tony brown - nbn co - assessing the nbn rollout & the opportunity that the nbn presents the...
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PUBLIC | © NBN Co 2014 2 UNCLASSIFIED
Assessing the NBN rollout &
the opportunity the NBN presents the telecom industry
Tony Brown
NBN Co
Ovum 2020 Summit
Sydney – October 31st 2014
PUBLIC | © NBN Co 2014 3 UNCLASSIFIED
NBN Co – Where we are at
• 1Q15 results show revenue + customer growth
• Serviceable homes up 16% QoQ to 640,000
• End-users up 27% QoQ to 267,000
• ARPU grew to $39 – up 4% since June
• Solid progress made to reach 1 million
serviceable homes by end-FY15
• On track to reach 480,000 end-users at FY15
• MTM implementation under way
PUBLIC | © NBN Co 2014 4 UNCLASSIFIED
Our goals
PUBLIC | © NBN Co 2014 5 UNCLASSIFIED
The NBN – Why do we need it?
• Broadband is becoming essential service –
universal availability is important.
• DOC ‘Broadband Availability’ report* showed
very uneven quality of broadband services.
• DOC report showed 0.7 million HH could get
no fixed-broadband services.
• Further 920,000 HH on sub 4.8Mbps and 3.7
million HH on sub 9Mbps.
• 3.1 million HH (28% of all homes) have access
to 25Mbps – 110Mbps.
Department of Communications, Broadband Availability and Quality Report, published December 2014 -
http://www.communications.gov.au/__data/assets/pdf_file/0018/212535/Broadband_Availability_and_Quality_Report.pdf
PUBLIC | © NBN Co 2014 6 UNCLASSIFIED
The NBN – What will it do?
• Create a level playing field in retail BB market
• Aims to equalise access to good quality
broadband and help close the digital divide
• Deliver platform for innovative new services
for residential and business segment.
• Create more opportunities for Tele-Working
• New business opportunities for SME segment
• New ways of delivering education, healthcare
and other societal services.
PUBLIC | © NBN Co 2014 7 UNCLASSIFIED
The Move to the MTM
• MTM to utilise existing network assets
• Aim to deliver ‘faster and more affordably’
• Need to stay in $29.4 billion funding footprint
• Current plan is FTTP 24%, FTTN 42%, HFC
28%, Fixed-Wireless + Satellite 6%
• Aim is for 8 million premises to have up to
25Mbps by 2020
• Most fixed-broadband homes will have
between 50Mbps-100Mbps
PUBLIC | © NBN Co 2014 8 UNCLASSIFIED
FTTP: Still moving ahead
• FTTP network passes 554,00 premises –
471,500 premises serviceable
• NBN Co has 211,000 active FTTP subs – total
network will serve around 3 million premises.
• Rollout faced several key challenges – with
unusable LICs a substantial issue
• Still working on finding FTTP efficiencies
• Improving contractor management
PUBLIC | © NBN Co 2014 9 UNCLASSIFIED
Fixed-Wireless: The quiet achiever
• Highest satisfaction of all NBN end-users
• Fixed-Wireless subs record 7.9/10 in
overall satisfaction and NPS of +35
• 23,600 Fixed-Wireless subs activated at
mid-October – up from 6,500 at end-2013
• 500 BTS activated – covering 130,000
premises
• NBN Co will build 2,700 BTS in total covering
600,000 premises
• Top speed of 25/5Mbps – but higher speed
services are a possibility.
PUBLIC | © NBN Co 2014 10 UNCLASSIFIED
Fixed-Wireless: The quiet achiever
• Fixed-Wireless service is delivering world-class
services to regional and rural areas.
• Fixed-Wireless BTS can deliver 25/5Mbps
services up to 14kms distance.
• Subs very happy with installation process –
normally 10-19 business days from order.
• Subs more likely to rate their new internet
experience as much better compared to their
previous service.
PUBLIC | © NBN Co 2014 11 UNCLASSIFIED
Satellite: LTSS – Nearly there now!
• Services currently provided by ISS
• LTSS will begin with NBN Co -1A
• Launch due 1H15 by Arianespace
• Payload performance testing complete
• NBN Co -1B planned launch in 2H15
• 9 Satellite Ground Stations complete
• LTSS will aim to deliver world-class remote
broadband services
• LTSS opens up new opportunities for NBN Co
PUBLIC | © NBN Co 2014 12 UNCLASSIFIED
FTTB: Solving the MDU problem
• FTTB pilot services began in Victoria in March
• Pilots held in 8 MDUs with three RSPs
• Around 40 premises involved in trial
• End-users got peak speeds of 100/45Mbps
• High level of customer satisfaction in pilot
• FTTB can help speed up MDU rollout
• NBN Co commercial FTTB services
planned to launch in 1Q15
PUBLIC | © NBN Co 2014 13 UNCLASSIFIED
FTTN: Trials building up steam
• Successful FTTN pilot held in Umina
with around 50 end-users
• Achieved peak speeds of 100Mbps/30Mbps
• Now moving to expanded FTTN trials in
NSW and SE QLD
• 1000-Node FTTN trial with Telstra and
NBN Co to deliver our own 300-Node trial
• Combined trials cover 244,000 premises
• Commercial FTTN launch in 3Q15
PUBLIC | © NBN Co 2014 14 UNCLASSIFIED
HFC: Preparing the way
• Telstra & Optus negotiations continue –
scope and timelines being locked down
• Dennis Steiger appointed head of HFC division
– reporting direct to Bill Morrow
• First RFP for CMTS has been released -
winning vendor announced in November
• RFP for outside plant & equipment launched -
winning vendor announced in December.
• 2.5 million of 3.4 million premises in HFC
footprint already have co-ax lead-in
PUBLIC | © NBN Co 2014 15 UNCLASSIFIED
VDSL/HFC: Gigabit pathways ahead
• European ops already commercially
deploying VDSL Vectoring
• ITU close to standardizing G.Fast – we are
reviewing this internally for FTTdP
• BT, Swisscom, Eircom, Telecom Italia,
A1 and more all trialing G.Fast
• Ops moving towards hybrid-broadband
• US MSO’s aggressive on DOCSIS 3.1 launch
• Era of ‘Gigabit Cable’ is looming ahead
• NBN has gigabit stories via FTTP/HFC/FTTN.
PUBLIC | © NBN Co 2014 16 UNCLASSIFIED
Conclusion: NBN still moving forward
• FTTP, Fixed-Wireless & LTSS in progress
• NBN Co focusing on connecting end-users
• Now moving towards MTM model
• Preparations underway for FTTN + HFC
• Telstra & Optus negotiations continuing
• New acceleration technologies maturing well
• Aiming for 8 million happy homes and
delivering $4 billion in revenues by 2020.
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