BigDataOpportunities/Challenges&

UseCases

Péter Molnárpmolnar@atlantapolicefoundation.org

2

3

Platform forbestpracticesdevelopmentSinglepointofcontactfor collaboration

WCCBeltline

BuckheadAtlanta

MidtownBlueAPF

InnovationCenter

APDCityDepartments PrivateSector

Collaborators

HardwaredevelopersSoftwaredevelopersServiceprovidersInventors/Start-ups

LEAsUniversities

Governmentagencies CDC

DHS

PublicsafetyoutcomesFunding(grants,fees,donations)

AccesstobestinclasstechnologiesShapingpolicinginnovation

BestPracticesPlatformforinnovation

CommercializationFirstadopter

Domain-relevance

APS

FBI/GBI

Physicalinfrastructure

Analyticsservices DataandvideoPolicingpractices

Underground Universitycampuses

Watershed

FederalLEAs

StateLEAsAcademics

CityofAtlantaMARTA

GADOTFEMA/GEMA

AtlantaPoliceFoundationTechnologyInnovationCenter

CurrentRecordManagementSystemsarenotdesignedforAnalytics…• Inaccuratedataentry• Incomprehensibleanddatabaseschemawithoutintegritycheck• Incompleterecords• Datasilos

APD-ICIS

APDICISRecordManagementSystem

• 208tables,awithmorethan5,800fields.• Primaryandforeignkeysmaynotalwayshavethesamename.• Manyfieldsthatmayhavebeenintendedfornumericvaluesallowfreetextentry.• RMSproducesduplicateentrieswithdifferentkeyvalues.

7 day 7 day 7 day 28 day 28 day 28 day YTD YTD 1 Year YTD YTD YTD YTD2015 2014 % Chg. 2015 2014 % Chg. 2015 2014 % Chg. 2013 % Chg. 2009 % Chg.

OFFENSESMurder 1 1 0% 1 5 -80% 58 52 12% 52 12% 57 2%Rape 2 2 0% 12 10 20% 98 87 13% 66 48% 75 31%Robbery 40 43 -7% 168 176 -5% 1,403 1,459 -4% 1,536 -9% 1,636 -14%Agg. Assault 48 48 0% 199 208 -4% 1,482 1,483 0% 1,513 -2% 1,808 -18%Burglary 93 102 -9% 325 429 -24% 3,015 3,423 -12% 3,914 -23% 6,053 -50%Larceny / From Auto 229 172 33% 810 720 13% 6,081 5,855 4% 6,014 1% 7,200 -16%Larceny / Other 188 153 23% 637 621 3% 4,631 4,682 -1% 5,335 -13% 5,565 -17%Auto Theft 90 71 27% 382 277 38% 3,003 2,651 13% 3,103 -3% 3,948 -24% TOTAL PART I OFFENSES 691 592 17% 2,534 2,446 4% 19,771 19,692 0% 21,533 -8% 26,342 -25%# of Shooting Incidents 6 7 -14% 28 34 -18% 271 239 13% 221 23% 233 16%# of Shooting Victims 6 7 -14% 29 41 -29% 317 274 16% 249 27% 263 21%Firearms Seized 32 32 0% 121 145 -17% 1,159 1,106 5% 1,106 5% 1,058 10%Part I Firearm Crime 56 61 -8% 228 227 0% 1,885 1,810 4% 1,774 6% 1,921 -2%Part I Domestic Crime 19 13 46% 67 68 -1% 474 474 0% 464 2% 592 -20%ARRESTSMurder (Clear-ups) 1 1 0% 3 5 -40% 47 31 52% 37 27% 46 2%Rape (Clear-ups) 2 2 0% 12 6 100% 64 55 16% 54 19% 49 31%Robbery 7 8 -13% 29 36 -19% 302 267 13% 267 13% 231 31%Agg. Assault 14 32 -56% 48 93 -48% 554 566 -2% 586 -5% 601 -8%Burglary 7 17 -59% 25 36 -31% 237 325 -27% 339 -30% 438 -46%Larceny / From Auto 8 2 300% 13 21 -38% 185 160 16% 205 -10% 225 -18%Larceny / Other 68 53 28% 215 214 0% 1,835 1,962 -6% 1,882 -2% 2,396 -23%Auto Theft 6 6 0% 27 22 23% 244 249 -2% 232 5% 525 -54% TOTAL PART I ARRESTS 113 121 -7% 372 433 -14% 3,468 3,615 -4% 3,602 -4% 4,511 -23%Narcotics Arrests 80 113 -29% 319 490 -35% 3,267 3,668 -11% 3,386 -4% 4,896 -33%Other Part II Arrests 182 162 12% 692 646 7% 6,120 5,875 4% 6,162 -1% 6,686 -8%Quality of Life Arrests 226 233 -3% 896 886 1% 6,975 7,302 -4% 8,453 -17% 9,730 -28%Traffic Arrests 121 151 -20% 452 639 -29% 5,087 5,717 -11% 5,551 -8% 3,072 66%Warrant Arrests 45 73 -38% 137 243 -44% 1,675 2,244 -25% 2,223 -25% 2,284 -27% TOTAL ALL ARRESTS 767 853 -10% 2,868 3,337 -14% 26,592 28,421 -6% 29,377 -9% 31,179 -15%ACTIVITY SECTIONRecovered Stolen Autos 69 83 -17% 301 270 11% 2,547 2,325 10% 2,249 13% 2,448 4%Auto Theft Attempts 11 16 -31% 58 39 49% 648 572 13% 795 -18% 803 -19%Curfew Violations 7 11 -36% 24 29 -17% 309 319 -3% 494 -37% 436 -29%Truancy Violations 69 43 60% 196 154 27% 893 831 7% 1,137 -21% 250 257%Traffic Violations 3,806 3,984 -4% 13,947 16,069 -13% 132,323 128,380 3% 107,802 23% 73,834 79%Parking / Winnipegs 131 236 -44% 692 1,104 -37% 7,644 10,076 -24% 9,380 -19% 14,707 -48%Complaints Against Police 21 19 11% 69 55 25% 440 470 -6% 430 2% 264 67%Traffic Light Camera (TLC) 0 0 NA 0 0 NA 0 0 NA 2,867 -100% 20,622 -100%% of Auto Thefts that are Attempts 12% 23% -- 15% 14% -- 22% 22% -- 26% -- 20% --*For Official APD Crime Statistics, please consult FBI Uniform Crime Report (UCR): http://www.atlantapd.org/uniformcrimereports.aspx Source: all ICIS incidents on file

*Management Stats Only*

*C I T Y W I D E*

ATLANTA POLICE DEPARTMENT WEEKLY COBRA REPORTSaturday 08/29/15 24:00Sunday 08/23/15 00:01 to Week: # 35

Commander: Chief G. Turner Asst Commander: Asst Chief S. Jones

Murder

Rape

Robbery

Agg Assault

Burglary

Larceny From Auto

Other Larceny

Auto Theft

7 - Day

2015 2014 % Chg

28 - Day

2015 2014 % Chg 2013 % Chg 2009 % Chg

YTD YTDYTD

2015 2014 % Chg

0

1

29

30

45

159

110

80

1

3

30

34

82

179

107

60

8

19

150

178

364

774

561

378

8

11

160

171

400

761

512

313

42

73

890

933

2,006

3,826

2,926

1,917

31

58

915

928

2,244

3,666

3,000

1,676

31

37

1,015

991

2,608

3,778

3,473

2,073

40

51

1,032

1,202

3,902

4,662

3,680

2,631

Total Offenses 454 496 2432 2336 12,613 12,518 14,006 17,200

-100%

-67%

-3%

-12%

-45%

-11%

3%

33%

-8%

0%

73%

-6%

4%

-9%

2%

10%

21%

4%

35%

26%

-3%

1%

-11%

4%

-2%

14%

1%

35%

97%

-12%

-6%

-23%

1%

-16%

-8%-10%

5%

43%

-14%

-22%

-49%

-18%

-20%

-27%-27%

ATLANTA POLICE DEPARTMENT

*C I T Y W I D E*

Commander: Chief G. Turner

Sunday, June 07, 2015, 00:00 hrs Thursday, June 11, 2015, 23:59 hrsto

-100%

-67%

-11%

-11%

-47%

-3%

1%

42%

-6%

0

636112

154

223

63

42

41

1

Crime

Zone Breakdown

Trending Line 636 102 127 99 102 109 95

Murder

Rape

Robbery

Agg Assault

Burglary

Larceny From Auto

Other Larceny

Auto Theft

Total Offenses

Crime2014 Final

93

143

2,348

2,189

5,442

9,402

7,233

4,11930,969

Incidents

95

164

2,005

2,102

4,520

8,620

6,593

4,31928,418

% Change

2%

15%

-15%

-4%

-17%

-8%

-9%

5%-8%

2015 Trend

2015 Projected Finish

Week: 24Daily Cobra Report

Against (2014)

Trend %

Trend (2015)

Assistant Commander: Asst. Chief S. Jones

679

79

153

230

119

47

46

3

2

Murder

Rape

Robbery

Agg Assault

Burglary

Larceny From Auto

Other Larceny

Auto Theft

0

1

29

30

45

159

110

80

Total Offenses 454

City

0

0

2

7

8

27

11

18

73

1

0

0

2

2

11

38

32

6

91

2

0

0

8

9

5

15

14

20

71

3

0

0

8

5

12

19

13

16

73

4

0

1

2

4

4

33

25

9

78

5

0

0

7

3

5

27

15

11

68

6Crime / Zone

679 102 114 116 106 121 120Last Year's Total

Page 1 of 7Friday, June 12, 2015 4:54 AMUpdated: Source: all ICIS incidents on file

Officers'timeoncall

SELECT u.incident_num, u.unit_id, min(u.unit_status_datetime) AS unit_disptime

FROM unit_status_hist u, cfs_core c

WHERE u.incident_num > ''

AND u.unit_id LIKE '[123][123456][012][0123456789]'

AND u.unit_id NOT LIKE '[123][123456][1][5]'

AND c.call_type = '89P'

AND c.incident_num = u.incident_num

AND c.incident_date BETWEEN '%s' AND '%s'

AND c.incident_date != '%s'

GROUP BY u.incident_num, u.unit_id

ORDER BY u.incident_num, u.unit_id", start_date, end_date, DSTdate

https://vimeo.com/116904976

AtlantaRepeatOffenderCommission

• Stakeholders:AtlantaPolice,FultonCountySheriff,DistrictAttorney,Probation,Atl.JudicialCircuit,CityCouncil,FultonCountyCommissioner,SuperiorCourt,StateCourt,FultonCountyCourt,CentralAtlantaProgress• Provideafactually-basedreportidentifyingtheproblemareas• Proposerecommendationsforsolutions• Establishareportingandaccountabilityprocess

TheDataRevealed

• Atotalof14,412arrestchargesamongthe461individuals• Anaverageofmorethan15felonyarrestcyclesperoffender• Approximately1500 ofthosearrestswereforviolentoffenses,suchasmurder,robbery,guncrimes,oraggravatedassaults• Approximately3500 arrestswerefordrugcrimes• Lessthan20individualsreceivedajailorprisonsentencebeyondtimeserved• Inallrecords,therewere8,715missingdispositionsofcases

DRUGPOSESSION/SALE/PURCHASE

23%

THEFT/BURGLARY11%

PROBATION/PAROLEVIOLATION

11%

(Unknown)

OBSTRUCTION9%

SIMPLEBATTERY/ASSAULT

9%

CRIMINALTRESPASS6%

FAILURETOAPPEAR6%

TRAFFIC/LICENSE5%

WEAPON5%

OFFENSECATEGORYBYCOUNT

DRUGPOSESSION/SALE/PURCHASE

THEFT/BURGLARY

PROBATION/PAROLEVIOLATION

(blank)

OBSTRUCTION

SIMPLEBATTERY/ASSAULT

CRIMINALTRESPASS

FAILURETOAPPEAR

TRAFFIC/LICENSE

WEAPON

DISORDERLYCONDUCT

DRUGABANDONMENT

BANKFRAUD

CRUELTYTOCHILDREN

DAMAGINGPUBLICPROPERTY

MetroAtlanta20Counties58Municipalities70PoliceDepartments

?

MallofAmericahttp://blogs.mprnews.org/newscut/2015/03/report-moa-built-dossiers-on-protesters/

LicensePlateReader

• OpticalPatternRecognition• Triggerswhendetectingvehiclesofinterest• Anomaliesintrafficflow• Suspicious drivingpatterns• Convoyanalysis:vehiclesthatrepeatedlyappeartogether

Completesurveillance…thenwhat?

Canwepredictcrime

beforeithappens?

Wcapre

hatnwedict?

Whatlawenforcementknows

• Chronic offenderscausedisproportionate crimeproblems,includingviolence• Manyoffendersareconnectedsociallyingroups• Problems withinandbetweengroupscauseproblems• Groupmemberscommitallsortsofcrime(violence,minoroffenses,drugs)• Controlling groupscouldhaveasignificantimpact

ResearchonSocialNetworkAnalysis

• Delinquentpeers-oneofthestrongestpredictorsofcrimeE.MarkWarr,ProfessorofSociology,UTAustin• ViolenceisconcentratedamongnetworksofpeopleAndrew Papachristos,AssociateProfessorofSociology,YaleUniversity• Thecloseryouaresociallytoviolence,themorelikelyyouaretobecomeavictimPapachristos• PositionisimportantwithinthenetworkCarloMorselli,AssociateProfessorofCriminology,UniversitedeMontréal&JeanMarieMcGloin,AssociateProfessorofCriminologyandCriminalJustice,UniversityofMaryland

SocialNetworkAnalysisTerminology

• Sociogram• Egonetwork• Completenetwork• Node• Edge(non-directional)• Arc(directional)• Valuedties/unvaluedties• Compontent• One-modenetwork• Two-modenetwork

DATASOURCE

• Informationthatconnectsorinformstherelationshipbetween2+people• FieldInterviewForms• ArrestReports• Car/TrafficStops• “Streetintel”• Gang intelligencereports• SchoolOfficers• NationalIntegratedBallisticInformationNetwork(NIBIN)

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DescribingNetworks

• Networksize• Averagedegree• Density=2|E|/(|N|*(|N|-1))• Transitivity(triangles)• Reciprocity(directeddata)• Averagepathdistance• Centralization

CreatingNetworkfromICISArrestData• Originaldatadidnotproducesignificantlylargeclusters• DiscoveredthatDBassignedmultipleIDstorecordsthatshouldrepresentoneperson• Developedheuristicsforde-duplicationbasedon• name,birthday,address,driver'slicense

Co-arrests2010-2012

Co-arrestsJan-Apr2010

Co-arrests(animation)

Summary

ImprovmentsontopofexistingSystems

Navigatebetweenworlds:

ConsumervsEnterprise

DevelopconnectionsBetweensystems

Péter Molnárpmolnar@atlantapolicefoundation.org