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Wikibon Research Cloud Computing (2015-2025)

Brian Gracely (@bgracely) Lead Cloud Analyst The Wikibon Project Brian.Gracely@wikibon.org

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Current Wikibon Cloud Research

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Source: http://wikibon.com/cloud

Forecasts and Frameworks

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Short-Term / Long-Term Forecasting Emerging Market Frameworks and Definitions

Wikibon Cloud Research Roadmap (2015-16)

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RESEARCH

FORECASTS

SURVEYS

Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3/Q4 2016

•  Private Cloud Sizing

•  Application Middleware Sizing

•  Private vs. Public Application Placement

•  Future of Cloud

•  Cloud Native Apps Organizational Transformation

•  Cloud Apps Enterprise vs. Cloud Native •  Understanding

IoT Platforms

•  Hybrid Cloud Architectures and Offerings •  Customer Guide to Hybrid Cloud

•  CI / CD DevOps Frameworks

•  IoT Platforms

•  Hybrid Cloud Considerations and Adoption

•  Cloud Cost of Ownership

Cloud Computing (2015-2025)

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“Software is Eating the World.” - Marc Andreessen, 2011

Every Industry is Impacted

Two Key Influencing Factors Open Source and Public Cloud

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PUBLIC CLOUD

DRIVING AVAILABILITY OF RESOURCES TO THE MASSES DRIVING BUSINESS OPPORTUNITY TO THE MASSES

INNOVATION FROM OPEN SOURCE COMMUNITIES LOWERING PRICES FOR NEW OPPORTUNITIES

The Pace of Change is Rapidly Increasing…

Day 0 6 Months 1 Year 2-3 Months

SaaS Applications

1-2 Weeks

Microservices

Cloud Computing in 2015 (Business Perspective)

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SPEED

AGILITY INNOVATION

•  On-Demand Resources •  Scalable Resources •  Global Resources

•  Digital Business •  New Customer UX •  New Business Models

•  Idea to Execution •  Align Cash to Value •  Adapt to Change

Cloud Computing in 2015 (Technology Perspective)

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ECONOMICS

SOFTWARE APPLICATIONS

•  OPEX vs. CAPEX •  Open Source Options •  Build vs. Buy vs. Community

•  Portfolio Management •  Cloud Native Apps •  Mobile and IoT

•  Open Source •  DevOps •  Infra-as-a-Code

What are Customers Asking?

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PRIVATE PUBLIC

PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT

APPLICATION PLACEMENT

•  When to Utilize SaaS Applications? •  What Applications Could Go to Cloud? •  Do Applications Need to be Modified? •  How to Build Cloud Native Applications? •  How Do We Learn About Public Cloud? •  How Do We Manage Multiple Clouds? •  Is Hybrid Cloud Actually Possible?

PRIVATE PUBLIC

RESOURCE MANAGEMENT

BUILD A CLOUD OR BUY A CLOUD

•  How Do We Build a Private Cloud? •  How Do We Build a Hybrid Cloud? •  How Do We Consume a Public Cloud? •  Which Public Cloud(s) Would We Use? •  Who Can Help Us Be Successful?

PRIVATE PUBLIC

COST MANAGEMENT

COST vs. VALUE vs. OPPORTUNITY

•  How to Protect Existing Investments? •  How to Create Business Revenues? •  How to Reduce Application Cycles? •  How to Measure Cost of Private Cloud? •  How to Measure Cost of Public Cloud? •  How to Best Manage Hybrid Costs? •  How to Track Cloud Cost Changes?

What are Customers Asking?

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PRIVATE PUBLIC

DATA MANAGEMENT

DATA PLACEMENT

•  How to Classify Data for Private/Public Cloud? •  Legal Issues – Data Sovereignty (Location) •  Legal Issues – Data Protection / Encryption •  Data to Application Dependencies •  How to Move Large Amounts of Data to Public Cloud? •  How Long to Keep Data and How to Manage Retention Costs? •  Who Has Ownership of Data in a Cloud Model? •  How to Derive Value from Data in the Cloud (via Cloud Services)? •  What Enhanced Data Services are Available in the Public Cloud? •  Centralized vs. Edge Computing

What are Vendors Asking?

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PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT

TECHNOLOGIES REQUIRED

•  Status of New Technologies •  Competition Against New Technologies •  Market Demand for New Technologies •  Integration with New Technologies •  Partnerships with New Technologies •  Intellectual Property vs. Open-Source •  Community Driven Development

STRATEGY MANAGEMENT

COMPETING AGAINST PUBLIC CLOUD

•  Public Cloud Capabilities? •  Competitor, Partner or Co-opetition •  Weaknesses of Public Cloud Offerings •  Sales Strategies vs. Public Clouds •  Who Can Help Us Be Successful?

OPPORTUNITY MANAGEMENT

TIMEFRAMES OF CHANGES

•  How Quickly is Change Forecasted? •  How to be Better Positioned? •  How to Engage New Buying Centers?

Enterprise Cloud Apps vs. Cloud Native Apps

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ENTERPRISE CLOUD APPS CLOUD NATIVE APPS

BIG DATA SOCIAL

MICROSERVICES REAL-TIME

GAMING

ANALYTICS

IoT

MEDIA CONTENT

MARKETING SALES

SQL DATABASE

MIDDLEWARE COLLABORATION HR / HCM

CRM ERP

FINANCIALS

Hybrid Cloud

•  Is Hybrid Cloud possible? • What Hybrid Cloud model is Best? • What Clouds are Best Positioned? • Management Considerations? • Mega Data Center Consolidation? •  Security Considerations? •  Data Considerations?

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PRIVATE

PUBLIC PUBLIC

Application Portfolio Management Optimize, Re-Platform or Migrate

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PRIVATE CLOUD PUBLIC CLOUD

OPTIMIZE APPS (e.g. Virtualize)

RE-PLATFORM APPS (e.g. UNIX to x86)

MIGRATE APPS (e.g. Private to Public Cloud)

SaaS Applications

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MARKETING SALES

COLLABORATION

HR / HCM CRM ERP

FINANCIALS

•  Migrate Apps to SaaS •  Replace On-Premises Apps with

SaaS Apps •  Impact to On-Premises

Hardware Vendors •  Impact to On-Premises Software

Vendors •  Integration with Social Business •  Integration with Cloud Native

Apps

PUBLIC CLOUD

Cloud Native Applications

•  Size of Cloud Native Apps Market? •  Understanding how Cloud Native Apps change

Apps and Infrastructure •  How to Build/Deploy Cloud Native Apps? •  Vendor and Community Options for Customers •  How Well are Vendors Positioned to Capture this

Shift? •  How Well are Cloud Providers Positioned to

Capture this Shift?

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Cloud Native Apps: The modern, modular approach to to building applications that are focused on web-scale, mobile first and real-time data.

DevOps

•  Technology vs. Culture •  Commercial vs. Open Source • Market Size of DevOps Vendors •  Leading DevOps SI / Consulting •  Can Enterprise Customers

Adopt DevOps Culture? • Which Technologies Help in

DevOps Evolution?

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Monitoring and Analytics

•  Application-Level Monitoring •  Infrastructure-Level Monitoring •  Real-Time Analysis •  Log Analysis •  Security Analytics

Feedback loops to constantly improve product / service quality and application performance

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Barriers to Cloud Agility and Adoption

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DATA / APPLICATION SECURITY

CORPORATE CULTURE GOVERNANCE + COMPLIANCE

DATA LOCATION COMPLEX MIGRATIONS

AND INTEGRATIONS

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QUESTIONS?