analyzing liquidity using the cash conversion cycle

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1 October15-17, 2014 -CreditScapeConference.com -#creditscape Analyzing the Company’s Liquidity Position Using the Cash Conversion Cycle

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Analyzing Liquidity Using the Cash Conversion Cycle, 2014 CreditScape, Western Region Credit Conference Seminar Slide Deck, sponsored by Credit Management Association. More information: www.creditmanagementassociation.org

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Page 1: Analyzing Liquidity Using the Cash Conversion Cycle

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October 15-17, 2014 -CreditScapeConference.com -#creditscape

Analyzing the Company’s Liquidity Position Using the Cash Conversion Cycle

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Author/Instructor

David Osburn, MBA, CCRA

David Osburn is the founder of Osburn & Associates, LLC, a Las Vegas-based Business Training & Contract CFO firm that specializes in providing seminars, webinars, and keynote speeches to CPAs, bankers, credit union employees, attorneys, credit managers, and business owners. Topics include Banking/Finance/Credit, Negotiation Skills, Marketing, and Management Issues.

David’s extensive professional background includes 14 years as both a Business Trainer and Contract CFO, 16 years as a Commercial Lender (banking), and 29 years as an Adjunct College Professor (both MBA and undergraduate “on-line” and “ground-based” classes).

David has an MBA in Finance/Marketing from Utah State University and a BS degree in Finance from Brigham Young University. He is also a graduate of the National Commercial Lending School held at the University of Oklahoma.

David also holds the professional designation of Certified Credit and Risk Analyst (CCRA) as granted by the National Association of Credit Management (NACM).

Osburn & Associates, LLCA Business Training & Contract CFO Firm

David L. Osburn, MBA, CCRAManaging Member

7426 Alamo Summit DriveLas Vegas, Nevada 89129

Direct: (702) 655-1187E-Mail: [email protected] Web: dlosburn.com

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Analyzing the Company’s Liquidity Position Using the Cash Conversion Cycle

1. Cash Conversion Cycle Defined:

The cash conversion cycle equals the “average” length of time a dollar is tied up in current assets.

II. How do you Calculate the Cash Conversion Cycle?

Inventory conversion cycle + A/R collection period – A/P deferral period

(See Case Example)

Cash Conversion Cycle =

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SNIDER CORPORATION:

Balance Sheet

        2011   2012   2013

Assets

Cash $ 9,000 $ 7,282 $ 14,000

Short-term investments 48,600 20,000 71,632

Accounts receivable 351,200 632,160 878,000

Inventories 715,200 1,287,360 1,716,480

Total current assets $ 1,124,000 $ 1,946,802 $ 2,680,112

Gross fixed assets 491,000 1,202,950 1,220,000

Less: Accumulated depreciation 146,200 263,160 383,160

Net fixed assets $ 344,800 $ 939,790 $ 836,840

Total assets $ 1,468,800 $ 2,886,592 $ 3,516,952

     

        2011   2012   2013

Liabilities and Equity

Accounts payable $ 145,600 $ 324,000 $ 359,800

Notes payable 200,000 720,000 300,000

Accruals 136,000 284,960 380,000

Total current liabilities $ 481,600 $ 1,328,960 $ 1,039,800

Long-term debt 323,432 1,000,000 500,000

Common stock 460,000 460,000 1,680,936

Retained earnings 203,768 97,632 296,216

Total equity $ 663,768 $ 557,632 $ 1,977,152

Total liabilities and equity $ 1,468,800 $ 2,886,592 $ 3,516,952

     

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Income Statement      2011   2012   2013

Sales $ 3,432,000 $ 5,834,400 $ 7,035,600

Cost of goods sold 2,864,000 4,980,000 5,800,000

Other expenses

340,000 720,000 612,960

Depreciation

18,900 116,960 120,000

Total operating costs $ 3,222,900 $ 5,816,960 $ 6,532,960

EBIT $ 209,100 $ 17,440 $ 502,640

Interest Expense

62,500 176,000 80,000

EBT $ 146,600 $ (158,560) $ 422,640

Taxes (40%)

58,640

(63,424) 169,056

Net income $ 87,960 $ (95,136) $ 253,584

Industry Comparisons        2013   Industry AverageCurrent 2.7XQuick 1.0XInventory turnover 6.1XDays sales outstanding 32 DaysFixed assets turnover 7.0XTotal assets turnover 2.5XDebt ratio 2.0XTIE 6.2XEBITDA coverage 2.0XProfit margin 3.6X

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Activity (Turn Factors)

Definition:

Account Receivable Turnover(A/R / Sales X Days in Period)

Accounts Payable Turnover (A/P / COGS X Days in Period)

Inventory Turnover(Inventory/COGS X Days in Period)

Task:

Calculate Snider Corporation’s A/R turnover, A/P turnover, and Inventoryturnover.

Inventory conversion cycle + A/R collection period – A/P deferral period = Cash Conversion Cycle

Task: Calculate the company’s cash conversion cycle. 6

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III. Cash Conversion Cycle and its Direct Impact on the Company’s Liquidity and Cash Flow:

The firm’s goal should be to shorten its cash conversion cycle as much as possible without hurting operations. This will increase the firm’s value, because the shorter the cash conversion cycle, the lower the required net operating working capital, and the higher the resulting cash flow (and the company’s value is largely based on its cash flow).

The cash conversion cycle can be shortened by the following:

a) Reducing the inventory conversion period by processing and selling goods more quickly,

b) Reducing the receivables collection period by speeding up collections, and/or

c) Lengthening the payables deferral period by slowing down the firm’s own payments.

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IV. Inventory Issues:

a) Raw Material, Work-In-Process or Finished Goods Inventory?

b) Inventory Costing System (Timing):

FIFO

LIFO

Average

c) Age/Quality of Inventory

d) Site Visit

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a) The Use of Technology

b) JIT

c) Competition & the Market

IV. Inventory Issues (Continued):

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V. Account Receivables Issues:

a) Collecting Efficiently

b) Reasonable Terms & Expectations

c) Economic Impact

d) Industry Influence

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V. Accounts Receivable Issues (Continued):

a) General Source & Quality of the A/Rs?

b) Are the A/R’s from Governmental Entities? If so, are the A/Rs Always Strong? What is the Collectability? Timing?

c) How Do You Measure the Risk of the Individual A/Rs?

d) Does the Borrower ever “Re-bill” or Make Adjustments to its A/Rs?

e) Does the Borrower Use the “Direct Write-Off” Method or the “Allowance Method” for Managing Bad Debt?

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VI. Accounts Receivable & Inventory and the Borrowing Base Certificate (BBC)

a) Formula Based:

1. Ineligible A/R:

a) Over 90 Days Aged

b) Concentration Limits

c) Retentions Under 90 Days

d) Cross-Agings (Less Than 90 Days)

e) Governmental A/Rs

f) Employee A/Rs

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2. Advance Rate: 60-80% of A/Rs, 30-50% of Inventory

3.Timing: Monthly, Quarterly, Per Advance

VI. Accounts Receivable & Inventory and the Borrowing Base Certificate (BBC) (Continued)

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VII. Account Payables Issues:

a) Paying “Judiciously” (Stretched Out but No COD)

b) Reasonable Terms

c) Economic Impact & Industry Influence

d) “Discounts” (The Use of a Bank Line of Credit)

e) Indirect Support of the Bank Line of Credit

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VIII. Related “Liquidity” Issues:

Business:

a) Working Capital: Current Assets – Current Liabilities

b) Current Ratio: Current Assets/ Current Liabilities

c) Quick (Acid Test) Ratio: Current Assets – Inventory/ Current Liabilities

Business Owner:

a) Debt to Income Ratio: Monthly Debt Pmts/ Monthly Income

b) Analysis of “Individual” Liquid Assets: Ex. CVLI, CD, IRA, VA

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IX. Conclusion:

Cash Conversion Cycle is important to the Financial Success of the firm.

Cash Conversion Cycle directly supports Cash Flow.

Cash Flow determines Value of Firm.