national urban transformation training urban trends
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J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC <jnmanokaran@yahoo.com>
National Urban Transformation TrainingUrban Trends
Rev. Dr. J.N. Manokaran,Managing DirectorTOPIC-India
J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC <jnmanokaran@yahoo.com>
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
Global crisis Market melt down New American president Terrorism
WORLD IS HOT, FLAT AND CROWDED Energy crisis and Environment
J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC <jnmanokaran@yahoo.com>
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
World Densest cities: The list is: 1 Mumbai (29650 per sq. km); 2 Kolkata (29650); 3 Karachi (18900); 4 Lagos (18150); 5. Shenzhen (17150); 6. Seoul (16700); 7. Taipei (15200); 8. Chennai (14350); 9. Bagata (13500); 10. Shangai (13400); 11. Lima (11750)’ 12. Beijing (11500); 13 Delhi (11050); 14. Kinsaha (10650); 15. Manila (10550) 16. Tehran (10550) 17. Jakarta (10500) 18. Tianjin (10500); 19. Bangalore (10100) 20. Ho Chi Minh (9450).
J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC <jnmanokaran@yahoo.com>
Indian cities
J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC <jnmanokaran@yahoo.com>
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
Trend 1: Humanity moving to cities, towns:
Half of world’s people will live in urban areas 70 per cent will be city dwellers by 2050 there
will be 27 ‘megacities’ with at least 10 million population by mid century compared to 19 today
Half the urban growth will be in the many smaller cities with less than 500000 people.
The population is also projected to increase from 6.7 billion to 9.2 billion by 2050.
J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC <jnmanokaran@yahoo.com>
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
There were 50.3 million urban households in the country in 2000; this rose to 61.5 million in 2005.
Six metros: Mumbai, Delhi, Chennai, Kolkata, Bangalore and Hyderabad
Eight mini-metros, Ludhiana, Bhubaneswar, Pune, Kochi, Ahmedabad, Jaipur, Patna and Lucknow.
J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC <jnmanokaran@yahoo.com>
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
Tamil Nadu the most urbanised State:
44 per cent of people of Tamil Nadu were living in urban areas.
J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC <jnmanokaran@yahoo.com>
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
Bangalored or Gangtoked? 1. Leaders: Bangalore - Bangalore, National Capital
Region of Delhi, Mumbai, Hyderabad, Pune, Chennai and Kolkata.
2. The Challengers: Ahmedabad, Bhuvaneswar, Chandigarh, Chombatore, Indore, Jaipur, Kochi, Lucknow, Madurai, Mangalore, Nagpur, Thiruvananthapuram, Tiruchirapalli, Vadodara, and Vishakapatnam.
3. The followers: Aurangabad, Bhopal, Goa, Gwalior, Hubli-Dharwad, Kanpur, Mysore, Nashik, Pondicherry, Salem, Surat, Vijayawada, and Varanasi.
4. The Aspirants: Allahabad, Dehradun, Durgapur, Gangtok, Guwahati, Ludhiana, Patna, Raipur, Ranchi, Shimla, Siliguri, and Srinagar.
J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC <jnmanokaran@yahoo.com>
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
India’s Top 25 emerging markets: Kannur, kerala; Kolhapur, Maharashtra; Thirissur, Kerala; Erode, Tamil Nadu; Puducherry; Alappuzha, Kerala; Patiala, Punjab; Ahmednagar, Maharashtra; Sangli, Maharashtra; Kanyakumari, Tamil Nadu; Kollam, Kerala; Gurudaspur; Punjab; Sangrur, Punjab; Panipat, Haryana; Yamunanagar, Haryana; Ambala, Haryana; Shimoga, Karnataka; Rohtak, Haryana; Palakkad, Kerala; Kottayam, Kerala; Karnal, Haryana; Shimla, Himachal Pradesh; Rupnagar, Punjab; Theni, Tamil Nadu; and Namakkal, Tamil Nadu.
J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC <jnmanokaran@yahoo.com>
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
Best Cities for Business: The top cities are: 1. Mumbai, 2. Bangalore, 3. Delhi, 4. Chennai, 5. Hyderabad, 6. Kolkata, 7. Ahmedabad, 8. Pune, (called Mega cities) 9. Surat and 10. Kanpur, 11. Jaipur, 12. Lucknow, 13. Nagpur, 14. Bhopal, 15. Coimbatore, (Called Boom towns) 16. Faridabad, 17. Amritsar, 18. Ludhiana, 19. Chandigarh, and 20. Jalandhar. (Called Niche cities) (Business Today, 7 September 2008, p. 70-120)
J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC <jnmanokaran@yahoo.com>
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
50 cities seen as hub of retail space boom: The top 15 cities in the list will contribute more than 80 per cent of the total national retail business by 2008. Delhi-NCR and Mumbai belong to the “maturing” category.
“Transitional cities” include Bangalore, Kolkata, Hyderabad, Pune, Chennai and Ahmedabad.
Chandigarh, Jaipur, Ludhiana, Lucknow, Kochi, Surat and Vadodara belong to the third category of “high-growth cities”.
“Emerging cities” — Ludiana, Coching, Nagpur, Indore, Nasik, Bhubaneshwar, Vizag, Coimbatore, Mangalore, Mysore and Thiruvananthapuram —The category also includes tourist destinations like Amritsar, Agra and Goa.
Cities where both income levels and corporate activities are limited — Patna, Bhopal, Meerut, Asansol, Varanasi, Kolhapur and Sonepat — are termed as “nascent”.
J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC <jnmanokaran@yahoo.com>
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
Response Cities are New Mission Frontiers Pastors, missionaries, church
planters moving into cities New biblical understanding about
cities
J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC <jnmanokaran@yahoo.com>
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
Trend 2: Disparity in the cities increasing Hex and the city: According to the UN report on
State of the World’s Cities, 2008-2009 Indian cities will witness rising levels of inequality
Rich earn four times more than the poorest. One of every three people in cities live in slums. Poor - 200000 ragpickers clean up 20 per cent of
the 10000 tonnes of garbage in Delhi – 1 lakh pavement dwellers in Mumbai – Two third of the population lives in slums.
J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC <jnmanokaran@yahoo.com>
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
Response Slums increasing Unemployed poor increasing
White Tiger? How many read this book?
Holistic Missions: Self Help Groups, Community Colleges, Micro-finances
J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC <jnmanokaran@yahoo.com>
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
Trend 3: Migration an important aspect Human Highways: The 2001 Census 9 million migrated from Uttar Pradesh, 5.5 million migrated from
Bihar. In the State of Maharastra, UP and Bihar migrants are 5 million
of the total population of 96.9 million. In Mumbai (14 million), 4 million are migrants from UP and Bihar Child labour migrants: Of all migrants in Mumbai city, 22 per
cent are child labourers. (The Week 14 January 2007, p.6) Delhi (13 million), where UP-Bihar migrants are 3.8 million. Punjab (24 million) -4 million UP-Bihar migrants there. Assam- (26 million) - 300000 from UP-Bihar have migrated
there. 100000 UP-Bihar migrants in Karnataka (52 million) In Bangalore only 34%of the city’s 6 million is Kannadigas.
J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC <jnmanokaran@yahoo.com>
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
Response Reaching Migrants – families Reaching students in the hostels Reaching other language groups in
the city
Models – Nepalis, Sindhis etc.
J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC <jnmanokaran@yahoo.com>
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
Trend 4: Direction of migration keeps changing
Migration to city from south falling: The declining number of south Indian migrants
into Mumbai city is visible in all places like: Antop Hill, Matunga, Chembur, Mulund and Dombivli .
Southern migrants have been replaced by migrants from Uttar Pradesh and Bihar who are making their way to Mumbai in ever-increasing numbers, propelled by the support system provided by friends and relatives already in the city.
J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC <jnmanokaran@yahoo.com>
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
Response Understand the winds of change in
migration pattern Move where people move
Example: Orissa persecution – 5000 people moved into Ernakulam. Plant Oriya church in Ernakulam
J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC <jnmanokaran@yahoo.com>
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
Trend 5: Children are vulnerable in cities
Street kids -25000 child bonded labour in Mumbai
Elite kids - 10-18 years is vulnerable to mental health disorder AIIMS study
Urban children not getting enough sleep
Training emotional gun on parents – suicide for not purchasing new dress, etc
J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC <jnmanokaran@yahoo.com>
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
Response
New Strategies for reaching children Camps, Games Internet based outreach material Magazines, books, cartoons
J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC <jnmanokaran@yahoo.com>
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
Trend 6: Teenagers and Young are rudderless
Young - 340 million (13-35 age) 17 per cent of the 1.4 million teenage
abortions that take place every year in the developing countries happen in India. More specifically, of the approximately 2.45 lakh teenage abortions reported in India every year, 36700 happen in Delhi, Mumbai, Kolkata and Bangalore.
J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC <jnmanokaran@yahoo.com>
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
Response
New youth strategies. How do you understand modern and post modern youth?
Chetan Bhagat books?????
Reaching Post modern youth Reaching Unemployed youth
J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC <jnmanokaran@yahoo.com>
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
Trend 7: Women are oppressed in the city
Women – crime against women 540 rapes in 2004, 640 in 2005 in Delhi Dowry deaths – urban phenomenon -50 % University students in Delhi favour dowry - Domestic violence
J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC <jnmanokaran@yahoo.com>
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
Response
Women ministries? New Initiatives? New tools?
Marrying Anita – Anita Jain????????
J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC <jnmanokaran@yahoo.com>
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
Trend 8: Family in crisis in the city Divorces – 2 divorces for every 5 marriages in Chennai Live-in-relationships Extra Marital affairs - 12% of married couples below
30 years indulge in extramarital affair a high 35 per cent being open to an office romance A third surveyed saw no harm in romancing a married
colleague, while 44% - an affair as strategic move to climb the corporate ladder.
Gays/Lesbianism/AIDS/HIV - 5.1 million people affected Working parents have just 30 minutes for kids in India
J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC <jnmanokaran@yahoo.com>
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
In India, men unable to keep pace with women’s changing role: Four out of five Indian men said they have been part of a group that has made lewd comments to women. That’s according to a recent Hindustan Times survey of 500 men in the age of 20 to 45 from six India’s largest cities. Nearly half the men surveyed felt women at a pub are ‘asking for trouble’. Around 60% of them preferred stay-at-home wives.
For every five men, there is one woman who works in an income-generating activity.
J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC <jnmanokaran@yahoo.com>
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
Response Family counselling Premarital counselling
Chennai Transformation Network – Family Track Model
J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC <jnmanokaran@yahoo.com>
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
Trend 9: Economic growth and more jobs Unemployment in major cities declines:
survey: Here are some highlights of the 61st National Sample Survey. The unemployment rate has declined from 4.4% to 3.4% in Class I cities of India. Class I cities have population over one million, Class II – population between 50000 and 1 million, Class III with less than 50000. The unemployment rate in rural India stands at 2.1 for males and 3.1 for females.
J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC <jnmanokaran@yahoo.com>
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
Response Market economy and money
economy has two different paradigms
Inflation Global Boom and Global Gloom
J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC <jnmanokaran@yahoo.com>
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
Trend 10: Ideology politics to Identity politics
Closure of industries – no trade unions
Slum lords Sons of soil Right wing
J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC <jnmanokaran@yahoo.com>
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
Response Mumbai Assam Bangalore
Unrest, violence
J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC <jnmanokaran@yahoo.com>
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
Trend 11: New Urban Spirituality New kind of spirituality Increase in spiritual quest 95% believe in God. 89%
believe in the power of prayer Top five spiritual idols are:
Vinayaka, Shiva, Krishna, Sai Baba and Jesus.
J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC <jnmanokaran@yahoo.com>
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
Response Youngsters are more open to
spiritual things – but how do they define spirituality
New strategies, tools needed
J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC <jnmanokaran@yahoo.com>
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
Trend 12: Postmodernism gaining ground
Post modernism – compatible with Hindutva
Modernism is being replaced by Postmodernism
J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC <jnmanokaran@yahoo.com>
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
Response Using Modernism tools to
Postmodernism society will be a failure
What are Postmodern tools for evangelism?
J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC <jnmanokaran@yahoo.com>
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
Trend 13: Crisis of urban identity Identity self – preservation –
caste, culture and language Identity in free market
economy- consumerism – capacity to consume
Not the capacity to contribute but the capacity to consume
J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC <jnmanokaran@yahoo.com>
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
Response Should capacity to consume
determine a person’s worth and identity?
What are the alternatives? How should that be communicated?
J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC <jnmanokaran@yahoo.com>
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
Trend 14: Lifestyle diseases 'Indian workforce unhealthy': 47% of the workforce overweight 27% were suffering from hypertension 10% were also found to be diabetic. (35
million diabetic in India) 50 per cent of Delhi adults are obese Stress and Suicides: Bangalore is
suicide capital: Suicides kill more people than war every
year
J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC <jnmanokaran@yahoo.com>
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
Response Eye camps…etc. Good to reach
urban poor “Fitness Camps”, “Diet Camps”,
“Heart diseases check up camps”… Free Gyms in churches for low
middle class young people?
J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC <jnmanokaran@yahoo.com>
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
Trend 15: Health hazard Cities are vulnerable – Dengue,
Chikangunya Pollution -12% Hyderabad city
drinks water -excess uranium Air pollution, Noise pollution and
water pollution
J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC <jnmanokaran@yahoo.com>
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
Response Can church be a model? Environment friendly strategies? Water Harvesting in Chennai?
J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC <jnmanokaran@yahoo.com>
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
Trend 16: Technology invades the city Media – FM radio, Internet….. 38 million Internet users & 3.1 million
Broad band (Internet is information tool for old, relationship tool for youngsters)
Mobile phones – 250 plus million phones Cyber cafes: India is 250000. Indians world's third biggest online
shoppers: next only to the Turkish and Irish e-shoppers.
J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC <jnmanokaran@yahoo.com>
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
Response
Harness technology for missions Blogs, scraps, walls….what not?
J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC <jnmanokaran@yahoo.com>
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
Trend 17: Violence in the city School children using guns to settle
disputes Kidnap and killing of teenagers by
friends Road rage “Sudden Provocation”
J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC <jnmanokaran@yahoo.com>
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
Response
How can the church respond?
J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC <jnmanokaran@yahoo.com>
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
Trend 18: Victim of terrorism Cities are targets for terrorist
attacks Special insurance against terrorist
attack has gained market Islam and Hinduism – religions used
for terrorism – Malegaon blasts Naxalites - terror
J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC <jnmanokaran@yahoo.com>
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
Response
Voice for peace and reconciliation
J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC <jnmanokaran@yahoo.com>
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
Trend 19: Right wing ideology inroads in city
Saffron Techies: In Bengalure alone, there are 46 IT milans located in different residential areas.
A special door-to-door fundraising drive held in Bengaluru over a month in 2007 reportedly raised Rs. 20 lakh for the Vanavasi Kalyan Kendra, a Sangh organization that deal with tribal welfare activities.
IT milans in Bengalure are working towards a Sanskrit camp that will be held in the month of November 2008 where 2000 are expected.
J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC <jnmanokaran@yahoo.com>
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
Response
Encourage Christian professionals to be engaged in their own contexts
Educate, train and provide tools for them to work in their work places
J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC <jnmanokaran@yahoo.com>
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
Trend 20: Entertainment, leisure, eating out
Malls, theme parks, restaurants, increased
4 theme parks, 50 lakh visitors: Four theme parks in Chennai are dishing out thrills and spills for action hungry citizens of Chennai who seem to want only more.
J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC <jnmanokaran@yahoo.com>
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
Response
Gospel + Entertainment = ? Discipleship + Entertainment =?
J.N. Manokaran, TOPIC <jnmanokaran@yahoo.com>
National Urban Transformation Training- Urban Trends
Global Urban Vision – Monthly newsletters
Send e-mail to jnmanokaran@yahoo.com
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