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Portfolio Outlook Model August 2014
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1 Portfolio Outlook Model ................................................................................................................. 2
1.1 Introduction ............................................................................................................................ 2
1.2 Rightmove Data....................................................................................................................... 2
1.3 Oxford Economics Modelling .................................................................................................. 3
2 Model Overview and Methodology ................................................................................................ 3
2.1 AVM Overview ........................................................................................................................ 3
2.2 AVM Methodology .................................................................................................................. 3
2.3 Forecast Overview .................................................................................................................. 5
2.4 Forecast Methodology ............................................................................................................ 7
2.5 Results ..................................................................................................................................... 8
3 Applications ................................................................................................................................... 10
3.1 Portfolio Outlook Model Applications .................................................................................. 10
3.2 Example Applications ............................................................................................................ 10
4 Why Us? ........................................................................................................................................ 11
4.1 Rightmove Data..................................................................................................................... 11
4.2 Oxford Economics ................................................................................................................. 11
Portfolio Outlook Model August 2014
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Portfolio Outlook Model August 2014
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Portfolio Outlook Model August 2014
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Portfolio Outlook Model August 2014
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Oxford Economics UK Macro model
Oxford Economics UK Regional model
Oxford Economics Global model
Portfolio Outlook Model August 2014
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Portfolio Outlook Model August 2014
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Portfolio Outlook Model August 2014
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0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
1 Qrt ahead
2 Qrt ahead
3 Qrt ahead
4 Qrt ahead
Forecast error less or equal to (%abs)
Proportion of post codes
Source : Oxford Economics
Portfolio Outlook Model August 2014
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Portfolio Outlook Model August 2014
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Portfolio Outlook Model August 2014
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