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Analyst and Investor Conference 2020 Live INVESTOR and ANALYST Audio Webcast and Conference Call April 29 th , 2020

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Page 1: Analyst and Investor Conference 2020 Live …...2020/04/28  · Audio Webcast and Conference Call April 29th, 2020 Disclaimer The following presentations contain forwardlooking statements

Analyst and Investor Conference 2020Live INVESTOR and ANALYST Audio Webcast and Conference CallApril 29th, 2020

Page 2: Analyst and Investor Conference 2020 Live …...2020/04/28  · Audio Webcast and Conference Call April 29th, 2020 Disclaimer The following presentations contain forwardlooking statements

Disclaimer

The following presentations contain forward-looking statements and information on the business development of the Volkswagen Group. These statements may be spoken or written and can be recognized by terms such as “expects”, “anticipates”, “intends”, “plans”, “believes”, “seeks”, “estimates”, “will” or words with similar meaning. These statements are based on assumptions, which we have made on the basis of the information available to us and which we consider to be realistic at the time of going to press. These assumptions relate in particular to the development of the economies of individual countries and markets, the regulatory framework and the development of the automotive industry. Therefore the estimates given involve a degree of risk, and the actual developments may differ from those forecast. The Volkswagen Group currently faces additional risks and uncertainty related to pending claims and investigations in a number of jurisdictions in connection with findings of irregularities relating to exhaust emissions from diesel engines in certain Volkswagen Group vehicles. The degree to which the Volkswagen Group may be negatively affected by these ongoing claims and investigations remains uncertain.The recent outbreak of COVID-19 (commonly referred to as coronavirus) has negatively impacted economic and social conditions in primary markets of Volkswagen, including China and Europe, as public, private, and government entities have implemented containment measures. The continued spread of COVID-19 has caused shortages of necessary materials and parts from suppliers directly or indirectly affected by the outbreak and has caused operational disruptions and interruptions at Volkswagen's production facilities, which led to production downtimes. The COVID-19 pandemic and the respective containment measures might continue to have a negative impact in the future.A negative development relating to ongoing claims or investigations, the continuation of COVID-19, an unexpected fall in demand or economic stagnation in our key sales markets, such as in Western Europe (and especially Germany) or in the USA, Brazil or China, and trade disputes among major trading partners will have a corresponding impact on the development of our business. The same applies in the event of a significant shift in current exchange rates in particular relative to the US dollar, sterling, yen, Brazilian real, Chinese renminbi and Czech koruna.If any of these or other risks occur, or if the assumptions underlying any of these statements prove incorrect, the actual results may significantly differ from those expressed or implied by such statements.We do not update forward-looking statements retrospectively. Such statements are valid on the date of publication and can be superseded. This information does not constitute an offer to exchange or sell or an offer to exchange or buy any securities.

Page 3: Analyst and Investor Conference 2020 Live …...2020/04/28  · Audio Webcast and Conference Call April 29th, 2020 Disclaimer The following presentations contain forwardlooking statements

Frank Witter

Chief Financial OfficerVolkswagen AG

Helen Beckermann

Head of Group Investor RelationsVolkswagen AG

Analyst and Investor Conference Q1 2020

3

Dr. Christian Dahlheim

Director Group SalesVolkswagen AG

Page 4: Analyst and Investor Conference 2020 Live …...2020/04/28  · Audio Webcast and Conference Call April 29th, 2020 Disclaimer The following presentations contain forwardlooking statements

Financial Highlights January – March 2020

4

Volkswagen Group’s business sustains a substantial blow from Covid-19 pandemic in first quarter of 2020

Deliveries to Volkswagen Group customers 23.0% down on previous year at 2.0 (2.6) million vehicles; declines especially in Asia-Pacific and Europe

Profit before tax decreases to €0.7 (4.1) billion

Automotive Division’s net cash flow down €4.5 billion on prior-year period to €–2.5 billion; capex ratio of 4.7 (4.0)%

Group sales revenue decreases by 8.3% to €55.1 billion

Operating profit of €0.9 billion down €3.0 billion on prior-year figure including special items; demand-related fall in volumes, fair value measurement of commodity hedges and exchange-rate effects have a negative impact

Net liquidity in the Automotive Division at €17.8 billion

Page 5: Analyst and Investor Conference 2020 Live …...2020/04/28  · Audio Webcast and Conference Call April 29th, 2020 Disclaimer The following presentations contain forwardlooking statements

Volkswagen Group – Deliveries to Customers by Brands1)

(January to March 2020 vs. 2019)

1) Volkswagen Group excl. Ducati

[thsd. units]

Volume Premium Sport & Luxury Truck & Bus-24.1 % -21.0 % -4.2 % -19.5 %

5

3,000

500

0

1,500

2,000

1,000

2,5002,606

56 5395 2

353

2,006

2 3415228 24126

30818

447

1,456

1,092

1302332 2

-23.0%

-25.1%

-24.3% -14.0% -24.4%-21.1%

-2.4% -4.6% +5.6% -17.2% -22.9%

January - March 2019

January - March 2020

Page 6: Analyst and Investor Conference 2020 Live …...2020/04/28  · Audio Webcast and Conference Call April 29th, 2020 Disclaimer The following presentations contain forwardlooking statements

World 2) Asia PacificSouth America (incl. LCV)

Central & Eastern Europe

Car Market VW Group

North America (incl. LCV) Western Europe

Car Market VW Group Car Market VW Group

Car Market VW Group Car Market VW Group Car Market VW Group

Development World Car Market vs. Volkswagen Group Car Deliveries to Customers1)

(Growth y-o-y in deliveries to customers, January to March 2020 vs. 2019)

1) Volkswagen Group Passenger Cars excl. Volkswagen Commercial Vehicles 2) incl. LCV in North America & South America

6

-13.1% -12.9%

-27.0%-19.5%

-6.5% -9.3%

-23.3% -23.0%-31.2% -33.6%

-14.9%-4.2%

Page 7: Analyst and Investor Conference 2020 Live …...2020/04/28  · Audio Webcast and Conference Call April 29th, 2020 Disclaimer The following presentations contain forwardlooking statements

Volkswagen Group – Analysis of Operating Profit1)

(January to March 2020)

1) All figures shown are rounded, minor discrepancies may arise from addition of these amounts. *) without FS ** ) including PPA

Passenger Cars*/**

3.94.8

0.9

1.0

0

1

2

3

4

5

Jan-March 2019

incl. Special Items

Special Items

-1.8

Jan - March 2019

excl. Special Items

Volume/ Mix/ Prices

-1.1

Exchange Rates /

Derivatives

-0.1

Product Costs Fixed Costs

-0.7

-0.3

Commercial Vehicles**

0.0

Power Engineering**

0.0

Financial Services Division

Jan - March 2020

[€ billion]

7

Page 8: Analyst and Investor Conference 2020 Live …...2020/04/28  · Audio Webcast and Conference Call April 29th, 2020 Disclaimer The following presentations contain forwardlooking statements

Volkswagen Group – Analysis by Business Line1)

(January to March 2020)Vehicle sales Sales revenue Operating profit Operating margin

thousand vehicles / € million / percentage 2020 2019 2020 2019 2020 2019 2020 2019Volkswagen Passenger Cars 765 910 18,965 21,538 481 921 2.5 4.3Audi 268 305 12,454 13,812 15 1,100 0.1 8.0ŠKODA 237 275 4,850 4,920 307 410 6.3 8.3SEAT 140 176 2,558 3,053 -48 89 -1.9 2.9Bentley 3 3 620 456 56 49 9.0 10.7Porsche Automotive 2) 56 57 5,394 5,224 529 829 9.8 15.9Volkswagen Commercial Vehicles 99 129 2,671 3,294 14 291 0.5 8.8Scania 3) 19 24 2,982 3,350 256 370 8.6 11.0MAN Commercial Vehicles 28 34 2,633 2,988 -83 115 -3.2 3.8Power Engineering - - 922 891 16 9 1.7 1.0VW China 4) 503 901 - - - - - -Other 5) -180 -229 -8,842 -8,220 -1,293 28 - -Volkswagen Financial Services - - 9,847 8,706 654 638 - -Volkswagen Group before Special Items - - - - 904 4,849 1.6 8.1Special Items - - - - - -981 - -Volkswagen Group 1,937 2,583 55,054 60,012 904 3,868 1.6 6.4

Automotive Division 6) 1,937 2,583 44,650 50,777 197 3.166 - -of which: Passenger Cars 1,891 2,526 38.165 43,581 120 2,803 - -of which: Commercial Vehicles) 46 57 5,564 6,305 121 420 - -of which: Power Engineering - - 922 891 -44 -56 - -

Financial Services Division - - 10,404 9,236 707 701 - -

1) All figures shown are rounded, minor discrepancies may arise from addition of these amounts. 2) Porsche (Automotive and Financial Services): sales revenue € 6,016 (5,799) million, operating profit € 572 (868) million. 3) Scania (Automotive and Financial Services): sales revenue € 3,098 (3,458) million, operating profit € 282 (402) million. 4) The sales revenue and operating profits of the joint venture companies in China are not included in the figures for the Group. These Chinese companies are accounted for using the equity method and recorded a proportionate operating profit of € 276 (1,074) million. 5) In operating profit mainly intragroup items recognized in profit or loss, in particular from the elimination of intercompany profits; the figure includes depreciation and amortization of identifiable assets as part of purchase price allocation for Scania, Porsche Holding Salzburg, MAN and Porsche. 6) Including allocation of consolidation adjustments between the Automotive and Financial Services divisions. 8

Page 9: Analyst and Investor Conference 2020 Live …...2020/04/28  · Audio Webcast and Conference Call April 29th, 2020 Disclaimer The following presentations contain forwardlooking statements

Net Cash flowunderlying business

Aquisition and disposal of equity

investments

Diesel outflowNet Cash flowincluding Diesel

payments and M&A

-2.5-1.5

-4

-2

0

0.50.5

2019 2.0 0.2 0.3 2.5

1) Including allocation of consolidation adjustments between Automotive and Financial Services divisions.

Automotive Division – Net Cash Flow1)

(January to March 2020)[€ billion]

9

Page 10: Analyst and Investor Conference 2020 Live …...2020/04/28  · Audio Webcast and Conference Call April 29th, 2020 Disclaimer The following presentations contain forwardlooking statements

1) All figures shown are rounded, minor discrepancies may arise from addition of these amounts. 2) Including allocation of consolidation adjustments between Automotive and Financial Services divisions.

2019 5.4 -2.0 -1.1 0.0 2.3 -0.3 2.0

Cash flow from operating activities

Capex Capitalized development

costs

Other Acquisitionand disposal

of equityinvestments

Net Cash flowNet cash flow beforeequity

investments

1.5

-2.5-1.6

-0.5

-3

-2

-1

0

1

2

-2.1

0.1

-2.0

Automotive Division – Net Cash Flow Development1)2)

(January to March 2020)[€ billion]

10

Page 11: Analyst and Investor Conference 2020 Live …...2020/04/28  · Audio Webcast and Conference Call April 29th, 2020 Disclaimer The following presentations contain forwardlooking statements

21.317.8

0

25

20

15

10

5

China Dividend

-0.5

M&A

-0.5

31.12.2019

0.0

31.03.2020

-0.7-1.5

Operating Business

-0.1

IFRS 16 Fair Value Valuation ²)

Other

-0.1

Diesel Outflow

1) All figures shown are rounded, minor discrepancies may arise from addition of these amounts. 2) Valuation at Fair Value of securities and financial liabilities.

Net Cash flow (€ -2.5 bn)

Automotive Division – Analysis of Net Liquidity1)

(January to March 2020)[€ billion]

11

Page 12: Analyst and Investor Conference 2020 Live …...2020/04/28  · Audio Webcast and Conference Call April 29th, 2020 Disclaimer The following presentations contain forwardlooking statements

1) before Special Items.

Deliveries to customers(‘000 vehicles)

Sales revenue(€ billion)

Operating return on sales

(%)

significantly below prior year

significantly below prior year

10.8 11.0

2018 2019

+1.3%

235.8 252.6

2018 2019

+7.1%

7.3 7.6

2018 2019

2020

2020

2020

1) 1)Operating result severely below prior year

However, positive

Volkswagen Group – Outlook for 2020

12