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ANALYZING BANK PERFORMANCE

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Page 1: ANALYZING BANK PERFORMANCE. McGraw-Hill/Irwin Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e © 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved

ANALYZING BANK PERFORMANCE

Page 2: ANALYZING BANK PERFORMANCE. McGraw-Hill/Irwin Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e © 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved

McGraw-Hill/IrwinBank Management and Financial Services, 7/e

© 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved.

Key Topics• An Overview of the Balance Sheets and Income

Statements of Banks• The Balance Sheet or Report of Condition

▫ Asset Items ▫ Liability Items

• Recent Expansion of Off-Balance Sheet Items • The Problem of Book-Value Accounting and

"Window Dressing" • Components of the Income Statement: Revenues

and Expenses• Stock Values and Profitability Ratios • Measuring Credit, Liquidity, and Other Risks • The UBPR and Comparing Performance

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Page 3: ANALYZING BANK PERFORMANCE. McGraw-Hill/Irwin Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e © 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved

McGraw-Hill/IrwinBank Management and Financial Services, 7/e

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Bank Financial Statements

•Report of Condition – Balance Sheet

•Report of Income – Income Statement

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McGraw-Hill/IrwinBank Management and Financial Services, 7/e

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Report of Condition

•The Balance Sheet of a Bank Showing its Assets, Liabilities and Net Worth at a given point in time

•May be viewed as a list of financial inputs (sources of funds) and outputs (uses of funds)

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Page 5: ANALYZING BANK PERFORMANCE. McGraw-Hill/Irwin Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e © 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved

McGraw-Hill/IrwinBank Management and Financial Services, 7/e

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McGraw-Hill/IrwinBank Management and Financial Services, 7/e

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C + S + L + MA = D + NDB + EC

C = Cash Assets

S = Security HoldingsL = LoansMA = Miscellaneous

Assets

D = DepositsNDB = Nondeposit

BorrowingsEC = Equity Capital

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Page 7: ANALYZING BANK PERFORMANCE. McGraw-Hill/Irwin Bank Management and Financial Services, 7/e © 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved

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Cash Assets

•Account is Called Cash and Deposits Due from Bank

• Includes:▫Vault Cash▫Deposits with Other Banks (Correspondent

Deposits)▫Cash Items in Process of Collection▫Reserve Account with the Federal Reserve

•Sometimes Called Primary Reserves

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Securities: The Liquid Portion

•Often Called Secondary Reserves • Include:▫Short Term Government Securities▫Privately Issued Money Market Securities

Interest Bearing Time Deposits Commercial Paper

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Investment Securities

•These are the Income Generating Portion of Securities

•Taxable Securities▫U.S. Government Notes▫Government Agency Securities▫Corporate Bonds

•Tax-Exempt Securities▫Municipal Bonds

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Trading Account Assets

•Securities purchased to Provide Short-Term Profits from Short-Term Price Movements

•When the Bank Acts as a Securities Dealer•Valued at Market – FASB 115

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Federal Funds Sold and Reverse Repurchase Agreements

•A Type of Loan Account•Generally Overnight Loans•Federal Funds Sold - Funds Come from the

Deposits at the Federal Reserve•Reverse Repurchase Agreements – Bank

Takes Temporary Title to Securities Owned by Borrower

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Loan Accounts

•The Major Asset•Gross Loans – Sum of All Loans•Allowance for Possible Loan Losses▫Contra Asset Account▫For Potential Future Loan Losses

•Net Loans•Unearned Discount Income•Nonperforming Loans

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Types of Loans

•Commercial and Industrial Loans•Consumer Loans (Loans to Individuals)•Real Estate Loans•Financial Institution Loans•Foreign Loans•Agriculture Production Loans•Security Loans•Leases

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Allowance for Loan Losses

Beginning ALL+ Provision for Loan Loss (Income

Statement)= Adjusted Allowance for Loan Losses- Actual Charge-Offs+ Recoveries from Previous Charge-Offs= Ending Allowance for Loan Losses

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Specific and General Reserves

•Specific Reserves▫Set Aside to Cover a Particular Loan▫Designate a Portion of ALL or▫Add More Reserves to ALL

•General Reserves▫Remaining ALL

•Determined by Management But Influenced by Taxes and Government Regulation

•Loans to Lesser Developed Countries Require Allocated Transfer Reserves

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Miscellaneous Assets

•Bank Premises and Fixed Assets

•Other Real Estate Owned (OREO)

•Goodwill and Other Intangibles

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Deposit Accounts

•Non interest-Bearing Demand Deposits•Savings Deposits•Now Accounts•Money Market Deposit Accounts (MMDA)•Time Deposits

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Nondeposit Borrowings

•Fed Funds Purchased•Securities Sold Under Agreement to

Repurchase (Repurchase Agreements)•Acceptances Outstanding•Eurocurrency Borrowings•Subordinated Debt•Limited Life Preferred Stock•Other Liabilities

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Equity Capital

•Preferred Stock•Common Stock▫Common Stock Outstanding▫Capital Surplus▫Retained Earnings (Undivided Profits)▫Treasury Stock▫Contingency Reserve

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Off-Balance-Sheet Items

•Unused Commitments•Standby Credit Agreements•Derivative Contracts▫Futures Contracts▫Options▫Swaps

•OBS Transactions Exposure a Firm to Counterparty Risks

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Possible Issues

•The Problem with Book-Value Accounting▫Original (historical, book-value) cost▫Amortized cost▫Market-value▫Held-to-maturity and available-for-sale

securities•Window Dressing•Auditing Financial Statements▫Audit Committees ▫Sarbanes-Oxley Accounting Standards Act

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Comparative Balance SheetRatios for Different SizeBanks (FDIC, 2006)

Which accounts are most important on the asset side of a Call Report? Liability side?

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Report of Income

• The Statement of Revenues, Expenses and Profits for a Bank Over a Period of Time

• Shows how much it has cost to acquire funds and to generate revenues from the uses of funds in Report of Conditions

• Shows the revenues (cash flow) generated by selling services to the public

• Shows net earnings after all costs are deducted from the sum of all revenues

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Income Statement

Net Interest Income- Provision for Loan Loss

Net Income After PLL+/- Net Noninterest Income

Net Income Before TaxesTaxes

Net Income- Dividends

Undivided Profits

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Report of Income for BB&T Corporation

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Net Interest Income = Interest Income – Interest Expenses

• Interest and Fees on Loans• Taxable Securities Revenue• Tax-Exempt Securities

Revenue• Other Interest Income

• Deposit Interest Costs• Interest on Short-Term

Debt• Interest on Long-Term Debt

Interest Income Interest Expenses

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Net Noninterest Income = Noninterest Income – Noninterest Expenses

• Fees Earned from Fiduciary Activities

• Service Charges on Deposit Accounts

• Trading Account Gains and Fees

• Additional Noninterest Income

• Wages, Salaries, and Employee Benefits

• Premises and Equipment Expense

• Other Operating Expenses

Noninterest Income Noninterest Expenses

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Fees Earned from Fiduciary Activities

•Fees for Managing Protecting a Customer’s Property

•Fees for Record Keeping for Corporate Security Transactions and Dispensing Interest and Dividend Payments

•Fees for Managing Corporate and Individual Pension and Retirement Plans

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Service Charges on Deposit Accounts

•Checking Account Maintenance Fees•Checking Account Overdraft Fees•Fees for Writing Excessive Checks•Savings Account Overdraft Fees•Fess for Stopping Payment of Checks

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Trading Account Gains and Fees

•Net Gains and Losses from Trading Cash Instruments and Off Balance Sheet Derivative Contracts That Have Been Recognized During the Accounting Period

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Additional Noninterest Income

• Investment Banking, Advisory, Brokerage and Underwriting

•Venture Capital Revenue•Net Servicing Fees•Net Securitization Income• Insurance Commission Fees and Income•Net Gains (Losses) on Sales of Loans•Net Gains (Losses) on ales of Real Estate•Net Gains (Losses) on the Sales of Other

Assets

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Comparative Income StatementRatios for Different SizeBanks (FDIC, 2006)

What are the most important revenue and expense items on the income statement of a bank?

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Key Profitability Ratios in Banking

Assets Total

IncomeInterest Net

Assets Total

expense)Interest -

income(Interest

Margin Interest Net

Assets Total

Incomet NoninteresNet

Assets Total

expensest Noninteres-

PLLL-

revenuet Noninteres

Margin t NoninteresNet

Net IncomeReturn on Equity Capital (ROE) =

Total Equity Capital

Net IncomeReturn on Assets (ROA) =

Total Assets

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Key Profitability Ratios in Banking (cont.)

Assets Total

Expenses Operating Total

- Revenues Operating Total

Margin OperatingBank Net

gOutstandin SharesEquity Common

TaxesAfter IncomeNet (EPS) SharePer Earnings

Total Interest Income __ Total Interest ExpenseEarnings Spread = Total Earning Assets Total Interest Bearing Liability

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Breaking Down ROE

N et P ro fit M arg in =N et In com e/To ta l O p era tin g R even u e

A sse t U tiliza tion =To ta l O p era tin g R even u e /To ta l A sse ts

R O A =N et In com e/To ta l A sse ts

E q u ity M u lt ip lie r =To ta l A sse ts /E q u ity C ap ita l

R O E = N e t In com e/ To ta l E q u ity C ap ita l

x

x

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ROE Depends On:

• Equity Multiplier=Total assets/Total equity capital▫Leverage or Financing Policies: the choice of

sources of funds (debt or equity)

• Net Profit Margin=Net income/Total operating revenue▫Effectiveness of Expense Management (cost

control)

• Asset Utilization=Total operating revenue/Total assets▫Portfolio Management Policies (the mix and

yield on assets)

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Determinants of ROE in a Financial Firm

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Components of ROE for All Insured U.S. Banks (1992-2007)

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A Variation on ROE

Net Income Pre-Tax Net Operating IncomeROE =

Pre-Tax Net Operating Income Total Operating Revenue

Total Operating Revenue Total Assets

Total Assets Total Equity Capital

ROE = Tax Management Efficiency

Expense Control Efficiency

Asset Management Efficiency

Funds Management Efficiency

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Breakdown of ROA

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INCOME

Return to the BankROA = NI / TA

EXPENSES

Rate

Composition (mix)

Volume

Interest

Overhead

Prov. for LL

Taxes

Fees and Serv Charge

Trust

Other

Rate

Composition (mix)

Volume

Interest

Non Interest

Salaries and Benefits

Occupancy

Other

Bank Performance ModelBank Performance Model

Returns to ShareholdersROE = NI / TE

Returns to ShareholdersROE = NI / TE

Degree of LeverageEM =1 / (TE / TA)

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Bank Risks

•Credit Risk•Liquidity Risk•Market Risk•Interest Rate Risk

•Operational Risk

•Legal and Compliance Risk

•Reputation Risk•Strategic Risk•Capital Risk

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Credit RiskThe Probability that Some of the Financial Firm’s Assets Will Decline in Value and Perhaps Become Worthless

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Credit Risk Measures• Nonperforming Loans/Total Loans• Net Charge-Offs/Total Loans• Provision for Loan Losses/Total Loans• Provision for Loan Losses/Equity Capital• Allowance for Loan Losses/Total Loans• Allowance for Loan Losses/Equity Capital• Nonperforming Loans/Equity Capital

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Liquidity RiskProbability the Financial Firm Will Not Have Sufficient Cash and Borrowing Capacity to Meet Deposit Withdrawals and Other Cash Needs

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Liquidity Risk Measures• Purchased Funds/Total Assets• Net Loans/Total Assets• Cash and Due from Banks/Total Assets• Cash and Government Securities/Total Assets

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Market Risk: Comprises Price Risk and Interest Rate Risk

Probability of the Market Value of the Financial Firm’s Investment Portfolio Declining in Value Due to a Change in Interest Rates

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Market Risk Measures• Book-Value of Assets/ Market Value of Assets• Book-Value of Equity/ Market Value of Equity• Book-Value of Bonds/Market Value of Bonds• Market Value of Preferred Stock and Common

Stock

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Interest Rate RiskThe Danger that Shifting Interest Rates May Adversely Affect a Bank’s Net Income, the Value of its Assets or Equity

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Interest Rate Risk Measures• Interest Sensitive Assets/Interest Sensitive

Liabilities

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Off-Balance-Sheet Risk The Volatility in Income and Market Value of Bank

Equity that May Arise from Unanticipated Losses due to OBS Activities (activities that do not have a balance sheet reporting impact until a transaction is affected)

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Operational RiskUncertainty Regarding a Financial Firm’s Earnings Due to Failures in Computer Systems, Errors, Misconduct by Employees, Floods, Lightening Strikes and Similar Events or Risk of Loss Due to Unexpected Operating Expenses

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Legal and Compliance Risk Risk of Earnings Resulting from Actions Taken by

the Legal System. This can Include Unenforceable Contracts, Lawsuits or Adverse Judgments. Compliance Risk Includes Violations of Rules and Regulations

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Reputation Risk This is Risk Due to Negative Publicity that can

Dissuade Customers from Using the Services of the Financial Firm. It is the Risk Associated with Public Opinion.

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Capital RiskProbability of the Value of the Bank’s Assets Declining Below the Level of its Total Liabilities. The Probability of the Bank’s Long Run Survival

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Capital Risk Measures• Stock Price/Earnings Per Share• Equity Capital/Total Assets• Purchased Funds/Total Liabilities• Equity Capital/Risk Assets

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Other Goals in Banking

Total Operating ExpensesOperating Efficiency Ratio =

Total Operating Revenues

Net Operating IncomeEmployee Productivity Ratio =

Number of Full Time-Equivalent Employees

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Performance Indicators Related to the Size of a Firm, 2007

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Appendix: UBPR

The Uniform Bank Performance Report Provided by U.S. Federal Regulators so that Analysts Can Compare the Performance of One Bank Against Another

Web link for UBPR and BHCPR: www.ffiec.gov

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