A.A. National SOFI and Long-term Strategic Management National SOFI and Long-term Strategic Management SystemSystem

B.B. Beyond GDP, Establishing China Genuine Progress Beyond GDP, Establishing China Genuine Progress Indicator (GPI) systemIndicator (GPI) system

C. Ecological rebuild and development for 60,000C. Ecological rebuild and development for 60,000 hektarhektares wasteland in “Lu Liang Mountainous Area”es wasteland in “Lu Liang Mountainous Area”

D. Good news from China: Tech-BIA, one of the Life sofD. Good news from China: Tech-BIA, one of the Life soft-tech t-tech bringingbringing agricultural revolution agricultural revolution

July 7-8, 2011

China Node Zhouying JINChina Node Zhouying JIN Center for Center for Technology Innovation & Strategy Studies, Technology Innovation & Strategy Studies,

Chinese Academy of Social SciencesChinese Academy of Social Sciences

Millennium Project Annual Planning Committee Meeting July 7-8, 2011World Future Society Conference, July 8-10, 2011Sheraton Wall Centre Hotel, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada

A. China SOFI and Long-term Strategic A. China SOFI and Long-term Strategic Management SystemManagement System

Nation level’s SOFI is SOFI is A tool for evaluating Social, Economic and EnvA tool for evaluating Social, Economic and Environmental Sustainability. ironmental Sustainability. Therefore, Therefore, SOFISOFI should be embodied in Long-term Strategic Long-term Strategic Management SystemManagement System

Four quadrants design

China SOFI (started from 2001)divided fore parts in order to build a quadruple bottom line strategya quadruple bottom line strategy sistem

The integration of a The integration of a quadruple bottom line quadruple bottom line strategy and an early strategy and an early warning systemswarning systems

Development posturespostures and the structure of radar charts

The first quadrant The first quadrant representing natural resourcesnatural resources ; The second quadrantThe second quadrant is environmental and ecological fields; The third quadrantThe third quadrant representing the economic field ；； the fourth quadrantthe fourth quadrant representing the social area Three rings of the radar chart: the inner ring represents the warning line; The outer ring hree rings of the radar chart: the inner ring represents the warning line; The outer ring represents the target linerepresents the target line; the middle ring is a comparative line; the dotted lines represent the the middle ring is a comparative line; the dotted lines represent the behaviors of the object of analysisbehaviors of the object of analysis The characteristics are: (1) through setting warning signals, benchmarking anThe characteristics are: (1) through setting warning signals, benchmarking and objective indicatod objective indicators rs as the background of radar signals, the regional development perspective and decision support as the background of radar signals, the regional development perspective and decision support can be visualized; (2) through system integration of key strategic indicators, we can visualize, track can be visualized; (2) through system integration of key strategic indicators, we can visualize, track and achieve the quadruple bottom line management objectives; (3) through calculation and and achieve the quadruple bottom line management objectives; (3) through calculation and adjustments of these four areas, the degree of harmonization can be coordinated; (4) through adjustments of these four areas, the degree of harmonization can be coordinated; (4) through scenario analysis, the forward-looking development perspective can be seen, so that early warning scenario analysis, the forward-looking development perspective can be seen, so that early warning signals can be detected, and hence strategic deployment as well as the overall strategy can be signals can be detected, and hence strategic deployment as well as the overall strategy can be adjusted.adjusted.

LSSIM (Long-term Strategic System Integration LSSIM (Long-term Strategic System Integration Model) –For China 2050 studyModel) –For China 2050 study

2015 postures of case city2015 postures of case city

　　 SOFI and foresight SOFI and foresight The development postures for the future 40 yearsThe development postures for the future 40 years

+scenario study+scenario study

In order to increase the quantitative basis of long-term strategic management, we defined the harmonious degree, which manifests the coordinated development situation among the areas or elements required to be integrated under the principle of sustainable development. The total harmonious degree refers to the coordinated degree among the fields of economy, society, environment and resources the harmonious degree of the field refers to the coordinated degree among the important elements within each strategic areas. 100% represents the optimum

Harmonious Degree (%)

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2009 2015 2020 2030 2040 2050 2050Optimum

Economy SocietyEco-environment Strategic resourcesTotal harmonious degree

The harmonious degree

GDP is the key indicator to measure the GDP is the key indicator to measure the economic growth at the present economic growth at the present moment. However, it neither reflects the moment. However, it neither reflects the quality of economic growth, nor the quality of economic growth, nor the total progress of society; nor is it the total progress of society; nor is it the national happiness index.national happiness index.

Weighted Personal ConsumptionWeighted Personal Consumption Net Capital InvestmentNet Capital Investment Value of Household Work and Parenting Value of Household Work and Parenting Services of Household Consumer DurablServices of Household Consumer Durabl

eses NNet foreign lendinget foreign lending Volunteer workVolunteer work Service of public capitalService of public capital

Cost of long-term environmental damageCost of long-term environmental damage Loss of WetlandsLoss of Wetlands Cost of Water PollutionCost of Water Pollution Cost of Air PollutionCost of Air Pollution Cost of Ozone Depletion.Cost of Ozone Depletion. Cost of Cost of household phousehold poollution abatementllution abatement Cost of noise pollutionCost of noise pollution Loss of farmlandLoss of farmland Cost of depletion of non-renewable resources Cost of depletion of non-renewable resources Loss of old-growth forestsLoss of old-growth forests

Cost of OverworkCost of Overwork Cost of CommutingCost of Commuting Cost of unemploymentCost of unemployment Cost of UnderemploymentCost of Underemployment Cost of CrimeCost of Crime Cost of Family BreakdownCost of Family Breakdown Cost of Automobile Accidents Cost of Automobile Accidents

and other urbanization costsand other urbanization costs

Economic factors of GPIof GPI

FactorsFactors of social costs of GPIsocial costs of GPI

FactorsFactors of environmental costs of GPIof GPI

B. Beyond GDP, Establishing Genuine Progress Indicator (GPI) improving performance measures of political achievements

GPI composed of social, economic and environmental accountsGPI composed of social, economic and environmental accounts

The trend of GDP and GPI

GDP & GPI of China (1978-2007)

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The trend of GDP & GPI (1988-2009)

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Comparison of China's GDP and GPI trend The trend of GDP and GPI in the case city

During 20 years from 1988 to 2007, During 20 years from 1988 to 2007, Either Either ChinaChina or or the case citythe case city has been has been broughbrought “genuine” progress with China’s economic miracle. During this period: t “genuine” progress with China’s economic miracle. During this period:

China’s GDP and GDP per capita increased by China’s GDP and GDP per capita increased by 5.335.33 times and times and 4.34.3 times respectiv times respectively; GPI and GPI per capita increased by 3.9 times and 3.1 timesely; GPI and GPI per capita increased by 3.9 times and 3.1 times

For the case city, GDP and GDP per capita increased by For the case city, GDP and GDP per capita increased by 8.568.56 times and times and 5.545.54 time times respectivelys respectively ；； GPI and GPI per capita increased by GPI and GPI per capita increased by 7.697.69 times and times and 4.954.95 times times

The gap between GDP and GPI caused by social cost and environmental cost

The influence of social & environmental costson the negative factors (%)

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The influence of social & environmental costson the negative factors (%)

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Environmental costs

For the case city For China

The negative share ofenvironmental cost and social costs in GPI

High cost for the high GDP growth rateHigh cost for the high GDP growth rate

Comparison of the ratio between GPI & GDPof case city & that of China (%)

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Case city China

The ratio between GPI and GDP reflects the proportion of real progress. For whole China, this ratio declined from 59% in 1980 to 10% by 2000,

and rose to 38% until 2007. This rise is mainly because the net capital investment surged since 2003 and China’s foreign debt turned into an increase in external assets since 2002.

For the case city, the ratio of GPI to GDP declined from 28.85% in 1988 to 18.84% in 2000, and then rebounded rapidly, rising to 37.8% by 2007. This is mainly because the net capital investment surged since 2001

C. China launch 10 national experimental zone for C. China launch 10 national experimental zone for second step of developmentsecond step of development

-Different type of Reform model-Different type of Reform model

Shanghai Shanghai 浦东新区－综合配套改革，浦东新区－综合配套改革， 2005.6 2005.6 Tianjin Tianjin 海新区－综合配套改革 海新区－综合配套改革 ,2006,5,2006,5 Chongqing cityChongqing city －统筹城乡综合配套改革－统筹城乡综合配套改革 ,2007,6,2007,6 Chengdu cityChengdu city －统筹城乡综合配套改革－统筹城乡综合配套改革 ,2007,6 ,2007,6 Wuhan Wuhan 城市圈－资源节约型和城市圈－资源节约型和环境友好型社会环境友好型社会,2007,9 ,2007,9 Changsha-Zhuzhou-Xiangtan Changsha-Zhuzhou-Xiangtan 城市群－资源节约型和城市群－资源节约型和环境友好型社会环境友好型社会,2007,12 ,2007,12

Shenzhen cityShenzhen city －综合配套改革－综合配套改革 ,2009,5 ,2009,5 Shenyang Shenyang 经济区－国家新型工业化经济区－国家新型工业化 ,2010,4 ,2010,4 Shan’xi ProvinceShan’xi Province －资源型经济转型 －资源型经济转型 ,20010,12,20010,12 Yiwu cityYiwu city －国际贸易综合改革－国际贸易综合改革 ,2011,3 ,2011,3

Shan’xi ProvinceShan’xi Province － － Experimental Zone for TraExperimental Zone for Transformation of Resources base economynsformation of Resources base economy （（ 22

010.12010.12 ））

First Experimental Zone in province level, for systematic First Experimental Zone in province level, for systematic reform model reform model

Important base of China’s energy and raw material supplImportant base of China’s energy and raw material supplyy

Eco-environment is has been destroyed, Natural resourceEco-environment is has been destroyed, Natural resources going to dry up, s going to dry up, restrictrestrict sustainable development sustainable development

I will in charge of the strategy and design a model of comI will in charge of the strategy and design a model of comprehensive ecological rebuild and development for 60,000 prehensive ecological rebuild and development for 60,000 hektare wasteland in “Lu Liang mountainous area”hektare wasteland in “Lu Liang mountainous area”

It is Tech-BIA

It will make us completely take leave of the chemical agriculture

It provides direction for resolving the food safety radically It will dissolve some crisis of human existence

D. A technology revolution in China

Open up the approach to the agriculture with zero agricultural chemical residues

Another method for treating incurable disease Another kind of approach for pollution control

Tech-BIA established new research method for life science by using their expression characteristics of the specific information spectrum of life matter.

As a living body, human is composed of physical matter (tangible entity substance) and life information (intangible spectrum of specific information).

Tech-BIA activates the visible part of the life (physical) by utilizing another long-neglected part of the life (intangible information) part, which to adjust the life information and field strength (energy) to create various solutions to solve the problems.

From the perspective of biochemistry, there is a commonness for living entities including animals, plants and micro-organisms,- is composed of the same four nucleotides in the gene level.

Thus, Tech-BIA’s application can reach as far as the treatment of human diseases, agriculture, animal husbandry, aquaculture, fisheries, pollution control and other aspects.

1. Tech-BIA: 1. Tech-BIA: Bio-information Adjustment TechnologyBio-information Adjustment Technology

One of the life soft-techOne of the life soft-tech

　－　－ Applied in the 21 provinces and cities, as well as 70 couApplied in the 21 provinces and cities, as well as 70 counties in China. nties in China.

　－　－ Their biological fertilizers have been exported to 16 couTheir biological fertilizers have been exported to 16 countries (Australia, Malaysia, Canada, Vietnam, Korea, Indonntries (Australia, Malaysia, Canada, Vietnam, Korea, Indonesia and Japan); two German companies have been carryiesia and Japan); two German companies have been carrying out follow-up study and cooperation for 3 yearsng out follow-up study and cooperation for 3 years 　　

Chemical fertilizers are completely replaced by biological Chemical fertilizers are completely replaced by biological fertilizers, fertilizers, realizing safe food production with zero realizing safe food production with zero agricultural chemical residuesagricultural chemical residues

Instead of pesticides, plant protection agents are adoptedInstead of pesticides, plant protection agents are adopted

2. Agricultural applications of Tech-BIA 2. Agricultural applications of Tech-BIA

3. San’an Food3. San’an Food San’an food, is world one-up food without chemical residue, nSan’an food, is world one-up food without chemical residue, n

o pesticide residue and no drug residue, and accords with o pesticide residue and no drug residue, and accords with San’San’an Food Quality Standardan Food Quality Standard. .

San’an StandardsSan’an Standards ：： 204 Quality and Safety Standards of San’a204 Quality and Safety Standards of San’an Food ; 136 Operational Procedures ; 188 Quality Safety Inspen Food ; 136 Operational Procedures ; 188 Quality Safety Inspection Methods of San’an Food.ction Methods of San’an Food.

Their quality and safety have exceeded the standards of Their quality and safety have exceeded the standards of PositiPositive List System for Agricultural Chemical Residues in Foods ve List System for Agricultural Chemical Residues in Foods of of Japan, Japan, Pesticide and Veterinary Drug Residues in Foods Pesticide and Veterinary Drug Residues in Foods of EU of EU and the standard for organic food of China (GB/Tl9630.l-GB/Tl9and the standard for organic food of China (GB/Tl9630.l-GB/Tl9630.4). 630.4).

28 sample preparation28 sample preparation

4. Treating diseases of immune injury4. Treating diseases of immune injury

Considerable success has been achieved in follows Considerable success has been achieved in follows －－ There are 62 kinds of biological drugs, including anti-AIDS There are 62 kinds of biological drugs, including anti-AIDS

drug "Picika" biological agents (it has met with approval bdrug "Picika" biological agents (it has met with approval by the State Food and Drug Administration on February 8, 2y the State Food and Drug Administration on February 8, 2007, and carries out clinical applications in the 302 Hospita007, and carries out clinical applications in the 302 Hospital of PLA)l of PLA)

－－ More than 600 success stories on the treatment of Cancer, More than 600 success stories on the treatment of Cancer, AIDS, leukemia, diabetes and other incurable diseases.AIDS, leukemia, diabetes and other incurable diseases.

5. A great inventor5. A great inventorProfessor Larry Cheung

Chief scientist of CK Biotech Laboratory Ltd

The initial idea were established in 1974 He has experienced great difficulties during 32

years, even be framed as metaphysics and put in prison, and passed from China to US, HK and come back to China.

Bold to challenge the traditional science

He has successfully innovated and integrated 108 outcomes, which can be used in the fields of bio-pharmacy, bio-agriculture and eco-environment.

Biggest regret: though there are a large number of successful practices, it has not been recognized by traditional academia:

We need broad international support, especially the support from the academia of future study.

2005.12005.1

2011.12011.1

Preface for the Second English Edition by Theodore Jay GordonPublished by Intellect Bristol, UK /Chicago, USA

Progress in study on Soft TechnologyProgress in study on Soft Technology