rural trends and transportation issues

NA

TION

AL A

SSOCIA

TION

OF D

EVELO

PMEN

T ORG

AN

IZATIO

NS

Rural Trends and Transportation Issues

Shawn Seager Mountainland Association of Governments

NADO’s National RPO Council of Peers

with support from the Federal Highway Administration 1

NA

TION

AL A

SSOCIA

TION

OF D

EVELO

PMEN

T ORG

AN

IZATIO

NS

About NADO

National association for 540 regional development organizations

Promote public policies that strengthen local governments, communities and economies through the regional strategies

Office in Washington DC, Joe McKinney, Executive Director

2

NA

TION

AL A

SSOCIA

TION

OF D

EVELO

PMEN

T ORG

AN

IZATIO

NS

Regional Development Organizations Formed by state statute or executive order

Often called: Council of Governments, Regional Planning Commission, Economic Development District, COG

Participate/administer many state and federal programs

• Economic Development

• Regional Planning

• Human Services

3

NA

TION

AL A

SSOCIA

TION

OF D

EVELO

PMEN

T ORG

AN

IZATIO

NS

4

NA

TION

AL A

SSOCIA

TION

OF D

EVELO

PMEN

T ORG

AN

IZATIO

NS

NADO’s Rural Planning Organization RPO America Division Serves as the national professional association

for rural and small metro transportation planners

National Rural Transportation Peer Learning Conference April 24-26, 2013 in Greenville, SC

www.RuralTransportation.org

Rural Transportation Newsletter www.Facebook.com/RPOAmerica Twitter @RPOAmerica

5

A C

HA

NG

ING

RU

RA

L A

ME

RIC

A

2010 U.S. Population 309M Urban population: 249 Million (81%), Rural population: 59 Million (19%)

6

TR

AN

SP

OR

TA

TIO

N P

OL

ICY

What’s Changing in Rural

America?

1. Less population as a % but more absolute pop.

2. Older and Diverse

3. Poverty and health care issues

7

A C

HA

NG

ING

RU

RA

L A

ME

RIC

A

Rural U.S. Population

8

A C

HA

NG

ING

RU

RA

L A

ME

RIC

A

Rural U.S. Population Change

Actual number of people living in rural areas has increased although % has decreased: 1970: 53 Million 2010: 59.5 Million

Overall, rural areas lose ground to urban areas over time Metro areas higher growth rate Some fast-growing non-metro areas have been reclassified as

metro Some fast-growing non-metro areas have been absorbed into

adjacent metro areas Lower immigration Less “natural increase” of births Rural growth occurred in recreation, retirement, amenity areas

– Source: USDA 9

A C

HA

NG

ING

RU

RA

L A

ME

RIC

A

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010

Rural

Urban

Rural U.S. Population: 1950-Now

10

Urban

Rural

A C

HA

NG

ING

RU

RA

L A

ME

RIC

A

Population Change, 2000 – 2010

Source: USDA 11

A C

HA

NG

ING

RU

RA

L A

ME

RIC

A

12

A C

HA

NG

ING

RU

RA

L A

ME

RIC

A

Aging Population 2010

13

A C

HA

NG

ING

RU

RA

L A

ME

RIC

A

Future Growth of Older Adults

14 Source: Global Aging

A C

HA

NG

ING

RU

RA

L A

ME

RIC

A

15

Source: Daily Yonder

A C

HA

NG

ING

RU

RA

L A

ME

RIC

A

16

Source: Daily Yonder

A C

HA

NG

ING

RU

RA

L A

ME

RIC

A

17

2040 Minority Majority (Minority > 50% Whites)

A C

HA

NG

ING

RU

RA

L A

ME

RIC

A

Rural Diversity

• Diversity accelerated in rural America – Racial and ethnic minorities account for 83% of rural

population growth between 2000 and 2010.

• Children are in the vanguard of the increasing racial and ethnic diversity of rural America in the twenty-first century.

• Source: Carsey Institute

18

A C

HA

NG

ING

RU

RA

L A

ME

RIC

A

Outmigration

19 Source: USDA

A C

HA

NG

ING

RU

RA

L A

ME

RIC

A

Rural Poverty

• Highest poverty rates are in the most rural places

• 2006 Receiving food assistance: – 10.3% rural – 7.3% urban

• 2006 Children receive free school lunch:

– 31% rural – 25% urban

Source: Carsey Institute

20

A C

HA

NG

ING

RU

RA

L A

ME

RIC

A

Rural Access to Health Care

• Metros have four times as many physicians as do rural areas (per 100,000 residents)

• Metro areas have sixth times as many specialists as do rural counties (per 100,000 residents)

Carsey

21

TR

AN

SP

OR

TA

TIO

N P

OL

ICY

So now what do we do? New Opportunities

1. Use existing Census data to know you region

2. Visualize these populations in you community

3. Strategize with your regional planners

22

TR

AN

SP

OR

TA

TIO

N P

OL

ICY

2010 Census Data Partners

• For data and analysis specific to your region, contact your: – Regional planning entity

– Regional planning commission

– Council of governments

– Development district

– Universities

– Census Bureau State Office

23

TR

AN

SP

OR

TA

TIO

N P

OL

ICY

Minority and Disabled Visualization

24

TR

AN

SP

OR

TA

TIO

N P

OL

ICY

MAP-21 Planning

No changes in designation of MPOs

Statewide planning is now Statewide and Non-metro

Regional Transportation Planning Organizations are defined

25

TR

AN

SP

OR

TA

TIO

N P

OL

ICY

MAP-21 Planning

RTPOs’ existence is optional, but where they exist, they:

Must have a policy committee of majority local

officials

Must have a “parent” organization that will serve as administrative and fiscal agent and provide planning staff

26

TR

AN

SP

OR

TA

TIO

N P

OL

ICY

27

TR

AN

SP

OR

TA

TIO

N P

OL

ICY

• Long-range multimodal plan

• Regional TIP (not fiscally constrained)

• Technical Assistance to Local Governments

• Public Participation

Typical RTPO Tasks

28

TR

AN

SP

OR

TA

TIO

N P

OL

ICY

Role in Statewide Planning

• Optional designation, but where RTPOs exist, states must: – “Cooperate” on long-range plan development

– “Consult” on Interstate, Bridge, NHS, 5310, 5311 projects in STIP

– “Cooperate” on other projects in STIP for areas with a population under 50,000

– “Consult” on Strategic Highway Safety Plan

29

TR

AN

SP

OR

TA

TIO

N P

OL

ICY

Additional Resources

www.NADO.org

www.RuralTransportation.org

Carrie Kissel ckissel@nado.org 202.624.8829 Shawn Seager sseager@mountainland.org 801.229.3837

30