mr. paul mp chan - hkis · tm-clkl connects prd east via hong kong shenzhen western highway and...
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發展局Development Bureau
Mr. Paul MP Chan
Secretary for DevelopmentHong Kong SAR Government
The HKIS Planning & Development Conference 2016“Planning and Development, Past Present & Future”
22 October 2016
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WHERE DO WE GO FROM HERE?
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• Hong Kong has been positioning itself as Asia’s World City.
• Hong Kong stands out as a highly competitive global city with world‐class infrastructure, a leading financial centre and business hub, an attractive tourist destination, a city with a reputable brand.
• Some of the comparative advantages are planning‐related, and are in large part due to our integrated land use‐transport‐environment and infrastructure planning.
• Our performance in liveability and innovation remains moderate.
GLOBAL RANKINGS AND MEGATRENDS
Good international and regional connectivity
Compact city form
High urban mobility
Nature conservation
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• In an increasingly connected world, we need to duly consider the emerging global megatrends.
• We need to “Think Globally and Act Locally”.
Source: adapted from KPMG’s “Future State 2030: The global megatrends shaping governments”
GLOBAL RANKINGS AND MEGATRENDS
Individuals and Society
Changing demographics with ageing population
Technology application and innovation
Better education
Physical Environment
Global Economy
Accelerating urbanisation
Scarcity of natural resources
Climate change
Interconnected global economy
Rise of globalmiddle class
Shift of economic power to the East
Innovation and technology as key
driver
• Manage the Threats
• Harness the Opportunities
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USA
Asia
Europe
Africa
Australia
HK
Indian Ocean
The Pacific Ocean
Over half of the world’s population is within 5-hour flight from HK
4-hour flight capturing countries with GDP totaling HK$140 trillion
Hong Kong as Asia’s best International Transport, Logistics and Trade Hub
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“One‐hour Intercity Traffic Circle” covering the Pearl River Estuary
Expressway Network
Reaching large cities as far away as those in Vietnam within a day’s drive
Regional Connectivity
Highway connection to PRD regional network, webbing major cities
HZMB connects PRD West and Guangzhou-Macao Expressway
TM-CLKL connects PRD East via Hong Kong Shenzhen Western Highway and Guangshen Coastal Expressway
Guangzhou
中山ZHONGSHAN
佛山市FOSHAN SHI
深圳市SHENZHEN SHI
東莞市DONGGUAN SHI
肇慶ZHAOQING
澳門MACAO
往廣西梧州To WUZHOU, GUANGXI
陽江YANGJIANG
江門JIANGMEN
鹽田YANTIAN
往北京To BEIJING
廣州市GUANGZHOU SHI
往湛江市To ZHANJIANG SHI
京珠高速Jingzhu Highway
廣珠西線Guangzhu West
Highway
汕頭市SHANTOU SHI
珠海ZHUHAI
現存道路EXISTING ROAD
計劃中 / 興建中道路ROAD UNDER PLANNING / CONSTRUCTION
香港國際機場HONG KONG
INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
West of China
Southwest of China
Zhuhai / Macao
Hong Kong
Beijing
HZMB
TM-CLKL & TMWB
深中通道
Shenzhen-Zhongshan corridor
Infrastructure Connectivity with PRD ‐Hong Kong‐Zhuhai‐Macao Bridge & Tuen Mun‐Chek Lap Kok Link
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Hung Hom
Lo Wu
Man Kam To
Lok Ma Chau/ Spur Line
Sha Tau Kok
China Ferry Terminal
HK Macau Ferry Terminal
Shenzhen Bay
Infrastructure Connectivity with PRD –Existing Boundary Crossing Facilities
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HK Boundary Crossing Facilities
Liantang/Heung Yuen Wai Boundary Control Point and Connecting Road
HK-Zhuhai-Macao Bridge (HZMB)
Express Rail Link (XRL)
West Kowloon
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Infrastructure Connectivity with PRD ‐Boundary Crossing Facilities under Construction
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Coverage by Express Rail Networkin Higher Capacity and Shorter Time
Express Rail in China
(10小時)
(10小時)
(7小時)(9小時)
(5小時)(12小時)
(8小時)
(7小時)
(5小時)(4小時)
(10小時)
(5小時)
(4小時)
(2小時)(4小時)
(9小時)
Express Rail Link (XRL)
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Infrastructure Connectivity with the Mainland ‐Guangzhou‐Shenzhen‐Hong Kong Express Rail Link (XRL)
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• One of seven major items of Hong Kong and Guangdong Co-operation under the National 12th
Five Year Plan.
• To be connected with highway network in Shenzhen and PRD East.
• Target Completion by end-2018.
• Faster road link to Fujian, Jiangxi, etc., Jiangxi and the Eastern part of Mainland
Infrastructure Connectivity with the Mainland ‐Liantang/Heung Yuen Wai Boundary Crossing Facilities
Hong KongZhongshan
ZhuhaiJiangmen
Macao
FoshanZhaoqing HuizhouDongguanGuangzhou
GUANGDONGQingyuan
Shenzhen
PRD East
PRD West
ShaoguanPopulation ~ 64 millionGDP ~ 1,150 billion US$(Comparable to Republic of Korea)
Region Population GDP (in 2013)PRD West 21 million ~ 250 billion US$
PRD East 36 million ~ 630 billion US$
HK 7 million ~ 270 billion US$
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Opportunities in PRD Region
Key salientissues that will impact on Hong Kong in the years
ahead
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CHALLENGES FOR HONG KONG
A growing and ageing population and a shrinking labour force
Moderate performance in liveability
Imbalance in home‐job spatial distribution
Keen competition in the global and regional economy
Moderate performancein innovation
Demand for new transport and other infrastructure
Challenges in land development
A large quantity of old building stock
Climate change
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CHALLENGES FOR HONG KONG
• A growing and ageing population.
• Our labour force is shrinking as a result of the ageing population.
15%
85+
65+
2014
20432064
7.24M
8.22M7.81M
10.1%
36%
2.2%
Population
Population Projection (2014 Based) Household Projection (2014 Based)
• Smaller household size leading to faster household growth.
2014
2044 20492.43M
2.93M 2.91MHousehold
A growing and ageing population anda shrinking labour force
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CHALLENGES FOR HONG KONG
Limited/no residual development potential providing limited incentives for redevelopment, especially for smaller sites
Multiple ownershipmaking it difficult to assemble full ownership or reach the threshold for compulsory sale
Decanting spacelimited developable space in the densely developed urban area to displace the affected households
• Hong Kong has a rapidly ageing building stock, especially in the densely developed urban areas.
• We face a number of challenges in urban redevelopment.
A large quantity of old building stock
Long lead timenot uncommon for projects to take more than 10 years to complete
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“THE DOUBLE AGEING PHENOMENON”
• Ageing population + Ageing building stock = A Bigger Problem
• Are we prepared for this?
Considerations for Ageing Population
• Age‐friendly built environment
• Universal design / barrier‐free access
• “Active ageing”
• “Ageing in place”
• Provisions for elderly facilities
• Provisions for elderly support
Considerations for Ageing Building Stock
• Timely rejuvenation of the urban fabric
• Boost building management / maintenance
• Step up efforts in urban renewal
• Respect neighbourhood characteristics
• Promote social cohesion
• Ensure sufficient decanting space
Land Development
• Land and space implications arising from the ageing population and ageing building stock
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CHALLENGES FOR HONG KONG
• There is room for improving Hong Kong’s liveability and the well‐being of our people.
• Hong Kong’s urban population density (27,000 persons/km2) is the highest in all developed economies.
• We need to retrofit the densely developed urban areas and optimise development in new development areas.
Liveability Ranking Sources: Demographia, Mercer and Urban Land InstituteComparative Liveability Matrix
Moderate performance in liveability
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Challenges in land development
CHALLENGES FOR HONG KONG
Major Challenges in Land Development
• The built‐up areas take up only about 24% of our total land area. The majority of the remaining land area comprises natural assets, environmentally sensitive areas, and hilly terrain, etc.
• Built‐up area grew by 3,800 ha (between 2000 and 2015), as compared to 8,000 ha (1985‐2000).
• We need to create sufficient land capacity to cope with existing shortfalls and future demands.
Low Vacancy Rates Across Different Property Types
• Our response is: “Hong Kong 2030+: Towards a Planning Vision and Strategy Transcending 2030”(Hong Kong 2030+).
• A vision-driven, pragmatic and action-oriented strategic plan.
• The public engagement for Hong Kong 2030+ will commence shortly.
FROM CHALLENGES TO OPPORTUNITIES
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Updating the territorial development strategy to guide land and infrastructure development, and the shaping of the built environment of Hong Kong beyond 2030
FROM CHALLENGES TO OPPORTUNITIES
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• Three key themes : ‐ Enhance livability Strengthen
competitiveness Creating land,
infrastructure and environment capacity
• A development strategy based on the smart, green and resilient principles.
Liveability
Capacity Creation
EconomicCompetitiveness
• From surveyors and planners to architects and engineers, we all have a key role to play in shaping a sustainable future for Hong Kong.
• Let us put our heads together to consider how we should plan for Hong Kong and to make wise choices with the community.
• Your participation is crucial and will be most welcomed.
FROM CHALLENGES TO OPPORTUNITIES
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THANK YOU
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