income and assets test but do not have a high

housing need (as per Categories 1 or 2).

Despite the categorization, there has been complaint from the housing beneficiaries’ and

NGO’s alike that the housing waiting lists are not followed as a result of inadequacies from the

local authority personnel’s. This has resulted in beneficiaries’ having to wait for housing for

longer periods than necessary and some not receiving any housing until they pass away. Hence

the experts’ consensus revealed that the waiting period on the housing database has an impact

on the housing delivery and satisfaction of housing to the low-income group.

In conclusion, the findings revealed that the daunting critical factor, which affects low-income

housing provision in South Africa, is financial limitations caused by the dwindling tax base.

This suggests that when this barrier is overcome other factors listed as critical would also be

overcome. It was further revealed that the waiting period on the housing database impacts on

the delivery of housing and in turn affects the housing satisfaction of the low-income groups.

Objective DSO5

The fifth objective of the Delphi Study was to predict the life span of the present South Africa

public housing subsidy delivery model.

The South African public housing subsidy scheme is a process by which grants are provided

by the government to qualifying beneficiaries for housing purposes. Government does not pay

the grants as cash to the beneficiaries. Rather, the grant is either paid to a seller of a house, or

in new developments or used to construct a house that complies with the minimum technical

and environmental norms and standards, which is then transferred to the qualifying beneficiary.

One of the Department of Human Settlements’ areas of responsibility in the delivery of human

settlements relates to the bottommost end of the market (poor and low-income), where the

department provides housing subsidies to the poorest of the poor. This is a critical area, as the

bulk of the housing backlog exists here, and affects mainly those who earn between R0 and R3

500 a month.

The total amount allocated to grants for the poor in 20010/11 reached R15 billion, which is

envisaged to rise to R17.9 billion in 2013/14, representing an average annual increase of 13%.

A large percentage of this amount is allocated to provinces in the form of housing development

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grants. Hence, as a result of the dwindling tax base, this objective solicits and predicts from the

experts the expected time they envisage the present housing delivery model will be stopped by

the government. Findings indicated that a majority of expert’s foresee the programme ending

in 10 years and above time, representing 67.0%. This finding indicates that although there is

the urgent call for the incorporation of other models to support the delivery of low-income

housing; the current public housing subsidy delivery model is perceived as the dominant

housing delivery model for some time to come. Likewise, other responses indicated that the

model of housing delivery will never be stopped. This view is based on the prevalence of

economic inequality, unemployment and poverty, which will necessitate the government to

continue with the programme in order to fulfill its constitutional mandate to the citizens.

However, the experts disagreed that this model of housing delivery will not always be the

model used for housing provision asserting that government alone cannot simply provide

housing for the poor without some other intervention.

Therefore, when the experts were asked to predict the envisaged programme that will replace

the subsidised housing delivery scheme when it is eventually replaced; it was found that the

market and subsidy mix (social housing type models), assisted self-help housing, upgrading of

informal settlement amongst others were stated as the envisaged programmes. This is a further

indication that the current housing delivery process in South Africa will better respond to the

use of a mix of housing policy instrument.

In conclusion, the findings have shown that though subsidised low-income housing will not be

the major delivery model for low-income housing provision to the poor in the near future, the

end of the programme is not likely to come anytime soon either. This suggests that other models

should be given the same attention by the DHS in order to eradicate the daunting housing

backlog and to respond to the constitutional call of the citizens.

Objective DSO6

The sixth objective of the Delphi Study was to investigate the management issues affecting the

national, provincial and local government housing agencies in the development of housing in

South Africa.

In response to the open-ended question, it was found that 29 issues were raised as the issues

currently faced by the national, provincial and local government housing departments in the

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delivery of low-income housing. From the listed issues, government capacities to facilitate

development and corruption in provincial and local government were ranked as the highest

constraints hindering the development of low-income housing in South Africa. Similarly,

budget constraints, poor political will amongst others were also listed as the current problems

hindering housing delivery. The findings suggest that despite the quantity of low-income

housing delivered in the country, there are still numerous problems, which hinder effective

housing supply. As previously discussed in Section 8.4.6, budget constraints is a major

hindrance to effective housing delivery in South Africa and in the countries of the global south

and in other developing nations like Brazil, and Jamaica, amongst others. However, the

inclusion of corruption as a challenge will further delay low-income housing provision as the

limited budget that will be unaccounted for increases the housing backlog and other associated

housing issues, like poor quality.

In contrast, an issue not raised by the exert panelist, which can be debated as a major hindrance

regardless of the limited budget is the issue of provincial and local government under spending.

The problem of under-spending can be directly linked to lack of capacity and poor management

skills to administer allocated grants. This view has been stressed by the National Department

of Human Settlement, prompting that provinces whose local government under-spend, will

forfeit such grants through redirection to Provinces that are performing in their mandate of

housing delivery. It can also be argued that the issues, as stated, are largely due to a lack of

project management experience and bulk infrastructure delivery, such as large-scale electricity

and water supply projects. These constraints currently faced by the DHS and the stance for

under-spending provinces to forfeit their budget will further widen the housing backlog gap.

Subsequently, when a prediction of the issues that will hinder housing delivery in the next 10

years or above were considered, it was found that a majority of the listed current constraints

were again considered as the future issues. However, urbanization and the cost of basic social

services like water and electricity, which were considered in the previous question as having

the least impact, were now considered as major future problems. According to the proceedings

from the first African Ministerial Conference on Housing and Urban Development

(AMCHUD) held in Durban, South Africa in 2005, it informs that in the next 30 years Africa’s

population will double from 888 million in 2005 to 1.77 billion. During the same period the

urban population will increase from 353 million, which is 39.7 percent, to 748 million

inhabitants at the rate of 4 to 5 percent per annum. Also, in the next 30 years, roughly 400

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million people are projected to be added to the Africa urban population. According to the UN-

Habitat (2010), 60 per cent of all Africans will be living in cities (urban areas) by 2050.

As also highlighted in the 1994 Cairo International Conference on Population and

Development (ICPD), the process of urbanization is fundamental to economic and social

development when properly handled with the foresight of the advantages that go with it. While

it may be true that rapid urbanization in Africa has not been associated with corresponding

economic growth, in South African, urbanization has gone hand-in-hand with growth in real

gross domestic product over the past decade although both urbanization and economic growth

have been highly uneven and unequal over time (UN-Habitat, 2010). For instance, the UN-

Habitat (2010) report further informs that during the 2000-2010 decade, the Southern African

sub-region retained its position as the most urbanized on the continent, with the rate increasing

from 53.8 to 58.7 percent. The Southern African sub-region is projected to reach a two-thirds

urban majority sometime around 2025. The region has now entered a period where decade-

interval urbanization growth rates are expected to slow down, to 4.9 per cent for 2000-2010

and a continuing steady slowdown to 2.1 per cent in the 2040-2050 decade (UN-Habitat, 2010).

However, the Republic of South Africa is 62 per cent urbanized, with an annual rate of change

of 1.2 per cent, which is way ahead of the least-urbanized nations of the sub-regions. The

projected increase in urban populations will lead to an exponential increase in the demand for

shelter and services. Already, South African urban areas are inundated with slums and an

exponential urban growth of 1.2 per cent of the urban populations could spell disaster, unless

urgent and progressive action is initiated today. Against this backdrop, the experts projected

that urbanization and the demand for services such as water and electricity will be the major

management issues that South Africa provincial and local government will be faced with in the

next 10 years or in the future.

Also, the experts agree (agree: 40.0% and strongly agree: 27.0%) that the country’s current

unemployment condition has a huge impact on housing delivery and the eventual housing

satisfaction of the low-income groups. Since 1994, South Africa has made undeniable progress

across a number of critical areas. On the economic front, the government has pursued policies

that have restored and maintained macroeconomic stability in the context of a difficult global

environment. But despite these areas of success, there exists a widespread perception that South

Africa’s economic performance since 1994 has been disappointing. Real GDP growth has been

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erratic, formal sector job losses have continued unabated, and the key objectives of poverty

reduction and improved service delivery remain largely unmet. According to Statistics South

Africa (2011), between the 2nd and 3rd quarters of 2011, the unemployment level declined by

96 000 resulting in a decline in the unemployment rate by 0,7 percentage pointing to 25,0%.

However, levels of unemployment still remain high as it is currently standing at 25.2% for the

first quarter of 2012, compared to the same quarter last year. Despite the marginal increment,

4,4 million people remain unemployed and just over 3,0 million (68,2%) have been

unemployed for a period of 1 year or more. Historically, from 2000 until 2012, the South Africa

Unemployment Rate averaged 25.5 Percent reaching an all-time high of 31.2 Percent in March

of 2003 and a record low of 21.9 Percent in December of 2008. Just like any other developing

country, the causes are almost in general terms, such as: lack of education, poverty, diseases

like HIV/AIDs, squalid living conditions and corruption from the top and lastly, influx from

foreigners who are either highly skilled and take all the top high paying jobs and cheap labour.

Although there would be disagreement that unemployment, is the most significant factor

affecting low-income housing delivery and it satisfaction by the beneficiaries in South Africa,

as already pointed out. Against this setting and the current unemployment rate, it therefore

suggests that the number of citizens who are not able to meet their own housing needs and who

are in the poor and low-income groups will keep increasing, thus expanding the housing

backlog. When houses are provided for the poor and low-income groups which do not meet

their housing needs and they are not able to expand the development to meet their need, there

will be dissatisfaction with the housing stock provided.

In conclusion, the findings have shown that there are dire issues facing provincial and local

government in their capacity to deliver low-income housing in order to fulfill the government

mandate of adequate housing for the poor. The investigated problems currently faced by the

department were also mirrored as the problem they will face in the future with a further problem

of urbanization and limited supply of basic social services for the growing population. These

findings thus suggest that the South African government via the National Department of

Human Settlement cannot afford to ignore the on-going urban transition taking place. To this

end, South African cities must become prioritized areas for public policies, with hugely

increased investments to build adequate governance capacities, provide equitable service

delivery, affordable housing provision and better wealth distribution. Therefore, the researcher

is of the opinion that plans should be put in place to help underperforming provinces and their

respective local governments to meet housing delivery targets.

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Objective DSO7

The seventh objective of the Delphi Study was to investigate the effect of beneficiaries’

participation on their overall housing satisfaction.

The findings for this objective revealed that participation should not only be an essential

component for attaining sustainable development but also as a necessary precondition for

attaining sustainable development. The experts’ assessment of this objective suggests that

when beneficiaries participate in the housing process, residential satisfaction will be

guaranteed. Not only will the process guarantee their housing satisfaction, but it develops their

capacity for participation in subsequent projects. For instance, Gran (1983) argues that real

development, by definition, must involve beneficiaries in their own improvement and without

participation the people may benefit but not develop from a project, thus hindering their

capacity to participate in future development that will concern them. Therefore, the real

emphasis of beneficiaries’ participation should be on the satisfaction of basic human needs and

the meaningful participation of the masses in the shaping of their economic and social changes.

Also, the policy of self-reliance should be encouraged, with the emphasis on a self-confident

and creative use of local resources, manpower, technology, and knowledge (Finsterbusch &

Warren, 1987). One of the prime benefits of participation is better project design, because

participation ensures that felt needs are served through consultation with the end-users.

Presumably beneficiaries will shape the project to their specific needs in ways that outside

planners cannot. This is because the sense of immediate responsibility and ownership by the

beneficiaries puts pressure on a project to be truly worthwhile. However, a major obstacle to

participation is the difficulty of implementing it in practice. It takes additional time and

resources to mobilize less developed communities. Despite this constraint, there has to be

continuous consultation with the people and developmental projects should not be executed

without their involvement.

In conclusion, it can be argued that developmental efforts and initiatives should be directed not

just to achieve an improvement in the well-being of the low-income groups or communities

but also that the gains thereby made be retained and nurtured to greater levels. The finding also

suggest that the people who are seen as the beneficiaries of development must be capacitated

or helped to take charge of the processes and results of developmental interventions. This is

what is being referred to as participation in this study. For the beneficiaries of housing

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development to continue realizing proceeds of developmental processes, they must be guided

to determine both processes, as well as end products of development, which will in turn bring

about their satisfaction with the housing development projects.

Objective DSO8

The last objective of the Delphi Study was to investigate the effect of meeting beneficiaries’

housing needs and expectations on their overall housing satisfaction.

Previous research has proven that expectations have a significant effect on overall satisfaction

of occupants; as satisfaction normally occurs based on a comparison of that which is expected

with that which is received (Caughey et al., 1998). Prior exposure to what is to be received has

the tendency to influence occupant’s satisfaction towards a housing product. While a negative

prior experience can generate a lower expectation, which will result in lower satisfaction.

Therefore, results for this objective revealed that prior exposure of beneficiaries to what they

will receive has a tendency to influence their satisfaction towards the housing product, as

revealed from 80.0% agreement to the statement. This finding suggests that when beneficiaries

are aware of what they will receive, they will either be satisfied based on the expected outcome

or dissatisfied. Research has shown that satisfaction with what is expected suggests that

satisfaction is the result of a comparison of that which was expected and that which was

received (Woodruff et al., 1983). A fundamental premise of dissatisfaction with prior exposure

(expectation) is that expectation is related to satisfaction. The result also suggests that in

addition to the influences from expected performance and subjective dissatisfaction, perceived

performance exerts direct influence on satisfaction (Tse & Wilston, 1998). Therefore it can be

asserted that beneficiary dissatisfaction with what has been received is a response to the

congruency between an individual’s expectations and the actual performance of the housing

product that was received. Hence, public housing beneficiaries’ satisfaction may be viewed as

a function of the interrelationship between what beneficiaries expect from the government and

their perceptions of the houses they have received; that is, the quality of the houses received

and the satisfaction derived from the housing meeting their needs. Although, dissatisfaction is

assumed to have a major effect on the users’ satisfaction, as research has shown dissatisfaction

is not the only direct outcome, but prior exposure to what is to be received (expectations) have

also been found to directly affect satisfaction (Reisig & Chandek, 2001). For instance,

individuals with lower expectations often report higher levels of satisfaction. Additionally,

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Oliver (1981) maintains that as performance increases, so too do the levels of user satisfaction.

Expectations (prior exposure) and performance (quality), therefore, are believed to have both

direct and indirect effects on user’s satisfaction.

In response to the needs of the beneficiaries as stated in the research objective, Abraham

Maslow’s (1970) Needs Hierarchy Structure was used to evaluate the housing needs that should

be met for the low-income groups to be satisfied with their housing situation. This hierarchy

provides an interesting framework to categorize common needs into particular classifications.

According to this theory, human needs are unlimited and when one of them is met, another

follows it. In this process, complete satisfaction is not possible unless a need classified to be

important is first met. Individuals want what they do not have and the need once satisfied loses

its motivating power. Therefore, the expert panellists revealed that the prepotent needs of the

low-income groups in South Africa are esteem and physiological needs. This finding shows

that Maslow’s (1970) Hierarchical Needs order cannot be applied directly to the context of

South African low-income housing beneficiaries from the informed experts’ point of view.

Likewise, the classification of esteem and physiological needs as the greatest need is a

reflection of the inequality and past history of the South African state. This is because the poor

and low-income groups want to be recognised and respected because of their previously

disadvantaged backgrounds. The experts’ finding suggests that this should be in perfect

alignment with their physiological needs before consideration of social needs (love and

belongingness), self-esteem and ultimately self-actualization, to make them feel safe, secure,

and part of the society. This order will result in their satisfaction with the housing product that

will be allocated to them. Therefore, the new needs order from the experts’ responses

compressed Maslow’s Needs Hierarchical Theory into four classes in the context of South

African low-income housing.

Lastly, further findings revealed that housing was perceived by a majority of the expert

panellists as the paramount need of the low-income groups, which concurred with the previous

findings as both housing (physiological) and esteem needs were rated as the prepotent needs.

This finding suggests that shelter is still considered a most basic need for the low-income

groups. This emphasises the reason why every successive government in South Africa, since

the end of the Apartheid Government, has prioritized the provision of affordable housing for

the low-income group. This is because of the pivotal role played by housing in national

development and growth on one hand and it being a necessity in the life of the people, on the

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other. This makes the right to housing one of the most important basic human rights recognised

in many international Human Rights Treaties, a necessity. Housing addresses basic human

needs at a primary level, Van Vliet (1998) says that housing acts as shelter, and Novick (1990)

further emphasized that housing is the environment, which exerts the greatest and most

immediate influence on the lives of the people, their health and well-being.

In addition, when the 13.0% expert panellists that rated housing as not a paramount need of the

poor and low-income groups were asked to state what their utmost need was; findings revealed

that employment, education and job security were ranked as the highest priorities with a very

urgent rating on the adopted scale of urgency, while, food security was ranked second, followed

by clothing, transportation and health security. Amongst the listed needs, clothing was

considered by the experts as not urgent on the scale of urgency in delivery.

Although, research has shown that housing is not the paramount need of the poor and low-

income groups. The most immediate needs from such research findings are usually, food,

employment with better pay (if they have jobs or employment if they do not have jobs) and

education for children. Also, in some surveys, housing does not feature in the top five. Other

surveys and findings have revealed that the poor come in different categories and the poor and

low-income groups with different characteristics have a different set of needs (International

Fund for Agricultural Development, 2009). The results therefore show that housing cannot be

regarded as the prime need of the poor and the low-income groups as the findings and literature

have shown.

In conclusion, the needs order theory postulates that the appearance of one need usually rests

on the prior satisfaction of another more prepotent need. Also, no need or drive can be treated

as if it were isolated or discrete; thus every drive is related to the state of satisfaction or

dissatisfaction of another drive. It is believed that once a need is satisfied, it ceases to motivate

behaviour. Also, an understanding of how resident’s expectations are formed is significant in

ascertaining how beneficiaries’ satisfaction is ultimately formed.

From all of the above, a number of factors that were considered to be important in determining

residential satisfaction have been identified and amplified by the Delphi Study. The factors

considered to be paramount determinants of residential satisfaction include: dwelling unit

features, neighbourhood features, building quality, services provided by government,

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beneficiary participation, needs and expectations. These factors have been collectively

considered for the development of a holistic residential satisfaction model in this study. Four

of the factors have been previously considered in the development of residential satisfaction

model in other cultural contexts, but none of the existing models to date have included both

beneficiary participation, needs and expectations as inclusive factors to develop a model to

guide housing authorities in the construction of houses that will be satisfactory to the poor and

low-income groups.

8.5 CONCLUSION

This chapter presented a summary of results and discussions of the results from all the Delphi

rounds, first to the third round. Computation for each and every question element was made

for the influence and impact of the attributes in predicting residential satisfaction and

improvement of the low-income housing context in South Africa. Also, the influence or impact

of the absence or presence of a particular residential satisfaction element on the overall

residential satisfaction of the other elements was presented; likewise on the issues hindering

the effective delivery of low-income housing and the current problems faced by the DHS to

adequately house the poor and the low-income groups in South Africa. The chapter concluded

with a summative discussion of the findings based on the objectives of the Delphi study. The

findings from the expert participants revealed a coherent dialogue on low-income housing in

South Africa, with consensus being reached in most cases and in others with a discrete

conclusion. The result of the Delphi Study assisted in the determination of key factors and

constructs that are of critical significance (influence) to determine residential satisfaction in

subsidised low-income housing, which led to the development of the holistically integrated

conceptual model for residential satisfaction in South African low-income housing. The

evaluation of these factors and their interrelationships is presented in the next section.

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CHAPTER NINE

THE CONCEPTUAL INTEGRATED RESIDENTIAL SATISFACTION

MODEL

9.1 INTRODUCTION

This chapter presents the discussion of findings from the review of literature and the Delphi

Study. This discussion forms the basis of the conceptual model’s theory. The hypothesised

integrated holistic residential satisfaction model is also presented in this chapter based on an

in-depth review of the previous models as presented in Chapter Two of this thesis. This chapter

also describes the integrated holistic model and the variables of the model in detail, except

beneficiaries’ participation, needs and expectations, which has already been discussed in

Chapter Three of this thesis, as variable constructs identified as gaps in residential satisfaction

research. Also presented in this chapter is the model identification and justification for the

selected variables, thereafter a conclusion is drawn for the chapter.

9.2 SELECTION OF VARIABLES FOR RESIDENTIAL

SATISFACTION

Most residential satisfaction study models have combined both objective and subjective

attributes for the assessment of residential satisfaction. For instance, Francescato, Weidemann,

and Anderson (1987) suggest that residence satisfaction with any residential dwelling depends

on three elements, which are: the design of the house, (i.e. the dwelling space organisation,

layout and facilities provided); the management practices; and the surrounding social aspects.

Varady and Carrozza (2000), Salleh et al. (2011), acknowledge that residential satisfaction

encompasses four distinct types of satisfaction, which include: satisfaction with the dwelling

unit; satisfaction with the services provided, including repair services; satisfaction with the

whole package received, as in the case of public housing, where no rent is paid (dwelling and

service); and satisfaction with the neighbourhood or area. These four constructs as proposed

by Varady and Carrozza (2000) is also supported and adopted for the current study.

Furthermore, Nurizan and Hashim (2001) maintain that outside the facilities in the house, other

basic facilities, such as shops, markets, schools, clinics, mailing system, community hall,

playgrounds, and others are important to support the daily life of the occupants, and enhance

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their quality of life. Likewise, Oh (2000) states that there are three main qualities, which bring

about residential satisfaction, which are: the quality of the dwelling; the quality of the close

environment; and the quality of the urban site, which impacts on the quality of housing.

Therefore, based on the review of literature on variables that are likely to affect residential

satisfaction, the present study considers the residential satisfaction bundle in a typical low-

income housing development to contain the dwelling unit features with 17 variables;

neighbourhood and environmental features with 22 variables; services provided by the

government with 13 variables; building quality features with 16 variables. All these are the

constructs that have been frequently conceptualized in most residential satisfaction studies.

However, the present thesis brings into focus the impact of needs and expectations features

with 4 variables and beneficiaries’ participation features with 5 variables. These two additions

are the gaps identified from the review of literature, which were found peculiar to the

developing nation’s situation. The next section of this chapter will present a detailed

explanation of the four different constructs influencing the level of satisfaction towards

housing; the explanation for the two new added constructs have been discussed

comprehensively under the identified gaps and their treatment sections in Chapter 3.

9.2.1 Dwelling Unit Features (DUF)

In some situations, pleasant dwelling features are the main parameters used in describing

quality of housing. In order to distinguish if a house is of good quality or not, the dwelling

units features from the internal and external aspects and also the nearby area are used to

qualify the house (Salleh et al., 2011). Generally, dwelling unit features refer to the floor plan

of internal spaces within the dwelling unit and it includes the living room, dining room,

bedroom, kitchen, bathroom, toilet and drying areas, including ventilation of the house. These

can also be classified as internal dwelling unit features. Dwelling unit features also include:

dwelling size (Lu, 1999); size of the living room, bedroom, kitchen, toilets and washing area

(Opoku & Abdul-Muhmin, 2010; Salleh et al., 2011), number of bedrooms (Ibem & Amole;

2011; Ilesanmi, 2010), location of bedroom and size of dining room (Ukoha & Beamish, 1997)

laundry and washing area (Mohit, et al., 2010). Over time, researchers have combined some of

the above dwelling features to estimate the level of residents’ satisfaction with their dwelling

units, thus informing housing authorities of the necessary changes to be made in order for the

occupants to be satisfied with their houses. For instance, Husna and Nurizan’s (1987) study on

satisfaction on public housing was used by the Malaysian Government to redesign its public

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housing dwelling unit feature to a new standard. Also, the number and location of the

bedrooms, availability of laundry facilities and the provision of a washing line are also dwelling

unit factors that are considered in order to bring about a quality housing units. Therefore, in

this present study, the dwelling unit features that have been hypothesised for the development

of a holistic residential satisfaction model are summarized in Table 9.1.

Table 9.1: Conceptual Model Latent Constructs

Latent Variable Constructs Measurement variables

Dwelling Unit Features (DUF) Location of bedroom

Number of bedrooms

Size of the bedroom

Location of living room

Location of dining room

Location of kitchen

Size of the kitchen

Size of bathroom(s)

Size of wardrobe/closet

Size of children’s play space

Size of children’s study space

Amount of privacy within the house

Amount of brightness / sunshine in the house

Quality of ventilation in the house

Quality of floor level in the house

Overall appearance of the house

Overall size of the house

Neighbourhood Features (NDF) Location of the dwelling unit in the

neighbourhood

Quality of relationship with neighbours

Quality of landscape in the neighbourhood

Quality of walkways

Ease of access to main roads

Amount of privacy from other neighbours

Quality of street lighting at night

Amount of security in the neighbourhood

Physical condition and appearance of the

neighbourhood

Cleanliness of the neighbourhood

Proximity of house to workplace

Proximity of house to shopping areas

Proximity of house to the nursery school

Proximity of house to the high school

Proximity of house to hospitals/clinics

proximity of house to place of worship

Proximity of house to police services

Proximity of house to parking facilities

Proximity of house to disabled facilities

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Proximity of house to the community hall

Proximity of house to playground / recreational

facility

Proximity of house to public transportation and

services

Building Quality Features (BQF) External construction quality

Internal construction quality

Water pressure

Wall quality

Floor quality

Window quality

Door quality

Internal painting quality

External painting quality

Plumbing quality

The finished quality of sanitary system

Electrical wiring quality

Electrical fittings quality

Numbers of electrical sockets

Level of socket

Overall unit quality

Services Provided by Government The drainage system

(SPG) Garbage and waste collection

Fire protection services

Electricity supply

Water supply

Telephone service

Safety

How well resident complaints are handled

Housing department rules and regulations

Enforcement of rules by the Department of

Human Settlement (Housing)

Overall services provided by the government

Beneficiary Participation (BNP) Owners should be consulted about the housing

location

Owners should be consulted about the house

design

Owners should be consulted about the house

construction

Owners should be consulted about the internal

finishes of the house

Owners should be consulted about the external

finishes of the house

Needs and Expectation (NAE) Owners should be told beforehand the type of

house they will receive

Owners should be asked the type of house they

need

Owners expect good quality houses

Our houses should meet our family need

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Residential Satisfaction (RS) I am satisfied living here

I am taking proper care of my house

I am taking proper care of my neighbourhood

I am constantly maintaining my house

I am not intending to move to another place in the

future

I like to live in another place like this

I will recommend to my friend to obtain a house

in the same way that I did

9.2.2 Neighbourhood Features (NDF)

The literature on neighbourhoods defines this concept in many ways. Brower (1996) informs

that its form is derived from a particular pattern of activities, the existence of a common visual

motif, an area with continuous boundaries or a network of often-travelled streets. Diverse

definitions serve different interests, so that the neighbourhood may be seen as a source of place-

identity, an element of urban form, or a unit of decision making. It is presumed that research

uses multiple definitions of a neighbourhood simultaneously to reflect the fact that

neighbourhood is not a static concept but rather a dynamic one (Talen & Shah, 2007). Likewise,

planners and designers have also thought of the neighbourhood setting as a fixed, controllable,

and imaginable physical area.

Researchers agree that a neighbourhood should comprise a walkable distance (the distance that

a person could pleasantly walk, a 3MPH pace in 5 minutes). However, the actual walkable

distance considered has varied from a quarter-mile to one mile from centre to edge

(Colabianchi et al., 2007; Talen & Shah, 2007).

Previous studies on housing satisfaction revealed that several features are required to determine

the housing satisfaction of a given household or individual. For instance, the availability of

desired features and structure types are related; accordingly, as different services are provided

by different structure types which also affect satisfaction with housing units (Johnson &

Abernathy, 1983). Also, the availability of space depends on the structure type, and the amount

of space in a dwelling unit correlates with the housing satisfaction level (Aigbavboa & Thwala,

2010; Kinsey & Lane, 1983). Satisfaction with neighbourhood features have been observed as

a vital determinant of residential satisfaction (Vrbka & Combs, 1991) to the extent that

residents are willing to compromise the inefficiencies within the dwelling unit because of the

satisfaction that is provided by the neighbourhood facilities and features (Ukoha & Beamish,

1997). Neighbourhood features refer to the location of the dwelling unit, neighbourhood

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relations, distance to the shopping areas, distance to the workplace or school, distance to the

police services, distance to recreational facilities secure and clean environment, the building

image and parking facilities amongst others (Aigbavboa & Thwala, 2011; Awotona, 1991).

Hence residents of a given housing scheme are most likely to be dissatisfied with housing

facilities that require residents to travel or walk long distances to school; to workplaces,

shopping areas, medical centres and the geographical areas around their dwelling units. Easy

access to good public transportation, community and shopping facilities and physical

environment variables will provide residents’ satisfaction with their housing units.

For instance, research conducted by Bjorklund and Klingborg (2005) in eight Swedish

municipalities found the following top neighbourhood factors amongst others to be related to

residential satisfaction, these include proximity to commercial areas, building exteriors with

high aesthetic values, proximity to open spaces, less noisy environments with no traffic

congestion, good reputation, good quality along the housing surroundings, proximity to town

centres and a conducive environment. On the other hand, findings of a study conducted by

Abdul and Yusof (2008) on residential satisfaction shows that neighbourhood facility factors

are the most dominant factors in determining the level of satisfaction towards housing. The

study further revealed that factors of neighbourhood facilities that caused a low level of

satisfaction were poor public transport, lack of sport fields, lack of multi-purpose halls, lack of

parking areas and lack of safety facilities for the disabled. Also, Ramdane and Abdul’s (2000)

study on the factors of neighbourhood facilities to evaluate the level of residential satisfaction,

found that neighbourhood factors have a huge impact on the overall satisfaction with the

housing facilities. Research has pointed out the complex characteristics of neighbourhood

satisfaction (Amerigo & Aragones, 1997; Francescato, 2002; Marans & Rodgers, 1975; Marans

& Spreckelmeyer, 1981). It has also been identified that aesthetics, or pleasantness to the eye,

is one of the most important factors in neighbourhood satisfaction (Kearney, 2006; Sirgy &

Cornwell, 2002). Whilst, social and personal characteristics, such as neighbourhood cohesion,

or networks, were other factors associated with neighbourhood satisfaction (Chapman &

Lombard, 2006; Morrow-Jones, et al., 2005; Okun, 1993; Westaway, 2006). The

neighbourhood and environmental features, which are considered for the present study, are

summarized in Table 9.1.

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9.2.3 Building Quality Features (BQF)

Residents’ satisfaction towards a given housing unit is also derived from the satisfaction with

the building quality and the housing condition features in the buildings (Ukoha & Beamish,

1997). Onibokun (1974) classified building condition features as dwelling subsystems to the

human habitat that influence the level of housing satisfaction. This position was further

supported by McCray and Day (1977) who states that low-income housing construction is

rarely developed to reflect the needs and types of families who are going to inhabit the houses,

as the building condition / quality elements are seldom considered in the establishment of

human habitats. Whereas, the quality of low-income housing should be a combination of both

the user’s requirements and the principles that define adequate housing. But because public

low-income housing is built for the poor and disadvantaged, with the cost being covered by the

government; the choices of design and materials used during construction are only based on an

affordable budget, which compromise best practices with regards to adequate housing for the

low-income groups. Hence, Kutty (1999) claims that a good building structure with good

quality is an important indicator that determines the residents’ satisfaction with the building

and the value they place on the dwelling.

According to Duncan (1971) and Ramdane and Abdullah (2000), three dimensions of housing

quality are usually considered with regards to dwellings, which include: internal aspects of a

dwelling unit, its external aspects, as well the surrounding area. Furthermore, Elsinga and

Hoekstra (2005) inform that the higher quality a dwelling is, the higher the resident’s

satisfaction with it. They state that housing quality and condition should not be assessed based

on one variable only, but from objective and subjective dimensions. Also, Kain & Quigley

(1970) divided housing quality into five critical factors namely: basic housing quality factor;

dwelling unit quality factor; surrounding property quality factor; non-residential land use

quality factor; and structural average quality factor. According to Kain & Quigley (1970), basic

housing quality factors refer to the index used to measure the surrounding areas and the external

physical quality of the unit. While the dwelling unit quality factor is assessed from the

structural aspects and internal hygiene of the dwelling unit; surrounding property quality factor

is assessed from the general cleanliness of the surrounding area, its ambience and landscaping.

The factor of quality for non-residential uses is measured from the effects of industrial and

commercial uses in residential areas. These effects are assessed based on the level of

discernible noise, air quality and traffic flow in the area. The structural average quality factor

is assessed based on the structural quality on the building facade.

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In addition, the main source of occupants’ problems with their health, safety and physical issues

is caused most times by building quality (Salleh et al., 2011). Building quality factors that

contribute to residents’ satisfaction with their dwelling units include: wall, floor, window, roof,

door and painting quality, amongst others (Salleh et al., 2011; Ukoha & Beamish, 1997). For

instance, the materials used for wall construction give effect to the building temperature.

Besides, the quality of windows should provide good ventilation and air circulation in the units,

because if the windows are unable to open it will increase the heat in the unit, hence, residents

will be uncomfortable in their house. Therefore, the building quality features considered for

the present study are summarized in Table 9.1.

9.2.4 Services Provided by Government (SPG)

The relationship between the government departments responsible for public housing and the

occupants poses a large influence on their satisfaction with the housing units (James et al.,

2009). For instance, the response to occupants’ complaints; building defects and repair services

carried out by the government in a public housing environment is said to influence the level of

the occupants’ satisfaction towards their dwellings. Also, the time taken by the management in

handling the complaints is a major factor that influences occupant’s satisfaction with a given

public housing unit (Varady & Carrozza, 2000; Ukoha & Beamish, 1997). In addition, Husna

& Nurizan (1987) demarcate that prompt plumbing and building repairs, electrical wiring,

water supply, garbage disposal and security are vital services when provided, which influences

the level of satisfaction amongst residents of low-income housing. As already established,

services provided by the government in low-income housing plays an important role in

producing housing quality, which brings about satisfaction with the dwelling unit. The

indicator variables included in this component are summarized in Table 9.1.

9.3 MODEL SPECIFICATION AND JUSTIFICATION

This thesis aims to build a conceptual residential satisfaction model centered on the subsidised

low-income housing scheme. The theoretical conceptual framework for the current research

builds on the work of Marans and Rodger (1975) and Marans and Sprecklemeyer (1981)

models of satisfaction as discussed in Chapter Two (refer Section 2.3.6 - 2.3.7). Marans and

Rodger (1975) conceptualized that an individual’s overall satisfaction with housing depends

on their perception of the various neighbourhood characteristics and their assessment of them.

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Marans and Rodgers’s (1975) model also conceptualized that both the perpetual evaluative

process and the overall satisfaction level are related to the residents’ own characteristics, such

as social class, housing status amongst others (Table 9.2). Similarly, Marans and

Sprecklemeyer (1981) further determined that residents’ satisfaction is a function of the

physical environment through one’s perception and beliefs of the physical environment. In this

particular model, housing satisfaction was derived as a result of an integrated relationship

between the environment and the human perception of beliefs. The three basic components of

the model were: the physical environment, the perception and attitude of residents toward their

housing environment and residents’ satisfaction. Based on the fundamental underpinning of

these two models, and the incorporated theoretical perspectives, which has been adopted in

other similar studies, they are therefore useful for conceptualizing the present study as a variety

of satisfaction studies with urban housing living being conceptualized within the broad

theoretical framework.

Therefore, the conceptual framework for this thesis is primarily based on the approach used by

Marans and Rodger (1975) when they view residential satisfaction as a criterion of evaluation

of residential quality and, at the same time, as a variable predicting certain behaviour. In this

regard, residential satisfaction was treated as a criterion variable and, therefore, as a dependent

variable. The approach was also used by Galster and Hesser (1981), Cutter (1982) and

Weidemann and Anderson (1985), which has also been adopted in the current study. Based on

the fundamental factors and constructs associated with all the previous models as revealed in

Table 10.1, the present model or conceptual framework model for the study looks at the

relationship of the dwelling unit, neighbourhood and environmental features, services provided

by government, building quality, which are the essential variables that have been measured in

a majority of the previous studies, with the inclusive consideration of the impact of needs and

expectations and beneficiaries participation; which have been classified as the exogenous

variables and their role in predicting overall beneficiary residential satisfaction, which is the

endogenous variable. These will in turn, predict the beneficiaries’ satisfaction towards the

housing stock, behaviour to maintain the housing stocks and their overall responsibility in the

low-income neighbourhood, or likelihood to move and eventually place attachment. The study

aims to forecast the relative predictive power of these different variables for beneficiaries

housing satisfaction in order to test/determine if residential satisfaction depends on the

supposed features of the variables, taking into account the effects of the beneficiaries needs,

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expectations and meaningful participation prior to construction in alliance with the South

Africa Housing Policy and Codes, and as emphasized by other frameworks.

It is apparent that some of the variables discussed above should be measured by objective

means, some by subjective means and some will include both forms of measurement. The

reason for combining both objective and subjective indicators within the proposed model is

supported by Campbell et al. (1976) and Falah, Al-Abeda and Wilda (1995) who stated that:

by themselves, objective indicators are often misleading and will remain so until indicators that

human beings attached to them, are obtained. Likewise, by themselves, subjective indicators

are insufficient as guides to policy.

Table 9.2: Factors of Residential Satisfaction

R e s i d e n t i a l s a t i s f a c t i o n

e l e m e n t s

Asp

ira

tio

n

Ex

pec

tati

on

s

Ph

ysi

cal

sett

ing

s

Per

cep

tion

Cu

ltu

re

Res

iden

tia

l

beh

av

iou

r

Per

son

al

or

resi

den

ts’

featu

res

Nei

gh

bou

rho

od

fea

ture

s

Nei

gh

bou

rho

od

&

env

iron

men

tal

fea

ture

s

Co

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un

ity

serv

ices

Dw

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ng

un

it

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s

So

cio

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no

mic

cha

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eris

tics

Ho

usi

ng

ty

pe

Use

rs n

eed

Michelson (1977) -

Michelson’s Integrated Model X X X X X X X

Onibokun (1974) - Habitability

Model

X X X X

Marans and Rodger (1975) -

Marans-Rodger Model

X X X X

Hourihan (1984) - Path

Analysis Model X X X

Morris and Winter (1978) -

Housing Adjustment Model

X X X X X

Francescato et al. (1979) -

Francescato et al.’s Model of

Housing Satisfaction

X X X X

Weidemann and Anderson

(1985) - Integrated Conceptual

Model

X X X X X X

Marans and Sprecklemeyer

(1981) - Inclusive Model

(Basic conceptual Model)

X X X X X X

Source: Author’s Literature review

The conceptual model theorizes that residential satisfaction is established by the relationship

that exists between the exogenous variables, which include the basic elements by which the

subjective and objective measurements are linked. These variables identified from the review

of literature and from the Delphi Survey findings are considered the major determinants of

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residential satisfaction in subsidised low-income housing. These have been adopted to fit with

the peculiar housing and other socio-economic characteristics of the South African society.

Hence, the combination of the objective and subjective measures will then produce a measure

of residential satisfaction for the beneficiaries of the low-income units, as defined in the

previous sections.

9.4 STRUCTURAL COMPONENT OF THE MODEL

The present conceptual model hypothesis that occupant (beneficiaries’) residential satisfaction

(RS) with publicly provided low-income housing in South Africa (developing countries) is

derived from residents’ overall satisfaction with their dwelling unit features (DUF),

neighbourhood and environment features (NDF), building quality features (BQF), services

provided by the government (SPG), beneficiaries’ needs and expectations (NAE) and the

assessment of the beneficiaries participation (BNP) in the housing process. The model to be

tested in the hypothesis postulates a priori that RS is a multidimensional structure composed

of DUF, NDF, BQF, SPG, BNP and NAE. This is presented schematically in Figure 9.1 (Model

1.0). The theoretical underpinning of this priori is derived from the works of Marans and

Rodger (1975) and Marans and Sprecklemeyer’s (1981) models of satisfaction and the

approach as adopted by Galster and Hesser (1981), Cutter (1982) and Weidemann and

Anderson (1985), as discussed above.

Inherent in the conceptualized model is the notion that satisfaction with housing provision is

related to the evaluation of many variables. While the principal variable under consideration is

the dwelling unit that has been received by the beneficiaries, it is difficult to discuss it without

reference to variables of neighbourhood; service provided by the government and inclusion of

the other exogenous variables. The satisfaction level is expressed by the households’ subjective

evaluation of their housing environment as defined by them. The evaluation will depend on the

beneficiaries’ assessment of several indicator variables under each of the exogenous variables.

Which attributes are most relevant, is an empirical question and may differ under different

circumstances. How households assess a particular aspect of their housing environment, for

instance, is considered to be dependent on their personal characteristics. This is meant to

include all characteristics and experiences of the beneficiaries that influence their evaluations.

For example, beneficiaries of different cultures, races, income or gender may have diverse

evaluation of the same dwelling unit they have received. As such, Ebong (1983) describes that

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depending on an individual’s diverse value system, experiences and aspirations, certain

residential features can generate in residents feelings of convenience, beauty, health and

accessibility, or otherwise. Thus it is possible for one to see in any residential environment

what one is supposed to see, turning a blind eye to much that is actually present in that particular

environment. In this study, the objective evaluation of residential environment will be assessed

by measuring the actual condition of the housing environment (quality assessment of the

housing units), which is an exogenous variable in the model.

Figure 9.1: An Integrated Conceptual Model of Residential Satisfaction

(Model 1.0)

9.5 MEASUREMENT COMPONENT OF THE MODEL

The hypothesized measurement component of the model comprises of the following residential

satisfaction factors: DUF = 17 measurement variables; NDF = 22 measurement variables; BQF

= 16 measurement variables; SPG=13 measurement variables; BNP = 5 measurement

variables; NAE = 4 measurement and RS = 7 measurement manifest variables. In the present

model, it is therefore theorized that residential satisfaction is to be considered as a sufficient

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indication to show the success of state subsidised housing provision in meeting the

beneficiaries’ needs and giving them a good start into the housing market.

9.6 CONCLUSION

In this chapter, a conceptual model was theorized, which postulates a priori that RS is a

multidimensional structure composed of six latent variables of dwelling unit features,

neighbourhood features, building quality features, services provided by the government,

beneficiary’s participation and needs and expectations of the beneficiaries’. These factors were

derived from the literature review and findings from the Delphi Study concurrently. Also

highlighted in this chapter is the theoretical framework for the explanation of the variables

selected for the construction of the integrated conceptual model of residential satisfaction.

Findings for the validation of the conceptual model developed in Chapter Nine will be

presented in the next chapter.

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CHAPTER TEN

SURVEY RESULTS

10.1 INTRODUCTION

The last chapter discussed and presented the research’s conceptual model, as shown in Figure

9.1 (Model 1.0). The theory behind the hypothesised integrated holistic residential satisfaction

model is based on literature and on expert’s opinion acquired during the Delphi Study as

described in Chapter Nine. This chapter presents descriptive statistics, inferential statistics and

hypotheses testing results based on the questionnaire analysis.

Therefore, raw data from the questionnaire were entered into the Statistical Package for Social

Sciences (SPSS) software and was later exported to the Structural Equation Modelling (SEM)

software EQS Version 6.2 for analysis (Bentler, 1999). The sample used for the analysis of the

model was 751 cases. Sample size significantly affects model fit (Tong, 2007). Smaller sample

sizes contribute to greater model fit bias (Tong, 2007). Kline (2005:15) states that a sample

size of 751 is classified as large. A small sample of less than 100 cases tends to be challenging

when it comes to SEM analysis (Harris & Schaubroeck, 1990; Kline, 2005:15). The appropriate

sample size is dependent on observed variables (MacCallum, Browne, & Sugawara, 1996;

Tong, 2007). A general guideline is that in order to use SEM for the data analysis purpose, a

study should have more than 200 respondents with a certain number of observed variables

(Bentler & Chou, 1987; Bollen, 1989). Tong (2007) further suggested that the variable ratio of

an ideal SEM model should be at least 5:1. In other words, a SEM model with 10 observed

variables should have more than 50 respondents. The researcher has collected 751 responses,

which are considered appropriate for the present study with 78 hypothesised observed

variables. The variable ratio to sample size for this study is 10.45:1, which meets the literature’s

(Tong, 2007) recommendation.

10.2 DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS

A total of 751 responses were realized for analysis in this study after the close of the survey.

Figure 10.1 is a breakdown of the survey locations. From the 751 responses, 24.37% were from

the City of Tshwane, 30.63% were from Ekurhuleni Metropolitan Municipality, 31.96% from

the City of Johannesburg and 13.05% from Mogale City, a district municipality.

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Figure 10.1: Survey locations

Of the total 751 responses, 42.88% (N = 322) were males and 57.10% (N = 429) were females,

as shown on Table 10.1.

Table 10.1: Respondents’ Demographic and Socio-economic Characteristics

Socio-demographic characteristics Frequency (n = 751) Percent (%)

Gender Male 322 42.88

Female 427 57.1

Race African 645 85.89

Indian 6 0.80

Coloured 78 10.39

White 22 2.93

Age 19 - 24 48 6.4

25 - 30 104 13.9

31 - 40 216 28.8

41 - 50 193 25.7

51 - 60 106 14.1

61 - 70 66 8.8

> 71 17 2.3

Educational level None (Did not attend any school) 38 5.1

Primary (Grade 1-7) 141 18.8

Secondary (Grade 8-11) 237 31.6

Matric (Grade 12, Std 10) 240 32.0

Post Matric Diploma (Registered) 37 4.9

Post Matric Diploma (Completed) 38 5.1

Bachelor’s / Post-graduate (Registered) 5 0.7

Bachelor’s / Post-graduate (Completed) 7 0.9

Others 2 0.3

Current employment status Employed (full time) 191 25.4

Employed (Part-time) 92 12.3

Self employed 74 9.9

Unemployed, looking for work 268 35.7

Unemployed, not looking for work 38 5.1

Housewife 18 2.4

31.96%

13.05%

30.63%

24.37%

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35

City of Johannesburg

District Municipality City (Mogale City)

Ekurhuleni Metropolitan Municipality

City of Tshwane

Percentage

Su

rvey

Lo

cati

on

s

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Student 24 3.2

Retired 45 6.0

Others 1 0.1

Employment sector Government 80 22.6

Private sector 190 53.7

Self employed 80 22.6

Others 4 1.1

Marital status Married 213 28.4

Single (never married) 334 44.5

Single (married but separated from spouse) 38 5.1

Living together (co-habiting) 64 8.5

Divorced 36 4.8

Widow 50 6.7

Widower 15 2.0

Annual family income Less than R5 000 97 13.6

R5 000 – 10 999 92 12.9

R11 000 – R15 999 112 15.7

R16 000 – R20 999 182 25.5

> R20 999 231 32.4

Length of residency Less than 1 year 26 3.5

1 – 2 years 48 6.4

3 - 5 years 200 26.8

6 - 8 years 158 21.2

> 8 years 314 42.1

Numbers of rooms in the dwelling unit 1 room 297 39.7

2 rooms 444 59.4

3 rooms 6 0.8

4 rooms 1 0.1

Numbers of bedrooms in the dwelling unit 1 room 386 51.6

2 rooms 362 48.4

Dependents in the household - children < 19 years

None 10 1.7

1 child 182 30.8

2 children 219 37.1

3 children 97 16.4

4 children 49 8.3

5 children 23 3.9

6 children 7 1.2

7 children 3 0.5

- adults: 19-59 years None 2 0.3

1 person 120 16.5

2 persons 311 42.8

3 persons 170 23.4

4 persons 92 12.7

5 persons 19 2.6

6 persons 10 1.4

7 persons 2 0.3

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None 32 17.0

1 130 69.1

2 25 13.3

3 1 0.5

4 32 17.0

Type of government grants received State pension 119 24.0

Child support grant 343 69.2

Disability grant 24 4.8

Foster care grant 10 2.0

Others 0 -

Greatest need Housing 101 13.4

Employment 361 48.1

Education 106 14.1

Safety 162 21.6

Privacy 21 2.8

The ethnic composition was 85.89% Africans, followed by 10.39% Coloured, 2.93% White

and 0.80% Indians as revealed in Table 10.1. Majority of the respondents (28.8%) were

between the ages of 41 – 50, followed by the age group of 41 – 50 (25.7%) and the aged (> 60)

constituted (11.1%) of the sample. The highest education level of the majority of the sample

respondents was Matric (32.0%; N = 240). The respondents’ employment status findings

revealed that the numbers of those employed both full and part-time were 37.7%, while those

unemployed and looking for work was 35.7%, unemployed and not looking for work 5.1%,

followed by 9.9% who had their own businesses. Majority of the respondents (53.7%) were

employed in the private sector, followed by the government sector (22.6%). Although families

with 2 children below the age of 19 years were dominant (37.1%; N = 219), 42.8% of the

respondents had 2 persons (adults) between the age of 19 – 59 years and 69.1% elderly (> 60

years) in their dwellings. Also, 59.4% respondents have a total of 2-rooms in their dwelling

and 51.6% have 1-bedroom. A large percentage of the respondents (42.1%; N = 314) have

stayed more than 8 years in their allocated dwelling units and 3.5% stayed for less than 1 year.

The mean annual family income of majority (32.4%) of the respondents was more than R20 999

($2 560), followed by 25.5% whose annual household earnings were between R16 000 ($1 951)

and R20 000 ($2 439). Also, a large percentage of the respondents (69.2%) receives child

support grant, 24.0% receives state pensions and 4.8% receive disability grants. The

respondents also informed that their greatest need is employment (48.1%), followed by need

for safety (21.6%), education need (14.1%) and housing need accounting for 13.4%, as shown

in Table 10.1.

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Table 10.2: Available Dwelling Unit Features

Room/object (in house) Present Not present

Bedroom(s) Count 739 6

Percentage 99.2% 0.8%

Living room Count 203 542

Percentage 27.2% 72.8%

Dining room Count 111 632

Percentage 14.9% 85.1%

Kitchen Count 621 123

Percentage 83.5% 16.5%

Bathroom(s) Count 473 272

Percentage 63.5% 36.5%

Wardrobes Count 46 697

Percentage 6.2% 93.8%

Play space for children Count 38 705

Percentage 5.1% 94.9%

Study space for children Count 19 724

Percentage 2.6% 97.4%

From the survey assessment of the available dwelling unit features, majority (99.2%) of the

respondents informed that they have bedrooms in their dwelling unit, 0.80% said there is no

bedroom, as shown in Table 10.2. Also, 83.5% informed they have kitchen in their dwelling

unit, while 16.5% said they do not have one. This was followed by 63.5% who have bathrooms

inside their dwelling, whilst 36.4% do not have bathrooms in their dwellings.

Table 10.3: Available Dwelling Unit Services Features

Services (in house) Present Not present

Water for domestic use Count 744 4

Percentage 99.5% 0.5%

Sanitary fittings (e.g. shower,

bath, toilet, basin, taps)

Count 733 15

Percentage 98.0% 2.0%

Electricity Count 743 5

Percentage 99.3% 0.7%

Furthermore, when the in-house services available were assessed, the result revealed that

99.5% respondents have water for domestic use in their houses, while only 0.5% do not have

water. Although, respondents (98.0%) have sanitary fittings (meaning: shower, bath, toilet

basin, wash hand basin and taps), 2.0% do not have these in their houses, as shown in Table

10.3.

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Table 10.4: Available Private / Public Neighbourhood Features

Facility (Private / Public services) Present Not present

Shopping area Count 463 285

Percentage 61.9% 38.1%

Place of worship Count 627 121

Percentage 83.8% 16.2%

Parking facilities Count 45 703

Percentage 6.0% 94.0%

Playground/recreational

facilities

Count 335 413

Percentage 44.8% 55.2%

Community hall Count 289 458

Percentage 38.7% 61.3%

Disabled facilities Count 42 705

Percentage 5.6% 94.4%

The assessment of the available private and public neighbourhood features revealed 61.9%

have a shopping mall within their neighbourhood, while 38.1% informed there is no shopping

mall in their neighbourhood. The majority (83.8%) have a place of worship in their vicinity,

while 16.2% do not. Likewise, 44.8% informed they have a playground / recreational facility

in their neighbourhood, while a majority (55.2%) said they do not have such a place in their

neighbourhood. Also, majority (94.4%) informed they do not have facilities for the disabled in

their neighbourhood, while only 5.6% said they have in their neighbourhood, as shown in Table

10.4.

Table 10.5: Available Government Neighbourhood Features

Service (Government services) Present Not present

Nursery school (Private or public) Count 572 179

Percentage 76.2% 23.8%

Primary school (Private or public) Count 511 240

Percentage 68.0% 32.0%

High school(Private or public) Count 385 366

Percentage 51.3% 48.7%

Hospital/clinic Count 276 475

Percentage 36.8% 63.2%

Police services Count 249 502

Percentage 33.2% 66.8%

Fire protection services Count 101 647

Percentage 13.5% 86.5%

Public transport Count 713 38

Percentage 94.9% 5.1%

Count 631 120

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Drainage system (within

neighbourhood or outside)

Percentage 84.0% 16.0%

Garbage and waste collection Count 695 56

Percentage 92.5% 7.5%

Furthermore, when the presence or absence of some listed government services was assessed,

findings emanating from the survey revealed that a majority (94.9%) have access to public

transport, followed by 92.5% who informed they have access to garbage and waste collection,

84.0% have a drainage system (within neighbourhood or outside). However, the respondents

(86.5%) further indicated that they do not have fire protection services in their neighbourhood,

followed by 66.8% who do not have police services, 63.2% do not have access to hospital/clinic

in their neighbour, 48.7% do not have high school either private or public in their

neighbourhood and a combined response of 55.8% do not have primary / nursery schools

(either private or public) in their area, as shown in Table 10.5.

10.3 INFERENTIAL STATISTICS

10.3.1 Structural Equation Modelling (SEM)

SEM was preferred to other statistical approaches, such as ANOVA and regression because it

displayed better conditions to demonstrate causality. According to Hoyle (1995:10), there are

three necessary conditions to demonstrate causality, which are: association, isolation and

directionality. While SEM is not distinctive in the first aspect, for isolating and putative causes,

SEM is more flexible and comprehensive than any univariate or multivariate modelling

approaches, providing means of controlling not only for extraneous or confounding variables

but for measurement error as well. Directionality, finally, is often greatly misunderstood. It can

be shown with many statistical procedures because it comes from theory (research design) and

sample logic. However, when the model as a whole, produces a good-fit, the result greatly

supports the individual causal relationships within the model.

It is clear from the research that measuring residential satisfaction is a complex construct. This

coupled with the advantages of SEM (just cited) and others precipitated the decision in this

study to utilize SEM in conjunction with EQS to attempt to examine factors that determine

residential satisfaction in South African subsidised low-income housing. EQS Version 6.2

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software was used to investigate the measurement model adequacy and structural model

goodness-of-fit.

Structural Equation Modeling Analytic Strategy

This study aims to test a model of residential satisfaction in a sample of government subsidised

low-income housing in three South African metropolitan municipalities and one district

municipality. The analyses conducted can be divided into two steps. First, a series of

Confirmatory Factor Analysis (CFAs) to test for the measurement equivalency for each of the

six proposed latent constructs and the manifest or composite variables of residential satisfaction

represented in the hypothesised model of residential satisfaction (Model 1.0). The CFA results

defined the relations between the observed and unobserved variables. In order words, it

provided the link between scores on a measuring instrument and the underlying constructs they

are designed to measure. This was done to reaffirm the factor structure of the observed and

unobserved variables, hence, the construct validity. Secondly, the fit of the entire measurement

model underlying the hypothesised structural model was tested. The structural model defined

the relationship amongst the different exogenous variables and specified the manner by which

each exogenous variable directly or indirectly influences the changes in the values of other

exogenous constructs in the model, thus, defining the endogenous variables (residential

satisfaction). All analyses were performed using EQations software (EQS), including testing

of the hypothesised Structural Equation Models. In SEM, a covariance matrix generated from

a particular sample is compared with the covariance matrix generated from the hypothesised

model and fit statistics are used to determine the acceptability of the solution obtained. Hu and

Bentler (1999) and other scholars have recommended using a combination of fit statistics to

evaluate the fit of models (refer to Chapter 7, Section 7.4.4.11), as adopted for the current

study.

Statistics on SEM Assumptions – Outliers and Missing Data

An inspection of the data sets revealed that some data sets had missing values. A detailed

examination of the pattern of missing data revealed that the missing data was missing at random

(MAR) and not missing completely at random (MCAR). According to McDonald and Ho

(2002:70), the condition that data was missing completely at random is a situation where the

presence or absence of the observation is independent of other observed variables and the

variable itself. Hence, McDonald and Ho (2002) posit that the condition MCAR is a very strict

assumption that may be difficult to justify in practice. Therefore, the assumption of the

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condition MAR was adopted. Hence, the robust maximum likelihood estimation solution in

EQS was used to address the problem, as discussed in Chapter 7 (refer to Section 7.4.4.11).

This method produces better results compared to other methods (Kline, 2005). The assumption

in this method was that the means, variances and covariances were sufficient statistics.

Consequently, cases with missing variables were skipped and not included in the analysis.

Likewise, further examination of the data set revealed that there were a few outliers in the data.

The EQS result output included case numbers with the largest contribution to Mardia’s

Normalized Multivariate Kurtosis. Examination of these case numbers showed the case

numbers that include outliers and it was upon these inspections that the conclusion was reached

that there were a few outliers in the data. The chosen method of estimation namely, Robust

Maximum Likelihood (RML) was adequate in addressing the problems of outliers. Boomsma

(2000:469) states that RML method is reliable because it replaces ordinary sample covariances

with the robust estimates of the covariances.

Statistics on SEM Assumptions – Data Distribution Characteristics

The estimation method of maximum likelihood assumes multivariate normality. Hence, it was

necessary that the distribution characteristics of the data were established before model analysis

could commence. The EQS result output included univariate statistics such as mean, skewness,

Kurtosis and the respective standard deviations. Similarly, the multivariate Kurtosis formed

part of the result output. Analysis of the univariate statistics and Mardia based multivariate

Kurtosis suggested non-normality in the sample data set. All Mardia estimates of multivariate

Kurtosis were greater than the upper limit value of 3.0 (DeCarlo, 1997:292). Hence, the data

distributions were described as highly Kurtotic. The non-normality of the data led to the

adoption of the robust maximum likelihood estimation method of the postulated model. The

results in the following sections are reported using robust statistics for the chi-square (Satorra-

Bentler Scaled Statistics; Satorra & Bentler, 1988). In all models, the first item of each factor

is fixed to establish the factors’ scale. Mardia’s coefficient and other univariate statistics are

presented in Table 10.6.

Statistics on SEM Assumptions – Identifiability of the Model

A further requirement for SEM analysis is the identifiability of the structural model. In order

for a model to be analysed, it has to fulfill the conditions of model identification. It is the duty

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of the researcher to examine whether a model is theoretically identified or not (Boomsma,

2000:466).

Table 10.6: Univariate and Mardia’s Normalized Multivariate Estimates

Latent

Constructs

Indicator

Variable

Mean

(x̅)

Skewness

(G1)

Kurtosis

(G2)

SD

(σx)

Mardia’s

coefficient

DUF1 2.5627 -0.0366 -1.3116 1.1593

DUF2 2.2583 0.4353 -0.9336 1.1014

DUF3 2.2440 0.3713 -0.9461 1.0567

Dwelling Unit DUF5 2.0549 0.3265 -0.9512 0.9418 26.5463

Features DUF9 2.0580 0.3509 -0.9005 0.9413

DUF12 2.2600 0.3679 -0.9478 1.0878

DUF16 2.6872 -0.1719 -0.8425 1.0197

DUF17 2.3688 0.1245 -1.1463 1.0713

NAE1 3.7710 -0.9388 0.1307 1.1608

Needs and NAE2 3.6059 -0.6563 -0.6639 1.2782 44.4301

Expectations NAE3 3.9640 -1.1267 0.5926 1.1408

NAE4 3.9574 -1.2076 1.1561 1.0650

BNP1 3.6804 -0.7626 -0.3352 1.1996

Beneficiary BNP2 3.6245 -0.6117 -0.4375 1.1765

Participation BNP3 3.5273 -0.4537 -0.6302 1.1906 56.0118

BNP4 3.6605 -0.6647 -0.2492 1.1515

BQF2 2.8797 -0.1177 -0.8336 1.1749

BQF3 3.7059 -0.9052 0.2404 1.0886

Building BQF4 3.0616 -0.3317 -0.8867 1.1768 27.4688

Quality BQF5 3.1004 -0.4277 -0.7469 1.1447

Features BQF10 3.2289 -0.3768 -0.7007 1.1852

BQF11 3.1744 -0.1771 -0.9111 1.1548

NDF1 3.3783 -1.0117 0.4860 0.9385

NDF3 3.2473 -0.8557 0.1551 0.9423

Neighbourhood NDF5 3.5456 -0.6751 -0.0309 0.9130 19.7754

Features NDF7 3.2021 -0.3421 -0.7902 1.1673

NDF10 2.8995 -0.3767 -1.1078 1.1073

SPG8 2.3573 0.2312 -0.7826 1.0259

Services SPG9 2.4826 -0.0094 -1.0952 1.0520 21.4192

provided by SPG12 2.6395 -0.0957 -0.8525 1.0398

Government SGP13 2.5912 -0.1056 -0.9775 1.0260

RS1 3.5047 -0.4573 -0.6733 1.1580

Residential RS3 3.8064 -0.6154 0.8174 0.7466 13.1652

Satisfaction RS5 3.1092 -0.1929 -0.7706 1.1414

RS7 3.5952 -0.6868 -0.4518 1.2431

Kline (2005:105) informs that a model is said to be identified if it is theoretically possible to

derive a unique estimate for each parameter. While, an identification test is presented in the

result section, identification is a property of the model and not the data. However, checking for

model identification is a requirement before model analysis can commence. Hence, a model

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that is not identified remains so, no matter the sample size and any effort to analyse it may

prove unsuccessful (Kline, 2005:105).

Therefore, a model is said to be identified, if there are at least as many observations as free

model parameters (namely, the degree of freedom ≥ 0) and that every unobserved variable must

be assigned a scale (Kline, 2005:105). A model could be just-identified, over-identified or

under-identified (Byrne, 2006:31). Byrne (2006:31) further explains that an over-identified

model is one, in which the number of parameters to be estimated is less than the number of

data variances and covariances of the observed variables and therefore, results in a positive

degree of freedom. The significance of an over-identified model is that it allows for a model to

be rejected and therefore, rendering it of scientific value (Byrne, 2006:31). On the other hand,

a just-identified model cannot be rejected and it is impossible to obtain a solution for an under-

identified model. Examination of the EQS result outputs indicated that the lowest value for the

degree of freedom in the current study was 2 and the highest was 20. These scores indicated a

positive value of degree of freedom and therefore, were suggestive of an over-identified model.

10.3.2 Confirmatory Factor Analysis of the Latent Construct

To determine if the measures used for assessing the exogenous variables (dwelling unit

features, neighbourhood features, building quality, services provided by government,

beneficiary’s participation, needs and expectations) and the endogenous variable (residential

satisfaction) where sufficient indicators, a Confirmatory Factor Analysis (CFA) was conducted

in order to assess the coefficients and to reaffirm the factor structure of each construct. This

was in line with the recommendation of Byrne (2006) who states that the first step in assessing

measurement invariance is to conduct separate CFAs of the latent constructs.

Using EQS 6.2 Statistical Software, the measurement model was further explored using CFA

to assess the fit of the items to the latent variables. If the fit of each of these models is good

and the item loading is acceptable, it can be assumed that the indicators underlying the factor

are tapping into the construct at hand in each of the latent constructs. In keeping with the

practice established by McDonald and Ho (2002) and as echoed by the recommendations of

other experts in SEM, who attest that evaluation of models should be derived from an array of

criteria, rather than a single ‘magic index’ (Byrne, 2006; Kline, 2005). Therefore, various

goodness-of-fit indexes were considered in the study to determine the goodness-of-fit.

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10.3.3 Fit Statistics on Measurement Models (CFA)

10.3.3.1 Measurement Model for Dwelling Unit Features (DUF) Construct

This section presents a unidimensional model for dwelling unit features. The number of cases

that were analysed for this construct (DUF) was 700 from a sample of 751. Fifty-one cases

were skipped (ignored / not used) because of missing variables. The initial model for this

construct consisted of 17 observed variables. However, from the preliminary CFA analysis,

nine indicator variables (DUF4, DUF6-8, DUF10-11 & DUF13-DUF15) had an unacceptably

high unstandardized and standardized residual covariance matrix (ranging from 2.88 – 3.20),

hence they were dropped. A residual covariance matrix value greater than 2.58 is described as

large (Byrne, 2006:94; Joreskog & Sorbom, 1988). In order for a variable to be included in a

CFA Analysis, thus enabling the model to be described as well-fitting, the distribution of

residuals covariance matrix should be symmetrical and centred around zero (Byrne, 2006:94;

Joreskog & Sorbom, 1988). The remaining eight-indicator model provides good measures of

residual matrix and evidence of convergent validity.

Figure 10.2: Measurement model of dwelling unit features

The CFA results further revealed that the dwelling unit features had 8 dependent variables, 9

independent variables and 16 free parameters. The number of fixed non-zero parameters was

9. The eight dependent indicator variables for the dwelling units were: location of bedroom,

number of bedrooms, size of bedroom(s), location of dining room, size of wardrobe/closet,

amount of privacy within the house, overall appearance of the house and overall size of the

E17

DUF1

DUF2

DUF3

DUF5

DUF9

DUF12

DUF16

DUF17

DUF

E1

E2

E3

E5

E9

E12

E16

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house. These indicator variables are presented in Table 10.7. The dwelling unit features

measurement model shown in Figure 10.2 was analysed before it could be included in the full

latent variable model.

In order to establish how well the mode fit the sample data and the strength of the hypothesised

relationship between the variables, results on residual covariance matrix (unstandardized and

standardized), distribution of standardised residuals, fit statistics and statistical significance at

a probability level of 5% were examined. In addition, the Cronbach’s alpha and the Rho

Coefficient of Internal Consistency were examined to determine the score reliability. Results

of these statistics are presented in the next section for the dwelling unit features.

Table 10.7: Postulated Dwelling Unit Features Model

Latent constructs Indicator variables

(How satisfied or dissatisfied are you

with…)

Label

Dwelling Unit Features Number of bedrooms DUF1

(DUF) Location of bedroom(s) DUF2

Size of the bedroom DUF3

Location of dining room DUF5

Size of wardrobe/closet DUF9

Amount of privacy within the house DUF12

Overall appearance of the house DUF16

Overall size of the house DUF17

Diagnostic Fit Analysis: Analysis of Residual Covariance Estimate

The unstandardized and standardized absolute residual matrix values of the dwelling unit

features are presented in Table 10.8 and 10.9. The result reveals that all the absolute residual

values and the average off-diagonal absolute residual values were close to zero. The

unstandardized average off-diagonal residual was 0.0364 while the standardized average off-

diagonal residual was found to be 0.0349. A residual value greater than 2.58 is described as

large (Byrne, 2006:94). The results obtained for the Dwelling Unit Features Measurement

Model suggested a fairly acceptable fit to the sample data because the absolute residual were

all less than 2.58. In order for a model to be described as well-fitting, the distribution of

standardized residuals should be symmetrical and centred around zero (Byrne, 2006:94).

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Table 10.8: Residual Covariance Matrix for Dwelling Unit Model (Unstandardized)

Unstandardized Residual Covariance Matrix

DUF1 DUF2 DUF3 DUF5 DUF9 DUF12 DUF16 DUF17

DUF1 0.000

DUF2 0.009 0.000

DUF3 0.033 0.019 0.000

DUF5 -0.024 0.026 0.017 0.000

DUF9 0.022 -0.046 -0.012 0.151 0.000

DUF12 0.014 -0.028 -0.012 -0.013 0.099 0.000

DUF16 -0.020 -0.054 -0.034 -0.050 -0.045 0.005 0.000

DUF17 -0.042 0.008 -0.018 -0.012 -0.045 0.008 0.154 0.000

Average absolute residual = 0.0283

Average off-diagonal absolute residual = 0.0364

% falling between -0.1 +0.1 = 99.99%

Further review of the frequency distribution reveals most residual values (99.99%) fall between

-0.1 and +0.1, which is in the acceptable range. Of the remaining residuals, 0.01% fell outside

the -0.1 to 0.1 ranges.

Table 10.9: Residual Covariance Matrix for Dwelling Unit Model (Standardized)

Standardized Residual Covariance Matrix

DUF1 DUF2 DUF3 DUF5 DUF9 DUF12 DUF16 DUF17

DUF1 0.000

DUF2 0.007 0.000

DUF3 0.027 0.016 0.000

DUF5 -0.022 0.025 -0.018 0.000

DUF9 0.020 -0.044 -0.012 0.171 0.000

DUF12 0.011 -0.023 -0.011 -0.013 0.096 0.000

DUF16 -0.017 -0.048 -0.031 -0.052 -0.047 0.004 0.000

DUF17 -0.034 0.007 -0.016 -0.012 -0.045 0.007 0.141 0.000

Average absolute residual = 0.0283

Average off-diagonal absolute residual = 0.0364

% falling between -0.1 +0.1 = 99.99%

From this information, the results suggested a measurement model that was well fitting albeit

minimal discrepancy in fit between the hypothesised model and the sample data. Therefore,

since this diagnostic fit analysis indicated a good fit; further tests of goodness-of-fit were

possible to conclusively make a decision on the fit and appropriateness of the measurement

model.

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Goodness-of-Fit Statistics – Robust Maximum Likelihood (RML)

The analysis strategy of goodness-of-fit for the dwelling unit feature followed a two statistics

strategy of fit indexes as recommended by Hu and Bentler (1999).

The sample data on dwelling unit features measurement model yield the S – Bχ2 of 190.724

with 20 degrees of freedom (df) with a probability of p = 0.0000. Hence, the chi-square was

insignificant. This chi-square value indicated that the departure of the sample data from the

postulated measurement model was not significant and hence, indicative of an acceptable fit.

However, the chi-square test is very sensitive to sample size and is used more as a descriptive

index of fit rather than as a statistical test (Kline, 2005:136). Therefore the normed Chi-square

value is usually adopted by most researchers. The normed chi-square is the procedure of

dividing the chi-square by the degrees of freedom. The normed values of up to 3.0 or even 5.0

are recommended (Kline, 2005:137). From the above chi-square and degrees of freedom values

the ratio was found to be 9.54. This ratio was higher than the limit of 3.00 or 5.0 advocated for,

by some authors (Kline, 2005:137).

Further, the CFI was found to be 0.955 and the SRMR was found to be 0.046. The CFI value

was higher than the cut-off limit of 0.95 for a mode to be described as having a good fit.

Similarly, the absolute fit index SRMR value of 0.046 was less than the cut-off value of 0.09

for a good fitting model. Therefore, the result showed a good fit model with an SRMR value

of not more than 0.05. These fit indexes for the dwelling unit measurement model suggested

that the postulated model adequately describe the sample data and could therefore, be included

in the full latent variable model analysis (Table 410.10).

Table 10.10: Robust Fit Indexes for Dwelling Unit Features Construct

Fit Index Cut-off value Estimate Comment

S – Bχ2 190.724

df 0≥ 20 Acceptable

CFI 0.90≥ acceptable

0.95≥ good fit

0.955 Good fit

SRMR 0.08≥ acceptable

0.05≥ good fit

0.046 Good fit

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Statistical Significance of Parameter Estimates

Inspection of the correlation values, standard errors and the test statistics in Table 10.11

revealed that all correlation values were not greater than 1.00, Z-statistics were greater than

1.96 and the signs were appropriate. The estimates were therefore deemed reasonable, as well

as statistically significant. The parameter with the highest standardized coefficient was the

indicator variable DUF2 (numbers of bedrooms). The parameter coefficient was found to be

0.872.

Table 10.11: Factor loading and Z-statistics of Dwelling Unit Features Measurement

Model

Indicator

Variable

Unstandardized

Coefficient (λ)

Standardized

Coefficient (λ)

Z- Statistics

R2

Significant

at 5%

level?

DUF1 0.967 0.834 37.160 0.696 Yes

DUF2 0.960 0.872 39.181 0.761 Yes

DUF3 0.916 0.868 36.641 0.753 Yes

DUF5 0.637 0.677 21.487 0.459 Yes

DUF9 0.544 0.578 17.741 0.335 Yes

DUF12 0.753 0.692 23.748 0.479 Yes

DUF16 0.682 0.669 20.237 0.447 Yes

DUF17 0.910 0.850 37.198 0.723 Yes

(Robust Statistical Significance at 5% level)

The variable DUF2, which asked the beneficiaries of their level of satisfaction with the

numbers of bedrooms in the dwelling unit, was found to associate more with the dwelling unit

features than the other variables. However, all parameter estimates had high correlations values

close to 1.00. The high correlation values suggest a high degree of linear association between

the indicator variables and the unobserved variable (dwelling unit features). In addition, the R2

values were also close to the desired value of 1.00 indicating that the factors explained more

of the variance in the indicator variables. The results therefore, suggest that the indicator

variables significantly predict the unobserved construct, because all the measured variables are

significantly associated with the dwelling unit features.

Internal Reliability and Validity of Scores

The internal consistency and reliability of scores for the dwelling unit features construct was

determined from the Rho and the Cronbach’s Alpha Coefficient. According to Kline (2005:59),

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the reliability coefficient should fall between zero and 1.00. While, values close to 1.00 are

desired. The Rho Coefficient of Internal Consistency was found to be 0.920. This value was

above the minimum required value of 0.70. Likewise, the Cronbach’s Alpha was above the

minimum acceptable value of 0.70. The Cronbach’s Alpha was found to be 0.915 (Table

10.12). Both of these values revealed a high level of internal consistency and therefore

reliability, suggesting that the indicator variables represent the same latent construct (dwelling

unit features).

Table 10.12: Reliability and Construct Validity of Dwelling Unit Feature Model

Factor Indicator

Variable

Factor

Loading

Cronbach’s

Alpha

Rho

Coefficient

Dwelling DUF1 0.834

Unit

Features

DUF2 0.872

DUF3 0.868

DUF5 0.677 0.915 0.920

DUF9 0.578

DUF12 0.692

DUF16 0.669

DUF17 0.850

*Parameter estimates are based on standardized solutions

Further, construct validity was determined from the magnitude and reasonableness of the

parameter coefficients (factor loading). The parameter coefficients represent the magnitude of

correlation or covariance between an item and a construct. Higher parameter coefficients show

that the indicator variables have a stronger relationship with a construct and thus converge at a

common point. Parameter coefficients of greater than 0.5 indicate a close relationship between

the construct and an indicator variable. A parameter coefficient of 0.5 is interpreted as 25% of

the total variance in the indicator variable being explained by the latent variable (factor). Hence,

a parameter coefficient should be 0.5 or higher, and ideally 0.7 or greater to explain about 50%

of the variance in an indicator variable (Hair et al., 1998:111). The standardized parameter

coefficient presented in Table 10.12, revealed that all coefficients were significantly higher

with the lowest being 0.578 for the relationship between DUF9 and the dwelling unit feature.

This parameter estimate suggests that the dwelling unit construct accounts for 53% of the

variance in DFU9 (beneficiaries’ satisfaction with the size of the wardrobe/closet). The

magnitude of the parameter estimate was above the 50% minimum. This in addition, indicates

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a strong relationship between the indicator variables and the factors of the dwelling unit

features construct.

Therefore the dwelling unit feature construct satisfied both internal reliability and the construct

validity criteria. The Rho value was above the minimum value of 0.70, the magnitude, signs

and statistical significance of the parameter estimates were appropriate (Table 412).

Summary on Dwelling Unit Feature Measurement Model

The CFA analysis revealed that the residual covariance estimates fell within the acceptable

range, likewise, the robust fit indexes met the cut-off index criteria and all the parameter

estimates were statistically significant and feasible. Considering these criteria, the

measurement model for the dwelling unit feature was found to adequately fit the sample data.

Therefore, there was no need to improve the measurement model before it could be included

in the full latent variable model. Hence, the dwelling unit feature construct was adequately

measured by the eight indicator variables and could be used in the analysis of the full latent

variable model.

10.3.3.2 Measurement Model for Need and Expectation (NAE) Construct

The number of cases that were analysed for the need and expectation (NAE) construct were

751 which is equivalent to the sample size of 751. No case was skipped because there were no

missing variables. Initial CFA analysis revealed that the residual covariance matrix were within

the accepted range, as recommended by Byrne (2006:94). In order for a variable to be included

in a CFA analysis, thus enabling the model to be described as well-fitting, the distribution of

residuals covariance matrix (factor loadings) should be symmetrical and centred around zero

(Byrne, 2006:94) and should not be greater than 2.58.

From the examination of the Bentler-Weeks Structure Representation, the NAE has 4

dependant variables, 5 independent variables and 8 free parameters. The number of fixed non-

zero parameters was 5. The hypothesis that the NAE construct is explained by indicator

variables NAE1 to NAE4, as shown in Table 10.13, was therefore evaluated.

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Figure 10.3: Measurement Model of Needs and Expectation

The needs and expectations measurement model, as schematically shown in Figure 10.3, was

analysed before it could be included in the full latent variable model. In order to establish how

well the mode fit the sample data and the strength of the hypothesised relationship between the

variables, results on residual covariance matrix (unstandardized and standardized), distribution

of standardised residuals, fit statistics and statistical significance at a probability level of 5%

were examined. In addition, the Cronbach’s Alpha and the Rho Coefficient of Internal

Consistency were examined to determine the score reliability. Results of these statistics are

presented in the following section for the NAE variable.

Table 10.13: Postulated Needs and Expectation Model

Latent constructs Indicator variables

(Owners should be…)

Label

Needs and Expectation Told beforehand the type of house they will

receive

NAE1

(NAE) Asked the type of house they need NAE2

Owners expect good quality houses NAE3

Our houses should meet our family’s need NAE4

Diagnostic fit analysis: Analysis of residual covariance estimate

The average absolute residual values of the needs and expectation construct are presented in

Table 10.14 and 10.15. An examination of the unstandardized and standardized absolute

residual matrix values of the NAE reveals that all the absolute residual values and the average

off-diagonal absolute residual values were close to zero.

The unstandardized average off-diagonal residual was 0.0496 whilst the standardized average

off-diagonal residual was found to be 0.0375. These values were considered to be very small,

and therefore, acceptable. An absolute residual value is considered to be large, if it is more than

2.58 (Byrne, 2006:94). The results obtained for the NAE measurement model were suggestive

E4

NAE1

NAE2

NAE3

NAE4

NAE

E1

E2

E3

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of an acceptable fit to the sample data since all residual values were below the 2.58 cut-off.

Besides, 100% of standardized residuals fell between -0.1 and +0.1, which is the acceptable

range.

Table 10.14: Residual Covariance Matrix for Needs and Expectation Model

(Unstandardized)

Unstandardized Residual Covariance Matrix

NAE1

NAE2

NAE3

NAE4

NAE1 0.000

NAE2 0.062 0.000

NAE3 -0.055 -0.017 0.000

NAE4 -0.021 -0.055 0.088 0.000

Average absolute residual = 0.0298

Average off-diagonal absolute residual = 0.0496

% falling between -0.1 +0.1 = 100%

In order for a model to be described as well-fitting, the distribution of standardized residuals

should be symmetrical and centred around zero (Byrne, 2006:94). Results suggest a

measurement model that has an adequate fit. Therefore, since the above examination of

residuals indicated a good fit; further tests of goodness-of-fit will now be presented in the next

sections.

Table10.15: Residual Covariance Matrix for Needs and Expectation Model

(Standardized)

Standardized Residual Covariance Matrix

NAE1

NAE2

NAE3

NAE4

NAE1 0.000

NAE2 0.042 0.000

NAE3 -0.042 -0.012 0.000

NAE4 -0.017 -0.040 0.072 0.000

Average absolute residual = 0.0225

Average off-diagonal absolute residual = 0.0375

% falling between -0.1 +0.1 = 100%

Goodness-of-Fit Statistics – RML

A two statistic strategy of fit indexes is reported as recommended by Hu and Bentler (1999).

The sample data on the NAE measurement model yields the S – Bχ2 of 22.812 with 2 degrees

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of freedom (df) with a probability of p = 0.0001. The chi-square was insignificant. This chi-

square value indicated that the postulated model significantly differed from the sample data.

However, the chi-square test is very sensitive to sample size and therefore not very reliable.

The chi-square test tends to be affected by the sample size with a propensity to reject models,

if the samples are large. Therefore, a normed chi-square value is usually adopted by most

researchers (Kline, 2005:137). Normed Chi-square is the procedure of dividing the chi-square

by the degrees of freedom. The normed values of up to 3.0 or even 5.0 are recommended (Kline,

2005:137). From the above chi-square and degrees of freedom values the ratio was found to be

11.406. This ratio was higher than the limit of 3.00 or 5.0 advocated for, by some authors

(Kline, 2005:137) and therefore, the model fit may be described as not acceptable.

Hence, it was thus necessary to engage the use of other fit indexes in the determination of the

model’s goodness-of-fit. The CFI was found to be 0.980 and the RMSEA with 90% confidence

interval (lower bound value = 0.077 and upper bound value = 0.163) was found to be 0.118.

The CFI value was higher than the cut-off limit of 0.95 for a mode to be described as having a

good fit. Likewise, the RMSEA value of 0.118 was higher than the lower and the upper bound

cut-off value of 0.08 for an acceptable fit. The model could be accepted but the fit is an average

fit (MacCallum et al., 1996). The absolute fit index SRMR was found to be 0.033, which was

within the cut-off criteria for good fit.

Table 10.16: Robust Fit Indexes for Needs and Expectations Construct

Fit Index Cut-off value Estimate Comment

S – Bχ2 190.724

df 0≥ 20 Acceptable

CFI 0.90≥ acceptable

0.95≥ good fit

0.955 Good fit

SRMR 0.08≥ acceptable

0.05≥ good fit

0.046 Good fit

RMSEA 0.08≥ acceptable

0.05≥ good fit

0.118 Acceptable fit

RMSEA

90% CI

0.077:0.163 Slightly out of range

These fit indexes (Table 10.16) for the needs and expectation measurement model suggested

that the measurement model had an adequate fit to the sample data. Further, the fit statistics

indicated that the model was working properly and could be included in the full latent model

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analysis. In addition, parameter estimates were scrutinized to determine whether the model

worked properly and was reasonable. This involved assessing the magnitude, signs and

statistical significance of the parameter estimates. These statistics are presented in Table 10.17.

Statistical Significance of Parameter Estimates

Inspection of the correlation values, standard errors and the test statistics in Table 10.17

revealed that almost all correlation values were not greater than 1.00, except the unstandardized

coefficient value for NAE2, which was 1.126, while the standardized coefficient value was less

than 1.00; Z-statistics were greater than 1.96 (p<0.05) and the signs were appropriate (positive).

The estimates were therefore found to be reasonable, as well as statistically significant. The

parameter with the highest standardized coefficient was the indicator variable NAE2 (owners

should be asked the type of house they need). The parameter coefficient was found to be 0.882.

Table 10.17: Factor loading and Z-statistics of Needs and Expectation Measurement

Model

Indicator

Variable

Unstandardized

Coefficient (λ)

Standardized

Coefficient (λ)

Z- Statistics

R2

Significant

at 5%

level?

NAE1 0.995 0.858 27.284 0.736 Yes

NAE2 1.126 0.882 38.755 0.777 Yes

NAE3 0.964 0.845 23.692 0.715 Yes

NAE4 0.873 0.820 20.153 0.673 Yes

(Robust statistical significance at 5% level)

The variable NAE2, which asked the beneficiaries their level of agreement, if an owner should

be asked the type of house they need, was found to be more closely associated with the needs

and expectation construct than all other variables. However, all standardized parameter

estimates showed high correlations values closer to 1.00, suggesting a high degree of linear

association between the indicator variables and the factor, needs and expectations. In addition,

the R2 values were found close to the desired value of 1.00, none were below 0.50, suggesting

that the factors explained more of the variance in the indicator variables. The results therefore

suggest that the indicator variables significantly predict the unobserved construct, because all

the measured variables are significantly associated with the needs and expectation variable.

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Internal Reliability and Validity of Scores

In order to determine the internal consistency of the composition of the needs and expectation

measurement model, the Rho Coefficient and the Cronbach’s Alpha coefficient were examined

to establish reliability (Byrne, 2006:133). According to Kline (2005:59), the reliability

coefficient should be between zero and 1.00. Values close to 1.00 are desired. The Rho

Coefficient of internal consistency was found to be 0.915. This was above the minimum value

of 0.70. Likewise, the Cronbach’s Alpha was also found to be above the minimum value of

0.70 at 0.912. Both values showed a high level of internal consistency and therefore, reliability.

The construct validity was determined by examining the magnitude of the parameter

coefficients (factor loading). High parameter coefficients of greater than 0.5 indicate a close

relationship between the factor and an indicator variable. A parameter coefficient of 0.5 is

interpreted as 25% of the total variance in the indicator variable being explained by the latent

variable (factor). Accordingly, a parameter coefficient has to be between 0.5 - 0.7or greater to

explain about 50% of the variance in an indicator variable (Hair et al., 1998:111). Inspection

of the unstandardized parameter coefficient presented in Table 10.18, revealed that they were

significantly high with the minimum of 0.873 suggesting that the factor accounted for about

64% of the variance in NAE4. This value was however above the acceptable level. On the other

hand, all other parameter estimates were above 50% and therefore indicative of an adequate fit

between the indicator variables and the factor.

Table 10.18: Reliability and Construct Validity of Needs and Expectation Model

Factor Indicator

Variable

Factor

Loading

Cronbach’s

Alpha

Rho

Coefficient

Needs and

Expectation

NAE1 0.834

NAE2 0.872 0.912 0.915

NAE3 0.868

NAE4 0.677

*Parameter estimates are based on standardized solutions

Therefore, the factor needs and expectation satisfied both internal reliability and the construct

validity criteria. The Rho value was above the minimum value of 0.70 (Table 10.18) and the

construct validity criteria was justified by the magnitude, signs and statistical significance of

all parameter coefficients.

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Summary on Needs and Expectation Measurement Model

The residual covariance estimates fell within the acceptable range, the robust fit indexes met

the cut-off index criteria, except for the RMSEA value and the RMSEA with 90% confidence

interval, which produced a poor fit, all other parameter estimates were statistically significant

and feasible. Based on these criteria, the measurement model for the needs and expectations

subscale was found to adequately fit the sample data. Further, there was no significant evidence

of model mis-specification. As a result, there was no need to modify a model that fits well,

because modification may only be fitting small characteristic features of the sample (Byrne,

2006:103). Therefore, the factor needs and expectations appeared to be explained by the

indicator variables NAE1 to NAE4 and hence adequately measured by the needs and

expectation constructs. The measurement model on needs and expectation could therefore be

used in the full latent variable model.

10.3.3.3 Measurement Model for Beneficiary Participation (BNP) Construct

The number of cases that were analysed for the beneficiary participation construct was 751

cases. No case was skipped. From the initial CFA statistical analysis one indicator variable

(BNP5) had an unsatisfactorily high residual covariance matrix factor loading (2.60), hence it

was dropped. Inspection of the Bentler-Weeks Structure representation for the construct

revealed that the BNP has 4 dependent variables, 5 independent variables and 8 free

parameters. The number of fixed non-zero parameter was 5.

Figure 10.4: Measurement Model of Beneficiary Participation

The 4 dependent indicator variables for the BNP, as presented in Table 10.19 and Figure 10.4

was analysed before it could be included in the full latent variable model. In order to establish

how well the mode fit the sample data and the strength of the hypothesised relationship between

the variables, results on residual covariance matrix (unstandardized and standardized),

E4

BNP1

BNP2

BNP3

BNP4

BNP

E1

E2

E3

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distribution of standardised residuals, fit statistics and statistical significance at probability

level of 5% were examined. Additionally, the Cronbach’s Alpha and the Rho Coefficient of

internal consistency were examined for score reliability. Construct validity of the measurement

model was determined from model convergence and the magnitude of parameter coefficients.

Table 10.19: Postulated Beneficiary Participation Model

Latent constructs Indicator variables

(Owners should be consulted…

Label

Beneficiary

Participation

About the house location BNP1

(BNP) About the house design BNP2

About the house construction BNP3

About the internal finishes of the house BNP4

Diagnostic Fit Analysis: Analysis of Residual Covariance Estimate

The average absolute residual values of the BNP construct are presented in Table 10.20 &

10.21. Both unstandardized and standardized average absolute residual matrix values are

presented. Results revealed that all the absolute residual values and the average off-diagonal

absolute residuals, both unstandardized and standardized, were close to zero.

Table 10.20: Residual Covariance Matrix for Beneficiary Participation

(Unstandardized)

Unstandardized Residual Covariance Matrix

BNP1

BNP2

BNP3

BNP4

BNP1 0.000

BNP2 0.019 0.000

BNP3 -0.013 -0.001 0.000

BNP4 -0.005 -0.010 0.009 0.000

Average absolute residual = 0.0056

Average off-diagonal absolute residual = 0.0093

% falling between -0.1 +0.1 = 100%

The unstandardized average off-diagonal residual was 0.0093, while the standardized average

off-diagonal residual was found to be 0.0067. These values were smaller than the 2.58 upper

limits and therefore suggested that the model could have an adequate fit to the sample data. In

addition, 100% of standardised residuals fell between the acceptable range of -0.1 and +0.1

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(Byrne, 2005:94). The favourable diagnostic fit analysis tests justified further tests of

goodness-of-fit on the beneficiary participation construct.

Goodness-of-Fit Statistics – RML

The sample data on beneficiary participation measurement model yield the S – Bχ2 of 2.104

with 2 degrees of freedom (N=751; p = 0.34917). The chi-square was insignificant. This chi-

square value indicated that the departure of the sample data from the postulated measurement

model was not significant and hence, indicative of an acceptable fit. The ratio of the chi-square

to the degrees of freedom was found to be 1.052. This ratio was lower than the upper limit of

3.0 or 5.0 (Kline, 2005:137). The measurement model was therefore considered to be of an

acceptable fit.

Table 10.21: Residual Covariance Matrix for Beneficiary Participation (Standardized)

Standardized Residual Covariance Matrix

BNP1

BNP2

BNP3

BNP4

BNP1 0.000

BNP2 0.013 0.000

BNP3 -0.009 -0.001 0.000

BNP4 -0.003 -0.007 0.007 0.000

Average absolute residual = 0.0040

Average off-diagonal absolute residual = 0.0067

% falling between -0.1 +0.1 = 100%

In addition to the chi-square test, the CFI was found to be 1.000. The CFI value was higher

than the minimum value of 0.95 set for good fit criteria. Moreover, the RMSEA (90% CI) was

found to be 0.008 (lower bound value = 0.000; upper bound value = 0.073). Likewise, the

RMSEA value of 0.008 was higher than the cut-off value of 0.05 for a good fitting model. It

fell within the acceptable range for a model to be considered fitting to the sample data. The

absolute fit index SRMR was found to be 0.006. This value met the cut-off of not exceeding

0.05 for a good fitting model. These fit indexes (Table 10.22) for the beneficiary participation

measurement model suggested that the model adequately fit the sample data and therefore,

could be included in the full latent variable model.

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Table 10.22: Robust fit indexes for beneficiary participation construct

Fit Index Cut-off value Estimate Comment

S – Bχ2 2.104

df 0≥ 2 Acceptable

CFI 0.90≥ acceptable

0.95≥ good fit

0.955 Good fit

SRMR 0.08≥ acceptable

0.05≥ good fit

0.006 Good fit

RMSEA 0.08≥ acceptable

0.05≥ good fit

0.008 Acceptable fit

RMSEA

90% CI

0.000:0.073 Acceptable range

Furthermore, parameter estimates were analysed to determine whether the model worked

properly and hence was reasonable. This involved assessing the magnitude, signs and statistical

significance of the parameter estimates. These statistics are presented in Table 10.23.

Statistical Significance of Parameter Estimates

An assessment of the correlation values, standard errors and the test statistics in Table 10.23

show that 75% of the unstandardized correlation values were greater than 1.00, while 25% was

less than 1.00. However, all standardised coefficient values were not greater than 1.00, Z-values

were greater than 1.96 and the signs were appropriate and reasonable. All parameter estimates

were therefore considered to be reasonable as well as statistically significant. The parameter

with the highest standardised coefficient was the indicator variable BNP3. The parameter

coefficient was found to be 0.937. The indicator variable BNP3, which asked the beneficiaries

their level of agreement, if the owner should be consulted about the house construction, was

found to be more associated with the beneficiary participation factor than the other indicator

variable (BNP1, BNP2 & BNP4). Hence, all standardised parameter estimates had high

correlation values close to 1.00, suggesting that all indicator variables measured the beneficiary

participation factor.

The high correlation values suggest a high degree of linear association between the indicator

variables and the factor of beneficiary participation construct. In addition, the R2 values were

also found to be close to the desired value of 1.00 and hence indicated that the factors of

beneficiary participation explained the variance in the indicator variables. The results therefore

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suggest that the indicator variables significantly predict the factor construct, because all the

measured variables are significantly associated with beneficiary participation.

Table 10.23: Factor loading and Z-statistics of Beneficiary Participation Measurement

Model

Indicator

Variable

Unstandardized

Coefficient (λ)

Standardized

Coefficient (λ)

Z- Statistics

R2

Significant

at 5%

level?

BNP1 0.984 0.821 25.908 0.674 Yes

BNP2 1.085 0.923 35.456 0.851 Yes

BNP3 1.115 0.937 39.528 0.878 Yes

BNP4 1.013 0.881 28.696 0.775 Yes

(Robust statistical significance at 5% level)

Internal Reliability and Validity of Scores

The Rho Coefficient and the Cronbach’s Alpha Coefficient were examined in order to establish

score reliability (Byrne, 2006:133). According to Kline (2005:59), the reliability coefficient

should fall between zero and 1.00. Values close to 1.00 are desired. The Rho Coefficient of

internal consistency was found to be 0.939. This value was above the minimum required value

of 0.70. Similarly, the Cronbach’s alpha was above the minimum acceptable value of 0.70 at

0.938. Both of these values indicated a high degree of internal consistency and homogeneity

(Table 10.24).

Construct validity was determined by examining the magnitude and signs of the parameter

coefficients. High parameter coefficients of greater than 0.5 indicate a close relation between

the factor and an indicator variable. A parameter coefficient of 0.5 is interpreted as 25% of the

total variance in the indicator variable being explained by the latent variable (factor). Therefore,

a parameter coefficient has to be greater than 0.5 or ideally 0.7 to explain about 50% of the

variance in an indicator variable (Hair et al., 1998:111). Inspection of the standardized

parameter coefficient in Table 10.24 revealed that all coefficients were significantly high with

the minimum factor loading being 0.821 for the relationship between BNP1 and the measured

factor. This parameter estimate of 0.821 suggested that the measured factor accounts for

62.15% of the variance in BNP1. Hence, the magnitude of the parameter estimate was above

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the 50% minimum acceptable level, which indicates a strong relationship between the indicator

variables and the factors.

Table 10.24: Reliability and Construct Validity of Beneficiary Participation Model

Factor Indicator

Variable

Factor

Loading

Cronbach’s

Alpha

Rho

Coefficient

Beneficiary BNP1 0.821

Participation BNP2 0.923 0.938 0.939

BNP3 0.937

BNP4 0.881

*Parameter estimates are based on standardized solutions

As a result, the beneficiary participation construct satisfied both internal reliability and

construct validity criteria because the Rho value was above the minimum value of 0.70, the

magnitude, signs and statistical significance of the parameter estimates were fitting.

Summary on Beneficiary Participation Measurement Model

The measurement model for the beneficiary participation construct revealed an adequate fit to

the sample data. The residual covariance estimates fell within the acceptable range of -0.1 to

+0.1; the robust fit indexes (CFI = 1.00; RMSEA = 0.008 & SRMR = 0.006) met the cut-off

index criteria and the standardised parameter estimates were found to be statistically significant

at 5% level and were feasible. Consequently, there was no need to improve the measurement

model before including it in the full latent variable model.

10.3.3.4 Measurement Model for Building Quality Feature (BQF) Construct

The number of cases that were analysed for the beneficiary participation construct was 751

cases. The number of cases that were skipped was 6 because of missing variables. Primary

CFA results of the residual covariance matrix showed that ten indicator variables (BQF1, BQF6

– BQF9, & BQF12 - BQF16) had high values (3.20 - 4.52), hence they were dropped.

Examination of the Bentler-Weeks structure representation for the six variables that passed the

first CFA test revealed that the BQF construct has 6 dependent variables, 7 independent

variables and 12 free parameters. The number of fixed non-zero parameter was 7. The 6

dependent indicator variables for the BQF are presented in Table 10.25 and Figure 10.5. These

was analysed before it could be included in the full latent variable model.

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Figure 10.5: Measurement Model of Building Quality Features

In order to establish how well the mode fit the sample data and the strength of the hypothesised

relationship between the variables, results on residual covariance matrix (unstandardized and

standardized), distribution of standardised residuals, fit statistics and statistical significance at

probability level of 5% were examined. Additionally, the Cronbach’s Alpha and the Rho

Coefficient of internal consistency were examined for score reliability. Construct validity of

the measurement model was determined from model convergence and the magnitude of

parameter coefficients. Results on these statistics are presented in the following section for the

BQF construct.

Table 10.25: Postulated Building Quality Features Model

Latent constructs Indicator variables

(How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with…

Label

Building Quality Internal construction quality BQF2

Feature (BQF) Water pressure BQF3

Wall quality BQF4

Floor quality BQF5

Plumbing quality BQF10

The finished quality of sanitary system BQF11

Diagnostic Fit Analysis: Analysis of Residual Covariance Estimate

The average absolute residual values of the building quality feature construct are presented in

Table 10.26 and 10.27. Results revealed that all the absolute residual values and the average

off-diagonal absolute residual values were close to zero. The unstandardized average off-

diagonal residual was 0.0451, while the standardized average off-diagonal residual was found

to be 0.0341.

E11

BQF2

BQF3

BQF4

BQF5

BQF10

BQF11

BQF

E2

E3

E4

E5

E10

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Table 10.26: Residual Covariance Matrix for Building Quality Feature Model

(Unstandardized)

Unstandardized Residual Covariance Matrix

BQF2 BQF3 BQF4 BQF5 BQF10 BQF11

BQF2 0.000

BQF3 -0.085 0.000

BQF4 0.037 -0.014 0.000

BQF5 -0.007 -0.008 0.017 0.000

BQF10 -0.017 0.064 -0.032 -0.013 0.000

BQF11 -0.033 0.096 -0.060 -0.026 0.167 0.000

Average absolute residual = 0.0322

Average off-diagonal absolute residual = 0.0451

% falling between -0.1 +0.1 = 99.99%

These residual values were considered small as they were all less than 2.58 (Byrne, 2006:94).

In addition, 99.99% of the unstandardized and standardised residual fell within the acceptable

range of -0.1 and +0.1. The significance of this distribution is that for a model to be described

as well-fitting, the distribution of standardised residuals should be symmetrical and centred

around zero (Byrne, 2006:94).

Table 10.27: Residual Covariance Matrix for Building Quality Feature Model

(Standardized)

Standardized Residual Covariance Matrix

BQF2 BQF3 BQF4 BQF5 BQF10 BQF11

BQF2 0.000

BQF3 -0.067 0.000

BQF4 0.027 -0.011 0.000

BQF5 -0.005 -0.006 0.013 0.000

BQF10 -0.012 0.050 -0.023 -0.009 0.000

BQF11 -0.024 0.077 -0.044 -0.020 0.122 0.000

Average absolute residual = 0.0243

Average off-diagonal absolute residual = 0.0341

% falling between -0.1 +0.1 = 99.99%

From the above information, the results seemed to suggest that the model had a good-fit to the

sample data. Therefore, since this initial assessment of residuals indicated a good fit; a further

test of goodness-of-fit was justified.

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Goodness-of-Fit Statistics – RML

The sample data on BQF measurement model yield an S – Bχ2 of 76.438 with 9 degrees of

freedom. The associated p-value was determined to be 0.0000 for the analysed sample of 751

cases. The chi-square value suggested that the difference between the sample data and the

postulated building quality features measurement model was insignificant. Additionally, the

ratio of S – Bχ2 to the degrees of freedom was determined to be 8.49, which was higher than

the upper limit value of 5.0 (Kline, 2005:137).

Similarly, other fit indexes indicated a good fit of the model to the sample (Table 10.28). The

robust CFI index of 0.964 was greater than the cut-off value for a good fitting model. A model

is said to be a good fit if the CFI is above the cut-off value of 0.95 (Hu & Bentler, 1999:27).

The robust RMSEA with 90% confidence interval (lower bound value = 0.080 and the upper

bound value = 0.121) was found to be 0.100. This value was a bit above the maximum value

of 0.08 for a good fit model; this is considered an acceptable average model fit (MacCallum et

al., 1996). In addition to the RMSEA value, the absolute fit index SRMR was found to be

0.039. This value indicated a very good fit because a good fitting model is expected to have an

SRMR index lower or equal to 0.05 while an index of 0.08 is sufficient to accept the postulated

model.

Table 10.28: Robust Fit Indexes for Building Quality Features Construct

Fit Index Cut-off value Estimate Comment

S – Bχ2 76.438

df 0≥ 9 Acceptable

CFI 0.90≥ acceptable

0.95≥ good fit

0.964 Good fit

SRMR 0.08≥ acceptable

0.05≥ good fit

0.039 Good fit

RMSEA 0.08≥ acceptable

0.05≥ good fit

0.100 Acceptable fit

RMSEA

90% CI

0.080:0.121 Slightly out of

range

The absolute fit index SRMR accounts for the average discrepancy between the sample and the

postulated correlation matrices and therefore, it represents the average value across all

standardised residuals and ranges between zero and 1.00 (Byrne, 2006:94). Evaluation of the

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SRMR, RMSEA (90% CI) and the CFI fit indexes indicated a good fit of the measurement

model for the building quality features factor because those indexes met the condition for a

good fit (Table 10.28). Additionally, parameter estimates were analysed to determine whether

the model worked properly and was feasible. This involved evaluating the magnitude, signs

and statistical significance of the parameter estimates. These statistics are presented in Table

10.29.

Statistical Significance of Parameter Estimates

Apart from assessing the goodness-of-fit or the lack of it, feasibility of a model can be judged

by a further inspection of the obtained solution and this involves inspection of parameter

estimates, standard errors and the test statistics (Raykov, 1991:501). Estimates are said to be

unreasonable if in the standardised output there are estimates that have correlation values that

are greater than 1.00, have negative variances and the correlation or covariances are not definite

positive (Byrne, 2006:103). Also, the test statistics needs to be greater than 1.96 based on the

probability level of 5% before the hypothesis can be rejected (Byrne, 2006:103). The test

statistics reported in this study was the parameter estimate divided by its standard error and

therefore it functions as a Z-statistics to test that the estimate is statistically different from zero.

Table 10.29: Factor loading and Z-statistics of Building Quality Features Measurement

Model

Indicator

variable

Unstandardized

Coefficient (λ)

Standardized

Coefficient (λ)

Z- Statistics

R2

Significant

at 5%

level?

BQF2 0.903 0.769 24.599 0.592 Yes

BQF3 0.509 0.468 9.648 0.219 Yes

BQF4 1.049 0.893 37.724 0.797 Yes

BQF5 1.027 0.897 34.941 0.804 Yes

BQF10 0.957 0.809 26.869 0.654 Yes

BQF11 0.749 0.649 19.612 0.421 Yes

(Robust statistical significance at 5% level)

An assessment of the correlation values, standard errors and the test statistic in Table 10.29

revealed that majority of the standardized coefficient correlation values were not greater than

1.00; while 2 indicator variables BQF4 (unstandardized λ= 1.049) and BQF5 (unstandardized

λ= 1.027) coefficient value were greater than 1.00. Test statistics (Z-values) were greater than

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1.96 (p<0.05) and the signs were appropriate (positive). The estimates were therefore found to

be reasonable, as well as statistically significant. The parameter with the highest standardized

coefficient was the indicator variable BQF5. The parameter coefficient was found to be 0.897.

The variable BQF5, which asked the respondents’ level of satisfaction, with the building floor

quality, was found to be more associated with the construct of building quality feature than all

other variables. Nevertheless, all standardized parameter estimates showed high correlations

values with about 83% above 0.50 and only 17% below 0.50, suggesting a high degree of linear

association between the indicator variables and the building quality factor. In addition, R2

values were found to be close to the desired value of 1.00. The only exceptions were the

indicator variables BQF3 and BQF11. The R2 values for these variables were below 0.50. The

results therefore suggest that the indicator variables predict the factor construct considerably.

Internal Reliability and Validity of Scores

In order to determine the internal consistency of the composition of the building quality feature

measurement model, the Rho Coefficient and the Cronbach’s Alpha coefficient were examined

to establish reliability (Byrne, 2006:133). According to Kline (2005:59), the reliability

coefficient should be between zero and 1.00. Values close to 1.00 are desired. The Rho

Coefficient of internal consistency was found to be 0.892. This was above the minimum value

of 0.70. Similarly, the Cronbach’s Alpha was also found to be above the minimum value of

0.70 at 0.885. Both values showed a high level of internal consistency, and therefore, reliability.

The construct validity was determined by examining the magnitude of the parameter

coefficients (factor loading). High parameter coefficients of greater than 0.5 indicate a close

relation between the factor and an indicator variable. A parameter coefficient of 0.5 is

interpreted as 25% of the total variance in the indicator variable being explained by the latent

variable (factor). Hence, a parameter coefficient has to be between 0.5-0.7 or greater to explain

about 50% of the variance in an indicator variable (Hair et al., 1998:111). Inspection of the

unstandardized parameter coefficient presented in Table 10.30, shows that they were

significantly high with the minimum of 0.509, which suggested that the factor accounted for

about 50.45% of the variance in BQF3.

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Table 10.30: Reliability and Construct Validity of Building Quality Feature Model

Factor Indicator

Variable

Factor

Loading

Cronbach’s

Alpha

Rho

Coefficient

Building

quality

BQF2 0.769

Feature (BQF) BQF3 0.468 0.885 0.892

BQF4 0.893

BQF5 0.897

BQF10 0.809

BQF11 0.649

*Parameter estimates are based on standardized solutions

This value was however above the acceptable level. On the other hand, all other parameter

estimates were above 50% and therefore indicative of an adequate fit between the indicator

variables and the factor. Therefore the factor, building quality features satisfied both internal

reliability and the construct validity criteria. The Rho value was above the minimum value of

0.70 (Table 10.30) and the construct validity criteria was justified by the magnitude, signs and

statistical significance of all parameter coefficients.

Summary on Building Quality Feature Measurement Model

The CFA output results revealed that the residual covariance estimates fell within the

acceptable range, the robust fit indexes met the cut-off index criteria, except for the RMSEA

value and the RMSEA with 90% confidence interval which produced an average fit. All other

parameter estimates were statistically significant and feasible. It was therefore concluded

therefore, that the measurement model for the building quality feature, had an adequate fit to

the sample data. Consequently, there was no need to improve the measurement before it could

be included in the full latent variable model.

10.3.3.5 Measurement Model for Neighbourhood Features (NDF) Construct

The number of cases that were analysed for the neighbourhood feature construct was 749 cases

from a sample of 751. Two cases were skipped because of missing variables. Preliminary

observation of the data revealed that the residual covariance matrix scores for seventeen

indicator variables (NDF2, NDF4, NDF6, NDF8-NDF9, & NDF11-NDF22) had unacceptably

high scores (values ranged from 2.95-4.71); hence they were dropped from further CFA

analysis. Therefore only five indicator variables passed the test and were used for the

assessment of the measurement model goodness-of-fit. Examination of the Bentler-Weeks

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structure representation for the approved construct revealed that the NDF construct has 5

dependent variables, 6 independent variables and 10 free parameters. The number of fixed non-

zero parameter was 6. The 6 dependent indicator variables for the NDF are presented in Table

10.31 and Figure 10.6. These was analysed before it could be included in the full latent variable

model. In order to establish how well the mode fit the sample data and the strength of the

hypothesised relationship between the variables, results on residual covariance matrix

(unstandardized and standardized), distribution of standardised residuals, fit statistics and

statistical significance at probability level of 5% were examined.

Figure 10.6: Measurement Model of Neighbourhood Features

In addition, the Cronbach’s Alpha and the Rho Coefficient of internal consistency were

examined for score reliability. Construct validity of the measurement model was determined

from model convergence and the magnitude of parameter coefficients. Results on these

statistics are presented in the following section for the NDF construct.

Table 10.31: Postulated Neighbourhood Features Model

Latent constructs Indicator variables

(How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with…

Label

Neighbourhood

Features (NDF)

Location of the dwelling unit in the

neighbourhood

NDF1

Quality of landscaping in the neighbourhood NDF3

Ease of access to main road NDF5

Quality of street lighting at night NDF7

Cleanliness of the neighbourhood NDF10

E10

NDF1

NDF3

NDF5

NDF7

NDF10

NDF

E1

E3

E5

E7

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Diagnostic Fit Analysis: Analysis of Residual Covariance Estimate

Average absolute residual values of the building quality feature construct are presented in Table

10.32 and 10.33. Results revealed that all the absolute residual values and the average off-

diagonal absolute residual values were close to zero. The unstandardized average off-diagonal

residual was 0.0526 while the standardized average off-diagonal residual was found to be

0.0493. These residual values were considered small as they were all less than 2.58 (Byrne,

2006:94). In addition, 99.99% of the unstandardized and standardised residual fell within the

acceptable range of -0.1 and +0.1. The significance of this distribution is that for a model to be

described as well-fitting, the distribution of standardised residuals should be symmetrical and

centred around zero (Byrne, 2006:94).

Table 10.32: Residual Covariance Matrix for Neighbourhood Feature Model

(Unstandardized)

Unstandardized Residual Covariance Matrix

NDF1 NDF3 NDF5 NDF7 NDF10

NDF1 0.000

NDF3 0.075 0.000

NDF5 -0.023 -0.011 0.000

NDF7 -0.045 -0.041 0.043 0.000

NDF10 0.009 0.120 -0.015 0.144 0.000

Average absolute residual = 0.0350

Average off-diagonal absolute residual = 0.0526

% falling between -0.1 +0.1 = 99.99%

Table 10.33: Residual Covariance Matrix for Neighbourhood Feature Model

(Standardized)

Standardized Residual Covariance Matrix

NDF1 NDF3 NDF5 NDF7 NDF10

NDF1 0.000

NDF3 0.085 0.000

NDF5 -0.026 -0.012 0.000

NDF7 -0.041 -0.037 0.040 0.000

NDF10 -0.009 0.116 -0.014 0.112 0.000

Average absolute residual = 0.0329

Average off-diagonal absolute residual = 0.0493

% falling between -0.1 +0.1 = 99.99%

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From the residual covariance matrix information, the results suggest that the model had a good-

fit to the sample data. Therefore, since this initial assessment of residuals indicated a good fit;

a further test of goodness-of-fit was justified.

Goodness-of-Fit Statistics – RML

The sample data on NDF measurement model yield an S – Bχ2 of 53.024 with 5 degrees of

freedom. The associated p-value was determined to be 0.0000 for the analysed sample of 749

cases. The chi-square value advocated that the difference between the sample data and the

postulated neighbourhood features measurement model was insignificant. Additionally, the

ratio of S – Bχ2 to the degrees of freedom was determined to be 10.61, which was higher than

the upper limit value of 5.0 (Kline, 2005:137).

Table 10.34: Robust Fit Indexes for Neighbourhood Feature Construct

Fit Index Cut-off value Estimate Comment

S – Bχ2 53.024

df 0≥ 5 Acceptable

CFI 0.90≥ acceptable

0.95≥ good fit

0.931 Good fit

GFI 0.90≥ acceptable

0.95≥ good fit

0.958 Good fit

SRMR 0.08≥ acceptable

0.05≥ good fit

0.050 Good fit

RMSEA 0.08≥ acceptable

0.05≥ good fit

0.113 Acceptable fit

RMSEA

90% CI

0.087:0.141 Slightly out of

range

Correspondingly, other fit indexes indicated a good fit of the model to the sample. The robust

Goodness-of-fit (GFI) index of 0.958 was greater than the cut-off value for a good fitting

model. Whilst the CFI index of 0.931 was slightly lower than the cut-off value for a good fitting

model. A model is said to be a good fit if the CFI and GFI are above the cut-off value of 0.95

(Hu & Bentler, 1999:27; Joreskog & Sorbom, 1996). With the drop (difference of 0.019) in the

CFI value, the model can be described to have an acceptable fit. The robust RMSEA with 90%

confidence interval (lower bound value = 0.087 and the upper bound value = 0.141) was found

to be 0.113. This value was above the maximum value of 0.08 for a good fit model. However,

this is considered an acceptable mediocre model fit (MacCallum et al., 1996).

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In addition to the RMSEA value, the absolute fit index SRMR was found to be 0.05. This value

indicated a very good fit because a good fitting model is expected to have an SRMR index

lower or equal to 0.05, while an index of 0.08 is sufficient to accept the postulated model. The

absolute fit index SRMR accounts for the average discrepancy between the sample and the

postulated correlation matrices and therefore, it represents the average value across all

standardised residuals and ranges between zero and 1.00 (Byrne, 2006:94). Evaluation of the

SRMR, RMSEA (90% CI), GFI and the CFI fit indexes indicated an acceptable fit of the

measurement model for the neighbourhood features factor (Table 10.34). Furthermore,

parameter estimates were analysed to determine whether the model worked properly and was

feasible. This involved evaluating the magnitude, signs and statistical significance of the

parameter estimates. These statistics are presented in Table 10.35.

Statistical Significance of Parameter Estimates

Raykov (1991:501) recommends that further examination of factor loading (parameter

coefficients), standard errors and the test statistics should be conducted in addition to the

analysis of fit statistics before conclusion could be drawn about the appropriateness of the

postulated models. Therefore, these estimates were examined and are presented in this section.

Table 10.35: Factor loading and Z-statistics of Neighbourhood Features Measurement

Model

Indicator

Variable

Unstandardized

Coefficient (λ)

Standardized

Coefficient (λ)

Z- Statistics

R2

Significant

at 5%

level?

NDF1 0.674 0.719 15.910 0.517 Yes

NDF3 0.624 0.662 14.744 0.439 Yes

NDF5 0.624 0.684 18.429 0.467 Yes

NDF7 0.842 0.722 21.429 0.521 Yes

NDF10 0.444 0.401 12.822 0.161 Yes

(Robust statistical significance at 5% level)

Byrne (2006:103) informs that estimates are said to be unreasonable if they have correlations

values greater than 1.00, have negative variances and the correlation or covariances are not

definite positive. Furthermore, the test statistics need to be greater than 1.96 based on the

probability level of 5% before the hypothesis can be rejected. The test statistics in this study

was the parameter estimate divided by its standard error and therefore, it functions as a Z-

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statistics to test that the estimate is statistically different from zero. The coefficient was

therefore referred to as the Z-statistics. Inspection of the correlation values, standard errors and

the test statistic in Table 10.35 reveal that all standardized coefficient correlation values were

not greater than 1.00; all test statistics (Z-values) were greater than 1.96 (p<0.05) and the signs

were appropriate (positive). The estimates were therefore reasonable, as well as statistically

significant. The parameter with the highest standardized coefficient was the indicator variable

NDF7. The parameter coefficient was found to be 0.722.

The variable NDF7, which asked the respondents’ about their level of satisfaction with the

quality of street lighting at night, was found to associate more with the construct of

neighbourhood feature than all other variables. Nonetheless, all standardized parameter

estimates showed high correlations values close to 1.00 suggesting a high degree of linear

association between the indicator variables and the latent construct. In addition, R2 values were

found to be close to the desired value of 1.00. The only exceptions were the indicator variables

NDF3, NDF4 and NDF10. The R2 values for this variable were below 0.50. Despite these

values, the overall results suggest that the indicator variables considerably predict the factor

construct.

Internal Reliability and Validity of Scores

In order to determine the internal consistency of the composition of the measurement model,

the Rho Coefficient and the Cronbach’s Alpha Coefficient were examined to establish

reliability. According to Kline (2005:59), the reliability coefficient should fall between zero

and 1.00. Values close to 1.00 are desired. The Rho Coefficient of internal consistency was

found to be 0.772. This was above the minimum value of 0.70. Equally, the Cronbach’s Alpha

was also found to be above the minimum value of 0.70 at 0.764. Both values showed a high

level of internal consistency and therefore reliability.

The construct validity was determined by examining the magnitude of the parameter

coefficients. High parameter coefficients of greater than 0.5, indicate a close relation between

the factor and an indicator variable. A parameter coefficient of 0.5 is interpreted as 25% of the

total variance in the indicator variable being explained by the latent variable (factor). Therefore,

a parameter coefficient has to be between 0.5 - 0.7or greater to explain about 50% of the

variance in an indicator variable (Hair et al., 1998:111). Inspection of the unstandardized

parameter coefficient presented in Table 10.35, shown that they were significantly high with

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the minimum at 0.444. The parameter estimate of 0.444 meant that the neighbourhood factor

accounted for about 47% of the variance in NDF10 and therefore indicative of a good fit

between the indicator variable and the factor.

Therefore, the neighbourhood factor satisfied both internal reliability and the construct validity

criteria. The Rho value was above the minimum value of 0.70 (Table 10.36) and the construct

validity criteria was justified by the magnitude, signs and statistical significance of all

parameter coefficients.

Table 10.36: Reliability and Construct Validity of Neighbourhood Feature Model

Factor Indicator

Variable

Factor

Loading

Cronbach’s

Alpha

Rho

Coefficient

Neighbourhood NDF1 0.719

Feature (NDF) NDF3 0.662 0.764 0.772

NDF5 0.684

NDF7 0.722

NDF10 0.401

*Parameter estimates are based on standardized solutions

Summary on Neighbourhood Feature Measurement Model

The residual covariance estimates fell within the acceptable range; the robust fit indexes had

an acceptable fit, while the RMSEA value and the RMSEA with 90% confidence interval

produced an average fit. All other parameter estimates were statistically significant and

feasible. It was therefore concluded that the measurement model for the neighbourhood feature,

had an adequate fit to the sample data. Consequently, there was no need to improve the

measurement before it could be included in the full latent variable model.

10.3.3.6 Measurement Model for Service Provided by Government (SPG)

Construct

The number of cases that were analysed for the service provided by government latent construct

were 751 cases. No case was skipped because there were no missing variables. From the

initially hypothesized thirteen indicators, preliminary investigation of the CFA output revealed

that the residual covariance scores for nine indicator variables (SPG1 - SPG7, & SPG10 -

SPG11) had covariance matrices scores; hence they were dropped from further CFA analysis.

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Figure 10.7: Measurement model of services provided by government

Examination of the Bentler-Weeks structure representation for the indicator variables that

passed the first statistical exploration analysis revealed that the SPG construct has 4 dependent

variables, 5 independent variables and 8 free parameters. The number of fixed non-zero

parameter was 5. The 4 dependent indicator variables for the SPG construct are presented in

Table 10.37 and Figure 10.7. These was analysed before inclusion in the full latent variable

model. In order to establish how well the mode fit the sample data and the strength of the

hypothesised relationship between the variables, results on residual covariance matrix

(unstandardized and standardized), distribution of standardised residuals, fit statistics and

statistical significance at probability level of 5% were examined.

Table 10.37: Postulated Services Provided by Government Model

Latent constructs Indicator variables

(How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with…

Label

Services Provided

by Government

How well residents’ complaints are handled SPG8

(SPG) Government response to building defects SPG9

Enforcement of rules by the Department of

Human Settlement (Housing)

SPG12

Overall services provided by the government SPG13

Likewise, the Cronbach’s Alpha and the Rho Coefficient of internal consistency were

examined for score reliability. Construct validity of the measurement model was determined

from model convergence and the magnitude of parameter coefficients. Results on these

statistics are presented in the following section for the SPG construct.

Diagnostic Fit Analysis: Analysis of Residual Covariance Estimate

Average absolute residual values of the services provided by government latent construct are

presented in Table 10.38 and 10.39. Results revealed that all the absolute residual values and

E13

SPG8

SPG9

SPG12

SPG13

SPG

E8

E9

E12

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the average off-diagonal absolute residual values were close to zero. The unstandardized

average off-diagonal residual was 0.0262, while the standardized average off-diagonal residual

was found to be 0.0245.

Table 10.38: Residual Covariance Matrix for Services Provided by Government Model

(Unstandardized)

Unstandardized Residual Covariance Matrix

SGP8 SPG9 SPG12 SPG13

SPG8 0.000

SPG9 0.034 0.000

SPG12 -0.052 0.003 0.000

SPG13 0.006 -0.028 0.034 0.000

Average absolute residual = 0.0157

Average off-diagonal absolute residual = 0.0262

% falling between -0.1 +0.1 = 100%

Table 10.391: Residual covariance matrix for services provided by government model

(Standardized) Standardized residual covariance matrix

SGP8 SPG9 SPG12 SPG13

SPG8 0.000

SPG9 0.034 0.000

SPG12 -0.052 0.003 0.000

SPG13 0.006 -0.028 0.034 0.000

Average absolute residual = 0.0147

Average off-diagonal absolute residual = 0.0245

% falling between -0.1 +0.1 = 100%

These residual values were considered small as they were all less than 2.58 (Byrne, 2006:94).

In addition, 100% of the unstandardized and standardised residual fell within the acceptable

range of -0.1 and +0.1. The significance of this distribution is that for a model to be described

as well-fitting, the distribution of standardised residuals should be symmetrical and centred

around zero (Byrne, 2006:94). From the above information, the results suggest that the model

had a good-fit to the sample data. Therefore, since this initial assessment of residuals indicated

a good fit; a further test of goodness-of-fit was justified.

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Goodness-of-Fit Statistics – RML

The sample data for SPG measurement model yield an S – Bχ2 of 21.019 with 2 degrees of

freedom (N = 751; p = 0.0003). The chi-square value revealed that the difference between the

sample data and the postulated neighbourhood features measurement model was insignificant.

Additionally, the ratio of S – Bχ2 to the degrees of freedom was determined to be 10.51 which

was higher than the upper limit value of 5.0 (Kline, 2005:137).

However, other fit indexes indicated a good fit of the model to the sample. The robust

Goodness-of-fit (GFI) index of 0.970 was greater than the cut-off value for a good fitting

model. Whilst the CFI index of 0.990 was also higher that the cut-off value for a good fitting

model. Hence, the model can be described to have an acceptable fit. The robust RMSEA with

90% confidence interval (lower bound value = 0.073 and the upper bound value = 0.159) was

found to be 0.113. This value was above the maximum value of 0.08 for a good fit model.

However, this is considered an acceptable mediocre fit model (MacCallum et al., 1996).

Table 10.40: Robust Fit Indexes for Services Provided by Government Construct

Fit Index Cut-off value Estimate Comment

S – Bχ2 21.019

df 0≥ 2 Acceptable

CFI 0.90≥ acceptable

0.95≥ good fit

0.990 Good fit

GFI 0.90≥ acceptable

0.95≥ good fit

0.97 Good fit

SRMR 0.08≥ acceptable

0.05≥ good fit

0.023 Good fit

RMSEA 0.08≥ acceptable

0.05≥ good fit

0.113 Acceptable fit

RMSEA

90% CI

0.087:0.141 Slightly out of

range

In addition to the RMSEA value, the absolute fit index SRMR was found to be 0.023. This

value indicated a very good fit because a good fitting model is expected to have an SRMR

index lower or equal to 0.05, while an index of 0.08 is sufficient to accept the postulated model.

The absolute fit index SRMR accounts for the average discrepancy between the sample and the

postulated correlation matrices and therefore, it represents the average value across all

standardised residuals and ranges between zero and 1.00 (Byrne, 2006:94). Evaluation of the

SRMR, RMSEA (90% CI), GFI and the CFI fit indexes indicated an acceptable fit of the

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measurement model for the neighbourhood features factor (Table 10.40). Furthermore,

parameter estimates were analysed to determine whether the model worked properly and was

feasible. This involved evaluating the magnitude, signs and statistical significance of the

parameter estimates. These statistics are presented in Table 10.41.

Statistical Significance of Parameter Estimates

Raykov (1991:501) recommended that further examination of factor loading (parameter

coefficients), standard errors and the test statistics should be conducted in addition to the

analysis of fit statistics before conclusion could be made about the appropriateness of the

postulated models. Therefore, these estimates were examined and are presented in this section.

Table 10.41: Factor loading and Z-statistics of Services Provided by Government

Measurement Model

Indicator

Variable

Unstandardized

Coefficient (λ)

Standardized

Coefficient (λ)

Z- Statistics

R2

Significant

at 5%

level?

SPG8 0.812 0.792 27.482 0.627 Yes

SPG9 0.940 0.894 40.826 0.799 Yes

SPG12 0.891 0.858 33.433 0.736 Yes

SPG13 0.861 0.839 32.536 0.705 Yes

(Robust statistical significance at 5% level)

Also, Byrne (2006:103) informs that estimates are said to be unreasonable if they have

correlations values greater than 1.00, have negative variances and the correlation or

covariances are not definite positive. Furthermore, the test statistics need to be greater than

1.96 based on the probability level of 5% before the hypothesis can be rejected. Inspection of

the correlation values, standard errors and the test statistic in Table 10.41 reveal that all

standardized coefficient correlation values were not greater than 1.00; all test statistics (Z-

values) were greater than 1.96 (p<0.05) and the signs were appropriate (positive). The estimates

were therefore reasonable as well as statistically significant. The parameter with the highest

standardized coefficient was the indicator variable SPG9. The parameter coefficient was found

to be 0.894.

The variable SPG9, which asked the respondents about their level of satisfaction with

government response to building defects, was found to be more associated with the construct

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of services provided by government than other variables. Nonetheless, all standardized

parameter estimates showed high correlations values close to 1.00 suggesting a high degree of

linear association between the indicator variables and the latent construct. In addition, R2 values

were found to be close to the desired value of 1.00 indicating that the factors explained more

of the variance in the indicator variables.

Internal Reliability and Validity of Scores

The internal consistency and reliability of scores for the measurement model were determined

from the Rho Coefficient and the Cronbach’s Alpha coefficient. According to Kline (2005:59),

the reliability coefficient should fall between zero and 1.00. Values close to 1.00 are desired.

The Rho Coefficient of internal consistency was found to be 0.910. This was above the

minimum value of 0.70. Equally, the Cronbach’s Alpha was also found to be above the

minimum value of 0.70 at 0.909. Both values showed a high level of internal consistency and

therefore reliability.

Table 10.42: Reliability and Construct Validity of Services Provided by Government

Model

Factor Indicator

Variable

Factor

Loading

Cronbach’s

Alpha

Rho

Coefficient

Services SPG8 0.792

Provided by SPG9 0.894 0.909 0.910

Government SPG12 0.858

(SPG) SPG13 0.839

*Parameter estimates are based on standardized solutions

The construct validity was determined by examining the magnitude of the parameter

coefficients. High parameter coefficients of greater than 0.5 indicate a close relation between

the factor and an indicator variable. A parameter coefficient of 0.5 is interpreted as 25% of the

total variance in the indicator variable being explained by the latent variable (factor). Therefore,

a parameter coefficient has to be between 0.5 - 0.7or greater to explain about 50% of the

variance in an indicator variable (Hair et al., 1998:111). Inspection of the unstandardized

parameter coefficient presented in Table 10.42, revealed that they were significantly high with

the minimum of 0.812. The parameter estimate of 0.812 meant that the services provided by

government factor accounted for about 61.89% of the variance in SPG8 and therefore

indicative of a good fit between the indicator variable and the factor.

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Therefore, the services provided by government factor satisfied both internal reliability and the

construct validity criteria. The Rho value was above the minimum value of 0.70 (Table 10.42)

and the construct validity criteria was justified by the magnitude, signs and statistical

significance of all parameter coefficients.

Summary on Services Provided by Government Measurement Model

The residual covariance estimates fell within the acceptable range; the robust fit indexes had a

good fit, while the RMSEA value and the RMSEA with 90% confidence interval produced an

average fit. All other parameter estimates were statistically significant and feasible. It was

therefore concluded that the measurement model for the services provided by government, had

a good fit to the sample data. Consequently, there was no need to improve the measurement

model; hence, it was proper to be included in the full latent variable model.

10.3.3.7 Measurement Model for Residential Satisfaction (RS) Outcome Variables

The number of cases that were analysed for the residential satisfaction manifest construct was

751 cases. Two cases were skipped because of missing variables. From the initially

hypothesized seven indicators, primary observation of the CFA data revealed that the residual

covariance matrix scores for two indicator variables (RS2 & RS6) were more than the cut-off

of 2.58 (Byrne, 2006:94; Joreskog & Sorbom, 1988). Hence they were dropped from the CFA

analysis. Inspection of the Bentler-Weeks structure representation revealed that the remaining

RS manifest construct has 4 dependent variables, 5 independent variables and 8 free

parameters.

Figure 10.8: Measurement Model of Residential Satisfaction Manifest Construct

The number of fixed non-zero parameter was 5. The 4 dependent indicator variables for the RS

manifest variables are presented in Table 10.43 and Figure 10.8. These were further analysed

E7

RS1

RS3

RS5

RS7

RS

E1

E3

E5

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before it could be included in the full latent variable model. In order to determine how well the

mode fit the sample data and the strength of the hypothesised relationship between the

variables, results on residual covariance matrix (unstandardized and standardized), distribution

of standardised residuals, fit statistics and statistical significance at probability level of 5%

were examined. Furthermore, the Cronbach’s Alpha and the Rho Coefficient of internal

consistency were examined for score reliability. Construct validity of the measurement model

was determined from model convergence and the magnitude of parameter coefficients. Results

on these statistics are presented in the following section for the RS construct.

Table 10.43: Postulated Residential Satisfaction Manifest Model

Latent

Constructs

Indicator Variables

Label

Residential I am satisfied living here RS1

Satisfaction I am taking proper care of my neighbourhood RS3

(RS) I am not intending to move to another place in the

future

RS5

I will recommend to my friends to obtain a house

in the same way that I did

RS7

Diagnostic Fit Analysis: Analysis of Residual Covariance Estimate

Average absolute residual values of the building quality feature construct are presented in Table

10.44 and 10.45.

Table 10.44: Residual Covariance Matrix for Residential Satisfaction Model

(Unstandardized)

Unstandardized Residual Covariance Matrix

RS1 RS3 RS5 RS7

RS1 0.000

RS3 0.024 0.000

RS5 -0.070 0.028 0.000

RS7 0.014 -0.052 0.067 0.000

Average absolute residual = 0.0254

Average off-diagonal absolute residual = 0.0424

% falling between -0.1 +0.1 = 100%

Results revealed that all the absolute residual values and the average off-diagonal absolute

residual values were close to zero. The unstandardized average off-diagonal residual was

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0.0424 while the standardized average off-diagonal residual was found to be 0.0377. These

residual values were considered small as they were all less than 2.58 (Byrne, 2006:94). In

addition, 100% of the unstandardized and standardised residual fell within the acceptable range

of -0.1 and +0.1. The significance of this distribution is that for a model to be described as

well-fitting, the distribution of standardised residuals should be symmetrical and centred

around zero (Byrne, 2006:94).

Table 10.45: Residual Covariance Matrix for Residential Satisfaction Model

(Standardized)

Unstandardized Residual Covariance Matrix

RS1 RS3 RS5 RS7

RS1 0.000

RS3 0.027 0.000

RS5 -0.053 0.033 0.000

RS7 0.010 -0.056 0.047 0.000

Average absolute residual = 0.0226

Average off-diagonal absolute residual = 0.0377

% falling between -0.1 +0.1 = 100%

From the above information, the results suggest that the model had a good-fit to the sample

data. Therefore, since this initial assessment of residuals indicated a good fit; a further test of

goodness-of-fit was justified.

Goodness-of-Fit Statistics – RML

The sample data on RS measurement model yield an S – Bχ2 of 16.540 with 2 degrees of

freedom. The associated p - value was determined to be 0.00026 for the analysed sample of

751 cases. The chi-square value indicated that the difference between the sample data and the

postulated residential satisfaction manifest measurement model was insignificant.

Additionally, the ratio of S – Bχ2 to the degrees of freedom was determined to be 8.27 which

was higher than the upper limit value of 5.0 (Kline, 2005:137).

However, other fit indexes indicated a good fit of the model to the sample. The robust

Goodness-of-fit (GFI) index of 0.988 was greater than the cut-off value for a good fitting

model. Whilst the CFI index of 0.963 was also higher than the cut-off value for a good fitting

model. A model is said to be a good fit if the CFI and GFI are above the cut-off value of 0.95

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(Hu & Bentler, 1999:27; Joreskog & Sorbom, 1996). The robust RMSEA with 90% confidence

interval (lower bound value = 0.059 and the upper bound value = 0.145) was found to be 0.099.

This value was above the maximum value of 0.08 for a good fit model; however, this is

considered an acceptable fit (MacCallum et al., 1996).

Table 10.46: Robust fit indexes for residential satisfaction construct

Fit Index Cut-off value Estimate Comment

S – Bχ2 16.540

df 0≥ 2 Acceptable

CFI 0.90≥ acceptable

0.95≥ good fit

0.963 Good fit

GFI 0.90≥ acceptable

0.95≥ good fit

0.988 Good fit

SRMR 0.08≥ acceptable

0.05≥ good fit

0.032 Good fit

RMSEA 0.08≥ acceptable

0.05≥ good fit

0.099 Acceptable fit

RMSEA

90% CI

0.059:0.145 Slightly out of

range

In addition to the RMSEA value, the absolute fit index SRMR was found to be 0.032. This

value indicated a very good fit because a good fitting model is expected to have an SRMR

index lower or equal to 0.05. The absolute fit index SRMR accounts for the average

discrepancy between the sample and the postulated correlation matrices and therefore it

represents the average value across all standardised residuals and ranges between zero and 1.00

(Byrne, 2006:94). Evaluation of the SRMR, RMSEA (90% CI), GFI and the CFI fit indexes

indicated an acceptable fit of the measurement model for the residential satisfaction factor

(Table 10.46).

Furthermore, parameter estimates were analysed to determine whether the model worked

properly and was feasible. This involved evaluating the magnitude, signs and statistical

significance of the parameter estimates. These statistics are presented in Table 10.47.

Statistical Significance of Parameter Estimates

Raykov (1991:501) recommended that further examination of factor loading (parameter

coefficients), standard errors and the test statistics should be conducted in addition to the

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analysis of fit statistics before conclusion could be made about the appropriateness of the

postulated models. Therefore, these estimates were examined and are presented in this section.

Table 10.47: Factor loading and Z-statistics of Residential Satisfaction Measurement

Model

Indicator

Variable

Unstandardized

Coefficient (λ)

Standardized

Coefficient (λ)

Z- Statistics

R2

Significant

at 5%

level?

RS1 0.831 0.718 15.213 0.516 Yes

RS3 0.411 0.551 12.937 0.304 Yes

RS5 0.546 0.479 10.898 0.229 Yes

RS7 0.800 0.644 15.134 0.415 Yes

(Robust statistical significance at 5% level)

Parameter estimates are said to be unreasonable if they have correlations values greater than

1.00, have negative variances and the correlation or covariances are not definite positive Byrne

(2006:103). Furthermore, the test statistics need to be greater than 1.96 based on the probability

level of 5% before the hypothesis can be rejected. Inspection of the correlation values, standard

errors and the test statistic in Table 10.47 reveal that all standardized coefficient correlation

values were not greater than 1.00; all test statistics (Z-values) were greater than 1.96 (p<0.05)

and the signs were appropriate (positive). The estimates were therefore reasonable, as well as

statistically significant. The parameter with the highest standardized coefficient was the

indicator variable RS1. The parameter coefficient was found to be 0.718.

The variable RS1, which asked the respondents’ if they are satisfied living in their respective

low income houses, was found to be associated more with the construct of residential

satisfaction than all other variables. Nonetheless, all standardized parameter estimates showed

high correlation values close to 1.00 suggesting a high degree of linear association between the

indicator variables and the latent construct. In addition, R2 values were found to be close to the

desired value of 1.00. The only exceptions were the manifest variables RS3, RS5 and RS7. The

R2 values for this variable were below 0.50. However, the results therefore suggest that the

indicator variables considerably predict the factor construct.

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Internal Reliability and Validity of Scores

In order to determine the internal consistency of the composition of the measurement model,

the Rho Coefficient and the Cronbach’s Alpha Coefficient were examined to establish

reliability. According to Kline (2005:59), the reliability coefficient should fall between zero

and 1.00. Values close to 1.00 are desired. The Rho Coefficient of internal consistency was

found to be 0.745. This was above the minimum value of 0.70. Correspondingly, the

Cronbach’s Alpha was also found to be above the minimum value of 0.70 at 0.715. Both values

showed a reasonable level of internal consistency and therefore reliability.

Table 10.48: Reliability and Construct Validity of Residential Satisfaction Model

Factor Indicator

Variable

Factor

Loading

Cronbach’s

Alpha

Rho

Coefficient

Residential RS1 0.718

Satisfaction RS3 0.551 0.715 0.745

(RS) RS5 0.479

RS7 0.644

*Parameter estimates are based on standardized solutions

The construct validity was determined by examining the magnitude of the parameter

coefficients. High parameter coefficients of greater than 0.5 indicate a close relation between

the factor and an indicator variable. A parameter coefficient of 0.5 is interpreted as 25% of the

total variance in the indicator variable being explained by the latent variable (factor). Therefore,

a parameter coefficient has to be between 0.5 - 0.7or greater to explain about 50% of the

variance in an indicator variable (Hair et al., 1998:111). Assessment of the unstandardized

parameter coefficient presented in Table 10.47, shown that they were significantly high with

the minimum of 0.411. The parameter estimate of 0.411 meant that the residential satisfaction

factor accounted for about 45.12% of the variance in RS3 and therefore indicative of a good fit

between the indicator variable and the factor.

Therefore, the neighbourhood factor satisfied both internal reliability and the construct validity

criteria. The Rho value was above the minimum value of 0.70 (Table 10.48) and the construct

validity criteria was justified by the magnitude, signs and statistical significance of all

parameter coefficients.

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Summary on Residential Satisfaction Measurement Model

SEM findings revealed that the residual covariance estimates fell within the acceptable range;

the robust fit indexes had an acceptable fit, while the RMSEA value and the RMSEA with 90%

confidence interval produced a reasonable fit. All other parameter estimates were statistically

significant and feasible. It was therefore, concluded that the measurement model for the

residential satisfaction construct had an adequate fit to the sample data. Consequently, there

was no need to improve the measurement before it could be included in the full latent variable

model.

In general, the results of the measurement model analysis were mixed, although some variables

approached or met the threshold of ‘well-fitting’ and ‘good-fitting’ for various indexes based

on the statistical test and the significant of the parameter estimates. Despite this mixed results,

analysis of the full structural model will have to proceed based on a number of factors. First,

the internal consistency and reliability analyses conducted yielded acceptable results. The Rho

Coefficient of internal consistency was found to be above the minimum value of 0.70 (Table

10.48). Correspondingly, the Cronbach’s Alpha was also found to be above the minimum value

of 0.70 (Table 10.49). According to Kline (2005:59), the reliability coefficient should fall

between zero and 1.00. Values close to 1.00 are desired. Hence, the internal consistency and

reliability was met. Secondly, the indicator variables yielded high correlation values, which

suggested a high degree of linear association between the indicator variables and the factors.

In addition, the R2 values were also found to be close to the desired value of 1.00 and hence

indicating that the factors explained the variance in the indicator variables. This meant that the

results suggested that the indicator variables significantly predict the factor constructs, because

a majority of the measured variables are significantly associated with the factors. Lastly, the

construct validity as determined by examining the magnitude of the parameter coefficients

(factor loading) also revealed that the parameter coefficients (Z-statistics) indicated a close

relation between the factors and the indicator variable (Table 10.49). A parameter coefficient

of 0.5 is interpreted as 25% of the total variance in the indicator variable being explained by

the latent variable (factor). Hence, the reported parameter coefficient explained more than 25%

of the variance in the indicator variable, which were indicative of an adequate fit between the

indicator variables and the factors.

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10.3.4 Structural Model – Testing Of the Hypothesised SEM Model

After showing that each of the six latent factors to be included in the full latent model was

working very well based on the test indexes and the statistically significance’s of the parameter

estimates, the full structural model was tested, which included all six factors (with tested

indicator variables) and the residential satisfaction outcome (manifest) variables for the study.

Once again, CFA measurement model for latent constructs were tested in order to confirm that

the indicators that have been used to measure one or more latent factors are indeed doing so;

thus loadings of the indicators on the specific factors are examined to see how well each factor

has been specified in the context of the others.

Table 10.49: Reliability and Construct Validity of the Latent Variables

Latent

(Exogenous)

Factors

No. of

Indicator

Variables

Indicator

Variable

Parameter

Coefficient

Rho

Coefficient

Cronbach’s

Alpha

DUF1 0.834

DUF2 0.872

DUF3 0.868

Dwelling Unit 8 DUF5 0.677 0.920 0.915

Features DUF9 0.578

DUF12 0.692

DUF16 0.669

DUF17 0.850

NAE1 0.858

Needs and 4 NAE2 0.882 0.915 0.912

Expectations NAE3 0.845

NAE4 0.820

BNP1 0.821

Beneficiary BNP2 0.923

Participation 4 BNP3 0.937 0.939 0.938

BNP4 0.881

BQF2 0.769

BQF3 0.468

Building 6 BQF4 0.893 0.892 0.885

Quality BQF5 0.897

Features BQF10 0.809

BQF11 0.649

NDF1 0.719

NDF3 0.662

Neighbourhood 5 NDF5 0.684 0.772 0.764

Features NDF7 0.722

NDF10 0.401

SPG8 0.792

Services 4 SPG9 0.894 0.910 0.909

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provided by SPG12 0.858

Government SGP13 0.839

RS1 0.718

Residential 4 RS3 0.551 0.745 0.715

Satisfaction RS5 0.479

RS7 0.644

Covariances between the latent factors are added to the model for any relationship that will be

examined when the structural model is tested. Also, covariances between the latent factors and

outcome variables are also added to rule out the possibility that any of them may serve as an

indicator of any of the proposed factors.

As already indicated above (analysis of the measurement models), the measurement models

indicated that the models (latent variables CFA’s) worked well and it was therefore feasible to

test the full latent variable model. The question of whether measurement models should be

checked before analysing the full SEM, or not, is simply a strategy a researcher adopts (Hayduk

& Glaser, 2000:122). Similarly, the question of how many factors a construct should have is

also debatable (Bollen, 1989; Hayduk & Glaser, 2000:122). However, assessing the

measurement models first has an advantage. The first merit of analysing the latent variable

measurement models separately before analysing the full SEM model is that the research is

assured of a proper working measurement model before analysing the full SEM latent model.

Hence, the researcher avoids the frustration of re-specifying the full model if a solution cannot

be obtained. Therefore, Herting and Costner (2000:100) state that “if a CFA model cannot be

satisfactorily fitted moving to the structural model will provide no additional guidance or

benefit”. Moreover these observations as presented in the current study were a pure

confirmatory analysis and therefore recommendations were based on whether the postulated

priori model fit the sample data or not. Hence, not all the initially derived indicator variables

form the literature which were on the questionnaires were tested in the CFA, as the preliminary

residual covariance matrix (factor loadings) for some indicator variables of some latent

constructs were more than the recommended value. A residual covariance matrix value greater

than 2.58 is described as large (Byrne, 2006:94). In order for a model to be described as well-

fitting, the distribution of the residuals should be symmetrical and centred around zero (Byrne,

2006:94; Joreskog & Sorbom, 1988).

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10.3.5 Hypothesised Relation for the Structural Model

The hypothesised model (Model 1.0) was tested, in which dwelling unit features,

neighbourhood features, building quality features, services provided by the government,

beneficiary participation, needs and expectations were expected to define residential

satisfaction. The hypothesised model was fitted to the data for the entire sample and, as is the

norm, covariances for all the exogenous factors and variables were specified. The six-factor

model was fitted to the data with the Robust Maximum Likelihood (RML) method of EQS and

the model converged. As with all of the analyses presented in this study, the testing of this

model was based on the Robust ML estimation and robust statistics were used to ascertain the

fit of the model. The robust solution adjusts for non-normality in the data. As is the norm in

SEM analyses (Kline, 2005), one variable loading per latent factor was set equal to 1.0 in order

to set the metric for that factor.

Figure 10.9: Hypothesised Model of Residential Satisfaction (Model 1.0)

10.3.6 Fit Statistics on the Structural Model

A confirmatory factor analysis of the full latent model was conducted. The full structural model

hypothesised that dwelling unit features, neighbourhood features, building quality features,

services provided by the government, beneficiary participation, needs and expectation define

residential satisfaction of occupants’ in subsidised low-income housing. The SEM Model is

presented in Figure 10.10 (Model 2.0). Model 2.0 is founded on the general hypothesis for the

study, which is based on the fact that overall residential satisfaction is directly related to the

influence of the exogenous variables’ in predicting / determining overall beneficiary

satisfaction. The theory and basis of the model was presented in Chapter 9 of the thesis.

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The number of cases that were analysed for the full latent variable Model 2.0 was 751. Out of

the total sample size, all 751 cases had positive weights, while 73 had missing variables, which

were corrected with the maximum likelihood method of missing data correction. The model

had 36 dependent variables and 42 independent variables. It also had 90 free parameters and

44 numbers of fixed nonzero parameters. The covariance matrix of the model was analysed

using the robust maximum likelihood estimation method. Raw data was used for the analysis.

The raw data was not transformed since data transformation can provide an incorrect

specification (Shook, Ketchen, Hult & Kacmar, 2004:399). One alternative to transformation

is to use an estimation approach available in EQS (robust maximum likelihood) as already

discussed, which adjusts the model fit chi-square test statistics and standard errors of individual

parameter estimates.

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Figure 10.10: Model 2.0 - Integrated Holistic Residential Satisfaction Model

Model Parameters (from left to right): Residential Satisfaction (Endogenous variable); Exogenous variables: DUF (8 indicator variables),

NDF (5 indicator variables), BQF (6 indicator variables), SPG (4 indicator variables), BNP (4 indicator variables), and NAE (4 indicator

variables).

D7

RS1RS3

RS5RS7

F7

E139E141

E143E145

DUF1DUF2

DUF3DUF5

DUF9

DUF12

DUF16

DUF17

F1

E61E62

E63E65

E69E72

E76E77

NDF1NDF3

NDF5NDF7

NDF10

F2

E78E80

E82E84

E87

BQF2BQF3

BQF4BQF5

BQF10

BQF11

F3

E101E102

E103E104

E109E110

SPG8SPG9

SPG12

SPG13

F4

E124E125

E128E129

BNP1BNP2

BNP3BNP4

F5

E130E131

E132E133

NAE1NAE2

NAE3NAE4

F6

E135E136

E137E138

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Figure10.11: Model 2.0 - Integrated Holistic Residential Satisfaction Model Covariances Association

Covariance Relationship (from left to right): NAE (4 indicator variables), BNP (4 indicator variables), SPG (4 indicator variables), BQF (8

indicator variables), NDF (5 indicator variables), DUF (8 indicator variables) & RS (4 indicator variables).

D7

RS1

RS3

RS5

RS7

RS

E139

E141

E143

E145

DUF1

DUF2

DUF3

DUF5

DUF9

DUF12

DUF16

DUF17

DUF

E61

E62

E63

E65

E69

E72

E76

E77

NDF1

NDF3

NDF5

NDF7

NDF10

NDF

E78

E80

E82

E84

E87

BQF2

BQF3

BQF4

BQF5

BQF10

BQF11

BQF

E101

E102

E103

E104

E109

E110

SPG8

SPG9

SPG12

SPG13

SPG

E124

E125

E128

E129

BNP1

BNP2

BNP3

BNP4

BNP

E130

E131

E132

E133

NAE1

NAE2

NAE3

NAE4

NAE

E135

E136

E137

E138

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10.3.6.1 Analysis of Residual Covariance Estimate

Investigation of the average absolute residual values of the structural model revealed that all

the absolute residual values and the average off-diagonal absolute residual values were close

to zero. The unstandardized average off-diagonal residual was 0.0820 while the standardized

average off-diagonal residual was found to be 0.0700 (refer Appendix H). These residual values

were considered small as they were all less than 2.58 (Byrne, 2006:94). In addition, 99.99% of

the residuals fell within the acceptable range of -0.1 and +0.1. The significance of this

distribution is that for a structural model to be described as well-fitting, the distribution of

residuals should be symmetrical and centred around zero (Byrne, 2006:94; Joreskog & Sorbom,

1988), which the analysed data has displayed. From the above information, the results suggest

that the hypothesised structural model had a good-fit to the sample data; overall, the model as

a whole appears to be quite well fitting. Therefore, since this initial assessment of the structural

model residuals indicated a good fit; further tests of goodness-of-fit were justified.

10.3.6.2 Structural Model Goodness-of-Fit statistics – Robust Maximum

Likelihood

The test of the hypothesis that occupants’ residential satisfaction is a six factor structure as

depicted in Figure 10.10 (Model 2.0) via the sample data on the model yielded a robust

Likelihood Ratio Test (S – Bχ2) of 2762.558 with 540 degrees of freedom. The associated p-

value was less than 0.0001 (p = 0.0000) with a sample of 751 cases. The chi-square index

suggested that the difference between the hypothesised model and the sample data matrix was

significant, but not entirely adequate. Interpreted literally, this test statistics indicates that given

the present sample data, the hypothesis bearing on occupants’ residential satisfaction (RS)

relates as summarised in the model, represents an unlikely event (i.e. occurring less than one

time in a thousand under the hypothesis) and should be rejected. However, the chi-square test

(Likelihood Ratio Test) of fit is very sensitive and therefore, could not be relied upon to

determine model fit. The chi-square test tends to be affected by the sample size with a

propensity to reject models if the samples are large (Joreskog & Sorbom, 1993). Yet, the

analysis of covariance structure (SEM) is grounded in large sample size theory (Byrne,

2006:96). As such, large sample sizes are critical to obtaining precise parameter estimates, as

well as to the tenability of asymptotic distribution approximations (Byrne, 2006:96;

MacCallum et al., 1996). Therefore a normed Chi-square value is usually adopted by most

researchers (Bentler, 2005; Byrne, 2006; Kline, 2005:137; MacCallum et al., 1996). Normed

chi-square is the procedure of dividing the S – Bχ2 by the degrees of freedom. The normed

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values of up to 3.0 or even 5.0 are recommended (Kline, 2005:137). From the above chi-square

and degrees of freedom values the ratio was found to be 5.12:1. This ratio was within the limit

of 5.0 advocated for by some authors (Byrne, 2006; Kline, 2005:137) and therefore indicative

of a reasonable fit of the model.

Similarly, other fit indexes indicated a good fit of the model to the latent variables. The robust

CFI index was found to be 0.955. The CFI index was less than 0.90, which is the lower limit

value for model acceptance. However, a two strategic approach is considered satisfactory to

accept or reject a mode (Hu & Bentler, 1999:28). Hence, RMSEA and SRMR statistics were

further used to decide on the acceptability of the model.

Table 10.50: Robust Fit Indexes for Structural Model 2.0

Fit Index Cut-off value Model 1.0 Comment

S – Bχ2 2762.558

df 0≥ 540 Acceptable

Normed χ2 3 or 5 5.12:1 Acceptable

CFI 0.90≥ acceptable

0.95≥ good fit

0.955 Good fit

GFI 0.90≥ acceptable

0.95≥ good fit

0.981 Good fit

SRMR 0.08≥ acceptable

0.05≥ good fit

0.042 Good fit

RMSEA 0.08≥ acceptable

0.05≥ good fit

0.074 Acceptable fit

RMSEA 90% CI 0.071:0.077 Acceptable range

The robust RMSEA with 90% confidence interval (lower bound value = 0.071 and the upper

bound value = 0.077) was found to be 0.074. The RMSEA index was just above the upper limit

of 0.05 for the model to be described as good. However, the value of 0.074 indicated that the

model has an acceptable fit. MacCallum et al. (1996) informed that an RMSEA of between

0.08 and 0.10 provides a poor fit and below 0.08 shows a good fit. Also, Hooper et al (2008)

posits that RMSEA with 90% confidence interval in a well-fitting model lower limit should be

close to 0.00 while the upper limit should be less than 0.08. Hence, the structural model

RMSEA with 90% CI met the above criteria and the model could be considered good fit. In

addition, the absolute fit index, SRMR, was found to be 0.042, while the GFI was found to be

0.981. The SRMR and the GFI absolute fit index indicated an adequate fit of the full structural

model to the sample data. Therefore, the goodness-of-fit statistics indexes (CFI, GFI, SRMR,

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RMSEA, RMSEA @ 90% and S – Bχ2) met the condition for model acceptance (Table 10.50).

However, the Lagrange Multiplier (LM) test conducted on the full latent model sample data

did not reveal any significant indicators of model mis-specification of the hypothesised

parameters. In EQS, a model can be said to be mis-specified if there are any mis-fitting

parameters using the LM test (Byrne, 2006:112). The criterion is to identify any significant

drop in the χ2 values of parameters. Also, in univariate and multivariate analysis, the probability

that a parameter estimate is equal to zero should be less than 0.05 in order to be rejected. This

is also an indication of mis-specification according to Byrne (2006:112). Hence, inspection of

the LM test output revealed that there were no significant mis-fitting variables that would have

warranted mode re-specification.

10.3.6.3 Internal Reliability and Construct Validity of the SEM Model

The Rho Coefficient and the Cronbach’s Alpha Coefficient were examined in order to establish

score reliability for the SEM model. According to Kline (2005:59), the reliability coefficient

should fall between zero and 1.00. Values close to 1.00 are desired. The Rho Coefficient of

internal consistency was found to be 0.954. This value was above the minimum required value

of 0.70. Similarly, the Cronbach’s Alpha was above the minimum acceptable value of 0.70 at

0.909. Both of these values indicated a high degree of internal consistency and homogeneity

(Table 89). These findings informed that the degree to which responses are consistent across

all indicator variables was statistically significant, indicating that the measures of the latent

variables total scores are the best possible unit of analysis for the exogenous variables which

thus predictor the endogenous variable (residential satisfaction).

The construct validity for the SEM model was determined by examining the magnitude of the

parameter coefficients. High parameter coefficients of greater than 0.5 indicate a close relation

between the factor and an indicator variable. A parameter coefficient of 0.5 is interpreted as

25% of the total variance in the indicator variable being explained by the latent variable

(factor). Therefore, a parameter coefficient has to be between 0.5 - 0.7or greater to explain

about 50% of the variance in an indicator variable (Hair et al., 1998:111). Inspection of the

standardized parameter coefficient presented in Table 10.52, show that they were significantly

high with a maximum of 0.924. The parameter estimate of 0.924 meant that the residential

satisfaction accounted for about 64.89% of the variance in BNP3 and therefore indicative of a

good fit between the indicator variable and the factor, likewise in the other factors.

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10.3.6.4 Structural Model Hypothesis Testing

Besides assessing the goodness-of-fit of the structural model, feasibility of a model can be

judged by a further inspection of the obtained solution and this involves inspection of the

statistical significance of the parameter estimates, standard errors and the test statistics

(Raykov, 1991:501). Therefore, the rejection of the hypothesis depends on how reasonable

parameter estimates were in terms of their magnitude, signs and statistical significance. In

addition, if the output showed estimates that had correlation values greater than 1.00, had

negative variances and the correlation or covariances were not definite positive, then they were

said to be displaying unreasonable estimates (Byrne, 2006:103). Likewise, the test statistics

had to be greater than 1.96 based on the probability level of 5% before the hypothesis can be

rejected (Byrne, 2006:103). The test statistics reported was the parameter estimate divided by

its standard error and therefore it functions as a Z-statistics to test that the estimate is

statistically different from zero. Hence, the test was used to evaluate the hypothesis.

Testing the influence of the exogenous variables on overall beneficiary’s residential

satisfaction

It was general hypothesised that beneficiary’s overall residential satisfaction with their housing

product is directly related to the influence of the exogenous variables’ in predicting overall

beneficiaries’ satisfaction in public funded housing scheme in developing countries using

South Africa as a case study.

Results from the SEM analysis yielded support for the hypothesis. The hypothesised

relationships between all exogenous factors and the endogenous factor were found to be

significant and they all had definite positive directions. Inspection of the correlation values,

standard errors and the test statistic in Table 10.51 revealed that all standardized coefficient

correlation values were not greater than 1.00. All test statistics (Z-values) were greater than

1.96 (p<0.05) and the signs were appropriate, they all have positive values (refer to Table 10.51

& 10.52), suggesting that all latent variables measured the overall beneficiary residential

satisfaction. The estimates were therefore reasonable as well as statistically significant.

Therefore, the general hypothesis that beneficiary’s overall residential satisfaction with their

housing product is directly related to the influence of the exogenous variables’ in predicting

overall beneficiary satisfaction in publicly funded housing schemes in South Africa could not

be rejected. The relationship between residential satisfaction and beneficiary’s participation

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indicators was found to be the most significant. The parameter with the highest standardised

coefficient for this factor was the indicator variable BNP3. The parameter coefficient was

found to be 0.924. The indicator variable BNP3, which asked the beneficiaries their level of

agreement, if an owner should be consulted about the house construction; was found to be most

associated with overall beneficiary residential satisfaction than any other indicator variable.

However, in order to determine if each exogenous variable considerably predicted the

endogenous construct, an inspection of the interfactor correlation (R2) values will be examined,

thus establishing the exogenous variables direct influence on the dependent variable (presented

in the subsequent sections). However, the overall results therefore suggest that the exogenous

variables considerably predict the endogenous variable (residential satisfaction)

Also, assessment of the outcome variables of overall residential satisfaction revealed that all

standardized factor loadings values were generally large and statistically significant (values

ranged from 0.391 to 0.797). However, the interfactor correlation (R2) values were not all

statistically significant (values ranged from 0.0.153 to 0.635) as shown in Table 10.52. The

variance accounted for in each measure by the endogenous variable revealed that the scores

were significance at 5% level. The score results suggested that the interfactor relationship

between the manifest variables is weak and does not have significant level of correlations.

Testing the direct influence of dwelling unit features on overall beneficiary’s residential

satisfaction

Results from the confirmatory factor analysis of the full structural model, presented in Table

10.51 and 10.52 yield support for the general hypothesis. The relationship between the factors

and the endogenous variable (dependent variable) was found to be statistically significant at

5% probability level. On the other hand, all standardized parameter estimates showed high

correlations values close to 1.00 suggesting a high degree of linear association between the

indicator variables and the endogenous construct.

Inspection of the R2 values for the dwelling unit indicator variables revealed that the values

were close to the desired value of 1.00. The only exceptions were the indicator variables DUF5

(R2 = 0.457), DUF9 (R2 = 0.328), DUF12 (R2 = 0.478) and DUF16 (R2 = 0.453). The R2 values

for this variable were below 0.50 suggesting that these indicator variables did not considerably

predict the endogenous factor construct. DUF9 (R2 = 0.328) had the weakest association

amongst these variables. Despite the none coherent level of the interfactor correlation within

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the indicator variables, the direct influence of dwelling unit factor on overall residential is

statistically significant as the degree of variances accounted for in each measure was adequate

as shown in Table 10.52.

Testing the direct influence of neighbourhood features on overall beneficiary’s residential

satisfaction

Examination of the R2 values for the neighbourhood feature indicator measures revealed that

only two indicator values were close to the desired value of 1.00. The other variables were

weak in predicting the endogenous variable. However, a further assessment of the variance

accounted for in each measure by the endogenous variable revealed that the scores were

significance at 5% level. The values were above the minimum required value of 25%.

Therefore, from the statistical assessment, score results suggested that the influence of this

factor on the endogenous variable was weak (indirect). However, the total variance accounted

for revealed that it has a good indirect association with the other latent variables in the

prediction of overall residential satisfaction.

Table 10.51: Model 2.0 Factor Loadings and Z-statistics

Indicator

Variable

Unstandardized

Coefficient (λ)

Standardized

Coefficient (λ)

(Z-values)

Significant

at 5%

level?

DUF1 ** 0.830 ** Yes

DUF2 0.998 0.872 40.601 Yes

DUF3 0.951 0.866 36.595 Yes

DUF5 0.662 0.676 20.491 Yes

DUF9 0.559 0.573 17.523 Yes

DUF12 0.782 0.691 23.543 Yes

DUF16 0.712 0.673 19.399 Yes

DUF17 0.951 0.855 33.512 Yes

NDF1 1.00 0.723 ** Yes

NDF3 0.919 0.671 22.368 Yes

NDF5 0.859 0.647 16.957 Yes

NDF7 1.290 0.761 20.580 Yes

NDF10 0.612 0.380 11.849 Yes

BQF2 ** 0.774 ** Yes

BQF3 0.529 0.441 8.551 Yes

BQF4 1.157 0.894 28.198 Yes

BQF5 1.126 0.894 28.944 Yes

BQF10 1.058 0.813 25.657 Yes

BQF11 0.827 0.651 18.623 Yes

SPG8 ** 0.785 ** Yes

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SPG9 1.165 0.891 29.087 Yes

SPG12 1.112 0.862 25.896 Yes

SGP13 1.075 0.844 27.549 Yes

BNP1 ** 0.835 ** Yes

BNP2 1.082 0.922 41.280 Yes

BNP3 1.098 0.924 40.218 Yes

BNP4 1.020 0.888 36.359 Yes

NAE1 ** 0.869 ** Yes

NAE2 1.120 0.884 41.553 Yes

NAE3 0.941 0.832 29.545 Yes

NAE4 0.863 0.818 27.866 Yes

RS1 ** 0.797 ** Yes

RS3 0.418 0.510 13.527 Yes

RS5 0.491 0.391 9.122 Yes

RS7 0.842 0.617 14.956 Yes

(Robust Statistical Significance at 5% level)

** SEM Analysis Norm (Kline, 2005) - One variable loading per latent factor is set equal to

1.0 in order to set the metric for that factor.

Testing the direct influence of building quality feature features on overall beneficiary’s

residential satisfaction

Similarly, inspection of the R2 values for the building quality feature indicators revealed that

four out of the six indicator variables that were used to measure the latent factor, had values

close to the desired value of 1.00. Two other variables (BQF3 & BQF11) were weak in

predicting the endogenous variable (Table 10.52). BQF3, which measured the occupants’ level

of satisfaction with the water pressure in their unit had the lowest R2 value. This suggests that

the interfactor relationship of these variables and other indicators in determining overall

residential satisfaction is minor. Further, assessment of the variance accounted for in each

measure by the endogenous variable revealed that all scores were significance at 5% level. The

reported parameter coefficient explained more than 25% of the variance in the latent variable,

which were indicative of an adequate fit between the latent variables and the endogenous

construct. Thus, the score results suggested that the influence of this latent factor on the

endogenous variable was direct and significant.

Testing the direct influence of services provided by government on overall beneficiary’s

residential satisfaction

Inspection of the score values for this factor revealed that all standardized factor loadings were

generally large and statistically significant (values ranged from 0.785 to 0.891). Likewise, the

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interfactor correlation (R2) values was also large and statistically significant (values ranged

from 0.616 to 0.794) as shown in Table 10.52. Also, the variances accounted for in each

measure by the endogenous variable revealed that the scores were significance at 5% level. The

values were above the minimum required value of 25%. Hence, the score results suggested that

the influence of the services provided by the government on the endogenous variable was direct

and statistically significant.

Testing the direct influence of beneficiary participation on overall beneficiary’s residential

satisfaction

An assessment of the standardized factor loadings revealed that all values were generally large

and statistically significant (values ranged from 0.835 to 0.924). Also, the interfactor

correlation (R2) values were large and statistically significant (values ranged from 0.698 to

0.854) as shown in Table 10.52. The total variances accounted for in each indicator variables

by the endogenous variable revealed that the scores were significance at 5% level. The score

results suggested that the influence of beneficiary participation in determining beneficiaries

overall satisfaction with their subsidised dwelling units was direct and statistically significant.

Table 10.52: Model 2.0 factor loadings, Z-statistics, Variance accounted for & reliability

and construct validity

Indicator

Variable

Standardized

Coefficient (λ)

(Z-values)

R2

Total Variance

Cronbach’s

Alpha

Rho

Coefficient

DUF1 0.830 ** 0.689 62.41%

DUF2 0.872 40.601 0.761 63.56%

DUF3 0.866 36.595 0.751 63.40%

DUF5 0.676 20.491 0.457 57.48%

DUF9 0.573 17.523 0.328 53.36%

DUF12 0.691 23.543 0.478 58.02%

DUF16 0.673 19.399 0.453 57.37%

DUF17 0.855 33.512 0.731 63.31%

NDF1 0.723 ** 0.523 59.12%

NDF3 0.671 22.368 0.450 57.30%

NDF5 0.647 16.957 0.419 56.41%

NDF7 0.761 20.580 0.579 60.35%

NDF10 0.380 11.849 0.145 43.18%

BQF2 0.774 ** 0.599 60.75%

BQF3 0.441 8.551 0.195 46.87%

BQF4 0.894 28.198 0.799 64.13%

BQF5 0.894 28.944 0.799 64.13% 0.909 0.954

BQF10 0.813 25.657 0.661 61.92%

BQF11 0.651 18.623 0.424 56.56%

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SPG8 0.785 ** 0.616 61.09%

SPG9 0.891 29.087 0.794 64.06%

SPG12 0.862 25.896 0.743 63.29%

SGP13 0.844 27.549 0.713 62.80%

BNP1 0.835 ** 0.698 62.55%

BNP2 0.922 41.280 0.850 64.84%

BNP3 0.924 40.218 0.854 64.89%

BNP4 0.888 36.359 0.788 63.98%

NAE1 0.869 ** 0.755 63.48%

NAE2 0.884 41.553 0.782 63.87%

NAE3 0.832 29.545 0.692 62.46%

NAE4 0.818 27.866 0.668 62.06%

RS1 0.797 ** 0.635 61.45%

RS3 0.510 13.527 0.260 50.50%

RS5 0.391 9.122 0.153 43.88%

RS7 0.617 14.956 0.381 55.24%

(Robust Statistical Significance at 5% level)

Testing the direct influence of needs and expectation on overall beneficiary’s residential

satisfaction

Similarly, the inspection of the standardized factor loadings revealed that all values were

generally large and statistically significant (Table 10.52). The R2 values were large and

statistically significant (values ranged from 0.668 to 0.782). This suggests that the interfactor

relationship between the variables is significant. The variance accounted for in each measure

by the endogenous variable revealed that the scores were significance at 5% level. The score

results suggested that the direct influence of beneficiary participation in determining

beneficiaries overall satisfaction with their subsidised dwelling unit is statistically significant.

10.3.6.5 Summary on SEM Model

Results from the EQS output revealed that the robust fit indexes, CFI, GFI, SRMR and the

RMSEA values met the cut-off index criteria and the parameter estimates were found to be

statistically significant and reasonable. The postulated model, which hypothesised that overall

residential satisfaction, is directly related to the influence of the exogenous variables in

predicting / determining overall beneficiaries’ satisfaction fit the sample data adequately. In

view of the fact that the analysis was confirmatory of the priori model, there was no need to

further improve the structural model. Investigation of alternative models, such as the reduction

of latent variables could be a matter for further studies as the current study was a confirmatory

analysis of the priori. However, the Lagrange Multiplier test did not unveil significant

indication of model mis-specification demanding a re-specification. Byrne (2006:112) informs

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that for most models, model enhancement is purely a process that attempts to fine-tune small

features of the sample and does not essentially add value to an already fitted model, like the

present model. Likewise, MacCallum et al. (1992:501) cautioned that “when an initial model

fits well, it is probably unwise to modify it to achieve even better fit because modifications

may simply be fitting idiosyncratic characteristics of the sample”. Hence, the presented model

(Model 2.0) was therefore accepted with its level of fit. The lines of covariances (Figure 10.11)

indicates that the integrated holistic influence of the latent variables determines overall

residential satisfaction because they were all statistically significant.

10.4 CONCLUSION

The postulation for the overall model was that overall residential satisfaction is directly related

to the influence of the exogenous (latent) variables’ in predicting / determining overall

beneficiary satisfaction. In this chapter, the SEM results of the measurement model were

presented. These results were obtained from an analysis (SEM) to determine whether the

indicator variables (questionnaire items) actually measured the constructs that they were

supposed to measure. In addition, results were presented in order to establish whether the

statistically significant number of factors for the latent models were feasible. Likewise, the

measurement model reliability and construct validity were also reported.

The analysis of the structural model (full latent model-SEM) was conducted, which validates

the hypothesised integrated holistically residential satisfaction model. The influence of the

latent variables on the endogenous variable was also reported. Considering the feasibility and

statistical significance of all parameter estimates; the substantially good fit of the model, with

particular reference to the CFI (0.955), SRMR (0.042) and RMSEA (0.074) values; and lack

of any substantial evidence of model misfit, it was concluded that there is therefore, no need to

further improve the fit of the structural model. Further findings from the SEM results revealed

that the exogenous variables influences’ determine beneficiary’s residential satisfaction with

their housing units. Further, it was found that five of the exogenous variables have a significant

direct influence on the endogenous variables, while only one had a weak (indirect) influence

in determining residential satisfaction in subsidised low-income housing in South Africa.

Adhering to this caveat, it is therefore concluded that the six-factor model schematically

portrayed in Figure 10.10 (Model 2.0) represents an adequate description of residential

satisfaction in subsidised low-income housing in South Africa.

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CHAPTER ELEVEN

DISCUSSION OF RESULTS

11.1 INTRODUCTION

The last chapter discussed and presented the quantitative research findings, with reference to

the descriptive and inferential statistics. Also, the research hypotheses were tested based on the

SEM result analysis validating the assumption that subsidised housing occupants’ residential

satisfaction is a six-factor model schematically portrayed in Figure 10.10 (Model 2.0). The

findings from the SEM analysis which model subsidised housing occupants’ residents’

satisfaction as a six-factor model showed that the factors of dwelling unit features,

neighbourhood features, services provided by the government, building quality features,

beneficiary participation, needs and expectation were found to have a significant influence in

predicting the occupants’ residential satisfaction. However, the neighbourhood feature had a

weak (indirect) influence in predicting residential satisfaction; nevertheless, the covariation

with the other exogenous construct to determine residential satisfaction was found to be

statistically significant.

11.2 QUESTIONNAIRE SURVEY RESULTS

The structural model results of the thesis hypothesis testing revealed that the general

hypothesis, which states that dwelling unit features, neighbourhood features, building quality

features, services provided by the government, beneficiary participation, needs and

expectations jointly predict residential satisfaction of occupants in subsidised low-income

housing could not be rejected. In view of the hypothesis, the discussion section will be

structured in order to respond to the research’s sub-questions.

Lazenby (1988:55) informs that, “housing satisfaction can be defined as the level of satisfaction

with a specific house within a chosen residential, physical and social environment, as well as

its specific housing attributes.” The first observation that must be made is that the respondents

in this study are first-time homeowners, who most probably lived in shacks or as backyard

squatters in their previous accommodation, as revealed by findings from the length of residency

of the respondents (Table 10.1). Findings from this aspect revealed that 42.1% have been living

in the units for more than eight years, while a combined percentage of 48.0% have been living

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in the units between 3-8 years. Hence, it is evident the respondents who participated in the

survey have a good knowledge of their residential dwelling and of the neighbouring

environment. Therefore, their opinion could thus be used to make an inference.

11.2.1 Dwelling Unit Features Influence on Beneficiary’s Residential Satisfaction

The research’s sub-question RO1 was posed to determine the extent that beneficiary’s RS is

influenced by the dwelling unit features in the subsidised low-income houses.

First, a descriptive assessment of the available dwelling unit features revealed that 99.2% of

the respondents informed they have bedrooms in their dwelling unit. Also, 83.5% informed

they have a kitchen in their dwelling unit, while 16.5% said they do not have. This was followed

by 63.5% who have bathrooms inside their dwelling, while 36.4% informed they do not have

bathrooms in their dwellings. A further assessment of the services available inside the units

revealed that 99.5% beneficiaries (respondents) have water for domestic usage in their houses;

98.0% also indicated that they have sanitary fittings (meaning: shower, bath, toilet basin, wash

hand basin and taps) installed in their units; while 99.3% informed they have access to

electricity. Further, results from the structural model revealed that the relationship between the

dwelling unit features and the endogenous variable (residential satisfaction) was found to be

statistically significant at 5% probability level. On the other hand, all standardized parameter

estimates showed high correlations values, suggesting a high degree of linear association

between the indicator variables and the endogenous construct. Also, the interfactor values for

this variable were considerate; suggesting that more than 50.0% of the latent variable

considerably predicted the endogenous factor construct. The summarised result for this variable

revealed that the latent factor has a direct influence in determining overall residential

satisfaction.

The results suggests that most variables included in the model have a significant effect on

residential satisfaction and the effects are generally in line with findings reported in the

previous research (Lu, 1999; Mohit et al., 2010; Salleh, 2011; Ozo, 1990). The findings further

suggest that dwelling unit features is a significant determinant of housing satisfaction. Hence,

the lower the level of dwelling unit features, the less likely the residents will be satisfied with

the housing units. Additionally, the results also suggest that the residents were dissatisfied with

features, such as location of the dining room, size of the wardrobe/closet, amount of privacy

within the house and the overall appearance of the house. These findings concurs with the work

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of Moolla et al. (2011), which was conducted in Braamfischerville, Soweto, which was one of

the areas where data for the present study was collected. The studies found that occupants of

publicly provided low-income houses were dissatisfied with the amount of privacy within their

units and the overall appearance of the houses. Hence, Salleh et al. (2011) claims that pleasant

dwelling features are the main parameters used in describing residential satisfaction and in

order to distinguish if a house is of good quality or not, the dwelling units’ features from the

internal and external aspects and also the level of perceived privacy are used to qualify the

house. Moreover, Ukoha and Beamish (1997) states that satisfaction towards housing is related

to dwelling units features, while Kutty (1999) indicated that dwelling unit features are an

important indicator determining the residents’ satisfaction. However, the present work did not

concur with the work of Husna and Nurizan (1987) study where it was found that a large

number of their study’s respondents were dissatisfied with the characteristics of their dwelling

units.

Besides, the findings revealed a different stance towards non-satisfaction with the number of

bedrooms and size of bedrooms as previous studies has shown (Aigbavboa, 2010; Aigbavboa

& Thwala, 2011; Moolla et al., 2011; Ogunfiditimi, 2008). One of the major sources of housing

dissatisfaction in South African low-income housing is the limited number of bedrooms and

their sizes. A probable reason for respondents’ satisfaction with these specific dwelling unit

features as indicated by this study can be attributed to the number of dependents in the

household. Descriptive findings (Table 10.1) revealed that a majority of the households had

between 1 - 2 dependents with 99.1% respondents indicating that they have between 1 - 2

rooms in their dwelling units. In substantiating this further, Mohit et al. (2010), Salleh, et al.

(2011), Ibem and Amole (2011) and Ilesanmi (2010) noted that the ratio of the housing

occupants to the number of rooms (bedrooms) constitutes a major source of satisfaction to

public housing occupants. Likewise, Lane and Kinsey (1980) posit that the number of rooms

per family and the availability of other rooms for different uses influence satisfaction with

housing (Kaitilla, 1993).

The implication of these findings is that overall residential satisfaction is a product of the direct

influence of dwelling unit features. Hence, the residential satisfaction of South African low-

income housing occupants’ can be enhanced through improvement of the dwelling unit

features, such as the amount of privacy in the units, increase of the size of the wardrobes, which

is related to the increase of the size of the units and the improvement of the overall appearance

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of the houses. Research in South African low-income housing has shown that despite the

acknowledged significance of the dwelling unit features to the subsidised housing occupants,

the Department of Human Settlement and other stakeholders responsible for the provision of

these houses have not responded significantly to rectify this challenge (Aigbavboa & Thwala,

2011; Charlton & Kihato, 2006; Mkuzo, 2011). The findings emanating from the dwelling unit

feature assessment were therefore significant, and when attention is given to the issues of

dissatisfaction regarding the dwelling unit features, the much desired housing satisfaction of

the low-income group residing in the subsidised houses will be realised. Furthermore, the

findings make it possible for policy makers to address factors of dwelling unit’s most

importantly the amount of privacy within the house and the overall appearance of the houses,

in such a way that it will ensure the occupants satisfaction with their dwelling units.

11.2.2 Building Quality Features Influence on Beneficiary’s Residential

Satisfaction

The findings suggested that building quality features have a direct influence on the prediction

of residents’ housing satisfaction. Findings from the interfactor relationship revealed that

building quality features had significant association with the latent variables in predicting the

endogenous variable (Table 10.52). From the assessment of the variance accounted for in each

measure by the endogenous variable revealed that all scores were statistically significance at

5% level. The reported parameter coefficient explained more than the baseline level of the

variance in the latent variable, which were indicative of an adequate prediction of the

endogenous construct. Hence, these results suggested that the influence of this latent factor on

the endogenous variable was direct and statistically significant.

The six indicator variables used in measuring building quality features construct were highly

causative to the endogenous variable as shown in Table 10.52. The wall and floor quality were

the most highly causative items followed by the plumbing quality indicator. The lowest

causative items were the water pressure, the quality of finishing of the sanitary system and the

internal construction quality. The findings suggest that the residents were satisfied with most

of the building quality features, while they were dissatisfied with the finish quality of the

sanitary system and the internal construction quality of the units. These finding support the

study done by Abdul Ghani (2008) who found that residents of low cost housing in Malaysia

were partially satisfied with the building quality features. It also concurs with the findings of

study done by Salleh et al. (2011) and Ukoha and Beamish (1997), which found that most

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respondents (low-income occupants) were dissatisfied with the qualities of the internal

construction of their units. However, during the questionnaire survey, the researcher observed

that most of the units had problems with the quality of their housing units. Complaints from

the occupants varied from roofs and doors that were improperly built due to poor craftsmanship

to doors that did not open or close properly. The lack of ceilings in most units also led to high

levels of dissatisfaction because residents complained about extreme in temperature conditions

during seasonal changes. According to Turner (1972), the value of a house is of greater

importance to a person than the appearance of the housing unit. In addition, the structure of the

house, even if the building material was of a lower standard, would not affect the person’s

perception if value could be attached to the unit. This is clearly evident from the results of this

study; although the respondents’ found individual aspects of the housing units’ satisfactorily,

the overall level of dissatisfaction with the total house was high.

Literature informs that good building structure with good quality is an important indicator that

determines the residents’ satisfaction with the building and the value they place on the dwelling

(Kutty, 1999). Also, Duncan (1971) and Ramdane and Abdullah (2000), stated that the internal

construction quality of a dwelling unit are usually considered with regards to its overall

satisfaction, and when adequate, the occupants will be satisfied with their housing product.

Findings on this exogenous construct revealed that the occupants were not totally satisfied as

the measure of covariance and interfactor association with other indicators was average.

Furthermore, Elsinga and Hoekstra (2005) inform that the higher quality a dwelling is, the

higher the resident’s satisfaction towards it. They posit that housing quality and condition

should not be assessed based on one variable only, but from the objective and subjective

dimensions as assessed in the present study.

The implication of these findings are that overall residential satisfaction is a product of the

direct influence of building quality features and that the residential satisfaction of South Africa

low-income housing occupants can be enhanced through improvement of the building quality

features. The findings originating from the building quality feature assessment were therefore

significant because when attention is given to issues of dissatisfaction regarding the building

features various aspects, housing satisfaction of the low-income group residing in the

subsidised houses will be realised. Besides, the findings make it possible for policy makers to

address factors of building quality in a way that it will bring about occupants’ satisfaction with

their houses.

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11.2.3 Neighbourhood Features Influence on Beneficiary’s Residential

Satisfaction

The SEM analysis for this variable (neighbourhood feature) indicator revealed that only two

indicators were closely associated with the dependent variable. The other variables were weak

in predicting the endogenous variable. However, a further assessment of the variance accounted

for in each measure by the endogenous variable revealed that the scores were significant, as

the values were above the minimum required value. The statistical assessment suggests that the

direct influence of this factor on the endogenous variable was weak (indirect). However, the

total variance accounted for revealed that it has a good indirect association with the other latent

variables in the prediction of overall residential satisfaction.

Similarly, descriptive assessment of the available neighbourhood features revealed that the

following were not present in the neighbourhood, parking facilities (94.0%),

playground/recreational facilities (55.2%), community hall (61.3%) and the presence of

disabled facilities (94.4%). Additional neighbourhood features that were lacking in a majority

of the neighbourhoods surveyed include: hospital/clinic (63.2%), Police services (66.8%) and

fire protection service (86.5%). However, the respondents had access to public transportation

(94.9%), nursery schools (76.2%), primary schools (68.0%), shopping malls (61.9%), and

places of worship (83.8%). These findings agrees with the work of Mohit et al. (2010), Parkes

et al. (2002) and Chapman and Lombard (2006) that indicated that most respondents in their

study were not satisfied with the security and crime prevention features in a low-income

residence because of the lack of a permanent policing facility in their neighbourhood. Also,

Zack and Charlton’s (2003) work, which was a South African based study, found that crime

and safety concerns, and the lack of adequate public transport feature strongly in beneficiary

complaints about their neighbourhoods, which ultimately lead to their dissatisfaction with the

neighbourhood and the housing unit.

Satisfaction with neighbourhood features have been observed as a vital determinant of

residential satisfaction (Vrbka & Combs, 1991) to the extent that residents are willing to

compromise the inefficiencies within the dwelling unit because of the satisfaction that is

provided by the neighbourhood facilities and features (Aigbavboa & Thwala, 2011; Onibokun,

1974; Ukoha & Beamish, 1997). Residents of the low-income housing scheme are most likely

to be dissatisfied with housing facilities that require residents to travel or walk long distances

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to school; to the workplace, shopping areas, medical centres and the geographical areas around

their dwelling units, as most of them do not have access to the means of mobility. Easy access

to good public transportation, community and shopping facilities and physical environment

variables will provide residents’ satisfaction with their housing units.

Also, the research conducted by Bjorklund and Klingborg (2005) in eight Swedish

municipalities found the following top neighbourhood factors amongst others to be related to

residential satisfaction, these include proximity to commercial areas, access to playground and

recreational amenities, good quality walkways and access to community halls. The present

findings did not support the findings of a study conducted by Abdul (2008) where it was found

that neighbourhood facilities factors are the most dominant (direct influencing) factors in

determining the level of satisfaction towards housing. Also, Ramdane and Abdul’s (2000)

study on the factors of neighbourhood facilities, which found that neighbourhood factors have

a huge (direct) impact on the overall satisfaction with the housing facilities was not supported

by the present study findings on the neighbourhood feature construct.

There is broad consensus in the South African subsidised low-income landscape that many of

the neighbourhoods in which subsidised low-income housing is located, are not adequate and

do not offer a full range of amenities (Charlton, 2004). This is despite an obvious recognition

that the environment within which a house is situated is recognized as being equally as

important as the house itself in satisfying the needs and requirements of the occupants

(Charlton, Silverman, & Berrisford, 2003; National Department of Housing, 2000). Over and

over again in South African low-income housing development, provisions are made in most

township layout for essential facilities, and the land set aside, but for several years or long after

the housing has been developed in those areas, the amenities remain as undeveloped. For

instance, the Public Services Commission (2003) during the Housing Subsidy Scheme Review

in 2004 noted that access to schools was generally reasonable in new housing projects but that

a range of other facilities were often lacking, which supports this assessment. Thus, the South

African Department of Human Settlement acknowledged that most low-income residential

areas have been developed without the necessary social and other amenities and this “detracts

from the ideal to establish habitable, viable and sustainable human settlements” (Department

of Housing’s Overview of Achievements and Challenges Report of 2003:28). Hence, Charlton

(2004) posits that many housing projects have manifested as low density and mono-functional

neighbourhoods, lacking in integrated, holistic development. This circumstance does not

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facilitate the economic growth or socio-economic development of low-income communities so

necessary to metropolise development. Likewise, it runs counter to the intention that ultimately,

the housing process must make a positive contribution to a non-racial, non-sexist, democratic

and integrated society (Charlton, 2004).

The findings on the hypothesis that neighbourhood features influence residential satisfaction

entails therefore that the minimum that the housing delivery stakeholder could do in order to

significantly influence residential satisfaction determination is to have a procedure in place.

This can be implemented through the strict enforcement of the Breaking New Ground

Programme (Integrated Residential Development Programme) by developing housing

neighbourhoods, which are comprehensive with the presence of all amenities and

infrastructures. The findings offer a minimum requirement that could be used by the

Department of Human Settlement to influence residential satisfaction. A checklist of items

defining the factors of neighbourhood features could ensure that stakeholders meet the basic

required criteria to influence residential satisfaction through the housing development

neighbourhood environment.

11.2.4 Beneficiaries Participation Influence on Residential Satisfaction

It will be necessary to inform the reader that beneficiary participation is the involvement of the

citizenry (community, public, beneficiaries, etc.) in the affairs of planning, governance and

overall development programmes at local or grass roots level in housing development that

concerns them. It involves how and why members of a community are brought into these affairs

(Chamber, 1995; 1997; Choguill, 1996). Public participation has been described as one of the

key elements of sustainable development (Roodt, 2001). The importance of including this

variable in the model is to determine the influence of beneficiary’s participation in public

housing occupants’ satisfaction and to ascertain if participation in the housing development

process will have positive spin-offs with regard to sustainable housing delivery (residential

satisfaction with the housing product). This is because government’s accountability can easily

be measured by the extent to which it involves beneficiary participation in decision-making

and having control over resources that affect their lives. This is one of the reasons why planners

and policy-makers should not ignore them in the development process (World Bank, 1996:121-

179).

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The SEM results for this exogenous variable revealed that the standardized factor values and

interfactor correlations for the beneficiary participation latent factor were large and statistically

significant (Table 10.52). Inspection of the total variances accounted for in each measure by

the endogenous variable revealed that the scores were also significant. The relationship

between beneficiary’s participation indicators and residential satisfaction was found to be the

most significant amongst all latent variables. The parameter with the highest standardised

coefficient for this factor was the indicator variable BNP3. The parameter coefficient was

found to be 0.924. The indicator variable BNP3, which asked the beneficiaries of their level of

agreement, if owners should be consulted about the construction, was found to be mostly

associated with overall beneficiary residential satisfaction than all other indicator variables.

Thus, the overall results suggested that the influence of beneficiary participation in determining

beneficiaries overall satisfaction with their subsidised dwelling units is direct and statistically

more significant than any other factor.

Findings suggest that when beneficiary participation is incorporated into the housing

development process, the outcomes are more likely to suit local circumstances, ensure

community ‘ownership’, and increase the sustainability and eventually the satisfaction with the

housing development. Developing and maintaining the participation of beneficiaries can often

be a challenge requiring various strategies and considerations. However, participation can

encompass many activities. It can be beneficiary involvement in the initial planning stages of

a project, the development of action plans, or being a member of working groups, reference

groups and focus groups. It could mean receiving project updates in the form of a newsletter,

or providing reflections or feedback about the implementation of a project strategy from a

project recipient’s point of view. Most times, the promotion of beneficiary participation in both

project planning and implementation are implemented especially with regard to: project

location; type of land tenure; type and level of services; house design; position of the house

within the housing location; choice of material supply; and house construction methods, etc.

The SEM results advanced that the respondents participation in a housing development project

that concerns them, could potentially lead to the implementation of appropriate responses

through their being consulted about the housing location, house design, house construction and

selection of the internal finishes of the house, which can be incorporated into the development

process and eventually lead to their satisfaction and sustainability (continuity of what the

community has started) of the housing project.

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The study findings did not concur with the work of Lizarralde and Massyn (2008) where it was

found that the performance (satisfaction) of low-cost housing projects does not depend on

community participation and that some of the mechanisms and advantages of community

participation need to be reconsidered in low-cost housing projects. Also, Davidson et al. (2007)

previously found that community participation can easily become rhetoric in its

implementation if it is not well guided. However, in the study done by Lizarralde and Massyn

(2008), it is further reported that community participation was wrongly implemented in the

reported case studies. In other words, the principle is ‘good’ but the implementation failed,

hence the statement that the performance of low-cost housing projects does not really depend

on community participation. In reality, the performance of low-cost housing projects depends

on a complex interaction of participants’ interests, objectives, resources and processes that go

beyond the benefits of the participation of the beneficiaries alone. Hence, it should be stated

that the participation of the beneficiaries is not positive; in fact it is crucial.

When the community meaningfully participates, they understand what the housing project

entails which limits misunderstandings with regards to the overall project aims. Hence, time

reduction occurs in explanations because people understand and know what is going on as they

now have a stake in the process. With meaningful beneficiary participation, the people take

responsibility for the project. However, the only way to encourage participation in housing

development is to educate the beneficiaries’ on various issues such as sustainability,

empowerment, capacity building, self-reliance and effectiveness. Government support is

critical in starting any form of beneficiary participation policies; which should be drafted to

create a regulatory framework and an enabling environment that facilitate active participation

(World Bank, 1996:121). In South Africa for instance, citizen participation is the principle

upon which democracy is founded, and it has been firmly entrenched by legal frameworks,

such as the White Paper on Reconstruction and Development (1994), the Constitution (1996),

the While Paper on Local Government (1998), the Municipal Structures Act (1998), the

Municipal Systems Act (2000), the Municipal Finance Management Act (2003) and the

Municipal Property Act (2004). Amongst these, the Municipal Systems Act (2000) stands out

as of particular relevance for promoting public participation, in that it requires municipalities

to develop a culture of public participation by building the capacity of local communities.

The SEM results thus suggest that when beneficiaries have control over resources affecting

their lives, it can lead to changes in knowledge and skill and their needs and expectations would

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have been taken care of through their activate participation in the development process.

11.2.5 Needs and Expectation Influence on Residential Satisfaction

The finding was that housing needs and expectations have a direct positive influence on

beneficiary residential satisfaction. Beneficiary’s needs and expectations were defined by the

following indicator: owners should be told beforehand the type of house they will receive,

owners should be asked what type of house they need, owners expect good quality houses and

the houses should meet the needs of the family.

The findings suggested that beneficiary’s housing needs and expectations have a direct

influence on overall residential satisfaction. The finding was consistent with Hablemitoglu et

al.’s (2010) study, which found that meeting respondents’ housing needs set forth a dimension

of needs and the current satisfiers determine a set of requirements for their satisfaction.

According to Maslow’s (1980) Needs Theory, human needs are unlimited and when one of

them is met, another follows suit. In this process, complete satisfaction is not possible unless a

need classified to be important is first met. Individuals want what they do not have and the

need satisfied loses its motivating power. This is because housing occupants’ are only satisfied

when their current housing needs and expectations are satisfied. However, it must be noted that

residents’ satisfaction will not stay unchanged, because soon, there will be other higher order

needs and expectations that will have to be satisfied. More so, households that are dissatisfied

are likely to consider some form of adjustment. Morris and Winter (1975) and Hamnett (2001)

inform that residents may attempt to make adjustments to reduce dissatisfaction by revising

their needs and expectations to reconcile their incongruity, or by improving their housing

conditions through remodeling. They may also move to another place to bring their housing

into conformity with their needs and expectations. However, both mobility and adjustments are

subject to the constraints posed by financial resources at one’s disposal and by information

regarding alternative adaptation opportunities.

The most significant findings from the SEM results highlighted the fact that owners should be

told beforehand the type of house they will receive and should also be asked what type of house

they need. This significance is highlighted by the fact that the gratifications of occupants

housing needs and expectations should have noteworthy prominence. Because people with

different housing needs and expectations, the same housing condition could bring different

satisfaction levels because their needs and expectations are different. Hence, unless the level

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one need is sufficiently satisfied, they will remain in the occupant’s consciousness and will

thus become the prime determinants of housing behaviour. In earnest, the living condition that

is currently pursued forms the housing expectation of the individual, which is highly related to

the overall residential satisfaction. The current study finding on this aspect concur with

Marcus’s (1995) study which found that housing is like a mirror, which has a powerful effect

on our sojourn toward a state of wholeness (satisfaction). Hence, all over the world, and in

South Africa, there is a growing consensus that meeting residents’ housing needs and

expectations constitutes a significant new dimension of community development and

establishment. This is because housing needs as a shelter are mostly a concern for those who

struggle for these needs, such as the homeless, those previously disadvantaged from owning

property, as a result of government policy of the past.

Likewise, previous research (Caughey et al., 1998) has shown that expectations have a

significant effect on overall satisfaction of housing occupants. This is because satisfaction

normally occurs based on a comparison of that which is expected with that which is received.

Similarly, prior exposure to that which is to be received has the tendency to influence

occupant’s satisfaction towards a housing product. While a negative prior experience can

generate a lower expectation, which will result in lower satisfaction. Further findings revealed

that when beneficiaries of the housing units have an expectation of what they will receive, they

will either be satisfied based on the expected outcome or be dissatisfied. Satisfaction with what

is expected suggests that satisfaction is the result of a comparison of that which was expected

and what was received (Caughey et al., 1998; Woodruff et al., 1983). Also, Tse and Wilston

(1998) posit that a fundamental premise of dissatisfaction with prior exposure (expectation) is

that expectation is related to satisfaction. The result also suggests that in addition to the

influences from expected performance and subjective dissatisfaction, perceived performance

exerts direct influence on satisfaction. Therefore, it can be asserted that when beneficiaries are

dissatisfied with what has been received it is in response to the congruency between their

expectations and the actual performance of the housing product that was received.

Hence, subsidised public housing beneficiaries satisfaction may be viewed as a function of the

interrelationship between what beneficiaries expect from the government in relation to their

housing need and their perceptions of the houses they have received (i.e. the quality of the

houses received and the satisfaction derived from the housing meeting their needs). It should

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be noted that satisfaction is not the only direct outcome, but prior exposure to what is to be

received have also been found to directly affect dissatisfaction.

11.2.6 Service Provided by Government Influence on Residential Satisfaction

The finding was that services provided by the government had a direct positive influence on

the satisfaction level of the residents of government subsidised housing. Services provided by

the government (SPG) was defined by four indicator variables: satisfaction with how residents’

complaints are handled, government response to building defects, enforcement of rules by the

Department of Human Settlement and the overall services provided by the government.

The findings suggested that SPG have a direct positive influence on the beneficiary’s overall

residential satisfaction. The finding was consistent with that of Salleh et al. (2011) and

Ahlbrandt and Brophy (1976) who found that residents’ satisfaction had a direct positive link

with the services provided by the management (government) of a public housing. In other

words, the findings revealed that improved services by the government being the managers

(administrators) of subsidised low income housing in South will influence and increase

residents’ overall satisfaction. This is apparent from the standardized factor loadings and

interfactor correlations with other indicator variables, which were statistically significant

(Table 89). Also, the variances accounted for in each measure by the endogenous variable

revealed that the scores were statistically significance and the values were above the minimum

required value of 25% to be ascribed an influence on residents’ satisfaction with their housing

units.

The findings of this study corresponds with the work of Husna and Nurizan (1987) and Salleh

(2011) which find that most residents of a low-income public housing in Kuala Lumpur were

satisfied with the services offered to them by the government. Findings from the current study

strongly correspond with the aspect of residents’ concern with the time taken by management

to respond to their complaints; response to building defects and the enforcement of rules by the

management as found in the previous studies (Ukoha & Beamish, 1997; Husna & Nurizan,

1987; Salleh et al., 2011). Similarly, Varady and Carroza (2002) and Ukoha and Beamish

(1997) also reported corresponding results where they find that the most causative factor of

residents’ satisfaction regarding management services were housing management’s prompt

feedback to the residents, response to building defects and the enforcement of rules by

management. Therefore, the finding was significant in that it provides the South African

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Department of Human Settlement and other stakeholders of subsidised low-income housing in

the country with knowledge of the fact that the services they provide to the low-income

beneficiaries influence their satisfaction with the housing units. This is not only in a positive

sense, but also in a negative way. For instance, from the descriptive survey results, the

respondents informed that they have shopping facilities; place of worship, drainage system

(within and outside the neighbourhood) within their reach as well as having access to garbage

and waste collection.

Similarly, the findings are significant because subsidised low-income housing stakeholders

could constitute a feasible checklist of services and features that could be provided in low-

income locations, in order to ensure the residents’ satisfaction with the houses. Not that there

are no existing guidelines, but a feasible level of services to be provided should be specifically

determined before the construction of the houses to make the projects an integrated

development. Also, by using the checklist, the stakeholders would have adequate knowledge

of services that have to be provided in order to ensure an acceptable level of services in the

housing locations. These services to be provided could also constitute leading indicators for all

stakeholders involved in low-income housing projects either subsidised or in private

developments.

11.2.7 Extent the Hypothesised Integrated Model Fit the Identified Factors

The SEM finding is that five of the identified factors (exogenous variables) had a direct positive

influence, while only one had an indirect influence in determining residential satisfaction. The

general hypothesis that residents’ overall residential satisfaction with their housing product is

directly related to the influence of the exogenous variables in predicting overall beneficiary

satisfaction in publicly funded housing schemes in developing countries using South Africa as

a case study is sustained. The findings supported previous research studies which informed that

housing satisfaction is a multidimensional construct (Amerigo, 1990; Amole, 2009; Amerigo

& Aragones, 1990; Campbell et al., 1976; Francescato et al., 1987; Hourihan, 1984; Lu, 1999;

Marans & Rodger, 1975; Marans & Sprecklemeyer, 1981; Michelson, 1977; Weidemann &

Anderson, 1985). Therefore, Lu (1999) specifically informs that the formation of residential

satisfaction is not simply based upon freedom from dissatisfaction; it is more complex.

The postulated relationships between all exogenous factors and the endogenous factor were

found to be statistically significant. The result suggested that all latent factors adequately

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measured the overall resident satisfaction. The relationship between residential satisfaction and

beneficiary participation was found to be the most significant. This suggested that when

beneficiaries are made to participate in the housing development process, their eventual

satisfaction with the project will be sustained and hence, develop their capacity to further

participate in future development projects as advanced by previous researches (Chamber, 1995;

1997; Choguill, 1996; Lizarralde & Massyn, 2008).

Findings on the outcome variables of residential satisfaction for the study reveal that the direct

and the interfactor influence of the latent variables will manifest in an objective and subjective

behaviour from the beneficiaries such that they will be:

satisfied living here (in the housing unit and neighbourhood);

will take proper care of their neighbourhood; and

will recommend to their friends to obtain a house in the same way that they did.

Findings also revealed that the outcome of residential satisfaction will not influence the

beneficiaries not to move to another place in the future. This was consistent with the housing

adjustment theory as proposed by Morris and Winter (1976), which informs that if a

household’s current housing meets the norms, the household is likely to express a high level of

satisfaction with housing and neighbourhood. However, an incongruity between the actual

housing situation and the housing norm results in a housing deficit, which in turn gives rise to

residential dissatisfaction. Therefore, households with a housing deficit who are dissatisfied

are likely to consider some form of housing adjustment to meet the known norm. They may

attempt to make adjustments to reduce dissatisfaction by revising their needs and expectations

to reconcile the incongruity, or by improving their housing conditions through remodeling (Lu,

1999). According to Morris and Winter (1976), they may also move to another place to bring

their housing into conformity with their needs and expectations. Though, both mobility and

adjustments are subject to the constraints posed by financial resources at one’s disposal and by

information regarding alternative adaptation opportunities (Lu, 1999). Thus moving behaviour

is only one type of adjustment residents perform during the time of dissatisfaction of housing

needs; but in the case of the low-income group, it might not be possible, as most cannot access

housing on their own and the subsidised houses received might be their only life time

opportunity to access housing.

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11.3 QUESTIONNAIRE AND DELPHI SURVEY RESULTS

Findings from the Delphi Study were that the factors considered to be the principal

determinants of residential satisfaction, include dwelling unit features, neighbourhood features,

building quality, services provided by government, beneficiary participation, needs and

expectations. The results state that beneficiaries are very likely to be satisfied with their housing

units with the influence of the identified factors.

The Delphi Study was validated by a Field Questionnaire Survey. The results suggested that,

the identified factors from the Delphi Study have direct and indirect influence in determining

residential satisfaction. In the questionnaire survey, the hypothesis that the exogenous factors

had a direct and positive influence on beneficiaries’ residential satisfaction could not be

rejected. The exogenous variables: dwelling unit features, neighbourhood features, building

quality / housing condition, services provided by government, beneficiary participation and

needs and expectations were found to have a statistically significant influence in predicting

resident satisfaction. The findings from both the Delphi and the Questionnaire Survey

therefore, suggested that the exogenous variables influenced the determination of the the

endogenous variable (occupants’ residential satisfaction).

The merit of using Structural Equation Modeling to validate the Delphi findings was that it was

possible to specifically ascertain which of the exogenous factors had significant influence on

residents’ satisfaction. Therefore, instead of making a general blanket statement that the

exogenous variables had influence on determining the beneficiary’s residential satisfaction, it

was possible to precisely state that the factors: dwelling unit features, building quality, services

provided by government, beneficiary participation, needs and expectations had a direct

/(stronger) statistically significant influence on the beneficiaries, while neighbourhood features

had an indirect (weak) influence in determining residents’ satisfaction with their housing units.

Beneficiary participation has been shown to exert a more profound influence on residential

satisfaction. It appears to enhance residential satisfaction significantly, based on the SEM

modeling results of this study. Needs and expectations were also strongly associated with

increased satisfaction.

11.4 CONCLUSION

In conclusion, the findings from the Questionnaire Survey generally supported the predictions

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that were made by the experts from the Delphi Study. The validated predictions were that

dwelling unit features, neighbourhood features, building quality / housing condition, services

provided by government, beneficiary participation, needs and expectations influence the

prediction of public housing occupants’ residential satisfaction. In addition, the existing

literature lends support to the findings of the current study. The supported findings were that

dwelling unit features, neighbourhood features, building quality / housing condition, services

provided by government, beneficiary participation and needs and expectations, are

fundamental to subsidised housing scheme residents’ satisfaction with their dwelling units.

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CHAPTER TWELVE

CONCLUSIONS

12.1 INTRODUCTION

The general overall objective of the current study was to develop residential satisfaction model

for publicly funded subsidised low-income housing in developing countries using South Africa

as a cases study, and to specifically identify the determinant attributes which collectively

predict residents’ satisfaction with their low-income houses.

Hence, in order to achieve the general objective, the study adopted a Mixed Methodology of

conducting an extensive literature review, a Delphi Study and a Field Questionnaire Survey

which was analysed using Structural Equation Modelling. The Field Questionnaire Survey was

conducted in order to validate findings from the Delphi Study with regards to the factors which

predict residents’ satisfaction. Conclusions regarding the study are presented relative to the

objectives of the study in the next sections.

12.1.1 Research Objective RO1

The first objective of the study was to establish the factors that determine residential

satisfaction in low-income housing, based on a literature review. In order to achieve this

objective, a review of literature was conducted. Findings are that residents’ satisfaction with

their houses is not a product of only one attributed, but a multi-faceted construct. Further

findings revealed that residential satisfaction has been a major topic in various disciplines, such

as sociology, psychology, planning and geography. In addition, it is found that an

understanding of the low-income’s satisfactory evaluation with their housing product will bring

improvements, which could thus be employed for future developments, which will improve the

effectiveness of the service provision. Also, it is found that residential satisfaction research

deals with the housing products’ consumer satisfaction, and aims to inform policy and planning

intervention.

The literature also informs that residential satisfaction is recognized as an important component

of an individual’s general quality of life; arguing that for most people, housing is the largest

consumption item in their lifetime because the house when transformed to become a home is

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the setting where one finds refuge, rest and satisfaction. Therefore, pointing out that the degree

to which individuals’ needs and aspirations are met by their housing condition is a concern for

researchers but most importantly for housing developers, planners and the Departments of

Human Settlement. Similarly, it is found that the factor which brings about residential

satisfaction encompasses satisfaction with the dwelling unit, satisfaction with the dwelling

neighbourhood and the entire neighbourhood, amongst others. Findings from the literature

were that more research and effort is required to try and address the problem of residents’

satisfaction with their dwelling units.

12.1.2 Research Objective RO2

The second objective of the research was to establish the current theories and literature that

have been advanced on residential satisfaction and to identify the gaps that needed

consideration. A review of literature was carried out to achieve this objective. The findings

revealed that residential satisfaction research has not been studied with an all-inclusive

construct in the development of the previous models and theories. The identified gaps from the

extensive literature review were beneficiaries’ meaningful participation in the housing process,

in terms of their needs and expectations. The identified gaps formed the new constructs in the

current study conceptual framework (Model 1.0). These gaps were considered essential

because people have different housing needs and expectations that cannot be satisfied with the

same housing condition; and this could bring about different satisfaction levels because their

needs and expectations are different. Also, their participation in the housing process will bring

about ownership of the project and enable them to contribute to the process, which will thus

bring about sustainability of the project. The current study offers a synthesized classification

of the constructs, which should be collective considered to predict residents’ satisfaction. From

the synthesized literature, this current study argues that residential satisfaction is a six-factor

construct.

12.1.3 Research Objective RO3 & RO4

The third objective of the study was to determine the main and sub-attributes that bring about

residential satisfaction and to examine if the attribute that determines satisfaction in other

cultural contexts is the same within South Africa. The fourth research objective (RO4) was to

evaluate the critical factors and issues that affect the delivery of low-income housing in South

Africa.

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A Delphi Study was conducted in order to achieve these objectives. Findings were that a

number of factors that were considered to be important in determining residential satisfaction

were identified and amplified by the Delphi Study. The factors considered to be paramount

determinants of residential satisfaction were dwelling unit features, neighbourhood features,

building quality, services provided by government, beneficiary participation and needs and

expectations. The findings suggested that the attributes that brings about residential satisfaction

in South African low-income housing are similar to the determinants in other cultural contexts.

Further, residential satisfaction is assured if there is a consideration of these factors in the

development of subsidised low-income housing for the low income groups in South Africa.

These factors were collectively considered for the development of the all-inclusive (integrated

holistic) residential satisfaction model.

Findings further reveal that the daunting critical factors, which affects, low-income housing

provision in South Africa, which is equally applicable to other developing countries is financial

limitation caused by the dwindling tax base. Also, it is revealed that waiting time on the housing

database impacts on the delivery of low-income housing and in turn affects the housing

satisfaction of the low-income groups. Also, it was found that developmental efforts and

initiatives should be directed not just at achieving the set objectives for the well-being of the

low-income groups or communities but also that the gains should be retained and nurtured to

greater levels. The findings also reveal that beneficiaries of the housing development must be

capacitated or assisted/supported to take charge of the processes and the results of developmental

interventions (participation). Because for the beneficiaries of public housing development to

continue realizing proceeds of the developmental processes, they must be guided to determine both

process, as well as end products of development, which will in turn bring about their satisfaction

with the housing development project.

12.1.4 Research Objective RO5

The fifth research objective of the study was to develop an integrated residential satisfaction

model for subsidised low-income groups based on both literature and the Delphi Study.

A synthesis of the reviewed literature together with the findings from the Delphi Study was

used to achieve this objective. The conceptual model theorized that subsidised occupants’

residential satisfaction is a six-factor construct. These factors were: dwelling unit features,

neighbourhood features, building quality features, services provided by the government,

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beneficiary participation, needs and expectation, which jointly predict residential satisfaction

of occupants in subsidised low-income housing. This hypothesis was validated through a

Structural Equation Modeling of data from the Field Questionnaire Survey.

12.1.5 Research Objective RO6

The sixth and final research objective of the study was to test and validate the conceptually

integrated residential satisfaction model by conducting a Questionnaire Survey and analysing

it using Structural Equation Modeling (SEM). A Questionnaire Survey and analysis of the

results using SEM software, EQS Version 6.2 was conducted in order to achieve this objective.

Findings from the SEM analysis, which model subsidised housing occupants’ residential

satisfaction as a six-factor model showed that the factors of dwelling unit features,

neighbourhood features, services provided by the government, building quality features,

beneficiary participation and needs and expectations were found to have a significant influence

in determine the occupants’ residential satisfaction. However, the neighbourhood feature had

a weak (indirect) influence in predicting residential satisfaction, nevertheless, it covariances

with the other exogenous construct to determine residential satisfaction, which was found to

be statistically significant. These findings validated the conceptually integrated holistic model

developed from literature and the Delphi Study.

12.2 CONTRIBUTION AND VALUE OF THE RESEARCH

The value and contribution of the current research is described at three levels. These are the

theoretical, methodological and practical levels of the research findings. However it is pertinent

to note that the outstanding contribution of the study is the revelation and validation of the

influences of beneficiary participation, needs and expectations in predicting residents’

satisfaction.

12.2.1 Theoretical Contribution and Value

The results of the SEM analysis indicated that subsidised low-income housing occupants’

residential satisfaction is a six-factor model. The researcher could not find evidence of a similar

study that has been conducted in the low-income housing context. The study is also significant

because it addresses the lack of theoretical information about which factors are most significant

in predicting resident satisfaction in subsidised low-income housing.

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The SEM results also indicated that the factors of dwelling unit features, neighbourhood

features, services provided by the government, building quality features, beneficiary

participation, needs and expectation were found to have a significant influence in determining

occupants’ residential satisfaction. Only one had a weak (indirect) influence in determining

residential satisfaction in subsidised low-income housing in South Africa. The findings

enforced the theory that low-income housing occupants’ satisfaction is multifaceted. The SEM

findings also show that the latent variables lead to residential satisfaction outcome variables,

which could be used for residential satisfaction measurement.

Also, the literature review did not reveal evidence of a similar study to the current one and

therefore, suggested that this type of research has not yet been conducted in housing studies,

and especially, in South Africa. Moreover, there was no evidence that suggested that a Mixed

Method of using Delphi and SEM had been used in housing studies in South Africa. Therefore,

this study may offer a base for other researchers to use for other follow-up studies. Likewise,

the current study modeled residential satisfaction as a six-factor construct with the inclusion of

two new variables: beneficiary participation and their needs and expectations. Previous studies

have tried to model satisfaction using other variables without the inclusion of these two

additional constructs. This study has shown that there is more than one factor that can influence

residents’ satisfaction with their dwelling units and most especially, the new additions should

always be considered as beneficiaries’ meaningful participation in the housing process and the

incorporation of their needs assessments and expectations will predict the resultant output of

the housing process. Apart from the study contributing to theoretical knowledge, it also

contributed to methodological advance in terms of the approach used in conducting the

research.

12.2.2 Methodological Contribution and Value

Most studies have used univariate statistical methods such as ANOVA, MANOVA or

Regression Modeling to model residential satisfaction. However, the current study used SEM,

which is more robust and superior to the methods mentioned to determine causality of factors

in a model and their direction of influence (Kline, 2005; Musonda, 2012:252). With SEM

analysis, it was possible to identify the factors of residential satisfaction, which had significant

effect and hence influence residents’ satisfaction with their houses as opposed to a general

blanket statement that there are numerous constructs, which influence residents’ satisfaction.

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The Questionnaire Survey instrument had high internal reliability values and therefore, could

be used in similar studies to validate the current study or for similar purposes. Findings from

the Delphi Study and the conceptual model developed from both the literature review and the

Delphi Study was validated by conducting a Questionnaire Survey. Hence, data from the

questionnaire survey was analysed using SEM software, EQS Version 6.2. As a result of this

Mixed Method, a parsimonious model was developed. Aside from this contribution and value

to the body of knowledge in terms of the methodological approach, a contribution to practice

and the housing industry was also achieved.

12.2.3 Practical Contribution and Value

The significance of citizen participation on developmental projects has been well expanded in

literature, likewise on the People’s Housing Project in programmes in South Africa. Little has

been report on its relevance to subsidised housing in South Africa. However, Delphi results

have indicated that beneficiaries of these housing projects will be better served if they are made

to participate in the housing process. Further, SEM results indicated that beneficiary

participation has direct significant influence on overall beneficiary satisfaction with the

housing units. Similarly, the influence of beneficiaries’ needs assessment and expectations

before the construction of the houses thus significantly influence their perception towards the

finished product.

Besides, the knowledge of the influence of the six-factor construct could help subsidised low-

income housing development stakeholders to plan, organize, coordinate and control all aspects

relating to the housing development. The Department of Human Settlement (DHS) could use

this knowledge to help with decisions on how to best allocate finances towards the development

of an inclusive low-income settlement. The practical significance of the study are further

elaborated as follows:

Significance to Planning

The provision of adequate housing in planning is important as it contributes towards a quality

living environment and directly supports the concept of sustainable development. Studying

housing satisfaction of low income urban dwellers has provided information on the deficiencies

of their housing units, facilities and the housing environment. This information will be useful

in planning future housing in order to ensure a better living environment particularly of the low

income groups, which has always been the marginalized group.

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Significance to Community

The objective of good development is to create a more just and united society besides

maintaining social stability and effective economic management; as well as to changes lives.

The Delphi and SEM results have shown that beneficiary satisfaction in housing means the

fulfillment of housing needs. By so doing, the welfare of the low-income community is taken

care of and improvement can be done to upgrade their quality of life. In return, the low-income

groups will be satisfied and perform better in their work and social life, as they will not feel

excluded from the development of the society.

Significance to the Department of Human Settlement

The study results have also demonstrated the level of satisfaction of beneficiaries towards the

current condition of their low-income houses. The output of the study will help the Department

of Human Settlement in making decisions about the criteria to be given priority in providing

good, quality housing. The findings will help DHS to plan programmes for the housing

communities, as well as planning effective housing management and deployment processes.

The output of the study will further help in providing feedback on housing design and will

assist DHS in future housing decisions and policies. As affirmed by Amerigo & Aragone

(1997), beneficiaries’ housing satisfaction is important because it broadens the understanding

of how and why beneficiaries respond to certain factors in the environment in which they live

as well as to ascertain housing types and living conditions. This will ultimately enable DHS to

know the vital areas to commit resources to, so that the quality of life and well-being of the

disadvantaged and low-income groups can be assured. In order to ensure that housing is not

just a home but a home in livable neighbourhood, the government should monitor low-income

housing programmes to ensure the needs of the low-income groups are met.

The integrated holistic residential satisfaction model should be used as a guide to ensure that

all elements necessary for an all-inclusive development is in place to ensure an acceptable low-

income housing standard. The study offers an opportunity for further research to improve the

model developed in this study and probably refine indicator variables to suit specific

environments. Therefore the recommendations and policy implications for practice of all these

areas in which the current study may add value and contribute are presented below.

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12.3 RECOMMENDATIONS

Recommendations are made from the methodological, theoretical and practical points of view.

12.3.1 Methodological

It is recommended that a similar study should be conducted with a different populations and

samples (in other metropolitan municipalities) to improve the application in the South Africa

low-income housing space. Also, further research should be conducted on the indicator

variables to establish any improvement in model fit, as the current study was purely a

confirmatory factor analysis. There is the possibility that residential satisfaction could be

defined by more indicator variables. Recognition should be made however that there is no such

a thing as a perfect model. However, there should be a move to try and improve on the current

model rather than invent a new model.

Findings from the current study recommend that the Mixed Method of using a Delphi and a

Questionnaire Survey be encouraged in studies, such as the current one where a test – retest

methodology may not be feasible to validate a study. This situation is common in most social

science studies and most studies end at Questionnaire Survey or Delphi Study and as such

renders generality of conclusions especially on causality to be questionable. The recommended

method could commence with a Delphi Study followed by a questionnaire survey or vice-versa

in order to validate a study and therefore, improve its generalisability.

Previous research studies in the social science and most especially in housing studies try to

establish cause and effect relationships between different latent variables. But, most of these

studies use inadequate analytical methods, such as ANOVA and Multiple Regressions.

ANOVA or MANOVA, which are basically standard statistical procedures, do not offer an

appropriate and a straightforward way to test a hypothesis at a higher level of abstraction.

Therefore, for similar studies, such as the current thesis, Structural Equation Modeling is

recommended to be used as the analysis technique for better results and abstraction.

12.3.2 Theoretical

It was observed from the literature that there were still different definitions and an

understanding of how residents’ satisfaction is formed. This has led in the past to a limited

view and narrow conceptualization of residential satisfaction. Besides, there has not been a

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consensus on how residential satisfaction in subsidised low-income housing in South Africa

should be measured. However, in the current study, literature was reviewed and synthesized on

the determinants of residential satisfaction. In conjunction with the experts’ knowledge

obtained through the Delphi Study, a six-factor residential satisfaction model was arrived at for

subsidised low-income housing. These factors were identified as dwelling unit features,

neighbourhood features, building quality features, services provided by the government,

beneficiary participation, needs and expectations. It is therefore recommended that the

developed model and theory of residential satisfaction, with particular emphasis on

operationalization it, should form the basis for further refinement of the concept and thereby

making it beneficial to the South African low-income housing space and other developing

countries. It is further recommended that the influence of beneficiary participation, needs and

expectations should be integrated into existing models, as proposed in other studies that have

been developed.

12.3.3 Policy Implication and Practical Recommendation

As a result of the identified contributions that the current study makes, as revealed by the

findings, the following policy implications and practical recommendations have been

identified:

The policy implication suggests that residential satisfaction of beneficiaries of publicly

funded low-income housing can be enhanced through the improvement of the dwelling

unit features, neighbourhood features, building quality features, services provided by

government, involving the beneficiary in the housing development process and the

assessment of the beneficiaries’ needs and expectations.

Also, the DHS and other stakeholders responsible for low-income housing provision in

South Africa and other developing countries can adopt proper management measures

in order to improve the residents’ housing environment and the resulting dwelling units.

Most importantly, the neighbourhood features, as findings indicated that this aspect was

considered to have a weak impact in predicting residents’ satisfaction.

Likewise, the future of subsidised low-income housing in South Africa should be

responsive to the six-factor model and especially to beneficiary participation and the

assessment of their needs, as these are considered vital in the total housing provision.

Thus, the development of low-income housing projects should take into account the

needs of the residents more than their effective demand for a house.

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Another policy implication is that stakeholders planning subsidised low-income

housing development should embrace the integrated housing development option, as

contained in the Breaking New Ground Housing Policy to enable the creation of an all-

inclusive neighbourhood that will meet the wide needs of the low-income group.

Similarly, low-income housing development should be integrated with other urban land

use so that an efficient social infrastructure provision system could be effectively

implemented within the framework of public housing delivery system, in order to

enhance the qualitative adequacy of public housing in South Africa.

Another policy implication of the study is that the DHS should adopt the criteria of

family size projection (housing life cycle) in determining the low-income house size,

particularly, the number of bedrooms.

Also, future low-income housing design should be responsive to low-income residents’

need for safety, security, thermal comfort, and job creation amongst others. This is

because the respondents’ socio-demographic findings reveal that most of the

respondents’ are unemployed, lacked education and desired better security protection.

12.4 LIMITATIONS

Interesting and valuable findings have emerged from this study, however, the following

limitations regarding the current study should be considered. Firstly, the research was only

conducted in the Gauteng Province of South Africa as indicated in Chapter 1, Section 1.3.5.

This is because the Gauteng Province has delivered more subsidised low-income housing in

South Africa. Given enough resources, it would be preferable to conduct a similar research

study with the entire metropolitan and district municipalities in South Africa where subsidised

low-income houses have been built. Also, the consideration of other developing countries could

be included. Secondly, the ethnic representation in the study was not comparable: African

(85.89%), Indian (80%), Coloured (10.39%) and White (2.93%). However, it does sufficiently

reflect the representation of publicly subsidised low-income housing population in South

Africa. Thirdly, the SEM Methodology used in data analysis may be construed as a limitation.

The results presented herein are based on the analysis of a causal model with raw data. Hence,

the results are intended to support the priori causal model. Thirdly, the use of additional items

or constructs might improve the inherent reliability and validity of the measures used. Fourthly,

several nested models especially for the measurement models, could have been evaluated to

check out the suitability of other alterative models. The current study was purely confirmatory

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in nature. Fifthly, although the internal reliability tests indicated high internal consistency and

therefore a well-constructed research tool, some constructs revealed high correlational values.

This may be due to the fact that only one questionnaire was used to collect information in all

the low-income housing locations. A review of the research tool would have benefited findings

in this study. A final limitation is related to the sample, in addition to the aforementioned

limitations the study has shown that some of the SEM measures may have been influenced by

the sample size of the study. All empirical studies are limited by the nature of the sample

studied. The exploration of the dependent variable (residential satisfaction), has shown that it

has a very complex organisation (multi-faceted), and claims for further interpretations.

12.5 RECOMMENDATIONS FOR FURTHER RESEARCH

The following suggestions for further studies have been identified:

Further studies should examine factors related to the limitations of the current study.

Firstly, more rigorous and detailed testing of measurement scales in South African and

other developing countries would further the knowledge of low-income residents’

satisfaction. It is possible that some scales developed in Western culture and in the

current study may not be suitable for other cultural contexts.

The model did not include culture as a separate construct, and including this may have

influenced the research results. Although, inherent in the current study is the notion that

individuals make their decisions based on their cultural values. However, it is

recommended that future studies should consider culture as a separate construct to

confirm the influence of the ‘low-income culture’ on their satisfaction level with the

subsidised houses, as the houses are not culturally oriented, but based on a premeditated

design, as approved by the Department of Human Settlement.

These results also need to be replicated with other populations. Important features of

residential satisfaction may vary between different regions and cultures, while some

might remain in common. Equally important are youths and the elderly that may have

different perspectives on the provided houses, and those groups of individual

characteristics were not considered in the conceptualization and validation of the

current model.

A validation of the Aigbavboa Integrated Holistic Residential Satisfaction Model

presented in Figure 10.10 (Model 2.0) is recommended.

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12.6 CONCLUSION

An integrated residential satisfaction model for subsidised low-income residents’ was

developed using existing residential satisfaction and other theories grounded in housing

studies. It was postulated that overall subsidised low-income residents’ satisfaction is directly

related to the influence of the exogenous (latent) variables’ in predicting / determining overall

housing satisfaction. The postulated model was analysed with the use of Structural Equation

Modeling software EQS Version 6.2. The fit statistics for the measurement and structural

models had an adequate fit to the sample data. The finalized empirical model revealed that the

exogenous variables (dwelling unit features, neighbourhood features, building quality features,

services provided by government, beneficiary participation, needs and expectations) had a

statistically significant influence in determining subsidised low-income housing occupants’

satisfaction. Specifically, the exogenous variables such as: neighbourhood features had a weak

(indirect) influence on determining residential satisfaction in subsidised low-income housing

in South Africa. Adhering to this caveat, it is therefore concluded that the six-factor model

schematically portrayed in Figure 10.10 and 10.11 (Model 2.0) represents an adequate

description of residential satisfaction in subsidised low-income housing in South Africa.

The results of this study have theoretical, methodological and policy (practical) values because

respondents for the Delphi Study were drawn from academics’, housing practitioners and the

Department of Human Settlement personnel’s. While the respondents for the Questionnaire

Survey was the low-income housing occupants. Furthermore, the respondents had a good

working knowledge of the studied environment. In addition, the Questionnaire Survey whose

results were modeled using Structural Equation Modeling was a validating study of a

conceptual model developed from synthesized theories established from literature and more

importantly from the Delphi Study. Hence, it is considered that the presented model for

subsidised low-income housing satisfaction interpretation maintains its validity.

The result of the study provided information that can inform governmental, corporate,

institutional and community policy-makers, as they plan for and implement subsidised housing

programmes designed to enhance the quality of life of the poor and low-income groups.

Secondly, the study provides indicators that will be a baseline for assessing low-income

housing in developing countries. This is because an increase in housing satisfaction improves

people’s quality of life, thus, directly affecting people’s satisfaction with their lives. Housing

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that is satisfactory and pleasant for people increases their self-worth and personal fulfillment,

and helps them to be successful in life. For this reason, the results of this study should constitute

a reference guide in developing countries low-income housing policies, and the factors that

increase user satisfaction should be taken into consideration in future planning. Consequently,

housing planners, designers and other stakeholders will be able to contribute to the ways of

solution to increase the low-income groups’ quality of life and level of satisfaction by carefully

considering the factors that determine residents’ satisfaction in housing. Stakeholders and

institutions who are involved in the planning process should wield the contemporary factors

revealing user-preferences about housing satisfaction, as part of planning input so as to increase

the level of user satisfaction. As a result, the public’s (low-income) requirements and

expectations will have been taken into consideration, and members of the public (the poor and

the low-income) will be able to participate in the planning process. Also, the validated

conceptual model of occupants’ satisfaction in housing, which has been formulated in this

study, will provide a reference to researchers who will study housing satisfaction in the future.

The current study, lends support to other studies that have utilised alternative methods to

establish the factors which influences low-income groups residential satisfaction with their

houses. These studies have concluded that low-income residents’ housing satisfaction is multi-

faceted as also claimed in the current study. The current study utilizes a more robust modeling

method of SEM. By adopting the methodology, the current study was able to model the

influence of the selected multi-faceted variables and the constructs, which were statistically

significant. The practical implication is that residential satisfaction of beneficiaries of publicly

funded low-income housing schemes can be enhanced through improving the dwelling unit

features, neighbourhood features, building quality features, services provided by government,

encouraging their active involvement in the housing development process and undertaking a

careful assessment of the beneficiaries’ needs and expectations. Also, the DHS and other

stakeholders responsible for low-income housing provision in South Africa can adopt proper

management measures in order to improve the residents’ neighbourhood environment and the

dwelling unit features. Most importantly, the neighbourhood features, as findings indicated that

this aspect was considered to have a weak impact in predicting residents’ satisfaction.

Likewise, the future of subsidised low-income housing in South Africa should be responsive

to the six-factor model and especially, to the beneficiaries’ participation and the assessment of

their needs, as these are considered vital in total housing provision. Thus, the development of

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low-income housing projects should take into account the needs of the residents more than their

effective demand for housing.

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APPENDIX A

INVITATION LETTER TO PARTICIPATE IN A DELPHI STUDY

30 November 2011

Dear Sir,

Clinton Aigbavboa is registered for a Ph.D. in the Faculty of Built Environment at the

University of Johannesburg under the supervision of Prof Wellington Didibhuku Thwala

(Masters Programme Co-ordinator, Faculty of Engineering and the Built Environment,

University of Johannesburg, South Africa, Vice-President of The South African Council for

Project and Construction Management Professions - SACPCMP).

The area of his research is on developing a residential satisfaction model on public subsidised

housing in Developing countries: A case study of South Africa. He will be using a Delphi

approach and needs to compile a panel of experts in the field to participate in this process. It

would be appreciated if you would consent to participating in the study in this capacity.

Kind regards

Wellington Didibhuku Thwala PhD (Eng) Pr CPM MCIOB Pr. Pln A/1272/2003 MSAPI

Professor of Construction Project Management

Masters Programme Co-ordinator

Vice-President of The South African Council for Project and Construction Management

Professions (SACPCMP)

Tel: +27 (0)11 559 6048

Fax: +27 (0) 11 559 6630

Fax to email:086 219 1096

Mobile: +27 83 383 5537

Email: [email protected]

Department of Construction Management and Quantity Surveying, Faculty of Engineering and

the Built Environment, P.O. Box 17011, Doornfontein, 2028, South Africa

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APPENDIX B

REQUEST FOR EXPERT’S CURRICULUM VITAE

07 December 2011

Dear Sir/Madam

I would like to thank you for accepting the invitation to participate as an expert in our project

to develop a residential satisfaction model on public subsidised housing in Developing

countries: A case study of South Africa.

The process of collecting input from the expert panel will probably involve no less than three

rounds. The first round will be in the month of December 2011, the second round will be held

at the end of January 2012 and the third round is anticipated to be held at the end of March

2012. We understand that your time is important. Each round of the Delphi process will take

approximately 30 minutes to complete. A more complete description of the Delphi process is

attached for your information.

To start with, I would like to request for your curriculum vitae for our records and to confirm

your area of expertise. We would appreciate your response by the 15th of December 2011.

Kind regards

Clinton Aigbavboa PhD Candidate

University of Johannesburg

Faculty of Engineering and the Built Environment

Tel: +2711 559 6398

Mobile: +27787958231

Email: [email protected] / [email protected]

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APPENDIX C

DELPHI METHOD AND APPLICATION TO THIS STUDY

BACKGROUND INFORMATION

The Delphi Method

The Delphi method is a process to collect data and information to solve non-analytical

problems. Used as a research tool, the process gathers knowledge from individuals (experts),

analyses and combines the information to obtain a group consensus.

The Process

The information is gathered in a series of questionnaires or surveys called rounds. The first

round is exploratory in nature and presents the participant with a standard questionnaire. The

second round will present the participant with the group response with his or her response from

the first round. Each experts (participants) member has the opportunity to alter his or her

answer or to voice his or her opinion about new issues collected in the previous survey. The

third round, if necessary, will finalise the statistical response of the group to form a consensus.

The Advantages of Delphi

Delphi has three features over other data collection methods: (1) anonymity, (2) controlled

feedback of results, and (3) statistical group response or consensus.

Anonymity – The members of the process are unknown to other members. This feature will

help minimise the “bandwagon effect.” In public group meetings, one participant, possibly

less knowledgeable, may be more vocal during discussion, potentially persuading more

knowledgeable panellists. Also by keeping the participants unknown, one participant may

change his or her answer to one question without publicly admitting that he or she has done so.

Controlled Feedback – The benefit to the participant of Delphi is gained by feedback of results

collected in earlier rounds. The participant will be sent the group response of colleagues and

other experts in the industry.

Statistical Group Response – The goal of Delphi is to move towards a group consensus.

However, the end result, undoubtedly will display a range of opinions. The statistical group

response is created to assure that the opinions of all participants in the surveys are represented.

The Application of Delphi

You have been asked to participate in the Delphi process for a doctoral study on Housing

Satisfaction of the low-income group, a case study of South Africa to help assess and to

prioritise the vital housing features, policy and management issues in the housing development

industry that can help bring about housing satisfaction to the disadvantaged and low-income

group. The goal of this project is to identify the determinant factor which brings about housing

satisfaction in the low-income housing context to inform stakeholders on the features to give

proper attention when considering building houses for this group. If you agree to participate,

you will be sent the first round questionnaire. The first questionnaire will ask you, in your

opinion, to evaluate issues relating to housing satisfaction and other housing related concerns

affecting the industry. The second questionnaire will follow and will display the group

response of the first questionnaire and new issues collected. You will be able to compare your

response with the opinions displayed by the rest of the participants. The third questionnaire

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will be used, only if necessary, to eliminate gaps in the information collected in earlier rounds

and to finalise the group response.

Time Commitment

The time commitment is minimal. Each round or questionnaire should take approximately 30

minutes to complete and submit.

Schedule

If you agree to participate in this research project, the first-round questionnaire will be sent (by

e-mail) in December 2011. The researcher will analyse the results and send out the second-

round questionnaire in January 2012. If a third and final-round questionnaire is necessary to

achieve a consensus on the some key issues, this questionnaire will be sent in February 2012

and final results will be available to you in March 2012.

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APPENDIX D

DELPHI INSTRUCTIONS FOR ROUND 1 AND QUESTIONNAIRE

DELPHI SURVEY – ROUND 1 (Q1)

Thank you for accepting to serve on the Delphi panel for this research. Your acceptance for

participation is greatly appreciated.

This first Round survey is intended to be completed in approximately 25-30 minutes.

Subsequent surveys will require significantly less time to complete. When you have finished

answering all of the questions, please email your response, in Word format, to

[email protected] or [email protected] by 10 January, 2012.

You will be given the opportunity to change your response later on after all Delphi participants

have completed the first Round survey and results have been analysed. Results will be in simple

statistics e.g. median response, average, range and percentage.

INSTRUCTIONS

1. Please answer all of the following questions to the best of your ability.

2. Please indicate your response by placing an ‘X’ in the appropriate boxes. The survey

requests that you rate the prospect of the elements influencing housing satisfaction,

development and advancement in South Africa; the impact of other factors in predicting

residential satisfaction of the low-income group South Africa.

3. Experts are also required to state their levels of agreement using a 5-point Likert Scale with

certain statement and to support their choices where necessary with regards to South Africa

housing subsidy, policy issues and the future of public low-income housing in order to arrive

at a consensus.

4. The influence (probability) scale is presented below and only a number should be used for

a probability range. For instance, if you consider the influence (probability) range to be

between 61 & 70% of the feature’s influence then you should mark ‘X’ under the box ‘7’.

If the impact is considered to be high, then the ‘X’ should be marked under the ‘7’ or ‘8’

box depending on whether your opinion is inclined more towards high or very high impact.

(See below).

Please use your experience, expertise and judgement to rate what you believe the average

negative or positive influence of the various features are on housing satisfaction and on the

South Africa low-income at large would be if the described elements were lacking or present.

INFLUENCE SCALE (probability in percentage)

0-10% 11-

20%

21-

30%

31-

40%

41-

50%

51-

60%

61-

70%

71-

80%

81-

90%

91-

100%

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

X

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IMPACT SCALE

No impact

Low impact Medium

impact

High impact Very high

impact

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

X

Q1.1 RESIDENTIAL SATISFACTION ATTRIBUTES: To identify the main attributes

that brings about residential satisfaction and to examine if the attribute that determine

satisfaction in other cultural context is the same with South Africa.

Residential satisfaction attributes What is the influence of the following attributes on residential

satisfaction in South Africa low-income housing beneficiaries’?

(1=low influence, 10=high influence)

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Rank

Dwelling unit X

Housing physical characteristics X

Household or personal

characteristics

X

Housing condition or quality of

building

X

Social features X

Economic features X

Community services X

Neighbourhood and environmental

facilities

X

Culture X

Tenure X

Homeownership X

Needs and expectation X

Beneficiaries meaningful

participation

X

Personality variables X

Aesthetics X X

Location X

Health (personal and

environmental)

X

Safety and Security X

Psychological factors X

Q1.2 DWELLING UNIT FEATURES: This refers to the floor plan of internal spaces

within the dwelling unit and it includes the living, dining, bedroom etc.

Residential satisfaction attributes What is the Impact of each of the listed dwelling unit features

on Overall residential satisfaction in South Africa low-

income housing beneficiaries’ if the listed features are lacking?

(1=no impact, 10=very high negative impact)

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No impact Low impact Medium

impact

High impact Very High

impact

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

The number of bedrooms X

The size and the location of the

spaces

X

Location of living room X

Location of dining room X

Location of Kitchen X

Size of the bedrooms X

Size of the Kitchen X

Size of the bathrooms X

Size of the wardrobes or closet X

Size of the dining room X

Space for children to play X

Space for children to study X

Balcony X

Privacy within the house X

Brightness and sunshine X

Ventilation in the house X

The floor level X

Overall appearance of building X

Interior design X

Overall size of House X

Washing room area X

Q1.3 NEIGHBOURHOOD AND ENVIRONEMTNAL CHARATERISTICS: Refers to

the position of the housing area with respect to work place and other facilities such as

distances to town centre, school etc.

Residential satisfaction attributes What is the Impact of each of the listed neighbourhood and

environmental features on Overall residential satisfaction in

South Africa low-income housing beneficiaries’ if the listed

features are lacking? (1=no impact, 10=very high negative

impact) No impact Low impact Medium

impact

High impact Very High

impact

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Location of dwelling unit X

Friends and neighbours X

Closeness to workplace X

Closeness to shopping areas X

Closeness to schools X

Closeness to hospitals/clinics X

Closeness to the place of worship X

Public transportation and services X

Landscape of the neighbourhood X

Adequacy of on-street parking

(bays)

X

Parking facilities X

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Walkways and access to main

roads

X

Privacy from other neighbours X

Closeness to playground and other

recreational facilities

X

Street and highway noise X

Smoke or odours X

Street lighting at night X

Secure environment X

Physical condition and appearance

of the neighbourhood

X

General cleanliness of the

neighbourhood

X

Proximity to Police services X

Police protection X

Incidence of burglary activities X

Elderly centres X

Community hall X

Facilities for the disabled X

Q1.4 HOUSEHOLD CHARACTERISTICS: This refers to the demographic and economic

characteristics of the household head and includes information about sex, education etc.

Residential satisfaction attributes What is the Impact of each of the listed household

characteristics on Overall residential satisfaction in South

Africa low-income housing? (1=no impact, 10=very high

negative impact) No impact Low impact Medium

impact

High impact Very High

impact

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Gender (sex) X

Marital status X

Employment and welfare X

Number of children X

Age X

Occupation X

Education X

Household structure X

Race X

Ethnicity X

Tenureship of residence X

Payments for own house X

Length of residency X

Family income X

The amount of rent X

Location of last residence X

Tenureship of last residence X

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Q1.5 SOCIAL FEATURES: This refers to the social features or the occupants’ social

environment which are likely to impact housing satisfaction which includes variables such as

noise, crime, community relations etc.

Residential satisfaction attributes What is the Impact of each of the listed social features on

Overall residential satisfaction in South Africa low-income

housing beneficiaries’ if the listed features are lacking? (1=no

impact, 10=very high negative impact) No impact Low impact Medium

impact

High impact Very High

impact

Privacy from neighbours X

Interactions with neighbours X

Security around neighbourhood X

Safety at home X

Security provision of flat

(collapsible, sliding front gate,

window burglary etc.).

X

Density of population X

Freedom of choice X

Social relations (social networks) X

Adequacy of escape route in case

of fire

X

Attachment of the communities X

Anticrime measures (report

centres)

X

Special requirement for disabled X

Accident situation X

Community relations X

Q1.6 HOUSING CONDITION OR QUALITY OF BUILDING: This refers to the

observable physical attributes of the housing unit, the housing complex and the community.

Residential satisfaction attributes What is the Impact of each of the listed housing condition or

the quality of building on Overall residential satisfaction in

South Africa low-income housing beneficiaries’ if the listed

features are lacking? (1=no impact, 10=very high negative

impact) No impact Low impact Medium

impact

High impact Very High

impact

The water pressure X

The quality of exterior construction X

The quality of walls X

The quality of interior construction X

The quality of the floors X

The quality of the windows X

The quality of the doors X

The quality of the interior painting X

The quality of the exterior painting X

The quality of the plumbing works X

The quality of the sanitary

finishing

X

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Functioning of the plumbing

fixtures

X

Plumbing repairs X

Air quality X

Electrical wiring quality X

Rooms and others spaces lighting X

Electrical fittings quality X

Numbers of electrical sockets X

Level of sockets X

Clothes-line facilities X

Overall quality of the unit X

Q1.7 ECONOMIC FEATURES: This refers to the economic value of the housing unit and

the neighbourhood.

Residential satisfaction attributes What is the Impact of each of the listed economic features on

the Overall residential satisfaction of South Africa low-

income housing? (1=no impact, 10=very high negative impact) No impact Low impact Medium

impact

High impact Very High

impact

Home value X

Neighbourhood socio-economic

status

X

Community cost of living X

Q1.8 COMMUNITY SERVICES OR SERVICS PROVIDED BY THE GOVERNMENT:

This refers to the services provided by the government to each housing development areas and

the institutional arrangement under which public housing is administered.

Residential satisfaction attributes What is the Impact of each of the listed services provided by

the government on the Overall residential satisfaction of

South Africa low-income housing beneficiaries’ if the listed

features are lacking? (1=no impact, 10=very high negative

impact) No impact Low impact Medium

impact

High impact Very High

impact

Drainage system X

Garbage and waste collection

system

X

Owned houses X

Security system X

Fire protection X

Maintenance and repair services X

Convenience of bus and public

transportation

X

Electricity supply X

Water supply X

Telephone service X

Handling of residents’ complaints X

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Management responds to necessary

repairs

X

Housing department officials

treatment of beneficiaries

X

Housing department rules and

regulations of the development

X

Enforcement of rules by the

Department of housing

X

Participation by the community X

Q1.9 PERSONALITY VARIABLES: This refers to the personality variables of the

occupants towards the government and their neighbours.

Residential satisfaction attributes What is the Impact of each of the listed personality variables

on the Overall residential satisfaction of South Africa low-

income housing beneficiaries’? (1=no impact, 10=very high

negative impact) No impact Low impact Medium

impact

High impact Very High

impact

Mistrust of authority X

Negative emotions X

Pessimism X

Q1.10 AESTHETICS: This refers to the building form such as the appearance, height, etc.

Residential satisfaction attributes What is the Impact of each of the listed building aesthetics on

the Overall residential satisfaction of South Africa low-

income housing beneficiaries’? (1=no impact, 10=very high

negative impact) No impact Low impact Medium

impact

High impact Very High

impact Rank

Building forms X

Building height X

External appearance (compare with

others in the neighbourhood)

X

Entrance / lobby design X

Colour of the building X

Q1.11 LOCATION: This refers to the area where the housing units are situated.

Residential satisfaction attributes What is the Impact of the following building location variables

on the Overall residential satisfaction of South Africa low-

income housing beneficiaries’? (1=no impact, 10=very high

negative impact) No impact Low impact Medium

impact

High impact Very High

impact

Size of housing development X

Ease of access by public transport X

Appropriateness of site for erection

of residential building

X

Nearness to slums X

Nearness to economic

opportunities

X

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Q1.12 HEALTH (PERSONAL AND ENVIRONMENTAL): This refers to the adequacy of

features like ventilation, acoustics that affect the health of the occupants’.

Residential satisfaction attributes What is the Impact of each of the listed personality variables

on the Overall residential satisfaction of South Africa low-

income housing beneficiaries’? (1=no impact, 10=very high

negative impact) No impact Low impact Medium

impact

High impact Very High

impact

Adequacy of daylight distribution

in the units

X

Adequacy of natural ventilation in

the units

X

Acoustic quality in the units X

Water quality (cleanliness, etc.) X

Cleanliness of public areas X

Q1.13 Are there attributes that in your opinion affect satisfaction that has not been addressed? If

any, please state the attributes below

Attributes not listed

Q1.14 SUBSIDISED PUBLIC HOUSING: To identify the factors that makes subsidised

public housing unsustainable in South Africa.

Attributes What is the Impact of the following listed factors on

Public housing delivery in South Africa? (1=no impact,

10=very high negative impact) No impact Low impact Medium

impact

High impact Very High

impact

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

High cost of construction X

None involvement of the big

contractors

X

No solution to general housing problem X

Undesirable X

Lack of skills to handle the production

rate (skills shortage)

X

Lack of resources to handle the

production rate

X

Maintenance cost to the beneficiaries X

Lack of maintenance plan

Illiteracy of the beneficiaries X

Lack of housing education X

Growing unemployment X

Political involvement X

Housing backlog X

Size of the national housing budget X

Bureaucratic capacity X

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Problem of under-spending X

Q1.15 Are there factors that in your opinion IMPACT public housing delivery in South Africa that

has not been addressed? If any, please state the factor and rank the IMPACT.

Attributes not listed:

Q1.16 HOUSING POLICY INSTRUMENTS: To identify the combination of Housing

Policy instrument that will better serve the South Africa low-income group.

Residential satisfaction attributes What is the influence of the following housing policy

instruments on Public housing delivery in South Africa?

(1=low influence, 10=high influence)

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Public housing (subsidy schemes) X

Social (Medium-density) Housing

Instrument

X

Rent regulation X

Allocation and rental policies in

current social housing

X

Support for the construction of new

social housing flats

X

Housing allowances X

Tax relief X

Interest subsidies for

homeownership

X

Incremental housing X

Q1.17. Are there any housing policy instruments that in your opinion IMPACT public housing

delivery in South Africa that has not been addressed? If any, please state the factor and rate the

IMPACT

Housing Policy

Instruments not

listed:

-

Q1.18 Does the failure of the South Africa Housing Policy to adequately respond to the needs

of the poor and low-income hinge on the available housing policy instruments in place?

Agreement:

Strongly disagree

Disagree

No opinion

X Agree

Strongly Agree

Q1.19 Please identify any critical issues affecting the provision of housing for the low-income

group in South Africa that have been omitted from the questions above.

Critical issues:

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Q1.20 Waiting time on the housing database has an impact on the housing satisfaction of the

low-income group?

Agreement: Strongly disagree

Disagree

No opinion

X Agree

Strongly Agree

Q1.21 Which of the following housing delivery programmes will better deliver houses that

will be satisfactory to the housing subsidy beneficiaries’ in South Africa?

Housing delivery programmes Rank

Integrated Residential Development Programme

(IRDP)

1 1

Enhanced People’s Housing Process (ePHP) 2 0

Informal Settlements Upgrading Programme (UISP) 3 0

Consolidation Subsidies 4 0

Emergency Housing Assistance 5 2

Institutional Subsidies 6 0

Social Housing Programme (SHP) 7 3

Community Residential Units (CRU) 8 0

Rural Subsidy: Informal Land Rights 9 4

Farm Residents Housing Assistance Programme 10 0

Comment:

Q1.22 Which of the following housing delivery models will best respond to the needs of the

low-income group in South Africa?

Housing delivery models Rank

Public housing (through the provision

of free subsidy)

1

Self-help housing 2 X – to a

certain

degree

Enabling the market to work 3 X

Provision of social housing (rental

option)

4 X

Q1.23 State subsidised (financed) housing will always be the major housing delivery models

to provide housing to the poor and low-income group in South Africa?

Agreement:

Strongly disagree

Disagree

No opinion

X Agree

Strongly Agree

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Q1.24 When do you predict government will end the current model of free housing delivery

to the poor and low-income group in South Africa?

Agreement:

6 months’ time

1 - 2 years’ time

3 – 5 years’ time

6 – 8 years’ time

9 - 10 years and above

10 years and above

X – Not in the time that I can think off – the poverty seems to perpetuate itself –

hence no reason to stop the free housing delivery.

Q1.25 What do you envisage will be the replacement for the current government housing

subsidy scheme when it is eventually stopped in the near future?

Comments:

Q1.26 What do you envisage will be the pivotal context of the South Africa Housing policy

in the next 10 years?

Pivotal

context:

Q1.27 Please list and rank the housing development and management issues that affect the

National, Provincial, and the local government housing agencies today in South Africa (1 being

most important, 5 being least important).

Rank

____ A.) _______________________________________________________________

_______________________________________________________________________

_____B.) _________________________________________________________________

_______________________________________________________________________

____ C.) _______________________________________________________________

_______________________________________________________________________

____ D.) _______________________________________________________________

_______________________________________________________________________

____ E.) _______________________________________________________________

_______________________________________________________________________

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Q1.28 Please list and rank the housing development and management issues that will affect the

National, Provincial, and the local government agencies in the next 10 years or in the future (1

being most important, 5 being least important).

Rank

____ A.) _______________________________________________________________

_______________________________________________________________________

____ B.) _______________________________________________________________

_______________________________________________________________________

____ C.) _______________________________________________________________

_______________________________________________________________________

____ D.) _______________________________________________________________

_______________________________________________________________________

____ E.) _______________________________________________________________

_______________________________________________________________________

Q1.29 Unemployment has an impact on the housing satisfaction of the low-income group?

Agreement:

Strongly disagree

Disagree

No opinion

Agree

X Strongly Agree

Q1.30 Prior exposure to what is to be received has a tendency to influence beneficiaries’

satisfaction towards a given housing product?

Agreement:

Strongly disagree

Disagree

No opinion

X Agree

Strongly Agree

Q1.31 Which of the following housing order needs should be met in order to satisfy the

South Africa low-income housing beneficiaries’?

Housing needs order Rank

Self-actualisation 1 X

Esteem Needs 2 X

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Social Needs 3 X

Safety Needs 4 X

Physiological 5 X

Q1.32 The provision of housing is the paramount need of the poor and low-income group in

South Africa?

Agreement:

Strongly disagree

Disagree

No opinion

Agree

X Strongly Agree

Q1.33 If you disagreed to the previous statement, what do you think should be the paramount

needs of the poor and low-income group in South Africa that the government should

make a priority?

Principal

needs:

Q1.34 Participation in the housing development process potentially leads to the

implementation of appropriate responses through the involvement of locals in collective

decision making – through the assessment of their needs and expectations?

Agreement:

Strongly disagree

Disagree

No opinion

X Agree

Strongly Agree

Q1.35 Can the current South Africa housing system be referred to as developmental or

welfare?

Agreement:

Strongly disagree

Disagree

No opinion

X Agree

Strongly Agree

Q1.36 The current urban and housing planning system in South Africa favours only the

bourgeois interest in the society?

Agreement:

Strongly disagree

Disagree

X No opinion

Agree

Strongly Agree

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PERSONAL INFORMATION OF EXPERT PANEL MEMBER

Title (Mr., Mrs., Ms., Dr., Prof.) Mrs

Highest qualification MSc in International Construction Management

Field of specialisation Education & Training in Construction/Housing

Professional registration (CIH,

FCIOB etc.)

ICIOB

Years of experience (housing

studies, development studies,

policy etc.)

7yrs

Current employer Tshwane University of Technology

Position Lecturer

Province and Metropolitan

Municipality currently residing

Tshwane

Have you lived in other

Metropolitan Municipality (s)

before

Yes

If yes, kindly state Ethekwini

Thank you for taking your time to fill out this first round survey. The second round of the

Delphi process will begin on January 25, 2012.

Please do not hesitate to contact me or my promoter Professor Wellington Didibhuku Thwala

if you have any questions about this survey or about the research project in general. Kindly see

contact details below.

Contact details:

Clinton Aigbavboa

Ph.D. Candidate

Dept. of Construction Management and Quantity Surveying, University of Johannesburg

Doornfontein Campus 2028;

Johannesburg, South Africa.

Tel.: +27115596398;

Mobile: +27787958231

Email: [email protected]; [email protected]

Promoter

Professor Wellington Didibhuku Thwala PhD (Eng.) Pr CPM, MCIOB, Pr. Pln, MSAPI

Professor of Construction Project Management

Masters Programme Co-ordinator

Department of Construction Management and Quantity Surveying, Faculty of Engineering and

the Built Environment, University of Johannesburg, South Africa.

Vice-President of The South African Council for Project and Construction Management

Professions (SACPCMP)

Tel: +27 (0)11 559 6048, Fax: +27 (0) 11 559 6630, Fax to email: 086 219 1096, Mobile: +27

83 383 5537, Email: [email protected]

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APPENDIX E

DELPHI INSTRUCTIONS FOR ROUND 2 AND AN EXAMPLE OF COMPLETED

QUESTIONNAIRE WITH GROUP MEDIAN

DELPHI SURVEY – ROUND 2 (Q2)

Thank you for completing Round 1 of the Delphi survey. We recognise that the survey required

a significant time investment to complete thoughtfully. We appreciate your time and effort.

This Round 2 survey continues the Delphi process for this study. The purpose of Round 2 is to

provide you with the opportunity to change your response, if desired, given the median group

response for each question and element.

The second round survey is intended to take approximately 30 minutes as you are only being

asked to review your previous responses given the collective group median. When you have

finished answering all of the questions, please email your response to [email protected] by

Friday, February 24, 2012.

INSTRUCTIONS

For each element you will see 2 values: your response from the Round 1 survey (indicated with

a yellow highlighted box), and the group median from the Round 1 survey indicated in the

column to the far right hand of each table. Please take one of the following three actions for

each category:

1. Accept the group median response by leaving the field completely unchanged.

2. Maintain your original response by placing an ‘X’ in the highlighted field*.

3. Indicate a new response by placing an ‘X’ in the appropriate field*.

* *If your response is more than ten percent (one unit) above or below the group median

please provide a reason for your outlying response in the field provided.

* * Please kindly review the questions without an initial response from the Round 1 survey

(indicated with an orange highlighted shading); – Indicate a response by placing an ‘X’ in the

appropriate field; or accept the group median response by leaving the field completely

unchanged.

* * New issues identified from the Round 1 survey are also included for your response –

these are indicated with a green shading.

Q2.1. RESIDENTIAL SATISFACTION ATTRIBUTES: To identify the main

attributes that brings about residential satisfaction and to examine if the attribute that

determine satisfaction in other cultural context is the same with South Africa.

Residential satisfaction

attributes

What is the influence of the following attributes on residential

satisfaction in South Africa low-income housing beneficiaries’?

(1=low influence, 10=high influence)

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Median

Dwelling unit 9

Housing physical characteristics 7

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Household or personal

characteristics

6

Housing condition or quality of

building

8

Social features 6

Economic features 6

Community services 7

Neighbourhood and

environmental facilities

7

Culture 6

Tenure 8

Homeownership 8

Needs and expectation 7

Beneficiaries meaningful

participation

6

Personality variables 4

Aesthetics 5

Location 9

Health (personal and

environmental)

7

Safety and Security 8

Psychological factors 7

Comment:

Q2.2. DWELLING UNIT FEATURES: This refers to the floor plan of internal spaces

within the dwelling unit and it includes the living, dining, bedroom etc.

Residential satisfaction

attributes

What is the Impact of each of the listed dwelling unit features

on Overall residential satisfaction in South Africa low-income

housing beneficiaries’ if the listed features are lacking? (1=no

impact, 10=very high negative impact) No impact Low impact Medium

impact

High

impact

Very High

impact

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Median

The number of bedrooms X 8

The size and the location of the

spaces (rooms)

7

Location of living room 5

Location of dining room 5

Location of Kitchen 5

Size of the bedrooms 7

Size of the Kitchen 6

Size of the bathrooms 5

Size of the wardrobes or closet X 5

Size of the dining room 5

Space for children to play 5

Space for children to study 6

Balcony X 3

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Privacy within the house 6

Brightness and sunshine 6

Ventilation in the house 6

The floor level 5

Overall appearance of building 5

Interior design 5

Overall size of House 6

Washing room area 5

Comment:

Q2.3. NEIGHBOURHOOD AND ENVIRONEMTNAL CHARATERISTICS: Refers to

the position of the housing area with respect to work place and other facilities such as

distances to town centre, school etc.

Residential satisfaction

attributes

What is the Impact of each of the listed neighbourhood and

environmental features on Overall residential satisfaction in

South Africa low-income housing beneficiaries’ if the listed

features are lacking? (1=no impact, 10=very high negative

impact) No impact Low impact Medium

impact

High

impact

Very High

impact

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Median

Location of dwelling unit 8

Friends and neighbours 7

Closeness to workplace X 9

Closeness to shopping areas X 8

Closeness to schools 8

Closeness to hospitals/clinics X 8

Closeness to the place of

worship

7

Public transportation and

services

9

Landscape of the neighbourhood X 6

Adequacy of on-street parking

(bays)

X 5

Parking facilities X 4

Walkways and access to main

roads

7

Privacy from other neighbours X 7

Closeness to playground and

other recreational facilities

6

Street and highway noise X 6

Smoke or odours X 7

Street lighting at night X 8

Secure environment 9

Physical condition and

appearance of the

neighbourhood

X 7

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General cleanliness of the

neighbourhood

7

Proximity to Police services 7

Police protection 8

Incidence of burglary activities 9

Elderly centres 5

Community hall 7

Facilities for the disabled X 6

Comment:

Q2.4. HOUSEHOLD CHARACTERISTICS: This refers to the demographic and

economic characteristics of the household head and includes information about sex,

education etc.

Residential satisfaction

attributes

What is the Impact of each of the listed household characteristics

on Overall residential satisfaction in South Africa low-income

housing? (1=no impact, 10=very high negative impact) No impact Low impact Medium

impact

High impact Very High

impact

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Median

Gender (sex) 5

Marital status 5

Employment and welfare 8

Number of children 7

Age 6

Occupation 6

Education 6

Household structure 6

Race 5

Ethnicity 6

Tenureship of residence 7

Payments for own house 8

Length of residency 8

Family income 8

The amount of rent 9

Location of last residence 6

Tenureship of last residence 6

***Disability X

Comment:

Q2.5. SOCIAL FEATURES: This refers to the social features or the occupants’ social

environment which are likely to impact housing satisfaction which includes variables

such as noise, crime, community relations etc.

Residential satisfaction

attributes

What is the Impactof each of the listed social features on Overall

residential satisfactionin South Africa low-income housing

beneficiaries’ if the listed features are lacking? (1=no impact,

10=very high negative impact)

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No impact Low impact Medium

impact

High impact Very High

impact

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Media

n

Privacy from neighbours 7

Interactions with neighbours 7

Security around

neighbourhood

8

Safety at home 8

Security provision of flat

(collapsible, sliding front

gate, window burglary etc.).

8

Density of population 6

Freedom of choice 7

Social relations (social

networks)

7

Adequacy of escape route in

case of fire

5

Attachment of the

communities

7

Anticrime measures (report

centres)

7

Special requirement for

disabled

5

Accident situation 6

Community relations 6

Comment:

Q2.6. HOUSING CONDITION OR QUALITY OF BUILDING: This refers to the

observable physical attributes of the housing unit, the housing complex and the

community.

Residential satisfaction

attributes

What is the Impact of each of the listed housing condition or the

quality of building on Overall residential satisfaction in South

Africa low-income housing beneficiaries’ if the listed features are

lacking? (1=no impact, 10=very high negative impact) No impact Low impact Medium

impact

High impact Very High

impact

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Median

The water pressure 6

The quality of exterior

construction

7

The quality of walls 7

The quality of interior

construction

7

The quality of the floors 6

The quality of the windows 6

The quality of the doors 6

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The quality of the interior

painting

6

The quality of the exterior

painting

6

The quality of the plumbing

works

7

The quality of the sanitary

finishing

7

Functioning of the plumbing

fixtures

7

Plumbing repairs 7

Electrical wiring quality 7

Rooms and others spaces

lighting

6

Electrical fittings quality 5

Numbers of electrical sockets 6

Level of sockets 5

Clothes-line facilities 5

Overall quality of the unit 7

Comment:

Q2.7. ECONOMIC FEATURES: This refers to the economic value of the housing unit and

the neighbourhood.

Residential satisfaction

attributes

What is the Impact of each of the listed economic features on the

Overall residential satisfaction of South Africa low-income

housing? (1=no impact, 10=very high negative impact) No impact Low impact Medium

impact

High impact Very High

impact

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Median

Home value 6

Neighbourhood socio-

economic status

6

Community cost of living X 7

Comment:

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Q2.8. COMMUNITY SERVICES OR SERVICS PROVIDED BY THE

GOVERNMENT: This refers to the services provided by the government to each

housing development areas and the institutional arrangement under which public

housing is administered.

Residential satisfaction

attributes

What is the Impact of each of the listed services provided by the

government on the Overall residential satisfaction of South Africa

low-income housing beneficiaries’ if the listed features are lacking?

(1=no impact, 10=very high negative impact) No impact Low impact Medium

impact

High impact Very High

impact

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Median

Drainage system 7

Garbage and waste collection

system

7

Owned houses 7

Security system 6

Fire protection X 6

Maintenance and repair

services

X 6

Convenience of bus and

public transportation

8

Electricity supply X 8

Water supply 9

Telephone service X 5

Handling of residents’

complaints

7

Management responds to

necessary repairs

7

Housing department officials

treatment of beneficiaries

7

Housing department rules

and regulations of the

development

7

Enforcement of rules by the

Department of housing

6

Participation by the

community

7

Comment:

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Q2.9. PERSONALITY VARIABLES: This refers to the personality variables of the

occupants towards the government and their neighbours.

Residential satisfaction

attributes

What is the Impact of each of the listed personality variables on the

Overall residential satisfaction of South Africa low-income

housing beneficiaries’? (1=no impact, 10=very high negative

impact) No impact Low impact Medium

impact

High impact Very High

impact

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Median

Mistrust of authority 7

Negative emotions 7

Pessimism 7

Comment:

Q2.10. AESTHETICS: This refers to the building form such as the appearance, height, etc.

Residential satisfaction

attributes

What is the Impact of each of the listed building aesthetics on the

Overall residential satisfaction of South Africa low-income

housing beneficiaries’? (1=no impact, 10=very high negative

impact) No impact Low impact Medium

impact

High impact Very High

impact

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Median

Building forms 6

Building height 5

External appearance

(compare with others in the

neighbourhood)

6

Entrance / lobby design 5

Colour of the building 4

Comment:

Q2.11. LOCATION: This refers to the area where the housing units are situated.

Residential satisfaction

attributes

What is the Impact of the following building location variables on

the Overall residential satisfaction of South Africa low-income

housing beneficiaries’? (1=no impact, 10=very high negative

impact) No impact Low impact Medium

impact

High impact Very High

impact

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Median

Size of housing development 6

Ease of access by public

transport

9

Appropriateness of site for

erection of residential

building

6

Nearness to slums 6

Nearness to economic

opportunities

9

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Comment:

Q2.12. HEALTH (PERSONAL AND ENVIRONMENTAL): This refers to the adequacy

of features like ventilation, acoustics that affect the health of the occupants’.

Residential satisfaction

attributes

What is the Impact of each of the listed personality variables on the

Overall residential satisfaction of South Africa low-income

housing beneficiaries’? (1=no impact, 10=very high negative

impact) No impact Low impact Medium

impact

High impact Very High

impact

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Median

Adequacy of daylight

distribution in the units

6

Adequacy of natural

ventilation in the units

5

Acoustic quality in the units 5

Water quality (cleanliness,

etc.)

9

Cleanliness of public areas 6

Comment:

Q2.13. Are there attributes in your opinion that affects satisfaction that has not been

addressed? If any, please state the attributes below. See listed attributes below.

Attributes not listed Frequency

Size of land 1

Location of site 1

Lack of beneficiary participation at the grassroots 1

Suppression of vermin like rats 1

Location of kitchen sink 1

Service delivery 1

Temperature / insulation 1

Presence of ceiling 1

Quality (especially regularity and reliability) of sewerage and

garbage removals services

1

Physical safety (in terms of protected drain covers; fenced off

streams, rivers and railway lines as well as road safety issues

especially with regards to children’s and elderly’s safety)

1

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Q2.14. SUBSIDISED PUBLIC HOUSING: To identify the factors that makes subsidised

public housing unsustainable in South Africa.

Attributes What is the Impact of the following listed factors on Public

housing delivery in South Africa? (1=no impact, 10=very high

negative impact) No impact Low impact Medium

impact

High

impact

Very High

impact

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Median

High cost of construction 8

None involvement of the big

contractors

6

No solution to general housing

problem

7

Undesirable 6

Lack of skills to handle the

production rate (skills shortage)

6

Lack of resources to handle the

production rate

7

Maintenance cost to the

beneficiaries

7

Lack of maintenance plan X 6

Illiteracy of the beneficiaries 6

Lack of housing education 6

Growing unemployment 8

Political involvement 9

Housing backlog 9

Size of the national housing

budget

7

Bureaucratic capacity 8

Problem of under-spending 7

Comment:

Q2.15 Are there factors that in your opinion IMPACT public housing delivery in South

Africa that has not been addressed? If any, please state the factor and rank the

IMPACT.

See listed FACTORS below. Please kindly rank the IMPACT. (1 being most important, 5

being least important)

Attributes not listed Frequency Impact

Culture of entitlement 1 1

Poor national planning regimes 1 1

Lack of strategic management by government 1 2

Corruption 2 1

Delivery mechanism 1 3

Lack of adequately knowledgeable personnel in the housing

departments

1 1

Public private Partnership in housing delivery 1 2

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Dependency on government 1 2

Lack of project management skills 1 2

Inadequate beneficiary participation 1 3

Nepotism 1 1

Undue process 1 3

Unnecessary delay 1 2

Price escalation 1 4

Inflation 1 4

Land market / land price 1 4

NIMBYism (Not-in-my-backyard) 1 3

Continuity of unfulfilled high expectations 1 2

Ignorance of bureaucrats dealing with housing 1 1

Q2.16. HOUSING POLICY INSTRUMENTS: To identify the combination of Housing

Policy instrument that will better serve the South Africa low-income group.

Residential satisfaction

attributes

What is the influence of the following housing policy instruments

on Public housing delivery in South Africa?(1=low influence,

10=high influence)

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Median

Public housing (subsidy

schemes)

9

Social (Medium-density)

Housing Instrument

7

Rent regulation 6

Allocation and rental policies

in current social housing

7

Support for the construction

of new social housing flats

7

Housing allowances 7

Tax relief 6

Interest subsidies for

homeownership

7

Incremental housing 6

Comment:

Q2.17. Are there any housing policy instruments that in your opinion IMPACT public

housing delivery in South Africa that has not been addressed? If any, please state the

factor and rate the IMPACT

See listed instruments below. Please kindly rank their IMPACT. (1 being most important, 5

being least important)

Housing Policy Instruments not listed Frequency Impact

Partnership with the beneficiary 1 2

Needs assessment 1 1

Coordination of housing delivery 1 3

Community rental units 1 2

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Lack of protection for vulnerable recipients of state built housing

such as RDPs

1 2

Q2.18. Does the South Africa Housing Policy fail to adequately respond to the needs of the

poor and low-income?

Agreement and Median value Round 1

Agreement 1 - Strongly disagree 12.0%

2 - Disagree 29.0%

3 - No opinion 0.0%

4 - Agree 41.0%

5 - Strongly agree 18.0%

Comments:

Q2.18 (a). Is (Does) the failure hinge on the lack of an adequate housing policy

instruments in place?

Agreement:

Strongly disagree

Disagree

No opinion

x Agree

Strongly Agree

Q2.19. Please identify any critical issues affecting the provision of housing for the low-

income group in South Africa that have been omitted from the questions above. Please

kindly rank their IMPACT. (1 being most important, 5 being least important)

Critical issues Frequency Impact

Lack of active participation of beneficiaries in the development

of housing

1 3

Dwindling tax base (limited budget) 1 4

Limited budget 1 1

Poor planning and coordination from National to local

government levels

1 1

Housing delivery mechanism 1 2

Enabling the poor to solve their own housing problem 1 2

The inability of relevant state authorities to consult adequately

with affected local communities to seek joint solutions to housing

crisis.

1 2

Appropriate policy to handle informal settlement 1 2

Comments:

Q2.20. Waiting time on the housing database has an impact on the housing satisfaction of the

low-income group?

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Agreement and Median value Round 1

Agreement 1 - Strongly disagree 0.0%

2 - Disagree 6.0%

3 - No opinion 6.0%

4 - Agree 53.0%

5 - Strongly agree 35.0%

Comments:

Q2.21. Which of the following housing delivery programmes will better deliver houses that

will be satisfactory to the housing subsidy beneficiaries’ in South Africa? (Rank - 1

being most important, 10 being least important) – See appendix one for definition of

terms

Housing delivery programmes Rank Median

Integrated Residential Development

Programme (IRDP)

1 2

Enhanced People’s Housing Process (ePHP) 3 3

Informal Settlements Upgrading Programme

(UISP)

4 3

Consolidation Subsidies 5 5

Emergency Housing Assistance 2 6

Institutional Subsidies 4 3

Social Housing Programme (SHP) 3 3

Community Residential Units (CRU) 5 4

Rural Subsidy: Informal Land Rights 4 6

Farm Residents Housing Assistance

Programme

8 7

Comment:

Q2.22. Which of the following housing delivery models will best respond to the needs of the

low-income group in South Africa? (Please Rank - 1 being most important, 5 being

least important)

Housing delivery models Rank Media

n

Public housing (through the provision of free subsidy) 2 2

Self-help housing 3 2

Social and Rental Housing model (Programmes facilitating access

to Rental Housing opportunities, supporting Urban Restructuring

and Integration, e.g. Social housing, Institutional Subsidies etc.)

1 2

Incremental Housing model (Programmes facilitating access to

housing opportunities through a phased process, such as Informal

Settlement Upgrading, Consolidated Subsidy, IRDP etc.)

5

Rural Housing model (Programmes facilitating access to housing

opportunities in Rural areas - Rural Subsidy: Informal Land Rights)

4

Comment:

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Q2.23. State subsidised (financed) housing will always be the major housing delivery models

to provide housing to the poor and low-income group in South Africa?

Agreement and Median value Round 1

Agreement 1 - Strongly disagree 6.0%

2 - Disagree 41.0%

3 - No opinion 0.0%

4 - Agree 29.0%

5 - Strongly agree 24.0%

Comments:

Q2.24. When do you prediction government will end the current model of free housing

delivery to the poor and low-income group in South Africa?

Agreement and Median value Round 1

Agreement 1 – 6 months’ time 7.0%

2 – 1-2 years’ time 7.0%

3 – 3-5 years’ time 13.0%

4 – 6-8 years’ time 13.0%

5 – 9-10 years’ time 0.0%

6 – 10 years and above 53.0%

7 – It will never be stopped 7.0%

Comments:

Q2.25. What do you envisage will be the replacement for the current government housing

subsidy scheme when it is eventually stopped in the near future?

See responses for question below.

Issue Statement Frequency Rank

Market and subsidy mix (social housing-type models) 3 3

Assisted Self-help 4 5

Upgrading of informal settlement 2 3

Providing leasing agreements with informal settlers 1 4

Community housing 1 1

Community based initiatives 1 1

Private buying and financing (much like the old urban foundation

system)

1 1

Rent to buy scheme 1 1

Public private Partnership in housing delivery 1 1

Comments: We can only wait & see.

Q2.26. What do you envisage will be the pivotal context of the South Africa Housing policy

in the next 10 years?

See listed pivotal context - (Please Rank - 1 being most important, 5 being least important)

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Pivotal context Frequency Rank

Upgrading of informal settlement 3 3

Spatial policy and spatial analysis of need 1 2

Beneficiaries will be encouraged to participate effectively. 1 1

The policy will seek to build the capacity of beneficiaries in order

for them to build their own housing.

1 1

Affordability 1 1

Homelessness for the poor 1 1

Fairness of allocation of housing 2 3

Access to adequate services (both urban and rural) 1 1

Provision of low-income rental stocks 1 2

Delivery of sustainable and energy efficient low cost housing 1 1

Public private Partnership in housing delivery 1 1

Spatial policy and spatial analysis of need 1 1

Informal settlement upgrading 1 3

CRU 1 2

Global and local economic conditions; political will; better

quality control of construction tenders with less corruption

1 1

Acceptance of informal settlements as part of the urban areas

and working with them to improve their lives and not their

homes

1 1

Q2.27. Please list and rank the housing development and management issues that affect the

National, Provincial, and the local government housing agencies today in South Africa

(1 being most important, 5 being least important).

See listed housing development and Management Issues and their rankings

Issue Statement Frequency Rank

Government capacity to facilitate development 9 1

Corruption in provincial and local departments 7 2

Budget constrains 4 3

Poor political will 4 4

Access to well-located land for housing (availability of vacant land) 3 5

Legislature (Planning, Environmental and Heritage) 3 5

Housing backlog 3 5

The current structure of government (Provincial government sphere

is not necessary)

3 5

Government bureaucracy in the housing system 2 5

Sustainability 1 5

Passive beneficiaries (entitlement culture) 1 5

Lack of technical skills (Engineers and Artisans, etc.) 1 5

Unaccountability of government employees 1 5

Urbanisation 1 5

Informal settlements 2 5

Lack of national vision for housing 1 5

Poor planning and coordination 1 5

Ideological constraints 1 5

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Lack of Participation from communities and CBOs 1 5

Cost of basic services (water, electricity etc.) in RDP houses, social

housing etc.

1 5

Limited participation of the private sector’s involvement in low cost

housing development

1 5

Public private Partnership in housing delivery 1 5

Lack of project management skills / ineptitude 1 5

Nepotism and cadre deployment 1 5

Salary and benefit expectations of executives 1 5

Bloated and duplicated bureaucracies 1 5

Lack of appropriate skills 1 5

Absence of reflection or serious acknowledgement of problems that

affect the poor

1 5

Continued economic resources 1 5

Better regulation and quality control of construction tenders 1 5

Q2.28. Please list and rank the housing development and management issues that will affect

the National, Provincial, and the local government agencies in the next 10 years or in

the future (1 being most important, 5 being least important).

See listed housing development and Management Issues and their rankings

Issue Statement Frequency Rank

Budget constrains 5 1

Government capacity 4 1

Corruption 3 1

Poor political will 3 3

The current structure of government (Provincial government sphere

is not necessary)

2 4

Availability of vacant land 2 5

Legislature (Planning, Environmental and Heritage) 2 5

Lack of national vision for housing 2 5

Unaccountability of government employees 2 1

Passive beneficiaries (entitlement culture) 1 5

Lack of technical skills (Engineers and Artisans, etc.) 3 5

Urbanisation 1 5

Informal settlements 1 5

Poor planning and coordination 1 1

Ideological constraints 1 5

Environmental impact of subsidy housing in South Africa 1 5

Limited participation of the private sector’s involvement in low

cost housing development

1 3

Sustainability of low cost housing programmes 1 5

Housing backlog 1 5

Public private Partnership in housing delivery 1 5

Resources 1 5

Staff expectations 1 4

Challenges from the dissatisfied public, including legal cases 1 2

Supply of water and electricity 1 5

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Willingness to work with flexible, multiple housing delivery

programmes suited to local circumstances

1 5

Q2.29. Unemployment has an impact on the housing satisfaction of the low-income group?

Agreement and Median value Round 1

Agreement 1 - Strongly disagree 11.0%

2 - Disagree 17.0%

3 - No opinion 0.0%

4 - Agree 44.0%

5 - Strongly agree 28.0%

Comments:

Q2.30. Prior exposure to what is to be received has a tendency to influence beneficiaries’

satisfaction towards a given housing product?

Agreement and Median value Round 1

Agreement 1 - Strongly disagree 0.0%

2 - Disagree 0.0%

3 - No opinion 6.0%

4 - Agree 76.0%

5 - Strongly agree 18.0%

Comments:

Q2.31. Which of the following housing order needs should be met in order to satisfy the

South Africa low-income housing beneficiaries’? (Rank - 1 being most important, 5

being least important)

Housing needs order Rank Median

Self-actualisation 1 1

Esteem Needs 2 3

Social Needs 3 2

Safety Needs 4 2

Physiological 5 3

Comment:

Q2.32. The provision of housing is the paramount need of the poor and low-income group in

South Africa?

Agreement and Median value Round 1

Agreement 1 - Strongly disagree 12.0%

2 - Disagree 24.0%

3 - No opinion 0.0%

4 - Agree 18.0%

5 - Strongly agree 47.0%

Comments:

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Q2.33. If you disagreed to the previous statement, what do you think should be the

paramount needs of the poor and low-income group in South Africa that the

government should make a priority?

See listed paramount need of the poor and low-income group in South Africa

Issue Statement Frequency Rank

Employment 3 2

Food security 3 2

Clothing 1 3

Job creation 2 1

Health security 1 1

Education 1 1

Transportation 1 2

Comment:

Q2.34. Participation in the housing development process potentially leads to the

implementation of appropriate responses through the involvement of locals in collective

decision making – through the assessment of their needs and expectations?

Agreement and Median value Round 1

Agreement 1 - Strongly disagree 12.0%

2 - Disagree 6.0%

3 - No opinion 0.0%

4 - Agree 59.0%

5 - Strongly agree 24.0%

Comments:

Q2.35. The current South Africa public housing system can be referred to as:

Agreement and Median value Round 1

Agreement 1 - Developmental 0.0%

2 - Welfare 93.0%

3 - No opinion 7.0%

Comments:

Q2.36. The current urban and housing planning system in South Africa favours only the

bourgeois interest in the society?

Agreement and Median value Round 1

Agreement 1 - Strongly disagree 19.0%

2 - Disagree 31.0%

3 - No opinion 19.0%

4 - Agree 25.0%

5 - Strongly agree 6.0%

Comments:

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Thank you for taking your time to fill out this second round survey. The third round of the

Delphi process, which is a feedback of the response from this Round (Q2) will be sent to you

by March 23, 2012.

Please do not hesitate to contact me or my promoter Professor Wellington Didibhuku Thwala

if you have any questions about this survey and the research project in general. See contact

details below.

Contact details:

Clinton Aigbavboa

Ph.D. Candidate

Dept. of Construction Management and Quantity Surveying, University of Johannesburg

Doornfontein Campus 2028; Johannesburg, South Africa.

Tel.: +27 11 559 6398, Mobile: +27 78 795 8231, Email: [email protected];

[email protected]

Promoter

Professor Wellington Didibhuku Thwala PhD (Eng.) Pr CPM, MCIOB, Pr. Pln, MSAPI

Professor of Construction Project Management

Masters Programme Co-ordinator

Vice-President of The South African Council for Project and Construction Management

Professions (SACPCMP)

Tel: +27 (0)11 559 6048, Fax: +27 (0) 11 559 6630, Fax to email: 086 219 1096, Mobile: +27

83 383 5537, Email: [email protected]

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APPENDIX F

INSTRUCTIONS TO EXPERTS ON DELPHI STUDY ROUND 3

DELPHI SURVEY – ROUND 3 (Q3)

Thank you for completing Round 2 of the Delphi survey. I acknowledge your busy schedule

and the significant time that you have invested in this survey. I appreciate your time and effort.

This Round 3 survey concludes the Delphi process for this study. The purpose of Round 3 is

to provide you with a final chance to change your response, if desired, given the group median

response of items that falls away by two units, calculated using a 10 point scale.

This is intended to take approximately 15-20 minutes as you are only being asked to review

your previous responses on items that have not attain consensus, i.e. falls out of the collective

group median. Please e-mail your completed survey to [email protected] by the 13 April

2012.

INSTRUCTIONS

The instructions for this Round 3 survey are nearly identical to that of the Round 2 survey. The

difference between this survey and the Round 2 survey is that only items which current falls

two or more units from the grouped median are only presented. In Round 2 all panelist

were asked to provide reasons if their responses were more than one unit above or below the

group median of each statement.

In this Round 3 survey, for each element you will see 2 values: your response from the Round

2 survey (indicated with a yellow highlighted box), and the group median from the Round 2

survey indicated in the column to the far right hand of each table. Please take one of the

following three actions for each category:

1. Accept the group median response by leaving the field completely unchanged.

2. Maintain your original response by placing an ‘X’ in the highlighted field*.

3. Indicate a new response by placing an ‘X’ in the appropriate field*.

* *If your response is more than twenty percent (two units) above or below the group median

please provide a reason for your outlying response in the field provided.

* * Please kindly review the questions without an initial response from the Round 2 survey

(indicated with an orange highlighted shading); – Indicate a response by placing an ‘X’ in the

appropriate field; or accept the group median response by leaving the field completely

unchanged.

We URGE you to review and consider the median and the responses provided by the other

expert panelist when considering your final responses for each element.

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APPENDIX G

RESEARCH INTRODUCTION LETTER AND QUESTIONNAIRE

UNIVERSITY OF JOHANNESBURG

FACULTY OF ENGINEERING AND THE BUILT ENVIRONMENT

May 2012

Dear Respondent,

The Department of Construction Management and Quantity Surveying at the University of

Johannesburg is undertaking a research project to develop a residential satisfaction model for

government subsidised low-income housing in developing country, a case study of South

Africa. To this end we kindly request that you complete the following short questionnaire. It

should take no longer than 30 minutes of your time. Your response is of the utmost importance

to us.

To protect your anonymity, please do not enter your name or contact details on the

questionnaire.

Summary results of this research will be available in the Department of Construction

Management and Quantity Surveying in December 2012.

Should you have any queries or comments regarding this survey, you are welcome to contact

us telephonically at 011 559 6048, 083 383 5537 or email us at [email protected].

Yours sincerely,

Aigbavboa C. O.

University of Johannesburg

Tel: +27 11 559 6398, Mobile: +27 78 795 8231, email: [email protected]

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QUESTIONNAIRE TO EVALUATE RESIDENTIAL SATISFACTION IN

PUBLICLY FUNDED HOUSING SUBSIDY SCHEME IN DEVELOPING

COUNTRIES: A CASE STUDY OF SOUTH AFRICA

PLEASE ANSWER THE FOLLOWING QUESTIONS BY CROSSING (X) THE

RELEVANT BLOCK OR WRITING DOWN YOUR ANSWER IN THE SPACE

PROVIDED.

SECTION A: BIOGRAPHICAL DATA

1. Metropolitan / District Municipality City:__________________________

2. Subsidised housing location:_____________________________________

3. What is this area called:_________________________________________

4. What is your Gender?

Male 1

Female 2

5. What is your marital status?

Married 1

Single (never married) 2

Single (married but separated from spouse) 3

Living together (co-habiting) 4

Divorced 5

Widow 6

Widower 7

6. What is your current employment status?

Employed (full time) 1

Employed (Part-time) 2

Self employed 3

Unemployed, looking for work 4

Unemployed, not looking for work 5

Housewife 6

Student 7

Retired 8

Other, specify 9

7. If employed, in what sector of the South Africa economy are you presently employed?

Government 1

Private sector 2

Self employed 3

Other, specify __________

4

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8. How many employed adults live in this household?________

9. How many unemployed adults live in this household?______

10. What is your age in years?____________

11. What is your ethnicity?

1

2

3

4

5

African Indian Coloured White Other

12. What is your highest level of education?

None (Did not attend any school) 1

Primary (Grade 1-7) 2

Secondary (Grade 8-11) 3

Matric (Grade 12, Std 10) 4

Post Matric Diploma (Registered) 5

Post Matric Diploma (Completed) 6

Bachelor’s / Post-graduate (Registered) 7

Bachelor’s / Post-graduate (Completed) 8

Other, please specify 9

13. What is the annual income for this household (in South African Rand)?

1

2

3

4

5

Less than

R5 000

R5 000 –

10 999

R11 000 –

R15 999

R16 000 –

R20 999

Over

R20 999

14. Does anyone in this household receive any of the following government grants?

Type of grant Yes No

State pension

Child support grant

Disability grant

Foster care grant

Other grant (specify) ___________________

15. What is your greatest need?

Housing 1

Employment 2

Education 3

Safety 4

Privacy 5

16. How long have you been staying in this house?

1

2

3

4

5

Less than 1 year 1 – 2 years 3 - 5 years 6 - 8 years Over 8 years

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17. How many children (younger than 19 years) live in this household?______

18. How many adults (19-59 years) live in this household?______

19. How many elderly (60 years and older) live in this household?______

20. How many rooms do you have in this house?_________

21. How many bedrooms do you have in this house?________

SECTION B: PRESENCE/ABSENCE OF ROOMS, ITEMS, SPACES, AND SERVICES

22. For each of the attributes listed below please indicate whether or not it is present

in your house:

Room/object (in house) Present Not present

Bedroom(s)

Living room

Dining room

Kitchen

Bathroom(s)

Wardrobes

Play space for children

Study space for children

23. For each of the services listed below please indicate whether or not it is present in

your house:

Service Present Not present

Water for domestic use

Sanitary fittings (e.g. shower,

bath, toilet, basin, taps)

Electricity

24. For each of the facilites listed below please indicate whether or not it is in the

neighbourhood/close to your house:

Facility (Private services) Present Not present

Shopping area

Place of worship

Parking facilities

Playground/recreational facilities

Community hall

Disabled facilities

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25. For each of the services listed below please indicate whether or not it is accessible

in your area:

Service (Government services) Present Not present

Nursery school (Private or public)

Primary school (Private or public)

High school(Private or public)

Hospital/clinic

Police services

Fire protection services

Public transport

Drainage system (within neighbourhood or outside)

Garbage and waste collection

SECTION C: BENEFICIARY LEVELS OF HOUSING SATISFACTION

Below is a list of attributes relating to room, facility, or service which can be used to

evaluate quality of housing. Using the scale provided, please indicate your level of

satisfaction/dissatisfaction for each attribute (whether it is present/close to your house, or

not).

26. DWELLING UNIT FEATURES (DUF)

Code

How satisfied or dissatisfied are

you with:

Extent to which you are satisfied

1

Very

dissatisfied

2

Dissatisfied

3

Neither

satisfied nor

dissatisfied

4

Satisfied

5

Very

satisfied

DUF1 Location of bedroom

DUF2 Number of bedrooms

DUF3 Size of the bedroom(s)

DUF4 Location of living room

DUF5 Location of dining room

DUF6 Location of kitchen

DUF7 Size of the kitchen

DUF8 Size of bathroom(s)

DUF9 Size of wardrobe/closet

DUF10 Size of children’s play space

DUF11 Size of children’s study space

DUF12 Amount of privacy within the

house

DUF13 Amount of brightness / sunshine

in the house

DUF14 Quality of ventilation in the house

DUF15 Quality of floor level in the house

DUF16 Overall appearance of the house

DUF17 Overall size of the house

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27. NEIGHBOURHOOD FEATURES (NDF)

Code

How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with:

Extent to which you are satisfied

1

Very

dissatisfied

2

Dissatisfied

3

Neither

satisfied

nor

dissatisfied

4

Satisfied

5

Very

satisfied

NDF1 Location of the dwelling unit in the

neighbourhood

NDF2 Quality of relationships with neighbours

NDF3 Quality of landscaping in the

neighbourhood

NDF4 Quality of walkways

NDF5 Ease of access to main roads

NDF6 Amount of privacy from other neighbours

NDF7 Quality of street lighting at night

NDF8 Amount of security in the neighbourhood

OR Quality of security in the

neighbourhood

NDF9 Physical condition and appearance of the

neighbourhood

NDF10 Cleanliness of the neighbourhood

NDF11 Proximity of house to workplace

NDF12 . . . of house to shopping areas

NDF13 . . . of house to the nursery school

NDF14 . . . of house to the high school

NDF15 . . . of house to hospitals/clinics

NDF16 . . . of house to place of worship

NDF17 . . . of house to Police services

NDF18 . . . to parking facilities

NDF19 . . . of house to the disabled facility

NDF20 . . . of house to the community hall

NDF21 . . . of house to playground / recreational

facilities

NDF22 . . . of house to Public transportation and

services

28. BUILDING QUALITY / HOUSING CONDITION (BQF)

Code

How satisfied or dissatisfied are you

with:

Extent to which you are satisfied

1

Very

dissatisfied

2

Dissatisfied

3

Neither

satisfied

nor

dissatisfied

4

Satisfied

5

Very

satisfied

BQF1 External construction quality

BQF2 Internal construction quality

BQF3 Water pressure

BQF4 Wall quality

BQF5 Floor quality

BQF6 Window quality

BQF7 Door quality

BQF8 Internal painting quality

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BQF9 External painting quality

BQF10 Plumbing quality

29. BUILDING QUALITY / HOUSING CONDITION (BQF) Continue . . .

Code

How satisfied or dissatisfied are you

with:

Extent to which you are satisfied

1

Very

dissatisfied

2

Dissatisfied

3

Neither

satisfied

nor

dissatisfied

4

Satisfied

5

Very

satisfied

BQF11 the finished quality of sanitary system

BQF12 Plumbing quality

BQF13 electrical wiring quality

BQF14 Electrical fittings quality

BQF15 Numbers of electrical sockets

BQF16 Level of socket

BQF17 Overall unit quality

30. SERVICES PROVIDED BY GOVERNMENT (SPG)

Code

How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with:

Extent to which you are satisfied

1

Very

dissatisfied

2

Dissatisfied

3

Neither

satisfied

nor

dissatisfied

4

Satisfied

5

Very

satisfied

SPG1 The drainage system

SPG2 The Garbage and waste collection

SPG3 The fire protection services

SPG4 Electricity supply

SPG5 Water supply

SPG6 Telephone service

SPG7 Safety

SPG8 How well resident complaints are

handled

SPG9 Government response to building defects

SPG10 Housing Department (Human

Settlement) officials treatment of

beneficiaries

SPG11 Housing Department rules and

regulations

SPG12 Enforcement of rules by the Department

of Human Settlement (Housing)

SPG13 Overall services provided by the

government

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31. BENEFICIARY PARTICIPATION (BNP)

Code

Beneficiary (owner) participation

Owners should be consulted . . .

Extent to which you agree or disagree

1

Strongly

Disagree

2

Disagree

3

Neither

agree nor

disagree

4

Agree

5

Strongly

Agree

BNP1 . . . about the housing location

BNP2 . . . about the house design

BNP3 . . . about the house construction

BNP4 . . . about the internal finishes of the house

BNP5 . . . about the external finishes of the house

32. NEEDS AND EXPECTATION (NAE)

Code

Needs and expectation

Owners should be . . .

Extent to which you agree or disagree

1

Strongly

Disagree

2

Disagree

3

Neither

agree nor

disagree

4

Agree

5

Strongly

Agree

NAE1 . . . told beforehand the type of house they

will receive

NAE2 . . . asked the type of house they need

NAE3 Owners expect good quality houses

NAE4 Our houses should meet our family need

33. RESIDENTIAL SATISFACTION (RS)

Code

Residential satisfaction

Extent to which you agree or disagree

1

Strongly

Disagree

2

Disagree

3

Neither

agree nor

disagree

4

Agree

5

Strongl

y Agree

RS1 I am satisfied living here

RS2 I am taking proper care of my house

RS3 I am taking proper care of my neighbourhood

RS4 I am constantly maintaining my house

RS5 I am not intending to move to another place in the

future

RS6 I like to live in another place like this

RS7 I will recommend to my friends to obtain a house

in the same way that I did

Thank you for your contribution. We really value your contribution and time spent on

completing this questionnaire. If you have any queries, please do not hesitate to contact the

undersigned.

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585

Clinton Aigbavboa

University of Johannesburg

Tel: +27 11 559 6398; Mobile: +27 78 795 8231; email: [email protected];

[email protected]

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APPENDIX H

MODEL 2.0 RESIDUAL COVARIANCE MATRIXES (S-SIGMA)

Residual covariance matrix for the full structural model (Unstandardized)

DUF1 DUF2 DUF3 DUF5 DUF9

V61 V62 V63 V65 V69

DUF1 V61 0.000

DUF2 V62 0.013 0.000

DUF3 V63 0.039 0.020 0.000

DUF5 V65 -0.015 0.026 -0.012 0.000

DUF9 V69 0.028 -0.042 -0.007 0.156 0.000

DUF12 V72 0.018 -0.027 -0.010 -0.008 0.103

DUF16 V76 -0.025 -0.060 -0.039 -0.056 -0.047

DUF17 V77 -0.043 0.003 -0.021 -0.019 -0.042

NDF1 V78 0.141 0.056 0.032 -0.023 0.085

NDF3 V80 0.100 0.017 0.038 -0.063 -0.051

NDF5 V82 -0.008 -0.109 -0.094 -0.138 -0.019

NDF7 V84 -0.120 -0.143 -0.126 -0.158 0.029

NDF10 V87 -0.015 0.006 -0.037 -0.045 0.141

BQF2 V101 0.100 0.085 0.124 -0.051 -0.050

BQF3 V102 -0.090 -0.175 -0.084 -0.292 -0.277

BQF4 V103 0.041 0.010 0.100 -0.096 -0.096

BQF5 V104 -0.028 -0.053 0.041 -0.129 -0.122

BQF10 V109 -0.157 -0.164 -0.098 -0.209 -0.226

BQF11 V110 -0.254 -0.313 -0.211 -0.338 -0.223

SPG8 V124 -0.057 0.055 -0.020 -0.001 -0.078

SPG9 V125 -0.220 -0.050 -0.134 -0.027 -0.127

SPG12 V128 -0.174 -0.004 -0.082 0.000 -0.099

SPG13 V129 0.047 0.161 0.055 0.111 0.002

BNP1 V130 0.132 0.012 0.056 -0.011 0.105

BNP2 V131 0.068 -0.027 0.051 -0.033 0.098

BNP3 V132 0.001 -0.067 -0.005 -0.050 0.076

BNP4 V133 0.092 -0.035 0.021 -0.039 0.095

NAE1 V135 0.153 -0.001 0.053 -0.024 0.080

NAE2 V136 0.020 -0.122 -0.055 -0.131 0.037

NAE3 V137 0.152 -0.034 0.036 -0.064 0.004

NAE4 V138 0.053 -0.069 -0.030 -0.055 0.030

RS1 V139 -0.119 -0.083 -0.113 -0.159 -0.081

RS3 V141 -0.094 -0.113 -0.098 -0.091 -0.038

RS5 V143 0.235 0.271 0.262 0.168 0.287

RS7 V145 0.207 0.197 0.184 0.114 0.177

DUF12 DUF16 DUF17 NDF1 NDF3

V72 V76 V77 V78 V80

DUF12 V72 0.000

DUF16 V76 0.000 0.000

DUF17 V77 0.005 0.144 0.000

NDF1 V78 0.150 0.197 0.074 -0.026

NDF3 V80 0.082 0.250 0.119 0.061 0.000

NDF5 V82 -0.018 0.084 -0.058 -0.011 0.003

NDF7 V84 0.014 0.129 -0.094 -0.093 -0.081

NDF10 V87 0.109 -0.001 0.022 0.000 -0.110

BQF2 V101 0.026 0.442 0.163 0.002 0.131

BQF3 V102 -0.184 0.039 -0.111 -0.234 -0.015

BQF4 V103 -0.012 0.414 0.132 -0.069 0.129

BQF5 V104 -0.063 0.402 0.077 -0.056 0.175

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BQF10 V109 -0.140 0.276 -0.066 -0.005 0.195

BQF11 V110 -0.171 0.100 -0.226 0.066 0.192

SPG8 V124 0.052 0.221 0.112 -0.055 0.032

SPG9 V125 -0.086 0.177 -0.013 -0.058 0.059

SPG12 V128 -0.065 0.201 0.016 -0.030 0.032

SPG13 V129 0.068 0.284 0.184 -0.015 0.045

BNP1 V130 0.060 0.130 -0.057 0.037 0.017

BNP2 V131 0.036 0.093 -0.085 -0.026 -0.074

BNP3 V132 -0.017 0.043 -0.118 -0.063 -0.092

BNP4 V133 -0.001 0.098 -0.069 -0.009 -0.031

NAE1 V135 0.101 0.197 -0.013 -0.007 -0.041

NAE2 V136 -0.006 0.085 -0.122 -0.063 -0.090

NAE3 V137 0.016 0.146 -0.066 0.031 0.008

NAE4 V138 0.025 0.125 -0.029 0.068 0.063

RS1 V139 -0.010 0.085 -0.095 0.005 -0.007

RS3 V141 -0.026 -0.111 -0.158 -0.029 -0.069

RS5 V143 0.334 0.090 0.263 0.010 -0.115

RS7 V145 0.164 0.296 0.194 0.063 0.028

NDF5 NDF7 NDF10 BQF2 BQF3

V82 V84 V87 V101 V102

NDF5 V82 0.000

NDF7 V84 0.042 0.000

NDF10 V87 0.013 0.144 0.000

BQF2 V101 -0.089 -0.039 -0.060 0.000

BQF3 V102 -0.064 -0.334 -0.247 -0.062 0.000

BQF4 V103 -0.036 -0.034 -0.140 0.029 0.015

BQF5 V104 -0.041 0.019 -0.159 -0.010 0.024

BQF10 V109 -0.047 -0.008 -0.185 -0.027 0.090

BQF11 V110 0.044 0.126 -0.023 -0.039 0.117

SPG8 V124 -0.069 0.038 0.006 -0.039 -0.245

SPG9 V125 -0.063 0.091 -0.021 0.028 -0.260

SPG12 V128 -0.078 0.114 -0.031 0.013 -0.226

SPG13 V129 -0.087 0.003 -0.049 0.101 -0.187

BNP1 V130 0.032 0.110 0.055 0.101 -0.204

BNP2 V131 -0.006 0.027 0.057 0.052 -0.229

BNP3 V132 -0.040 0.080 0.076 0.013 -0.302

BNP4 V133 0.021 0.077 -0.043 0.054 -0.247

NAE1 V135 0.004 0.066 -0.028 0.049 -0.234

NAE2 V136 -0.048 0.013 -0.054 -0.072 -0.280

NAE3 V137 0.057 -0.091 -0.219 -0.007 -0.122

NAE4 V138 0.128 0.070 0.000 0.040 -0.142

RS1 V139 -0.010 0.122 0.042 0.020 -0.162

RS3 V141 0.007 -0.008 0.085 -0.111 -0.105

RS5 V143 -0.051 -0.002 0.154 -0.209 -0.403

RS7 V145 -0.010 0.105 -0.041 0.035 -0.250

BQF4 BQF5 BQF10 BQF11 SPG8

V103 V104 V109 V110 V124

BQF4 V103 0.000

BQF5 V104 0.019 0.000

BQF10 V109 -0.039 -0.014 0.000

BQF11 V110 -0.064 -0.026 0.161 0.000

SPG8 V124 -0.057 -0.091 -0.004 -0.010 0.000

SPG9 V125 0.039 -0.035 0.061 0.014 0.044

SPG12 V128 0.019 -0.008 0.075 -0.005 -0.049

SPG13 V129 0.062 0.003 0.047 -0.075 0.008

BNP1 V130 0.048 0.042 0.135 0.197 -0.017

BNP2 V131 -0.044 -0.038 0.052 0.165 -0.081

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BNP3 V132 -0.072 -0.061 0.023 0.137 -0.054

BNP4 V133 -0.035 0.002 0.113 0.159 -0.071

NAE1 V135 0.009 0.032 0.108 0.175 -0.012

NAE2 V136 -0.178 -0.115 0.041 0.157 -0.095

NAE3 V137 -0.040 -0.004 0.117 0.124 -0.125

NAE4 V138 0.018 0.042 0.175 0.194 -0.070

RS1 V139 0.091 0.069 0.122 0.253 0.011

RS3 V141 -0.110 -0.130 -0.083 0.008 -0.109

RS5 V143 -0.239 -0.257 -0.273 -0.146 -0.074

RS7 V145 0.028 0.106 0.063 -0.013 -0.036

SPG9 SPG12 SPG13 BNP1 BNP2

V125 V128 V129 V130 V131

SPG9 V125 0.000

SPG12 V128 0.002 0.000

SPG13 V129 -0.030 0.027 0.000

BNP1 V130 0.054 0.162 0.042 0.000

BNP2 V131 -0.007 0.051 -0.078 0.001 0.000

BNP3 V132 0.017 0.068 -0.066 -0.016 0.017

BNP4 V133 -0.015 0.056 -0.047 -0.031 -0.018

NAE1 V135 0.077 0.150 0.035 0.135 0.033

NAE2 V136 -0.005 0.026 -0.120 0.055 0.011

NAE3 V137 -0.051 0.022 -0.051 0.019 -0.012

NAE4 V138 -0.001 0.073 -0.021 0.010 -0.065

RS1 V139 0.079 0.132 -0.011 0.086 -0.006

RS3 V141 -0.099 -0.064 -0.125 0.111 0.052

RS5 V143 -0.174 -0.145 -0.078 -0.070 -0.157

RS7 V145 0.005 0.065 0.065 -0.022 -0.101

BNP3 BNP4 NAE1 NAE2 NAE3

V132 V133 V135 V136 V137

BNP3 V132 0.000

BNP4 V133 0.016 0.000

NAE1 V135 -0.029 0.026 0.000

NAE2 V136 -0.009 0.035 0.044 0.000

NAE3 V137 -0.091 0.048 -0.052 -0.002 0.000

NAE4 V138 -0.061 0.014 -0.029 -0.054 0.104

RS1 V139 0.027 0.032 0.082 0.040 -0.010

RS3 V141 0.072 0.046 0.033 0.024 0.002

RS5 V143 -0.119 -0.122 -0.131 -0.156 -0.226

RS7 V145 -0.098 -0.035 -0.053 -0.188 -0.103

NAE4 RS1 RS3 RS5 RS7

V138 V139 V141 V143 V145

NAE4 V138 0.000

RS1 V139 0.094 0.043

RS3 V141 0.053 0.021 0.003

RS5 V143 -0.069 -0.019 0.084 0.004

RS7 V145 -0.010 -0.013 -0.012 0.163 0.011

Average absolute residual = 0.0775

Average off-diagonal absolute residual = 0.0820

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Residual Covariance Matrix for the full structural model (Standardized)

DUF1 DUF2 DUF3 DUF5 DUF9

V61 V62 V63 V65 V69

DUF1 V61 0.000

DUF2 V62 0.010 0.000

DUF3 V63 0.032 0.017 0.000

DUF5 V65 -0.014 0.025 -0.012 0.000

DUF9 V69 0.026 -0.041 -0.007 0.177 0.000

DUF12 V72 0.014 -0.023 -0.009 -0.008 0.101

DUF16 V76 -0.021 -0.054 -0.036 -0.059 -0.049

DUF17 V77 -0.034 0.003 -0.019 -0.019 -0.042

NDF1 V78 0.130 0.055 0.032 -0.027 0.097

NDF3 V80 0.092 0.016 0.038 -0.071 -0.058

NDF5 V82 -0.008 -0.109 -0.098 -0.160 -0.022

NDF7 V84 -0.089 -0.112 -0.102 -0.144 0.027

NDF10 V87 -0.012 0.005 -0.032 -0.043 0.136

BQF2 V101 0.074 0.066 0.100 -0.047 -0.046

BQF3 V102 -0.071 -0.147 -0.073 -0.285 -0.271

BQF4 V103 0.030 0.008 0.081 -0.087 -0.087

BQF5 V104 -0.021 -0.042 0.034 -0.120 -0.114

BQF10 V109 -0.114 -0.126 -0.079 -0.188 -0.203

BQF11 V110 -0.190 -0.246 -0.173 -0.311 -0.206

SPG8 V124 -0.048 0.049 -0.019 -0.001 -0.081

SPG9 V125 -0.180 -0.043 -0.120 -0.027 -0.129

SPG12 V128 -0.145 -0.003 -0.074 0.000 -0.102

SPG13 V129 0.040 0.142 0.051 0.115 0.002

BNP1 V130 0.095 0.009 0.045 -0.010 0.094

BNP2 V131 0.050 -0.021 0.041 -0.029 0.089

BNP3 V132 0.001 -0.051 -0.004 -0.045 0.068

BNP4 V133 0.069 -0.027 0.017 -0.036 0.088

NAE1 V135 0.114 0.000 0.043 -0.022 0.073

NAE2 V136 0.013 -0.087 -0.041 -0.109 0.031

NAE3 V137 0.115 -0.027 0.030 -0.060 0.003

NAE4 V138 0.043 -0.059 -0.027 -0.055 0.030

RS1 V139 -0.089 -0.065 -0.093 -0.146 -0.075

RS3 V141 -0.109 -0.137 -0.124 -0.130 -0.054

RS5 V143 0.178 0.216 0.218 0.156 0.268

RS7 V145 0.144 0.144 0.140 0.097 0.152

DUF12 DUF16 DUF17 NDF1 NDF3

V72 V76 V77 V78 V80

DUF12 V72 0.000

DUF16 V76 0.000 0.000

DUF17 V77 0.004 0.132 0.000

NDF1 V78 0.148 0.206 0.073 -0.029

NDF3 V80 0.080 0.261 0.118 0.069 0.000

NDF5 V82 -0.018 0.091 -0.059 -0.013 0.003

NDF7 V84 0.011 0.108 -0.075 -0.085 -0.074

NDF10 V87 0.090 -0.001 0.019 0.000 -0.105

BQF2 V101 0.020 0.370 0.130 0.002 0.119

BQF3 V102 -0.155 0.035 -0.095 -0.230 -0.015

BQF4 V103 -0.009 0.346 0.105 -0.063 0.116

BQF5 V104 -0.051 0.345 0.063 -0.052 0.163

BQF10 V109 -0.109 0.229 -0.052 -0.005 0.175

BQF11 V110 -0.137 0.085 -0.183 0.061 0.176

SPG8 V124 0.047 0.212 0.102 -0.057 0.034

SPG9 V125 -0.076 0.165 -0.011 -0.059 0.060

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SPG12 V128 -0.058 0.190 0.015 -0.031 0.032

SPG13 V129 0.061 0.272 0.168 -0.015 0.046

BNP1 V130 0.046 0.107 -0.044 0.033 0.015

BNP2 V131 0.028 0.078 -0.067 -0.023 -0.067

BNP3 V132 -0.013 0.036 -0.093 -0.057 -0.082

BNP4 V133 -0.001 0.084 -0.056 -0.009 -0.029

NAE1 V135 0.080 0.167 -0.011 -0.006 -0.038

NAE2 V136 -0.004 0.066 -0.089 -0.053 -0.074

NAE3 V137 0.013 0.126 -0.054 0.029 0.008

NAE4 V138 0.022 0.115 -0.025 0.068 0.063

RS1 V139 -0.008 0.072 -0.077 0.004 -0.006

RS3 V141 -0.032 -0.146 -0.197 -0.041 -0.098

RS5 V143 0.270 0.077 0.215 0.010 -0.107

RS7 V145 0.121 0.234 0.146 0.054 0.024

NDF5 NDF7 NDF10 BQF2 BQF3

V82 V84 V87 V101 V102

NDF5 V82 0.000

NDF7 V84 0.040 0.000

NDF10 V87 0.013 0.112 0.000

BQF2 V101 -0.084 -0.028 -0.046 0.000

BQF3 V102 -0.064 -0.263 -0.206 -0.049 0.000

BQF4 V103 -0.033 -0.025 -0.108 0.021 0.012

BQF5 V104 -0.039 0.014 -0.125 -0.007 0.019

BQF10 V109 -0.043 -0.006 -0.142 -0.019 0.070

BQF11 V110 0.042 0.094 -0.018 -0.029 0.093

SPG8 V124 -0.074 0.032 0.005 -0.032 -0.220

SPG9 V125 -0.066 0.074 -0.018 0.023 -0.227

SPG12 V128 -0.083 0.094 -0.027 0.011 -0.200

SPG13 V129 -0.093 0.003 -0.043 0.084 -0.168

BNP1 V130 0.029 0.079 0.042 0.072 -0.156

BNP2 V131 -0.005 0.020 0.044 0.038 -0.179

BNP3 V132 -0.036 0.058 0.058 0.009 -0.234

BNP4 V133 0.020 0.058 -0.034 0.040 -0.198

NAE1 V135 0.004 0.049 -0.022 0.036 -0.186

NAE2 V136 -0.041 0.009 -0.038 -0.048 -0.201

NAE3 V137 0.055 -0.069 -0.173 -0.005 -0.098

NAE4 V138 0.132 0.056 0.000 0.032 -0.123

RS1 V139 -0.010 0.091 0.033 0.015 -0.129

RS3 V141 0.011 -0.009 0.103 -0.127 -0.130

RS5 V143 -0.049 -0.002 0.122 -0.156 -0.325

RS7 V145 -0.009 0.073 -0.030 0.024 -0.185

BQF4 BQF5 BQF10 BQF11 SPG8

V103 V104 V109 V110 V124

BQF4 V103 0.000

BQF5 V104 0.014 0.000

BQF10 V109 -0.028 -0.011 0.000

BQF11 V110 -0.047 -0.019 0.118 0.000

SPG8 V124 -0.047 -0.078 -0.003 -0.009 0.000

SPG9 V125 0.031 -0.029 0.049 0.011 0.040

SPG12 V128 0.016 -0.006 0.061 -0.004 -0.046

SPG13 V129 0.052 0.003 0.039 -0.064 0.008

BNP1 V130 0.034 0.031 0.095 0.143 -0.014

BNP2 V131 -0.032 -0.028 0.037 0.122 -0.067

BNP3 V132 -0.051 -0.045 0.017 0.100 -0.044

BNP4 V133 -0.026 0.002 0.083 0.119 -0.061

NAE1 V135 0.007 0.024 0.079 0.131 -0.010

NAE2 V136 -0.119 -0.079 0.027 0.106 -0.073

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NAE3 V137 -0.030 -0.003 0.086 0.094 -0.107

NAE4 V138 0.015 0.035 0.139 0.158 -0.065

RS1 V139 0.067 0.052 0.089 0.189 0.010

RS3 V141 -0.126 -0.153 -0.094 0.009 -0.142

RS5 V143 -0.178 -0.197 -0.203 -0.111 -0.063

RS7 V145 0.019 0.075 0.043 -0.009 -0.028

SPG9 SPG12 SPG13 BNP1 BNP2

V125 V128 V129 V130 V131

SPG9 V125 0.000

SPG12 V128 0.002 0.000

SPG13 V129 -0.028 0.025 0.000

BNP1 V130 0.043 0.130 0.035 0.000

BNP2 V131 -0.005 0.042 -0.065 0.001 0.000

BNP3 V132 0.013 0.055 -0.054 -0.012 0.012

BNP4 V133 -0.013 0.047 -0.040 -0.022 -0.013

NAE1 V135 0.063 0.124 0.029 0.097 0.024

NAE2 V136 -0.004 0.020 -0.091 0.036 0.008

NAE3 V137 -0.042 0.019 -0.044 0.014 -0.009

NAE4 V138 -0.001 0.066 -0.019 0.008 -0.052

RS1 V139 0.065 0.109 -0.009 0.062 -0.004

RS3 V141 -0.127 -0.082 -0.163 0.125 0.059

RS5 V143 -0.145 -0.122 -0.067 -0.051 -0.117

RS7 V145 0.004 0.050 0.051 -0.015 -0.069

BNP3 BNP4 NAE1 NAE2 NAE3

V132 V133 V135 V136 V137

BNP3 V132 0.000

BNP4 V133 0.012 0.000

NAE1 V135 -0.021 0.020 0.000

NAE2 V136 -0.006 0.024 0.030 0.000

NAE3 V137 -0.067 0.037 -0.039 -0.002 0.000

NAE4 V138 -0.048 0.011 -0.024 -0.040 0.086

RS1 V139 0.020 0.024 0.061 0.027 -0.007

RS3 V141 0.082 0.053 0.038 0.025 0.002

RS5 V143 -0.088 -0.093 -0.099 -0.107 -0.174

RS7 V145 -0.066 -0.025 -0.037 -0.118 -0.073

NAE4 RS1 RS3 RS5 RS7

V138 V139 V141 V143 V145

NAE4 V138 0.000

RS1 V139 0.076 0.032

RS3 V141 0.066 0.025 0.005

RS5 V143 -0.057 -0.015 0.099 0.003

RS7 V145 -0.008 -0.009 -0.013 0.115 0.007

Average absolute standardized residual = 0.0662

Average off-diagonal absolute standardized residual = 0.0700