mgd advisory group meeting sydney 5 th march 2015

MGD Advisory Group Meeting

Sydney 5th March 2015

Agenda

Mission – to advise on the way forward.Issues:

1 MGD implications of country experience discussions

2 MGD2 and the Portal

3 Modules

4 Outline of future work

Outcome of country experience discussions

• Main mode of MGD interaction with countries via agencies and programmes – SilvaCarbon, UN-REDD. MGD a source document for this

• Continuing need for an anchor – what’s operational, linked to international agreement and IPCC methods

• Portal and modules give flexibility• Need for advice on sensible applications for

technologies• Useful to have end-to-end flowchart • In–country institutional basis crucial (coordination,

volatility, absorptive capacity…). Increase advice…• Co-benefits linkage (wider forest values…)

Agenda

Mission – to advise on the way forward.Issues:

1 MGD implications of country experience discussions

2 MGD2 and the Portal

3 Modules

4 Outline of future work

MGD2 and the Portal• Existing MGD is version 1 – need for update foreseen, taking account of

experience. • Combination with portal gives access tuned to individual needs linked to

security of the MGD foundation document. MGD portal can help the link between pillars of GFOI

• Version 2 provides opportunity for - Logical synergy with portal- updates on institutional arrangements - strengthen guidance on integration- more complete material on statistical inference (emission factors as well

as area data) and uncertainties- Response to country experiences- Integration of modules- Updates from research track- Updated core data availability

Proposal – joint production of portal and version 2 according to agreed outline

Proposal for outlineElement Concept

1. Institutional Arrangements

1.1 Key functions and components of National Arrangements

2 Design Decisions 2.1 UNFCCC Decisions and Requirements2.2 IPCC GPG2.3 NFMS2.4 Estimation methods and approaches

3 Measurement 3.1 AD3.2 Ground Observations and auxiliary data3.3 Integration and generation of estimates3.4 Uncertainty

4 Reporting and verification

4.1 Scope of reporting4..2 Documentation and data archiving

5 Guiding Principles 5.1 Institutional Arrangements5.2 Design Decisions5.3 NFMS5.4 Reporting and verification

Agenda

Mission – to advise on the way forward.Issues:

1 MGD implications of country experience discussions

2 MGD2 and the Portal

3 Modules

4 Outline of future work

Modules• Intermediate products• Currently:• Relationship with GOFC-GOLD• Global datasets• Reference levels• Relationship with CBD• Inference module

Proposal: Finalize these and retain use of modules as flexible response product

Agenda

Mission – to advise on the way forward.Issues:

1 MGD implications of country experience discussions

2 MGD2 and the Portal

3 Modules

4 Outline of future work

Outline timeline• Identify expertise for new material and work

plan for delivery of this material • Workshop on extending statistical inference to

biomass/emission factors and integrating uncertainties

• Review draft version 2 – end Mar 2016• Prototype portal for review – end Mar 2016• Review period - to end Apr• Integration of review – by end May 2016• Finalization end Jun 2016

MGD2 Structure

Proposal for overall structureElement Concept

1. Institutional Arrangements

1.1 Key functions and components of National Arrangements

2 Design Decisions 2.1 UNFCCC Decisions and Requirements2.2 IPCC GPG2.3 NFMS2.4 Estimation methods and approaches

3 Measurement 3.1 AD3.2 Ground Observations and auxiliary data3.3 Integration and generation of estimates3.4 Uncertainty

4 Reporting and verification

4.1 Scope of reporting4..2 Documentation and data archiving

5 Guiding Principles 5.1 Institutional Arrangements5.2 Design Decisions5.3 NFMS5.4 Reporting and verification

Proposal for overall structureElement Concept

1. Institutional Arrangements

1.1 Key functions and components of National Arrangements

2 Design Decisions 2.1 UNFCCC Decisions and Requirements2.2 IPCC GPG2.3 NFMS2.4 Estimation methods and approaches

3 Measurement 3.1 AD3.2 Ground Observations and auxiliary data3.3 Integration and generation of estimates3.4 Uncertainty

4 Reporting and verification

4.1 Scope of reporting4..2 Documentation and data archiving

5 Guiding Principles 5.1 Institutional Arrangements5.2 Design Decisions5.3 NFMS5.4 Reporting and verification

1. Institutional Arrangements

1.1 Key functions and components of National Arrangements

Existing material

Focus,Augmentation

Expertise

1.1.1 Forest Policy and Governance1.1.2 Technical direction1.1.3 Inventory estimates1.1.4 National Focal Point1.1.5 International Consultation and Analysis

Some material in 1.1. Also FCMC report

Strong institutional foundations. Feedback from country experiences in Sydney

Proposal for overall structureElement Concept

1. Institutional Arrangements

1.1 Key functions and components of National Arrangements

2 Design Decisions 2.1 UNFCCC Decisions and Requirements2.2 IPCC GPG2.3 NFMS2.4 Estimation methods and approaches

3 Measurement 3.1 AD3.2 Ground Observations and auxiliary data3.3 Integration and generation of estimates3.4 Uncertainty

4 Reporting and verification

4.1 Scope of reporting4..2 Documentation and data archiving

5 Guiding Principles 5.1 Institutional Arrangements5.2 Design Decisions5.3 NFMS5.4 Reporting and verification

2. Design Decisions

2.1 UNFCCC Decisions and requirements

Existing material Focus,Augmentation

Expertise

2.1.1 MRV Decisions

2.1.2 Reporting Requirements

Section 1.4.1 , Section 1.5 and other locations

Section 5

Policy basis; add what has happened since Warsaw

2.2 IPCC GPG

2.2.1 UNFCCC principles TACCC2.2.2 Significance and KCA2.2.3 IPCC GHG methodologies

2.2.4 Appropriate approaches, methods, tiers

Section 1.3 / Annex A Section 1.2 / Annex Section 1.1 Section 2.1 / Annex ASection 1.4.6 / Annex A

Methodological basis, revealed responses of countries

2. Design Decisions - continued

2.3 - NFMS Existing material FocusAugmentation

Expertise

2.3.1Scope or REDD+ activities2.3.2 Forest definition2.3.3 Stratification2.3.4 National and sub-national estimation and reporting2.3.5 Use of global datasets

FREL module (part)Section 1.4.4Several placesSection 1.4.3

1.4.5, Box 1, 1.5, Ax CModule

Determination of significant activities; implementing stepwise approach

2.4 Estimation methods and approaches2.4.1 Gain-Loss, stock change methods 2.4.2 Tier 1 to 3 implementation

Section 2.1, Annex C

Annex A

Improve coverage of higher Tiers, degradation and other act ivies

Proposal for overall structureElement Concept

1. Institutional Arrangements

1.1 Key functions and components of National Arrangements

2 Design Decisions 2.1 UNFCCC Decisions and Requirements2.2 IPCC GPG2.3 NFMS2.4 Estimation methods and approaches

3 Measurement 3.1 AD3.2 Ground Observations and auxiliary data3.3 Integration and generation of estimates3.4 Uncertainty

4 Reporting and verification

4.1 Scope of reporting4..2 Documentation and data archiving

5 Guiding Principles 5.1 Institutional Arrangements5.2 Design Decisions5.3 NFMS5.4 Reporting and verification

3. Measurement

3.1 Activity Data Existing material Focus, Augmentation

Expertise

3.1.1 AD requirements3.1.2 RS sources3.1.3 Tools for large data sets3.1.4 Pre-processing3.1.5 Mapping3.1.6 Importance reference data3.1.7 Map products from RS

3.13.2, Annex B---3.33.53.73.4

Introduce MGD Portal, COVE tool and SDMS

3.2 Ground observations

3.2.1 AGB, BGB3.2.2 Litter, deadwoood3.2.3 Soil organic C3.2.4 HWP3.2.5 Non-CO2 GHG3.2.6 Land Use Boundaries3.2.7 Climate variables

3.9.1 Annex G, F, D3.9.2 Annex D3.9.3 Annex D---3.9.4------

Components not currently represented

3. Measurement – cont

3.3 Integration and generation of estimates

Existing material Focus, Augmentation

Expertise

2.4.1 Deforestation2.4.2 Degradation2.4.3 SMF, Enhance, Conserv2.4.4 Enhancement (change use)2.4.5 Conversion natural forests

2.2.12.2.22.2.3, 2.2.42.2.5, 2.2.62.2.7

Improve coverage of higher Tiers, degradation and other activities

3.4 Uncertainty

3.4.1 Area and area change

3.4.2 Emission factors and model parameters (often ground- based data)

3.4.3 Combining uncertainties

3.7, module in preparation

4

4

More examples

Make comparable with AD

Proposal for overall structureElement Concept

1. Institutional Arrangements

1.1 Key functions and components of National Arrangements

2 Design Decisions 2.1 UNFCCC Decisions and Requirements2.2 IPCC GPG2.3 NFMS2.4 Estimation methods and approaches

3 Measurement 3.1 AD3.2 Ground Observations and auxiliary data3.3 Integration and generation of estimates3.4 Uncertainty

4 Reporting and verification

4.1 Scope of reporting4..2 Documentation and data archiving

5 Guiding Principles 5.1 Institutional Arrangements5.2 Design Decisions5.3 NFMS5.4 Reporting and verification

4. Reporting and Verification

4.1 Scope of Reporting Existing material Focus, Augmentation

Expertise

4.1.1 GHG Inventory reporting4.1.2 FR(E)Ls4.1.3 Requirements for results based payments4.1.4 Non-carbon related

---1.4.2 plus module---

Biodiversity module

4.2 Documentation and data archiving4.2.1 Maintaining transparency and consistency

Annex A Make more specific

Proposal for overall structureElement Concept

1. Institutional Arrangements

1.1 Key functions and components of National Arrangements

2 Design Decisions 2.1 UNFCCC Decisions and Requirements2.2 IPCC GPG2.3 NFMS2.4 Estimation methods and approaches

3 Measurement 3.1 AD3.2 Ground Observations and auxiliary data3.3 Integration and generation of estimates3.4 Uncertainty

4 Reporting and verification

4.1 Scope of reporting4..2 Documentation and data archiving

5 Guiding Principles 5.1 Institutional Arrangements5.2 Design Decisions5.3 NFMS5.4 Reporting and verification

5. Guiding Principles

Existing material Focus, Augmentation

Expertise

5.1 Institutional Arrangements5.2 Design Decisions5.3 NFMS

5.4 Reporting and Verification

------3.6, 3.8, Annex E, Annex D---

Distil guiding principles from all sections