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THE MILLION DOLLAR QUESTON: WHAT IS BREAK-EVEN AND VIABILITY FOR DIFFERENT FOOD HUB MODELS? An NGFN Webinar March 19, 2015

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Page 1: An NGFN Webinarngfn.org/resources/ngfn-cluster-calls/food-hub-viability... · 2015-03-19 · An NGFN Webinar March 19, 2015. Presentation Outline ... Product Storage “BuyLocal”

THE MILLION DOLLAR QUESTON:W H A T I S B R E A K - E V E N A N D V I A B I L I T Y F O R D I F F E R E N T

F O O D H U B M O D E L S ?

An NGFN Webinar

March 19, 2015

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Presentation Outline

Technical Orientation

Welcome

Jeff FarbmanWallace Center at Winrock International

The Million Dollar Question Questions and Answers Upcoming Opportunities, etc.

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WALLACE CENTER AT WINROCK INTERNATIONAL

• Market based solutions to a 21st Century food system

• Work with multiple sectors – business, philanthropy, government

• Healthy, Green, Affordable, Fair Food

• Scaling up Good Food

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NATIONAL GOOD FOOD NETWORK: VISION

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NATIONAL GOOD FOOD NETWORK: GOALS

Supply Meets Demand• There is abundant good food (healthy, green, fair and affordable) to meet

demands at the regional level.

Information Hub• The National Good Food Network (NGFN) is the go to place for regional

food systems stories, methods and outcomes.

Policy Change• Policy makers are informed by the Data and Analysis and outcomes of the

NGFN and have enacted laws or regulation which further the Network goals.

http://ngfn.org | [email protected]

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Presentation Overview

Food Hubs and Financial Viability Defining Food Hubs

Food Hub Operational Structures

Financial Models

Scenario Analysis

Food Hub Resources

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Local/Regional Food Systems

Food Hubs

Aggregating Distributing Marketing Local Food

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Regional Food Hubs

USDA Definition*

A business or organization that actively manages the

aggregation, distribution, and marketing of source-

identified food products primarily from local and regional

producers to strengthen their ability to satisfy wholesale,

retail, and institutional demand.

* Barham, James, Debra Tropp, Kathleen Enterline, Jeff Farbman, John Fisk, and Stacia Kiraly. Regional Food Hub Resource Guide.U.S. Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Marketing Service. Washington, DC. April 2012.

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Regional Food Hubs

Actively linking producers to markets On-farm pick up Production and post-harvest handling

training Business management services and

guidance Value-added product development Food safety and GAP training Liability insurance

Aggregation Distribution Brokering Branding and market

development Packaging and repacking Light processing (trimming,

cutting, freezing) Product Storage

“Buy Local” campaigns Distributing to “food deserts” Food bank donations Health screenings, cooking

demonstrations SNAP redemptions Educational programs Youth and community employment

opportunities

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Carries out or coordinates the aggregation, distribution, and marketing of

primarily locally/regionally produced foods from multiple producers to multiple

markets.

Considers producers as valued business partners instead of interchangeable

suppliers and is committed to buying from small to mid-sized producers

whenever possible.

Uses product differentiation strategies (e.g. identity preservation, group

branding, sustainable production practices, etc.) to ensure that producers get a

good price for their products.

Works closely with producers to ensure they can meet buyer requirements by

either providing direct technical assistance or finding partners that can provide

this technical assistance.

Aims to be financially viable while also having positive economic, social,

and/or environmental impacts within their communities

Defining Characteristics-

Regional Food Hubs

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Businesses intentionally structure their core operations to produce both financial success and social benefit

Shared mission and operational values support decisions and processes

Food Value Chains

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By Legal Structure?

Lines blurring between socially-driven for-profit enterprises and business savvy nonprofit enterprises

Classifying Food Hubs

Better Approach – Form follows Function

Image: USDA Flickr

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Food Hub Market Typology*

Direct to

Consumer

39%

Wholesale

29%

Hybrid

32%

*Based on a working list of 302 food hubs identified by the USDA’s Agricultural Marketing Service (April 2014)

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Wholesale

Produce, meats, dairy, shelf stable items

Both Direct to Store Delivery (DSD) and to Distribution Centers (DC)

Little reliance on volunteer labor

Institutional Wholesale

Serves schools, hospitals, etc.

Narrower margins, but higher volume

May need additional certifications

Food Hub Operational Models– WHOLESALE –

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Direct to Consumer (D2C)

Mainly fresh produce but becoming more diverse w/increasing order customization

Individuals and families with drop off locations

Combination of paid & volunteer labor

Tends to be higher margins but lower volumes

Examples: Multi-farm CSAs, buying clubs, online farmers markets, mobile markets

Food Hub Operational Models– DIRECT TO CONSUMER –

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Hybrid Model

Combines Direct to Consumer and Wholesale models

More product differentiation

Better able to match high volume/low margin markets with low volume/high margin markets

Leads to more stable seasonal sales

Food Hub Operational Models– HYBRID –

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“Oxygen Mask Rule” of Food Hub Viability

Margin and Mission

Image: USDA Flickr

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Collaboration between Matson Consulting and the USDA with input from various food hubs and industry participants.

Analysis Formulation

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Results from a Cooperative Agreement between USDA Rural

Development and VA FAIRS

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◦ Access to a variety of producers and members

◦ Suburban: within 50 miles of customers

◦ 6,500 square foot facility

Image: MS Office Clipart

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Other

Fresh ProduceDairy Products

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◦ Deliberately Chosen

Specific Sales Level and Corresponding Costs/Activities

◦ Year-long Periods of Time

◦ Highlight Common Issues

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Startup

Breakeven - Covering Operating Expenses

Growth - Becoming Cash Flow Neutral

Viability - Preparing for Future Growth

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Direct to Consumer

• $75,000

Wholesale

• $250,000

Processing

• $1,000,000 +

Image: MS Office Clipart

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Image: MS Office Clipart

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Image: MS Office Clipart

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Image: MS Office Clipart

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$0

$20,000

$40,000

$60,000

$80,000

$100,000

$120,000

$140,000

$160,000

$180,000

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Do

llars

CASH - end of period Sales

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Image: MS Office Clipart

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Image: strategiclearner.files.wordpress.com

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Image: morquefile.com

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Image: MS Office Clipart

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-

200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000

1,000,000

1,200,000

1,400,000

Baseline $50,000 $100,000 $150,000

Sale

s ($

)

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-

500,000

1,000,000

1,500,000

2,000,000

2,500,000

Baseline $50,000 $100,000 $150,000

Sale

s ($

)

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Other Variable

Costs

Marketing

Costs

Infrastructure

Costs

General and

Administrative

Unforseen and

Bad DebtPayments to

Producers

All Other

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$935,009

$1,210,000

$1,717,396

$2,901,422

$-

$500,000

$1,000,000

$1,500,000

$2,000,000

$2,500,000

$3,000,000

$3,500,000

Sale

s ($

)

(23%) Decrease

42% Increase

140% Increase

65% Baseline:

70%75% 80%

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$0

$200,000

$400,000

$600,000

$800,000

$1,000,000

$1,200,000

$1,400,000

$1,600,000

$1,800,000

Baseline $40,000 $80,000 $120,000

$1,210,000

$1,392,347

$1,580,748$1,773,508

Sale

s ($

)

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◦ Baseline Loan Amount: $225,000

◦ Loan and Associated Fees for Loan Mix:

Ranges from 60-75% financed

Finance charges (including all fees) of 6.5-7%

Terms from 6-10 years

Additional Equipment

Baseline +50,000 +100,000 +150,000

Growth - Net Income $52,071 $47,501 $42,931 $38,361

Annual Loan Payment $12,519 $16,693 $20,866 $25,039

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◦ Hubs can be a viable entity

◦ Hubs can operate in a range that works for rural

areas

◦ Pay attention to the details

◦ Small changes matter

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Moving Food Along the Value Chain: Innovations in Regional Food DistributionBy Adam Diamond & James Barham – USDA Agricultural Marketing Service

Regional Food Hub Resource Guide Food hub impacts on regional food systems, and the resources available to support their growth and developmentBy USDA Agricultural Marketing Service and the Wallace Center at Winrock International

The Role of Food Hubs in Local Food MarketingBy James Matson, Martha Sullins, and Chris Cook – funded by USDA Rural Development

Food Hub and Distribution Resources

Electronic copies of these publications can be downloaded for free at www.ams.usda.gov/FoodHubs

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Food Value Chains: Creating Shared Value to Enhance Marketing Success – joint project

between USDA and the Wallace Center

The report is designed to provide guidance to the reader on how food value chains are initiated and structured, how they function, and the benefits they provide to participants.

New Report on Food Value Chains

http://dx.doi.org/10.9752/MS141.05-2014

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USDA Food Hub Technical Report Series - Published by USDA Rural Development. Authored by James Matson

and associates.

Running a Food Hub: Lessons Learned from the Field

Running a Food Hub: Business Operations Guide

Running a Food Hub: Assessing Financial Viability

Upcoming Report Series on Hubs!

Running a Food Hub

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USDA’s Food Hub Portalwww.ams.usda.gov/FoodHubs

A catalogue of USDA's research findings, resources, and support for food hubs

Food Hub and Distribution Resources

National Food Hub Collaborationhttp://foodhub.info

Map and list of known food hubs, current news, webinars, conference proceedings, print resources

Food Hub Benchmarking – Farm Credit

Food Hub National Surveys – Michigan State University

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www.usda.gov/knowyourfarmer

Website: One-stop shop for financial

and technical assistance resources from USDA to grow your local food enterprise www.usda.gov/knowyourfarmer

The Compass: How USDA resources

are put to work in your community www.usda.gov/kyfcompass

The Compass Map: See what’s

funded in your community and learn how others are using USDA programs

USDA’s “Know Your Farmer, Know Your Food” Initiative

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Jeff [email protected]

Questions and Answers

James [email protected]

James Matson803-233-7134

[email protected]

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Webinars are Archived

TOPICS!

http://ngfn.org/webinars

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NGFN Webinars

3rd Thursday of each month3:30p EST (12:30p PST)

Apr 16: Discerning Pallets: Grower's Experiences Selling Their Crops Through Food Hubs

May 14: Crop Insurance for Small Farms: A Crash Course

Jun 18: Creative Financing for Food

http://ngfn.org/webinars

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Food Hub Survey

Are you a food hub manager?

Help us continue to advance our sector

Improved survey - optimized, especially if you participated in 2013

Request your individualized survey link from:

Jill [email protected]

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USDA Local Food Directories

Was

Farmers Markets

Now adds:

CSAs

On-Farm Markets

Food Hubs

http://www.usdalocalfooddirectories.com/

Direct link to register:

http://bit.ly/regmyhub

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Get Connected, Stay Connected

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http://ngfn.org

[email protected]