wham silver da
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SDI 2008 1WHAM! Silver DA
Silver DA Index
Silver DA Index.............................................................................................................................................................1
1NC Shell.......................................................................................................................................................................2
Links- General...............................................................................................................................................................3
Link- Solar (1/2)............................................................................................................................................................4
Link- Solar (2/2)............................................................................................................................................................5
Ext. Silver in Short Supply...........................................................................................................................................6
AT: Silver Surplus Now................................................................................................................................................7
Ext. Econ Internal Link................................................................................................................................................8
AT: Econ Low Now.......................................................................................................................................................9
Econ ! T/ Solar Affs.....................................................................................................................................................10
Genocide ! Module......................................................................................................................................................11
Ext. Genocide Internal Link......................................................................................................................................12
Iran Impact Module (1/2)...........................................................................................................................................13
Iran Impact Module (2/2)...........................................................................................................................................14
Heg ! Module...............................................................................................................................................................15
Ext. Heg Internal Link (1/2).......................................................................................................................................16
Ext. Heg Internal Link (2/2).......................................................................................................................................17
Readiness Key to Heg.................................................................................................................................................18
Disease ! Module.........................................................................................................................................................19
Ext. Disease Internal Link..........................................................................................................................................20
Aff - Demand Inevitable.............................................................................................................................................21
Aff- Non Unique..........................................................................................................................................................22
Aff- Non Unique..........................................................................................................................................................23
Aff- No Link- Solar Energy........................................................................................................................................24
Aff- ! Empirically Denied...........................................................................................................................................25
Aff AT: Econ !- Turn...................................................................................................................................................26
Aff AT: Econ !- Uniqueness........................................................................................................................................27
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SDI 2008 2WHAM! Silver DA
1NC Shell
A. Silver supply is too stretched to meet any new demands.
JasonHommel,Silver Stock Reporter, 3/21/08. Silver Seek. Silver Shortage gets Worse, Price DropsAgain!, http://news.silverseek.com/GoldIsMoney/1206119500.php
Three more major silver dealers are reported to be out of silver today: The U.S. Mint, Kitco, and
Monex. This, on top ofthe major dealers yesterday, Amark, Perth Mint, CNI Numismatics, andAPMEX, all reported sold out. Further, nearly all of Canada is reported to be out of silver, from Vancouverto Toronto. This is unprecedented, and is a perfect case of market manipulation in the paper market atCOMEX and other futures exchanges to see silver prices continue to drop down to below $17/oz. today.Paper promises can be created endlessly, but real silver cannot. This is NOT a case of the dealers gettingspooked, and selling out to the refiners just in time, at peak prices. This is a case of the public buying
up the stock at coin shops across the world ever since gold hit $1000/oz.. That event finally sparked alittle of the public's buying of silver and gold. Thus, the typical coin shop flow of silver to the refiners juststopped in the last few weeks, and especially the last two days. This is NOT a case of the public creating atop with 'everyone' in silver, because nobody's in silver yet. In 2006, only $1 billion was spent on investmentsilver, which is 0.007% of the $13.5 trillion of money in the banks. As I have long reported, the silvermarket is so small, there is no room for new investor demand, not even 0.1% of money could be spent
on silver, because that would be $13 billion, which would push silver prices to $200/oz., and we are
seeing only the tiniest beginnings of that.
B.
C. Impact
1. Silver supplies are key to the world economy.
Jason Hommel, Silver Stock Reporter, 2008. The Silver Stock Report. Heres why silver investment is betterthan gold, http://silverstockreport.com/ MH
Each silver contract at the NYMEX is a promise. There are too many contracts, too many promises to
deliver silver that may not exist. Each contract is for 5000 ounces. There are often over 200,000 contractsfor 5000 ounces, that's a total of 1000 million ounces of silver promised to be delivered. With recent markettrends of defaults and bankruptcies, these contracts are at risk of default. Yet the exchange has only
about a third of that in real silver. How can they promise to deliver more silver than exists? If they fail todeliver silver, then confidence inthe world's entire financial system may collapse. Industrialusers of silver may have to shut down their factories. To prevent this, users will bid silver prices much higher.
2. Nuclear war.
Walter Russel Mead, fellow, Council on Foreign Relations, 1992 New perspectives quarterly, summer pp. 28But what if it can't? What if the global economy stagnates - or even shrinks? In that case, we will face anew period of international conflict: South against North, rich against poor. Russia, China, India -
these countries with their billions of people and their nuclear weapons will pose a much greater dangerto world order than Germany and Japan did in the '30s.
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SDI 2008 3WHAM! Silver DA
Links- General
Silver is key to building alternative energy sources because of unique characteristics.
COEUR d Alene Mines Corporation 2008 , Silver: The Metal for Modern Applications, The Value ofSilver, http://www.coeur.com/silver.html
Silver is unique among metals. It is a precious metal and a store of value for investors around the world. Yetover half the silver demanded by consumers each yearis used in industrial or technological products. Thisis because silvers unique characteristics as a metal are essential to the development and growth ofmodern and growing economies everywhere. Its uniqueness includes its strength, malleability andductility, its electrical and thermal conductivity, its ability to reflect light and endure extreme
temperatures. This has made possible plasma television sets, solar panels, electrical connectors andsemiconductors, alternative energy sources, and thousands of other devices we take for granted in ourmodern world, all of which are dependent on silver.
Silver needed for alternative energy (fuel cells, solar, windmills, nuclear)
Matt Savinar, Political Science from the University of California at Davis, J.D. from the University of California
at Hastings College of the Law, "The Peak Oil and Die-Off," 2004, ACC. 6/7/2008,http://www.unicamp.br/fea/ortega/eco/traducao-DieOff.pdf, p. 58
The same holds true for almost every resource and material known to humanity, including resources andmaterials such as platinum, silver, and uranium, which are necessary to up-scale alternative forms ofenergy such as hydrogen fuel cells, solar panels, windmills, and nuclear power plants. We wont even beable to recycle the leftovers of industrial civilization without cheap energy, as recycling things like SUVs,computers, asphalt, etc., is extremely energy-intensive. Most recycling centers (particularly large, industrialones) get their energy from you guessed it fossil fuels! Unless youre super-rich, its back to the caves.
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SDI 2008 4WHAM! Silver DA
Link- Solar (1/2)
Solar panels require huge quantities of silver to transmit electricity.
Matt Savinar, Political Science from the University of California at Davis, J.D. from the University of California
at Hastings College of the Law, "The Peak Oil and Die-Off," 2004, ACC. 6/7/2008,
http://www.unicamp.br/fea/ortega/eco/traducao-DieOff.pdf, p. 58The geographic areas most suited forlarge solar farms are typically very warm areas, such as deserts. This
requires the energy collected by the panels to be converted to electricity and then transmitted over
large distances to power more densely populated regions. Unfortunately, heat makes electricity
extremely difficult to transmit. The benefits of setting up solar farms in sun-drenched areas like the
desert are largely offset by the additional costs of transmitting the electricity. The only way to
overcome this problem is through the use of superconducting wires, which require copious quantities
of silver, a precious metal already in short supply.
Solar panels are doubling the demand for silver.
David Zgodzinski, Montreal freelance writer, 6-19-2008, The Gazette (Montreal), NOTES FROMUNDERGROUND; Can mining make a greener world?, VP lexis
Most environmentalists agree that the overriding environmental imperative, trumping other concerns, is to
reduce greenhouse gas emissions. But converting from a hydrocarbon burning society to one that runs oncleanly generated electricity will not be simple or painless. And the switch will demand metals - lots ofmetals. Those metals have to be mined. According to a study by British merchant bankers, the FortisGroup, over 1,000 tonnes of silver will be used in 2008 to manufacture solar panels. That's twice theamount of silver that was used in 2002 by the solar industry. Silver is the most conductive of metals andthat quality makes it a necessary element in solar equipment. More and more silver will be mined for thesolar energy ramp up in coming years.
Solar panels are depleting silver resources.
Matt Savinar, Political Science from the University of California at Davis, J.D. from the University of California
at Hastings College of the Law, "The Peak Oil and Die-Off," 2004, ACC. 6/7/2008,http://www.unicamp.br/fea/ortega/eco/traducao-DieOff.pdf, p. 58
Virtually all solar panels currently on the market are made with silver paste. The world, however, is in
the midst of a massive silver shortage that is likely to be greatly exacerbated in the years to come. Ofall metals, silver is the best conductor of electricity. This has made it a crucial component of all computers,communications, and electrical equipment. As technology has spread, silver reserves have plummeted. 26The current shortage of silver is so severe many experts feel the price of silver will skyrocket from its August2004 price of $6.50 per ounce to as high as $200 per ounce.141 This will drive up the cost of solar power. Tomake matters worse, the only silver left is very difficult to extract and requires the use of heavyduty, energy-intensive, oil-powered machinery. As oil becomes more expensive, so will be the discovery, mining andtransporting of silver, which will drive up the price of solar power even more. Furthermore, much of theworlds silver reserves are located in highly unstable and unfriendly parts of the world such as the formerSoviet Union. The same fundamentals are also true (albeit to a lesser degree) for copper, which is frequentlyused to conduct electricity.
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SDI 2008 5WHAM! Silver DA
Link- Solar (2/2)
Solar energy requires silver
SteveGelsi, Staff writer, June 9, 2008, MarketWatch,"DuPont eyes generating $1 billion in solar-relatedrevenue," http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/dupont-eyes-generating-1-billion/story.aspx?guid=%7B6B005474-1006-4B80-BA45-78799D5A874E%7D&dist=msr_8
Rob Cockerill, photovoltaicmarketing manager for DuPont's microcircuit materials business, said thecompany's Solamet metallization paste, which is made from silver and other materials, collectselectricity produced by the photovoltaic cell and transports it out of the cell. The metal paste has
applications both with traditional solar modules as well as newer, thin film solar arrays
The need for silver is growing
preciousmetalinvestment.com, 8-21-06, Silver Uses in Industryhttp://silver.preciousmetalinvestment.com/silver/uses/silver-uses-in-industry/
The number of applications that need silver is enormous and constantly growing. Think ofcatalysts,mirrors and other reflective coatings, water purification,solar panels,brazing and soldering, lightsensitive spectacles and you will still only be just scratching the surface.
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SDI 2008 7WHAM! Silver DA
AT: Silver Surplus Now
There is no silver surplus now- its a balance, theres a deficit and there is no excess
production.
Jason Hommel, Silver Stock Reporter, 2008. The Silver Stock Report. There is no silver surplus,
http://silverstockreport.com/2008/surplus.html MHRecently, a few groups have begun talk of a "silver surplus". It started with the CPM group a few yearsago. There was both a deficit, and surplus at the same time, and yet the market was in balance. Investorsbegan to enter the silver market, buying up about 50 million ounces. This new action, a change of a mere 5%of world silver movement, was called a "surplus". The world "surplus" is misleading in three ways. First,you cannot have either a deficit or surplus, everything must balance in real silver, so the term is only atechnical term referring to a part of silver movement. Second, you cannot have both a surplus and adeficit simultaneously, of course. Third, the word "surplus" has somewhat frightening connotations toinvestors. The world "surplus" conjures up images of unwanted silver lying around on some palletssomewhere outside a warehouse, with no buyers anywhere in sight. If there is such a thing as "surplussilver" then please, will someone tell me where it is. I'll be there, anywhere in the world, in less than 3days to haul it away for free. Since I'm sure I'll never get that call, you can be sure there is no such thingas a surplus of silver.
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SDI 2008 8WHAM! Silver DA
Ext. Econ Internal Link
Decline in silver supply kills the economy.
Jason Hommel, Editorial writer for Gold-Eagle, 2005, Gold-Eagle, Silver Users Fear Silver Shortage, NM,http://www.gold-eagle.com/editorials_05/hommel102505.html
Will higher silver prices hurt the economy? The SUA also says: "This removal of large quantities ofphysical silver [through a silver ETF] could have a negative impact on silver-industry specificemployment as well as the overall economy, both through job losses and inflation ." However, highersilver prices will also create jobs in the silver mining industry, which has been devastated by low silverprices. In fact, currently, there are no profitable public silver mining companies in the U.S. And of about 80silver companies that I follow, there are only about 2 or 3 that are making any profits in 2005 so far, becauseoil and energy prices (which are a large part of mining costs) have risen faster than silver prices. Thus, onceagain, if silver prices are below the cost to mine, silver price remain at historic lows.
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SDI 2008 10WHAM! Silver DA
Econ ! T/ Solar Affs
Economic downturn stops our investment in solar power.
J. PeterLynch, Independent Wall Street Analyst, Renewable Energy World Online, 1/25/2008. How wouldrecession affect the solar industry, http://www.renewableenergyworld.com/rea/news/ate/story?id=51229 MH
I thinka recession and other factors can complicate this transitionprocess and cause a number of problemsfor the industry in general and specific stocks in particular. For example: 1. A recession normally causes adrop in demand for oil worldwide. If the price of oil starts to drop we could see a continued adverse
reaction in solar stocks. It will mean ZERO long term, but it could cause considerable short-term pain. 2.The supply of silicon is dramatically expanding and producers are rapidly moving forward with newfactories and supplies. Meanwhile, demand has not been growing as fast as hoped and decreasingincentives (Germany) and failed legislation (principally in the U.S.) has once again highlighted the fossil fueltinted and myopic vision of the current administration. This situation could increase manufacturer'sinventory levels and put downward pressure on manufacturer's margins resulting in lower than
projected profits for 2008 and especially 2009. Wall Street would view this unfavorably and "punish" thosecompanies. 3. When economic times are poor, the government is less likely to institute any new taxbenefits. This may cause the solar credits to be postponed until 2009 when a new administration comes topower. I certainly hope that this will not be the case, but it just illustrates the inherently risky nature of thisemerging industry and that investors need to be aware of these risks and NOT be blinded by the great
potential for reward.
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SDI 2008 11WHAM! Silver DA
Genocide ! Module
A. The U.S. will resort to genocide to control access to key minerals in the Third World
Matt Savinar, Political Science from the University of California at Davis, J.D. from the University of California
at Hastings College of the Law, The Peak Oil and Die-Off, 2004, ACC. 6/7/2008,
http://www.unicamp.br/fea/ortega/eco/traducao-DieOff.pdf, p. 58Our governments other solution to the coming oil shortages is forced depopulation (genocide) of oil-richareas. This policy is nothing new and not unique to any one political persuasion. In 1968, environmentalistDr. Paul Ehrlich published The Population Bomb, which sold about 20 million copies and exerted a hugeinfluence upon policy makers. According to Ehrlich: Our position requires that we take immediate action athome and promote effective action worldwide. We must have population control at home, hopefully througha system of incentives and penalties, but by compulsion if voluntary methods fail. We can no longer affordmerely to treat the symptoms of the cancer of population growth; the cancer itself must be cut out. Dr.Ehrlich goes on to say that compulsory birth control could be imposed by governments via the addition oftemporary sterilants to water supplies or staple food. A few years later, the brutal methods advocated byEhrlich were officially discussed in the highest levels of our government. In December 1974, the US NationalSecurity Council completed a classified 200-page study, National Security Study Memorandum 200:Implications of Worldwide Population Growth for US Security and Overseas Interests (NSSM). The studyexplained that the US needed to control populations in third world countries in order to maintain accessto certain resources: The location of known reserves of higher-grade ores of most minerals favorsincreasing dependence of all industrialized regions on imports from less-developed countries. The USeconomy will require large and increasing amounts of minerals from abroad, especially from less-
developed countries. That fact gives the US enhanced interest in the political, economic, and social
stability of the supplying countries. Wherever a lessening of population pressures through reduced
birth rates can increase the prospects for such stability, population policy becomes relevant to resource
supplies and to the economic interests of the United States.
B. Genocide is the most important impact.
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SDI 2008 12WHAM! Silver DA
Ext. Genocide Internal Link
Seizure of minerals in South and Centeral American countries causes genocide
Brenda Norrell, Jul 26,2006, writerKnight Ridder Tribune Business News, jc proquestThe longtime exploitation of indigenous peoples' land and water resources in the Americas by
governments and corporations has resulted in "energy genocide" for indigenous peoples; now, thisenergy genocide is unleashing an environmental movement, with Native people taking on governments andholding corporations accountable, according to the Indigenous Environmental Network. Tom Goldtooth,executive director of IEN, said the seizure ofland, mineral and waterrights, particularly in Central andSouth America, has resulted in the rape, torture and murder of indigenous peoples. Goldtooth saidglobalization, pushed by countries like the United States, has allowed U.S. corporations to come into
the territories of indigenous communities of Central and South America in need of minerals, oil, gas,water, trees and the medicinal knowledge of indigenous peoples. "This market-based system has createdprivatization of land and competition of natural resources, causing our indigenous brothers and sisters
of the Latin American countries to organize and resist. Indigenous peoples are mobilizing against miningcompanies in Venezuela, Brazil, Colombia, Guatemala, Peru and Panama. "There are wars fueled bymining companies such as Denver-based Newmont that cause mine workers to fight local communities,
of which many are indigenous peoples," Goldtooth told Indian Country Today. Where there is miningwithin remote rural communities in Latin American countries, he said, there are rapes and abuses of
indigenous women. "Racism is alive and well in many of these countries where tribal people arediscriminated."
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SDI 2008 13WHAM! Silver DA
Iran Impact Module (1/2)
A. A silver depletion will cause U.S. to invade Iran
Charles Savoie, professional Jewelist, 10-8-2004, silver4India, NM,http://www.silver4india.com/silver4india/modules/news/article.php?storyid=63
Attempts may be made to force silver holders to sell metal to Uncle Sam. Media will depict those holding for better prices as unpatrioticprofiteers. They would not do so at all, if we were members of approved organizations such as the Council on Foreign Relations;Newcomen Society; English Speaking Union; British North American Committee; Bilderberg; Knights of Malta; Trilateral Commission;Bohemian Club; Mont Pelerin Society; Foreign Policy Association; U.N. Association; Rhodes scholars; Yale super-fraternities such asSkull & Bones; Wolf's Head Society; Berzelius Society; Scroll & Key; and Book & Snake---all interlocked with The Society. The Plan is
for the "right people" to increase in wealth, and everyone else to decline! However, since these groups, with all theirfantastic power, still face limitations, any Federal silver price cap will eventually fail because it will
cause shortages. Miners in other nations will sell wherever they can get the best price. We cannot
justify invading Mexico, Peru, Chile, Bolivia and Argentina to get at their silver. However, there is a
300 to 500 million ounce silver resource in Iran at just one location, and there are at least 11 other
copper sites, which should have meaningful silver credits. You have to suspect that control of that
resource, along with petroleum, is a prime motive for invasion! As the Commercial & FinancialChronicle, a publication usually on the wrong side of issues, said (November 29, 1945, page 2620)---
B. Strikes cause Syria to retaliate against Israel with smallpoxCorsi 07(Jerome,- writer for Wordnet daily, citing Jill Bellamy-Dekker, director of the Public Health Preparedness program for theEuropean Homeland Security Association under the French High Committee for Civil Defense Syria ready with bio-terror if U.S. hits Iranhttp://www.worldnetdaily.com/news/article.asp?ARTICLE_ID=54542)
An American biodefense analyst living in Europe saysif the U.S. invades Iran to halt its nuclear ambitions,Syria is ready to respond with weapons of mass destruction specifically biological weapons. "Syria ispositioned to launch a biological attack on Israel or Europe should the U.S. attack Iran," Jill Bellamy-Dekkertold WND. "The Syrians are embedding their biological weapons program into their commercialpharmaceuticals business and their veterinary vaccine-research facilities. The intelligence service overseesSyria's 'bio-farm' program and the Ministry of Defense is well interfaced into the effort." Bellamy-Deckercurrently directs the Public Health Preparedness program for the European Homeland Security Associationunder the French High Committee for Civil Defense. She anticipates a variation of smallpox is the biologicalagent Syria would utilize.
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SDI 2008 15WHAM! Silver DA
Heg ! Module
A. Silver shortages hurt military readiness and hegemony.
Charles Savoie, Master of Fine Arts degree from Illinois State University, 10-8-2004, silver4India, NM,http://www.silver4india.com/silver4india/modules/news/article.php?storyid=63
Let's take a look at the need for silver as a vital resource material necessary to warfare. We won't beable to examine any detailed weapons breakdown of specific items by exact silver content from one defensecontractor to another on a current basis, because that information isn't readily available. I can tell you that asof January 2, 1980---nearly a quarter century past---some 84,000 military parts (aircraft, submarines, etc.)contained precious metal, mostly silver (Wall Street Journal, January 2, 1980, page 10). AmericanSuperconductor and Intermagnetics General won't openly discuss how much silver they will need forsuperconducting cables. That's probably an understanding with the COMEX shorts---anything to suppressprojected silver demand statistics! As you probably know, America has been without a silver stockpile forstrategic defense applications for several years. We aren't swimming in silver as we were going into WorldWar II. One of the implications could be a limitation on our ability to wage war overseas; and also spellinadequacy as to our ability to defend our shores. Silver is the most versatile metal there is, and astrategic shortage will hurt us more so than shortages of other strategic metals such as tantalum,platinum, chromium, vanadium and cobalt. America cannot produce enough silver to meet our internalneeds, that hasn't happened in most of a century; therefore, silver imports are vital. Over 153 years ago,
Merchants Magazine & Commercial Review (March 1851), page 280 spoke of--- "the numerous uses towhich we apply silver, beyond the uses to which we apply gold."
B. Nuclear war
Zalmay Khalilzad, Senior Analyst at RAND, 1995 Washington Quarterly, Spring, LexisUnder the third option, the United States would seek to retain global leadership and to preclude the rise of aglobal rival or a return to multipolarity for the indefinite future. On balance, this is the best long-term guidingprinciple and vision. Such a vision is desirable not as an end in itself, but because a world in which theUnited States exercises leadership would have tremendous advantages. First, the global environment wouldbe more open and more receptive to American values -- democracy, free markets, and the rule of law. Second,such a world would have a better chance of dealing cooperatively with the world's major problems, such asnuclear proliferation, threats of regional hegemony by renegade states, and low-level conflicts. Finally, U.S.leadership would help preclude the rise of another hostile global rival, enabling the United States and
the world to avoid another global cold or hot war and all the attendant dangers, including a globalnuclear exchange. U.S. leadership would therefore be more conducive to global stability than a bipolar
or a multipolar balance of power system.
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SDI 2008 16WHAM! Silver DA
Ext. Heg Internal Link (1/2)
Silver depletion would shut down U.S. military metal mines prove
Charles Savoie, Master of Fine Arts degree from Illinois State University, 10-8-2004, silver4India, NM,http://www.silver4india.com/silver4india/modules/news/article.php?storyid=63
"Representative White Warns that Any Move to Cut Off Silver Market Would Cripple Defense Industries.Representative Compton R. White of Idaho, a member of the House Committee on Coinage, Weights andMeasures, in a statement issued in New York on July 14, warned that any move to cut off the nationalmarket for silver at this time would force many copper, zinc and lead mines in this country to close and
further cripple our defense industries. Mr. White declared the controlling factors in our national defenseprogram were the cost of production in mining strategic war metals and the Government's profit in the silverpurchase program. He said there were virtually no exclusive producing silver mines, and that in thiscountry or anywhere else silver was a by-product of copper, zinc and lead mines and the profit received
for the by-product went a long way in meeting the cost of production of strategic metals, copper, lead
and zinc. He said that at a time when the Government was arbitrarily holding the price of the strategic metalsdown and combing the Western Hemisphere for lead and zinc, to cut off the silver market now would surelycripple defense." Summary---no silver, no defense industries. Of course the silver situation was radicallydifferent in 1941. The battle over retaining silver as a monetary base was raging in the midst of
wartime debates over silver needs in manufacturing. Today we have no silver monetary base---and nosilver for industrial use---not in the Treasury Department, nor in any government stockpile . The C &FC, July 19, 1941, page 330 said--- "The American Silver Producers Research Project, sponsored by severalof the leading silver producing companies in the United States, has completed a year of activity at theBridgeport (Conn.) plant of Handy & Harman. The project, formerly located at the National Bureau ofStandards, Washington D.C., was reorganized June 1, 1940, and the research program and activities weretransferred to the laboratories of Handy & Harman. The report, issued July 11, follows in part--- "The fieldof electroplated coatings continues to show promise as an outlet for silver and the project's pilot plating planthas been kept busy recently plating drums, pails and cans. At the present time one of the large canmanufacturers is cooperating with the project and a chemical supply house in the development of a silverlined can for packaging chemicals. Containers with a silver plated coating also have been packed withdifferent commodities and some experimental units have been put into service. In some instances silver linedcontainers are being seriously considered and tested for packaging corrosive materials because the corrosion
resistance of other metals and lacquers is not adequate."
Silver depletion would result in military breakdown war machines prove
Charles Savoie, professional American Jewelist, 10-8-2004, silver4India, NM,http://www.silver4india.com/silver4india/modules/news/article.php?storyid=63
Notice that in a wartime period, silver use increases dramatically. In the nearly 63 years since that reviewwas issued, no substitute has been found in nature for silver and its fantastic characteristics. Manyrevolutionary uses for silver were discovered as a consequence of war industry research, and what was true in1942 is truer still today. A modern war machine MUST have silver to function at peak efficiency.Aerospace and jet aircraft technology could not exist without silver, nor could missiles and satellites.
Countries which don't have adequate silver supplies are at serious strategic disadvantage in wartime,
most likely to the point of being on the losing side. Commercial & Financial Chronicle, February 5, 1942,
page 570, made reference to the same report and said--- "The substitution of silver for other metals hasoccurred both in industry and the arts, the purpose being to conserve scarce war materials such as copper,nickel, aluminum and tin. War requirements are also demanding millions of ounces of silver. This metal isplaying an important part in the construction of ships, airplanes, tanks, trucks, guns, shells, bombs, torpedoesand a wide variety of miscellaneous equipment."
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SDI 2008 17WHAM! Silver DA
Ext. Heg Internal Link (2/2)
Silver is needed for military readiness defense weapons and satellites prove
Charles Savoie, Master of Fine Arts degree from Illinois State University, 10-8-2004, silver4India, NM,http://www.silver4india.com/silver4india/modules/news/article.php?storyid=6
"Silver is a critical metal in the defense program; it is needed as a substitute for tin; it is the best of allmetals for certain important parts in the construction of ships, airplanes, tanks, trucks, guns, shells,
bombs and torpedoes. Manufacturers complain of a serious shortage of the metal." Computer systemstoday which the World War II military would have found totally fantastic are dependent on silver. Thesame is true for orbiting satellites. Many other applications of silver have come about throughscientific research. The tug-of-war between saving America's silver monetary base, or rather returning
to it, and the need for silver in war applications, will be different in the future---it will be more intense.As people realize the worthlessness of Federal Reserve notes, pressure to return to real money will beoverwhelming. The only thing I can think of that can prevent return to real money, is if we continue to giveup freedoms in the name of Fatherland Security. Americans must continue to own guns, and guns should bepurchased by anyone legally able to do so. Guns are necessary to defeat an enemy in warfare. They alsoappear to be indispensable in preventing one's own government from becoming truly tyrannical. We mustfight any Federal attempt to require "domestic passports" restricting movement of citizens within our borders,or on travel abroad. We must resist any new attempts to curtail our liberties in the name of wartime security.
We must act through channels to restore our rights.
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SDI 2008 20WHAM! Silver DA
Ext. Disease Internal Link
Silver is needed to prevent disease spread hospitals prove
SteveArizona, writer for American Free Press, 5-6-2008,Daily Paul, Dr. James Miser, Chief Executive Officer at City of Hope National Medical Center, says, "The room whichwe are currently standing is as free of germs as medically possible in a hospital." This is possible
because the ducts delivering air to patients' rooms are coated with a silver-based anti-microbial
compound called AgION. It can kill bacteria, viruses and fungus . Jeffrey Trogolo, Chief TechnologyOfficer at AgION Technologies, Inc. in Wakefield, Mass., says, "When the conditions are right, it turns on,and that's where the silver comes out." Agion technologies is using silver, a centuries-old germ killer, in aunique compound to coat surfaces and instruments that could spread disease. When bacteria are
detected, the compound releases silver ions to the surface, killing existing microbes and any new ones
that come along. "We have virtually no organisms grown," Dr. Miser says.
Silver is needed to make everyday products disease free
Steve Arizona, writer for American Free Press, 5-6-2008, Daily Paul,
It's potent enough to kill germs, but is safe to use on virtually any surface. Trogolo says, "It's less toxicthan table salt and less irritating than talcum powder. Ultimately we hope this will result in less
infections and actually better outcomes for the patients." The silver compound can also kill germs in
your kitchen, on shopping cart handles, even in your sneakers. It's already used in a number of
products including athletic footwear, door hardware, pens and business supplies.
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SDI 2008 21WHAM! Silver DA
Aff - Demand Inevitable
Alt causes to silver demand.
Mike Caggeso, Associate Editor, 7/8/08. Straight Stocks. Silver Prices Ready to Rocket; Four Reasons Why andTwo Ways to Buy, http://www.straightstocks.com/current-market-news/silver-prices-ready-to-rocket-four-reasons-why-and-two-ways-to-buy/ MH
Silver prices have vaulted an extraordinary 106% in the past two and a half years. More impressive, silver prices have gained 33% sincemid December. Now, compare that to how U.S. stocks have fared since then: The Dow Jones Industrial Average has plunged 13.6%;The Nasdaq Composite Index tumbled 10.5%; The S&P 500 Index has fallen 11.1%. Like gold, silver is a safe haven from inflation anda weak dollar. The prices of the two metals often move parallel to one another. However, silver is poised to rocket - handing investorsnot only gains in our bear-market economy, but steeper gains than gold. James Turk, founder of GoldMoney, said in his annual forecastthat the U.S. economy will get much worse in 2008, making gold the premier asset of choice, but not the best performing preciousmetal. That honor will go to silver, which I expect will clear $30 in 2008. From silvers current price of $18.33 an ounce, $30 an ounce
would be a 63.7% gain. And here are four reasons why thats more than probable: * Supply and Demand: Silver, quite simply, has
better supply and demand characteristics than gold. For 18 straight years now, weve consumed moresilver above ground than weve been able to extract from below ground (compared to only four to fiveyears for gold). Thats because only a portion of silver demand comes from investors. Commercialdemand for silver is growing, whether for jewelry, electrical conductors, photographic film or
disinfectants. And the rate at which iyndustry finds new, unique uses for the white metal is staggering
compared to gold. * Above Ground Supply: Unlike gold, which has been hoarded by central banks for decades, theres noappreciable aboveground supply of silver. Therefore, whatever is needed must be mined. And theres very little threat of central banksselling large tranches of silver into the market, which is always an overhanging concern with gold. * Emerging Markets: Despite fearsto the contrary, robust industrial demand for silver will continue even if United States slips into recession. Thats because the true drivertoward higher commodity prices, in general, is emerging markets like China, India, Russia and Eastern Europe. Chinas expansion alonecan be compared to the industrial explosions that took place in Japan in the 1960s and the United States at the turn of the lastmillennium. * Market Capitalization: The silver market is much less capitalized than the gold market. Fewer dollars trade daily on thesilver exchange than on the gold exchange. As a result, every dollar spent on silver will have a greater impact on the silver market thandollars spent on gold will have on the gold market. To visualize this concept, consider the relative impact of a rock tossed into a pondversus the same rock being tossed into a puddle.
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SDI 2008 22WHAM! Silver DA
Aff- Non Unique
There is no shortage of silver and demand is inevitable.
Dominic Frisby, private investor in mining and energy companies, 6/18/08. MoneyWeek. Is the world reallyshort of silver?, http://www.moneyweek.com/file/48969/is-the-world-really-short-of-silver.html MH
To investigate further, I contacted Baird and Co, who are the UKs biggest bullion supplier to the retailmarket, and spoke to the boss, Tony Baird. When I asked him if there was any truth to these rumours of ashortage, I got a resounding, No. Its all rumour, he said. These rumours start because people make
judgements based on the markets that are available to them. (Not everyone can buy in the LondonBullion Market). Then they get on the blogs and rumours spreads. Whats more there is so muchmisanalysis of figures. If you want silver, I can get you silver in pretty much any quantity you like.
From the London Bullion Market or even elsewhere. Scrap silver is not hard to find and we refine it.
But whether you believe in the shortage of physical silver or not, you cannot argue with the fact that investordemand for precious metals is increasing steadily each year. That is a trend that is not set to change but
to continue, as more and more people start talking about inflation . We saw our first programme onmainstream TV on the subject of gold last Friday on BBC1. While it didnt really touch on the subject ofWhy buy Gold?, it is still another step in the gradual process of increasing investor awareness. I dontmake predictions about markets, Baird continued. Thats sticking your neck out and asking for it to be cutoff. But Ive been in this business for 40 years. At the moment we have buyers in precious metals, but
very few sellers. In the 70s we had a lot of sellers. People were queuing up to sell their grandmotherscutlery and their grandfathers teeth. But now there are very few. Thats a view that precious metals analystJeffrey Christian of CPM Group confirms in his 2008 Gold and Silver Yearbooks. As central banks sell andinvestor demand increases, more and more gold and silver is passing into private hands. These privateinvestors are not selling their gold and silver. Theyre hoarding it.
No shortage of silver coming.
Financial Express, 5/3/08. Investment demand to drive silver prices later this year, Lexis MHNet investor buying is expected to keep silver prices strong in 2008, although seasonal price weakness isanticipated during the second and third quarters this year, CPM Group said in its 2008 Silver Yearbook. Onsilver outlook for 2008, the New York-based precious metals consultants predicted that higher silverprices are expected later this year and in beginning 2009. Annual silver price volatility stood at 26.1%
in 2007, down from 45% in the prior year. The research report found that the sharp increase in the
price of silver last year reflected strong investment demand from many parts of the world and frommany types of investors.They also found silver interesting because it has stronger fundamentalsbehind it. Investors were buying silver for all of the same reasons they were buying gold: As a safe
haven during times of financial market distress, as an inflation hedge, as a hedge against a falling
dollar, and more. Total silver fabrication demand is projected to rise modestly by 2.2% to 740.2 millionounces in 2008. Demand for silver use in jewellery and silverware is projected to rise 4.6% to 273.5million ounces this year. In 2007, silver fabrication demand increased by 0.9% to 724 million ounces. "Whilehigher prices should be expected to restrain the growth of silver use in jewellery and other
applications, the price effect may be relatively limited," CPM report said. In 2007, total silver supply was784.8 million ounces of which 68% came from mine production, according to CPM report. World mineproduction of silver increased 4.1% to a record 533.7 million ounces last year. This year total supply isprojected to increase to 815.1 million ounce, a 3.9% increase mostly attributable to a sharp increase inmine production. Total mine production is projected to be 557.4 million ounces, up 4.1% from last year.
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SDI 2008 24WHAM! Silver DA
Aff- No Link- Solar Energy
Solar industry shifting away from silver because of high prices.Business Wire, 7-7-08, Record-High Oil Prices a Boon to BioSolar: Companys Cost-Saving Bio-Based Materialsfor Photovoltaic Solar Modules Poised to Decrease the Industrys Oil dependency. lexis
BioSolar, Inc. (OTCBB:BSRC) reports that surging oil prices have resulted in unprecedented price
hikes in photovoltaic solar module manufacturing, creating substantial growth opportunities forBioSolar.The company's breakthrough technology dramatically reduces the cost of solar modules byreplacing traditional and expensive petroleum-based components, i.e. silver or plastic, with bio-basedmaterials derived from renewable plant sources. This dramatic pricing differential is expected toaccelerate demand for BioSolar's products as manufacturers scramble to control skyrocketing manufacturingand components costs. "With the silver industry tittering and the plastics industry undergoing priceincreases of up to 40% for petroleum-based plastics, we believe that the cost savings offered by ourBioBacksheet(TM) product will accelerate manufacturers' adoption of our product into their
photovoltaic modules," said Dr. David Lee, BioSolar's CEO. "The savings will reduce the final cost per wattof solar electricity by allowing manufacturers to lower the cost of their finished product without beingimpacted by the rising cost of petroleum." A recent article in PlasticsNews underscores how manufacturersare impacted by price increases of commodity chemicals, as well as "almost unprecedented" run-ups inenergy and raw materials costs. The June 22, 2008 article notes that companies are impacted not only by
rising raw materials costs, but the associated electricity and transportation costs as well. Kevin Swift, chiefeconomist at the American Chemistry Council, says, "Each $1 increase in the price of a barrel of crude oilcosts the chemical industry $660 million annually ...For a $1 increase in 1 million BTUs of natural gas, it's$3.3 billion in new costs."1 "The market for solar power is already in explosive growth mode, andphotovoltaic technology has progressed markedly in recent years with advances making the cells moreefficient, lighter and less expensive. But BioSolar is singularly positioned to lead the development oftruly sustainable and cost-effective solar technology as the first company to introduce a new dimension ofcost reduction by replacing petroleum-based plastic solar cell module components with durable non-
food, bio-based materials," said Lee. BioSolar is in the process of transitioning into full-scale productionof its BioBacksheet(TM) in a 60,000-square-foot state-of-the-art facility operated by its contractmanufacturing partner, Rowland Technologies, Inc. Enhanced Coverage LinkingRowland Technologies, Inc.-Search using: Company Profile News, Most Recent 60 Days By incorporating Rowland Technologies'world-class manufacturing capabilities with BioSolar's unique material engineering, BioSolar is producing an
environmentally-friendly product with characteristics that exceed the thermal index requirements of solarmodule manufacturers. "We expect this breakthrough product to be rapidly accepted as the standard for thebacksheet component of both traditional and certain thin-film photovoltaic modules," said Lee.
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SDI 2008 25WHAM! Silver DA
Aff- ! Empirically Denied
The US ran out of silver in 2002 and nothing happened.
Jason Hommel, Editorial writer for Gold-Eagle, 2005, Gold-Eagle, Silver Users Fear Silver Shortage, NM,http://www.gold-eagle.com/editorials_05/hommel102505.html
But what about the existing above ground supply of silver? Precious metals are held privately, and are notable to be tracked or traced, so nobody truly knows what the above ground supply of silver of might be.However, experts maintain that about 40 billion ounces of silver has been mined throughout all of humanhistory, and that about 90% of that has been irretrevably consumed by industry, jewelry, and photography.Most of the approximately 3-5 billion ounces of silver left is in the form of jewelry, mostly held in India.Silver that is in the form of above-ground, refined, deliverable, identifiable silver is about 150 million
ounces, mostly held at COMEX. The U.S. government once held up to 6 billion ounces of silver, but
around 2002, the U.S. ran out, and had to buy silver on the open market for its Silver Eagle coinprogram. The COMEX once had up to 1.5 billion ounces of silver about 10-15 years ago, but today hasless than 1/10th of that: 117 million ounces.
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SDI 2008 26WHAM! Silver DA
Aff AT: Econ !- Turn
Turn- alternative energy innovations spur breakthrough growth not decline.
William B. Bonvillian, Director of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology Center in D.C. Issues in Science
and Technology, 2004. Meeting the new challenge to U.S economic competitiveness, Lexis MH
A school of economic theory that has developed during the past two decades argues that technological andrelated innovation accounts for more than half of historical U.S. economic growth, which makes this afar more significant factor than capital and labor supply, which are the dominant factors in traditional
economic analysis. These economic growth theorists see a pattern shared by important breakthroughtechnologies such as railroads, steamships, electricity, telecommunications, aerospace, and computing. Thenew technology ignites a chain reaction of related innovation that leads to a surge in productivity
improvements throughout the economy and thus to overall economic growth. The most recent exampleis the productivity boom that occurred in the mid-1990s following the IT revolution that spread through themanufacturing and service sectors.
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