analyst presentation - tofaş · analyst presentation. 2 agenda ... 36.932 46.514 44.040 37.588...
TRANSCRIPT
2
AGENDA
2007 Q3 Performance Highlights
Local Market & Tofaş Local Market Sales
Exports Performance
Other Developments
Market Overview
Market Share
Financial Results
Q & A
3
PERFORMANCE HIGHLIGHTS – Q3 2007
10,0%
130,141
Sep 2006
143,121
Sep 2007
PRODUCTION
9,9%
69.4%76.3%
Sep 2006 Sep 2007
CAPACITY UTILIZATION
SALES
Local Exports
SALES REVENUE
Local Exports
Sepl 2006
971,816
1,235,191
Sep 2007
1,014,404
1,415,605
10.1%
Sep 2006 Sep 2007
54,548
87,131 100,170
49,562
5,7%
UNIT %
UNIT 000 TRY
4
EBITDANET PROFIT
NET OPERATING PROFITGROSS PROFIT
10,8%
258,294
Sep 2006
286,246
Sep 2007
36,8%
69,127
Sep 2006
94,593
Sep 2007
18,9%
150,545
Sep 2006
178,960
Sep 2007
51,143
Sep 2006
122,352
Sep 2007
139,2%
000 TRY 000 TRY
000 TRY 000 TRY
PERFORMANCE HIGHLIGHTS – Q3 2007
5
DOMESTIC MARKET
2007 The contraction seen in domestic market realised as 12% in October, however the overall contraction at year end is expected to decrease to 5%.
36.932
46.51444.040
37.588
54.785
78.626
64.668
41.40327.915
60.04847.490
52.72546.581
50.558
48.61441.900
23.11429.182
42.387
47.963
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May Ju
n
Jul
Aug Feb
Oct
2006 2007
2006- 2007 SALES
UNIT
17.21230.126
29.06728.469
27.662
32.56928.24625.204
24.336
13.186
20.15618.919
22.08919.244
18.48818.896
17.18317.564
11.9709.928
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May Ju
n
Jul
Aug
Sep Oct
PC LCV
Monthly Retail Sales 2007
UNIT
6
DOMESTIC MARKET OVERVIEW
UNIT
PC LCV
451,210
247,287
2004
227,036
138,841
2003
373,216
249,220
2006
350,000
240,000
2007/E
-%5
438,165
280,165
2005
7
TOFAŞ DOMESTIC SALES
Tofaş Domestic Market Share entered an increasing trend with the introduction of Linea in May, and continued to exceed the sales of the same period of 2006.
12,4
11,3 11,5
12,4
13,0 12,2
13,7
10,1
10,3
9,8
13,8
11,811,3
9,7
11,8
13,5
11,7
14,2
13,6
13,8
Jan
Feb
Mar Apr
May Jun Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
2006 2007
TOFAŞ MONTHLY MARKET SHARE 2007
%
TOFAŞ 2006- 2007 SALES
7.462
3.146
4.772
8.036
10.254
6.710
5.152 4.452 4.7913.634
6.630
5.007
3.2902.238
4.928
6.559
5.9206.613 7.1786.565
Jan
Feb
Mar Apr
May Jun Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
2006 2007
UNIT
8
TOFAŞ LOCAL SALESJa
n
Feb
Mar
Apr
May Jun Jul
Aug
Sep
RENAULT TOFAŞ FORD TOYOTA
LOCAL PC MARKET SHARE
15,5
12,1
11,1
8,3
6,0
16,5
7,8
7,6
%
Jan
Feb
Mar Apr
May Jun Jul
Aug
Sep
RENAULT TOFAŞ FORD VW
LOCAL LCV MARKET SHARE
26,526,7
14,617,2
12,211,7
9,0 9,7
%
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May Jun Jul
Aug
Sep
RENAULT TOFAŞ FORD VW
LOCAL PC + LCV MARKET SHARE
%
13,1
13,2
15,817,4
9,6 8,8
9,6
14,2
9
TOFAŞ EXPORTS JANUARY-SEPTEMBER
Units Jan-Sep 2006 Jan-Sep 2007 ∆ 2007/E
Doblo Cargo 47,117 48,336 1,219 62,500
Doblo Panorama 27,734 26,319 -1,415 35,600
Linea 7,432 7,432 12,100
Albea-Palio 4,697 3,756 -941 4,100
Other CBU 1,439 119 -1,320 9,000
CKD 6,144 14,208 8,064 23,200
Total Units 87,131 100,170 13,039 146,500
Tot Exports Revenue(EUR/ million) 707,7 790.4 82.7
10
TOFAŞ EXPORTS VOLUME
15.082
6.279
13.596
6.672 8.500
10.8769.530
10.447 11.394
11,653 4,464
10.660 10.51512.222
9.724
10.914 11.407 13.367
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug Sep
2006 2007
Units
40.014 49.28871.500
47.11750.882
75.000
2006 Jan-Sep 2007 Jan-Sep 2007/E
PC LCV
Units
Tofaş exports increased by 15% in 2007 compared to the same period in 2006.
11
TOFAŞ SALES
100,17087,131EXPORTS TOTAL
14,2086,144CKD + SKD
Local Sales (UNITS) Sep 2006 Sep 2007
Doblo Cargo 23,573 21,030
Doblo Panoroma 1.373 1,204
Linea 5,835
Albea – Palio 16,445 12,321
Other CBU 13,157 9,172
LOCAL SALES TOTAL 54,548 49,562
Exports (UNITS) Sep 2006 Sep 2007
Doblo Cargo 47,117 48,336
Doblo Panoroma 27,734 26,319
Linea 7,432
Albea – Palio 4,697 3,756
Other CBU 1,439 119
LOCAL + EXPORTS TOTAL 141,679 149,732
12
CAPACITY UTILIZATION & PRODUCTION
86%
71%
58%51%
43%47%46%
65%
0
50.000
100.000
150.000
200.000
250.000
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007/E0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Production vol Capacity Utilization
130.141
90.099
37.451
143.121
95.476
42.650
Q1
Q2
Q3
2006 2007
Production Volume69,4%72,1%
59,9%
76,3%76,4%68,2%
Q1
Q2
Q3
2006 2007
Capacity Utilization %
Tofaş year end production volume is expected o reach a record level which is 215,000 units, exceeding the previous record in 1993.
13
INVESTMENT EXPENDITURES
EUR million
Sep 2007 2007/E
Capacity Increase and Other 71.4 130.0
Linea 28.0 50.0
Minicargo 91.0 110.0
263 3.6 60.0
TOTAL 194.0 350.0
14
FINANCIAL RESULTS Q3 2007
TRY mil 30.09.2006 30.09.2007 ∆Net sales 2,207.0 2,430.0 223.0
Gross Profit 258.3 286.2 27.9
Net operating profit 69.1 94.6 25.5
Profit before tax 144.9 144.3 -0.6
Net profit 51.1 122.4 71.3
EBITDA 150.5 179.0 28.5
% 30.09.2006 30.09.2007
EBITDA MARGIN 6.8% 7.4%
Gross margin 11.7% 11.8%
Net operating margin 3.1% 3.9%
Profit before tax margin 6.6% 5.9%
Net profit margin 2.3% 5.0%
15
TRY mil 2007 Q1 2007 Q2 2007 Q3
Net sales 717.1 897.9 815.0
Gross Profit 68.3 117.1 100.8
Net operating profit 12.4 41.0 41.2
Profit before tax 35.1 49.2 60.0
Net profit 29.3 44.1 49.0
EBITDA 38.6 68.9 71.5
% 2007 Q1 2007 Q2 2007 Q3
EBITDA MARGIN 5.4% 7.7% 8.8%
Gross margin 9.5% 13.0% 12.4%
Net operating margin 1.7% 4.6% 5.1%
Profit before tax margin 4.9% 5.5% 7.4%
Net profit margin 4.1% 4.9% 6.0%
FINANCIAL RESULTS Q3 2007
16
∆30.09.200731.12.2006Non Current Assets
TRY mil
Current Assets 31.12.2006 30.09.2007 ∆Cash & cash equivalents 518.4 418.7 -99.7
Inventory 157.1 289.2 132.1
Trade Receivables 505.5 511.3 5.8
Other current assets 80.8 76.9 -3.9
Fixed assets 1,127.2 1,355.8 228.6
Other non current assets 29.8 138.4 108.6
Total Assets 2,418.8 2,790.3 371.5
FINANCIAL RESULTS Q3 2007
17
∆30.09.200731.12.2006Long Term Liabilities
TRY mil
Short Term Liabilities 31.12.2006 30.09.2007 ∆Short term financial liabilities 13.0 17.3 4.3
Short term portions of long term liabilities 57.9 61.8 3.9
Trade payables 784.6 665.5 -119.1
Other short term payables 94.0 176.9 82.9
Long term financial liabilities 376.5 637.9 261.4
Other long term liabilities 74.8 116.2 41.4
Equity 1,018.0 1,114.7 96.7
Total Liabilities and Equity 2,418.8 2,790.3 371.5
FINANCIAL RESULTS Q3 2007
18
108.5138.329.8LT Consumer Loans
∆30.09.200731.12.2006Net Working Capital
TRY mil
Net Financial Position 31.12.2006 30.09.2007 ∆Cash & Cash Equivalents 518.4 418.7 -99.7
ST Financial Liabilities 70.9 79.1 8.2
LT Fin Liabilities 376.5 637.9 261.4
ST Consumer Loans 3.7 15.1 11.4
TOTAL 104.5 -144.9 -249.4
Trade Receivables 505.5 511.3 5.8
Inventory 157.1 289.2 132.1
Other Receivables 77.0 61.5 -15.5
Trade Payables 784.6 665.5 -119.1
Other Payables 24.0 104.5 80.5
-69.0 92.0 161.0
FINANCIAL RESULTS Q3 2007
19
OTHER DEVELOPMENTS
Project 263
Production and Manufacturing Agreement has been signed with FiatGroup Automobiles S.p.A on October 15 2007 to produce and develope a new light commercial vehicle under the code name 263.
Production of the new vehicle will start on mid 2009. Investmentexpenditures of the project will be financed totaly by Tofaş and realise as EUR 370 millions.
20
OTHER DEVELOPMENTS
Fiat Motorsports Tukey, won the second place at 2007 Europe Rally Championship.