tom bakker csiro - transactive energy conference
Post on 27-Jan-2017
44 Views
Preview:
TRANSCRIPT
Navigating the journey to Australia’s decentralised energy futureCSIRO EnergyTom Bakker
ADD BUSINESS UNIT/FLAGSHIP NAMEENERGY FLAGSHIP
Powering the world’s largest island…
Navigating the journey to Australia’s decentralised energy future
Navigating the journey to Australia’s decentralised energy future
Current Picture of Australian DER
• Text
http://www.energycouncil.com.au/Library/PageContentFiles/14251626-ae50-48a1-8fb0-70841eae409f/ESA002_factsheet_renewables.pdf Figure 5. Updated with figures from APVI
29.6%
14.0%
14.2%
8.7%
16%
22.5%
28.8%12.1%
29.6%28.8%22.5%
Navigating the journey to Australia’s decentralised energy future
Current Picture of Australian DER
http://apvi.org.au/
1.5MResidential
solar PV systems
4.3GWResidential
solar PV capacity installed
16% Australian
households with solar
PV
5TWh Energy
generated from solar
PV (2%)
Why?
Navigating the journey to Australia’s decentralised energy future
Economic viability for 2-6kW residential solar PV systems
Decreasing cost of
solar PV tech
Rebates for solar
PV
High tariffs + FiT for solar PV
Navigating the journey to Australia’s decentralised energy future
NSW and SA: Battery System Launchpad1. FiT schemes in NSW and SA to terminate at end of 20162. Households with ADMD ~2-5kW and 5-7kW solar PV systems means energy
injected back to grid at lower tariff could be better put to use3. Leaves opportunity for battery banks to enable users to use large systems to
offset household use
30+Current
residential battery and/or
system offerings
Australia needs a ‘TE’ solution…
Navigating the journey to Australia’s decentralised energy future
High Energy
$$
Long ‘stringy’
grid
+ Solar PV
Uptake
Falling network utlisation
2050 Future Grid Forum Scenarios (2013)
Set and forget Leaving the grid
Rise of the ‘Prosumer’ Renewables thrive
Australia’s electricity systems in 2027 are resilient to divergent futures and characterized by:
• The ‘balanced scorecard’ of long-term customer and societal value creation;
• Whole-of-system efficiency, reliability and safety; and,
• Millions of end-users participating in and sharing the benefits of whole-of-system optimisation through open, vibrant markets and appropriate protections.
2017-27 Roadmap Outcome
Domains & Work Packages
• Transformation Drivers• FGF Update• Customer Reorientation
A. Customer Orientated Networks (WP 1 & 2)
• Business Models• Regulatory Frameworks – Risk Sharing; Scope of Service; Customer Protection
B. Revenue and Regulatory Enablers (WP 3 & 4)
• Cost-Reflective Pricing• “Second Wave” Incentives• Value of New services including Micro-grids, Ancillary Services
C. Pricing and Incentives (WP 5)
• Standards, operating platforms• Advanced Power System Operations, Reliability and Security• Grid-side technologies and innovation• Future Workforce requirements
D. Technological Enablers (WP 6 – 8)
• Transactive Energy models• Institutional frameworks
E. Next Generation Platform (WP 9)
• Instantaneously balancing dynamic demand requirements with supply from millions of distributed generation, energy storage and ‘virtual storage’ sources;
• Optimising the utilisation of multi-billion-$ system assets and minimise the need for expensive augmentation; and,
The project’s Capstone activity progressively integrates mature content from all Work Packages to inform the types of market design, automation and operation needed in a highly distributed future to enable:
• Incentivisation of millions of consumer/producers to participate and receive a share of the (dynamic, spatio-temporal) value created through millions of DERs providing whole-system optimisation services.
Blueprinting the ‘Next Generation Platform’ for Australia
Contextualised for Australia’s industry structure and grid topologies, identify the most plausible Platform architectures with reference to the following seven areas of examination:
• Services & Value. What diverse energy and grid-support services are future customers likely to value? What types of market actors are likely to co-create value via Platform architectures? How might these services be valued?
• Markets & Institutions. What market and institutional design options exist and how might they compare when subjected to an indicative cost-benefit review? Which options are best for maximizing co-creation of new value by third-parties?
• Enabling Infrastructure. What system architecture, forecasting and planning alternatives may be needed for system optimisation? How might distribution system planning change in this environment?
• Monetisation & Transaction. What standards and mechanisms may be required to dynamically value, monetize and transact value that is inherently spatio-temporal?
• Regulation & Standards. What are the roles of regulation and standards with the various market designs and institutional forms?
• Transitionary Processes. How might existing market and institutional forms evolve to become more ‘transactive’? What might be achieved through incremental changes and what may require step-change interventions?
• System Coordination. What will be the future functional roles and responsibilities of networks and other market actors? What capabilities will be required to provide coordination responsive to customer needs and DNSP, TNSP and NEM situational information?
Delivering Australia’s transition pathways for the critical 2017-27 decade
Roadmap & Reports scheduled for delivery in December 2016
top related